2025 Genesis Scottish Open Picks and Predictions | PGA Betting Tips, Course Preview and DFS Plays!

⛳️ Expert Golf Handicappers Andy Lang and Nick Borrman take a closer look at betting the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open! How are the course conditions going to look, who are some golfers that can trip you up and who should you set in your DFS lineup? Andy and Nick give their answers!

#golfpicks #pgapicks #scottishopen

Introduction 00:00
Course Overview 2:20
Favorite Favorite 8:50
Strokes Gained 11:30
Players that can trip you up 14:35
Worthy Longshot 19:50
DraftKings Darlings 22:00

🏌️‍♂️ 2025 Genesis Scottish Open – July 10–13 at The Renaissance Club, North Berwick, Scotland

📍 Top Players
Scottie Scheffler (World No. 1)
Rory McIlroy (2023 champion)
Robert MacIntyre (defending 2024 champion)

Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Tommy Fleetwood, Ludvig Åberg, Viktor Hovland, Justin Thomas

📺 How to Watch
USA TV: Golf Channel (Thu–Fri), CBS (Weekend)
UK TV: Sky Sports Golf coverage begins Thursday

📶 Online Streaming
PGA Tour Live / DP World Tour streaming platforms
Sky Go in the UK
📻 Radio Broadcast
talkSPORT radio coverage

🧮 Current Betting Odds (as of July 7–8)
Scheffler: +360 to +450 (average)
McIlroy: +750 to +900
Schauffele: +2000
Fleetwood: +2200
Morikawa: +2500
MacIntyre: +2500 to +3300

🏌️ Past Tournament Highlights & Course Facts
The Renaissance Club (par‑70, 7,237 yds) has hosted since 2019 and is part of the DP World Tour’s prestigious Rolex Series

Past winners at North Berwick:
2024: Robert MacIntyre (−18)
2023: Rory McIlroy (−15)
2022: Xander Schauffele (−7)

MacIntyre became the first Scottish Rolex Series winner in 2024 after dramatic runner-up in 2023

Links-play: course features pot bunkers, five par‑3s and three par‑5s, with wind often playing a key role

🔖 Hashtags
#ScottishOpen #GenesisScottishOpen #RenaissanceClub #Golf #PGA #DPWorldTour #Scheffler #McIlroy #MacIntyre

