UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Predictions & Full Card Breakdown – UFC Vegas 91 Betting Tips

Full card predictions, UFC on ESPN fight night Vegas 91 Nicolau vs Perez, Spann vs Guskov & Pearce vs Onama with a breakdown preview for betting tips and odds, let me know what you guys think in the comments section down below.

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00:01 – Intro
00:15 – Maheshate Hayisaer vs Gabriel Benitez
03:21 – Ivana Petrovic vs Na Liang
05:55 – James Llontop vs Chris Padilla
09:44 – Kelten Souza vs Marnic Mann
11:45 – Don’Tale Mayes vs Caio Machado
16:23 – Austin Hubbard vs Michal Figlak
18:42 – Rani Yahya vs Victor Henry
20:46 – Tim Means vs Uros Medic
22:38 – Jonathan Pearce vs David Onama
26:50 – Jhonata Diniz vs Austen Lane
31:08 – Karine Silva vs Ariane Lipski
33:20 – Ryan Spann vs Bogdan Guskov
36:19 – Matheus Nicolau vs Alex Perez

UFC Fight Night Vegas 991 Nicola versus Perez takes place this weekend and I’m going to go through the entire card starting with the early prelims ending with the main event giving my prediction and breakdown for every single fight on the card I’m going to start straight away with the early prelim opener of mahash H versus Gabriel bonitz I know mahash has had terrible results in the UFC so far he started off very good with a KO win over Steve Garcia which is now a win as a pretty well in my opinion because Steve Garcia has become a little more than we expected him to be you know looks wise he just looks like a victim there’s certain people that just look like they’re supposed to get knocked out and we kind of assumed that of Steve Garcia but since then he’s looked really good um but M got a KO over him lost to VAV bosev um a good scrap with bosev bosev was just a different level above him in the strike in a little bit and got a knock down early in the first and then put him away in the second round um but I like that mahake stayed composed in that you know he’s not afraid to do an eye poke I like that quite a bit because we know Fighters that go for eye pokes they typically are going to be benefited from it they don’t get points taken away so I don’t I don’t mind that he eye poked Bev in that fight I feel like that’s a good sign because it shows that he’s willing to do what it takes to win I also noticed in that fight he was being outstruck so he shot a takedown that immediately separates him from the rest of these Meatheads in the UFC I like mahash I think he’s a competitor I think he’s there to win I think he’s there to be great and Gabriel Benitez is good you know we’ve also seen mahash lose to halfa Garcia who’s you know a pressure style volume heavy dangerous guy he mixed in a lot of takedowns to beat mahash and neight kind of exposed a little bit of a bad grappling game in mahashay I don’t see bonitz being able to out grapple him I see this being a striking match unless mahash shet wants to take it to the ground so I’m going to go with mahake getting this one done I’ll say TKO in the third we’ve seen Gabriel bonitz Fall Apart in certain scraps and when I’ve seen mahash shet fall apart it’s because he’s been cracked clean by borchev and it’s like oh my God how is he still standing through some of these shots no wonder he went down you know what I’m saying but when I see Gabriel bitez fight it’s like he breaks apart you know Billy quarantillo beat him you know I know he hurt Billy quarantillo in that fight but quarantillo doubled him in the first round on strikes I don’t like you not being able to put away a billy quarantillo if you’re going to be in a pure striking match with mahash shet now I’m not saying mahash would be able to but am I going to trust in bonitz his finishing ability if you can’t finish Billy quarantillo I know quarantillo is quite good I just look at him as a fighter though and I see an awful sloppy no athleticism bum he’s tough he is tough and he can bring you into a dog fight and win fights because of it but there’s other performances I don’t like of Gabriel bitez you know Jim Miller beating him is you know I know I was quite high on Jim Miller but that’s not a great I I just don’t see him beating the young hungry upand comeer of mahash here still young in his career had a lot to learn his back’s against the wall he’s going to be hungrier than ever he’s taken some time I reckon he gets this one done by TKO in the later rounds we move on also I just think he looks way better on the feet than anyone we’ve seen Gabriel Benitez lose to I know onama put him away but people that bonitz has been in scraps with on the feet mahash just carries himself a lot more technically than them we move on Ivana Petrovic versus nalang now I wish I could tell you why I’m picking Nana Petrovic I just am she’s a lot bigger she’s got a lot more reach um Lanna Carolina is a tough debut I know this is all dumb reasoning and there’s no real logic to this like you might as well put money on the underdog I’m going to be honest with you but I’m just saying who I believe is going to win Lanna Carolina is a big girl she’s strong she’s physical she’s an athlete sort of hard to manipulate quite a bit you know we saw her get a few takedowns on Iana Petrovic but pvic worked her way back up had her own control uh control