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Hello ladies and gentlemen welcome to calls calls this is the 2024 Players Championship DFS tactic show we are here for all of your last minute DFS questions for The Players Championship we have the updated forecast the up to the second ownership projections everything you need to optimize your lineups for the big week
At hand we have a lot to get into let’s get into it shall we all statistics provided tonight and every night are from fantasy national.com it is the best golf Analytics tool out there for your money believe me there are a lot of uh great analytics tools out there I simply
Believe fantasy National is the best it’s going to make you a much smarter golf Gambler and a much better golf DFS player go check out fantasy national.com you won’t regret it in the description to the video there are links to all of the social media first off my X and
Instagram where I post research every week on the PGA tour typically around uh prior winners patterns that they follow and the players who fit that criter fit the criteria of the pattern that I have found um so if you want to see the weekly research that I do on the PJ tour
Then give me a follow at your preferred social media site X is also where I place my weekly betting cards and my top player usage in the DFS contest that I play that’ll come out after the show this evening also after I finalize my lineups um but that’ll be come out later
Tonight so if you want to see those pieces of information then give me a follow over for at X and then lastly for social media gab’s handle is in the description he writes a very good article called The Fringe it’s a great way to start your week of preparation he
Continues to provide you information throughout the week uh with his own version of recent form course history uh it’s a great way to get a leg up on your competition and if you are a subscriber to that article which is free to do by the way you’re going to be able to join
Us in his substack chat every Wednesday evening as we continue the DFS talk after the DFS tactics show here on Call’s calls he is gracious enough to host me over there we continue the talk uh we continue our DFS thoughts um our top Fades and pivots we talk about Game
Theory a lot of things over in his substack chat so I really suggest that if you don’t want to miss out on all of that great information you’re going to need to subscribe to that article to do that and lastly we are Live Chat is open
Want to hear from you all in addition to the poll question question which I’ll put up momentarily uh who is your winner to win the PLAYERS Championship who are you pivoting to fading away from are you going into the 5Ks this week are you going all the way up to Scotty Sheffer
This week would love to hear the interaction uh from the community this evening uh any thoughts that you have regarding the players championship and all that so let’s figure out our strategies and our tactics for the 2024 Players Championship and we’re going to start with the up to
The second forecast over at windfinder and before I get too much into that I’ll go ahead and post the poll question there’s been a little bit of talk this week or at least a lot of talk in um circles that I that I follow and and you know communicate with and whatnot how
There’s been a lot of um previous history or or a pattern of the winners of The Players Championship coming from the Thursday a.m. Friday p.m portion of the draw now we’ll get into the forecast see if I feel like there’s any favor of half of the draw um for the week but
Poll question centers around that which half of the draw are you favoring in your lineups and I only had four options so if there was a fifth option I would have put you know no favor but um as it is what half of the draw are you favoring in your lineups are you
Favoring the Thursday a.m. Friday pm. you know heavily or slightly or are you uh going with the Thursday p.m. Friday a.m. portion heavily or slightly so would love to hear the community’s thoughts on that as we move to the forecast for the Players Championship and tomorrow this has been pretty
Consistent throughout today now this is Florida weather can change pretty drastically pretty quickly but there doesn’t look to be too much especially tomorrow now yes the Thursday um a.m. has the uh best half I would think with very very little wind in the forecast probably picks up a little bit
Into the after afternoon but even if it stays or even if it picks up a little bit into you know like 10 to 15 mph gusts that’s really not a whole lot for TPC Saw Grass um considering we’ve seen you know 20 to 25 sustained gusts in the
Into the 40s uh in the past couple of years so I don’t see too much on Thursday yes you could absolutely argue that the Thursday am has the better half of it um but it gets canceled out a little bit on Friday good evening p thanks for jumping in chat much
Appreciated um are you ready for the Players Championship uh who is your winner uh anything else that uh that you’re thinking about for The Players Championship this week much appreciated to see you in chat again this evening the reason why I think it gets um canceled out or at least the Thursday
A.m. gets its uh its favor or favorable draw canceled out look at Friday they’re definitely dealing with the worst of the wind in in terms of the Court cut portion with actual projections being into that 10 to 15 mph range for gusts so you do have the best half of the draw
Tomorrow morning but you got the worst end of it on um on Friday afternoon so I think that cancels out the um the Thursday p.m. Friday a.m. kind of have the same has the same amount of uh um wind in terms of sustained and gusts it does switch directions a little
Bit but as of right now emotionally invested in Doug gim we’re going to talk a lot about Doug gim uh I I’m not so much emotionally but uh I think I’m going to be financially invested in Doug gim uh like his his prospects this week
But um I just I I don’t see much of a of a favor of the draw this week at least with this forecast now of course if you have the capability um the ability to stay up to the next update on windfinder which will probably be in about an hour
And a half maybe a couple hours or if you have the ability SLC capability to wake up early in the morning tomorrow to get the update forecast going to suggest you do that but if this is the last forecast that you have to work with before finalizing your lineups I just
Don’t see much of advant of an advantage because I do not want um I don’t like targeting players that have the worst half of the draw coming in or F uh worst part of the wind I should say coming into uh trying to make the cut which
Means that if they don’t play well tomorrow morning they’re going to be really really on the back foot I just don’t see a whole lot here I mean if you the way I would exploit this in terms of this forecast I would load up in terms of first round leader
Thursday a.m. tomorrow I mean especially the earliest of the early I think that’s how I would attack this forecast for the first two days if you are in the first round leader market so you know Target the the earliest of the early Thursday a.m. I think is the best way I would go
About that but otherwise I think this is just a week to play your guys who you think is going to play Saw Grass the best regardless of the draw and then we’ll zoom out go ahead and take a look at Saturday or Sunday even though we don’t
Have uh the super forecast um see we didn’t see too much in terms of wind on Friday when we looked into the Super forecast does show perhaps a little bit more win than maybe I was given it credit for but still don’t feel all that great about it Saturday much the same in
Terms of wind it actually appears to die down during the afternoon and then Sunday pretty consistent throughout the week we just don’t see a whole lot of wind in the forecast there might be some rain overnight Saturday night again I’m just not factoring it in too much this
Week in terms of my player exposures for The Players Championship so with that we’re going to move to Fantasy National and you will see that I’ve got this set on the last two years or 36 rounds because I have the Pete Dye filter selected and the reason I have it
