In this episode of the Golf Gambling Podcast on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network, Boston Capper (@boston_capper) and Steve Schirmer give out their best bets and predictions for the 2024 American Express.
Before they get to the picks, each of them give a eulogy for their Keegan Bradley outright at the Sony. After that, they each run down the odds board for the 2024 American Express and give out their best bets of the tournament. They offer their favorite outright bets, positional props, first round leader bets, matchups, and so much more.
Make sure to rate, review and subscribe to the Golf Gambling Podcast on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Also make sure to subscribe to our YouTube channel for free weekly content!
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Your first month and start making some out of bets today and we’re also brought to you by cut cut is peer-to-peer social betting platform that’s us-based and legal in 40 States head to cut.com that’s k.com and use promo code s gpn for a 10% deposit bonus and we’re also
Brought to you by the s gpn merch store 15% off everything when you use promo code playoffs all right DJ welcome back it’s your boy Boston kapper with the god of go himself Steve Shermer we talking a little American Express Best Bets talk about uh our on fire Keegan ticket Cam’s
On fire Benny an ticket and the disaster car crash Sunday was what’s up buddy yeah well I mean it started out well for you did you know did Kim Davis first lead very nice and I I’m brand for me you know bet Cam Davis outright don’t bet him first round leader soep there
You go put that on your bingo card there yeah that was uh that was painful and I think you and I both knew that Keegan did not have it that day but he was just hanging around hanging around hanging around and you know getting up and down 17 I was like
Okay we got the power five as long as he doesn’t hit it in the rough yep we’re GNA be fine and what does he do then yep hits in the rough hits a bad approach shot uh and then the playoff there just what a disaster well middle of the [ __ ]
Fairway I guess here’s my question why did he pull hybrid there I don’t know I don’t I have no idea like like the one thing you can’t do is you can’t put it left there there and the one thing with like pros don’t like playing hybrids because you got you overdraw the ball
Too much yeah and you can see he was trying to hit a cut but it doesn’t matter when you have a club face that’s basically kind of closed just at a dress so I don’t know I’m not maybe because of the wind he thought he could get hot
Iron but I don’t I mean I mean I just like look said we were talking about on the front nine he didn’t have it plus one like I thought he was dead I was just frustrating like hate watching at that point but then when he [ __ ]
Eagled nine I thought he was gonna I thought he was going to go on a run and he did not and he just didn’t do enough man like he he didn’t even do the bare minimum if he did the [ __ ] bare minimum he would have won that tournament by [ __ ] three Strokes oh
Oh for sure I mean he basically emptied the tank on Saturday I know pretty much but but the real victim in all this is definitely our producer cam uh him against the world uh him against uh all three of us it was it was a essentially a community bet with Keegan between us
Two and Matt Ganon and uh all been on had to do with just like a five-footer and cam you got the full Ben on experience you were baptized in the Heartbreak he has been doing that for years and years and years and unfortunately sir you were on the wrong
End of it and then the uh I was maybe the vice president mule at this point uh Grayson Murray as of getting another win um good for him he now doesn’t have to play better because he has job at this point so I guess that’s kind of cool but
Definitely a uh a big it’s I was actually talking to BK afterwards because he had Ben on as well yeah and he was like well I mean like benan wasn’t ever gonna make that punt after you know Grayson M Buri it here’s the thing Grayson Murray could not find the
Club face he had no idea where the ball was going off the te all day long he was essentially just like he was he was trying so hard to square it because he knew he had an open Club coming through and that started on Saturday and everything was going way right and he
Was everything was a mess off so if benon Just Hits that putt he probably wins the next playoff hole which is tragedy all which is the tragedy in all of it so uh this was essentially a different form of the rocket mortgage where all of us have a piece of the
Playoff and none of us come bring home hardware so annoying it is what it is but we move on to the MX so I guess why don’t I asked you because you are so prepared for the show tonight yes yeah so I mean I I talked a
Lot about how I didn’t think really anything matters here it’s just a lot of birdies as Golf Course has gotten very easy over the especially linta yeah I guess is there anything unique you’re looking for with your picks or are you just kind of going by gut feel about who
Do you think can get to like 28 under yeah I mean I think that’s it and then I just want somebody who can putt like who’s a consistent putter I don’t want to bet somebody who can’t putt here I just don’t uh it’s because it’s you’re
Going to need to make so [ __ ] many of them to get to the winning score I don’t I don’t want to be screaming at bad Potters all weekend I just don’t it’s a mental health thing for me can’t can do it give me the good Putters everything else doesn’t matter it really doesn’t
