Unleashing a Golf Phenom at Quail Hollow

Truist Championship Tips 2026 – Golf Betting System

You can read Liam Williams’ Power Rankings for the Truist Championship at bet365 News.

Course Guide: The Truist Championship is now back at its spiritual home at Quail Hollow. After its 2016 Tom Fazio re-design prior to the 2017 PGA Championship, the basic layout of Quail Hollow changed from a scoreable Par 72 to a toughened Par 71 format, with the front of the golf course substantially “beefed-up”. Effectively though the course, despite only being built by George Cobb in 1961, is very much an old-style, classical golf course which has always received excellent reviews from the world’s best players.

From a detail perspective, it’s important to note that a significant part of the re-design saw the greens changed from MiniVerde Bermudagrass to Champion Bermudagrass – they are also overseeded with Poa Trivialis for the Truist.

Similar Champion Bermudagrass greens can be found across PGA Tour stop-offs at Congaree (2021 Palmetto Championship & 2022 CJ Cup), the Country Club of Jackson (Sanderson Farms Championship), The Dunes Golf and Beach Club (Myrtle Beach Classic), and Sedgefield Country Club (Wyndham Championship).

Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina: Designer: George Cobb with 2013, 2016 & 2023 Tom Fazio renovation; Course Type: Classical, Carolina, Long; Par: 71; Length: 7,583 yards; Holes with Water Hazards In-Play: 7; Number of Sand Bunkers: 61; Acres of Fairway: 26; Fairways: 419 Bermudagrass overseeded with Perennial Ryegrass; Rough: 419 Bermudagrass overseeded with Perennial Ryegrass 2”; Greens: 6,578 sq.ft average featuring G12 Champion Bermudagrass overseeded with Poa Trivialis; Target Tournament Stimp: 12ft.

Fairway Widths (yards): Below are the fairway widths for Quail Hollow and how they compare to recent courses that we’ve seen on Tour:

Quail Hollow: 28 yards.
Blue Monster, Doral: 25-40 yards.
Harbour Town: 22-25 yards.
Augusta National: Average 50 yards.
Oaks Course: 25-30 yards.
Memorial Park: 30–40 yards.
Copperhead: Average 20 yards.
TPC Sawgrass: Average 28 yards.
Bay Hill: Average 30 yards.
PGA National: Average 28 yards.
Riviera: Average 27 yards.
Pebble Beach: Average 30-33 yards. Spyglass Hill: 25-30 yards.
TPC Scottsdale: Average 38 yards.
Torrey Pines South: Average 24-27 yards. Torrey Pines North: Average 24-27 yards.
Pete Dye Stadium: Average 33 yards.

Course Scoring Average + PGA Tour Difficulty Rank:

2024: 71.73 (+0.73), Rank 6 of 51 courses
2023: 71.23 (+0.23), Rank 14 of 49 courses.
2021: 72.26 (+1.26), Rank 5 of 51 courses.
2019: 71.76 (+0.76), Rank 8 of 49 courses.
2018: 72.13 (+1.13), Rank 5 of 51 courses.

Course Designer Links: For research purposes other Tom Fazio PGA Tour designs and renovations include:

Tom Fazio

Atunyote GC – Turning Stone Championship 2007-10.
Caves Valley GC – BMW Championship2021 + 2025.
Congaree GC – Palmetto Championship 2021 + CJ Cup 2022.
Conway Farms GC – BMW Championship 2013, 2015, 2017.
Corales GC – Corales Championship
Eagle Point – Wells Fargo Championship 2017.
Raptor Course Greyhawk GC – Fry’s.com Open 2008/09.
Shadow Creek GC – CJ Cup 2020.
The Summit Club – CJ Cup 2021.

Fazio has also had renovation input into:

Riviera Country Club – Genesis Invitational.
Merion – 2013 U.S. Open.
Oakmont – 2016 U.S. Open.
Seaside Course at Sea Island – RSM Classic

Course Overview: Quail Hollow is very much a classical golf course with Carolina connotations. When I say Carolina think Pinehurst Number 2, Harbour Town Golf Links, Sedgefield Country Club, and even the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook which despite being in Florida has the real feel of a Carolina golf course – so traditionally tree-lined, with narrow sight lines from the tee and plenty of dog-legs.

Quail Hollow will play to 7,583 yards this week and that’s an incredibly long Par 71. Purely from a PGA Tour, Par 71, classical golf course perspective, only Bethpage Black (2016 Barclays) and the Blue Course at Congressional (AT&T National 2012-14 & Quicken Loans National 2016) have played anywhere near this length in modern times.

