Don’t panic in Palm Harbor; our PGA DFS preview & best bets for the Valspar Championship 2024 have got you covered!
Is Sam Burns (12-1) ready to catch fire, or will heavy favorite Xander Schauffele (6.5-1) steamroll the field at the Copperhead Course of Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club.
PGA Tour analysts Conor Coughlin & Bo McBrayer cover course notes, core plays, outrights, props & more on “The 19th Hole (S4 E12).”
⏰ Time Stamps:
00:00:00 Introduction
00:01:27 Scott Scheffler Is Him + The Players Reaction
00:09:38 What Are We Drinking?
00:11:11 Caddy Notes: Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Breakdown
00:22:56 Club Twirls: Valspar Championship 2024 Best Bets
00:52:13 No Trunk Slams: Valspar Championship 2024 PGA DFS Core Plays & Fades
01:09:32 Cheers & Outro
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🏌️♂️ Conor Coughlin (https://twitter.com/Cough_DFS/)
🏌️ Bo McBrayer (https://twitter.com/Bo_McBigTime/)
Good evening ladies and gentlemen welcome back to the 19th hole we are live as always on in between media make sure you like this video subscribe to the whole damn channel and give that bell a jingle we are covering the valspar championship at innisbrook home of the snake pit
Another leg on the Florida swing. We’re headed to Texas next week, but we got Florida one more time. Bermuda grass, narrow fairways. Let’s freaking hit it. Here we are back on the 19th hole live as always. Connor Coughlin there to my left at cough underscore DFS on the X machine slash
Twitter slash everybody’s favorite social media message board. We have a lot of good stuff to cover this week, including recapping this guy named Dr. Scott Scheffler Esquire. This guy’s pretty damn good at golf. Connor, how do you feel in general? I want to know how you’re doing because I haven’t
Talked to you in seven days. And how do you feel about Sir Scott Scheffler Esquire? He’s speechless. And this is what happens when you come in late running hot. No, he’s got skid marks sliding into his room there. That sounds way worse than what you meant it. No, I freaking Scotty, man.
I definitely, definitely demonstrating why he’s the world. Number one, now that he’s kind of got that putter together a little bit. And did you, did you see the stat? The stat. So just over his last two Sundays, which obviously he won both tournaments on honest with Sunday charges like he he
Won the last two events, the players and the Arnold Palmer on Sunday. His last two Sunday rounds, he gained more than seven strokes putting on the field. There is not a soul alive that can beat Scotty Scheffler if he’s gaining three and a half strokes per round on the greens. Just not possible.
Because, yeah, even neutral putting means Scotty’s going to win. 64 on Sunday at Sawgrass. 64. Ridiculous. Well, we’ve been saying that right along. It’s like if Scottie can just get the putter even flat, there’s pretty much nobody that can beat him. But I don’t know if it’s the putter.
It might be Strokes Gainbeard. I mean, you can’t help but notice that luscious mane. We’re not calling him Scottie anymore. Until he shaves, he is Sir Scott Scheffler Esquire. He’s bonafide. He’s bonafide. United him. I know. I knighted him, and I gave him a Southern title, too. You ever feel like the
Announcers on the PGA Tour are just trying to set you up for heartbreak, though? I’m watching Wyndham lining up that putt. He’s taking a look. He’s walking around. They got to do the little monologue about how he’s wearing pink for the first time in honor of his mom and the foundation,
And he’s going to do this every Sunday. And you’re just sitting there going, guarantee he’s gonna miss this putt now now that now they’ve set it up so that you feel worse I let out an audible luckily I was home alone because it was a high-pitched like yelp scream when that ball hit
The lip and and ricocheted back out of the hole it was down but obviously he cooked it way too like it was that ball was moving if he had just like a tiny bit less pace that’s in the heart And, and it was just, I was like,
As soon as he hit it, I was like, oh shit, he cooked that hard and he’s not leaving it short. You don’t want to break out of it. And that’s what you’re supposed to do on a birdie putt that means that much. But when it hit the hole and
Did the full lip out, uh, I let out a gasping shriek in my house and I was crazy. Uh, I was, I couldn’t believe it. seeing him double pump or second guess the fist pump. Well, when it hit, cause he thought it was going in and then he, then he was like,
Oh shit. And then he saw it hit the hole. And so he did another step and like, Oh my, I can’t, I love Wyndham Clark. I don’t like his little improving of the lies thing, but that’s gamesmanship. A lot of these guys do that. He’s just been so hot lately,
And first time the same golfer’s finished runner-up to the same champion in back-to-back weeks since the 80s. So he’s obviously on a heater. Wyndham Clark is, and… And I’m a big fan of him. I mean, not just because he’s an Oregon duck go ducks, but Wyndham Clark’s story is incredible.
Like we’ve talked about this over the last year or so, since he started cooking, he won the, when he won the major last year, uh, we were all cheering for him because this guy turned his whole life around, not just his career, uh, obviously he was a big time prospect coming out of
College and he’s supposed to be the next thing next big thing and it didn’t pan out for him but the guy still got immense talent because as soon as he got the mental game right uh we’ve seen the results so can’t discount what wyndham clark has done the last few
Weeks just because he’s been slightly overshadowed by the best golfer of this era Yeah, Scotty. Scotty’s making a hell of an argument. I mean, it’s just unreal. But the other thing, too, that I was I thought was kind of crazy coming down the stretch was you had mentioned Brian Harmon and
I kind of shot you down a little bit. But yeah. Harmon was pulling out all the stops to be right there, too. And that that shot on 18 from the pine straw was otherworldly. I didn’t think he had any shot of getting anywhere near it. And no, it was crazy.
And then also the other guy that we both said doesn’t win much because he just doesn’t seem to close it out. But Xander Shoffley did everything that I said he was going to do, which is. compete and grind and put and make good shots and be everything you want him to
Be on that type of course. And however, it got down to, he had a very makeable birdie putt on 17 on Sunday and missed it. And that was his chance to, that was his chance to push a Schaeffler into a playoff situation. And obviously he missed the fairway on 18.
