Best Bets with Keith Stewart – The PGA Championship

Travis & Keith break down the next leg of the tour: The PGA Championship in Louisville, KY.

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[Music] and we’re back strip Show podcast on a Tuesday I’m your host Travis Folton thank you for making us part of your day hope you’re off to a great start this week middle of May and you know what that means with the new schedule it’s PGA Championship week one of the best moves I think a tournament has ever made going from August to May in the PGA Championship sit in front and center for the best players in the world to come together PGA Tour live golf they’re all there in Valhalla including our man Keith Stewart how you doing buddy I’m doing well um I’m glad you brought that up because whatever it was about 10 years ago and it took three or four years to get done the move to May has been somewhat epic for this Championship it really has been a total paradigm shift because if you look at you go back to the first one right tiger wins the Masters and then the next one is Brooks at Beth Page but the leadup to Beth Page for that you know transition and there was a lot of question marks oh should should we interrupt the schedule should we move the players championship and then we get tiger at the Masters and then all questions were silenced right and then they back you know the next year year everything gets screwed up because of Co but then the next normal year we get it back into may we get Phil at 50 years old I mean it’s like it’s unbelievable and we’ve had just one after another after another not only just great championships but superb venues and um just Stellar Stellar fields and storylines coming into this thing yeah the courses seem to play a little more difficult too you know you can get the firm and fast perhaps in May I still have no idea how Phil Mickelson won at Kiwa Island I I I still to this day sit here and have absolutely no clue how Phil Mickelson won at that Golf Course minus 6 and then the next year course 2022 Justin Thomas Southern Hills a golf course I’ve played I absolutely love that place yeah um and that was boy that was something um down the stretch witho Pereira that great 18th hole we have another great 18th hole this week at Valhalla and then Brooks last year his third PGA or third third PGA Championship Oak Hill is where they were at and now the buildup this year of course all the stuff off the course PGA Tour live Jimmy Dunn now resigns this whole Players Board stop stop with all that stuff I’m not going in I’m not but I’m just saying like it’s all part of the drama here uh leading up because look these guys now only get together four times a year wait a wait a second whatook Brooks just won on his lead in Rory’s won twice Rory’s won twice in his lead in and Scotty’s won four of the last five in the Green Jacket what more storylines do you need let Jimmy Dunn go let it all go Travis I’m letting it go I’m not bringing it up Kei I am not putting a downer on this I am not gonna do it because I’m fired up I’m fired up look of all look let me just lead into the PGA here for a second all right you know if I had to rank the four major championships when I was young the US Open was number one and we know the US Open lost its identity there for a while right through I think some of their leadership sure um but you know the US Open then it was for me Augusta then the open then the PGA like that was that’s that’s how I saw it and I think the pja was last for for a lot of golf fans of the four major championships and now with the move to may I think the PGA over the last little stretch has now jumped the US for me because they did lose their D they’re back now and I like where the USGA is going a little bit more so but the Masters is always the Masters and the open’s always the open and then so you kind of got these two and I I don’t know I give I give credit to the PGA I do I give them credit and I think this moved to May and and everything that’s transpired here and like some of these storylines that you just talked about they’re just juicier um as we get together atal before we get to the course you’re on site folks which uh we appreciate you being out there Keith and you were on site last week at the Wells Fargo and Rory gets it done to no surprise he was the favorite going in he absolutely loves that place he got it done he kind of he did get it done he kind of played out I think the only thing surprising is Rory won by five and he had a seven shot lead going in the last hole I don’t think anybody was surprised by Xander doing what he did on the weekend that’s kind of his Mo unfortunately now uh he runs up there and then he gets then he just kind of gets caught neutral or he backs it up a little bit but Rory just went roaring by I mean even if Xander played well I’m not sure if he he’s got the Firepower that we saw with Rory maroy a focused Rory I’ve always said Keith is must watch TV you know me for the last few years a focused Rory maroy and a focused Dustin Johnson those are the two guys for me if you got their attention and they’re hitting on all cylinders turn the TV on because it’s mustat yeah I I would definitely uh I would put DJ first but if you you know post tiger um when when DJ was on I always felt like he was on touchable he could both race a field and and and Rory’s right there I mean they’re 1 a 1B or 1B one a however you want to look at it but those guys are appointment TV for sure 26 wins now for Rory back toback he won the uh you know the the tournament there in Louisiana with his partner Shane Lowry yeah then he goes over there to Carolina gets another win and now he comes roll now he comes rolling into here to a place that he knows very very well because he does it was the spot it was the spot of his last major right right yeah back in uh 2014 been 10 years been 10 years I remember I was sitting in Evansville Indiana I was teaching at Victoria National I was sitting with my buddy in his basement and um I had to I had to fly out later and I just you know I just sat there and watching Rory and and I like man this kid is just unbelievable and if somebody would have looked at me and