NFL DFS Sunday Night Football Core Plays + Lineup Process: Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

NFL DFS Sunday Night Football Core Plays + Lineup Process: Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

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All right, everyone. Welcome back into another NFL DFS video. Going to be breaking down the Sunday night showdown here between the Buffalo Bills and the Baltimore Ravens. Let’s go ahead and get into it. So, as always, I like to start off with a quick game preview of this game when talking about DFS. And the thing that stands out is what this freaking game total, guys. 50.5 points. So, a very highscoring game. So, with that, we we basically are not going to be playing the DSTs that much. and we’re probably going to have to search for some good value to be able to play the studs. Now, both teams kind of go deep. I mean, the Ravens, you know, it’s a little bit more concentrated. You’re looking at Lamar Jackson. You’re looking at Derrick Henry, and we’re going to try to see if it’ll be like Mark Andrews, will it be Ze Flowers, maybe Rashad Baitman. It’s kind of simple for them. With the Bills, there’s a lot of question marks. Okay, so obviously it’s going to be Joshua Allen, James Cook mostly, but you know, he kind of sat out part of training camp and so that makes him a little bit of a risk. You got Kon Coleman who’s been getting a lot of hype out of camp. Khalil Shakir recently returned from injury. Will he be a full goal? We’ll talk about that. Then there’s a bunch of other plays that we could be on as well for the Bills. So, let’s go ahead and break it down. Okay. So, yes, let’s go ahead and start off with the Baltimore Ravens. Again, they are going to be the easiest among the the two teams here, I think, to predict in terms of who we want to be on. I do want to talk about DeAndre Hopkins. So, DeAndre Hopkins is someone that’s interesting to me because he is someone that will not play that much, I don’t think. Okay. Last year I was kind of shocked at the amount of snaps that he was getting for the Titans and then obviously switch teams. I was a little bit shocked by that. I don’t think we can trust him to play a lot. He is kind of a third down running back and goal line back if that makes sense in the sense that like money plays are the plays that he’ll be in on. Other than that, they’re going to try to limit him a bunch. So that’s my long way of saying I could see him scoring a touchdown, but that’s really the only reason why you’d be playing him. maybe maybe Barry a big play but for the most part that is not really in the realm of possibilities in terms of stuff that we want to be targeting. So for me I actually really like another value receiver play and that’s going to be Rashad Baitman. Okay so I actually kind of think there’s a chance and this is I don’t think it’s all too likely but I think it it it’s kind of the same situation where Z Flowers he’s not ASB but stay with me here we’re going to say he’s ASB and then Rashad Baitman is kind of Jameson Williams. Now, obviously not as good and whatnot. Uh, but you guys I think you guys kind of get the comparison I’m trying to make. It could be more of a 1A 1B situation this year. I think okay, Baitman got paid as well. They obviously really like Rashad Baitman there. And this is a game where it is supposed to be high scoring. We need to be targeting some that can go off. In the last game against these two teams, which I don’t think we should be, you know, looking at too much. Uh, was a close game obviously, but had almost 17 points in that game. Now, if we look at the week four game, this game was a blowout. I do want to call out the the Baltimore Ravens crush the Bills and that’s always part of the equation. If the Ravens are playing with the lead, obviously going to be more of a Derrick Henry game. If they’re playing from behind, it’s going to be more of a pass heavy script. So, you do need to bake that into your lineups. But, I do really like Rashad Baitman because I like the ceiling that he could have in a game like this. And if his role expands a little bit more with a player like Isaiah likely, which might not be as obvious to other people that this should benefit Baitman, I like Baitman a decent amount, especially at that price tag. Now, that being said, obviously with Isaiah likely out, that’s going to lead to a lot of snaps for someone like Mark Andrews as well, who, let’s face it, he should be motivated to play well after really selling that game for the Baltimore Ravens last year. Okay, a little bit of a re revenge game, if you want to call it that, kind of, you know, more he he he’s going to want to play well. We know he started the season out terribly, and then uh as the season progressed, as he got healthier and um