Mike Petta (hoop2410) breaks down his favorite PGA DraftKings Showdown Round 3 picks and plays for the ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL. He also gives you some strategy and process for how he plans to attack the slate.
#PGADFS #DraftKings #FanDuel #PGA #DFS #FantasySports #PGAPicks #SHIPIT #ARNOLDPALMERINVITATIONAL
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Systems go clear for lift Up what’s going on everyone welcome to the shipet nation round three Showdown show for the Arnold Palmer Invitational and it was very interesting uh round three we saw our guy Scotty sheffler uh make his way to the top of the leaderboard had a phenomenal round five under round
Of the day uh it’s goingon to be tough to beat this guy at this course uh this weekend so you know we’ll go through see what we can find for for some plays here uh for for round three talk through some strategy uh as well and you guys are
Always welcome to put some questions in the chat we’ll cover some questions as well um couple things housekeeping items please do us that favor hit the like hit the Subscribe appreciate all your support just hit 6,000 subscribers on YouTube want to keep that momentum going in the right direction so if you’re not
Subscribed please go ahead and get subscribed and if you’re not a member at shiping nation.com you can still use promo code hoop 15 gives you 15% off any package over at shipping nation.com includes all our Sports NFL NBA PGA MMA NHL MLB NASCAR college football uh you want the
Annual package use that code hoop 15 it’s $59 um I mean the industry standard nowadays is like $500 per sport um we’re $500 for all our content and we have experts covering all these sports that we have offered so uh again we appreciate all your support and let me
Get back back on the proper setup here all right we’re good to go um yeah so a bunch of guys I have it sorted here by uh the score on DraftKings so just boom right here not necessarily the price we’ll do it a couple different ways but the score is pretty important because
They haven’t eliminated the guys that got cut and it looks like we got let’s see you know we talked about the strategy on the main slate where gotta play it like a no cut event how many guys did get cut let’s see um one two three four five six seven eight nine 10
Uh 11 of the 69 guys got cut so we’re sitting with 58 guys so a majority of the field obviously got through the big names that missed the cut um I don’t know if Matthew Fitzpatrick is a big name but he must have cut Adam Scott probably the highest own guy that got
Cut um Justin Rose morawa obviously pretty popular Fleetwood popular and kitty did get some ownership as well so I haven’t seen what the six of six percentages are um but again you know it’s um large majority of the field got through but there are some higher owned
Guys that that missed a cut so I’m curious to see if anyone in the chat um yeah sorry can’t watch live can I assume Scotty putter putted better today yeah absolutely and that’s what we talked about on that main show it’s like I don’t care like what sort of putter he’s
Using like as long as he’s trying something new it can’t hurt him and and today that putter obviously did pay off because I know he made some long ones but uh yeah if anyone has a six to six percentage um go ahead and that in there
Curious what that is at but going into tomorrow safe to say Scotty sheffler will be pretty popular and I’ve now sorted it by Price he’s 115 and I mean the guy is just like the best golfer in the world right now I don’t even think it’s particularly close uh in terms of
Like the main slate stuff I played right around 50% Scotty had like 25 or 30 Rory he’s just so much better than Rory mroy and I know people people love their the Rory Rory M stuff but Scotty shuffler is just so much better and I don’t really
Care can Rory beat him in one round yeah I think Rory’s in play for tomorrow but if deciding between spending on Scotty and Rory I’m just going with Scotty I mean he is so so so good and he’s just better than Rory mckoy but I get it $800
One round stuff like yeah I would have both these guys in my player pool I think they’re both strong options going into tomorrow uh hin had a good round bounced back nicely he’s now sitting at 4 under top 10 um 10.3k he’s played well at this
Event he’s a guy uh that you can definitely play today Xander at 10-1 the one thing I did want to mention actually before we fully hop into all this is tomorrow the weather looks it looks rough it’s going to be like 15 to 20 M hour sustained winds and it looks like
Gusts into the 30 so there should be some Carnage this course is difficult in like this is these are the sort of courses like there should should be more courses like this on tour where the rough is so deep if you miss the Fairway you’re paying a penalty and that’s what
These guys are encountering this week you miss the Fairway you are going to pay a penalty I mean there’s a huge disadvantage to missing the Fairway some of these courses that it disadvantage just doesn’t exist it should be there if you miss the green Left Right disadvantage you’re in this thick thick