Selected is cuz I did not use it in the mixed condition model and I’ll explain why as I go through my mixed condition model but for our review our quick review this evening we’re going to look at Pete D Performance so our top performers on Pete Dy designs in the
Past couple of years Xander Scotty Keegan Patrick Hanley Adam hadwin Justin Thomas Jordan spe Carson young minw Le and sunj I meant to um unstar these for you all since I was grabbing the up to the second um uh ownership projections which again thanks to Gabe for sharing his sources
Um information so I’ll have that off to the side when we start going through the price board and whatnot but there are your top players in terms of Pete Dy performance in the last two years of course we’re looking at harbort toown um kiawa if uh somebody played the PGA Championship in
20121 um Stadium Course TBC River Highlands TBC Saw Grass TPC s uh no San Antonio’s is POA uh that’s the POA trivialis so we’re looking at Harbor toown kiawa the Stadium Course American Express uh TVC River Highlands The Travelers of course Saw Grass where we
Are this week all right don’t want to go too much into it let’s just go into our mixed condition model for the week and then start talking about um the players in the field this week so the mixed condition model for the week There’s a
Couple of things that uh I ended up uh caving into the first is off the tea I talked all week how I didn’t think off the tea was going to be such a big factor and yet through talking with Gabe yesterday getting a feel for you know how he’s
Attacking um you know the players or you know the the the DFS contests and whatnot he made a pretty good point in the sense that um much like Bay Hill last week um Saw Grass rewards Target golf especially off the tea and sometimes distance can help that but it
Is a lot more about the accuracy and we’ll we’ll talk about that quite a bit here in a little bit but um he was he was pretty darn confident in having some amount of off the tea in the mixed condition model you could always argue
How much but um you know he convinced me um to put some off the tea in there I don’t have any filters with that uh again I did not use any Pete Dye uh filters throughout any of these metrics so perhaps a little bit um a little bit
Off in that regard if you wanted to look at Pete die designs off the T but I’m just factoring it off the te this is this does reward Target golf um generally on the accuracy side so 5% off the te we talked all week how important
Iron play is at Pete die designs in general especially here at Sawgrass a full quarter of the mixed condition model 25% in Strokes gained approach it’s just been the most important shot type here by a pretty significant margin uh it’s been the most consistent metric of the four strokes
Gained uh just everything about sass um signifies stroke skan approach so wanted that to be easily the most important factor or metric in the mixed condition model 25% if anything I would bring this down to 20% and maybe increase um some percentage somewhere but again I am a Strokes gain approach preferred analyst
Is the type of players that I prefer to Target or or go after anyway so I I’m going to be a little bit heavy uh in Strokes skin approach if anything and that’s just my bias so 25% approach 5% around the green I was confident throughout the week that I would have a
Round the Green in the M Final Mix condition model I did use long rough considering they have really grown this rough out the past 2 or 3 years uh it is not easy to play out of so 5% with that and 5% on poet trivialis putting uh again those courses that
We’ve talked about all week Harbor toown inisbrook uh qu Hollow The Stadium Course TPC San Antonio TBC Saw Grass and TBC Scottdale that is what this filter is it’s those courses the past two years 5% but I only have 5% because putting really hasn’t been a huge Factor here at
Sawgrass generally yes if you’re putting well you’re going to rise on the leaderboard but um it hasn’t really um contributed to huge amounts of success or correlation with um with putting so I just wanted I have 5% there I am making up for it a little
Bit at the end of the mixed condition model 10% and good drives gained I know we looked at this with the Pete die filter I don’t I did not feel comfortable with the Pete D die filter for a couple of reasons uh Monday night we went through last year’s mixed
Condition model where I us the P di filter on quite a lot and it didn’t turn out to it didn’t turn out well it produced mediocre results at Best in terms of predictability uh and whatnot so I am just wanting to look at players in the recent who are hitting Fairways or still
Hitting the green when they’re in the rough uh and I’m hoping that this is going to simulate the players that aren’t so far in the rough that they have to lay up because that is an issue here at sass that if you get uh if
You’re out of the first cut per se uh it’s going to be really really difficult to hit these greens and you know good drives also factors in greens and regulation as well so I wanted to factor that in a little bit that’s why the real real premium on
Accuracy this week approach and good drives 10% opportunities I did bump this up um an extra 5% because I did not factor in total procs I was really really debating on having total procs in and I’m using opportunities as kind of that hidden 5% for total procs um but
When bogey avoidance and Bird’s gained when there’s not a real clear um leader or or factor of those two I really do like opportunities along with if total proc uh seems to be a a a a bigger deal or if there’s no particular range of proximity that seems
To matter players who have just given themselves the most opportunities and that’s not going to be a whole lot around uh Pete D so those players that are really really dialed in really G themselves a lot of opportunities this will come in especially a little bit
Later on with par fives I really want to emphasize those players as they’re going to be gaining a lot on the on the on the others in the field because pars are generally good scores around here except on the par fives and maybe the driveable Par Four
This is by far the the LA or was clearly the last metric in my model the one am least confident in my mix condition model I do have 5% on B uh birdies are better gained now we’ve we saw Friday uh throughout the uh prior leaderboards and
Even when we dug into the data of Saw Grass that birdies gained was a pretty um pretty um significant uh more correlating Factor than bogey avoidance but didn’t make a whole lot of sense for the same you know for the reasons I just mentioned that pars are generally good
Scores around here other than on the par fivs and the and the short par fours I didn’t want to ignore the data suggesting that Bird’s gained was was by far and away more important than bogy avoided um but I’m just not terribly confident with it and because some of
These par fivs do yield an eagle at a decent rate they are somewhat short they are attackable if players are in the right spot and in the Fairway and whatnot I did put birdies are better gain not just birdies gain I did not feel comfortable using the difficult um
Difficult uh relative to power filter I do think this is going to play a little bit easier than it has in the past due to the lack of wind that we talked about at the beginning of the show um especially tomorrow with very little wind in the forecast so I do
Think it’s going to play easier than it has so I didn’t feel comfortable using us a scoring filter with this so that’s why it’s only 5% I wasn’t confident on a filter if to use a filter uh and overall the the metric in general so only 5% there we round out the mixed
Condition model 5% in power 3es we’ve talked all week how they just don’t really matter around uh Saw Grass 10% in par fours 15% in par FS you just you just got a score on the par fives here that’s where you are going to make your hay around Saw Grass um
They’re generally short uh attackable but you can make bigger numbers on on them if you aren’t careful with all the water in play too so par five performance is going to be uh the second biggest factor I talked about that throughout the week and wanted to emphasize par five performance lastly to
