Bankrupt Bourbon Street with our PGA DFS preview & best bets for the 2024 Zurich Classic!
Will Xander Schauffele & Patrick Cantlay (+450) run away with it, or can Shane Lowry & Rory McIlroy (+750) take down the Yankees?
PGA Tour analysts Conor Coughlin & Bo McBrayer cover course notes, core plays, outrights, props & more for New Orleans on “The 19th Hole (S4 E16).”
⏰ Time Stamps:
00:00:00 Introduction
00:03:30 What Are We Drinking?
00:06:42 RBC Heritage Reaction
00:11:30 Caddy Notes: TPC Louisiana Course & Tournament Breakdown
00:20:20 Club Twirls: 2024 Zurich Classic Best Bets
00:38:59 No Trunk Slams: 2024 Zurich Classic PGA DFS Core Plays & Fades
00:58:35 Final Predictions + The Hat Pick
01:03:21 Outro
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✖️ Follow the hosts of the program on Twitter/X:
🏌️♂️ Conor Coughlin (https://twitter.com/Cough_DFS)
🏌️ Bo McBrayer (https://twitter.com/Bo_McBigTime)
good evening ladies and gentlemen
welcome back to the 19th hole we are
live as always on in between media make
sure you like this video subscribe to
the whole damn Channel and jingle the
bell for
notifications this is the 19th toll we
are covering the Zurich Classic of New
Orleans it is a Twan team event a
one-of-a-kind event that we’re not too
fond of but it’s going to be kind of fun
to watch betting it as a complete
nightmare so we’re going to try to make
sense of the whole charade last year we
had Nick Hardy and Davis Riley some two
guys that never win anything
individually but as a team they were
awesome join us after the drop we’re
getting in it
[Music]
[Music]
[Music]
ladies and gentlemen baby we got
ourselves another good week on the PGA
tour we are safe marked safe from Scotty
shuffler this week uh yes shout out to
not a sponsor yet but Sunday Swagger
hitting me up with the the threads here
this is the
Sizzlin uh polo shirt I have I have a
couple other ones from them great
quality shirts cool stretchy breathable
everything’s nice this is also a NorCal
company up here Mammoth headwear so uh
get yourself an oversized Dome hat I
wear a 7 and 3/4 most snapback hats
don’t go up that high I’m on the last
button and it’s all cockeyed so if you
have a large head seven and 3/4 or above
get yourself a mammoth head wear
Snapback or trucker hat or rope hat they
have all of the above and they they fit
really good I can wear it backwards and
it doesn’t look
stupid you’d be surprised to find out
that we don’t have any sponsors for this
show we might have two as a result of
this I have reached out to the people in
charge of Mammoth headware and Sunday
Swagger yet to receive any
correspondence but I like wearing their
stuff so they get a free preview on this
show so go out there to Sunday Swagger
or Mammoth headwear and make sure you
still like And subscribe this video in
between media is rapidly approaching
1,000 subscribers we’d love for to have
more people on the show like Steve
Anderson we got royal Slade we got our
feelers leader Seth wolock we got I’m
sure there’s going to be Dee from the
lake housee and Wendy early joining us
late as always um we appreciate all of
you we’re going to win some money this
week even though it’s a weird tournament
yeah we need a prince level pick here I
had an argument because some former
Scout thought that Caleb Williams was uh
the next Prince and he was making it as
an insult and I was like well pretty
sure Prince is the best musician to ever
live so if you’re going to compare a
prospect to that I’m going to think I’m
pretty excited about that guy
you want to talk about golf what are you
drinking actually Connor you haven’t
said a damn word yet I was gonna check
well you’ve been doing all our sponsor
plugs and then I was going to chime in
about how I respect and love and think
Prince is the best musician of all time
but I hate his music um and that that’s
two separate things though like music is
subjective but musical Talent is
objective like Prince plays 27
instruments and mixed and produced every
piece of album work he ever did
incredible musician that should tell you
everything you need to know and so just
because a guy’s a diva doesn’t mean he’s
not phenomenally tal
talented uh anytime somebody brings up
Prince all I can think of a Chappelle
Show
so or the best Super Bowl halftime show
ever that’s also true probably yeah
possibly what you got there I’ve had
this one on the show before but I’m
cleaning out the Fring fridge a little
bit so it is a
smooth or Dye milk stout from Dreer
brewing in Fargo North
threat it might be it might be a threat
oh yeah it’s from
Faro sounds like sounds like somebody
from North Dakota and an Irishman had
like a shitty leprechaun child yeah
Fargo you
[Laughter]
think but
delicious yeah and so I have the last
bit of my Weller special Reserve this is
their low-end offering but the original
wheated bourbon uh I’m polishing this
bottle off because shout out to our
former co-host Kelly and Phoenix she
brought she came down to visit me a
couple weeks ago and brought down a new
bottle of Weller Special Reserve so I
have an extra one now because it’s I I
you don’t see Weller in California very
often so I’m pretty excited to have an
extra bottle to to drink sip it’s
delicious even though it’s just the $30
green label I love it yeah it’s solid
there’s no if ANS or buts about it that
nice of her I know it’s hard for you
guys to get that out there she found it
here in town I was I was kind of upset
that I hadn’t checked out that store in
a while and she’s like yeah I just
picked it over there down the street at
Ries I was like Ries right there it’s
like six blocks away and they had Weller
and she got it for me romy’s also not a
sponsor no definitely
not there they’re the only place that I
can find Blandon at
too which in my opinion is possibly one
of the most overrated Bourbons ever it
really depends on which Barrel you get
and from which uh Rick house it comes
from some of them are really good and
other ones it’s just like what what are
we doing here it used to be a $70 bottle
and now it’s if you find it it’s 200
bucks and it’s like I’m not paying that
for a mid-range bourbon no looks cool on
your shelf but there’s plenty of better
stuff to drink for sure just because
John Wick has a doesn’t mean you you
need to think it’s something great it is
John Wick though I know I like his I
like his Kimber 19 his Kimber 1911 and I
love his
car well we did uh we did make some
money last week did live betting yeah
live betting was
great uh thankfully thankfully I’ve
taken a new stance in life that there
isn’t such a thing as two short odds and
so got plenty of Scot
Scott sir Scott Sheffer Esquire with the
beard he is undefeated quite literally
undefeated with the
beard there’s power in that
beard it’s it’s real I wonder I wonder
if he’s goingon to keep it after he has
the kid well he won two with the beard
he shaved it and tied for second and
then grew it back and won two in a row
again he’s four and0 with the beard yeah
the beard solid he would be stupid to
shave it now
that’s why I’ve kept my beard for 20