After James Hahn won the 2016 Wells Fargo Championship, Tom Fazio-inspired work started on the course with a 90-day window allowing significant changes to the very start of the front 9. The 1st is now a 495 yard dog-leg right par-4, which was previously a sub-420 yard birdie opportunity. The 178 yard par-3 2nd hole is no more (it was used to lengthen the 1st) and a new 184 yard par-3, namely the 4th hole, was been built to replace it. As a consequence the 5th has now been shortened from a 570 yard par-5 to a 449 yard par-4. At the 11th hole a 100% new green complex was built and the par-4 has been lengthened by 35 yards, which now plays 462 yards.

New green complexes were also built in 2023 and were played here in 2024 for the PGA Tour event and the 2025 PGA Championship.

It’s worth pointing out that the course for the Wells Fargo plays slightly shorter than it did for the 2025 PGA Championship, with 43 yards having been knocked off the scorecard, so Quail Hollow will play as a 7,583 yard, Par 71 for the tournament this week – up 25 yards from 2024, with 25 yards added to the par-4 9th extending it to 530 yards.

Below I’ve listed the par-3, par-4 and par-5 scoring splits of Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Wyndham Clark, Rory McIlroy, Max Homa, Jason Day and Justin Thomas who have won at Quail since the re-design:

Scottie Scheffler: -+1 (par-3), -4 (par-4), -8 (par-5), total -11/273.
Rory McIlroy: -2 (par-3), -6 (par-4), -9 (par-5), total -17/267.
Wyndham Clark: -3 (par-3), -6 (par-4), -10 (par-5), total -19/265.
Rory McIlroy: +1 (par-3), -5 (par-4), -6 (par-5), total -10/274.
Max Homa: Even (par-3), -6 (par-4), -9 (par-5), total -15/269.
Jason Day: Even (par-3), -3 (par-4), -9 (par-5), total -12/272.
Justin Thomas: +1 (par-3), -2 (par-4), -7 (par-5), total -8/276.

And here’s the breakdown of Wells Fargo Championship winners here since 2014 when the course received its first Tom Fazio re-design and Bermudagrass greens:

James Hahn: +5 (par-3), -5 (par-4), -9 (par-5), total -9/279.
Rory McIlroy: +3, -11, -13, total -21/267. (McIlroy won by 7 shots)
B. Holmes: -2, -2, -10, total -14/274.

The key to winning at Quail Hollow has always been to score heavily on the par-5s and play the other holes at around -4 to -9 or slightly better at the Truist Championship. So to contend this week a player will need to master the 7th, 10th and 15th holes. From the par-5s onwards the course naturally gets tougher.

truist championship tips

Quail Hollow Winners inc PGA Championships: 2025: Scottie Scheffler (-11); 2024: Rory McIlroy (-17); 2023: Wyndham Clark (-19); 2021: Rory McIlroy (-10); 2019: Max Homa (-15); 2018: Jason Day (-12); 2017: Justin Thomas (-8); 2016: James Hahn (-9); 2015: Rory McIlroy (-21); 2014: J.B. Holmes (-14); 2013: Derek Ernst (-8); 2012: Rickie Fowler (-14); 2011: Lucas Glover (-15); 2010: Rory McIlroy (-15).

2024: Rory McIlroy 67-68-67-65 -17/267
2023: Wyndham Clark 67-67-63-68 -19/265
2021: Rory McIlroy 72-66-68-68 -10/274
2019: Max Homa 69-63-70-67 -15/269
2018: Jason Day 69-67-67-69 -12/272

OWGR of Truist Championship Signature Event Winners: 2025: Straka 17; 2024: McIlroy 2.

Datagolf Ranking Truist Championship Signature Event Winners: 2025: Straka 17; 2024: McIlroy 4.

Lead Score Progression:

2024: Round 1 -7; Round 2 -11; Round 3 -12; Round 4 -17.
2023: Round 1 -6; Round 2 -8; Round 3 -16; Round 4 -19.
2021: Round 1 -7; Round 2 -6; Round 3 -9; Round 4 -10.
2019: Round 1 -5; Round 2 -11; Round 3 -11; Round 4 -15.
2018: Round 1 -6; Round 2 -7; Round 3 -10; Round 4 -12.

