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hello ladies and gentlemen welcome to calls calls this is the 2024 RBC Canadian open DFS tactic show we have the updated forecast the ownership projections and much more to cover for this evening to help you uh optimize and dominate this week in DFS for the RBC Canadian open so let’s not waste any time let’s get right into it all statistics provided tonight and every night are from fantasy National it is the best golf Analytics tool out there for your money it’s going to make you a much smarter golf Gambler and a much better golf DFS player go check out fantasy national.com you will not regret it in the description of the video there are links to all the social media first off my ex and Instagram where normally I post research weekly on the PGA tour did not do so this week considering at least for me Hamilton is a new course as I did not follow golf very uh closely in 2019 but normally I will post research around the uh some core statistics the pattern of previous winners of that week’s tournament the players in the field that fit that criteria so if you want to see the weekly research that I do on the PGA tour then give me a follow at your preferred social media site X is also where I place my weekly betting cards and by top player usage in the DFS contest I play that always comes out Wednesday evening after after the DFS tactic show so that’ll be out later this evening so give me a follow over at X if you want to see those uh bits of information and then speaking of social media and Wednesday nights gab’s handle is in the description he writes a very good article called The Fringe it’s a great way to start your week of preparation and if you are a subscriber to his article which is free to do you’re going to be able to join us in his substack chat as we continue the DFS talk uh later on this evening after calls calls we talk about Game Theory our favorite are areas of the party sport our favorite 6K and perhaps 5K plays players that were fading so you don’t want to miss out on that uh it’s great discussion every week so the only way you’re going to be able to join us again is if you are a subscriber to his article so go show him some support follow him over on social media as well then lastly we are Live Chat is open I want to hear from you all I’ve got the poll question typed up for the week pretty simple one but I would love to hear your all’s input on it um want to hear from you all in terms of who are you targeting who are you staying away from uh all of the good stuff that we normally talk about on a Wednesday evening so let’s figure out our strategies and our tactics for the 2024 RBC Canadian open and we start as we always do with the super forecast as soon as my chair will move the super forecast over at windfinder and this week’s poll question very very simple uh who is your winner this week for the RBZ Canadian open Now understand I only have four choices so kind of limited but who’s your winner is it Rory is it Tommy is it Cory Connor or if it’s somebody else put it in the comments or put it in chat so who is your winner this week for the RBC Canadian open and I will make sure to answer my question at the end of the show we look at the extended forecast with windfinder and not a lot going on um Monday uh the winds seemed pretty calm and they’re mostly calm for the majority of the tournament we might get a little bit of wind towards the later end of the morning session and the beginning portion of the uh afternoon wave with this I can understand the argument that if you wanted to make make such the argument that the Friday or the Thursday p.m Friday a.m. has a slight favor I understand it I’m just not factoring it in I’m just going to play my guys regardless of what half of the draw that they are on uh I just don’t see enough here um to separate or exclude any players based on this forecast of course if you have the capability the luxury to stay up late get the next uh forecast or if you have the ability to wake up extremely early tomorrow uh tomorrow morning and check the forecast I’m always going to suggest you do that if this is indeed your last forecast that you’re able to to to look at I’m not going to play any favor again I can understand the argument if you wanted to put a small and I mean very small um Thursday p.m. Friday a.m. favor in your calculations I’m just not doing that and then if we zoom out take a look at the weekend uh again pretty darn calm on on Saturday high of near 70 just looks perfect we might get a little bit of rain Saturday night into Sunday morning but not a whole lot of wind um so it really does look like tomorrow is going to be the windiest day for the tournament and I just I don’t see enough here to factor in a wave Advantage so with that we will move to Fantasy National and we’re going to do one very quick review that we’ve talked about quite a bit this week but in case you did not see Sunday night or Monday night’s show and then we’ll we’ll go straight into the mixed condition model Hamilton Golf and Country Club even though it has been lengthened since 2019 it is still a short course uh still under 7100 yards as a part of 70 so on short courses at least those defined as less than 7200 yard in fantasy National on short courses the past couple of years our top performers have been Eric Cole sahit tala Sam Burns Sheamus power Tom Kim Mark Hub Bo Hustler Adam Scott Rio hits outs and JJ spawn so if you have not finalized your lineups or or if you are still debating um between player a player b or filling out you know your last roster slot um consider these guys if you aren’t um because especially since they have played short courses well uh in the past couple of years if we move on down uh Alex noren and Stuart sink Cory Connors Grayson Sig Tyler Duncan Taylor pendri Taylor pendrith chz reevy Adis Vincent Ben Martin Keith Mitchell there’s your top 20 in terms of players who have played short courses the