said look this is going to be the next time they come back through here 10 years later he this he hadn’t one another major championship I said get out of here you have no idea what you’re talking about you kidding me that was his last major championship and and man he put on an absolute I mean speaking of mustat TV he put on absolute Clinic that week oh yeah yeah and you know it reminds me if you go back to forget the Mark Brooks won in 1996 but tiger in 2000 I mean he he obviously a generational talent but what he did to this golf course and just taking things to another level and then Rory even took it another level past that you got to remember in 2014 it was soft the golf course but the the level with which he could hit the golf ball past people was just unbelievable and and I think it’s gonna take that level of Pop again this time around I think this place it’s just something about if you could go out there and be a Louisville Slugger right then you just fit the mold and it’ll be interesting as we get through the betting board how you filter out somebody like maybe like a morawa like can he compete against a Rory in a venue like this yeah and it’s not Harding Park right where he won back in uh 2020 it’s this not it’s not Harding Park no no this is Big Boy course valal leville Texas 7600 yards par 71 you got the three par fives uh listen to some of the Intel here over the last um couple days of course you got the zoa Fairways Bentgrass greens kind of smaller greens I got some questions for you here I mean it’s it’s long it’s hilly the rough looks pretty juicy you’re on sight uh a lot of rain it seems like over the last 12 hours speaking of that R it absolutely poured here in Florida last night my goodness you guys got a lot yeah it absolutely poured here an hour ago and it’s continuing to rain it’s it’s not like cats and dogs but it it has poured here off and on all morning all so what do you think we get to Thursday yeah is this gonna be pretty soft once again and and and if it’s soft I mean you gota you got to point there towards Rory again don’t you um yes and no yes um they’ve gotten two and a half inches of rain in May before we showed up this week yes it’s going to rain all week that’s for sure it’s going to rain off and on throughout all four rounds and no uh Scotty Sheffer is still the favorite it does not nothing no Arrow points towards just I knew it would come on I mean that’s not even pushing my buttons yet but like that’s that’s like I mean you’re just like throwing up soft lobs there you know this is like slow pitch softball right now that thing I she had a kid man hey kids do it to you stop look at this my I got got some let ask you a question yeah do you have kids yeah I got a nine are you still doing the stripe show yeah yeah yeah yeah right it’s not didn’t slow you down it’s not a slow him down this is his job this is what he does and I think if anything if you want to get into the kid thing for a minute I think that this is a great kind of like subplot the fact that that guy didn’t let anybody know until he showed up here is total gamesmanship that reminds me of tiger like all the way like just like this total cloud and mystery and he could sit there and say all he wants about like hey you know like I have this private life and everything and I respect that that’s not what I’m saying all I’m saying is that like the idea that people didn’t know if he was coming or if he wasn’t coming and all the chat are on Twitter this weekend guys are you know imagine how much hope he would have given to the field if he was like if Meredith had the baby today right they would have been like oh or she didn’t have it at all yet and she’d be like well there’s a good chance he could still leave there’s you know like I got a chance yeah but he just had it so it’s like now you have a child for the first time that you’re responsible for and so I remember that I remember when I had our first kid our our son Banks and man I didn’t sleep just partly because I was stressed out that like gosh that that’s a that’s my kid you know and that’s the first kid that I’m now responsible for so I was like like kind of stressed out a little bit about it Scotty’s a little more laid-back maybe than I am and um you maybe he got a little bit of sleep I’m sure there’s some got some helpful hands there in the house and and what no it’s different man look he’s he’s a human being he’s a human being and I know he’s the most dominant player in the game I get it I get it but I’m just trying to find an angle that somebody else can win this damn Championship other than Scotty Scotty shuer the only the only angle that anyone else has a chance is Maybe that they don’t play against Scotty every week that’s one angle I think of and the other one is is that of of the four major championship venues right I mean like piner’s number two we don’t even need to do the show it’s like you come on Keith who’s gonna win Scotty you go yeah I agree and then we click off I mean it’s yeah agre because that’s such a cerebral golf course just like Augusta he has such an advantage with all of his ball striking skill the thing that still impresses me the most is the way that he works his way around you know the mannerism with which he he works himself around a golf course is just so good and this place you can kind of shut off a little bit right you could just bombs away and then you know pick up the pieces at the end and see what happens so I think that that he’s not as he’s not as far from the field and separation of skill set um as he would be at other major venue you know uh but like for this this week th those are the only two choices that I see that anyone could do anything because other than that I I just got to start thinking of different parlays that we could try to win something on Scotty all right well let’s get into it we’ll get to the big three here in a second but a little something we like to do in the show called First Look take it Mr Stewart clicking the mouse on Bryson D Shambo oh man there he is and there’s any there’s any number of reasons I have a plethora of them right but most of all this is going to play so long and he’s actually longer than