Patrick Daugherty (@RotoPat) and Denny Carter (@CDCarter13) break down the opening moves on the NFL coaching carousel and look ahead to this weekend’s Wild Card matchups. Would Bill Belichick giving up personnel control actually solve anything? Is there an ideal landing spot for Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh? Moving on to the playoffs, Denny examines teams entering the tournament both hot and cold, including the Dolphins, Cowboys, Bills and Bucs. They also debate the seeds one through seven. #NBCSports #Rotoworld

(3:00) – Analyzing the future of the Falcons, Jim Harbaugh and Bill Belichick
(24:30) – State of the Jets entering the offseason and the Dolphins before Super Wild Card Weekend
(34:40) – Hot/Cold teams entering the Playoffs: Packers, Cowboys, Bills, Bucs and Texans
(46:30) – Ranking #1 through #7 seeds in each conference
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Coaching Changes + Hot/Cold Playoff Teams | Rotoworld Football Show (FULL SHOW)
https://www.youtube.com/NFLonNBC

Hello everybody Welcome to the root World football show I am Patrick Dy joined by Mr Denny Carter you may think why are we still here a football season is over uh but the football season is only just beginning the biggest games are on tap this weekend we’ll get to

We’ll get to more on that in a minute but there may be a little Network called NBC and peacock broadcasting a number of big explosive playoff tilts this weekend but a lot of news Denny we got some postseason press conferences beginning on Monday we got some coach firings boy

The Falcons didn’t even have to sleep on firing Arthur Smith they took a they took a short nap and then they woke up and they said oh God we have to do this it’s just a shame Arthur Blank has fantasy football Rider in all the social

Media bios it’s just um he can’t see the game for the beauty it’s painful yeah I mean next thing you know Arthur blank’s goingon to be talking about completion rate over expected and what it’s gonna be bad so we’re gonna a lot of coaching talk by the time you’re hearing this you

Might already know the college football national champion Michigan is playing in that game and it certainly seems like their coach Jim Harbaugh is is absolutely desperate to get back into the NFL and maybe absolutely desperate to get ahead of the next sanctions that will be slapped on his football program

In the big tent we’re talking about harbs we’re talking about Bill bich we’re talking about Atlanta we’re talk about the playoffs the Dolphins kind of limping going into the postseason Denny’s gonna have some stuff on teams that are hot and cold heading into the postseason we’re talk about the

Commanders hiring a basketball guy yeah really interesting um then I’m gonna play a game with you I didn’t tell you about but I’m gonna take you through the seeds one through seven and just ask you in each League conference which one seed do you prefer which two seed do you prefer

Things of that nature I like that game you know now is the time for games mostly for for filling the show purposes and I’m all I’m all for it I don’t even what are we let’s let’s just fill the show talking about artsmith I mean three seven and 10 campaigns never sniffed the

Playoffs always technically still in the playoff mixers it just it is fun it is not we don’t we’re not trying to celebrate someone getting fired it is always weird when someone gets fired but like I mean we were right all along certainly seems it seems like the

Fantasy nerds were on the right side of History here in that you know again not not dancing on anyone’s grave but in saying that hey Ry you you have really good players like you have ban Robinson who pops off in every statistical category you have Kyle pittz who should

Pop off statistical cat we still does in a way uh and and you and you have uh Drake London who would be honestly I believe Elite an elite NFL wide receiver on I don’t know 25 NFL teams okay maybe more okay so and and you’re not using

Them and we’re saying we’re begging you this it could have been a win it could have been a win-win Pat we could have won got our got our little fantasy points in our mom’s basement and he could have won uh uh with with I don’t know actual wins and keep keeping his

Job making the playoffs instead it was a lose lose and I just think it speaks Art Smith is basically a cautionary Tale on the cult of the system the veneration of the system and the mentality that’s taken hold not just in fantasy circles but also like real life NFL circles

Where it’s a very popular opinion like if you’re gonna start your team you want to start it with the offensive play caller which I do think is correct but like we have like put the systems on like such a pedestal now they like it’s view like I think the coaches now

Believe the hype on this like nothing matters more than their offensive system and all the players must like be married to the system and like the individual Talent if you can’t fit the system it doesn’t matter how talented you are you got to be able to block 20 yards down

Field right even if you’re a speedy 5 foot eight receiver or if you’re a six foot6 freak tight end and everyone needs to block at the NFL level but that just maybe we need to take a step back and coaching is very important offensive play calling is extremely important but

Maybe not lose sight that it is still the talent that matters the most and not the play calling because like some of these team the Texans don’t have like amazing offensive play calling no offense to PFF Bobby slowick we saw some rather poor play calling I thought in

That game over the weekend but uh they have an absolutely amazing rookie quarterback who was kind of let him do his thing right yes that’s exactly right they let CJ stad cook and CJ strad by the way I was looking through we’re g to get through into some some nerdy geeky

Numbers in a minute CJ strout’s numbers are just unbelievably good uh this year uh but you knew that real quick about uh the Falcons it’s a shame because the Falcons are actually a good team if they never play on the field like if you never see see them what happens on the

Field in the system right in service to the system and what I mean is they have a lot of talent packed with Talent on on the offensive side of the ball I I even believe Desmond Ritter can be made into a serviceable nope nope all right well

We disagree there but but let me let me throw this at you um Falcons are uh according to Pro Football Focus the third best pass blocking team in the NFL they’re they’re the six deaths run blocking yes they’re they have a really good offensive line to go along with

Talent and they stink and I think this gets into another issue because one of the big defenses of Arthur Smith is well you try to win with these quarterbacks um like you try to win the the you know the vaunted NFC South with these quarterbacks so first off clearly

