Set your reminders for the sports betting shows every week (all times Eastern):
Sunday 9pm – PGA Initial Research
Monday 9pm – PGA Data Dive
Wednesday 9pm – PGA DFS Tactics
Friday 9pm – Friday Night Chill Stream
Friday Night Chill Stream content will vary so stop by and hang out! Like someone once said “It’s like a box of chocolates…you’ll never know what you’re gonna get.”
Follow me on Social Media where my betting cards for the PGA tournament of the week will be placed:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/Kapta1NKahl
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/Kapta1NKahl
Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/kapta1nkahl
Kick: https://kick.com/kapta1nkahl
Subscribe to Gabe’s weekly article for a great beginning to your weekly research and give him a follow over at Twitter @glzisk
let’s try that again now that the microphone has decided to work good evening ladies and gentlemen welcome to Call’s calls this is the 2024 RBC Heritage initial research show Fresh Off Scotty’s win at the Masters we turn our attention to famed Harbor toown Golf Links and the next signature event on the PGA tour it is a double tournament week this week so I’ll have some more information about my schedule at the end of the show this evening uh but for tonight and tomorrow we’re going to be looking at the RBC Heritage and Harbortown Golf Links would be interested to hear how your all’s Masters went uh did you have outright on Scotty Sheffer he was my pick to win but was not going to bet him at the minuscule price that he was at the beginning of the week hopefully you had some Futures on him that were a bit higher than the 9-2 that I saw floating around before the tournament this week um how was your DFS mine was pretty middling I believe I was slightly positive a lot of very good lineups uh or I should say good lineups but nothing that cracked uh too much higher than the minimum pay threshold although I did have a lot of just solid lineups 70% of my lineups went 6 to six not not saying a whole lot considering that cutline fell to plus six uh right at the end of the day on Friday but still manag 70% 6 to six lineups so was going to have a very high floor this week but my ceiling was capped uh considering I did not have any Bryson no Tommy Fleetwood very uh no Max hom um so hopefully you had a lot of those plays in your lineups this week would love to be able to hear uh your success uh from the Masters but we turn our attention to Harbor toown so let’s get into it all statistics provided tonight and every night are from fantasy national.com it is the best golf Analytics tool out there for your money it’s going to make you a much smarter golf Gambler and a much better golf DFS player go check out fantasy national.com you will not regret it in the description to the video there are links to all of the social media first off my ex and Instagram where every Monday I post research on the PGA tour of course this week around harbort toown the previous winners of the RBC Heritage the patterns of those winners leading into the tournament and the players in the field this week who also fit that criteria so if you want to see the weekly research that I do on the PJ tour give me a follow at your preferred social media site X is also where I place my weekly betting cards and my top player usage in DFS that comes out every Wednesday evening after the DFS tactic show uh on calls calls and then lastly for social media gab’s handle is in the description he writes a very good article called The Fringe it’s a very good way to start your week of preparation um for the tournament at hand and he continues to update you throughout the week in terms of recent form course history and if you are a subscriber to his article you’re going to be able to join us in his substack chat every Wednesday evening as we continue the DFS talk we talk about Game Theory our favorite portions of the price board who some scary Fades are our minimum price plays are 6K 5K plays even um and the only way you’re going to be able to get in on that conversation is if you subscribe to his article so go show him some support follow him over on social media subscribe to that article it is free to do by the way lastly we are live chat’s open want to hear from you all in addition to the Masters um any other success that you’ve had uh this past week maybe fantasy baseball uh fantasy Soccer fantasy XFL anything that you have had success on Wagers or DFS and a member of the community please jump into chat would love to be able to shout you all out I want to hear about all the success and then turning our attention to Harbortown what do you think of the course uh who do you think has the upper hand or or is the favorite to win other than Scotty uh this week at harbort toown all that good stuff would love to hear from you this evening so let’s do our initial research for the 2024 RVC Heritage and we start as we always do with the gcsaa tournament fact sheet on a Sunday evening we are in Helton Head South Carolina at the aforementioned famed Harbortown Golf Links famed a lot due to two things hopefully my camera decides to focus Harbor Town famous for two two big things in my in my opinion this is a traditional Pete Dy design uh we have seen a few of these on the PJ tour this year most recently being TPC Sawgrass this is