PGA DFS Lineup Builder | MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT | 6/4 – SaberSim

Our PGA DFS experts ANALYZE the MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT taking place this weekend. Find out who they are recommending for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups!

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[Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] what is going on everyone AP over here Rumer Sports bringing to you once again we have the lineup Builder show uh it’s going to be an awesome week I’m here as always each and every week with my two guys we got Uncle T we got Snyder we’re at Jack’s place this week we got the memorial looks like a big boy event absolutely love to see it Snider Let’s uh let’s bring you in first how’s it going this week man it’s going good this week uh I love this event this is one of my favorite events favorite courses uh at the tour Place each year I love how the course sets up and such which we’ll get into in a little bit but uh yeah I got the yellow Polo on this week so we know it’s Jack’s event so uh ready to get into this uh event here yeah I am too um you know obviously coming off a nice weekend obviously got to go to tiger jam and was incredible time might after I bring Uncle T in maybe I I’ll give a little bit uh of an insight to that in the week there because DraftKings they go all out it’s absolutely insane Uncle T what’s going on my man how was your week last week yeah good to be back on with you guys uh last week was uh so so week for me about a break even week for me as far as the DFS streets but uh congratulations to our boy Bobby Mack I did have him in a couple lineups last week just not the uh not the right combos so he got it done up in Canada last week and no I thought was having a pretty good uh weekend AP with my member guest at our our our club here but man I couldn’t uh couldn’t top where you you were at I was pretty jealous uh you know you’ll talk about it here in a minute but uh looking forward to seeing how that went uh but no it’s a great stretch of golf like Snider said this is a this is one of those tournaments I love watching because you know it’s going to play tough and it’s going to play tougher as the weekend typically goes too you know Thursday Friday it’s going to play hard depending on the weather it’s going to be probably hot Jack always kind of those pins on the weekend in a spot where you know it’s just tougher to make par a lot a lot of these holes and uh I I like it next week obviously we got the US open at Pinehurst I’ve got my family golf trip next week so Uncle T’s living good right now good two three two three week stretch of golf both playing and DFS wise so uh looking forward to Breaking this one down with you guys awesome yeah I you know I do want to talk a little bit about tiger Jam the event that I was fortunate enough to go to because one of our members uh was unable to go shout out to DJ um awesome awesome member great guy and you know I can’t thank him enough for for letting me go in his place and um here’s like the thing they don’t Mar like they have all the the they have all of these events they have their live finals they have events like this and where they bring people out but they don’t do a lot of marketing around it and I think they need to because they go all out it is an awesome time I mean we got to golf uh two days I I only golfed one day but two days at Shadow Creek uh Andy the CEO of sabon was out there as well I spent a lot of time with him awesome awesome guy um the team over there is just absolutely great so Shadow was was awesome we got to do a meet and greet with tiger which was fantastic and Andy got that picture of me and like tiger walking like right by each other and it look like people actually thought I was playing with him like look I I didn’t play with with tiger I mean that would be absolutely insane um and I’m sure I would have played absolutely terrible but Shadow Creek awesome course it’s like it’s wild that you’re you’re you know that that place is in Vegas it does not look like you’re in a desert and the concert was you know I’m not a big concert guy but it was awesome like uh you know K morawa got got to meet him minw got to meet him so um a lot of a lot of high-profile you know golfers people and everything out there and when you look like DraftKings and like their Twitter that day like not much so I was trying to not make anyone jealous I was just trying to highlight the different act activities at the event because I wish like when they have these live finals I love seeing information about them like I I want to know what the lead what’s going on with the leaderboard you know love seeing pictures and and I don’t think there’s enough of that so and actually Andy agrees and they’re they’re working on a little bit of something from a marketing standpoint with some of those Live Events so possibly more to come on that but again if they run that contest next year the tiger Jam specific contest I would highly recommend trying to get there uh it’s a great value if you get in for um you know a reasonable price assuming what contest that you’re in so uh definitely something to look forward to next year but I digress let’s get into it this is the saber this is the lineup Builder show with our partner saber Sim sign up Rumer Sports rps5 15% off that includes sabersim and we have a a a a golf only package that will include sabersim for you so uh I like to call this our base build we have from a projection standpoint every player is lined up according to Value so we’re going to bump up projections we’re going to bump down projections we’re we’re going to run it and we’re going to go over our top three builds but we’re going to use the same format that we do each and every week going tier by tier hit the like hit the Subscribe and we will get into it but first Snyder we need a course breakdown this week yeah we’re here at Jack’s Place here at mirfield Village it’s a par 72 it’s going to measure 7,569 yards this is a big boy track here and it was renovated back in 2020 after the event that year 71 players will te it up this this week with the top 50 in ties plus anyone within 10 shots will’ll be seeing the weekend this week uh the greens here are some of the best in the country uh and they measure right around 5,000 square feet so they’re smaller uh than normal greens they’re going to be rolling at around 14 on the St meter uh very fast very firm greens here the the subair system will even keep these greens firm and fast even if they do get some rain which I think is possible maybe one or two of the nights uh might have been Wednesday night there was a chance of of rain there but uh definitely these greens will still be Primo uh the tree this tree line fact Fe this tree line track features uh Fairway WIS that uh depending on how far you hit the ball it depends on how with how uh what the width is going to be on these Fairways it’s going to be anywhere from 31 to 22 yards just depending on the landing area and how far you take it up these Fairways uh the rough is going to be playing very long strong thick and dense as uh this blend of blue rye and Fescue is going to measure right around four to five inches this week it’s going to be very tough if you find the rough so uh put an emphasis on finding the fairways this week I really like how Jack kind of laid out these uh Fairway bunkers as well as they mainly hug the inside of the dog legs here making it tough to kind of cut off these uh dog legs cut off distance is tough here if you find the bunkers on these uh fway bunkers they play very tough uh 18 is one of my favorite finish ing holes in golf to uh as it average is almost a half a stroke over power I think it played 04 Strokes over power last year uh you got