The Domino Has To Fall Fords Way Eventually… Why Not This Weekend At Darlington?

– Steve Letarte recaps Kansas and explains how timing and scoring works. Michael McDowell is on the move and will join Spire next year, leaving Front Row. The guys decide if Travis pulled a Rick Allen earlier in the week on a hockey bet or if he is safe. NASCAR is off to Darlington this weekend and at the top of the predictor is Kyle Larson and Denny Hamlin. One name the Professor and Vegas disagree on is Joey Logano. Tampa Timms thinks there is value in the Fords this weekend. Erik Jones returns to his car after breaking his back and Steve and Travis have a friendly wager on where he will finish. Can Noah Gragson find another top-10 finish? Steve thinks Alex Bowman will find Victory Lane this year. Tampa Timms and Travis already placed a bet on Chase Elliott against Ross Chastain in a head-to-head bet. Steve is avoiding McDowell’s average finishing position this week. Is Bubba Wallace snake-bitten? Plus, double top-10 bets.

Chapters
00:00 – Analyzing the Accuracy of the Predictor at Kansas
06:01 – Understanding the Technology Behind Photo Finishes in NASCAR
10:20 – Predictions and Insights for the Upcoming Race at Darlington
15:20 – The Role of Track Conditions and Driver Experience in Race Outcomes
36:53 – Long Shots to Watch in the Xfinity Race
45:53 – Betting on Alex Bowman and Bubba Wallace for a Double Win
50:55 – Betting on a Hole in One at the Wells Fargo Tournament
56:43 – Christian Eckes as the Pick for the Truck Race at Darlington

well ladies and gentlemen I don’t know what’s more surprising that we had another photo finish in NASCAR or that the professor doesn’t think then I mean come on Professor be nice how you doing tonight another night taping Wednesday night here you good professor wait a second Trav what is that you that little Jack and Coke we got late enough in the evening we go pass the bruise we are into the mix drinks Tims you look pretty uh pretty bright-eyed and bushy tailed is this the start of your evening or you tapering off I took a little nap I’m not going to lie I’m feeling good refreshed I could tell there was a glow to your face I’m ready to go wait hold on though are you are you going out afterwards I think is the important question no but like it turned it was raining all day thunderstorms and now it’s sunny I it it kind of Juiced me up a little bit like I need like a margarita or something I might have to I have a feeling this right here this fuse might get lit my man this is what happens right here one straight text message come across the bow and that guy is going out yep it could be is he going out one-legged duck swiming a circle this man is going out everybody’s in town for the whales Charlotte is a bustle it’s nice 80 degrees out it’s tough not to drink when it’s 80 oh I hear you I hear you uh where should we start we got a let’s talk Kansas Kansas how was the predictor there uh Professor oh um five of the top six were predicted top 10 had the winner correct who back back f up that sounded like IRS code five of the top six finished in the top 10 what the hell does that just mean five of the top six finished in the top 10 can you please explain what math class that works five of the top 10 finisher five of the start over start over x that out no no we’re live we’re live to tape here I want to know how this work five of the top six finish in the top finishers were predicted to finish in the top 10 so you got five out of the 10 right no there were some other ones in there but I like that the first five our five of the first six were great how do you not understand that this is Ron poel man said it and forget it my man is like hold on how do you not understand that five of the top six finished in the top 10 yes no no five of the predict so of the predicted top 10 finishers they finished in the top six five of them it’s a lot of numbers God I need another drink let me say another hold on let’s do this let’s do this let’s start over to make it a little easier for you so Kyle L was predicted to finish first okay he finished did check okay Chris busher so for for a Layman like me I’d have started with got the winner right I don’t know that’s what I start with I start hey guess what guys got the winner right got the winner right hey guess what got the winner right we won again won again two weeks in a row we won okay so you got the winner right now let’s talk about how’d you do in the top three uh well busher first ever top five on a on a mile and a half track so fair fair no one saw that coming me included um then Chase Elliott was pricked to finish sixth he was third and then Truex was supposed to finish third he was fourth and then Denny so you the winner dead on you had Trux in the top five he finished top five okay yeah and then Denny was predicted second he finished fifth okay so another way a guy like me would say this go ahead is hey guys I had three of the top five predicted right including the winner I don’t know for the guy that talks on TV I feel like Tims what’s better for you I had three of the top five correct including the winner or five of the top 10 came out of the top six something like that I don’t even know what he said if I could talk like you then I then you wouldn’t need me I wouldn’t need you fact no argument no argument if you could talk like me you wouldn’t need me which is a problem so you know what Russ either way the predictor had a good day you hit the winner That’s What mattered Tims were you on the winner I know you didn’t get many odds on it did you get a little winter juice no I I played the uh since the rain since it was a rain delay and was sing to Mayo I had plans when the uh second half of the race was coming to drink some margaritas so I missed it again so sing is a good excuse is my favorite it’s my favorite holiday yeah mine too I waited as long as I could I I I waited it waited the rain did not help so I think this this rough patch is self-inflicted 100% uh fued by Margarita so uh I can’t I can’t really blame anybody but myself on this one photo finish do we got to relive this photo finish do we have to clean up tra which your other pod disassembled all of them yes yes okay so let’s start with NASCAR timing and scoring on 101 this is going to take me 2 minutes and 2 minutes only ready go 99% of the time NASCAR uses a transponder and Loops cut within the racetrack to do timing and scoring electronically when the transponder passes over the loops there looped antennas in the racetrack it scores the car it scores not only at the start finish but throughout the lap and that’s how we use timing and scoring that’s how