Pat Mayo and Tyler Tamboline discuss their favorite 2024 Sony Open Bets, DraftKings picks, debate the best roster construction for the week and project ownership for DFS guaranteed prize pools (GPPs). Plus, they review the weather DraftKings Ownership while giving their 2024 Sony Open Final Bets + One and Done Picks
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
2:44 Weather
14:36 Euro/Japan/KFT
24:27 Will Z
37:22 Final Bets
41:06 One and Done
48:33 Lineups
1:09:11 Tambo vs Mayo Lineps
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You’ve done this to me let’s it’s an easier one of three coocher Glover senson how would you rank those Glover senson coocher Pro love it all right that’s I was wondering who yeah Paul Casey experience experienceat Experience bat experience experience welcome to the pat Mayo experience Sony Open DraftKings picks lineups the oneandone the finalized betting card of the week I may or may not be doing a live show on Wednesday around I don’t know let’s say 1 p.m. eastern time on Mayo media Network who
Knows I have an appointment we’ll see how that appointment goes if I get back quickly I’ll do a live show if not this is the final golf show of the pat Mayo experience week but that’s okay because Tambo and James you guys did a show about last night yeah we did the first
Look we’re going to start doing that every Monday now rotating channels his YouTube channel the shiping nation YouTube station we’re going to get that one in so fun to do that it’s really just like a first look true reaction not really knowing what’s going on and then
I got the fantasy golf degenerates with Kenny last night be back with hoop today for the shiping nation show and then James always does his Wednesday stream which is the best one out there on Wednesday evenings for sure so you can always tune in to all of that stuff you
Can sub to the newsletter as well I put out a new style of column in the newsletter it’s free to join and free to click on if you just go to Mayo media on substack a lot of visualizations using fantasy.com of course if you just want to research yourself fantasy.com slma
Always Get You 20% off any of the deals but let me know if you liked or not that’s a Spotify question of the day if you go on to Spotify the episode page you can say hey this is something I want to see more of this is something I want
To see less of and I’m G to think I’m going to put my call I usually put my Callum out like really early on Mondays might change that to like Tuesday afternoons in the newsletter now so again it’s free to subscribe to I’d highly suggest that you do that thank
You all for filling the one and done it’s full this great news 800,000 guaranteed wear it filled so quickly I’m fingers crossed frost a million for next year that’s all I want I just want to see once race for the Mayo cup $1 million guaranteed I can guarantee it’s
Going to happen because next year as long as you can make it happen it’s going to faill that thing was ready to go early last night it’s procrastination Nation people always wait around till the last minute we know that and it was great you know it’s good to see big
Money up top I was I was telling you pre-show like I gave it to my dad for Christmas which we talked about he’s already texting me about it finding things out angling for strategy it’s just the best value you can get and even at 200 bucks I saw a few winers oh it
Went up in price so everything else went up too and it’s the best value still 200 bucks over the entire season yeah and you don’t get the big prize pools if the entry fees aren’t paid so it’s either keep it at 125 and fill 7,000 people or
Make it 200 and fill 4400 people which seemed a lot easier put your money in make good picks win money it’s that simple 670 people get more money than you know double their money or whatever it is out of whatever it was 4,400 or something so yeah I think there’s
Opportunity there for everybody and none of those people are going to be me so you know I’m going to try we’re going to try again we’re going to try but we we’ll see how we end up doing so we’ll cover that you can always hit down in
The description I want to talk about the weather first thing because there’s like a like a monsoon at the course I don’t know what it’s going to look like on Thursday but the last time that I remember there being rain and bad conditions at the Sony was the year that
Cam Smith won and the winning score was 11 under not your typical 18 under 23 under whatever it might be of course did show its teeth a little bit when it was wetter but a lot of that came during play there was high winds it was wet out
I don’t like the course might be fine by Thursday yeah we’ll have to wait and see obviously we get the latest weather but to your point I think it does bring different people into the mix like Matt Fitzpatrick is $10,200 here I don’t really love him very much if it’s going
To be 22 under or 23 under or something like that but if it was 11 and grind it out a little bit along the way I would feel much better about a certain play play like that and that’s just more of a strategy basis thing because there is
Obviously Pat some heavy duty narrative stuff this week because this has one of the most uh I think as for course history they said the stickiest course history that’s definitely this in Heritage really yeah playing the week before so everyone you know you listed it all on your shows earlier this week
Like people that played last week we know that there’s a lot of them moving over here so I think that would be one way to get away from it that actually is valid versus just trying to go against it for whatever reason so when you have
A week like this because the way that I’m looking at it right now I’m on the windfinder I’m on Honolulu U it’s going to rain basically midday through Tuesday and then it’s going to be fine Sunny super nice towai on Wednesday ditto for Thursday there’s a few high winds like
It’s going to be a windier type of event at least what it looks like this far out that’s going to be super nice on the weekend how do you approach like it’s not like oh there’s high winds in the morning on Thursday let’s fade those guys use the other ones because everyone
Else has a good go we don’t really know how the is going to play so I’m not really going to alter my picks that much unless I get to Wednesday evening or Hell Tuesday morning cuz it starts late uh on East Coast time at least then maybe I’ll think about you know putting
A few more Grinders into the mix but I think I’m just going to stick with what I wanted to do anyway yeah you could do that I’m I’m definitely going to wait till Thursday morning we got extra time this week so I’m gonna have you know Wednesday night thoughts go through it
Make sure I’m good to go on Thursday morning if I make changes to content or anything like that I’ll let people know but in the end of it all the main thing is is just that the weather is a fact at this course and on a week when we’re
Still during the NFL season playoffs or not you got people that are just tuning into a few Golf shows cuz they’re just coming back some of the ones we talked about with us and others and then that what ends up happening is you get more condensed ownership we also with James
And I looking at that first look yesterday the interesting part was you could almost tell right away what the build structure is going to look like this week which is awesome about this show because then you carry it over and we’re like oh we can actually see if
That’s true and build it out and look from that angle that’s going to tell us something so if you can get anything against that Pat with this weather in your advantage or the fact that you think the scoring is going to be higher than what we thought it would be lower
To start the week anything like that that you can find could be an advantage on a week like this if you just get one stroke remember we’re back to a cut event that could be the difference of making the cut or missing the cut and that’s important in PGA DFS so this is
This going to be a fun week we like this tournament it always turns out pretty well your boy won it here last year see wo it wasn’t on him I went back and watched the I well I didn’t watch the full all four rounds but I watched the
Condensed version of all four rounds and it’s just he chipped it on 17 yeah uh and then he hit it into the Fairway bunker on 18 got it to the green and two from the Fairway bunker and two puted Buckley tried the same thing but Buckley
Short sided himself on the right and the pin was towards the right so he had to send his chip up to try to get it to stop near the pin he just couldn’t do it because he was from the rough left himself like 12 feet missed the putt
Game over yeah that was it sewu though I mean he’s back right you know he’s I think that’s one thing we talked about last night Kenny and I him and sunjay both pretty good weeks I know know see was like 20 under t22 or T25 or something but getting that gold medal at
The Asian Games alleviating themselves of all that sunjay set the record last week for birdies or whatever he still was like sixth in DK scoring but just crazy but this week we got SE wo back so we we’ll talk about it when we get to it
There but I’m excited so just trying to figure out well you mentioned off the top that there’s a very common lineup build generally speaking because I I consider this a part of the pat Mayo Roa the Sony Open along with Heritage and Colonial and Windam all the courses that
I really like to play I mean here’s like the kind of the key just play like Asian dudes at these courses they kind of Dominate and Canadians and Canadians or another one well I bet Nick Taylor already so Cory Connor is I will I’m not playing Cory Connors
This week I’m not betting Cory Connor this week and just eliminating him from my player pool I think will make me unique enough it could yeah I didn’t bet him for sure I know a lot of people are on that 33 or whatever number they found I think there is interesting ways to
Play him here so I’m okay with 9800 on DFS he’s not even close to the top like if you start your lineup with him that could be a way to get different but yeah back to what you’re saying like there is the common build whatever you think I’m
Curious but uh well the common build that I tend to do and like Heritage I mean I had a really good Sony Open last year on DraftKings obviously the most I’ve ever won on a tournament on DraftKings without the Heritage with these sorts of lineups and they were all
The same type of builds just basically if anyone is $110,000 above cross them off the list y that’s what we talked about and what ends up happening is when we get there you’ll see 7500 to 7900 becomes the decision- making factor and that’s where basically all of the chalk
Is going to land you can get the you know someone in that range could be your sixth golfer in no problem and that’s not saying you go play 58k guys you can do that this week because there’s some guys in there I’m just saying but if you
Did that that would land you kind of there as well but there’s lineups that you could still get multiple 9k guys in and a lot of people just can make a case against really Brian Harmon falls into it too at 9900 but 9900 and above
There’s a case to be made against all of them and then some of them have no history here so that makes it easy to cross them off or theala can’t can’t do it again this week because this is a different setup you know he can he can’t
