Rankings RISERS & FALLERS! Orioles Promoting TOP PROSPECT Cade Povich! | Fantasy Baseball Advice

Frank Stampfl, Scott White and Chris Towers recap Wednesday, reveal their latest rankings risers/fallers and break down the latest prospect promotion, Cade Povich!

0:00- Intro
0:37- Luis Severino
7:53- Aaron Nola
13:27- The Reds lineup
20:32- Orioles promote Cade Povich
26:30- News: Corey Seager injured
31:06- Rankings risers/fallers
45:23- Waiver wire pitchers
49:02- Waiver wire hitters
54:21- Dylan Cease concerns?
56:36- Leftovers, bullpens, streamers

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ABOUT THE SHOW: It’s the most comprehensive Fantasy Baseball Podcast you’ll find. Frank Stampfl, Scott White and Chris Towers are dedicated to helping you win your league while keeping you entertained at the same time. Find out who to add, drop, start and sit while getting the best advice every day..
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hello welcome in to Fantasy Baseball today on Thursday June 6th I am Frank stanfold joined by Scott White and Chris tow is today on the show we have rankings risers and fallers Nick pavetto was awesome Dylan CE has slowed down a bit plus the Oriol are promoting another one of their top prospects let’s jump inos P all right I believe that’s the first time we’ve used that call and it’s one of my favorites uh let’s start with Scott you were up all right and we talked beforehand that I am going to talk about Luis srino that is the pick for me Luis sevino had a good start at Washington one run in eight Innings those were the most impressive parts of the stat line he gave up seven hits he struck out four he walked nobody I guess that’s good and and actually that’s encouraging because severino’s walk rate has been high in spite of the high walk rate in spite of the low strikeout rate uh with this start Luis srino has a 325 erra and A4 whip on the year pretty good and uh I’ve been kind of torn on what to do with him in my rankings every time he has a bad start I kind of want to be like completely out on Luis srino but then he turns around and does something like this and it’s like well okay maybe he’s not so bad really the thing is he’s very different a very very different pitcher than the Luis srino we’ve uh observed in the past um he’s pretty much abandoned the change up completely and the the slider he throws now is a very different slider than the one he used to throw and uh it’s it’s not even like his top two pitches are both fast balls fastball and sinker for seamer and sinker and uh it’s reflected in the batted ball profile against srino he has a 51% ground ball rate this year which is way higher than he’s ever had before he’s kind of turned himself into Marcus strowman I feel like with the ground ball approach uh you know K per nine rate in the sevens a walk rate that’s kind of high considering you doesn’t get a lot of KS and it’s working just like strowman’s work for the most part I just wonder if we can trust in it you know and and I’ve not been the biggest strowman guy in fantasy anyway I feel like he is he’s fine he’s what he’s fine he’s fine to have around when things are going well but you have a short Difference Maker right yeah and he’s in some ways like he’s liab building strikeouts he’s a liability and whip um and if that’s like who I’m comparing this new version of srino to yeah I mean I’m I wouldn’t say I’m excited about him particularly in this pitching environment and yet he is useful if he keeps doing this if he keeps being uh mixing in these one run outings uh along with the occasional one where things kind of go off the rails then like that’s usable I don’t know I guess um I guess I’m saying that seino like the seino we once knew and longed for is dead he’s gone he’s not coming back and this new one he’s still usable he’s still usable but like if you needed to drop him for something more exciting I don’t think it’s the worst idea yeah I I think I’ve made this comp a few times but it reminds me a lot of Noah synerg guard in 2022 remember he got signed by the Angels I think it was his like first year back from Tommy John surgery um and he was fine he had a 383 ra which you have to keep in mind 2022 was a very different offensive environment that was actually still a better than average ra he had a 383 ra with the angels got traded to the Phillies things kind of went off the rails from there that’s kind of what I’m expecting to see from Luis srino is that yeah it’s working right now he’s a different pitcher different scouting reports on him than what we’ve seen in the past and at some point it’s probably going to stop working right like you look at a guy who’s getting you know 7.5 K per nine walking 3.5 ground ball rate is high that’s good but it’s not framber F de walk rate or ground ball rate and yeah I think ride it while it’s lasting but I I don’t really expect him to to keep a a sub4 ER moving forward even in this offensive environment maybe it’s 38 39 but in this offensive environment with a guy who doesn’t get strikeouts it seems pretty easy to replace that like I said ride him when it’s going well it’s totally fine to keep Luis srino around right now but just look at Marcus strowman last year it’s really hard to be you can find pockets of success with contact oriented ground ball pitchers it’s really tough to do that for a full season one positive I’ll throw out there for srino and and I’ve noticed this for a lot of pitchers recently most notably what Max Fred is doing right now srino is doing a really good job limiting hard contact 87.6 average exit velocity that’s down almost three miles per hour from last year and he’s getting a lot of ground balls so weak ground balls typically that is the formula that could work obviously The Swinging strike rate is way down the expected ra entering to start was 348 so that’s still pretty good I mostly agree with everything you guys have said I don’t think he’s like a must ad by any means he’s the top fa wire pitcher from today because there wasn’t much going on but yeah uh he’s only available in shallower League 75% rostered does get the Marlins next week so I I’m not as pessimistic as Chris I I I’m I would think a mid to high threes erra for Savino which is normally what we expect from strowman too it’s just a mid to high threes ER from a non- strikeout pitcher who also walks a decent amount of hitters just isn’t that Val would you drop any of these three for sevino Jordan Hicks who gave up two earn runs over three and two3 it’s two subpar outings in a row the overall numbers are still good but he hasn’t thrown more than five innings since April 27th Jordan Montgomery got clobbered by the Giants he allowed six earned runs over two innings he’s up to a 680 ER and I mean hopefully this is the the last push that everyone needs if you’re if you still have James Paxton on your team I he got destroyed it was six calling that one for a while over over one and twoth thirs innings does he still have a one to one walk to strikeout ratio pretty close it was two walks and two strikeouts today um all three of those pitchers are 84% rostered to higher would you drop any of them for seino 30 walks 33 strikeouts for Paxton I would drop yeah I would prefer Savino to any of those three pitchers the only one that gives me some pause is Jordan Hicks because I think Jordan Hicks is better but he’s his outings are so short and he’s not getting any more strikeouts than srino is so it’s just he’s just not as useful uh he’s RP eligible I guess which could come into playing points leagues but still if you’re not if you’re not able to pitch Beyond five innings more often than not they’re just you’re you’re just not much used to anybody all right Chris let’s go over to you for your