Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2024 Houston Open Picks, bets, and One and Done selections.
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
1:58 Geoff/Custys
5:25 Valspar Recap
36:22 Custys
41:39 Houston Open
44:11 Top Odds
55:50 30-100
1:08:02 100+
1:15:01 Quick Picks
1:17:55 One and Done
1:20:57 Wheel of Losers
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To get that number again uh he hits those what the hell God damn it do not oh sh this is not going to help his most insane call I guess voting’s already closed luckily for for Jeff right now what is going on over there buddy don’t don’t just clip that oh
I I’m just I got distracted Again by this printer so my mind is melting you might want to unplug it I thought I did and I unplugged what appears to be my laptop not the printer so that’s what made it melt again it’s like I thought that thing was
Unplugged and that’s when I thought I really saw a ghost okay experience experience bat Experience bat experience experience welcome to the pat Mayo experience presented by Underdog fantasy code Mayo at Underdog fantasy right now get yourself a first time deposit match of up to $100 link if that’s easier for you is down in the description right now and you’re going to want to be on
Underdog because the first round of the pat Mayo experience classic as it is now called on Underdog one off without a hitch at the Valspar will we back for the Houston open as well it’s Thursday only so it’s like a showdown type draft situation three max entry $20 to play
Rake free as always so get in the game and start practicing how to draft because major season is coming up very quickly and there’s 50k up top for that so you’re going to want to get your reps in if you live in a state like Pennsylvania or Florida that doesn’t
Have the pick them game on Underdog you have the drafts available to you so please go do that right now and help out the show Houston open picks bets preview oneand done all here for you Jeff fineberg is on the line coming off his performance let’s say at the custy
Debate live last Thursday night custy’s voting is now closed Jeff how do you think you did listen like the final leg is me versus a professional orator whatever whatever some people are saying you know there may have been it might not have been totally kosher there on the on the call and and
Him ordering his pizza and whatever he got me but we’re literally glad handing a 30-year-old for making a phone call like it’s such [ __ ] you people are GNA get you’re gonna get what you asked for and then like good for you good for you Tim’s gonna be crazy I’m gonna shut
Up I’m not going to say nothing I’m not going to be able to say nothing because all have grown tired of saying saying something sane in response to his crazy [ __ ] and then being told well you were voted most insane for like the next six
Years even if even if it’s just one time you guys are G to break the game you’re gonna break the game it’s not going to be fun it’s not gonna be fun but then when I say nothing comments gonna be like why didn’t you challenge Tim on that you [ __ ] cut my arms
Off so what you’re saying is that people might have voter remorse if they voted for you and not him oh my God they have no idea he you Pat people don’t real like like it’s all on the up and up in terms of the voting and I am fully
Confident it’s close it felt like it’s close just gauging everything it’s close you have your hardos who are like forever Tim there’s nothing he could do wrong as Paul said we see you all we see you all we always see you in the comments we know you are the base but
People like change people want something different you know and and but it’s just is begging his dad books his doctor’s appointments like what are you doing whatever I’m not that’s fine that that is what it is we’ll see how that goes but you’re all gonna regret it and
The person who’s going to lose the hardest it’s not even Pat because I guess in some way Pat you know this is his job and people being entertained like that’s a win even if something going against what he wants it’s like your best friends Pat they’re the people
That will have no like voice really in this in being able to like fight Tim in your group chats all of his insanity and he’s gonna he’s gonna say the craziest things his best friends are going to argue with him and then he’s going to
Use the fact that he beat me in a most Insanity contest to prove that his point is right like he’s going to be so annoying yeah yeah that’s exactly how it’s going to go you nailed it and you’ll get some joy out of it like I said you know we do the shows
They’re popular the interaction people play along like that benefits you more than it benefits your friends but you’re still going to like there’s going okay whatever let’s talk go I’m l annoyed about cam young now I guess losing to a yellow ball in a bucket hat
So let’s talk not his fault but it just it adds to like the annoyingness of it all but this Tim Stu has me more annoyed well it’s one thing when you lose to Rory and sheffler and these are the guys Justin Thomas that you’re coming in second place to it’s a
Lot different when it’s Peter Mady who ends up running you down in the end and frankly I went back and looked at some of malady’s numbers he was actually playing pretty well coming into the event for someone who was 300 50 to1 like that’s one that should have been on
Our radar and obviously basically no one bet I saw one guy with a 300 to1 ticket so shout out to that guy but just to look at his stats like he was ninth at Honda he was 14th at Pebble Beach in an elevated event like he’d been playing
Pretty well gaining on approach gaining on the greens he just put together a pretty good off the te week I saw people complaining like oh what a travesty this is for the PGA Tour that Peter Mal nauy one I think this was a great thing like
It was a I thought the vpar was a very entertaining tournament I thought that sun like it sucks if you had cam young I can see how that could color it being like this is the worst thing of all time but to actually sit there and watch it
There was like 12 guys within two shots of the lead guys were melting down all people did for eight weeks was beg hey can we have a hard tournament I don’t like birdie Fest you give them a hard tournament then they’re like oh [ __ ] this I hate this like what do people want
Exactly I’m not really sure I just think the people in our orbit just want their bets to do well sure because I agree with you I think like up until it seemed like cam young might win up right um it was I was enjoying the tournament I was enjoying
The guys like totally bailing out making huge numbers I enjoyed like 20 guys within four or five shots that was entertaining and I wish more weeks could be like that so I agree you’re absolutely right I think the beauty of malau winning is part of the charm of
The PGA Tour uh it sucks to be on the wrong side of it you mentioned like losing to Scotty is a different like I don’t know whether you’re talking about cam young losing to Scotty I’m talk I’m talking to cam about cam young because most of his
Second place finishes are like to the truly elite players this is the first time he’s been run down by a guy who hadn’t won in nine years yeah then they ran that clip they ran through all his second places and you’re right it was truly a great run of of high-end High
High-end players um but being selfish and making it about myself you are right Pat like having a Xander shafley ticket that loses to the best player on earth going god mode doesn’t sting as much as as losing a bet coming second to the dude with the Yellow Hat yellow ball in
The bucket hat like so from it all whether it’s yeah it just [ __ ] stings and he got that he he got that drop on 162 that people were Liv it about it’s a like I mean that’s the rule I don’t begrudge my guys have gotten that before
My guys get that I’m so happy when they get that they don’t get it on the 16th hole on Sunday um you know coincidentally not that they wouldn’t but I’m saying like yeah that happens on Friday all the time it just is what it
Is it just is what it is I will say the kicking the nuts did hurt a lot less when melady birdies 17 like sticks it birdies it because if it was just GNA be about losing because of the bogey then that’s like [ __ ] I’m just uh I’m a
Melton cam young guys we could find that stroke like in 15 different places I tracked him all week I didn’t think he got a well yeah yeah it is what it is it is what it is if I had a couple of the birdies that that shot tracker gave me
That neverend ended up being birdies Camy young actually wins the tournament Pat I mean like when I’m out at the maple syrup Farm on Saturday and it shows a nice 14 foot Birdie on the um shot tracker on the par three and it seal keeps it up there forever and then
I come to find out that was just a part so you know officially or unofficially those Strokes were everywhere well he also chipped in for Eagle for like the middle of the Fairway on a power five as well let’s not pretend like cam young didn’t run good and I actually thought
He putted great he yeah he put He puted much better than he normally does and that was sort of like the thing that switched like he gained across all four of The Strokes gain categories he gained 2.5 Strokes putting it’s just m he gained 8.4 it’s tough when the guy’s
Like making everything he made everything even the one where he’s like not even looking because he thinks he shanked it like what and shanked the putt I mean yeah Kim Young had some ugly putts but if you followed like truly tracked cam young this week he made good
On the Miss Poots he really did he was so good in the I know he missed it on 18 but he was swimming in his head I’m sure he was so good on the like 12 foot par putts this week I mean it he was so good
In those so yeah it just is what it is and these guys who want to like Victory lap that cam young can’t win they’re the weirdest they’re some of the weirder people in golf Twitter I I it was the cold open to our show last week that I