best over the past couple years the other side of that coin players who have not played short courses well Tyson Alexander Michael gigic Wesley Bryan Ben Taylor Cameron Champ CT pan Ryan brim uh Parker Cy uh remember Colonial is technically average length being right under 7,300 yards uh uh but coming off of very good Charles Schwab challenges Parker Cy some other players Matt Wallace uh Martin trer Kevin kizner Nico etaria Chad Ramy uh sneaker Norman Streelman so these guys have not uh played short courses well the past couple of years so you might want to give these players a downgrade um in your calculations considering they generally don’t play short courses well but with that we’ll go to the mixed condition model that I have made for this week and the RBC Canadian open this is one of the few times that I am going to include all four strokes gained major shot types in a mixed condition model I just did not feel comfortable leaving out off the tea even though we have uh or we we have a lot of forced layups here and off the tea uh is it’s pretty hard to gain off the te with a lot of forc layups look what Rory did 2019 so if someone is on their game you know drive with the driver and straight uh long they could gain quite a bit of an advantage like Rory did in 2019 so I only have it at 5% and I am including the fairways difficult to hit uh filter considering I think Hamilton will play uh much like it did in 2019 with the fairways being difficult to hit even with all the force layups so 5% there 15% in Strokes skin approach uh the second most um weighted uh metric in the mixed condition model we saw Monday night from the prior leaderboard that approach was a was a pretty darn big factor uh even though Rory just destroyed everybody off the tea that week uh all those years ago uh he was still just very good with his irons as well very good he just was very good all the way around in all four shot types uh and there was a lot of correlation with the with the approach as well so 15% in Strokes gain approach 5% in around the green these greens while they are average in terms of uh size um for the PJ tour at 6,000 ft they’re going to play a lot smaller with all the undulation and the Steep runoffs around them um so I imagine a lot of players will be uh getting or trying to scramble trying to get up and down uh fairly frequently around Hamilton so I did not want to ignore the around the green um so only 5% but just due to the way the courses is set up uh they’ve taken out a lot of rough um and put in a lot of closely moan area 5% around the green only 10% in bent putting because you’ll notice that I’m only looking at bent greens I talked extensively Monday night how I just did not feel comfortable filtering all the way down to average speed bent greens for a couple reasons one is that there wasn’t a whole lot of sample size there uh most tournaments that have bent green are generally fast or even lightning see the Masters see Memorial where we’ll be next week those are always lightning um so we don’t have a lot of sample size in terms of average speed bent greens and it’s not a guarantee that they’ll be average the gcsa ter fact sheet listed the stim at 11 to 12 11 would certainly be average uh but 12 would be fast so I am not 100% confident that they will be average speed uh and that could be a potential weakness uh because all four rounds in 2019 were average speed bent greens or you know played to average speed um but I just don’t feel 100% confident that they will be average this year so if they are that is a potential weakness but only 10% this is a this was such a huge factor in 2019 but explaining to you why it is losing some percentage uh due to the concerns of sample size and not being 100% confident that the greens will indeed be averag this year 5% each in good drives and greens when Fairways are difficult to hit um again uh I think these Fairways will be difficult to hit and I have put all of my eggs in the accurac in Precision basket I do not think uh distance is going to be a a factor at all or if it is it’s very minimal and I’ve got that covered with off the te I am really focused on the Precision good drives meaning players hitting the Fairway or they’re hitting the green if they’re in the rough green self-explanatory so I want to see who are the accurate players this week as that generally is what Hamilton rewards 10% in birdies are better gained on short courses and you’ll notice I don’t have any bogey avoidance I do think um Hamilton will play to about average um we saw three rounds of average and a round of difficult in 2019 I do think it plays to average this year in terms of difficulty and I don’t like using that filter meaning the average difficulty scoring relative to par so instead because Hamilton is short I just use that filter and there is the potential especially with the rain that has happened early this week in Ancaster that uh it could play soft and it could play easy uh especially tomorrow so there is all the possibility that there are some low scores out there and so and there’s Eagles there are eagles that will happen the two par FS are short and attackable the drivable Par Four a couple of short par fours less than 400 yards so there are good scoring opportunities around um around Hamilton so 10% in birdies or better gained on short courses 5% in total procs uh I was surprised by this Monday night and how much total procs um factored into who rose on the leaderboard in 2019 I don’t want to focus on a specific range because there are so many options available to players off the tea players like Rory will probably take driver a lot whereas um players like Kevin kizner will lay up uh in all sorts of in between so I didn’t want to focus on Earth specific range just 5% in terms of total procs 10 % in total par 3s a little bit heavy you can I I would understand if you wanted to look at the 200 to 225 par 3s but again these some of some of these holes have been lengthened it