Be as wild with his drives whatever even though if you look you can be you absolutely no one hit I mean it’s not you you can’t be so wild with your drives because there’s OB on some of these holes like number one if you miss left or right you’re out of bounds but
Guys don’t really go out of Bounds at this course and no one hits the Fairway it’s like the second besides I think it’s Tory Pines this is second lowest Fairway hit percentage so like who cares guys have won it like 40% uh driving act like it’s been so bad but this is where
It kind of circles back in if it’s really wet conditions and like the course isn’t dried out by the time that play starts at least for the first two rounds that if you are a sprayer off the tea is all of a sudden like the rough
Becomes thicker it’s hard to hit or hit out of wet rough versus probably having lift clean and replace from the phro now that becomes an angle that you can take and all of a sudden you want your accuracy guys out there at least just to get through the cut these other guys
Might storm it get through sneak through storm it on the weekend that’s what we’ve seen the past two years Hideki great weekend 6464 if to storm back and win sew did exactly the same thing um and Nick Taylor by the way the last two times
He’s played here has had a round of 62 in the mix he was the 36 hole leader in 2021 he shot 62 on Saturday a year ago to get himself inside the top 10 going into the final so that’s why I like Nick Taylor this week by the way Canadian
Open winner your boy Nick Taylor and good on Coastal remember Pebble Beach proam winner he could definitely get it done two good results here the last two years as well and when I went through in that newsletter and showed the comp courses and the players that play really
Well I I isolated the four that I think are have the biggest crossover in terms of I mean these are strategic courses like you don’t have to it’s almost the same as that Heritage you don’t have to hit the Fairway you just have to be on
Like the right side of the hole so you can attack the pins and make your birdies so you know being in the right rough might be more advantageous than being on the very left side of the Fairway and all of these courses except for elch Leon I know they don’t play
There anymore but there’s a very clear correlation between aoba in this place too many people have won the both those tournaments and field strength relative are about the same at those tournaments it’s different now that Heritage is an elevated event but previous to that it was all like the regular jabronies that
You would see here none of the good players so I put those for Colonial Windam uh myoba and Heritage all in one I added PGA National and Saw Grass another place where players who’ve played well at Sony do really well I just I minimized it a little bit because
You get FY stats from those courses cuz there’s so much water like one or two bad shots can really skew how a player looks and bump them down so I minimize that a little bit but at the very end I did two more to look at I think that for
The bottom end of this field like if you are looking for a $6,000 guy or a cheap player I think that Bermuda is a good one to look for because that field is comprised essentially of the $6,000 range this week who plays well there and we saw that the players with the most
Strokes gain like the top 20 in Strokes gain total in the history of the Bermuda Championship I think five of them came inside the top 12 at this tournament last year which is really nice to see and then Sanders and Farms is the other one to look at because you get more of
Like the sewo the Sam burns like you don’t get Sheffer there but you get more of like the sort of top end guys that even even are at this tournament just to see relative speaking and well Nick Taylor doesn’t really fit in all that well there Luke list did win this year
Nick Taylor’s First PGA win came at the Sanderson Farm so yeah just to put it back on Nick Taylor a little bit about why I like him this week anyway that’s all the newsletter if you want to check it out but that’s sort of what I was
Digging into to try to find different levels of guys that I like this week but that’s where I ended up on it yeah I think he’s fine I obviously like him quite a bit talked about him earlier when you just said everything that goes with him even more that makes it even
Better but I don’t know like again we’ll see where ownership goes with him being at 7200 though like like I was mentioning earlier I I guess maybe this show and other stuff happens and people maybe catch on to some of that stuff but in general most these lineups look like
They end around somewhere in the Andrew putam range at 75 500 and you can easily just build up a nice Sixers lineup from there so that that’s how I’m seeing The Bu The builds shake out this week and then people going to the 9k range you can play Connors Henley Kirk whatever
You want to play in there and still get away with that too so there’s I think the balance builds especially too because it’s a cut week now last week everybody was on the stars and scrubs with it being a no cut and I understand why and that makes sense actually ended
Up being some of the guys through the middle that came through so sometimes you want to Zig with other zag right and that’s a spot you can do it this week well we also have I think not neily an advantage because these guys might suck
But we have a lot of these guys we would play on DP World Tour DraftKings we like at some of these international events who have now graduated to the PGA Tour and when people run optimizers or even use the stats like there’s not a lot of
Asian tour stats and there’s not a lot of DP World Tour stats or Sunshine tour stats to say that like Alexander bjor might be one of the best iron players in this field this sounds like a perfect course for him accurate off the tea goes at pins makes a bunch of putts like
That’s what you want to see at Wy but like no one’s playing Alex Bor this week bork which which can get you into trouble that’s I say too all the time right somebody finds him he ends up being at what 0.5% 1% call let’s give them that yeah everyone but someone says
I’m going to really take a stand on I’m get 20% now I like that approach if you want to get in on this guy get in on him but the point is now that’s why you need to get a little bit more action on him because some people will say I don’t
Even need him because even if he goes off and crushes there’s only 1% or less of the field that’s even on him and then they probably messed up in other places so sometimes you can alleviate it that way too that’s why I look for your
Diamonds in the Rough there is a guy at 6,300 you might like though do you remember that guy let’s see $6,300 he’s playing now I mean it’s not I mean wacky valami is at 64 he would actually be a guy that if the course showed teeth I would want to play he’s
Good at hard courses on the Euro tour not like a birdie Fest guy yeah you can make cases for but like valami is a real guy he has like three DP World Tour wins like he’s good yeah I this is what’s hard like we I don’t think they’re all
The these guys like you just like obviously he has a real guy he’s got wins all this stuff but the point of more like in this range there’s 84 guys in the 6400 you and I know quite a bit more about these guys about crazy Carl I
Assume that’s who you’re looking at I just wanted you to say the name oh uh oh okay well I I was thinking about when we get to the bets uh I I might actually have a maybe a bet in on P and Cy the season is truly back yes that’s what we
Wanted we talked about it yesterday my dad built a weather d just for me to get me out of the rain so I have a chance I like him more as a bet than I like him at 6 probably better off get the if you could get the ceiling out
Of him or something like that but I mean in this I mean he’s a good player yeah oh yeah definitely I mean I just like to joke on him because he has like the world’s most goober name possible he gained a bunch of Strokes at Honda as
Well on approach which is that’s nice to see but he played very poorly at charl Schwab but anyone like that’s why I like him more as a bet because he really seems like Jackal and Hyde like I think he won twice or three times on the corn
Fairy tour and then came like last a bunch of times he’s the exact guy that I like to bet on but he’s like 250 to one or something this week that that’s the other thing too this week we talked about already about the guys from 7500
And up get so popular when you go down to just 7,400 and below and you can get other I don’t know what you want to do if Gary Woodland’s back but like some of these other guys I I got no interest in Gary W until I see it like Gary Woodland
At this point of his career like he hasn’t been good basically since he won the US Open and that was legit like five six years ago at this point I think yeah I guess you you mentioned already then like Nick Taylor if you want to play addc there at 7300 Kirk kyama played
Last week Patrick Rogers played last week these are 72 $7,300 guys that it doesn’t look like really anybody’s going to so that’s why I’m saying you can try and find your guys in the 6K range or you can just drop down here and pick the guys that you want from this range I
There’s guys at the bottom of this field who I think that fit like in well like why is Carson young $6,200 didn’t like I played him a bunch last year he was pretty good I yeah I don’t know I don’t know where you ended up on your cut
Sweats list of making money or losing money but I feel like he was on more losing list than than winning I know there was weeks he popped but man I don’t I don’t see much with a guy like him but what about Kevin kizner hopping out of the booth I’d I’d much rather
Play Carson young like I don’t know where Kisner’s game is at right now but Carson young could be an ascending player for all we know and he kind of fits that mold again like he’s going to hit every Fairway that’s could end up being key this week when you see where
He played well he played well at like Pete Dy in terms of The Travelers he had a top 10 the worldwide technology during the swing season he was top 20 at the Heritage like he plays the shorter courses well he was top he was t21 at
Colonial once you get him at a course that requires any sort of distance he’s absolutely screwed however at this tournament you can be all right he’s top 30 at Honda he’s 6200 bucks like if you want to get janky and play Connors with Oar you fit in cson young yeah I I I’m
Not going to do that this week but um you know CU When you go you talked about you go ludvig and Connors you still have 74 $400 left for four spots yeah but then you can fit in uh you know someone else up there no it’s yeah you can the m
Lets you I just now you can go Oar Connors Russell Henley and you’re Off to the Races yeah I I still think uh it’s one of the most overrated things in pjfs is people playing their super Diamonds in the Rough down low not getting enough of them getting just a piece and then
Realizing that is he a diamond in the rough though I guess that’s what people think he is I’m not saying you are you’re making a good case or I’m saying but what people do is they go I’m going to I know that C is better than this cuz
This I’m going to play him a bunch this week and that’s fine but he really has to do more than you everyone oh as long as he makes the cut that’s not really technically true and also the other side of it is is that the reason some people