years I’m just hoping it gets me to the
tour one day well he also hasn’t shot a
single round this season the entire
season Scotty Sheffer has not shot one
single round over par he has two total
rounds at even par the rest of every
single round he’s played this season is
under par that is the most absurd thing
I’ve ever seen he also went 53 straight
holes last at the at last week’s
tournament without carding a five or
Worse everything was four three or two
every single hole for 53 holes in a row
it’s a level of
consistent Excellence that we haven’t
seen in many years since since possibly
Tiger
Woods yeah I I think that the shortterm
correlation is definitely there tiger
did it for like seven straight years
though so that’s where yeah it’s it’s
amazing we we love to see it we’re
rooting for Scotty it’s really easy to
root for a guy who’s nice and
unbelievably good at golf but I was
lucky enough to pounce on the live
betting Market when he double bogied
what was it the fourth hole on Thursday
and he went from minus one to plus one
and I think was seven shots back at that
very moment and his odds went from plus
400 to plus 1100 and I hammered that
button with everything I had and and
then I went to the mountains I went to
the mountains on Friday night night
after work and I didn’t know until
Sunday that he went out on Saturday shot
63 and then just dusted everybody on
Sunday to to win easily on Monday I was
very happy to see that he shot 63 on
Saturday because that was as soon as I
got in within cell service I was so
happy to see that that live bet was
going to pay off I could tell the minute
you got back in cell service too because
I you know I had had reprieve from your
incessant Babble about how good you are
yeah no it’s uh we we’ve had a we’ve had
a decent run so hopefully we can find
some people this week we are s Scotty
obviously so to get 11 to one on Scotty
this year though that’s that’s a huge
win and you and you actually have been
saying that for a few weeks not taking
anything away from you is that that’s
been your strategy instead of grabbing
the short because until this last week
he hasn’t started off slowly and really
one bad hole was all it took he had one
really bad double bogey on the fourth
hole on the first round and the rest of
the week he was literally
Flawless so no like I like I said you’ve
put that strategy out in the atmosphere
a few weeks back and it’s I mean it’s
really a solid way at finally got to use
it yeah finally actually
worked well I wasn’t betting the last
two the last three times I said it I
didn’t get a chance to even do it I just
laid off of it and didn’t didn’t risk
anything 60% of the time it works every
time Bo yeah baby
Panther so I I think we want to Breeze
right through this show because uh we
got stuff to do we got Kieran Renshaw in
the chat um Royal needs a long shot
winner I think we might get one last
year was a crazy long shot winner with
Nick Hardy and Davis Riley who’s a
friend of Connors Connor and Davis Riley
go together like peas and carrots uh at
least three years ago you guys did but
me and the D Riley we uh we did have a
nice little run together yeah anybody
with an Irish last name is gonna get
some action with Connor hey look at
Kieran Kieran taking some advice and
making it
work yeah see good to hear it my friend
yeah let’s keep it rolling ostradamus in
the chat love to see it
fires smart guy that ostram smart guy
yeah all right let’s go to the caddy
notes after the drop Connor is going to
tell us about TPC Louisiana
Louisiana
[Music]
that’s pretty hot it’s AIC track there
pretty hot I drive around the city
sometimes just blasting that just on a
loop yeah just not a loop I got all the
windows
down you’re like sup sup sup Su
girl then I was like
camilio I was there man it’s totally
true Zer classic of new Orleans New
Orleans uh TPC Louisiana New Orleans
Louisiana of course as if the names did
not imply where we were at uh par 72
yardage is around 7,400 yards Fairways
and greens are
Bermuda another Pete die track so you
get all the typical mental gymnastics to
perform uh course features Five Pawns
and over a 100 bunkers in play Fairways
are wider than average um greens also
rank a little bit larger than the
previous few weeks so getting a little
reprieve there uh driving distance does
not correlate to success on this course
though it’s w wide open and you may hear
some people trying to say that you can
get away with bomb and gouge that
historically has not been the case
approach continues to be king uh the
majority of those approach and uh come
from the distribution bucket of about
200 plus yards so um the big things to
know with this tournament is it’s a
little bit different format uh it is a
team format so first and third round are
going to be fourball where each player
is going to play their own ball team
will record the best score per hole also
known as best ball also known as best
ball second and fourth round or forom or
alternating shot so each team will
alternate shots as it implies record one
score for the team that also means that
they’re gonna alternate t- shots so for
example if if Xander T is on one makes
the putt on one um no Klay makes the
putt on one Klay would still te on two
so it does
that’s a nice thing to distinguish
because I was not aware of that um 80
teams to start and then it’ll be top 33
and ties going into the weekend weather
weather is going to be pretty
Cooperative uh might have some Wing 10
to 15 miles an hour nothing nothing
crazy might have a little bit of
moisture late late in the day early in
the day just kind of mixed in probably
once the players have cleared to be
honest I would guess the score gets to
be somewhere around 30 under um has been
kind of right around that number in
previous years um my boy Davis Riley and
Nick Hardy took it down at 30 under last
year Xander shafley and can’t lay before
that at 29 cam Smith L Mark Lehman 20
under before that and then ROM and Ryan
Palmer 26 before that so G to be some
scoring to be had here but all in all I
think this is a pretty straightforward
course you got to make your hay get your
birdies in you can’t give anything back
um and typically like anytime Bo and I
cover a team event um the name of the
game is finding complimentary skill sets
you want guys that are going to be able
to balance well especially in the
alternate shot days two and
four so yeah that’s about all I got to
say about this tournament in this course
I mean I think it’s a good fun watch um
it is it’s more fun to watch than it is
to bet that’s for sure that’s for sure
yeah because we do have some big names
here I mean Klay and shafley are an
alltime Ridder cup Duo they are the same
dull personality from SoCal where they
have no personality they’re both just
like monotone it’s it’s not interesting
to watch but they’re both top 10 golfers
in the world and when you put them
together with complimenting styles that
they have they should win this
tournament right let’s they should I
mean stat-wise we’re looking at two guys
that should do well here and they’re of