another uh very classic Pete die design very narrow uh Fairways Treeline Fairways greens very very small second small small Greens on tour next to Pebble Beach only 3700 sare ft on average and they do not play even that big as they are uh turtleback shaped Dome shaped if you will so two two very key distinct features of Harbor Town being a Pete die design and we’ll be looking at some Pete die design uh metrics especially tonight again the small greens harbard toown is a par 71 they have lengthened it over the the years now plays slightly longer than 7200 yards about 7,213 this used to be one of the shorter courses on tour not the case anymore as I said they have um they have lengthened it over the years uh four par 3s three par fivs um here at harbort toown we talked about the green size average or the Acres of Fairway only 22 this is one of the smallest numbers on the PJ tour again these these Fairways are very very narrow very treelined um just a a premium on accuracy off the te lot of rough although it’s not difficult to play out of um only one and A4 in long um so not not a whole lot but another distinct feature of harbort toown 18 holes with water in play so big numbers will come into play very very quickly the greens traditionally Bermuda but at this time of the year one of the last courses that we’ll see with poet trivialis overseed so we are back to poet trivialis uh what we were seemingly on for about two months there uh in February and March so I’m getting my notes here for the courses that have poet trivialis but we are on poet trivialis overseed and Ry overseed much throughout the South uh this time of year you see the uh some additional notes Here rough is uh down from 2 and2 in last year they’ve cut it to one and a quar um a new te was added on seven and then new T’s on two five7 uh added a greenside bunker on 10 um just a lot of different changes throughout the years but Harvard toown is essentially played the same even though theyve lengthened the course it has been a premium on accuracy premium on iron play as most Pete D designs are so there’s a look at RBC Heritage or at the RBC Heritage in Harbortown Golf Links from a gcsa tournament standpoint we move to Fantasy National and with the Masters having been played or completed maybe two and a half or so hours ago now maybe three the Master’s win for Scotty Sheffer is is not in there yet even with that said our top performers in 2024 have been Scotty and that’s just going to rise even more Xander wam Clark C tala OE batia Ludi obar CZ Tom hogi Matthew Pavone Sam Burns and SE Wu Kim uh one field change already in terms of um players players who originally had committed to play and then have decided to withdraw Victor hland Victor hin after his very disappointing Masters tournament is not playing this week in Hilton Head so uh before we get too far into it of course we uh saw in the gcsa tournament fact sheet a Pete die design so in the past last couple of years and there’s not a whole lot of rounds here um we have a few you see from Patrick kley players the MX which uh the stadium of course is a Pete die designed so we would get two of the four rounds at the AMX The Travelers and of course the RBC Heritage so four different tournaments but really uh probably about 15 or so rounds depending on uh performance at these tournaments and whatnot 15 rounds a year I should say if a player plays them all your top performers on Pete Dy designs the past two years Xander Scotty Brian Harmon Patrick Klay sunjay Jordan spe wendham Clark Matt Fitzpatrick JT Poston and Justin Thomas are your top 10 in terms of Pete d my performance the past couple of years uh sometimes you know as I’ve mentioned they’ve they’ve lengthened the course over the past few years but a lot of times when I think of harbort toown I still think of it as short less than 7200 so even though on the scorecard it measures slightly over this I still consider this a pretty short course considering it is a par 71 not a par 70 so your top performers on short courses the past couple of years have been Eric Cole sorry there you go Eric Cole Xander Scotty Russell Henley ludvick obar Keegan Bradley Patrick kley Justin Thomas JT Poston and Brian Harmon okay before we get too much further into this let’s come on fantasy National it’s having a little bit of trouble uh let’s go to the course breakdown here in fasy National on Harbor toown take a look at how difficult or easy the course is some of the most important shot types um where our best scoring opportunities are and whatnot so harbort toown you see the ninth most difficult hole 10th most difficult hole both play to 600s overp par so not not a whole lot there I mean it’s pretty close to par but still on the slightly more difficult end the 13th plays to 100th under par 13th most difficult and then the 12th most difficult plays to 200th over so in between the 12th and the 13th most difficult hole is where par Falls that would signify a fairly difficult tournament and there are times where harbort toown does play difficult just due to the tight confines of a lot of the holes and the very very small greens but one of the big uh defense of Harbor toown is indeed the weather and so we’ll start taking a look at that tomorrow U but our best scoring opportunities as pre usual on the PJ tour are the par fives uh you see a half a