Rory he’s longer than Scotty he’s longer than Brooks he’s the longest guy in the field and when it comes to the fact that this guy always seems to get in his way he did the bulk up thing he did this he did that he’s done all these he overthinks situations when he showed me the maturity on Pro when I was at Augusta last week uh last month and he was able to finish six there I said this this could be a changed individual because talent wise the guy’s got the skills right and he’s got something that nobody else has which is that extra Gear with the driver and his scoring capability on a golf course even if it was 8,000 yards long is still better than anybody else out there including Scotty right so for me you look at comps like I don’t know mirfield Village Golf Club and then who do you got who wins there 2018 Bryson won there you know like it’s it’s just one of those things where I really feel like in 2000 tiger was the longest player in the field he won in 2014 Rory was the longest player in the field by far he won in 2024 Bryson’s longest player in the field I think he wins yeah we were before we came on air we always then share sometimes we share our first look sometimes we don’t but we did this time and I know it’s probably gonna surprise it but that was my first look too um you know it makes sense it does it just makes total sense as long as this place is going to play and yeah I give look I give Bryson a lot of a lot of credit I’ve been critical of him over the years uh for this and that I mean don’t get me wrong he still drives me nuts with some of his Antics and and some of his soap boxing that he does with Liv Golf and this and that but on the golf course his play I think he has shown great maturity I think the connection with Dana doist has been a good one um yeah I think what they’ve done there in controlling the irons uh has transpired now his record with Liv I think early in the year was a little bit better at least his placements were in the top 10 late couple top 25s there about but that T6 at Augusta spoke volumes because that place had given him fits he looked more comfortable there and and the growth was noted so yeah I mean God as long as he is improved iron play we know he can putt um it’s a good fit for Bryson de shano so look we’re we’re on point there but this guy look is it he putting I’m putting the Spaniard up there I mean Mr John ROM’s been he hasn’t won yet on Liv I had to go a close second with some ODS 16 18 to one somewhere in there with John I mean that’s that’s pretty enticing considering someone who’s won a couple major championships won everything on the PGA tour before he jumped to live a lot of top 10 hasn’t broken the the seal yet but you know John ROM’s coming in here and and look we need a we need we need someone that can dominate with the driver right we need someone that can dominate with a driver we know Jon can do that kind of under the radar maybe although he was um on the press conference list I just saw him up there on stage you know ROM 16 17 18 to one that’s not bad is it how about 20 yeah at 20 he’s he was he came out Monday morning he was 20 that’s an auto click I mean you’re talking about a guy that a year ago was the same as what Scotty sheffler is now he won four times right he had a green jacket and he came into this event he was 8 to1 and now you can get him at 20 to1 it’s still the same guy we’re not talking about 10 years later we’re not talking about like ankle Fusion or will alluris with a back fusion or something like this this is still the same guy and we can’t ever measure how I mean only John ROM knows how motivated it is after his defense uh performance at Augusta National so like I mean I think John ROM is very Live this week and of all the people that are up there that are chalky I mean he has that that that’s got to be the best value odds on the board you know and if you and if you want comp performances I mean this guy’s got a ton of them he’s great at mirfield Village right what’s another comp for this place how about um I don’t know Bel reev it’s got the same exact um Agronomy as we have here at Valhalla you know it’s in the same region we if you go over there to St Louis right you got Bentgrass greens you got zoer grash Fairways right Ram was top five there when Brooks won in 2018 and tiger was second you know Rah can play zoa grass is he good at East Lake is he good at TPC Southwind he’s good at all of these golf courses right so it everything is there for him and if mentally he doesn’t push himself too hard I think he’s gonna be a big part of the conversation yeah I I agree yeah I totally agree and I think if there’s one guy that went to live that really misses the other side a little bit in the competition of playing with these other guys and how that motivates him and this and that it’s John ROM no question now as I look at the board all right there’s a guy sitting up above John Ramen Bryson de Shambo right now and L big oberg how in the hell is that possible I mean I know L big special I get it but you’re telling me shorter ODS with shorter odds with ludvig over Ramen de Shambo I don’t agree with that at all I mean now sure shley I get it complete game but you can’t you can’t convince me to place a win ticket on Xander but ludvig a little shorter than those two come on I mean he he had never played Augusta and he had never played the major he was runner up if you just took took that in a vacuum they had the books have to protect themselves Travis in the end it’s about the odds yeah right after what we saw at Augusta and the fact that Rah hasn’t won on live that’s why he’s sliding right Travis Jordan speed’s 90 to one okay right like think about that you’ve got will zorus in some books it’s like 60 70 to one all the guy does is top 10 in Majors right so like at the end of the day like if you’re if we’re all really paying attention to the betting board and what’s going on ludvic oar has a very legitimate chance to win a major championship this year because of the way he performed at Augusta National because he’s got what like I don’t know it’s like five straight top 10 or something like that I mean the guy the guy and he’s been good on all types