comes into the par 3s and it comes into the par fours heavily but 10% in total par 3s you know in my own um evaluations and and lineup building I am making sure that the player is at least you know decent at the 200 to 22 range but uh for the Mixed condition model just looking at total par 3s 20% in total par fours we have 12 par fours uh just again just a big factor around Hamilton since this is a par 70 5% in the 400 to 450 par 4S based on 2019 this percentage should be increased fairly significantly maybe 10 to 15% but again some of these holes have been link thed and I do think the 450 to 5 will play a bigger Factor the 450 to 500 yard par fours that is so are the majority of the par fors still fall into this range bucket that’s why I’ve separated out but also explaining why I’m only having 5% in there not 10 or 15% because some of these holes have been lengthen and then lastly 5% in terms uh or 5% in total power fives only two power fivs at Hamilton U pretty mitigated in importance but Rory played them extremely well Eagles are available so you don’t want to ignore the par fivs considering they are the best opportunities to score here at Hamilton so there’s a look at the mixed condition model and how I see Hamilton playing or or the angle that I’m taking in terms of ranking players this week hopefully I’ve given you an idea on some on some areas that I could be weak uh and maybe you have slight disagreements with me um so with that let’s move to my rankings for the week for the RBC Canadian open as a reminder to returning viewers for your information if you are a new viewer my rankings are based on three criteria the FC rank which is a straight numerical ranking based on the mixed condition model that we just covered you know the metric and the percentages that are in those course value which is blank this week because I generally go back five years and while Hamilton was played 5 years ago the Canadian open changes venues every year and so because I want to focus on the course not the tournament that’s why it’s blank for this week so no course value uh I I left it up just to just for this explanation we can actually hide that column since there is no course value but that generally is a a part of my rankings and then we are playing DFS we’re trying to find unique options against our fellow contestants so percent owned projected by fantasy National these are fantasy National projected ownerships that also factors into my rankings so while I’m on that top IC uh you’ll have to give me one moment as I pull up um gabes source of ownerships he is kind enough to share that with me and I meant to have that up so let me there you go so I’ll have this up over to the side so we’ll have two um sources of projected ownerships my rankings go as such Cory con Connors is my number one player this week kind of a slight uh asterisk cuz he’s getting helped by the fact that he is slightly less owned than Rory you see Rory by the pure numbers is the number one player according to Fantasy National M Cory Connor number one in my rankings number two is Rory Z toala third OA batia and Shane Lowry round out the top five Alex noren Justin low at 6,400 comes in seventh Mark hover R and Keith Mitchell right at my top 10 uh Justin low a little bit of a surprise maybe catapulting all the way up to seventh but you see he raided out extremely well he has been fifth the last 24 rounds in par fours and that is you know the most heavily weighted metric in the mixed condition model so he’s naturally going to rise the irons have been actually okay uh the past 24 rounds as well he has put bent exceptionally well the past last uh two years 24 months where he has struggled he has not necessarily gotten a lot of birdies on short courses uh and his off the tea game can lack a little bit I do think off the te is the most mitigated of the four major shot types here at Hamilton so I’m not too terribly worried about that you see actually is getting a little bit of of um a look from members at Fantasy National um but you know I I completely understand why Justin low Rose quite a bit I’m just a little I’m a little shocked he’s all the way up to eighth but um numbers don’t lie I mean Fifth and Par fours top 10 in in bent putting everyone else is probably pretty self-explanatory um Tommy Fleetwood has not been in in great form the past well really in the 20124 season so that’s why he’s falling um you see the irons birdies are better actually on short courses haven’t been strong but the number one player on par 4S so a little surprising maybe that Tommy Fleetwood isn’t in the top 10 but again he has not been in the best form for 2024 everyone else pretty self-explanatory uh Connor’s Rory tagala bati has been in great form as well Shan Larry’s been in good form so um pretty pretty solid um rankings at least compared to what I was consider or what I expected so now let’s go into the price board figure out where our fellow contestants seem to be going in various areas of the price board and figure out if there are any pivots and which pivots we might want to turn to so in the five digits in the four or in the 10ks we have four players Rory SE at 105 Tommy at 103 Shane Larry at 101 you see all of these players rated out extremely well none of them outside the top 15 three of the four inside the top five I’m probably you know a little bit lower on Shane Larry than what maybe fifth would suggest but um it still makes a lot of sense you know 10th in par fors sixth in irons in the last 24 months in this field so a lot to like there of course Rory most um projected owned player in the field 38% per gab source so it does appear that some of the members of fantasy National are trying to beat Rory and much like I said last week with Scotty Sheffer it’s very dangerous game to play but if you’re willing to do it you’re going to gain a lot of uniqueness right off the bat and if he happens to struggle you’re going to be in a really good spot I tried that