That are very good at PGA DFS don’t care is because they know that even if you get him right at 1% you probably don’t have anything else right with him so all those lineups are going to go to somewhere to die and it doesn’t matter
Anyway so do we have any like what do you make of Rio this week Rio I said this last night with Kenny the you know people talk about people like grinding through the holidays and grinding in the offseason and all this stuff all the Japanese players are essentially playing
Like uh Kaya someone like him they’re they’re all they’ve all been in the mix I know the field strength totally different but they’ve been playing golf they play good golf they’re they’re fine like I’m okay with a couple of them there for sure that you mentioned like
Uh Ryu and then also uh Kaya who I just said just any Japanese tour players that have been grinding over there that are sort of in that 7K and up range I’m okay with anybody that you like down low I mean Carson Young Cy would be the other
One but uh like what do you do with Hayden Buckley I bet Hayden Buckley to win that might be good enough but he’s just shown he plays this if this is going to be a course with some of the stickiest course history that we’ve seen year-over-year I mean Buckley’s played
It twice has never finished worse than 12th came second last year yeah I don’t like two two times sample size means he’s good here so I’m not going to probably for a $6,600 guy I’m saying when there’s a million options there’s 83 other guys in that range alone do you
Really think that he gets up there like what about toasty at 66 like he’s he could be like a legit guy on the PGA yeah toasty could be like 1% and Buckley could be like six or seven it’s I don’t think 6K range gets to 10% anymore very
Often it’s the 7ks are the new sixes we’ve talked about this plenty where the 7K is where the steam picks up but at the end of the day like if if Buckley Burns me again and his back in the mix again he just burns me like that that’s
Fine the one that the model really liked uh mainly because he had a great swing season is Ryan Moore and this would be like the I don’t know where his game stands it seems like it’s like circling back around and being good again but this is a historically a Primo Ryan
Moore type course hit some Fairways hit some wedges make some putts but through the swing season he was 13th Fifth and eighth yeah that I I wouldn’t hate something like that again because actually we have some recent form I always care more about that even though this is a course history week and
I get it I’m still going to look at that stuff I was looking at Grayson Sig as well uh again at least has history here I don’t care as much about what the results were because it’s again two-year sample but eighth and 28th in his last
Two two of his last three so I I was looking at him down here he he could be fine in pretty much either category I think like if there was birdies to be made he can have those days in pop if it ends up getting a little bit tighter
Then it’s still probably fine I think he could still be in the mix at that price the ones that I’m seeing popping and like you said probably not going to get to 10% ownership down in the 6K range Michael Kim Doug gim gim Reaper Ryan Moore Grayson Sig Hayden Buckley and
Then Damon Callum Taran like that type of guy you know $6,900 and again like this could just be a play of is this guy just better than what his price is and it will get adjusted very soon so you can get in early when no one seems to
Want to use him but as I recall Robert McIntyre is a good player and he 6,900 bucks yeah I think he’s been playing pretty good too hasn’t he just some of the events he was playing overseas and stuff we’ve been hearing a lot more about him talking about it so I
Definitely think 6900 you could just if it was a maj everyone would play him if it was the Masters he would be 45% own he’ everyone would be on him so I I definitely don’t mind that call uh there’s there’s again there’s a lot of
Guys down here but he’d be one of the ones I would fit into the mix and be more interested in then trying to find some of these other guys and make them work I don’t hate that he had a rough go through Australia that’s the last two
Times that he played he was t-33 and missed the cup that’s also a tournament where Cam Smith came in last place so it’s not really indicative of that but he was T6 in Qatar he finished top 20 at the DP World Tour recent too recent is
She was November yeah so yeah so he’s been playing like how do you judge the layoff it’s hard that that’s the whole problem with that’s I said like anybody that’s been grinding that’s why I said like those Japanese tour Grinders the fact that they’ve played like in within
The last month and got seconds eights thirds I know the field strength is totally different but I still like grinding playing coming into this event fresh versus the layoff more often than not but then there’s also more I think Bobby MC is more what we talk about all
The time I know it’s our first show back this year in studio but last year we talked about it a ton is just getting in on on actual talented guys at prices you think that are wrong meaning you don’t know if they’re right or wrong you’re
Going to bet on it via your lineups or your bets or whatever it might be but you’re saying at 6,900 would he be more six months from now in this field could I see him having a better turnaround a better year you can kind of just bet on
Talent that way I do understand that the world golf rankings are broken yes but just to use it as a barometer for a lot of these guys and McIntyre has been playing on the worst tour of all of them as well he is $6,900 he is theth 58th
Ranked player in the world Vince Wy I mean I don’t even know if he is ranked he’s at the same price MH MTH mcne is back too he’s using a temporary exemption uh for medical yeah he’s he’s got a bunch of them but I think this is the first he’s
Using on he need he needs 25 FedEx Cup points to get his so he’s basically needs to make the cut and he gets his card back he kind of has a name like Pearson Cy and you kind of could do the same thing my dad bought well his dad is
Actually like a bil he could buy him whatever he wants so that that is correct but uh yeah I guess that’s another conversation we get to it later with willly Z M Woodland that’s the three that people are talking about you already hit on Woodland you just hit on
McNeely I’m not sure if you have another take on Willie Z but I just no will Z for me that’s I think for everybody right yeah and you know what he would actually kind of fit into if this course if you rated it as playing super tough
Because of the wind and rain come Thursday I think that all of a sudden zalot Taurus is way more Al this is minus 22 he’s not live he would also fit into the if you just bet on guys that you would expect to be more expensive
Very soon he’s 9,300 I know people are going to say that’s whatever but man this guy he’s going we know that he’s going to be more expensive soon we just don’t know how like I bet on him to win that stupid hero with like 16 people he
Was 40 to1 in that field he’s like 30 to one this week to win against a full field of guys he was not good well that week was messed up though it was his first one back right so but it was he shot 81 and then like a 64 or so or
Something super low 68 maybe it was and then it was 79 and a 71 or something like that he so he went up down up down the week before on Instagram or wherever he’ posted he’d set some course record at a course in Texas or something and
Then I guess what my take is this all I’m going to bring up two things one I think he gets a little more popular as we get closer to lock because more people start leaning to what we’re thinking here because I think it is true is that people are acting like this is
His first event like he’s coming back from last week’s back surgery or something that’s not really what we have here no like he could be healthy right but this isn’t a course I would like him at anyway and he might not be all the
Way back so why would I play him I for yeah that’s what I I mean you could you could play an even cheaper even less owned Hideki if you wanted to who’s won here before I don’t think Hideki will come in lower than him what no no one’s
Using Hideki hideki’s down to like 45 to one in the betting Market yeah all right now on fantasy National right now Hideki projected ownership or generated in lineups uh 4.6% Wily Z 3.5% so those are the two guys that no one is using you know who you know who I actually do like
There that this was a name I did not expect to see pop out of like when I ran the mixed condition model with all the elements that I put in like Russell Henley is number one chocker uh Connor’s is inside the top five Kirk is inside
The top five you know who number three was Cameron Davis and just it triggered in the back of my mind like where does Cameron Davis play well well he plays well at TPC sass he plays well at the Heritage he actually has a pretty good run at this course I was surprised he
Wasn’t more popular because I kind of dismissed him outright he is someone that burned a ton of people last week yeah I agree I I I don’t know if we’ll get true flop leg because some but the good news is 8% or something and he’s in
That range where no one really wants to go to I think he’ll be in double digits but it doesn’t matter low double digits so who cares like I would say but my one nice thing about in Pat is that we’re keeping him down because of Benny Anne
SEIU Kim Harris English had a good week last week Justin Rose I think what was it on Sunday I I bet Justin Rose he was 10 under at one point on Sunday on Sunday I think it was like a 10 under bogey fre or 11 under bogy Freer so it
Was a crazy round people like Stephen yagger we had this conversation last night I posted on Twitter that was the guy we were talking about when I was counting it off 32 was the actual sorry 30 of 32 made Cuts is his last 32 events for Steph Jagger and he’s less than the
Average price would you want to play him over a superior player in Keegan Bradley who’s a $100 less who you definitely are sacrificing I think the upside there’s no doubt about that we talked about it but I think for if you’re looking for a safe to make the cut play and you landed
On someone like him he’s definitely still got the possibility of getting there Priced Right for those results but yeah you’ve got Rose and Bradley other guys around him that I think you can get to and then you have all those guys from coocher down to hogi that I mean really
Down to um putam I should say that you got to make that decision like if you could pick right now coocher Glover senson or you’ve done this to me let’s it’s an easier one of three coocher Glover senson how would you rank those Glover senson coocher Pro love it all
Right that’s what I was wondering who yeah Paul Casey we keep bringing this video back back it’s too good but yeah I just think that’s the interesting thing of like this setup is people are going to look for angles but what about coer you’re you brought up El Cameleon the the cheap
Caddy situation he crushes over there he crushes here that may have been the last time I hit an outright winner I hit him to win in Mako but then I hit him to win here after I won both of those bets he went back to back no he won it this like
Patton kazy and Matt coocher did it they won Mexico in the fall then they won this tournament right in their first start after so yeah I I’m struggling in that range but again the problem is the answer might be Landing in that range we’re playing all of them one the answer