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It’s the 2025 Scottish Open gearing up for the next major, but we got a big tournament this week. Most of the bigger names are going to be playing that. Welcome to everybody to tea time. I your host Andy Lang being joined as always by my fellow golf betting expert Nick Borman. We’re going to break down the course. We’re going to go over some players that could trip you up, some outright winners, some long shots, some DraftKings darlings. But first, Nick, let’s do our one and done. Uh there was one name that was just a gigantic shining uh red light that we both picked. So I I I went ahead and switched mine up. Uh I’m gonna go with Matthew Fitzpatrick this week. Um Matthew Fitzpatrick has he’s I I would say he’s completely turned it around, but we’re seeing glimpses of when he was truly elite. Um he’s 13th in total strokes gain in this field in the last 30 days. and you look at some of his uh recent finishes. Um look at eighth, 17th, 38th, 31st, 8th, 23rd. Much much better um than what we’ve seen from him. So leak style course. Hopefully he’s a little bit comfortable over there. So I’m going to go with Matthew Fitzpatrick. Who are you going with? Yeah, good plan Fitzpatrick. He’s uh rounding back in form nicely. So this one’s all about Bobby Mack. Like it’s just a no-brainer when you know I know when you you do your one and done you kind of plan out the majors and when you’re going to use Scotty and Rory. Well, I played my entire season around using Bobby Mack at the Scottish Open because it just makes sense. Winner here last year obviously uh runner up the year before and of course coming off a second place at the US Open which I knew at the beginning of the season was going to happen. Another indicator that his form and his core sister here marrying up nicely. I’d be very surprised if he’s not the top 10 when this thing is done. So, I don’t know if he’ll go back to back, but I think he’ll be in the mix. So, that’s good enough for me. One and done. Bobby Mack. Yeah. Solid pick that. Yeah. This is your This is Bobby. It’s Bobby Mack week for sure. So, Bobby Mac’s world. Yeah. Yeah. Uh, hit the like button, guys, and leave a comment in the comment section. Tell us who you like this week. A lot of good names. Uh, be interested to see how the guys like Sheffler and Rory, you know, they tend to play well here. It’s not like one of these tournaments that, you know, the main guys blow off because there’s a major coming up. So, um I think it’ll be pretty competitive leaderboard. Uh let’s talk to Renaissance Club in Scotland. Uh 7237 I have as the yardage. Um this used to be a pine tree forest. So, I I’m always struggling with this, Nick. Like, is this a true links style course? you know, it has most of the it has most of the the features. You know, you’ve got kind of the the deep bunkers. There’s some fescue. Um if it’s windy, all of a sudden it becomes brutally hard to play. But if the wind is not there, this is a pretty easy course for these guys. You can overpower a lot of these holes and leave yourself some really short approaches. So, um I I think the the weather looks to be pretty good as of now, but this is obviously an area where don’t plan on much a few days out, you know, kind of wait, but but um it’s a it’s a pretty fun course. The guys shouldn’t have uh too many too much trouble with it. Believe there’s five par threes and only three par five, so you got one less, you know, bomb of a hole uh to to to get a pretty easy birdie. What’s your take on Renaissance Club? Yeah, it’s funny. You look at like the open championship notoriously is is it’s the weather is kind of like the main wild card and the main thing you talk about for the open championship, right? That’s what makes that event special. This is the the leadup to it. The event prior to that and you kind of want to see and the players kind of want to experience similar conditions to what they’re going to get in the open championship. As you said, weather is unpredictable in this area. Right now, it’s nothing crazy. Rain doesn’t seem to be an issue. Temps around 70 degrees. Uh wind highest on Thursday and kind of never subsides, but 10 to 15 kind of the rest of the week. So nothing crazy crazy, but it can pick up anytime. It can it can throw throw a wild card at us anytime. But the course itself, a lot of these courses over in Scotland, they’re they’re designed with wind in mind because 80% of the time the wind is a factor. Uh so you’re going to see green speeds, most notably something that these players are not used to. This is something that right now I read on the PJ tour website they’re expected to stmp at about 10 and a half. These guys are used to playing 121 13. So it there’s a couple of correlating stats uh to this that I found very interesting. Um so this particular course the last two years it ranked as the longest proximity to the hole. So your approach shots you’re on average the longest from the hole than you are at any other golf course. And then last year that was the fourth longest which it’s a little weird because if you look at like the the fairways are they’re not particularly hard to hit and the greens in regulation are not particularly low in percentage. It’s just because of the wind and because of some of the undulations and the way the greens funnel away. You end up with 40footers a lot, right? And that’s hard to get uh to make