Kind of fill in the gap of the only 5% putting uh I’ll bring this up but you know when we looked at the course breakdown in or on Sunday night’s initial research show um three putt percentage once it loads it’s quite High here it’s quite High these greens are are lightening
Fast um so I wanted to see who avoids three putts and yes I still used the POA trivialis overseed as opposed to like faster lightning greens I didn’t feel like there was enough um enough of a sample size to narrow it down to lightning poet trivialis so we’re just looking at poet
Trivialis but um three put avoidance is going to be a a a decent decent little Factor so there’s a look at the mixed condition model last thing I will mention about it and I started it this week and going to be continue for continuing forward unless there was a
Specific filter like around on the green which is the last 12 months and the putting which is over 24 months because of the lack of sample size everything is now starting at the century from this year so players like Matthew Pavone Jake knap they are really really rising in my
Rankings just as a for warning because they’ve played well this calendar year this season players like Tommy Fleetwood um Victor they’ve they’ve Fallen significantly because they just haven’t played all that well considering I’m not going back uh the full 12 months anymore I feel like there’s enough
Data that uh we can start looking just from the century forward and if you um if you are aware of the research that I posted Monday you would know that uh recent form very recent form is a a major major contributor to especially the Champions um or the winners of The
Players Championship um but also to to the players who have uh high level success recent form is something um that was a key component of that so that also fed into the reason why we’re looking at just the century forward so there’s a look at the mixed condition model what
But we have the metrics that we’re using the percentages um you know I might be a little bit light off the T I just this is a gut feeling 5% here that could be I I I’m not as confident in maybe it is bogey avoided that we needed to look at
Uh you know if you want to look at some Pete Dye filters on some of these metrics uh if the wind picks up more than I think um then then I could be weak to that cuz I’m not factoring in the wind I’m just going by the forecast
Uh those are the areas where I think I would be weak um I just don’t see distance playing of a factor that’s why I’ve had I’ve got so much of a of a premium on accuracy this week uh but yeah there is the mixed condition model that I have built for The Players
Championship this week with that let’s go ahead and move to Microsoft XL the in my rankings and this is going to be a shock this will be a shock to everybody but my number one player this week is Tom hogi um I like everything about Tom hogi
This week I’ve spent a lot of time especially Monday talking about his performance here at sass so Tom hogi is my number one player Keith Mitchell second Scotty third Eric Van royan fourth and Tony fenale round out my top five Cory Connor Shane Lowry Doug gim
Sam Burns and sewo Kim around at my top 10 just as a reminder for those who are returning viewers or for your information if you’re a new viewer my rankings are based on three criteria the fgc rank which is a pure analytics number uh or ranking based on
The mixed condition model that we just talked about with the metrics and percentages that we uh that we put in there and fantasy National will spit out a ranking course value an attempt is attempt it’s not an exact science but an attempt at giving a player a value uh
Based on how well they have played that course the past five years uh the lower the number the better and then we are playing DFS um we’re trying to find unique options so percent owned also or percent owned per fantasy National also factors into my rankings all right uh let’s just
Talk about the big the the big thing that Scotty is not number one in my rankings uh that’s just there’s a slight caveat there he is by far and away the number one player uh by a purely the numbers several metrics at are top five second in approach third in good drives
Fifth in Opportunities I mean very clearly number one by the Numbers he is the most projected owned player obviously for good reason um but his course value is somewhat low or or or or somewhat bad considering that even though he is the defending Champion his two performances here at Saw Grass
Before winning was a t55 and a miscut so even though he does have a win he does have two other performances where he just did not play well here so he’s getting hurt a little bit in that regard Keith Mitchell also surpassing him and Keith Mitchell is somebody that I’ve
Been targeting all week but I would not think I would not have thought he jump he would jump Scotty Sheffer you see he’s actually played uh played Saw Grass pretty decently third in the rankings as well and it’s still fairly unique and I’m telling you the fantasy National members are much
More on Keith Mitchell than uh what gab Source has and we’ll get into that when we go through the price board but there’s a lot of things to like about Keith Mitchell look I always talk about how his irons have been lackluster in 2024 they’ve actually been
Pretty good 20th in this field a lot of that is from one tournament so you don’t expect him to go out and gain eight uh in Strokes gain approach like he did in Mexico but they’ve been solid he’s gained more than he’s lost even if you
Take out that 8.1 or whatever he had in Mexico he’s actually been pretty good um combined with you know a lower ownership uh a decent course history he devours par fives second in Opportunities a good putter on poetry trivialis I like Keith Mitchell a lot this week a lot this week Scotty of
Course no no real surprise um being up there in the rankings that’s the bigger surpris is he’s not number one uh in terms of overall EVR I don’t know if I’m as high on Eric Van royan as this would suggest he is top 10 in uh by the
Numbers because he’s played so well this year um he is he’s getting some well I would say going to say he’s guarding some attention doesn’t actually seem like he is at least for gab Source the fantasy National members are are higher on him so someone else to think about
This course value is gosh dang it I did the wrong thing um his course value is low he’s only played sass once so I don’t want to put a whole lot of emphasis into it but he did play it well top 15 it Fen now even though he was
Kind of out of sight out of mind last week since he decided not to play the Arnold Palmer he’s actually been pretty good this year number one R fivs third in the irons the putter isn’t an abject failure on this surface so I like fale with all the emphasis on
Accuracy understandable why Cory Connors is up there with all the emphasis on accuracy it’s understandable why Doug gim’s up there and the fact that we don’t have a whole lot of putting in here that’s why he’s Rising as much as like Keith Mitchell as much as I’ve I’ve knocked Sam Burns and
His irons they’ve actually been acceptable so he’s Rising significantly he is also the number one putter on poetri Alis uh in the past couple of years seo’s played this event really really well in the past it’s going to have to be better at the par fivs but um
Number one in good drives gained so there’s a look at my top 10 uh a little bit surprising that you’ll you know some of the bigger names aren’t up here Xander of course just misses JT just misses but when we go through the price board you’ll see that there are some glaring omissions
Um or or surprises where some of the top players uh fall in my rankings and how this is going to be a very very All or Nothing week for me so as we sort on the price board we have six players in the 10ks uh or in the five digits I should
Say Scotty at 12 eight very very prohibitive pricing um so you’re you’re making an an absolute um you I mean you’re making a decision right from the start if you’re using Scotty Sheffer you’re going to be have to accept going into the 6ks maybe twice or even going