Path to Victory: Below are end of round positions for Truist Championship winners at Quail Hollow since 2010:

2024 – Rory McIlroy: Round 1: 2nd, Round 2: 2nd, Round 3: 2nd.
2023 – Wyndham Clark: Round 1: 7th, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 1st.
2021 – Rory McIlroy: Round 1: 73rd, Round 2: 5th, Round 3: 2nd.
2019 – Max Homa: Round 1: 17th, Round 2: 2nd, Round 3: 1st.
2018 – Jason Day: Round 1: 17th, Round 2: 2nd, Round 3: 1st.

Shots From the Lead: Below are Truist Championship winners here at Quail Hollow and where they were positioned in terms of shots from the lead during the tournament:

2024 – Rory McIlroy: Round 1: 3 back, Round 2: 4 back, Round 3: 1 back.
2023 – Wyndham Clark: Round 1: 2 back, Round 2: level, Round 3: 2 ahead.
2021 – Rory McIlroy: Round 1: 8 back, Round 2: 2 back, Round 3: 2 back.
2019 – Max Homa: Round 1: 3 back, Round 2: 1 back, Round 3: level.
2018 – Jason Day: Round 1: 4 back, Round 2: 1 back, Round 3: 2 ahead.

Incoming Form of Truist Championship winners since 2010:

Sepp Straka: 13th Heritage/MC Augusta/28th Copperhead/14th TPC Sawgrass.
Rory McIlroy: 1st New Orleans/33rd Heritage/22nd Augusta/3rd TPC San Antonio.
Wyndham Clark: 24th Mexico/3rd New Orleans/29th Heritage/6th Corales.
Max Homa: 48th Augusta/35th World MP/13th TPC Sawgrass/17th Bay Hill.
Rory McIlroy: MC Augusta/28th World MP/MC TPC Sawgrass/10th Bay Hill.
Max Homa: MC New Orleans/42nd San Antonio/52nd Corales/MC Copperhead.
Jason Day: 34th New Orleans/20th Augusta/36th World MP/22nd Bay Hill.

Brian Harman: 14th New Orleans /9th Heritage/MC Houston/13th Bay Hill.
James Hahn: MC New Orleans/MC San Antonio/MC Heritage/MC Houston.
Rory McIlroy: 8th Sawgrass/1st World MP/4th Augusta/11th Bay Hill.
B. Holmes: 11th New Orleans/18th Heritage/12th Houston/64th San Antonio.
Derek Ernst: 47th New Orleans/MC San Antonio/MC Louisiana Open/MC Puerto.
Rickie Fowler: 10th New Orleans/MC Heritage/27th Masters/63rd Houston.
Lucas Glover: MC Heritage/MC Augusta/MC Houston/20th Copperhead.

Tournament Stats: We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s event that are well worth a look. Naturally they’ll help to shape a view on players who could go well this week: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader | Combined Stats.

My published predictor is available here. Top 10 of my published predictor are: 1) Rory McIlroy; 2) Matt Fitzpatrick; 3) Cameron Young; 4) Xander Schauffele; 5) Si Woo Kim; 6) Ludvig Aberg; 7) Adam Scott; 8) Kurt Kitayama; 9) Collin Morikawa; 10) Ales Smalley.

Truist Championship Winners & Prices: 2025: Straka 45/1; 2024: McIlroy 17/2F. Average: 27/1.

Historical Weather:

2025: Played at Philadelphia Cricket Club.
2024: Thursday: Cloudy. High of 79. Wind SW 12-22 mph. Preferred lies. Friday: Mostly cloudy. High of 80. Wind W/NW 5-20 mph. Preferred lies. Saturday: Sunny. High of 74. Wind W 5-10 mph. Sunday:  Sunny. High of 77. Wind NW 5-12 mph.
2023: Thursday: Sunny. High of 72. Wind NW 5-10 mph. Friday: Partly Cloudy. High of 75. Wind ENE 5-10 mph. Saturday: Partly Cloudy. High of 75. Wind SW 5-10 mph. Sunday: Partly cloudy and breezy. High of 83. Wind WSW 10-15 mph.
2022: Played at TPC Potomac.
2021: Thursday: Mostly sunny. High of 71. Wind NNW 5-10 mph. Friday: Mostly sunny. High of 69. Wind NW 12-18 mph, gusting to 30 mph. Saturday: Partly sunny and breezy. High of 74. Wind W 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph. Sunday: Partly Cloudy. High of 81. Wind SSW 12-15 mph with gusts of 30 mph.
2019: Thursday: Partly cloudy. High of 86. Wind SSW 7-14 mph. Friday: Mostly cloudy. High of 85. Wind SSW 7-14 mph. Saturday: Mostly cloudy. High of 84. Wind SW 6-12 mph. Play was suspended at 3:37 p.m. ET due to thunderstorms and resumed at 4:48 p.m., a delay of one hour, 11 minutes. A second weather delay began at 5:18 p.m. and lasted one hour, six minutes before play resumed at 6:24 p.m. Sunday: Mostly cloudy and rainy. High of 80. Wind WNW 10-20 mph. Due to inclement weather, play was suspended from 5:09 p.m. to 6:11 p.m., a delay of 62 minutes.
2018: Thursday: Sunny with a high of 86. Wind SW 6-12 mph. Friday: Sunny with a high of 87. Wind SSW 10-18 mph. Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a high of 83. Wind S 6-12 mph. Sunday: Mostly sunny with a high of 84. Wind WNW 12-22 mph.