last week for the first round I looked like a genius CU Scotty struggled uh and then Scotty did Scotty things and I lost so um it is what it is it’s whether you’re willing to take that chance um Rory should play really really darn well considering he won the last time we were at Hamilton I do like see tala quite a bit as well this feels like a a very good fit for him despite the fact that the around the green has been really bad the last 24 months he he’s a much better short game game player than what this suggests um number one on par three total par 3es um again we were more or you might want to look at the 200 to 225 but in terms of total par 3es he is the number one part three performer the past 24 uh past 24 rounds or three months he goes low he has the prity to go low especially on short courses number one putter on bent so a lot to like with c tala fleetwood’s fine could be popular but fleetwood’s fine um Lowry is the pivot and he’s not really a pivot I mean he’s at 15% at both places fantasy National and per Gabe source so a lot of a lot of our fellow contestants seem to be in the 10ks and the and the nines looking like stars and scrubs is probably the um the default build seemingly so it’ll be interesting to see where people are going uh in the sixes or maybe even the fives but in the 10 Cas for me I I think I have to make Rory my number one player uh just like the rankings uh the winner the last time the tournament was held here uh I see no reason for him not to repeat at least playing well can’t say repeat Champion but um third and Power fours the irons are good putter has been really doing good on bent so I really like Rory I like see toala as well he’s hovering right at 18% at both places now fantasy National and gab Source they are most conflicted on Tommy Fleetwood fantasy National members are only at 145% on Tommy whereas uh gab source which is more in line probably with the general public public Tommy fleetwood’s at 21% so thinking Tommy’s at 21% instead of 14 and a half I’d be a little bit less inclined to use Tommy but I think he’s fine I should be fine um good evening P thanks for jumping in chat it’s much appreciated hopefully you are ready for the RBC Canadian open a um uh we’re going to try and get uh get some momentum after a um you know a solid PGA and then a disastrous Charles Schwab so um yeah we’re we’re going to try and and you know get back through our winning ways here this week um but it’s good to see you in chat hopefully all has been well and then I’m lowest on Shane Lowry in the 10ks um you can’t play everybody so Shane Lowry is probably going to be a fade might have him a time or two but uh really I am when whenever I can afford it I’m going Rory and if I can’t afford Rory I’m going see tagala and then uh little concerned with Tommy’s U ownership being at 21% per gab source so we move to the nines noren cam young Connor Burns MAV mcney and Adam Scott uh everybody in here is getting a whole lot of ownership as well um the lowest being Adam Scott at 14% um 12% per fantasy National so Burns and Adam Scott per fantasy National pretty similar I I don’t like Burns I don’t like this fit for him he can get pretty darn wward granted that’s with the driver so maybe he stays more accurate having to Club down but he’s not been particularly great on the par fours or the par 3s so I’m pretty concerned about Sam Burns so I’m not going to be uh here this week I know a lot of people have have have him on the outright betting card but I I’m I’m just not there I also have a little bit of concern with mad mcney I know he rates out extremely well he that’s a lot of ownership sitting at you know anywhere between 14 to 16 % yes sixth in par fours uh tied with um seala for number one and bent putting but um look when Fairways are difficult to hit he has not performed well you see off the te been really bad good drives greens when Fairway has been difficult to hit he’s he’s struggled so I do have a little bit of concern with MAV McNeely as well so these two Sam Burns I’m completely out on Mad mcney might have a time or two but I’m I’m quite cautious with it the chalk that I’ll eat I’ll definitely eat some Cory Connor’s chalk I think it’s just a solid play whether or not he wins you know whatever I I just think he’s I think he’s you can pencil him in pretty much for a top 30 uh famous last words you can quote me next week when he misses the cut but I just think it’s a i just a good solid play I’m a little surprised he’s not all the way up to 20% instead it’s Alex noren who’s getting that attent that much attention and I guess I can see it you know second and Par fours the irons have been very good but much like MAV McNeely when Fairway has been difficult to hit he’s struggled not necessarily as much as MAV mcney and you see the around the green game number one but 100th in good drives 93rd in Greens I’m going to be a little bit cautious on norn as well uh I’m not I can’t call it a full fade I’m sure I’ll have him a little bit especially considering he rated sixth in my rankings but I’m a little bit cautious especially since I think these Fairways will be difficult to hit this week um cam Young’s quite a bit of a wild card uh he’s got all of the off the tea prowess like Rory but man he can like Sam Burns he can get Wayward um so if he is if he’s Elite off the tea like he can be he’s probably your um potential pivot um at least you know compared to the others in the nine Cas I he’s still at 13 to 15% but uh he’s the wild card in the nine GS uh depending on how you feel his uh driver is going to be this week and Adam Scott’s I think fine I’m not excited to use Adam Scott this week but I think it’s fine so I mentioned how I’m going to be a little bit cautious on noren I’m going to be pretty darn cautious on McNeely I’m out on Sam Burns so I will eat the Cory Connor chalk I’ll probably dabble or sprinkle some cam young I’ll dabble and sprinkle some Adam Scott um but if I’m not doing a whole lot