Into the 5Ks so that’s just a decision you have to make we’ll talk about that uh as we start building some lineups Rory did not rate out well for me he’s at 116 Xander 113 JT 10 six Patrick kley 103 Victor hin 101 look you see Victor hin and Rory’s
Ranking here they did not rate out well at all by the Numbers Victor’s played this event well he is struggling this year though and that’s why his fgc rank is so low he has not been good in the 2024 season 102nd with the irons good drives opportunities par fours of really
Lacked and the the short game which I’ve been complimentary of getting better it seemed to have regressed a little bit that’s why he’s getting um or that’s why he he his ranking is so low is because we’re just factoring in 2024 a lot of the same with Rory as well and Rory has
Not been the best here yes he is a former champion at Saw Grass but he hasn’t been all that fantastic otherwise and that’s why I don’t have a whole lot in terms of waiting in the course value with all the water in play at Saw Grass this course is pretty volatile it’s
Pretty volatile now players like Tom hogy who we’ll talk about in the upper sevens a little bit different since they have continuously year over-year proven that they just like Saw Grass you see his course value is just extremely low but um or somebody like JT who is also
Four for four uh in March player championships and making the cut you know Rory hadn’t been that great here Patrick kley has not been good here so you know Rory and Victor these are two very very bold decisions that I’m making that I’m just out I might have Rory
Once maybe um just because at least per fantasy National 72% on Rory is just dumb um he’s garnering 14% per gabour so I would be much more inclined to believe the 14% but still I mean sub 15% on Rory is is shocking to think about but I I
Kind of have to agree with it I’m only going to use him once if I do at all and I’m completely out on Victor just completely out I understand he’s one of the Premier players in the world uh he’s played well here you just can’t play everybody you just can’t especially
If I’m going to use a little sheffler and I don’t like using a lot of sheffler 19% per fantasy National 33% per gab Source I mean that’s just ugly I mean if you’re you’re starting Chef you’re you’re already already from the start setting yourself up for a 5v5
Against a third of the field that’s it’s just hard to win it’s hard to climb in your gpps using sheffler now 50/50s um things of that nature cash uh cash games uh cash contest sheffer’s a pretty darn good play but in terms of your of
Your big gbps if you’re wanting to go if you’re want to do anything other than men cash game theory suggests that you just avoid sheffler it’s it’s odd to hear that I understand but that’s you’re going to gain a whole lot more avoiding sheffler and him potentially finishing outside
The top 15 or top 20 then you will using sheffler cuz everybody’s using him and he top fives or whatever you’re just going to gain more by By ignoring him Xander rate it out pretty well but you see the course value is really not all that great I’m not
Nearly as high on Xander as this would suggest he’s only at 11 and a half per fantasy National that’s what it’s you know kind of leap frogging him in terms of my rankings I’m just all over Justin Thomas he’s proven year-over-year that he likes Saw Grass 15%
Here um 11 and a half per gab Source I just that just doesn’t make any sense to me JT is in fine form it’s not fair fantastic form but he’s in fine form I just give me all the JT I can handle in in the 10ks especially off of Sheffer who I’ll
Probably have a little bit um but his price is so prohibitive that I just it’s just hard it’s just hard to do it unless you’re comfortable going into the 6ks twice maybe even the 5Ks I just don’t want to do that cuz there’s a certain area of the price board that I really
Really like even A J thanks for jumping the chat it’s been a while hope things are well hopefully you are ready for the players championship and if you’re not uh hopefully I’ll be able to answer all of your last minute questions but it’s good to see you good to see you in chat
You think you can win a small gpp if you fade Scotty and he’s in the top five o good question in a small gpp um I I I’m assuming you you meaning small entry uh just using nice round numbers if you’re talking about like a 100 entry
Gpp uh glad to be back with the new P season yeah if you’re talking about and I’m going to again just using U nice round number if you’re talking about a like a small 100 entry gpp if you fade chefer ay finishes top five oh boy you’re you’re probably in
Some trouble that’s the whole that’s the whole quote unquote gamble you’re taking by not playing Scotty is that you’re banking on him finishing outside the top 15 top 20 because you’re going to be gaining a whole lot more by not using him uh and everybody’s you know stuck or
Mired in the in the muck of you know you know whatever I’m going to say T20 however many points that is let’s just say you go to Justin Thomas and he if he finishes top 10 um you know that’s that’s opening up more than two 2,000 in
Pricing you’re gaining a whole lot of uniqueness at least in terms of per the Projections if he finishes top five and you you fade him it’s going to be a rough week for you that that’s you have to you have to be comfortable looking in the mirror and say telling yourself I’m willing to lose to Scotty Sheffer and
It’s not easy to do I get it it’s not easy to do but that’s what that’s the conversation you have to have with yourself um whenever you’re making a lineup that or lineups this week especially since he is so so very prohibitive it’s the best way I can
Answer that um because think about it if you if you do use him and he top fives you’re you’re not you’re just not gaining anything on on a lot of people uh because a lot of others are using him as well he’s projected 33% per gab source so it’s a Game Theory um
Question for you and I I’m I’m willing to look in the mirror and say I lose to Scotty having said that I’m going to use him a little bit because I play a lot of lineups so I can afford to kind of like mix and match I’m definitely not going
To have 33% Scotty Sheffer that’s what I can tell you I’m much more on Justin Thomas my me myself I’m willing to look in the mirror and say I’ll lose to Rory I’ll lose to Victor that’s where I’m at in the 10ks kley I don’t love this week but I
Mean I I I think he’ll make the cut I’m just it’s he’s not impressed me lately especially since I was very very uh in on him at the API it was very disappointing there um anytime I try to back kley lately it just hasn’t worked
Out so that’s a little bit of you know my bias coming in but I just I just I believe in Justin Thomas at Saw Grass all the shot shaping that it requires kind of suits his game because Justin Thomas is is an artist uh that’s the kind of player he is he’s a
Shop maker U all that kind of stuff so in the 10 case I’m all over JT uh if I if I don’t use JT I might use sheffler a little bit definitely not to the level of 33% I’ll probably have him a little bit I might have Rory once I’m not nearly as
High on Xander as this would suggest I will say he doesn’t have a red statistic 61st here is his worst which is just right on your you know right off the screen that’s a 61 that is his worst statistic so he doesn’t have anything that’s bad just not nearly as high because he’s
Generally not played Saw Grass the best especially in March um and I’ll just I’ll I’ll fade Rory and Victor’s a full fade I might have Rory once just because of the low ownership Victor’s a full fate Victor’s a full fate moving to the nines um I don’t want to go through
Every single player in each price range because there’s a lot there’s a lot um let’s see as much as I don’t like the player considering you know full year I said to avoid him at all costs he actually hasn’t played um so the best but I do like Sam
Burns this week a lot of that being the putter he’s just not he’s solid on this surface JT looks like he games I think he’s going to have a better season yeah oh yeah he he’s already shown that being in contention a couple times so um yeah