2017: Played at Eagle Point.
2016: Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a high of 63. Wind NW at 10-15 with gusts up to 25 mph. Friday: Partly cloudy, with a high of 63 degrees. Wind NW at 15-25 mph. Saturday: Sunny, with a high of 78 degrees. Wind WSW at 10-15 mph. Sunday: Partly cloudy, with a high of 85 degrees. Wind W at 10-15 mph.
2015: Thursday: Sunny, with a high of 79 degrees. Winds variable 6-12 mph. Friday: Partly cloudy, with a high of 79 degrees. Winds variable 6-12 mph. Saturday: Partly cloudy, with a high of 85 degrees. Winds S/SW 7-12 mph. Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high of 86 degrees. Winds SW 6-12 mph.

Weather Forecast: The latest weather forecast for Charlotte, North Carolina is here.

We may see cooler weather than both last week at Doral and what we usually see in Charlotte this week, at a venue which is renowned for being hot and humid. Air temperatures of 20-27 degrees Celsius, 68-81 Fahrenheit, is nothing untoward, but is relatively cool for here. There’s been little rain in the build-up but +90% chance of rain before and during play on Thursday – including electrical activity, could see both delays and a soft golf course.

It’s worth noting that course Sub-Air gives tournament organisers total control, with Quail usually playing on the fast side, as it still could over the weekend. With the passing front on Thursday comes both rain and gusting 35mph south westerly winds, so Thursday will be about survival. From there scoring conditions look ideal on a course that will be soft at least for Friday.

Strokes Gained Rankings: These top 25 in the field rankings are based on an 8-tournament window that stretches back to the Players Championship which includes both PGA Tour and DP World Tour events, where recorded. Player rankings are based on performance relative to the rest of the field:

Top 25 SG Off The Tee: 1) Alex Fitzpatrick; 2) Rory McIlroy; 3) Robert MacIntyre; 4) Matt Fitzpatrick / Cameron Young; 6) Xander Schauffele; 7) Tommy Fleetwood / Gary Woodland; 9) Chris Gotterup; 10) Ludvig Aberg; 11) Si Woo Kim / Sam Stevens; 13) Min Woo Lee; 14) Taylor Pendrith / Sudarshan Yellamaraju; 16) Patrick Cantlay / Aldrich Potgieter; 18) Ryan Fox / Viktor Hovland; 20) Sam Burns; 21) Kristoffer Reitan; 22) Jacob Bridgeman / Justin Rose; 24) Ryo Hisatsune / Nicolai Hojgaard / Justin Thomas.
Top 25 SG Approach: 1) Xander Schauffele; 2) Adam Scott; 3) Alex Fitzpatrick / Matt Fitzpatrick; 5) J.J. Spaun; 6) Cameron Young; 7) Collin Morikawa; 8) Hideki Matsuyama; 9) Kurt Kitayama; 10) Ludvig Aberg / Corey Conners; 12) Alex Smalley; 13) Akshay Bhatia / Jordan Spieth; 15) Sam Stevens; 16) Justin Rose / Nick Taylor; 18) Daniel Berger; 19) Sam Burns; 20) Brian Harman; 21) Nicolai Hojgaard / Gary Woodland; 23) Patrick Cantlay / Tommy Fleetwood / Rory McIlroy / Sepp Straka / Sudarshan Yellamaraju.
Top 25 SG Around The Green: 1) Matt Fitzpatrick; 2) Collin Morikawa; 3) Rory McIlroy; 4) Patrick Cantlay; 5) Jason Day / Brian Harman; 7) Nick Taylor / Cameron Young; 9) Justin Rose; 10) Ben Griffin; 11) Bud Cauley / Sungjae Im; 13) Ludvig Aberg; 14) Alex Fitzpatrick; 15) Maverick McNealy / Webb Simpson; 17) Si Woo Kim / Justin Thomas; 19) Matt Wallace; 20) Adam Scott; 21) Tony Finau / Michael Kim / Andrew Novak / Sahith Theegala; 25) Viktor Hovland / David Lipsky / Sudarshan Yellamaraju.
Top 25 SG Tee to Green: 1) Matt Fitzpatrick; 2) Alex Fitzpatrick; 3) Cameron Young; 4) Rory McIlroy / Xander Schauffele; 6) Ludvig Aberg; 7) Patrick Cantlay; 8) Collin Morikawa / Adam Scott; 10) J.J. Spaun; 11) Jordan Spieth; 12) Tommy Fleetwood / Si Woo Kim / Hideki Matsuyama / Sudarshan Yellamaraju; 16) Alex Smalley; 17) Matt Wallace / Gary Woodland; 19) Bud Cauley / Brian Harman / Justin Rose / Sam Stevens; 23) Ryo Hisatsune / Viktor Hovland / Kurt Kitayama / Nick Taylor.
Top 25 SG Putting: 1) Maverick McNealy; 2) Sam Burns; 3) Akshay Bhatia; 4) Harris English; 5) Robert MacIntyre; 6) Alex Noren; 7) Cameron Young; 8) Jacob Bridgeman / Jason Day; 10) Michael Kim / Jake Knapp / Alex Smalley / Sepp Straka; 14) Sudarshan Yellamaraju; 15) Keegan Bradley / Mackenzie Hughes; 17) Chris Gotterup; 18) Ludvig Aberg; 19) Justin Rose / Xander Schauffele; 21) Denny McCarthy; 22) Ryan Gerard; 23) Matt Fitzpatrick / Gary Woodland; 25) Si Woo Kim.
Top 25 SG Total: 1) Matt Fitzpatrick; 2) Xander Schauffele; 3) Cameron Young; 4) Ludvig Aberg / Alex Fitzpatrick; 6) Patrick Cantlay; 7) Sam Burns; 8) Sudarshan Yellamaraju; 9) Alex Smalley; 10) Si Woo Kim / Maverick McNealy; 12) Rory McIlroy / Collin Morikawa; 14) Tommy Fleetwood; 15) Adam Scott; 16) Justin Rose; 17) Robert MacIntyre / Hideki Matsuyama; 19) Brian Harman / Gary Woodland; 21) Chris Gotterup; 22) Jason Day; 23) Akshay Bhatia / Jacob Bridgeman; 25) Corey Conners / Alex Noren.

For a summary of the Strokes Gained Performances from this week’s field here at Quail Hollow click here.

Trends & Key Factors: Analysing the Strokes Gained Stats of the Truist Championship winners here at Quail Hollow since 2018 (course re-design) gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this classical test:

2024, Rory McIlroy (-17). SG Off the Tee: 1st, SG Approach: 4th, SG Around the Green: 9th, SG Tee to Green: 1st, SG Putting: 8th.
2023, Wyndham Clark (-19). SG Off the Tee: 20th, SG Approach: 1st, SG Around the Green: 39th, SG Tee to Green: 1st, SG Putting: 3rd.
2021, Rory McIlroy (-10). SG Off the Tee: 18th, SG Approach: 10th, SG Around the Green: 41st, SG Tee to Green: 9th, SG Putting: 3rd.
2019, Max Homa (-15). SG Off the Tee: 18th, SG Approach: 12th, SG Around the Green: 41st, SG Tee to Green: 12th, SG Putting: 1st.
2018, Jason Day (-12). SG Off the Tee: 19th, SG Approach: 50th, SG Around the Green: 1st, SG Tee to Green: 9th, SG Putting: 2nd.

Strokes Gained Tournament Skill Averages:

SG Off the Tee: 15th, SG Approach: 15th, SG Around the Green: 26th, SG Tee to Green: 6th, SG Putting: 3rd.

Tournament Trends & Key Factors: Analysing the final stats of Truist Championship winners here since 2018 (course re-design) gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this classical test:

2024, Rory McIlroy (-17). 337 yards (1st), 51.8% fairways (59th), 68.1% greens in regulation (2nd), 73.9 % scrambling (2nd), 1.63 putts per GIR (4th).
2023, Wyndham Clark (-19). 321 yards (20th), 41.1% fairways (63rd), 80.6% greens in regulation (1st), 71.4 % scrambling (2nd), 1.69 putts per GIR (8th).
2021, Rory McIlroy (-10). 324 yards (2nd), 33.9% fairways (76th), 75.0% greens in regulation (3rd), 77.8 % scrambling (1st), 1.74 putts per GIR (20th).
2019, Max Homa (-15). 313 yards (21st), 55.4% fairways (45th), 68.1% greens in regulation (17th), 78.3 % scrambling (2nd), 1.61 putts per GIR (1st).
2018, Jason Day (-12). 326 yards (14th), 48.2% fairways (49th), 56.9% greens in regulation (69th), 77.4 % scrambling (2nd), 1.59 putts per GIR (1st).