of golf courses because his skills set matches everywhere I mean go back to your models from last week if you ran it on Monday while he was still on the field for Quail Hollow he was number one in everything because Scotty wasn’t there it would be either him or Xander they would have both been the perfect match for Quail Hollow right and you know he pulls out with the knee which at the end of for me just looks like fatigue you know when this kid’s in college which he was a year ago he’s playing like seven events a semester he played 24 tournaments from the time he left school until he withdrew and a Ridder cup that’s a lot of golf right and I know he’s young but like at some point I love the maturity for him to say hey wait pump the brakes I really don’t need this signature purse I’m Gonna Save myself my knee hurts let’s move on and we’re gonna go and we’re going to go to Valhalla and I’m going to be ready for that I I think that that’s a bigger determining Factor rather than there was the issue was that he he said you know what I’m gonna rest myself I’m not just gonna be a young kid and plow through this injury I’m gonna take care of myself because I want to Peak for the biggest events and I just proved to myself that I could be competitive against the best golfer in the world and come in second you gota remember he lost to Scotty by four but the rest of the field was three behind him yeah yeah it’s crazy legit the teens okay all right all right yeah I mean’s he’s not you know look his his short game and putting hasn’t been like you know spectacular I give him he he’s he’s brilliant off the tea his iron game is is very very good now the Masters he did putt well um in and around that it wasn’t like you know it’s not like we’re looking at Ben khaw filling it up with the Putter and um you know Ben KW K cam Smith around the greens I mean like look I know LC’s special but just I just say pump the brakes a little that when I start putting him above John ROM um at this point in time now real quick top of the board The Big Three sheffler maroy Kea you’re saying sheffler I’m gonna I’m gonna say the man to beat okay well there’s no doubt he’s the man to beat but look he’s you know there’s some stress there with a new kid um and hey you know I I sent a tweet out on Rory I was like look the hell with the player Advisory Board why would you want to be on that right now the hell with them Focus on your wedge game with Butch and keep pushing the throttle down and be Rory maroy on the golf course I don’t want r m off the golf course I want him on the golf course glowing front and center with what we saw on Sunday that’s Rory that’s what he’s capable of and don’t worry about the rest of the BS that we’re seeing off the course because you know at the end of the day it probably doesn’t matter what you say anyway nobody’s listening right they’ve got their board they’re going to make the decisions and is what it all right enough on that let’s go down now a little bit in the middle of the board I’m let you drive I’m gonna let you drive morawa you can’t play him here can you I mean this is this isn’t the place for calling I mean there’s a there’s a varied Bunch down there okay right I mean you got a really varied Bunch you’ve got a guy like Colin who with smoking mirrors has played great lately but his iron game is the like is the worst part of his game like what what alternative Universe are we in where that happens doesn’t even make sense you’ve got Wen Neeman right he’s down there in the middle of the board you’ve got your max homans your cam Smiths you’ve got all these conversations down there Patrick kentley’s falling off you’ve got what’s going on in the world with Victor havin I mean the middle of this board is is really somewhat of a mess you’ve got JT I mean if this was ever a great opportunity for JT yeah at home in Louisville right like just like high school I mean for the comeback and not even to say to win but like to be competitive on Sunday and really kind of push the envelope this week when you look at the middle of the board you know I have a tough time really attaching myself to anyone other than wendam or somebody somebody like cam Smith or Cam young I mean those are the guys that at least I know are going to show up in this thing and and perform at a very high level can cam Smith Drive the ball well enough to win here now I I know when he won at the Players I think he lost like three and a half Strokes off the tea and it was absurd the rest of his game but can he drive it well enough here um off the te and let me ask you this I’ll pair with a second question with Cam Smith how how much value are you putting in short game around the greens how how difficult is it going to be in and around these cres I’m putting a tremendous amount of value into putting of the four major categories short game would be the last one so I would go driving and off the te first I would go long iron play i’ putting I’d go short game but don’t lose sight of the putting here in 2014 seven of the top 10 were in the top 12 for strokes game putting right this is not a team no putt deal this week right you have to putt to play well here put Rory putted well here that week you know like you have to be good and opportunistic with the putter you can make scores here and it’s small greens so if you’re hitting the green just to start with from long range then chances are you have a legitimate birdie chance so so uh I’m put I’m put a lot more weight than other people are on putting and cam Smith the fairways were tighter last year at oakill oakill was tougher last year than this golf course will be for the course of the week and cam Smith finished ninth okay he was just top 10 at Augusta right I mean the guy is he’s unbelievable um and I think that you know he seems very motivated he wants to win another major he he knows there’s this window it’s not early in the season where we know he likes to fish this guy has been warmed up he’s been playing well on Liv you know I mean it’s just these are the facts around cam Smith and that’s how you handicap him but I think that that guy is extremely Live this week you know and and I’m having a really tough time to be