So he had no chance at birdie himself, but 17 was his chance. And that was what killed him and Wyndham Clark was 17th hole. Just Wyndham Clark was the chili dip on Saturday when he tried to muscle a gap wedge into a pin where he should have just chopped
Off a pitching wedge like everybody else was. sometimes that happens like doesn’t like this is one of the most talented golfers in the entire world and he hit a chili dip and was in the water 20 yards short of the pin that that was very relatable and unfortunately
It cost him well in zander I mean if you look at zander too like god he’s so close He was, but I mean, man, his Sunday, he hung in there, but he left a lot on the course. For him to shoot a 69 with how well he was playing,
It was a huge missed opportunity. He obviously scrambles well. He was the best scrambler on the course the whole week, but he wasn’t making birdie putts. That was the killer for him on Sunday was he had so many chances to make birdies because of his ball striking,
And he couldn’t make any of them. We’ll see how he does this week. I definitely think that a lot of the same stuff that put him where he was last week applies here. I’m hoping he recovers. This is obviously a weaker field, so maybe a little bit of pressure off. But, I mean,
We’ll talk about Xander once we get into it. For sure. What are you drinking? Anything special? I mean, you lost a Coors Light bet to me last week in dramatic fashion. You had a huge lead at the cut. I think my guy made the cut by two shots,
And your guy was up towards the lead after two rounds. And then the weekend was not kind to Tom Hoagie. Let’s just say that. No, no, yeah. No, I’m not drinking anything special. I expected that Tom Hoagie to show up on Thursday and Friday, but he just made it a
Little bit more dramatic. It was kind of wild, though. I mean, a lot, a lot of people were on Tom Hoagie. So, I mean, I think we would have had some serious swings had he kind of kept himself in it. No, nothing special. Like I said, I was running a little late,
So we just grabbed an old standby, just some base old Forester. So, it’ll get the job done. Yeah, and so my birthday is on Thursday, so I’m going to go with my favorite daily drinker, Woodford Reserve Double Oaked, not just the regular Woodford, which is good on its own. This is the best.
Bo’s going to be the ripe old age at 24. Man, that would be nice. No, yeah, 37, so not really a milestone. I don’t really give a shit, but I do have a tea time for Thursday. That’s exciting. I get to play golf at Yoshidiki, which is a top 10 public
Golf course in the United States. Right out my front door. I would gladly join you if I could. I know you would. You’ll be dealing with snow there in Sioux Falls, I’m guessing. Yes, sir. It’s going to be 72 and sunny here. Happy birthday. Yeah. Thank you.
All right, let’s jump into this course. Innisbrook, the Snake Pit, one of my favorite golf courses. You know why? Carnage. The weather is going to look like carnage. We got wind and rain in the forecast. We got a tough golf course just in neutral settings. And we have a weaker field.
So I am expecting we’re… We’re going to get a single digit under par winner this week, and I am excited for all the carnage. Let’s hit the caddy notes drop. All right, well, Innisbrook, the Copperhead course, the Snake Pit. It’s the last leg of the Florida swing, Connor. How are you feeling about
The Copperhead course in general? Though I’m not normally a carnage guy, this is one of my favorite ones to watch. I really do like this course. And even like the name Valspar, even though it’s a brand of paints, which isn’t that exciting, like go to Home Depot, get your Valspar paints.
It just sounds like something a snake would love to say. The Copperhead course, it’s the Valspar. Valspar. Like I said, not a sponsor. Quit saying their name. We’ll have to send them a bill. Valspar Championship, Innisbrook Resort, Copperhead course, Palm Harbor, Florida. Par 71, 7,340 yards. Bermuda fairways, Bermuda greens, overseeded with POA.
So pretty similar to last week. Course is a pretty brutal test of all around skill. T shots are going to require accuracy with a bunch of dog legs that will force you to shape shots in both directions. The fairways are tree lined. The rough, they tend to grow up, and they actually narrow
The fairways by letting it grow in a bit, which is just going to add even more difficulty off the tee here, and it’s already hard enough. The approach shots, a lot of the force layups are going to come from about 175-plus yards. I think when you look at the metrics for those proximities,
It’s something like 75% of the approach shots are going to come in from there. So definitely a distance to look at. You got water in play on several of the holes. Greens are well protected by bunkering. One of the toughest stretches of golf on the tour, possibly the toughest stretch,
Depending on who you ask, is the snake pit, which is 16, 17, and 18 here. Tons and tons and tons. Tons of carnage, which is exactly what I was going to say. And it also you hope that we’ve got a tight race coming home on Sunday because it makes for really,
Really good drama and TV. So one other thing, too, that is of note with this place is it’s kind of a unique whole layout. You’ve got four par fives and five par threes. So you really need to take advantage of the par five scoring and also have guys
That can at least not lose strokes on par threes consistently. especially longer par threes. I think four of the five are 200 plus. Yes, sir. And you already alluded to it, but the weather is probably going to get pretty gnarly. We’re going to have Friday. Yeah. It sounds like Saturday sun. I’m sorry.
Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, though, you’re still going to have sustained wind around 15 plus miles an hour, which is not the end of the world, but it definitely adds some complexity here. Rain I didn’t see a ton of in the forecast. It’s possible, but it is going to be pretty mild temperatures.
So we’re going to hope the wind dries it out a little bit. We’ll get even more carnage. Yeah, there was rain in the forecast on Friday, so the weekend might be soft. But Thursday, afternoon swing, the splits this week are going to favor the morning players more. On Thursday.
So if you’re looking at building showdown lineups for Thursday and Friday, pay attention to this, to who’s teeing off when, because the morning players on Thursday are going to have an advantage because the wind is going to pick up in the afternoon Thursday and it’s going to persist. It’s going to be consistent
Weather on Friday, but having that early split on Thursday is going to be a favorable one because before the weather enters the fray, you’re going to have that, uh, that group of guys out there playing in decent mild weather versus what they’re going to see late Thursday and then all day Friday. Yes.
Yes. To your point, it is going to be pretty much all day Friday. I mean, that could change. But the bulk or the, I guess the, yeah, the main bulk of that wind is going to be kind of late morning into like middle afternoon. So there really isn’t a
Whole lot of a tee time split advantage on Friday, but so to Bo’s point, if you can get the guys early on Thursday, because that’s going to be some of your better scoring opportunities. We don’t talk about this very often because it doesn’t always come into play or we don’t always
Have a chance to forecast it on a Tuesday, but yeah, Tea time splits, usually if a guy has a morning tea time on Thursday, he plays the afternoon on Friday and vice versa. So they go out and reverse order each day of the first two rounds, and then they go by order
Of standings on the weekend after the 36-hole cut. We don’t talk about this a lot, but that’s a detail that comes into play this week with a very clear, messy weather forecast for Friday. 100%. So it’s definitely something to look at. And just like anytime we talk about weather,
If you can hold off on, especially in DFS, really hold off on really locking in the lineups until maybe late Wednesday night. Just try and get the best read on the weather and the sports. I almost built out a bunch of lineups earlier today and I was like, wait, just wait.
I don’t have to be there today. Yeah. Oh, I built my off-the-wall ones. We’ll talk about them later. I built my core favorites. I at least built some lineups with my 24 guys in the immediate pool. I might add some more that you bring up on the show today.