I just I think JT is going to be I think jts are solid this week and the fact that JT at least per fantasy National is at 15% per Gabe sorts is only at 11 and a half that’s just I can’t fathom anything below 15% even
So if you get anything under 15% on Justin Thomas that’s that’s a steal in my opinion I like Sam Burns this week the irons have been better the devours par fives surprisingly the around the green metric here is has been really bad in 2024 he’s a lot better around the
Green player you see the number one putter on the surface like everything is pretty solid green except for the around for his around the green and long rough I like s Burns quite a bit um because the irons have been better in 2024 Shane Lowry’s in fantastic form I’m
Going to use quite a bit of Shane Lowry as well um oberg I’m I don’t know I think I think this feel this feels a better fit for oer just because I don’t think it’s going to be astronomically difficult um it’s fine he’s you know 10% here 13%
Per Gabe source and okay um fine Larry and burns are definitely getting some action this week hey Tony good evening thanks for jumping in chat much appreciated uh hopefully you’re ready for the players yeah Burns and Larry’s getting some attention uh hopefully you were able to catch the tail end of of
How I felt about the 10ks if not um and go back and and and catch that after after I uh sign off or after the show but I’m going to be using some Burns and Lowry for sure uh this is some chalk I’ll eat um especially Lowry he’s just in
Fine form he’s playing he plays Florida well as it is you see the course value is pretty good I think oar’s fine he’s just like in between that 10 to 133% um I think it’s fine again morala I’m just a little bit cautious about I really am he’s played um he’s played Saw
Grass better than he did the API I didn’t get a lot of things right about the API but one of the things I did was a full fate of Colin morawa um and he was he was kind of popular I did not like him then maybe a little bit better
Now but still I’m just not in love with it spe four and a half here 11% per gab Source okay I guess it’s okay don’t feel great about it Z tus is going to be extremely popular he’s in great form uh 12 a 12% for gabes Source if
He’s closer to the 12 and a half% I like will alator quite a bit if he’s closer to the 16 and a half% I’d have to I’d have to pump the brakes on it um cuz that’s a lot especially for somebody that while his putter has gotten better
He’s generally not being good on this surface so but F fantastic form otherwise hii I was I was going to use slightly at the a at the API I backed off when I when I got or heard the news that you know he was dealing with some
With some back issues or withdrew from the the proam on Wednesday I don’t know if you’re will if you’re willing to stomach that risk go ahead it’s a I mean he’s played well here he’s just the with it’s just the withdrawal risk and whether you can
Stomach that or not is what I can say about AI Windham Clark I was just flat out wrong at the Arnold Palmer I wanted no part of Windham Clark and he was in contingent for the majority of the week uh everything here says that uh just like the
API analytically says you should Back Him course value or his course history suggests that you stay away he had never played the API well and he was fantastic there last week so you can think about it um he is very unique 9% here 7% um 7% per gab Source probably good especially if
You’re willing to back the analytics part of it so probably a good choice I probably going to have more wendam Clark that I’m comfortable with based on the ownership uh and or lack thereof so yeah in the 9ks I’m going to be using a whole lot of these two it’s chalk I’ll
Eat winam Clark is quite speculative in my opinion the analytics love him I’ll probably use some Willow Al Taurus I am concerned that his ownership will creep up into the 16 to 18% and at that point that’s uh I would try to back off Dei is whether you’re willing to
Stomach that risk I don’t want I don’t like morawa too much H’s fine speed’s fine I just I’m not generally not in this area of the price board like I said if I’m in the nines I’m here so moving to the eights oh I didn’t talk
About cam young Cam young should be good I like cam young this week I know this course value isn’t all that good um I kind of like I kind of like cam young this week uh he he uh quieted my concerns um having played the API decently
Um yeah I I think cam young is a worthy worthy time or two if you’re playing multiple lineups I think it’s a worthy shot to get off of the chalk here um but I you know if you’re only playing one or two lineups I would I would be
Here um seiw favorite Asian I really like sewo this week for sure um but if you’re playing multiple lineups cam young is absolutely worthy um of getting off this chalk a few times moving to the eights I talked about Tommy Fleetwood just completely out this is a bold bold
Thing that I’m doing uh cuz he’s played extremely well here but he’s just not in good form um I’m just going by the current form I am most scared about Tommy Fleetwood this week of the Rory the Victor and Tommy that I’m avoiding I’m most scared about Tommy because he’s
Been so good here and the fact that he is very little ownership at least for Fantasy National um 11 and a half at at gab source so that’s why I’m a little bit more comfortable uh staying away from Tommy because I think he’s going to be you know higher than
The 10 10% especially higher than the 5% it’s saying here um the other thing about Tommy look he’s just he’s very good around the greens very good on this surface so it’s it’s a bold bold thing that I’m doing fading him but he’s just not in good form
Um love Tony fenale this week number one in paries which you have to take advantage of here number three in irons I know he doesn’t have the elite finishes other than maybe the farmers out of sight out of mind from not playing the Arnold Palmer last week
He’s in pretty good form I like Tony all of the emphasis on accuracy this week you can understand why Cory Connor skyrocketed in my rankings he’s at 11 12% for gabes swce 14% here I think it’s fine especially since he has played sass well in the past and it it’s
Generally rewards accuracy I do always worry about Cory Connor and if you think the around the green and the short game is going to factor in more than I am then stay away from Connor because his short game is pathetic I just putting it out there it’s really really bad so if
You think around the green and the putting is going to matter more than I do than stay away from Conor I think it’s fine he’s pretty popular but I think it’s fine been on pretty good pretty good I think about 9 to 10% um these numbers here aren’t
Impressive but you start getting into like opportunities his power fours are Elite off the tea as being Elite if I get my head out of the way he’s also the number one birdie or better gained player in 2024 I like been on quite a bit speaking of sewo yeah I like sewo uh
He’s very very popular though P if you’re playing DFS 11% here 16% per Gap Source um I think it’s a good play but uh just understanding he is he is very very popular uh among DFS right now or at least this week number one good drives gain which is what Pete Dy
Really really enforces his irons has been really good as well in 2024 so I like it he’s just not as not as unique as you might think so in the in the 8ks I mean you can look at Jason day for the course history but if you’re going
With course history I’d just much rather go with Tommy Fleetwood um they’re both just not not in good form at all so yeah uh seah is going to be troubling for me I’m basically off of him because of this course value but he’s pretty unique 7% here 7% per gab
Source that again one of the maybe three or four things I got right about API and that’s not a lot uh is that I was really high on sahal and he played really well except for Saturday so he’s in good form it’s just that that course value is horrendous Henley I