they need to rely on him more, he had a much better, you know, season. And so I do think he should be some of that safe and reliable that we can click on. The question from there becomes which one of the three stud Ravens players do we want to target? And so I phrase it that way because Z Flowers is someone that I almost want to be on either in the classic like he’s either in my captain spot or he’s someone that I’m not getting as much exposure to because if he is going off he could end up being the highest scoreer on the slate for the Ravens. Okay. because that would also mean that Derrick Henry is probably not going off as much. That would basically mean we’re having like a 100 yard game out of Z Flowers. He’s probably scoring a touchdown there as well. I don’t mind banking on that, but I also don’t think we need to go crazy with that take as well. It will be interesting to see how his role is at the start of the season, whether or not he’s going to get, you know, more of that high volume that he got at the start of the season, whereas later on the season, it kind of went away. And again with likely out, maybe that does correlate, but I I am almost liking him more in the captain spot. So we could play like Z Flowers and then Lamar Jackson. And that leaves us with a logical approach to fade someone like Derrick Henry. That’s kind of the issue with Derrick Henry is that at his price tag, I don’t want to say we’re either playing him in the captain or we’re not playing him because he is someone that can still go off. But the fact that Justice Hill and Keenan Mitchell are both healthy, I do think that slightly hurts Derrick Henry a little bit. A little bit. He had high volume there as well. I I think we could end up seeing him play a little bit less snaps at the start of the season as well. I don’t think we’re worried about that though, but we could find reasons to not be on him. Either way, he’s also someone that, you know, if we’re not playing Z Flowers, I probably am playing Derrick Henry in the captain spot instead. Lamar Jackson, obviously, if you can fit him into the captain spot, I’m fine with that. Also want to talk about their kicker, Tyler Loop, as well. I’m perfectly happy to get to him in a highscoring game. Now, I do want to call out kind of his fantasy score line. I find it interesting that he’s not likely to get 1.5 field goals made and his fantasy score on something like prize picks is valing him at eight which does use the same calculation as DraftKings just as an FY and I do find that interesting because they’re saying he’s going to get a lot of points via extra points and maybe like it’s just strange like they’re basically saying he’s going to have four extra points in this game which I’m fine with but if we’re playing a kicker we we typically want them to at least be somewhat likely to have two field goals so he is certainly in play don’t get me wrong especially at that price. That’s a simple way to get some value, but I don’t know if we necessarily need to go crazy with that as well. And then I do think it’s worth just slightly mentioning like you do have Wallace there who could be a value if you’re in a pinch and you really like the rest of your build. He’s not going to play too much, but you know, could be used in the receiver number three role. And then uh Charlie Coller as well. Uh probably going to be the tight end number two. We’re not really looking at him too much, but if you need value, maybe you can look at him. If he was like 200, I’d be much more inclined to get to him. And now we go ahead and get to the Buffalo Bills. Do I really need to say that we should be playing Josh Allen? I I don’t think that. Obviously, we want to play Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, especially in this highscoring game. The question is, who else do we play then from there? James Cook is interesting. Okay, he does get a difficult match up here against Baltimore. You know, one where last year he had 11 and then 5.8. you know, basically his his worst games last year were against the Ravens and that could be just because it’s more of a shootout. Now, that doesn’t necessarily mean that we can’t be on him. He could be involved in the passing game, but I think I would just rather target cheaper passing options as well. So, I mentioned Khlo Shakir. Khlo Shakir did not have a lot of his camp uh because he had been banged up. So, that is a concern just how ready is he going to be for this game. Is he going to be truly in football shape and all that stuff? I I would assume so. I would assume he’s going to be good to go, but maybe he does get limited. You know, it wasn’t until later on in the season when he started to play a lot more snaps. If he only plays about 55, 56, let’s just say 50 to 65% of the snaps at this price tag, that’s not exactly