fully transparent with the middle of this board you know when I I I love Bryson but he’s not really the middle here you know in this middle there’s a lot of hot names lately like a benan but it’s benan winning the PGA is Hideki get a up for four days right you know last year I backed Terrell Hatton and that was a disappointing first day and then he came back and he played great the rest of the way but at that point the tournament was gone Victor havin is lost you know you’ve got JT it’s ah I I don’t know I mean I really think I really think that you’re GNA get your winner from somewhere under 30 right and everyone else that’s that’s below that you’ve got to look for a super high ceiling on this person and I I I wouldn’t even really wor wor about the low floor like I would just look for the super high ceiling you know I think I I I agree with the most about cam Smith is the most intriguing to me as we get to the middle of the board and he is yeah he he really is I I think it’s if he drives the ball reasonably well I think cam Smith’s a major problem this week I really do oh I I honest I I couldn’t agree with you more I couldn’t agree with you more because um yeah if Clark could drive it for cam Smith they’d win every major what happened to Windham last week I mean that was that was pretty sour last week what we saw it was he just looked he was and he maintained his body you know his uh body language all week and everything um maybe he was just looking ahead uh or maybe when you’re the defending Champion which was that was the first time he ever had to do that um it just jacked up his schedule but uh something was definitely a little bit off and it didn’t seem like it was overall off with his ball striking per se it just seemed like something more was off so I’m not quite sure what that is yeah you go to some of the Liv results and cam Smith uh T2 T14 T2 you know we’re talking tied for second three two of his last three events um and he just seems he seems focus seems trending a really good iron player yeah really good iron player and we know what he best part we know he can he can fill it up with the flat I just gave I just gave his his neighbor lesson the other day too by the way in here yeah um Can absolutely absolutely go nuclear with the putter like you mentioned Turtle Hatton you mentioned Hatton you know Hatton Hatton has played very consistent really on live he has just like he did on the PGA tour yeah very consistent Golf and like you know where’s one of his great wins on the PGA tour beill I mean this is gonna be a lot like beill long rough very difficult long of course um it’ll just play a lot softer than beill tends to do in March but like you know it’s there’s a lot there’s a lot to a lot to like with Terrell Hatton you know um if I had to choose between him and Smith I’m gonna take Smith but like but if somebody said Hey in DFS or for a top 20 Terrell Hatton if there’s a if there’s a reasonable number there what would you do then I would be like well I would feel good about it yeah boy Smith is Smith looks dangerous to me so I think the one guy we did brush over before we start getting into some some really odds uh is Max H and you know look H we forget you know hey hom oh yeah it’s major championship and you know he kind of he kind of goes away well he was you know we we gave ludig a lot of credit finishing second you know who finished third um yeah Max yeah was Max and and his second straight top 10 in a major so like maybe far last time we saw him off the tea has been a little bumpy you know off the te’s been a little bumpy iron game the Putter’s been great the putter has basically made his season but his ball striking even to his own admission because he was in The Press Room last week at Charlotte um he said I still got some things to work on with my ball striking now again we’re having a winners conversation yeah so the reason we’re struggling this week versus last week is that everything has to be seen through the prism of can you beat Scotty who can beat Scotty yeah right and then there’s gonna be this underlying theme as we go through all of this is that at this point I’m pretty much done with the PGA Tour when it comes to this all the elite guys have taken their shot at him and they’ve all lost right and I’m not I’m not trying to say that Stephen Jagger is or isn’t Elite you know like he snuck by him there but like Windam Xander Jordan JT Rory ludvic everybody everybody’s everybody’s trying to go to king of the mountain and he just keeps flicking away right okay I my betting card is going to go pretty deep on live and one of the reasons that I love I love cam Smith and I love Bryson is because these guys don’t go against him every day and I and I I very much love Brooks we haven’t talked about him yet but I love Brooks this week for I can give you a hundred reasons why yeah but the one of the biggest is that if he’s in the same group with Scotty on Sunday like he’s probably one of three guys in the field like ROM being another and Bryson not even knowing Scotty’s in the group with him are like those are like three guys I feel like that could at least we don’t know that they’ve already lost to him this year they’re not dealing with that mental baggage yep right like all three of those guys like Bryson really wasn’t in the mix to win at the end and the other two guys didn’t show up at Augusta right yeah so they could easily just they could write that off and say well I didn’t show up I didn’t have my best right but if I have my best you know like Xander last week I was leading that tournament for a while and then I got jacked up on Sunday like boy that would give me pause right and you know like these guys well look he you you want to know because we’ve seen the level play you make some really good points here let’s go with this because I think Scotty we know he’s the most dominant player we’ve seen guys run up and they’re just they’re not they can’t beat them and but what we saw from Rory last week we know Rory can get to that level we know Rory plays like that on the weekend he can beat Scotty we’ve seen that level of play John ROM two-time major Champion dominant with the driver um we know John