in the 9ks and I like the 10ks tells you probably what probably tells you what kind of lineups I’m building moving into the eights um Aaron R feels like a very good course fit although he is kind of struggled on short courses not just birdies are better but I mean he’s kind of struggled on short courses so be mindful of that and uh his ownership while fantasy National is a lot higher on him um I still expect him to be pretty popular uh considering the the idea of precision over distance and that’s what Aaron Ry is so he’ll be popular I think it’s fine just not excited about it I do like Keith Mitchell quite a bit um especially if it does play a little bit more difficult than we might expect um again the birdies are better on short courses but he is the number one off the tea player when Fairways are difficult to hit seventh good drives eighth with greens like the irons have been solid 11th and approach I like Keith Mitchell quite a bit but he is a little bit popular as well anywhere from 11 to 15% depending on what source you want to trust fantasy National or gabes I do like Keith Mitchell love Tom Kim this week look I’ve been a little bit cautious on him the past couple weeks and he’s played really really well so now that I’m on him that means you need to jump off of him but I do like Tom Kim quite a bit this week feels like a good fit for him shorter course uh not overly difficult uh so I like Tom Kim quite a bit um in the akks your potential pivots are Adam hadwin Eric Van royan and Nick Taylor our defending the defending champion of the tournament technically he didn’t rate out well for me so I I’m off of it but I mean 6% on a Nick Taylor who’s already won once this year it’s not terrible makes me think that I should probably consider a little bit Nick Taylor uh um the part 3es haven’t been good so that that could be an issue I suppose but man that’s that’s surprising to see Nick Taylor at 6% uh batia fine uh struggles on bent but I mean he’s not generally a good putter anyway uh going to be popular so be aware of that you know he’s sitting at anywhere from 12 to 133% but I like it it’s fine hadwin interesting but he’s not been in good form lately I don’t know um maybe worth a time or two I I don’t really like Eric V royan this week I think I’d much rather use Adam hadwin than EVR but like I said I love Tom Kim I really like Keith Mitchell I hope his ownership doesn’t inflate too high I’m really kind of considering Nick Taylor despite how low he rated um just kind of feels like a good Nick Taylor course and I’m completely out on Mackenzie Hughes uh this is this is my bold you know where I’m planting my flag if you will uh that and Shane him and Shane Lowry so if Lowry plays well if McKenzie Hughes plays well I’ll lose uh I’m just not I I’m worried about Hugh’s irons um he actually hadn’t been all that great on short courses either so yeah I’m just out on McKenzie Hughes oh and mad MCN I’m out on M uh mcneel and burns as well so if those players play well I’ll lose but in the 8ks Aaron R’s fine just extremely popular but it’s fine I’m more so going Keith Mitchell Tom Kim I’ll probably sprinkle some Nick Taylor upper sevens um Mark Hub rated out well normally will for me just due to the type of player he is is 11% per fantasy National and only 7% per gab source so that’s quite interesting uh considering you know top five in par fours the irons have been good I guess people are scared Away by the par 3s in the off the te um seeing him at 7% per game source and only 11 at Fantasy National maybe you maybe you use a little bit of Mark cover because he’s generally pretty popular but if he’s going to be that low that’s quite interesting um Tylor pendri is somebody to take a look at but he’s garnering some attention pendri uh anywhere between 9 and 12% but I do like Taylor pendri this week um despite his length he’s actually better on short courses where you take driver out of his hand so I like Taylor pendri um I want to like Kevin Yu with the ball striking second off the T Fairways difficult to hit ninth and uh approach but the par fours he’s been pretty bad he’s taking advantage of the par fives which there are only two of but he’s been pretty bad on the par fours so um I’m not I want to like him but there’s enough here to be to be cautious uh Davis Thompson only one poor metric it was the putting you can take a look at Davis Thompson he sits at 135% per game source so the general public seems to be on Davis Thompson as opposed to the fantasy National members so maybe a reason to uh be a little wary cuz I was hoping he would be you know this 9% but 13 and a half per game source so in the upper sevens if Mark hub’s indeed going to be unique I’ll probably be overweight on Mark hubard so if he doesn’t play well I’ll lose I do like Taylor pendrith just you know a little bit more popular than I was hoping you know in between 9 to 12% no thanks on Matt Wallace Burger I mean yeah he’s been showing some good form lately but I I don’t know I just I still want to see him contend I guess instead of just making the cut I just kind of want to seem contend um looks like we got a few answers in in uh in chat or at least with the poll question so if you are picking somebody else to win put it in the comments of the show or you know feel free to drop in chat and uh uh let us know live who who your pick is and I’ll make sure to give my answer at the end of the show moving to the mid and low sevens uh gim rid it out well but he’s going to be popular with The Narrative of precision of course the putter not great but bent is his preferred surface more than likely so can think about it but uh he’s got a couple of things pretty darn pretty darn rotten if um if I’m going to be honest maybe a time or two as Vinson’s garnering a lot of attention the Canadian narrative yeah irons actually been very solid lately so I get it um especially you know considering he was just missed out him being in my top 15 but he’s going to be