Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2024 PGA Championship Picks, Bets, One and Done selections. Plus, Tim Andercust joins to give his top three picks for the years second Major.
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
1:36 Wells Fargo/Rory
4:54 Cust Picks
41:22 Gambling Broadcast Feed
17:13 Can’t Win
22:13 Scheffler
29:26 PGA Championship Top Odds
45:28 30-100
1:01:36 100+
1:13:57 Justin Thomas
1:20:02 Quick Picks
1:23:36 One and Done
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because it’s GNA be a liveboard chasing Scotty with Scotty in my opinion so Rory has no chance according to you no no I love Rory I’m live no no no I’m not full live bot I love Rory I could I Still The Hut spot enter bat experience experienceat experience B experience experence welcome to the pat Mayo experience presented by Underdog fantasy PGA Championship picks bets one and done maybe a little bit of talk about Rory and his nuclear back nine or old gag at the chrisy although Xander didn’t really gag it at the Wells Fargo he just got caught by Rory who had one of those things where he played the nine hole stretch he has it like three times a year where he’s absolutely unbeatable and you’re like oh yeah that guy should win every tournament then he doesn’t do it again you’re like oh yeah of course Rory pulling a Rory anyway smash the like to the episode well you are here sub to Mayo media Network share the wealth of the show around and I’m doing a big giveaway this week $500 cash two fantasy National annual memberships in a month to shipit nation.com the main way to get ballots in the draw use code Mayo at Underdog fantasy right now that helps support this show Additionally you can have a bonus of up to $250 on a first-time deposit at Underdog fantasy plus you will get a free Square for the PGA championships we even if you put in 10 bucks you turn the 10 into 20 turn that 20 into more with the free square and boom you’re off to the races on Underdog fantasy and we will be doing a ton of content this week across everything the betting the daily fantasy some pick them games and we’re going to be doing the cut sweat live probably 400 PM eastern time on Friday with myself and Jeff and Tim on cust UST that is not my name will you be there for the cut sweat or do you have a prior engagements no I plan to be there but I mean I have various demands that I will make before I will come on I want a brand new Apple watch is your is yours broke no but these are the things I demand I’m also gonna ask you to to divest from all usage of the name cost these are my demands now we’ll just get someone I don’t care that I have no leverage we we’ll let’s get something to play on the show it’s not that big of a deal Jeff are you excited for this PGA Championship because I am I I love how all the big names are coalescing all at the same time he’s not he doesn’t think it’s a major I mean when is your name when when I ask Jeff a question is your name Jeff I got ahead of that last week because I knew Tim was gonna come with that um you know he can be the biggest live golf fan but I’m not allowed to change my opinion on on the PGA Championship and how great it’s been since the move I I’m not I’m not Rel litigating it our audience knows congrats to Tim you like were right eight years ago I was wrong thank you but I changed my opinion SE like six years ago and you’ve still been yelling at me about it that was about right I’m excited this is a buckle the [ __ ] up situation Pat like Rory and Scotty are off two wins auror off a win and a half Brooks is off the win uh this is setting up to be magical it really is like what a great week of golf we’re in store for and I have no doubts like I’m not even talking about ludvig but I I’m confident we’re going to get some like young brick [ __ ] house in the mix too like Meo Styles like I don’t think we’re going in a creek on 18 but but I think this course allows will will set up for it but but what we were asking for earlier when all these like firsttime winners and like Dunlop and all this crap we’re like we the what golf needs is it stars to be stars and that’s where we are entering this week so I I’m fired up like you Pat I think we have a our children have birthdays on the same day this weekend so not looking I don’t know how that’s going to navigate but moving days is going to could be a situation yeah we have the the actual birthday is on the Saturday so we’re having the family birthday on Saturday and then his actual birthday is going to be on the Sunday so I’m going to have to connect my WI-Fi to my iPad and bring it around with me at a children’s party it’s going to be a whole lot of fun Tim you are here to give out your three picks as you normally do for the PGA Championship but I did want to ask you did you light a fire under Rory maybe I did by dismissing his half win quote unquote at the Zurich and complaining about him maybe it did I don’t know it was good for him he played great you know he should be able to play great um I don’t know what else to say I’m very excited for this tournament I have to say all right well let’s not leave the people waiting who you picking to win the PGA Championship okay so my review of this course I think there’s only two things that matter to me driving distance and how you score on the par fives if you tell me the final score of everybody’s par five play this week I’ll tell you who won the PGA Championship I think it’s going to be that simple there’s only two things I care about really and so I also am of the opinion that if you made a course in a laboratory for the live golfers this would be it I think it’s a great course for almost all of them minus one or two with that said my first pick is burm eer okay he’s my bronze pick I like it hit it long he’s been he’s been playing good golf he bombs it I think he’s going to be very well suited to putting up Eagles on this golf course and for these guys that I’m picking uh the 18th hole is a par four for them it’s not a part five they’re going to eat it alive uh I really like their chances this week number two I’m taking Dustin uh Dustin again long straight hitter uh I expect him to eat the par fivs alive here and I’m going to take Bryson to win this thing he’s my last pick again he’s the longest hitter on the golf course and he should be able to overpower this the last time they played on bent greens uh bent grass greens Bryson you know competed he was the first round leader he puted great on Thursday his putting escaped him a little bit on Saturday but uh nonetheless I expect this I think this is a perfect Bryson course where if it comes down to who can overpower a course nobody can overpower it like Bryson so those are my three picks I I like your picks yeah I’m not a live bot nor is Pat you might think I’m gonna be one this week uh I like you look at this course I think Tim is right I think it just sets up beautifully I think there’s a situation where the joke is going to be loow hanging fruit on Sunday night that we’re going to have call the live Championship with PGA players invited um I don’t hate any of those picks at all good thing if if you are on one of those guys like I might be Tim’s a big game hunter Tim Tim Tim plays in the big games shows up yeah one thing look at 2014 and What mattered right why was it that dubis and burn burn and Rory and Ricky and Phil were able to compete there they drove the ball great and they scored like crazy on the pii those are the only things that matter to me there were on that leader board though what’s that I think Stricker went nuts on the green but he doesn’t hit the ball off hold on hold on are you just parting what I told what did you just watch my research show this morning and then parrot everything back no are you sure no these are the these are the things I was looking at to repair they want to be good for the show mm so you watched the research show no I didn’t watch a research show there is no chance that you knew watch you knew what Stricker did you just that came out of your mind yeah because I looked up who did well in 2014 and I remember that he how else could Stricker be good doesn’t the ball he had to have puted great HCK also did well yeah he did all I’m sure he did the exact same thing it’s putting and irons yeah all the short hitters just gained in an immeasurable amount uh I mean it was actually measurable because I can look at the numbers but yeah they were all I mean Stricker was I think third in approach play and first in putting or second in putting that’s how he put it together he actually lost off the te even his accuracy wasn’t all good that year but Tim’s right it is the a bombers track although the the grass is different this time around the bent grass for the greens is still around but it’s now zoa grass Jeff as the Fairway so it’s going to play theoretically firm and faster but it looks like there’s rain in the forecast on Wednesday to soften the course up a bit then we got rain on Friday Saturday and Sunday Thursday actually seems to be okay but then the wind is super down so if you’re going to bet like a lowest score of the week Thursday might be the day great all the more reason I want distance that’d be my thoughts as well I go back to some of those other players you know dancing around Mora but in the end like I’m just want guys that are going to eat eat with driver and get hot with the putter although the greens are really small scrambling might be way more important than I’m I mean it’s a major It’s always important you’re going to have to make big ones to win when you’re contending on the weekend but um yeah I don’t know greens are smaller than I remember I don’t even know if that was renovation based it it wasn’t it was the same green complexes we saw in 2014 there’s 5,000 square ft which makes them the third smallest on the PGA tour this season only town is smaller and Pebble Beach has been smaller and the with the new zoa grass there’s more runoff areas so you’re not going to get the ball hanging up a little bit like it did on bent they’re going to go full all the way down the hill I I don’t know if it’s going to play out this way Tim but I would guess that the around the green is somewhat reminiscent of what we saw at Southern Hills I would agree with that which means I think you can write certain guys off like for example I think you can write them off Victor finally pulled together a ball striking week last week last week Jeff at Wells Fargo couldn’t chip couldn’t putt although the putter is not usually a problem with him but it was nice to see that the driving and the irons were back his Sunday in