time got out worked in the clinch and at range here and there but she does have a striking background people were very high on her coming into the UFC as well there’s a reason why she’s such a big favorite going into this fight um it’s not just because you know the odds she’s a five to one favorite because people were high on Ivana Petrovic before she got into the UFC like she was one of those Fighters where on the come up people were like okay watch out for this girl on the regional scene she’s coming up so that’s why I picked her in her debut and she lost nalang way shorter way less physical little bit weak in my opinion you know she can get people down but they do seem to be able to just Shu their way back up we saw that with JJ Aldridge who was able to get up against Aaron blanchfield but you know blanchfield has never trained a day in her life we saw that against man on fioro so that’s interesting you never really know of women’s MMA you never really know at all um but I’m going to trust in the physicality of aana Petrovic uh just I don’t know Nal Yang I just don’t see much from her um she gets finished quite a bit she gets finishes as well but she’s been consistently finished three times in a row in women’s MMA and normally women don’t get finished in MMA you know normally they come in they lose a split decision a 29 28 here and there you know I mean that’s normally the career of a women’s MMA fighter if she’s going to lose she might get finished but she might lose a decision get dominated or the always split decision that we see all too often um I’m going to go with Lan Carolina I think it says something if you’re consistently being finished in women’s MMA I think that’s that’s a sign that you you’re really making some mistakes you know I mean at least uh Ivana petrovich is composed enough to go to a close decision and not leave herself in finishable position so on finishing potential alone I’m GNA go with Lanna uh Ivana Petrovic and I like her ground game she’s got reun naked choke she’s got uh reversals on the ground so I’ll go over her to win this fight by submission in the later rounds after maybe some grappling problems early we move on up the card James Lop versus Chris Padilla now this is a dangerous one for James Lop but I think he’s had a bit of a JDM esque career and when I tell you that you’re going to be like what you talking about but there’s a composure within him when you watch him fight which speaks to the consistency that he’s had and I know you might say well he’s not undefeated he’s 14 and two he was two and he was two and two to start his career iffy results didn’t look too great and since then he’s been on a 12 fight win streak now found himself in his UFC debut won his fight on the contender series against a tough athletic dude as well um who was like built like I mean the dude was maybe on the on on the source to be honest with you I wouldn’t put that past him um but James lonto beat a good guy on the contender series was six and one and he fought for FFC as well now when we talk about his opponent we’re talking about uh Chris Padilla Chris Padilla came up on next up FC like it’s a really low lowlevel no-name promotion bunch of cans not really fought any real level of competition he fought Justin James who’s like a longtime retired UFC fighter refought and he beat him while Justin James was on like a five six fight losing streak so you know you take that with a pinch of Sal and also Justin James was never that good anyway um but Chris Padilla he’s all right he’s athletic he’s dangerous uh I just think James Lop has this level of composure plus he’s uh I mean I’m just going to assume based on a look of him that he’s got a decent chin I know you shouldn’t really do that but you know these types from the you know below the Border in the US they seem to have great chins you know what I’m saying wherever they’re from I think this guy’s uh Peruvian is here so not you know not too far just just south of the US but you know what I’m saying these uh these I don’t even know how to classify that whole region I guess Central America North South America type Vibe um typically great chins you know I mean just seems like he does I feel like I can trust his chin and there’s that JDM in him as well that I was talking about where he’s got composure you see a lot of these Fighters and even his opponent was doing this on the Nintendo series have you ever seen that clip of Canelo Alvarez where he hits Triple G with his best shot and his eyes sort of go like that and you can see a bit of doubt in him like damn I just hit that guy of my best shot clean on the chin he just walked straight through it you see a lot of Fighters with that type of look in their eye you know they might get a finish they might get a head kick out of nowhere eventually in the fight but they look unsure of themselves Lop has that Holloway esque Vibe where he’s wide eyed the whole time got his guard up he may seem slower than others but he’s very composed he’s like he’s like JDM a little bit not in skill level but in the composure that he has in the pocket keeping his hands up watching shots go by and finding his counters he landed a really good counter right hand at one point in his fight on the contender series