we use Loops when a caution comes out in three points of the race all three times points are paid which is the end of stage one the end of stage two and the end of of the race they will go to a camera finish if the loops could because the loops the margin of error for Loops is basically a couple thousandths of a second give or take there’s a lot of things that go into that you don’t need to know all I’ll tell you is if you start to get a bunch of cars in one spot or under like a couple thousands of a second they go to a camera the camera unbeknown to everybody in the world that you are not looking at a photo even though it says photo finish I can see how it sounds a little bit weird you’re looking at an image what’s the difference a photo is a singular shot from a camera that’s not what you’re looking at you’re looking at this fancy high dollar system the Olympics use it Formula 1 uses it everybody says we need to get whatever the people have well good luck find it the Olympics use it 100 yard dash Kentucky Derby uses it Formula 1 uses it Indie Car uses it NASCAR uses it it’s the same damn company and what it does is check this out Tims this is some crazy stuff that camera set up calibrated every day when a moving object touches the start Finish Line it takes a photo 4,000 photos a second and then what it does is the moment that lson touches the tar Finish Line then that’s a time stamp and the image you see are thousands of photos slivers of photos put together to create an image the reason why it’s blurry is because the only thing it cares about is the car it doesn’t care about the track or the background the only stuff that needs to be clear are things that are moving that’s why it looks like the way it looks it’s that simple that’s how it works it would be clearer if it was in the day it would be clearer if the camera was closer to the cars but the camera has to pick up start finish the whole football field because you could be like you could take the checkered on Pit Road you could take the Checker backwards through the grass like there’s a long ways to take the Checker so when you zoom back a damn near a 100 yards or a sculled 60 degree wedge in Russell’s you know terminology things start to get a little blurry like that’s what happens right you’re you’re damn 100 yards away and by the way they’re not going 35 mph these aren’t horses these are cars and they run 175 so that’s what you get so everybody says they need a new camera or a better image all of this stuff needs to jump on the Google and do a little research before you open your Yap there you have it I had now for the record let me be clear I had to jump on the Google and do a little research I didn’t know all that this is this is a Monday research I had to ask the smart people who know about it this isn’t something I knew off the back of my hand right like this was this was a days of research but that’s how it works any questions your honor no question but um how uh you and McDow doing uh lart oh I’m gonna tell you I am GNA applaud Michael McDow so we come on here and we give picks that’s our job that’s gambling podcast and and I even said it in my pick of McDow I like Michael like the team I know it’s hard to believe I like all the drivers I don’t have a favorite I don’t care don’t care who wins but I gotta take the picks Michael A+ move runs top 10 doesn’t complain about our pick during the week doesn’t say anything about it and then responds to Dirty Mo it was dirty Mo’s post right dirty Mo’s post of Michael mcdal pick responds with a very nice done graphic by his team he finishes 10th the other car finishes 14th our buddy Todd Gillan finishes 14th I’m going to tell you that’s A+ like that is like a that’s like a that is a great way of telling you to pound sand without even saying it it was like a professional pound sand conversation so much so I went to Twitter which I’m not normally on Twitter but you pointed it out to me so I went in there and saw it and I said exactly what I mean which is listen I never I I don’t care about being right or wrong I love to be proven wrong with with somebody performing right I I think it’s great so A+ Michael mcdal for the listeners who say why don’t we have Michael mcdal on the show I’m G make it real simple this is a gambling podcast so guess what in the current world it’s hard to have competitors on a gambling podcast cuz that goes against the whole idea of the gambling you know the basketball player that says hey bet on me because I’m going to you know come up fake a sickness and he got suspended There are rules and restrictions to gambling content um we would have loved to have Michael McDow on it but we can’t have Michael mcdal on it because he’s a competitor but the shot on Twitter was A+ and and I earned it he’s now last year he uh proved Denny wrong when Denny was talking about him and he went out there and won at Indie and now you so dirty mode needs to be careful with Michael McDow but quickly uh Steve what do you make of the news though with McDow leaving saw that going to the 71 Spire car what do you make of that you know I was a I so one half of the news surprises me the other half doesn’t so I’m going to start with the surprising side the surprising side is him leaving front row been there a long time they’ve built the place together uh he had a lot to do with their success he’s very Hands-On with hiring people and like he’s super plugged in he’s been a part of the Ford Camp you know there’s a lot of things that surprise me with him leaving not surprised Spire continuing to pound that drum of growth and Acquisitions right spending that money they’re buying Charters they’re hiring drivers their cars are up front host of ours looking good we talk about him on here all the time Corey has more raw speed looking for maybe a little bit of consistency right so the mcdal news doesn’t surprise me from the Spire side does surprise that he’s leaving um does surprised that he’s leaving the front row what do you think Professor is that pretty fair you felt the same way about it no you’re spot on spot on so but you know what wasn’t a good week for Celtics over unders not a good week for Celtics over unders not a good week for the uh what was the name of the BET Tims the two hockey game bet what was the name of it the grand salami the grand salami on the book it was listed Grand salami you could bet both hockey games under 11 and a half they hung 14 on the board that was not a great day I had the over in the first game but I I sat quietly in our group text knowing that you two were on the under and uh didn’t oh I knew you had it with your lack of talking I knew you were