My Full Card Predictions & Breakdown For UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Imavov

In this video I breakdown and predict every fight on UFC Fight Night Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov. I discuss the main event, Dominick Reyes vs Dustin Jacoby, Raul Rosas Jr vs Ricky Turcios & many more. Let me know what you think in the comments.
#ufc

Time Stamps:
0:00 Intro
0:45 Short Film / The Streak
5:49 Predictions Start / Stamann vs Lapilus
8:07 WMMA Fight Moura vs Gomes
8:52 Daniel Marcos vs John Castaneda
10:36 Brad Katona vs Jesse Butler
13:17 WMMA Fight 2 Andrea Lee vs De La Rosa
15:16 Charles Salty Radtke vs Carlos Prates
18:10 Thiago Moises vs Ludovit Klein
20:29 Miguel Baeza vs Punahele Soriano
22:44 Julian Marquez vs Zachary Reese
24:10 Bruno Ferreira vs Dustin Stoltzfus
25:38 Raul Rosas Jr vs Ricky Turcios
27:36 Dustin Jacoby vs Dominick Reyes
31:08 Nassourdine Imavov vs Jared Cannonier

it’s time for me to give my breakdown and predictions for every single fight on UFC fight night caner versus amav off now this is a rough card all right but because we’ve been doing so well I have a short film for you guys a documentary crew reached out to me about a month ago and they wanted to document the streak you know me getting a lot of good predictions uh having a winning record every single weekend I agreed and the film is ready I’m going to show you guys this movie before I get into my picks the time stamps are in the description as always if you just want to hear a take of mine on a particular one of these fights but before we get into these fights enjoy the movie I mean the first thing we should ask is uh tell us about the 57% well I’ll I’ll take you guys back we’re going to see what the weasel said about me apparently the weasel brought up my predictions okay so this guy asked the weasel pick rankings for 2024 if there have been 10 events this year weasel 70% dude there’s no way the weasel has 70% predictions there’s no way the weasel first thing that jumps out of me is that the weasel’s at the number one spot everyone knows the weasel 2024 doesn’t pick early prelims on fight nights so right off the bat I took that a little bit personal and I’m scrolling down the list I’m trying to figure out what’s going on I don’t even see my name yet and think about it like this [ __ ] dude I’m like am I last 57 all right well 57 ain’t that bad for this year bro there’s no way I don’t I don’t buy that dude I can’t I’m not 57 I there’s no way I’m only at 57 there’s no way I’m 57 you basically flip a coin I don’t flip a coin dude there’s no way how is that possible dude this [ __ ] that tallied him up probably went to like my last two fight nights and said this guy you know not that good 57% I didn’t like being in the in the the bottom tier of the the prediction guys I I that didn’t sit well with me and I just I knew we had to make a change and it was actually moments after reading that where we went and we made our change the night of Brandon Allen versus crybaby Curtis there we go he’s going to flatten him out with these yeah get him out of there yes let’s go what up Brendon Allen gets it done 9 And1 Lucas at what point did you realize that there was something special going on in the a it had to be the Yuri Braska fight yeah when I picked Yuri Brasa I I picked him on that Holy martial arts ghost there was something special going on that night boom he rocked ret Big Shot big shot from Yuri yeah let’s go Yuri K up and per is doing a great job at blocking these with his arms little bit of a nutshot Alex says it’s all good though Alex says it’s all good oh he just dropped a morill he’s out cold Alex barer knocks out J Mo Hill Lewis big shot from Lewis he hurt naso it’s over Derek Lewis wins by KO great energy and amazing crowd and on picks I went 8 and4 UFC Fight Night Edson barosi overall on this card I went 6 and2 Lucas Tracy there’s no [ __ ] way he got the best picks tonight how does he keep doing we’re going we’re going to let’s [Applause] go swung on a deep drive to deep left field it is high it is far it is gone a big home run for Lucas Tracy and he is taking a five to nothing lead five predictions correct tonight zero wrong off to a great start 5 and0 to start the night all the things he’s accomplished all the things he’s done look at what he did tonight it was insane it was insane people were going nuts P wins and we go 10 and one yeah let’s go 10 and one baby 10 in one baby fight oh my God oh my God he just subed him oh my God Islam MF just subbed him with a darts in the fifth round finishes Dustin submission for is lamaka Dar choke with staff infection blind as a bat pale as a ghost weak as a cardboard box a big home run for Lucas Tracy and