You think probably about 10 under here? My cut line maybe around plus 2? Maybe… Plus one, plus two. I think with the weather being nasty on Friday but softer on the weekend, I think you’re about right because it’s only been better than 10 under par twice, and that was Sam Burns and
His back-to-back wins in 21 and 22. He won at 17 under, and I think Vijay Singh won here at 18 under, which was the course record. But that’s the only time that this championship has been decided with a score better than 10 under par. So scoring is better this year in general.
I think that the quality of golf, people like to harp on the loss of quality players to the live tour. But I think it’s the opposite. I think we’re getting more lesser known names that are rising to the occasion. The quality of golf on the PGA Tour has never been better.
And it shows in the overall scoring at some of these very distinct courses that aren’t necessarily set up any easier than they have been in previous years. But these guys have as a whole have it’s been just better scoring this year. So I would say that 10 under par,
Maybe even 11 is the number to hit this week. But it’s going to be tough. It’s going to be really tough. Yeah. If the weather does what it says it’s going to do, I think we’re going to stick right around that. you know, somewhere between 10 and 12 is probably right.
12 on the high end. Yeah. If, if we get a little bit of moisture and the wind subsides a little bit, I, you could be getting into those middle teens. So, you know, again, I would play it by ear. The nice thing about the final score is that it’s not crucial to building
Like DraftKings lineups, you know, cause everybody’s, everybody’s going to be scoring in the same conditions. So, but it is something to think about when you’re building out. So, Lots of T to green emphasis this week, though, right? For sure. Approach was obviously a major thing, especially from the longer distances.
I looked at the 175 to 200, 200 plus. Good drive gained was another one that I looked at pretty heavily, just making sure that the guys can set themselves up for their approach. Scrambling is another sticky stat here, especially from outside of 30, 40 yards, which actually isolates quite a few people because
That’s kind of an oddball scrambling distance. And then I already talked about it a little bit, but shots gained on par threes and par fives and then bogey avoidance to, to kind of couple with that. So we got guys that are scoring when they can and not giving them back. Right. Yeah.
And I think, I think what I, what I went to was also your standard birdies are better gained as a solid stat every week, bogey avoidance, of course. And then the, The proximity distances I sprinkled in a little heavier. Obviously, this is a Bermuda course, so putting on Bermuda,
Especially over the last 36 rounds, is important. And then I went with, yeah, greens and regulation gained because off the tee is very important here, but approach is everything here. Strokes gained on approach and greens and regulation gained. They’re slightly different stats that support one another on this course.
And that is uh you you have to be able to find the fairway here which isn’t easy at all but you also have to take that found fairway or even missed fairway you have to put the ball on the putting surface because otherwise scrambling around these greens they’re built like
Potato chips they’re not flat they’re not easy bermuda’s already got the grain to consider The wind is going to be a factor. I think the best approach players in varying weather circumstances and guys that can work at both ways. That’s the guys that we, that aren’t going to pop up
In the stat model necessarily because not very many, very few courses these days, especially Parkland golf courses like this demand shot shaping. Like you can get away with like Scotty Scheffler is almost primarily a left to right ball flight and a high one. And he doesn’t get to, there aren’t many courses
That force him to draw the ball. And this, if he was here this week, he would be forced to draw the ball a lot more than he was comfortable doing. So I look for guys like Xander who can work the ball both ways pretty easily. Sam Burns is another guy
That’s at the top of this betting card that you can, there’s no wonder he’s had success here because these are both guys that are very talented at moving the ball up, down, left to right, whatever the shot calls for. And it’s kind of a dying art because of how much less
Emphasis on shot making there is on these modern type golf courses. I think the only thing that I would maybe add to everything you just said was I think people get in the habit of assuming that scrambling means around the green. Scrambling doesn’t, that’s not really what scrambling is. Scrambling is
Recovering from a missed fairway or recovering from a missed grain green, getting up and down. It means if you miss, you miss your target, how well do you score afterward? Yep. A hundred percent. And so I think that that’s where you look at some of the longer scrambling metrics and that,
That would include where people are missing the fairways and being playing in from the rough. So definitely, definitely something to think about, but yeah, getting into it. All right. Let’s twirl some clubs and bet on some golf. What do you say? Let’s win some money, baby. brad chad and thad killing
It killing it just out there sinking putts and breaking hearts whirling clubs crashing golf carts oh the glory days of those gentlemen so what do you think uh top of the board mr xander shoffley and and this is the thing with Guys, you know me. I don’t like betting the
Short favorites very often. The last two weeks, we both acknowledged Scotty Scheffler. We both said, hey, there’s a reason why he’s here. There’s a reason why he’s plus 550, plus 650. He’s very likely to win. And although it might not be in our taste to bet that guy,
If somebody else is watching and saying, well, if he’s that damn good, then why wouldn’t I just bet him? And if he wins, he wins. And that’s what a lot of people did. We got feedback from last week’s show that they said that they took from us that Scottie might win and it
Was a very high likelihood. So they won money betting Scottie based off our advice to maybe trust your tolerance. This week, the short odds favorite is Xander Shoffley. And let’s see his recent odds are down to plus 650. I wouldn’t normally play a Xander Shoffley here. You know why?
Because this dude never wins anything. And you would think that he would because I’m looking at my model and he’s number one by such a huge margin that I’m looking at going, well, why wouldn’t I, why wouldn’t I bet on Xander Shoffley to win this tournament on paper? He should.
It’s true on paper. You’re looking at Xander Shoffley going, he is the class of this field. However, I’m not betting Xander at plus 650. I would bet him at plus 850 or longer, but at plus 650, you can’t do it. You can’t do it because there’s too many similar golfers with similar levels
Of skill who have more winning history than Xander Shoffley. And even his top five numbers only plus 175. That’s not good enough for me. I need plus 200 or better to bet him on a top five. So the books are getting a bunch of money on Xander Shoffley for obvious reasons.
I just can’t do it at this number. That’s my advice. Yeah. Xander Shoffley is always going to rate out. Well, he’s like, he’s like an elite stat darling. Like every week he’s going to like, He’s pretty much a top 10 automatic bid. He’s top 10 just about every week.
He doesn’t win more than twice a year. Well, and I was going to say rich man’s Tony fee. Now, if you want to do something that’s short, if you want to do something that’s short odds, go after the minus one, 10 on him to be a top 10. That’s guaranteed almost.
I mean, you could, you could definitely, that’s a double up. That’s a double up, but cleaned a pretty much a clean double up right there. So that would be, that’d be maybe the only action on Shoffley. I’d be looking at, I, I personally don’t like, I don’t trust him to win.