shot under par close to a half a shot under par now the other par five only plays or the part the one par five on the back only plays to 1300s under par so um that one’s much more of a birdie chance as opposed to a possible eagle and we do have a drivable par 4 the par 4 9th you see uh plays to 2/10 of a shot under par lots of birdies it is quite drivable and when you offset these very very scorable par fives uh against the most difficult holes which are generally the par 3s here at Harbor Town uh but a few par fours as well the most difficult the par 3 14th 192 uh plays is almost of a quarter of a shot over par we got you know 16 hundreds and 210 1500s 210 so you’ve got a few holes here overpar but when you stack up the extreme ease of the power fivs and the drivable power four usually plays to about average again depending on the weather but generally about average in terms of difficulty we move to Strokes gained by shot type per round and for our top 10 no make no mistake this is a Pete die design you are going to have to hit your irons very well but look at this around the green the off the just does not play a big factor um length is not a big factor with a lot of the designs uh of the holes from Pete D being forced layups um it’s a lot more about accuracy than distance and really off the te in general is pretty suppressed in terms of importance here we move to top fives the approach starting to um get away from the putting distance itself from the putting I should say you’re around the green still more important than the off the te and then for our winners it’s all about the approach yes you’re going to be making some putts sure um but consistently the around the green is outweighing the off the te but the approach is the most important shot type as you should probably expect from a Pete die design we look at average Strokes gained by whole by par again no surprise professionals are taking advantage of the par fives we move to the top fives much more the same in terms of the um distribution fives outweighing the fours which are slightly outweighing the threes and then for our winners the three part 3es really fall off um it is really about the taking advantage of the three par five opportunities that you have at harbort Town little bit in par fours so there’s a look at your average Strokes gained by a whole by par for your top 10 fives and winners we moved a whole composition our four par threes are evenly split on either side of 200 uh two of them shorter than 200 two of them longer than 20000 uh within that 25 yard range bucket there as you see we do have one drivable par 4 one short par 4 not drivable so two very short par 4S but the majority of the par 4S here at harbort toown fall between 400 and 450 yards five of the nine uh no excuse me five of the 11 par fours fall between 400 450 and then four from 450 to 500 all three par fivs measure 550 to 600 on the scorecard so at least early on in our research search this week as we move forward tonight and into tomorrow we’re going to be wanting to look at just that range of par fivs um moving to approach shot distribution looking like a big majority I mean in fact a quarter of the approach shots in total measur from 175 to 200 just due to the force layup nature of a lot of the holes here at harbort toown quite a few still from 150 to 175 as well um not a whole lot of 200 plus so at least in terms of um the most prominent the most prevalent we’ be looking at 175 to 200 but we’ll really dig into this tomorrow in terms of appro shots and proximities looking at historic cut line um it’s gotten slightly easier over the years as players have become more sophisticated and trying to attack the the Harbortown Golf Links you see it’s been as easy as minus three but this also comes with a slight caveat here that this was due to 2020 being 2020 this was played in June not in April uh so slightly easier conditions most of the time we’re hovering in this plus one range maybe plus two if the wind really picks up you see it’s been as high as plus six in the past when the winds really got chaotic but we’re looking roughly at a plus one to plus two range in terms of a cut line of course with this being a no cut event not really having to worry about the historic cut line or the you know cut line and whatnot but just to give us an idea on how uh difficult Harbortown generally plays year-over-year uh scoring distribution not a whole lot of eagles as we just saw in the scorecard you do have a couple of par fivs that yield an eagle you know in between 2 and 2 and a half% of the time but quite a few birdie opportuni around Harbor Town especially if you’re hitting your irons well but with water in play on every hole there are big numbers to be made if you are not careful so again just signifying that this is about an average level difficulty course uh good evening Barbarian good to see you this evening hopefully your Masters went well uh you had some Scotty sheffler particularly Futures but Scotty Sheffer outrights um you played plenty of Max hom who I will admit I was completely wrong on uh some Bryson some Tommy it’s good to see you so so close uh yeah I mean that’s I was I was fortunate in the sense that uh I mentioned this in the intro U not a not really a a a big thing um to hang my hat on but I did have 70% 6 to6 lineups in uh DFS of course