2025 Procore Championship Picks & Predictions | PGA Tour Bets
Welcome back ladies and gentlemen to the nineteenth hole. You already know what we’re doing. We’re breaking down golf. We’re checking everything out. So let’s waste no time. Let me roll that intro. Guys, it’s the week of the Procore Championship, the week before the Ryder Cup. But you guys might be wondering who is on my screen right now. My name is Jake Perry. I’ll be taking over as the host of the Nineteenth Hole moving forward here. So you’re going to see my face a lot more frequently. I guessed it on the show quite a bit with Bo and Connor back in the day and you’re going to see me running things now a lot more frequently. But before we get started, you already know what you got to do. Make sure you like the video. If you liked the video, subscribe, help us keep climbing up everything here. And guys, we get to talk about the pro core. We get the news of what’s going on this week. We have everything going on this week. It’s the pro core. We’re back in golf. We have PGA golf again. But guys, I’m not going to make you guys waste any time. Let’s head on over to the caddy notes. What is up, guys? Again, we are breaking down the Procore Championship taking place at Silverado Country Club’s North Course, located in Napa, California. This is playing as a par of seventy two, just over seventy one hundred yards. We have mixed grass green or fairways. We have creeping bank grass with pollock greens and. This course, it’s not brand new, but it’s still fairly new to the PGA Tour. This course has been hosting this tournament since twenty fifteen. And one thing to note with this venue is the the course history here is very sticky. It’s a very sticky stat. It breaks very similar in terms of predictiveness to some well-known courses like Sedgefield Country Club, TPC River Highlands and Torrey Pines South. Torrey Pines especially plays a very good comparative course when looking at how that entire course lays out, especially with the Poe Greens. This is an approach-heavy course, shots gained off the tee falling far down the board in importance. We have bunkers surrounding nearly every green, water coming into play way more than most are going to be comfortable with. And it’s important to note kind of what everything looks like here when it comes to what to expect out of Napa, California, weather-wise. It’s a mixed bag, you know, especially being in our friend Bo’s favorite place, Northern California. We know that we can get some great weather and we can get some bad weather as well. Luckily for us this week, we are looking pretty straightforward. You know, starting off on Thursday, high of seventy five, some light wind, partly cloudy weather. Friday through Sunday, hovering right around eighty degrees. No rain in sight. You know, maybe a twenty percent chance on Saturday, but really nothing too crazy to worry about. Historically, the cut line at this event hovers between three and six under par. This is a very high scoring event, so it’s not uncommon to see a higher cut line here. And the projected winning score for this event, we have between sixteen and twenty under par. The course record here is twenty one under par, which has been twice been done twice over the last few years. But realistically, it’s going to be a high scoring event. When looking at the trends and previous winners, all of the winners at this event putt really well and play well with the wedges. Elite approach play is needed inside of one hundred fifty yards, with nearly fifty percent of approach shots coming inside of one hundred fifty yards. So this is going to be another not quite a ball strikers paradise, but it’s absolutely going to be crucial to be able to play well with wedges in your hands, get out of the sand, scramble and putt on Paula. Those are the keys this week without any doubt. Some of the other stats I’m building around just because it is such an approach heavy course, we’re going to put some additional focus on good drives gained shots gained on approach as well as proximity, and then birdies are better gained and bogey avoidance as always are going to continue. to be very, very important for us. But now that we know the course, now that we’ve broken it down, let’s head on over to the players we’re going to throw some money on this week. Thank you. Starting off with our favorites this week, we have two favorites of mine specifically. I’m going to start off with Sam Burns coming off at plus eighteen hundred. Burnsy lines up really well for this type of course. When you look at his his gameplay, I mean, he’s he was the best putter on tour in twenty twenty five. That alone is going to give players a distinct bump at this type of venue. when we see the actual favorite of the event, Scotty Scheffler coming off at plus two, let’s be honest. It’s Scotty. We know he’s likely going to win. Those odds aren’t worth betting on for me, especially when you have a guy like Burnsy, who