particular was really good yeah what he gain over three and a half Strokes yesterday that was encouraging there’s a lot of dangerous signs there though and I don’t know that you can I don’t know that you can win this sucker without life but that’s a that almost becomes a livid debate you know and like what do I make of eighth place on live what do I make a 10th place on live you know I respect winning on live but I don’t know what eth place means I really don’t I saw you getting in the weeds Jeff about Scotty sheffler and the baby it appears like they had the baby yeah by all accounts it seems like they’ve had the baby and everyone in golf media like knows knows this knew this uh about a week ago at least a week ago around a week ago so yeah don’t know I don’t really I mean for such a low-key guy like I I I understand the Privacy aspect but it’s not like there’s Paparazzi it’s not like people actually want pictures of the baby like part of being lowkey is kind of just saying hey we had the baby so I don’t I don’t understand and and I’ll feel really dumb or knock on wood if there’s an issue with anybody involved you hope mommy and baby are are are doing great that’s all that that matters I have three kids I swear to God the thought of like something going wrong in there like I don’t have many fears in life other than I don’t like scary movies but like I’m happy to be out of that stage because that was like my biggest fear in life and that’s gone and like I’m you know the snip is coming before any chance of child 4 so it’s not a worry I’m G to have to have again but yeah I don’t understand just have like I don’t understand why there needs to be this level I don’t know of secrecy around it we don’t even need the name I don’t even give a [ __ ] I don’t think people care I don’t even care about the sex the name any of it those are nice things but I know just say we had you had the baby golf Media made such a big deal about it all during Master’s week now it’s like this huge privacy thing you know Lucas Glover’s wife beating him up wasn’t that you didn’t keep private Tim what did you make a I assume you saw a brandle shambles comments this weekend towards Liv and Anthony Kim in particular then him and Anthony Kim got into it then Phil responded it was just weird drama for a guy who’s gonna be doing this broadcast I believe US Open not this oh US Open no no no this is this is nany imman uh yeah gee what a shock that brandle shamble has opinions um I don’t take him seriously so I don’t know why anybody else needs to take him seriously well it seems like they did take him seriously because he was getting into a fight with golfers on live who were responding to him well I can’t wait to see how he covers the US Open because Pinehurst is also a great LIF track and we’ll see how he handles Live players playing really well there and whether he can be just an analyst or whether he has to you know shill for the PGA I’d be curious to know what goes into that do you we we’re into the Trevor imman experience a little bit now what has it been like three four years Jeff probably about that maybe more yeah no not more than three four years yeah at least how do you feel about it I don’t have any I don’t have any issues but our floor is so low so I don’t really know but he doesn’t he doesn’t bother me a lot of the dumb stuff that gets said nowadays like it doesn’t even register I’m excited for Luke Donald though I hope he’s the big winner and I think the Ryder Cup captaincies will sort of give him elevated his profil so high that I think he’s going to be the winner in the end I hope Al kizner might realize he’s got to stop trying to golf and just accept the job that could have already been offered yeah but if he gets himself into these elevated events with the sponsors exemptions it’s probably more lucrative for him just to come 50th in those and actually be the broadcaster which one Donald or kizner who’s more likely to get these exemptions kizner kizner seems to get the exemptions Donald doesn’t yeah I guess he’s old or he’s probably past that but uh um we usually see the captains get to do a lap of events right like that like bare-handed exemptions I feel yeah could be wrong Tim there is an ESPN plus feed this week that is a quote gambling only feed for the PGA Championship now I’m excited about this idea I very much worry about the execution of it would you have any interest in watching anything like that not me not really I’d rather just watch the main coverage but I understand completely why other people would have interest in it if it’s done well um I don’t have an objection to it existing I just that’s not what I’m interested in watching I I’d rather watch the main broadcast what do you make of it Jeff do you think they’ll execute it because I have very low hopes that it’s going to be any good yeah they’ll get caught trying to like coddle newbies and annoy like actual gamblers I feel um and yeah great idea execution is going to probably be rough but it’s also the first one so don’t totally want to judge it on that they’re essentially going to try to build the plane and fly it at the same time and that’s something that you do in in TV and as a secondary stream people who are watching that are probably more accepting of like visual ER technical errors but what they won’t be accepting of is like hardcores won’t be be accepting of like vocabulary erors and I don’t think that’s going to be the problem because I think our guy foron is one of the people doing it I think it’s the ESPN bet crew but the one thing that I know is they didn’t they they didn’t bring in golf specific people for it they did bring in people who talk about betting all the time so I think that’s really helpful but I also think Michael Collins is a part of the broadcast and he’s going to be walking with a group so in my mind what I think is actually going to happen here is just going to be they’re going to follow around a group like make bets on a group all day which is not compelling at all for a broadcast yeah not compelling but again they’re going to fly that plane for the first time I like Joe uh I like Joe a lot I’ve known Joe for a long time Joe’s in a weird spot where you know working a news agency being a sports book I think is g to be a weird thing but they’ll dance around it not necessarily for the gulf but you know making Justin Herbert six to one to sorry the Chargers six to one to draft the quarterback in the first round so Tim I need your I need your three guys who cannot win this week because that’s what people really want to know well I gave you one already one is Victor I don’t think he’s got much of a chance uh I just don’t think his his game is suited to this track um I’m Gonna Give You Cameron Smith too because again it’s length much as I like cam Smith he’s gonna he’s gonna win open he’s not going to win uh a normal PGA Championship and then for the third one um I kind of want there’s a few people I don’t like but who do I want to say can’t win um biggest name possible I guess I’ll write off Min Wy Okay Go Okay I said biggest name possible who else were you debating well him and Cameron young are on my list of people that I’m rooting against this week why are you hold on why are you rooting against Cameron young I’m tired of the whole oh he plays so great in Majors like okay he’s played good in a couple of Majors that doesn’t make him a Majors expert he hasn’t won a major he hasn’t been in the last group on a Sunday in a major uh let’s let’s temper those expectations a little bit that’s that’s kind of silly I mean now you’re being unfair yeah a couple Majors is he’s played in Eight majors in his life he’s come inside the top 10 and five of them he’s basically Xander so he doesn’t win yeah no I’m I’m with you unless it’s the Olympic unless it’s the Olympics he doesn’t win so I don’t think he’s got much of a chance to win okay he’s still puppy I just don’t think I just think there’s too much too much talent at the top of the board that mwo is not gonna be able to win out I why why M woo why do you want to cheer against Min woo like what is that about you’re like as you were debating that you’re like there’s guys I don’t like and you picked Min wo Lee for this tournament I don’t like for this tournament but wouldn’t I mean this is a driving distance one a d you said driving distance means the most yeah but I don’t want him to be the person who breaks out I don’t want want him to win this thing I want a live guy to win this thing I I get that afraid of Min wo Lee yeah so you’re terrified of I’m concerned this is why I don’t want him to win well that wasn’t the question well you know what I gave the answer I wanted to give which is I don’t want wi to do well no but you gave the answer pet like who’s not like it contradicts your reasons for why whatever it’s your list it’s just a weird he’s so good and you’re worried about him therefore you’re picking him as the number one choice not number one I believe this the last name I gave okay so to to recap your picks about who can and cannot win the PGA Championship Bryson DJ burmaster are your top three picks to win the can’t win Victor number one cam Smith number two and Min Lee the driving distance Phenom number three that’s those are your picks those are my picks with an asteris on cam young can’t win yeah so an additional so just four players who can’t win although I think there’s a lot of people who regularly bet on cam young myself included that would probably agree that he can’t win yes true and I like DJ first round leader DJ DJ is interesting only because he really he won in Vegas in I think the beginning of February on live and he really hasn’t done much since it’s been weird like but you know just he’s the kind of guy who can pop up out of nowhere get everything on together on the same page and as you mentioned this is a great course for him yeah it it’s a great course for not just him but players who play similarly to him we just bomb hitters um excited this is a great spot for the live guys to prove themselves they should dominate at this course I don’t hate his chances the same as Brooks I don’t hate their chances I’m just I’m not ased about them as I am about the guys who just hit it longer but none of this may matter because like one every three times this thing is played Sheffer wins it so we very well may be in one of those spot so it kind of made me not matter it’s tough to win two majors in a row even the very very what was the last time someone won two majors in a row Jeff spe in 201 carington no that that was 20 years ago spe won the Masters in US Open back toback that was what 