the bunkers lining the right side as the as it goes with the dog leg and then there’s a creek that that lines the left side of the Fairway as well so it’s a really challenging te- shot there it can uh definitely swing the tournament either way uh this course boast some of the some of if not the toughest greens side bunkers on tour as well uh it’s bring scrambling well into play here this week 50% of the approach shots be coming in from 175 and plus and golfers will’ll see 13 holes with water in play this week and some of the key stats be looking at this week Strokes gain approach off the te with an emphasis on Fairways gain scrambling proximity 175 to 200 plus and then bogey avoidance as well yeah very good um I think the things to add this a signature event right y 71 golfer yeah 71 golfer player pool everyone’s gonna play four rounds so every single player no matter price unless they withdraw uh’s a cut AP oh is there there’s a cut yeah oh pay attention to the early intro hate to see it I mean I I was I was trying to my my my apologies I thought I thought all of the Signature Events um it’s top 50 plus I think anybody with it’s similar to the Masters in in a sense yeah and API I think also had this like at the Genesis they had this top 50 in ties and like two or three the most highest owned guys missed the cut so it was a low six to six that week so I mean there’s a potential for that again this week yeah I mean that brings kind of an interesting Dynamic uh into play and um will make um what we’re going to go through tonight really interesting and again I like to view this as a base build we we like to to get a gauge of what roster construction is going to look like and uh I think we’ve we’ve done a great job uh so far with with going through this with with building our our optimal based off of uh you know really what you Uncle T and what Snyder um kind of convinced me to bump up and down you know I I definitely lean more on you guys um for this so let’s get into it let’s go tier by tier um we got saber up right now let’s go 10K and up Uncle T we’re starting with you Victor hin up to Scotty sheffler uh you got Roar you got Xander mixed in there what are we doing with this range yeah only four golfers up top this week first uh first glance when I looked at the pricing I wasn’t you know obviously you know less golfers no 5K guys this week I was hoping they they continue to price Scotty up over 13k 132 133 like they have been little disappointed he’s at 125 just because I think more people will try to just Jam him in um I would have probably done that at a in an elevated a more elevated price tag but 125 a lot of times we try to at least I do to think of a scenario where you wouldn’t want to play uh playing on a tougher course birdies are going to be a little tougher to come by par on a lot of these holes is going to be very good score similar they want to get these guys ready for next week obviously but what I’m getting at is I just don’t think I can find a way to fade Scotty here at all I and and I I might I’ve got seven eight lineups I think right now I may get to 10 uh play probably play 10 lineups this week I’m gonna have a hard time not maybe locking in Scotty uh 125 it’s just too cheap T T3 here the last couple trips and again I just I don’t think there’s enough of a price uh you know kind of elevation uh relative to the other guys here to to make a case to really not even play him even at I mean he’s probably maybe what SN maybe he’s probably around 30% now he may get higher than that by Thursday probably yeah I’m just I’m just going to play him guys I’m going to make it short and sweet I’m going to play Scotty like him quite a bit three and a half to one right now to win the golf tournament Rory mroy uh and Xander are gonna just be in a spot for me this week where probably G to be out on both of them uh you know Rory has played here quite a bit he’s got eight top 20s here but he’s never won it and you know he had a t7 last week or or last year here but you know 11 111 again there’s just not as big a price gap between him and Scotty for me to validate uh you know maybe maybe playing him uh Xander obviously rested since went in his first major at the PGA at Val Hollow a couple weeks ago you know he’s had good good success here but he’s never really had you know last five years you know he’s got you know what top top 25s but no top 10 so I don’t know maybe still a little hangover from the PGA for Xander and Victor is the interesting one I think I’m going to be out on Victor for sure but defending champ was playing awful what three weeks ago uh four weeks ago played pretty good at Quail Hollow t24 then obviously surprised Everybody by contending at the pgaa and actually three puted you know from what 15 feet or whatever it was on the 72nd hole there to uh to kind of fall out uh you know in that race with him and Xander and Bryson so uh Victor will be the lowest owned in this group by a very big margin so if you kind of wanted to play that angle you could maybe play him but for me I’m in on Scotty here up top yeah very good hard to argue against a lot of what you said there Uncle T I mean Rory God I mean he’s playing so good right now so I might disagree just a little bit but again it’s you gotta pick and choose your battles like I know we’re all GNA like Scotty I definitely am uh profiles very well obviously in great form coming off T2 checks every single box um you know and then it really becomes what is your team going to look like so I do think you need to take a stand up top here between especially between Rory and Scotty I mean you could also make the argument to to use Rory and Scotty as your anchors like you could if you’re mme let’s just say you’re in 20 Max formats or you’re running 50 or like 150 you could say Okay I want every single one of my builds to have at least Scotty aor I mean interesting concept uh just because it gives you so much winning upside there I think uh I kind of think we’re all gonna agree on Xander being under on him but Snyder let’s go over to you 10K up hlin up to Scotty I think I know what you’re doing but tell us what you’re doing with this range yeah um Scotty’s just too underpriced here I think even though with the field and such uh I’ll be right back on Scotty if you remember right Scotty probably should have won this event last year but he lost nine and a half Strokes putting last year I mean he gained over 20 Strokes TD green last year I think he finished like T3 or T4 last year uh just was one of the most abysmal putting rounds we’ve seen in quite some time but uh yeah right back in on Scotty this week he’s got four wins and two runner UPS in the last seven events he’s played and the other event was at T9 at the PJ Championship with with whatever happened and everything that happened uh that week so that was just uh you got to write that one off I think he’s a minus 210 favorite of aori so he’s a monster favorite over Rory so yeah I mean just not gonna overthink it I’ll be playing I think I’m only gonna play like two guys from 9k and up mainly uh I think Scotty’s gonna be one of them I’m I’m gonna get uh extremely overweight on Scotty I think Xander is the cash guy like if I play cash games it’ll probably be anchored by Xander once again I’ve just been playing Xander in my cash teams uh quite a bit recently and uh Xander’s a minus 135 favorite over Rory in the betting market so so I think Xander is a play over Rory personally I think it’s the ownership’s going to kind of be capped though and kind of spread out a little bit between these three guys we’ll probably see Scotty probably around 30% or so I think I don’t think his ownership’s going to get too high this week because we’re gonna see Xander probably 20 to 25 I think Rory will still see around 20% with his recent form and