Might be just don’t I bet Lucas Clover to win at 75 to1 just because I thought like the the stats love him that’s what I did too and I’m what I’m seeing right now and maybe it doesn’t turn out that way that stenson’s actually going to be
More owned which I thought was crazy projections like him I can see that I mean the model likes him he’s like number one yeah so that’s going to be it and I mean obviously he’s got uh you know some of the stuff he had like a 30
And a 45th in there but just looking at his results there’s ton of top 20s and top 10 and he’s only 7700 decent enough he started solid at least in the round four on Sunday didn’t fully carry it over through the for the back nine but still had a good good overall
Setup for me in the upper sevens and maybe it doesn’t hold True to this form but you know I’m going to play my lineups I lose money all the time but this is the way that I want to go out and playing these lineups I would much
Rather play the severely under owned Tom hogi at $7,600 who just you know what you’re getting with hog he’s literally going to fire at every pin yeah and K run a hot putter like if you want to find someone who might shoot 62 and come back and win Tom hogi is probably your
Answer no it’s playing btia either after one bad round against the world’s best players yeah that’s what’s going to happen he’s gonna fall off a cliff just because of that I mean if he had had a good Sunday I would have own a ton of
Money last week but he did not but I’m not afraid to go back to him it doesn’t seem like anyone wants him yeah everything he’s done is fine obviously took that win away from Patrick Rogers last year too so the Patrick Rogers people going to play him
That loser this week the B you played last week you you know you bring that up remember too that’s the other thing all the trends and I know you went over them already Kenny brought them up last night everything like that but the main thing is it’s not who played last week and
Crushed it’s just who played last week and again he did kind of Crush until he didn’t on the last day so even that is leaning in his favor as well so realistically he’s fine here at 700 definitely looks like norin him would be the two lowest and hogi in this upper
Range yeah sorry and then and then hogi yeah I thought that was surprised you think putham is going to be pretty I might think I don’t I maybe he ends up getting there but I think there’s a ground swell for Luke list I think that
L list will end up being the one who’s higher owned than you think but I mean when we start building out these lineups we can kind of see it in a different way no one’s playing Grio which I thought was strange oh because everyone wants to
Play Aaron Ry I like I like Aaron Ry enough anyway but I’ve lost enough money with Aaron Ry over the years I bet you he appeared in the the the cut sweats players you see the players who lost me the most money last year it was Sheffer
Number one I don’t know how that’s possible because every time he’s should close he can’t Putt and last week by the way still couldn’t putt had one good round with the Putter and that was it see yeah Taylor and pendrith towards the bottom or garnering like some ownership
Billy hoe 74 like him he I feel like he was good during he didn’t play the I don’t think he played a lot during the swing but I believe he played a lot on the DP World Tour M I thought yeah someone said like he’s back a little bit
Or I feel like he was crushing over there Alfred Dunhill lyns back in October 14th the BMW PGA Championship on the EUR tour 18th he said he had some good finishes for sure yeah and those were against like good fields too cuz everyone was playing in the lead up to
The Ryder C well speaking of this range though Ben Griffin one of the Benz was on my winning list and one of the Benz was on my losing list Ben Griffin Ben Martin you have better memories on this stuff they’re similar names well Ben Griffin is is someone who should crush
At this course he’s the one who plays all these comp courses really well so it’s probably him and he did well here last year and he can’t he’s got eighth 23rd 37th was sort of his swing so don’t don’t again this is where I think just
No nobody’s going to any of these guys guo who you talked about Griffin I don’t know if people will go back to Rogers Nick Taylor will see if he picks up steam as the week goes on but all these guys in this range would you go uh I
Don’t know if you were heavy on him last week but would you play Vincent Norman crushed everyone’s hopes and he will not pick up ownership I was on Vince Norman last week right so would you go to him this week no because this isn’t the
Style of course that I want to play him at okay I I want to play him at a course where driving really matters because he is an awesome like his driving is so good mhm that if you can get him at a spot like maybe somewhere like Tory
Pines would be a place where I’d want to play Vince Norman again like in the not too distant future I just I just don’t know if I can May and listen he’s a PGA professional if he gets it to you know 110 a bunch of times and sticks it to
Five feet then egg on my face but I would want him where he’s not a great player overall I’d want to play him more at a course at least in my mind that fits his skill set a little bit more I got two more quick takes in this one one
Is Ry if if it gets tougher because we know what he’s going to do make PS all day so he’d be like the guy that would come through everyone’s looking for Andrew putam to make a million birdies again or Luke list or something and you can get Aaron Ryan there I know you
Mentioned he might be popular now but I think he gets uh a bump for me at least if the course does you know have some teeth and then lastly no one’s talking about this guy everyone’s talking about his his old roommate Cory Connor Taylor pendrith down here not sure if you
Looked at I mean even his November was solid he he does this he he can do it and he no one’s playing him at 7200 and he’s side Nick Taylor which is another Canadian Factor you just flip it around but either way you can play them both we
Talk about this all the time man the swing was third 15th eth I know he missed the cut at the RSM but still 7200 no one just no one’s playing in this range 7K to 7,400 it’s funny I mistakenly said that Hayden Buckley was the like first round or second round
Leader at the Players Championship this year it was wrong was Chad Ry I get them confused Remy corales winter Coastal punana 16th the Sanderson Farms yeah I don’t mind I mean these are just little things you can 12th at the Charles Schwab at Colonial as well yeah
What’s his price this week 6,100 or something really I I don’t know if he’s that low let’s see Captain ramus 65 I’ll play him over your Carson young I’d bet him against you too if you want that one no I mean I like list just going to look
At it I like him enough yeah I like that play all right I don’t think that there’s going to be like that big of a difference between they’re both going to be not owned one’s going to make the cut and do well and one’s not well we’ll see
About that I don’t know which one I’m just saying I would still pick a side but yeah this is going to be a fun week I think and then going back up to the top where we’re probably going to start it’s like that’s the big decision Factor
Like again what if it does have some teeth Hatton pretty I think Hatton could play on any course so I really do like Hatton here this week and then Fitzpatrick just gets a little bit more interesting Ander Cur yeah and he already not only is he Ander curst they
Can’t even get his clubs he’s they’ve lost his clubs on the trip between Maui and Honolulu I’m more worried if I see the ownership and what if it’s actually like right now I’m seeing some higher ownership than I expected on him I guess it’s just because you have the money to
Spend this week and ways to get to these guys at the top but I actually still think the uh either the balance builds with a couple 9k guys or whatever come through or the pick a guy up top pick a Cory Connors or a Henley and then Jam in
That range that you can fit all those 7K guys and and still land on a pretty good spot at the Finish Line whether it’s a list or a hogi or a puam whatever it ends up looking like down there I mean maybe it’s just stupid on me to fade Oar
I did it last week it turned out pretty good it’s just man like he’s going to I don’t I want to play him because I think that I bet on the talent versus the the stats and the field and the sticky course history and playing here before
And all that but I think everybody else is doing the same and then he gets over owned because it’s like oh I believe this I believe this and then it’s just tilting when you know everybody jumps on on board so I I like Hatton quite a bit
Here I like Hatton of the 10K guys I like Hatton the best because this is a course that I think that he could pick apart and we just you know he can get so hot with his putting and it’s like outrageous how hot he getss with his
Putting and he has a he hasn’t done it in a while but he has a unique combination to match those things like we saw at two rounds at the Canadian open we saw it go the other way I think that was a part of 71 he was like 71 63
7163 like when he gets hot he just gets super hot we saw it on Friday at caloa too was he like 11 underpower or something crazy like that and he was pissed off with how he playing the the stats from from this last year on top of
The fact that he just didn’t get a win it’s like man this guy is there’s no I don’t do the do thing but I’m saying like there because there no such thing but I’m saying all I care about is DFS this week him the price ownership whatever I’m mixing in everything still
Lines up for him and the best part is even if he picks up steam as this week goes on you still have guys like ludvic you still have guys like fala Connor Henley Kirk Z like everyone’s going to pull a little bit here and there it’s
Got to keep it in check which is all I care about when getting in on the action so yeah I definitely have interest in Hatton are you playing will you are I am okay yeah bets here are the five that I have and now I’ll finalize everything in
The newsletter once again you can go do that for free down in the description or substack docomo medianetwork newsletter find it in there I bet Chris Kirk at 35 to1 it it seemed like a too big of a number and now it’s like 22 to1 or
Something like that so I guess I was got some good clv on it but if you’re if you’re catching a guy who’s I mean historically I mean we go back to like 10 years when he got like super hot we’ve seen him go through like patches
Of just getting fire and then he like goes away for a while so he just won so might as well go to it after I recommended that no one play him last week that was fun on the live show but uh here we are I’ll jump back on now
This is a course where he’s played really well in his career he’s wanted comp courses to this course uh I just like him a lot it seemed like a big number versus a lot of the other guys that were right around him like yeah I
Could see that I could see JT JT POS him was like 40 I like posting enough this week but if you would list him at 55 I wouldn’t have been like oh my God what value yeah I think for the first time we’ll see like people do hop back on a
Winner but not enough again to care if he gets to 12 to 15% awesome get a ton of Leverage and other thing for me too Pat was what he closed out you go look at the board like Kenny was talking about last night how he felt like it la