he’s 10 and0 on picks tonight and as we uh tell up the picks number one Lucas Tracy for the third week in a row can you believe this another week of good predictions unbelievable since that 57% statistic came out we have since gone 71% on predictions and um you know I just went out there and I did my best you know I I’ve got there and I I got the 71% I just want to thank everybody for the [Music] support will the streak continue will we have a winning record this weekend will we continue to lead the charge on MMA YouTube’s predictions all right either way let’s get down to it the first fight of the night guys let’s break these down starting off with none other than Cody staman versus Taylor lulus I’m going with Taylor lulus guys I’m picking Taylor lulus to win this fight he’s not been so active which is an issue but he looked really good against cin lochran now kin lockran to me is a doppelganger of Cody ston and that’s ultimately why I am picking Taylor lapus I will say that Callin lochan the big powerful puncher from Ireland that had some hype from the Irish fans he’s not on the level of Cody staman Cody staman has been in there with some of the most elite Fighters like morab deales V but he’s always lost to them granted he’s lost a bunch of those by decision but he’s getting older and I think that the guys that Cody stam’s beating as of recent are not on the level of Taylor lapilus tayor lapilus fast on the feet very calculated Striker picks his shots really well and Cody staman again just kind of a a mediocre fighter that’s sort of well-rounded that’s got some wrestling in his Arsenal T-Rex arms though big thuing punches not a whole lot of Pop not a whole lot of ko power he’s been around forever I think his body is probably more beat up than Taylor lapilus who is even though he’s inactive he’s probably more refreshed than Cody stamman I’m picking Taylor lapilus to win this by an easy clear decision out striking and out pointing Cody Damon he has the speed Advantage he has the range advantage and I believe he’s just a much better Striker with decent takedown defense Taylor lapilus is getting this one done fair enough he lost to one of the bosos but Cody staman doesn’t have the same level of grappling as the bosra Ros or doesn’t even have the same ability to have like a long rangey evasive Style on the feet as the boser up Rose okay so I think think that Cody staman is less effective than them in the Striking two when it comes to a match up with Taylor lapus Taylor lapus gets this one done by decision on to the next one an absolute Banger Eduardo MOA versus Denise Gomez now I’m picking Eduardo MOA based on the fact that she’s jacked and she’s coming off the contender series I think I saw her fight on the contender Series where she annihilated her opponent um kind of looks like big Paulo Costa and Denise Gomez to be honest I just I’m not picking her to win this fight she just has no Aura all right she’s got um she’s got the build of someone that’s just a a victim for eduard Amura so to be honest I’m I’m going to rock with eduard Amura based on just being in better shape based on being stronger and more dangerous I think she’s more dangerous than Denise Gomez let’s get on to the next one Daniel Marcos versus John castanada John castan is tough but Daniel Marcos is proven against decent levels of competition he’s beat Davey Grant he had a no contest in his last fight which was really unfortunate because I picked him to win that and I did really well on the card I remember you know we talk about you know me being the janitor we did clean up on that card back in the day too he’s 15 and0 which is pretty impressive of course the one no contest but still I think Daniel Marcos is is extending this win streak okay 15 and0 now John castanada I believe he went to a decision with the mole muan gafarov who you know got destroyed by sagov I think that Daniel Marcos I don’t think he beats s magedov but I do believe that he would at least have somewhat of a competitive fight with him John castan is going to a decision with the mole and I just don’t like that I don’t like that at all I don’t like the fact that that was such a fun fight I don’t like the fact that there was a Legend Made in that fight because of mu garv’s success mu kov goes on and gets sliced and diced submitted and knocked out at the same time you know what Seer magov does to guys he head kicks him and Subs him wraps him up easily right I I just think that Daniel Marcos is a Slicker Striker I think he’s a smarter Striker he’s efficient I’m going to pick Daniel Marcos to out strike John castanada by decision now John castanada could pull out the wrestling he definitely could he has decent takedowns not necessarily the best