player of the night it’s Aaron hick or sorry Aaron Hicks who yeah well you see what happened there I’m talking about Aaron Nola we were just talking about Jordan Hicks it’s Aaron NOLA who is my oh my goodness player of the day he had what was it seven strikeouts over sorry five strikeouts over seven shutout Innings I believe yes that is correct and it’s really weird because this was the quote unquote Ace that nobody wanted coming into the season and all of a sudden his ra is sub three and his whip is sub one and yet he also has the lowest strikeout rate of his career since he was a rookie and he has his highest walk rate since 2020 and I mean his walk rate’s still good his strikeout rate’s still above average but it’s it’s very interesting to see the results that Aon Nola is getting so far and I mostly just wanted to see just just a temperature check see how you guys are feeling about him his his change up whiff rate has completely collapsed which that’s pretty con consistently been either his best or second best whiff pitch it’s down to 15% entering this start and maybe that’s just the explanation for why the strikeouts aren’t there and he can get that going and it’ll be fine but it’s been a weird start to the season for Aaron Nola yeah I’ve I was more worried about him a month ago when all of this was still going on but he’s obviously on a a different a different level of pitcher like you know Corbin burns the past couple years his strikeouts have been way down but it hasn’t mattered and I I kind of suspect that’s the way it’s going to go for arinola I’m not totally at ease with it uh his FIP and xfip are both about the same as last year uh but the expected ER is lower so he is he is doing better with the contact he allows and maybe that’s because every pitcher is in this environment and if things warm up this summer uh maybe Aron NOA will be in some trouble um I don’t know maybe I’m being kind of poana about this but arinola is delivering such good results that I’m kind of just inclined to give him the benefit of the doubt guys I left it there for both of you it’s obvious what’s happened oh yeah it’s an even year year that’s all that’s all you need to know about Aaron no is that the baseball gods for some reason they give arinola the power of luck in even years and they don’t give it to him in odd years and that’s clearly what’s happened um but in all seriousness I I did move him up to sp11 in the starting pitcher ranks here on Wednesday and and I was pretty much out on arinola I had him as a bus coming into the season I I should have known better with the even year uh but I think he’s just kind of doing it in the way that we’ve seen like Logan web and and framber Valdez not that he gets a ton of ground balls but he’s just an accumulator who’s pitching really well and we’ve seen those other two succeed the past couple of Seasons I think that’s pretty much what arinola is doing right now and so as long as he’s pitching this well I I I think he’s like a borderline s well I mean look at Max freed who we could have said the like with with the strikeouts being weigh down and some of his secondaries not getting nearly as many whiffs and oh is he gonna fall apart and then he gets 13 strikeouts in one game and yeah um kind of immediately yeah his strikeout rate’s pretty much where it’s supposed to be now right right yeah I think those guys are very comparable I I both have them inside of my top 15 so if you told me you wanted Max freed more than Nola I think that’s totally defensible too one distinction that I would draw between Nola and freed and I do have Nola ranked ahead of freed but I’m I’m not 100% sure I should um and the key distinction there is if Nola is going to be a 23 to 24% strikeout rate rather than a 25 to 20 9% like he had been the previous three or four seasons freed is arguably the best limiter of hard contact in baseball and ground balls yeah and he’s done that for five years like we’re talking five years in a row where he’s been top 10% in average ex velocity allowed some of the best expected won contact Nola is doing better in that regard this year but typically is more like average in terms of limiting hard contact and that’s a stat that takes a very long time to stabilize for uh starting pitchers and so I’m I’m more willing to believe that Nola’s that Fred’s current approach will bear fruit but I also believe Nola will start to get strikeouts at a higher rate than he has been at some point just because this is such a low strike AR rate for him so all in all I agree with you guys he’s sp14 for me so not quite top 12 but that that’s you know splitting hairs I think yeah the back end of that top 12 is just so weird right now we’ll talk about Dylan CE a little bit later on he’s looked a little bit more vulnerable recently and obviously Pablo Lopez has been a let down in terms of the ra so far this season so just that you know eight through 15 range is just it’s kind of weird and yeah I think there is a lot of splitting hairs involved uh with those rankings right now oh my goodness gracious for me I just want to talk about the Red’s lineup here because they enjoyed their Wednesday in Coors Field they put up 12 runs on 12 hits TJ fredle is a name we have talked a lot about recently he went one for two with a walk a sock and a shoe his second home run his fourth stolen base in seven games since returning he is betting 250 with a 438 on base percentage two homers six runs seven RBI two Steals and like we said recently this is your last chance in a shallower league if TJ friedel is out there he’s 69 % rostered I moved them up to I believe outfielder 40 in my rankings and Scott I know you have them a little bit higher uh you know one name that stands out I have him just ahead of Wyatt Langford would you guys Wyatt Langford for Fredo yeah I would I mean in the the leagues shallow enough where you could even think about dropping Wyatt Langford I would yeah because I think Fredo’s only out there in shallower leagues anyway right I think I have I think I did do that in one of our head-to-head points leagues this uh this week again yeah yeah a few ofes go ahead like Wy lford could obviously heat up this summer and and deliver on all his rookie on all the upside we thought he had uh but I only want to roster three outfielders and TJ friedel is much more playable than Wyatt Langford right now and I think he’ll be good he was good last year I think he’ll be good again other names that I moved TJ fredel ahead of Colton Bower Cedric Mullins Jackson Merill Jackson Trio so those were some more renowned names earlier on or coming into the season and I would be fine dropping any of those for TJ fredel uh jamer candelario went two for five with a home run and two steals in his last 30 Games he’s batting 282 with six home runs 17 RBI those two steals which he picked up here and uh an 849 Ops 75% rostered I don’t think there’s huge upside here but if you’re looking for a floor play if you’ve been struggling at first or third base I I think candelario is fine Spencer steer went one for five with his seventh home run it was a go-ahead home run in the ninth inning of b game batting average has come down but still seven homers 11 steals 40 RBI it’s been a I think overall very good season for Spencer steer and Jonathan India is a name we haven’t talked about much recently he went one for three with a grand slam had five RBI total in this game last 12 games for India 389 batting average two homers 13 RBI one steel he’s 47% rostered Chris the reason why I I can’t get too excited about it is because so many Middle infielders have emerged recently between David Schneider Joey Ortiz Nick Gonzalez Mason w i i i can’t really get too excited about adding Jonathan India right now yeah because