Don’t like for DFS you’ll see him um you’ll see him on social media for me a little bit later but not in DFS so I am that’s my exposure to Russell Henley love fenale I’ll use Connor’s Ben On’s good I I like benon I really like seiw
Kim Min is kind of interesting as well um number one par five performer along with Tony fenale so I like menw Le a little bit too but I mean if he’s if he’s as wavered as he can get it’s not going to be good but he he
Did T6 this last year interesting unique play for sure moving to the upper sevens talked about how there was a certain area of the price board that I really really liked if I’m not much into the 10ks I’m using you know mostly the lower sevens or excuse me the lower nines so
So tell you the area of the price board and the kind of lineups I’m building Keegan Bradley solid um and not getting a whole lot of attention either at all I like Keegan quite a bit he’s been in fine form the putter is much much better
Now thanks to aim point however you feel about aimo but he’s been much better with it uh par 3es are good good for whatever little of their worth here um he’ll have to be better at the par fours but you see the cores value he just been
Very very good here Brian Harmon I’m much higher on har on Harmon than this would suggest because he is one of the five players that is four for four and making the cut at March uh player championships he’s not been in the best form in 2024 he’s
Getting hurt in that regard but you see the course value he’s not overly popular uh 8% per gab Source 10% here at Fantasy National um top 15 putter on the surface also the number one three put a voider on this surface so I like Harmon a lot a
Lot more than this would suggest hogy this is chalk all e don’t care number one player in my rankings for a reason love Tom hogi this week because the wind is down I don’t think this is going to play as difficult as as it has the past
Couple years so I’m actually a little bit higher on JT Poston cuz I I Target him when it’s easier and I do think this will play easy for the first couple of days um cuz the irons haven’t been great but he generally likes shorter courses and while Saw Grass isn’t short by the
Technical definition you know it’s not one of these bombers fests like the API was so I do like posting a little bit I love Keith Mitchell number two in my rankings I love Keith Mitchell so I’m just everywhere around here in the upper sevens he struggle last week don’t think
He liked the new coming out last week showing he was not selected for the rider cup I mean he’s using it uses his motivation I suppose just I really like Keegan this week um I I liked him a little bit last week and you’re right he didn’t play the best
Um but uh I at the at the level of ownership that he is projected at you really got to think about him especially getting off the chalk of a sewu Kim a been on a Cory Connor um I do like that in comparison in that regard I’m just everywhere
Around here in the in the upper sevens Keegan I’m going to use quite a bit of Brian Harmon I love Tom hogi that’s chalk all eat I mentioned Poston Cole probably fine probably fine he’s kind of getting forgot about four and a half for Gabe Source 7% at Fantasy National he’s getting
Forgotten like the guy is the Rookie of the Year for a reason last year like he’s still good uh he just might not be in the best form now but I think it’s fine to consider Kirk’s fine Scott’s played well here so I am everywhere up here in the upper
Sevens um mostly I’ll be Keith Mitchell Tom hogy I like Brian Harmon quite a bit and I like Keegan a little bit too so mainly those four but I would not be surprised if I had an amount of exposure to all of these players so I
Really love this area of the price board that tells you the kind of lineups I’m building lower sevens um again as wward as bazen hoot can get man the the analytics were fairly okay with him he’s played well here as well 3 and 1 12% per Gabe Source 4 and a
Half% at Fantasy National it’s probably worth probably worth a look especially considering he played okay last week at the API and that did not feel like a good CZ course so think about it EVR fantastic form he’s got one bad metric it’s the around the green he’s generally been pretty good around the
Green in his career so I like EVR quite a bit I just expect him to be quite a bit more popular than and a half% although gab Source only has him at 5% this is one time where I’m thinking it’ll be closer to 10 but I like
EVR jck knap raided out really well so did norin for me I’m not nearly as high on either of these players for different reasons nap yes the win and he’s played he played well the week after I do worry about some fatigue creeping in at some point I know he’s young but not
Invincible so I do worry about a little bit of fatigue but if he is truly at uh you know 4 and 1 half to three and a half% it’s probably worth a look norn I’m I’m a little concerned about this he also doesn’t go low birdies are better
Gain has been pretty bad so not in love with norin might have him a little bit but I’m just I I’m just all about again the upper half of the low sevens uh bazan hoot van royan uh Even Adam hadwin I know we didn’t talk about much is fine I think to think
About so and then moving into the sixes there’s a few players in here I want to I want to throw your way we’ll start at 6900 like Nick Taylor’s just I don’t understand why he’s getting so just under underpriced on DK just in my honest opinion like the guy won Phoenix his irons
Are really good right now good luck P thanks for jum jumping into chat much appreciated hopefully I hear uh throughout the week or next Sunday about the success that you had for The Players Championship but best of luck in all the contests you play um and uh thanks again for uh for supporting
The channel and jumping in the chat I I just I like I don’t understand why he’s at 6,900 uh 9% and 6 and a half% I like Nick Taylor Doug gim going to be all over Doug gim I don’t care if he’s popular uh somebody I’ve targeted
All week along with Keith Mitchell 12th and irons another one of these fantastic par five performers and despite the fact that he’s not a good putter he’s actually been relatively okay on poetri Alis he does not have a red statistic across any of those that we gathered or put in the
Mixed condition model love Doug gim I will lose if he does not play well Matthew Pavone is somebody else to probably think about um 10th and irons this calendar year devours par fours or has been really really good on the par fours I like Matthew Pavone 8 and 1/2
Here 5 and 1/2 per gab sour like it quite a bit um I’ll mention Billy he hadn’t played the best here but I’ll mention Billy it is Bermuda base I know it’s po Riv Alis overseed but it’s Bermuda base it’s Bermuda Billy so you got to think
About it last person I’ll mention in or two two more players I’ll mention in the 6ks Aaron Ry is going to be much more popular than you think 10 and 1 half per fantasy National 14 % per gab Source 14% on an Aaron Ry it’s a good play I
Like it I’m going to use a little bit of Aaron Ry but man that’s a lot of ownership for a player that is in the 6ks so just be aware of that so that’s why I’m giving you so many names in the sixks to maybe get off of the Aaron Ry
Chalk the last mention I’ll make in the 6ks is Ryan fox look I just believe in the talent of the player I know he’s not been good in 2024 but he did top 30 this last year so when it generally has the more it gets difficult the better Ryan Fox is I
Just believe wholeheartedly in the talent of the player so and he’s at 2% per fantasy National he’s at 2% per Gabe Source you’re gting a whole lot of uniqueness off of him so moving to the 5Ks I’m going to be honest with you I I usually try to pride
Myself in giving you some some really off-the-wall suggestions don’t really have them this week I have been avoiding the 5Ks and that’s another reason why I’m not terribly interested in going to Scotty sheffler because it’s been so hard for me to fit him in the lineups with the players that I
Like um in the 5Ks you could look at Carson young I suppose the irons have been good get gives himself plenty of opportunities now he hasn’t converted those opportunities clearly and especially on this surface he’s not good around the green I don’t know I’m not in