popular so you know I don’t see any issue in using him you’re going to have to find some uniqueness around this price or elsewhere if you’re going to use Adams vincon uh chamus Power maybe too um top you know top 20 and irons he actually really likes short courses that’s his preferred um you know course type so probably want to take a a pretty long look at at Sheamus power because he’s not getting a lot of use either so Sheamus power and Mark Hub right now are the two players that if they don’t play well I’ll lose cuz I’m I’m thinking about being overweight on both of these guys and then at 7,000 even I kind of like Rio hits atsun I I mentioned him last week he didn’t have the good half of the draw um I believe he played okay so you can take a look at Rio hitsun as well uh he generally plays shorter course as well moving into the 6ks um look I know he doesn’t rate out well I’m all about some Eric Cole the shorter the course the better for him and he’s on bent I love I mean he’s the number one birdier better player on short courses I know again I know he didn’t rate out well because of the par fors the irons haven’t been as strong I really like Eric Cole this week uh let’s see in the 6ks no one garnering a lot of attention it’s um yeah it’s kind of kind of barren actually Eric Cole 8% and MC Meisner at eight8 and a half% so fantasy National members are jumping to CT pay a little bit okay that’s fine um but despite his lack of of distance he actually has not played short courses well the past couple of years if you go back to the beginning of the show he was at he was near the bottom in terms of short course performance so yeah um something to be a little bit worried about there uh um Justin low we talked about in the reveal of the top 10 should be fine uh I do do have a little bit of concern with his uh short course performance he can struggle off the te but that’s probably mitigated probably a decent play I think in the 6ks Justin low then at the bottom portion of the 6K um Dylan Woo’s been playing fairly well lately you think about him Jacob Bridgeman rated out pretty strong don’t know how how much I’m confident in that they’re definitely unique plays Bryce Garnett getting quite a bit of attention per fantasy National as well 9% only 4% per gab source so and I don’t know I guess it’s about the par fours and the irons yeah okay I can see it so if you if you come all the way over here to a lot of the metrics I only have 5% in look at Bryce Garnett top 20 in total procs these shorter par fours he’s been generally pretty good so I can see it sure but if his ownership creeps up into the 5 6% range I would probably think about going somewhere else but the mad scientist play this week um is at 6,000 even it’s party Marty Martin lard just outside my top 10 power fors he’s been excellent he’s not a good generally a good Putter and he’s been top 30 on bent in this field the irons are always pretty solid and he’s been third and around the green so I really like Martin Lair this week um party Marty per gab Source 2 and a half% e see 4 and a half% at Fantasy National that’s the mad scientist play this week I’ll be I’ll be way overweight on Martin lard I’m going to have more than 5% Martin lard uh and if he doesn’t play well uh he’s going to blow up some lineups so but I really like Martin LA and then in the 5Ks I do want to give you a name to consider um for whatever reason Stuart McDonald has popped for me a couple of times as I’m making some lineups he’s been kind of solid all the way around uh in terms of you know approach putting on bent his weakness has been off the tea which again I think is mitigated this week so in the 5K if you’re trying to get really greedy maybe fit a Rory and a Connor which that’s going to be extremely popular but you know or a or a sahit tagala and Tommy Fleetwood if you’re trying to get quite a bit squeezed up into the top and you need to come down to the fives I do want to give you the name Stuart McDonald but for the most part I’ve been bottoming out at party Marty all righty let’s start making some lineups uh and then we’ll move to Classic for those who play tiers contests tier one we have Rory sahit gal and Tommy Fleetwood I like all three of these players I think Tommy’s third of these three um it’s really hard for me to pick against Rory so I think I’ll take Rory and try to find some uniqueness elsewhere but if you want to play sahit tagala in a tear contest I don’t blame you one bit cuz he’s going to be more unique than Rory guaranteed and uh this should suit him pretty well I will take Rory and tier one tier two Lowry noren cam young Cory Connors and McNeely I’ll take Connors hoping he’s a little bit more unique than norin in a tear contest I know it’ll be close so I’m going definitely going to have to find some uniqueness somewhere in my tiers lineup but I will go con coners um I mean number one player in my in my rankings I I think it’s just a solid play so give me Conners in tier two tier three Burns Adam Scott Aaron Ry Keith Mitchell and Adam hadwin pretty easy for me I’ll take Keith Mitchell you can think about Adam Scott I don’t hate it um I mentioned how I’m completely off um Sam Burns um hadwin definitely unique I don’t feel great about it so I’m going to go with Keith Mitchell in tier three thinking I’ve got a decent amount of uniqueness here said sharp buddy is betting MAV I’ve seen quite a few people on MAV uh I mentioned this when we were going through going through the price board my concern with MAV because I mean he’s been in great form I mean the par fors number one putter on bent with SE tala in the past two years um but when Fairway have been difficult to hit which I think these Fairways will be difficult to hit u based on the renovations and and the the contouring of the fairways you see Mavs numbers here you know really bad off the tea when Fairways are difficult to hit and when they are difficult to hit he has not hit a lot of greens he’s not hit a