Jonathan India is not an especially High floor player or high ceiling player whereas all those guys are are pretty young and inexperienced which is a proxy for upside for the most part whereas we I feel like we pretty much know what Jonathan India is I think the biggest thing that I want to see and I don’t know if it’s likely to happen is if he moves back up in the lineup now that he’s getting hot because he opened the season as the lead off hitter for the Reds that seemed like a really valuable situation and then he got off to a miserable start and he got dropped eighth and it’s just going to be really hard to have the counting stats that you need especially in a points League which is probably his better format if you’re hitting eth so so the problem is are they going to move Ali De La Cruz down maybe against some righties but probably not all that consistently he’s going to still hit at the top against you mean against lefties yeah that I I I have such a mental block around Switch Hitters and trying to like talk about yes he is worse as a right-handed hitter so against lefties he does get moved down but with fredle back with candalaria locked in I don’t know if we’re going to see India move up and so that’s the thing that I struggle with but I I do think he should be fine moving forward the the one thing I’ll point out with India is he’s not one of these players who has basically the exact same batted ball profile and it’s just not playing as well with the ball not carrying as well he his ground ball rate is way up this year which obviously isn’t good when you’re playing your home games in Cincinnati want to give an honorable mention to Royce Lewis who is now three for three on the season what what does that mean he has played in three games he has homered in all three games let’s see if the streak will continue on Thursday I’m pretty sure he’s already like 16th among third baseman in wins above replacement this season is is that he was at point four entering today and he had another home run so I’m just gonna assume it’s 0. five and that’s gonna move him ahead of Nolan arado so yeah Royce Lewis’s expected stats coming into today were very funny it was obviously just a two game sample but yeah like he should have been Bas he basically should have been batting a thousand please justay healthy just stay healthy yeah and we’re going to talk about rankings risers and I was very aggressive with him since he’s back and I mean honestly if we said it yesterday but if you told me he was going to play 80% of the games the rest of the way I think I already did move him ahead of Machado actually today this makes it 18 did home runs in his last 35 games playoffs included I believe jez it’s just I mean going off memory there but he’s got a 952 career Ops now and 285 play appearances that’s still a really small sample size but it’s hard to overstate how impressive Royce Lewis is given everything he’s had to overcome before we hit do it now he’s six he’s six I moved him up to ahead of Machado today he’s seventh I still have Hassan Kim and aoto League ahead of him but other than that yeah yeah well I’m happy I tweeted out my rankings update yeah had Royce Lewis on the rise and I have him nin so compared to you guys it’s like all right did I even really move yeah why do you hate Royce Lewis why do I hate him I don’t know uh before we hit the break just want to say that we are aware that the audio podcast didn’t post on Wednesday and we do apologize we’ve notified the appropriate parties and they are on it but unfortunately it is out of our control so hopefully today’s podcast uploads without any issues if not you can always watch the Pod right here on youtube.com fantasybaseball today let’s take our first break and when we return another Prospect promotion by the Orioles we’ll talk about that right after this an UNO a seasoned war and he’s leaving a calling card how do we find a ghost I have a plan welcome back in it’s been a busy week for the Orioles as they’re promoting yet another Prospect and it is a pitcher this time K Povich will make his major league debut at the Blue Jays on Thursday and Povich is a 24y old Lefty third round pick back in 2021 he’s made 11 starts at Triple A this season a 318 erra a 111 whip 75 strikeouts over 56 and 2/3 Innings that’s 11.9k per nine the ti timing is interesting because he’s actually coming off a pretty rough stretch in the miners but it sounds like the orios wanted to give Kyle bradish an extra day of rest and so that’s the reason why uh they are calling Kate Povich up he’s 24% rostered with that last note Scott I mean I think as a general statement we’re excited obviously for this pitching Prospect to make his debut I don’t know if he’s going to stick around what do you think yeah I don’t know either I did read on the Orioles team site that they they have a lot of games coming up without many off days so they were thinking about going six-man during that stretch uh I imagine if Kade Povich gets bombed in his debut uh he would not be part of that six-man rotation I I guess but if he doesn’t if he pitches well maybe he could stick around for a few turns anyway I I think Kade Povich is a more exciting prospect than Spencer schwellenbach or Adam merer um Scott I have bad news it out it’s major oh yeah I asked you about that after the podcast oh how devastating oh I’ve never been more disappointed in a pronunciation of a name in my life that is oh just ruined my day Frank I do want to just get some thoughts in on Povich because I feel like this I had some but okay sorry go ahead go ahead we got derailed by this Adam major thing grouchy Scott I love it disappointing so um poic doesn’t throw especially hard fastball in the low 90s uh he’s thrown only 61% of his pitches for strikes at Triple A and even though he has nearly 12K pro9 it’s only a 12% swinging strike rate so um I’m not sure that he’s as good as the number look but the numbers are so good that you know obviously we have to pay attention to him as he’s making his major league debut yeah I just there every year there are I don’t know a handful of pitching prospects who get called up that the fantasy Community seems a lot more excited about than the prospect community at large I feel like brand Brandon fought is a good example of this in recent years and I this is a guy who in 2022 had a 450 ER in 2023 had a 504 ra he was never particularly young for any of the levels he was at not that he’s old but he’s 24 now so it’s not like we’re talking about a guy who you can write off some of the struggles as just being young for his level the the stuff grades are fine the change up sounds like a really good pitch which is a big thing for a left-hander um but I I don’t know like it’s 11 starts in 56 Innings where he’s finally throwing strikes and now everyone’s really excited about him and it’s just this is not he’s not even really throwing strikes is the thing yeah this isn’t a top 100 Prospect it’s not a guy who lights up the radar gun it’s not a guy who generates a ton of swings and misses especially on pitches out of the strike zone which is you know one of the biggest issues for him last year is it’s actually he didn’t like throw out of the strike zone a ton he just couldn’t get chases and so I have been pretty consistent in anyone who pitches for the Orioles I think can be fantasy relevant because if you’re just a League average pitcher you’re going to win a decent number of games and you’re gonna have a pretty good ER in that ballpark but I I don’t see I’ve seen a lot of excitement about him in fantasy circles and I I don’t quite see it with Kate poic just to just to avoid a little Brandon fought slander here Baseball America did have him as the number 27 Prospect entering last year yes