I trust him to be right there. Like he tends to be. And then, Um, you know, I just, he’s obviously a top five golfer in the world. He just isn’t, he, he doesn’t, he’s not known for finishing. At least not in the last two seasons. It doesn’t feel like he’s got that anymore.
And, and, and realistically it, you know, almost well, and in one case, more than double the odds of him. I really liked Sam Burns a ton this week. Sam Burns is the guy that I want to, I want to bet and, and put a lot of money behind because he’s got great courses.
Great course history here. And when you look at his stats, he actually, like, his strokes gained on this course at this tournament are two to four strokes better in every category than his career averages. So it’s a course that really just suits his eye. And I really think that he’s
Going to make a run at it. And it’s not like he’s in terribly bad form. No, he’s in pretty good form. Yeah. I mean, I’ll take double the odds from Xander. For sure. It just seems like that’s an easy, easy call. Just playing devil’s advocate here. I’m not going to argue
Against Sam Burns because it’s undeniable. He loves it here. He’s never played poorly here, but another side of the coin into that is maybe he’s due for some regression because he’s This guy is not known for being a great putter on Bermuda, but seems like around here he has his best
Performances putting at the Valspar compared to everywhere else he plays. And maybe that’s not something that’s sustainable. That’s just me being devil’s advocate, saying that maybe Sam Burns… was playing out of his mind the last few years here because he likes it so much. But maybe even a little bit
Of a change in conditions, like the weather being a factor, could throw him off of that elite form that he’s had at the Valsparra. I could see the weather playing into it, because if you do look at his two wins here, they were in really good scoring conditions. Well, obviously,
Because he had 17 under both times, and that’s not very, very uncommon for this tournament. But to the putting thing, he has been gaining strokes putting since going back to the century. As a matter of fact, I mean, he’s had a couple of four, four stroke gained weeks. And I granted,
I understand that’s on different surfaces, but the putter has been hot and it has been hot for better part of three months now. So I don’t see that going away this week. I get, I get the cause for concern, but I think that this is a Sam Burns course.
And I don’t know that I’m going to say that a whole lot of times this year. Speaking of Burns, Justin Thomas burned both of us last week. So are we back in at plus 1,400? Because this course fits Justin Thomas’ game really well. I think I am.
I think I’m going to go back to it. I want to be, right? You want to be. I mean, if you want to get into weird math and narratives, I mean, he’s going T12 cut, T12 cut. So he should be in the top 10 this week at least. Yeah. And honestly,
I don’t like Jordan Spieth here because off the tee is so important. Brian Harmon even, I’m not a huge fan of here because of the difference in the rough here. And putting an emphasis on approach really takes me off of Harmon. He’s great off the tee, but his approach game has
Been the weakness. His scrambling is so strong. His putting has been hot. But this course could eat him up. And at 20-1, it’s just too short for me for Brian Harmon. He’s obviously playing well. He’s obviously an accurate player. But I think he’s going to have to be closer to the
Pin than he has been the last couple weeks if he wants to win this thing. So I’m looking at elite ball strikers who maybe have been showing little peaks of good putting. And that’s our guy, Cameron Young. I can see him as having the skill level in a field like
This to finally break through. I really like the number he has at plus 2200. I know you don’t like it. No, I want Cam Young to be good. You’re waiting to see when Cam Young’s going to pop. He’s been inching towards his previous form from 2022 to Obviously, he was in great form.
He just couldn’t get that trophy. Last year, he couldn’t putt to save his life. This year, he’s been better. And so I do think that his recent form tells me that his ball striking is going to be a big advantage here. Yeah, his putting is, though, it’s so bad.
He lost almost six strokes last week. And before that, he lost 4.1. A week before that, and the only reason that it’s skewing some of our metrics is he gained almost four at the Cognizant. But I think these greens are more similar to the Cognizant than they are at Bay Hill and Sawgrass,
Which are extremely challenging putting environments where somebody who’s not a strong putter like Cam Young, he’s not going to do it. We did this with Willie Z at the players. It’s like, okay, yeah, he’s putting better, but Sawgrass greens are just different. And that’s what happened with Willie Z is he could
Not make a putt at Sawgrass and Cam Young couldn’t either. Yeah, Cam Young can’t scramble though either, man. I don’t know. There’s a lot of red flags for me here. And the thing about it was his approach game. Yes, like he is gaining strokes on approach, which is important.
But his off the tee game last week when we got into a situation where we de-emphasized distance, emphasized accuracy off the tee. he spikes up and loses almost a stroke and a half. Um, so I don’t know, there’s a lot of red flags for me on a course like this, uh,
Not the least of which is comparing it to the last couple of weeks on a little more challenging setups where he’s losing four and a half to six and a half strokes, um, scrambling, which is again, he’s not, he’s not gaining off the tee. He’s going to be in the
Rough and then he’s not gaining on scrambling. So I don’t know. I’m, I’m probably out on cam young. Yeah. I get it. Agree to disagree. Yeah. I mean, he annihilates par fives and there’s a few of those. Yeah, I just I think that he’s he’s got the firepower and that’s what
I’m kind of looking for in a field like this. I know you’re going to tell me that Minwoo Lee is a better play at 30 to one. I would strongly disagree with that. I, so two things that I love about Min Woo Lee is he, he proves that he can hang when
It does get harder, he gets better. We said that we’ve been saying that for weeks now he’s he’s he gained almost three strokes. It was 2.78 strokes at API 6.1 at the cognizant on approach. Like these are crazy approach numbers. And then off the tee, he’s averaging like 3.3
Strokes last week off the tee couple, those two stats. And we already know that he can scramble and get up and down. His biggest thing, his biggest challenge comes really with the putter and some of the around the green scrambling like his short wedge or short wedge shots and putting aren’t great,
Which is is going to be needed here. But he’s had moments of brilliance with that. And frankly, I just think he’s in a lot better form and a lot more consistent form than Cam Young around the same number. So Minwoo is going to get my vote again this week. yeah for whatever reason
He’s showing is one of the worst approach players in this field in my modeling last 36 holes it’s a little bit better over the last 24 but he’s 54th in my model as 117th on strokes gain on approach and 116th in greens and regulation gained that’s not good And his putting is 46,
So I’m not really worried about that. But he scores on par fives just like Cam Young. He’s incredibly good at putting the ball in the fairway with various clubs, driver, you name it, utility club. This guy’s a really good off-the-tee player. But I’m kind of bearish on his approach game compared to you.