on the other side but I but I didn’t want to how about the Rick Allen do we want to talk about the Rick Allen yeah yeah it’s not a Rick Allen yes you did let’s let the listeners be the judge go ahead Travis the floor but now listen if you [ __ ] or get the facts wrong okay so Tims and I we were on Florida Panthers plus one and a half against the Bruins correct minus one and a half minus one and a half sorry minus one and a half and the game is z z and I said Tims we need goals and the Panthers and the Panthers score a goal and I say here we go or something to that effect correct yeah I think it was here we go or there’s one yeah there’s there we go there’s one that sounds right and then the Bruins go on and score five in a row and we lose the bet that’s not a Rick Allen you see you just stood left that we need goals and not said a single thing after that I did as soon as you did we got a goal and then you said something else and then boom they never scored again I didn’t declare Victory on the the BET though it was I’m tell you this right now I’m gonna say it’s not a Rick Allen in the absolute definition but it would have been it was it’s a written warning it’s not a Rick Allen ticket but it’s a written warning you dance really close like like you don’t do a field sobriety test on this one you might have failed we we we got a goal we’re you got to have some good vibes some like get it going we scored a goal let’s go I know I I could see your argument but I will tell you it didn’t read that way it read that way like there we go like it’s GNA happen cuz they scored about 17 seconds after you sent the text the Bruins did the tie it so it just completely took the text out of context now really you know in hindsight maybe we were just sensitive about it now that you say it tra but it felt like a Rick Allen I will say uh I saw Tim’s bet last night where you he was on the under and I was like you know what I’m fading him I’m going the other direction CU his hockey bets have [ __ ] us seven ways a Sunday although let me tell you this is what I woke up to I went to bed a little early and there was a whole conversation about hey how’d you end up on on the Celtics like like good stuff but this is the one I loved make sure I get this correct my college baseball parlay saved me 7:24 a.m. it did my response only a real degenerate can make such a claim I mean that’s like a that’s pretty A+ right there shout out to UNC Coastal Carolina Clemson and Alabama and uh Vandy bringing me home last night VY Vandy boys Vandy boys shout out to uh speaking of some winners though from last we let’s hear him let’s have it yeah uh Brent Weiss he had Alex bow top 10 cash that puppy uh Jake Simpson had Kyle Larson outright to win that was a good one and then we also had uh Troy Adventure couch he had Martin TRX vers uh Christopher Bell in a matchup so he catched that one so we had some good ones I also think um people start listening to Tims with the cash out option love that love that I got you didn’t get the Chastain cash out did you Tims no well as soon as I sent that that text that was like that he he would dropped a third and it dropped like $5 and it wasn’t even worth it then but it was nice to know stage one you can get it and pull the trigger on so tell the fans at home so how so you had a bet and you had you looked at like a 50% profit is that a fair number I don’t you know yeah no so I bet uh I bet Chastain to win and he was you know up there and he was I don’t know if he was leading at the time but he was running second he was battling Larson back and forth I think and uh it was double my money cash out right now and I was waited too long I’m like ah maybe I wait a lap he takes the lead again he fell back to third that number kept going fourth it kept going down he never really got the lead back so it never got that back up that high and I sat on it and lost but it was a good strategy I I’d do it again all right well listen the track too tough to tame let me go ahead and tell you boys let me give you a little heads up on this one Nowhere to Run nowhere to hide no fluff no [ __ ] no nothing four tires every Pit Stop St great pit stops B great pit crew great driver great team it’s going to take great everything to run good this week that’s just how it is that’s why we should love it that’s what darlington’s all about and I can’t wait and for that reason this might be the biggest group one ever on the predictor pretty good chance the winner is going to come out of group one guys because it’s almost the entire field if you hold on a second you have six no no no no no no seven group one drivers no dark shade learn learn your colors that is dark dark green not dark green two greens two greens yeah dark dark okay I hate to say they’re right but that right there is like a green and off green I mean it’s it’s you know what it is it’s the difference between a dollar bill and a dollar bill that’s been in your pocket for a week that’s the two different colors of green I have over here I mean they are close all right I take back Mike statement Kyle LS Denny H group one I apologize two driver group no question and you have any disagreement with it no I mean how could you not no those two have been monster um and here like Denny’s got four wins here Larson won the last time we were here like Larson should have won this race last year the books agree four and four and a half to one which is better than you could have cut on Larson last week I mean that was that was like the biggest crazy thing anyway all right Larson Hamlin then we have the darker green of greens Trux reic Elliot Byron Lego legano is the surpriser here I know he won here a little bit a few years ago but State your case for which one I was looking I think okay listen let’s start with the ones I like Larson and Hamlin I don’t think anybody has to be sold that they’re one too you remember that Tims right that doesn’t shock you no not at all 2x love it old Wy veteran worn out racetrack he’s going to be good reic put a little asterisk next to Chase Elliott William Byron love them both here let’s talk reck and legano I don’t care which one you want to talk first okay reck’s been top three in three of the four nextg races at Darlington so of the four nextg races he’s been top three in three of them what happened in the one he wasn’t reic was involved in that big accident towards the end of the race where was he running good was he up there good though he was I remember that race he’s running pretty well okay then talk about legano because legano uh Vegas and the professor is where we have a different opinion yeah so lano’s just really struggled