Like little bit lackluster of the event it wasn’t just the ROM thing or no Rory whatever but he said that’s kind of going to be the events that we’re going to see at the Signature Events this year and missing a little bit of Personality whatever who cares but if you look at
The back of that the back half of that top 10 to 15 range of the chef lers Klay xanders I mean spe was right behind him theala has been hot all this stuff Kirk closed him out he did his job he got the win he’s been great here these guys we
Talk Surfers mentality like you catch a wave you know it’s coming and crashing back down at some point he’s obviously had the lowest of those crashes but he got back on the surfboard goes back up he’s doing the same thing here these guys try and Peak for these certain
Events and he’s in good form he’s done well here I think you can definitely go back to him so Kirk 35 to one for me I bet Justin Rose at 60 to1 on Monday he’s down down to 35 to1 on draftking Lucas Glover at 75 to1 he’s now 50 at
Draftking sports B you can probably still find better numbers out there on these guys I’m just reading it off of here Nick Taylor 100 to1 with the top five each way and Hayden Buckley 150 to one with the top five each way I might throw Cy on there because like there’s
Cy there’s uh Adrien Dumont D Shah who just on name alone I think I have to bet him odds man crazy starting odds for him when you you know I know you were predicting some odds this week people are mad at you because you got Willie Z
Wrong but the the setup on addc I mean I I really would have thought you’d get something but the books are just on top of they do not want to let him beat you oh they know yeah but even still like you got you might have to take that I
Think it started at 80 not sure where it’s at now but uh that that was one that you could look at as well how much is he on draftking 7,300 doesn’t seem like people are using I was surprised to see that his DraftKings ownership wasn’t spiking it’s not going to it should he’s
Great I know if there’s a guy that you want to bet on Talent there’s a guy you bet on talent for sure yeah I mean the guy’s literally doing ludvig things on his way up I mean it may not happen right away but it’s the idea of getting
In on somebody early he would fit that mold I bet kyama as well last week uh he ended up rallying nicely on the weekend but again this is you know Coastal course any Coastal course just play kittama yeah and I’m going back like that’s what I’m telling you this range
Where do you see someone more than 8% between 7K and 7,400 I don’t see anybody no I’m just think I’m just talking about betting like I’m not no no I know you I’m just saying like I’m going back and flipping it for both sides it’s just like everyone you’re talking about is
Also in the range in DFS that nobody’s playing but you’re willing to bet them to win and that’s for good reason there’s actual reason that you’ve put there your newsletter covers it you’re talking about here like everything it’s it’s realistic stuff here so we’re not talking about crazy plays either in DFS
These are definitely guys that you can be playing and go back to you’re doing a giveaway at shipet Nation right we are using Code Mayo for you special for for you the good people out there the Mayo media Network for everybody out this’s our first live in studio show we’re
Going to be doing this every single week we usually be Wednesdays come out we’ll have it all set up for you guys but love doing the show we loved it through football so what we’re doing right now if you didn’t see over at shipit nation.com we did launch PGA only DFS
Packages so we usually had you get everything we still have the all access if you use code Mayo you get 10% off that if you use code Mayo on the PGA only packages monthly drops down to about $30 a month so like a dollar a day
If you use it on the season pass there’s sites out there charging $5 to $600 for that ours a lot it’s a lot yeah 1999 drops it down to 179 works out to just under five bucks per event so if you use code Mayo it’s going to be 239 starting
Next week right now it’s $199 you can drop it to$ 179 if you buy a monthly under code Mayo you you will get bumped we’ll pick one random winner to turn their monthly into a season pass we’ll draw for it randomly and announce it next week if you buy a season pass
You’ll get bumped to your money back for your pass that you bought so obviously your better odds are the season pass less people are always going to buy a season pass then a monthly that’s just standard business if you buy that though we will give away and refund one of each
The monthly will get bumped up the season will get refunded back I like that code Mayo shiin nation.com fantasy national.com mayo2 for a discount over there pair them together and boom you’re good to go got the stats and the tools you got all the content that you need
Everything else projections to go with it so is a huge first week we had a guy win a fantasy Golf World Championship ticket 100K win the listeners League listener League winner was in there as well yeah you got it man it was definitely an awesome first week Chris
Kirk I saw Lee bet Chris Kirk he was number one in our we have a course fit rankings over there or some of the stuff you’re doing where again that’s the beauty of having the sites and mixing them together and having what you can do with those sites with the data end tools
And then bringing them together with the content people that are working on this stuff full-time but Kirk was our number one value play in the course fit rankings and then for our projections five of the top six point per dollar most of under 6% owned scored 110 DraftKings points or more and you’re
Talking about guys at like 6,800 6200 now In fairness everyone scored that many fantasy points last week yeah not quite I went back back and looked at it this is a pretty solid run and that’s why we all all of our members were up there that’s awesome so yeah code Mayo
Over shiin nation.com on those golf packages get in the draw and uh we’ll see you next week with a winner trying to see who is actually the best like of the my course Vic guys yeah Henley Connors Hideki Cam Davis Chris Kirk Glover Rose Cole Todd Harmon are my top
10 this week when I did the newsletter stuff so real quick because I can fit Todd for cheap right we’re going to get to the builds anyway soon aren’t we look let’s let’s I want to talk about one oh okay yeah we can do that where do you
Think that people go this week actually yeah um Connor Henley Connor do you think people will use like do you I think that Connors is going to be the highest yeah why wouldn’t I mean it’s the it’s the spot what are you waiting for I guess Valero Valero Texas that I was just
Going to say or any May Conor I mean he plays API really well yeah I don’t think the people even the ones that are mapping it out they’re looking at either Valero or just saying this week is still kind of again when you have this sort of
Uncertainty at the top of the board as much as you you should or shouldn’t I don’t care what you say like the not you and people in general like ludvig talh Hatton Matt Fitz Pat you think I could just save them for something else I I don’t know about theala whatever it
Looks like I think people just go to the safety range so Connors Henley maybe ride the Kirk heater and then also potentially I don’t know if this will end up being popular but going back to the well on sewu Kim played played really well on Sunday last week played
Well overall you can save him too but man it’s you got to make your picks here so I think it comes out of that sort of group of four and maybe some of those guys up top is five so for me I think that whittles it down like would you
Burn a Hatton or a ludvig or any of the top guys top three guys let’s say the ones that are going to be like legitimate contenders and Majors elevated events that kind of thing I’d definitely be willing to burn Hatton right here right now I see I I would be
I know that cus ended up picking Fitzpatrick I think Fitzpatrick’s the one you’d want to burn here yeah I don’t just people will use Hatton because it makes sense no one’s going to use fit yeah I I I also just again I’m going on what I actually think is going to happen
Because it’s week one of the one and done I’m not trying to like Leverage the field right out of the Gates make all these moves I’m you say you don’t want to leverage the field but there’s zero chance you would use Cory Connors this week if 30% of the field is using him
But that’s CU I’m also not as high on Connors as the rest of the world so I’m still sticking to what I would play like I like Hatton I like Willie Z I like SEIU Kim like those are some of the guys that I would definitely use and I wanted
Them because and use them in DraftKings and bet on them whatever it might be I’m interested in all those options here this week so I’m going to play who I actually think is going to win this week and not look at what everybody else is
Doing on week one well I’m going to play one of the guys that I bet on so I’m either going to play Kirk Rose or Glover or maybe Cam Davis who I might end up betting depending on what his odds get to if he keeps dropping then I’m the
More I’m going to like him and he has fallen down the draft King Sports bookboard where’s he at now in terms of he’s down to 40 to1 which probably means he’s like 70 to1 somewhere so I’ll go about that but I like him a lot this
Week like he is going to be a conviction guy for me I just it never occurred to me that he would be good here but he has been good here he’s good to every other course that’s like this course and talking through this and thinking out
Loud right now like I really like the pcks that you just framed up because my thinking now just again it’s good doing these shows going back and looking at it like I still no have no problem because I really have nothing that I care about saving Hatton for and I do like Hatton
This week so I’d be okay with that one still the other ones like a for example a SEIU would it make sense here yes but at the same time I feel like there’s a bunch of places I could still use them and why not use up one of the guys you
Mentioned instead take the shot while I feel like there’s form there and be able to still get them in the mix have a good result out of them additionally anyone that you’re considering using here you can use at any of those other tournaments that I called comp courses
Which is true and that’s why when you Nam the list of again could you make cases for Cam Davis and and Glover and Rose you probably could but also who cares those are good guys to use this week I actually don’t mind the uh the Justin Rose call that one’s kind of
Interesting too Rose when I did the research show this week the name that continuously popped up over and over and over was Justin Rose and we talked played last week too he did it was either you and I or Kenny and I I can’t remember who talked about this but like
Just looking back at last year how many times did that super hot round four turn into just an excellent next week and you like well I thought it was just like one round and I was going to wait on it and see what happened and they like it was too late it’s happening
Right now and that is a thing like his Sunday round was pretty solid if he found something or not we’ll find out will people go there probably but in the one and done who cares like I said I still feel like that’s a good spot and what are you saving Rose for probably