course favorites here we’re going to
cover that in a little bit but um what
kind of golfers are we looking for here
even even if they let’s say their
complimenting skill sets aren’t so
complimenting are you just looking for
guys that make a ton of birdies cuz
that’s kind of what I’m keying on are
guys that are good at making at
convering converting on par fives and
are are good at converting birdie
opportunities which ties into putting on
Bermuda yeah predominantly it’s it’s
birdie or better rate and then I did uh
I did look at approach like I do every
week but that that is a strong
correlated stat here obviously um but
yeah within approach I also looked at
opportunities gained which is the metric
giving us an idea of when we’re getting
good looks at birdie or better after
approach so um that’s weighted in my
model Par Four and par five scoring of
course getting back to more scoring
metrics um and then as like a tiebreaker
stat I did mix in quite a bit of uh
scrambling metrics just because
scrambling is actually correlated to
winning success here which was kind of
surprising but I do think it goes back
to talking about scrambling is not just
a metric for around the green scrambling
is a recovery from basically being out
of position so it does make sense
especially when you look at some of the
um once you get in the alternate shot
guys having to recover off of bad t-
shots and so on so yeah um but more or
less yeah Bo you hit the nail on the
head I mean this is you gotta score and
you got to score Fast and Furious
because 30 under ain’t no joke no it’s
not it’s it’s a that’s a real number uh
especially on the PGA tour where and
you’re going to get a a course like this
which is easier on the easier side and
you have a really strong field at the
top but sometimes that doesn’t really
matter when you get a field with a bunch
of guys who are paired you can catch a
you can C A Team on Thursday that shoots
62 10 under par right off the bat and
then the rest of the teams are playing
catchup in alternate shot and it can get
pretty pretty wild and crazy on the
weekend because you got teams that
should be ahead that aren’t trying to
play catchup and maybe compounding
errors and and you just have to keep
making birdies and Eagles here because
if you if you let your foot off the gas
somebody’s going to catch
you all right and the distinction I did
you cover the cut line because we have
80 teams here of two so 160 in the field
and top 33 and ties top 33 pairs and
ties make the cut for the weekend so a
pretty drastic cut uh you’re going to
see very few um of the guys that very
few six out of six lineups in the DFS
side that’s something to look forward to
later in the show but yeah that’s uh
that’s pretty pretty crazy to think that
two-thirds of this field is going to be
Gonzo by
Friday yeah
it’s I don’t know it’s and it’s wild too
because it’s just hard to it’s hard to
know how it’s going to Cluster you know
top 33 in ties could be 60 of the 80
teams you just never you just never
really know and it could be 35 you never
know because the again this we’re going
to say this a lot today is this event is
about as much of a crap shoot as you can
get because you have you have two guys
playing together but also playing
separate at the same time and
everybody’s doing it you just don’t know
what you’re going to get sometimes those
good teams that look good on paper they
just they’re not in it for the same
reason like they’re out there to have a
buddy weekend and it’s not serious like
you’re going to see a couple of these
pairs in the group it’s like okay we
haven’t seen this guy on tour in five
years but he’s his buddy got him got him
in because that that was they they
wanted to spend the week in New Orleans
and go partying on Bourbon
Street no it’s true and you look at some
I mean you look at some of the people
that are like Rory and Sh uh Shane Lowry
like decided over a drunken lunch they
were going to play in this for the first
time for shits and giggles because they
never played it before it’s just like
they’re both from the emerald
aisle so yeah it’s a it’s a glorified
hit and giggle um with is fun but uh
I’ve been telling people that have been
asking for early advice I’m like you get
your lotto ticket early if you see a
number on a guy just go grab it it’s
gonna move yeah all right let’s hit the
club Twirls drop and let’s bet on some
crazy frivolous team golf
[Applause]
[Music]
as always Brad Chad and Thad coming down
the 18th Fairway bringing us in Chad
with the derby hat for no reason at all
other than because he thinks he’s
cool it’s probably because his Gamecocks
white hat hat was dirty or
something that’s a ’90s reference so
although no Scotty Sheffer here we do
have pronounced favorites at the top of
the DraftKings sports book we
have Patrick kley Xander shafley right
there at plus 450 very short odds it it
goes to show these guys are masters of
fourball and two ball these guys play
extremely good as a tandem we’ve seen
them in the rder cup many times dominate
as a pair they won this tournament two
years ago as a pair why are they so
short still this is this is something
that I am not understanding even though
they should
win do you think they
will yeah I kind of do think they will
um they’re pretty good yeah for all the
things we say bad about these two guys
they’re both really freaking good at
golf and they obviously have the
Rapport that it requires to win the sort
of thing and we’ve seen it so many times
that you shouldn’t be surprised at all
if a plus 450 vet on kley and shle pays
off no and I and I think I think one
thing I kind of hit on it uh I kind of
hit on it earlier talking about sheffler
in the intro I I think I’m getting to a
point with golf betting that like I’m
not going to use the Expression it’s too
short of odds like like this is it’s
short you know plus 400 but when all
signs point to a team being that much
better that much more dominant than the
people they’re going to compete against
being that much more complimentary
having good course history good
tournament history um and not just in
not just in like the um the the uh God
the balls but also in the alternate shot
like surprising to me last year um
Xander and Klay went out and had the uh
round number two 63 was the best
alternate shot round of the tournament
so it it just goes to show you that
there’s a lot to be said for guys that
can that can carry each other and have a
similar similar profile which I think if
you’ve watched a show before we talk
almost every week about Klay and and
shafley being pretty much the same guy
um so they’re both Immaculate from
second and third shot off the te they’re
they can be average but uh on approach
and around the greens these guys are A++
players together um and individually it
just doesn’t matter these guys are so
consistent
that it uh it just comes down to can
they put together enough birdies like
they did two years ago as opposed to
last year where they kind of hit a
stagnant point where they made too many
pars they didn’t quite convert some of