I think that’s where the difference lies is that my approach numbers show that he’s one of the worst in this field. Yeah. You’re, you’re, you’re waiting, you’re waiting last week heavily in there with the spectrum that you ran. Cause he did lose almost four strokes on approach last week at the players.
And that was a down week for him. But the previous two weeks, he’s pretty much. I’m waiting the long approach distances where he really struggles. Yeah, he did. He did not have a good week last week. That’s for sure. But yeah. It’s only four of the 36 rounds though, Connor.
We shall see, Bo. I love Minwoo Lee. I just think that he’s the second best Lee in his family, golfing-wise. Minji is incredible. I don’t disagree, but he is that, like we said last week. Yeah, I can’t see it with Minwoo. I’d rather play Cam, especially if Cam’s number
Starts to slip closer to 25, 28. That would be choice for me. Anybody else? I know we agree on the next guy. Is there anybody less than 40 to 1 that you’re looking at? Anybody else? Nick Taylor is one of mine. Yeah, Nick Taylor I’ve got some interest in.
Shout out to our Canadian fans. Nick Taylor was the big one at 35 to 1. I know you and I both are all over Doug Gimm. I’ll let you kick off Doug Gimm. Uh, just an incredibly accurate off the tee player. He makes a ton of birdies. Uh,
He’s a pin seeker and that gets him into trouble. His bogey avoidance is not good, but Doug Gim can score with the best of them, especially if he’s still like top five in this field off the tee, as far as good drives gained. He’s just one of the best
Off the tee guys you can find. His approach game has been on fire lately, which is why he’s been in the hunt so many times in the last month. Uh, you can’t say enough good things about a guy this hot that it’s still 45 to one in this, in this weaker field.
That’s a really soft line for a really, really good hot player that fits this course like a glove. So yeah, that’s, that’s what I’ll say about Doug Gim is the odds are right. The player is scorching hot right now and he can score with anybody in any, in any conditions. He’s been,
He’s been scoring well the last month, no matter what happens. For sure, we liked him last week, and to your point on scoring metrics, I mean, he crushes par fives. He annihilates par fives. As a matter of fact, in my model’s last 36 rounds, he’s right now one of the
Top three for strokes gained on par fives. Second in fairways gained. He also rates out second strokes gained around the green, especially in the shorter scrambling situations when he does miss green. So he’s getting up and down, saving his own ass. And to your point, he’s been pretty darn accurate off the tee.
So I think it fits him really well here. I think arguably it fits him better than last week, and we were all over him last week too. So 41 seems to be the right number. He’s not the strongest putter, but that’s not a heavy emphasis this week. Yeah. No,
I think that’s going to be really up and down for everybody. Yeah, it’s going to be pretty wild. Yeah, Gim’s one of my favorite plays. He came in, let’s see, 11th in my model, which is outstanding for his odds. I dropped down pretty far after Doug Gim because a
Lot of these long shot guys have some pretty soft odds for how well they’re playing. Admittedly, I’ve got it. I’ve got a pretty, pretty small card this week. So I, I am going to go back to Aaron Rye. I like a lot of the, just the kind of consistent form he’s in.
Long line approaches. 45 to one. I don’t think he’s. If he’s 50 now, it’s even better. And I don’t think he’s a horribly dissimilar player type to Doug Gim, who we just talked about. So I do like Gim better, but it’s again, it’s the same type of guy. And then Thorbjorn Olsson at
70 to one is another guy that like didn’t pop necessarily in my custom modeling, but just looking at just the overall basic stroke gain metrics. He came out number one before I put any filtering on it. So. I just like the all-around prowess of him. He’s good off the tee, good on approach,
Consistent player, and 70-1. It just seems like a mispriced for somebody who actually has the chops to win here, no problem. Yeah, and it’s kind of the place that he would do well at. You have other accuracy bent players. Adam Shank is here. Taylor Moore is the defending champion.
I don’t see him going back-to-back, but Brendan Todd, the Todd father is an accuracy built player. Daniel Berger, the ultimate stat darling hasn’t done anything for us ever, but he’s popping up as top 10 in my model. And somehow same with Lucas Glover. I was like, I can’t, I can’t with these guys
That pop up in the, in every single ball striking metric that we’re looking at heavily weighted towards certain things that I know he hasn’t done well in months, and yet he still pops up to the top here. I don’t understand how these guys pop up to the top when
They’re just not getting any results. Yeah, I’m a little perplexed on some of the modeling that shows those guys where it does. I had to run mine a couple different ways to get them to slide down at all, and they were still kind of popping up.
I think, talking about the two of them, I would prefer Berger if Berger… Burger would be the one that I would prefer in tougher, windy conditions. Yeah, especially when it’s off the tee game. Yeah, so if I had to pick one of them, it’s Burger. I honestly probably don’t
Get to either of them this week. Maybe a couple sprinkles in DFS. As we get longer, I have a trio of gentlemen at 100 to 1 or more, and then one of those is at deeper than 300, and I think we’re going to have a beer bet on our hands.
But how about our guy Joel Damon last week with the T11 to make 600K? We just saw the Full Swing Season 2 episode where they caught back up with him after he became Netflix famous, and he was struggling. This guy’s been playing absolutely terrible the last year since Full Swing
Came out where he went from 70th of the world to 130th, and He comes out and he says, fuck it, let’s just swing the club and play golf. And he goes out there and goes T11 at the players, which has a gigantic prize purse. And I bet you that 600K
Feels really good right now because this is another accuracy-based course where he thrives. And I love his new mindset. It’s just, fuck it, let’s play golf. And I love him at 101. Like, Joel Damon’s got all this talent. He was in his own head. And I think once he cracked out of that,
He’s one of my favorites here. Because this is a place where Joel Damon can score. I like the number. He scares me off the tee. He did get it together last week, which I’ll give it to him. But he has been struggling off the tee for years. all the rest of his starts
So far this year. So that part, that part makes me nervous. And he actually last week for the first time all year so far gained on approach too. So I think a hundred to one on Joel Damon, it’s one of those opportunities to be early
On a guy if he is in fact back. So that’s probably the positive side of, of betting Joel Damon. Yeah, it is risky for sure. Because other than the players, Joel Damon is, struggle bus one of the salt of the earth dude love him love gino banali like I met
I met him and gino and we’re talking the realest of the real like they’re they are exactly like they are on the tv show exactly there’s no difference whatsoever gino is the nicest human on the planet I’m glad he got his 60k cut of that of that prize last week because like you
Gino’s just like he’s he’s not gonna abandon his best friend And it really helps to not have those thoughts when your best friend helps you make some real money this year. No. And, and I find myself and I, when they got Joel on TV, I find myself like kind of muttering,
Come on, Joel, come on, Joel. Come on, Joel. I want to see him do well, you know? So it’s a fun one to root for and triple digit. Yeah. Like a hundred. I like, I like the a hundred be early on Joel. He’ll he’ll find his way. I’m a Joel Damon Homer.