when the cut you know fell to plus six at the end of the day thanks to the atrocious conditions you know that saved quite a few of those lineups so um you know it was an okay week in terms of DFS it was it was quite middling I had a lot of minimum caches thanks to all those six to six lineups but uh I didn’t like I said I didn’t have any Tommy didn’t have any Bryson didn’t have any max Homa so my earnings you know ability my ability to really rise in the um standings was quite limited because of that um but hopefully we’re going to get back on on the right track for you this week for Harbor toown and don’t forget it is a double tournament week this week yes the main draw will be Harbor Town and the RBC Heritage but we also have an alternate event uh so stay tuned at the end of the show as I’ll give you an update to my schedule this week uh we moved to some course specifics around Harbor toown driving accuracy much higher here than the average Tour event um just due to the nature of the forc layups uh and players knowing that they can’t be out of position on a Pete die course A lot of times they will Club down so really emphasizing the accuracy um green regulation percentage no surprise here just like Pebble Beach extremely less than the average event these are the second smallest Greens on tour behind Pebble Beach um so greens not easy to hit here at all we’ll definitely be wanting to look at some metrics around that tomorrow how however even though greens aren’t easy to hit scrambling is fairly easy around here this rough is not very deep again kept at a inch and a quarter so if you are missing the green it is reasonable to be able to to get up and down but we definitely do want to take into consideration some around the green considering how often players miss the greens here at harbort toown three putts per round very very small again the combination of small greens uh not necessarily too difficult to putt on whereas we had those Lightning Fast greens at the Masters they’re quite um slowed down here at harbort toown a lot of that due to the wind uh what is the term scrambling so scrambling is anytime um the most the the easiest way to think about it uh is if a player misses the Green in regulation would be scrambling um that’s the most often uh it comes up however a player can be scrambling right off their t-shot if they put the t-shot in the water they’re going to be considered scrambling on that hole um but but most of the most of the time when you hear about scrambling it is the fact that the player has missed the Green in regulation and therefore it is testing there around the green game generally speaking um as you would expect with Force layups and and a Pete die design that uh emphasizes accuracy distance is just not a factor um a lot less here than the average T event um and proximity again thanks to these very small greens is quite a bit closer when you do hit the Green in regulation so there’s a look at some of the statistics around Harbor Town terms of a scorecard and graphical view we’ll go back to the players in the field this week and uh do note brarian that Victor hin has decided not to play that that is why he is starred he has withdrawn already from the event but now that we have taken a look at uh some things around harbort toown we can take a look at a few of these uh overarching or or main shot types uh in terms of Strokes gain but before we do that I wanted to go check the historic condition so let’s go ahead and do that and that again as I was mentioning this plays to about average you’ve seen uh every round be average last year when it was a I believe they called him premium event um play to average there you will get a few rounds that are difficult especially if the wind does pick up but for the majority of the time you’re looking at an average difficulty tournament and then if the wind really does pick up it’ll get difficult so we’ll take a look at the wind starting tomorrow or or at least the forecast starting tomorrow uh they are labeled as Bermuda uh greens they are Bermuda base but poet trivialis overseed so we’ll be looking at some poet trivialis uh greens course has always been labeled less than 7200 uh this year it might get the 72 to 7,400 designation just because they’ve lengthened it again but this is why I was confident in looking at Short Course performance um you know to get a get a good idea on the players who play short courses because this is uh traditionally been less than 7200 but no nothing to do with uh uh difficulty this week not easy not difficult I generally don’t look or like looking at the average difficult relative to power filter so just in terms of of straight Strokes gained no filters or anything this is a Pete D design we are absolutely going to want to be looking at some irons this week so our top Strokes gain approach players in the field this week minus the Masters that data is not yet in fantasy National Scotty sheffler Tom hogi Cory Connor Xander Tony Fen out Lucas Glover Austin eote JT will alur and Victor perie are our top 10 in terms of Strokes G approach definitely want to look at around the Green Top 10 around the green McKenzie Hughes SE Wu Kim Scotty Ander Lucas Glover Denny McCarthy Brendan Todd JT Adam shank and Stephan joerger are our top 10 in terms of around the green performance the past 36 rounds I meant