Friday’s BEST BETS: PGA Tour Picks + MLB & EURO 2024! | The Early Edge

Sia Nejad is joined by Chip Patterson and Buckets to dish out Friday’s best bets!

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[Music] what’s up everybody and welcome to the early Edge a very happy Friday to everybody in the chat and everybody out there hopefully you had a great July 4th Japan I see you in there Brad Morris constantinos Mark buckolz Moshi David talk you’re speaking my language with some of the three balls you’re recommending speaking of let’s see how we did yesterday we got some x’s we got some green good job prop Stars good job buckets I go one one in one but keep in mind my push on the three ball actually netted money it actually netted a third of your Stak so that’s kind of a win only reason that wasn’t a Flatout win is because gesi on the 18th hit a 45 foot putt so uh we kind of win a little bit on that one but it does count as a push in my book so overall three four and one we got to do better than that and we’re going to do it today with all of you in the chat including Eric David and Brandon Silva who have likely already hit the like button but you know how we do it on Friday we’re short one just today but ladies and gentlemen we got two Heavy Hitters for big pick energy [Music] Friday let’s go loving all the merchandise here and I is that USA Basketball chip Patterson you got to get us started I’ve seen by the speaking of USA Basketball some of the promos for this team we’re trotting out there pretty cool stuff chip how are you today my friend good morning seea good morning bu good morning snake good morning early Edge fam yes seea this is a Kevin Durant USA basketball jersey t-shirt but seea I want to give a shout out to you because this man has been grinding all through this holiday weekend you seen him on CBS Sports Network you seen him on CBS Sports HQ and you know you’ve got him here for big pck energy Friday can I get some W’s in the chat for my man C in the Y holding things down see I’ve been there on a holiday weekend when you’re the guy you you know you just you keep saying yes cuz they keep knocking on your door and you keep crushing it so I just want to say I see you salute you’re doing good work here uh at CBS Sports and all the properties over the holiday I very much appreciate that yeah grinding indeed I’m actually buckets I’m I don’t know if you know this terminology I’m trying to hit for the cycle here I’m trying to get on every single CBS platform possible I just need the actual like main CBS Hub to contact me I don’t think I have any connections there chip but if I can get on this week then I hit for the cycle which is pretty cool uh buckets let me ask you this though little trivia question speaking of Chip Patterson do you know how many days away we are from college football season you know what this is tough for me because you both said the number multiple times pre-show and I genuinely don’t remember what number you said so I have no clue how many days were away I think it was a round number that’s all I know chip Patterson help him out oh we’re 50 days away from the start of college football we’ll be kicking it off in Dublin Ireland with Florida State and Georgia Tech because what better way to start the season than with those Renegade nolles overseas yeah I I I don’t I I’m curious about that particular matchup overseas but hey 50 days away nonetheless uh there’s somebody Matt valenciano says prop star has been on fire with the under K props speaking of Sportsline you might want to go over there because I’m pretty sure prop Stars already has one logged in again uh very I I’ll tell you how to join Sportsline later Matt if you’re not already there oh you obviously are all are already there but for those of you that are not very easy to join we get 60% off all of that stuff all right let’s get the picks started buckets I’m G to start with you you’re were holding some merchandise to start the show I don’t know if that has anything to do with one of your two picks here but my friend you’ve got the floor see I’m sure you guys can tell I am nervous this morning my hands are shaking I’m sweating already whatever that song is we all know how it goes I’m looking at the big Euro match up this afternoon between my beloved deuts land Germany will be taking on Spain and as you all know I’ve got many a Futures ticket on Germany to win this whole competition and I was feeling really good until I saw we drew Spain because my word Spain has been in my opinion the most impressive team in this competition and it’s not even close I am so tired of watching teams like England of watching teams like France I’m thankful Belgium’s out because I was tired of watching them too have these tremendous attacking forces and not scoring any goals England not being able to score against Slovakia we’ve got France only beating Belgium off of an own goal it’s embarrassing performances but unfortunately Spain doesn’t play like that Spain’s best goal scor didn’t score last match and they still put up four goals in their first knockout match this should be a mendous game we should see goals from both sides of the pitch we should see a ton of goals in this one and I’m just praying to whoever’s listening that Germany survives this matchup but from a betting perspective keep this one nice and easy baby both teams to score currently at minus 120 is an absolute gift of a line I know that in matchups like this teams tend to play a little more defensive but Germany’s not going to play defensive because they don’t know how and Spain to beat Germany is going to need to score at least two here so give me both teams to score on that one every day then this evening we’ve got got Copa America we’ve got a match up between the massive