Told you not to bet on cam young cuz this would happen like this spec I don’t know this was F it is what it is hey he cash cam young cash my best bet I had cam young top 20 good way to bet cam young pays
Those ones off pretty well the the most annoying thing is like now the number’s gone it’ll go back he swing like violently swings in the market so like a good event will make him overvalued I don’t want to say that he’s ever undervalued it’s hard to say the guy’s
Undervalued for a guy who has never won on the PGA tour but you even made the case I mean I ended up betting him at 30 to1 with the 30% bonus at bet 365 that lets me bet whatever he wants so I like it had a true 40 to1 return I was
Totally good with that but you even acknowledg on last week’s Show versus the field like his 30 to1 wasn’t unfair like it was didn’t mean you wanted to bet it but it wasn’t like a like wasn’t a bad number but you’re right Pat cuz the next like good event not the Masters
But you know he’ll get Steam on like a Wells Fargo course or something and then he’ll blow up be horrible and then he’ll go back to an inflated number but right now I’m I’m happy he’s not playing this week because I don’t want to bet him at
12 to1 well he wouldn’t have been 12 to1 because Scotty’s coming at 3 to1 Windam Clark is 12 to1 and that guy actually wins so so what would cam have been 15 to1 this week no I mean I I mean I bet zalot torus at 22 like are we saying
That cam Young’s better than zot torus like even in the market like the market values zator is pretty highly yeah you’re right you’re probably right probably would have been right there with um you know guys who have won he’d be there with zal and he’d be there
With Jason day in that like low 20s type range but like feno I didn’t think that he would be the third favorite in Houston but just he won by so many strokes the last time that they played at this course that they just put him at
16 to1 and be like hey maybe people will bet on Tony because there’s not that many good players here cam young is now in the zone and we’ve seen it happen with a bunch of guys and all these guys end up winning they all end up being
Good like zalot torus was in the zone forever where he just kept coming in second place at difficult courses now now it wasn’t the Val SP it was usually like major championships we’ve seen the same thing with Cam young coming in second place at major championships as
Well like this is the same dude who stuck it to 4 feet on the 72nd hole at St Andrews to try to get the win from Cameron Smith so it’s not like he’s not a big- time player it’s all going to come together for him and listen zorus
Only has the one win it’s not like he’s some sort of prolific winner on the PGA tour but people just assume that it’s going to When the Levy Breaks for him eventually it’s going to happen it happened with fenale I mean dude didn’t win for years and then he finally like
Picks up a rocket mortgage then he wins back toback weeks then he wins in Houston then he wins it again at like the 3M or whatever the hell it was like it just wins in Mexico like it eventually happens for you Sheffer I would say is very much in a similar vein
Not that that cam young is going to be as good as sheffler but I think that people kind of have these like rose-colored glasses about Scotty Sheffer and how much of a winner he is yeah he’s a good winner he’s won what six times now seven times on the PGA
Tour he went through a two-year period where he was like third place every single event even in Majors he top 20 in all four majors never sniffed to win it just takes a while for some guys to break through and win once they win they
Learn how to win and all of a sudden it becomes a lot easier yes I agree with pretty much everything you said Sheffer really only struggled as a rookie and then he like won in Phoenix I think the next year and just went bananas I’m pretty sure it took two years for
Sheffler um yeah you could be right but didn’t he make the Ryder Cup as a rookie or that was his second year without the win I think that was I think that was the second year without the win but like if you were picking a Ryder Cup team
Right now cam would probably be on it yeah no I don’t I I agree I also think like Pat me and you are like obviously there’s people who listen to us who are older and there’s way older golf fans but I’m still wired in a way where um
Like I don’t think guys are losers if they don’t win right away because when I started watching the sport golfers were like quarterbacks like they had so much grace period they had such long Grace periods before we expected anything of them but now a lot of them come and they
Win right away so it puts infinite pressure on the other guys to be good right away and if they’re not they’re sort of deemed like quote unquote losers um in the like you know in the Gulf winning narratives so I don’t know I got a lot like right honestly it wasn’t much
Longer like literally maybe when we started doing our show it wasn’t much before that where you didn’t even judge guys on Majors until they were 30 like they weren’t even supposed to win them they the like War you had to take lumps like that was part of winning in golf
But like no we’ve seen a lot of young guys just win and win quickly and win a lot so makes it you know cam young not being able to win a bit more polarizing so that always stinks like when Tommy finishes second yeah it St it stings more than my other
Bets and I don’t even know when did I become a cam young guy like I wasn’t cam young guy last year like I wasn’t I just thought the numbers were getting big this year and I became a cam young guy and almost brought it all home and then
Some to look at sheffer’s rookie year that was 2020 he made it all the way to the Tour Championship and he had a bunch of top 10 throughout the course of the year a bunch of top fives throughout the course of the year then 2021 the year
After he was 20th at the Masters eth at the PGA third at Memorial seventh the US Open eighth at the open 14th through the first leg of the FedEx Cup playoffs and then he didn’t win then the swing season he was fourth at mayakoba then he was
Second at this tournament in Houston in November and then he finally gets his win in Phoenix in 2022 and then it’s Off to the Races and he’s been the best player on the planet ever since he ends up winning the Masters that next year too so I’m not saying that that is the
Cam young P but it’s eerily similar to what Sheffer was doing for two years yeah near yeah and there was the talk at the time like I I even remember like when people were betting on Scotty like it’s not like he when he won in Phoenix what were his
Odds like 40 to1 35 to1 something like that and people were like a I can’t win he was uh probably close to like 3540 to1 when he won that Phoenix yeah so I know it’ll come for cang he’s playing too well not to like he’s just he’s playing great when you have seven
Second place finishes on the PGA tour in two years it’s pretty good pretty good run I I’m a fan I don’t know why these people hate him I don’t know why there’s like this segment that is so um like I like I don’t know it’s weird
It’s weird uh there are even people like trolling me that he lost yesterday like okay I don’t know you bet Justin Thomas like [ __ ] off well it’s easier to stomach with Justin Thomas when he loses seven strokes putting in one round yeah it’s easier to lose your bed
On Saturday morning than Sunday at dinner but like I don’t know like is what it is like I always joke like this whole separate kind of same but totally separate argument these like guys like these true hardcore model guys not even golf like the basketball the football that fun stuff they get a
Point and a half of SE L they feel like Gods Win Lose or Draw but to see like how do I put this like one minute into any game the lines are like moving crazy like like like if I if I don’t get any clv on a closing line but my live
Line is like exponential clv am I allowed to count that as some win like they do with the pre- snap clv I don’t know anyway all I know is I have a screen grab of Cam young like us 400 on bet 365 yesterday I was feeling good because I
Had bet I had bet cam champ after round two I think it was at 250 to1 and like I think he went off on Sunday like 30 to1 I was like a great clv hopefully he can put this together it was going great and then he made a bogey then he dunked one
In the water on seven and that was the end of Cam champ Captain Phillips was riding around poor cus cursed Captain Phillips he’s like oh who’s the biggest who’s the biggest noname on this board he’s gonna win I’m throwing my support behind Chandler Phillips and like immediate bogey typical [ __ ] cost yeah that’s
Probably the way it goes you know who I actually should have won the valpar when you look at it because I think he missed I think I counted seven putts Miss between six and 10 feet on Sunday Ryan Moore Ryan Moore Ryan Moore played great
Yeah crazy crazy that see and I like and again Tim Timo like with his passive aggressive condescending like Liv Hardo tweets being oh you know I I did I I didn’t hear I hold on I didn’t hear too much about Tim when uh you know Liv Superstar Paul Casey gagged it to some
[ __ ] Swedish dude on the Asian tour this week didn’t hear about that yeah he’s like a nice leader head at nice leaderboard at Copperhead like I don’t know what happened this week I feel is like part of the charm of the PGA Tour young guy battling Journey men like
That’s fun that’s fun with with the Consortium of how Titan anyway that leaderboard could have gone you know but but you know and that’s part of the PJ rolls out rolls out the package every week so you get these weird weeks where it’s like KH Lee and Carl Yan like I
Don’t know to us that’s kind of fun to people who want to find holes in that that’s uh they can it’s easy but I’m also next week Liv is uh right next week they’re playing theal and I’m excited about that like I love golf so I’m excited about watching Bryson and Brooks