Tournament Skill Averages:

Driving Distance: 12th, Driving Accuracy: 58th, Greens in Regulation: 18th, Scrambling: 2nd, Putting Average 7th.

So let’s take a view from players as to how Quail Hollow sets up for the Truist Championship and what skill sets the course favours:

Rory McIlroy (2024): “I probably hit the same amounts of fairways yesterday, but strokes gained off the tee was actually pretty high. Yeah, it’s hard when the fairways here are angled quite a bit and there’s a lot of doglegs, so with the distance that I’m hitting it, it’s hard to fit it into some of the places I’m trying to hit it into.  I don’t mind if I miss a few fairways as long as I miss the fairways in the right spots or on the right side so I have an angle into the greens. I’ve just got to try to keep being aggressive. But I hit a good tee shot up the last hole there on 9, good 3-wood on 8, so I made a good couple of swings coming in.

I’m comfortable here. I think I can take advantage of how far I hit it off the tee. I think this golf course really lends itself to driving distance. So the fact that I’m comfortable, the length off the tee, and then I’ve had so many good memories here, just I feel positive vibes, I feel good about myself when I’m walking around here.

Yeah, I think I’ve held out pretty well for the most part inside six feet, and then I think because I know this golf course so well, I’ve missed it in the right spots when I have missed the green. Yeah, to play two rounds in a row on this golf course in these conditions bogey free is a bit of a feather in my cap, I’m pretty proud of that. “The template of the new greens is very similar. There might be a few different like nuances, but overall they’re pretty similar to what they have been. So they all slope the same way, they all, you know, so overall I think slight subtleties and slight changes, but it still plays very similar to how it’s played over the last 10 years.”

Wyndham Clark (2023): “Very patient. I started out, I had a short birdie putt on 11, which was my second hole, about seven, eight feet. It broke 10 inches, but I missed that, and then missed a birdie putt on the drivable and three-putted the par 5. So I was even through my first seven holes, I felt like I should be a couple under. Then birdied 17 and 18 which kind of got the round going, which felt like it rewarded my patience in not getting frustrated. Yeah, definitely patient out there. Then I got into a nice groove on the back nine, a lot of fairways and greens and gave myself some looks.

It’s such a tough golf course, there’s stretches, there’s like a few holes where it’s really tough and then you are given some birdie holes. Every hole, if you don’t hit it in position off the tee, it’s hard regardless of distance or par 5 or whatnot.

Yeah, I would say I felt pretty comfortable once I kind of hit the green on hole 6 and then hit in the fairway on 7, because those are two kind of tough pivotal holes where you can easily make a bogey on 6 or hit a foul ball on 7 and something crazy can happen. I felt like when I kind of got those in play and put myself in position, I was like, all right, we’re in this thing, calm down, relax. Obviously I would have liked to have made that putt on 7, but following up with a great pitch on 8 and making birdie on that hole, that’s when I really loosened up. And then yeah, I think when he bogeyed 9 and then I birdied 10 and then he bogeyed 11, I was like, all right, this is — let’s not let him back into this tournament. My caddie, John, and I made sure that we were pretty conservative into certain holes and then other ones be aggressive. For instance, like on 14 we laid up again and, you know, people might question that play with my distance, but I hit a cut and the wind is off the left and I felt like it’s either going to go way right or I have to start it over the lake and I can bring in a bogey. Things like that where we were conservative, but then I took advantage and hit great shots and I made birdie on that hole and then the par 5. So I didn’t let Xander get back into it to the best of my ability.”

Rory McIlroy (2021): “Yeah, I’ve putted well all week. Historically I’ve putted these greens well and I just, though they’ve changed from bent greens when I first came here to Bermudagrass, I’ve always been able to see the lines. So I’ve been comfortable with that. Then it’s just a matter of trusting that I’m putting good strokes on them. I think more than anything today, my speed was good and that was, you know, when the greens get tricky and there’s wind and there’s tough reads, speed’s almost more important than anything else. My speed was good today  and probably part of the reason why I was able to hole a few.”