to have the 2024 filter on but um won’t change too much good evening uh Joanne um ship at Nation member won a million dollars today I I haven’t seen that uh you know I watched the Masters and then uh started preparing for the show but um that’s I mean that’s awesome that’s what we’re it’s what we’re trying here to try and do to find the right combination of players um you know Scotty was was my pick so not necessarily the boldest um suggestion there but I was not right on Max hom was not right on Bryson uh didn’t have any Tommy Fleetwood although I did mention him he just WR he didn’t write out well for me uh but I was just nowhere near maxom he had never played well at Augusta and he comes and plays well so credit to him so we’re GNA we’re going to try and see if we can’t be the uh the Millie makers um this week or at least you know the the winners of the big prize but it’s good to see you this evening hopefully you had a a very good Masters uh had some Scotty outright and played all of the correct plays this week um let’s see let’s just take a look I don’t think this is going to change too much the ordering might change but our top Strokes SK approach players in 2024 actually you know what just let me clear this let’s go all records now put the 2024 filter on our top Strokes gain approach players in 2024 Tom hogi Scotty Sheffer Cory Connors Lucas Glover Tony feno Austin eot OA batia Nick Taylor Justin Thomas and Cameron young of course this does not include the Masters that data is not in here yet our top around the green players McKenzie Hughes Scotty Lucas Glover Xander Brendan Todd sewu Kim J day Denny McCarthy Adam shank and Taylor Moore lastly we will have to remove that filter as we are going to be grabbing all of the courses that have poet trivialis so those courses that traditionally have poetri Alis of course we’re going to be looking at Harbor toown where we are this week uh Harbor Town we’re going to be looking inisbrook the host of the valpar we look at Quail Hollow host of the Wells Fargo Championship I believe it’s that top one The Stadium Course another Pete die design has poet trivialis overseed although we only get a couple of rounds of data from that from the American Express but we still get that data TPC San Antonio where we were a couple of weeks ago for the Valero we need TPC Sawgrass TPC Scottdale host of the WM Phoenix Open and I passed it up because I need to add it to my list we’re going to look at Memorial Park however Memorial Park is going to be slightly misleading because um it’s only going to have one year of data when it was played in the spring uh as opposed to when it was played in the fall it had pure vuda but we don’t want to overlook the fact that Houston this year had U poet trivialis overseed as well so let’s apply those course filters in the past two years on poet trivialis overseed your top Putters have been Brendan Todd Brian Harmon wendham Clark Sam Burns Jason day Thomas dietry Denny McCarthy Matt Fitzpatrick Adam Shan and Nick Taylor those are your top 10 in terms of putting on poet trivialis overseed past couple of years all righty let’s clear all those filters we’re going to take a look at one thing Fair fairly quickly we saw that par five scoring was just uh vital premium here at harbort toown so in 2024 on par fivs that measure 550 to 6 00 yards and we’re singling out that range because all three measured to that length on the scorecard we’ll we’ll definitely go in and dig in deep into the data tomorrow to see if this is indeed the range we want to look at but in terms of uh just an initial look and continuing our Research into tomorrow morning and tomorrow afternoon I think it’s pretty safe to uh look at just this range of par fivs so your top par five performers is 2024 from 550 to 600 yards Nick Dunlap sahit wow seah tagala Cory Connor Thomas dietry Scotty sheffler Sam Burns Harris English Eric Van royan J day and Stephen joerger so you know give these guys a little extra consideration when odds come out tomorrow morning or in your preliminary lineups uh before uh prices come out um you know these guys generally play the length of par fivs here at Harbortown the best I would be interested to hear from the community what do you think Scotty’s price will be what do you think his odds will be um I could I can absolutely Envision a Scotty sheffler 3 to one favorite absolutely after coming off the win at the players at the at the Masters I mean I could easily see 3 to one I could see him going up to about 13,000 in DFS so I’m quite interested when all that comes out tomorrow uh how at least where I play DraftKings is handling it okay um we’ll go back to the shokes gain in case there are more questions but let’s take a look at some previous performance at um at uh Harbortown and yes you are right bar and that was that was supposedly the big drama today um that he would have withdrawn had he received the phone call that his wife went into labor they’re expecting their first child it is very possible that he ends up not playing the uh RBC Heritage we can I can just go by his word that he would he would have withdrawn um so you have to assume that he would withdraw in the case he gets the phone call at the RBC Heritage as well so is a little bit of a risk um but my goodness the guy is the number one player in the world for a reason he’s