Nothing either so I’m good with that Oar would be the other one to look at for that he shot 63 went 7763 on the weekend to kaaloa Rose was 7561 that’s crazy um putam shot a 64 in the final round hadwin who I like this
Week shot a 64 in the final round as well along with Brian Harmon Kirk was 65 is Davis riy playing this week he is he’s cheap too I think he shot at 64 he went 70 71 7664 yeah it’s w 6,800 he he also uh finished 20th here last year
Or was it last year yeah it was probably the year that he like almost won valpar 2022 yeah that was that would be that year let’s get into these DraftKings lineups we got to fill up the listeners League there’s obviously no rake so there’s no reason for you not to play in
It the link is down in the description right now so please go enter your three into that we got a football one this week as well so Sunday uh Sunday only yeah yeah awesome Sunday only NFL and we’re going to be talking about we’re doing the show on Friday right we’re not
We’re not we are I thought we were I thought we canceled thought we moved to Golf shows no I thought we were doing both for the next two weeks cuz there’s enough games we don’t have to we might we might be able to work something out
Yes I can grab someone else to do that I always confused things but I thought that’s what it was like okay we’re done with football shows moving on to the Golf shows and I was trying to plan my schedule around there but we’ll talk after if you have availability you’re in
If not you just let me know if I miss this week I’ll definitely be on next week okay that’s what I can commit to I know I just think there’s something on this one I’ll have to look at it all right let’s build some lineups let’s do
It where do you want to start do you want to start with the most generic lineup we can build let’s do what we always do and say okay what looks really popular obar Connors okay Oar Connor we’re gonna I still he should legally change his name to aberer it
Sounds way better I was say is it is it oar is it oberg I’ve heard the even on switching it to what the O thing is is now I’ve heard multiple pronunciations of that as well just really frustrating make it Aber that’s why I always just say ludvig now like because I don’t
Really care I’m going to call him La actually I’m just going to use his initials and say I’m playing La so so in the early although this isn’t reflective of the like the actual lineups that are being spit out and maybe this has something to do with like
The back end of who you can fit in and who you can’t fit in Herman is being spit out at a higher rate than Cory Conor in lineups but the favorite percentage and the actual like projected ownership is way higher on Cory Conor yeah that James take last week was very
Strong because it is true over there so I think definitely looking at the the favorites and stuff like that and just seeing just people haven’t quite got there yet so if you go La Connors and then I think svenny right like is senson popping up there yeah I would say it’s
Probably senson senson and then Ry maybe possibly yeah or E root who we didn’t mention yet but it seems like he’s going to Garner some ownership as well who do I see right now in the early initials is like see that’s the only thing I wonder like man we could think
That ludvig is going to get this ownership and then it might just come down when people realize that you’re in that bottom 7K range well that that’s what I wanted to you can definitely just quickly flip ludvig to your pick of Kirk or Henley and then Jam in two really
Solid guys to round it out and that’s what I think happens which is what’s going to happen because just and even like you said like the what James had mentioned last week using fantasy National early in the week favorite percentage much better than actual lineups generated and the calculated
Ownership does take in that into consideration but to look at obar right now ludvig he is favored less than Hatton more than Fitzpatrick and the gall but that’s to be expected but he’s being generated right now in how many 1,200 lineups at 33% his calculated ownership is only 12% I think uh just
Looking at it already even if Ry was putam let’s say because I think putam gets more popular by the end of the week it’s you’re looking at this you’re down to 7250 if you’ve got ludvig Connor senson Ry putham could be there too but still you’re down to 7250 you pull out
Ludvig you have 83 00 now you put in I don’t know if you like Kirk or Henley more let’s say it was Henley people like more you were now down you were now at 7700 you land in that money spot of your choices of adding in putham with Ry or
Going with hogi or going with list or getting to coocher or Glover you can go Glover and somebody I think to round this out I mean you’re right in that range so don’t you think more people end up here with this 29k 47k oh I do but I
Wanted to finish this this ludvig lineup first I I just was just looking if as people saw on the screen Sheamus power 6,900 bucks the guy who played last week maybe it’s him that would leave you at 7600 for your guy Hollywood hogi yeah which is not going to be the Comon
People if that was the case I would leave you I put on Adrian Dumont Shai as well I think it would just land on probably putam I mean if we do it this way it kind of goes ludvig Conor senson Dumont Shai power and Glover yeah that could
Work uh I think it would be more common to see Ry and that’s not that’s not going to be common but let’s go that one just to see what it looks like here so Adrien how do you say his name people want to hear that pronunciation okay art as I’m sure some
Stupid American will say oh man maybe they can talk about that in the foyer of their house yeah it’s possible the uh the setup you had was actually still uh projected pretty well early on so let’s go back and do that adjustment that you talked
About so do you like do you think it’s going to be Henley or Kirk it’s 100 bucks I think it’s going to be Henley so do I I think Kirk will get Kirk will beate steam because people be like I’m okay with it all the points we may but I
Still think people land on Henley I’d rather play Henley and Kirk than play Connors but I know that people are going to play Connors so so right now so we can just kind of take everyone else out we’ll keep senson in now we have 7600
And I think this makes it pretty easy to fill out the rest of the lineup you said uh Ry and putam right you go Ry putam and then you have 7900 which drops you on either Todd or probably coocher or Glover right yeah I man so what do you have
Right now I have Henley Connor Henley Connor senson yeah okay you did already have Spen I was say okay I got him in there and then Glover leaves you 7600 for two remaining I was just trying to see what else I could get spawn seems to be
Relatively popular as well he gets a little love every now and again too yeah it looks it looks like actually that could be spawn or list I don’t know where you think people land I would land on list but that’s me and IT projects pretty well um but it’s Henley Connor
Senson list Glover and then your choice of putam or Rye or doubling down and getting spawn in with list I’ll just throw in list in Rye with Glover I’m seeing more ownership towards Ry if we’re trying to build towards like what people are going to do mhm this
Lineup looks pretty good in terms of commonality at least like four of those guys are going to be in most people’s lineup somewhere yeah not most but in a lot even on a Tuesday I can confirm that putham will be more popular at 7500 than Ry than anyone in that range 7500 and
Down really yeah interesting so that’s that’s my prediction but I I think the r point he will duke it out with Ry yeah those will be the two Ry is going to pick up steam if this place gets harder that’s for sure because like that would make way
More sense for Ry Nick Taylor is going to be more owned than he has projected as well that that as well we could actually try and he’s going to end up being like 15 16% owned he’s 72 right we talked about this already so let’s let’s
Dump list and go to Taylor I’m trying to do that right now and then we can dump Rye keep Glover in that gets us to 8,000 which actually gets us to hadwin which I actually really like play a bunch of Canadians if you go senson hadwin Taylor Connor Henley Glover there you go
There’s the winning lineup right there it’s probably does pretty well I would actually I mean I like this lineup I like I I would switch like I said Connor into Kirk and spencon into someone else just like those the two can I mean they’re fine I bet you projections love
This one oh baby Kenny my boy Kenny I just swapped the Glover and Henley play to sewo and Benny an and it fits like a glove you got it right in there you got the four Canadians with SE and Benny that’s huge so four Canadian so you turn
Glover and heny into who get the Americans out and get in seu Kim and Benny Anne and it fits perfectly there we go easy lineup these are what win this is the tournament lineups you mix Canadians you get in see W Kim Benny Anne this is the the Koreans and
Canadians it works well it’s essentially the fantasy golf degeneration because get tagged that’s I get tagged in at every tournament it’s like the Canadians battling it out with the you know who’s going to win Kenny or Tambo is what they call it and it’s like the setup that you
See every week so this is the winner right here definitely all right so let’s enter that one I want to build one that I want to build now yes let’s do that uh Kirk with Henley like I know Henley’s going to be popular I don’t care also
Doesn’t matter when you again not who you play how you play him when you’re starting it with Henley and then immediately putting Kirk right in there where most are either making a decision between those two not playing one or both or getting Connors or somebody stacked above them you have like three
Or four things going in your favor of how this can still be different not to mention you’re about to pick someone completely random that nobody wants to play Cam Davis uh he might be better than that but that’s that’s a good pick still I’m saying but either way you’re
Going to pick somebody that’s going to give you an ownership leverage game down below oh I’m going to go to Nick Taylor and then I’m going to go to Grio at 74 that gives me 78 now you have to make that decision now that I gave you
Earlier rank them Glover first oh yeah I I mean Glover is number one but I can afford baa in this that’s true you know I think that Glover has a better chance of winning but I think objectively speaking if I don’t need to any sort of Leverage in this lineup I’ll just play
Glover that makes it easy for me I like hogi second best over coocher but batia is sitting there at 78 might be like 4% owned and he can score Coastal course these greens are a bit fast for him CU they’re not velcro like last week which
Is a real problem it could slow down a little bit if we get some of that rain if we get some of the rain also did you see someone said I forget who tweeted this last night or whatever posted it out on there but it was like baa loves
Vacation and it showed like the 10 events he’s played in the spots but but what what else what’s the other commonality between those places yeah they’re Coastal Resort courses that have like the slowest greens that you’re going to find on Earth yeah like Mexico both the Mexico courses Puerto Rico Dominican Republic