Love with it but I don’t want to go I don’t want to give you nothing in the 5K so I’ll mention Carson young but I I definitely don’t love it so there’s a look at the price board the way I see things um where our fellow
Contestants seem to be going and um you know how I I see potential pivots and Fades and whatnot been going for quite a bit of time we still got lineups to make so going to try to get through this for those who play Tear contest uh Davis Thompson really quick
Do you know what his price is cuz I’ve seen a couple of play couple of people mention him I’ve not been the the biggest Davis Thompson fan I do know he plays par FES well he generally devours par fives do you know his price off the top of your head there he is
61 um okay 31st in fantasy National the irons have been good okay not a whole lot of opportunities and off the tea has been a real struggle for him at a course that rewards Target golf especially off the te I think he’s probably going to have some trouble you see the course value
Has been pretty bad I imagine it’s only one time so you don’t want to put a whole lot of emphasis into that but he do he has shown us that he he did not like it the first time he played it again with Ryan Fox 100 more I’m just
More confident in the quality of the player that Brian Fox is no no denying that Davis Thompson’s in much better form in 2024 I’m just much more confident in the quality of the player here but he I’ll put it this way when you said Davis Thompson I did not expect him to be
Anywhere near 40th or in my top 40 so you might be on to something there but uh I’m not in not entirely in love with it all right let’s talk about some tears contest really quick and then let’s we’ll make our our um classic lineups for those who play
Tiers contest tier one Scotty Sheffer Rory and Xander probably the probably like 67% ownership I don’t care I’m just more confident than Scotty sheffler if you’re really really trying to get unique off of Scotty I would go Xander I’m just not a big believer in Rory this week but for
Me tier one is a pretty clear Scotty sheffler because I think I can find some uniqueness elsewhere in t two JT Victor Wills alores Windam clar and maxom again this is probably going to be extremely chalky to start but I’m going to go with JT I’m just the most confident in him of
The five in um in my uh or in this tier so I’ll go sheffler JT and I’m really having to find um really having to find some some uniqueness elsewhere tier three Klay Hideki spe Oar and Sam Burns I might go Lu VI Oar here uh this
Does feel like it it’s a good fit for him uh he’s generally a very very excellent driver of the golf ball um I’m not a big believer in Klay I don’t want to stomach the withdrawal risk in matama so yeah I think I can get off of Sam Burns even
Though I like Sam Burns a lot uh just because I’ve went uh sheffler and JT I think I’m going to go with lud obar in tier three if you’re not worried about the ownerships take Sam Burns he’s probably the best play but I really think I’m going Oar in tier three tier
Four Colin Shane Lowry cam young J day Tommy Fleetwood SE tala and Fitzpatrick uh pretty clear Shane Lowry for me although he’s going to probably be the most popular player in the tier so you could look at Cameron young but I’ll take Lowry in tier four I
Just he he fits Saw Grass really well tier five Henley fow sunjay Connors Ben on Tom Kim minw Le minu is interesting I’m just in love with Tony fale this week so I’ll go Tony fenale and I think he’ll be a little bit more popular or a
Little bit more unique excuse me than Cory Connors so give me Tony Fen now in tier five lastly tier six hogy English Eric Cole Chris Kirk Keith Mitchell Ricky and Nick Taylor as much as I like Nick Taylor I’m not going to pass up my number one or number two player in my
Rankings I’m going to go with Keith Mitchell because I’ve taken a lot of chalk as in sheffler and JT and whatnot I mean they’re one and two in my rankings by definition you if you’re wanting the probably the better player it’s it’s Tom hogi but I’m going to go
With Keith Mitchell getting a little bit of uniqueness so this tier lineup or tier construction goes Scotty JT um tier three was Oar tier four was Lowry tier five Tony fenale tier six Keith Mitchell all right let’s move on to Classic lineups very very quickly U feel free to jump in
Chat with any questions on players uh or lineup constructions uh that you will that you have be more than happy to to try to answer those but if we’re going to try to build these um popular lineups that seem to be going we’re going to start with a Scotty Sheffer
Lineup um as he is you know 33% per Gabe Source close to 20 here at Fantasy National and and our fellow contestants are going to a Aon Aaron Ry down at the bottom so there’s the boundaries of this this chalky Scotty sheffler lineup um I’d have to believe Eric Van
Royan is going to get more popular they could be going double six although I’m going to try not to do that for them they could be going double six with Doug gim Doug gim is at 14% per fantasy National 10% per gab source so they could very well be going double double
Sixes um otherwise let’s see Mitchell’s getting a little bit of love at Fantasy National not at uh or not per Gabe Source it would be Tom hogi next and that does not leave them a whole lot in terms of uh money so we’re going to try this
Double six I don’t know how popular it’s going to be but that’s the only way I can do this and squeeze in as much ownership as I can because uh you got Tom hogy who’s getting some love uh do I think Ry will make the cut I do
I really like Aaron Ry but he is one of the more chalky 6K plays I have seen in a long time other than Min W Lee last week uh Aaron Ry is going to be very very chalky considering the amount of of ownership sheffer’s getting um at least
For gab sword there’s not a lot in the 7ks getting garnered other than hogi which you know I I really like hogi um moving into the upper sevens we’re looking at or I mean Tom hogy is there sewo would would absolutely be in this um Pro yeah 82 Fitzpatrick no been on getting
Getting some love so if our fellow contestants are willing to do a double six you’re probably going rye and gim then like hogi seuk kin been on uh I imagine Russell Henley might be in this a little bit he’s been getting some attention as well um 86 a little bit higher up
Connors would absolutely probably be in this don’t mind him in a 24 uh yeah see with a 24 person gpp like that I’m almost treating that like a cash game like a 50/50 I know the payout structure is is is not a 50/50 I get that but with so few
Entries I would treat that like a like a gpp so I like the Sheffer I like the Rye um although I’d probably go with gim if you’re going that low I mean like all kind of depends cuz I mean gim is 400 less or 4 400 more than Ry I like
Both of them if they’re not doing both Ry and gim like it’s just kind of hard Eric Van royan maybe um Keith Mitchell Tom hogy again 82 which would be Ben on sewo so there’s a look at the Sheffer lineups and why it’s pretty darn difficult to build Scotty Sheffer
Lineups because you’re having to foro the 9ks and most of the eights more than likely with his near 13,000 price tag if our fellow contestants are not doing a Scotty Sheffer lineup we’ve got Wills aloris who’s only at 12 and a half per um gab Source 16 and a half here so
Wills Al torus uh Sam Burns absolutely getting a lot of attention um Tommy might be in this although I’m not a obviously a big fan this week of Tommy Cory Connor absolutely um SEIU don’t think Tom hogi is I think Tom hogi is going to be a little bit too
Expensive for this so this might be uh Mitchell and yeah that would be Doug gim which I didn’t want to drop into the 6ks for it but gb’s getting a lot of love per fantasy National Aaron Ry it’s kind of the same players around the bottom seven bottom
Of the sevens and sixes here Doug Aaron Ry maybe ecro ot’s creeping close to 10% at least for Fantasy National all right there’s a look at a couple of chalkier lineups how I’ve been going about it gosh dang it how I’ve been going about it I will try to build a Scotty shuffler