And I’m of course now inferring here and I’m I’m guessing I’m hypothesizing clearly the Falcons do not draft a skill player in the top eight three straight years unless Arthur Smith said you don’t worry about it like I know we don’t have quarterback figured out but I can scheme

This guy the ball this guy is so special we got to get him the roster let me figure it out it just Beggars believe there’s literally no way they would draft three straight skill players in the top eight unless art was tell I got

It don’t worry I can handle it so he I think think his his system is so good that it was quarterback proof and it’s just not and that is what I wonder about the Falcons they have a elite offensive line they have a pretty good defense they have skill player building blocks

That basically the Envy of the league but will the new coach just run around in the same way if they don’t get quarterback figured out and I think clearly this this off season they’re going to figure out the quarterback position you gotta you got to bring in someone

Viable I mean it it doesn’t even have to be elite like it doesn’t have to be Justin Fields it’s not like Justin Fields answer these questions or is it basically the Bears South with Justin Fields that’s a good that is a good question I mean Fields like we talked

About last week like you know he regressed in in many ways as a passer this year so if you’re just talking about pure passing then Pro he’s probably not he’s probably not a huge upgrade um I mean look I I know sounds funny but uh guy like Jake

Browning I’m tell Jake Browning be be a big upgrade for this Falcon he would have been a big upgrade over Desmond Ritter and Taylor Hein I don’t know if he’s like the upgrade of course I know that’s not what you’re saying I know that’s not what you’re saying but but I

Mean I mean Browning can he can make a system work is is what I’m saying you know just barely but he can do it I do think Fields would maybe maybe not be the answer but I mean talk about system that is just set up at least to have

Like if the quarterback can threaten with his legs like look out because you have to count for Drake London you have to count for Kyle Pitts you have to count for ban Robinson you have to count for Tyler hir would be I do think that would be a humongous difference between

Desmond Ritter Taylor hinei where even if Justin Fields has some of the same foibles as a passer the way he threatens defense with his legs of course would add an entirely I I I actually do think the Falcons probably would have been a playoff team with Justin Fields this

Year I I buy that I buy that I mean I mean Fields like EPA wise is is solid is solid enough I think that he he would have he would have accounted for two wins two more you tack on two two more wins to the Falcons total they get in

Playoffs producer Adam wonders uh Sam how probably wouldn’t be the answer correct for theball Falcons I think over the past month of the regular season Sam Sam how has played himself into a permanent backup role like the I don’t think any team can look at him now and

Say that’s the guy like we we can work with that you gotta get bayy zappy on the Falcons um that was a total joke is that a joke I don’t know it’s a joke it’s a joke I because Ritter R’s pretty bad Ritter’s very I thought he was good

A minute ago zappy is quote ain’t it at all I watch he probably is not it you’re right would Kurt Cousins be a fiasco for this team I feel like Kurt Cousins he’s getting ready I feel like he’s getting ready for his Matt Ryan moment man just

The guy who who always a statue now he’s mid-30s and he popped in Achilles or even though he’s never counted on his Mo his Mobility I like he even loses like five% more of his athleticism it could be like J for him as a going concern

Wait a second Pat if Kurt Cousins landed in Atlanta with my gosh London and pits I would draft London in like at like the one two when fantasy I just realized what you said I would draft pits in the third round period I mean I mean you’re you’re

Cooking with with Kurt Cousins because he’s a distributor he’s literally gonna log zero rushing attempts he’s going to just throw like like 730 times that’s that’s awesome for these guys I just wor I worry about the return of Kurt Cousins and him being a Sitting Duck I worry

Even more than I do with Aaron roggers because Aaron Rogers he had more mobility and athleticism to lose than Kurt Cousins and maybe he’s Aaron Rogers has reached the point where he can’t he’s lost too much and won’t be able to lose anymore but I feel like like you

Don’t have to be an elite mover but you have to be able to move and I I do worry about Kirk cousin’s ability to move after popping that all Achilles I know maybe Achilles are no big deal anymore maybe my physical therapists insist that they are still my physical therapist

Always asks me about like football player injuries and we kind of talk about he’s like he like yeah I mean I know they’re acting like it’s not a big deal but it’s a still a pretty huge deal to pop your Achilles I mean I I I I you

Know her cousin’s wife was talking him coming back two weeks after he tours Achilles so uh I feel maybe maybe the science has come you know far enough that so that they treat it like a high ankle sprain now I don’t know real quick I don’t mean this is a bit either it’s

An unanswerable question do we do you think Arthur Smith would even be in demand as an offensive coordinator right now you think he’s kind of in the Adam gase Zone where he has to like basically go back to square one and rebuild his his value his

Brand yeah no he’s in the he’s in the gase zone for sure I mean I I I don’t know who in the NFL would look at that offense that Falcons offense be like yeah I want some of that like well I think even if they secretly did like

Like AR Smith’s getting a bad rap I I these franchis is are more sensitive than we think I think to Fan perception and blowback yeah yeah Art Smith is there would be blowback right right him him him being um volatile we’ll say uh screaming at coaches at Midfield

Yeah he did scream a lot melting down during press conferences anytime someone said uh maybe you should throw it to Drake lundon slightly more and he would start screaming about he’ start say you know being attacked by analytics and fantasy Geeks and whatnot I’ll have you

Run over by a FedEx truck just asked about getting I was just wondering why Drake clendon has zero targets today on on 32 pass RS speaking of unanswerable questions mean do you even so else know about this you guys remember Jim Harbaugh was an NFL my