ducking under and perfectly timing it there was just a level of something where it’s was like damn he’s got to have talent to do this like within combat so I’m going to go with James Lono over Chris Pilla Plus on top of all else I’ve said technically James Lop he is a he had a full training camp he was supposed to fight lovata then he was supposed to fight Gabe green and Chris Billa stepped in on very short notice so Chris Bill had a fight booked a month after this all of the information I’m giving you guys had a had a fight booked so he has had a training camp but I worry when it comes to like make him wait for him it’s going to be a tough weight cut normally when you get into this like five weeks out from a fight that you’ve got you’re still quite big you’re going to start trimming it down once it gets within a month of the fight and then you can start making your weight cut a week out but um I feel like he might be going into this weight cut to 155 a bit heavy isn’t a catch weight they’re both lightweights they haven’t changed anything he’s expected to make 155 so expect maybe a weight miss or a bad weight cut for Pilla we’ll see um but laop’s way more prepared on top of the fact that I just trust his skill level a lot more I’m going with him we move on Katlin Souza versus manik man now I’m gonna go with Katlin soua here over manik man now I know manik man’s got the word man in her name so there might be some hints there from God you never know um like pick this one seriously look at her draw but I’m going to go with the more masculine looking girl katyn Souza way more masculine um we know women uh Brazilian women have deeper voices than them man it’s weird but that’s just how it is I don’t know what’s going on I don’t know why I said I don’t know what’s going on I was just trying to dis disguise a burp that I had just then um but she got finished in her last fight by Karen Silva we’ll get to Karen Silva a second because I actually think Karen Silva is pretty good um mikm is awful she’s terrible she shouldn’t be in the UFC she lost on the contender series by BR against Bruno Brazil who we found out is not all that herself anyway let’s just be honest but she got beaten by Bruno Brazil before that she was going to like a split decision against a one andone opponent you know she had a bit of an amateur career but you know she’s taken a three and threee opponent to the third round and third round like I just don’t like the level of opponents that she’s taken on she then went to a decision on the regional scene against a seven and six opponent after losing on the contender series and getting head kicked now she just got beaten up dominantly by Josephine nson in her UFC debut and the UFC still keeps her around so I don’t understand why they do this Katlin Souza is a lot more dangerous um she’s got a lot more finishing potential I mean out of her earlier fights I mean I think she’s had 13 wins seven or eight tko’s um so really impressive there I’m going to go with her I think she’s got more power on the feet more physicality she got caught by Karen Silva but I think Karen Silva is really good so before that she was on a bit of a win streak had momentum was in invictor so there is some sort of like skill-based matchmaking going on can’t say that as much about LFA women’s divisions um I’m gonna go with Karen Silva winning the fight we move on Dantel Mays versus Kaa Machado you know what I’m gonna go with Dantel Mays over Machado this is actually a tricky fight to predict they have Dantel ma as an underdog here so I guess this is my Underdog so far on the card I’m not actually sure of the odds of the other one I’ve picked maybe I have picked an underdog somewhere but I doubt it um but D tell ma is a slight Underdog because I picked him and I thought I wonder if he’s an underdog and he was Machado is getting a lot of points for beating Mick parin and I say beating Mick parin I know on his record it says it’s a loss but he arguably should have won that fight now we got a mick Parkin that opted to Grapple offensively quite a bit in that fight which I think slowed down Mick parin I actually think if Parkin had more of a keep it purely on the feet game plan he would have had a much better chance of winning the fight um but Machado did well against Mick Parkins something I do want to mention about that mck Parkin fight from machard though and something that won’t happen against a much taller Dantel May gonna point out he headbutted Mick Parkin so many times there was marks all over Mick Parkin’s face on his nose on his eyes I started swelling shot Machado no joke in the first round of that fight you can five like you can find like four or five head clashes from him where he’s just dipping his head down into Mick Parkin’s face which is I think a I haven’t I watched it back normally I just look at it and go damn I don’t know if Mick Parkin won that one but I was looking at it back I’m like damn that damage on mck Parkin’s face is from head clashes I don’t think he gets away with that against a taller dant Ma I also want to speak about this machado’s 6’4 he’s used to being the much taller Fighter the much taller Fighter um he froze with his hands by by his waste now I know we’ve all seen Jaylen Turner Bobby