control though and I think that Marco will be able to get up to his feet if he gets taken down by castanada but let’s get on to the next one Brad Katona versus Jesse Butler Jesse Butler moving down from lightweight this is crazy so right off the bat we’re going to have to talk about skill Gap and divisional skill gaps when in doubt you should always pick the fighter that’s fighting in a division that has the better skill and that would normally be bantamweight as opposed to a 55 now the reason why Jesse Butler is moving down is because he got knocked out by Jim Miller in like 20 seconds in the first round of their fight he had no business being at 55 to begin with so this wasn’t like a guy that was cutting a lot of weight to get down to 55 he had no business being at 55 he wasn’t even that lean now he’s cutting to 35 think of him like a featherweight all right think of him like a featherweight Brad Katona at least needs to have some pop in his hands he at least needs to be a finisher at least needs to be dangerous for that skill Gap to really show between the divisions and he’s just not Brad Katona not only has what may be the shortest reach in UFC history at 64.5 in but he has no sting on his shots he has no ability to control people whatsoever I think that Brad katona’s wrestling is the thing that’s been hyped up ever since he first fought on tough two-time tough winner we’re going to get into that I mean first of all how bad do you have to be to to be a two-time tough winner to get cut from the UFC that’s just a horrible look but his wrestling’s overrated I think I was tempted to pick him to win his last fight maybe I even [ __ ] did I you know what I actually picked him to win his last fight but he keeps disappointing us and proving that fighters from the McGregor and Chandler season of tough absolutely suck compared to regular UFC fighters like they can make it but that’s about it it’s like me at heavyweight right if I’m bloat maxing up to heavyweight I can make it I can’t necessarily go far I think Jesse Butler 73in reach that’s a huge reach Advantage almost 10in reach Advantage I think he’s going to be a lot taller how tall is Brad Katona 56 compared to 510 Brad Katona no ability to finish a fly not a great ability to keep people on the ground nowhere near the sting or power levels of a Jim Miller I think that Jesse Butler I think he’s going to be able to out strike Brad Katona and I think I I won’t even be surprised if we see Jesse Butler dominate this dude honestly I mean I know Jesse Butler got ko’ed by uh Jim Miller but he’s not lost before that since like 2019 so it’s been a minute since Jesse Butler’s gotten beat Jim Miller did it but Jim Miller’s on a whole other level to Brad Katona going with Jesse Butler it’s an easy pick in this one uh on to the next one Andrea Lee versus Montana Delarosa you know montal delar R Roa she has that name she has that name that people just kind of feel like you know I’ve kind of heard that name a million times on predictions and I’ve skipped past it a million times or man I must have seen her fight on a million cards to be honest I haven’t even checked her record I I mean but like she just she’s like uh Mitch raposo is like the guy that you see on every single season of tough Montana delar Roa is like the the name of a woman you hear on every single MMA full card prediction video that you skip past immediately right so there’s that Andrea Lee you know we kind of know her she’s been robbed forget which fight that was against I remember she fought on the Holloway and uh Brendan Allen card now again I’m I’m doing this because people want me to pick these women’s fights so [ __ ] it I’ll give you guys my prediction but do not for a second think that I’m like getting into the ex’s nose yeah you know I just really got to break down some Andre Lee type is that are you kidding me none of you guys want that come on all right the pick is Andrea Lee come on she’s in better shape she’s pretty jacked she’s fast she’s a striker and she lost to that um I forget her name that Brazilian woman that that’s like always fainting faint maxing like she’s atna I got really pissed off in that but you know hey Andre Lee made it to a decision to be fair she probably would would have gotten finished if uh you know the Talia Silva actually tried to knock her out but um montal and Delarosa I just um you know maybe she can pull out a takedown in there you never know she seems like someone that can get a take down kind of reminds me of uh Felicia Spencer um so you know you could always see her steamroll Andre Le like a local barge but I’m going with Andrea Lee I think I think she’s going to win this fight right let’s get on to the next one all right back