lately but he he won the the first nextg race there um at Darlington he was he’s been top five and in two of the four there there um he he’s I don’t know what else you want I mean the guy’s good and the team’s good but I it doesn’t feel like the hot hand right now and team Pensky by the way talk about burying the news they suspended a whole crap ton of people from their Indie Car news they had to do something though right I mean I would think so see it’s how you own the series yeah but Lano you can get him uh he’s plus 2200 if you if you like him you can almost get him even money for a top 10 so that’s the difference between the model and Vegas yeah I I just think it’s you know Darlington he he he can find a way you know like that’s I do think there’s some value on Fords this week and it not being more of a RAC track racers Racetrack and not necessarily the car I can see if you like I can get behind this hold on let’s talk about this I could get behind this because let’s talk where I think Fords run good good Phoenix St Louis uh you know and Darlington I know doesn’t feel that way but that entry into turn three is a little that way heavy breaking more than you would think um you know it’s not Kansas not Texas like like you know it is a mile and a third so I can Tims I I kind of man you might be swaying me over I could see the argument yeah I’m not like oh yeah this is the Hammer of the weekend but like if you like a Ford if I’m going to pick him out of track I don’t really mind picking him here it doesn’t seem like the car will be that too like too much of an issue if if the driver’s good here give me some Brad K info cuz I don’t know well and and hold on bubbling up that Ford stuff like I know they haven’t won but they’ve been runner up six times this year oh how about this one you want to talk about the kicking the shorts they’ve been running up six times by 1,000th of a second at Kansas yep by 3 th000 of a second at Atlanta uh there’s another one like like if you take the closest four of the six it’s less than a half second total Richmond and Talladega I think all four of them totals up to less than a half a second in four races Russ you’re proud I had those stats aren’t you I’m I’m I’m impressed so keslowski top 10 in the last three there six fourth seventh and every time I’ll see busher runs good Brad’s right there on his heels like man I got we got to flex a little like we didn’t have busher low grip racetrack I don’t know something about that Brad K experience tells me he’s gonna have a I’m not maybe not a win I’m with you Tims I’m not saying a win but a good day busher was top 10 in both races last year here I would say kazlowski Lano if you’re going for the Cash Out strategy that’s kind of who I’m targeting you know a little bit like I wouldn’t go too crazy with the Fords because it just seems like one is really good like busher last week or blay for the most part of the first half of the year but you know kazlowski was the guy I liked he’s like professor said he’s good here it’s one out track veteran driver knows how to save his stuff kind of feels like a good good guy to have on your side here so so what about this strategy like if we have like a kazlowski Lano you know Chastain again qualifies like on the front row do you take them and just hope for the cash out in the first stage yeah 100% that kind of that was why I took Chastain uh last week because he’s he’ll stay up there at least with the track position game that this car is so yeah for 100% that’s what I would do kind of Pi put three that you like and see which one qualifies up there and take them take two if they’re up there Professor do you have any stats on like if you where they if you qualify on the first row like where you finish on the first stage or anything like that um I How likely are you if you win the PLL to win stage one Steve what do you think um pretty likely here if you have a good piit crew um you know so let me you know if Larson Hamlin Trux Elliot Byron you know if any of those Front Runners sit on the poll I would say they have a really a really really good chance of being right up front in stage one um Danny I’m sure will speed go to the back drive to the front make it a really colorful show he’s going to run great but he always seems to to like make it harder than needs to at Darlington for some reason not even his own doing maybe it’s a pit stop thing who knows maybe a meteor comes out and hits the right front fender and he has to pit on like there’s always a reason he gets behind here and then it’s so much fun to watch him recover K Kyle bus is another guy I was looking at because I think the last two races he ran Well he kind of qualified well and that so it’s it’s like that correlates with him in this in this car RCR car I agree with that I age agree with that so so back to your your question Trav um the the the four winners of stage one in the next gen call all started top three at Darlington see that little shrug you see that little tra shrug like boom I get proud when I ask a good question well I see you ruined my one pick of the weekend you gave that information to the books who’s that Eric Jones Mr Darlington himself he’s not winning he’s not finishing top 10 got fade the back injury tell him why he’s wrong okay but Su this is my thought isn’t a stat based thought it’s he his back is broken where where do you think he’s gonna finish Steve 13th It’s Not Top 10 I I never said top 10 that was all Trav yelling well you said we ruin the BET like there’s no bet to finish 13th is it yeah yeah what bet all the matchups everything he’s going to be he’s the favorite in all the matchups the F you talking about he’s not even in a matchup yet he is he’s gonna you watch it they’re all gonna be ruin watch all right I’ll take it I bet you he finishes outside of 13 a six-pack so he’s won there twice eight top 10 there is most at a track so that’s why Stevie saying bet bet all right I yeah mine’s not a stat I just think you’re going to return after that injury and get in the car and go out there and perform I just and if he I mean I I think it’d be awesome if he does I just don’t think he will I’m with Trav you gotta fade the back injury if Alex Bowman’s taught us anything it’s fade the back injury oo man I wish You’ have brought that up before I just lost a six-pack yeah come on that’s it’s been low hanging so find me some value on the board let’s let’s be honest I think this is a conversation we need to have find me some damn value guys Larson and Hamin no offense and don’t take this wrong way Professor right but I didn’t need the predictor to know that Larson and Hamin are going to be