just absolutely dominant right now absolutely dominant all right let’s take a look at some some previous performance here in the past five years in harbort toown uh pretty close in terms of uh top performance between Klay and Fitzpatrick Pat Patrick hlay three Podium finishes no wins but 2/3 a second and a Mis cut cut Matt Fitzpatrick is our defending champion who beat Jordan SM in a playoff last year Matt Fitzpatrick has a win another top five and another top 15 so very solid here JT Poston has been very solid here I believe it was you bro Baran it might have been uh someone else last week who mentioned Poston as intriguing for the Masters and hopefully you followed with me on that that I wanted know part of him yes he made the cut to a 40th something Place finish I don’t like JT posting on courses that are long generally this is when he’s at his best on these shorter courses cuz he’s not very long off the tea you see his performance at harbort toown a top five two other top 10 now he has missed the cut a couple times but um this is that’s highlighting the volatility that Harbor Town can bring with all the water in play um so this is generally the style of course that I would like JT posting on shorter uh premium on on um accuracy um and iron play which is what poon’s generally about I don’t know if I’m again when we dig into the data starting tomorrow and and when I start making my mix condition model uh I’ll have a better idea if I would recommend posting but at least in terms of of conceptually fitting a course with a player this does feel like a good JT Poston course and the results back it up uh Cam Davis has played very well and he had a very good Masters a top five a top 10 and another top 25 Cory Connor has been good here Tommy has been good here Jordan speed’s been very good the past couple of years uh runner up playoff runner up last year and a win before that um some other players here Grio a little bit of All or Nothing Brian Harmon’s been pretty solid here Justin Thomas Sam Burns CZ three for three this feels like a very good Christian bade who fit sunjay has generally been very good at Pete die designs you see he’s played very well here the past three years col more CWA four for four here much less in terms of elite success I mean he does have one top 10 but more middling finishes uh than anything but still four for four some other players have note Denny McCarthy’s four for five uh you see Russell Henley has been quite All or Nothing a top 10 a top 20 and then three miscuts so not the best the other end of the spectrum players have not played well here even with the added emphasis of of around the green McKenzie Hughes has struggled here three for five but the least in terms of Strokes game total Andrew putam despite the lack of of off the tea necessary here at Harbor Town he’s only one for five he has not played here well or played well here goodness been on 0 for three Tom hogy one for five um Stephanie Jagger 0 for two shank is is only two for five here SE uh seu Kim’s not been good here Nick Taylor’s not been good here here malati now Windham Clark is five for five in making the cut the last 5 years but you see all these finishes they are quite middling to bad keep that in mind Bryce Garnett not great so there’s a look at the players who have not played particularly well at Harbortown the past 5 years so with that good segue to wrap up the show this evening with the early look file in Microsoft Xcel this is performance again in the past 5 years specifically at Harbortown so you can see the one year Scotty Sheffer played which I believe was last year he gained four off the te he gained five a little more than five in Approach at harbort toown lost a half a stroke putting Taylor Moore did everything on the greens and was pretty mediocre to bad otherwise um Cam Davis in his three years here has been pretty good at all aspects so I what I’m going to do I’m going to remove the players who have only played Harbor Town once I want to see the players who consistently play Harbor Town year-over-year what they have done well so you see players that have averaged a top 40 finish that is 16 of them it’s a decent amount um decent enough sample size surprisingly off the tea is um a decent little bit here uh this is an average of 1.7 not necessarily a whole lot of big numbers you see four 4 and 1/2 five and a half in the approach but everyone has been at least positive in off the te so that’s something interesting we’ll have to look at tomorrow in the Daya dive show we’ll take a look at some of the U prior leaderboard see uh just how much off the te has contributed because I don’t I don’t foresee off the tea being a big Factory here but for the players who have played at the best they’ve at least been okay at it you know okay to good maybe even great irons the approach this is a 1.8 it’s really getting hurt by these two at the bottom if you remove those two it go it rises all the way to a 2.3 um Vinson’s been good with his irons here and he’s two for two colore CWA has been good with the irons as well JT has been good with the irons here around the green yeah okay I suppose um couple of really poor performances vincon barawa putting much more the same not not necessarily the most important so really we we’re looking at with looking at the irons we’ll have to dig in a little