Hosts of ‘A Numbers Game,’ talk March Madness Day 1 upsets, including yet again another early exit for the Kentucky Wildcats.
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Skil Alexander it’s Kelly Midland live from bar Canada at the D in downtown Las Vegas what’s up what’s up what’s happening nothing much I see above your uh shoulder there that they’re doing a whole thing well they were a second ago JJ McCarthy’s pro day so that’s what we
Have two hours of JJ McCarthy’s pro day today okay uh how are your brackets doing oh boy had a great day yesterday I don’t know many people who had a great day yesterday yeah just anecdotally of course some did again congrat congratulations to you um we have nothing but college basketball today on
The show uh Tim Murray host of v in prime time will join us to give his picks for today and perhaps for tomorrow now that we have the first half of the round of thir uh 32 set tomorrow as well after yesterday Chris felica the bear
From the bear bets podcast over at Fox Sports same with him maybe he’s got some other sports he wants to talk about uh how about a little Adam finlin from 247 Sports and CBS Sports HQ his college basketball thoughts today on the games uh Dr he promised yesterday he’d come
Back on he keeps that promise a little later on the show Kansas didn’t quite work out in the end for him yesterday we’ll get that and then Jason wart usually comes to us from a cloud of smoke I don’t know maybe the cloud of smoke will be right here I have we have
No idea no idea I have no idea I I produced the show I have no idea if Jason’s gonna be here or not uh I can tell you what yes he’s not going to be on Skype I if we have him it will be yes the cloud of smoke will have follow
Right here cloud of smoke will be right here um all right let’s start though because we’re going to have everybody giv their picks later on let’s just talk about yesterday first and spend a little time on that um March Madness never fails uh and if we could just break
These games yesterday down in two categories one was the kind of snoozefest games quite frankly there were about 11 of those 11 out of 16 thank you um you wanted me to say that is that part like I just feel and I just feel like every year you know it’s like
Oh it’s so crazy and it’s like yeah but lot of the game sucked yeah yesterday 11 of the 16 were’re were’re we blowouts five will get to which were obviously just amazing in the way that they uh the way developed first of all the 11 games that were blowouts and to varing degrees
Obviously a lot of those were higher seeds uh number three kraton covering against akan winning by 17 covering the 11 and a half uh number one UNC in the west that was in the midwest by the way number one UNC in the west um beat
Wagner by 28 that was a 25 and a half point spread ill over Morehead State in the East they won by 16 covering the 11 and a half all these were covers Iowa State number two seed in the East taking down South Dakota state by 17 that was a
15 and a half point spread uh Gonzaga crushing MCN in a 512 six and a half point spread in the midwest uh they won by 21 Tennessee a two- seed crushing St Peters uh by what was that 34 that was a 22 and a half point spread and Texas
Getting back to a little little bit of a higher seed a seven seed that was a three and a half Point favorite over Colorado State they won by 12 I had Colorado State as my Survivor team Yesterday by the way I do have a buy in as I mentioned so I’m
Back in today one Buy in allowed um Colorado State who had held remember we did that whole thing about Virginia being held scoreless for over 12 minutes against Colorado State Colorado state scored two points over a 15 plus minute span yesterday you know what you know
What all I I didn’t want to text you cuz I knew you had your that was almost worse I knew you had your Survivor going on this so I didn’t want to text you about it but they were up 8 to2 and I was feeling like a genius all I was
Thinking about though was what we say all the time of like on a Thursday night football game we’re like would you bet this if it was in the middle of a Sunday slight it felt the same way of like Virginia took all the heat the other night yet like because you’re buried in
The middle of the first round exact you can escape from it a little exactly right cuz Virginia was a standalone yeah by the way Arizona so all of those big favorites that we just mentioned and all those higher seeds and lower seeds not only one not only advanced in Brackets
But but covered all the spreads Arizona almost was in that group too they crushed Long Beach State in 215 out west they had two bunnies at the end and they only end up winning by 20 in a 20 and a half point spread they missed the
Bunnies so Arizona is the only one of these blowouts that I’ve mentioned so far that uh didn’t cover uh but then add a few more longer seeds to the blowouts and those were to start the day and this is where I bring in the megapod story from this year last year couldn’t have
Been better well this year let’s put it this way before you could say hey has the tournament started uh some picks flamed out uh Michigan State crushed Mississippi State by 18 Mississippi State never even made a run in this game that was a one and a half point spread
And then Oregon that was in the west and Oregon in the midwest is 11 seed really crushed South Carolina there’s no other way to say that was a two and a half point spread they won by 14 there was no real run in that game either Todd uh had