2015 yes he did yes yes that’s right that’s right so it’s been almost a decade since someone’s done it so I guess you know the law the law of averages someone is going to do it sometime soon actually no Rory I know because Rory did it did Rory do it now I can’t remember did he win the he won the open in the PGA were those back to back yeah but that was in 2014 that was in 2014 yeah that was here was in 2015 yeah so those are the last two guys to do it Harrington did it before that so I mean it would make sense that Sheffer would do it but it’s just funny that like he comes in with no finish worse than second since God knows when since before Bay Hill I think it was actually at Riv was the last time he didn’t come inside the top two and he wins most of those tournaments but now you have Brooks coming off if he wins go ahead if he wins what’s he at Pinehurst what’s he at Pinehurst if he wins plus 150 no they just won’t make him that because no 20000 is the longest I mean he’s plus 450 right now after some of the resets I mean he’s going to be three to one at some places four and a half at some places three and a half at some places as high as 5 to one but a lot of that right now in terms of the betting odds has to do with Rory coming in winning the team event and then running train on everyone Sunday that at an elevated event which people watch granted Sheffer was not there as Rory pointed out in his post round interview after the third round he’s like yeah it’s great and everything you know Scotty’s not here to run us down so makes it a little bit more easy people are genuinely sweating this guy right now so maybe that’s an advantage for the Live players that they just don’t have to deal with Sheffer on a weekly basis I mean that was always the tiger thing wasn’t it that everyone knew in the back of their minds like oh God Tiger’s around like he’s just going to do something and beat us it feels that way with Sheffer right now for the PGA Tour guys and maybe you stacking up all the live guys they don’t have that experience with him like the last time you know Bryson and sorry not Bryson uh Brooks and sheffler were really into it in the end Brooks won the PGA Championship last year and sheffler came in second yeah yeah but then he also chased Bryson down so at the Masters I mean he didn’t really Chase Bryson down he chased like hoard down in h Bryson chipped the when the moment Bryson chipped the ball to the water on 15 on Saturday he was toast yeah so the the that’s fair I guess the live guys are an NFC team who don’t have to to play momes very often and I think oh maybe we can beat this guy I don’t know I sure sheffler he he’s I don’t think if he wins if he wins this week you might as well just only bet him at the US Open it’s a waste to bet anybody else if he wins this week it’s over it’s funny because Pinehurst I do think is a much better course not that there’s any course that’s not good for sheffler but if you were just to rate which are the best sheffler courses between Valhalla and Pinehurst Pinehurst is way better for shord than this place I agree just his accuracy kind of course proof no I understand that but if you just had to pick one like what not only what suits what Scotty does really well but what is also a huge disadvantage to a lot of the topend players that are like within his like Stratosphere if there’s anyone in his Stratosphere at the moment and just Pinehurst kind of separates that out like I don’t think that pineh is a great Rory course for example those are all um that’s fair Pinehurst probably isn’t a great a great Rory course um shef the problem with Sheffer is even if he starts slow he’s got to be dead and I don’t think he could possibly start slow enough to be dead like he’ll just linger and then he’s gonna attack it’s it’s it’s it’s it’s I accept I accept will I be overinvestment on a major tournament yeah that’s my favorite hobby good Hobbies should be expensive that’s how I look at it um that being said I I don’t know I don’t know like even if he double bogied the first hole he’d still be five to one or six to one like it’s so stupid yeah and even if he’s a little sluggish which I don’t really believe he’ll be um cuz Meredith is a killer like these wives they’re killers she wants that trophy okay she’s making sure he’s going to go like you not okay he can sleep in the west wing and when he gets away and he’s just in a rental house with his team it’s going to be nice like it’ll take him one night of beautiful rest he’ll be great he will be great but if there’s ever a chance he could get got this is it that being said I didn’t think he could win at not that I didn’t think he could win after the Masters like to me winning after you won the Masters even at a player of that level is such an insane accomplishment that I think that’s a bigger accomplishment than winning Post 10 days 14 days of a baby really do so are you gonna have some shuffler Insurance just to be safe no I don’t bet go I don’t have insurance no insurance I got a future card and I’m looking to I’m looking to eat at like couple guys 20 30 and then talk me into like a bomb but I’ll tell you this like just as a Paul who did you bet to win the Super Bowl you had a future you probably had Buffalo Bills uh I had the Green Bay Packers when the Super Bowl got here and I you didn’t have a bet did you not bet the Super Bowl because you bet three teams that didn’t make it no I’m not letting no Victor hin 27 to1 loser stop me from still betting the goddamn PGA Championship like that’s that that feels like it a lost football bat like it’s just gone it’s dead it’s dead so I don’t give a [ __ ] Paul be great for the record I never bet bills to win the Super Bowl because I’ve been hurt too many times I’m just saying I don’t bet you don’t bet Futures and they’re not the superl I my Futures are good I’m not betting the Super Bowl [ __ ] that nope well Tim we will see and hear from you on Wednesday evening for the NFL schedule release show can’t wait Jeff did you know that the New York Jets are fifth in the AFC East in terms of overall AFC East titles a division with four teams I was wondering I that was gonna work I didn’t know that anyway whatever I’m not living in the past like you who’s Liv in the past all you do is live in the past that’s your whole thing well we’ll see this year how many uh how many of those jams did you steal from breakfast on Saturday I didn’t take any jams oh really how come because you shamed me yeah you should be shamed so you’re just not going to restaurants and stealing all their things now that’s that’s that’s progress stealing no it’s not like that soprano scene where they’re all stuffing the stuff into their purses I mean did you put it into your purse no I don’t have a purse you seem like a type who would have a purse you had that money belt that time no I carry a money belt when I’m abroad but I don’t wear a purse you could use a purse very Euro of you you could have a purse like Jerry yeah exactly so that is the intro to the PGA Championship I want to thank Tim andus UST and yes that is his name catch us again Wednesday evening live probably on Mayo media Network for the NFL schedule release show but tons more content coming plus all those giveaways $500 cash two memberships to Fantasy national.com if you just want 20% off at Fantasy national.com right now go to fantasy.com Mayo get yourself in for the PGA Championship we got all the tools the brand new leaderboard app and even if you are an existing fantasy National member you can still win this and just get your the next year free honest from this point to this point next year boom you get upgraded to a free members ship plus ship at Nation for a month as well you can do all of that find all the info down in the description but code Mayo at Underdog fantasy is the big thing to do and Jeff we’re going to be in Montreal for the President’s Cup kust is going to be there Kenny’s going to be there I think Byron is going to be there as well trying to convince cam to come up and by using Code Mayo at Underdog fantasy that means we can do more content maybe even a giant meet and greet if people come use the promo code Mayo that’d be awesome I’d love to uh I’d love to get Cam there well we were thinking if we can get Cam there and even so maybe we do a live show and do a live cuss corner or something like that yes but it’s not just get Cam there like it would be my responsibility to get Cam there like if he chooses to come I mean yeah uh one of the ways you can get ballots into the draw for the giveaways by the way is follow Mayo media Network on Instagram we have brand new reels up there cutting down some of these shows best of Clips so if you’re on Instagram go follow Mayo media Network right now all right and get saw five ballots into that draw top of the board we talked through Scotty a little bit already after Scotty he got Rory Brooks Xander ludvig and then ROM at 20 to1 those are the big listen I know you love ludvig and these are the big six it’s crazy to see him above John ROM coming off a week where e wded with an injury yeah I was actually expecting that to drift uh but I have ludvig 10 to1 so I’m flattered regardless I hope hope he’s healthy it seems like it was a precautionary thing but it’s never a good sign a guy WD is the a young buck WDS the week before a major like that’s not concerning but yeah lovely to see lovely to see him down there I think we’ll see some drift though I think we’ll see some drift ROM I’ve seen it with an enhanced as high as as 22 like this is incredible that is why I have spent a couple times talking tweeting about trying to figure out what eighth place on live tour means where did you see the 22 to one uh bet Philip Rivers because it’s 20 but in the enhanced it’s 22 but you can’t get placings but I wouldn’t bet that with placings yeah because also I bet Brooks I bet him at 17 to1 this morning that was the enhance at bet 365 they’re also doing one of their like offers where you can bet them at 22 to1 but you have to play the each way of top three and I was like yeah screw that I just want to bet him to win if he’s going to be in it that’s the way that I would go about it it’s funny that you can enhance Bryson to 28 but his enhanced number is 30 anyway I thought that was a pretty hilarious offer uh that you can get a worst number on Bryson by taking their special offer but Brooks is going to be the guy for me coming off the win it’s a PGA Championship I want to bet Brooks at PGA championships I want to bet him at us opens and hope that Rory calms down a little bit from we saw at qua Hollow and if something is just off