those opportunities that they presented
themselves with uh I I think that the
odds at plus 400 now officially are a
little short but the guys that we the
two the pair that we really like has
really taken a nose dive into the short
odds uh we were getting uh 10 to one
odds on zalat torus and theala here but
they’re at plus 700 now that’s insanely
short for those guys but they’re getting
a lot of action on the betting market so
um maybe hopefully that we see a little
steam let off here over the next couple
of days before we tea off but zator and
theala uh they’re they’re on a freight
train runaway right now on odds market
so uh I like them but when they’re that
close to shafley and Klay I think I’ll
opt for the guys that I’ve seen win this
thing yeah it’s really weird because uh
when I sat down to write my article last
night uh Willie Z and seah were like my
like most favorite play this week I just
thought the way they set 10 to one yeah
10 to one on top of that like they’re
both in excellent form so Heath coming
off of a hot stick last week Willie Z
coming off of strong Masters performance
several top 10 before
thatting Styles yeah everything about it
salur from T Green’s incredible and and
see short game is
incredible everything about it made made
a ton of sense but uh it plus I don’t I
don’t know that’s uh that’s definitely
that’s not the same Arena as doing the
the plus 400 for Xander and Klay so if
you were lucky enough to get Willie Z
and sah at uh plus a thousand um count
your bless that was a good number on
them plus 700’s far too short I think
little too volatile for that number so
at odds in a vacuum you would you rather
the Irish do of Lowry and mooy or the
Irish do of Coughlin mcra uh s day I
figured if we get a couple shots a hole
we’re taking this thing down I don’t
even know and we’d be way more blacked
out drunk than those two guys they’re
probably they’re probably prim and
proper compared to what we do out there
down in Bourbon Street I know low lowri
scares me I think he could hang but
roryd be drinking a chardonay or
something in bed by 8:30 Rory wouldd be
sipping A Shard leaving lipstick stains
on the on the
glass he probably calls the glass a stem
too man have a nice St another stem of
the
sh no but um I and you know the next one
kittama morawa plus uh 1100 I like I
it’s getting short it’s getting to short
like I was 16 the other day
yesterday I think the first like true
semi value that I see here is is
probably gonna be the the Fitzpatrick
Brothers at plus 2200 really I mean
gross that’s gross I have to say semi
value just because they’re the ones that
are kind of holding the odds are holding
strong and yeah I I think what’s nice
about Matt Fitzpatrick and his brother
his brother is probably a little more
off the radar and a little underrated
for as good as he actually is not
anymore he was on
Netflix but I think I think people that
bet golf are not used to seeing Alex in
in a field um and I think Matt and Alex
have a really complimentary style
obviously they’ve played together you
know growing up so I I kind of like the
partnership there I think I think they
have the right skill set to take this
place down um accuracy approach good
enough putting um and plus 2200 when you
look at the guys around them like Nick
Taylor and Adam hadwin I’ll take a pass
like they’re they uh they had a putter
at one point but over the last 24
they’re two of the worst Putters in this
field so not gonna gamble there and then
hogi and McNeely are interesting um yeah
but polar opposite players polar opposit
and the problem with them both really
truly becomes like both of them have to
have their aame on the aspect of their
game that they’re carrying the other on
and if either of them slips ain’t gonna
be good right I think I’m gonna hold
strong with kyama and morawa I think
there’s enough Firepower there where
again like what you said the odds aren’t
too short especially in this kind of
event where we just saw Colin morawa we
just saw col Colin morawa have a really
strong showing like this guy’s ball
striking from TAA greens
outstanding and if he’s if he’s having a
little bit of trouble around the greens
kittama is such a grinder like this is
this is the kind of place where neither
one of these guys is a bomber like
kittama is longer than morawa but
they’re both so solid all the way
through the bag that I can see them just
putting up a [ __ ] ton of birdies all at
once uh especially in bball best ball
this this team could be formidable if
they can hold their own an alternate
shot they can definitely win this thing
uh all the other guys you said like I
think that Alex will be a wagon for Matt
and Matt’s not necessarily known as a
birdie maker in the first place we saw
that last year when we kind of were
intrigued by those those two guys they
didn’t make any birdies they were out
there just paring the paring all the way
through like Fitz always does and Alex
Alex is the guy that’s all off in the
weeds and in the rocks and the trees and
his brother Matt’s like oh top 10 in the
world and I’m look at my brother just
plotting around just playing army Golf
out there left left left right left and
they couldn’t make any birdies so I’m
not going to I’m not hitting that at 22
to1 the Hoy guard brothers having a
Firepower but they suck on Bermuda like
they just cannot play on Bermuda like as
soon as I hit the Bermuda filter they
went from the top to the bottom and I
was like well there goes the boyards I
was I was in interested until that
happened uh I think I’ll go all the way
down here to Doug gim and Chan Kim at 40
to one that why those guys annihilate
part fives they annihilate par fours
they make so many birdies yes they are
volatile but 40 to1 for Firepower I will
invest in that
um I don’t know man in that price range
I got more interest in G up and E root
better form better all-around games
better complimentary games I’ll agree
with that one I’ll agree with that one
they they rided well for me too they’re
definitely my DFS pool I the the thing
that scares me with gim and Kim is Kim
especially is super streaky on most
parts of his game um when he’s hot
though look out true but they’re both so
streaky they’re both streaky yeah and
that’s what I was going to say with gim
too like gim we’ve been lining up to bet
week on week for like the last six weeks
and he’s scorched us yeah so I I don’t
know 40 you want to talk about short
that feels short to me um Andrew Novak
and Davis Thompson at the same number
yeah I like that one too um Novak is
especially rated out fifth in my model
overall um he’s probably going to have
to carry Davis a little bit but but
Novak alone has been playing like some
really Golf and specifically his
approach rates out in the top five
Novak’s a straight ball hitter and
that’s that’s a good quality to have on
a Pete di course so I think I think this
team is is well-rounded enough they they
can put some birdies down with the best
of them too so um again any other golf
tournament on the planet 40 to1 with
either of these guys names next to it