Memories of Jim Harbaugh as an NFL coach was that way different personality but he was kind of like a Pete Carroll and that he was a ton Setter on both side of Jim Harbaugh is like a tone Setter like he came into the 49ers they were immediately like a super fundamentally

Sound team they’re kind of a conservative offense but kind of well they were really good balanced off mean the balance was a weapon for the the Harbaugh 49ers it really was they they could move the ball every which way the defense of tone I mean was Elite hard-nosed and Harbaugh he’s just like

He’s a tone setting coach to me he could be an anism at this point I mean he was he was basically run out of the NFL he he’s the kind of the classic personality thing where he’s an elite football coach but he was grading on these professional

Athletes and like if you go to college whatever four years of Jim Harbaugh maybe three you can deal with that you’re also like you’re you’re kind of more moldable at that age I don’t know how well Jim Harbaugh meshes with professional athletes making millions of

Dollars and all this is my long way of asking do you even think there’s like a good ideal landing spot for Jim Jim Harbo I think is clearly gonna be an NFL coach this is the year where it actually is happening yeah he’ll be somewhere and those players will be will be miserable

I mean this current iteration of like old man Harbaugh like like Bear Bryant Harbaugh um you know like like like talking about milk and chicken and all this the chicken thing just Google the chicken thing if you have yeah Google I mean and the milk I mean he’s obsessed

With milk I mean he’s a he’s a very idiosyn idiosyncratic guy that’s not the word idiosyncratic CTIC CTIC and uh and I believe he he probably will be completely out of touch with the current professional athlete well I don’t necessarily I mean he is currently part of the pipeline feeding them into the

NFL I mean Michigan problem has been being almost too Cutting Edge uh now and they keep running a foul of the nca’s bylaws and he’s been been literally suspended twice this year I mean I I don’t know I don’t know what to say about that but I mean I from just from a

Fantasy perspective um I’m not going to be excited at all I mean I’ll be the opposite of excited I mean he made Alex Smith relevant sort of he made kin Kaepernick quite relevant I don’t I don’t think it’d be like a fantasy death Nowell or anything like that really no I

Really don’t I feel like he’s the kind of coach who would be like look we’re gonna score 13 points if it’s no he’s not that kind of Coach he’s not I think balance is coming back you have to run the ball again in the NFL all of a

Sudden I think maybe I almost talking myself and he waited for the right moment and four years ago would not have been the right moment maybe now it’s like oh everyone now you actually need someone to run the ball huh called Old Jimmy harbs that’s what he calls himself by

Way like all right we’re not gonna interview him no never mind he’s insisting we call him Jimmy harbs Jimmy harbs but I’ll be interested about Jimmy harbs I I’m Optimist cautiously optimistic in some ways uh the Fiasco potential that you alluded to is quite real very yeah I

Mean I I don’t know I feel like the professional athlete of 2024 is I know it might sound funny to people of a certain age but is different than the professional athlete of 2010 I know it’s it’s actually not a joke it even in the past 15 years there’s been a

Pretty big transformation yeah that’s like not casting aspersions or anything it’s just no what I mean you and I we soft I wouldn’t want to play for a hard nose I wouldn’t coach who told me I couldn’t eat chicken like what right I mean you know you the listeners know all

I do is cry and cope and and uh you know I’m not saying that players do that but you know players are making their Tik toks and what well just too yeah you know I think you know negative motivation you it had moment and that

Moment is long gone oh G none of us respond to it anymore and he’s not even necessarily that kind of Coach actually did you actually did you hear Larry iso’s rant um mean Tom ISO you mean I’m sorry what did I say Larry tomoo Tom ISO man Tom ISO is dying out there

Tomo he went on he the most passive aggressive rant where he was like you can’t it’s on me because you can’t blame the players anymore you can’t blame the players now now they have phones yeah and the analytics the analytics stink yeah you know analytics can’t manage your heart

But you can’t blame the players you blame it on me I mean wow that guy wof Tom I mean what what were the odds of Tom ISO going on anti- analytics I know he he he needed to retire when Roy Williams coach K and they all and Jim

Beheim they all he just needed to go out I didn’t even know I can’t I did not know that he was still coach they’ve been struggling a little they’ve been struggling I would have I would have guessed someone who doesn’t care at all about college I would have guessed he

Retired 15 years ago no he no he did he did no he’s still there no no no I was like did he come back no he’s still there and just in part of his rant I’m sure he had said something about phones like coach we agree we’re all on our

Phones way too much and there’s definitely back but can you elaborate on that I mean no but we should go we should go back to pagers that’s what he he wants to go back to pagers bring pagers back Bill bich probably still has a pager didn’t

He it’s kind of annoying we’re doing the show on Monday because I’m traveling on Tuesday sorry about that we’re gonna have more coaching news by Tuesday including probably knowing Bill bich che’s fate so we’re recording this where we don’t know Bill bich che’s fate we do

Know Bill bich himself came out and said he’s willing to give up Personnel uh duties which to me was Earth shaking like wow like Bill is talking about crying and coping this thing is like as close as crying and coping to bill bellich will’ll ever get he’s actually

Willing that’s shocking it actually is shocking do you think that would though in New England or elsewhere would that cure what ails bill bich at this point or is he just too too far gone no no no no I think you you helped me come around

On this on this idea and I I looked strongly into the uh numbers and you were right like belich has the defensive fastball still okay like like new New England’s defense was really good despite an offense that was barely functional that put them in bad spots constantly the Patriots were they gave

Up the second lowest EP per play this year they were the best against the Rush by every measure okay so they were shutting down opposing running games so if if he has if he has the defensive side of the ball and he uh uh uh gives the power you know someone on offense

