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[Music] the SE hey get this sew yo what’s up everybody uh Happy Tuesday I’m back after a day off I played in a um charity golf event yesterday went well we actually were somewhat close to winning our group finished 11 under no really no thanks to me I didn’t play particularly well but we had a a couple of of good players in the group it was a scramble so yeah we finished 11 under a lot of alcohol consumed as as you do in those uh charity outings uh but let’s get back to it we got um two playoff NHL games two playoff NBA games and then 14 MLB games so why don’t we get right into it Carolina on the road at New York and the Rangers took game one and I wanted to debet the Rangers in that game obviously I don’t know much about these two teams but when I I saw the Rangers as home dogs I feel like I wanted to just bet that blindly the Rangers one of the best teams in hockey and they’re they’re underdogs at home and but we’re looking at the same exact thing here do you think the Rangers take the second one as well it’s not happening today kan’s kan’s take game two I got Hurricane’s money line the reason why the canes lost game one was just bad discipline they took a lot of penalties and as a result like the Rangers have a great power play and they gave up a uh what two Power Play Goals in the first period um so obviously like Yeah The Penalty kill needs to step up but like just don’t take the penalties to begin with like you just need to be more disciplined and I think they clean it up uh today the Rangers obviously had the advantage of special teams on the power play penalty kill um so obviously kan’s had a bad start to game one but the ending was better they scored twice in the third uh maybe they ride their momentum from the two goals in the third and if you look at the expected goals in that game Carolina won it was 4.44 to 2.18 so I think this is just a great bounceback spot to the canes obviously they’re going to clean it up they probably got yelled at by their coach for for taking all those penalties like I think yeah they clean it up today they get they tie the series up one1 heading back to Carolina so hurricanes money line wow I mean Rangers take game one and then har uh Carolina’s even more of a favorite in game two definitely a sharp move to play him yeah I mean everyone’s betting the Rangers of course that’s what I would think so screw it I’m doing I’m down let’s do it Hurricane’s up let let me start my uh my watch list and get that on Hurricane’s money line okay the poll actually as far as our viewers there’s more people voting hurricane than I thought um it’s Rangers did win the poll but not by much so there’s definitely a lot of people out there that agree with you that think Carolina evens the series up it’s not as one-sided as I thought the poll would be um Shipley in the comments says bad pick yeah of course Shipley’s an idiot dude he probably took the Panthers yesterday oh Shipley did you take the Panthers yesterday let’s see what he says starsus 128 over 6 and a half as is common in these Colorado Avalanche games a lot of offense not so much on the defensive side uh what have this is game two what happened in game one of this series oh this is game one oh this is game one I was well that makes sense why I don’t remember game one then all right so brand new series do you think he uh seems like the stars have wred the ship after dropping games one and two at home against Vegas seems like they got back on track do they handle business here uh definitely uh they definitely got back on track I don’t know if they handle business Ser so my bets are the over 6 and a half and the first period over one and a half so usually early in the series overs are the moves like this is what we did in the first round we kind of took a lot of overs early in the series game one two three and then after that is when like it really like starts to tighten up that’s when unders start printing like we hit hit a ton of unders uh late in the series so um Alexander gorv uh AB goalie really turned it around after game one I mean like props to him but but the stars are a much better offensive team than the Jets like they like he was he was set up with like a perfect like team to kind of bounce back against like the Jets they’re they’re not they’re not on the same level as the stars in terms of uh just offense I mean and what really won the series for the ABS was their offense of course like it’s just it’s just too good like they’re insanely good in the power play and a 55 like after game one they just completely dominated so and obviously they are well rested but you know what people say rest equals rust so like we saw the Panthers they won their Series in five games they had a bunch of days off what do they do game one they go they give up five goals to the Boston BR come outat yeah that’s what I’m saying so like I could I could see the ABS come out flat I could see the the Stars put up a bunch of goals and I can also see the ABS score a bunch of goals because um I think the ABS are a lot more capable offensively than the golden knights so yeah I trust both these teams to get get it done offensively but not so much defensively I think this this is like a kind of game that um could like really get out of hand like defensively like maybe I don’t think as crazy as game one with uh abs and jets like not 76 but I think we could see like um like 54 like 65 kind of game so yeah over first period over and I might throw a bit on a both teams to score in the first period as well that should be like plus 150 both teams to scores at plus 150 in the first period gun to your head to pick a side here um I’d say Avalanche honestly just because they’re underdogs like I I I really can’t take a side in this in this gameer series so so well if you well if you feel it’s a coin flip take the side at plus money right exactly exactly um so Community actually the viewers actually agree with that 45% said that they would take Colorado here just 33% taking Dallas so Community likes the Avalanche all right so make sure you guys give system plays a follow on Twitter that’s his name right there he’s also tagged in the Tweet so if you follow me you can see his name right in the Tweet there sister Place talk to you later manam see it all right let’s get into some NBA I told them four o’ so we got whoa where’s where did I go hold on [Music] for some reason my camera disappeared from the threers template that’s better all right here we go all right now we’ll wait for my uh MBA guest we got crispy Capp and Matt Modi joining momentarily I’ll get the poll up so we can get it started but we got uh uh 7 eight minutes to [Music] kill over to 11 and A2 under to 11 A2 all right poll’s running what do you guys think about this one yep votes coming in on the uh Boston Celtics here as you would expect Celtics via public beheading um weren’t the Celtics known for not covering big numbers at home they there was a stretch where that was a thing overall not really but there was definitely a a two or three uh week stretch in there I want to say it was like late February into early March where the Celtics at home would give every cover away at the end but towards the end I mean we just saw him beat the heat by like 40 points so towards the end um that really wasn’t the case but I I know what you’re talking about though that was a thing at at some point Cavs take game one by six plus that’s ballsy Nick Johnson six plus Cavs take game one and comfortably he says there’s a fine line between ballsy and dumb uh is Jared Allen playing yes I think he is oh no he’s actually questionable I assumed he was playing why did I assume that why did I assume Jared Allen was going to play to be honest part of the reason that I’m not up on that information is I kind of didn’t care if he played um there wasn’t really much of a noticeable difference with Cleveland with or without Jared Allen Jared Allen’s last two games active the magic beat the cows by like 38 and 25 points or some [ __ ] and so I don’t I don’t I’m not a Jared Allen hater or anything I just don’t think he really moves the needle for me with Cleveland I feel like Evan Moy is the Cav’s best interior Defender maybe the rebounding goes down a little bit without him Alan Allen being out as part of white Donovan Mitchell’s exploded offensively he finally has space on offense I mean how much space offensively does Jared Allen take up that Evan Mobley wouldn’t at the five I I mean he did go off Mitchell in the last couple games but Jared Allen didn’t play in game five either and Donovan Mitchell was terrible expert are saying Boston doesn’t win finals another bust another bad Mark for Tatum and brown yeah they’re not going to win the finals but it’s not CU of the Cleveland Cavs it’s because of the freight train they’re about to see in the next round a everybody know that Allen is a turd deep analysis there Nicks will beat the Celtics Nick Johnson I like this guy Nick Johnson Nick Johnson sees is seeing the board well mle’s been terrible offensively without Allen yeah I mean he started off game one of this series and he hit those two threes in the in the first quarter he had a huge first half in game one and it was like oh [ __ ] this is going to be a Moy series since that moment Evan Moy has not done much and and when he gets looks offensively I feel like I’m never satisfied with the shot he gets I’m always like uh that’s an ugly shot uh his offensive bag needs work not having Randall will catch up to you Nicks not y’all year you can make an argument that the Knicks are better without Julius Randall and I’m a Julius Randle guy but I would rather see those minutes go to Josh Hart ogan and noi hartenstein I mean who would you who would you take minutes from to give to Julius Randall at this point the Nicks jul Randle is an offensive guy and the Knicks offense is the best this year that it’s ever been Knicks are third in offensive efficiency in the NBA without Randall um and they they got better as the year progressed so the Knicks offense is humming right now clearly Julius randle’s not a defensive piece he’s a scorer but the Knicks offense is playing great and it has been for months so I I I’m this isn’t a negative point on Julius Randall I just feel like the Nick that the way the Knicks work works better without him oh hello Matthew no I know that’s why I said hello one sec let me get you on the screen Josh Lander Talking Shop Talking Shop how’s Josh doing good he’s good we were just uh going through mostly talking about the Knicks game tomorrow because I mean we’re talking about from a prop perspective so not that this would be your thing but I really had no idea what to do like I don’t have that many takeaways from game one that I thought oh this is this is how I’m going to Target game two other than and this I’m curious on your thoughts on I think the Knicks beat the [ __ ] out of them tomorrow is what I already laid the points yeah I did the same thing I got I got four and a half in minus 110 which is a pretty good price because everywhere else is five or five and a half yeah I I’m I think I got I would have to I already beted and put it in the Discord though so like I’m already in on the Knicks um the way I see it is that was a Pacer shot they do the Knicks couldn’t protect the basketball they ripped so many turnovers they dominated the turnover battle and still lost that game if the Knicks don’t turn the ball over like that they win by 10 plus um so yeah I’m on the Knicks of game two um I I could see a sweep yeah and I I thought that the Pacers would win and definitely cover game one cuz I was like you know the Knicks are coming from a rock fight pun punch you in the mouth Series against the Sixers and then they’re going up against this like pace and space super fast offense in the Pacers I just thought that they weren’t quite going to be prepared for it so I thought that they were GNA win and then I I knew that game two they’re gonna beat the crap out of them half right and they will uh so Chris is here let’s get started um Cavs at Celtics game one um pole is running go ahead and cast your votes my thoughts on this series are pretty simple here guys um so actually I can pull up some graphics for you guys one sec um because my my thoughts on this series are what what did we see from Cleveland in the first series they won obviously the interior defense looked okay uh but for me watching that Series this was such a huge factor