would be wo a little rough but it’s I’ve
said this a couple times this week too
you know I like the sum of the hole more
than I like the parts and so
this team makes sense at that number and
if you look at the teams around them I I
think they’ve got a legitimate chance to
actually contend so 40 to1 on Andrew
Novak Davis Thompson’s probably more
favorable to me than gim and Kim let’s
make it a beer bet I’m in let’s do it
all right um I’m GNA go down to skip I’m
gonna make a point to skip the defending
Champions Riley and Hardy I think that
was just a miracle run uh and I really
do like the combin ation of CTP and
Kevin U even though neither one of them
can make a putt to save their life ball
striking wise these guys got the
Firepower too uh they have 55 to1 that’s
a pretty decent line um are you
interested in Perez and burger Victor
Perez the Frenchman and Daniel Burger uh
they’re both stat Darlings which is why
I’m kind of bringing them up because uh
they’ve both burnt us pretty hardcore
the last two years so any interest in
those two
guys no burger burger in particular
doesn’t score I mean and even when he
was good he wasn’t like a a birdie
machine you know so and Perez Perez can
do it but the problem is he’s got to
play with burger and right now Burger
rates out 84th in my model which is the
lower half of this
field I’m just thankful that the damn
model finally caught up and I don’t have
to see Daniel Burger popping in the top
10 anymore for no apparent reason yeah
yeah he hasn’t actually had the results
to back it up at any point the season um
there’s two pairs that popped up in my
model very highly one of them has stayed
steady at 80 to1 Rico Hoy and Justin Su
they are playing they’re both playing
great golf this year and 80 to1 that’s a
really good number and the cooe brothers
started opened at 200 to one they’ve
already risen to 80 to1 so I I think I’m
out on the cooe brothers at 80 to1
because simply put even in in their
current state where they’re both rolling
it pretty well that’s way too short for
those guys yeah and here’s the problem
with the cooties and I I I don’t know
why other people haven’t caught on to
this yet I gotta qu kissing those
girls here’s the problem with cooties
when it becomes a permanent problem with
cooies bow that’s something else you
should go to a doctor have that looked
at he no cold sores
here but I I don’t know why nobody else
has caught on to this yet like if you
had to pick one of the cooties it’s Park
consistent yeah problem with Parker is
Parker doesn’t make birdies no um if you
pick Pearson it’s either birdie or
triple bogy yeah 100% And the problem
with Pearson is Pearson couldn’t hit the
broadside of a barn on approach and so
like I yeah I I get it couldn’t be more
different as twins no and I mean I kind
of get it right like the cooties pop
occasionally each week so people know
the name they’re on people’s radar but
like they were both top 20 at the
Dominican last week a 30 second dive
into their stats and I just go
uh I I don’t I was in at 150 to 200 to
one that was fine yeah but 80 is stupid
yeah both of them have a hot hand and do
what they can do this week sure I mean
they they definitely have the Firepower
between them and to your point the
deeper number for sure but like yeah
word from the wise at that number go
with Hoy and Su yeah I would say H or Su
or H and Su but like an interesting one
that I I’m coming around to a little bit
and I really had to look into this is um
Jimmy Stanger and Adrien Dante
chasa not bad not bad Stinger Stinger’s
been good this year you’ve you’ve played
him a couple times I’ve played ADC a
couple times uh ADC is having a rough
season he’s had a couple pops but uh
stanger’s been strong I think that you
can get you can get a guy dragging
another guy up in quality with that
pairing yeah and if I did write them
both up in in a little more detail and
and I dove into their um corn fairy
stats which are actually super
impressive prior to this year and then I
looked at um ADC on the DP World Tour a
little bit continues to become more and
more impressive and
so I hate to say it but like I’m trying
to be early on these two especially like
Stanger Stanger to me is somebody that’s
G to Pop um and when you look at what
they both do well well they both have a
very similar distance profile they both
have a very similar ability to get very
hot from the the 175 to 200 plus range
on approach um and really what’s great
about Stanger is Stanger has a really
really good up and down game more so
than the other people in this area so I
really like the balance here and and the
only reason this was on my Radars
because I’ve been playing Stanger so uh
yeah a little bit of a deep dive this is
actually like a sneaky pair that has a
really nice balance to them sneaky pairs
at each end of those two guys so I’m
going to go with the Bridgman Chandler
Phillips pair as well as the aldri pot
Geer and Tristan Lawrence pair damn you
I love that one pot Gator bombs this
[ __ ] this is not a bombing gouch course
despite it being above average length
it’s a Pete D course but pot Gator’s off
the te game is so good it’s not just
distance this guy bombs it out there
straight as an arrow and he can take
advantage of that distance because he is
straight off the te uh and Tristan
Lawrence Deep dive on him turns out this
dude’s a really good approach player
yeah and they they can both roll the
putter so uh your Deep dive at 110 to
one from both of us write this one down
alri potger Tristan thristan whatever
you want to however you want to say it
thristan Lawrence thirsty as Mayo calls
him yeah thristan Lawrence and aldri
poer yeah just go with those two guys
that that’s a really nice nice deep shot
after that um it gets really gross
because the Coe brothers were down there
for me to take deep Dives on but the
rest of this is disgusting do you have
any any really deep shots anymore no
because honestly um uh Tristan Lawrence
and aldri po potater uh I had them at
plus 130 and that was about as deep as I
was going outside of Jimmy Stanger and
ADC that I got at uh 200 to one and they
are already down to where they are so
the uh the secrets out on them sweet all
right so let’s get moving on DFS Connor
you won two in a row it was a close one
this week I had a little comeback on on
my hands but uh it was not enough so
good job there winning the $ five dollar
back from
me uh let’s let’s head over to the DFS
side because uh there’s some interesting
plays to be had here even though it’s a
team event you can’t play the same guy
twice obviously it’s weird um you can’t
play the same team twice yeah and and I
don’t know why they maybe they just so
you could see the stats from each
individual guy uh but it’s it’s kind of
confusing on DraftKings it’s okay guys
we’re still going to do no trunks slams
we’re still going to win some damn money
we’re g to take all the money from the
lobbies and we’re going to win with it
and we’re going to keep snowballing that
bankr after the
drop the club
is this would be a
[Music]
wrestling so question in the chat uh