But I’m also a big Bud Colley fan. Like what, what better story than the guy who almost loses his life in a car accident, 2018 and hadn’t been in competitive golf since then. And he’s back. And this is a very, very talented golfer. And I think a poor man’s
Wyndham Clark in a way he’s coming at 130 to one and This guy is playing out of his mind on golf courses like this. He’s hot. He made me some money last a couple of weeks ago. So give me Bud Colley. He’s popping up to the very top of my model because of
His his TD Green game. So I wouldn’t even call him poor man, Wyndham Clark. I would just say he’s like he’s like the short man’s. version of like he’s fifth in my model overall, number one in bogey avoidance, number one in par threes over 200 yards, number eight in tee to green.
I think that where I was going with that is like, it’s not, it’s not that I doubt any of his stats, like, because this, he was a hell of a golfer before his accident. He’s already proven to be a hell of a golfer coming back. I think what really turned
Me on with him this week, is he’s turned on he’s a short driver aroused short driver with accuracy there’s a guy that averages like 282 off the tee but he hits fairway never misses and and I’m telling you here I don’t I think it’s more about the placement I think anybody who’s got
Half a brain would tell you that uh so a little shorter guy off the tee that has a great control of his driver I really like bud collie here um and he’s rounding back into form and it’s taking him next to no time to get it going And he’s been crushing the
Par fours and par fives alike. And number one in those long par threes, which is huge. So he’s scoring really well this season. And even though he’s 80th in this field and birdies are better, but he’s still scoring. He’s gaining strokes on these holes that we’re going to come across at the Balspark.
130-1 for a guy means we were already early on him a couple weeks ago with the top 20 bet. And now we’re going to be early on him again when he gets the top 10 this week. I’m going to do a top 10 and a top 20 bet with a $5 YOLO
Bet at 130-1 on Bud Colley because he damn near won a couple weeks ago. Damn near. I’m a hundred percent in on him. He’s one of, he’s one of the guys down there that I’m looking at. I’m in love with him and DFS too. So we’ll, uh, we’ll talk about that.
Uh, my last one, my last one is somebody who I. It’s a little, it’s probably a little off the beaten path. People don’t probably know who it is and it’s 300 to one. So I don’t know if yours is a little shorter than that. If you want to go first, mine’s longer,
Mine’s longer. Go ahead. All right. So my 300 to one, my I’ve done way dumber shit with $5. is Hayden Springer. I’ve heard of Hayden Springer. I had not heard of Jimmy Stanger from last week. You didn’t even mention him, but he was in our head-to-head lineup. Didn’t work out for you,
But Jimmy Stanger. I’m like, who the fuck is Jimmy Stanger? I’ve been playing Jimmy Stanger for a couple weeks now and just not really saying anything about it. Who the hell is this guy? I saw him on TV and I was like, oh, he’s a real damn golfer.
I had never even heard of this guy. I find these guys down at the bottom and like, it’s not that people haven’t ever heard of them, but like people don’t scroll down far enough to find them. So, but with Hayden Springer, just for 300 to one, this is actually not a bad bet.
He’s coming off of a T3 in Puerto Rico, a lot of long shots this year. And he’s made three out of his four cuts so far this season. He gained almost 10 and a half strokes to the field in Puerto Rico. Approach game is unbelievable. bordering on an elite level
Uh over the last four starts he’s about one and a half strokes to the field per round off the t game has been at minimum two strokes game per round of the field um and the stat that I loved about him he is absolutely probably the best putter in this field I
Ran it on bermuda I ran it on poa I ran it on a combination of the two every way I ran it he rates out number one in this field for putting in around the green So, uh, Hayden Springer might be the real deal. And you can also get a
Really nice top five at 50 to one top 10 at, uh, 200 to one. And then I, uh, or I’m sorry, top 10 at 20 to one top, uh, 28 to one and a top 40 at two and a half. So it’s, uh, there’s some good numbers on this guy and he actually,
I really genuinely believe he’s going to compete. I mean, he hits greens and bunches 71%, uh, greens and regulation, right. Um, Yeah, I think he’s a real dude this week. Yeah, I see that. And let’s go to my model here. And my guy, I actually had to look him up.
And when I looked him up, I liked him even more. But this is so wild. Oh, shoot. Should we reiterate that’s Hayden Springer and not Stringer? Yeah, Hayden Rum Springer. For our Amish viewers that aren’t watching because they don’t use technology. Hayden Romspringer. My guy’s Kevin Roy,
Who’s coming in at 350 to one. And he’s 24th in my most recent model. He was number eight in my first run model. And this guy is just an incredible long iron player. He annihilates par fives and he’s 11th in this field on approach 20th and ball striking. And for a long shot,
I’m looking at this guy going, okay, what is he doing? And he’s a corn fairy tour guy. That’s 13th in the points on corn fairy. He hasn’t missed a cut this season. I think that this guy is going to make a push for top 20, top 40, and I’ve definitely done
Dumber shit today already with five bucks than betting a guy who’s playing well coming into an event that fits his game. Patrick Waugh’s son, he just couldn’t hack it as a hockey goalie, so the reverse Happy Gilmore. Kevin Waugh. Yeah. It’s, uh, he’s from Rochester, so I don’t think. Yeah, that’s close.
Same spelling. We’re going to do a beer bet on our long shots because last week it was a good start for Hoagie, but Sungjae got him in the end. Um, joking aside, Kevin, Kevin Roy pops in mind. He is somebody that we’ve put into our pools before. Um, Again,
He’s another guy that’s a real player down here at those odds. He can actually compete. If you’re looking for just a couple of off-the-wall, off-the-beaten-path, throw $5, $10 at it. These are two guys that actually could pop up. Let’s go. Beer bet. Kevin Roy and Hayden Romspringer. All right.
You ready to do some DFSing? Yeah, I suppose we should probably do that, huh? You were slamming trunks last week. It was great. I hated my life. You hate losing to me. I know that. It just grinds my gears. I’m at the bar on Sunday just cursing your name. Love it. Yep.