bit with the off the tea let’s take a look at uh distance and greens Fairways and whatnot distance just not a lot here bazen hoot pretty low now there’s some pretty big numbers here but these guys are kind of known for being bombers Davis big hitter off the te Klay moves it JT can move it off the T so you know players like morawa Poston even though they’re positive in distance it’s pretty pretty close to field average really um you take a look at somebody like Tony fale you know he’s just kind of decent middling in terms of of driver distance here at Heritage I just don’t see it being a big factor we saw that in the course breakdown surprisingly at least to me the fairways aren’t a big deal for the players who have played it consistently and consistently well uh this is barely above a 0.0 so my thing would probably be good drives gained or greens which was where I was leaning meaning anyway good drive gained being the player has hit the Fairway or they are still able to hit the green uh From the Rough hit the green and regulation From the Rough um but again we’ll have to take a a look into the prior leader boards and whatnot um and figure out what really is contributing to a lot of the success year-over-year cuz this is kind of all over the place um not nearly as correlating as I thought it would be on drives green a little bit the same greens is quite a bit higher 1.6 versus a 0.7 0.8 so probably greens is where it’s at considering these greens are so small they’re tough to hit but I’d like to see what the data says tomorrow looking to scoring the bigger numbers and the more consistency is in these birdies so with this being an average difficulty course generally speaking we might be looking at Bird’s gained on short courses that’s kind of where I’m leaning cuz not a single player is negative in terms of Bird’s gain if they’ve averaged a top 40 finish and played it multiple times so that’s pretty telling that’s pretty telling there and you got some big numbers from cam young and Cam Davis but generally just solid moving to threes fours and fives just very quickly par 3es gosh dang it um this is a 0.6 they’re just they’re just not a big factor par fours not a single player negative in these par fours either as you can see this is a 3.4 par fives off your screen I know but it’s significantly higher than the par 3s as well um so we’re going to be we’re we’re probably going to be um I I won’t say eliminating par 3s but they will definitely be diminished in importance moving to par fours again as I highlighted not a single player negative in them if they’ve played well here at Harbor Town if there’s a range maybe this one at 1.3 1.1 so again some more data we’ll have to dig into tomorrow night looking at the par fives now all three par fives on the scorecard measured it here 550 to 600 so very rarely will they play to these two lengths but they have in the past but you see a two out of a 2.8 1.5 out of a 2.3 1.9 of it a 2.1 majority of The Strokes gained are in here in these 550 to 600 and that’s why we looked at that only that range tonight last thing let let’s take a look at the proximity I don’t think total procs will be a big thing but there’s quite a few pretty solid performances here majority of the appro shots at least compared to the PJ tour average is here in the 175 to 200 and it looks pretty strong it does look pretty strong there you got you know a slightly poor performance from bazen hoot pretty bad from posting pretty bad from tagala but everybody else has been you know acceptable to Great Justin Thomas has being Elite at that level or that range of proximity specifically here at harbort toown so at least tonight the 175 to 200 would be the proximity that we’d want to look at all right that is I’ll bring everybody back that is played Harbor Town that’s going to be it for the show this evening um thanks to roarian and Joan for jumping in chat much appreciated uh hopefully your all’s Masters went well and we’ll get um get on the right track find the right plays this week to make ourselves the newest Millie maker winner for this week so thanks to you two for jumping in chat thanks to everybody else out there who Tunes in watches listens supports the channel by liking the videos commenting and subscribing I always appreciate it um I wouldn’t be able to do this without your all’s help and support uh again it’s just very very much appreciated reminder for the schedule this week with this being a double tournament week yes the main event the main Tournament of the week is the RBC Heritage so tonight is the the initial research tomorrow will be the data dive Wednesday night will be the DFS tactics but Tuesday evening we will cover the full show research we will cover the the data dive and the DFS tactics all in one show Tuesday night for the Coralis down in the Dominican Republic so if you have any interest in playing DFS or are going to make any Wagers in the alternate field event think about tuning in Tuesday night as I will be covering that event so thanks again for tuning in really appreciate it for all of the Wagers you made this week for the Masters for all the DFS contests you played this week for the Masters and until I see you tomorrow night for the data dive show may all your bets be profitable
2 Comments
Great show as always!!! Let’s Get it⛳️🏆
Great content..thanks