regarding defending champion at the
Dominican Republic Billy horel a Bermuda
specialist has won this at this course
twice in his
career he’s playing with a guy who
hasn’t proven anything at any point at
any level so I’m going to skip Tyson
Alexander and Billy horsell I think
that’s a kind of a trap play uh or would
you agree with that Connor I actually uh
not to spend too much time on him I like
Billy hoe here Tyson Alexander I played
and had some success with last season in
DFS so I’m not afraid of Tyson Alexander
Billy hoe this is a a really nice setup
for him coming off a win um so they got
a lot of fire I like them I I got them
at 50 to one I don’t know what they’re
at
now yeah let me check that
here yeah they’re down to 35 and I I
really don’t like that number like gross
that’s how much these lines are moving
though like my my lines got um validated
or or however you want to put it two
three hours ago yeah so it’s already
moved a lot yeah so right before it’s
Gonna Keep moving so um just pay
attention to who we’re talking about as
good plays uh versus what their lines
might be at that very moment uh what
you’re going to find is that it’s the
best plays are still going to be the
best plays regardless what their prices
on DraftKings or what their odds are is
you’re still going to have guys that
were higher on than others just because
of the way their Styles compliment and
the way they’re playing right now rent
form plays a big part this week yeah the
problem just becomes when they slid to
that 35 number not just not to stay hung
up on it but I I like Novak and Thompson
better at 40 to1 I like I like your call
on gim and H Kim at 40 to1 better um
yeah 50 to1 I was willing to willing to
throw a couple dice at it but like this
is yeah 35’s too short for that that
Team all right on the draftking side
Xander shafley Patrick Klay
$11,200 just ahead of Rory meloy Shane
Lowry the Irish Duo and then at 103 you
have the goala Taurus who are getting
just as much Steam on the DFS chalk side
and you got morawa kyama 10,000 flat
anybody here have any value leverage to
be
found I actually wanted to start with
that how much are you gonna take into
account roster ship this week or are you
gonna try and no none I have I have 16
uh I have 16
teams I think let me see I have eight
teams eight teams that I’m that are in
my player pool so that means I’m gonna
have like five
lineups yeah so it’s interesting this is
a week where I typically do like a lot
more single entry or three max that type
of stuff it’s a perfect opportunity to
be
conservative and on top of that if I’m
if then I only got to get different like
one spot right I can play the chalk I
can play the plays I want to play and I
don’t have to worry about dupes really
yeah so I probably I probably end up
playing I probably end up playing a fair
amount of Klay and shafley um you know I
think if you were to kind of figure
their roster ship it’s probably going to
land somewhere around
30% um but I have 20 to 30% of them
because they’re they’re going to be the
best play it’s not a this isn’t rocket
science they’re still going to score a
lot of DFS points
I mean it’s the same with the gala and
um zalatoris I mean they’re going to
land in that 25 to 30% as well and I’m
I’m not going to not play him not gonna
not get Randy Jackson’s aut on a samurai
sword so yeah you have uh Klay 32% right
now melroy 177% the Irishman are getting
a little disrespect here but morawa
kyama and the Fitzpatrick Brothers at
9700 that’s going to be your leverage
point at the top of the board here
morawa
13.5% and Fitzpatrick 8.7 not
bad yeah I think I think I go I I think
I stick to my guns and go the
Fitzpatrick Brothers there I I’m not as
sold on morawa and um kyama as you are
um
obviously the disrespect for Northern
California will not
stand it will not stand
no I think agression will not stand man
I think um I think either one’s a good
play though especially with the leverage
opportunity there and if you are doing
any kind of um Mass multi-entry like
you’re gonna probably have to take that
stand on one or both of them because 30%
chalk up at the top in those bigger
contests is you got a lot lot of capital
invested trying to trying to get over
the the field so yep all right going
down the board you got Connors and
hadwin is that who he’s playing with no
Connors is with pend oh my God I like
Connor’s here but pendrith my God he’s
been bad this year what is going on with
Taylor
pendrith yeah I probably would take a
pass on Conor’s
pendrith yeah they’re they’re at 16%
roster ship estimated that’s that’s too
high the hogy mcne is getting 26% right
now uh that’s woof that’s that’s pretty
rough I I like them as a leverage play
but they’re not leverage this is chock
City and so I will limit my exposure to
hogi mcne because I don’t think they’re
that good 9,400 for them is pretty
pretty steep it’s rapidly becoming like
unbal and unplayable like weird isn’t it
that’s just weird to
me I think it’s I I think a little bit
it’s because of the odds tier like
there’s not there’s really not a lot of
people in that same price range that
people are going to be drawn to and and
it’s kind of the same thing in DFS like
I don’t know I I’d rather play hogi um
over Nick Taylor and Adam hadwin right
yeah because they’re getting 177% that’s
not that’s nothing to shake a stick at
that’s pretty chalky at 9200 for two
guys that have been okay this year but
not great this might be an interesting
spot to go to where Royal said and and
fire up a little Billy hoe though at 11%
$8,900 that’s a really different lineup
at that price point it’s it’s hard to
really have stacked much up top so even
if you got a chalk play up top then
going to Billy hoe in this price
range um it might not be the worst thing
that you could do I’m interested in the
Hoy guards at
5.7% they have some Firepower for DFS do
they not I mean I I get the the Bermuda
splits are ugly but they’re only getting
5% roster ship and they’re heck of a lot
better matchup for for 9,000 range than
14% Bryce Garnett and sep
sta I’d probably if I’m doing if I’m
doing like a three max or if I am
dabbling in any of the um um multi-entry
ones I probably have quite a bit of Hoy
guards just because it does give you a
nice leverage spot like that five% it
makes you really really different um and
you don’t need a ton of them the problem
with with them both is is that they they
should be playing better than they are
right like they they stat out and they
profile better at almost every we look
at and we’ve both been really high on on
both brothers and it just really hasn’t
come to fruition so it just seems like a
tall ask on the price um yeah at 9100
that’s the only thing that I’m kind of
turned off by and maybe that’s the same
same thought other people are having so
question we have similar similar roster
ship on the Keith Mitchell Joel Damon
pair and the Taylor Montgomery Ben
Griffin that’s the the putters
specialist uh pair of Montgomery and
Griffin both guys are top 10 in this
field putting
uh Damon and Mitchell are both Bermuda