And then the Personnel stuff I think they I think that can work fine and you made the really really important point about the Patriots defense this year that it’s it’s one thing to be good it’s almost impossible for defenses to post good match you can post a good EPA when

You have a bad offense but when you have a bad off offense it’s very very difficult to post Elite defensive numbers because you’re just the Dam breaks at some point right and the dam just did not break for Bill bich and the Patriots this year despite having just

Historically bad offense yeah no I think I if he says look I I’ll do the defense stuff and you somebody else takes over offense and makes the the the roster decisions I I I believe that that can work going forward for for a while probably if he wants to stay there um I

Was afraid that he was going to go to other team and just be like I’m taking over like I’m doing the whole I’m doing the whole shebang again and whatever team that was would be like yeah of course of course you we do that and gonna happen I think that would be a

Disaster a team that’s that’s so desperate so thirsty like the commanders say would just give the whole Farm to to bich and I don’t think that that works out in the long term again this could be embarrassing you might already know what happened to Bill by the time you hear

This but I’m sure the commanders and Carolina Panthers are both both trying to trade for right now the one thing I I don’t think the the bich program I don’t think the bich program can start over that’s like a three or four year rebuild to get in

Like bellich type players and that is what I really do think cannot happen at this point and it’s probably a fantasy though for him to remain in New England and give up person like really like Bill like all right yeah guys I know Bill’s been in charge of literally every single

Decision in the past 24 years but now he’s not um so yeah it’s gonna work just fine right everybody you don’t think that can work no I don’t I mean how could he not be the boss he’s bill bellich you know the one thing too even if he makes

A good faith effort to give it up like Bill is like the ultimate like with the player doesn’t fit a system he’s like he can’t play second rounder I don’t care he’s he can’t play he’s he’s not he doesn’t fit my system not my kind of guy

And I think it could run around there but so I I think it could definitely fail I think it has to be tried so is one of those things bill bich should clearly be one of the 32 NFL head coaches he also clearly this point needs to try something a little different and

It has to be giving up Personnel power it has to be different like it like this past season was catastrophic on every level except for defensively and it’s like yeah if they had even 25% better offensive personnel and the Patriots are back on top of the AFC East probably how

The hell did this happen proba yeah I mean honestly I mean I I I don’t know I guess Bill O’Brien’s got to go he’s got to go I forgot Bill O’Brien is still there oh my God I mean whatever he did was was way worse than than the the

Clown car last year with Joe judge yeah Joe judge Matt Matt Patricia just putting on Fires everywhere oh man everywhere this guy goes the team collapses get well we’ll get to the Philadelphia football Eagles in just a minute we have to take a short break NBC and peacock are kicking off super wild

Card what Denny yeah you you uh you froze I froze all right um we’ll be right back after this NBC and peacock are kicking off super Wildcard Weekend with a bang our double header on Saturday begins at 3 pm Eastern as we lead you up to Browns at Texans then

Tune in a peacock exclusive match up between the Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium at 800 PM Eastern we will then wrap up the weekend on Sunday bringing an NFC battle between the Rams and lions with coverage beginning at 7:30 pm Eastern hello Danny Carter am I am I

Still here I can see you now yes you can see me now I think I was on your I’m blaming you blaming whatever internet you have unless it’s Comcast then I’m not blaming it is Comcast indeed it was my internet then I Char um apparently stream producer Adam

Is blaming on streamyard we’ll just keep streamyard streamyard okay I said streamyard again all right so sue me all right oh I will I think I will I said stream you’re an extremely idiosyncratic Regional dialect and yeah it is man that is I feel I don’t know

Much about Missouri but I feel like that’s a Missouri thing there is a Missouri accent and it’s very because most of the time everyone’s like oh you have no accent and we do get tripped up on a few really weird things really stream Y what in the hell’s wrong with

This guy um yeah he’s a this is a weird guy like you froze again sorry I’m gonna say um I froze again we’re going to keep barreling forward uh Denny the New York football Jets a lot of inspiring quotes coming out of the lacker room on Monday

Um they someone told Garrett Wilson he had a good year at least and he said I had a good year question mark it was the worst year of my life and then Aaron Rogers said the bleep that has nothing to do with winning needs to get out of the building we’re

Of course all trying to find uh that is a tremendous quote from my boy Aaron Rogers I mean the wowan you really that unself-aware the the the awareness level is at a 0.0 0.0 which leads me to the question then there’s a fairly widespread belief amongst reasonable smart people amongst

Maybe even myself that just Aaron rogers’s better health is going to solve a lot of these issues for 2024 but just what are the realistic odds this team actually bounces back with a 40-year old Aaron Rogers in 2020 a team that has literally the number two passing game

Weapon was Tyler conin like this is actually a bigger problem I think than people are realizing what are the realistic odds the Jets bounce back I think I think with Rogers for a full season they they would have been clearly a playoff team I mean uh yeah probably I

And I mean their defense is really good I think Bree Hall yeah I’m sure we’re in agreement Bree Hall is is is Elite Garrett Wilson is Elite uh I don’t know if Rogers will be the same coming back from an injury but again maybe maybe the Achilles is not our grandfather’s

Achilles maybe it’s just just a thing now um that guys can get over uh so I but but the jets are in a very precarious situation because 40y old coming off of Achilles you’re one you’re one injury away from repeating 2023 see personally I love to

Be 40 and coming off coming back from a year not playing my Sport with a repaired Achilles you know it’s hopeful I would say it’s hopeful the guy wasn’t even good last year by his standards I should say he was middle of the- pack NFL starter in 2022 the Packers got