with Scotty maybe the putter goes back to not being like slightly above average maybe it’s like bad again and then all of a sudden someone else can win makes total sense like even talking with my buddies casuals on the week like just Brooks Kea Brooks Kea we had a Streeter that just had a 20 up there on the weekend I’m like guys I’m not betting it it is stupid but you guys probably should it’s it’s it’ll get you into the weekend enjoy it uh I’m thrilled I’ve already accepted my bets could will be [ __ ] and I’m just going to enjoy this great golf like I’m so excited for this tournament I’m not going to let my shitty bets like not let me enjoy this tournament that’s also what happens when you bet responsibly you don’t like have to hit a winner love to hit a winner love it gotta stop I didn’t mean to preach I didn’t mean to preach that’s I didn’t mean to preach that that’s bad for him um wait you got to stop you got to stop doing the thing where you end a sentence and then start talking again you got to stop it I no one to talk anymore when do we I don’t like that Rory played so well so people are giving Xander a bit of a free pass yesterday because there was some horrific incidents Rory’s out of position he’s got a wedge he can’t hit anything he’s making shitty bogeys I get Rory’s hitting every putt but I don’t know and I am a for the most part nander apologist but he’s lucky he got waxed but he showed no desire to to to to want that fight it seemed like when that back nine started it’s a the course played exceptionally difficult on the weekend at qua Hollow so to see Rory manhandle it like he did like what do you do at some points I know he made those I I think that when he ended up making the consecutive bogeys on the back nine it was just kind of he was pressing to to catch back up with Rory and then just got to him and Rory couldn’t miss he went and we we talk about it when Rory plays his best he’s the best player it’s just he doesn’t play like that all that often anymore but you saw it there and like what do you do nothing there’s nothing you can do even if he played better was he lose by three cares okay I agree with everything you said but my emphasis was on those back nine Bogies like he just wasn’t when it was time to for the fight he was not ready at all to enter a fight um that’s kind of all and I get Rory can be totally demoralizing and wow yesterday was iconic and maybe not winning is is you know was Roy’s going to do that you’re not you’re not going to win but him not being prepared for the fight when the back nine started which led to it being like the total beat down that’s not a good look the weird thing with Xander is it’s almost like he gets Tommy Fleet with whole career in one half seon it’s almost like it’s like watching the chart like what was the worst Chargers loss this year it’s like Xander’s already there it’s like oh there’s like six to pick from Zander’s already there and it’s it’s it’s the Midway Point like holy gez so feel feel for him he’s obviously going to be pressing I don’t know how in good conscious like he could win it I’ll miss it congratulations how you can bet him o over Brooks staring at matching six scenes I don’t know how anyone’s doing it how it’s possible I I don’t get it either I also don’t know how you could back up to this and say hey I’m going to bet Xander over John Rong and that’s not to say that Xander doesn’t have a good shot of winning this of course he does he just came in second he was top 10 at the Masters he’s top 10 in every major but almost everything that cus said about cam young we’ve just seen with Xander time over time that do we really think that head-to-head versus Brooks versus Scotty versus Rory versus Rah hell versus ludvig or morawa on Sunday that Xander’s going to beat them because I just don’t have that Faith kind of agree I it sucks the thing is yeah yeah the number yeah again it’s unbeetable and I’m not about to be some value Hunter but I can’t I can’t get involved can’t well if if we’re talking about like how much you think that they’re going to win I get I mean morow was playing a little bit better right now so that’s helpful to him but do you really trust Xander Mo to win the PGA Championship then morawa or will zorus who is now 65 to1 I saw one of those I’m I’m gonna bet that like that’s that feels crazy yeah I mean for a guy whose Baseline major play is very much Xander so yeah take the guy 60 50 65 to one um Yeah you sort of knocked it it’s it’s now to the point where I don’t I’ve made bad bets in this like under 20 to1 range in regular tournaments some big tournaments but I always believe if that guy got there versus the other big guys I’ll be just fine I maybe it’s just in the moment but I don’t like you said you reel them all off I wouldn’t want Xander over any of them and it’s not to say he can’t beat them he should beat them lots of times but I don’t trust it can’t do it okay so those are the big six so I’m betting Brooks who are you betting from this group I think it’s leaning towards John Rob like I get really excited as I said I’ve been sort of trying to figure out a reason to allow myself to do it to be an apologist for um finishing eighth of 28 a lot um for other than one live event like it doesn’t feel like he was ever truly in the fight to win them despite his floor being kind of high in all of them but again he’s playing 28 guys with a pulse so I don’t know how to quantify that I’m still having trouble you beat those 28 guys I know that’s an accomplishment I don’t doubt it one bit but of that group I’m leaning that big number and obviously I got my ludvig piece and we’ll we’ll say a prayer but I want to trust ROMs got that game it is in them and a course like this can just the Bell needs to be answered but that it’s easy to acknowledge something just doesn’t seem totally right there like from Shanks to super short misses it doesn’t seem to be totally right but I’m getting I’m getting a price and I’m trying to pick a winner if you had to choose between Sheffer and Rory it would be 100% shefer right yeah probably it would Rory I’m I’m here we’re very like I don’t want to say we’re Rory like Fanboys but we’re pretty much always been Pro Rory despite never betting him and wanting him to end this thing I I want to say Valhalla was like our first ever show I could be wrong maybe we actually started doing the show the next year but we hung out during Valhalla Pat but he literally hasn’t won a major since we started doing the show I want him to win the major like I I want that story line over but the storyline I kind of want more is ROM going to the Open Championship trying to compete complete a grand slam that’s a story I really want well what do we have one player with a chance to complete the Grand Slam this week and spe yeah and it’s almost like we know he has no chance because it never gets spoken about or we’re going to talk about it in like a decade but I’m not sure I do think that if as weird as this sounds the shift from the easier style PGA Championship to the more USGA harder Style with the PGA of America PGA championships that we’ve seen it does feel like with greens and regulation down although you need that distance that’s really the big thing but the distance really hasn’t been a problem for Speed he’s actually driving the ball incredibly well that these sorts of tournaments are I think this is now for where the state of his game right now now let’s throw out what happened in 2017 2016 he was a different guy he was the best player in the world wasn’t even close T greeny was amazing and he made every prod he’s not that guy anymore but I think that us opens now and PGA championships now are actually kind of good for him unless you get like a really weather water logged Open Championship because this might turn into a scramble Fest if the wind gets up high enough yeah and there’s a few guys I’ve earmarked if who I might want to bet if that does be the case um he’s driving it really well also right like that kind of hasn’t been the problem or is hitting it farther um so there are things that’s set up for him but I don’t trust him to have a week of magic like I just don’t feel it I don’t see it I honestly do not care the the the number what is it it’s probably the 66 is the biggest I’m seeing uh 80 I believe with the enhancement at bet 365 is the best number you’ll probably get right now 70 sorry yeah but but I guess the over the other question I had is like a player of that popularity truly one of the most popular active players going arguably the most popular active player going going for a grand slam gets literally none of the attention now will that happen in eight years that we’re going to put pressure on him or he’s going to be like 250 to one so it’ll even be more of a thing and the only reason Phil and Rory sort of have that pressure is because when they were truly chasing it they were like legitimate favorites in a lot of those tournaments was that a question yeah like why like the speed for the Grand Slam gets none of the gasoline that any of the other because he’s so popular too like because he’s so popular he’s going for a grand slam it has no gasoline well Rory and Phil always had gasoline for their quests I I think it’s because Rory and Phil has sustained a level of elite play over the years that you they were always a threat to win win a major championship and it doesn’t feel like spe is at that level right now it’s the simplest answer but probably absolutely right I just thought his popularity would would would allow for the conversation um 66 to1 now there’s other like to skip I’d rather bet like Hatton I’m gonna ask for that sort of magic one of the things that I do want to Circle back to we we identify the big six but we’re really treating it like a big four and then we have the next tier who we’ll talk about in a second but with all the narrative coming in you know Scotty has the baby and he won the Masters and he won Heritage and he won beill and he won the Players he has those four wins and a second place finish in his past five starts Brooks gets his win coming in Rory gets the team event win with Lowry then he blows everyone out Sunday at the Wells Fargo Championship to get career win number 26 so it’s and then you have Rah who’s been middling but still good on Liv tour and we still regard him as one of these guys you have these four guys almost on a collision course right now maybe Bryce gets into it maybe Hideki coming off an injury ends up getting into it you’ll get your zat tourus they’ll be up there because everyone is now convinced that one of these guys is going to win or one of