two real fights all right Charles radkey versus Carlos bratos uh Charles the salt man radkey straight out of the salt mines what may be the saltiest fighter in UFC history right next to Joe Piper and salty Mill so right off the bat this guy’s coming into this fight with a whole load of salt pissed off angry you ask him a question at a press conference he’ll tell you to go [ __ ] yourself now Charles raty just doesn’t understand that at a press conference that’s your time to kind of you know get acquainted with the fans sort of become known and actually you can leverage becoming known amongst the fans for you know making money for becoming a bigger star I don’t think he’s caught on to that but either way he’s coming in this fight with some Fury Carlos prus didn’t necessarily have the performance that I wanted to see him have against Trevon Giles I thought he was going to steamroll Trevon Giles and kind of make him look easy now Giles is not an easy guy to KO but I still picked Carlos prus to get it done by KO I think he got it at the end of the second round long straight right hand down the pipe really good shot he reminds me of a young Anderson Silva with the way that he strikes very unorthodox with his kicks has very long range punches that come down the pipe wiry man striking game right here he’s got pop on the end of these shots Charles radkey at a big disadvantage when it comes to reach and when it comes to height and radkey looked all right in his last fight against urbina I picked against him CU he looked terrible in his blood diamond fight him and blood diamond actually looked to be similar level but radkey improved his striking was able to rock arbina at one point and was able to actually like look a lot better but he’s nowhere near the level of Carlos pratz and prus has been beat before he has been finished and outg grappled there is a possibility that Charles rodkey can do that to him but I just think that the difference in Striking this time I think Carlos prus is a a whole bunch of levels above Gilbert urbina on the feet he’s a lot faster he’s a lot trickier and he’s a finisher if he catches you with the right shot which could be a front kick could be a head kick right he’s got really good leg kicks as well or it could just be a good oldfashioned straight down the pipe if if he catches you with one of those at the end of a combination or counters you with something where he can hit you and you can’t hit him you know at the end of his shots he’s got some power so I’m going with Carlos prates to win this fight again not many people knock out Trevon Giles you have to be pretty powerful to do that he was able to do it Carlos bratus is going to win this by KO I’ll say a first or second round KO maybe radkey can get going in the later half of this fight if Carlos prus kind of gases out a little bit if he can get to to Carlos prest’s hips to take him down then we could see something like that but I think Prest is beating this guy up on the feet knocking his ass out sending him back to the salt mines let’s get on to the next one Ludovic Klein versus Thiago Moises Moises is coming off of a win calf kick situation before that he got dominated by benois St Denise Ludovic Klein coming off of a dominant performance over Cunningham AJ cunning him highlight re worthy performance and before that he beat ignasio b mes and since then even though ignasio forgot he had legs that night didn’t throw any kicks since then he’s done nothing but win that win is age 12 for Ludovic Klein I think that there’s a level of opponent that Thiago Moes beats and I think that Ludovic Klein is about one slight Cut Above that right Moises he’s beaten Mitch Ramirez you know what I mean Moises he’s beaten absolute bums he’s beaten cans ludic kin if you were to ask me right after he fought ji Herbert where he went to decision with him and it was a bit of a Pitter pat patty cake NPC sort of action on the feet doing a whole bunch of nothing I would have said yeah I don’t think he’s on that level but dude his boxing looks really good he looks dangerous he’s imposing his will he’s moving forward he’s aggressive he’s a big strong lightweight as well and I think that Moes if he doesn’t get a first round submission if he doesn’t get a takedown in the first opening few minutes I think he’s going to get beat up I think he’s going to take damage and I think he’s going to fold because when people start beating up Thiago MO as he folds we saw it in the beninois stt Denise fight we saw it in the Joel Alvarez fight where he got tko’ed in both of those bouts and I think that Ludovic Klein even if he doesn’t finish Thiago Moises just beating him up I I think it’s going to lead him to a decision either way I think I’m