such so uh I think ownership’s kind of be going to be spread out uh Uncle T was right I mean uh Victor hain’s going to be the lowest own guy probably 10% or lower but he’s a pretty big Underdog to my guy morala so uh I don’t see myself getting to Vick so it’s Scotty one Xander two for me up at the top but probably just Scotty outside the cash games yeah very good I’m gonna leave all four in the player pool we’re gonna emphasize bumping up Scotty sheffler and actually Xander I gave the other bump to I I just want to give a little bump to Rory it’s probably not going to matter I think you know just just from the bumps we’ve get look like all three of us on Scotty we love you know it makes it makes a lot of sense so it really comes down to I think this next range and you know thinking about it I don’t like mind like locking like like Scotty um at all this week and just taking a stand because I do agree with you Snyder ownership is going to spread out in this range everyone’s going to want a little bit of piece um W with with all of these guys so you can make the argument to to fade Scotty and be you know the ultimate contrarian and get different that way um or you could just lock him in and guarantee that you’re going to end up overweight on him relative to the field I mean Uncle T are we worried at all with how he was you know his pronun pronunciation L Lewisville is that what he was what he was saying I mean absolutely ultimate troll that was funny I thought it was kind of I I think it was probably a troll I’m not really sure but yeah that was kind of interesting yeah let’s get to this next section before we do if you like our shirts I mean we got bright yellow we got you know bright orange or salmon and we got a bright blue colored shirt uh looking good today all of us nice bright ready to ready to go if you like the shirt colors hit the like button we appreciate it let’s go down to this next range we’re going right back to you Uncle T colore Kawa um I think at least one of us on the panel is going to have interest in him all the way down to um hii matama what are we doing with this range yeah not not the best range for me to be honest again I’m I’m probably gonna play again if not all Scotty you know I may play probably 70 or 80% and just get way over on Scotty so I may not be able to get to a whole lot of these guys what I’m what I’m tinkering with is is Scotty well let me just get into who I like so yeah at the Top morala If there was another F 10K guy this week it should probably be him I mean I could even make the argument you can flip-flop him and Victor hin as far as overall performance the last couple months but uh 9800 is still a really good price tag here on morawa we all know and I don’t want to steal all Snider Thunder but obviously going into the Masters he had had a very subpar year going into the Masters and you know the T what was it T5 at the Masters or T3 at the Masters and you know he’s been cruising ever since now you know at the PGA I was down there that last round uh keeping an eye on those last couple groups and you know he definitely struggle when all the guys were making birdies he had trouble you know making birdies and and you know I do worry about that a little bit but he’s played well here last year I’m pretty sure he had maybe within a shot or two of The League going into Sunday and I’m pretty sure he had to withdraw with with with some back stuff maybe I think that was his tournament I might be wrong yeah uh was it this one um yeah he right there yeah yeah 54 holes he was maybe two or three shots off the lead um I like him here quite a bit 14 to1 to win the golf tournament his ownership again with those guys above him uh you know going to carry quite a bit more ownership I think his his will be probably around 16 177% and I’m okay with that if it stays right there so like morac quite a bit the other guy I like in this grouping is uh our guy Justin Thomas AP again similar to morala was having kind of a subar year uh and even up until you know the tournament at the at the Heritage you T5 at the Heritage t21 at Quail Hollow and Then followed it up at his home course there at Valhalla nice respectable T8 and then he’s been he’s been out resting somewhere toan since the uh PGA so I like I like JT here he’s kind of had a mixed bag of results here a couple miscuts you know t18 was the highest you know in the last five years uh here but I think he’s coming in on a little bit of a you know a little bit of an uptick and I like where his game is trending so I like those two guys um the only guy like like Oar you know he missed the cut at PGA hasn’t played a ton of golf the last five weeks honestly he’s missed you know he didn’t play a couple tournament then missed a cut at the PGA price tag is pretty good 9500 it’s a good tag on Oar but I don’t think I’m going to do it Klay has good course history uh Elite course history obviously won won this thing twice I don’t know I just don’t like the form for Klay it is a decent price tag 9,400 I think I’m gonna fade uh Fleetwood been playing a lot of golf I don’t know T t21 last week uh T3 at the Masters a few you know a couple months ago I’ll probably be out on him as well the only guy I’m undecided on maybe adding in this group is matama just because I’m so damn afraid if he gets off to a bad start he might withdraw but he does set up really well for this course one here all the way back in 2014 t16 last year uh you know T6 in 2019 so he he Maps out to be the third guy for me if I was to add another guy but for me Mora easily number one in this grouping and then Justin Thomas is my second guy in yeah very good uh I mean look like I’m not gonna disagree with Justin Justin Thomas he’s been playing much better and maybe it’s because I haven’t been playing him who knows that could definitely be the case uh Snyder talk about this range talk about Oar uh I know he was dealing with with the injury I think back issue is that right um I don’t know if you have any update on that uh in his status I know he he just didn’t look he just looked off uh at the PJ Championship so like if I knew he was 100% go at 9500 I love this corser like I absolutely love it but if he’s still dealing with any like lingering type of issue I mean it’s tougher to play yeah it’s hard to tell with him uh with that knee injury that he had um with with the way the betting markets are moving it’s not looking good for ludig there like my guy morawa opened up as uh I think 155 favored over him and he’s now up to minus 180 there’s been like a 35 Cent move towards towards Mor C versus Le big in the betting Market there uh be off leig this week I think I’m mainly just going to play morawa in this range just get overweight super overweight on Scotty and morawa have those two anchor my teams uh I mean the game’s trending back upwards for morawa returns to a course that he’s won at before and has his hey Snider can I say one thing real quick I I forgot to completely tell you this but so before our round on Friday they had this little Q&A exercise Tiger Woods and Colin Mor CAO out there on the Range and they did these little like they had a little competition actually multiple competitions and it doesn’t mean anything absolutely doesn’t mean anything but morova absolutely spanked tiger so uh I think he beat him in every single competition that they did so you got that going for you you love to see it yeah his game’s kind of back he’s got his old coach back which he says has kind of comforted him and made sure everything was going to be all right so he’s got the Old Coach back for a few weeks now rank number one in this field in driving accuracy last 36 rounds he’s got the fourth best odds on Pinnacle better than havin twice as good as ludvig and he’s G me lower own than uh Xander and ludvig I think as well so