It’s matter who’s gonna get hot and who can putt who’s got a decent course history here I don’t know if that [ __ ] matters but you know I want somebody who’s in decent form and can putt that seems to be uh you know I’ve been paying off for positionals and
Matchup so far and almost got us on last week yeah I mean look there is precedent for guys who don’t putt well end up winning here Adam long was on a think four tournament streak of losing multiple Strokes putting and then came here and one Andrew Landry the same
Thing the thing about these greens with the overseed it is a little different you know maybe that wakes some guys up these greens also aren’t all that complicated so you know it’s it could allow a bad putter to just have a good week because there just aren’t really a
Whole lot to these greens yeah so you know we’ll see I mean I got a couple bad Putters on my okay uh card this week I really honed in on the short iron play though that once I maybe you I don’t know if you saw
This on on a but I actually went through Nicholas tournament and Lena yeah and got the approximate proximity buckets yeah and like I think half the shots are under 150 yards all tournament long and like even at like like at Nicholas tman like nine shots under 150 because really
No deterrent not to hit driver and these all these holes are really short so I really just focused on just under 150 yards can you make a lot of birdies you know how’s your iron play kind of heading in um I end up drilling down a little bit on the overseed
Putting you know look at like Scottdale and valpar and Harbortown and Saw Grass a little bit because that’s the overseas itself TVC San Antonio it’s another one as well and then yeah I just kind of you know thought in my head okay like you know who can get H with a short irons
Who can make some putts can I recall tournament where you know it was a pretty low score we’re in the mix yeah that’s kind of what I did this week yeah I feel I mean that’s kind of the same thing right I definitely let somebody was good uh with with their
Wedges and the putting thing and I I’m until we get into the season a little bit like I do want at least the rush shaking off if you’re in good if you’re in good form your last tournament even [ __ ] better um deer’s asking if spe is back I was
Spe play like three tournaments ago he looked he looked better than he did I don’t know if he’s over his wrist injury or not it’s never really injury with him it’s always between the [ __ ] his yeah basically when I went on Back N bets I compared speed to meth as the
Character of choice on Breaking Bad because watching him play sometimes is like being on drugs that’s [ __ ] nuts but he’s not on the field this week I think he might be in the field he might play Tory next week and then and then he definitely will be at Pebble
Beach where he’ll probably be one of the favorites because he’s won there so uh is the proam done in Pebble Beach we just have to put up put it here so oh it’s gonna be way better uh so they’re done after Friday oh beautiful and no movie stars no singers it’s only
Athletes doing on the program so sorry Bill Murray sorry the Cable Guy sorry Ray Romano sorry um you know Alonso roier or whatever or Carl that’s his name everybody know sorry Carlton you can’t show up the Pebble Beach and yeah and then everybody’s gonna be done after
36 holes and then it’s just gonna be a really good field playing Pebble Beach the entire weekend nice it’s gonna make it so much better more watchable uh and you know to cbs’s credit they’ve done a lot of yeah they’ve done a lot of improvements to the broadcast too so
It’s it’s going to be a fun tourament to watch for sure especially between the weekend of uh you know the championship games and the Super Bowl nothing else going to be on it’ll be nice yeah all right well listen before we stop breaking down the board uh talk to you
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Expire 168 hours after issuance see DK ng.com for eligibility and deposit restrictions terms and responsible gaming sources all right okay all right let’s go to the top of the board let’s go to the top three guys first because I I I just want to have a conversation about
How if you’re not single bullet to them this week how do they make your card so you got Scotty sheffler at about what’s DK odds right now plus 500 plus 500 can’t l 10 to one Xander 12 to one yeah gross you could go top five odds but you
Run the risk of dead Heats and this is going to be a tournament with a lot of birdies Bunch up leaderboards that sounds like that’s going to get chopped up PR good so I don’t know if that’s really R for you you go top 10 do you
Want pay juice for Scotty with minus 140 well if he has a really cold putter all week yeah okay do you want to pay plus 120 for a top 10 for Klay nope again with the Dead Heat stuff like that seems like dtin for t7 with five other
Guys yeah and somehow you maybe yeah I mean I avoided him completely other than I have I have him on one spot in my C and it’s two of them and it’s just a matchup um well talk about it right now I mean we’re not gonna talk about them
Again so so yeah sure yeah so I mean look I took I took Klay at plus money over Scotty um okay you know look it’s just I’m betting against this Putter and look I get that it could turn on but it hasn’t turned on in a very long time and
I get he could top five and do all this other stuff history has not too bad but the Rob can’t lay um can probably [ __ ] can probably win here at 10 to one that’s actually not a bad number I see at eight most other places if I’m getting plus money with basically the