Better they did the playoffs without him they were better by EPA per play without him this year you’re right you’re right this team though doesn’t need a good quarterback and he’s just a manager a game manager and I mean you know you put guard muu on the Jets they’re like the

Two seed in the AFC and I all this negativity here I badly wanted Aaron Rogers to play and see how this worked this year I felt very robbed of a pretty interesting experiment we’re gonna get it in 2024 it’s just one year and one major injury later but the

Jets it’s weird they need reinforcements and they need not Aaron Rogers approved reinforcements R cob Alan Lazard ni Hardman this cannot happen again stop yeah yeah you gotta stop they have to right now they have to put a stop to Roger saying that they have to sign AJ

Dylan you got to stop that train before it starts you you’ve been trying to start it um well it’s gonna happen because because I don’t know he knows Aaron Rogers knows AJ Dylan and that’s the only criteria for coming to the Jets if you know the the guy who’s in charge

Then you get you get to you get to come on you get to and you get to get paid pretty well alen Lazar got a contract that he would have never gotten anywhere else Denny do you remember off the top of you out how much money Alan Lazard is

Guaranteed in 2024 no I don’t what is it10 million that’s see that’s a lot for a guy who’s healthy scratched every week that that’s just my opinion per the analytics a healthy scratch getting 10 mil a year it seems like a lot but hey I honestly good for a for Alan Lazard for

Knowing people in high places will Aaron Rogers even allow a good backup quarterback too that was one of the main Myster of 2023 that’s a good point you know I mean he never came out and said look I don’t want anybody to take my job

But but I I do think that the Jets were in a tough spot where it’s like we can’t sign anybody good Joe fla was on the team last year and was probably their best quarterback and what are we gonna do if the guy we bring in is actually

Good and we have to like I don’t know continue to start him or like be in a POS like they they basically cannot be in in a position where Rogers uh uh spot on the team is in question at all no yeah and of course you don’t mean as

Roster spot or even a starting St but like his status is like the center of the Jets Universe the Savior yeah yes right I mean if if his role as Savior is threatened in any way you know that’s going to be a big problem and uh and so

They they are they are in a tough spot I I bet you the Jets will come into next year with a disastrous quarterback depth chart behind Rogers I I maybe even Rogers is coming around on that one I don’t know man I don’t know I I I think it I think

It means more to him to to be the Savior than it does to have a good team for what we should say it seemed like his teammates like him still they did vote him most inspirational jet I’m not that’s serious that true thing most inspirational for uh I don’t know giving

Tuesday interviews he had a big he didn’t have a he he’s making a good comeback from the injury we’ll say that is he I mean he’s out there walking around he didn’t come back where is he what happened to The Comeback I didn’t see him it’s a good point interesting we

We I mean maybe I just missed it did I just miss a game where where he played I don’t know he went 17 of 21 for 242 yards and two touchdowns oh well sorry I I I actually just looked up pro football reference I see it now but yeah I’m I am

Very much looking forward to the story lines in 2024 it’s going to be very very fascinating but we’re still still stuck in 2023 mode even though it is the calendar year 2024 because the 2023 24 postseason is now upon us we’re going to talk about some hot and cold teams in a

Minute one cold team though is the Miami Dolphins about as cold as it gets down the stretch even though they beat the Dallas Cowboys one of the big issues as you pointed out and as everyone of course can see with their own eyes is Tyreek Hill’s ankle injury and how it’s

Tampering this offense and you say the data backs up this is your word that they’re mid what Tyreek Hill injured yeah but and and it shouldn’t be like a shock because this whole team is based on Tyreek Hill’s unique ability to burn defenses both after the catch and uh

Over the top and in a way that really only only he he can do you know sha McDermot uh said before this Sunday night game uh the other day he said um I’ve been around football a long time I’ve never seen a player like Tyreek

Hill and I I tend to agree I mean I really trying not to overstate it but I have never seen anyone that fast or that good as a receiver ever so um so it it makes sense I mean if you look at if you look at the way he’s used here he’s

Accounted for 44% of the team’s air yards 30% of the targets that that doesn’t even really tell the whole story because he’s actually Tyreek Hill has been targeted on 37% of his routes this year that is outrageous by any standard it leads the league by a long shot

Um he is tied with Devonte Adams for first in first read targets I mean you know just just an insane role in a in a in a hyper efficient offense but without him we we kind of see what happens now I know I know they were without him when they

Dusted the Jets a few weeks ago I don’t know if that’s you can read into that what you will but I I can’t can’t help but notice that you know he had to come off the game he had to come out of the game uh uh on the last play of the game

Basically uh when when Tua threw a pick while targeting Chase Claypool on the sideline um which seems like a bad plan to me uh and and uh so this this this offense depend depends wholly on Tyreek Hill being 100% healthy not even ju not just on the field but 100% Health we got

The Kansas City Chiefs it’s on peock you may have heard and as you also may have heard the temperature at game time is going to be probably like five or six degrees and going down so not really a good place for a southern warm weather team to be playing in the Wild Card

Listen as a you can see the dolphins uh helmet over my shoulder there uh I’ve I’ve watched a lot of Dolphins football in the winter where things come completely undone in the cold and uh this this feels feels like one of them that includes even an old uh Texas

Stadium where it snowed through the hole on Thanksgiving Day believe that was the Dolphins and I think they got annihilated that day no they they they win they won a miracle it was the Leon let game it was I was just hoping they

Lost no no no I mean but yeah I mean but anytime they had to go to Buffalo in in in December it was completely J like there there just like no chance they won the Leon let game yeah Leon let slid into the ball Pete stanovic came out and