Keith Mitchell (2021): “My driver feels great, and around this place you’ve really got to drive it well, so I’m sure the stats would say that. Really all of it feels good right now. Really just trying to keep the ball in front of me right now and see what we can do tomorrow. This is a Major championship test when you put yourself out of position and it turns almost impossible. You’ve really got to pick and choose to the flags necessarily. They can put them right on the grain changes and put them right on the edges and sometimes your good shot’s 25 feet from the hole and some holes you can go for birdie. That’s really why it feels that way, because it’s not like every hole you can attack. You have to be very precise.”

“Really tough golf courses demand every part of your game. I’ve definitely played poorly on tough golf courses, but my best weeks have been at the tough ones, Bay Hill, Honda, here. You just, when you hit a bad shot you get penalized and when you hit a good shot you get rewarded. Some golf courses on the PGA Tour where you can hit bad shots, get away with it and still try to make birdie. You can’t do that here. I think that’s a true test of golf. I don’t think golf would be fun if every course was like this. I just feel more comfortable around a tougher course.”

Viktor Hovland (2021): “ Yeah, it was weird, and sometimes you would feel a gust of 15 miles an hour and then it would just be dead quiet 15 seconds later. So it was strange. But this place is so big that, even though you’re in between decisions, you kind of have a bigger area you can kind of err towards. So if it would have been another place where the greens are smaller, it would have been I think a little tougher, but it definitely doesn’t make it easy when you’re hitting shots from 225 yards into par 4s. Yeah, it didn’t make it easier.”

“There’s one thing I feel like, not to say anything bad about this place, but I think this place is more of kind of a driving range golf course. The fairways are, they’re not narrow and they’re not wide, but it’s what you see, what you get. And the greens are pretty big. It’s all about just can you hit it in the centre of the face or are you hitting it in bunkers and rough and you’re going to have a tough day. I appreciate the more strategic places, but obviously if you come to this place and don’t like it, there’s something wrong with you.”

Max Homa (2019): “Honestly, if you look deep in the stats, which nobody does for me, but it’s been really good. I’ve been driving it great. That’s usually kind of my hiccup. I’ve been driving it pretty far and very straight. I just haven’t been chipping well and haven’t really made the putts to keep the round going and I did that really well yesterday. I thought it was pretty hard yesterday. Did that really well yesterday and just kept it going today. I usually hit the ball pretty well. A course like this sets up great for me, a lot of 7-irons, 8-irons in, drive it in the fairway. So I’m not really that surprised. Everybody else probably will be, but I was kind of waiting for this to happen.”

Jason Day (2018): “Yeah, obviously we had Bermudagrass last August at the PGA, and this is, I think, definitely an easier grass to play on (overseeded with Poa Trivialis). I think Bermuda, coming out of the rough, you have more chances of having big flyers. The biggest thing is there were a couple times when I was in the rough and I really catch a flyer, and you know that when you’re in Bermudagrass, you’ve got to catch it. And if you’re in the rough and you’re trying to land it on these greens, which are bouncing five to 10 paces with a wedge, that makes it difficult to hold greens. I think this is definitely an easier grass, but also still playing difficult because it’s obviously the scores reflect how the course is.”

“Yeah, I know that I’ve had some decent finishes here, but the PGA definitely kind of tipped it over the edge. I know that I can play well here because of how difficult the golf course is. When I realized last week, you know, we’re coming into a week like this where it’s 80 to 85 degrees, hot. They had some good rain the week prior to that, the course is going to be in perfect condition how the grass has come in. You’ve just got to come out and try and get yourself — plot yourself around the golf course. For me, I’m able to take some advantage with my driving. And it was good to be able to come to a golf course like this where I know it’s very difficult. I think everyone else is obviously having a tough time with it, too. It’s a major championship golf course so you’ve got to come out and be patient with yourself and take your chances when you get them.”

Justin Thomas (2017): “Yesterday I was playing really well, hitting great shots. When you have 4, 5, 6-irons in your hand, you need to be defensive. For the most part, I had some not aggressive but more aggressive than normal lines just because I felt good about my golf swing and what I was doing with my ball. If I have a longer club in my hand, I’m just trying to get it on the green and get out with a par and move on.”

“Any time you can get softer conditions, the golf course is going to be easier. Doesn’t matter what course it is. I mean, look at years at Augusta, the scores have been really low. I know there’s SubAir and they can get them firmer, but at the end of the day, when there’s no rain and the greens are really firm, it’s really difficult. And when the greens are softer, we’re pretty good at golf. So it’s a lot easier when the ball isn’t going to go as far as when it lands because we feel like we have more control over it. When you get as tough of greens and around the greens as it is out here, softness is going to allow us to hit more greens and get it closer to where we want. I would say that had pretty much all to do with it.”