going to pick him by a KO in the second round Moes has been finished a lot in his career and Ludovic Klein he’s rapidly improving young guy that’s why I don’t think he did very well against ji Herbert I I think he was a little bit um inexperienced compared to how he is today he seems to be rapidly improving um and I have high hopes for ludic Klein I actually am keeping an eye on him he’s a pretty good Prospect at this point we know what we’re going to get from Moes he’s going to be shooting takedowns looking for a rear naked choke looking to take the back but he’s not spamming them and I don’t think it’s going to be that serious of a threat and he’s just not got anything for ludic klin to worry about on the feet so I’m picking ludic Klein by second round KO or decision based on damage let’s get on to the next one Miguel bza versus punelli Sorano it’s been a minute since Miguel Bay’s fought he’s been ko’ed a few times by Andre fialo when fialo went on that mean streak where he got three Kos in a row and he was fighting every other month punelli Sorano is coming off of a horrible loss to Dustin stoupis and it’s not just that he got finished and got submitted it’s the way he lost penelli Sorano is the guy where we want to see him throw big Power shots bombs we want him to knock people out and try to knock people out against Dustin stolfus he was too reserved he wasn’t putting anything on his strikes he was fighting like an NPC there were no power punches from penelli Serano nothing with ill intent and I hated that look he’s inconsistent maybe he goes out here he throws a gnarly overhand over the top I think he has the power advantage in this fight Miguel B has been put away a few times I could see penelli Sorano knocking him out but I hate the fact that he lost to Dustin stalis stalis was a meme before his last fight stalis was the guy that fought Abus magedov and that was magedov only win before he fought Sean Strickland and I was saying dude stfi has one win in the UFC four losses he’s beat a can he’s not good he’s on the verge of getting cut this is who you guys are picking to beat Strickland Corelli Sorano lost to that guy lost to the guy that got destroyed by IU mamedov and it wasn’t even because he got his ass kicked that badly it’s just his approach his mentality he fought like he was just he had a battery pack in him you know like he was a robot that was programmed to throw five strikes with nothing on him per round just floating around and just accepting defeat I’m going to pick Miguel Baya right he’s been finished a few times but he’s still pretty young and he’s going to have the range Advantage he still has some decent power in his hands he’s got a good check left hook as well and I think he’ll be able to keep pelli Sorano at range with kicks with Jabs long rangey attacks he’s been out of the cage for a while I’m sure that he’s improved he’s recovered since he’s been ko’ed I think he’s going to get this one done by decision over the very lackluster penelli Sorano that’s coming out of his lost to Dustin stus onto the next one Zachary Reese versus Julian Marquez Zachary Reese got slammed by Cody Brundage and knocked out badly in his last fight real bad look for Zachary Reese he’s got J jiu-jitsu he’s got decent Jiu-Jitsu he’s can be pretty dangerous with that good ground and pound he’s got great cardio but Julian Marcos is more tested in the UFC he’s fought better levels of competition yeah he’s been koed a few times by Gregory Rodriguez um he’s been koed Julian Marquez he’s gassed out badly could Zachary Reese get to Julian marquez’s gas tank yes he could put him up against the fence that does seem to be Zachary Reese’s game put someone on the fence try to need them in the clinch take him down out grappled them ground and pound shots try to go for a submission I think that he’s probably beating Julian Marquez Marquez is only chance in my opinion is to slug big overhands big Bombs Over the Top and he’s lacking in reach he’s got a 5-inch reach disadvantage when it comes to the height he’s going to be shorter than Zachary Reese he’s not as fresh as Zachary Reese I’m picking Zachary Reese to get this one done by a finish on the ground I’ll say second or third round submission when Julian Marquez gases out cuz that does seem to be a theme in marquez’s career a good with Zachary Reese by submission let’s get on to the next one Speaking of Dustin stolfus here he is fighting The Knockout artist Bruno fera who is coming off of a big KO win in his last fight against Phil HW now Phil HW we know is chinny it’s easier to KO Phil HW than it is to knock out and stus but Phil hos is still decent with his wrestling he’s still decent with his striking it’s just that he has no Chin