birdies from and you’re trying to hope to not three putt. So it is unique that the long this is the longest proximity on average over the last two years on your approach shot which directly correlates to putting. So, it also in both each of the last two years has had the shortest average of total putts hold. So, like you know, if you’re going to make 100 putts on average, well, this one’s 80 feet, right? That’s the number of feet because again, you’re putting from far, you’re probably not making it. You’re just two putts. So, your average whole putt is three or four feet, not 15, 20 feet. So, I don’t know what that means. I’m not sure exactly how to handicap that. I just found it very interesting and worth discussing. Um, and again, I think that’s a big factor of the weather. I think a lot of it has to do with the greens. Again, these are slow. They’re 10 and a halfs, right? Maybe 11 if if it dries out and and they don’t have to worry about uh keeping them a little slower. But they’re also fescue, right? Most of the courses, really all the courses in the US are either bankrass, bermudarass, or pana. So there’s there is a reason why Europeans generally have an advantage, albeit can Americans win these events? Of course they can. But in the bigger picture on the whole field in general, there’s a reason these Europeans have the advantage. They’re used to putting on fesy. They’re used to putting a little slower greens because of the win factor. So, I’m going to gear my betting card more, not all, but more towards the European side because of that reason. But anyway, I just found those couple notes and stats interesting on this course this week. Yeah, 18th hole ranking here. I got this thing rated a 5.3 out of 10. It’s a par4, 483 yards. It’s one of those holes that looks really cool, but it it’s not it’s not really that difficult, you know. you know, you got to have a pretty good uh T-shot. Um I do love that there’s two stone walls that just go right through the middle of the fairway. You know, I love a good obstacle uh randomly in the middle of the hole. Uh that that’s always fun. So, uh the approach can be pretty long. There’s bunkers on the right. There’s a really sharp fall off to the left. Um so, you really can’t miss left here. That being said, if you find the fairway off the te and then you’re, you know, without much wind, this is going to be a pretty easy hole. mostly pars, occasional birdie here or there. Um, a bogey is a really really bad look if there’s no wind on this hole. So, one of those holes that that looks that looks cool. It’s it’s very visual. Uh, looks looks really fun off the tea, but difficulty and drama-wise, uh, not much to it. So, go 5.3. Favorite hole? Uh, I we I think we talk about this one every year. It’s the 13th hole. It’s this par4. It’s so cool. Absolutely stunning view off the tea. You got C off to the left. Um cliffs. Um the fairway gets really narrow the farther up uh that that you go. So normally when it’s windy, players, you might see them lay up a little bit and leave themselves a longer approach, but I think they’re going to not have much fear for this one. The approach is awesome. Approach is so cool. uh on the on the on the flyover video, the announcer says that they designed it like it’s it’s like trying to land a a plane on a on a aircraft carrier sometimes. Um just just how crazy it can be. So, uh big trouble off to the left, but um I I suspect this hole won’t be playing as difficult this year, but visually it’s just it’s it’s it’s an alltimer. It’s it’s one of the most one of the most beautiful holes that they’re going to play on tour. So, 13th hole, the par4, definitely my favorite hole on this course. All right, Nick. Um, let’s let’s go to your favorite favorite here. Get us started with who’s a big name that you’re looking at uh to take the outright win this week. All right, we all know the rule. If you don’t know the rule by now, you never bet on Tommy Fleetwood for a PJ tour. Wait, wait, I’ll say maybe not a PJ tour event, but a one on American Swift. So, if there’s ever two PJ tour events, this guy could win because we know he just the RBC Heritage. Boy, that was tough to watch. He’s got seven wins in Europe, right? So maybe, just maybe, the PGA Tour sanctioned Scottish Open here might be a chance for him or of course the Open next week. But gosh, right, Annie, we were taxing. I mean, how devastating was that to watch on that 72nd hole a couple weeks ago, man, trying to get that first win. And I don’t know if you saw the replay where there was a view of Keegan putting, but it was from like just behind Tommy and it was Tommy. He couldn’t he literally couldn’t watch. He’s He’s like, and I like like I almost It was almost like watching a a horrible accident. You just couldn’t I didn’t want to watch anymore, but I couldn’t look away. I felt really bad. But I think this is the chance to get back to it. Maybe this is the perfect situation for him to try to get past that mentally. His consistency though is what we’re betting on. I mean, it’s absolutely fantastic. Inexplicably, he did miss the cut at last year’s Open Championship again, which is weird because this is where he should thrive. But he didn’t miss another cut until last month at the US Open, which was a run of 22 tournaments, 20 of those top 25 finishes between the DP and PGA tours. He followed up uh with a miscut or excuse me, he followed off that