entering last year his his Prospect stock really Rose he was like 27 to 35 I think at MLB in baseball America baseball perspectives more like 85 I think um 27 Baseball America 59 MLB 83 BP but like remember early last year Brandon fought was kind of a meme like how much we were talking about him and how critical a lot of fantasy people were for the Diamondbacks not calling him up and it turns out you’re too online Chris he’s just a too online I don’t I don’t think most people were thinking like that there was a lot of excitement last one on Kade Povich the top four most added starting pitchers on CBS are Matt Waldren Ben Brown Tyler Mcgill and Ryan weathers would you take Povich over any of those uh what were what were the names again sorry Waldren Ben Brown Tyler Mcgill and Ryan weathers I would not take poit over any of those I’d think about it in in in Tyler McGill’s case but I I like I wouldn’t do it with much excitement yeah I I think I would over McGill um just because I I don’t really see a ton of upside there but yeah I don’t see a ton of upside with poic and we’re not sure he’s going to stick around anyway all right let’s get into the rest of the news and notes Kyle Tucker has missed to straight with that bruised right shin and might not ready to uh might not be ready to play on Friday either dayto day we’ll get you the updates as we learn more Cory Seager left Wednesday’s game with left hamstring tightness he missed 31 games with a left hamstring injury last year this has been a problem throughout his career the left hamstring and I know they’re saying he’s day-to-day for now and my guess you know the pessimist that I am is that he will wind up on the I so if we are looking for Replacements in shallower leagues JP Crawford is 65% rostered Jose Cerro 64% I think very clearly one in a points League categories league if if you need them any interest in his teammate Josh Smith who would theoretically be locked into more playing time he went three for four with a sock and a shoe on Wednesday and he’s batting 290 he actually has 30 runs scored and an 817 Ops 53% roster any interest in Josh Smith I mean if if you’re interested in JP Crawford I don’t know why you wouldn’t be interested in Josh Smith it’s a pretty similar profile and Josh Smith has actually been the one performing of the two and that’s that’s a pretty easy standard for me with hitters this year are you performing or not because so few are uh I don’t think Josh Smith like I I can’t sit here and say with confidence that Josh Smith deserves to be a part of the Rangers lineup for the next three five years but um he’s good at hitting line drives and and working the count and uh has been productive enough that I think I think he would be a pretty high priority if you’re looking for a short stop off the waiver wire or an outfielder or anywhere else he’s eligible and then in deeper League Zack Netto is 30% rostered he added two hits in his seventh home run here on Wednesday Ed Mundo Sosa 177% David Hamilton 15% Paul D young 99% obviously not much excitement about yeah actually kind of like Netto but those other three not much excitement and and those are names only in like 15 team Roto leagues uh things like that Ranger Suarez has been cleared to start Saturday against the Mets in London good news for him Edwin Diaz will begin a rehab assignment at single a on Thursday he’s eligible to return on Tuesday June 11th I it sounds like they’re trying to get Edwin Diaz and Francisco Alvarez back on the same day there next Tuesday man chado exited Wednesday’s game with an apparent leg injury he was was like grabbing at his quad so I don’t know we’ll see where that goes Christopher Morell was removed after fouling a ball off his left foot Alex bregman was scratched from the lineup due to lingering left hand soreness Blake Snell was officially diagnosed with a mild left groin strain following an MRI Tristan casus said he should be clear to swing a bat by the end of this week he also indicated he’s hoping to be activated right around July 1st Mason win was out of the lineup Wednesday due to a lingering back issue stalling Marte was scratched due to a right knee issue cutter Crawford’s next scheduled start will be pushed back to early next week which means he’s no longer a two-star pitcher this week Tyler O’Neal made his return to the Red Sox he was in the lineup batting fifth he finished two for four with a run and RBI Robert Gasser was officially placed in the iil with a left flexor strain the Brewers were called Aaron and Ashby who started on Wednesday I believe it was five innings of two-run ball he also walked five yeah has been that’s been the issue for him in the miners this year too been really bad in the miners this season uh this one kind of a surprise the Giants option Luis Matos back to Triple A he was two for 22 in his last six starts before this move are you guys all right dropping Luis Matos absolutely yeah I’m trying to think of a clever thing to say but yeah he’s keep going uh Adam majer will make a second start and it will come this Sunday against the dback so you know the way you said it it’s it still kind of sounds like Adam AER Adam AER I actually listened to the the football podcast today and uh Adam AER actually brought up Adam Major’s debut and it was pretty fun to hear him talk about it uh Ken MAA was removed from his start after just two pitches with abdominal discomfort Josiah gray has been cleared to begin a rehab assignment with his first start likely to come this Sunday at single a and the Astros announced that Jose or keiti had season season ending elbow surgery on Wednesday let’s talk rankings risers and fallers as always you could find all of our positional ranks on the website cbssports.com fantasybaseball rankings lot of slashes there that was a lot to say or on the CBS fantasy app um so like we did last week three players that are either moving up or down and we will start with Scott who was a uh who were standout rankings movers this week all right I got a couple big names for you here Juan SoDo is the new number one in the Outfield he takes the top spot there it’s a it’s a pretty tight tight group of four between Juan stto Kyle Tucker uh Aaron judge and Mookie Betts and they all bring different things to the table but every like wot was my preseason Al MVP pick I think he was for one of you two as well I think Chris and like he’s lived up to everything we wanted him to do going to New York he’s he’s back to being a batting average standout he’s on Pace for a career-high in home runs his run in RBI production is I think he’s on Pace for more than 120 of both it’s it’s so good especially in an off an environment where offense is is starv we’re all starve for offense not a big base stealer obviously and Kyle Tucker steals bases mukie bet steals bases but I think Juan stto is enough of a standout in those other areas I mean especially batting average batting average so bad across the league uh that yeah I I I think he deserves to be the number one Outfield like you look at those numbers and it’s like well what isn’t he going to sustain if this and I think he can sustain all of it so he might be the top player in fantasy frankly um so yeah ju sodas I think in a categories League I would only argue for Bobby Whit ahead of him but Soto is currently the number two player in Roto and I I moved them up to number one in Outfield rankings as well yep yep okay so that’s moving up a couple guys moving down Vladimir Guerrero and this may strike you as odd because he’s batting over 380 last I checked uh over the past month or so so the batting average is coming up but last I checked and maybe I should check now as I’m talking it’s uh only two home runs during that time yeah he’s basically Lis