of it right you know what I’ll just screenshot it and bring an image of it one sec probably should have been prepared for this all right so I’m bringing on the screen now to me such a big part of that first series against the magic for Cleveland was right here the Orlando Magic missing wideopen shots um they were getting them too and now you could argue that the Cavs were letting them have the shots I could see that but 16.93 Point attempts per game that were considered wide open AKA 6 ft or more of space so the matrick we’re getting these wide open looks and not hitting them hitting him at 30.5% that’s terrible in today’s NBA you hit you better hit close to 40% or more of your wide openen three-point looks 34.5% is awful meanwhile the Boston Celtics as we know one of if not the best three-point shoot three-point shooting team in the NBA for two years now they just played the Miami Heat a team that does not let you get wide open looks the Celtics had just average just 12.2 wide open three-point shots per game and they hit 5.4 of them so despite having almost five less attempts per game they still hit more than the magic shooting over 44% basically I say that to say those wide openen looks that the uh Magic were missing Boston’s not going to miss him and what what else do we see from Cleveland in that uh in that first series against Orlando right can’t score on can’t score on the road can’t score I can’t do anything on the road on the road um where’s screen capture I think it’s window capture boom Oh man they can’t oh wait wait wait one second there we go so I I share my screen Cavs on the road last series in Orlando those three games negative 24.9 net rating meaning for every 100 possessions they were losing by 24 .9 points Dead last in the NBA in the playoffs this year by far there was not a worst Road team in the playoffs in the first round so Boston’s going to have plenty of room to shoot the three-point shot keep in mind Cleveland was one of the worst three-point defenses in the NBA in the final month and half of the regular season Celtics are going to shoot the three-point shot and the Cavs sucked on the road in Orlando how do you not take Boston here um I personally bet this weird ass same game parlay because I’m definit a little bit scared of the Celtics giving away a huge lead and blowing a late cover like that we’ve seen them do a bunch of times so personally what I did is this oh you know what I don’t even have a Graphic for it U so I’ll put Boston minus 12 and a half and I’ll tell you what it did so I did Boston money line parlay in the same game parlay with Boston team total over 105 a half and Cleveland team total under 105 a half it’s disgusting but that’s what I bet um it would only be Boston for me I’m just a little scared ski like Boston first half which makes some sense as well and I have a feeling Chris might might be on that as well guys go go ahead M go ahead M um I’m totally I’m with you on the Celtics I think I got them at minus 12 um I like the the history of teams having a seven game series and then with one day of rest playing the next game is not good last year um it did not work did not work well for those teams coming off of a seven game series including the Celtics who lost I mean they lost the first three games but lost game one of the heat after the Sixers series um and the Cavaliers like congrats you beat the magic their first time through the playoffs in seven where you couldn’t win a road game like they scored 83 89 and 96 points in three games against the magic just totally out on the Cavs I think it’s going to be a complete be burial for this game tonight and in my player prop um I had Jaylen Brown over six and a half first quarter points uh the dude’s just a first quarter King he had he had 10 last game against the um against the Heat in with with porzingis out of the lineup he did that despite not even playing eight minutes which he normally plays well over eight sometimes into like nine 10 minutes on the year with christops porzingis out he went over in 12 of 20 games including the one playoff game against the Heat and he’s played well against the Caps like even with porzingis in the lineup he went over this in two of three games against the Caps the one game he missed scored five points it was two of eight from the field like he’s going to put up another eight shots in my opinion um and I think he’s got a good matchup against the Cavaliers so historically just shoots starts fast gets majority of his shot up shots up in the first quarter and then it’s Tatum from there so that’s where I went with this one I officially gave out both the Celtic spread and this Jaylen Brown first quarter points Jaylen Brown over six and a half first quarter points whose Donovan Mitchell prop is this then that so I have that as well um for a three quarters of a unit I also I guess I I I didn’t even realize that I gave that to I think I might have accidentally sent this one instead of the next one I did also give out this play but Brown is your favorite yeah I didn’t want to have three in the same game I think I might have messed up my graphics and send him the wrong one but we’ll see for the next one yeah we’ll find out the hard way uh yeah Chris what are your thoughts yes uh it’s very similar to what you said like um there’s no way I could bet Cleveland in this spot just based on how well how poor their defense was when they went to Orlando first and foremost and as you mentioned the three-point shots that Orlando could not make I’m talking about fron Wagner man if he’s not in a gym shooting basketball right now like I’m going be so frustrated if I see him having any kind of fun this off season and I hate to be that kind of fan but uh yeah I mean Boston isn’t going to miss these shots and when you just think about the rest Advantage right it’s a humongous rest aventage I think it’s like seven days to two and uh I looked at Cleveland they finished 10 and 14 uh against the spread on the road this season as Road dog so they only covered 42% of the time and then the 16 games where they lost as a road dog uh just two and 14 against the spread they they they didn’t cover those games by uh they lost those games by average of 15 and a half points and Boston 24 18-2 against the spread as home favorites and when they they they were 13 uh 7-2 which is 65% when they were laying double digits as home favorites this season they won those games out of those what is that 22 games they won by average margin of 21 points so and Boston is a plus 11 on the full season so I know we talk about like you know being afraid of lay these big numbers with Boston this open at 10 and a half wish I had taken it there but uh it’s only Boston you can still get a 12 uh as well so the only reason I stayed off the first half C and I couldn’t you know C I think ski on the right side there but I think uh as this game goes on Cleveland probably runs out of gas late being that they are coming off one day’s rest remember they traveled from game four game five game six and game seven were all in different Arenas and now you only have one day arrest and it’s a travel day to get all the way to B well not all the way to Boston but get to Boston as well so I think as the game goes on um they really really struggle to score and I think even though the Celtics are a minus six in the in the fourth quarter specifically in the playoffs because they gain these big leads early I do think that they able to maintain in this spot I like I like Boston in here yeah and I mean I said I took Boston in that game five I think I laid 14 and a half and you and ski were were leaning or at least leaning yeah and they were like you guys were like guys they at the end of the game Boston will put their take their foot off the gas and I was like they’re going to be up 40 points at that at that point in the game that’s exactly what happened yeah so I’m on Boston here I bet it in a weird way but I I do like the Celtics our poll 56% to 30% on 500 votes holy [ __ ] A lot of people voted in the poll 56% to 30% Boston so it’s definitely going to be the uh the public side not scaring me off or anything uh but I mean you probably guessed that going in that Boston is going to be the public side against Cleveland at home next game Dallas Oklahoma City the only Series in the second round that won’t be a [Laughter] sweepy that’s a old statement but I swear I don’t think it’s crazy it won’t happen three of four sweeps that would be crazy I mean you all four of them it’ be like your bet at the end of the year where you took those dogs to cover one of them you know going to win outright um yeah I mean in the Minnesota if Jamal Murray gets suspended or dude first of all how do you not suspend he threw something on to the court I’ve never even and he missed that makes him three for 19 on dude they they gave Anthony Edwards a tactical for looking at a dude and Jamal Murray’s whipping things from the bench at the ref like come on this whatever we’re not talking about that series than shout out to Minnesota for the money line hit um Dallas on the road to Oklahoma City game one here and I feel like everyone hates my bet in this one but you know who co-signed it ski I was on his show early today and and he agrees with me he was the first person I’ve heard that is also here um I’m on the in this one I bet it started at it’s opened at 214 A2 it’s up to 2182 now I don’t I don’t want to say I don’t see what the Market’s seeing when they’re betting o overs I guess they’re looking at the head-to-head matchups between these two teams in the regular season because all four times these two teams met this year it was a high-scoring game and would have went over this total so I guess that’s what people are seeing but the change in Pace from the regular season to the playoffs across the league is dramatic you’re seeing teams that run 101 102 possessions per game down at 92 93 um it’s the playoffs it’s it’s more defensive it’s slower paced that’s just how it is and it’s it’s been especially like that this year the Dallas Mavericks are running about 91 a half 92 possessions per game that’s a slow pace um so I I expect the pace to be much much slower in this game than they W than it was in the four regular season matchups so that’s number one but also I like the matchup for both defenses here um first of all Oklahoma City I was far more impressed with the defense in this first opening Series against the Pelicans then the offense yes it’s the Pelicans without Zion which isn’t a very dangerous offense of course but they were still hitting their outside shots and they I me it wasn’t like a garbage team but whatever I was impressed with the defense they played really great defense in in that whole series I don’t think the Pelicans hit Triple digits once um were that it was definitely a bit of an under Series so I like the OK the way that Oklahoma City’s defense is playing and I was talking about it in during that series when we were breaking down the the Thunder Pelicans games I was saying guys this Oklahoma City defense got red hot to close out the season they’re coming in with a hot defense and I’m pretty sure I bet Oklahoma City every single game um so I I rode Oklahoma City’s defense right through that series to uh 3 And1 against the spread um so I like Oklahoma City’s defense Luca donic is he not healthy he’s not hitting his outside shots at all he’s he’s shooting terribly inefficient from outside so I think Dallas is going to struggle to score points here um so that’s Oklahoma City’s defense and then on the other side you got Dallas defense I’m breaking out the uh breaking out some more uh spread uh Graphics here got to get the graphics going um because I want to show you guys something one second okay so there’s the Cavs on the road we already talked about that but check this out okay so you got this is the first round Clippers and Thunder and this is what I want to point out look at the wide open shots the Thunder were getting they had so many 19.1 a game two point field goals four fet or more space 34.1 a game three-point field goals four feet or more space wide open three-point attempts with six feet or more space 21.8 attempts per game the Clippers were getting no open looks at all in fact lowest of all playoff teams basically you got the who took more wide open shots than any other team in the playoffs in the first round and you got the Clippers who played the Mavericks and had the least amount of wide open looks in the NBA so all