Well, DFS, I prevailed last week. I had a really good player pool. I expanded the player pool out. I didn’t have anybody over 20% exposure, which meant I had a good amount of Scotty. I had a good amount of Xander. I had a great amount of Harmon and all the other
Guys that ended up at the top. Had it whole surrounded. I had a couple six for six lineups that really paid off. Yeah. Aroused. I just want to clip that one so I can just put it up randomly when you’re talking. Well, there’s a lot of chalk at the top this week,
And we’re going to have to navigate it because it’s not like we’re going to fade all these guys that are coming at 30%. Are we, Connor? No, as a matter of fact, I’m probably eating some chalk. We’re eating a lot of chalk at the top, guys. Yeah. We’re going to have to get
Really creative in the middle because this is a chalk fest. yeah at the at the top that I think the challenging thing is standard 11-2 is right at that price point where I i can’t decide if I’m if I’m okay with him being in like a top three
Because I think if you look at what he’s got to return to cover that cost I think a top three would get it done for you yes I don’t know estimated 33 owned Yeah, but what I’m saying is the points per dollar quotient, at least in my model,
He rates out as the second highest projected. They’re projecting him around 79 and maybe a half points. Yeah. I don’t know. 11-2 just seems steep for him on a guy that I could see being in the top three, but I could very easily see him falling somewhere in the top 10 too,
Which isn’t going to get it done for you. Yeah, for sure. Let’s see. We got Sam Burns is probably your number one projected. Am I right? He’s so he was number one projected in points for me. Yeah. He yeah. It’s interesting though, as far as my custom modeling went,
Trying to build out DFS lineups, he was, he was considerably farther down the board for me somehow in terms of value to what I rated. Yeah. And I think 10, nine is tricky with Sam Burns too. Like, This is going to sound crazy, and I don’t necessarily love him for the course,
But I love the roster shift projection, and Jordan Spieth may be where I start a lot of lineups with. He’s definitely leverage. 10%. In a C of 25 to 30, because you have Brian Harmon right below him at 25% estimated. Jordan Spieth is leverage city. No, you obviously hate the course fit,
But DFS is not about the same thing as betting. You cannot ignore a $10,000 golfer. That’s way less chalky than everybody else. Because if you’re on Jordan Spieth and he comes to play with the talent that he has, you’re, you’re winning over 90% of the field. Anytime Rosie gets excited,
That’s usually a good sign. That usually means we hit on one. Yeah. Just to, just to kind of round out Jordan Spieth, like here’s the thing, like I don’t necessarily like how he sets up here. I don’t even necessarily like the form he’s in, But Jordan Spieth is a guy
That can score a lot of points for you. And so the upside with Jordan is a ton of points and he’s not somebody that’s like a stranger to winning. Right. So he could definitely be in the mix and take this down. So at 10 percent projected roster ship in comparison
To everyone around him who are projected at 25 to 32 percent. You know, a little bit of game theory here. I’m just going to green flag racing. pinch my nose and hope for the best with Jordan Spieth. Cause he’s probably my, he can find the fairway with the map. Good Lord. Yeah.
Fit wise. He’s probably my least favorite in that group, but I mean, that’s a really, the field agrees with that. And that’s the problem is on draft Kings. You have to be different and it’s more important to be different than right. In a lot of cases, especially when there’s this much concentrated chalk.
So I’m going to take a couple of shots. I have found some interesting ways to like double and triple stack the top with some of the, some of the bombs that we’re talking about down in the five Ks. So I’ve done the same thing. So there’s, there’s some really kind of fun
Lineups you can do this week. I don’t know that I’m going to over-invest in DFS period this week. I think there’s probably a lot of volatility and it’s going to be really difficult to get the right mix in the right roster ship, but yeah, definitely leveraged though.
That’s a, that’s a good one for you. Yeah. And I don’t actually hate the idea of starting. We can jump down there because I got zero interest in Sungjae. I got zero interest in Tony Finau. Nick Taylor and Minwoo are probably the next two that I’m really actually interested in playing.
And what I would say about the two of them is at 9,109 grand, respectfully, they offer you some really interesting ways to build balanced lineups. And If you’re not going wild and crazy and like double and triple stack in the top and trying to find bombs at the bottom, I would highly recommend
You build a very balanced lineup and just kind of try and have your last man in be around in that $7,200 range. So you can definitely get these two dudes, Nick Taylor and Minwoo, start your lineup there and you can build a pretty balanced, pretty respectful lineup. Completely agree. Uh, yeah.
And as you go down here, as we get into the eights, uh, cashmere Keith is an easy chalk fade for me that coming at 20%. Uh, he has not played this course. Well, despite being a Bermuda Florida swing specialist, uh, Keith Mitchell has played the Valspar very poorly, uh,
And 20% owned for him at 8,900, which is overpriced to begin with. I’d much rather go down 5% in projected ownership and play Bez. Christian Bezadenhut is 8,800, and he comes in much more favorably in this type of event where accuracy and scrambling and putting matter, just putting a score on the card.
As the conditions get tougher, Bez really shows out here, and I’d much rather play him or even aaron rye down there that’s also chalky doug gim is chalky but those are guys I’m gonna eat chalk on because they’re cheaper and I i just know they’re gonna fare better than a chalky
Keith mitchell am I missing something here no I think keith mitchell what he’s been doing really well is his off the t game and that he’s one of the best t guys off the t guys on the tour and that definitely carries over to here I don’t see any reason to think that
He’s not going to have another um you know, off the tee, good off the tee week. I also, his approach game has been good, but he, when he misses, he can’t get up and down and you know, his putting there’s, there’s this whole narrative and it’s not really a narrative, I guess.
It’s just a perspective that he puts so much better on Bermuda. Well, he doesn’t actually, he put at least not this season. He puts poorly everywhere. Yeah. Like he may have won on Bermuda at one point, but like, it’s not, It doesn’t hold true anymore. When you’re just a bad putter,
You’re a bad putter. And Keith Mitchell is just a bad putter. He’s not good. So I don’t know. I’m with you. I know there’s a lot of hype train going with Keith Mitchell. But no, I am with you. Bez rates out a hell of a lot better for me.
He rates out a ton better, actually, even in the approach metric. So I would be I would be taking some swings at Bez. Um, and I already talked about how I really like Aaron Rye, who’s gaining in almost every category. And you get, uh, the thing about Aaron Rye
Is he’s actually, I’m not alone. He’s, uh, he’s creeping up there. Aaron Rye and Doug Gimm, um, 85 and 84 are both right in that 20, uh, 18 to 22% roster ship projections. So, and you said that, that that’s some chalk that we’re looking at eating. So, um, an interesting pivot in there,
I think is Bo Hosler who, um, projected in single-digit roster ship. I would like him a little bit more where distance off the tee mattered a little bit more. His approach game is not great. I do think that it’s stout enough, though. He just has these crazy weeks where he can pop.