green and I’m not trying to make a direct comparison between the two of them here but one thing I do want to bring up is people with their style as hands down people that typically have a hands down style of fighting seem to really struggle with people that are taller than them because the punches are coming from like above not above but you know what I mean they’re coming from a much higher angle so it’s a lot riskier to have your hands down and Machado nonstop has his hands down against mck you would throw a low kick and just have his hands by his waist both of them not throwing one back for momentum like like you normally could both hands by his waist while he’s throwing these body kicks and then he’ll step back into his stance and there’ll be like a gap of like two or three seconds when he’s got his hands down by his waist as much as Dantel May isn’t too talented and he’s a big fat dumb Dum he’s quite athletic you know I’d say he’s more athletic than Machado which I think does give him a f a benefit here um I like the athleticism I like that he’s got a bit of reach over a guy who’s used to having the range advantage on his opponents I like that he’s taller against a guy who normally throws a lot of his punches quite low from the hips very Bobby greenes um I’m G to go with Dantel may I think his taller stature will work for him here I think he has the better ability to catch a one shot finish I don’t think Macho has that ability from what we’ve seen he does have good volume um but we watched a guy on the contender series that I thought sort of uh sold me a little bit on machard was uh his performance on the contender series that he had against Kevin salasi who did not throw a [ __ ] punch against him for three straight rounds you can watch back the fight I was like damn I looked at the stats I thought wow is this really a great dominant win and I was like no Kevin is a fat nobody and refus to throw punches and refuse to try and do damage to masado donel May is ain’t going to be like that and I hate to use this as an example of a good win but D May’s just ko’ Andre alovi and we see a lot of heavyweight struggle with Andre Okay so we see a bit of a separation there between Dantel May and the rest of the very lowlevel heavy weights I don’t think Machado is going to Grapple it seemed like he wasn’t too good at good at it against Parkin and we’ve seen Dantel ma have some good trips and sweeps so I think the grappling is going to negate itself they’re going to be neutral there if anyone has an advantage I think it’ll be D may just being a bit bigger and stronger and I like his taller frame against a guy who keeps his hands down I know I’m scratching my nose quite a bit I don’t know why he hitching um I’m going to go dant may he just caught alovi I think he’s going to start believing in believing in himself he had some good slick striking looking moves the eye test I’m going to go of Dantel may I do worry about how he’s going to deal with the kicks but I think punching wise he’ll catch I think he’ll catch Machado while he’s kicking him with a good stiff shot down the pipe and put him out on one leg that’s what I think is going to happen we move on Austin Hubbard versus Macau figl I’m going to go figl I actually believe that figl is really good and I’ve thought that about him for a long time now I know I do hype up these cage Warriors guys quite a bit because I actually watch him like I watch KW I watch LFA so if I’ve watched a guy come up I’ll very much hype them a bit more because I’ve actually watched them and I believe in them from a regional level and I see them go on to become you know about to become in the UFC I know he lost to foressi am I think it’s a very tricky style matchup for him as a shorter guy with much shorter arms for the division because fig black is quite short um doesn’t have too short of arms but he’s a very tucked up Fighter um I feel like that’s just a tricky matchup for him against foram he still made it competitive but he lost um not a great look but again he took that fight on short notice you know took that fight on short notice just fought AI sardari like a few weeks before that and immediately got a call up again so I doubt he was right back in training camp I imagine it was a situation where he sort of took his foot off the pedal he got a big win over AIS sad huge win for him the biggest win of his career and then UFC calls him and says for am in a few weeks are you ready wasn’t ideal for him I think he’s good though I think he’s done good I think he’s really good he trains with Leon Edwards at that gym Renegades love that he works there he does a lot work with Arnold Allen in that gym as well I think that’s a really good gym for him and he’s a young upand Comer here he’s 27 years of age he’s only lost once it was his UFC debut it was on short notice he was supposed to fight Chris Duncan a couple of weeks back it got postponed now he’s got a fight with Austin hubard so he’s going to be fully prepared and uh I think Austin hubard just looked awful against Kurt holla at really really slow um you know the guys that he beat on the contender series are awful Fighters That season was full of awful Fighters I’m G to go with maau figl I think he’s a more technically sound