those wide open looks that the Thunder were getting against the Pelicans defense Dallas doesn’t let you get open shots especially open three-point shots we’re talking nine full less attempts per game the Clippers than the thunder in the first round so I think Oklahoma City’s offense is in for a bit of a wakeup call this Dallas Mavericks team was playing great defense down the stret of the regular season and we’ve seen this before we’ve seen this Dallas Mavericks team get hot defensively right before the playoffs it happened in 2022 when they went to the Western Conference Finals so I expect the Mavericks defense to really show up as well love the matchup for both defenses I think it’ll be slower paced and to quote Chris it’s game one first half it’s a feel out game one first half uh he called it in the uh Dallas Min I mean the uh Denver Minnesota game one he took the first half under it hit by like 15 points he was spot on with that it’s game one of a new series it’s a feel out they’ll start off slow so if you want to take the first half under instead I can feel that but I’m on the under 218 and a half sorry for rambling no all good um yeah I don’t have anything on the main line on this one I really just didn’t didn’t know what to do uh the player prop that I have is PJ Washington three plus made three-pointers so we’ll see if there’s a yeah okay so there is a graphic for that I put a half unit on this one to be clear this is not a full unit play um I knew I wanted to back PJ Washington for couple reasons his Mainline over under is at one and a half but it’s priced like minus 145 I just didn’t think that was worth it so I upped the three-pointer to three instead of two and I just put a half unit on it um without Maxi kba this is I think personally this is gonna be a massive series for PJ Washington because whenever they want to go five out and play Four Shooters around Luca kba is the five he’s out for the series neither Derrik Lively nor Daniel Gafford can shoot so I think that they might try to see if they can get away with putting PJ on chat because PJ is he’s he’s six7 so it’s not it’s not like he’s a shrimp he’s also not nearly as tall as a center but Chad hram is not someone that’s going to like he’s not yonas balunis he’s not going to dominate you down low with your with his back to the basket so I do think that they’re going to try to get away with it and regardless PJ Washington’s defense is going to be really important in this series I do think that his playing time is going to be there and then in terms of the actual matchup the Thunder were one of the worst defenses in the NBA at allowing Corner thre pointers and allowing catch and shoot three-pointers in general it’s their aggressive style of Defense they don’t give up give up a lot on balls they give up a lot of catch and shoot stuff um if you look at the entire season they gave up literally the most Corner three-point attempts in the NBA the second most catch and shoot three-point attempts in the NBA and the fourth most via spot up which is basically just a catch catch and shoot opportunity since PJ Washington has been on the Mavericks that’s all he does on offense he stands in the corner and he catches and he shoots not only has he taken the most Corner threes on the Mavericks since the All-Star break but literally the 10th most attempts in the entire NBA again since the All-Star break and his attempts in the playoffs have just gone up from that number that it was from the All-Star break on uh so I think this could be a massive series for PJ Washington if he misses it in game one I might honestly go right back to it in game two because I think it’s such a good spot for him so we’ll see um but yeah just for the people the the graphic up here is a half unit play okay PJ Washington three plus three-pointers made Chris before you get into what you your your bet is can you at least tell me if you agree with the under because I feel like I’m the only one yeah yeah you know what initially let give you a little preface uh UK Capper likes the over in Oklahoma City team total over we’re on exact opposite sides I so I was looking towards OKC team total over as well in the beginning but I I didn’t I I didn’t bet it I didn’t bet it and and you you make you make some valid points I think the the one thing I wor I kind of worry about is um from from Dallas defensive perspective I actually like OKC in this fight I think home favorite with the rest Advantage here uh you know I think they I just don’t want to bet against them at home like we we’ve seen this team really turn up at home uh but you make a lot of great points C towards the under so offensively we’re looking at the second best offense at home we got to remember that the Oklahoma City Thunder finished the season 33 and8 straight up they have the highest net rating in the in the uh playoffs so far unless um you know Minnesota overtook them yesterday with that blowout uh I think they were like plus 26 yesterday but they’re they’re plus 14.8 which is the second best margin behind the Boston Celtics third in point scored 122.8 perb 100 possessions and um defensively second as well opponent field goal opponent points per 100 possessions is 51% effective field goal percentage and Dallas doesn’t turn the ball over a lot but OKC is third and turnover uh uh percentage as well for their opponents and they limiting teams to 108 points per 100 possessions so this is where I agree with you that you know I don’t I think it’s going to be very difficult for Dallas to score and I think that they could potentially steal a game I don’t think that like you said I think this is going to be the most competitive series as well but I don’t think it’s going to be game one I think OKC is feisty they’re hungry and um I kind of look at this series like both teams here’s the reason why I didn’t play The Underground because both series both teams in my opinion are coming off Series where uh we saw key offensive guys out right there was no Ka Leonard or you could say kawh Leonard played and kind of messed it up for the Clippers in that last series for Dallas and then on the opposite side you know Zion being a part I think we’ve see a lot more offense uh in the Oklahoma City and Pelicans series as well so I stayed away from the total but I do kind of I can kind of see it going both ways and that for that reason I kind of stayed away from the total I do like OKC minus three and a half here um also I looked at one Trend I wanted to point out real quick was um home favorites coming off a site facing an opponent that went at least six games in the first round in the in their last round are 18 and4 straight up excuse me there’s a plus 13 and point differential here 15- 7 against the spread that’s 68.2% as well so I like OKC a little bit more uh than I like the total but um I think I would agree with you here and maybe even the first half like you said I didn’t look into that K wasn’t thinking about running it back but that makes a ton of sense here as well yeah and I think if you put a gun to my head and force me a Best Bet aside it would be Oklahoma City and something that kind of supports your point on um your your side with Oklahoma City if you remember this graphic I just had up with the wide open shots and what I said was Oklahoma City’s not going to get all those wide open looks um against Dallas that they got against uh New Orleans because look what Dallas did the Clippers but you could also make the Counterpoint that Oklahoma City is far better than the Clippers at creating wideopen looks um you could say hey that’s not the defense they played that’s that’s how good Oklahoma City is they get open looks because that’s how their offense runs so there is a Counterpoint to what I said um if you are in Oklahoma City um but yeah I’m I’m going to stick my under stick on my under our P wow this is dead split in this one um kind of further kind of confirms the point that we think this series is going to be super competitive because our own viewers split down the middle 45% on the Thunder 42% on Dallas uh really split and yeah this is what everyone’s talking about in the uh so I I I didn’t bet this game so I wasn’t even paying attention to it the Texas Rangers are up 11 nothing in the second Inning on Oakland right now so that’s what everyone’s bickering about in the thing apparently Oakland’s getting smacked uh so all right let’s uh let’s talk some MLB baseball oh make sure you guys give Chris a follow uh Chris P CPP is his Twitter handle’s right on the bottom he’s got a YouTube channel where he uploads he does an early morning show so if you’re a early riser he’s he’s live early going through NBA and he does WNBA as well that’ll be next week so Chris thanks for coming on we’ll talk soon man absolutely C appreciate you guys uh mod y’all have a great night appreciate you having me on as always best of luck to the community tonight man let’s get some cash yes sir see Chris all right let’s let’s bring on the uh the one they call prop eav that’s what they call him that’s what they call him you good oh that was you making that noise I thought it was Mo got to get got to get limber no that was that was bie I mean think that’s a Bieber that makes that noise that’s a beaver noise all right um I have to take a piss real quick before we get started entertain the troops for about 40 seconds I hate when you do that um you need to install him to just have like a diaper system we just we need a piss break a little like piss break video that goes on the screen a little like public service announcement I don’t know what the hell needs to go on what needs to not go on is uh just like a cold opening where I just gets poured onto me to entertain people what’s up guys um great slate we have ahead of us today I mean look at this first matchup Kent Mi Logan Allen I’m feeling great today I’m operating at about 60% Health the allergies really getting to me you sound sick is Kenta the vampire uh he is part vampire definitely um he did he did do pretty well his last time in a day game I think it’s partially because the Cardinals suck so much ass that they defy all laws of day and night so I think that partially they defi that Trend but yeah I I still consider him a day Walker I mean for this one I’m probably leaning with like the first five under here I see some people on the over in this game which I really don’t understand I mean I know people don’t like Logan Allen people don’t like what they’ve seen from MAA thus far but both of these offenses are absolutely dead right now maa’s looked significantly better his last two games uh he got lit up by the Guardians last season but he’s doing so much better against lefties right now facing a Guardians lineup that has seven in it I think he could pitch pretty well here with the momentum he has heading into this one especially at night where we’re much more comfortable betting him um and then in terms of Logan Allen yeah he’s stunk thus far there’s no denying that but guess what the Tigers against lefties on the road 28th in WRC Plus at home they’re third they just have done nothing against the lefties that they’ve seen on the road thus far and while Logan Allen isn’t the best of those lefties I think that he could hold them to two or less here so with what what I would lean in this one first five under four and a half minus 105 um I think that’s the best value in this game I don’t know if I gave it to Andy as a graphic um but yeah we’ll find out now uh are you sick prop yes all right work from home tonight Jesus all right uh first five under four and a half you do have a Graphic here mod I see a dong in here yeah I got a dong for this one dong or Tuesday um I went with Riley green to hit a home run plus 575 odds was the best offer price earlier today I I forgot to check with with the updated price was um I just don’t think the books know what to do with this guy he’s been he’s been pricing like the 600s High 500s for for weeks now he’s been on fire he’s hit six home runs in the last two weeks and all of his Advanced metrics are phenomenal granted when you hit six home runs in 14 days that’s going to be the case but he’s got the second highest ISO rate in the MLB over the last two weeks 43 and a half% a barrel rate of 21.2% that’s the six sixth best in the MLB both those numbers are considered excellent by fangraph standard standard just phenomenal ISO rate and Barrel rate and then he’s got an average exit velocity of 94.8 uh that’s something that I’ve looked