Both Mississippi State and South Carolina in his final four will had Mississippi State in his final four as well so a year after those guys just murdered it uh the headlines from from the from the megapod Todd called it though Todd said he goes I hate my
Bracket this is going to suck I’m just telling you I’m not doing this two years in a row and he even laments the fact that he he went up against ISO and Alman two of the most tried andrue turny coaches ever and he you know he does
What a he did what a lot of sports betters do they just regret some of the stuff they do sometimes and so Michigan State roles Oregon rolls and then the other blowout the 11th of those NC State as an 11 seed crushes Texas Tech I keep
Using Crush cuz they were all kind of snoozefest this one was good for a half I guess and then NC State just uh just absolutely outclassed him in the second half against the Red Raiders 80 to 67 they win as fivepoint dogs in that game so those were 11 blowouts and there
Wasn’t much to those games uh by the way the two DJs for NC State especially DJ Burns just and they called it at halftime Zack Randolph vibes from DJ Burns and by the way it has Jim valano not quite Jim Valvano Vibes with NC State but this team is good all right
Then the five games where and we’ll break these down into two and three because the the last three are ones that people are just going to just absolutely going to leave a mark on but two of them two of the longer seeds that won in
Close games I had BYU going to the final four um as a ticket and also I had you know a long shot for them to win all but I really my 12 to one for them to go to the Final Four that Flames out as well
As number 11 duaine duain who had this is in the East Duane who had hadn’t been in the tournament since 1977 they beat BYU 71 to 67 as nine and a half Point dogs remember this was the game that people acted like they knew the final score they couldn’t bet BYU enough got
All the way up to 10 at one point yep including you but it was such a microcosm of BYU season they fell down 14 points I’m like that’s nothing for BYU sure enough they they tied it and then they lose at the end cuz that’s
Just BYU yeah yeah I mean what they got cold from three early in the second half and it was just that team can’t get cold from three I’m screaming at Khalifa the whole game just like it’s just get him out of the game it’s a whole thing with
By so I thought I was pretty impressed with duaine actually though I thought they played some good they were great they were absolutely great they they deserve credit and then the other one of the of the five games that came down to uh to some drama and the biggest upset
Of the day number 14 Oakland in the South beats Kentucky a 13 and 1 Half Point favorite so this was not only the biggest up out up you know outright upset in terms of a betting Market but also in terms of your brackets or if you had Oakland let’s say in Survivor Every
Which Way Oakland beats Kentucky 80 to 76 Jack Goki for Oakland 32 points on 10 of 23o shooting and this gives us our moment I guess we’ll have to save the the real three games that leave a mark after the break here but this gives us a
Moment to just talk about Coach Cal in Kentucky and not to get two Sports Talk Radio on you but this as maybe the biggest sort of I don’t know lie that has ever been thrown on the American sports betting public is how good some of these revered college coaches are how
Respected they are for what they are for what they do I I’ve told this story maybe five times in all the years on on a numbers game but I I go back to the year that CJ McCollum and Lehigh upset Duke in a 152 game I was on a flight I
Was sitting in a middle seat sat middle seats back in those days Kelly and uh this guy to my right your budget the guy on my right kept looking over I was handicapping baseball I was doing something on a spreadsheet uh with my spreadsheets in
Baseball and he I could tell he was like looking over over me and then finally he spoke he’s like oh what are you doing there I told him and he goes he he waited a little while longer he goes oh by the way I you know here I’m so and so
I’m an assistant coach on Lehi this was like right after they had pulled off the upset and I’ve told the story before and I started talking about the game and he goes and he started talking about talking about again another pregnant pause and then finally he goes you know
What we couldn’t understand I was like about what about about the game what he goes that Coach K just didn’t make any halftime adjustments whatsoever none and if you’ve ever listened to Alan Boston all these years he always talked about how coach isfy was never as good of a
Coach as people made him out to be uh when I used to hang out with bman he he’s a big North Carolina fan he used to talk about Roy Williams great recruiter can’t coach Coach Cal had no answers yesterday John Calipari had no answers for Oakland couldn’t stop the kid from shooting the
Threes um and again he’s got these these freshmen who just had a bad game and this is the unforgivable part I’ll just say this with x’s NOS take a guy like Jim Harbaugh when I was at the West Coast Conference tournament a couple weeks ago I talked to a guy who used to
Play for Harbaugh at the University of San Diego and he said he goes Harbaugh isn’t a great ex’s and O’s guys but he’s a master motivator and when something is a Miss with his assistant coaches he will step in you have to have some basis
In X’s and O’s you have to remember that at the core that’s what you were and with guys like kipar doesn’t feel like he has any ability to coach his way out of anything and and regardless of how you feel about that part the unforgivable part the unassailably