Rough that’s hard to get out of so um I do like the setup but in in terms of tomorrow it’s going to be very windy it’s going to be very difficult for these guys to control their shots and I think we see some huge scores I mean we could see this leaderboard completely
Shift tomorrow because of this uh this weather and this wind so havin good with at 103 uh Xander shafley played well today he’s sitting uh what is he he’s two under sitting T2 23rd he’s 10.1k he’s fine as well all four of these guys in the 10K range I think are fine plays
Tomorrow I’d rank them Scotty Xander and then Rory would be the fourth option for me uh for round for tomorrow coming down in this 9k range can’t lay played well today looked really bad yesterday bounced back fine today to make the cut um Jordan spe up and down round he got
Way up there I think he got to to five under then kind of fell apart on the back nine fine going to him if you want to do that and then Oar at 9300 people probably avoid him tomorrow because he’s three over has not played well but I’d
Be fine going to him uh Sam burns up and down round believe he got up to five or six under then settled at four under and then zalot Tores man these bottom two guys I like a lot zalot Tores Thomas what do we know about zelator he plays
Tough courses very well and we’ve seen that so far he’s sitting seventh at six under um one shot off the lead and then JT last year was probably the best win player uh on tour like he did I mean he sucked last year don’t get me wrong but
In these windy tough conditions he got the job done so looking at this 9k range JT and zalot tus are definitely my favorites and they’re the two cheapest so it makes it easy um you know can’t La be oer Burns yeah I mean I’m I’m impartial on those guys but in this
Range definitely zalot torus and JT are the two that I like the most morawa obviously missed the cut he was pretty popular we got cam young H the gala Jason day and then wendam Clark Shane Lowry Connors and Tom Kim in the 8K range just talking through this the guys
That stand or let’s start with the guys that I’ll be off of I’m goingon to be off uh Tom cam tomorrow he barely made the cut I don’t like this course for him I think he’s a totally fine fade um Fitzpatrick and and food obviously missed a cut we’re not playing them they
Will be eliminated uh from the player pool here but I do like cam young um and I do like Shane Lowry now I don’t want to play all those guys uh up top that are seven under but Lowry I think is a good play tomorrow with these tougher
Conditions you want Lowry in the tough conditions he’s used to playing in the wind so he’s a play for me um and then you know cam young hom and Connors are the ones I like I can get off Windam Clark I can get off Jason day I can get
Off the gala the ones I really like in this 8K range gonna be Lowry Connors um cam young for sure and then then H those four are the ones I’ll be on but again with Shane Lowry I don’t typically like playing these guys that are at the top
But I’m going to make the exception with him tomorrow because I think you know he can really thrive in these tougher conditions tomorrow these windy conditions we’ll go like 7500 and above Jake knap barely snuck in tomorrow tough conditions tomorrow I think I’m good being off of him Grio
Continues to play well I think he’s fine Min wo is is fine you it’s funny now he’s a thousand dollars more expensive than the main slate sitting at 76 Chris Kirk I think is a guy that can definitely play well in these conditions tomorrow I like him at 7 six sunj played
Well today finally I mean this is a course that sunj typically plays solid at he’s been a disaster as of late I’d be fine going to him in tougher conditions tomorrow Henley he’s one of those guys at seven under I’m fine staying away from him benan was on him on the main
Slate I’ll stick with and then hideki’s a guy can be off tomorrow at uh at 7 under so in this upper seven range my favorites are definitely going to be Kirk M English right here in the middle and then Benny on would be kind of the
Four that I like 7500 to 7900 coming down in this lower range I’m just staying on my guy pavon I’ve been playing him for weeks now the results have been phenomenal um I I could see him actually moving up tomorrow in these tougher conditions so in on him um
Keegan Bradley I got a lot of him on the main slate and I don’t know he scares me when things get pretty difficult so don’t necessarily love him low no thanks Cole no thanks I do like hadwin a little bit I like van royan uh hogi and then
Brian harman’s a guy can be off tomorrow like I don’t want to play all those guys at 7K when we get through all this I’ll Resort it and talk about these top tier guys but fine being off of him not much interest in posting list uh Taylor well definitely not