And DJ play [ __ ] Dural like that that’s what I like so I don’t know I can enjoy it all and make fun of both when it’s when I feel it’s appropriate there’s nothing to make fun of copperhead for other than the shot tracking other like to just totally
Unacceptable there’s a dude sitting on that third [ __ ] hole putting everyone in the [ __ ] water no one is in the water no one’s in the water and it was a because people were play blaming the PGA Tour app about shotlink like that’s not how that works they get their information from shotlink
We we have a new leaderboard did you download it yet Jeff because it’s on Android now oh it is on Android so I’m I’m gonna get it right now Paul got it yesterday Paul no I haven’t Paul pardon Paul got it yesterday because I sent him
The the update on Saturday night I was like Hey the leader board’s available on Android now so Paul just uses the leader board wins all the bets because that’s how this works we do this all the time can’t hit anything CU we only bet outrights Paul’s sitting over Paul what
Did you end up hitting anyway um I had Ryan Moore top 10 and top five I had Ryan Moore versus mty schme because like his irons were off the charts and schme was just gaining with putting then I got lucky with Carl Juan top five top 10 I had Richard hoie
Who Played Like Richard hoie on uh on day so you know it’s still gambling but yeah I mean for it was a nice little sweat it took like 10 minutes of time just kind of looked at guys who were gaining with their irons and you know
Yeah that it all it worked out of course it’s not going to work out every single week but for the amount of work that I was able to put into it it was great but and it was you just every once you download it you just used un app right
What’s that you just used the leaderboard app oh yeah I basically didn’t watch I didn’t watch any Strokes of golf until watch in Jeff’s boy cam young gagging it on like 16 like I didn’t actually turn the golf on I was just watching it on the app on my phone
Yeah so uh you can get in the test period right now Apple or Android but you need to be a member at Fantasy National so fantasy national.com Mayo to get 20% off all membership levels you get all the tools and you get to be in the test group for the leaderboard app
Which is just better but it affected ours as well it affected all the gambling sites in terms of their shot link to too like if shot link is something at the core so if that is off it [ __ ] everyone’s feeds up it was my point
Yes um that it was I don’t know they got a bad they got a bad Group Training didn’t go well or just the buttons were weren’t working I’m not really sure but it was a it was an embarrassing performance and I’m not really following the golf on like
Thursday or Friday I’m seeing people complain and just telling them to like chill when I’m out you know just um on that maple syrup hunt in the woods on Saturday and they’re telling me everyone’s going in the water but then they all make par because they never
Ended up in the water they’re lying to me about cam young birdies it’s really strange L pack because the live lines like move with this [ __ ] it be like guide of two feet for eagle and the lines will like crumble and then it’s like a bit later
It’s like no he’s actually like in the rough 40 feet away so you’re like okay and a lot so they got to figure that [ __ ] out I don’t I don’t know sure I mean it could have been a bad connection from the course because there was a
Bunch of high winds and rain like there’s that part of it too and knowing like where I live in Ontario and how dumb [ __ ] these guys are maybe they’d be right about this like I’d argue like I wouldn’t be shocked if some states like regulate there’s no
Live betting until they can get that [ __ ] 99 percentile of accurate maybe so but even like people complaining about the leaderboard yes small nauy wins but then you had one of the top four favorites in cam young come in second Captain Phillips he’s the captain now comes in third tied with mck Hughes
Who’s won like three times on the PGA tour Xander was fifth hadwin was fifth multi winner Ryan Moore is fifth like it wasn’t a bad leaderboard I didn’t mind it at all um I thought the day was very entertaining even Mitchell going into the car park on
One like what a [ __ ] guy okay so there and listen that’s the rule apparently but I think like if you’re parking cars in a spot that should be designated out of bounds I’m sorry yeah it’s so pathetic Pat like sometimes this tour just just kills itself they make it such an
Embarrassment like you hit it in the car park it’s a goddamn penalty [ __ ] like it’s simple you wouldn’t let any of your butt like none of your like I wouldn’t even have the HPA to ask a friend for a free drop like what do you mean so and all
The effort and time and energy that goes into like setup and these dudes in their [ __ ] golf carts looking at every blade of grass for four days I that should be a red line there but inside the car park we actually had an incident in our Club Championship that involved the car
Park oh really though please tell us it was behind that 18th hole the famous Nick Taylor hole um and it wasn’t red staked and it went into the car park and because it wasn’t red Stak he was essentially able to like Drop it as at
The as close to it just got a crazy drop cuz it wasn’t red Stak and it just turned into this whole controversy and he got to drop it pretty much like at the part of the car park which was the absolute closest to the
Green in just in like a rough area was a bit of a a scene um it’s hard for anyone to imagine who just knows it from the Taylor thing because there’s bleachers and stuff that would have blocked out the car park but right behind there it’s the car
Park so I don’t know why we’re calling it car park going to be triggered it’s a parking lot yeah I I’ve never called it car park in in my life maybe listening to some of the um the Internationals on the radio feed yeah you’re just like the people who don’t
Call it a garage they call it a car hold but yeah I mean that’s a fun course like look what look what it did to Justin Thomas look what it did to Kevin uh Keith Mitchell right in the position it didn’t really do anything to Justin Thomas he lost seven strokes putting in
One round hey fair enough um and maybe I’m overstating this because you know I I’m tend to get into the hyperbole often but I’m of one of the I’m one of these people like Justin Thomas does that I don’t have the faith in him that so many
People do and that his resume should allow me to have but if his whole like season if that like crumbles all the progress he’s made I wouldn’t even be shocked I wouldn’t even be shocked I’m not expecting that to happen but to me now there’s Intrigue because like a guy
Like him at this point to me could go either way it could just be a one outli round and we’re back at it or it could be the start of like horrific form I mean he basically pushed on the greens the next day I watched him Miss
Like a short one uh birdie putt coming down the hill but overall like his approach play was excellent his around the green was excellent the driving has been spottier than it was like during the first part of his comeback like to start the season he had been very good
Off the tea and that’s just been a real struggle for him the past few events but like the irons are still I don’t know just even to go look at he’s probably second behind Sheffer if I had to guess over like the past like even 12 rounds
He is eighth in the world Rory is 125th with his irons over the same time period okay so more importantly than that because we’re almost in the magic time where me and you are going to be in Vegas for the Masters um anyone is like thinking about going to Vegas just wants
To come to Vegas do it that’ll be fun I’ll throw down with you I think um all the like pre Masters Trends so obviously they’re all going to be pointing to Scotty he’s got the wins but like other than Scotty and like Windam Clark who will actually be able to check the boxes
On those historical trends that I don’t I don’t really care for them but they do seem to hold up literally year after year so some of the GES that I would say because there’s like two paths and Hideki blew like all of this up the year that Hideki won but other than the
Hideki year they’ve kind of played to what it is like you need to have a win during the calendar year or you need at least three top 10 so like Xander would be on that list because the guy comes fifth in every tournament uh who else would be Jake knp would probably be
Another one who would be up there and obviously it’s going to be based on like recent form coming in to the event as well like a win three top 10 and like decent performances and like the two starts coming in but all that kind of gets blown up a little bit too because
The players moved and the players such a wonky event when it comes down to people making the cut or high finishes it’s less predictive year-over-year and then there’s no match play there’s no like other tournament that people play and really in between like guys are playing
This week guys are playing next week at Valero but that’s unusual based on how the schedule is set up Windam Hideki and Sheffer and and cam young I mean will be guys that have the top 10 you mentioned Xander I think cam young has them I know he had one in
Honda he just had one I think he’s probably had another one um interesting yeah nap ISP nap has a win in three top 10 he’s an interesting one but he’s a first timer so you he has no chance of winning zawa Taurus probably is one of them that’s up
There Z is what second second at API I think he was fourth at Fourth at Arnold Palmer second at Genesis 18th at Farmers like with another good performance here like he would kind of qualify with the three top 10 Matthew pavon pavon yeah pavon would be up there too another first timer yeah
He was also in Singapore last week yeah that was strange to see him go over there and play Justin Thomas actually would qualify for this as well do you know I mean not that I think anyone cares I’m probably going to say something only I care about I it so