these big names does this now allow it for someone from the back of the pack just a storm someone from the back of the pack is joining the party I have a bit of a back of the pack list but there are a lot of like [ __ ] houses but yeah someone is storming can they win I do believe like a Meo es guy not Meo is going to be here like with these big boys it’s going to be really fun because I think a lot some of them are just going to be able to mash their way with the others from the 30 to 100 range we’ll start off Tim’s pick Bryson you can get at 30 as the best number right now morawa same with him you have Max hom 33 one Cameron Smith as high as 40 to1 right now then you have Justin Thomas Patrick Klay Windam Clark Walken Neeman Tommy Fleetwood they’re all at that number Victor you can get as low as 46 now uh which is kind of crazy but 40 to1 at a lot of places cam young is there Hideki who I mentioned coming off the injury zalot Tores Dave Fitzpatrick spe DJ who was another one of Tim’s picks Hatton feno sunjay siahi benan minwoo who’s an anti pick for Tim Burns gu Lowry Connors like all these guys are in that range and hell I mean with Connors you can get them as high as 111 to one if you really wanted to uh so I have two bets in and they’re both futures from this range one’s a good number one’s a bad number I bet siif two weeks ago at 66 to1 to win this I thought he would have a better Wells Fargo Championship when you shoot 80 on Saturday you’re not going to have a very good time but he’s available at 80 to1 right now I still recommend betting sahith but I have him at 66 and that number is locked in so what am I going to do I have him at 66 it’s fine number for me I also have Windam Clark at 66 to1 and he’s now 41 to1 or 40 to1 it’s funny one bad tournament now all of a sudden like Windam Clark no longer fits a course which is perfectly suited for him yeah one bad tournament he wasn’t that great at the Heritage he came second or third sorry sorry I don’t know sorry maybe it’s the M Masters sorry where he was chop he was yaking it up with Brooks but I agree I I have two Futures in this ring one of them is Neiman 80 and um Windam 50 50 50 to one from Rivers I’ll take it they seem to love be both lovely fits for the course I love Bryson this week I’m sort of deciding who gets to who gets to join my Futures card between RW and Bryson um yeah that’s sort of where my head is at Not Afraid Tim’s a big game hunter that’s what I’ll tell myself but I think Bryson is ready to eat a lot of these like Neiman ready to eat in my opinion uh I think 40 to1 very fair for the arrows this guy hits the Deep Arrows Long and straight off the te with the irons uh so those would be honestly the guys like Bryson and and nean in front of 50 would be the guys that I like I love your I love your Sout I love cam young um so there’s a lot going on here and if it’s going to play different to R Hatton is the player I want like I’m a live bot baby I don’t know I think they’re per Tim said I think these guys are gonna eat it eat it it’s gonna be they may as well Pat put this thing on [ __ ] YouTube Sunday because it’s gonna be a live board chasing Scotty with Scotty in my opinion so Rory has no chance according to you no no I love Rory I’m live no no no enough F of Bot I love Rory I could I still the HPA of these guys saying no to Rory after the tour pissed on him after the tour like threw him out in a tornado and didn’t let him back inside the house he’s allowed to flip I give Rory a hard time a lot I have despite being a Rory fan that he does talk out of both sides of his mouth on a lot of issues but that does not mean that a lot of that was in defense of the PGA Tour and that Kevin Streelman could be part of like I don’t want this guy Patrick kentley all behind like Oz tiger I’m not happy about it you realize you can’t just say that hold on you can’t just say allowed you can’t just allowed to step outside L shut up you can’t just allude to things that people don’t know what the hell you’re talking about everyone watching no they don’t Jeff they don’t this is a PGA Championship show with a lot new people tuning in because it’s a major can you please explain what you’re talking about well Rory left The Advisory board he wanted back on they told him no because Kevin Streelman and and [ __ ] James Han don’t think that’s right or fair and we all know Rory’s been a Whipping Boy he put himself he he took a lot out of himself emotionally for the PGA Tour and they turned his back on him they turned back on him at the same time a seat has always been afforded to a to a to a tummy ache piece of [ __ ] like the commissioner J Monahan when he disappeared for a summer his spot wasn’t gone his spot wasn’t gone he’s allowed to come back I get Rory left under his own free will what I’m here to say is what they put Rory through he’s allowed he’s allowed to step outside and say you know what actually I want to come back in and they should be on their hands and [ __ ] knees for him for what they’ done I mean that and the fact that he went out there and just turtled that place turned everyone into a [ __ ] buy proxy beat the [ __ ] out of Patrick kentley via his girlfriend Xander what a what a moment for him I’m certain of it and while I will not have a bet I would love so much for Rory to take home Valhalla this week I really would would I really would yeah thanks for taking my call I’m betting zot tus at 65 to1 the number is just too big too big for Z might even be bigger it might be and then I can I listen I can cash out the 65 and bet it at a bigger number at a different place if I end up seeing it there I I did see that dude dude dude let me bet it for you right now there’s an 80 sure can you bet the 80 for me please sure happy to do it 50 bucks at uh at 80 to one I’ll send you 50s let’s go yeah let’s go all right so we’ll call that 80 thank you for that Hideki is at 60 in some places I would guess that number gets even bigger if that number also gets up to like 80 85 I’m going to bet Hideki I don’t care that he came hki does this every week he gets he gets hurt sometimes he withdraws other times like he’s absolutely fine I’m kind of guessing he’ll be absolutely fine who is closer to just being here’s the thing he the guy played the Houston open the week before the Masters and played great he played great so I don’t know it’s been a long time since they golf since he golfed he didn’t play The Heritage I I’m of the thought well I would totally be willing to gamble because there’s way more gamble than skill involved than a lot of the professionals want you to believe I’m not there’s a lot of skill involved but the amount that you’re actually gambling is way more than they want to tell you um it’s a gamble I don’t believe he’s healthy he can’t be he withdrew he hasn’t didn’t play in he missed an elevated event after the Masters these are free cash homies I don’t think he’s Hur for cash I get it but guys the what finishing 50th place in this [ __ ] for what they got to go out and do when he’s already State side it’s a really in the pantheon of deckie WDS this one to me is a bit weirder I I don’t know he did I’m paranoid about a ludvic wd so I’m obviously freaking out this one scares me way more well I I just think that that number is going to continue to drift and we’re gonna see Hideki at the same number as [ __ ] Seb stroer or something like that and then it’s sort of like the same logic not the same but with ROM there’s an there’s an injury thing but it’s like I’m trying to pick the winner and you’re going to give me a number where like okay he loses then whatever goes on the huge pile of big outright losses you’re right there could be a number this week where it’s just too big and I’d be willing to eat it eat it eat a Bad Bet but I’ll take my chance because we know the guy um so you could be on to something there how big though we’ll see is there anyone else in that 30 to a 100 range that you’re really going to consider because I am considering Bryson and or H and or moraa one of those guys yeah didn’t really talk much about Hom OR morawa I it makes sense for homo so here’s why it’s the Master’s performance it’s the open performance he finally gets the monkey off his back gets the top 10 at the open last year all of a sudden He’s Just In Contention Sunday at the Masters a place where he has never really played well but this course in particular like where does hom play well the big boy it’s like zalot Taurus where do they play well the long coures with the thick rough where you do need to amp it up and start I mean h is a much better putter than zot Taurus although zotus is just putted really well in major championships over the past three years but they have the distance they have the short game they have the putting they have the iron play and does nothing wreak to you more than Max H PGA Champion that is the perfect fit that’s the one where I close my eyes that’s the one that I see at the same time I would probably want to lean to morea CWA and that might be silly that might just me be thinking the floor is higher which is a bad way to make the actual outright bet but he’s playing quite well again since the Masters um and he’s he’s continued that play through he is the one that I think I would trust more to meet the moment out of those two and I look at that other Valhalla leader board um and what would concern me is it seemed like everyone up there puted well except uh Victor as you was enjoyable watching you point out and I’m not I don’t want to have so much PGA content running through my brain right now um but we did see players like a furick uh linger not necessarily at the top but be part of that next wave on the leader board and I think a guy like morawa can easily get up there so you think that morawa is putt his way to the top of the leaderboard that’s your take no I’m that would be my concern but I just mean like just the um I just think his ball striking on these smaller greens can can get him home but his b but his ball striking has been so bad is sort of the thing he is relying on his putter for these finishes he hasn’t gained Strokes on approach since the be since the West Coast the driving has been really good the chipping has been way better than his career rate and he’s putting the lights out right now so maybe if like we always think hey this amazing ball Striker can they just putt this week and they’ll cross the finish line they don’t even need to do a ton on the green just don’t lose objectively to the field and you can be there with morow right now we’re kind of playing that same game but crazily enough it’s with his irons yeah