fighter I think he can stuff takedowns even if he does get taken down he work his way back up and I can see him finishing Austin Hab in an ilot aesque way at the late second or third round body shots to head shots combinations putting on the pressure he’s got unrelenting pressure I’m going to go with maccy glak we move on Ron Yaya versus Victor Henry I’m going with Victor Henry man it’s just uh it’s kind of hard to pick against Victor Henry on this card if I’m honest with you guys very hard to pick V against Victor Henry think he’s one of the locks of the card the thing is with Ron Yaya man he’s just so [ __ ] old like there’s no there’s not much more to say about it than that he’s very old he’s 39 now at banson weight like if this is like heavyweight I’m like okay but he still got it but no very old just got smoked in the first round by Montel Jackson before that he beat Kango Kang who’s iffy can’t really grapple but he can strike a little bit but he’s always had a hole in his grappling and he’s never really been a good Grappler um Ray Rodriguez is awful [ __ ] tier should never have been in the UFC um and his last good performances were back in 2020 you know and even before Denny fought some real [ __ ] tier Fighters so he’s he’s kind of slipped up the rankings under everyone’s radar because he’s just fought absolute bums probably because they’re the only people he’s willing to accept fights against because when he does accept fights against a Montel Jackson he’ll get smoked in the first round Victor Henry is very consistently good he’s very difficult to finish he’s very difficult to finish on the ground he’s very difficult to keep on the ground he’s very difficult to get takedowns on he’s not a young upand cominging guy who’s got an ability to try and KO someone in the first round that maybe if Ron Yaya survives he can expose a grappling weakness or a a cardio weakness in the later rounds this is a guy where we know he can be good for three rounds we know he can be top level for three rounds did he get figured out by a sunal but I think a sunal is a way more crafty there and a way more inime physical specimen than Ronnie Yar is and even that fight was still quite close so I’m going to go with Victor Henry unanimous probably a late TKO I’ll say a decision he just beats the hell out of R AA for three straight rounds um but Yaya might have a moment of success where he gets the back but I think that Victor Henry has the ability to survive it so if Victor Henry loses I’ll be very shocked we move on at the card Tim Means versus uros medic I’m gonna go uros medic I think he’s really dangerous I think Tim Means could arguably lose to Matt seberger but you know what Matt seberger probably drop him and then fail to finish him because he plays Dungeons and Dragons and has no finishing instincts because he’s not a Savage even though he quite looks like one um so I’m probably gonna have to go with uh uros medic more explosive more dangerous on the feet coming up from a tougher Division and Tim Means just seems like he’s hitting that Ricky Glenn moment you know every white veteran has that Ricky Glenn moment where you just look at him fight once and go how the [ __ ] did he ever look good against so and so you know what I mean and he did beat Andre fialo which was a good whim a pretty good whim I think uros medic’s better chin than Andre falo had good cardio against semelsberger at altitude he had great cardio against seml bergger so I’m not going to worry about him getting out grinded by Tim Means and he even looked really dangerous against oral BL who’s a really good Prospect himself and now everyone’s talking about him coming up um and oros medic nearly put him out in the first round and or BL to like wet blanket him like they all do um so yeah I’m going to go Tim Means I reckon he’ll get this one done I’m going to go OS medic sorry I reckon he’ll get this one done by TKO I like uros here I think uros is talented I think he’s got the ability and he’s kind of a slow burner in the UFC you know he’s lost a bit of hype here and there but he’s coming into his prime now he’s up 170 6′ one I don’t know how he was ever making lightweight I reckon he’ll have a good performance here and put away Tim Means by TKO probably a body kick he has really nasty body kicks and Tim Means is a very long torso very high guard old man white guy probably drinks a lot I’m going to go with uh uros medic TKO to a liver shot we move on Jonathan Pierce versus David on I’m gonna go David on I’m gonna go David on as an underdog here people have Jonathan Pierce as a favorite the majority of people are picking Jonathan Pierce as well I’m just going to double check who the majority of people are picking here um see if I am going against the odds like a true Edge Lord they are you know close to 60% of people are picking Jonathan Pierce in this fight which is I guess is why he’s the favorite but I’m going to go David onama as the underdog I’m going to go against the masses I’m going to say that he wins I really don’t like Jonathan Pierce’s striking more than I don’t like David On’s takedown defense and commitment one first of all David onama he’s got momentum and he knows that you know I mean he’s just got a win against Gabriel Santos had a