into a lot more recently basically like when they make contact how how fast does the ball leave the bat anything that 95 and above is considered a hard hit by MLB St or by Fang graph standards 94.8 is right there but basically anytime he makes contact it’s almost considered a hard hit uh that number is 10th best in the MLB over the last two weeks uh he is admittedly better against right-handed pitching than he is against lefties but his ISO rate on the entire season against lefties is up to 26.9% that’s still in the excellent category over the last two weeks granted it’s only been 11 plate appearances so it is a small sample size but 40% ISO rate against lefties flyball ratio of 50% that’s perfect this is this is one of the better weather games for a home run to be hit it’s humid the wind’s blowing out of the ballpark and Logan Allen is uh not a great pitcher for the Guardians allows a flyball ratio 47.6% a pull rate of 50% allowing a barrel rate of 99.5% all those are great numbers for home run hitters against that pitcher so one of three dong predictions today I got two yesterday we’ve been hot for the last 10 days or so on dongs so after a brutal brutal start to April things are turning around uh so let’s hope that this would be great this is the juiciest one of the day this one would be great we got you’ll love to see it you’ll love to see it and doesn’t love a juicy dog I mean who doesn’t right you took it there anyway um prop I’d go right here um I’d just go tigers’s money line there’s no class for Cleveland tonight I like Ma and he got off to a rough start pitching a few day starts in a row so I think judging by his full season numbers that he’s undervalued Logan Allen is absolute [ __ ] A Plus 114 with no CL available I think Detroit would be the move um uh yeah if you’re putting a if you’re putting the barrel of a gun to my head and you’re saying be make a choice I’m going there with you just because of the bullpen Edge uh late but I mean the Tigers have not hit lefties on the road it has been brutal dud Logan Allen is not a normal Lefty I I know he’s subhuman but uh I don’t know subhuman I think we need to wait and I I we’ll see if even the subhuman lefties are uh pitching well against detroy that home oh how about this I put it on the watch list and I’ll make a decision later hey um all you do someone asked the lowest I would take the Riley Green Home Run prop it’s at plus 600 at FanDuel that’s even better odds that I would get it at so I would I mean I would definitely take it at plus 600 if I gave it out at 575 all right next up Angels Pirates prer my boys on the mound propaver not a prer Believer priest are you coming around on prer atheist no I actually I actually wanted to be a Priester guy because I saw there some dope notes about him uh in the spring like making some adjustments to his Arsenal and him improving and all um I didn’t particularly want to back the priest here because I think his offense is Duty um so I took sandal under two and a half earned runs allowed you get that a plus 100 uh sometimes the gross bets those are the best ones and Patrick sandal has been absolutely awful this season 591 erra 169 whip 11% walk rate why are we backing the guy well in my opinion he’s extremely unlucky I mean 4.3 Barrel rate is Elite 368 xfip is really good 25.7k percentage is one of the highest marks in his career it’s really just the babip in the left on base percentage where he’s getting absolutely screwed right now and he’s facing a pirates offense that just looks dead as dirt last seven lefties to face him 183 ER less than a half home run per nine 117 whip I mean since April 11th Pirates are 25th in WRC plus and 30th in ISO against lefties through the first six innings last six to seven lefties to face them went under this Mark averaging just 1.1 runs allowed uh and the only guy who went over was Tyler Anderson who’s in the exact opposite spot he’s a guy who’s been getting lucky all season and regression finally struck for him I think we’re going to see the opposite for santal today him finally get lucky I mean during that cold streak what have the Pirates been doing against Sandoval’s pitch mix they’re 26th in Slug 29th in ISO and 28th in B uh batter run value if we do some line reading sandville outs line is at 15 and a half used over with 16 plus outs going back to 2022 he’s under his last 21 to 24 starts and 12 straight road starts averaging 0.9 so that’s what I went with there especially at plus money I got at minus 110 but at plus money I really like that I mean I don’t even think that’s even a weird bet or a bad look we’re talking about the Pirates lineup here which is one of the worst in baseball you can see the Pirates bats overall last 30 days the literal worst lineup in baseball um actually against lefties recently not too bad but they just fac Tyler Anderson who’s absolute yeah but like some people some people would put sandal in that same discussion one of the worst home lineups at home let’s see the recent Lefty starters the Pirates have seen yeah you like you said they got to Tyler Anderson before that Austin Goomer blanked them Goomer that’s what I’m saying in fact if you take out to the crib in fact if you take out Tyler Anderson when was the last time a lefty gave up more than two and a half runs to the Pirates 020 1 one zero so yeah I actually like that bed and I don’t Place those kinds of of of uh player props but I I’m inclined to tell you on that and I also like how when he when prop baver takes these bets he takes out the unearned runs has to be over two and a half earned runs I like this because um like a lot of the time especially with like a guy like sandville you see like a correlation with the outs where if they’re getting past the fifth inning they’re going into that sixth like usually they’re pitching extremely well anyway so you just like look for the outs correlation and you you get a massive discount by doing the earned runs instead of the first five team total half the time and your runs have to be earned so that’s I switched it from Angel’s money line to just under seven and a half angels have been doing nothing lately in the past like few days they’ve scored like one run I think their last four or five games under seven and a half yeah these are an ice cold Angels lineup and an absolutely [ __ ] Pirates lineup Modi um this was a lean for me I midly didn’t bet it myself I actually would lean towards the Pirates on this one mostly just fading the Angels who I think are complete and utter Lo complete and utter losers especially without Mike Trout what what do that look they’re you bet they’re Pirates the angels are losers but you’re betting the Pirates well to be honest I I was looking at their uh stats against lefties I I honestly didn’t realize how heavily it was weighted towards that one start of against Tyler Anderson because I saw like they’re top 10 in like every statistical measure specifically against lefties against righties they’re awful admittedly they’re like literally last in almost every category but against lefties they’re not so bad so maybe that would have been a a first five money line as opposed to full um but I like Pirates first five wouldn’t be a bad look um because I do like prer yeah and that that was also part of it too I like prer as well granted his his Advanced stats so that he is getting a little bit lucky to have the ra that he has um but he doesn’t he’s more so an average pitcher than than an electric one but um yeah like I said this was a lean I I didn’t I didn’t love it but this is more so just fading the Angels especially without Mike Trout let’s move on because this game sucks uh the next up we got snakes at Great American Ballpark the Dbacks are in Great American does that mean you’re betting the snakes or you just enjoy making the noise I just like making the noise uh since that Rick and Morty episode with the snake Jazz I just love snake jazz is good stuff good stuff man I thought you were doing dodgeball the Purple Cobras um so Zack Allen on the road we take the Reds is there many more complicated than that I took the over um I think that both of these offenses both of these underwhelming offenses can get going here that’s what I leaned um I just think that you got two talented arms on down two dead lineups I mean what could possibly go wrong well I think there’s value in both of them getting hit up here I mean Frank Frankie montos yeah he looked good as first two starts but look at the last three starts 939 ER 23 home run per nine 603 xfi I mean on the season the guy now owns a 419 erra a 4.8 K tobb percentage which is absolutely putur and a 145 whip I know the Dbacks offense has been absolutely horrendous lately but they did just absolutely throttle Matt walren they are streaky offense maybe that’s sign of things to come on the other side we got Zach Allen whose uh last start was cut short due to a hamstring issue and he’s been much more vulnerable on the road thus far I mean the ER six points higher the Home Run per nine 2.5 points higher whip uh point5 higher uh and he’s also been more vulnerable to lefties and that’s pretty key here because the Reds start five of them and they’re their best bats against lefties on the road 493 woba 756 FIP I mean that is disgusting so what’s issue the Red’s lineup has absolutely sucked against righties L lately but guess what so did the Rockies and so did the Giants and Zach Allen went into Colorado and San Francisco and looked absolutely awful he allowed three runs to Colorado five runs in San Francisco I think he can allow some runs here and Behind These two pitchers who are both questionable with those pitch uh with those injury questions coming in they have terrible bullpens behind them 24th and 26 in ER 30th and 25th and fifth the last two weeks uh ballpark pal is projecting a 45% increase in home run percentage 20% increase in run percentage um I just think that one if not both starters get hit up here and we’ll have some weak bullpens to to Feast upon in later inning so that’s my bet there I hate this bet my bet yeah I don’t like it look look at the the Red’s numbers here you’re Tak oh I’m aware I’m aware that’s why I’m taking it uh both the offenses are absolutely dead they’re doing nothing like they’re two of the worst offenses against righties going right now I’m not betting this [ __ ] Arizona are pass the Reds suck it’s called line raing my friend oh is that what it’s called Dayle one day maybe we’ll open a book and read about it um Mo Modi what do you think um I’m my second of three dongs today I actually have two in this game but I only actually sent one what do you say about that two SS in a game where two bad offenses how does that work huh final score two nothing over over um my my honorable mention is Ellie De La Cruz I did I did bet Ellie and give it out on my own channel but the one that I’ll talk about is um is uh Christian Walker because he’s my favorite one of the two in this game uh the nobody else on the dib’s been doing anything but this dude’s been absolutely raking uh he’s got the second best Barrel rate over the last 14 days the only one ahead of him is Sho Otani pretty good company there his Barrel rate is 32 .3% which is just a a crazy number uh he’s hit four home runs in the last two weeks he’s got an ISO rate of 38.9% that’s the fifth best ISO rate in the MLB over the last two weeks and then the weather as uh Beaver mentioned is amazing for home runs it’s humid it’s hot in Cincinnati and it’s and it’s winds blowing out and it’s just the the Reds ballpark which is already one of the smallest um if not the smallest in the MLB um and he’s Walker last year was kind of like the difference between him from of this year is interesting because last year is much better against lefties this year that’s not been the case six of his seven home runs this year have come against right-handed pitching his ISO rate against righties is 23.6% uh which is not excellent but it’s still considered great according to Fan graphs and then against lefties it’s all the way down to 11.1% uh going up against Frankie Montas he allows a a flyball ratio 47.8% to righties and Walker’s flyball ratio is at 48.4% which is good for home runs just get that ball in the air and the red stadium is going to do the rest um so yeah Walker at plus 300 is my favorite one for this game but I also did like Ellie De La Cruz as well all right Christian Walker home run plus 300 um prop with a terrible overb I’ll say Arizona rep pass I’m not even