Strange like you that pavon went as I’m sure other people did because he didn’t go to he didn’t play Genesis I just like I’m gonna take a week off okay well he got paid by he got paid by I know that Paul Casey got paid by
Porsche to be there I think it was Porsche like that’s how he got into this DP world tour field I didn’t know that Liv guys could play on the DP World Tour but here we are um and I pavon probably has some like European sponsorship with
The car company that forced him to be there yeah I guess that makes sense or any sort of pay for play um or even a discount on a Porsche you never know and K that right oh my God and the Porsche would have cashed that would have traded
It all in for cars anyway or maybe he needs a little more cash maybe he’s a little hi or WR he’s less liquid than he was when he was like buying shoes and cars with every cent he earned well shout out to Sky cuz Sky hit this dude
Who won at 70 to one never [ __ ] heard of him me neither I pretend that but yeah that’s a treat for him always watch if you actually want to win money on golf just tune in to the DP World Tour picks and bet Show with Tom and Sky Monday nights on Mayo
Media Network because they actually hit they’ve hit like five winners so far this year can I talk about malady for a second I thought he was just compelling television all the way down the stretch he was so jittery every time that he wasn’t swinging the club like he would
Be like bouncing all around like you could see like he was just like it’s hard to describe but you know when you have nervous energy like in anticipation for something like you can’t stop moving like you’re kind of shuffling a little bit your head is bobbing he was doing that but he’d stand
Over the ball he’d get it together for like 10 seconds hit it and then he’d be right back to just being full of like nerves and the interview like the interview he gave after the round I just thought was fantastic almost brought a
Tear to my eyes I just I I felt for the guy and like it’s hard to be a grinder out there you might lose your tour card uh and this is your profession like what do you do at 36 I know he had won nine years ago but it’s not like dude is
Making 10 million bucks a year like some people uh it’s cost a lot of money to be a professional golfer to get your family around to get your kids around to take them in and out of school and travel to all these places and pay your caddy that
I I find it a compelling Story how much it means to him to win like he was really overwhelmed by the moment I thought it was fantastic absolutely and they should honestly do a full swing with just the bottom Barrel I mean that that would be so much better and more compelling um
Beautiful story Pat literally you mentioned malady been playing well but in like the inner Circles of golf melau had become like a very polarizing player and I mentioned this on the show before because he was because he’s on the player advisory committee he was just getting exemptions into things and
People were pissed off there’s a lot of chatter among that like Rank and file part of the tour like I didn’t know being on the advisory committee got me um right exemptions into all these things that I had no business being Exempted into so for him to take that
Form and win it is uh truly truly beautiful and you’re right jittery I feel like the radio guys were calling him jumpy um especially over is that five footer or something on the last part five of the day like he’s like just jumping over the ball like so yeah he
Was like any guy sort of feeling the nerves they were coming out and he hits this like little low the drop whatever good for him I’ve always been a fan but it was tilting is tilting a bit I just it’s hard not to enjoy what happened for
Him now well uh to your previous statement about the custy live debate everyone should go watch the custy debate it’s on Mayo media Network right now although custody’s voting has now closed so we’ll see how you’re doing once the awards are released but I got a text from my friend who started
Listening to the debate right now and he’s live texting us as it goes along he says that you won the opening which was cus best chance then cus said it was an interesting take and that’s not the conventional wisdom on that he says now you’re talking over Jeff and repeating
Yourself like a madman and acting like a child then he ask can you explain how the bubbles from sparkling water transferred to the Oro Oreo considering a bubble is just air C has no yeah listen it’s in the eye of the beholder um you could think I took a
Crushing loss just based on the phone call or you could think like what the [ __ ] is happening we’re glad handing a guy for making a phone call um and I wanted him to ask about specials like he didn’t even I wanted him to like talk
For a minute okay well we we were all In fairness we were doing a live show obviously he’s very uncomfortable with doing it anyway and I listen I have some people on the back end I don’t know there hold no hold on well on the back end you don’t know like
I watched him make the phone call I saw him put in the number I can hear the [ __ ] the end he was he he was it was it was um he did it he did it but I feel like um it all just I have to be careful with how I I
Phrase this and maybe I should I should work on that a bit okay you you work that one it feels like he knew the what pitches were coming um that’s that’s kind of all feels like the pitches he had my he he he had my game film I think
In some respects and then some people are making me think there’s something going onul okay okay one sec Paul you go first truth be told here’s what happened Tim showed up literally like five minutes before recording or before going live and me and you had been in DMS
Talking about this all week but we were like I don’t think Tim’s going to do it um and then Pat wasn’t really responding I needed the green light from Pat to make it happen Tim shows up and he’s just like my plan is to order a pizza
Because by ordering a pizza on this show it’ll show that I’m not insane which is pretty insane to even like think that in the first place so I did let him know I was just like well if you want free pizza you should probably let Jeff kind of tea up
Here because Jeff has been in my DMs wanting this to happen and he’s just like okay fre pizza so it was a little bit but like he showed up without anybody telling him about it and then uh and then he did I take back I take back
Most of what I said under the stance that if he says that and you know how I feel it’s honestly your job as executive producer to make sure that it happens like I I get like so yeah you’re like okay now I have to like yeah now I have
The green light to make this pizza happen yeah no I get it I get and in the end it’s uh free pizza it’s free pizza I I I sent Paul the money for the pizza don’t faster than faster than Tim Pao for the for the Jets uh for the Jets
Versus Bill’s bet much much much faster but Tim did clear that up too so everyone everyone’s good on my front Pat I did also reach out to before the debate to find out if Tim cleared his debt I I wanted to use that okay to let everyone know once
Again the pat Mayo experience classic as it is now called listeners League Draft will be available once te times are released on Underdog fantasy this week it’s a Thursday only draft Tambo and I will do one on the show like we’re doing every single week along with all of our
Regular salary cap DFS picks but you can get a deposit match of up to $200 on Underdog fantasy right now if you use code Mayo that helps out support the show so if you ever want to support the show please go do that if you live in a
State where there is no sports betting like Texas or California you can get in on the pick them games why wouldn’t you get in on some fantasy fantasy score props for players individually if you live there or Pennsylvania or Florida where you can’t do the uh the pick them
Game but you can do the drafts you can get in on this all at the same time so please go do that and the big thing that I’m excited for is UFL returns this week the merger of the usfl and the XFL where the past two years has just been an
Absolute printing press on these fantasy props uh on these sites so I’m hoping that they bring them back I’m trying to get confirmation that they just don’t want to get taken once again but we’ve been using the run the Sim simulator and just beating them so badly uh this is
Where the money season is made on the pickham games for the UFL and these Fringe Sports so code Mayo at Underdog fantasy right now get in the draft and then hopefully you can make some money on the pick it’s it’s Kenny who’s cleaning up on the pickham Jeff that’s the
Guy yeah he referred to himself as Underdog God hat on the weekend let’s talk about Houston uh this is I mean people for weeks oh birdie Fest birdie Fest birdie Fest birdie Fest I hate this then we don’t get a birdie Fest as I mentioned I hate this too so
It just seems like people don’t actually like golf is the conclusion that I’m coming to because this is a another difficult course yes guys are going to score we might see a winner at 13 under par and people like oh it’s a birdie Fest again but the next guy’s like minus
Five or something like that this course Memorial Park it’s a public course which you can play for like 40 bucks apparently it’s a very long waiting list but 7435 yards AP par 70 mini verie Bermuda grass greens 19 bunkers four holes with water and play was redesigned in 2019 by
Tom do with help from Brooks Kea there’s a lot of really elevated greens a ton of runoff areas you want some high ball hitters at this place or some really difficult par fours five of them measure over 490 yards that’s where this is going to be one and loss fenile won here
At minus 16 KRA at minus 10 Carlos Ortiz lonto Griffin um and it was usually played in the swing season it’s now back on the main rotation of the schedule I’m looking forward to this one I mean it’s not the strongest field but I I don’t get bogged down by that like that