guides that that seem to play better on
these types of courses uh who do you
want
there I’d go Griffin Montgomery just
more consistent yeah and Griffin’s a
better ball Striker than Montgomery
everybody’s a ball better ball strike
for the Montgomery but Montgomery’s
short game so good and Griffin’s just an
all-around solid player uh we’ve talked
about Ben Griffin quite a bit on this
show over the years so I Keith Mitchell
is gonna have to be the best version of
himself and Carrie carry Joel Damon to
the Finish Line like Joel I want Joel to
I want Joel to find his form man but
outside of a couple of little glimpses
on the betting Pros podcast I said if we
knew that Keith Mitchell was going to
hit every t-shot and that Joel Damon was
going to putt every birdie putt then
they’d be
okay then I might then I might fire it
up we’re in on on Keith Mitchell off the
tea and Damon putting because Keith
Mitchell putting and Joel Damon off the
tea are two of the ugliest things on the
PGA tour yeah and unfortunately uh yeah
they got to hit 50% share of each so I
I’m probably a pass on that one It’s
just tough Bill to swallow I’m back in
on gim and Kim here uh 14.9 is pretty
decent um I’m not seeing anybody else in
this range booster’s playing that crap
this year uh dri’s not been good Aaron
ry’s been so
inconsistent and burger of course is the
stat darling that nobody can explain
anybody in that range that you like I’m
going to eat chock here do Novak and
Thompson uh projected at 22 I’m not I’m
not going to be out on them I think
that’s a good price for them 8100 yeah
it makes my lineups really easy and
frankly I think they’re going to compete
here I they they’re they’re one of those
pairs that just makes too much sense to
to skip um and then the other one that I
like kind of in this range is um is uh e
root and um gdup who are also getting a
little bit of heat behind them they’re
they’re not bad they’re projected about
12% but that’s probably the next ones
that I’m looking at in this
range yeah uh explain to me the $7,700
chalk on Taylor Moore and Matt neith
22% what so people are people are trying
to create this story that this is a
again a very complimentary pair right
like it’s not well new Smith can put the
lights out can and Taylor Mo has been in
great form EXC approach yeah
so I’m taking a pass on yeah that’s easy
chalk fade for me my God I’d rather play
CT pan and Kevin U at
that my my actually my favorite pair
down in here and I love the roster ship
panda panda oh no it’s better it’s
better I’m gonna play Steve Stricker and
Matt coocher Gross hey just hear me out
Stricker Stricker’s been tearing up the
champions tour this year coocher coocher
plays coocher has done well in these in
these team environments and head-to-head
formats they have a very complimentary
game at this point
0.6% that’s what you’re looking at I’m
just telling you like don’t sleep on
coocher and uh coocher and Stricker like
just because they’re old men doesn’t
mean they can’t hang so they they’re
sleeping on themselves they’re going to
fall asleep they’re going to be in bed
it’s it’s New Orleans and they’re going
to be in bed by
8:30 I will put coocher Stricker against
your your uh Kevin UK call all
day yeah I don’t feel that great about
the there it is yeah I don’t feel great
about any of them in that range uh I’d
rather go with the KH Lee pair with
Michael Kim is that what you’re talking
about uh I don’t mind that one but I was
talking about your Kevin U one yeah
Kevin Yu one I just think that’s
upside yeah no I I can’t I couldn’t
fight you on KH Le like KH Le is another
guy is if he gets hot on approach and
and putts decent like he definitely can
make birdies by the bunches so Chandler
Phillips and yeah that’s my and
Bridgeman Jacob Bridgeman that’s that’s
my uh that’s my go-to in that
range and a little bit of Carson young
Carson young Ben Martin 14% Chandler
Phillips
huh yeah it’s it’s 13 now so I think
that little steam is being let off
because Dylan Woo is getting in 20% bump
uh so 7,400 you can skip the Dylan woo
and Justin lwer pair because that’s way
chalky for
them yeah I think I think in a in a
vacuum I do like Justin lower and Dylan
woo better than Chandler Phillips
andd no that pricewise no that or roster
ship wise that’s the problem gross U but
Low’s playing really good golf and Dylan
woo and Brandon R woo who’s also in this
field both are you know this this of
course it would make sense for him so I
wouldn’t blame anybody for pay or
playing them but at 20% that’s wo that’s
probably not the spot that I’m eating
shock
at uh another one that’s chalky that’ll
have limited exposure to it 7200 Alex
SMY and Maddie Schmidt uh Schmidt bomber
SMY more of a more of a straight guy uh
but complimenting Styles we’re seeing
the chalk kind of huddle around these
complimenting players that are just
opposites of style like Matty SCH
Smith’s a straight up bomber out there
and Alex Small’s a short straight hitter
it doesn’t mean that they’re good
together it just means that they’re
opposite types of players they’re
different archetypes and 16% for those
two guys is just insane to
me yeah down here it’s it’s it’s weird
it’s it there’s one real good guy and
then there’s a guy that I can see them
popping up but everybody below 7500
there’s one guy that I like and his
partner is like
like thristan Lawrence and pot keer here
that’s lovely I love that pair that’s
probably my favorite play 6.5% at 7100
that I’m smashing the O I’m Overexposed
on that pair I need need I need to cool
my Jets on Lawrence and pocker because
I’m GNA be so over my skis on them if
they if they screw up and miss the cut I
am gonna be screwed yeah I I need to
pump the brakes a little bit but I I
still
think I still think that they’re the
they’re the maybe the pair down here
that again I I’m fairly confident both
player or confident that both players
will perform you’re going to hear the
name pot Gater many times alri potger is
a very very good young player he’s 18 19
years old he’s just so good and he’s not
he’s not miles the 15-year-old kid that
was top 20 at the corn fairy tour last
year like we got talk about that kid for
a little bit but like
Pock eater is a South African that’s
just insanely talented he’s he’s a thick
boy like us he bombs it out there we we
love our thick boys on the show and so
uh yeah we’re all rooting for aldri
potater you’re going to hear that name
many times over the next few years from
us and probably next year and the year
after from everybody who covers golf
that’s like valaki team team pudgy boys
over here oh yeah and they got the they
got the mullets going
too just stunning stunning riveting um
getting down here into the sixes though
not to belabor this like there there
really aren’t a whole lot of teams that
I feel super confident about
I seven flat Ryan Brahman um homeless
hubs I’d probably take a few shots at
them um yeah Hoy and so are getting 11%
right now it’s a little
high yeah I’m not super in on that one
yeah but brothers are getting steam
they’re at 12% the St the Stanger pair