is it an impressive win no not not by any means but Bruno fetta has basically knocked out every single guy that he’s fought up until Nan ruzi boa but it wasn’t the worst loss he threw a kick he got his kick caught and he got punched in the face once not the worst loss it’s not like he’s lost a five round decision and you know we saw lots of holes in his game this guy knocked out Gregory Rodriguez knocked him out cold Dustin stolfus two wins in the UFC one of them as fluky as ever right dude I mean I say it’s fluky but penelli Sorano like fought like a total NPC it’s not fluky he fought like a man that needed a win that night but I have to go with Bruno FAA I mean Dustin stolfus fought the worst version of penelli Sano you could ever imagine and I’m picking against pelli Sorano because of how bad he looked in that fight which should tell you you that I don’t really believe in Dustin stsus being that good even though he was able to win his last fight I’m picking Bruno FAA to KO Dustin stus on to the next one R roses Jr versus Ricky turos I’m picking R roses Jr to finish Ricky turos by a rear naked choke or submission all right now I do think that Rosas is going to out strike Ricky turos on the feet and I don’t think he’s that good on the feet but he’s coming off of a KO win which is going to give him some confidence he’s bulked up a little bit since his last few fights I mean he’s only 19 years old so rosos is still going to be able to grow into this weight class quite a bit I think he’s going to beat the [ __ ] out of Ricky turos everywhere this fight goes Ricky turos decision Merchant can’t finish a fly doesn’t impose his will he’s one of these like you know he’s kind of like a poor man’s Chase Hooper like an awkward fighter but he’s awkward without any danger you know what I mean he’s awkward but he doesn’t fight people and get in their face and really do anything special um and he’s not like an elusive creative Striker or anything like that he’s got okay grappling but uh he’s nothing but a tough out Ricky teros he’s nothing but a tough out the UFC knows what they’re doing and I know what the UFC is doing they’re booking Ral roses Jr up with a mid-tier opponent for him to beat up on because this is a slow roll they don’t want to rush Ral roses he already lost to Christian Rodriguez and to be fair he dominated Rodriguez in the first round but it is kind of Rodriguez’s style to be the nail early on in his fights to hope that people gas out either way Ral roses is still really good on the ground okay he’s got great wrestling he’s got good takedown entries and he showed some Sting in his hands in his last fight he’s going to beat Ricky turos just by being the more dangerous fighter imposing his will actually making it a point to finish the fight or bring it in a certain realm instead of just floating around the Octagon doing a whole bunch of nothing so I’m picking Ral roses Jr let’s get on to the next fight Dominic Reyes versus Dustin jacobe I’m picking Reyes I mean this is an easy fight to pick Dustin Jacob’s an old head and you know he didn’t beat Jon Jones Dominic Reyes beat Jon Jones so how could I not pick him but for real though this is uh an interesting fight because we’ve been saying for a while that Dominic Reyes need to mix in the wrestling and he’s not listened but to be fair even though he’s been knocked out three times it feels like he’s been koed 10 times right it just feels like that like Dominic Reyes for the past five years the guy that got knocked out in his last fight that’s what it seems like right but I think that it wasn’t until his last fight because think about it he got out struck by yovich got TKO took a lot of damage in the yri prasa fight got butchered got tko’ed if there was ever a moment for Dominic Reyes to reconsider a different style for his fighting career it was probably after that but you know he probably went in there with Ryan spand looked at it as a serious drop down in competition and thought to himself I’ll just strike with him and he found out the hard way in this fight he knows that Dustin jacobe is a highle striker he knows jacobe as a Glory Kickboxing background and he knows that he’s been KO three times in a row and if he gets knocked out again his life is going to be different forever it already is based on the damage he took but he could get cut from the UFC I think we’re going to see Dominic ores wrestle I think we are going to see him wrestle a little bit I just don’t know if it’s going to be when it’s too late like will Dominic Reyes shoot a take down after he eats a couple of combinations a couple of stiff Jabs from Dustin jacobe now Jacob’s not that powerful but the this is Reyes that we’re talking about dude got knocked