Two top guys on the board I’m always gonna take the plus money in the matchup because it’s Golf and especially because kle is a way more consistent putter then Scotty and uh yeah and plus money with those two and you know me I always like
To Target the the big fish in a matchup where I’m getting plus money uh and uh you know I pretty good success with it okay so the case for Scotty’s putter this week is actually on the overseed he’s done pretty well in his career obviously he’s got two wins at Scottdale
Yeah similar green with the overseed stuff uh he’s got the win is Saw Grass that’s the overseed um Tiffy greens the PO trivialis there he didn’t even put well there he was he was net neutral okay I mean that’s good for Scotty though well that’s what I’m
Saying so that’s good you know like I get it like listen he’s see Scotty sheffler like you’re playing with [ __ ] fire betting against him but it’s not like I’m taking a against them I’m taking KL and getting Plus on yeah I mean I I that’s just I guess a
Point for maybe Scotty is okay on this type of service but I actually I like KL a lot this week he’s not my betting card at all which means it’ll probably end up winning but look like these softer tournaments with a lot of birdies and short irons and putting contests and
Flat greens like your summerlands or your K’s valleys or you know your TBC Louisiana or Harbor towns even like there’s a little tougher one but yeah those types of events Travelers that’s where can’t rise is the occasion and he hasn’t won in a while I didn’t want just single bow of
Him because I kind of wanted to have fun this week and I noticed just looking back through the years just a lot of random winners so but if you were gonna single bow at somebody I kind of like can’t l 10 to one just leave it at that but yeah
Have fun this week like I’m going to have when we get some of the bums I bet this week yeah exactly so um wasp is uh talking about a guy who who we’ll definitely talk about as we get a little lower down on the board I mean other
Than other than the top three I mean who you see value with 30 and under I Sanjay are you gonna bet sanj no did you see my text message I did I just that doesn’t mean anything you’ve told me before it will shock you in the neck if I ever bet
Him again swear him off and then that was that was the author of sunj that was me being like Bart Simpson right on the wall I would would not bet sunj I would not bet bet sunj I I did bet sunj but I
Not bet him to win okay I bet him I went back to the well again for a top 20 plus 110 yeah he is he is really good here he is awesome on all the over seated golf courses good on Pete die Golf Course is to you know really good with the short
Irons really good with the long approach has his weakness is actually in that middle range 15200 but that’s really deemphasized this week really good putting on the overseed big birdie rates but I’m going to not bet sunjay because it’s been burning me before I said I wouldn’t so everybody listening right
Right now lay the [ __ ] house on sunj go sunj um there you go you want to explain to me why [ __ ] uh old [ __ ] [ __ ] bag JT is 22 to1 when he he shouldn’t even like shouldn’t be playing any elevated events this year because he sucks balls and he
Should have went to [ __ ] Italy well I mean should should well he’s playing better what does that mean he [ __ ] playing so horrible with his Baseline okay well fifth fortnate fourth of nedbank third a real golf tournament okay third third a hero okay okay hidden the iron’s better
Putter’s been a little better lately he is really good with the short irons is he and with the short irons yeah he’s very good I I got him all right so everything under 150 last year he gains s Strokes per per round essentially per 18 shots it’s one of the
Highest Clips in this field okay yeah he’s I mean he’s good from one where he’s weak is actually the long range stuff yeah that’s really what’s bogged him down but really good with the short irons I actually did bet him outright and you’re gonna yell at me you [ __ ]
Oh you good I got I got Tom Kim over JT hold on hold on I did I did not bet him a 22 I saw him a 28 and I bet that good congratulations on plus TV put it up on your refrige when there you go
When he doesn’t make the cut when he doesn’t make the cut okay gross [ __ ] JT the same guy we were screaming at in [ __ ] Italy who can’t make a putt under like ter okay I’m disappointed in you that’s all I’m not even mad I’m just disappointed Steve all right well you
Know what maybe I Galaxy brain myself on this one I I like the short iron play I think he’s going to bounce back in a good way this year so I bet JT and the honestly the fact that you hate it so much good I you have a bad track record
About that so good about what hating JT been just like just like when I when you push back vifer usly against something like that usually I come out okay on it I don’t know we’ll see we shall see okay all right so I took Tom camm the match
Up over when you think about old old [ __ ] I mean I I I can’t argue that Tom Kim is really good with the short irons makes a lot of birdies yep like that’s fine honestly with how volatile JT is I if you want to fade him in a
Matchup that’s probably fine that’s why I only went outright he’s nowhere else on my card yeah that’s fine that’s it yeah that’s the that’s no but JT it’s the high it’s the high variance play there yeah listen I get it like I don’t know I just I can’t I mean we weren’t
Taking him last year when he was dipping down to 40 like he hasn’t done anything for me to justify a 22 one I I I think I think he’s all right 22 okay I saw the 28 and I I I convinced myself of it okay all right I think he’s