putting it on the list dude I cannot wait until this [ __ ] is like five4 uh four innings in I cannot wait I feel like I don’t know if it’s a cold or what you got but it’s it’s clouding your vision of the board I do feel kind of [ __ ] up like that’s how delusional the allergies have made me feel at this point yeah it’s affecting your decision making and it’s costing your unit costing you units nope not tonight baby sharp pays sharp got it all right Toronto on the road in Philly here um you got beros pitching against Sanchez had I like baros and all that but is there something I’m missing as far as the bullpens goes how do you not take the f here uh Moda you want to go first uh yeah I have the Phillies team total over um the only thing is since I put that in Alec bow got ruled out today just having the day off um so which I don’t love he yeah because he’s been on fire um and yeah so right now that three and a half I I it’s still I guess it’s still minus 130 um so that the odd move odds movement didn’t change right there but yeah I mean like Jose baros is ra looks phenomenal everything else shows that he’s been an incredibly lucky pitcher to have that ra um he’s got an expected ra of 4.87 FIP of 4.01 and expected FIP of 4.22 that’s all below average allowing a barrel rate of 8.2% which isn’t like among the worst in the MLB but it’s definitely not a good number not someone that should have a 1.44 ER he’s allowing a hard hit percentage of 49.2% that’s also a really bad number in this Philly lineup is just raking obviously try being heard hurts um bone being out also hurts but they still have schwarber they still have Bryce they still have c not casianos he sucks real Muno was who I was thinking up and Brandon Marsh has been cold recently but has been hitting right as well on the entire season and like the Phillies offense is second and basically every Advanced metric only to the Dodgers in terms of how they hit right-handed pitching um so I think I don’t love that bow is out but I would still play this at 3 and a half at minus 130 well I mean if you look at the line movement here and what do you know what time bone was ruled out uh was like an hour ago it was not that long ago so that doesn’t include in the bottom left here this morning at 6:00 a.m. the consensus was Phillies Min -35 at 9:00 a.m. it’s- 130 now it’s -125 so I don’t know if if maybe some some sharp money had win that bone was going to be out and maybe we we’re placing bets on Toronto accordingly moving the line or Toronto’s just a really sharp bet here that a lot of professionals are taking mov of the line um I don’t I don’t really want to jump in on the Phillies uh with with 88% of the public and a line moving the other way though that’s kind of scary I’m not been Toronto though yeah that’s so [ __ ] whack I I had the Phillies first I have the Phillies first five team total over two and a half I mean it’s just now bom and Turner outout I mean come on um and I comments are saying that real Munto is out as well what what yeah all right yeah I wouldn’t I changed my mind I’m not touching this one let’s go to the next game stupid stupid yeah what about an under maybe I mean all right you know what they have whip Maryfield batting second I mean the Phillies absolutely punted this game today we just got [ __ ] I mean there’s no other way to put that Whit marfield is one of the worst batters I’ve ever laid my eyes across for him to be in the top third of the the batting order is an embarrassment um congratulations to the books on their donation today yeah I’m good I cannot believe that I feel like there’s a lot of people that have money down on the Phillies that are going to be like what the [ __ ] like when they hear all that this sucks uh so yeah pass um everyone clicked the Phillies in the in the but as far as our viewers terrible Baltimore Washington prop eever one of his favorite pitchers um goat why do you keep saying that Chad Cuba to is on vacation with his kids I’m muting this dude [ __ ] weirdo um so Orioles minus 218 Nationals + 180 over eight and a half under eight and A2 all right prop I know you’re a big t- will fan is this your moment to take him T will he loves T will such a massive such a massive fan of him um no I mean here I’d probably go Burns to record win minus 120 or pass I mean I don’t really love this one um one thing I will say is the books are pretty in my eyes they’re pretty heavily suggesting the Orioles are going to win here and win comfortably I mean the line’s only minus 215 uh Burns to recar a win is at minus 125 if you look at what yamamoto’s priced to record a win today at plus 125 the Dodgers are minus 315 so that says a lot to me about where the books think Burns is in terms of his chances recording a win here on top of that Trevor Williams has earned runs line is at three and a half he hasn’t gone over that once this year um the Orioles entire lineup is cheaper than the natat entire lineup when it comes to home run prices there’s not a single National cheaper than a single oral when it comes to home ride prices I believe so on FanDuel yes I believe I saw a screenshot earlier um so I mean it the only thing the reason I’m I get to Windows because what I’m not going to back that when the Orioles are doing nothing against righties last three they faed combined for one run allowed so like what the hell is that but I mean Williams has always struggled a bit more against lefties he’s facing seven of them here the Orioles High leverage arms are extremely well rested headed into this one um if the Orioles are up comfortably the Nats are going to punt and bring the low leverage arms out the gats can’t hit a variety to save their goddamn life unless they’re an absolute scrub so uh yeah it’s either Burns to record a win or pass well based on what you said and I I I do agree with a lot of what you said but based on what you said that would Point me towards here prop eever right I can’t bet an over with uh Trevor Williams I mean with uh no with the NAT trying to score on Corbin Burns they might score a run dude the other than that they’re like the most profitable team in baseball what does that have to do with them scoring runs well usually you have to score runs to win bets but not always though the Mariners have been hella profitable lately they’ve been winning like three to one run games they’re not that bad brat they’re not let’s look at righty starters I mean look at this Gauntlet right here gsman I avaldi gray oh wow Anthony moldonado holy [ __ ] how they surv that did you overlook here Nats are getting to pens but we might we only need might only need two or three runs from the Nats the cast this over man do the over don’t think don’t think bet why would you just bet the Orioles team total over and not rely on the dog [ __ ] team it’s not a bad point yeah he was trying so hard to have a rebuttal I was like because maybe well yeah uh let me look at what it is cuz the Nats keep winning bets that’s why uh you can get no hell no five and a half no give me the over over you’re going to need the Orioles score six runs to cash that [ __ ] anyways I’m telling nah Nat I’m Nats are good for uh Nats are good for four all right what’s going on the watch list um I passed on this one pass Orioles NS uh goal is on Baltimore as expected 55% 30% on Baltimore the Nets have a 22.9% Roi in the green this team continues to pay I’m not laying minus 218 juice to that I’m sorry prop bever I don’t care you like you can twist my arm all you want I’m not going to place the bet that’s what went down right there lots of twisting lots of arm twisting um white socks on the road in Tampa we can already we can already point out what uh what prop beaver’s bet is White Sox first five team total over one and a half or whatever no my my bet is to pass here um this is an effin Revenge spot um this is a rare spot where I I’ll respect effin I’m not going to fade him here I actually wanted to back him here honestly Ray’s bats have woken up a bit against righties as well sha absolutely sucks but I mean minus 270 I can’t get there so this is a pass Matt uh I took the over over 7 and a halfus 120 wasn’t my favorite one of my favorite plays in the world but just from like an odds perspective it was pretty good that every other book priced this that eight for roughly like even juice on each side so the extra half and baseball’s pretty big deal at minus 120 isn’t a ton of juice um eelyn gotten beat up his last two starts like he gave up four in runs to the White Soxs in his last start against them on April 26 and three earned runs to the Brewers and then Soka is terrible like the the Rays could score seven runs against Soka and themselves he’s a 6.48 ra expected ra of 6.68 showing he’s lucky to have an RA of 6.48 a FP of 6.71 and an expected FIP of 5.56 5.56 he’s terrible and the Rays like they’re not the best offense in the world but they’re top 10 in a lot of advanced stuff or top 12 in a lot of advanced stuff like WRC plus plus their ninth best 12th best woba 12th best W AA 12th best OPS um not the best offense in the world but like sok has given up two earn runs and three starts every other start he’s given up three or more um and I just think that they’re going to be able to get to him and the White Soxs against right-handed pitching is more average than they are the worse in the MLB like they’re 15 to 17 and a lot of advanced stuff um and average will get it get the job done for this over seven and a half dude I’m looking at the uh White Sox game logs righty starters against White Sox they got to Lance Linn they got to Bailey obber they got to Joe Ryan they can’t really hit bullpens though God God damn they get tired I would go it would be here or pass for me um and part of what’s influencing my decision is uh the difference in Roi in White Sox money line so White Sox plus one and a half is substantial so White Sox plus one and a half there’s actually been spots to take that this year uh so I’m not betting this though it’ll be this or pass white sock plus one and a half or pass next game um our poll’s all over the Rays here 58% 21% Tampa so definitely communities on the Rays there Rays seem to be finding their stride they swept the Mets yeah Rays might be uh getting back on track so stros Yankees awesome series here over 8 and a half under eight and a half all right Verlander in Yankee Stadium what are your thoughts propie um my thought is that I’m looking at his K under here uh at 4 and a half um I was it it was at plus 140 then it dropped down to plus 120 but now DK has it at plus 135 again so I may lock it in uh under last two against the Yankees averaging 3.5 under his last two with three at New York averaging 4.3 um and he has a heinous 0% kwb percentage thus far against lefties Yankees start five of them daily and those five lefties are wells Verdugo stto Rizzo and Caba all of those guys have a k percentage of less than 11 uh 177% against righties through the first five so they’ve been excellent and not striking out against starting right-handed pitching and ferlander has struggled in this spot going back to 2022 now 19.6k percentage in Ro night starts going back 2022 in his lone day start this year Verlander registered an impressive 35k percentage the two night starts 12.5% just four and 2ks against the Washington Nationals and the Cleveland Guardians what we’re really betting on in my opinion is the quadruplet of Judge Stanton Torres and vulpe to just not be absolute Schmucks and whiff away at everything in sight because I think the Verlander is only going to get one of the lefties swinging and missing so as long as one of the four righties doesn’t K twice I think we’re cooking here uh Verlander under now his last seven to 14 Road starts and his last uh five of 10 Road starts averaging 4.3 at night um I know we’ve seen the last six eight righties to face the Yanks hit five plus K but at plus 135 I think it’s worth the price here with Verlander’s age catching up to him um I like R here propaver on this pitch mix thing for Gil throws a f for team fast ball 59% of his pitch the Astros are the second best fastball hitting lineup in baseball this year so you’re saying you like that for the Astros I like that for the Astros lineup yeah I was actually trying my thoughts here were either Verlander under K or Yankees money line but um I didn’t get into the nitty-gritty the pitch makes to be completely honest with you didn’t you get into the nitty-gritty well that’s your first mistake I don’t know I might be