one two and I didn’t need the predictor to tell me that Trux and Reddit and Elliott Byron and loano and I didn’t have him but Byron like I’m like yeah okay no [ __ ] we knew all these guys were going to be up top and I’m not saying that to pick on the predictor my point is after two and a half years of this car and what we’ve seen this year it’s what’s the shocker right like like last week busher shocker didn’t have running that well super impressive McDow not just a shocker but a shocker and then a mic drop moment so where is the Shocker on this board Professor give me someone who’s going to run better than we think I think busher either like 25 to1 to win or minus 105 for top 10 yeah man I think it’s low grip Chris busher I think it’s low grip low grip all right so you like busher as a repeat strong performance C can you relate Kansas and Darlington um yeah a little bit a little bit for sure what I like more than anything is it’s a track that we didn’t know think he was going to run at so you know they’ve obviously found some Pace in their car overall how about the guy how about Noah greggson let’s talk Noah for a minute because I like to pick on Noah because he’s young and he’s full energy and all this but man he’s he’s starting to tie together some pretty good little runs here so so Tims and I were talking about Noah today and Tims correct me if I’m wrong you’re a little fearful that you were late to jump on him with a top 10 and he might be late to the party that run might be over yeah so he’s had three straight top 10 in a steuart Hos car which has not been great at top 10s this year uh and I feel like it’s like you’re riding a a run and a trend and I was late to the party and every time you’re late to the party and you try to jump on it then is that the week it doesn’t hit so listen statistically speaking he should he’s plus 200 there’s value on his top 10 this week for sure so if you you ride in that streak I’ve seen guys people on Twitter have wrote his top 10 streak just play it plus 200 yeah but for for me I I haven’t wrote it and I’d be the Jinx I know it I’d Rick Allen the whole bet I don’t think you’re wrong there I will say this when I look at longer odds Barry Suarez Brisco Stenhouse mcdal Dylan cnri hos ofar at 8 to one in the top 10 I know it sounds crazy but Cory Le jooy had a monster run at Darlington maybe a year and a half ago or something so it it has happened before um and josar is fast man that kid’s got Pace I don’t mind that John herek was another one he’s 8 to one I mean TECO you have him inside the top 20 look look you’re not gonna have anybody inside the top 10 on the predictor and you’re G to get get good odds that ain’t gonna happen like that’s the point right but so let’s talk about guys that have good top 10 odds that are farther down the predictor I see and help me guys if I’m missing some but I see Chase Brisco predicted 18th at plus 330 you’re only looking at eight shot you know an e spot win or move up I mean so look at everybody runs and we get a 36 car finishing maybe not but you mentioned that one big wreck that reic get in that one year you know this is the kind of place you get stacked up on a restart or you get that wreck down in one and two there’s not a lot of place to run away from a wreck you know second and third get together on a restart you could take out five or six fast cars well now that 18th predicted for Brisco now he’s 12th and 13th so he’s having a good day like so I I see Brisco that way Suarez has really had an off year um just not been good every time I see him he’s trying to stay on the lead lap right that’s when swarez Pops in every broadcast not nearly the numbers but uh Tims what’s your take on Alex Bowman I think you’ve you’ve been on a couple top 10 with him right yeah so this is like this is my take with Bowman he’s the fourth hendrik Carr well I say fourth because the only one hasn’t won yet but he’s 35 to1 to win in a season that’s been dominated by jgr and HMS and he’s plus 125 for a top 10 so you’re getting plus money on the onea or 1B team however you want to put them and he’s had success he’s had what four top 10 last five races I mean Alex Bowman’s gonna win a race this year bet this is this is Alex’s signature we we all disregard Alex Bowman but then he like shows up and he wins a r Alex Bowman wins a race this year Alex Bowman goes to Victory Lane for for just what you said Tims currently statistically this isn’t this isn’t a judge of talent or anything let’s just talk statistics he has been the fourth Hendrick car statistically okay so he’s still the fourth of the eight fastest cars Hendrick and Gibbs he’s one of them so yeah Alex BMA wins a race this year hold on Professor did I hear you you say bet yes BET our Phoenix dinner Phoenix dinner because we know he’s not going to win at Phoenix well I could tell you right now that if it happens before the the dinner I already owe you you’re gonna do that one and Phoenix you’re GNA give me two to one odds on this no you just said he was goingon to win a race we don’t need odds he is I I’ll back Alex Bowman I’ll back Alex Bowman for a phoenix dinner but we’re going to you know where we’re going we’re getting buttercake sure we are I inan I I feel like with this one if Bowman wins since we’re not doing odds I think at least Uno glass should be included for Steve oh I agree it’s going to be I’m just going to have the waitress hidde it underwater on the bill um we have one bet that has already actually been played uh Tims and I played it this afternoon we didn’t want to wait and see it disappear guys you can’t admit that you’re pre- podcast betting that’s that’s if you’re a subscriber right now and you don’t go in their damn twitters and rip their ass don’t worry I saved another one I’m ready to play I’m ready to Hammer as soon as I say it all right so go ahead go ahead Trav go ahead tell the listeners how you screwed them and moved the line already we listen my bets don’t move anything uh but we went and took Chase Elliott m 110 versus Ross Chastain who’s minus 120 yes Ross is the favorite here who’s the next winner TR X we know who’s won this year the next guy to win a race this year true X I I think I agree with Professor I feel like it’s a matter of time they’ve been right there they were on the restart with that’s hard it’s hard to argue against that one he was easily going to win at Kansas so on the predictor let’s start looking at this way highest finisher or firest driver without a win on the predictor TR XO and then Lano cuz Oho I like the 2x I like the TRX Theory just for the just for the same Theory as you just said about Alex Bowman and let’s