Butterfield Bermuda last week these ones again the rain might slow them down I mean it’s not like these are Augusta greens out here in terms of speed but they are significantly faster than last week and he putted really well last week yeah I I did enjoy did you watch his
Interview after round three I think it was because they were talking to him about the long putter what did he say there he’s just like I’m bad he’s like I know the stats I’m bad at putting I need to figure out how to do like just I’ve
Seen Adam Scott go from a bad putter to a good putter using the broomer he’s like see Woo is doing it now he’s putting a lot better he talked about Glover is doing it he’s putting a lot better he’s like I might as well if I
Try nothing I can’t putt so I might as well try this I really like this guy man like this what that’s funny cuz I actually didn’t see that but he thinks in the mix but Kenny and I had this conversation last night and his point was why would baa do this he’s too
Young to move over I said cuz he’s not the smartest guy in the room we actually had a full like life conversation for two won’t get into it here but it was the point of that it’s like he real izes now what if if he waits two three years
How many wins or how many times being in contention that he could get some luck on his side wind how many timeses that cost him versus just saying I’m bad and switching to it now I didn’t even know that interview had happened but that’s awesome to see because that’s how I
Think it should be just take it in figure it out and move on and do what’s best for you in your game so that’s not the essential lineup that I want to play cuz I’m trying to build like the lineup that I’ll play in higher Stakes this
Week and I’ll probably take baa out because I I totally forgot that like rose is my favorite play so I should probably play Justin so we still have Kirk Henley Davis Taylor right yeah and so take out Grio and batia that gets us down to 7,000
Homeless you want so here’s what I think like I know that you don’t love using course history I actually lean a lot on course history on courses like this that tend to be stickier shorter courses with similar Fields every single year he sucks at this course yeah sucks so I’m
Not I’m not in love with him I just that’s why I I first saw but then I realized your boy Davis is down there too Davis Thompson’s there e root is right there Ben Kohl’s is a good player yeah people love him this week he’s not
Going to get a ton of orange I’m said like I’ve heard his name mention well he was if we’re talking about like we’ve seen so many guys come up from corn fery like the elite elite corn fery guys and just play well right away tayor Montgomery did it all last year until
Like this tournament he played well and then he had the top five at AMX the next week then he was never heard from again yeah I I don’t have any problem with it like I said I don’t it’s one of those ones that gets mentioned but probably
Doesn’t get played so I’m I’m good with that yeah so Cole is pretty good like I said Sheamus power is right there he’s a good player he won Bermuda why he was in that tournament to begin with if you go uh Power one interesting note just for
You because it’s your lineup but uh you can go off your cam Davis conviction and get your boy SEI wo in there I know I like Cam Davis better this week okay and people are playing seu some like I think all things being equal I kind of lean
Davis anyway and if he’s gonna be half the ownership why wouldn’t I BL I don’t think he’ll be half but yeah it’ll be close that range is popular Benny Anne SEIU Davis is very clearly the guy that gets squeezed in that range an is going to be the guy everyone
Plays yeah I agree I like I like an a lot too don’t get me wrong and it’s showing Denny at like 5% right now people will play Denny McCarthy they always play Danny McCarthy just like when someone told me last week when James and I were talking about the fina
Would come in you know at that super under owned he ended up being a lot more owned than I thought he was gonna be because he’s Tony feno although people didn’t play Tommy Fleetwood for the first time ever how did he end up finishing I don’t
Think it was that great poorly yeah but it was just funny that like he feno and Fleetwood historically are always the guys that just basically add 10% to whatever their number is whatever the projections say they’re coming in at just add numbers to it yeah lately that
This last year it’s been theala that the gala but it wasn’t last week depending on his price too that’s going to say it matters more that way when he’s like 7600 sometimes it’s the case but last week not so much he was what was he last
86 in the no he was 77 last he was 76 last week I thought that I didn’t play him cuz I thought he was going to be chalky and pivoted off of him and it turned out that everyone had that same idea and just didn’t play him La last
Week especially too was like a lazy week for sure because week 18 of NFL people are some some are in some are out on that so yeah that that would make sense I think we see that as the season goes on but definitely a way that you can go
Different so I’m not sold on Sheamus Power by any means is there anyone else in that range cuz I have $7,000 let’s say I think power is probably the highest upside play outside of maybe Bobby Mack like you can put those two together at least I know that power can
Play this style of course well with Bobby Mack it’s a pure talent bet but no one’s playing either of them anyway so you kind of roll with it and power did play last week which does go into it that’s really nice vas is down here too
By the way he’s your you you called this early last week I don’t know how it really ended up finishing overall because again like you said everybody scored but he was you were like free on the Costa courses he’s basically free you can get him there and now he was
First round later and he’s sh like 90 or something it was good if you good if you bet him for that but yeah he he’s down here as well the 6K range has 84 guys yeah but just is there anyone like from $7,000 and down I think you just land on
One of the guys you said I would go Ben Kohl’s right here and be done okay I I don’t really know anything about I that’s a I should talk to Sky about yeah what Ben kohs is all about I I know that he wins he played here in 22 and
Finished well he finished fifth at the RSM like you’re just playing a guy Talent yeah yeah if you because you don’t like a hubard who you know more about him but you said like you you’re against that ecro Davis Thompson you know you know about them like you know
What you’re getting but your other five spots are what you want this is kind of like can who can make a cut yeah and may maybe I’ll build a core of these five guys and just rotate in Ben Kohl’s sh Kim is someone who popped up at some of
The like minor corer courses was T12 here a year ago um yeah maybe I’ll just do that I’ll play this lineup with Ben Kohl’s I’ll play it with I mean course history King Ryan Palmer I don’t man there’s a bunch of options out here you could make a
Case for a ton of them but yeah I think it feels a lot like it’s going to be like a roster construction week yeah I like this style of lineup the best okay this week for me and I don’t think I’m going to be alone in that but I do think
As you mentioned starting with Henley at 96 is not necessarily what people want to do this lineup is different then what other people are going to land on because it’s two NS two eights and two low sevens that’s just not going to be popular yeah I skip I ski the mey range
You skip the heavy range there but like I I said this to Kenny last last night tooo same thing is like last year we saw a lot of times it was like a 9k range that was loaded and everyone had the fomo where they’re like oh I can’t skip
Any I can’t skip the 9k range when you shouldn’t have fomo when it’s the upper 7K range that’s getting loaded up with picks like you could just skip over that and you should not worry about that there’s just so many other dudes that can beat them there it’s the other times
That I understand it a little bit more this week I got no problem building a lineup like that and just getting different 9k Who falls through the cracks besides zot Taurus and matama because one of them will and I don’t think it’s Henley I don’t think it’s
Kirk I don’t think it’s Connors that leaves our candidates being the guy that gets left at a lineups either Harmon or Eric Cole oh it’s I think it’s uh probably Harmon Cole zalatoris and matama that’s the four that are going to be dropped in that range like they just
Not they’re not going to get it people love playing Eric Cole I love playing Cole I don’t know if I can handle an Eric $9,700 Eric Cole when Russell Henley he was way better than him was $100 less and that’s why I was to say he
Would be the only one that could somehow get the late a little bit of a late bump but it’s all it’s going to be is is people that decide later in the week that like oh too many people on Connor I’m off shift too many people on Henley
Oh co Cole’s getting squeezed and then what ends up happening is it just ends up divvying it up a little bit there I I would be surprised now have you looked at projections so far this week I have not no our initials will come out this
Afternoon soon as I get done with this do you think that Cole Will rate really highly because I think that he will he probably will because all the priors that we have on Cole both point to him being good in general yeah although no one seems to believe it especially Jeff
Fineberg 14 again last week yeah yeah guy he had a nice Sunday every type of course that we’ve seen him on and this sty like this course but this style of coures especially where he’s played really well yeah so we’ll see what happens but again that’s where I say
Like in that range you kind of got to play the guys you like if I like him more than Connors I’m going to play him because I think it’s going to come through that you know Connor still takes away from him Henley still takes away
From him even Kirk will get a love taken away people will play zorus like me to say I want some of that and zorus will get moved up to 8 to 10 probably 7 to 10 range as opposed to people think he’s going to be 3% just my guess but we’ll
Go from there but I mean that’s definitely um the way this range shakes out right now the other part of it too I would look at with Cole that if you think that do you think this week will be more intensive than last week in terms of people paying attention I still
Think we’re in the lazy part of the Season though definitely still are so looking at that when you click on this yeah he’s $8,700 he has more top 10 than anyone on this list with just people casually filling out lineups I think that goes a long way
Too it’s definitely like I said I agree with everything you’re saying and I think it’s going to happen but that’s a spot where I think too many people again not you but Others May worry about it like well if Conor is going to be 19 or 20 like the projection show or 22
Whatever it ends up getting to I’m just going to move to Cole and then what ends up happening is you get like 21 16 18 between Connor Hy it doesn’t even matter like you you oh I played him because I thought he was going to be 12 well like
Just play him because you want to play him and figure it out elsewhere in that lineup especially because most of people that are saying this are either not experienced players or they’re playing a single entry or something like that it’s like you do have to play the guys it’s