miscut at the US Open with that heart-wrenching loss at the Traveler. So clearly bounced back immediately, just couldn’t quite get the job done. Uh tie for 34th here last year, but a tie for six and a tie for four fourth in each of the previous two years when they were PGA Tour events. He also had a playoff loss here loss year, excuse me, in 2020 uh when it wasn’t yet a PJ tour event, but it was still a DP uh event. So, obviously a ton of great history at this event. Most importantly, he’s now rested since that loss, right? That was this will be three weeks clear before teeing this one up. So, not only is that important physically for most guys, I think for him emotionally, mentally, however you want to look at it, it’s huge to have that time off. Maybe he can get past it. or 22 to1 I think is a pretty good price on a guy that’s playing in the strokes game chart which we’ll look at he he’s number two in the last three months in total stroke game behind only Scotty so I think his price is very good I think Tommy’s going to have a good week eventually he’s got to get over the hump right maybe here yeah let’s take a look at the total strokes and yes that camera angle behind was just torturous I mean it was just it was so brutal and you know he’s just so nice that’s that’s The thing that makes it makes it so tough, it’s like who’s who’s ever been like, “Yeah, you know who I don’t like? Tommy Fleet.” Like, nobody has ever said that on the face of the planet. It’s like, why does it happen? Why does it happen to to that guy? So, uh, all right, let’s take a look at the total stress gain. Sorry, I forgot to do this one first, but all right, let’s walk us through. I mean, listen, uh, it’s littered with big names there. Um, obviously JJ Spawn sticks out a little bit there at the bottom, but uh, sure walk us through 12 months, six months, and three months. What’s the big takeaways? Yeah. Well, first off, uh, two out of every three events since the start of 23, so now we’re almost done with three full seasons. Two out of every three. 67% of the winners of these events have been in this top 10 of these big, uh, bigger events. Now, this week is technically not a signature or a major, but it’s a pretty big field event. So, I would still be looking at a lot of these guys right here on this list, but the most remarkable way to look at this, I mean, is just the head and shoulders amount that Scotty Sheffler is above the rest of the tour. Just in the last 12 months, you can see it more so in the last three months, but the last 12 months, he’s averaging basically 1.2 strokes better on average than Rory every single round te up. That means before he tees up on any on any tournament, on average he’s five shots better than the next closest person to the field. It’s just absolutely insane how consistent and how good he is. But you’re going to pay for it. That plus 450 price you see on there. I mean, that was MGM throwing out a a hanger 360. Plus 360 is what I’m seeing like deep draft kings in FanDuel. So, it’s just not worth it at that price. Um, at least in my opinion. Maybe throw them in a parlay with like a top five or top 10 or something like that, but there’s probably a little bit better better money elsewhere. Rory’s initially the case study. We knew gosh, where was he for a while after the Masters, but is he rounding back? Right. He had that springboard back door top 20 finish at the at the US Open, but then he played very well again at the uh at the Travelers. So perhaps he’s rounding back in a form at the perfect time. And of course, he loves this event. Winner here two years ago and a ton of history obviously in this area in general. JT I’m not 100% sure on. He’s kind of he did get that win at the Heritage, but he’s kind of petered a little bit, so I’m not sure. Morawa, gosh, it’s non-stop negative story after negative story about him, his putter, his caddy, whatever. So, avoid him at all costs. Fleetwood, we already talked about Xander seems to be coming back into form. JJ Spawn, you mentioned at the bottom, he’s eighth in the world, Andy. I mean, you know, you finish runner up at players, you win the US Open. I mean, you deserve your spot here. Uh, and you can see that in this trend over the last six months and three months has has gained over his last 12 months, which was at which was pretty solid, too. Again, a lot of its more recent bias, but and then the bottom I round it out with Victor Havlin playing very well. Sra is having a great year. Lud, excuse me, here. Lud big is the only guy not really having a good year, but he’s in the top 10 still in the official golf ranking. So, I figured, you know, he probably deserves to be on this list just because people are going to ask questions like, “What about Ludig’s a top 10 player? He’s he’s one of the top 12, I think, in the betting favorite board.” So, I threw him on there, but he’s he’s an avoided me. But biggest thing that stands out is just the leaps and bounds. Scotty on average is better than anybody else on tour right now. Yeah. Yeah, it really is. Really is amazing. It’s like, are they playing the same sport? Like, it’s hard to imagine that that one guy in this day and age is that much better. So, all right, let’s take a look at some players that can trip you up. I’m going to start off with I’m going to go with Xander Schoffley as my first player to trip you up. I it just I can’t point to one number that that’s