arise yeah yeah basically right and you look deeper into it it doesn’t seem like Vladimir Guerrero is showing any inclination to correct the issues he you know to to elevate the ball more to pull the ball more to do the kinds of things he’d need to do to take advantage of his massive power potential um in which case a monthlong stretch of him hitting over 300 is is about the best we can hope for and certainly he’s not going to be able to sustain that rest of season so I’ve finally made the decision to drop Vladimir Guerrero behind Josh Naylor in my rest of season rankings Naylor of course not having any trouble hitting for power among the league leaders with 16 home runs his strikeout rate is only 16% he is batting 229 or he entered um Wednesday batting 229 but expected batting average with that low strikeout rate is more like 280 he’s one of the biggest Underachievers according to stat cast in that area so I think it’s I think it’s much more likely at this point Josh Naylor’s batting average corrects than that Vladimir Guerrero’s home run uh production corrects so yeah I’ve gone ahead and made that switch Josh nther had of Vladimir Guerrero and finally finally Josh or I’m sorry Jackson Merill has moved down for me um there are things to like about Jackson Merill he’s shown potential as a rookie I think he has a bright future but he’s not even playing every day anymore for the Padres he’s batting in the lower third of the lineup his counting stats are just Dreadful and uh I think that made it pretty easy to drop him outside of my top 25 at shortstop recent risers like Ezekiel Tovar and Mason wi yeah and and this was the concern with Merill that I had is that it was a worthwhile bet on a top prospect with a big pedigree who’s only 21 making the leap to the majors and I I think he’s acquitted himself relatively well the problem is it’s just it is not yet a pro a profile that is finely tuned for Fantasy yeah like he’s a good athlete he has two steals in 61 games I think he’s a good I think he’s a good real life player yeah I think he’s a better real life than fantasy player right now and and look it’s also worth pointing out he has a 287 woba he has a 341 X woba he’s one of the biggest underperformers in baseball maybe that’s being a left-handed hitter at Petco Park it’s always been a tough place to P play but yeah I I think that’s a reasonable move down for him yeah yeah I dropped him down out outside of my top 50 Outfield I I think that makes sense with Jackson Merl I did want to point out with Vlad I looked up over the P like since May 8th he’s batting like 387 his pull rate is just 35% during that time so you’re you’re absolutely right Scott it’s like he’s not pulling the ball more it’s a 55% ground ball rate during that time so it it’s pretty frustrated frustrating with Vlad Jr Chris over to you three players who are moving up or down in the rankings uh I made the aggressive move of with Christian Yelich I he is my outfielder number nine there is still a gap between him and Corbin Carroll in My overall rankings which you can find in the trade values chart on Thursday morning but he is a top 36 overall player for me he’s a top 10 outfielder uh he has shown really no signs of slowing down since coming back from the back injury and that would have been the concern right given his recent history and the way back issues have really derailed his career you would think or you would be concerned that Christian y coming back from that back injury would have some problems but he really hasn’t he’s still hitting the ball extremely hard there’s still a ton to like about his five category appeal he’s a great points League player so love what we’re seeing from Christian Yelich um have any of you moved him ahead of Corbin Carroll I haven’t been able to do it but I do have up to ninth as well yeah I don’t really know what to do with Corbin Carroll no yeah 100% yeah and I’m kind of just holding my breath that things correct for him because everybody who has him is so invested in him and like obviously the upside is far beyond what you’ll find from the outfielders rank below him so yeah he is the he’s been he’s been the most frustrating player in fantasy the maybe frustrating isn’t the best word I mean the biggest disappointment in fantasy the biggest whatever I think FR OB there’s there’s a long way to go and he may not be a bust when we look back on the season but yeah it’s been bad he would have to have the best four Monon stretch maybe in baseball history it wouldn’t be look respectable it wouldn’t be unprecedented I mean that’s true but gunar Henderson last year yeah yeah I mean it’s and he’s certainly talented enough to do it but we just have nothing we have no for Corbin Carol there’s nothing to point to with him and say ah yes but he’s doing this well so that that’s really frustrating um I’ve also I tend to be less aggressive with my inseason rankings moves than than you guys and that’s not a good or a bad thing it’s just true um but I did finally move Kevin Gosman outside of my top 15 so he was probably the biggest R Faller uh he’s down to 20 for me which is still five or six spots lower than or higher than you guys have I don’t want to give up entirely and obviously neither do you because you have him as a top 30 starting pitcher but it’s been a really frustrating season for Kevin Gosman and I don’t know if he’s just not right from that shoulder issue that he had in the in spring training or or what the strikeouts haven’t been there the whiff rate on the splitter has been way way down and it’s starting to feel like early SE early career Kevin Gosman where there could be a moment where that that light switch flips on and and he figures it out and the slider the splitter is devastating and and he looks like an ace but right now he’s not there and then um again I’m going to assume that I haven’t moved Jordan Montgomery down as much as you guys have yeah he’s 63 for me that’s probably still way too high at this point because like the the thing with Montgomery is I feel pretty confident he’s going to figure it out the track record there over the previous three or four seasons was really strong not ace level strong but it was like consistently above average pitcher and I I think he can get there but man there’s just this is another one where there’s just really nothing to point to even the x is 472 strikeout rate is way down yeah I I think he’s droppable in this environment have the same movement on his curveball and and maybe that’s something he’ll figure out as you say Chris but that that specifically seems like the problem for me with Jordan Montgomery that’s an vital pitch to him and it’s just not doing what it’s supposed to do last thing I’ll add on Kevin Gosman because he was a big follower for me as well I moved him down to SP 26 the expected ER according to statcast 524 it’s bad and The 11.2% Swinging strike rate is his lowest since 2017 the last time he pitched in Baltimore so that’s been a really long time and he doesn’t look right he doesn’t remember the thing with Kevin Gosman I’m gonna use my baseball here is that splitter has always been a really important thing for him and early on in his career he just didn’t throw it early on in the season because he he would develop these blisters in spring training there there’s a lot of friction when you throw a splitter if you look at the camera um and uh that’s not the issue like he’s throwing the splitter about as often as he normally does it just hasn’t been right and the the shape on his fast Ball’s a little off and he’s throwing the fast ball in the strike Zone a little more often we’ve all got we’re all going to have baseball as here we go rumaging around for yeah this is a Pokeball Pokeball golf ball and um that’s