fight fall through against Lucas Alexander he hasn’t fought in quite a long time it’s going to be nearly 10 months since he’s fought which I don’t mind cuz he’s a younger fighter so he will be improving coming up to 29 now coming into his prime um I think that’s good for him time off refocus make him hungry hasn’t had a paycheck in a while I think he’s going to be committed to this training camp to get himself paid it’s not like he’s just coming off a 50k you know two 50k performance bonuses in a row like he was going into the land wear fight where Krauss said he just wasn’t showing up to training so and he still made that lwar fight a hell of a fight as well so um you know I think David On’s got a real shot I think he’s got a solid chance of putting out Jonathan Pierce because I was looking back at some of Jonathan pierce his fights and his standup is atrocious like he just doesn’t have the hand eye coordination of a guy that’s there to be good at standup you know I mean he doesn’t have the hand eye coordination for it I don’t like the look of his standup whatsoever I was watching back his fight against Darren Elkins David onama Flatline Ko’s Darren Elkins man I know alkins can grapple a little bit on would survive him and TKO him in any way that he wants to or wouldn’t even have to survive him and just put him away Pierce really kind of struggled in moments against Darren Elkins I don’t like that I know he beat Christian Rodriguez it was Rodriguez’s debut i he wasn’t a weight Advantage for once in his [ __ ] life um so he got out grappled in that fight still made it a hell of a fight though still made it a hell of a fight so you know I’m going to go David on here I think he’s way faster Off the Mark I think he’s got a massive advantage on the feet and if you want to talk about grapp of Jonathan Pierce I know he’s got a very you know pressuring game and he can out grapple people and he can put his will on people but Mason Jones is a really underrated Grappler himself I know I’m not hyping him up here because you’ve seen him grapple with good Fighters and he will Chuck him off of him and he will get back up and he will shoot his own takedowns and get trips and sweeps he’s very technical in grappling and um you know Welsh fighters from the UK typically are this ain’t just some random English or Scottish guy you know you see it with Jack Shaw as well the Welsh Brett John’s even have a real understanding of grappling in the UK more than any other uh nation in within the UK so I’m going to say um he looked good against Mason Jones on short notice stepping up um just for a few weeks before that got a KO upper weight class at 155 Mason Jones is a big thick dense Welsh 155 big [ __ ] fat Welsh iron mat anvilhead typical Welsh build dense as [ __ ] broad inverted ribs a lot and he’s really really gave David onama like a grappling session onama nearly got through like he was getting up he was scrambling with him well you know it looked like he was gassing out but he kept pushing through it same thing with Nate lamb where dropped Nate lamb where in the third round of that fight went to a majority decision loss I’m going to side with onama taking his career serious coming off a KO win over Gabriel Santos who arguably could have beaten Lon Murphy and nearly did it on short notice and Rome Murphy’s really good so I’m going to go with him I like his grappling defense I like his cardio I like his scrambles and I think he’ll catch Jonathan Pierce at some point in the feet in the second or third round so I’m going to say late second round TKO for DAV onama blasting a straight right off the shoulder straight into the face of Jonathan Pierce while he goes for one of his goofy slow as [ __ ] kicks I’m going David onama upset we move on jonata denz versus Austin Lane people are talking about this matchup as well now Jonathan Austin Lane could win this he really could he’s quite technically good he looks like he wants to be good he just doesn’t have the ability for it because he doesn’t have the reactions of a fighter he’s scared of getting hit and that really doesn’t help at heavyweight you know I mean he throws his arms out James Vic style chin wide open in the air he’s scared to be punched not a great thing to have if you’re a heavyweight and that’s often why he gets ko’ you know people Rush him he puts his hands way away from his face and he just gets chinned with his chin way up in the air janata denz we got to talk about this guy though Glory kickboxer um has done a lot of training with worldclass kickboxers he done a lot of training with Rico ven this guy’s seen Elite level World level at kickboxing he hasn’t achieved it but he’s been in training camps of people who have Rico vuin is what undefeated as a heavyweight Glory Champion for what 11 years over a decade now coming up to a decade I don’t even know like has been on top for a long time and just won another tournament like a fre stage tournament that he came out on top of as he just won again Rico ven still doing his damn thing so that’s no joke you know that’s that’s what we see when I’m not saying this guy’s Aspen now but Aspen now came up training with Rico for his standup this guy’s is not Tom aspan Now does not have the same athletic potential