Unforgivable part about this is at the end of the game he throws his freshman under the bus you’re 65 years old they’re teenagers take it man like haven’t you evolved enough as a human being to like accept the responsibility well you know the Freshman just didn’t
Play as well as they uh as well as they normally do they didn’t the shots they normally do I me that’s just unacceptable D I think it’s always it’s always a question in college sports football or or basketball it’s how good of a coach are you versus how good of a
Recruiter right you said something right there I mean I think Coach Cal probably as much as anybody like at the core I don’t know over the past Dozen Years it’s probably changed him being more of a recruiter imagine if we had a bad show Kelly imagine and I and I was
Like well you know Kelly just wasn’t as funny today he his his arm swing wasn’t as pronounced today it’s all Kelly just horrible we’ll get to another three games the the worst of the three yesterday that left a mark numbers game Visa the sports betting Network a numbers game on vent the sports
Betting Network start your morning with a daily dose of winning strategies Insider tips and The Latest Buzz with a free Visa daily newsletter in today’s newsletter oh it’s a lot of college basketball Gill as you can imagine a lot of recap from yesterday preview for today Steve mckinon with a bunch of
System plays and qualifiers for games going on this afternoon all right and once again we’re going to have uh tons of folks here momentarily uh stand by with all their picks today Tim Murray vent Prime Time Dr Bob Michael monano I didn’t mention going to
Join us he had he was one of the few people I know had a great day yesterday um and he gave out all those picks here on a numbers game so he was uh he was on point with everything so he’ll join us again today uh by the way the vison
Newsletter get expert analysis and the latest odds delivered straight to your inbox absolutely free visit von.com newsletter to subscribe uh once again yesterday I just want to not to beat the dead horse here with Kentucky but uh Dillingham Rob Dillingham two of nine from the field Reed Shepard uh one of
Five from the field and then uh Cal’s boy DJ Wagner o of five from the field um it happens they’re freshman Oakland was is so much older than them and it’s just again how he handled it after the game I could not believe could not believe was watching I had that on like
Second screen most of it was muted and it just every time gky had the ball I’m like what is this kid like 30 like they like you know you’re like I’m saying that then of course I turn up the volume later in the game and they’re like gki
Here in his sixth year at College I’m like oh okay yeah uh I his uh the comments after the game were weird to me from this day you took it what you took it one way I I’ll take it another of Coach Cal you can complain I’d still
Rather be in your shoes though I I know nil and transfer portal and everything changes changes Sports I’d still rather be in the business of oneandone college basketball than what everybody else is in so yeah sometimes sometimes your younger players aren’t going to be able
To get you home and these are going to happen but I’d still rather be in that business I know here’s where I start to sound real old cuz again I grew up when Patrick Ying played four years of college basketball and Michael Jordan played three I I don’t even have to go
Back that far let me just pick a random 90s player I know why it’s first first jumps in my head Keith Van Horn played four years at Utah right like I mean the quality was just different it was a fantastic just quality-wise and we still love college basketball don’t get me
Wrong but a lot of that is we bet we have brackets when it come tournament time we have Survivor we have all these things um not every game is a rembrand let’s put it that way okay but we had the 11 games were uh again were were were
Blowouts those two Duane and Oakland yesterday over BYU and Kentucky again congratulations to all who had Duane and Oakland in their brackets or in Survivor pools By the way yesterday flamed out with Colorado state but I do get the Reby I am going to take I think I I have three entries I
Think two Wisconsin’s and one Utah State today got to play it more conservative now because I don’t have right I don’t have the safety net anymore but the three games yesterday now Duan and Oakland if you if you lost on BYU in Kentucky you can be upset about it but
That was very much in character for BYU and I hate to say it we said this about Kentucky right all of our guests when I asked the question who’s who’s got the most wide range of outcomes in this tournament I think we had one Gonzaga but most
People say Kentucky right that was their answer they could they could go deep they could flame out and that’s what happened they flamed out but these these were the oh sorry go ahead just to finish up this one goaly real quick did you you catch the stat line 10 for 20
For and free throw from three two free throws two free throws well there was a stat who was a Clark Kellogg was saying yesterday he’s taking he’s taking hundreds of shots like I don’t know how many total of the years was it was it 200 plus or 400 plus I heard only eight
Were two pointers yeah yeah yeah I I think I think I heard I think I heard this morning it it was either four or six points he scored All Season that were twos yeah and Kenny Smith immediately was like oh he’d have to drive if it were me like he’d get up on