Kicked short field goal for the win well I didn’t remember that part uh but yeah this man too I love my my having ankle absolutely loves being in a real field temperature of like negative eight or whatever and and the Chiefs and in their regular season matchup with the dolphins

Completely shut down this passing game so you may remember what state I live in by the way and it’s in the same state as Kansas City yeah I’m looking forward to it being zero degrees on Saturday it’s uh it’s rough I it I’ll feel for you

Where supposed to be at 55 on Saturday the high Sunday night is4 oh what we get polar vortex here our weather is the literal exact same as Baltimore and Washington DC with the enormous exception that the Arctic air can get pulled down into Missouri and it

Gets really really cold once or twice in Winter you’re gonna have to put on a sweater folks I will have to put on a sweater I will never put on a sweater so the Dolphins are a cold team heading in the playoffs D who’s a hot team yeah

Heading into the postseason tournament H man well well the Packers uh the Packers are on fire offensively uh of course they’re the seven seed playing against against Dallas this weekend uh Jordan love is per the Zoomers cooking right now uh only Brock pie and Lamar Jackson have

Higher epas per dropback over the past month than Jordan love and the Packers stick with me here but this is important the Packers have the League’s highest early down EPA over the season of seven weeks and that means basically they’re not just getting away with it they’re not just making it happen miraculously

On third and fourth down consistently okay so when you have a really high uh uh EPA on first and second down it means that things are on time that the game plan is I don’t know working you know like the the ners the ners under Shanahan always have a really high EPA

On first and second down because they’re a machine basically so the the Packers I the Packers are a bit I think frightening should be frightening for the Cowboys um yeah they should be and man I know this is this is like the Mike McCarthy Psycho Drama he’s got to be

Like absolutely guilty oh man I didn’t even think of that oh no being dubbed to the McCarthy bowl and the really important thing you pointed out with Christian Watson there Catching Fire again excuse me not Christian Watson Jordan love Catching Fire over the past month is that it’s been without

Christian Watson because yes quick mini narrative was so his first major hot streak coincided with Christian Watson’s only like healthy stretch in the entire season and he came out and had a rough game or two after Christian Watson went back down again oh man like Jordan love

Is clearly good but it’s not the same without Christian Watson and then it did just get the same despite every Packers receiver yeah battling some variety of injury and you know we were not Jordan love backers heading into this season uh I think I left the door open you did

Yeah but anyway I got unmasked I think he got I think he got panted I been just uh utterly humiliated by well Sor the the the best see here’s the thing you’re missing in this formula of being right and wrong is never admit when you’re wrong you got it’s true it’s

A good point you got to work on that one I I would I was still I was still right about him um you know talking about hot and cold teams we’re GNA bounce around here if you don’t mind but uh the the Cowboys they they are really quite hot

Uh they have an average scoring margin of plus 11 and a half points this season that’s tied with 49ers for the second most trailing only uh the Ravens so they are just crushing crushing opponents uh and they’re they’re have that that number goes from 11 and a half to 22 at

Home okay so they so they are really in Jerry in Jerry world uh they are taking no prisoners um I think this will be a fun kind of high it be a fun game I do think the Packers party is going to end the Joe Barry defense is just not gonna

Be able to contain his C right I I think yeah that’s exactly it exactly I think the Packers could put up 28 points here and still lose and uh too I think as much as we just praise Jordan love how bad the Packers defense is likely to

Struggle this seems like a game where Jordan love is probably going to commit multiple turnovers because he’s going to be like a really bad comeback I think that’s the most likely game script of course other many other game scripts are possible I just wouldn’t be surprised if

His unveiling doesn’t go as well his National stage like true unveiling doesn’t go quite as well as it has over the past month but that he’s certifiably proven to be a a legitimate starting NFL quarterback and a player very very much on the rise he’s red hot yep who’s

Another red hot team heading into the playoffs so well we’ll just go through all the hot teams and we’ll get to the cold teams yeah so you you have uh the bill I you know I was surprised by these numbers because you know so much turmoil

Right and so much drama on the offensive side of the ball the firing the head of the offensive coordinator like does Josh Allen have it you know like where’s Stephan Diggs is disappearing they’re going super run heavy they must be trying to compensate I don’t know lots

Of questions I would say about the bills offense but let me tell you about the the final results of the 2023 season Buffalo has the fourth best average scoring margin at plus 8.3 bills are third in EPA per play they’re second in success rate on offense

Despite all that stuff going on St digs hasn’t caught a single pass since October 18th despite all that stuff uh Josh Allen is an expected points added machine sent from the future and I think that we have to remember that at all times when it comes down to it the bills

Tried they tried like hell to take the Josh Allen out of Josh Allen and you saw where it got them you know and and and in the playoffs that’s not happening like he’s going he’s going to do what he does uh which is you know dive over defenders in the middle of the

Field on three yard rushes things like that okay like you know he’s he’s gonna I I I I do think that the bills are a legit Contender I know that they’re a little weak in spots there but they’re going to put the ball in Josh Allen’s

Hands and uh and the results have spoken for themselves like I said they are an elite offense despite all of that stuff that happened this year they’re kind of Josh Allen just makes them the Prototype team you do not want to play in the playoffs and right I’ve been

Workshopping no one else agrees with me I really think the Chiefs are still the team you don’t want to play because yeah when I think of the archetype of a playoff team that you don’t want to play it’s either Elite defense or like a Houdini quarterback who creates instant

Offense and as much as the Chiefs offensive struggle they have an elite defense and they have Mr Patty Mahomes and I just I i’ would be very very upset say if I had to go on the road to Arrowhead Stadium to play the Chiefs this weekend I that is that’s a horrific