go further as much as I like Alex Bowman nice kid Martin TRX Jr now he’s a different class of his resume goes in a different file like he a man that you Champion bazillion wins you know like so so for sure and I don’t see anything that says father time is has G him yet right well I only say that cuz that’s what happens to drivers right this isn’t this isn’t just a trueex conversation it’s athletes in general I don’t see anything that says father time has has has got his hooks into Truex yet he’s right up there he’s up front running good and Truex is not a rough driver so I think it’s very outside his characteristics to kind of push and shove so he’s not a pushing and shoving driver I don’t ever want to make it sound like that but he’s elbow up on his restarts like he’s doing he’s side drafting he’s three widen it like I actually had TRX winning on four tires this last week I think if he clears uh the 11 and the nine he got a runoff four coming to the white if he can clear them into one where he can open up his entry into one and doesn’t have to drive in Shallow on the bottom I think TRX is your winner or if two guys take four tires and he lines up in row four not row five so you say that Father Time’s not getting him but do you ever wonder if like he just he still has it though like he’s not showing up to the competition meanings like no I’m worried about that he’s consistent if he had have put four tires on that should have gone forward and ran 10th at Kansas I’d have been like man what happened but he didn’t they dropped the green he was four wide and handsome going into one up around the wall like like that that that guy he’s he’s got the bit still he’s rolling I like that part how about the racing at Kansas we kind of glossed over that Holy Smokes it’s kind of good it was it was every was unbelievable Tims what’s your other bet that you’re ready to fire off right now for the people so that I for the people you know I mean I’m big on Chase Elliott this week uh and for the people I’m betting Chase Elliott to win Group B over reic Bell and Chastain he’s the dog at plus 350 reic bell bell I tell you what Tims man you you did your homework man that’s a that’s a good little find I know he according to the predictor he’s only one spot behind reic he can he can nudge him out the way oh for sure I like that and you think about it plus 350 versus plus 180 if you’re just looking like yeah head-to head huge dog so Tims I love your bets I know you sent out your favorites you had William berer and Tyler reic I love William berer man Willie be is on in Fuego and remember the legano win here was a William Byron win until it wasn’t right he had it now look I have no problem with what Lano did that’s not what I’m saying but legano had to move William coming to the Checker to win that race William ran really really well yeah yeah re reic I like him here but he could be switched out for Trux very easily in my opinion here yep and you get um oh I got to scroll hold on let me scroll TR x 6 to1 red x 750 yeah I see what you’re saying I like them I like them your long shots I like Chase L at 14 to1 Kyle Bush at 15 to1 Brad Kade 181 we’ve covered all three of them so you’re right there top 10’s Boba Wallace my man Bowman you’re thinking about Noah Gregson back on the Hut streak um I’ve got I’ve got a question for you Tims so you you said that this might be a forward week and would you think about going down and just betting top four driver with any of these guys um I mean I’m not a big top manufacturer guy to be honest with you I liked kazlowski without looking at the odds but since he’s the favorite I wouldn’t I wouldn’t do it um my second pick would have been legano or busher maybe but yeah I don’t know I’m not a big top manufacturer guy so I I kind of stay away from it yeah I’m looking at trying to find a pick I love I don’t love him um you know busher Bowman top Chevy maybe 14 to one for Bowman yeah for me I almost need to see four digits to even give a shot I I don’t I’d love to try to tell you about that but I can’t get you there I can’t do it all right so I think that’s where we’re at with top fives top 10 we’ve covered them all let’s just jump right to what got me in trouble last week over and under numbers on the drivers Chris busher 13 and a half man that feels a little disrespectful but I will say the predictor has him at 17 so he has him as a slight over um the under the favorite I know this is awful to say but I’m just going to say it anyway you can almost bet the over every time for all these guys and you’re probably win money like Ryan blay let’s use Ryan blay because he over under 11 and a half how many top 10 is Ryan blay going to have this year Professor probably 16 does he have already or is he gonna have 17 um like how many does he have so far out of 12 races well he’s got five at this point which is probably under his Pace that’s all I’m saying Tims right I’m saying if if like you know like William Byron’s over six and a his number is six and a half the the problem is they don’t offer it for every driver for every race so you can’t you can’t play the odds and do this every week that’s why they don’t you could just bet the over on everybody uh your friend Michael McDow 20 and a half again I feel like after me making such a statement last week and him Mike dropping on Twitter I think out of respect I just have to stay off this bet today yeah because the numbers are going to say over again right Professor yeah I’d stay away from him after last week he’s earned the right it’s a dead Heat at minus 115 at 20 and a half you know you know it’s it’s interesting because in the the two races in 2022 he was top 10 in both of them and then both races last year was 32nd and 33rd so like I want to tell you about the under but I don’t want to jinx a guy so I’m just going to avoid him he’s been the topic he proved us wrong he mighte dropped it we’re just going to let the let the man lie so let’s jump on it Chris busher 13 and a half blay 11 and a half bubble walls 13 and a half William Byron six and a half any of those spark you well let’s go back to blay though so yeah at for a top 10 blay is minus money minus 120 a a spot more and he’s even money is that is that worth it well what do you mean that’s like that’s bad book like a spot more should be worse juice so I’m saying like you that’s something minus more with a spot more that’s what that’s what I’m asking yeah you shop your book if you were going to take him for top 10 you would take them under 11 and a half for even money you know when you look at it that way Trav I would say if I could get Ryan blae even money for a top 10 I