worrisome because we at least have a history of Kevin Gosman figuring that that out if we can’t point to that what is what does him figuring it out look like from here that that’s the question I have now there been stretches there have been flashes of Brilliance there have been M multiple moments I think this season we’ve been like yes Kevin gosman’s back but then he follows it up with you know six runs in four Innings or whatever it is so um I’m remaining optim hopeful but not optimistic I think is the way I would put it I’ll quickly run through the three names that were moving around the rankings for me Nick Peta I moved up to SP 45 I I think he just kind of got buried when he was injured and I was a little bit skeptical when he came back there were some bad starts but obviously he had an amazing outing on Wednesday against the Braves he threw seven shutout Innings one hit two walks nine strikeouts 18 whiffs on 91 pitches and he looked fantastic the ER is down to 340 he’s got a 0 94 whip strikeouts are there the one question I have with pavetta the control has been fantastic will that remain my guess is probably not but I mean we saw last year even with that control he was still a really oh the control got a lot better for PETA after that stretch in the bullpen and when he came back looking like a world that was that was a big piece of the my my uh forget if he was a sleeper or breakout for me but whichever of those that was a big reason why I was so high on Peta the the question for me is he’s one of the few pitchers allowing home runs and so will those be an issue if he maintains the strike out to walk ratio I don’t think it’ll be a big issue it hasn’t been so far but uh you can understand why there’s the discrepancy between his ER and whip Peta so I mentioned moved up to SP 45 one spot ahead of someone who moved down quite a bit that was bayy obber down to SP 46 last four starts a 758 ra a 168 Whip and uh just a 7K per n lots of walks six homers allowed during this recent stretch it wouldn’t surprise me if he gets back on track uh but I think maybe just we as a fantasy Community might have elevated bayy over a little bit too quickly and so he has moved down quite a bit and uh Cedric who I spoke about earlier he’s down to outfielder 52 he is batting 178 on the season with a 539 Ops the power and speed is still useful there’s no doubt six homers 12 steals but he’s no longer playing every day there are games against right-handed pitchers where Cedric Mullins is not playing and I would drop Mullins for any of TJ frle Jesse Winker Ian hap names that we’ve talked a lot about recently um yeah I I haven’t specif specifically made that move yet but that doesn’t sound unreasonable to me all right let’s take our final break and when we return the rest of Wednesday’s action right after this there’s some new players in town and they brought the plague he got my attention you don’t want that Rob to Kingstown mayor of kingtown new season now streaming exclusively on Paramount plus welcome back in let’s talk waiver wire pitchers and seino was the high light of the day and the rest of these names not as exciting I would say Jose Serano a quality start against the Padres six Innings two runs one of those earned one walk one strikeout just through a ton of sinkers in this start and wound up getting a lot of ground ball outs he kind of is what he is 25% rostered might be in line for two starts next week and he is a spar so do with that what you will Albert Suarez solid again at the Blue Jays five innings two runs four strikeouts had seven on 84 pitches only 16% rostered and like we said with poic as as long as you’re just a decent pitcher you you could have value on the Orioles Jose urenia that Jose urenia he uh has been pitching pretty well for the Rangers he was up against the Tigers six and twoth thirds one run allowed six strikeouts and Joey Estus who is a starter for the Oakland A’s took a perfect game into the seventh inning against the Mariners he went six and a third shut out one hit zero walks five strikeouts had 10 whiffs on 78 pitches I would assume it has to be deep League Scott but any interest in any of these names Joey Estus Jose Ura Albert Suarez and Jose Sorano well as we’ve discussed earlier this week I’m very interested in Albert Suarez as long as he’s holding down a rotation spot I think he’s actually good he’s had a uh two erra this year in the the Swingman role he’s been filling velocity is way up this year from when we saw him previously which was years ago because he’s 34 and even though the strikeout rate is unimpressive The Swinging strike rate is very impressive so I think there’s a chance the strikeouts could go up obviously has the Orioles offense backing him uh he’s a clear number two I don’t even know that he’s number two yeah yeah I’ll put srino ahead of him srino than Suarez and then the others are kind of just streamer types I think with Jose Sorano being the most interesting do do you guys see any reason to for for optimism with Joey Estus who’s had two really good starts in a row now three hits in 11 and a third Innings between them it’s just the the Fly ball rate is so outrageously high he has a 177% ground ball rate I mean it is hard to find a ground ball rate that low you can understand him limiting hits because of that but yeah uh but yeah home r r it’s a great ballpark to do that in too and he’s gonna give up a lot of infield fly balls so like there are but no I don’t I don’t buy it he had a six he had a 604 erra at Triple A but that was Las Vegas yeah where fly balls are very bad news pop-ups might turn into home run there I don’t know how to look this up or where to find this information maybe you guys do but he throws his fast ball a lot Joey sis it could be that he’s like one of these vertical approach angle guys where he just he’s kind of like a poor poor man’s Joe Ryan or he’s trying to pull something off like that but I don’t know where to find that information in any case the strikeouts aren’t impressive so yeah I I I doubt it matters that much I think we can move on from Joey Estus yeah no need to talk about two-time Marlins opening day starter Jose ARA either gosh all right so let’s talk about waiver wire hitters and two names you might want to beat the waiver wire on ke Brian Hayes and Nick Gonzalez why is that well they have six games next week three of those in Kors field so I’ll be interested to see if the Pirates are in your top five hitter we’ve just we’ve just done 20% of the work at least for Scott super hitters article next week there you go uh Bri ha might be able to throw Jack swinsky in there just you guys you guys are making me look bad this takes me hours to figure out and you did it in two minutes Henry Davis yeah yeah just all let let’s go all pirate why not uh six games since returning for krien Hayes six hits one Homer four runs four RBI and two steals the problem yeah is that in a small sample ground ball rate is way up once again the season 4 K Brian Hayes Nick Gonzalez we’ve talked about a lot but if you’re in the market of streaming second baseman middle INF fielders whatever it might be he’s 54% rostered and obviously has those great matchups Chris should be higher anything to add on Hayes and Gonzalez I mean Hayes I I still want to believe in the talent but like you said the approach has taken a giant step backwards this season and I haven’t seen any reason to think that’s changed so if you have a roster spot to play with there’s there hasn’t been like a ton of guys lately at third base especially who I I want to pick up so if you want to go add him that’s fine but I I don’t see like a reason to believe that he’s about to break out would you rather Hayes or candelario candelario for me I think so yeah yeah I