leaning towards the stros here man what do you think uh third and final dong here I have Aaron Aaron judge which is I get is chalky but it’s plus 255 and like he’s only priced at like plus 200 um I think it’s because he’s going up against ferlander but ferlander hasn’t quite been himself to start the year granted it’s what been been three starts his ER is fine but his Advanced stats aren’t that great he’s allowing a barrel rate of 10.4% like anything double digits for Barrel rate for a pitcher is pretty bad flyball ratio of 48.9% which is also pretty bad and judge struggled against Verlander early in his career but but there were signs he was coming out of that granted it’s a tiny sample size but his last three at bats two hits one of them was a home run the judge has just been crushing the baseball recently he’s got the highest average exit velocity over the last two weeks at 98.1 miles per hour that’s a ridiculous ridiculous number hard hit percentage of 73.5% basically three4 of the time he makes contact he’s getting a hard hit which is also crazy that’s number one in the MLB uh ISO rate of 32.6% a barrel rate of 23.5% those are both good everything screams judge is like he had a slump to start the year seems to have been coming out of it so for plus 255 like that’s actually value specifically for judge so that’s my uh it’s my last one for for dongs today taking a look at the bullpens real quick Yankee should have everybody Houston should have everybody man I want to bet the stros screw it I’m bet him trick ass Mark I’m putting him on my watch list Astros plus 101 on the watch list Astros money line next I I do agree that that I’m a little worried for for Verlander who had a good start his last time out but his expected FIP in that game was over six indicating his defense bailed him out um I can see the Yankees lineup being dangerous for him but I don’t like Gil and I think the as are going to get to him Boston on the road in Atlanta here over 8 and A2 under 8 and A2 all right poll is running cutter Crawford making a road start Braves AR hdden Boston plus money am I right propaver uh I think cutter Crawford’s going to get absolutely annihilated today what aren’t you the person that that’s that’s said to me multiple times cutter Crawford on the road Untouchable um yeah I know it’s just like just doing the line raing earn run line three and a half Kline 4 and a half uh one of the most bet props of the day um I just I don’t I don’t understand this I don’t understand the pricing here because I do like Boston too but I I don’t really get it the bats aren’t impressing me either though and Ronaldo Lopez I mean what do you have one bad start at Seattle now we’re hopping off the train I mean I think back at home against a a lineup from Boston that really just hasn’t impressed lately after having a bit of a decent run against some weaker competition I don’t know pass Matt uh cutter Crawford over four and a half strikeout so I hope he doesn’t get lit up it’s pretty juice this is like the highest prob was like every Square on Twitter’s on this stupid b Matt like I didn’t beat the [ __ ] on it like that but I mean I I if that’s the case I haven’t I haven’t seen that to be honest I don’t follow a ton of other ton of other cappers so if everybody’s on this that I haven’t seen but not saying that’s not true minus 139 is is pretty Juiced but I feel like we’re just getting like the the Braves offense has not been hitting recently yet and I feel like that people are just pricing them as though they’re still really good over the last two weeks they have a really high strikeout rate of 28.6% that’s considered awful by fangraph standards anything 27 a half% and above is awful and cutter has cashed this every single start that he’s had except for one where he had exactly four so that would have been the hook and I just think like I said the Braves offense is being overvalued because of how potent like they can be when you just look at up and down their lineup but the over the last two weeks they have the second lowest WRC plus against right-handed pitching the second lowest woba second lowest waa second lowest team ISO rate basically the second worst offense over the last two weeks against rightand and pitching while also striking out a ton seven of the last eight right-handed pitchers against the Braves have gone over their strikeout prop but I still think we’re getting a discount because it’s the Braves big bad scary offense um so I did eat the juice on this one drink the juice whatever and take the over four and a half at minus 139 I ate the juice I always say that I don’t know why um I mean I guess it’s probably going to be a public dog here but I don’t care the Braves aren’t hitting I know I don’t know what prop Beaver is talking about here I think they’re gonna hit tonight based on what based on the fact that his earned run line is at three and a half and he hasn’t even I think he’s gone over that once okay I’m just saying like I I don’t know I these bats right here these these are the ones yeah the books have that data they have the data that they’ve been striking out more as cool as mine oh no they’re not no they’re certainly not one of the worst lineups in baseball against righties in the last 30 days prop Beaver this is who’s going to explode tonight I’m aware of how it looks all right that’s not the best look oh it’s not Verlander though I didn’t change the picture all right Red Sox up I’ll I’ll hop on the public dog Baston they cannot got that guys Boston money line on the watch list prop eever likes the Braves Matt Modi and cutter Crawford over strikeouts next up Milwaukee at Kansas City got the Brewers at plus 105 Royals at minus 125 over9 under n uh Seth luo on the mound for Kansas City Colin rehea or Colin Ray Rea or Ray prop I think it’s Ray right I have no clue the dude a fer what do you want me to do all so uh first I wonder both these offenses suck so I mean as bad as Colin Rea is I mean dude the level competition that these offenses are struggling against right now is just absolutely absurd right now I mean neither of them are doing anything anything against star right-handed pitching I mean the Bros are bit blank now and three straight by starting righty I think all three of them went six plus Innings too uh luga looks really good right now I mean I he hasn’t given me a reason to doubt him so I think he could do fine I mean is it under five is it five four and a half minus 105 got it uh and then Colin Ray I mean I think he’s absolutely horrible but guess what I mean these Royal bats have fallen off of a cliff uh if you really look at it they had one good seven game home stand and have been pretty bad the entire season uh in terms of their production against righties I mean this has been a bottom five lineup um against righties pretty much being held to two or less runs every single time out so unless k r really just implodes today I think that uh there’s value on that at minus 105 at low um so yeah I I want to see what you’re talking about with the Royals bats so let’s check it out all right Royals bats yeah not very impressive here overall versus Ry I mean these these aren’t terrible let’s see vers ready six Innings they got held to six Innings of shut out baseball Bryce Wilson at home that’s crazy SE gray Dane stunning Arena Basset let let me mind you Lorenz and donning and gray were all struggling heading into the start like I don’t just uh s seen there with the Royals scene is right and the Brewers yeah the Brewers have definitely been cooling off for a while now and they can’t hit the curveball which is Seth lugo’s main pitch they’re not good against righties they haven’t been good on the road I mean they got held to six scoreless Innings by Hayden West neski Jameson tyion and Javier Assad back to back to back they haven’t scored yo so this is what prop just said they haven’t a run against a starter and three straight six Innings no runs six Innings no runs six in the third Innings no runs good Lord Brewers that was also in Wrigley hold on that was also in Wrigley and it’s been wind blowing in okay fair I I’ll give you a little bit of that right but like not one not one run we could have muster one of them I think it might be a sneaky spot to bet the Brewers just saying Modi uh Colin Ray under three and a half strikeouts this is probably my favorite strike out prop of the day uh three and a half is really low I get it but the um the Royals have literally the lowest strikeout rate in the entire MLB over the last two weeks against right-handed pitching 14.9% they only have two dudes who strike out over 20% of the time and only one guy over 25% of the time uh we’ll get to the Mariners who have five players who strike out 27% of the time or more and the Royals just have two above 20 and cola has absolutely no strikeout stuff he’s he has gone over this in three of six starts but just looking at his his numbers like he’s got a p per inning in the eighth percentile swinging strike rate in the ninth percentile strike plus whiff rate in the 20th percentile and an overall strikeout rate of 16% there’s just nobody in this lineup that he’s going to strike out regardless of how little they’re actually hitting the bait they’re not striking out um so conr under three and a half strikeouts like I said it’s probably my favorite strikeout prop of the day I think I like the brw crew here guys Brew up yeah I’m I’m I like this one I’m adding it to the list what makes you like it because I think are you going to ask a question and then start talking before I can answer it um think the Brewers bats are a little bit underpriced here based on the fact that they just played a tough series on the road in Wrigley a place where even the best of lineups can struggle to score runs um and all of a sudden we’re we’re they’re plus money against the Royals a Royals team that isn’t hitting isn’t scoring uh I think it’s a nice sneaky Buy in spot on Milwaukee plus 105 um against a Royals team that I think is overrated now I think they went from underrated to now overrated um I think the Brewers are the better team here we’re getting them at plus money I almost don’t care who’s on on the on the mound if I can get the better team at plus money I’m going to take it more often than not um Bullpen wise looks like both of these teams are fine but Royals definitely a little used up MacArthur threw 30 pitches a couple days ago I think I might I think I’m going to bet this one let’s do it Community agrees with me um leaning towards the Brewers at plus 105 44% of the viewers on the Brewers 35% on the Royals next up Seattle uh twins areus 149 over 82 under 82 poll is running cast your votes all right prop eav you got Hancock making a road start here baile over it’s at night vampires out tonight no I mean I don’t I think the vampires bats against righties have kind of cooled off a bit the starting righties and I mean I think the twins bats are actually heating up a bit against starting righties and then when it gets to the later Innings I mean the twins offense is the best offense in the league from Innings six to nine so um I wanted to back the twins here but minus 150 is a bit out of my price range uh it’s either Twins or pass for me you either you either buck up or you pass what do you mean by buck up for those of us that are familiar with the terminology you either buck up and you pay the minus 150 or you pass you either buck up or you pass yeah because you know uh if you’re paying minus 120us 130 I don’t see that as a bucking up minus 140 you’re on the brink of bucking up but minus 150 is like oh all right well we’re bucking up it’s in-depth analysis there and here’s what prop was talking about this is Twins versus bullpen which is B which the these numbers are twins against twins bats in Innings six and later um you can see last s days top three or four last 14 days best in baseball last 30 days best in baseball so the twins have been Bullpen Killers U so that’s what proper means by that should we buck up I never I never knew that that’s what that meant buck up means lay a big price in my opinion yes okay so yeah I’m down with that Twins or maybe even um maybe even a Marin Mariners team total under I could get down with a a bayy oer uh Master Class here I wanted to play the earned runs but that’s at like minus 170 so maybe like maybe just a team total under like three and a half or plus money or something modai what are your thoughts are you bucking up um I am bucking up and I’m taking a plus