I think can absolutely run away in a field like this, uh, in a, in a venue like this specifically. So we’re going to lean into Burnsy a little bit there. Another guy that I’m really in on is Russell Henley. Henley has been playing absolutely lights out without any question of a doubt heading into, you know, especially through the tour championship, through the playoffs, everything he played extremely well, his putter and wedges, absolute weapons this year. He’s a top Only three players on the entire PGA Tour have avoided bogeys better than Henley has. So, you know, it’s a no-brainer to get him on the book here. Another important note for Sam Burns, he does have a seventh place finish here in his last start here. He’s is similar to good drives gained. It’s a combination of accuracy and distance. So Bernsie should be able to put himself in good spots. Henley should be a weapon around the greens. Both of these guys make really fun plays all in. Next up in the mid range, we’re going to start off with Akshay Bhatia. Akshay, what more is there to say about this man? We absolutely love Akshay Bhatia over here. Big fan of his game. Big fan of what he is capable of. He took some major steps forward with the putter this year. Finished thirty third on tour in strokes. Gained putting was an absolute lethal ball striker. Finished eleventh in shots gained on approach. When it comes to the scoring side of things, he’s one of the best par three and par four birdie or better leaders in the entire sport. He also is twelfth on the PGA Tour in birdie or better percentage. Doesn’t necessarily avoid bogeys. I don’t think he’d tell you he doesn’t avoid enough bogeys. But realistically, the upside that he has, when you look at the overall combination of game that he has, ability to save himself from the sand if he is to miss those greens, even though that has been his strength this year, all around, he’s in a really good spot to succeed. A guy who’s a little bit more of an outlier here. I’m also in on Max Homa at plus forty five hundred. Homa has been terrible in twenty twenty five. We all know that no point in beating that dead horse. However, he did have a really good bounce back performance at the John Deere with the tide for fifth finish. And I’m leaning just more heavily into course history here. Almost won this event twice in the past. That can’t be ignored when a field like this, especially at these odds, his irons have really started to come back around. He just needs to figure out the driver a little bit and get the wedges and putter back in line. And then Homa can be right back to being the guy he was just a few years ago. Last up, looking at the long shots here, starting off with Keith Mitchell coming off the board at seventy to one. Keith Mitchell is he’s a boring golfer. I don’t think that’s much of a surprise for anybody to hear me say that. But when it comes to what he is capable of, we know he can put in some good performances on approach. Around the greens hasn’t been his strength this year. Approach has been solid. Off the tee, he’s been solid. But realistically, when you look at what he is capable of, he’s the type of guy who… is kind of due for some good performances. He’s a very streaky player. You know, did have a streak from March to May this year where he didn’t finish outside the top eighteen into an event and then has kind of fallen downhill ever since then. However, he came in twelfth here last year. He’s got the upside to place well here, so there’s no reason that I can’t be a little bit interested. And then lastly, I’m going with Adam Svensson coming off the board at three hundred to one. This is, again, mostly a historical performance type of play. Last two years at this event, he’s finished in the top thirteen or top twelve, respectively. He’s been solid here historically around the green. He’s been solid enough on approach. It’s really been his weakness here, even though it’s one of his overall strengths. And he’s put particularly well here as well. So even though it’s a bit of a long shot, it’s a long shot for a reason. Who isn’t going to love it? Guys, that has been my breakdown of the Procore Championship. Again, make sure you guys like the video. Make sure you guys subscribe to never miss any of our content. And we will see you all next week.
Find profit at Silverado Resort’s North Course with our PGA Tour betting experts’ top 2025 Procore Championship picks and predictions!
Will Scottie Scheffler (+210) run away from a lackluster field, or does Russell Henley (+1600) pull a rabbit out of his hat?
Analyst Jake Parry shares his top PGA Tour bets for the first stop of the FedExCup Fall!
⏰ Time Stamps:
00:00:00 Introduction
00:01:36 Caddie Notes: Silverado Resort’s North Course Breakdown
00:05:18 Club Twirls: 2025 Procore Championship Picks & Predictions
00:05:43 The Favorites
00:07:22 The Mid-Range
00:08:59 The Longshots
00:10:35 Plugs + Outro
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