giant in North America Canada taking on Venezuela in the quarterfinal Canada are for some reason the favorites I’m not going to pretend like I understand the lines at all USA were the favorites against Uruguay so I feel like the books are kind of just guessing at this point but I’m going with Venezuela on the draw no bet at minus 105 Venezuela have not lost in their past eight matches they won all three of their group stage matches this team in my opinion is way better than Canada but I feel like we’re getting a little bit of the bias now that USA is out we all want to bet on an American North American side whatever you want to call it so we’re betting on Canada that’s the Bad Bet here Venezuela win this one outright but give yourself that safety net at minus 105 all right Venezuela draw no bet as far as the first one I know you got both teams to score which for the record Bradley Jacobs interesting I could have said by the way Bradley Jacobs but I said for the record so I’m starting to scale down the by the ways I just want everybody to notice my progress here but uh Bradley Jacobs also likes that both teams to score play Ali lanzac also says Freya has been on fire is this just so we’re clear buckets it’s Friday so these are your picks not freya’s correct the Spain Germany play is freya’s pick the Venezuela Canada pick is my pick so use your unit so use your unit allocation correctly based on that information that you’ve now been provided well buckets if I were and hypothetically speaking if I were to challenge you or Freya because I want to know who The Showdown would be against in that Germany Spain match if I were to hypothetically take Spain who would my Showdown be against well I think Spain win the game so probably against no one unless if you’re saying both teams don’t score then you’re going against Freya no no okay fair enough I would not do yeah okay fair enough so we have a we at least have a lean towards Spain right because Martin green on Wednesday when we were on the network show I’m pretty sure Martin green uh was kind of at least leaning towards Spain I think somebody acknowledged that in the chat as well they did yeah Martin actually gave out both teams to score on this match up as well but he had Spain winning this one 2-1 I had this ending in a 2-2 draw with Spain going through on penalties so we both thank Spain advancing this one all right um what was it uh AAG AAG is in the chat and he has some stuff to say about some home runs real quick he says good morning y’all looks like some great hitting weather in the LA versus Cubs game today I’m playing Bellinger and Bush for home runs so check that out if you want to ask aags about any baseball questions because some of our baseball guys aren’t on today’s show uh aax can answer those for you and if you want to place that home run prop well you know we got a great home run promo for B MGM but we’ve got other promos too including this one if you haven’t taken advantage of it I I’m honestly not sure what you’re doing because this is so legit new bmgm customers can sign up today and get up to $1,500 in bonus bets just place your first wager of at least $10 and you receive up to $1,500 instantly if your bet loses with bonus code edge that’s bonus code edge Ed G all right ladies and gentlemen we got to get to some golf a little bit of baseball maybe aags and others will help us out out in the chat Moshi Japan I know you all uh David talk you all have some baseball plays always for us as well I’m leaving out 10 or 15 names there so apologies there because I know all of you love to get involved I’m going to get involved with a golf pick and a baseball pick right after this message from our partners [Music] ladies and [Music] [Applause] [Music] gentlemen well this is very very interesting because somebody asked AAG about the Yankees in the chat and this filters into one of my two plays pretty well so that’s probably where I’m going to start Danny Brasco says seea with a big shirt energy uh very listen I’m like a traffic cone right now uh caution perhaps with my baseball picks because I won the last one but I’ve been pretty cold nonetheless ax says Yanks need a win but he was answering a question but tough to back them as a favorite in any capacity right now lefties have tore up Boston have tore up up Boston lineup but Hal could also be tough on the Ys I will say this the Red Sox Ops wise have been pretty good against lefties over the last I mean short sample size over the last 20 days or so so something to consider there Nester Cortez wasn’t very good his last time out neither was Tanner ha he got lit up by the Padres with all of that said when I get the Red Sox first five plus a half with what I think might be the better pitcher on the mound and the bats that I think are at least a little bit better right now I’m going to take it I’m going to take the run line Red Sox first five plus a half if you don’t want to take the Run line you can get this at like plus 115 just straight up money line but I got the Red Sox first five plus a half at minus 130 again I I’m largely fading the Yankees bats right now and Cortez they’re coming off losing three in a row to the Cincinnati Reds I think the Red Sox are playing a little bit better both with the bats and the pitching in this particular situation so I’m targeting the first five plus a half minus 130 that’s one of two plays next play we’re going to golf I’m taking Sun JM in a three ball I think David to was on this earlier uh in terms of referencing it sun JM minus 105 over Jake knpp and Luke list this is just a much better course fit for sun JM than it is Jake knap and Luke list and that bore out yesterday I mean neither neither Jake knap nor Luke list uh played very well luk list classically a pretty good ball