money play that’s how I interpret but [ __ ] up you you do something a little bit risky uh Bailey over over six and a half strikeouts uh technically his main line is 5 and a half but it’s like minus 150 minus 160 really you really have to Buck up to want to take that price which I’m not I’m not down with that for a strikeout prop um but the Mariners I I I just mentioned it they strike out at an absolutely ridiculous rate they have the highest team strikeout rate over the last two weeks against right-handed pitching 30.9% they’re the only team that’s above 30% and literally five guys that strike out 27% of the time or more in their lineup four of which are 30% and above and bayy over he hasn’t been phenomenal he’s cashed this in two of his five starts but twice he had exactly six so that that would have been the hook there and one more strikeout against the team that strikes out more than anybody in baseball I think is a good play La I remember last time I was on the stream I was on a strikeout prop against the uh the Mariners that came through a little bit of a sweat but it came through let’s hope it can come through once again today baile over over six and a half strikeouts and uh the thing is I I don’t hate Hancock that’s why I don’t want to do twins first five run line in the end on the fact that twins have been killing bullpens why would we want to cut off cut ourselves off from the late Innings um that’s why I’m not doing twins first five someone asked that but yet twins twins money ler pass either buck up or pass to quote prop eever next game Padres Cubs in rley Ace in the the hole Randy Vasquez is on the bump for the Padres are you taking your boy Goa propaver yeah I think you have to back Goa or pass here um my thought process would be a Cubs double result at plus 135 I mean this was at minus 140 I believe earlier today now it’s all the way up at like minus 160 so yeesh uh lots of value loss there if you’re trying to bet it now so I think the best way to make up the values to do the Cubs double result bet 365 plus 135 um yeah main reason why is that shockingly enough I mean I thought the Padres were going to hit lefties struggling against righties this season it’s complete opposite this team cannot hit lefties right now last five to face them 212 ra 06 home run per9 081 whip they were held to one or less runs by the four lefties they faced last that are not making a spot start so Austin gomber uh Rangers swore as Nick Lolo Justin steel all held them to one or less earned runs and Ian has been fantastic thus far I mean obviously some form of regression has to come this guy can’t be impeccable forever but I don’t know if it’s going to be here with how the Padre’s bats are looking against lefties on the other side we got Randy Vasquez and I mean through seven career starts not the most promising character we got 33 ER looks pretty good but the one5 hom R9 is piss 5.3 kwb percentage is whack 1.3 whip is not good five FIP is not not good and the three Road starts have been even worse uh Cubs lineup nothing special but they managed three plus runs through the first five off the last three or five righties they faced and on top of that they performed significantly better against right-handed pitching at home second in WRC plus seventh in ISO second in OBP at home against righties compared to 28th 21st and 27th on the road so it’s big that they’re at regularly here um I know that this Cub’s wpen has sucked but they have all their High leverage guys right while the Padres do not um so yeah I think if there’s a game where the Cubs win this is a really nice spot for them to do it here uh I would take the double result something’s got me a little spooked here prop eever um spooky dookie no something’s got me a little scared here about the uh the price of this game so the line makes sense Cubs minus 165 home favorites at home with IM andag on the mound makes perfect sense why is the total nine uh interesting I don’t know could be because of the fact that they’re still grading the Padre’s like last year’s team against lefties like the Padre’s are going to get to imaga and Wrigley well I mean the Padre’s were a top like what 10 offense against lefties last year I mean they they were a very good offense against lefties so a lot of times the models still need time and data to really adjust and reflect um the current sample size that we have this year instead of last year’s but see some recent lefties let’s see some recent lefties against the Padre’s and then we’ll come to a decision together as a team modi’s dog is pissed he’s how dare you fade go I I don’t how do I how do I spell this guy’s name uh sha s h o t IM Naga like that did I get it right his picture will show up nope what is what’s it’s an a instead of a i e ma Naga boom we’re in business okay so let’s look at Lefty starters against the Padre’s oh he’s a lefty whoops so we got to change this to an L mhm yeah that’s how that would work okay let the starters against the Padre’s are they hitting them or are they not Moment of Truth they’re not I just told you well we all can look together the answer is no they’re not thank you so then why is the freaking total not because Fredy Vasquez is pissed and because the Padres are still good enough to hit C later I don’t know I’m they put up crazy totals all the time can someone go on that ballpark p and tell me a weather here all right why the hell is the total nine what the hell is going on Modi what do you like in this game well he looks that up it actually has a 41% boost oh oh it’s because the weather’s nice it’s for run think you should have just said that before I didn’t process it didn’t process 11% boost and run 41% boost and home run so that would be why that’s new that was not the case this morning when I I think that was the case this morning either because must to me earlier um I took Cubs minus one and a half uh that guy piter Goat as a stud Vasquez is not a stud Padre’s can’t hit lefties to save their lives I just took the Cubs minus one and a half I didn’t really overthink it someone in the comments said my dog woke up there dog I apologize for that my dog is very protective of the house neighbors walking in their own neighborhood will get barked at from my dog so wow it’s actually up at nine and a half now the total what in the hell well it’s windy as hell 44% increase in home run percentage I mean goddamn so tell me why I shouldn’t take Padre’s team total under tell me why tell me why you shouldn’t take it all right back street boys I don’t know because the wind I can get a Padre’s team total under four and a Padre’s team total under four at minus 118 you have to remember the fact that their bull the CBS Bullpen is still piss like even though their High Lev arms already it’s still a bad unit like we’re taking a risk me and Matt depending on that unit to one and a half Cubs minus one and a half I’m with Modi Let’s do let’s go Kyle it’s a good pick thank you all right uh our pole is on the Cubs heavy they believe in Goa you got me calling him that now I don’t want to call him that well he that’s his name Mets cards met Mets with a big dub yesterday everyone’s got it’s got the media buzzing are the Mets heating back up that’s what everyone wants to know propy ver the Mets heating back up um I don’t know this is one of the only games I didn’t look at um even look no I didn’t even give a pie to it you love though I’m fighting for my life over here okay um do I love budo yeah I do but this is a direct repeat matchup and you know how I feel about those I hate capping them so I didn’t cap this one I don’t give a [ __ ] about it um I wish you guys your best in terms of your bets on this but I don’t have a bet on this uh Mets have no Diaz No ovino No dakman Mets Bullpen pretty tack here might be a card spot cards your face I feel like the cords if anything their bats are waking up a little bit against righties I’m putting cards or pass uh but let’s see what mod I thinks first um I put I put budo over four and a half strikeouts uh the only start he didn’t get it was this last start against the Cardinal where already had four every other start he’s had six or more um so I think we’re getting a pretty good price getting it over four and a half for relatively even money at minus 104 uh the Cardinal strike out a ton 28.7% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks granted I will admit a lot of that is inflated by Jack flare who struck out 14 Cardinals um a couple starts ago that is obviously juicing up the numbers a little bit um but uh sorry but budo got a pretty good strikeout rate like 27.4% is a pretty like high 20s is pretty good anything in the high 20 percentile is going to be a good number like that’s 19th best so far this season last year that would have been good if for seventh best so it being the only start where he didn’t even get six strikeouts and we’re getting the over four and a half I think we are getting a pretty good price because of that one start uh so that’s who I went with yeah Mets have solid numbers against righty solid numbers on the road um they did get to Kyle Gibson yesterday but before that didn’t really get to latel well they got savali still didn’t they lose that game though that was 107 they lost that svali might stink um honestly so there’s that you say Do you think the Cardinal bats are waking up let’s see if there’s a little bit but then again if you look at who they yeah electric numbers here [ __ ] up they they got six runs off go off Hower four runs off buo four runs off Manning three runs off Keller five runs off fetty in their last seven games so yeah I would say that’s a little bit of a wake up wouldn’t you no you’re a rat I’m say I I’m putting the car on the list I cuz everyone’s clicking Mets here in the poll and if the Mets are going to be a heavy public side with no Bullpen I think I might be down to fade that Cardinals money line on the list dude this my watch list is too long I have to do some serious narrowing down your watch list sick name I feel like it grabs people’s attention people like what the watch list yeah they’re like wow I don’t want to be on that I’m scared uh um Giants are on the road at Coors Field um prop Beaver who literally calls himself the rocky Whisperer Rocky Rockies Rockies is a okay Rocky Whisperer is it a time to believe in the Rocks yes it is I double bet the Rockies today uh yeah that’s my biggest bet of the day um I put Rockies half unit on the Rockies first five team total over two and a half and I put a half unit on the Rocky’s first five money line um it’s been quite a while since we we’ backed our beloved Rockies and I think that this is a great spot to see if we could steal some more value here Giants coming off a four game series at Philly including Sunday night baseball now they have to head two cores where they have to adjust to the altitude Rocky’s got the day off and now they face Kyle Harrison a lefty making his first start at Kors also a lefty they managed four runs off of through five innings at s Fran in their first matchup last season uh Harrison has already been much more vulnerable on the road ra two points higher WBA 100 points higher home run per nine two home runs higher xfit two points higher so much worse on the road and his fat 9% bail rate and 46% hard hit rate are a bit scary at a hitter friendly Park like Kors to make matters worse Harrison lives off the four seamer he throws it 66% of the time well guess what the Rockies have done very well against the four seamer from starting left-handed pitching third in Barrel rate six in ISO 10th in Slug and 10th in batter run value if you look at the two lefties they faced in the Pittsburgh series they got after them six runs three homers 16 base runners and just 10.2 Innings on fure and Perez who have both been running hot lately they’ve only had two lefties visit cores this SE this season Tommy Henry and Tyler Alexander those guys allowed 17 base runners and seven runs through 9.1 Innings so they just hit the last two lefties they face they hit the only two lefties they faced at cors season I think they could get three off of Harrison here on the other side we got dakot to Hudson and this guy sucks there’s no denying that people but the xip suggests that his absurd home 8.78 eray and his 3.71 road eray that has to regress to the mean and this Giants offense has been brutal against righties last 10 to face him 254 ra 08a whip during the span they are 22nd in WRC plus 24th in OBP against righties against