Spot for the Dolphins it could not it basically couldn’t be worse it didn’t hit me until we just started talking about it but wow I feel like every week I’m like oh the Dolphins can’t can’t win this game can’t win it but I truly believe it this time I feel like they

Cannot win this I know man oh man did things turn out poorly for them any hot any more hot teams well uh no more hot teams I do have a cold team I want to talk about the get through the freezing cold teams Denny yes the Frozen the

Frozen team in in Northern Florida the Tampa Bay Bucks or is it Central Florida Central Florida yeah it’s like North Central Florida it’s more Central than North yeah well we’ll go with that then uh you know the they’re remember I I just talked about the Packers uh not

Getting away with it in other words like they were really good on on early Downs well the Bucks are the complete opposite this year they have the third highest EPA on third and fourth downs but on early Downs their 26th in EPA um Baker Baker Mayfield has regressed to what I

Would call Baker Mayfield levels of an accuracy um over the final eight games of the Season Baker ranked 20th among 25 qualifying quarterbacks in completion percentage OV expected so we are struggling he’s banged up I mentioned this on the you know he can barely walk he was having trouble breathing during week 18

Against Carolina because of his rib injury uh uh I man I know the Eagles are banged up and whatever but I just don’t see how this Bucks team can get it done B bman Jones tweeted the Eagles seem like the kind of team that would turn

Down a bowl invite in college like The Vibes are so bad right now but oh my go the Eagles will be will be beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers I believe I have to believe it yeah I mean at full health maybe it’s different but I mean the the

The bucks um early down EPA stuff is very concerning and uh even against a bad defense I think they could struggle any other cold teams you would like to highlight heading into the postseason uh well I do I just want to mention about the Browns uh Texans game that the

Texans secondary has become quietly vulnerable they’re allowing the League’s uh second highest completion percentage overe expected on the season um they allow the fourth highest rate of downfield pass attempts on the year and we know that Flaco um likes to go likes to go downfield with it so I I I think

That they set up to be a good matchup for the Browns passing offense I I think it’ll be a close game but I do like the Browns I like the Browns too I mean the Texans look like kind of like the classic young team that that did hit a

Wall it wasn’t too much of a wall to keep them out of the playoffs they seem a little gassed they seem a little short-handed they are they seem unsure of what their offensive identity is and you pointed out the Joe Flo Fiasco game is probably coming um the turnover

Worthy play stuff yes but probably not against the Texans yeah I mean I think Gino Smith is one who said the turnover worthy plays are a madeup stat and my counter to that is that all stats are made up that’s true that is true I mean

What else are we gonna talk about Geno uh if you’re listening but any teams no no that that’s that’s about it um bucks bucks are super cold going they are very very cold and yet they had a better record than they did with Tom Brady so

The by the transit of power Baker Tom Brady Hall of Famer Baker Mayfield is the greatest player in the history of the National Football League it’s science it’s science that we need to take a short break and we will be right back after this reigning National Player

Of the Year Caitlyn Clark continues her incredible senior season Wednesday evening on peacock Clark and the Iowa Hawkeyes head to Purdue where the Border makers are undefeated at home watch two of the hottest teams in the Big 10 face off at 7:30 p.m. Eastern exclusively on peacock if you have not watched Caitlyn

Clark Caitlyn Clark play basketball I would highly recommend it it’s yeah force of nature it’s like a true phenomenon I feel like I’m watching Pete marovich yes I watched a lot of Pete marovich growing up you did in the 7s yeah it did but uh seems like the

Closest thing I’ve ever seen heard of to Pete marovich I was say speaking of Pete marovich in basketball we don’t we shouldn’t even really talk about this one I was just the commander hiring a basketball guy the former golden State Warriors GM Bob Myers and I saw something very concerning about this to

So they’re interviewing an assistant 49ers GM or whatever to be their GM yeah that check boxes a good team uh very successful team had a good front office but Bob Meyers and this guy Adam Peters went to high school together yeah they’re both UCLA alums the commanders

Are trying to reset and they hire a basketball guy who was immediately interviewing his college buddy seems like a I don’t know I mean this this team I I you know I’m I’m from the Washington area and I am plugged in to the culture the Washington football

Culture as corroded and uh woeful as it’s become uh and the desperation is all consuming it it really is like you just you’ve never met a more desperate downtrodden group of fans no you haven’t it’s and understand so I mean we’re talking 30 years of futility

30 and so they’re they’re just going to keep reaching for whatever cool sparkly thing is in front is dangled in front of them saying please please save us where is our God where’s our God and they’ll and they’ll never find it it’s was in Oakland and San Francisco California Bob

Myers has arrived to save the day in our Nations Capital we’ll end the show Playing Our seeding game so I’m going to ask you I’m going to tell you the two number one seeds did any you know the two number one seeds I’m kidding um and

We’re going to go through the seeds and see which you prefer it’s a totally arbitrary game there’s no real point to it but the two top- seated teams in the NFL the Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers they played last month the Ravens dismantled the 49ers but

Which number one seed do you prefer heading into the playoffs I I’m GNA say the Ravens because I believe that they are going to commit to the pass I believe that they are not going to do this thing where they turtle and they get scared and they

Run the ball and they get conservative in the playoffs like they have in past Lamar Seasons I think that they’re they they’ve Unleashed Lamar I hope they’re going to continue that and if they continue it I’ll take the Ravens I think I still prefer the 49ers because I think