All right but the three games that so those are there’s not really much you can say I don’t think you can complain that much you sure you can complain about Cal uh but that’s kind of BYU and that’s kind of Kentucky I was on BYU you can’t complain after watching that game
Yesterday but I was like that’s exactly how they were all year but these these three games I think left more of a Mark yesterday than anything which is first of all if you were on Nevada my condolences to you uh T seed Nevada in the western region a 17-point lead one
And a half Point favorites a 17-point lead with just over seven minutes left in the game against number seven Dayton out west and they lose it 63-60 on the strength of a what was a 17 to nothing run to tie it and what was really really a 24 to4 run after being
Down 17 the rest of the way 24 to4 down the stretch including the 17 and nothing run and Nevada and Steve Alford get beat at the finish line and not only that they don’t cover they don’t hit on the money line nothing happens right so if
You had Dayton what a uh what a flourish of a win and what a comeback win so if you have Nevada I know that left a mark the other one was Drake Drake also in a 10-7 game this one in the East Drake also a one and a half Point f again both
The 10 seeds were favored in those two respective games Drake has an eight-point lead with under seven minutes left and they lose to Wazoo uh Drake if you’re watching this because Drake was a very popular pick of of all the trendy picks Drake was the one that
Like gave people a lot of excitement and thought Oh this one’s actually going to get home yeah I had him you had him too they’re up eight with less than seven minutes left not only they up eight they get the ball twice while you know they
Have the rock with the lead and they just hoist up these ridiculous threes and so they leave the door open and wazu said thank you very much I’ll walk through that um remember Drake was up on Miami late last year as well in the first round they were up eight with
Less than five minutes to play against Miami last year in the first run and lost and they lose and remember Miami got all the way to the final four after that so remember like a lot of these things on a fulcrum we have no idea what
Fate would have had in store had it not gone that way so it’s two years in a row if you were on Drake and then did you catch this last night the third of these the left a mark So if you were on Nevada if you were on Drake my condolences
Every which way if you were on Samford I don’t know how to feel about this one this is the 134 game out in the midwest this was the last already hadn’t taken punches all day whether betting or bracket wise this was the final insult to injury Kansas is beating Samford by 2
Two early in the second half 22 forget the fact they don’t have mulls it’s like easy peasy we got this game well not so much early second half they’re winning by 22 sford Roars all the way back just over 5 minutes left they had cut the
They cut the lead to one couldn’t quite get over the hump they cut the lead to one Kansas got it back to a seven-point lead then it got down to one again in the closing seconds and Kansas with an with an outlet pass to Nicholas Timberlake who is going to the hoop
Remember they’re up one we’re talking about 14 15 seconds left in the game now and AJ ston McCrae of sford with and this gets lost in it with maybe the best play you’ll ever see on defense yep comes up at the top of of Timberlake’s Arc or top of his jumping
Arc I should say tips the ball out of his hands prevents the basket they blow the whistle re and by the way the announcers were all over replays clearly showed he didn’t get touched so bad Timberlake makes two free throws sford can’t score and that’s the end of that
Kansas ends up winning by four they don’t cover by the way after winning by after winning by 22 or after leading by 22 I should say but nonetheless that was a brutal outcome for for get betters for for the Samford kids and I don’t know what like by the
Way I don’t know I can’t remember did a Kansas player get the get the loose ball did sord player sford yeah it was a clean block it went off the backboard and it was a clean recovery yeah it was a clean recovery as we like to say in
Football clean recovery yeah and they would have been down one with 14 seconds left in the game at that point that’s a and I get it people are like oh the last play of the game doesn’t doesn’t uh doesn’t determine the outcomes of these games yeah but it was the biggest moment
Of the game and it was just such a brutal call and Charles Barkley made this point Charles Barkley is always awkward when he does college basketball because because he’s very open about the fact that he hasn’t watched any of it but he he did he did have a good salian
Point after this he goes for for some of these games where the incessant reviews like there were some of these games where just the last two minutes take forever with all the incessant reviews we can’t review that I don’t know what the answer to
This is I mean I get it you can’t change the rules on the fly it right obviously that but it is the toughest part of that yesterday because how many games did you sit through before that thinking oh my God how much time are we taking to re uh
To to review this like it was ridiculous all day long and then yeah you get to that point last night and you’re like wait wait but we can’t we can’t look at this and overturn yeah so Kansas gets through and now you got a Kansas Gonzaga