whatsoever but he’s six4 and he is and he’s got a long reach as well nearly an 80 in reach which is good for him you know Austin Lane I think has an 80-in reach himself maybe even longer actually I think he’s got a ridiculously Long Reach I’ll find out right now no 80in reach taller than janata but one thing I like about this is that janata is really good at keeping his chin tucked he his chin doesn’t come up he was actually getting lit up a little bit by Eduardo Neves who’s a very although fat very talented boxer with quick hands on the heavyweight Regional scene was a 22y old at time now now 24 and got some momentum back and he was Landing some shots on janata um in their fight that they had on the contender series on denz and uh Denis took him well though he kept his chin tapped the whole time he had really good one-twos crisp timing on them he was very patient and composed and in the guy’s face the entire time even if he was being out struck the other guy was the scared one cuz he was in his face the whole time ready to stuff takedowns keeping his hands t chin Eyes Wide Open chin really low and tucked over he has a really good fundamental stance for heavyweight striking in my opinion not a lot is going to clip him right on the chin while he’s got his head up in the air you know what I mean especially not against a taller guy like Austin Lane so Austin Lane’s good he’s fast he’s athletic but I’m gonna go janat denz I’m gonna go janat denz I think he’ll find a TKO I think he’ll catch Austin Lane going for a kick I can see Lane going for some body kicks and I can see Donata just going B jab two straight down the pipe while Lane’s on one leg and I’m going to trust him to get the KO here he smoked every opponent they’ve given him in MMA they’ve given him a bunch of cans to be fair but he also smoked the guy on the contender series that um was seven and one so I’m going to go with him he’s had a long kickboxing career he’s fought Rico vuin himself gone to a decision against him like this is a this a [ __ ] difficult guy to put away so if Austin Lane puts him away on the especially I’ll be shocked and Lane he’s not a great offensive Grappler you know we’ve seen him get a ground and pound TKO on the contender series but that was after the guy that he fought took him down and then like lost top position and ended up on bottom but the guy took him down and got mount on him in that fight for quite some time so um he reversed it and got a TKO I don’t see Den shooting takedowns I see him keeping composed waiting to land a big shot on the feet and they’re in the smaller cage in the Apex I think that’s that’s good for a hunter and that’s exactly what denz is he’s a hunter he stalks people he walks him down and catches him while they’re trying to plant and throw so I’m going to go janat denz gets his one done by TKO we move on up the card Karen Silva versus ariani lipsky I’m going Karen Silva consistency recent levels of consistency from Karen Silva have superseded ariani lipsky’s overall somewhat goodness in fights you know we’ve seen Ariana lipsky beat Casey O’Neal and she is on a free- fight win streak split decision to Melissa GTO not too great of performance there J Jo ddge win I don’t rate that too highly either Casey O’Neal’s garbage no power in her shots no athleticism um one of them soft fat bodied women you know I feel like we need to start noticing them a bit more and start pointing them out like they’re not going to win like you know man on fot type build and Aon blanchfield type build we kind of should have seen it coming certain women just aren’t athletic and Casey O’Neil’s one of them like droopy saggy melting women you know so I’m going to go with um Karen Silvera I don’t rate ariani lipsky’s wins too highly uh [Music] um I think she’s well-rounded I like Karen Silva’s submission game a little bit better I know they’ve both got knee bars but I I feel like ariani lipsky will take a submission that’s just there in front of her and like just happens to be within her pathway like oh look there’s a neear randomly during this scramble I’ll go for that oh I got it you know whereas we’re seeing Karen Silva consistently put these women in these positions on the ground and forced them into these positions and she’s got however many submissions in a row now let me check she’s got one two three four five six submissions in a row five inside the first round one inside the second and she’s fought good opponent she fought a 22 22 and three women woman from the from Asia uh Quan um on the contender series she fought a 13 and three opponent Katlin Souza Marina RZ is a good Grappler and she choked her out in round one with a guillotine I’m going to go with Karine Silva I like her consistent finishing ability I think finishing women finish finish it finish ability is something that would literally just take a female fighter from unranked to ranked and then you find out when they fight Chev shenko 08 This Girl Can’t Stuff a take down or oh8 this girl can’t strike so finishing ability will get you to the top it just won’t make you champion at women’s MMA so I’m gonna say Karen Silva she’ll get to the top she’ll get past ariani lipsky we move on up the card Ryan span versus Bogdan gusov I’m going with Ryan span over