Doesn’t concern me I just like watching good golf I like watching interesting courses and I like to watch competition if it’s going to be close and that’s what I think this course is going to produce unless Scotty runs away with it yeah so I mean anyone who actually likes
Golf like we do and I assume the people watching and even the people who make their jokes when a field isn’t good like they understand the ecosystem that they run the 50 [ __ ] events a year they they run every week and then there’s the four majors and the ones they want to
Dull up and everything else in between like could could be [ __ ] but it’s I mean you’re going to get Fields like this when you run when you run this many events and maybe that’s the problem I don’t know but I some people would argue the tours
Consistency is a is um one of its great benefits as it pertains to Sport and culture I don’t I mean getting kicked in the nuts yesterday I I I don’t know I wasn’t looking forward to having to look at this odds board okay Houston should be fun um
There’s guys I want to bet there’s guys I want to waste money on there’s guys I wish I had bigger odds on like we haven’t really spoken about it but I’ve already seen Scotty’s odds like fluctuating I’ve seen his lows 250 this morning so sheffer’s at the top
He’s three to one Windam Clark is 14 zot Taurus is 18 I’ve seen some 22s out there fow is 18 the gala 20 Jason day 25 so those are the big six in the field this week and listen I’m not going to bet Scotty at 3 to1 does he deserve to
Be 3 to one I mean probably not does he have a 33% chance of winning this tournament against 144 players I mean I think probability would dictate no he doesn’t but at the same time you’re looking at it you’re like yeah he’s probably going to win but this does
Present a little bit of an opportunity I think for some of the names down the board to have a bit more inflated odds like I bet zot Taurus at 22 to1 I like the way that zal been playing I like him at difficult courses I like him at
Longer courses I like him in Texas like know if there’s one guy I’m going to take a chance on to beat Scotty this week and if Scotty Ian all you need for him is like to lose three Strokes pting then he’s not winning yeah so for me it’s not like I’m
Not betting Scotty sheffler I’m not even like I might argue the line is more fair than you are thinking but I don’t think it’s fair and for me it’s more like do I just treat it like a normal behind him and not be afraid of him uh should I bet
Less because of him that’s uh like that’s almost that’s more or less my thinking than am I going to bet sheffler for me you said it it’s will or seah I still see 20 20 on will at a lot of places I’m seeing sayah Heath as high as
25 to one um those would be the two guys who I kind of want to trust the range that you know like I do love to bet that like 25 to 40 Almost Doesn’t really exist here there’s no one I really want to try like I’d be tempted for sewo but
It’s just not enough I need more I need more I need more you need more what would you dabble in no Scotty markets because I’m sure that those will pop up throughout the week yeah those will pop up and I guess if you can be
Quick or someone like in my DMs lets me know like oh look this site like just as an example uh you know like Doug gim Chuck last week it like there would be a site that kind of might have it as as a mistake or just something that they do
Where the nons Scotty line is like essentially the exact same or like two points less um so if I could find something like that on the guy I like then maybe but I’m never really the BET without guy although maybe you’d argue we haven’t been sort of here but to your
Point Pat and other people’s points like ra at did like went on a dominant run at this time of a year DJ’s gone on like insanely dominant runs and I never really considered betting the non-m markets in those moments so will you or won’t
You will I bet Scotty no not a chance no no the non-m markets Jesus Christ oh um again if I get a fair crossover like if a guy is and I think there’s some books that might give it to if I can get something close to my best offer then
Yeah but my bets will be in and not all of them I’ll be able to cash out so who knows the the the ship might sail but if I get something sure do do you want to join me on zalot Tores I like z um I have him at the
Masters for 50 I’ve been betting him all these events where he’s been close where we were the Saturday favorite at was it API so I almost feel like I want to protect my myself in my peace of mind that would be one and uh theala would be
The other one that I’m thinking of but I’d lean willly over over Seth mainly because my brain would take it better uh it would be Jason day number two for me if it was someone I was going to consider betting just I one of the things that I just really popped out to
Me and maybe some golf uh Golf Course architecture people can point this out to me a little bit you know in the future maybe in my DMs or something because I I really like to know just I just noticed that like a lot of these elevated greens and like they’re up
Almost like on a bowl a little bit with terrific runoff areas around the side now I went back and I watched the last four like the highlights for each of the round now there aren’t many guys like putting from off the green because it is such a steep UPS slope that guys are
Still going to have take their wedge bump it in so playing your Bump and runs uh Scotty was actually quite good at doing that in a lot of the highlights that I watched and he plays this tournament every year he’s never won it so maybe he’s due to win it at this
Point during this hot run but what other course does that sound like to you Jeff Augusta I was going to say Pinehurst yeah I mean we’re going to get the full load of of pine of Pinehurst again coming up uh it’s kind of been out
Of sight out of mind for me other than you know flash bulbs in my brain but sure I’ll take your word for it I well I don’t know I asking you if you were listening you would hear that I’m asking I was I I heard the runoffs I now you’re
Say I agree with you like I didn’t [ __ ] I’m just trying to remember Martin kimer highlights Payne Stewart highlights like I don’t I don’t I said I don’t agree or disagree I can’t speak to it uh I’m not like the co architecture guy yeah and I
Might be way off base with that I’m just that’s the first thing like the big bll greens with huge runoffs maybe some guys are going to be able to putt from off of them that maybe there’s something with the green complexes coming in just generally speaking like I would want
Either guys who are really good around the green or guys that hit the ball really high day is kind of both those things he h the ball super high he can get it to stick won’t have to deal with as many runoff areas and if he does he
Does have a good enough short game to get it up and down and he’s W in Texas before that’s always key he has and uh yeah you’re right and he’s hitting the ball lovely as is as is SEI wo right in behind him there hitting the ball hitting the ball lovely this
Course it’s longer than I feel like I remembered it being yeah it’s super long 7,400 it’s super long so you gon need a guy who hits those long yeah Willie cck Willie cck Willie there’s a few gu there’s a few shorter guys like see was super short off the te comparatively now
To the rest of the field but we’ve seen a lot of guys that have actually played really well at Valspar do well at this as well and Valspar is one of those sneaky long courses because it’s adjusted for par down to par 71 but it’s like SE it’s almost 7,400 yards as well
That like hadwin has played well with both these things that shank has played well with both although shank’s not in the field this time around like that sort of player as well so maybe there could be some crossover into it I did notice and I put this up before the
Round I should have listened to myself and just bet on Peter malady that guys that have played really well at the Sanderson Farms have played really well at the valpar over the years malat gets the win uh we’ve seen who was it mck Hughes won the won Sanderson Farms
Obviously he was winning at certain points on Sunday Sam Burns has won Sanderson Farms he won back to back at Valspar Sergio played really well at both of them and even to look at the top 10 from last year at Sanderson Farms you had skull what cam Young’s played well
There too I think did sure uh so the top 10 from last year had Carl yuan in it uh it had Scott Stallings in it and Ben Griffin in it who were all inside the top 15 going into Sunday so just to keep that in the back of your mind for next
Year going into things or if Taylor Moore ends up playing Sanderson FMS maybe he’s a guy to look at I like Taylor Moore this week actually um I don’t that’s the problem and this is what I want to talk through with you like with Scotty out there being terrified of
Scotty like Taylor more for example is 80 to one which is what I bet him at last week to win at Valspar now would you argue that there’s more win Equity last week at the top with Xander Justin Thomas spe guys that we we didn’t super
Believe in or is it this week because it has Scotty and Windam Clark who just win all the time yeah this week unequivocally unequivocally uh um like I didn’t even care for those guys at the top last week you could argue all the favorites were just guys who don’t win
You just said it these two win Taylor Moore finished 12 yesterday did he not like what a lovely week to get that number again uh he hits those what the hell God damn it do not oh sh this is not going to help his most insane call I guess voting’s already
Closed luckily for for Jeff right now what is going on over there buddy don’t don’t a just clip that oh we’re not no we’re not clipping that that’s good content that is good content what what what what was there a mouse oh my printer just started printing