Game which uh again we’ll talk to all of our guests here moving forward now everybody’s got College Basketball picks coming up but uh not just all of today’s games uh the second half of the round of 6 for but also the first half of the round of 32 with those matchups being
Set for tomorrow so are you uh so again my uh Survivor to Wisconsin today I believe and one Utah State I think I have settled that in my head all right how’ your brackets do terribly uh I I mean I’m only in one bracket it’s it’s
Okay I guess it’s not it’s not in shambles yet people overreact after one day Ru you got to give the bracket at least two days to get completely killed usually bets today though fa U Baylor Auburn TCU let’s go you’re betting them all bet all ATS say them again FAU
Baylor Auburn TCU I bet them all yesterday we talked about it yep okay coming back Tim Murray all his plays today his reactions are yesterday but all of his plays today and tomorrow it’s a numbers game at Fe the sports betting Network a numbers game on VN the sports betting
Network start betting Smarter with a vent Pro subscription sign up on a visent pro annual subscription today and get your first year for only $199 instead of the typical price of $240 just use promo code get vent pro access to everything we do for an entire year
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Picks for every game of the tournament remember to use promo code a though promo code a& as in a numbers game sign up now get your first year of eent pro access for only $199 sign up today at thin.com subscribe we get tweets at beating the book this is from uh Michael
Barbosa greetings again Gil do you have any pic in Miami today didn’t see any on the pic page this morning appreciate the help good luck today just one on the men’s side Alex mikkelson Alex mikkelson minus very short minus money I got him at minus 103 today in his match against
Talon greeksport mikkelson the only play in tennis today uh JD emans our buddy from Alabama I gave the bet on every oh I gave the bet on every Underdog a shot yesterday in the tournament I didn’t bet any game unless it was plus 130 or higher interestingly I ended up plus
Five units for the day with Oakland at 7 to1 the big winner cool way to play the first round uh Mark Hansen I placed my first college basketball live bet last night I have now experienced the spinning wheel of death at least the Kansas sford over got home chance copper
Poot also did the experiment I bet all of the dogs in the first round one unit I skipped one game because of even odds but bet the rest after day one up 3.25 units let’s see how it goes Len glinski cipar is a terrible coach all he can do
Is recruit and that is only because he is in bed with the aou coaches Joe Nigro how dare you question Coach Cal he did teach them after all free throws to toss the ball to the ref and on and on we’ll read more Tim Murray joins us now
Everybody he is the co-host of be and Prime Time weekday 6 PM right here at the network he joins us now to uh perhaps lament yesterday and rejoice that it’s a new day today courtesy the progressive guest line how you doing Tim it’s a new day yes uh you know I’ll I’ll
Praise my guy Jack gki for Oakland um the the guy that I would love to be when I get older shoot threes do nothing else when I get older that’s right he uh that the stat that I tweeted out 300 entering yesterday 327 three-pointers attempted eight two-pointers that’s the and uh
That’s what he did yesterday and it was awesome so a fun uh a fun result there um shouts to uh Jonathan Von toel my partner didn’t have money line but did have Oakland plus the points and uh we had a little first of 10 during the show
Which was fun and that’s where I’m trying to look positively because uh I don’t know how many of you had Drake but for a second straight year up eight with under eight to go and completely melted down I I just talked about it Nevada Drake Samford Samford in a different way
Right because they got screwed by the by the call at the end but but Nevada and Drake yeah Nevada and Drake just blowing leads Drake as you said for the second straight year those are the ones I think that left the biggest Mark before we get on to today and tomorrow
Go go ahead Tim I was just going to say I mean that that’s the thing about this this crazy tournament we love it so much we love to bet it sometimes you’re going to have great days but you know uh I’ll give you uh an you know teams that shoot the ball
Well end up not shooting the ball well kraton is a good shooting team but they shot you know 10 of 16 from three is that sustainable probably not but uh you know we move on and uh we try to handicap this this bad boy our the best of our capabilities yeah the big
Beneficiaries by the way from you know from uh Kentucky losing and Texas Tech losing is obviously in that region in the South and you would think that it is the Houstons and the Marquett of the world right like all of a sudden now that becomes a thing like did are you
Are you feeling it like if you are a guy who has Houston going all the way right now that you should feel that much better after yesterday well I am a guy who has Houston going all the way so I do feel better Gil now uh you know we they they
Got to keep on uh keep on winning and you know Texas A&M if they’re to beat Nebraska with that bully ball kind of mentality where they just brick every shot but go and get offensive rebounds best offensive rebounding team in the country um I think that could be kind of