would bet it so for that reason under 11 and a half I would say you bet it but we’ve learned it to happen five out of 12 times so you’re kind of right there predictor has a ninth I mean everything says the line’s pretty good imagine that Professor talking to the he finished ninth in both races last year there you go the under screaming screaming on the under I like busher on the under too on the under you’re going I I’m going to tell you right now bbba Wallace is absolutely going to run under 13 and a half all day long but I don’t know if he’s going to finish there cuz this man is snake bit right like like I’m I’m not trying to be a jerk when I say like this guy his pace is actually pretty good but man you got him right at 14 on the predictor I would bet the under just a root for the guy to get to the finish of one of these things yeah he’s been good at Darlington lately too oh he’s good like the guy he he doesn’t Okay so everyone needs more speed let’s just be honest but when you think Bubba Wallace I don’t think man he needs to go faster I’m like man they just need to put it all in the same bucket execute get a little lucky get you know like all of those things right they all kind of add up that’s what I’m looking for right like I’m just they need a complete game yeah exactly that’s it that’s exactly it I think Byron six and a half you just stay away from that right well all I would tell you is what can you get him for a top five top five uh- 105 105 so that mean it’s the same so it’s the same thing so you could get six the same number I’m just saying shop your books but would you would you take that though no I wouldn’t I think he’s either going to win or he’s gonna finish eight he was V so I know he qualified bad well hit the fence got in the back but he stormed into the top 15 and then flatten right out last week how about them double top 10s Tim have you been making any money on there or they’ been sucking you into losing I hit a three uh a three man top 10 last week really yeah little TR X Larson Hamlin cash that um Chastain screwed me with he was with Bowman that was the Tampa Tim sweat of the week uh and boy did that sweat and on the last restart I think he lost that finished 19th Chastain did um I like this week I like my sweat of the week is B moment again but he’s parro Bubba plus 350 just as we’re talking about snake bitten yep that’s why it’s a sweat no you just said it though this is like the greggson top 10 run to make money you got to be the you can’t click on bitcoin and said man if I only would have bought it at a dollar like you got to buy it and hope it goes up like you can’t you know you gota you got to bet it if you’re G to get the front end of the curve yeah I mean I’ve been on Bowman since the start so I’ll ride that till the end I’ll jump on both Tampa Tim me and you both my man we are on the Bowman train oh yeah you want bet dinner too huh Tims want to bet dinner too no no but when Bowman wins I’m flying Tims out just to come to the dinner oh yeah and guess what two steaks two steaks medium plus I can’t wait Seafood Tims will you bet so if you do the Bowman Bubba double will you also bet Bowman on a single top 10 that kind of uh or will you only go one way no I’ll bet it single I like Bowman a lot you got to ride the streak and Bowman Bowman hit last week on the double I didn’t bet him single and I’m regretting it because he was the only one that hit so I’d probably structure it where I can cover plus 350 is juice is is nice price enough where you can structure it so you can make money if one hits and one doesn’t so um I’ll probably figure that out now look you would want to say Larson Hamlin minus 230 lson Trux minus 160 Hamlin Byron minus 150 all those sound good but let me tell you right now when they hit each other running one two and one finishes outside the top 10 it’s like the baddest beat in the world it it I can’t have two guys in the top 10 for minus money no not at all I I don’t even look at those I can’t how about win a stage in a race this doesn’t strike me as a place that you’re going to win a stage in a race it hasn’t hit the last two weeks so I think I’m off with those which means it’s hitting this week probably but they finished like second third they’re right there they just can’t can’t get it done I do stage one in the W in the race before anything really that’s that’s the one that’s happened more often than than stage two it’s plus 240 compared to plus 190 too what else we got to talk about are we going to talk about William Byron running the xinity race oh yeah I forgot he is a shocker he is the favorite plus 275 to win minus 285 for top five Al guy kuster Creed or Al Morel are the next who do you like Professor I see you leaning in glistening let’s hear it I mean you lean you come oh you almost bumped the camera what I like I like a long shot here like uh Carson qule or a Taylor Gray I love Carson qualle top five and Carson was what a restart away from winning two weeks ago was it I’m gonna tell you right now I think I was the guy that said you maybe not top fives or this I was totally wrong this kid has Race Craft is through the roof so good um I’m going to tell you what I love the most about it that he got beat he got beat Ryan TRS beat him two young drivers didn’t run into each other didn’t look like ran through three and four Ryan ran him up the hill like he should like that’s as a compliment took a lane and a half up the hill and K had to give it to him like like it was refreshing to watch these two kids race super refreshing so plus 380 top five is a lot of fun um and Taylor Gray plus 500 in the car in he’s in a Gibbs car oh I would take that I seen anything out of Taylor that I eight why not Darlington he’s been running great in trucks too what’s his truck record at Darlington cuz that track is a little different than most also while he’s looking what do you think about Creed versus Suella Creed getting plus 120 no Creed is really really good at Darlington I mean he’s a m he’s a big Underdog Sheldon Creed is really good at Darlington two truck wins there who’s got two Creed I like that I like that I like Creed plus money against al marola man you might have found the true Tampa Tim sweat you might have to get on that Tampa I don’t know remember he was gonna win he was gonna win too except that Noah grexen crazy move Tims but just bet it now because we know on Saturday you won’t bet it no I wrote in my notes just listen to the professor and follow it blindly don’t ask any questions so pretty soon he’s just gonna be like hey Tims I just sent Professor my log in he’s just going to put a for I said just whatever he says