Gonna have a good year okay um what do you think about Eric Cole 30 to one this week I like it but I’m a Cole guy and last week I couldn’t get there on 25 and he played really well again and I’m not going to miss it I’m gon to bet him and
30 I can stomach for whatever reason I couldn’t 25 talk about a guy who can putt I know it’s not Bermuda but he can still putt he can go low good with his short irons like he’s man you fig Jesus Christ man he has been all around to win for for
For a while now and he just can’t close it so I don’t know maybe he’s just one of these guys who’s never goingon to close um but I thought the number was fairish and uh yeah it was better than last week I he play well last week I
Don’t know why I mean well let me let me let me add a caveat to that yeah come so I so I had Eric Cole as a positional and if it wasn’t for Joel Damon completely screwing up the last hole I know he would have missed the cut would missed
The cut I know but he didn’t so he didn’t and then he had a he had a really good Sunday yep he’s not in my car but I get the argument which is dangerous because I’ve been betting Eric Cole a lot so again this is probably G me a week of like
Guys I just like decide to finally get off and this is when they finally win like hi JT Poston hi Eric Cole hi sunj M three right in a row if anybody wants to just make that card just the Steve misery card right there top five all go
For that yeah again I can’t argue with you because if I looked a lot of short irons and birdies this week that’s Co right there y it’s that mold and I feel like and there’s no such thing as being doe in golf uh but I mean like I said
He’s been all around to [ __ ] win ever since Chris Kirk stole it from him okay uh we also had was asked about Jason day I’m never a day guy so that’s a you question I’m just never ever a day guy I can never get there especially since he shaved his beard he looks
Weird looks weird Okay does look weird nice nice handicap there cam what do you got cam wants to say something okay what cam po did did uh did JT poston’s last round on Sunday scare you guys at all about him I know you just mentioned him Steve no not really
Steve was definitely not scared because I texted him and he’s like he’s going to run out of holes like there wasn’t a a bit of fear in that text back good round it was a good round I had an outr on him too I just knew he wasn’t gonna win he
Was gonna run out of holes listen this is kind of what GT post does he’s a really good player he is developed into a really good iron player makes a lot of Bird’s good putter he got seventh year seventh year in 2019 and sixth TI last
Year yeah I bet I bet him last year too at this venue um here’s the thing I can’t bet everybody and I didn’t bet him this week but I have nothing bad to say if you want to bet JT poon at 30 to one this week you know when
Guys like Sam Burns and phenow and winham Clark and you know Tom Kim’s around him too like if you want bet JT post and around a lot of those kind of guys with big brand names go right ahead I have nothing bad to say about it because he’s a good
Shirt iron player and a good Putter and good and hits a lot of birdies and I’m gonna be honest I think like a hundred guys are Live this week that you can say the same thing about so sure why not all right so you says Burns what do
You think about Burns at 30 okay well I I I at the beginning of the week he was 35 I bet Burns a 35 okay uh I I bet him here last year again on brand bet him but did not have him first- round leader
So and he was first- round leader at I think the stadium course had a really good first round uh he has not been playing very well but the things that burns does really well he’s really good on overseed golf courses uh he’s good Scottdale as well a
Couple top 10 here makes a lot of birdies really good with the short irons though and it seems like where Burns wins it’s a lot of these kind of shorter tracks where you do get a lot of shots under 150 yards and gets hot with the
Putter and I just think like yeah if I’m thinking about a guy who can get to 25 26 under I mean he almost won uh TPC Craig Ranch a couple years ago at like 26 under so yeah TPC TPC Lee took it from him yep so SS 35 to1 proven winner on my
Card like uh I don’t hate it that’s why like this so the only bets that I have right now I have oh so here’s the other bet I have well he’s a little he’s a little farther down we can talk about some other guys um so F now I just feel
Like I’m done with him for I don’t know for theable future especially in a field with actual good golfers so I think I’m done with Tony I I bet fale 40 to one so listen at this point this I would rather that [ __ ] sunj M than JT and
[ __ ] feno I knew you would I knew you’d hate this card feno’s not dead who are you who are you and what have you done with my partner fow’s maybe last week Keegan blowing it really screwed my head but fow’s not dead he’s not dead he’s dead iron play’s been
Getting a little better he put pretty well didn’t even want he had a contract they like n never mind you you kind think of golf now we don’t need you no he actually we’ll take Clark no that’s fake he turned them down buddy oh sure sure it wasn’t it wasn’t it wasn’t him
It wasn’t them it was him yes the offer was out there dude the offer was out there he it wasn’t mindblowing money I’m just [ __ ] I’m just teasing okay all right can I make my point about Tony F now by the way if if you want to iron