Your money you want to put it on the guys you want to play and then build your lineup accordingly from there so pick your spot in this range if that’s the case so two more things that I one new thing that I didn’t even tell you
About that I want to introduce this week and the other thing that I am going to introduce this week that I also didn’t tell you about I want you to build a because it’s always me like I like this guy I like this guy let’s build this
Lineup I want to shift it back to you and then I’ll play my favorite lineup that I build probably that Henley lineup against your lineup in a head-to-head and we’ll review it next week see how we did okay so if you’re playing a and we’ll try to do this like I I’m probably
Going to play the $150 like single entry or three max or whatever it is with that lineup or a lineup is very close to that one that I talked maybe I’ll switch out Ben Kohl’s for someone else but those five are the ones that I really like if
You were building a single entry lineup at this point of the week and obviously we’re not I’ll hold it to you when you’re playing me in a free head-to-head and we’ll figure out some sort of prize towards the end of the year between the two of us but if you’re sitting here on
A Tuesday and let’s say the tournament starts in 30 minutes we’ve just talked through this entire board MH you we know relative what the ownership is at the moment and you have to either play let’s say a three max you’re putting one entry into a three max or into a single entry
How would you construct your lineup because as you mentioned you probably don’t need any of the 6K guys because it’s not you’re not 150 in the the $5 or something like that even sub I’m in that I think that’s another huge misconception or leak in people’s game
Where they decide because they’re in a large field tournament they assum they associate that with I have to beat all these people so I have to have the 6K diamond in the rough that’s why I keep bringing that up in that term because that’s what happens you keep saying that
To me but that that’s how I wanton i w it with Kyra at 6,300 bucks yeah it happens I’m not saying how many how often are you winning that kind of money not rudely factual it’s truth every third week yeah we all wish I’m saying
It’s my point of that is how people see it happen and then decide that’s the truth it’s not and so like here’s here’s the lineup right now I already have it here here’s what I would play against you okay but you already know my lineup
That’s not fair true but I this is how I would actually still build it and just a quick example on a you know early stages is I have no problem skipping 7500 to 79 I don’t care about the 6K range and trying to figure out the guy that the
One in the 84 that I need to get right and I do like Hatten up top and so the way I’m going to build it we saw a lot of people are going to build like multiple nines and land in the high sevens we saw people are going to
Definitely use 8K guys this week it’s unlike last week when people were skipping the 8K range we know the bottom 7K is going going overlooked here’s the lineup T Hatton will Al torus sewu Kim Emiliano gillo finish out with two Canadians at 7200 TP and NT Nick Taylor Taylor
Pendrith well this is a very unique lineup sir very but do now in in something I know that you’re betting on the talent of zot tus in this one but because this lineup is off the board as it is at least in my mind especially with with the way that
You’ve skipped that primary range of the people Everyone likes between 75 and basically 8500 do you need to take the risk on zalatoris here or you just don’t care you think he’s going to be good I think I’m taking the risk this week because I think people think he got a surgery last
Week or something or he’s injured he he’s been playing he’s fine he’s literally fine and he’s priced at 900 I hate I’ve hated on this guy forever about winning tournaments and like now I can get him in at 9,300 need to win yeah like and it’s not I I don’t again people
Call this a birdie Fest we don’t even know if it’s fully going to be but it’s also not the birdie Fest of last week and it’s price associated in additionally just to throw some cold water on the it’s not a birdie Fest even in the hardest year this played the
Winning score was minus 11 right I’m I guess what I’m saying is that I the price factors into it as well at 9,300 I do think there’s going to be tons of birdies out there I’m not saying that I understand the course I’ve been playing this game a long time for this event
Specifically I’m more so saying people are acting like you can’t play him because he was too crazy at the last tournament he played and he’s kind they’re acting like he’s this is his first time playing golf since it’s happened it’s just not true he’s better than all these guys around him it’s
Funny because usually when we talk about this sort of thing and I try to bring up this sort of guy you always tell me that he’s a better bet than a DraftKings play in this circumstance because of his price on DraftKings he’s probably a better DraftKings play than a bet
Certain guys I would say that before I can promise you and it’s on document record that I’ve told you I’ve never I bet zorus one time won I won it and was at the event live and it was incredible so that’s I’ve always said almost the
Opposite of that with him but like I said this week even if it is a full-on birdie Fest and we get this 2300 2400 type winner it’s price factored in he’s not he’s 9,300 when this goes all the way up to 105 he’s like what the 12th
Guy on the board or the six n 11 10th or 11th guy on the board like I’m I’m fine with that he he’s not injured yesterday he’s he’s been playing golf he had two extremely low scores the last time he played it just the other two scores were very
High it’s the way it’s the way golf can go and everyone is almost equally as Rusty at and it’s been like a month since then too by the way so like that that to me is again I just I’m not taking him as like I need a way to get
Different I’m already more than different with my roster construction I love Hatton I love SEIU I like this lower 7K range and those are some of the guys that I just quickly picked for this lineup but I do like those three guys for sure you made a great case for Nick
Taylor and then zal aurus is kind of where I land if I wanted to switch it honestly I would take out zal I take if it was me and this is why you win and I don’t I would drop seiw to Cam Davis and I’d take zalot torus up to Kirk and try
To like get off Rio or I I I mean I don’t like pendrith so I turn pendrith into someone $100 cheaper yeah I need I need another $100 cheaper so I would take pendrith out you said I put in Kirk and then I would drop down to 71 yeah so
At 71 we can have Rio yeah Rio SMY is there Montgomery bork I gu bork 7 to yeah you have Rio but like that’s that’s how I would play it because I think the BET like we talked about with Bobby Mack you could just bet on Rio being like a
Guy who’s 9100 like two months from now yeah but he’s supposed to be that good yeah and so this works and it’s fine I actually don’t hate this either I’m just saying like essentially Cam Davis SEI wo to me very similar so that’s fine like I
Don’t even compare that one the 2v2 I’m kind of comparing is what you’re saying is Chris Kirk and Rio versus um Taylor pendrith and will zotus I I like the will zator side better mhm so that’s that’s why I would roll it I’m going to play that lineup we just talked about
These are all probably fine lineups and they’re different constructions that’s really the key so but this is how you would attack a higher entry smaller field with this sort of I’d be fine with something like this where again I don’t know if this is how I’m going to attack
It but what I would do is I’d be look I’ll wait till everything comes out final but to your what your question is in the point I attack it in roster construction and some talent and some differentiation that way versus trying to if I can just get this $6,100 guy to
Come through my other five are locks or whatever it did like I don’t do that that’s not what I’m looking to do you can just play really good players or good spots what you believe those are are up to you these are what I’m just
Going with on a quick run but I play that and build off of the what the Field’s doing and beat them on roster construction it just goes back to a million times over of talking about this people care way more about what the stats say and the golfers do and all
This it matters it’s a piece of the puzzle the projections a piece of the puzzle but the biggest thing and the most upside you can get in anything you’re doing in any DFS why people win at NASCAR and you’re like do you know about NASCAR League of Legends you don’t know
Anything about that no we know about DFS and it’s the correlation The Leverage and the game theory that matters most so this is why you need to use code Mayo at shipit nation.com so you can get this sort of color to go along with your fantasy national.com membership boom and
You get into a draw with code Mayo as well yeah put it all together that’s what the key really comes down to I don’t ever say you don’t eat this you don’t eat that we’re just saying like people that are playing for a lot of money play full-time put it in it’s high
Quality content with focus on beating the tournaments you’re actually playing in and the people you’re up against the other Pros for a very affordable price that’s the elevator pitch for shipit nation.com code Mayo for 10% off yeah and there’s a giveaway going people love giveaways thanks again for filling up
The oneand done hope you like this show if you do smash like and sub to the channel uh leave the rating and review Auto downloads Apple podcast Spotify there’s the Spotify question totally forgot what the Spotify question was it’s whatever I said at the beginning of
The show and answer that on the Spotify page that will do it for me I might be live on Wednesday but I’ll have a full newsletter Blast coming out with finalized bets everything like that I have those five in I might add Cam Davis
To that list as well but now I do want to see how the weather might impact the course a little bit more before committing to too much so I hope this gave you a good primer I like this new Tambo lineup at the end of the show as
Well so we’ll see who wins our head-to-head guy who wins a lot of money Tambo or guy who loses a lot of money me because it’s a very very small sample with one lineup a week built way before the tournament actually starts you can see how I’m probably going to win this
One playing the list league as well I’m Pat Mayo thanks for watching I’ll see you next time experience experience
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
2:44 Weather
14:36 Euro/Japan/KFT
24:27 Will Z
37:22 Final Bets
41:06 One and Done
48:33 Lineups
1:09:11 Tambo vs Mayo Lineps
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Props to whomever does your photoshopped title cards 😂 They’re always so good. 👌🏼👏🏼👏🏼
Mayo looks high as fuck in his thumbnail 😂😂
Nooooooooo thought I had time to get in!!
one and done.. is ontario outlawed?? cant signup.. is there a work around?
probably the 2 best in the biz . congrats boys
Golf gods! Let's goooo!
Coody 500-1 FanDuel sports book. Worth burning some beer money.
FSU got screwed! Would have beat Michigan and Washington BS!!
Coody’s grandfather Charlie won the Masters, right? He’s got the pedigree!
Winner: Tosti
DK: Birdknowsbest
Asians, Canadians, and Saint Simons Island guys