out with a jab it was a tough jab it was a strong jab from Ryan span but still you don’t want to get knocked out that badly off of a jab and Dustin jacobe has outstruck the likes of khil Round Tree he outstruck Alonzo menifield he lost to Alonzo menifield but that’s because menifield dropped him a few times I think reyes’s power is overrated too I know he knocked out Chris Weidman Weidman was kind of small for the light heavyweight division he was an old head anyway way I know Rees has koed a couple guys KO Jared kener back in the day but I don’t know I’ve not been seeing any like crazy Dominic rayus power recently so I’m picking Dustin jacobe to knock him out ah yeah guys I I got to be honest I’m picking jacobe to knock Rees out like I think Rees can win if he can wrestle because he has good takedown defense maybe he can just reverse it but and jacobe doesn’t have the best gas tank he doesn’t have the best fight IQ either because he had a Gass out azamat muranov in front of him and wasn’t really able to capitalize actually decided to wrestle himself instead of out strike him which was really silly but um yeah I think Reyes is going to take too long to get going if he tries to wrestle and if he tries to strike I think he’ll have success until he gets caught and he will get caught and he will get caught with clean shots against a striker at the level of Justin jacobe so jacobi’s going to KO him sort of like he did to Kennedy Nuku unfortunately and I think this is it for Dominic Rees but I hope he wins of course like all of you guys I hope he wins let’s get on to the next one main event Jared caner versus Nasser mavo I was actually considering picking nasaden MAV because I think that Jared caner is a little bit chinny and people don’t like to discuss that right he’s been rocked by Marvin vitori he shrunk to half of his size in the first round against Marvin vtori and then was was able to get some momentum and uh then Marvin vitori was the guy that shrunk in that fight Jared kir coming off of a record setting performance he’s old though damn near 40 years old he might be 39 might be 40 I forget his exact age is it on here um no it’s not but he’s old Jared kir he’s been out for a minute is he going to be able to perform at the same level in which he performed against Marvin vtori because in that fight it wasn’t only the fact that his accuracy looked good and he beat up Marvin and he landed a bunch of good strikes but his cardio was insane in the second and third round there are moments where Ken andir looks like he’s just doing a pad session in the gym hitting pads Landing everything at will Walking forward the entire time while doing it Muay Thai combos knees elbows punches mixing it up you name it and he was able to do that for like 10 minutes straight slowed down a little bit in the later rounds but still beat the [ __ ] out of a Cory one of the best performances I’ve ever seen at middleweight and he got beat up in the first round a bit I mean that that performance is insane and I just can’t pick against him in this fight because nasera MAV even though he’s really fast in the early goings of his fights and he’s got good kicks I like his oblique kicks I like how he can double up on oblique kicks and front kicks to the midsection that’s another really good weapon for him in this fight midsection front kicks for nasaden mavv he’s going to be digging to the the body of Jared kener almost folded Roman delzy on a couple of occasions with those when he was mixing them in after his combinations that were landing on the chin of Roman dzy there were a couple moments where he almost finished dzy in that fight the fact that he couldn’t do it is not necessarily a good look right but if there’s a time where caner is going to get finished it’s probably in the early rounds with nasaden mavv right but I think that if nasera mavv doesn’t put Ken away early cuz he’s going to have the speed Advantage he’s going to have the range Advantage caner is going to snowball all right because caner knows how to make adjustments he’s shown that in high level fights before with people like Shan Strickland right we even saw it after his first hardfought round against Marvin vitori lost that round got rocked and then beat the [ __ ] out of Marvin vori for the rest of the fight he knows how to make adjustments he’s got a good ability to mix it up from the head to the body he can throw kicks to the body throw kick to the legs he has got amazing cardio and that’s the thing his last performance showed that he has got insanely good cardio his ground and pound is good you know what though everyone is scoffing over this or not even touching on it nasaden mavv might take Jared kir down and submit him that’s also a