Iron play starting to come back he’s historically pretty good in overseed short iron player he’s pretty good there makes a lot of birdies and if you look at some where where he’s won he won at 20 under Liberty National he won at 25 under rock at the uh rocket mortgage he
Won a 24 under Von viarta so he can win tournaments where you got to get in the 20s and hit a lot of birdies he’s capable of doing that so at 40 to1 on the golf course where I think he has a fourth place finish in our top 10 and I
Think I think is iron play starting to Trend I’ll take that okay bunch bunch of reclamation projects this year to start it the BET Keegan last last week bet betting JT and Tony so far this week okay I know you hate it glutton for punishment Glutton all right fine all
Right um all right so I took somebody around there I’ll talk about him before and then we can jump down and and pay the bills um talk to me am I done for taking Kirk at 45 to one again really good with the short IR makes a lot of birdies right and then
And so I he he played really it was either Saturday or Friday I can’t remember which day it was but he lost a ton of Strokes with the putter because I um I had him in a matchup and it did not go well and I was like he could he
Didn’t make a [ __ ] single pot I think it was Saturn didn’t make a single [ __ ] pot other than that he played well just one like I don’t know he’s got he’s got a really good course history here um 45 to one like I just felt like
The number was kind of off mean I’m not I’m not a big Kirk guy but uh yeah I mean I don’t see I don’t see why not look let me let me say let me say this why don’t we steer this into a slightly different direction we just named like
TW 12 guys where I basically said the same thing about okay they’re all really the same player at this point I think the interesting conversation about outrights is when we start talk about really long shots because I found some guys I kind of like down the card and
We’ve had had I think three or four guys who have been at least 151 or more win this thing in the last years I think that’s where the interesting conversation is like look I did not bet Tom Kim if you want to bet Tom Kim I
Understand it I not bet Eric Cole if you want to bet Eric Cole I understand it poon same thing Windham Clark I get that too Chris Kirk I get that so if you want to bet all those guys you can justify it I you can’t bet everybody
But I but I think the interesting conversations the more useful Subs when we start talking about the long shots cool okay listen I’m down again into that I got one guy uh over a 100 like I said I need some more and if you got
That many to go let’s [ __ ] go so yeah can let’s pay the rest of bills go ahead yeah goad can I get one last guy because he’s in this range he’s on my card and actually you know what save it because this is a long story so do I’ll do one
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For a 10% deposit bonus can’t forget about Underdog uh Underdog you know obviously they got great ways to play alongside uh whatever Fantasy game you want to play I know uh Cam’s going to be doing a couple best ball drafts uh here after the show all you got to do is pick
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100 bucks that’s Underdog fantasy promo code s gpn okay I would like to call out cam for spreading fake news with his comment there uh J Burger did not play at the US Open he attempted to qualify but he withdrew four sectionals so see he’s blaming Matt though do you see that yeah
He he has not played since the 2022 Tour Championship he had a significant back injury for a long time so that is why those guys are paired together I’ve seen Burger as a very trendy quote unquote long shot at 55 to one uh good luck you
Good luck thank you no that one and if it hits clip this I have no regrets saying that none zero real quick before you give you story uh no I don’t think belich is going to Dallas after my initial thoughts that was I thought he
Was going to H Dallas I just think him and Jerry Jones just I think there’s no way could [ __ ] coexist the more I thought about it okay all right so I was talking to BK beginning of the week because he asked me who I liked and so
The first guy I mentioned was Sam Burns that was the first guy I bet uh I was hoping to get a 40 on him it was 35 whatever second guy was Adam hin I was just gonna be C po committed to bet Adam hadin he is on record for saying he
Loves desert Gulf loves the overseed stuff so when I started opening up my book though um I noticed that he was was horribly mispriced uh at open so I actually have Adam hadwin personally at 200 to one Jesus Christ it’s like yeah that’s wild right
So I he’s on my card for all those reasons he’s currently like 50 to1 probably would not bet him at that point I saw him at the beginning of the week at like 75 to1 if I didn’t have that gross Mis price I probably would have been to 75 50 45 though
Really chalk but he’s been really close to winning obviously I was on him at Rocky mortgage broke my heart there I was also on him at the Shriners he was TI for the lead with Tom Kim on 15 on the easiest hole in the golf course and
He hit into the [ __ ] water Yep this kind of what Adam hin does that was why I kind of said I have to just bet him at this point because he literally has this golf circled on his calendar every single year yeah what what happened to him last
Week I it’s just he’s not good at Bermuda man okay yeah like he’s never been good at ber actually that’s funny he he references when he was talking about the AMX a couple years ago going to this type of greens he said like I I suck on Bermuda but I just love these