How do you feel about Novak Nation this week Paul he gained with his irons gain a lot with his here’s a question I actually have for you because you’re like the stats stats nerd stats Guru what I do notice with Novak nation is just like that guy really struggles
Hitting Fairways off the tea like his off the tea game kind of kind of bad like when I when I’m tracking him cuz I’m such a homer um it just always seems like he’s in the rough so driving accuracy as a whole at this course is way down all
Then I see like 150 to one on them yeah yeah why not I guess my question like if it was you and you’re throwing down on this I mean you’re obviously GNA bet Andrew no I have no idea where Jeff just went but like is this the week that like
The best bet show is going to be like very intriguing because it’s the top 10 placements the top 20s the top fives that kind of thing that’s just more intriguing this week I think I think with like somebody like Scotty taking so much market value out of a tournament
That yeah those types of markets will be a lot more interesting just because if Scotty comes and runs train on everybody doesn’t mean that some of these losers way down the board can’t sneak into a top 20 with good form and you know and all that so know I think hitting
Outrights I I’ve been watching you guys for so many years here hitting outrights is incredibly hard in this sport so yeah there’s other ways there’s other ways to skin a cat as they say um everything okay there Jeff no the printer is still going maybe you should take the paper
Out you’re all right there bud are you okay are you haunted by he looks like he looks pretty spooked but it to be honest who are you call who are you texting are you okay like we’re we’re in the middle of a show yeah I’m fine
You’re okay we’re good are you sure sure we’re [ __ ] we’re fine yeah did you see a ghost are you having a paranormal experience right now it seems like that I mean zoom and you know not being in the same room as you can like skew these types of things but like my conspiracy
Brain is going all over the place I do want to talk about guys 30 through 100 because I did make one bet in here I bet on luk list at 66 to1 with the top five I think that like taking the each way on anyone from down the
Board is kind of necessary this week when you’re just so terrified of the top but list played really well here two times ago I believe and I mean he’s been absolutely Hit or Miss but at a long course like this he plays really long par fours really well obviously he has
The distance I really do worry that you know his putting is so bad he consistently loses around the greens now but this is a bit of a different type of setup where I said there’s like it’s shaved around the greens that you know there’s tighter lies it’s not like
Really thick rough like it was at the Arnold Palmer or even at Riviera it’s not like that so much that maybe he can use his you know prodigious nature off the tea get his irons hot again we’ve seen it happen a few times already this year just from down the board you know
He’s a two-time winner he’s played pretty well he plays tough courses pretty well maybe he can make some putts he’s been much better on the greens recently than he’s ever been probably at any other point of his career Jeff I see if he’s a real like a couple weeks
Ago he seemed to be trending consistently um and he kind of got overshadowed by Matthew paval and like well maybe that’s like the real golfer but yeah what’s required here it seems like it could check the luk list box um there are a few guys in the 30 to 100
Range that I’m looking at I’ve bet none of them luk list was one of them mainly because of how I think he could handle this long course how he’s done this year I mean I’m able to be an apologist for some recent results but I can’t believe I couldn’t
Find a 50 on norin norin 35 like what the unbelievable that’s criminal I mean if you want if you want to bet a guy who can’t win there’s your guy yeah yeah I mean he’d be like the super if we spun the wheel of losers
This week it would be his face like in the center at that price um Stephen Jagger seeing as high as 55 just being difficult to grind but like this gu [ __ ] win like why am I wasting my energy and my money and then I’m going to become a Stephen then
Like I always used to make fun of the Stephen Jagger betters last year in the swing season and then I don’t know I’ve bet him twice and I don’t want to become one so maybe we should just stop uh I don’t know how to quantify the guy but
I’ve seen Jake knp as high as like 60 to one I think yeah I I actually think that’s not a terrible wager to tell you the truth like the guy continues to play well he has a win when I kind of isolated why I was on him in Mexico was
A lot based on what he had done at Tory Pines like I want this dude at a driver heavy course that is not super penal anywhere like even to look at some of the other guys that used to play well here during the swing season it was like
A lot of guys that played well at Puerto Rico and putana in places like that now that did have a lot to do with the quality of the field obviously but it’s not like no like nobody showed up for this tournament like f plays it every
Year Hideki used to play it every year burn Sheffer like all those guys were always here during the swing season events so it’s not like this field is marketly better or worse than it’s usually been so yeah if he can just kind of spray it a little bit off the te like
His irons have been really good the putting has been really good I I don’t hate that at all and then another one who in this range that I thought might have some legs um he is horrible around the greens though but kittama yeah I I just I don’t know if I
Love the number for kittama here seeing it like 66 to one yeah I mean like would you rather go on kittama right now at 66 or if you enhanced up just the outright without the eways you could get Taylor Moore to like 95 or something like that
I I just like the way that Taylor Moore is playing right now yeah I don’t mind that Taylor Mo shout um he’d be another guy just the way I I could well would want to be able to trust the ceiling of those of those long irons for Taylor
Moore uh maybe there was someone else back here probably probably not so yeah um norin Jagger nap kittama I’m not betting these guys but that’s what I’m thinking about and then you you made good cases for list and and Taylor Moore and even uh I know he was chalk last week
Gim yeah I 75 to one yeah I probably don’t want to like go into this area all that much like it’s not that I regret betting luk list already but I don’t have the utmost faith in him like Cam Davis I think would be pretty interesting one thing I did notice when
I went and looked back and like a lot of it is just you see how the course plays like past years aren’t going to tell you that much but you just notice names on the leaderboard like Aon wise was a first round leader here the last time
That they played Lehman was someone it just it kept clicking in my mind remember that goofy tournament they used to have for the Byron Nelson at that like random course they did for three years I think it was Trinity Forest yes it just a lot of names that
Played well that year that Aaron Wise won there seemed to be popping up here interesting yeah um but yeah Doug Doug I mean the reason Doug gim was chalk last week was maybe because they started with a bit of a high number but he’s been on an incredible run and and
He’s hitting the ball beautifully baa after the especially the way that he played Sunday at Valspar just like he feel like he felt like he found something in that round he’s still hitting a ton of Fairways and as I always say with OE like you’re going to
Know pretty quickly whether he’s got it that week or he doesn’t got it that week I was I don’t like the numbers the problem I just wish it was bigger like I don’t want to go in on him at 66 to1 like he feels like he should be 90 or
More and I I do think that matters in a week like this when you have Sheffer at the top like if Sheffer soaking up all this win Equity that he’s a 3 to1 favorite these guys deserve better than being 66 to1 so I think you might get
Better numbers as the week goes along uh D Tree was another one your boy just because I was looking at Apex height with a lot of the stuff and he just I think he’s inside the top 10 of Apex height he’s number two he hits the ball very high into the sky
Jeff uh and like baa maybe you could say he may have found something maybe later in the week at the Valar just played some quality golf I think he finished at seven under um so it would have been a top 10 uh long maybe difficult course I don’t know
I mean I’m sure he’s come in second place on a course like this in Europe before probably like four times so other guys other guys you quickly if you could see the Gulf of Mexico anywhere from this course or any like big body of water then I could be
Interested on bota but unless like there’s some waves crashing in somewhere seems like a no play for me I mean Houston’s on the Gulf of Mexico isn’t it yeah it might be but I I get embarrassed when I try to show off geography on this show so I’m going to
Not do that I it’s not Galveston galvaston is what south east of Houston but I mean that’s directly on the Gulf of Mexico he’s not that far from the ocean or at least the Caribbean Sea like I listed a small handful of guys in this 50 to like 100 100 to one
Range that I could be interested on I could just make a card out of but if I am going to actually take on Scotty to try to win maybe you are right maybe just like take Willie and day or Willie and sah and and then call it a week yeah
I have two guys that like have if they play their best and Scotty plays you know his b game instead of his a minus game that they could win by one or something like that and that’s always the problem with this the other guy that I did want to talk about was Keith
Mitchell who just continues to stripe it he had a bad Sunday but he was in the lead I mean you don’t expect someone to go four under through the snake pit on Saturday and hole out from the middle of the Fairway and then got it going real