just play it shut up don’t don’t question it I you know what I hate it didn’t point that out but I think trav’s on to some give credit where credits due Creed over Al marola I think it here’s why back to the numbers thing that’s a heads up bet Creed’s a dog I like it and I double check that number is accurate it is live all right so we like qule in gray is Longs William Byron’s obviously the heavy favorite what else are we on guys anybody take any Wells action Wells Fargo action I’m going Saturday I’ll be there are you gonna be there I’ll be there Guess who’s coming we got a guest appearance oh who legal oh okay wait so does that mean you have to be on your best behavior no it means I have a driver I will be I will be at home all right Tampa Tims I’m gonna text you text me I’ll be just got him sent to me three ground tickets GNA be walking around that’s what we got I’ll be I’ll be walking around uh here’s a name that I I kind of like there’s only one right answer to this so I’m listening well there there’s well I’ve actually got two names one Hadi matama top 20 he’s just been good to me plus 150 115 he burned me a couple weeks ago this one is either this one’s either going to you’re going to know like early Thursday that this is going to be a live one and good or you know you’re done Harris English plus 165 top 20 Harris English let me to tell you right now he played well last year Swagger you see that man strut around a golf course he’s got that visor like and he he’s like I’m like man this guy right here he looks like a golfer like I know we got these new Young golfer no no Harris Engish oozes what are you I’m at the country club like he ooes golfer so I think that one I it’s either going to go well real fast you’re he’s going to be like four under through six or he’s off to a bad start and you’re like there goes that b immediately yeah he’s going to miss the cut B too yeah so that’s that’s what kind of what I’m looking at right now what do you got Tims uh I got Max hom to win and top 20 like that bet yeah and then I’m just going to fire off bets when I’m there Saturday I do like waiting to Saturday because I like to be there in person the odds stink but I’m going to tell you who’s going to have a monster week and I think it’s his week I hate to even say it but Rory’s gonna kill him it it would be a big statement if he could considering all the news that’s going on right now that so we got all the news let’s talk about the wells it is a big boy Golf Course like and here’s what’s happening I mean it is did you lose power today Tims by the way I mean some crazy storms came through no I didn’t lose power but it was crazy so here’s what they’re saying you know so the greens are relatively new they’re going to be Rock ass hard so and now we’re going to get rain today for sure we got it already another wave tomorrow so they’re not going to soften up the greens they’re concrete they’re brand new but it’s going to soften up the fair waves which let me tell you you better be a bomber cuz this place is going to be long so if you can’t that’s why I don’t like I mean I don’t hate hom cuz hom moves the ball mhm Rory though I know he probably doesn’t lead in driving distance but it can we all he’s the best driver of the golf ball probably on tour when he hits it he’s the best yeah right so if he can hit with his length and find Fairways Rory is going to be so tough to beat and I know he won but that was the team event and I think he had a great time with o Shane and they paid me that day but I will tell you I think he’s ready to be like Shane that was fun but let me just remind everybody singles back to singles events I think Rory is going to be on a mission now much like you said Trav if he’s on how about this if he’s on the leaderboard take him like if he’s if he’s on the leaderboard on Saturday afternoon but if he starts out cold then if that putter isn’t hot we got trouble the thing with Rory though is you better take him now because if he gets hot like the number the numberers going be to I found him like six and a half to eight to one on three or four different books like it’s not a great you talking about you talking about to win yeah yeah he’s seven I’m seeing 700 right now to win so and that’s the thing though if if he’s if you’re out there and he’s clicking you know first six holes and you want to bet him that numbers it’s just not going to be good so like for Rory you got to bet now uh you know same thing with maxom those guys they’re pop they’re popular too so like everybody wants to bet those guys and have that winning ticket um I’m probably going to bet hole in one just because I’m want to be there you have to mhm trying to think what else I’m really considering um I’ve got a parlay going right now on baseball that I’m monitoring I don’t hate sep straa top Continental Europe player plus 400 I love the nationality bet I got over over uh 12 and a half beers consumed all day for you yeah I hope the over is a major favorite yeah it is heav the only thing it might stop you as the $12 price tag or whatever they are yeah I think I think last I think last year’s number was about 11 or 12 and then I had to switch to the fro a I heard you had a man go about down right yep yep on the 18th Fairway it’s going to be an Uber ride for us to be quite honest because I think legal might have a fro there it was h last year too so it it was very refreshing M did you see the weather buddy yeah 75 and Sunny beautiful oh couldn’t wait what’s it gonna be in Darlington Professor what is it that hit a little too close to home supposed to rain no oh you’re just making fun that I’m in Darlington I’m excited yeah I think it’s funny you’re working we’re not all right ladies and gentlemen all I could tell you it’s it’s a great day to be a gambler we got NASCAR heading to dington all three series uh we got a little truck prediction the professor thinks who’s your pick Professor uh Christian ekis eus Kyle Bush making his final Christian is f Kyle Bush making his final truck start of the year his first ever started Darlington then we’re going to roll on to uh the exfinity series we have William Byron as the heavy favorite couple youngsters we’re going to be keeping an eye on in the qule camp and the Taylor Gray camp and then we move to Sunday which is heavy hitter Sunday we got lson Hamlin at the top of the board Tampa Tims loves Byron got a couple other uh he’s he’s heavy on The Bowman train he’s staying he’s a first class ticket he’s sticking on it Wells Fargo’s in town at Charlotte we got playoff hockey we got playoff basketball we have action Galore get all your bets in and may all your bets pay off