Striker but can usually fail with the putter that’s what I anticipate here today and then Jake knap this isn’t really the course for him you kind of want to be in the Fairway here and and you want to be dialed in with the ball striking from an approach standpoint that’s not really this is not not really the course for Jake knap who can kind of sometimes spray it off the teeth Sun JM very methodical was very good yesterday I like him in a three ball minus 105 I will say this if you watch the early wedge our outrights and there’s only a handful of them because we don’t we typically don’t each come with like five outrights I came with five think uh Patrick McDonald came with one EC might have had two or three Denny McCarthy was one of the two for both Patrick McDonald and EC mine were Davis Thompson sep straka Luke Clinton Chandler Phillips and Ben CO’s four of those five are inside the top 20 and Chandler Phillips last time I checked was T3 we got straa charging Luke Clanton at 471 we got 100 to one shots 47 to one shots 22 to one shots all participating in this top 20 so again it’s Friday morning A lot can change but hopefully you add the Denny McCarthy play in from Patrick McDonald and Eric Cohen and we’ve got a serious sweat potentially in a couple of days so let’s wait and see on that chip Patterson I know you love the golf on Fridays is that where headed today oh 100% you know we are going to TPC Deer Run um so I got a question for you cuz we’re going to be playing with fire and and look is the season right because this is a firework this is small margins when we’re talking about the three balls because really everyone’s going to be out there shooting between what 65 66 and 7071 like four or five Strokes who’s going to make the mistake who’s going to make that birdie putt but would you be more interested in a firework if it was plus 200 because I think just like a firework we got to ride the hot hand and that’s a hot hand Harry Hall boogey free 63 yesterday he finds himself up inside the top 10 and what I saw you know seea talked earlier about you know what you need for the course fit did a great job of keeping it in the Fairway great job on approach I mean just say t to Green game sixth in the field it was really really dialed in and we’re going up against Sam Stevens will Gordon both won under on the day yesterday I mean will Gordon was just lost with the putter just could could not get anything going lost Strokes bottom 12 in the entire field in terms of Strokes gained putting and for Sam Stevens it he just couldn’t quite hit the gas and this is one of those tournaments where if you go out and you play it I mean normally anybody goes out there like hey one under great round of golf well not at the John Deere classic so small margins I realize this is a firework for the extended Fourth of July weekend but at 2 to one we’re going with hotand Harry Hall to keep it going over Sam Stevens and will Gordon you know what’s interesting about Harry hall because he’s certainly not a household name I guess neither of these three are but Sam Stevens of the three more of the household name in terms of like the odds board and things of that nature but if you look at what you know and I just looked at it now looking at your pic chip Harry Hall has been pretty good if you look at the last like four or five tournaments he’s gained ball striking in four out of the last five which might not sound super impressive if it’s Sun JM we’re talking about or or somebody who’s like on everybody’s radar but gaining four out of five is really impressive and and then with the putter he’s gained three out of four like this is not some schle who’s just like got hot for a round and and potentially can get hot for a second round this is a guy that when he puts it together for a single round he tends to put it together for four rounds I say tends to put together there’s a reason why this is plus 200 but I think this is an interesting find because part of the reason chip this is plus 200 I think it’s not because the will Gordon Factor like he’s he tends to not compete these days unfortunately for him it’s the Sam Stevens Factor we’re getting such a benefici number because I think Sam Stevens is in is in this this Trio and I think people think Stevens is going to be good this tournament right um the other thing that stood out to me was going back and you just think about some of the the golfers who have success in this tournament and it’s like it’s a Zach Johnson it’s a Lucas Glover it’s a Ryan Moore like it is not necessarily a bomber and so when you have and look I mean Harry Hall in terms of driving distance did did pretty well for himself I mean when he needed to go hit it 315 or 330 he was able to do it on Thursday’s round but he is in average his player profile is not a big driving distance guy so it’s not like you’re giving that up to the field here so I yeah I just thought that two to one for somebody who obviously is feeling really good about their game and looking locked in was a was a great opportunity chip can I ask you just a like a betting strategy thing because when I when I go on the early wedge and I pick like a I have a couple I think top 30s that are in like the plus 230 range but Ben Kohl’s who may may or may not make the cut was one of those Chandler Phillips was one of those and and fortunately it looks like he’s going to make the cut and perhaps be in the top 30 but when they get to like the plus 180 range plus 210 range even plus 150 I personally lower my unit size a little bit because I’m getting such a good return now there there’s the other side of that where it’s like hey I I really like the beted I want to maximize my return here but when you’re looking at staring down the barrel of a plus 200 do you sometimes