Bad with his first shot and he just could never get it back on track although he did make an eagle on number 15 of the Valspar but this seems like a course that would actually play really well to his strong suits he can you know go driver every single time he’s got got
A ton of distance and can he ever make a putt no that wasn’t a problem last week until he started driving the ball poorly yeah only it was the driver because even when he was even driving it out of position it seemed like he was still hitting his irons well at least
While he was on TV yesterday it’s always fun when the final group is like gone with two hours to go in coverage um yeah strong case continues to play well I listen I mean maybe a deal with the devil dude that was the last guy off my
Card last week and I took [ __ ] Keegan who I never bet over Mitchell so I was spinning as all of golf Twitter everyone and Mitchell they were so happy on Saturday I was like had steam coming out of my ears uh but don’t worry the steam
Came full circle I got I got God at the end um on that note I know just listing guys who did show some life yes today down the stretch at these big numbers um dri Bacha what about KH Lee itn’t a TPC though it was all putting man and maybe
He can flip that but I I I’m a bit more dubious about someone who gains like seven strokes putting let’s see what what did he actually finish up with here I want to go see exactly what he did because he had a really nice Honda and I
Wanted to bet him in Puerto Rico but then he didn’t end up playing in Puerto Rico so I was like all right like whatever but I’ll pull this up very quick here yeah Mitchell lost he lost four strokes putting and lost around the greens like it’s going to be tough to
Win any tournament like that when your driver starts leaking just a little bit of oil and it leaked a lot of oil as it came down to KH Lee gained four strokes off the tea four strokes putting gained a bunch of chipping and lost Strokes on approach like that’s not necessarily the
Profile that I want however he did he won back toback in Texas at the Byron Nelson so at least he has Strokes gain Texas up the board Strokes gain Texas uh it’s not might not win you outright bets but that Strokes gain off the te Strokes
Gain putting combo will make you a lot of money it will it it will but let’s not pretend like khle is Bryson no no no no no no no no no no no no no um and I am seeing some balloon numbers on some of these guys Pat like
Seeing a you mentioned bot 60 I actually see it as high as 80 but then it’s I’m not one of the each way guys but this week if I am playing in this range I probably do so higher numbers seem to be available at the places that don’t let
You get the places uh we have two new filters on fantasy National as well down the left hand side I showcase those on the research show there’s one for each of the majors if that’s what you want to do you can go by Masters only PGA US
Open two of the four three of the four whatever it is but there’s also some by state as well uh so I just have the Texas filter open right now to the past 24 rounds of the best players in Texas and just by ranked Scotty fena Woodland
Day Burger Burger one uh Colonial coming out of covid I think it dates back to that noren sewu KH Lee with his back-to-back wins at Byron Nelson P Raj Davis Riley Sam Stevens is one of them who had a pretty good run plays long courses really well bud collee is another one Tyson
Alexander uh Ryan Palmer Texas guy Alex SMY Campos Johnny Vegas like these type of guys kind of keep popping up Novak is up here I don’t want to spoil something you might be giving us later in the show but uh bar off was letting me know about
Tyson Alexander well let’s let’s do that now uh so in the 100 100 to one and Beyond range this is probably the range that I’m going to stick with I bet Tyson Alexander 250 to one with eight places you could have got him 300 to one with
Five places you know I extended that out a little bit he was second the last time that they played this tournament in 2022 uh it’s his best finish on the PGA tour his irons looker super spotty but he’s had some good irons week over the
Past two months or so he can kind of mash it off the tea a little bit spray it around uh and even looking at corn fery he won three times on um actually won twice on corn faery he won on the Latin American tour in Costa Rica but
His two wins on corn faery 2022 2021 at the vertex Bank Championship both in Texas and even to look at his some of his other ones you have like the Pinnacle Bank I believe that one’s in Nebraska Witchita open is in Kansas like this is his part of the country to
Actually come through and like those are just huge odds and if he comes second it pays a pretty hefty Penny yeah any any catch any part of a placing on those numbers you’ll be making more than uh a lot of guys who probably win the tournament yeah probably more than what
People are going to throw down like what would you even bet like that’s the problem with betting Scotty here is like I want a certain payout for the week like am I really going to put a thousand bucks on Scotty to win no I’m not yeah
That’s the part of it like am I betting you know $400 to win $1,200 like don’t really like I don’t want to sound like I don’t like money I’m better at losing it than winning it it seems but I just that’s just not it’s not I
Don’t know just not for me I can joke though Pat he’s 450 to win The Masters so three one this week is probably a much better bet I would tend to agree with you yeah it was just like why I bet cam young at or Cam Smith of that weird
Live tournament when he was 20 to1 it’s like well he’s 18 to1 to win The Masters and he’s 20 to1 to win this random live event of course he had to lose in the playoff that’s always fun but yeah sometimes that’s the best way to bet be
Like hey this number is better than that number I’ll bet this number why overthink it why overthink cam young came second at event didn’t he cam Smith came cam Smith cam Smith sorry yeah he lost to answer answer one in a playoff over him and Casey I think I
Think it was Casey can’t remember now uh over a hundred though no surprise you already said it a bit earlier I’ve seen like a detri 110 wouldn’t have placings though but like I said there’s probably about 4 second places in his resume on on similar European courses uh other guys
From Beyond 100 that wanted to take a look at gup actually leads the tour in Apex site he’s been playing a little bit better albeit spotty but he’s someone that we really liked coming out that he’s 150 to one right now I could see myself on him I could see myself taking
A shot on a couple of these plus 100 guys rather than the 66 guys you know for one $150 or 150 to one guy that’s you know you get three of those for 150 to one guy and honestly if Scotty’s going to soak up so much win Equity between him
And Windam Clark and zot torus and fow and day like all these other guys have like marginal probability points and difference it’s not 100 points in the betting Market yeah I don’t know it’s hard for me to make a strong case for any of these guys but okay for example here
Here’s what I I’ll ask you then do you really think that Chris gup has a significant has is three times worse to win this tournament than Doug Gib probably not uh you could do do this from the start we could start this at Alex norin and work our way up um but
Yeah you’re you’re right I don’t disagree but at the same time know this is going to sound like silly sometimes with golf take to take a line the famous quote from my friend grp wins think a bit golfers not numbers yeah but I mean do who do you
Think on that guy yeah but so but I’m using Doug gim as an example here and someone like Chris gup who was like 40 to1 in these tournaments like a year ago yeah no that’s totally um that but yeah I don’t I’d rather bet Doug gim but I I exceed your point it’s
Totally fair it’s totally fair and I don’t mind gdup and the the point I’m trying to make is that it’s not gup 1 V one with gim if it was I think that’ be pretty close it’s gup and two other guys at 150 to1 versus gim as a bet to win I
Mean they’re probably all losers but at least you can get extended eways on these ones for sure so got God is Bobby Mack still playing he made the cut last week play okay last week he played really well in Mexico another place where you can just kind of drive it wherever the
Hell you want yeah just trying to see what the weather is like if it starts getting like a little bit windier because I mean it’s [ __ ] Texas who knows just see what the the advaned forecast is for this week uh no wind bit of wind on Friday
Bit of wind on Saturday little bit of wind on Sunday nothing major though no rain or anything in the forecast so nothing too much to look at so I had gup Joseph bramlet Novak collie I haven’t bet these guys but they were the ones and Tyson Alexander I did bet but those
Other guys were kind of on my radar as if I’m GNA take a long shot maybe this is the route that I go and those were some some of the names that popped up for me you don’t want the placings Tyson comes in as high as 400 to one I think I do
Want the placings with Tyson Alexander I could see why Kevin dhy is someone who just kept like no matter what I ran statistically was just a name that kept popping up what’s showing I like I have no comment on that I I’m just saying that
When I put in like long power fours and courses over who would have won the luckier golfer yet uh Mt Hughes or Carl ju Carl ju he chipped in three times in the final round he was the chosen one The Chosen Yan that is actually so crazy three
Chippens one of them was Eagle I think too they were on the power five I think it was number five he chipped in for Eagle yeah was like and then the 15 he was in the rough he just good for you buddy so let’s get to the
Quick picks for the Houston open I got zalot Taurus at 22 to1 Luke list at 66 to1 with a top five each way to go along with it and then Tyson Alexander 250 to one with eight places those are the three Wagers I have in we’ll make some