bad. It just it’s consistency. It it just feels like every tournament there’s just one round this year that just kind of takes him out of contention. He’s never quite fully picked up since the rib injury. He has one top eight finish this entire year. He just can’t put four rounds together. So I again you look at his total strokes gain great. You look at putting good approach good te to green good drive like everything’s good and then you look and it’s just like this guy’s not even finishing in the top 10. So uh 15th and 42nd finishes the last two years here I just don’t see the value at all at top seven. That’s where he’s priced at. So uh we’re still riding the Xander Schoffling name but until he shows that he’s back to that form I can’t be betting on him. I’m gonna go to Victor Havland. Um he broke my heart in the one and done when he withdrew from the tournament. But that is what I’m really really worried about. Nick was you know just a few weeks ago takes a swing on the first tee his neck hurts. He has to withdraw and I’m just with the week with the week before the major I obviously Havland is looking towards next week. Uh if there’s one player in this field that I worry about not really caring too much about this tournament is Victor Havlin. can he get four rounds in uh without his his neck or back issue? So, um it looked like he had kind of turned the the corner. He was playing good, but boy, now now that he’s he may not be 100% healthy, I’m just not going to roll the dice on Victor Havlin being 100% motivated to uh to to to go for the win here. So, I’ll be fading Victor Havlin. And then Ludvik Abear. Seriously, I I I I talk about him all the time, but he just since he withdrew from that illness way back in the in the early part of the season, he has not looked good. Hasn’t finished better than 13th in the last three months. Iron play has been eh, but it’s a short game. His putting has just been awful around the greens been pretty bad. And you know, this of course if you’re not accurate with the irons and now you got to depend on your short game, the spells trouble. So Ludvik is uh is unplayable. And I think people are gonna play him this week because he finished fourth here last year. But current form does not justify the hype in the slightest. So I will not be playing uh Xander Schoffley, Victor Hoblin, or Ludvik Ober this week. All right, Nick, let’s go to a long shot. Before we do that, tell everyone what you have up for clients at Wager Talk. Sure. Uh right now, this week, uh we have the FIFA World Cup semi-finals going on Tuesday and Wednesday before the final this weekend. So, we’ll have plays up for those MLS action. Got weekend coverage and midweek next week. Uh, so that’s going on. Then, of course, we got we got the golf uh this week with Scott and the last major of the year next week for the open. And yeah, we’ll have a package put together here in the next probably two weeks for golf to finish the season. We always do something for the playoffs. So, look forward to that coming up as well, but right now is mostly MLS for me as these uh the FIFA Club World Cup ends here this week. So, if you don’t get those plays, MLS is is where the action is at. Um, Andy, I wanted to ask you a question on on Xander. So, with his major pedigree, we’ll avoid him this week, sure. But is he you gonna target him next week? I mean, he’s got 13 top 20s in his last 14 majors. The tie for 28th this year was the only nine top 20. So, pretty solid. What’s your thoughts on him next week? No, he’s going to be priced as this top seven guy. They’re they’re going to keep doing it. They’re just going to keep putting that name Xander Schoff in top seven. and I’m just not I’m not I’m not I’m not going to be playing him. I’ll be interested to see what they do with uh with his head-to-head matchups here. Um but it it this this is this is why the books are just so freaking shady. So they’ll they’ll price these guys at top sevens, but then you won’t get head-to-head matchups against guys that you want them to. Like the books know like do not put Xander against Rory. Don’t put him against Scotty. Um, but oh, we’ll price them up up as a top seven. We’ll take that money uh for people playing it. So, if if you’re just just look at what the books do with head-to-head matchups and see if it matches with their prices. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. We know what you’re up to. You’re not you’re not out thinking us. So, my guess is Xander is going to be probably against guys like Colin Moriawa. Maybe that would that would be a head-to-head match up to where it’s like good luck picking that winner, right? play, you know. So, no, I’m not I’m not going to play him. Like, he he he hasn’t sniffed a DFS lineup. Um I barely use him in in seasonal fantasy. He’s just he’s just kind of in limbo. So, no. The books are going to price me out of the market next week. And uh you know, I I’ll be perfectly fine not betting on him if he plays well, but I’m going to be upset at myself if I do bet Almond and then he is there 38th and not returning any value. You know, you know, seriously. So, I agree. Yeah. Yeah, that’s where you are with Schoffley. So, all right, give us your long shot. I’m pretty surprised at the odds on this guy. Yeah, that’s that’s really what it is to me, too. So, Xander Schoffley at 20, what is he? 20 to1, 25 to1, whatever he is. Or Ryan Fox at 65 to one. That is