R’s not going to be scared playing that group and knows in his mind that he can play at the level that scottty Sheffer Brooks same way and and so you go down you’re like trying to find an angle in some of these and yes Jordan spe you know was a version of himself in 17 and 18 but there’s no way you can there’s no way you can you can bet Jordan here from from what you’ve seen there’s no way even though sunjay showed some signs finally last week at 70 to1 that he’s going to beat Scotty Tony feno uh Sam Burns is great friends with sheffler I mean even though Burns maybe kind of putting some pieces together finally he can’t beat Scotty and so you go down and all right 70 80 to one Dustin Johnson showed some signs in Singapore maybe DJ’s maybe feeling the spark a little bit putting some time in and we know he can be dominant with the driver we know he’s must watch TV when he’s focused we seen it before with DJ so why not I’ve sprinkled DJ down there at 75 so I I see DJ on the board at 90 right now but you but earlier I mentioned live Singapore 90 where uh 90 at I don’t see it I do see a 90 yeah I do see that 365 at 75 yeah so I brought up living earlier that Brooks won and you were kind of like eh right that’s the same did I did I look like that when I said eh did I is that how I said it no but no I I’m I’m exaggerated but you you but you totally like Shrugged it off you were like yeah whatever right like here’s the thing that I want you to pay attention to all right they played at a place called Sentosa golf club now you know that I haap the ladies the LPGA plays at the same facility all right so I know the Agronomy of that Golf Course Ben CR greens zoer grash Fairways in his last event before this PGA Brooks did what he just won there right leading into his other PGA wins Brooks has top fives he’s always showed great form when he’s coming into a major that he’s going to contend and ultimately win Brooks wins majors in pairs one the back-to-back us opens back toback pgaas and he’s defending right now Oak Hill is a great comp another great zoer grass comp is TPC Southwind right right there in the middle of the country just like where we are here you know if you just start going through all these golf courses that have either zoa grass or not like East Lake do good comp zoer grass Fairways right Brooks plays well how about Bel Reef 2018 be grass greens zoer grass Fairways he won there over Tiger Woods right like that’s another PGA Championship like we really need to pay attention to when the golf course is wet and it’s long and it has this type of agronomy Brooks is a major major factor o kill Beth pagee I mean there’s just one after another after another and the skill set it it has not left him and to his own admission he was embarrassed like that was just like pure fire coming out of his out of his mouth when he said like he was embarrassed and he went to his team and he said I’m not playing like that anymore right and this is his W maker he not he’s not giving it up he knows what it takes to defend so for all of those elements I can’t I think he’s the one guy that can stare down the The Tempest and handle the storm okay so so you’re big because you can’t bet them all I’m not letting you bet all the top three so you got sheffler Rory and Brooks and you’re saying that Brooks has the best chance to beat sheffler yeah I’m not betting Sheffer at all so you know if I do beter it’ll be some it’ll be some mock parlay just just to see what I how much I can get out of it because if he wins he wins every other form of the parlay right top American top group uh top five I mean you just keep adding on points and then maybe you know get a little compounding interest or something but uh for me you know I I like Bryson and Brooks at the top of the board and and you know after that um Cam and then probably some longer shots that have huge upside yeah you know a DJ at 90 is very entertaining to me you know we’re pretty aligned really yeah we’re kind of aligned here liking a lot of the live guys this week um no Scar Tissue there haven’t been beat down by the number one player in the world all right so we finally get down to 100 to one I know everybody’s been waiting for us to talk about Taylor gu does he have any chance uh he’s not the guy I’m featuring at 100 to one okay no um and I’ll be honest with you other than where I see him on social media I I understand that he’s played very very well um on Liv and uh I’m just not sure that the level of those golf courses are all that great and um prior to that when he was on the PGA tour he won one event the RSM and we’re talking about a venue here that is an extreme test of length accuracy and scoring potential and I I I’m just not putting him in the conversation nor do I think that his ceiling currently um at 100 to one so for me down in that area like if you came back to me with like a jake nap or something be like well yeah I mean like the length and the way he’s been playing this year like there’s a there’s a chance for a very high ceiling there I get that but for me the guy in that section right is the one the only Mr sep straka okay like at 100 to1 110 to1 wherever you can get him right around there right sep Is Awesome on zoer grass right he was runner up the will zator at TPC Southwind um you know last week at quill he was eighth he was fifth at RBC 16th at the Masters he was runnerup at the Open Championship last year he’s been playing better and better in big signature major Championship events he is big and strong off the te extremely accurate with his driver he’s a good long iron player he just proved it last week at Quail Hollow and he’s got some nice touch so quietly I think that’s the type of guy that has a tremendously high ceiling and if you don’t put him in the final group like let’s say on Sunday he’s three groups from the end and he just pulls off a miracle round for a SE Str and shoots 65 there’s a good chance he could win yep because he because he’s not like in that super pressure-filled spot of the last group and he just plays steady all week like he’s shown he can do for the last I don’t know 10 months and he’s on and he’s on a dang heater right now with flat stick I