Overseed greens it’s exactly what I play because he lives out in Phoenix yeah so that’s what all these greens are right now and he’s been great at this event he’s been good at Phoenix as well he’s got that win at valpar those are the overseed greens too good at Harbor Town
Good at I think get Saw Grass as well they overseed those golf uh those greens for those not really good when they were just the pling bermudo so I I I really like had when here I’m probably gonna bet him again at Scottdale probably in in a couple weeks
Too just because you know he just is he is on record I I I trying to ignore the quote sometimes I know MC andon loves this up but this is the one that’s like really suck at me just he absolutely loves these greens word all right so who we who we
Got down the C here other than your [ __ ] one Adam ad all right okay Adam shank your boy the cut maker cut maker baby cut maker he was playing pretty good towards the end of last year not that great of a fall but I got an 100 to one okay he’s a
Good short iron player he’s decent putter in general he putts okay on the overseed stuff you know I think he played all right at uh John Deere there’s a lot of birdies there played all right I think at Rocket mortgage lot of birdies there too uh does not have a very good course
Record here but I just like the fact that he’s been in the mix good short iron player I feel like he can get hot with a Putter and it was 100 to one okay for Guy it’s been kind of you know a threat to win a bunch of times over the last
Year yeah I like that I’m fine with that uh how about going back to well with Nick Taylor ah so that’s the guy that’s the only guy I have over 100 right now I got 110 yeah I got him at 170 to one you’re always going to have better
Numbers than me I don’t like you lording it over me I’m sorry fair I’m sorry but really good Sunday made a hard charge there excellent short iron player he came second last year at Scottdale similar greens there good birdie rates good putter in general good putter on
The overseed uh his course records I think is okay here I think he’s got like one top 20 but look like we’ve seen Andrew Landry show although he had a second place finish before that so I could cap like Adam log not like course history speak of he ends up
Winning like it can happen yeah so I agreed all right so Nick Taylor 170 to1 up cam cam has a question okay all right I got another Canadian for you guys okay uh he’s been playing really well recently um he’s a great course fit here here not sure how
He is on this putting surface but he’s also and he’s also been great on approach he was great putting last week Taylor pendrith okay so I I looked at him he’s a guy that I have a had time trus him and it’s just it’s scar tissue for me probably because his weakest
Attribute is off the Box because he’s it he goes long as [ __ ] but he sprays it and doesn’t matter here right I mean it doesn’t really matter all that much I mean on Stadium Course it kind of does yeah because I remember isn’t Sheamus power melted down on the [ __ ] Stadium
Course that one year uh maybe I mean Sheamus power’s melted down a lot yeah that’s fair [ __ ] Fair place so you might be you might be thinking about pabble when he went to it was he had a five shot lead after Friday go to the easiest course of
The rotation oh yes that’s exactly what I’m [ __ ] thinking of yes yeah yeah that that was on my pain power rankings by the way that good that Pebble yeah by the way ke Keegan uh blow it number six all time for a bad one for me man that’s
Probably top three for me so I had look I had to look it up but he’s fourth in the field on approach and he’s like 18th in putting right now all right okay when you say fourth in the field on approach what do you mean strok in general yeah
So he’s not breaking it down in proximity buckets like wait how how many rounds you looking uh 16 that’s way listen all right let me let me take Steve let me take this one let Steve let me take this one all right Steve yells at me for a [ __ ] short
Sample size holy [ __ ] bro I’ve never even looked at 16 all right like I’ll look at 24 just to kind of get a glimpse and then I’ll still and then I’ll kick it I’ll still kick it out to 50 like 16 is just way too small the sample side homie
That’s it way too small I I have I have um you know you’re a young buck in learning so you know that’s why that’s why you’re sitting in as as like an intern right now you know s off he was like wait where are you getting this [ __ ] data from like
Number four I mean I say like recently I see pretty good iron play but holy [ __ ] so uh I mean it’s far look I think I actually bet him last year he was horrible uh here I think he got cut last year I think I did he he he’s been
Putting well recently that’s a guy who’s kind of up and down with a putter he’s horrible on the overseed though historically but you know I mean I I think he almost won rocket mortgage a couple years ago that’s a birdie Fest I I guess I could see it it’s not a
Horrible play yeah he was so I I could get him 80 and I I just crossed him off because I was looking at him and I was like no I’m not I’m not going back to P plus I already I had one Canadian on and that’s typically my Max okay uh we got
Question from say o baa T15 last two turnes match up or placement bet I would probably I would probably say placement bet and go Boomer bust on him who he matched up against though let’s see I’ll look a a is pretty volatile so I would probably go with the
Placement bet at plus odds because probably whoever his match up against is probably gonna beat him anyways so what on DraftKings it’s asuk laying juice minus 130 over Montgomery at plus 105 who I actually like Montgomery this week yeah I don’t like that if anything i’ bet Montgomery on that side probably