would go that way as well we did get some signs of life from Zack gof but I think we need to see more I don’t think this is actionable just yet two for three with a sock in to shoe his fifth home run his six stolen base last six games for gof and seven hits two homers two steals but the the qual uh the plate discipline has been a disaster and the batted ball data all messed up this season for gof it’s lots of ground balls lots of infield fly balls the line drive rate is way down the expected stats look terrible so uh I think gof is a talented player we saw some of that last year but we need to see more I don’t actionable just yet it’s kind of the opposite of Jackson Merill where you look at gofs home run and stolen base tots I think he’s the pace is like 20 homers 22 steals it’s just he’s striking out 33% of the time and he’s hitting 193 so yeah it doesn’t matter yet but if he starts to get the strikeouts down you can see how very easily Zack gallof can look like a very very good fantasy option when you say the pace you’re you’re saying 162 okay yeah okay but’s missed time so that yeah some hitters in deeper leagues Brendan Rogers has quietly turned things up recently two for four with a double three RBI last 14 games is betting 327 with two home runs seven doubles and 12 RBI Elliot Ramos is a name that we spoke about recently Scott but he continues to impress he went two for two with four walks in his fifth home run Jason Hayward has lowkey and pretty good since returning three for four with three doubles and two runs scored Cory julks is a name we have not talked about he plays for the white sock if you are wondering uh we saw him with the Astros a little bit last year two for four with a walk in his second home run he has started 11 straight and he has let off two in a row for the white socks and welcome to the big leagues Justin Henry Malloy two for three with his first career home run it was a pretty good shot too 105.9 exit velocity 413 feet it’s SC an interest here deeper leagues in Justin Henry Malloy Cory julks Hayward Elliot Ramos and Brendan Rogers Well the most interesting as I talked about two days ago is Elliot Ramos who has started now 24 straight games for the Giants and has the kind of exit exit velocities to sustain this sort of power production the four walks that’s interesting because that’s not something he’s supposed to be good at and he strikes out too much which could uh cause the whole thing to fall apart but the opportunity is there and I think there’s enough upside that in deeper leagues five outfielder leagues Elliot Ramos is deserving of some attention uh and and yeah I’m interested in Justin Henry Malloy the that it was such an impressive home run is I think going to be uncharacteristic he has good power numbers in the miners but optimal spray angle guy so kind of a Davis schne Schneider situation rather than Justin Henry Malloy just being a straightup masher and he has yet to walk in three games which is also unusual it’s is really like actually I think David Schneider is a pretty close comper for Justin and Henry Henry Malloy because they both are expected to walk a ton and while the exit velocity readings aren’t impressive they maximize their home run output by elevating and pulling the ball really well so obviously Malloy has to actualize that in the way Schneider has but if he does then he’ll be of interest any concern over these two starting pitchers Dylan CE did turn in a quality start at the Angels six Innings three runs six strikeouts but he allowed two more homers and over his last five starts ceas has a 586 ra 134 Whip and he’s given up a lot of fly balls lots of barrels so far this season and ryel Blanco two subpar outings in a row he was facing the Cardinals five and twoth thirds four runs allowed two walks two strikeouts everything else under the hood was actually good there was 14 whiffs didn’t allow a lot of hard contact it it feels a little bit like a tough luck outing here for ryell Blanco but Chris any any thoughts any concern over Blanco and Dylan CE with CE not really I I think there’s a little bit of Blake Snell there where when things are going well it’s not a terrible opportunity to try to trade him but it’s not not someone that I’m worried the Bottom’s gonna fall out I am worried about that with ronell Blanco though because he he’s a guy who you look at the ER and it’s 278 still you look at the X ER and it was 326 entering this start which is very good and you you look at the FIP and xfip which don’t take quality into of contact into account and they are 422 and 419 respectively Sierra uh which is another a little more advanced version of those was 410 if he is a quality of contact standout then I think ronal Blanco can remain a viable fantasy option but the ground ball rate’s not Elite uh the command is not Elite the strikeout rate is pretty average so that’s really the one thing quality of contact that renal Blanco looks like an outlier in and that as we said earlier takes a long time to be able to tell when a player when a pitcher has that skill and so my assumption is that ronal Blanco remains a sell High candidate even amidst these struggles although I think you probably missed the window to really maximize his value he’s in the like I think in the 60 to 70 range at starting pitcher for me he’s definitely um a globby pitcher fair enough let’s get into the rest of the pitching leftovers Paul skin had an up and down start against the Dodgers obviously a tough matchup five innings three runs eight strikeouts to one walk he did allow two home runs in this one what happened to the spinker know he was throwing it more than 40% of the time in the last two starts and I think it was in this start more like 20% half half the usage gave up two home runs he’s he’s a ground Ball P like he’s he’s skin is probably in large part because of the spinker a big ground ball guy so I don’t think we’ll see him give up multiple home runs in games very often well and I I think there were a couple things one there was a lot of talk about Paulk as a prospect and how he didn’t have ideal uh fastball shape and what that means is he doesn’t have ideal fastball shape for whiffs now when you throw 102 miles an hour that doesn’t really matter and I think that was overblown but it does mean that he should get ground balls with fast ball as well even though it’s a for seamer and not a sinker the other thing is I don’t know if you guys watched this start but he came out just RedHot and had like seven strikeouts in the first three Innings and they were all on Fast balls pretty much and specifically to show he Otani the first plate appearance I I think it was all fast balls and he went down on three straight swinging fast balls I think he struck him out if I’m remembering correctly he struck him out again the next time around and then it was the third time yeah that he tried to go up and in with two straight fast balls again and shotani show I don’t care who you are shotani is too good to see the same pitch like seven times and three at bats and not eventually figure it out was out prove something it was a second plate appearance yeah he was out to prove something but yeah I think he threw it was something like seven four seamers in the first two plate appearances to show he Otani and yeah that’s I get it you’re pumped up it’s sh Otani you want to blow it past him that’s that’s not the greatest strategy against arguably the best hitter in the world so you know I think there was a little bit of that but no I I think he’s I think I moved him inside my top 24 maybe top 20 um in my latest update so yeah he’s a top 20 for me I’m very excited about paulines anything you wanted to add there Scott it sounded like you you had something nope all right uh