lot of Fairways especially in DFS with him being as popular as he is 15 near 16% for Fantasy National 145% per gab Source I think it’s a fade for DFS but I mean there’s no denying the fact that he’s been in really really good form lately so uh coming back to tiers contest tier four Tom Kim McKenzie Hughes EVR batia Nick Taylor Mark Hub Dan and uh Daniel burer several options I like in here I’ve talked about Nick Taylor and how unique he is surprisingly Mark Hub seems to be getting under um under owned or underplayed uh but for me I’m going to go with Tom Kim I know he’s probably the most popular player in this tier maybe batia is but um you’re going to see Tom Kim quite a bit later on tonight uh I.E betting card uh DFS lineups uh I love me some Tom Kim this week tier five Davis Thompson pendri Wallace Griffin Kevin U Doug gim and hoard Doug gim by four I mean he R it out well it’s all about the putter for him um in tier five pendra is probably the most chalky play good play I’m actually going to go with Kevin U um I’ll stick to stick to my uh my gut feeling early in the week that I I felt like Kevin youu this would be a good fit he’s definitely going to be unique compared to Tyler pendrith in the tier compared to Gim in the tier so give me Kevin youu uh and gain a lot of uniqueness in tier five finally tier six low Lashley Victor perie kazy Hoffman JJ spawn and Dylan woo not really all that close I mean Justin Low’s top 10 in my rankings so we’ll go with Justin low in tier six this tier tier construction goes Rory although I do not blame you one bit if you go to Gala we’ll go Rory Cory Connors Keith Mitchell in tier three tier four will be Tom Kim tier five will be Kevin Yu tier six Justin low all right with that let’s uh let’s make some classic lineups try to build build some uh some uniqueness in these big gpps figure out what uh the best strategy is and how we’re going to rise and make some big bucks this week so first thing we’re going to do we’re going to try and build some of these chalky lineups that our fellow contestants seem to be making Rory overwhelmingly the most popular player 23% at Fantasy National 38 1 12% per gab sword course so the question uh at least when you’re building your lineups first question you have to ask is are you going to use Rory or you going to try to beat him so in these chalky lineups looks like uh we’re going to be using Rory here and really there’s not a whole lot being looked at in the low sevens in the sixes we have a couple of nine percenters in the 6ks per gab Source now per fantasy National Adams vincon getting some some love Doug gim is going to be you know fairly popular in his range but even so we’re still having to average about mid to Upper sevens for all three of these players so using Rory if we’re going to try to recreate this this chalky lineup doesn’t look like our fellow contestants are going into the nines um or if they are then they’re dropping into the six and there is no consensus on where to go in the sixes um couple of different lines of thinking there so we’ll just try to squeeze in as much ownership in this as we can we’ll go pendri at 76 Burger at 77 and then hubard at 79 this is right at 50,000 but not as high as you might think just because uh there seems to be a whole lot of um posturing I guess going on in the sevens um if if we use the two most popular players in my estimation I think Rory Connor or Rory noren is going to be a pretty popular start and then in the 6ks at least per fantasy National Justin low at 9% Bryce Garnett at 9% these are the two most popular plays It’s seems like maybe Ben Martin at 8% but if we look at gab’s source like uh Justin low at 64 is only 4% uh Bryce Garnett only 4% Ben Martin’s 2 and a half so you know not a whole lot at least in terms of by gab source so we’ll throw in we’ll throw in Bryce Garnett considering I kind of like Justin low um Bryce Garnett there might bring down the ownership a little bit but I’m just trying to emphasize the upper portion here if they go Rory Connors they probably can’t go a eight or in the eights if they do it has to be at the bottom of the eights maybe a btia more than likely this would be a uh Mark hubard and then 7,100 per player again not a whole lot at the bottom half of the seven so I mean again this is uh this is either Mark hubber Daniel burer Taylor pendri um let’s go Taylor pendri yeah let’s do that Taylor pendri Adams vincon and 74 is Doug gim yeah so that’s that’s a another look at perhaps so yeah this is actually a little bit more ownership dropping down to the more unique Bryce Garnett considering at the 6ks but you know throwing in a a much more heavily owned player in Cory Connors so there’s a look at a couple of different uh potential chalky Rory lineups if our fellow contestants are trying to beat Rory uh looks like they’re probably going like Tommy Fleetwood or Alex noren let’s go Fleetwood again this would be Cory Connor but I’m going to throw noren into this um norin mcney could also fit into this uh McNeely sitting at like 145% then Davis Thompson who is at 14% per gab Source 135% not nearly as much at at Fantasy National but again dropping looks like the 8ks are just kind of getting ignored with the exception of maybe Tom Kim and Aaron Ry is going to get a lot of use from the members of fantasy National but looking like the 8K is kind of getting ignored so if you’re willing to build a balanced lineup you probably going to be pretty unique this week uh Fleetwood norin uh yeah I don’t want any part of mck Hughes so we can try to throw him in a lineup but you again you’re you’re quickly coming out into the low sevens who we’ve established like Adams Vincent and Doug gim that’s as low as uh most of our fellow contestants seem to be going maybe Sheamus power but yeah I mean it’s it’s Vincent it’s dgim um pendrith uh Burger so this will be over budget by a couple hundred but it’s really the kind of the same players per fantasy National at least some