I’m gonna be big on Mora this week he’s a big minus 155 favored over havlin in the betting markets and then a minus 180 favored over ludig in the betting markets like I mentioned at the lead end uh so pretty heavy on my guy morawa see if he can get another win at this event a couple top fives he’s coming off of and then uh I am kind of jealous that you were hanging out with him at the tiger jam and at the concert and everything but uh yeah I’m gonna be in on Colin and then the other guy if I play any I think it will be some Hideki I think he’ll be you know close to 10% or something won’t take much to get overweight on him uh I like his upside for tournaments so Uncle T kind of hit on him a little bit has a win at austa has some solid finishes here in the past as well so uh hii would be the other I think I would sprinkle in a little bit uh but uh going to be well overweight on morawa and Scotty from the 9k and up ranges Tommy Fleetwood feels like the sun JM type of play that we always kind of made fun of like if you want T25 or whatever you know play an overpriced Sun JM Tom like and again Tommy’s our guy but like man this guy just he’s just a machine at one you know making cuts and two finishing like T2 t26 awesome finish the Masters I don’t want to take away that um it is a big boy event he gets likely gets four rounds I don’t know I just when you look at the other options in this range even a few options below him I find it very very difficult to uh toh click on Tommy Fleetwood so he’s gonna be the first X and then um can’t the other guy I I get the course history instead of I guess Xing him out and same with OB there I’m just going to bump him down a little bit I mean I don’t think it’s going to really matter I think you know the likes of like Justin Thomas col morawa are going to pop instead but we’ll keep him in the pool for now we’ll bump him down I agree with you guys in this range k morow for me Justin Thomas I can’t really get on board with IDI I just he spub me the wrong the wrong way too many times it’s been very very frustrating but we’ll leave him in the pool uh and give a slight bump up since you guys both had a few positive things to say about him let’s go down to what I feel is a pretty interesting range the AKs starting with with wam Clark you know obviously very very disappointing showing in the PGA Championship and the Wells Fargo the week before that he really needs to show us something before the next major so Uncle T it’s going to be an interesting discussion Point uh what are you doing with this range Windham Clark all the way down to sunj yeah let’s talk about Windom right away you mentioned uh those two tournaments also missed a cut at the master so after he kind of ran his mouth a little bit right about the live live golf and and the 54 to 72 hole you know comparison and all that kind of you know that interview he hasn’t played very good golf since then and uh you know Miss cutting both Majors obviously he’ll defend his US Open next week at Pinehurst so you know obviously a little bit more pressure on him as far as media next week to you know to to defend that Championship but he will be extremely low owned he he is I mean he he will definitely be I think sub 10% which I think is going to be probably the lowest own in this in this uh grouping in the 8K range uh I’m out on wendam I I need to see some kind of form coming back before I’ll pay 8,900 so I’ll be out on him uh and then how I’m wanting to build you know while you guys were talking about the 9k range I tried some Scotty morawa and then Scotty Justin Thomas builds and you know it gets me down to about 7K even uh for my remaining four guys and I don’t know that I really want to do that um because we don’t have the 5K range this week so I’m gonna probably see how I can get into this shuffler and then some of these guys uh seah not really sure what to do with him he’s coming off a Miss cut last week uh I was off of him last week when a few people it was like their trendy pick I thought last week late in the week missed the cut he did have a T5 here a couple years ago but more than likely out on Seath uh here Max has good course history T5 and T6 here the last couple trips I don’t know he’s off a miscut as well in Houston where he shot I think it was maybe close to an 80 the first round not sure on Max uh probably out on him as well spe my guy I’m just goingon to continue to not play him until you know guys he’s down to 8,600 I’m I’m not playing him this week I don’t know what the price tag will be on him next week I want to find a spot uh to maybe buy in back low on spe um as this price tag price tag continues to decline I just don’t think it’s going to be here 8600 for a guy has really good course history here but that was when he was playing a lot better golf arguably so uh I’m out on speed Cory Connor’s finally got to a guy I kind of like down here 8500 good ball Striker price tag feels a little high relative to the uh you know the Elite field here uh or elevated event field uh but good ball Striker off the T6 in Canada last week I like Corey Connor don’t mind I’m kind of indifferent on benan I know he’s had some good history here I think he lost to Bryson in a playoff maybe in 2018 or 2017 so he has some history of playing really well here um hasn’t contended since but does have a couple top 25s uh a couple guys I really like here Sam Burns and Matt Fitzpatrick so I mentioned that I may not be able to jam in a 9k guy with Scotty but I can see me starting some lineups with Scotty and then going down to this mid 8K range Sam Burns I think he kind of found something uh I watched his whole round on Sunday last week he was hitting the ball to 8 10 12 15 feet literally every hole and just could not he couldn’t get hot with the putter like if he had any kind of uh even a warm putter on Sunday he could have easily made a run up at McIntyre and those guys that were up at the top last week so I kind of like Samy Burns here a little bit at 8,300 and then Matt fitchpatrick I always like him as as you guys know I like him on tougher tracks he’s got a couple top 10 with a couple miscuts here the last four years but I just just feel like he’s a pretty good course fit here and you know he’s coming off a miscut at the PGA where he didn’t play uh very well but I like Matt’s Fitzpatrick here and then the bottom end of this range a couple guys that I’ve played a little bit norin and Henley I think I’m GNA be out uh norin I played so many weeks in a row he finally let me down I think he missed a cut on the number last week uh and then Sun JM I haven’t played sunj all year so uh I’m going to be out on the bottom three guys so for me Burns and Fitzpatrick I like quite a bit and then probably Conor and on would be the next two guys so the middle of the 8K range for me yeah just just looking at this range the range above it and the different options that we have and even the players that we haven’t discussed yet yet uh in the 7K range I mean you got to think that a balance build approach is going to be fairly popular you can build some really nice lineups if you just live in this range which makes kind of what we did with Scotty pretty interesting like I don’t like with that projection uh you know value based projection that we all agreed we bumped him up it you got to think that the optimizer is going to force him in so I I do think it’s it’s an interesting approach um with the names down here and I’ll be curious to see what these builds look like the hom so max H had that really bad round and I think we just got to throw out that last event because he’s been playing really good golf outside of the Charles Schwab and uh I mean Snyder did didn’t we know someone that might have been drinking with them at at the event one of those nights I I don’t know I I don’t want