A unique matchup for Houston uh in the second round there if uh if the if the agies are able to beat the Corn Huskers you know today but yeah I mean I I felt like Houston um the offense makes me a little bit nervous but when you look at
A team like Kentucky um we know what they’re capable of on the positive end but what we saw last night and their poor defense is what they’re uh you know likely to do from a defensive standpoint so yeah I mean if you’re if you have a Marquette to the Sweet 16 or Marquette
To the Elite 8 you feel phenomenal right now because there were questions about them uh getting out of the bottom part of the bracket with Tyler Kik and you know Gil we talked about it on our show prior to the start of the tournament I felt like Marquette was a little
Overinflated uh from an odds perspective to win their to win the west region just because of the uncertainty of Tyler KCK so uh if you do have a Marquette to get to the final four uh future yesterday was a great day for you uh obviously because the three and the six both got
Eliminated yeah and just again Quantified in kenpom terms because we talked about how Yukon got the worst of it in terms of their region and other teams got the best of it Houston now with those two eliminations of of Kentucky and Texas Tech yesterday uh in
Top 24 kenpom I use that because St John’s was 25th headed into the tournament uh only Marquette and Duke now exist in their region uh that is top 24 kenpom so to quantifying it that way uh last thing before we get to your picks a real quick answer beyond what
We’ve talked about what was your biggest like what team stood out to you as okay they could actually make a deeper run than most people think was it NC State was it Oregon was it Michigan State uh I’ll say Oregon uh you know I think you know everybody loves Tom ISO
Rightfully so and man the social media love for him oh you can’t pet against him in March well he’s like two games over 500 ATS but you know let’s just make stuff up you know who is Unstoppable so it seems in March Dana Alman he’s a he’s 166 and one now ATS in
March uh it feels like this team is is starting to pick up steam obviously they’re an underdog but this thing opened seven and uh got bet down to uh to I believe five and a half is where we sit now um I’m fascinated to see this
Game on uh on late Saturday night uh Oregon and kraton I think Oregon has the chance to uh to be very competitive I took a little five and a half uh just kind of off you know quick glance but I would say Oregon of those teams you
Mentioned um you know look kraton I think what they have going for them Gil is this they don’t make mistakes and they have the ability to get white hot from three and we saw that against Yukon uh bayor Shire man was hitting everything under the sun yesterday Stephen Ashworth the transfer from Utah
State could do the same and then Ryan caul brener is just so long and so fundamentally sound that they don’t foul uh whatsoever so if we were in theory to get a kraton Purdue Elite 8 I would just be so intrigued by that because Purdue
Loves to live on the off on the free throw line and uh and Katon just does not foul whatsoever yeah by the way Marquette Duke Wisconsin the other Ken P teams in Houston’s region I left out Wisconsin all right so then what do you like best today uh pre
Flop yeah a couple games uh we’ll we’ll run through quickly we’re starting to get this line moving away from me a little bit as a big favorite uh when this uh when this matchup popped uh I did like Baylor uh they opened as low as
I think 13 A2 maybe even 12 and a half at one point uh we’re getting up to the 14 and a half 15 range starting to get a little little uncomfortable uh but I think one thing Gil about Colgate is people know the name at this point right
If you’re a college hoops fan even if you’re a casual college hoops fan because they’ve been here 2019 2021 2022 2023 but this team is completely different uh than what we’ve seen in the past those four teams were all in the top 100 of offensive efficiency this
Team is north of 200 I just don’t think this Colgate team is on the same level as the teams we’ve seen in recent years so I think Baylor uh with the athleticism that they have has the capabilities to to blow this game out against Colgate the one worry I have of
Backing a a favorite of this size like Baylor is that they don’t really go with a crazy Pace uh in 2021 we saw Arkansas make uh Colgate feel very uncomfortable with full court pressure and Baylor you know one of the slower teams in the country so uh that was one game I was
Looking at uh from a from a pre flop angle a couple other games real quickly uh UAB San Diego State you know you’re patting at 12 versus 5 I think UAB of the of the 12s maybe getting the least amount of notoriety uh they are the lowest ranked per kenpom the only one
North of 100 um but I think this is a team in UAB hitting it stride Gil at the right time winning the American Athletic Conference San Diego State very sound defensively has a big and Jaden Le who is a who is a forc down low but I have
Questions about their guard play their shot making capabil ilities so I think UAB plus 6 and2 is certainly uh worth a look and then real quickly before I get out of here uh I’m going to take the bait I love New Mexico I know Mountain West play has not gone well look at
Nevada uh look at Colorado state but I love the guards that they have in uh in Jaylen house and Donovan dent and Jamal Mashburn Jr Clemson went 10 and 10 after the new year so I’m going to ride with the Lobos favorite thing tomorrow real quick is