he’s really he’s discovered something here the last three or four weeks with the putter he has really um he has really played well checks out well on uh on bent grass like he said joa he does well yeah I think that’s a good look I I I think though in in the longer odds that’s probably as low as I’m going to go DJ and sep are certainly are certainly two guys that um that I could go because you know here are some other names that we’re getting into now um you know Keith Mitchell you start talking about the driver he’s obviously one of the best can he do enough with the rest can he do enough with the putter yeah can he do enough with the putter because he has he has a high stealing yeah he does and we’re because we’re look what do we try to what do we got to get to here we got to get to nine 10 under I mean is that kind of what we’re thinking so I think I think 10 from walking around yeah you know um but here’s the thing like if you if just need the putter to pop are you g to bet Keith Mitchell at that number or you gonna bet cam young at his number yeah right like I’m gonna bet cam young Cam young has five top tens in his last eight Majors I’m gonna bet cam young yeah for yeah you know like so it just gets tough like because we’re getting beat over the head with these signature Fields every week and then we get into these majors and then we now we have an influx of even more great players from Liv it’s like man it’s it’s just really hard to see somebody like a Taylor gu who’s obviously very Talent talented to just climb up that leaderboard and not be hit by one of these Bazookas you know like like one of these thorough BRS down here in louil just doesn’t in the in the last in the stretch run he just gets him by a nose because you know on the last hole Rory hits driver six iron into a par five and he’s like y oh here we go two putt birdie thank you I’m done W to Maker’s mine you know and like the the other guy he’s playing against say it’s say whomever you know say it’s um Denny McCarthy or benan or Alex noren or maybe those are maybe those are too far off the reservation Keith Mitchell you know like what’s that what’s he going to do on that last hole what’s Walky Neiman who that doesn’t have you know any finishes and Majors inside the top 20 like what are those people GNA do when you have to I mean I know I said earlier everyone has to be pushed through the lens that like can you beat Scotty but like all right let’s say Scotty has a bad week There’s still like let’s roll out Rory he’s just won two in a row let’s roll out Brooks he’s won you know like let’s let’s roll out an angry John ROM let’s roll out a generational talent in ludic Oar let’s you know like what if seems Seems really unlikely yeah it just it just gets like the tiger generation has officially grown up and the guys between basically 20 and 35 are all like really really good and it’s just the field is so so deep I have a tough time getting past like like again DJ and SE that’s as far as I can go you know it’s as far as I can go down and and also you have the history of okay the last time we’ve seen the PJ Championship here 2000 Tiger Woods won 2014 Rory M won so it’s like this golf course is is yielding some some pretty uh large names and I mean how about yeah how about this since tiger won in 2000 we’ve lost a stroke to par and we’ve gained 450 yards W just like you know what that means yeah right like if you’re coaching someone to win this thing you know exactly what that means you know how much harder they’ve made this golf course for somebody who’s just average in length like morawa I saw morawa last like so so this is why this is the argument guys against guys like morawa unless they’re super super special like a Denny McCarthy in and around the greens right it’s just that whether you miss the Fairway here by 10 feet or 10 yards there’s no difference there’s just cabbage everywhere right and morawa hitting out of that cabbage or Brooks hitting out of that cabbage 20 yards in front of him who are you going to take over 72 holes and if you’re not if you’re not paying attention to that as you prepare your betting card for this Championship then you’re then you’re missing the point that we are just redundantly repeating over and over again is that we are in Louisville go get yourself a couple of Louisville Sluggers and then have at it well even a top 20 trying to find um some odds here in a in a way into that like you go to the last five PGA championships just kind of a a larger look Strokes gain total I mean Brooks number one obviously you got couple wins in there number two is Justin Rose I mean you gonna bet Justin Rose in a top 20 hell no the guys the guys lost his game for crying out loud there’s Rory at three sheffler at four Lowry is actually five in total Strokes gain over the last five years Xander you GNA bet hoblin I don’t I’m not there’s DJ more I mean these are my point is is I mean it’s kind of the same names that you know even some of these longer odds it’s hard to kind of get to now I could get to a Hatton I think I could get to a Hatton in a in a top 20 with some odds um I certainly you know I mean there’s Patrick Reed he’s he’s in the top 10 the last five years yeah top 20 I could get to Reed I could get to um I could get to Hatton I could get to will zot Taurus Reed’s got three top 20s in his last four pgaas his worst finish is 34th in the last four MH the guy just gets it done yeah and similar with his short game I like Denny McCarthy here for a top 20 this week and I’ll tell you why mirfield Village Golf Club also designed by Jack Nicholas just like this joint right okay similar type of skill set is needed Big Boy golf course last two years there Denny McCarthy Fifth and second place so there’s something about Jack Nicholas designs that suit his eye and he’s able to score so he hangs around so there’s a guy right there that’s probably three or four probably three and a half four to one for a for a top 20 if you want to go you you know I mean he was top six last week the guy’s been playing really good he was second at Valero you know like ddy McCarthy has no business at his length and the way he you know his level of ball striking