I don’t want to speculate I don’t want to throw anything out there uh but I’m just not even looking at that last Miss cut uh because outside of that he’s been playing some really good golf but Snyder let’s kick it over to you 9k range or 8K range what are you doing with these guys yeah for sure uh this range is interesting to me uh there’s some decent tournament plays if you want to go there like uh Windam I think is a solid upside tournament play should be pretty well o well uh under owned there probably know probably six eight% or something like that potentially for him strong upside play if you want to go there uh I’m off the gala off home speed’s got good course history like Uncle T said but I just don’t see myself really getting there my favorite play in this range is gonna be a guy that Vegas agrees with as well I like Russell Henley this week uh he’s got the 10th best odds uh on Pentacle and the 20th price tag uh for this week at AK flat I do I I like him he’s got the good recent form heading in top 25 at the PJ Championship top 12 at the two elevated events before uh he’s top 15 in scrambling which I’m weighing quite a bit here this week as well and his gain with the putter in the the seven to last eight events uh was t16 here last year and when you look at like golfers who who uh who does the best on these smaller greens like they’re getting to see this week and Henley ranks seventh in a small greens uh approach wise uh this week so I’ll be in on Henley pretty big I think he’s like a cash guy he’s minus 125 over Connors in the matchup markets as well so Vegas is sighing on his side as well so I’ll be in on Henley quite a bit I like Benny on for a strong upside guy as well in this range he was plus seven ball striking last week so that’s always good to see out of Benny on there just comes down to the putter like with him uh like usual 8400 is a strong price though to kind of keep his ownership in check though I think he’ll probably be somewhere around 10% most likely and then I do like some Sammy Burns as well uh at the at near the bottom of this range to 8,300 it’s a strong price tag for his upside shown some life as of late a little bit finishing T10 last week he was 13th at the Wells Fargo as well t16 here last year it’s all come down to the putter for him this year if he can putt well he’s generally been inside the top 15 top 20 uh but if he doesn’t B well we’ve seen what happens to him there so it’s just kind of a a strong upside play I think uh with Sam Burns who should probably once a what once again another one of these guys be around 10% in this ownership range so it’s pretty easy to get overweight on those guys I’m seeing Russell Henley right around 10% as well I think 10 to 15% I have for Henley right now which I I think he should get higher owned than that he’ll probably be one of the more popular cash game plays like if I was starting cash games uh this week it would probably be Xander Henley would be the the first two clicks I made yeah very good I like to call in Henley uh I love what you brought up just about the odds and um how how from a price based standpoint you get a lot of value there Sammy burns like look man this guy’s too cheap 8,300 I think we all agree on him so I’m giving them that eight value kind of core core playh type of range I really want him to pop in in our builds that we make I like what you had to say about wam Clark I just like like Uncle T I I get what you’re saying I’m I’m not like a b huge Windham Clark fan but man he needs to show us something this is an event where I think he could uh you got to think that he is very very likely to make all four rounds it would take a pretty bad uh start from him not to and you get four rounds from him I mean man he we know what he can do we’ve seen what he can do from a scoring standpoint again it’s a tough course scoring’s going to be very difficult um so I mean man I you know I I could be like back back uh tracking just a little bit uh if conditions are really tough there for wiam Clark but I do wna I do want to give him a nice little bump there um and then yeah Cory Connors Benny on Sammy burns like we said Matt Fitz Patrick Uncle T I like what you said about him tough course great price tag and then Russell Henley like that’s why I think this range is going to be so popular you plug in Henley you plug in Fitzpatrick and Bernay I mean man you’re going to have a lot of salary left uh to work with so I think it’s a really strong range it’s one I want to really pop and highlight um in the build and the lineup Builder that we’re doing so I think we’re all mainly on the same page here uh as far as the AK range a couple disagreements but not not too much so I like how I like how this range is looking Uncle T after everyone hits the like And subscribe let’s go on down to the 7K range so I’m going to leave them all unchecked and as you guys talk about them and convince me on each uh player that you’re on I’m gonna highlight I’m gonna bring them into the pool and I’m Gonna Bump them up bump them down Etc so Uncle T over to you 7K range yeah I’ll try not to mention I’ll just mention a handful of these guys and and let Snyder get in with some good takes as well because it’s a definitely a good range I mean you know we’re not used to seeing Tony phenow under K and I went back and looked and it’s it’s his cheap price cheapest price tag all year for Fen now 7900 um feels like it would be a course that you know you would like to play him I don’t know the ownership I think is going to be enough to keep me off I do believe he’s going to be the highest own guy by a decent margin from what I’m seeing in this whole 7K range so uh before I saw the ownership I was kind of in on Fen now this week for the reasons I just mentioned you know cheap tag seems like he’s a pretty good course fit hasn’t he’s kind of been up and down recently but again if he’s going to be upwards of 20% in this in this s uh 7900 range here I’m going to probably be out on F now uh that may change but right now I think out uh Shane Lowry I haven’t been playing Shane and I know he found a little bit of form uh you know with the alternate uh with the team event and then he played well the week after uh in at the PGA gonna be out on him cam young you guys know I’m not a cam young guy he’s been popular two of the last three times he’s been on the Slate and he just continues to do anything so until further notice and he starts playing well I’m going to continue to fade cam young uh and it’s it’s not it’s not a problem at all for me now you get to a couple guys here that I do like Tom Kim and see W Kim I think Tom Kim’s similar to warala and even Victor hin to a certain extent started the year off very poorly you know not playing very good golf at all but you know Kim’s played five weeks in a row now and he keeps getting better uh T4 uh last week I think he played on the weekend both rounds with uh roor if I’m not mistaken hung in there really well made I think eight birdies on Sunday so like Tom kimet this again cheaper price tag than we’re used to seeing 7,800 is a really good price tag and then a guy that’s got really good course history see will Kim uh I think he’s got an outside shot at maybe winning this from this from this range if you don’t go up near the top and you’re looking at guys maybe at the end of our show I think C Kim could be a guy I look at as my guy down the board but shared the 54 hole lead here last year uh T and ended up T4 but like him quite a bit and then I’ll go down to a couple other guys will zures feels just too cheap uh I don’t really have a ton of a ton of uh stuff to say about willly Z we know he’s he’s he’s I I look at him as a grinder um you know on on the tougher course is similar to Fitzpatrick maybe I just think it’s a disrespectful price tag here on on