Montgomery eats up these really easy uh yeah JV and he looked he looked like the old tale Mony last week it took everything not being to bet him at [ __ ] 50 to one you and I were cursing him a lot during the first round leader
Sweat so and then it worked out for you so yes it did it did ping one so I got I got two more long shots come on we got H Brandon woo 220 to one now he’s actually gotten some steam ever since I got him so plus EV there looks good in my
Fridge really good short iron player t18 last week hit the ball pretty well uh good birdie rates I think he’s he was pretty good at Pebble yeah that’s there’s a lot of birdies birdies there pretty good at vant viarta a lot of birdies there too I just
As soon as I saw the really good short iron numbers and the high birdie rates the putter is not great but looking back through history Andrew Lander didn’t put very well for he won here Adam long didn’t put very well for he won here this is a golf
Course where you can kind of turn around quick Brandon Woo’s kind of been in the mix you know handful of times in his young career 220 to1 for a guy who hits a short iron is really good um I thought it was a decent long you know flyer yeah
[ __ ] it D [ __ ] over 200 to one who cares okay and then last one went real deep on this one God how about Joseph bramlet 300 to1 [ __ ] one of my one of my dumpster dives from back in the day now Joseph I did not realize but Joseph bramlet is in
2023 he was he is fourth in this field in Strokes gain from under 150 yards okay dude cannot putt he is luk less but all right occasionally sometimes these guys can Putt and I think he’s gonna give himself a lot of opportunities for as long as
He’s you know keep the ball in the map here so for 3001 you know he was relevant a little bit last year he had an injury I think after the Scot open took a lot of time off came back last week you know hit the ball okay made the cut
So the the iron play under 150 flash me so I said you know what 301 let’s just do it yeah yeah I’m fine with his I mean he’s made the cut the last two times here yep yeah at least he made the cut last week because yeah I mean yeah all right
I’m fine with that yeah F 300 one all right and then just a couple other positionals uh my GT Poston because I’m not betting him outright he is top 20 plus 170 so there you go uh on brand for betting placements and not betting outright covered with sjm cover JT post
Man sure is ADD Eric Cole too why not just get the entire Trifecta there I was I was and then uh top 40 bets you got Nick Taylor plus top 40 plus 120 let’s go back to the well there he cashed it for me last week we go with that Ben
Griffin cashed a Top 40 for me last week as well let’s go back to the well with him some of reason I liked him last week is here good with the short irons good birdie rates uh I think he was 31st year last year so top 40 plus 120 uh Alex
Noren got off to a good start last week just miss finishing outside top 40 at Wy he’s been okay here how about Top 40 on Alex nor plus 140 again short irons and birdies and putting perfect for this golf course uh actually I forgot I have
One more outr okay Sam Ryder 200 to one really good short iron player good putter good birdie rates uh he’s been okay here so okay did not play I think last week though that’s a demerit but hey Grayson Murray took two months off and beat a field of guys that
Just played the pr week so it can be done apparently but if he doesn’t come in outright Sam Ryder top 40 uh plus 165 uh I like Sam Ryder a lot this week and then uh Brandon woo the aure Brandon woo top 40 plus 175 let me bring this up before I forget
So I I don’t know if this I tell me if if this actually played out I think the last couple years I’ve tried to get guys who play Stadium on Saturday just because they’re playing it back toback um do we remember if that actually has
Had any effect on it I don’t know I know this year I think all the guy the really good players are playing Stadium on Saturday so so they so they loaded up so they load up linta so sheffler pretty much every sheffler Xander feno Klay okay all those
Guys are playing lenta actually this is a good transition to first round leader uh this week because it’s important to know where these guys are starting yeah so and the odds are a lot shorter I don’t know if I’m actually gonna bet first round leader but if you are access
To it yet okay well I I got some well so on DraftKings they only have Lena and unfortunately that’s where like the stiffest competition is like Scotty sheffler uh plus 650 to lead at linta uh for first round leader but like yeah can’t light 10 to one Xander 11 to1
JT 14-1 feno 22 to1 Sam Burns 22 22 to to one so like where posting that that I would love H is starting on Stadium course he has not been all that good at Stadium yeah but so I mean I was I mean I hit the first round leader I had a
Couple other live ones and it’s because they had good Sundays I think I’m going to try that again if I get access to it okay all right I mean JT Poston uh one of the leaders and being within two of the lead of first round last two years W
The leaders being in the top 10 after the first round uh in this field too uh I guess just give you some guys some ideas about who’s been good at let’s let’s go Nicholas and uh Stadium course that’s where kind of the Lesser known guys are okay
So Sun JM really good at Nicholas he’s the he’s the favorite there but always towards the top of the leaderboard round one really good at Nicholas you got him Keith Mitchell uh he’s been really good at in his career he also has gets off to a lot of hot starts that’s something you