like lower the unit size just because of the nature of the number I try to find numbers that are appropriate to the golfer based on the probability does that make sense like like I don’t take a Xander Schley top 20 right you know like you sort of Ratchet that up to where you’re going to find something in a plus 150 to plus 220 plus 230 and then that I just sort of categorize my card based on that I am I’m asking you do you know what I am seea I’m a college football coach that is just asking the quarterback to play Within himself maybe just a little bit better you know I’m not going to ask too much of you you know I’m I’m not going to ask somebody to go get a top five don’t have that top five game maybe they’ve got a top 20 game and a lot of times I’ll use the implied probabilities to sort of line that up not too much alteration on my unit size it’s more about you know asking what I think is probable uh for each golfer no that makes sense I mean that that’s probably the the better way to approach a buckets I’m going to come to you before we get to the recap screen because I want to see if there’s any soccer questions for you to answer but I do want to point out uh AAG says I’ll have an article he’s been answering questions this entire time so thank you aax please hit the like button if you haven’t hit it already for us hit it for Max being in the chat he says all and Danny Braska was in there too he says I’ll have an article later today on this I like a small ladder on Gray because there was questions about gray Sunny gry that is I assume when we start at six gsman an option at eight nine and 10 and one more you’ll have to read to find out I I thought the Gosman game was I know yes I thought the Gosman uh game was was really interesting walking into Seattle um I considered taking Toronto there maybe having a play on Toronto but clearly maybe a maybe a ladder play or just a strikeout play on gsman is to play if you want to read that article just go to sportsline.com backjoy I can’t tell you how easy this is and how inexpensive it is you just go to sportsline.com bjoin and find out what I’m talking about but you type in the promo code winners you get 60% off the annual plan you can also just scan that QR code it’ll take you right there but the promo code again is Winners Get 60% off the annual plan uh you get aag’s articles you get all my articles Patrick McDonald Eric Cohen buckets you name it but you also get the pck feature as well there’s the picks feature there’s the analysis feature and then you just you you really dig deep in there you get Mike McClure’s simulations when it comes to golf and NASCAR and pretty much every other sport we’re approaching football season as we talked about so there is a lot on Sportsline that that honestly you’re not even going to be able to digest all of it you’re just not going to be able to but you can pick and choose where you want to go it’s a ton of information buckets were there any soccer questions or comments you wanted to respond to before we get to our recap screen one thing I will say ca is there’s something going around called the draw draw breaker promo right now where if you pick a moneyline team and if that match ends in a draw you get your wager back if I was going to use that on any soccer match up today I would look to do it on France in that match against Portugal this afternoon or Venezuela on the money line at plus 190 I think those are your best shots of that game either hitting or ending in a draw to get that wager back that’s the only thing I have to add though all right I love that I know Bradley’s been in here dishing out some knowledge as well along with Moshi and a plenty of others I see some new names in here which I absolutely love tell your friends krck Troy you’re not new but Landon lie I haven’t seen you before maybe that’s just my eyes not seeing you but you say I love me some aax he’s he was our he was our third analyst on the show I should say fourth analyst on the show uh very much appreciate that ladies and Gentlemen let’s take a look at the recap screen before we get out of here we’ve got a lot of golf we got a lot of baseball we got a lot of soccer Red Sox first five plus a half at minus 130 and don’t forget we’ve got picks already in sports line an ax article is coming out later today you’re going to want to catch that John Deere classic Su JM in a three ball over Jake knap and Luke list that’s this afternoon I think it goes off in a couple of hours same with this Harry Hall pick from Chip Patterson Harry Hall plus 200 over Sam Stevens and will Gordon let’s see if Harry Hall can stay hot buckets Spain Germany both teams the score minus 120 of course I’ve got my lean on Spain I am a big time soccer Capper folks if you’re first if you’re new to the show uh that was definitely sarcasm by the way Venezuela draw no bet that’s the other one from buck at minus 105 ladies and gentlemen we had a great show thanks mostly to all of you in the chat really appreciate you all being in here I want to give everybody a shout out when they get in here I want all of you to hit the like button and give it back to us a little bit with that every time you’re in here we’ll be here tomorrow with McKenzie Brooks on a Saturday morning then of course every single day we’re coming to you at 10 o’clock with everything that is on the Slate and more all right ladies and gentlemen have a great Friday sorry for the traffic cone shirt let’s stay posit POS let’s cash some tickets watch some golf watch some soccer watch some baseball we all celebrate together on Twitter have a great Friday on behalf of Chip Patterson buckets Jake The Snake on the ones and twos and every single person including aags in the chat have a happy Friday I’m the counsel of cash we rest our case