sweet for one of the hottest guys right now on tour. I mean, he’s basically Scotty Sheffller, right? He just needed that first win to catapult him. And now we’re going to see the next two years he’s going to be the number one player in the world. You’ll see. He won the Myrtle Beach Classic for his first tour win uh just a few few weeks ago. He followed that up a month later at the RBC Canadian Open, winning again. His other four most recent starts aside from those two wins, a tie for 28th, 20th, 19th, and 17th. Those are all notable because all four of those events, it was two majors and two signatures. So, it’s not like he’s just putting these wins up against or these good results up against weak fields, small events, whatever. These are the best of the best, which is like again this week is going to be a strong strong field. His distance off the tea is great. So obviously always very helpful. Uh his approach play though has been redot. He’s gained over 19 strokes on approach in those last six events. And he’s also rolling a hot putter, gaining 17 strokes on the putting greens. So obviously that recipe tends to yield a lot of birdies. He ranks 23rd in birdie average, 13th in birdie conversion, and 10th in adjusted scoring on the PGA Tour this year, 10th. Yet he’s 65 to1 on the on the outright market, way down there on the list. So three for three in cuts made at this particular event, tied for 12th here in 2023. So I think he’s playing so well, way better than a 65 to one ticket price. Plus 550 for a top 10, even plus 260 for a top 20 I think is just money. You just got to get money behind this guy. Whatever you want to this week, but I think Ryan Fox is well worth the look. Yeah, that 65 to1. Even that plus 260. Um, yeah, top 20. Look for the top 20. It’s got to have your attention. Yeah. Yeah, that’s a good find. Let’s take a look at DraftKings Darlings. Last week was a strange week in DFS. I don’t know if it was just the tournament that I answered, but I had I had two two guys miss the cut and I just thought, ah, you know, two guys miss the cut. Probably not going to cash. Then I finished ninth out of 200. Kevin Roy, man, you killed it with I know. I know. But like cashing with two guys missing the cut is one thing, but but finishing ninth out of 200, that is uh that that is uh something else. So just a strange week, but uh the the the insanely great year in DFS continues. So, let’s take a look at some DraftKings darlings. These are some lowerric guys you can build your lineup with. And I’m going to go with Connor Sim at 6,700. He’s from Scotland, Nick. And he shows up every single year to this tournament. He’s played here six times. He’s never missed the cut. Finished 15th here last year, so he’s shown he’s got some upside here. Uh mostly plays in the DP World Tour, but this tournament just means a lot to him. 6,700. Uh yeah, just make it seven straight made cuts, Connor, and uh you’re going to you’re going to cash some really good valuable weekend points for us. I’ll go to Lee Hodes at 7100. He’s trending in the right direction. He was pretty bad in the middle part of the season, but he’s now made four straight cuts in his last three finishes, 21st, 34th, and 9th. So, he’s showing momentum. He’s showing some upside over the last 30 days. He’s inside the top 30 in total strokes gained. So, 7100, really, really good price here. And then I’m really surprised that Denny McCarthy’s price here at 7,200. To me, this is kind of one of your the safer plays. Made the cut in all 17 starts this season. Were you even aware of that, Nick? That Denny McCarthy? No. That’s fantastic. Yeah. Incredible. So, uh, week in week out, he’s getting us some really good weekend points. Putting, of course, he can always go ballistic with the putting plus 0.75 strokes gain the last three months on the green. Absolutely insane. So, uh, where birdies matter, you got to be putting well. So, I’ll take Denny McCarthy there. So, uh, my free digital download article is up at Wager Talk that has a full, uh, DFS lineup, what I’m playing this week. It also has the write up on the course, all the the players that can trip you up and all of that. We’re also running a special at Wager Talk, three days for $49. You can use that on one handicapper or you can use it for flex picks. So, uh, if you want to use Nick one day, great. You want to use me the next day, you have all the, uh, the flexibility. One of the most popular promotions we’ve done is this flex pick. So, you want to try it out, this is a great time, 3 days for only $49. And if you’re watching this on Tuesday, it is $5 Tuesday. All handicappers can put up a play for $5. My play goes off in the morning. Uh, so hopefully by the time you’re watching this, we’ll have cash one, but try out any other handicapper on Wager Talk on Tuesday only. That’s going to do it for us. Again, leave us a comment in the comments section. Tell you who tell us who you like this week. I always love reading the comments and seeing you guys are on. And don’t forget to hit the like button and subscribe to the channel. We are just just almost there to 210,000 subscribers. So, if you haven’t joined the Wager Talk YouTube family, go ahead and do that now. You get notified when all of our videos go live and when they all go up. So, thanks so much for watching and thanks so much for joining. We got a big week next week. Have fun. Good luck on your bets and take care.