Brian Harman (+8000): The lefty has been coming to Caves Valley Golf Club since the 2007 Palmer Cup. He finished T29 in his return at the 2021 BMW Championship but won’t even need that to advance to the TOUR Championship because he’s 18th in the FedExCup. So, freed to play his game, albeit on a course that doesn’t resemble what he tried to tackle in his first two spins, he can continue to pile onto strong results of late for momentum entering the finale. He’s connected for two top 10s and a T22 in his last four starts, but it’s been months since he put four rounds together, thus these long odds to prevail in a field of 49. The assignment is to circle a proven winner with the kind of balanced attack that a long track with unfamiliar greens will reward. He more than holds his own from tee to green, but if the BMW Championship evolves into a putting contest like it did four years ago, he’d be even more of a threat. (Reminder: There have been only two first-time winners in the history of the FedExCup Playoffs.)
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