it’s crazy to see like he’s 87th in approach on this fantasy National Grid that’s not normal but it was coming around it just hasn’t come around and it is creepy to see like where the green is and where the red is um but he’s managed to have these results I don’t know I between him and H he would be my pick and I’m not usually the guy that defers to the guy with Majors it’s actually weird for me I like to back guys without Majors but um does seem like this tournament is being hoarded by just a few guys so here’s something interesting I think with when you go back and look and I kind of pointed to his results at other courses and I don’t know if he’s going to get a ton of love this week so the 35 that’s out there on him right now might be a 45 or 50 you know this time on Tuesday night so I I’m going to wait on all these guys I’ll have everything in the newsletter if you’re looking for the wind and everything it just sub to the newsletter it’s completely free it’s down in the description right now and by subbing to it you get five ballots in the giveaway draw so you might as well do it but eighth at Quail Hollow third at the Masters eighth at Bayhill 16th at Riv 13th at Tory Pines for maxom so far this year when you look at where he has not played well I mean not played well being relative he’s made the cut in most places Heritage Valero the players Phoenix Pebble Beach like which which one do you want the long hard courses or the short easy courses H played well at the long hard courses yeah that’s he’s like almost a different the complete opposite of uh like a Sam Burns I would argue that morawa brings that great Nicholas course history here though yeah number one on Nicholas courses for players with more than one round he has the win at the concession he has the win not at Memorial he lost at Memorial to Klay in a playoff but he won the work day uh when that was contested at mirfield Village as well so yes he has done very well at those courses although mirfield Village played much easier uh the year that he won because the memorial was at the same course the next week so it didn’t quite play uh as difficult as you would normally see for that tournament do you see the comps to Memorial here not really no I don’t know I feel like I’ve seen people say that but I unlike flyovers I didn’t necessarily feel that um that would have like that made me you know my my John ROM thought process I I enjoyed that aspect that maybe there’s some memorial memorial ties but um if we’re sticking in front of a 100 P that where you said I I am probably I love Min Ming like I don’t know like what see how I won’t be able to resist that one this week you like I’m sorry who minwoo oh minwoo I mean you could bet zotus or minwoo basically the same number right now and You’ pick Min wo I like them both okay or benan at the same number I mean benan just did lead the field in putting at Quail Hollow top 10 off the te top 10 on approach number one in putting ends up coming third this is I me he’s another guy he’s lost in a playoff at Memorial in the past he’s played well at Nicholas courses he’s got everything you would want he’s top five in driving distance right now we know the iron play but as you consistently point out is he top three in the world of guys you trust the least to make a two foot putt yeah like I I love what Ben Anne has done because he got kicked to the ground he’s had to work his way back up and now you know you can make fun of it but he does seem like he’s a total lock for for the President’s Cup team uh but the moment to me he just feels like South Pacific Tommy Fleetwood and I love Tommy Fleetwood I’ve gone to the wall for Tommy Fleetwood in big tournaments all the time uh but if the moment actually presented himself to benan on Sunday I don’t have confidence that he would meet it I have my own losers who I would want to bet at this back part be it a sahith be it a Wily Z be it minwoo like I’ve got my own losers I totally get why anyone would want to bet benan he is Brick [ __ ] housing in right now like him like he yeah he seems like a perfect player for what’s being asked and he’s coming off the best putting week of his life I just bet it with placings if that’s your shtick let’s go 100 to one and above because I do think some of these guys are Al and because Rory gets the win and he crumbles down to 8 to one in the market and Scotty is where he is we’re getting a lot higher quality name above 100 to1 this week for a major like most of these guys are usually 60 to 70 to1 now they’re above 100 so I’m going to start off with one right away that I’m looking at on my screen right now Byron pointed this out as well that no major championship has a higher repeat rate than the PGA Championship I think it’s 51% of Wanamaker trophy hoers are former Wanamaker Trophy hoers and we didn’t mention Justin Thomas who’s won this twice we’ll get to him in a second but Keegan Bradley coming off consecutive elevated events gaining over four strokes on approach in those fields against the best players in the world at two separate type of courses all of a sudden is 275 to one I like that a lot could you get placings on that probably not right no you cannot get placings on that the number with the placings if you’re looking for it right now uh this is at 365 what I’m looking at at the moment if I go to the you can get placings you can get Keegan 175 to one if you want eight places I I yeah that’s crazy Keegan has been on point I would say I also saw I know I’m a bit of a animal for this guy at the moment but I saw Stephen Jagger 200 no one yeah I’d rather have the guy who’s won a major before yeah sure but I to Stephen Jagger to he’s got just as good of a chance of winning this as Ben on I agree or better and he’s been playing right I think he’s suits this place lovely I think his around the green game can Excel you mix that with the driver I think he’s in play I’m seeing some huge numbers which I know it’s not our deal and you’re going to spend two and a half days breaking it the [ __ ] down pat but like I might have to drive to New York State because the sort of Scotty Sheffer 7 and with guys at like 7100 that I feel like I can build mixing a Thomas dri at 6200 like I got a lineup and you can do uh some pick thems while you’re there on Underdog fantasy with code mayo and playing the pat Mayo Pat Mayo classic draft on Underdog as well three max entry 20 bucks to play you draft for your Thursday team only and it’s completely rake free there’s $10,000 of rake free money on Underdog fantasy use code Mayo to go sign up go under golf go under draft and find the pme classic once the tea times have been released I’ll be on those streets so you get to draft against me and that’s like free money so better than rake free it’s my donation to the pot as well yeah I’ll absolutely get in that because I’m not I’m not in football mode I just keep pumping pumping the golf and I got to say in your season long major contest I got five ass six through I got paid out for winning those contests if there was like a live odds tracker to win that thing I’d probably be like a co-favorite right now because you have five teams through yeah I got five of six through they got there’s like sheffler ludvic parties in there like’s go I got two through I I only had the first pick twice so I got sheffler twice both those teams made it through yeah sorry got lucky but also one of my non sheffler teams got through so proud of that sucker but yeah I’m excited although I’m sure it’ll all back backfire big I’m 100% Grio there and he’s just horrible these days so won’t be getting that score um I don’t even know what the biggest number sorry I got four guys so Keegan was won at 275 to one MC Hughes I just keep coming back to MC Hughes for this venue has obviously played well at Nicholas courses in the past and you imagine if the weather gets a bit wonky Hatton would be a guy but if this turns into more of a scramble Fest than we’re used to mat Hugh isn’t as short off the tea as I think that people realize uh he’s kind of like spe he’s longer than you think and then as we’ve talked about for the past few weeks although pendrith now looks like the guy if any Canadian is going to win but pendrith approach game is still abs ABS dog [ __ ] even the week that he won yes he he drove the ball Like A Champion which you’re going to need to do the chipping has been on point the putting has been on point maybe that’s a better route for him because he’s kind of doing everything that Mack Hughes does but better at the moment but he was just finished really well at Quail Hollow I like him at longer harder courses if it’s going to be single digits under par for the win I don’t know if like the outright is the way that I want to play it but maybe it’s a top 10 maybe it’s a top 20 I I just feel like he is now live to you know just start making putts everything that you want to get get from spe at 70 to1 you can now bet McKew is at 300 to1 and get the same thing yeah that’s that’s bold I kind of see where you’re going there he’s probably does hit it a lot farther than I would give him credit for um I I’m excited to see that top Canadian Market because it is ultra competitive and I don’t know I’m seeing pendrith at 300 to one if that had placings that could have my interest if you to guess what do you think that Ma Hughes is in this field in driving distance where does he rank now I’ve already kind of told you that he’s longer than you think but what would you have guessed of 15 easily the back half easily the back half like 130 for sure something like that probably like the 80 like if you told me it’s better than I think I would have guessed 80 but yeah maybe even north of a 100 like if I came into this cold yeah he’s 68th so he’s just slightly above average and just for point of reference I guess you don’t have the you just have him in front of you I’d be curious I I have them all in front of me like who are just the players around him who I assume are like great drivers just on perception Tommy yeah Klay he’s ahead of Klay pavon KH Lee thirsty Lawrence Taylor Montgomery baa Lowry hogy horel Cam Davis like all guys that you would assume are probably longer than him they’re not at least right now you haven’t mentioned Vota yet oh he’s next on the list o is 175 to one that’s just an auto bet for me I mean he won the PGA Championship Junior at Valhalla in 2018 how can you not bet the guy he’s my guy and Taylor Moore who I just continue to bet at these things but this is a great Taylor Moore course because chipping and putting and distance those were his three things hit an iron can’t do it can’t