Bogdan gusov I was watching back quite a few Bogdan go fights and one thing this man has never fought you ready for it someone taller than him never and he has a style and I’ll bring you back to the Bobby green jayen Turner scenario of Hands by his waist a lot Hands by his waist and all of his Knockouts from from what I’ve seen are like Yi style right hands from the waist to the chin all their like shovel hooks that he landed on Zack po with like a lead right sh Laut like he lands these like Zack poalo is what I’m going to look up some of the heights of these guys because I was watching it back they all seem shorter than Bogdan and bogdan’s what 6’2 pga’s 6’2 maybe bogdan’s a little taller of 6 fo2 than he is um I think oir is 62 as well you know Carlos Eduardo he fought on the regional scene he fat old men un athletic guys is uh 6’2 but a 40y old man when he fought against B down and you know these other guys 511 you got a guy here that’s 5’11 as well like it’s just I feel like he’s fought a lot of shorter guys so he’s got himself in a habit this guy 510 6 foot a lot of shorter guys for like heavyweight um so he’s got in a habit of like throwing these shots from the hip because he’s taller than them and he’ll land on them I don’t know how he’s going to fight lunging over the top he hasn’t fought that way in his last however many fights and he got smoked by Vulcan o deir in round one um for keeping his hands down he got cracked with a left hook on the counter wobbled and then put away on the ground um and Zack poo was [ __ ] him up I watched back that fight dude Zack POA was [ __ ] him up messing him up bad messing him up bad chopping his low kick destroying his leg in that fight cracking him on the chin often Bogdan landed a really good shovel uper cut wobbled Zack poer and then put him away also I poked Zack poer in that fight as well but um I think Ryan span’s going to have the I poke Advantage he’s got the reach he’s got the length he’s got the range this is the first time that Bogdan is going to be fighting a taller opponent I just don’t know how he fights like that you know I mean I don’t know how he fights fighting a way taller lankier guy his whole style has been built around throwing these shovel shots from the waist and these lunging Yi style shots but y’s 6’4 like y’s a big dude so I’m going to go against Bogdan here I’m going to go with Ryan spam although he’s dumb as [ __ ] I think he will low kick Bogdan because it is there for him I don’t think he’ll need many to make Bogdan either so I’m going to go with Ryan span he’s taken some time off since he’s lost to Smith it was a split decision he lost it because he’s dumb um it wasn’t lack of talent he’s just dumb he’s meat headed 50 IQ um I’m going to go with Ryan span here you know I’ll go with him to win plus I like his Guillotine his strength in certain positions when shorter guys try and shoot on him especially I’m going to go Ryan spam we move on up the card matus Nicola versus Alex Perez going matus Nicola here I think he’s the more technical well-rounded fighter and I don’t trust Alex Perez’s finishing ability I think to beat Matas Nicola you need finishing ability you need something shocking something wild that’s going to put him away and so far that’s the only way we’ve seen him beat in the UFC he got head kicked by Dustin Ortiz back in 2018 um he got kneed in the face by Brandon royval and outside of that this dude’s undefeated in MMA since 2012 where again he got clip koed by a 13 And1 fighter he was very explosive Pedro no um put him out with one shot listen to that though very underrated guy this guy Nicola needing the face out of nowhere by Royal um who’s good at doing that type of stuff to shter flyweights um Dustin Ortiz put him out with a head kick that clipped him off the side of the head and put him away um and other than that this dude has not lost a fight since 2012 outside of those two fights where he got clipped one was in 2018 the other one was in 2023 so he’s had like two fiveyear runs one six-year run one fiveyear run of nothing but wins lost on the contenders on the ultimate fighter in the finals actually lost in the finals um but still I like this guy I think Matas Nicola’s good I think he’s composed and I think that Alex Perez is just basic he doesn’t do anything dynamically good at flyweight he’s very bionical is in his punches the way he throws hooks he has got some finishing potential he has had some finishes I know the HFA fight kind of made everyone think oh my God this guy’s going to be champ and then everyone’s just beat him I don’t rate an arguable win over MV I think mv’s dog [ __ ] I don’t think makv can strike at all um I don’t think he can grapple at all like he’s got good entries and good wrestling and good cardio and he can push but there’s no control there there’s no Jiu-Jitsu ability it’s cowardice in the third round his [ __ ] ass [ __ ] on the feet no conviction in his striking no offense M him just breaking down a fight um I think Nicola’s got way more Talent way more Talent more footwork better game planning I reckon he’ll find the mark on Perez maybe a decision win I’ll say four one decision win for Matas Nicola maybe Perez gets around who knows like And subscribe see you later goodbye