Kittama because he didn’t make the cut so the guys in the lower sevens that I’m interested in would be pavon um van royan hadwin those are three that I like again fire off some questions I I’ll Circle back at the end and answer them um you know so we’ll be moving a little
Quicker because we don’t have a ton of guys so make sure to get some questions in there and I’ll cover them at the end whatever it is roster construction specific plays um you know whatever you guys want to talk about Cam Davis bounced back nicely today I I did like
Him uh for Showdown uh he was a guy that I had in the the tier rankings um yeah I don’t know torn on him I like sta over him I think in the the tougher conditions ekro continues to play well I think he’s a fine play down here at
67 um Fowler I’m I’m fine just staying off of off of Ricky um Denny McCarthy I think can survive the conditions tomorrow you want guys that can make putts there’s going to be a lot of long par putts tomorrow McCarthy can knock him down I think he’s fine at
65 uh bazay hoot I do like quite a bit at 64 cheap price tag you know he’s played you know used to playing in some of this win stuff good with him um CT pan uh I played it actually my best team on the main slate has CT pan so I’m kind
Of rooting for him I’ll stay on CT at 6200 even in the tougher conditions Sheamus power 6K flat yeah I’ll give him a look um I’m gonna be open to playing you know a lot of 6K guys if I need to to get more Scotty to get more of these
Guys up top I’m definitely open to expanding my player pool in that 6K range a little bit more uh so that’s kind of where I’m at here on uh on the the pool the players for for tomorrow um again just to reiterate it’s really important when you do with these guys
That are seven under there’s six guys at seven under definitely in on Scotty definitely in on Shane Lowry like I really like those two like those are by far my two favorites up here I like zalot Taurus a ton just one off the lead at six under um he’s good in tough
Condition so these guys that are all up here Sheffer Lowry Z taus are the uh three that I like the most all right let’s go through and talk about some of the stuff decky injury equals winning or contending yeah I mean uh it is interesting because the news
Popped up late in the week that they had some sort of back injury does not look like the back’s bugging him at all currently sitting what yeah he’s in that lead he’s part of the lead and uh it’s super frustrating because the injury guys have not paid off in the last like
Two seasons like if someone’s been marked injured or coming back back from injury they have not paid off Hui is defying that because he’s been he’s been great um let’s see winds may be a little lighter for the earliest guys potentially I mean just maybe a little
Bit I haven’t seen the tea times let me see if I can pull that up real quick just to see how early they’re going off it would have to be based on what I saw it would have to be pretty early to have any sort of so the first guys are going
Off at like 905 a.m. eastern I don’t know I think it’s going to be tough all day so I’m not really leaning the early guys I’m just um you know assuming it’s going to be tough conditions for all these guys havin got hot at the end as he
Continue to T1 I mean definitely possible I mean havland I like guys that end strong like going into the next round and havin you know moved way up the board um he moved way up the board after like the back nine so I think he could definitely make a push he’s played
Well here um yeah so I’m good with him I definitely think he can move up you guys can go ahead and put some uh more questions if you have them in here for sure just looking at some builds um you know what sort of builds do we get with
Scotty if you go Scotty and one let’s just plug in a random 6K will plug in Acro so you’re sitting at 7900 um let’s say we want to play one more guy in the 9k range you like zorus as well 75 so pricing is still pretty
Soft there’s going to be a lot of ways to get comfortable teams in can play you know reliable guys down here um say like Tom hogi then you’re back close to like 8K so um it’s going to be easy to get in Scotty tomorrow he’s going to be the
Highest own guy in the slate and rightfully so I mean he’s just the best golfer balance builds I’m not as interested in tomorrow because I just don’t want to live in this range I just prefer the hins the shufflers the xanders of the world even just way more
Than these guys down here but if you wanted to zures JT um you plug one cheaper guy talked about pavon pavon and then you’re back up here in the 8ish K range can play Connors and then you got like 825 left so um I definitely still
Prefer the Scotty builds I want as much Scotty as possible tomorrow I mean the guy is just he’s just too good are you specifically using the solver for lineup construction is it necessary to Sim in your opinion using saber Sim free Trail uh no I mean for me I’ve had a ton of
Success Pro I mean I’m Not tooting my own horn but I’ve had more success in PGA this season than just about anyone in the industry in terms of profitability and I’ve never used a simulation Tool uh ever so it is not a necessity can it be helpful yeah sure