oh man the cies are at 12% which is a
little chalky but the Jimmy
Stanger and who’s he with Dumont du
shasa that might be too chalky at
14.4%
woof either either we’re incredibly
smart or I I can’t figure it out because
that number has just ballooned in the
last like couple hours too and their you
know their odds like I said went are
literally cut in half so apparently the
secrets out on those guys I probably
will have them in DFS just because they
can score a lot 14% is not optimal down
here but I it’s not going to it’s not
going to kill my lineups especially when
I got stuff up top I think some of that
has to do with where lineups are falling
like if you’re loading up on some of
these 10K guys you’re going to have to
fall in that mid sixes with at least one
of your one of your
and so you’re getting the coin flip
between the Cy brothers and Stanger and
ADC and you’re getting a concentration
of Chu just based on salaries funneling
people to that
number yeah but you you would think that
you would go down and like you’ve got
like
um down or flat Hayden Buckley and JJ
spawn are a couple that people know and
line up to play um their ownership is
like nothing um Eric Cole is right there
and like
I mean there’s guys in here that that
usually Garner more roster ship than
they than they’re getting I mean even
going down and playing names you know
like Charlie Hoffman um chz reevy yeah
guess who Charlie’s playing
with Nick Watney shout out NorCal oh God
and Nick Watney hasn’t been good in four
years he was incredible four or five
years ago I we’re talking really really
damn close to being a major winner and
he’s just falling off the face of the
Earth he’s clinging to sponsors
exemptions at this point but honestly
with how good Charlie Hoffman looks on
these types of courses we might see a a
reinvigorated Nick Watney and I wouldn’t
be surprised to see them make the cut
and that could be something where you
find an edge
there and it’s scary yeah I’m probably
I’m probably like I said I’m I’m going
to stick to that Stanger uh ADC um and
that’s that’s probably about as low as
I’m going to go I I I I’ve already built
quite a few lineups and I’ve been able
to build pretty good lineups that end
down there so I I’m not going to get too
crazy at the bottom here that you made a
point earlier like this could be a
massive cut going into Saturday so I I
don’t think this is a tournament to get
super cute at um yeah they’re gonna have
very few six out of six lineups with the
way this is set up that’s that’s going
to be if you have a six out of six
lineup this week you are going to win
money like it is you are going to win a
[ __ ] T many if you have some six out of
sixes in this in this
format you agree I do I do agree I was
panicking slightly because uh I just
realized that the hat is not at the
table I have to get the Hat okay go get
the Hat um let’s talk about first round
leaders um I think you can go and have a
little fun with this week this this week
has uh a lot of long shot potential last
week we or last year at this event we
had a very long shot winner and first
round leaders you can go with a with an
exciting
Duo at pretty good odds I like the kyama
morawa duo I love the theala zalatoris
duo first round leader odds are pretty
soft
anyway uh I think that if if I’m going
to go deep on a first round leader I’m
gonna go to that Chan Kim Doug gim Duo
because they have the Firepower although
they are completely nuclear and volatil
uh they are plutonium uranium everything
just explosive but you you might you
might see them just completely fall flat
but being as the first round is best
ball you you could have one of these
volatile pairs like gim and Kim go out
and shoot 62 63 and be first round
leaders and get a really good number on
it um so I think I’ll throw some I’ll
throw a little bit of money on theala
and zalatoris and then I’ll throw some a
little bit more on Chan Kim and Doug gim
as first round leader I think that
you’re going to see the winner this year
with the field being a tad bit stronger
than last year just a little bit
stronger I think you’re going to see the
winning score uh better than 30 under
par last year 30 under par won it and it
could have been it could have been
better like there was there were guys
that were chasing Riley and and uh and
Hardy that just didn’t didn’t convert to
to push them down the stretch I think
that could happen this year so I think
the gala Alat torus win this thing at 31
under
par uh I I tend to agree with you I
think I think I’m gonna go uh Xander and
Klay even at Short odds get get the win
here I think uh Novak uh Novak Thompson
would be my first round leader bet if I
was going to throw one out there okay
that’s interesting yeah um just because
I think Novak Novak gen generally has
the Firepower to go um go pretty low um
and carry them low so I like that one
get a good number on that somewhere so
Xander and Klay win and then yeah Novak
Thompson first round leader for sure
what score you have uh I would say I
would say probably right around the same
as you I maybe maybe 30 okay all right
pull the number out of the Hat last year
last week we nearly won out of the Hat
the Hat has been really good the Hat has
been
outstanding it’s because it’s a sun hat
make sure you take care of your skin
folks well I’m pasty so that hat gets
use yeah all right number 42 in my model
number 42 42 Jackie Robinson day was
last uh was a week ago so shout out to
Jackie Robinson number 42 who’s 42 in
mine go ahead with yours actually don’t
know who this person is playing
with I don’t either I’m going to look it
up
here oh this is not good this is not
good at all oh the hats rain has come to
an end I’m afraid I’m pretty sure you’re
right because Nico Nico eia and Max
grayer oh hat oh no oh hat not gonna be
oh no mine might be worse mine might be
worse 42 and mine is the pair the
illustrious pairing of Gary Woodland and
Lee
Hodes o I feel better about that uh it’s
not good they are averaging combined 46
fantasy points a week they are
electric they are
repulsive well you heard it here if the
hat if the hat is destined like we’ve
said all year then the hat is destined
so if you see Greaser and Gary Woodland
out there lighting it up with Lee Hodes
and Nico
etaria then the hat is live the hat is
this the ultimate test for the Hat
because that is
rough we we may be Furnishing a new hat
next week that was this is the Hat has
uh really outdone itself this time
crazier things have happened on Bourbon
Street oh this will be a fun watch I’m
not I’m not sure that it’s going to be
the most profitable week but uh but I
think we got some cons be conservative
people this is not the week to go ham on
the betting or the DFS side this is the
this is the week where you take it easy
you watch the golf enjoy the
show and join us next
week for the CJ
cup uh yeah it’s it’s going to be rough
the next couple weeks till we get to the
PGA uh
from I am Bo mcre you’ve been watching
the 19th Hole as always live on in
between media like subscribe Jingle the
Bell join us next week cheers
[Music]