Might want to consider um Dylan woo has a pretty good track record at the Nicholas course David lipsky as well and lipsky actually is someone you got now they’re playing like dog [ __ ] but you’ll get longer odds on them yeah so those are a couple of guys I like David lingor
As well he’s been okay at Nicholas and you know he’s he can get out to hot starts too so that’s so those are the guys that I I like for first round leader and then Stadium Course uh Cam’s boy Carson young got to a very hot start last year there
He’s back it’s playing stadium in the round one uh you know maybe lanto Griffin is inspired by fellow mule Grayson Murray and maybe can put up a good so lanto was somebody I was looking at right but the number was [ __ ] Too Short um how about Doug gim Doug G’s
Been pretty good at the stam course he gets out to hot starts mark Mark hubard good at Stadium Course in his career gets out the hot starts as well Thomas dri no don’t say stuff like that to that’s a dude that get he gets out to nice starts and he’s
Been okay at Stadium how about a little bit of Scott Stallings oh is he on cycle though we have to make sure he’s on cycle I don’t know he might be you know there’s some there’s some weird uh you know quote unquote day spies and Palm Springs probably get his
Hand on some uh you know something pretty good uh Pat kazy played well last week he’s been good at the stadium course he did he that’s a guy who might be able to you know get a hot start Adam shank good at Stadium Course gets out of
Hot starts too so I think you know the more like sexy long shot first round leader plays are definitely on Stadium because it’s an overall we feel like the best players there are Eric Cole JT Poston that’s it though Nicholas has sunjay has Tom Kim everyone’s all loaded up in linta though
So probably yeah probably the more appealing uh [ __ ] you Cam M Michael block you know actually he was in the top 10 after round one at this event I think a couple years ago stop it course history baby fine so all right those are some names I like
First I don’t know if I’m actually gonna fit them in my car because I I’m pretty levered up on positionals yeah I can hear that before we go over any any last bets talk to you guys about look PN ver store we got 15% off everything
Uh in the store now to the end of the month with promo code playoffs and listen we’re competing against other shows for a bonus so go grab some golf gambling gear Cam’s got some awesome ideas that should be in the store pretty soon uh so go ahead and check it out just Google
Sgn merchstore and you’ll get there and go buy some uh awesome hoodies like Steve’s wearing right now uh and then hopefully we’ll have some uh some funny some funny t-shirts and stuff coming on there there you go all right well I got nothing else you said you have some
Match up so why don’t you go over those well I already talked Klay over Scotty and then Kim over JT and then uh this is this is so on brand then you’re gonna like it hold on my dogs’s going nuts okay let’s talk for a second better be
Better be a big dog you know it is a big dog he’s a [ __ ] he’s a he’s a jerk talking about the big dog and in your matchup oh no this is this is basically this is this is basically even money but uh it’s a Target and you’re going to
Know exactly why uh I’m taking Taylor over EV VR 110 because there’s water here he’s going to find it I’ve seen one people’s betting cards [ __ ] that he’s a not good at golf and he’s gonna find the water and I will take Taylor over EVR all day
Every day twice on Sunday I think fam royan actually is pretty good here last year so what I don’t care so what it’s EVR it is EVR he’s not good he just won a tournament I just cat 9 to one on him a couple months ago there there was nobody
There there was no well that’s actually true there wasn’t a way I know what what did he do last year I think he was like top top five came T6 that was close yeah whatever let the field in distance and accuracy so yeah he apparently avoided all the water that
Week lightning don’t strike twice oh okay all right um I got nothing else cam do you have any other lingering questions you uh nope you’re good okay all right well that’s it uh we will be back on Thursday where we will um have our tail between our legs
With our really crappy NFL picks that one it started out really like like the Sony started out really good with Tex money line and then I went on a five game losing streak uh no thanks to Cam’s crappy Steelers too they do blow and then uh yeah we’ll try and do
Better I got way too cute with the NFL picks I’m gonna stop messing around I think I forgot too that this is not the regular season it’s the playoffs and it’s a different mentality yeah so um we back to business for the divisional round they will throw out some player
Props too because we got less game to talk about and uh yeah yeah I’ll have some props as long as they’re released I’ll have some props so so other than that [ __ ] uh go uh follow Kim at golf Gamblin pod and at cstore Cameron I don’t know what your
[ __ ] handle is Cameron I just know you Cameron follow me at Boston uncore Capper uh Steve is always uh in our Discord chopping it up so yeah other than that we’ll talk to you guys on Thursday and uh maybe we’ll be sweating another first round leader at
Uh at at at show start that would be fun I’d like that very much and maybe this time Matt won’t try to give me a [ __ ] heart attack by texting about it while I’m on on the line any see everybody [ __ ] Thursday bye