zalad Torres 7500 feels really cheap um Billy uh Billy horel another guy 7,400 unle T who’s gonna who’s gonna get more ownership Bill Z or Tony feno oh I think feno at least what what I’m price tag on Bill Z is it is like absolutely egregious I agree with you on that I want to give a nice I got 19 on fale right now and 11 on zot torus I’ll let Snyder If he if he sees something different but yeah if those if those ownerships were flipflop I’d probably feel totally different I’d probably be in on F now at that cheaper tag than we’re used to seeing and maybe out on zalot Taurus but uh but Billy hor is another good play I think in this 7,400 range I’ve been playing really good good value in this range then two guys at the bottom JT Poston 7100 same thing just feels a little bit too cheap T12 last time out in Houston uh just a cheap price tag you know hasn’t had really good results here as far as high finishes but he’s played here enough 7,100 is cheap and then again I know in the chat we had uh who is it Ron bird was keeps talking about the weather in the in the wind it is supposed to be maybe 15 to 20 I don’t know if that’s enough to really get these guys um you know really playing poor golf because these guys are pretty good but Rickie Fowler is is a guy that I’ll look at down here at 7K flat he’s a good win player so if it does come up to that and the wind is really bad I like him uh in this spot been playing a lot better at golf I don’t think his results actually um you know indicate that he’s playing a lot better uh T9 here last year so uh eight top uh eight top 25s here with I think at least one runner up finish in his career so uh JT Poston and Fowler at the bottom of this 7K range for me I actually like the call on flower this week Uncle T um I don’t think Snider’s gonna be on him but I brought him into the pool I gave him a nice bump because I’m on board I I like I like to call Ricky Fowler he’s he’s good cup maker I think he I think he can grind out a tough course uh he can he can take his birdies when you know when he gets them so I’m on board with h with Ricky Fowler there Snider let’s let’s get over to you I already know like I should just bump Bill Z up even more um I mean if I’m wrong I’ll bump him down but I can’t imagine you not on willly Z this week so talk us through the 7K range yeah I think this range is pretty loaded this week we got 22 guys in the 7K range this week uh so there’s quite a few good options in this range I I do think Bill Z is uh too way too cheap here 7500 an elite price tag for the upside that he brings at these big time events he excels in these longer tougher tracks has been struggling as of late with the short game mainly I mean the short games been bad but he’s gained uh approach 10 of the last 11 events though I mean he was T5 in his uh lone appearance here back in 2022 where he gained over nine Strokes ball striking so I think uh Bill Z is a great guy to a bounce back this week I think the ownership will kind of Rise as the week goes though and he could definitely rival Fen now for the highest owned in this range I think uh another guy I really like this week is H sea Kim here he might he’s one of my favorite options in this range aside from like Bill z uh he he hasn’t played the best in the last two events but he was solid at the two elevated Vin he played t16 at Quail T20 at the RBC had a decent showing at Augusta as well the the putter has been an absolute huge concern though I mean the putter is been dreadful for him he’s lost the last five events he’s lost at least three Strokes in the last three events as well but historically he’s puted well here at mirfield and maybe he can kind of find something again uh as his recent form here uh at the course history is is great here fourth 13th ninth and 18th in his last four trips here he’s a minus 120 favored over Tom Kim in in the matchup markets and has a pretty good uh outright numbers as well so uh I’m definitely in on SE wo here I’ll take the Gamble on him in the short game hopefully he can find something with the putter like he usually has here at this event uh so um I mean Tom cim looks fine too the game’s kind of trending upwards uh he’s fine I do I like some Baden who for a lower own guy I think he’ll be under 10% and has made his last three Cuts here I think he’s got some decent upside for uh very low ownership uh Harris English will be in the pool for me minus 140 against Jagger in the matchup markets um yeah fenale I had I’m usually not a fenale guy but uh I could have I could make make some exceptions to get him uh in the pool this week depending on ownership and all that he’s under 8K off back to back top 20s if he can top 20 at that price tag I think that would pay off decent for him there um just depends on everything and such ownership and how I build teams and such but he might be in the pool for me Denny mcuts will probably I’ll probably keep playing with him I’ve been playing him decently uh recently he just keeps making a lot of puts it’s all value play great course history here as well the last two years finishing top five both times um and he’s been playing some strong golf outside the PGA Championship uh love the short game with him uh around the green and putting and then Glover is another guy I think I’m going to play Glover over Fowler at 7K flat I think he’s a solid cheapy there made lots of cuts has good form uh he’s just a guy that has made Cuts here hasn’t really spiked here but he’s been playing pretty good recently uh you can make the case for Fowler though definitely though as well he’s made his last three Cuts as well lunch bet 50 bucks I’ll take Fowler over Glover Snider our first bet of the you in I just like the fact that Snyder’s Gonna Keep playing with Denny M Denny mcbutts so oh I heard that way too wrong Snider uh I’m GNA add a couple guys I want to add Billy horel past winter here I think he’s playing Great Golf right now uh I’m gonna give him give him some love and then Jason day shout out to crew in the chat um I I kind of like Jay day the last time we had someone in the chat mentioned Jason day he ended up smashing uh so we got to respect that I’m trying to think of what event it was at I think it was at the Wells Fargo um so again Jason Dave playing some better golf like Snyder said a really strong range when you look at the 8ks and the 7ks and how how strong this range is I just don’t see how a balanced roster construction isn’t going to be like the popular path so I’m really C curious to see what these Scotties these Scotty builds plus this kind of mid-tier range looks like when we run everything uh I’m trying to think if I so I bumped up Billy will z a lot absolutely love him seuk Kim loved what both of you guys said on him F now just kind of leave it alone um he’s going to fall under from a value standpoint versus what we did with everyone else in this range we like Billy hoe Baden how Harris English great on tough tracks Poston Glover flower strong range we have a lot of players in the pool but again we’re going to Dial Dial It Down um and we’re going to focus on our top three builds uh from this player that that we are looking at let’s keep it going Uncle T right back to you 6K range we’re going to do the same thing that we did with the 7K range yeah the 6K range isn’t as uh enticing uh this week as far as a lot of plays but I know uh just based off of playing a lot of Scotty here I know I’m going to probably need to get into this 6K range for at least one play uh I don’t know that I want to grab two of these guys uh we’ll see how it plays out I may end up just needing one uh um Justin Rose 6,900 uh playing some really good golf T6 at the PGA t32 the last uh the last time out he’s a previous winner here it’s been a long time ago but he’s played here so many times very familiar with the