do it at all but he’s 350 to1 yeah like the D of both those players and I like them both I mean Bach’s pure flusher uh he’s going to win this hitting an insane amount M greens and using his improved putting Taylor Moore has just been incredibly consistent and it seems like there’s no power he can’t make these like at times if you’re tracking him yeah I mean he he struggled to make some pars on the weekend at qua Hollow unfortunately should we mention Jake knap who had it going in because I had him as first round leader at qua Hollow and I had the top five each way along with him and he was in second play he was in third place behind Rory and Xander going walking onto the 17th t on Thursday he was four under power at quo Hollow he was playing great then he went double water and that was just the end of him and we never heard from him again for the rest of the week but we talk about the courses where we would like him this does seem like it just just hit it as far as you can and let the rest of it play out yeah that’s the recipe uh I don’t know I would bet my own losers in that thought but if that’s your like roster construction or the players you’re aiming for seem like you would want to include him I don’t again I got my own losers for actually thinking who can who can pull this off yeah I’m not like again I’m not necessarily talking about who is going to win this tournament he means 300 to one but like how can we get whether it be on DraftKings to fill out lineups or is that like a first round leader top 20 Market top 30 market like head to heads with him he’s one of them very interested in based on his skill set yeah no he definitely has a skill set that I’ll be paying like a much more expensive price for you are not wrong uh he’s like the food court version of some of the players I’ll be buying this week yeah he’s the he’s the manw walk you’re not going to a fancy Chinese restaurant you’re getting Jake naap in the food court for $9.99 and a couple extra chicken wings yeah that’s our Panda Express for translation but yeah you’re absolutely not wrong on that and it almost feels like Hatton is a very expensive priced version of that player Hatton no of the other s like the other side of the coin oh yes yes I would agree he’s like fancy Nick Taylor yeah he’s like really expensive but I would rather like especially I don’t I know I’m not a DraftKings guy but like I would crush a Hatton over I got cam Smith here for sure maybe I’m dead wrong no I don’t know about that I don’t know about that is it’s not like hatton’s out there just liting the world on fire with his driving distance either like he has some limitations off the te from time to time sometimes it’s amazing other times it’s not and last year really felt like the year that Hatton was going to get it done but he is you know slightly inside the top 50 in terms of driving distance whereas cam Smith is like outside the top 100 you know who the numbers really loved this week other than benan benan I mean Ben an’s like like the very top just names that I wasn’t expecting I mean I expected burer the bur Mista Mista lady to really rate out well and he did but Jordan Smith was the other one you know I watched your previe show you might have said his name more than any other name on the whole show it’s crazy right and for the first little bit I’m like did he mean spe like you know I’m listening doing other things you know on a dog walk picking dog [ __ ] here in neighborhood noise and I’m like by the time I’m like no he’s actually no it’s not speak this is other conversation about Jordan Smith um yeah crazy I couldn’t even tell you what his odds are I think he’s 500 to one he’s 500 to1 4 425 to1 I bet you at certain books he’s like 700 to1 or something I I don’t think I’m going to end up getting there on Jordan Smith but again to pile with these guys like how do iuti ize that he seems to rate out really well is it to win the PGA Championship probably not but is it to do well how do I capitalize on that yeah you roster him with the 1300 Scotty yeah but even from the betting Market perspective how do I get like him and Taylor more like if I if I go Jordan Smith I me I don’t even know if this ends up working out on DraftKings but if I go Keegan Jordan Smith and nap let’s say or Taylor Mo who can I afford then get more more 2 Jordan Smith is 55 and Keegan is 71 you throw those guys in you got 10 four left so if you take Scotty you got 9,000 left so you compare those guys with you go Hideki actually no let’s take Hideki you go zalatoris zotus and fits if you wanted to or um but I I mean do like Hatton and Windam or something or get rid of zot torus and Fitzpatrick and take Brooks and then you get 72 who’s at 72 B lots of players there we go yeah yeah no for sure B yeah even Henley sneaky 73 there um The Miser Miser could be popular too at 7,000 I would guess that he will be again like statistic wise so I mean you have to be convinced if you listen to the research show Tim just parroted back what I said on the [Laughter] research I didn’t want to call I wasn’t going to call out on that but yeah what was it it was burmes there was a couple thing oh Steve yeah him being a yeah him being able to recite the Stricker performance definitely for sure Justin Thomas you took a lot of heat on the internet mainly from me about why he has an interview schedule at the PGA Championship despite being being the hometown guy in a two-time PGA Championship winner what are you talking about happy hour on a Friday okay just whatever you I forgot the home you’re right sure just like okay whatever he gets to go first all the media that’s there early they can ask him about high school it’ll be great um he’ll play fine but there are few players literally at that 40 to one and in number who I would bet who I would bet Justin Thomas over and by few I mean literally none you think this guy in front of friends and family is going to hit the butt on you are saying at the same number you would bet Tommy Fleetwood instead of Justin Thomas at a PGA Championship oh [ __ ] fleetwood’s not 40 don’t he is 40 to one I’m gonna go by better Authority maybe yeah if you start I’m just looking at one book right now they have Thomas at 40 Fleetwood at 40 Victor at 40 Neeman at 40 cam Smith at 40 Windam Clark work at 40 can’t lay at 40 I’d rather bet Justin Thomas and can’t lay they’re very few players um I don’t think he’s I don’t I I trust him as few as any of these guys to hit the five-footer especially in front of friends and family we made Mor cow was win beautiful was Co doesn’t even count there’s no one there it’s like a home game without any home game nonsense so it like a perfect storm and he took full [ __ ] Advantage I there’s like not a chance in hell I would bet Thomas over Windam I would bet Thomas over nean like there’s no way I would do it no way I would bet and of everyone on that tier I would bet Thomas over everyone besides Windam Clark can’t do it no he’s a two-time PJ championship winner has Recon as what two years ago yeah it’s true and the game is coming back around he was fifth at Heritage he was 21st last week gain TD Green in all of them the putting has been not as disastrous as it was a month and a half ago the way the way to play this is when we’re doing the cut Sweat Show on Friday or on Sunday morning and Thomas is five back or something just bet him then at 28 to1 okay sorry that was my maybe thought or like s six back Sunday morning that might be like the time but no chance here no chance I don’t I think he’ll just be right in the middle of the whole festivity let’s get to the which is fine it is what it is but him and Brian Haron I’ve said it I don’t hide it um they’re like two players like decent players like no two players would I enjoy never seeing win again even in RSM than those two I think you’re talking about two players on significantly different skill sets and career paths oh I agree I’m kind of going two tiers but like two like those would be my totally different but uh the players that if you said like you don’t ever have to see these two guys win again be Thomas and Brian Harmon yeah because Brian Harman is essentially fancy Russell Henley yeah but I think with fewer wins but he has the major probably way more annoying Russell Henley because he’s slow oh my God it slow he putts with a kitchen table I the whole operation annoys the [ __ ] out of me maybe I’m easily annoyed I I think that you are especially now that you’re you’re you’re invested all the time in seeing it all I feel like it triggers you more than other people I I think sometimes I I do care way less than you might think but um but then rage level and I I would disagree no like because no no like because my my um like just I’m just I’m passionate about so few things so sometimes my like passion and excitement can be confused for like an overwhelming but that’s how I present myself so I obviously have to accept that that’s how people would read it which is fine I have fun and when I I’m not afraid to say something stupid I do it often I did it Friday night clearly Justin Thomas deserves his time his home state it’s getting he’s won this thing twice Quick Picks for the PGA Championship I got the th in right now Brooks at 17 the gal at 66 but you can get that at 80 or 90 right now but that’s a future so I can’t change it Windam Clark I have at 66 to1 that’s now at 40 to1 I would bet the 40 if I was coming in clean so you can do that as well if you want to tail along with me but hopefully you got that future from back in February and then added today thank you to Jeff will zotus 80 to one for the PGA Championship the names that I’m floating around near the top again Bri morawa and H in that 30 to 40 range we’ll see with if the drift happens to H it’s probably going to be H for me and then from Beyond that I’m looking at Keegan Bradley that is a auto bet at 275 to one for me other than that you got baa Moore Hughes and Jordan Smith when I talk to cam and RZA on the best bet show I’ll figure out a way to deploy those guys better and I don’t think the outright Market is where I want to do that but whether it be top 10 top 20 top 30 make the cut miss the cut any of those different markets is where I want to be with those guys but Keegan will be a bet at 275 so maybe those are my five Brooks seah Windam zotus Keegan with one ad coming later in the week which you will be able to find both on the shows and in the free newsletter which is down in the description right now subscribe to it and get yourself into a draw for $500 cash one of two annual memberships to Fantasy national.com a month to ship it nation.com