I may do some interesting pivots there and do a little bit of Bo Hosler, maybe a little bit of Mav McNeely, but even Mav’s creeping up there. This is the range where people are really building out their lineups in this about 86 down to 82. Yeah, and I’m looking to fade McNeely even
Though he’s hot. For me, it’s going to be avoiding the chalky guys that I don’t like as much because as we get into the lower pricing, you’re going to see a couple guys that pop up that you can tell are model-based guys. Chalk guys like Lucas Glover hasn’t done shit in months,
And yet he’s coming up at 15%. Sam Ryder is going to be in my pool over him at 15% owned at the same price. But I’m getting edges everywhere I go. Daniel Berger’s chalky here. I don’t necessarily like Berger for DFS. I think that he models well here because he models well everywhere.
But he doesn’t score DFS points. And it’s scary to say, but I’d rather pivot to Adam Schenck or Davis Thompson, who’s single digits. Both those guys rate out better for me. And so finding those little pivot points is going to be really important because there’s certain guys down here that are very popular
That I don’t want any part of. Yeah, I agree with you. I’ll probably have my fair share of Rio again. He really hasn’t completely screwed me yet. No, he’s not quite there. But down in this range, Jimmy Stranger, who I’ve been playing, I don’t know that I necessarily like the fit here.
I probably will have some shares of him just because he’s been He’s been playing pretty well. I just don’t have a whole, I don’t have enough stats to back up why it might be a good idea to play him here. Just know that it’s somebody that I’ve been playing. And really Joel Damon,
We already talked about 13%. I can probably be okay with playing some Joel Damon at 13%. I think I maxed him out at 15% just to have some. Yeah, I don’t hate the Joel Damon play, and I do think that he’ll make the cut. In DFS, I feel a lot more confident that
We’re going to be early in some capacity with Joel. I think he’ll compete this week. I think he’s finding it. The outright, like I said, 100-1 is pretty reflective of the risk there, but he could definitely do it. So, yeah, and then getting down into the sixes, I guess. Andrew Novak is chalky.
Why? Why? Why? There’s some weird shock in here for sure this week. Bud Collie coming up on 10%. That’s, again, more shock I’m going to eat. I’m not going to be late to the party on Bud Collie. No. It’s too much fun. Victor Perez is chalky. What the hell? Yeah,
Victor Perez is getting some steam behind him. Where’s he at? 72, 68? Yeah. Yeah, I couldn’t quite… couldn’t quite put my finger on why. I mean, he, he does seem to be a good course fit here. The scrambling stats concern me and his putting stats definitely concern me. Um, so Carson young chalk.
Yeah. And Carson young, I actually probably will, we’ll have some shares of I’ll, I’ll eat some chalk down here. Um, I’m not super jazzed on Carson young. Um, I’m playing T-Dunk, though. T-Dunk. T-Dunk at 5,800. That’s fun. That’s Tyler Duncan for the uninitiated. Yeah, the T-Dunk.
Hayden Springer I have to add to the pool. Yep, Hayden Springer. God, I want to play Sammy Valamaki so bad, but not in the win. He rates are bad here. the the guy Chan Kim is a guy that pops up for me too that’s 6200 and Chan Kim’s been playing well so he’s
Another guy that down here if you’re looking to fill 1.4 percent that’s that’s nice other than that like I’ve got my usual dart throws down here I’m trying my best to not be down here Kevin Doherty yeah we’ve played a little Charlie Hoffman rated super high and I just ignored it Yeah, well,
That’s like Raphael Campos rated really well for me here. God. Yeah, so best advice, try and stay north of the fives and the sixes. Yeah, I have two guys in the fives, and it’s Kevin Roy and your guy that we just added, Hayden. And I think if you’re down here with me.
I think if you’re down here, like those two have just as much make the cut equity as any of these other guys. So I probably won’t get too much from them. And since I’ll be maxing out my exposure at the top, like a lot of lineups, I’ll start in the nines.
I don’t think I’ll have to be down here very often. Here’s hoping. Jamie Stanger. Good Lord. I saw, I saw you. I saw him in your lineup. I was like, is Jimmy Stanger? Not only have I never heard of this guy, but he’s in a head-to-head lineup against me.
I was blown away that you went there. He didn’t kill you. He was not the one that killed you. I’ve had him in multiple lineups the last few weeks. I’m telling you, he’s been doing good. I’m hoping my boy Hayden is the next up in my randomness at the bottom of these lineups.
Yeah, he’s not Hayden Buckley. He’s Hayden Rumspringer. All right, who you got winning? I have Doug Gim. I just love Doug Gim this week. Damn you. I kind of wanted that one. I’m going to go Sam Burns. I think he gets it done. Three out of four years, man. That’s impressive.
He’s definitely got good juju here. Who are you thinking first-round leader? I was going to say Sam Burns first-round leader. Yeah. Because when the weather’s neutral, I know what he is on a neutral Valspar. He loves it here. I think when the weather picks up, he might get lost in the shuffle.
But Thursday, when the weather’s mild still, he’s going to come out hair on fire. 28-1, too. That’s nice. Yeah, that’s probably – I’d bet that. I’d put that – if you’re watching the show right now, put that right now. 28-1 first-round leader Sam Burns. That’s smart money.
Yeah, I’m not going to deviate from that. I’m going to go Sam Burns first-round leader with you. I think that’s pretty possible given the situation. Very strong. All right, well, what’s your winning score? Are you going to go 11? I’m going to go 11. I’ll go nine just to be a
Part because obviously we were a little bit under. I think we had 17 and 18 last week, and Scotty won at 20 because he’s a freak. Aroused. Oh, yeah. No, I think we’re going to Texas. Getting real. It’s getting real real. We’re coming up on it. I heard there’s some big
Tournaments coming up. Yeah, and Bo Hostler’s in play in Texas for sure. What’s that one with the green jacket? When’s that one? That’s just a month away down Magnolia Lane. It’s going to be a great time. Get Jake Knapp now. Right. Jake Knapp and Ludwig. Still hanging good numbers on them. Yeah,
I just don’t know who can beat Scotty or Jon Rahm in the Masters. Those two guys at the top. Oh, and Brooks will be there. You know Brooks is going to be in contention. That’s going to be crazy. I should probably do some research and get an article out or something about that.
Yeah, Hayden Springer looking good. If he wins and gets into the Masters, you’ll be richer and excited to talk about him. Lock it in. All right. Well, cheers to you. Happy birthday again. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Join us next week for the Texas swing. I think they’re doing, what is it?
The shell Houston open next week or is it the, is it San Antonio? I think it’s shell. God, why do we do this every week? You’d think that one of us look it up. We’re so in. Yeah. Okay. Shell Houston open next week. This has been the 19th hole.
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