More bets on the best bet show with Byron and sea on Tuesday and then I’ll finalize everything in the newsletter on Wednesday you can subscribe to that for free down in the description right now and Jeff you have zero bets in on a Monday morning zero bets in I really
Like Willie I’m seeing some of these 20s turn to 18s so I probably should do something about that now uh I mentioned the Consortium of losers that I could be interested in yagger gim Kitty AMA nap see but that’s the thing hold on hold hold on you mentioned those guys those
Are kind of the prime example of what I’m talking about here like Alex noran let’s say you can even find a 40 on him is is who do who has a better chance to win four guys at 150 to1 or Alex noren I’d wager it’s the four guys at 150 to
One you’re probably right and I I said I left out norin in that initial Spiel and was going to say I could you could argue if there was like a segment what is the worst bet on the board it wouldn’t be hard to to make the
Case that Alex noren is the worst bet on the board despite me thinking he kind of fits here but I don’t know how they could price him like this right now now I I Philip Rivers who I like to shout out for nice numbers has him at 25 to [ __ ]
One you know who has gained at least he’s averaging like 3.5 Strokes on approach per tournament over his past four tournaments and he’s from Texas and he’s a rookie and he’s 200 to one and his dad might buy a dome to put over it’s not even Pearson Cy it’s Parker
Cooie might have to do are they both here yeah they’re both in the field let’s see you know who shockingly bad this year is it Ma shocking uh Davis Riley yeah he’s bad 300 to1 good Apex height one and done honestly the my favorite guy what it wasn’t even someone I came
Here with in that like 50 to 100 you might have made the case and looking at Taylor Moors last week that that might actually be the play but he’s I if you ended up saying him in your quick pick no I did I didn’t because I haven’t bet
Him the thing is I want a better number because that’s exactly what I bet him at last week at a tournament that I felt far less good about at the top and the tournament he had won before I I probably will end up betting him at some
Point but I want to see that number get a bit deeper oneand done picks for Houston cust has selected Thor bjor and olison I am taking Jason day who are you taking I’m gonna do it Alex Soren so you’re going to bet Alex norin at 30 to1 to win this tournament right
No I didn’t say stop doing that the thing where I bet my one and done that ended like in the middle of last year I mean you just bet cam young at I know minus 300 to win a tournament you’re not going to bet Alex
Norin at 30 to1 I bet cam young at 40 to it felt way different I was really excited about that I I I I was not feeling how other people were feeling about him last week this is not different I don’t feel like I don’t feel the
Ceiling Nan’s just a oneandone play here okay now if a book wants to post 50 to one they could steal my money well I wouldn’t be stealing it but I’d give it to them that’s how weird I am just show me a five and someone will because No One’s Gonna bet these loser
Numbers I you got to think this entire range collapses be it SEIU norin Jagger Mitchell hogi I mean we didn’t even mention hogi but dude guy’s a dart show right he’s like only darts it darts only listen the guy goes in buys a cur at a time the problem is the green regulation
Percentage at this course is lower than normal so you’re going to be forced to chip at some point and when you ask hogi to Chip he can’t do it at all it’s not it’s not even the putting that lets him down he just can’t chip on that note he’s not a great
Putter but my boy Jagger is an excellent chipper of the golf ball okay what what would lead you to that conclusion watch him he hits a lot of nice tight chips the stats don’t back that up I mean the stats say he’s pretty good around the greens but I would wager
That if you see Steph Jagger chipping a ball on TV it’s going to go to one inch because why else would you be showing Stephen Jagger on TV chipping not just TV cuz I’ve been bet him so I tracked it they’re a lot of like uh oh I’m in
Trouble I’m going to have to hit a par Putt and I know I didn’t have to hit it cuz he sticks it but um yeah that would also probably be a really bad what would be a worst bet Pat Jagger or norin oh Jesus probably Jagger oh
[ __ ] okay Aon Ry and Patrick Rogers yeah Aaron Ry and Patrick Rogers are the like loser the spreadsheet virgin bets every single week like how are those guys 45 and boa don’t forget Bo Hustler just W up Billy hoes won a million and he’s like seemingly run
Riding back into form there’s other guys that are like a 100 to one that I’d rather bet than Aaron Ryan Patrick Rogers so I don’t know how they end up on people’s cards but there’s people out there betting them every single week Jeff’s gonna bet all three of those guys
This week what I buddy you’re we’ve got other friends who are that Rogers train or or maybe Aon Ry I’ve got my own losers do not there’s enough losers you could throw at me do not throw other people’s losers at me well let’s try to build claim them as mine if we were
Going to build the the wheel of losers for this week who is on that list noren Rogers gagger Hustler Ry is there anyone else you want to nominate for this detry like as my bomb loser at least he’s over 100 to one like these
Guys are 35 to one yeah right um so you nailed it it’s that whole yeah that whole range they’re just how yeah I mean you you said it incredible there’s a pack of them right there norin and Jagger would be the ones that could have me not the
Other all right that will do it on the pat Mayo experience once again when tea times drop head on over to Underdog fantasy and draft in the P Mayo experience classic it’s a rake free tournament 20 bucks to play three max entry I’ll be in there on the streets
I’ll be drafting two of them on Tuesday night and saving one for the show with Tambo on Wednesday morning when we go through that draft and we see where the ownership is coming in do our DraftKings picks and all of that fun Jeff what else you got going on this
Week be my video with uh with odds Checker coming out with Andy those have been great um I’m just I got distracted Again by this printer so my mind is melting you might want to unplug it I thought I did and I unplugged what appears to be my laptop not the
Printer so that’s what made it melt again it’s like I thought that thing was unplugged and that’s when I thought I really saw a ghost okay code Mayo Underdog fantasy fantasy national.com Mayo to get 20% off any of the plans and you get access to the leaderboard app which people are
Many people are saying is the only way that you’re going to track golf from your phone so go test that out now it’s been very exciting it’s been very helpful for me obviously it was very helpful for Paul in winning money I just
Like to use it to so I can see where my guys are at without having to click on each individual name I can just set the guys I want it appears on my phone it’s perfect so go do that right now fantasy national.com Mayo I’m Pat Mayo that will
Do it for me I will see you next time experience experience
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
1:58 Geoff/Custys
5:25 Valspar Recap
36:22 Custys
41:39 Houston Open
44:11 Top Odds
55:50 30-100
1:08:02 100+
1:15:01 Quick Picks
1:17:55 One and Done
1:20:57 Wheel of Losers
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Geoff began this episode the way every Monday in the past 20 years of my life begins. It’s oddly satisfying and relatable and bless Pat for being so patient with the knucklehead in all of us.
Was voting Cust until i just found out Geoff has an android
W Clark 14/1 J Day 25/1 B Cauley 150/1 D Riley 350/1 my bets
Y Paul 30/1 S Sharma 40/1 S Forsstom 100/1 M Gandas 400/1 at Indian open
Scottie FRL 12/1
Wow Scottie = 1-V-World. FRL tho Aaron Rai, Ryder
Show is getting tough to watch with too much of the guy wearing the black cap. His confused "I don't know" takes are useless noise. Is his schtick acting slow and dopey?
The only thing keeping Tim from going completely insane is the most insane award… if geoff wins the good news is you wont have to campaign cause tim will be off the rails insane the next 5 years atleast
There were holes on Sunday where Mitchell never got the ball to the hole until his bogey tap in and was +8 through 13 , so he is a wheel candidate
Geoff cut Pat off easily 10 times this show
Good to see Geoff has replaced his losing Finau/Fleetwood bets every week with Young/Jaeger.
That being said, I am right there with him on Young 😭
Malnati was 400-1 on FD and I had him! Best golf win ever
Finally got a cash out right with Young
Where can I order a “don’t blame me, I voted for Tim” bumper sticker?
That is good content !
Geoff is fucked ha ha ha
Carpark is hilarious
All time Geoff episode this week, great stuff.
Yeah wtf is with shot tracker? It’s gone WAY backwards, very unreliable now where it used to be right on almost always. I honestly think bookies have something to do with it
Watch feature holes and watch for shotlink errors. Books often adjust based on shotlink not actually what happened.
Hit a few bombs … Had Pat Rodgers hit a 20' biride. wrongfully priced +1800
Wheel of loser this week is finau 27/1
the wheel of losers
Did Pat post the 5 Underdog winners?
For years I have watch Geoff make amazing bets between 20/40 and now he talking about longshots.
Geoff leave the longshots to pat and go back to your model which never stopped winning for years
Now the Mayo show has 2 "Insane " people. You may want to look into a government tax credit for financial purposes. Pat please dont lose your mind working with these lunatics 😅
Listener beware… you will lose chromosomes listening viewing this content. 😶
This has to be the worst golf show on YouTube.
Cmon Pat. How do you not have T4 Tony on the "chalk losers everyone will bet" list. He's the captain of the team.