Jimmy Walker: “We’re used to playing it with rye grass everywhere. It has a potential, with the pure Bermudagrass layout, to play really firm and really fast. That’s when golf gets really hard, when you start losing control of the golf ball. Bermuda rough tends to fly a lot, or it could come out where you get some horrendous lies. Guys are going to have to deal with that: ‘Am I going to get the big jumper?’ Or ‘Will I get the really soft shot that comes out?’ “Even around the greens, Bermuda rough is very hard to chip out of. The greens ought to be fast, and that’s the biggest variable, I would think.”

“I thought the new holes were great. The 1st has got a beautiful look to it. It’s reminiscent of the original tee shot and it opens up nice down there to the right, and the green, you can see the entire green. I love being able to see kind of where you’re going. All the new green complexes are very nice. They are not too tricky. They have got a lot of flat spots. They have got some movement in them but they have got flat spots where you like to put the pins and there’s plenty of room. Just I thought it looked really good. It’s going to be fun playing with all Bermuda. It will be a completely different test.”

Rory McIlroy: “The changes are good. It definitely makes the start of the golf course more challenging. The first hole, now instead of it being 3 wood and a wedge, it’s a driver and a good mid iron. I think you won’t really see guys getting off to the hot starts that they used to. You see guys maybe, especially those first six holes, you’d see guys 3 or 4 under par. I don’t think that’s going to happen now. And then the rest of the golf course is pretty much the same. Obviously they have lengthened 11 a little bit. But what they have done on 16, 17 and 18 over the years has stayed pretty much the same. I like the changes. I mean, I obviously like the golf course the way it was before. My record around there is pretty good. I fancy my chances around there. But it’s always been, I guess, a modern player’s golf course. You’ve got to, if you can drive it a long way, there’s an advantage there, especially coming in with the driveable par-4, 14th and in; the par-5 15 and the long holes coming in. So yeah, I think people will really enjoy it this year. It’s a great venue for a tournament and it will be a great venue for a Major, as well.”

First Round Leader Analysis: First round leader(s), their wave and winning score since 2010. Full First Round Leader stats are here.

2024 – Schauffele Group 3 10th Tee -7/64 – 18/1.
2023 – Fleetwood PM -6/65 – 60/1.
2021 – Mickelson PM -7/66 – 125/1.
2019 – Dahmen/McIlroy Both AM -5/66 – 100/1 & 16/1.
2018 – Peterson – PM -6/65 – 250/1.

For the record, here’s the breakdown of Bermudagrass PGA Tour victors in the field since 2008:

12 –Rory McIlroy.
7 – Justin Thomas.
5 – Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth.
4 – Sam Burns, Jason Day, Matt Fitzpatrick, Si Woo Kim.
3 – Rickie Fowler, Chris Gotterup, Justin Rose, Xander Schauffele, Adam Scott, Webb Simpson, Nick Taylor, Gary Woodland.
2 – Daniel Berger, Akshay Bhatia, Patrick Cantlay, Corey Conners, Harris English, Lucas Glover, Viktor Hovland, J.J. Spaun, Sepp Straka, Cameron Young.
1 –  Ludvig Aberg, Keegan Bradley, Nico Echavarria, Tony Finau, Alex Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood, Ryan Fox, Ben Griffin, Brian Harman, Max Homa, Sungjae Im, Kurt Kitayama, Min Woo Lee, Maverick McNealy, Collin Morikawa, Andrew Novak, J.T. Poston, Jhonattan Vegas.

Quail Hollow is undoubtedly a Major Championship difficult venue, on the basis we are dealing with a very long golf course with only 12 looks at par-5s. With a full SubAir system available as well, tournament organisers can make conditions pretty much as firm as they want. The PGA Tour though don’t tend to get this is firm and crispy as we saw at the 2025 PGA Championship.

We should see a stretching enough, mid-score (circa -14/-18) kind of test which will be all about making plenty of birdies on the shorter par-4s and the par-5s, as bogeys really are unavoidable elsewhere. For me it’s all about powerful, high approach shot golf at the end of the day, similar to the skill sets required at Augusta. Hardly surprising therefore to see the amazing tournament records of Rory McIlroy and Phil Mickelson plus other strong classical golf course players like Jason Day, Rickie Fowler and Xander Schauffele.

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