Uh I’ll take the points of Oregon against kraton okay all right Tim Murray everybody at one Tim Murray that’s the number one Tim Murray be some prime time weekday 6 p.m. Tim May today be better for you sir we godp speed everyone go godp speed we we love this tournament
And then when it goes It goes against you like I hate this tournament now we love it of course Chris felica loves it he’s got his plays college hoops and Beyond next numbers game Visa the sports betting Network a numbers game on VN the sports betting Network there’s never been a better time
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Many bottles to choose from it’s easy to find your favorite all at the lowest prices for over 30 years find what you love and love what you find at Total Wine and More drink responsibly B21 Skil Alexander uh I just want to read this one tweet because I think it’s
Indicative of something I wanted to bring up this is from uh Paul Tony at tone4 4 Tony I don’t know he might be in he might be in Tony Tony Tony for all I know Tony Tony Tony Tony with uh Tim Meadows Tony Tony Tony Tony Tony Tony
Tony show maybe the greatest show I’ve seen this year I mean recent times I should say Lauren Hill coming by the way yeah oh yeah all right Paul Tony says many thanks to the good Dr Bob for saving many brackets for me so Bob did not cover with Kansas yesterday in the
Pick that he gave but uh he gives for his clients he gives bracket advice and it was spectac and so good on you Paul Tony for for saying that I just want to bring that up because it is amazing like we’ve said this before but it’s amazing so like
Let’s take T let’s take uh will and Todd on the MEAP pod will and Todd could not have had a more unbelievable megapod performance last year to the point that Todd almost could have won a million dollars right in DraftKings and will had FAU in the final four so they both had
Mississippi State before you could even say hey as the tournament started Mississippi State loses and it is amazing to me the incoming that they took on this and it’s just like okay guys uh did you just forget and and maybe you’re new to the mega then you picked the wrong like one
Guy said this is the worst decision I’ve ever made in my life I was like your light’s probably pretty good then huh and he sort of backed down after that but it is incredible and so like you know Bob Bob was taking for Kansas Kansas was up 22 Yeah terrible pick uh
Chris felica joins us now he is the bear from Fox Sports bear bets podcast which he is the host of uh courtesy of the progressive guest line you were talking to us off there about Drake as well you took a little incoming for that yeah yeah second terrible to pick Drake as a
Potential sweet 16 team up up late again and for the second straight year like Tim was talking about complete meltdown down the stretch have South Dakota State plus 16 and a half down what four I think they got it to in the second half
Wind up losing by 17 yeah it it was it was one of those days it hopped on Kentucky money line at half time it was it was just one of those days that that we’ve all kind of had where basically everything went wrong but the
Only thing that did uh go go well for me yesterday was actually being on Kansas and Survivor so I don’t think I would ever plan on using them again and they did ultimately surprised in so many of those top picks whether it was BYU or someone else did actually uh go down so
Maybe in the long run the upsets will uh will pay off if I can work my way through only five more rounds of Survivor to get there right Poss five more five more rounds by days you have to count the days not the rounds uh who will you have
In Survivor today sir I think I’m going to use Northwestern and Clemson again teams that I don’t expect to have but but you you you used this mentality yesterday too with picking an underdog you got to use a team that you think you’re not going to want to have moving
Forward uh a lot their game games today that moving forward I’m going to like certain teams and I’m going to try and stay away from some of the popular picks that I like I took Northwestern plus three earlier in the week and now they’re four and a half and I don’t get
It I know they’ve got some injuries but people just keep banking on FAU showing up the way they did last year well they’re running out of chances to do that and they just lost a temple in the conference tournament so I don’t like them and I I know the the note I tweeted
Out about 11 seeds being favored over six seeds and now they basically all w going back the last 10 15 years or so but there’s something about the the M Nevada collapsing in Colorado State looking terrible um and I think Clemson is a little bit underrated so uh wish NE
And I are gonna go down with the ship with Clemson I think Clemson so I’m gonna go I’m going to back two dogs uh Clemson and Northwestern amongst my surviv picks Clemson feels like the ultimate contrarian pick and they’re the higher seated team today ultimate CR by
The way uh Northwestern of course led by the great boo buoy who Steve fic referred to earlier on this week on the show as uh boo boo booby I believe exactly as opposed to Baba booby yeah boo boo booby he called them uh or what other what other ATS anything else pre-
Flop ATS today yeah um I played uh St Mary’s minus five and a half against Grand Canyon if if Grand Canyon maybe would have been drawn against another team I would have been on Grand Canyon like there was that people talk about the the MEAP pod how terrible like that