the rest of the pitching leftovers Carlos Ron turned in has turned in six straight quality starts he took a perfect game into the sixth up against the twins six Innings two runs nine strikeouts which were a season High 18 whiffs on 100 pitches for Carlos Ordon Jose Brios turned in a quality start against the Orioles six Innings two runs three walks to two strikeouts he actually leads baseball with 11 quality starts in 13 tries and Logan Gilbert could not get any run support but it was a strong start at the A’s seven Innings two runs one of those earned with five strikeouts to zero walks it’s got anything to add on uh Gilbert rodon and Jose Brios well yes on rodon so this was the third start in four where his change up was a good swing and Miss pitch for him 18 swinging strikes overall four came on the change up three starts and four but here’s the thing it was the first start where Carlos rodan’s curveball was also a good swing and Miss pitch a pitch that he had thrown like 3% of the time coming into this game he suddenly throws uh 11% of the time and gets three whiffs on it so uh normally with car like normally with pitchers like Carlos Don whove struggled to develop a robust secondary arsenal we like just stick to your best pitches it’ll go great but he keeps breaking out these new pitches that are working for him and it just it makes me wonder how high the upside is so uh I believe it was late April when I was saying you could drop Carlos rodon and I think that’s gonna go down as the dumbest thing I said this year Well Scott there’s a lot of season left Nom I’m just I mean look before the season I said Victor Scott was going to be a top 150 player so didn’t you put money on him to lead baseball and oh yeah I did absolutely you know we all have our uh sitting our 200 at Triple A maybe the dumbest thing I said this year will be you can drop Wyatt Langford for TJ Fredo we’ll we’ll see we shall see uh last pitcher here Zack ethin made his return up against the Marlins four Innings two runs three strikeouts to zero walks velocity was up in this outing that’s the encouraging sign the problem is that he only basically use cutter Sinker fast ball which is not really what we want to see from Zack effn I don’t know why he has gone away from the pitch makes that worked last year but for some reason he has uh Chris it looks like eelyn might be in line for two starts next week against the Cubs and at the Braves will you be starting Zack effin in those matchups yeah I think I will it’s been a a frustrating start to the season but while the strikeout rate is way down the walk rate is also way down in a way that has led to a still pretty good set of underlying numbers so it’s been a frustrating season certainly as someone who had him as a top 25 starting pitcher and drafted him in a bunch of places but I I remain hopeful that Zack aam’s going to get right moving forward you’ve been the most aggressive about moving him down it looks like which kind of surprises me Chris and I move definitely outside the top 50 um in Ro he’s 49 for me where is he in points oh okay so you have much lower in points yeah 68 okay that might have just been an oversight honestly yeah it looks like in Roto we both have him right around 51 to 53 yeah I think I just missed him when I updated head-to-head points today okay you moved him way down because he went on the I I gota yeah uh some quick hitting leftovers hitters slowly coming around Nolan Aron uh has three home runs in his past seven games we’ll see if he can continue to build off of that Yer Diaz has now homered in three straight he had a 39 game homerless streak from April 12th to May 31st but June new player Jer Diaz Nick castanos last 13 games batting 264 with four homers four doubles and nine RBI some other hitting leftovers jiren Duran had himself a nice day two for five with a triple and his fourth home run Rafael Des two for three with a double dong three RBI Francisco Lindor looks like he’s pretty close to just being back his last 15 games batting 359 three homers three Steals and a 1,000 Ops sh Otani we mentioned Homer off of Paul skes it was his 15th of the Season Jonah Heim had himself a much needed big game three for five with his sixth home run his previous 19 games before this one he was betting 129 with a 404 Ops and Fernando tatis went four for four with an RBI rough rough go for the Padres they just got swept by the Angels I don’t know theyve just been a very up and down team and obviously lots of injuries right now go back to castanos real quick I know we we’re about to end but I think I want to find the the stat but I think it’s since he hit his first home run of the Season remember it took a really long time um he’s on like a 30 yeah he hit his first Homer on April 26 since then he has eight and 37 games that’s a 35 Homer pace plus a 100 run 90 RBI Pace in that time the batting average has been low but castanos has basically been castios for a month and 12 days I I think he’s gonna be fine and the Phillies are one of three maybe five lineups that you want the most exposure to right now it’s you know it’s the Yankees the Dodgers the probably the Phillies right I mean they’re probably the third most exciting lineup I would say um yeah in baseball some Bullpen updates for the Cardinals Ryan Hy struck out to for his League leading 20th save for the Rockies Jaylen beaks entered with a one-run lead a one-run lead no more he gave up a two-run homer to Spencer Seer and was eventually charged with five runs he took his fourth blown save third loss I don’t know where the Rockies go from for the Phillies Jeff Hoffman entered in the eighth with a two-run lead facing six seven and eight in the Brewers lineup he struck out one Jose Alvarado got the ninth he struck out the side for for his 11th save for the Rays Pete Fairbanks struck out one for his eighth save for the Blue Jays yimi Garcia pitched a scoreless ninth he struck out two he wound up with the win for the Oakland A’s Mason Miller entered with one out and two Runners on in the eighth he got the final two outs of the inning he came back out for the ninth he gave up a solo Homer to Julio Rodriguez but did eventually pick up his 12th save and for the Angels Carlos Estes was unavailable Matt Moore pitched a clean ninth for his first save of the season season to stream or not to stream on Thursday it’s a short slate and we don’t have many options yeah I look you should not stream on Thursday but if you absolutely need to I would say JP seies against the Mariners and Kyle quantrol at the Cardinals I would say Mitchell Parker against the Braves reverse Homer yeah I think I could see Randy Vasquez having a good start but I I I’m not going to recommend any of these guys watch belly falter throw a complete game and then everyone picks him up and then he’s terrible next week so that’s going to be my uh my bold prediction you heard it here first on Friday we have the Irvings Jake Irving against the Braves Cole Irving at Tampa Bay uh Ryan weathers is facing the Guardians they are really good against lefties I don’t know if I want to do that uh maybe Cooper chriswell at the white socks what do you think I mean the white sock are so bad that maybe his last start was a little better um but I don’t yeah I don’t see much reason the white socks are so bad hasn’t worked out the past couple days I’ll point out Jam Ty got crushed yeah yeah I like the Irvin you know what do I want to say that no no Cole Irvin then Ryan weathers then Jake Irvin those are myay go yeah all right we’re going to wrap there for Scott and Chris I am Frank thanks to as always for tuning in to Fantasy Baseball today please make sure to follow and leave a five star rating on Apple or Spotify and we will be back again tomorrow bye-bye