course 6900 feels like a kind of a cheap tag I don’t know if I played Rosie too much all year but you know again I’m gonna need to get down into this range uh Pro I’m gonna skip a couple here and then go back because Austin ekro is the guy in the 6K range for me that I feel is is just too cheap um you know 100 I think he’s around 100 to1 down here at 6700 110 to1 uh just feels too cheap 10 t18 at the PGA uh down at Valhalla uh I don’t know I just like this kid’s game I think he’s going to be you know I’m not saying he’s gonna be the next star but I do think he’s going to be one of these guys that uh is going to El you know keep getting better and better and we’ll probably be seeing him in the low seven maybe mid sevenk uh range uh in some Fields uh the rest of the year so I do like Austin ekro might my favorite player in this range but uh again a few other guys Victor Perez played really good last week in Canada T3 um he’s fine and then dri Moore and pendrith all in the same range all feel like they’re nice easy plugin plays and the reason I say that is they’re all in pretty decent form for one reason or another pendrith coming off the win at the CJ cup about a month and a half ago or so um t21 last week uh up in Canada Taylor Moore has played good 13 to 14 Cuts made so I think think you know again I think in this range I’m going to need to probably lean on at least one of these guys hopefully up in this top 6K range I really don’t want to venture down in the bottom 6K range if I don’t have to because I really don’t like the the range as much one guy down at the bottom I will mention is Davis Thompson at 6,400 I know he kind of you know he hurt people’s feelings last week uh I W I would I had uh I think one or two lineups with Davis Thompson so he kind of hurt my feelings a little bit uh so I like him and then even Davis Riley you know he’s coming off I don’t think he’s played since he won in Houston no he hasn’t played since he won that tournament at the charl swab so you know he’s cheap Davis Thompson’s cheap but for me I’m G to try to get one guy in this range uh I don’t know that I want to grab two but we’ll see how it plays out yeah I would agree with that this is another range where you could definitely make a rule something that we did last week I don’t think I’m going to do it this week I just want to see what the op Optimizer spits out um and then a step two would be introducing uh some type of rule Snider let’s go over to you 6K range what are you doing down here uh yeah I think there’s a few options that you can go to uh I do like one guy down here quite a bit uh my favorite play in this range 6500 for Lee Hodes uh has been a guy I’ve been playing a lot of as a value as of late uh he’s off uh T12 at the colonial T12 at PGA at the PGA Championship and he was t24 at qu Hollow as well I think he’s a strong value this week uh the approach play has been solid for him he’s rolling the rock as well too good there so I like him uh Andrew putnam’s a guy I think is a fairly safe option down here so I like him quite a bit he’s had a couple solid finishes here at this track including a T5 last year so I’ll be in on some putam I think e goat’s a solid option he was 30th here last year he’s kind of popping in the models for me a little bit so I’m going to have some ecro in my builds this week uh I think Davis rley fine like like Uncle T mentioned Davis Thompson’s another guy that’s kind of popping for me a little bit um and that’s kind of it uh I don’t know if I’ll get to AE this week he kind of hurt my feelings last week I had a decent amount of AE and he just did nothing over the weekend finished t6th so that was hurtful I think I’ll probably be off of actually probably off of Kirk I do like I I like Aaj quite a bit though I think he’s a real strong real real strong value this week what about your boy Jake knap so I do got a jake naap sto story on on the second on second day uh I did not play but uh I was talking to Andy co sabersim uh on whole 17 so it’s it’s the short part three downhill uh the green sets up like uh uh you know like the part three at Augusta that we all know uh hit it to like three feet like almost dunked it 62 H Jake nap your boy Snider uh absolutely none are you off of him are we off the nap train I mean you can sprinkle some in there if you want uh I think I think I’m gonna add him in just to see what that 6200 price tech does and I’m just gonna get him over that 7.1 I mean probably be like 1% know so let him talk you into him Snider if you don’t like him don’t let AP talk you into your boy if you don’t like him no he doesn’t have to like him I can like him though I can like a little a little bit of Jake nap I’ll probably sprinkle in seven or eight of these guys in the 6K range though for 150 and such yeah overall though I agree with you guys like I don’t want to get crazy with this range when I look at this you know big picture I think AK range very strong 7K range a lot of very strong options I even think like the 9k and uh you know um up obviously very very good I do think though up top it’s going to be interesting you know what stand are you making is it Scotty is it or I mean Xander I mean even coming off obviously um you know his big win the fact that that he would be the guy that you go to in cash I do think is pretty interesting so I’m gonna give him an additional bump I don’t think it’s gonna matter too much uh with with Scotty’s big projection there but I do want to see what it looks like and then havin obviously the defending champ so uh our big stands Bill z uh definitely one of of them actually I can just sort by value so Bill Z Sammy Burns Scotty sheffler then Matt Fitzpatrick Russell hen Henley the the theme Here is guys that are are pretty good on tough tracks and that’s I think unanimously what we all agreed on are the golfers that we want to Target this week so I really like kind of from a baseline standpoint how we have this set up let’s run this like we do each and every week um I’m not going to worry about that we’re going to go with our normal uh settings I don’t typically like leaving a ton of salary we’re going to bring S sim diversity down to uh to five we don’t need a ton of builds for this exercise so pool size 2500 I’m gonna run this while I’m running this let’s get on to our winners so who who we think’s going to win where odds don’t typically matter and then um a longer shot Snyder let’s start with you yeah I was hoping to get better odds on my guy morala this week but 14 to one seems a little thin still with Scotty in the field but uh I’ll go with morawa as my main outright winner because I you can’t just you can’t take uh Scotty at plus 360 I think I’m still a firm believer on like I’ve done a few times with Scotty this year uh wait till Saturday wait till Scotty’s at the weekend he’s got you know one shot lead or within one to two of the lead he’s usually like plus 125 or something that’s when I’ve been betting Scotty but I do like morawa up top I think it’ll be a big name that wins this event but if I was gonna go down a little bit uh I might even go like all the way down and find uh I mean you always worry about Bill Z closing out but 75 to one is a strong number on him uh I think Bill Z is fine at 75 if you want a longer shot guy you can always head out of that pretty easily as well so we’ll go moral at 14 to1 and then Bill Z at 75 to1 both on FanDuel yeah two good ball Strikers two guys that play tough and uh on tough tracks so can’t go wrong with that Uncle T uh who do you got winning this week yeah I like those calls morawa I’ve already got a bet on morawa I think I got him 16 to one uh Monday evening I think I got yeah 16 to one I got more yeah it’s it’s a little thin Steiner I agree with Scotty in the field but I like more cow but my pick for the show I’m going to