ability you know around Quail Hollow to come in sixth in that field in a signature field but guess what he did because he’s the best scrambler and putter on the PGA tour and that is one of the Eternal equalizers so is he going to win no but if you want to look for value on the board those are the guys like like cam Smith is always going to be a nuisance oh right oh yeah for sure he’s an excellent iron player he does spray it off the tea but he’s not short by any imagination and every time he misses a fairway he’s gonna get up and down and make par he’s gonna like just beat you down with all of that like the word nuisance right but then when when you get him in the Fairway he’s a good iron player he’s an elite iron player he’s gonna make birdie and if the if the winning score is 10 under I see him shooting eight to 10 on this golf course Denny oh yeah for sure I think Denny’s I think Denny’s I get to den top what do you expect let me finish let’s finish with this okay what do you expect from tiger and Phil this week I don’t expect much from Phil and it’s Kentucky Hills this is gonna be actually a tougher walk um feels like it yeah it’s it’s just more like an EKG it’s more like this you know whereas like um you know austa is like calculus you know it’s like measure the area under this slope it’s like a straight line kind of like like this know you walk you walk down 10 you walk up 18 you know um this is there’s a lot of Hills here there’s a lot of like pushed up tea boxes and green complexes and everything I I think that tiger makes the cut because he’s always been that talented and he is the goat but I think until he proves to me that he can go four rounds walking on a difficult terrain like this I mean you you you climb in elevation like 374 over the course of 5.3 miles like that’s pretty hard then it’s going to be wet it’s not going to be super cold but it’s it’s wet and damp which doesn’t work well for his back so I think just the longevity of it all is very difficult but I think he makes the cut last question GD up W last week opposite field event we know he can bomb it oh yeah you think he can make the cut this week yes okay yes I think guys like him and Dean burer and and a couple other guys that are like super bombers that are in really good form right now uh they should definitely populate your top 40s um you know your five 6K 7K range they’re on um on a DFS you know it’s the same thing with sep you know he’s down there in 7500 in DFS no one’s talking about this guy he’s 110 to one but he has one PGA Tour career win where PGA National who designed that Jack Jack Nicholas you know like just look for the things that make sense this use the kiss Method Keep keep it simple stupid there’s there’s nothing about this place that’s tricky it’s long number one and it’s set up like a major championship which means it’s difficult number two conquer those two you’re going to be in the part of the conversation on Sunday with Scotty all right there you have it good stuff we’re pretty lying this week we you know seems like we’re either like all in or completely thinking about it separately and I think this week you know just right out of the ge-o before we came on in our conversation about Bryson and yeah live golf and this and that I think we’re we’re we’re pretty aligned as we go back to the conversation finishing up about winning this thing and who can who can beat Scotty who hasn’t been beat down by Scotty yet to this point um over the last year or two that level of play that we’ve seen from a player that oh yeah that I I recognize that and that can beat Scotty um yeah I think we’re thinking very much the same way and I think there’s I it’s G be a pretty good week for some uh some from live golf guys because there’s some guys that can they got the length off the te and if they don’t have it they have some of the other skill sets in particularly cam Smith which I think’s the most intriguing guy on the entire board um for 45 to one yeah on a guy that that is just just just will hang around oh and then come Sunday guy makes 150 feet in putts and you’re like what just happened yep right and he’s and he’s drinking a shoy in front of the whole crowd and pouring it into the water maker you know whatever he’s I mean come on let’s have fun let’s have fun Keith Stewart at read the line from Valhalla you’re the man I know you’re busy enjoy the PGA Championship thanks for listening everybody we’ll be back he two two quick things do it right uh thanks for plugging read the line but oh look at that how do I keep doing that at this guy right I mean fireworks last week now he’s got balloons going off I don’t I I just put my hands up and stuff happens um so uh Golf Digest I did the player rankings every body go take a look at those it’s you know every every player in the field is ranked uh 6,000 words it’s it’s a really great reference tool as you’re going through all this betting stuff it was written by a better you know so you’ve got data golf rankings in there you’ve got Trends to follow you’ve got pass history and the PGA Championship so take a look at that and the second thing is is that the PJ of America did something really fun for the fans this week and whether you’re like a dieh hard DraftKings DFS person or you just want to add a little fun to the week and maybe you don’t bet but you love show and you love the stripe show every other week because you learn so much about the golf swing and and how to get better um they have a little fantasy game that’s in the app right and I’ve been plugging this thing because I I think it’s a good Bridge it’s good connective tissue for someone who maybe doesn’t that doesn’t spend too much time betting but you could pick a couple golfers and you could follow them for the week and I think that that makes makes it a lot more fun there’ll be a little more of an emotional connection there for you and I think that’s kind of cool so go go play the Fantasy game at PJ championship. comom and and read the player around rankings and and Travis thank you always for having me on all right there you have it Keith Stewart at read the line thank you everybody have a great PGA Championship let’s make some money nice