But I think it’s more helpful for the top 1% of DFS Pros not any including myself like I’m not even putting myself in that category because I can’t find it to be useful so no you do not need to use simulation tools to make money playing DFS I will stand by that
Statement I think the only people that can benefit from simulation tools are people that are topend players and topend techsavvy players so you got to have that combination of being a topend DFS player and being very techsavvy and that combination is like less than 1% of people uh playing this
Game ludvig luckiest made cut of the year yeah maybe I mean those guys at plus three did did did kind of sneak in there they were looking to be in trouble favorite 6K guy um for me tomorrow favorite 6K guy is going to be bazen hoot I think he’s you know used to
Playing in these tougher windier conditions I think he can certainly get the job done tomorrow um and again like getting the job done tomorrow is probably just making you know making sure your ass makes a lot of pars and not fall into big big trouble because it’s going to be very difficult tomorrow
So um you know just surviving just holding on and and trying to get past and that will get the job done uh tomorrow so I think uh bazay hood is is really good in that sixk range if you guys have any more questions fire him in
There I also like CT pan that I talked about at 62 um Acro I’m just staying on him like the guy’s been good uh he won last week he’s right there again this week at three under so I think he’s a totally fine option uh down there as
Well at what is he he is 67 so good with him in that range um any more questions anymore I’ll go back up to the top uh here’s a question from early when diving deep into player po do you look for guys that are poor across the board
Or do you automatically ignore them ding do you look for yeah I’m not sure if you’re talking about like statistically but I’m not a huge statistics guy in terms of you know looking at my golfers I I just kind of find the guys that I think fit courses
Well um opposed looking at like the the very like individual uh specific type uh type statistics like I know what you need to be successful on this course and this is like one of those courses where you just have to be a well-rounded golfer and that’s why I think over the weekend we
See the cream kind of RA rise to the top which we’ve kind of saw today Scotty shuffler makes the move up there you know wind Clark had a ton of success last year zalot Taurus is creeping up havland is creeping up Burns JT like at
The end of the week here or you know come Sunday I think we’re going to see a pretty stacked leaderboard because man um you have to be very well-rounded golfer to get the job done at this place and then you know throw in the weather as well and the best golfers in the
World clearly are are good handling uh the the weather as well so it’s kind of where we’re at again I appreciate the support here if you guys could uh hit the like hit the sub subscribe helps us out a ton get on over shiping nation.com uh check out all the packages that we
Have to offer the hoop 15 coupon code still good to go gets you 15% off any package uh that you want to try out over there obviously I would recommend the all access annual the best deal and you don’t have to worry about anything the rest of the year 509 gets you everything
We have you covered for all the main sports uh over there on DraftKings and FanDuel do you think that leaving more money on the table will be a better lineup um line up for this show I mean yeah definitely I mean Showdown you can always leave the money on the table we
Saw last week with our boy cuse Matt left like five grand on the table 50k now you throw in the weather factor for tomorrow there’s going to be a lot of volatility out there so even more so tomorrow I think leaving money on the table uh makes sense and you know it’s
Not just like one two $300 you can leave big big chunks especially in the larger field stuff um what’s the the main thing on the main contest on DraftKings I think I’m in here right now it is pitch and Putt there’s like yeah over 10,000 people it looks like so yeah I
Mean you definitely are going to want to do something a little bit different uh in those lineups uh for sure and showon is always more viable than the main slay you can do it on the main slay too I mean it it’s been the optimal lineups have been leaving two three th000 I’m
Not recommending building teams like that but uh yeah you can definitely do it but Showdown for sure the volatility tomorrow in my opinion is going to be very high so leaving money on the table um is one way to embrace that volatility so yeah that’s going to do it everyone I
Appreciate all the again if you could hit the like hit the subscribe on the way out that’d be very helpful let’s get some of these ship at Nation logos to the top of the leaderboard good luck to everyone in your contest Tomorrow Oh