Kind of counterintuitively I actually worry about the Ravens ability to run the ball like I feel like in the postseason you just have to be able to move the ball like every which way you have no idea what the weather conditions are going to be yeah you could be you

Could be playing one of the two or three best pass defenses very easily every week I feel like the Ravens don’t have a real running game right now no they they don’t it’s just out of gas completely so like if there’s one early like Lamar Jackson interception or something like

Just the whole thing onra I like the 49ers we talking about them being an injuries off team injuries have mostly been off they just have the fewest weaknesses not that the the Ravens are like the screaming weaknesses I still think the 49ers it’s spite getting dismantled by the Ravens have fewer

Overall weaknesses than the Ravens H man I just when I when I remember what Brock pry looked like against that Baltimore defense I just I struggle I struggle to save the ners haunting haunting yeah how he looked against the Ravens uh second seeds are the Buffalo Bills and the

Dallas Cowboys who who you got in this theoretical match up of number two seeds I mean I i’ take the Cowboys I I I know I just talked about the bills like how they’re how they’re getting it done you know despite all the the messiness but man the Cowboys are

Just just a a brutally efficient offense I mean that they have talking about Unleashed I mean Dak Prescott has been Unleashed and and and CD lamb is I don’t I don’t if if fantasy drafts were T had been redone in week 10 uh CD L would have been the number one overall pick

Like true it’s it’s that it’s that kind of elite production uh you know I don’t I don’t know the defense is is kind of volatile but uh I I think that they can score points whenever they want and that comes in handy in the playoffs and this

This hasn’t been like the Cowboys teams of of recent vintage where even the good ones had slip UPS like all season long the Cowboys didn’t really have any slip UPS this year they almost lost to Gino Smith at home but that was just a really good football game that they did win

They did they they lost the Dolphins but this is the least Cowboys is Cowboys team in a long time and I do think I’m ranking the two seed seeds I prefer the Dallas Cowboys over the Buffalo Bills the three seeds are the Kansas City Chiefs and the Detroit Lions who do you

Prefer in this postseason again this isn’t like a theoretical head-to-head by the way this is just yeah which team’s Vibes are you kind of buying more heading in the playoffs the Chiefs or the Lions give me the Chiefs it’s the Chiefs I mean the Lions fans are

Probably to the point with you and I were like yeah like well they think that this time they’ll finally be right doubting us I mean but I mean lorta injuries is important very important I don’t think that they’re going to get past the Rams that’s what I’ll say I

Think they’ll probably well I don’t know that’s a tough matchup for them but the chief I just seriously I still think the Chiefs are one of the three or four genuine Super Bowl contenders they have an elite defense and they have Patrick momes and they have Arrowhead Stadium

It’s just like they’re they’re still the Chiefs to me yeah I I would not be like as a Chiefs fan if I were a Chiefs fan I’m saying I don’t think I’d even be like that scared of a Ravens matchup I think the the strengths kind of a line there almost

Too the Ravens are a better version of the Chiefs but it’s just like if I think of playoff X factors I want that defense and I want that quarter that that that I don’t the difference between like Mahomes and a brock py you want the instant offense quarterback where it’s

Not up to the coach or the scheme yeah like to deliver the yards the quarterback himself can deliver the yards and that’s Patty Mahomes yeah that’s true Denny is running out of time four seeds uh Houston Texans Tampa Bay Buccaneers two of your cold team

Uh yeah I mean I I’d take anybody over the bucks at this point I would take CJ stad getting on a heater in the playoffs but having his Superstar moment further and further the Philadelphia Eagles Cleveland Browns five seeds I’m with banii Jones give me the Browns Vin Joseph Vincent Flo has become

A force of nature I I can’t believe in the Eagles at this point I mean they I mean have we gotten worried about AJ Brown’s injury be Beyond it’s not season ending uh probably by the time this podcast is live but I don’t know it I I I mean

Without AJ Brown they’re not going to beat the Bucks that’s what I’ll say the Browns defense they’re one of the x-factors of the entire postseason tournament and I will say too like xfactor team you have an elite defense you don’t have like necessarily an instant offense quarterback in Joe flaca

You have an opportunistic quarterback in Joe flaca or the time he won a Super Bowl he’s playing op opportunistic football hitting big plays that’s what he was doing down the stretch he was just hunting for big play and hitting them Brown’s a very dangerous team Miami Dolphins Los Angeles Rams yeah Rams got

Has it’s got be the Rams and then the Packers it’s not the Steelers it’s the Packers it’s come on come on I know look I know Mason rudol is getting it done the Steeler Way by not throwing the ball ever uh but uh it I mean the Packers

Yeah I I do think I I like Cowboys I will say if I were McCarthy I would be scared to death of Jordan love now it’s it’s tough It’s a tough it’s never easy for the Cowboys though it was never going to be easy for the Dallas Cowboys

It might as well be hard from the jump prove their medal be forged in the fire from the very first round forward that’s right uh so it’s it’s it’s not the Steelers it’s not the rador football show because it’s over Danny you have anything coming down

The pipe this week by the way yeah I’m gonna keep doing the funnel defense report uh this time with a focus on DFS options in in Fantasy Playoff stuff we we we like that we get into that um and so I will have that up on Thursday

Morning on NBC Sports you always do really really great postseason playoff content so I’m really looking forward I’m trying to do an article where I rank the playoff field by the way got some good ammo doing this segment so I’m not quite sure that’s I’m gonna be on the

Road this week but we shall see so for Denny Carter I’m Patrick Dy thank you so much for listening we’ll be back on Thursday with Mr Kyle dor keep it lock to rotor world.com all week for all the injury in coaching news we will catch you later

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