what we’d want. And if he does end up playing a limited role, I would expect someone like Josh Palmer to be someone that benefits from that. Maybe ends up playing about 50% of the snaps. So, I’m not exactly saying it’s if then statement with Kushir and Josh Palmer. I think they can both end up doing pretty well in the same game. And price tag wise, I do think we want to get to Josh Palmer, but I am prioritizing Shakir over him. Just as an FYI, they’re both in play. And sadly, is Kian Coleman. Kean Coleman is expected to play a majority of the snaps uh in this game. He started off the season pretty good and then really tailed off at the tail end of the season. Now, the issue with Shakir or sorry, the issue with Coleman is we we just don’t know what to expect. He got a lot of hype out of camp as well. This is almost the spot where I think I would be playing either Shakir or Coleman. From there, we do need to talk about like Dalton Concincaid, okay? When Shakir is active and whatnot and with Josh Palmer in there as well, that does limit what Dalton Concincaid can do because a lot of his production as a rookie was somewhat out of the slot role where they just kind of need him to play there more rather than more of the traditional tight end role. And so with that, we we needed to find some value again for the Bills as well. Matt Prader, I’m fine with obviously kicker. Ray Davis, can he, you know, flash on a big player too? Sure. But we’re really trying to nail like Elijah Moore. Will he be someone that gets involved? Maybe. Maybe. He wasn’t terrible throughout the preseason. Is Curtis Samuel gonna get involved? We really, really don’t know. It’s a guessing game. He apparently has been someone that’s, you know, taken a step further in this offense as well throughout camp. And that’s the difficult part. There’s a lot of guessing there. And so, if we’re looking at like a lineup process here, okay, I think this is going to be somewhat of what it ends up being for me as it sits right now. We are getting a lot of the top projected scores. We’re not getting a Derrick Henry, which we don’t like. But then we can play one of the kickers here, which in this situation, if we are not playing Derrick Henry, I probably do want to play Loop. Now, the issue here is that these teams are probably going to go for it on fourth and three a bunch. You know, that’s a concern. But if we’re not getting to Dererick Henry, then that probably means we’re going to lead to a couple of field goals there for the Ravens. And I’m fine with that. And so that’s kind of what I think, you know, for say in terms of like first build and how we should be prioritizing plays. Let’s just go ahead and see what the 95 lineup builder is telling us as well. So, I’m just going to click run. Not doing much to it here. Uh, no filters on or anything like that. Just kind of want to see what the top lineup would be. Uh, we got this one here. Lamar Jackson’s a Flowers. Walker is interesting. I don’t know if we necessarily need to get there. It it kind of makes sense in the sense that it’s trying to get to the the clearcut four studs on the play while getting Lamar Jackson. This lineup here is okay. I would argue that if we are playing Derrick Henry, we wouldn’t want to play Justice Hill and Katon Mitchell. So, I don’t necessarily love that. That’s actually a rule that I I could see myself setting in the 95 lineup builder there. This is a lineup that again, if you’re trying to fit in studs, it kind of makes sense, but I don’t think we necessarily need to do that. So, the theme of what I’m seeing here is it’s pretty darn difficult obviously to get those studs in there. This is one that I I like a little bit more. Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, Shakir, Justice Hill, and Charlie Kar. there. Okay, with that, okay, that’s kind of the fun part about this slate, though, okay, is that you are going to have to get a little bit unique and a little bit different to have a good lineup in this highscoring game. But that’s going to do it for this video, guys. Make sure to leave a like on the video, subscribe to the channel if you guys have not done so before. If you guys are someone that’s going to be playing like maybe on Prize, Space, or Underdog, uh be on the lookout for that video. If you guys are someone that doesn’t play on those sites, but is thinking about doing it, uh we also have Sleeper and Better as well. Those are all video sponsors for me. So, if you guys would like to get uh you know some of some action on those sites, make sure to click the links in the description below. Uh you guys can also use all the best like promos that they have going on for that as well. For example, Prize Pix has a free square going on for Lamar Jackson tonight. 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