possibility I actually think that that would be a pretty wise game plan because kir let’s be honest I know he’s like a strong guy and all that but he’s almost been choked out by Derek Brunson right nobody has and Whitaker kind of outg grappled him a bit after he rocked him I think nasaden mavv is a better control Grappler than even a guy like Robert Whitaker he was able to put a body lock on Chris Curtis who has good takedown defense he did that twice in that fight right he was able to TKO Edmund shabazian on the ground he has good grappling he’s got a good rear naked choke I could see him outg grappling Jared kir in the early going of this fight but I keep seeing the early going and that’s why I’m not picking him because I think Ker’s experience is fight IQ his ability to make adjustments I think he’s going to survive the early going think he’s going to get beat up a little bit maybe get taken down if he doesn’t get finished I think that we’re going to see him start to mix it up I think he’s going to start to put nardine on the back foot and nardine mavv always slows down in his fights and I think that caner is either going to finish him in the later rounds if Canan shows up with the same sort of cardio that he had in his last fight and he also talked about wanting to increase the volume on his punches because you know he got a lot of criticism after the osna fight and after the Strickland fight because people were saying those fights were a little bit slow if he shows up with a similar approach and makes it out of the first couple rounds I do think he finishes Naser mavo who does tend to fade in his fights right he faded against Buckley he was even fading in moments against Roman delzy and getting tired in that fight and I don’t like to see that but was at least winning the fifth round against Shan Strickland doesn’t have the the worst gas tank I don’t think we’re going to see the same version of Jared kir that we saw last time because that version was like a mythical fighter we’ll see something that’s similar to it but not the same level um think Ken is still hungry too I think he’s going to win this fight by decision right I don’t think it’s so likely that we see a finish here because Narda mavv even though he will fade if it’s not the same Relentless caner I do trust in his chin cuz he does have a good chin he doesn’t get enough credit for it but I’ve seen nardina mavo get hit with some big hate makers throughout his career and I’ve never seen him get rocked but this is a close fight and it’s really interesting because I think amava has the grappling Advantage I think he has a sneaky ability to to hurt people to the midsection and um I think he is going to be able to really utilize a good range game in this fight with Jared kir right Strickland we didn’t really see Strickland throw a whole lot of teps against kir but I think that’s mavv is going to throw a lot of TS in this fight it’s going to be interesting but I think we’re going to see a tide shift I think candir is going to if he has trouble finding the mark in the early going I think he’ll start going to the body he’ll start to find the head because of it and I think he’ll pull this one off by a decision when nasad mavo Fades but do not count to mv’s Chances out at getting a submission or who knows getting a finish it’s something having to do with teps to the midsection in the early early going of this fight but I’m picking kir by decision okay just because you know he’s proven he’s beat Sean Strickland that win has aged well people say that he lost that fight no he didn’t I’ve watched that fight five times everyone says I’ve watched it a million times and every time I see it I’ve never seen it for not Sean Strickland well I’m the other way every time I see that fight I think Jared kir wins the thing is yeah he didn’t land that many head strikes but he landed a lot to the body he landed a lot to the legs and he did a really good job of Landing to the body and the legs and whenever he would land sort of like Costa Strickland you know for every one of Strickland’s flimsy punches cir would land like a haym maker you know or for every three of Shan Strickland’s flimsy punches caner would land a solid damaging shot upstairs that would spin his head back he won that fight and he made good adjustments and I think that Strickland’s a much trickier out than nardine amavo but aov’s Young he’s rapidly improving um but again the fact that he couldn’t finish Roman delzy is a big problem because he almost had him out of there in the early going of that fight but he couldn’t finish him and I think that caner is going to be much trickier because he’s a world better than Roman dzy on the feet Canon nearby decision until next time