other players that might be getting some attention according to gab Source like again like Davis Thompson’s that’s 13 and a half so gab source and fantasy national uh are quite different on Davis Thompson’s popularity Doug gim sitting at 10 to yeah 10% per both Vincent’s at 9 and 1 12 to 11 half so these are the players that are getting the most use so with that how are we going to maneuver around that well if we’re going to go with Rory when we’re going to have to find some uniqueness down at the bottom I gave you the 5K play of uh potentially uh if you want to go Superstars and super scrubs go to the 5K play of Stewart McDonald so we can we can try a lineup with that although I’m not necessarily as uh you know there but he did pop for me a little bit and then you know you can try to get you can try to get like a seit deala or Tommy fleetw into this I think Cory Connor is still going to be a little bit too popular would be my guess we can try well Tommy’s at like 21% per gab source so I mean really a lot of a lot of our fellow contestants are just in and around the nine and 10ks Rory I think tala is going to be a little bit too much I’m not necessarily in on Alex noren I mean for me this would be Cory Connor um we’ll try we’ll try Tommy so Rory Tommy but I mean again you’re just kind of stuck in that Meer of the low sevens and there are a few plays down there that I like I I mentioned Sheamus power um Kevin Yu somebody you can think about Rio hits atsun um but I’m I’m generally not much in the low sevens uh which is what this would require to work um let’s come off of Tommy maybe we go maybe you’re a believer in cam young and and his off the te skill set uh similar to Rory uh that could work uh it’s a little bit more risky for sure but uh quite a bit more unique Sheamus power now we’re in the you know mid to Upper sevens where there’s you know quite a few more players that I like hub’s not necessarily as unique but um could be interesting I mentioned Kevin U um Burger maybe so if we go say Kevin U 79 is hubard like I don’t think he’s his ownership’s going to break this yeah I mean we’re right at 10% um which is which you’re kind of hoping for you know Stuart McDonald pretty darn unique little bit quite a bit quite a bit uh speculative I’ll give you but Sheamus power plays short courses extremely well Kevin u in the in the ball striking um and then Rory and cam young two of the elite drivers of the golf ball that very well could just overpower this course there’s a unique looking lineup but the way I’ve been going if I haven’t been using Rory and I’ll be using you know my fair share of Rory for sure let’s try to build a balanced lineup here because that actually does feel like it’s going to be the unique uh way to go this week um depending on where you want to start uh you can start with Connor he’s a little bit popular again I’m not on Sam Burns um P mentioned that his budd’s on Mad McNeely not necessarily as there or much there um we’ll go Connors just because I just think it’s a solid play and then just loading up in the eights I mean I I really like Keith Mitchell I like Tom Kim a lot um batia probably fine um shoot I I Nick Taylor I know he didn’t rate out well for me but um he’s been fine Parrs are a little bit worrisome but at you know anywhere between four and 6% absolutely be willing to use some Nick Taylor we still have 7600 per player you know based on um fantasy National Davis Thompson’s you know kind of unique and that gives us 7,400 which is maybe Doug gim maybe you like Adams Vincent quite a bit Sheamus power again Rio hits atsun who I I like I like the player quite a bit you know and you still have 400 here uh to maneuver around uh maybe you want to try to squeeze in Alex noren instead maybe you try to get a Cory Connor and a mcne or an Adam Scott maybe you’re so extremely high on Aaron Ry that you need to fit him in and you got you got some maneuverability in here as well so I’ll stick around for a couple minutes see if anyone has any questions poll question um who who is your winner of the RBC Canadian we had one vote for Rory couple for someone else my pick is other uh I am going to go on a slight limb I’m gonna pick Tom kin to win um again I’ve been off of him for the past couple weeks he’s played well so now that I’m on him you need to abandon chip immediately but I’m going to pick Tom Kim to win uh I like this course fit for him uh shorter course he generally plays easier course as well and while this probably will play average it’s not overly difficult so I do I do like that uh for him um and then my one and done is also going to be Tom Kim I’m just pretty darn confident in Tom Kim this week so now that I’ve put all of my chips in the middle of the table for Tom Kim I will absolutely uh not it will absolutely not work out well for me this week but that is what I have for you all in terms of a DFS tactic show thanks to P for jumping in chat thanks to everyone else out there who Tunes in watches listen supports Channel by liking the videos commenting and subscribing I always appreciate it reminder that I’m going to be over in gabes substack chat um shortly after the show uh we’re going to continue the DFS talk over there we’re talk about uh our you know Game Theory our favorite area of the price board um all of that so you don’t want to miss out on that the only way you’re going to be able to join us is you if you are subscribed to his article uh win some money with the queen on it that’s right absolutely um so yeah thanks to P for jumping in chat thanks to everyone else uh who supports the channel love what I do uh trying to help us all win a little bit of money in the uh process hey Gabe I’ll be over in your chat here momentarily just wrapping up the show so for all the Wagers you’ve made this week for the RBC Canadian open for all the d uh for all the DFS contests you play this week for the RBC Canadian open for this weekend and every weekend may all your bets be profitable