Hudson’s pitch mix from starting righties this season the Giants hit 29th in ISO 30th and batter run Val value and 28th in OBP I’m adding the Rocky’s first five money line into the mix here because I simply don’t feel the Giants should be laying minus 60 on the road with their lineup against any righty I think that’s [ __ ] spot on and I couldn’t agree more with yeah Rocky’s up Rocky’s whisper comes through no I mean I like it I might go um I get why he’s isolating to the first five because no question of the second half of the game Giants have the advantage um do I want to just take the Rockies money line or just play the Rockies team total over cuz I checked out their numbers against lefties what you said checks out I think they’ll hit up Harrison let me see what the team total price is real quick um uh I I passed on this one uh someone in the comments ask if I’m going to the game I’m not going to the game uh despite living in Colorado I will not be there tonight uh but yeah I passed on this one you got to take it a four and a half at plus money though so maybe Rocky’s team toal over four and a half I think I’m just going to play the Rockies money line Rockies up Rocky up baby I thought I think the Rockies Whisperer picked himself a winner here so which one Mr uker also tweeted out that the the Giants are 0 and5 to the first five money line against uh lefties no against righties on the road this season I believe new Capper coming through even though he’s wrong about Oklahoma City thunder tonight tonight very sharp guy to listen to all right let’s move on to our final game of the evening by the way the community agrees with you prop were 48% to 34% on the Rockies let’s go rocks can we finish up by talking about some fish baseball dude this one I you know how uh about a week or two ago I said to you like all right I I would take her Corin Burns to record a win here but I personally am not going to bet it because I feel weird about it I don’t know why but I feel weird about it I think the A’s are going to win and then I said it’s because the record a win line was so off base with where it should be that’s the same way I feel about this Yamamoto price I mean why is Yamamoto to record a win at like plus 125 as a minus 315 favorite against the Marlins with his outslide at minus 17 and a half I mean that makes absolutely no sense Edward Cabrera’s runs line is at 2 and a half I mean this guy’s been getting absolutely shelled lately the total in this game is only at eight just such a weird line in this one I have no clue how to read it I mean I think the books are suggesting ever gabera has a good game here but that sounds psychotic so I personally passed but uh yeah it would have to be Yamamoto to record a win or pass but I I simply can’t back the Marlins as much as I would love to be that guy who somehow pulls it off uh you got to the total of a Dodgers game at seven and a half are you absolutely floored I’m pretty [Laughter] floored oh [ __ ] um Modi what are your thoughts here yeah Edward Cabrera over two and a half ear runs minus 115 I’m kind of with BR Bieber I don’t understand the price here he had he gave up two earn runs in his first start since then he’s G given up over two and a half in every single start three to the Cubs five to the Nets four to the Rockies and the Dodgers offense has been the best in baseball for the past two weeks literally first basically any category you could possibly look at their first um and I like I knew I wanted to somehow fade this pitcher but he does strike out a lot of people because they either hit home runs or they strike out uh I like outs was at such a low number like 14 and a half I I didn’t want to go so like eron runs was kind of the way to go and like his ER suggests that yeah maybe he’s getting a little bit unlucky but he’s allowing a barar rate of 11.1% like the dude just stinks um so yeah maybe this is a rat line but that’s where I went I I agree with you uh honestly they did some [ __ ] like that with the Dodgers at Toronto like two weeks ago and they absolutely mashed the dude’s face in so I think I think you should be fine we got a HVAC girl in the comments saying Marlins and under that’s got to be the sharpest bet of all time boy Mar girl H girl Marlins and under at seven and a half in Dodger Stadium HB girl you have my respect no I’m not bail I’m not tailing you in by any in any way shape or form to quote toast um I don’t even know I’m not even putting anything up there’s zero this is not even sniffing my watch list yeah the community is heavy on the Dodgers um uh 70% 70% of our viewers click dodg 133% clicked over that was the second guess and then 12% marlin so yeah it’s a pass for me that’s how far down the priority list the uh the Marlin are shall we shall we get busy on the community parlay why why yes sir Let’s Get Busy should we include NHL and NBA in the community parlay maybe do a poll with the two NHL and the 2 NBA I mean yeah why not F remember what people oh you just going to add it now I was going to say do you remember what people voted but if you yeah yeah I do because they like the Rangers and they like the stars no they didn’t like the stars they like the Avalanche um and then in the first NBA game they like the Celtics shocker and then the second NBA game they like the Thunder all right first leg of the community parlay is going to be an NHL or M NBA playoff game and you know what the community parlay could use an energy shift so maybe this this is what we need they’re going with Celtics money line they’re looking for a layup one here sometimes just need see one go through the hoop yeah yeah a lot of people really do like the Avalanche at plus 105 though cuz that’s the second in that poll so Community definitely really big on Colorado as dogs there on the road in Dallas excuse me uh yeah Celtics money line we don’t have to let that one one commity parlay Celtics money line is the first leg now let’s get into some baseball I sent you the underdog thanks pal you got it so they like Cleveland Angel’s Pirates did they like the they like the Pirates I think Dbacks Reds they like the Diamondbacks with gallon on the mound and blue jays Phillies they definitely like the Phillies all right second leg the community parlay while they’re voting Matt you want to tell them where they can find your stuff yeah check out my Twitter profile you see on the screen here will basically get you to everything that I do um I have my own YouTube channel where I’ll do NBA the night before and home runs the day of and yeah everything can be found on my Twitter handle you see at Jedi Modi cool make sure you give him a follow show him some support we appreciate him taking his time to come on um looks like maybe Arizona money Line’s going to be the second leg it’s a close PLL I’ll give it a few more seconds 5 4 3 2 one and pole 31% on Arizona the Dbacks make the uh Community parlay all right next up we have they definitely like the Orioles with Corbin burns on the mound they like the Rays a lot of heavy favorites today they like the Yankees Red Sox Braves they like the Red Sox oh no no they like the Braves someone says a lot of heavy favorites it’s scaring me you know what though the community parlay has been so cold and they’ve been taking dogs and and riskier shots so maybe a really chalky one is is something the community needs to like Modi said C1 go through the hoop cuz the community parlay hits in bunches it’ll it won’t hit for three weeks and then it’ll hit four times in the same week the community runs on uh hot and cold I remember the squarest one that was like all Heavy favorites it was like plus 200 for four leg and it cashed so it can happen it can happen someone says man I got the locks Kyle people who got the locks don’t go around strangers just commenting yo I got locks um looks like the Orioles money line five four three two 1 and poll Orioles money line is the winner of the poll all right one more you guys said the guy who said man I got I got the locks is auto fade on site he said uh twins money line Cubs money line um they like the Mets and they like the Rockies all right what’s going to finish out the community parlay cast your votes cast your votes uh looks like it’s going to be the Cubs people like Goa propy ver is really uh turning some heads with his imanaga a top five pitcher in the NL take plus 371 with the Cubs it’s 371 yeah yeah wow we uh we really uh it’s a chalky one yeah we took get a setep down but this is probably what the community needs so Community part Celtics money line dback money line Orioles money line Cubs money line plus 371 now prop E’s moment in the sun his chance to uh his his chance to win us a pick him it’s a three pick here he dude oh my God [ __ ] somebody sent me uh the thing the other day we won one the last time I was on the show we won I didn’t post it again yeah why don’t you post it I don’t know but we’re we’re doing pretty good at winning them now I feel like we’ve won three in the last week or so so that’s pretty hype right so the prop Beav pick them it’s his own little segment it’s won three in the last week apparently allegedly I’d like to see proof but here you go uh yeah I’m going to have to fact check that as well at the very least the last two weeks uh okay so we got Patty sandavol lower than two and a half earned runs allowed I mean this is the real lit Miss check how bad is Patty I don’t think he’s that bad so I think he goes lower than two and a half ear runs um I’m going with lower than for strike outs on Verlander I wanted to play five and a half but the fact that you could get five with that push factor really good value there um Kyle Harrison lower than fantasy points first start at chors and personally I think he gets rocked so that’s what I went with there those are the trifecta I think burle under gets 3ks today by the way so also fine with under four and a half if you don’t have an underdog fantasy account it’s available in any state highlighted in this map so you’re you’re one of these stes highlighted in yellow head over to the website Underdog fantasy or download the app when you make your account make sure you use the promo code bet bet that’ll get you a $100 deposit Bonus Match so if you deposit $100 they will give you a free $100 to play with thanks everyone for watching let’s have ourselves a good one here um yeah um I’m I got a I have eight bets on my watch list here so I really need to narrow this down I’m going to narrow it down to five I think and I will post it on the website right now on ky.com that’ll be up in 5 minutes so see you tomorrow oh Wednesday Wednesday so we have a day show me prop baver and kamish will be on during the day tomorrow and then tomorrow evening will be me Matt Modi oh same it’s us three again so uh same same three so toast has one more day off toast is back on Thursday all right see you guys uh later I’ll be in the Discord later tonight bet best post bet on post on side in about 5 minutes have a good one
22 Comments
I made a video of tailing TOAST for 16 days. +10 units. Thanks for the videos @kylekrims https://youtu.be/vaTIoTXb89A?si=V-xxqeLPf0OGXa6m
The thumbnail says April 7th
Cash that Oakland-Over-3.5 live
Nobody checks the weather for the baseball games…? Lol says a lot
Beaver said A’s winning 🤣 I faded good thing
Very prissy some days
Never listen to that Jedi guy
i hate missing the shows
Dont fall for the trap guys. Dont bet Cavs ML. Thats an easy donation.
Giants might scratch out a win
-12.5 😂😂😂😂😂
I thought JA was playing, wondering why his lines were up but the spread went up
Red Sox 21-6 vs braves
1:19:15 prop beavers definition of "buckin up" 😂😂
FN Det tailing the show lol Logan Allen terrible I shoulda just went TT over being greedy 🥴🥴🤷🏾♂️
Thank you Kyle for co signing my OKC under. I wanted to bet that now that I see what you said I’m all in
The community sucks i seen them talk whats his name out of his phillies bet and then they were saying since when phillies go 6 straight wins. Gosh damn it im not listening to yall tomorrow lmao the community I mean.
OKC DORT OVER 2.5 THREE'S TONT, EASY MONEY…
I need an apology for the lack of confidence in the Phillies 🎉
1:31:56 bro- when Kyle goes “Beaver likes to call himself the Rockies whisperer”…and Beaver whispers Rockies, Rockies, Rockies lolol ahh man, good laugh
Prop beaver is never sharp I swear.. the Rockies .. never again
I see my self winning millions this year on HugeWin
You can't blame prop beaver it's gambling look up the definition. Lol