Was one of the Great points at Todd may like there were certain teams that he had an idea on he wanted to fade or back and like they’re all drawn either against each other or against in spots that were ter like this is a I don’t
Think a great spot for Grand Canyon at all just the the way they play going against an experienced team uh with good guards a good post player a team that’s well coached and drilled then I kind of got right not going to Rattle uh with that slower defensive minded like I like
St Mary’s moving where I actually have St Mary’s in this week 16 and potentially the U the elite but I didn’t like this match up at all for Grand Canyon so I laid I laid the five and a half with st Mar’s and I took the uh the
Three and you can now get four and a half with Northwest yeah Dr Bob I I did I did I did I almost played Baylor but it but it got a little bit too rich for my blood uh with with where it is now I
Did play Baylor to win the region so I’m just going to sit and hope they uh they don’t go the way at Kentucky yeah um Bob was on yesterday he’ll be on today but one of the things he said yesterday cuz we’re going through bracket strategy and
How you want to go contrarian with what the the general populace is picking and St Mary’s to the final four was his suggestion in terms of maximizing your uh contrarian uh you know aspect of your of your brackets um I want to bring up that point you made about Todd because I
Brought this up yesterday too that’s like the biggest difference I mean there’s lots of big differences between mainstream media and the betting media but while you know while everybody appropriately was killing the committee for having Virginia in and we talk about who’s in who’s out in mainstream that
Was the biggest thing I think you’re right about the MEAP pod from a macro standpoint which is from a from a betting standpoint that was the cruelty of this bracket forget about who’s in and who’s out it was just that teams you wanted to bet on ended up generally
Against each other and teams who you wanted to fade generally ended up against each other not completely but there were so many examples of that that it kind of muted your your excitement level on this um anything tomorrow now that we have the first round of the uh
First half of the round of 32 scheduled yeah I I I I can see myself I haven’t bet it yet I’m gonna see if it maybe climbs up a tick or so I can see myself back in Michigan State the number is really low which which seems to me that
People are going to be attracted uh to taking the one seed at a short number I don’t know if that’s the right play or not yeah but uh nor North Carolina looked great yesterday I’ll be it against a team that had like three players by the end of the game it it
Seemed like but uh but Michigan State played great and we like to joke about the the December January February ISO know this is the one team that that Michigan State really hasn’t been able to figure out in the NCAA tournament uh maybe the different coach now in there
With different style maybe uh that that will uh that will lend to uh to help Michigan State I I can see myself holding Michigan State especially if uh is it four out there I know I saw some three and a half four is it four yeah I
I can see myself holding a Michigan State plus four and then there is a a part of me that wants to take Oregon plus the uh plus the points against kraton because it’s an Oregon team that I think we saw yesterday with with Dante on the inside and quard on the on the
Perimeter like they’re a good team that that probably was an NCAA tournament team but they just didn’t have the the some of their parts for for the entire year they didn’t get a a great draw here because they they got a team with a with
A a big post player as well and a team that shoots the ball well and a team that doesn’t foul and I I would think that Oregon might get a tough whistle in this game so I’m I’m gonna I’m gonna sleep on this and see if I uh can want
To play this and and I can see Iowa State blowing out Washington State tomorrow Cyclones I’ll tell you my instincts and you tell me if I’m ridiculous on these two tomorrow I feel like laying the points with Gonzaga laying the four against Kansas might be
The move and I feel like laying the five and a half with NC State against Oakland might be the NC State feels to me like we’re kind of you know again they they had that great run in the ACC tournament and again that what’s the what was the
Conventional wisdom that people are oh well you got to be exhausted I mean they’re kids right they’re not that exhausted they’ve had they’ve had days to relax um they’ve got they’ve got in DJ Burns this player that is so different from everybody else and it’s just an interesting team to see how far
They can get in this and they get Oakland right so yep this here’s the sweet 16 take it it’s right there for you I think they I think they right you know what the thing is today also the last thing before we go uh Houston is playing
Longwood mhm the under on the Longwood team total could you see this game being one where like they struggle to score at all yeah actually I actually I did take under 51 and a half for a for a long one because I I’m glad you said that because
I can see this being like like 3922 at half time or something like that just totally total slug still be better than Colorado State’s 11 yesterday at the half good good God thank you Chris enjoy the games man you got it buddy Chris valica the bear from Fox Sports
Bear bets podcast at Chris valica on Twitter lebatard next on DK we’re coming back at V the sports Betty Network
1 Comment
Left dude goofy af lol I like em