go with Matt Fitzpatrick I just think um again uh not a guy that a lot of people kind of like to play in general he’s not you know we kind of make fun of the the braces and such you know for years and then he’s just not a guy that’s real likable I don’t think and and I think he for that reason in general doesn’t get as much love but I think this course sets up well for him I’m seeing 5050 or 55 to one on Matty Fitz I do like Sammy Burns as well but I’ll go with Fitzpatrick and then down the board a little bit I’m going to stick with my guy sew Kim 50 to one so a couple guys towards the middle of the pack I do I do believe like Snider said probably more than likely one of these big hitters you know one of the big name guys is going to get it done uh on a tougher track but uh we’ll go with Fitzpatrick and see woo Kim yeah I mean we we almost made it three for three on colore CWA but outside Scotty like outside of Scotty I do like more a right now I love how he’s playing I think this this track sets up really well for him great ball Striker the putter is starting to come alive as well um there is a premium on making pars here limiting bogey all things that I think K morawa can do so uh I’m I’m with you Snyder I like your boy K morawa uh my second guy I gotta go um man trying to think if I want to eat some chalk or not I mean that’s go with your boy horel we all like hor that’s a good point yeah okay I’m gonna go I’ll go bill I was like to be honest I was between like three or four guys down here and that’s just kind of an indication of how strong this range was took a little bit of pure pressure from my guy Uncle T but Billy hoe Billy Ho is my guy 7400 I said that I joking yeah what’s the what’s his odds I I think he’s like a like a really good maybe 65 to one I mean 70 on FanDuel 70 okay when he gets hot he gets hot so I absolutely love that love that from a betting standpoint as well uh thank you Uncle T for helping me get there I I don’t think I can take full credit if Billy Hull wins we we we’ll definitely share that one let’s review these lineups then let’s get out of here uh let’s look at our top three I was sort by projected score again this kind of a baseline build we’re going to go three uniques just because if we were running kind of a three max strategy this is something that I would consider just to add some diversification to my my three um three lineup portfolio and let’s look look at this so the top build that we came up with interesting no Scotty sheffler um definitely very very interesting I we hinted at that okay guys like we hinted at that that this range this this balance build is going to look very very very strong this week so um I’m not too surprised and when you look at it seim karawa Sam Burns Willie Z Matt Fitzpatrick benon I mean that’s a really strong build anchored with Colin Mor Kawa the guy kind of that gives us that win upside I really like how that build looks uh and then you know Snider you’re talking about it and it’s I’m curious that or it’s it’s interesting that this build landed second um we got Xander chafl as kind of our anchor there with what Russell Henley Matt Fitzpatrick Bill Z Sam Burns Poston again like guys another really strong nons Scotty build so I want like Snider what do you have Scotty sheffler’s ownership at ownership projection at I think he’ll probably be right around 30% still like I think U Xander will probably be 20 to 25 probably closer to 25 honestly and then Scotty will probably be right around 30 maybe low 30s in some contest but right around 30 yeah if this is going to be a week where just up until tomorrow night you really want to track the ownership projections to see where these players are at there’s just so many interesting Pats like I do think if Scotty was going to be like 40% I would honestly probably fade him just because of the strength of our lineups what I’m looking at at least right now by you know fading them so I I think you could definitely make the argument um and then that third build speed I snuck spe in there and I didn’t give him that that big of a bump uh Uncle T you you were on your boy right no kind oh I I must have just been like it’s ingrained in my head been for about five weeks now it’s interesting that he landed in in this build I didn’t give him that big of a bump relative to to his range so I do find that very interesting grades out as the ninth rake build when you’re sorting by highs projected we have Henley Bill Z Sam Burns k morawa um and others in there so those are our top three I want to do one last thing um I want to bump let’s just bump Scotty up to a number that just has to force him into our lineups and I want to see what this top lineup looks like with Scotty Sheffer so we have e grot we have one 16k guy we have Ricky Fowler again that could be Lucas Glover or Ricky Fowler uh whoever you like more I think it was me and Uncle T on flower and Snider um goat on Ricky Fowler sheffler Sam Burns those two are buddies we have Bill Z in there I do think that I would want Bill Z in my Scotty lineups um and then you have Henley again like a a really good build anchored by Scotty but you really want ekro to do something um if he Buffs I I I don’t feel as confident about this build um and again this is kind of a baseline we’re looking at it you know another example with Davis Thompson as the punt versus what we previously showed uh in the nons Scotty build so like I think it’s a really interesting discussion this week to Scotty or not to Scotty and a lot of it is due to pricing with the underpriced golfers that we have another path again I didn’t give Billy hoe the love that that I probably should have but you could go a Sammy Burns Bill Z Billy hoe and I still think that you might be able to get out of that that six 6K range so um a lot of interesting decisions to be made Uncle T any final thoughts on you know kind of the builds that we discussed no I I like how when we did this what about a month ago and started this it really I love talking through it with you guys I I know the chat we appreciate the chat we see the same guys in here every week with us so we appreciate you guys hanging out with us every Tuesday but no I like going through it a little bit it kind of you know coming into the show I always have and as you guys do kind of how we we think we’re you know the guys that we kind of like and then talking through it and then looking at how these Sims look you know it kind of bumps a couple guys up that maybe I wasn’t as high on and I’m going to give more consideration to and uh yeah I just like the format and uh I think it’s going to be a good week for us heading into the US Open next week yeah very good Snyder any final thoughts yeah looking forward to this week actually looking forward to the next three weeks I think we’ve got two Elevate events in the US Open so we got backto back Big Boy courses which I love the best I love to see these guys kind of struggle at times more so than the birdie Fest uh and then like always we’ll have The Showdown content up on the site there rounds one through four we’ll have uh three separate tiers slate strategy player notes for each golfers uh we’ll have that up and then always in Discord as always yeah very good uh appreciate all of you if you enjoyed this content hit the like button hit the Subscribe we we appreciate it a lot if you want to check us out rps5 15% off come try try out the uh sabon package with us if you have any questions or if you want us to highlight anything else let me know shoot me a DM you can hit me up on Twitter hit me up on the Discord I would love to we would love to add other things into this show um as well just to make it more interesting and to help you all out with your process so for that I’m AP that’s Snyder and that’s Uncle T good luck and run Pier [Music]