As Thanksgiving Day approaches, forecasters will gain a better picture of what weather North Texans can expect.
Tom Fox/Staff Photographer
Thanksgiving is still a month away, but after a hot fall and another warm stretch in the forecast, North Texans may be wondering what weather conditions to expect for the holiday.
Thanksgiving Day will fall on Nov. 26 this year. Here’s an early look at what forecasters know so far.
Related: Mild, pleasant weather forecast for Tuesday before temps climb back into 80s
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Will this year’s Thanksgiving be as warm as last year?
In 2025, North Texas saw a record-breaking fall, with unusually warm temperatures. All three months in meteorological fall – September, October and November – brought above-normal temperatures to Dallas-Fort Worth.
November’s heat was particularly warm, with temperatures averaging about 7 degrees above normal, according to previous reporting by The Dallas Morning News. Thanksgiving fell on Nov. 27 last year, when Dallas-Fort Worth recorded a high of 63 degrees and a low of 42.
Related: Fall in North Texas was one of the hottest on record. Here’s how temperatures stacked up
What will the weather be like on Thanksgiving in North Texas?
While Dallas-Fort Worth saw a glimpse of seasonal fall temperatures this weekend, daily highs are set to warm up this week again, potentially into early November.
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The National Weather Service’s Fort Worth office said the region will see a “warming trend” this week, with high temperatures rising into the mid- and upper-80s.
Fall 2026 has already broken some weather records, including the hottest September recorded by the weather service.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts a warm, sunny Thanksgiving for Texas. While rain is possible in some parts of the southern U.S., the Old Farmer’s Almanac expects the North Texas and Oklahoma region to see sunny skies.
Related: Was September really as scorching as it felt in Dallas?
According to the Climate Prediction Center, Dallas-Fort Worth is forecast to see above-normal temperatures for at least the next two weeks.
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The temperature outlook becomes less certain heading into November, when North Texas has equal chances of seeing above- or below-normal temperatures. This trend will continue through November, according to the Climate Prediction Center.
North Texas has equal chances of seeing above- or below-normal temperatures through November, according to the Climate Prediction Center.
Climate Prediction Center
The normal high temperature for Nov. 26 is historically measured around 63 degrees, with a low of 43 degrees, according to the weather service’s climate records.
Related: Farmers’ Almanac predicts Texas will see wet, stormy winter
November could also bring more rain than usual. Precipitation levels in Dallas-Fort Worth are forecast to lean above normal, according to the Climate Prediction Center.
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Developing El Nino conditions are set to influence the region’s weather this year. Forecasters expect the southern U.S. to see a wetter-than-normal winter, generally beginning in December.
Dallas-Fort Worth is likely to see above-normal levels of precipitation this November, according to the Climate Prediction Center.
Climate Prediction Center
For those planning Thanksgiving travel or holiday celebrations, it’s still too soon to tell what the exact conditions will look like Nov. 26. As the holiday approaches, forecasters will gain a better picture of what North Texans can expect.
Related: Rainy winter ahead for North Texas? Here’s what NOAA forecasters expect
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