it’s completely free to do so go do that all of the giveaway stuff in ballots and how you get them are down in the description cust is taking Bryson DJ and the bista Mista lady get him out of here is probably what we’ll be saying to bista when he’s at the very top of the leaderboard and he has four guys who cannot win the PGA Championship in order Victor cam Smith and Min woo Lee also Cameron young Jeff your picks Futures uh lvy 100 let’s go Neiman 80 Windam C Wendy C 50 I swear I have a Min Lee I can locate it I can’t locate it but it’s the same number we’ll get back in and maybe if he wins I’ll have two of them that would be super fun um what we’re looking at right now though like ROM 22 enhanced Bryson 30 like I gotta bet one of those I think lives in for a monster week I don’t mind Pat seah shout the Willie Z shout one of those could be lovely as well um that that’s it I wanted to bet Hatton but I’m not betting him at this number like I’m just not I’m just not can’t do it short for me what number are you seeing 60 60 yeah you got some like 80 for me or something yeah I think I think that it is 80 here I mean I can probably it’s 70 it’ll probably I don’t think he’ll be popular I’ll give that a day or two like that’s going to go up I’m certain of it I don’t know why it would start 60 but um if it’s going to play different and I think he’s the guy I actually want to have money on this week I will be tempted into that Hideki number if it gets a triple digits and I and I will Auto bet it I don’t care if he withdraws after a shot or doesn’t play at all then I mean I’ll get my money back if he doesn’t play at all like I did last week but eventually the number gets so big like well what if he’s not hurt and he’s just fine then you’re like oh my God this guy should be 35 to one I agree there is a point where like I don’t even care you could count it on any Ledger but I will have to just play and when it loses it just goes on the dead pile uh because seventh place would mean as much to me as a miscut um it’ be win only and I think there is a number where I would in the same way like I want to take a chance on RAM because of a number you could AB absolutely give me a number on Hideki where I’ll ignore the injury and bet it blind 40 bucks pays 11k for hean Bradley Jeff he he can’t he like I I don’t think he’s afraid of the moment if he got into the moment if the moment presented itself to him and that’s sort of half the battle when you’re trying to pick like a huge dog who you’re just hoping could be a part of what is likely waiting at the top on the weekend that’s the nice thing I can say is it Paul or Keegan whisper Paul is Paul are you in on Keegan this week only cuz you brought it up it’s kind of borderline in terms of like the Northeast yeah but they would also call this the South somehow just by geography not playing any sort of tricks on the mind when you look at a map it’s kind of just very Central but yeah I’ll play hopefully it’s a grind Fest because I played Wily Z Keegan and who else did I play it was small oneand done picks for the PGA Championship cust is taking bright and de Shambo it is your pick over my pick cuz you had Rory last week and you’ve jumped to first place in the oneandone in our three man it’s a non-competitive three-man race you are at $9.1 million I’m at 7.4 cust is at 1.2 very interesting I don’t know how he could be at 1. two there’s like no cut events here did he make his pick is it Bryson by default yeah his his pick is always is number one so Bryson is his pick I assume you’re going to use ROM if you’re betting him yeah I mean I would have taken Bryson I think just to sort of save Rah to get heated up but you know what I’m not I’ve said it couple years ago I wanted an eight-year contract we’re into year three we’re bringing this [ __ ] home yoim nean nman okay so Brooks Kea for me will be my oneand done we’ll talk more in depth about the oneandone picks on Wednesday show with Tambo about how to navigate in the bigger contest but again we’re just playing One V One V one here so you can go with the chalkier picks as possible but as you’re finding out Jeff just getting the good players right in the big tournaments is the entire key to this yeah I literally was like dead in the water then I’m like you know what I’m just firing good players when I get down to the FedEx Cup or late in the year I’ll find other good players other good play will have shown themselves the question though now is Pat like you have to be firing a live guy this week I feel like it’d be malpractice not to in the sense that they really do set up lovely there’s a lot of great options and you can only use them in pretty much two other tournaments I think that’s a bit overstated you can’t use them other places no that cuss was going on about how this is perfect for the live guys it’s great for Brooks Bryson and DJ and bur Easter and nean that’s like five of the 13 that are in the field yeah and ROM the good ones though that’s yeah but I mean which majors aren’t good for those guys but I mean like okay that’s fair but I didn’t come into the year thinking I’m only using Live players in Majors um no sorry that I I’m going to the majors and I’m going to just throw Live players but I’m at this one and I’m thinking like how do you not throw a live player this one like I don’t know that’s just um it almost seems so obvious but part of the game is swerving but you don’t win swerving at a major championship no but the done that the swerve at the major championship this time is if you haven’t used Xander yet you use Xander now because everyone’s either used Xander doesn’t want to take him because you can use the live guys and all of a sudden you get a 2% Xander even if he comes in third you’re probably lapping most of the field that’s a great point I’ll give you that one H would be another one for example morawa like these guys are in play to win this tournament I would also agree I Le morawa there but you did a good sell for for for Max I think we’ll get a bigger number on Max as we go along as well but that will do it we get big number on aberer aber’s going up this week don’t be afraid to bet it either you had nothing to say then you decided to cut me off during the extro I had lots to say you went up to the other guys at the top there’s a abber drift coming there’s a wind coming blowing blowing back up okay that will do it on the pat Mayo experience for the PGA Championship if you missed the research show that is already out on video and pod feeds on Mayo media Network subscribe to that subscribe to the pat Mayo experience audio podcast as well if you subscribe rate and review five stars and say something nice you are in that draw for both them you get five ballots for Apple five ballots for Spotify so you may as well do both all of the giveaway stuff is in the description of how to get in but the main one is Underdog fantasy code Mayo get you a bonus of up to $250 on a first-time deposit plus if you are a firsttime player on Underdog fantasy you will get a free square at Underdog Fantasy on Thursday for the pickham game and we will be doing extensive coverage on that we might even do a bunch of Underdog stuff during the cut sweats live show in game for the PGA Championship which will be an awful lot of fun a way for me to try to win back some of my money when all these outrights are dead by the time that Friday afternoon comes along so I hope that you will join us then smash the like newsletter coming out on Monday evening so make sure you’re sub to that as well I’ll be back on Tuesday with Cam and RZA for the Best Bets Wednesday with Tambo for all the finalization of the bets the weather and building DraftKings lineups and picks and tournament selection okay I’m Pat Mayo I’ll see you next time experience experience
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
1:36 Wells Fargo/Rory
4:54 Cust Picks
41:22 Gambling Broadcast Feed
17:13 Can’t Win
22:13 Scheffler
29:26 PGA Championship Top Odds
45:28 30-100
1:01:36100+
1:13:57 Justin Thomas
1:20:02 Quick Picks
1:23:36 One and Done
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W Clark 35/1 V Hovland 40/1 C SMITH 40/1 J Day 60/1 R Fowler 125/1
Good luck everyone
Boosted aberg to 23s took hideki at 60s
I bet on Bryson to win: W or L?
Geoff saying he would rather bet Niemann than JT at the same number in a major needs to be a candidate for most insane take next year
I think hovland found what he was looking for last week. He's looking for win and he when his iron is going he wins championships
The sheer, unbridled audacity of the shirt got a Like out of me.
Stop hating on Jeff!
Love the shirt
Preach Geoff
Top 20: Straka, Henley, Si Woo Kim
Outright: Rahm, Niemann, Si Woo Kim
Golf needs to lean in to gambling. Just run the coverage with the outright, top 5, top 10, top 20 markets and sprinkle in the outstanding shots. People would love it
MAX. To win and Top 20
Cheers Boys , Top work as always , sneaky bet is Jesper Svensen T20 🤑
Outrights Bryson 25to1 min woo 60to1 reed 125to1 and Oleson 300to1 . Nikolai and rasmus Hojgaard both bombers wouldn't shock me to see one of those two in the mix come Sunday
Cust was extra crusty today.
I’m sitting here laughing my ass off at Geoff interrupting Pat over and over! I love when Pat gets upset cause he loses it. Maybe a studio show would be better for him! Lol
I'm praying for a Rory Scotty Brooks tie going into Sunday. Maybe even throw Rahm into the mix a couple strokes behind playing 1or 2 pairing ahead 🙏🏻🤞🏻
Ugly sweater day for Geoff and Pat's shirt is like disco fever from the seventies 😂 I love it
My favorite show every week to watch is the Wednesday show w Pat and Tambo picking lineups and talking about who they hate and who they like. I'm always more on Pat's side than Tambo because Tambo is always only talking about ownership pivots and everyone knows their ownership is low because they Fucking suck
Just an FYI Ludvig was seen rubbing his back after driving the ball on the range today 😬 Im fading him in a lot of lineups after hearing this. It's all over X/Twitter his back is truly injured because I think he would've been the favorite last week with Scotty out and people saying it was rest related wasn't true he's really hurt
Pat you should post the clip of you yelling at Geoff on your TikTok and You Tube short with the lead up of him talking over and interrupting you before you blow up and get 🤬 in the face, absolute comedy gold. Love the show. Love all your content.
No one can over power a course like Bryson ???? What is Tim saying did he not just watch Rory over power a course this weekend ?
Cannot trust Spieth!!!