Lineup first um I again I’m this is not where I’m generally at I’ve been more balanced but for those who are wanting to use sheffler Aaron rice fine right um Doug gim fine I I again I just believe in the talent of the player of Ryan Fox
You could go to like somebody like Nick Taylor who seems to be getting disrespected quite a bit at least in pricing Pavone also could be interesting yeah if you’re not all that comfortable with Fox I mean you cannot argue with the form that Matthew Pavone has been in in 2024
So several options to get off the chalk in 6K in my opinion going to Pavone doubtful we can go to the 9ks if we do it’d be like Lowry cam young could be interesting cuz he’s he’s a lot more unique off of these two but I really don’t think we can jump
All the way up to the 9ks I’m going to try to squeeze a Tony F now in this it might be a little bit too much um looking like it’s probably going to be a little bit too much so instead uh we’ll come down to um minw Le is kind of interesting
Like I I like Keegan Brian Harmon um you can even go a little bit lower uh than those two the Keith Mitchell Chris Kirk I I’m not necessarily in love with uh bazen H but my gosh he’s got great form and or great course history I
Should say and very unique then the last one’s Eric Van royan who again you want to talk about like Pavone van Ryan’s in fantastic form as well like you’re right at 10% you might duplicate this lineup a time or two in your big big gpps but I
Imagine you might be one of the more unique Scotty sheffler lineups absolutely going to Pavone bazan who doesn’t seem to be getting garnering a lot of attention nordis Keegan I like Brian Harmon a lot uh as a safe play so this is kind of sheer lineup that I’ve
Been building all the going all the way down into the um going all the way down to the sevens you know you can maybe take out one of these upper sevens try to squeeze in like a Connor or a fenale or a seiw but this is what’s helping you get
Unique but the the lineups that I’ve been building uh have been going JT mostly um but I’ll I you know I’ve been building a lot of these super duper balanced lineups I just really like a lot in the um upper sevens as you just saw
Shane Lowry we’ll go Tony F now I think Cory Connors is a fine play he’s a little bit more chalky but fine play SEIU is fine Min W Le you know top 15 this last year top 10 this last year um excellent Tom hogi is going to Skyrocket this
Ownership um per fantasy National Tom hogi per Gabe source is only sitting at 11 a half I would be much more interested in Tom hogi I mean I’m going to use him regardless I’d be much more interested in Tom hogi at 11 and a half because he’s going to really Skyrocket
This percentage so I mean instead you can look at like a JT Poston I think is going to be fine Chris Kirk um Keegan Brian Harmon not not much with the English English has shown year over year that he just does not like this place but um in fact we could probably
Bot him out at like a Chris Kirk or Keith Mitchell yeah 86 like shoot we can go who’s 86 is Henley not in love with it but you know okay uh been on a little bit out of order in terms of um pricing but there’s a look at a
Lineup again it’s looking like it’s pretty chalky but um According To gabes Source a lot of these ownerships are a lot less like Lowry Lowry’s only sitting at 12% per gab Source been on sitting at 9% so you get a little bit more uh ownersh less ownership with these types that’s these
Are the kind of lineups I’ve been building shanee Lowry um Sam Burns if I am starting JT which I’m doing a lot I’m going down to Aaron Ry Doug gim uh but doing a lot of the same type of players you know Lowry Burns Cameron young I think it’s pretty pretty
Worthwhile this week Tony fenale if I want to get you know a little bit more greedy in this style of lineup but a lot of honestly a lot of my lineups have been going like this I’ve been starting my lineups going gim van royan Keith Mitchell and
Hogy and then rounding out because you see I have a thousand left here like just mixing and matching around this you know using three of these four kind of interchangeably and then mixing and matching up top whether that’s JT and winam Clark JT and Lowry maybe a Burns cam fale that kind of
Deal um if we go Justin Thomas is a 10,000 which would be Wills Al tourus you know just kind of mixing matching up top trying to squeeze whatever I can around these for because I really really like hogy and Mitchell EVR who seems to be quite unique so those are the lineups that
I’ve been kind of building for the players this week I’ll stick around for a couple minutes if anyone has any questions um looks like we got quite a few answers on the poll question um what half of the draw are you favoring if any I think I’m I’m in
Agreement if I were to Target a half of the draw which I’m not um I think I would try if in all other things being equal if I’m using a tiebreaker I think I would go with the Thursday a.m. Friday p.m. but I’m not really looking looking
At a at a half of the draw as far as one and done uh last week was uh an absolute chit show I chose Matt Fitzpatrick one of the 11 players that missed the cut so I was in second in my division in one and done I dropped all the way to 11th
Still doing good for the year but uh you know missing the cut at a signature event is uh is crippling so this week I’m I’m going to be a little bit more safe safe uh Kiss of Death here I’m going with Tom hogi in terms of one and done
Uh I’ve used Tony fenale used a couple of other kind of you know Premier players uh at different places so I’m going to go with Tom hogy uh four for four at March player championships uh just like the form that he’s in U and in one and done I I’m not
As concerned with ownership at all so there’s my oneand done pick uh so with that I believe that’s going to be the show P AJ Tony thanks for jumping in chat very very much appreciated can you build a lineup starts with Scotty uh I mean you can you’re averaging
Averaging 5,500 per player if you do that not do not just once not just twice three players averaging in the 5Ks if that’s what if if you’re trying to get that [Laughter] start um like I mentioned Carson young um God I don’t know Carson young would fit in this um boy I don’t
Know I mean Justin Su did top 10 this last year or two years ago but man hey good evening Darnell catching just the end of the show um yeah late to the party no big deal I just appreciate that you you remember to to tune in how do I feel about Stricker
Um I don’t know hadn’t been great the past 5 years here uh I’d go other places if you’re going that low um uh what’s up with the weather I don’t see much of a of a draw of half of the draw it’s been it’s really calm tomorrow when might pick up Friday
P.m. but I I don’t see a half of the draw to Target Darnell I really don’t um I tell you what um AJ I go Carson young maybe Samy valaki I do have some concern because he’s never played Saw Grass and generally you want to have a
Little bit of a little bit of knowledge of the course but at least like he played well down in Mexico Ben Silverman has also been in really really good form Florida yeah absolutely know Florida weather changes absolutely um but again I can only go by the forecast it doesn’t
Look like there’s much now it does pick up on the weekend but in terms of trying to get like six of six for a cut just play your guys just player guys um with this let’s go Carson young uh Ben Silverman only because he’s been in pretty darn good form
Lately and what’s that leave us with 57 yeah uh I’ve had a lot I’ve seen a lot of people look at lower I mean he was fine analytically irons are are fine Justin low might be interesting at at 57 if you’re I mean if you’re going that greedy
Like I think that’s how I would build that lineup AJ but I I really really am trying to avoid the 5Ks this week and I usually try to find a a diamond in the rough if you will but that’s bold even for me but I I mean I appreciate you know I
Appreciate the question I’ll I’ll do the best I can with it that’s I think that’s the way I would I think that’s the way I would go if I were building this much greed up top which I I don’t if you’re going to do
This I mean this is the way to do it absolutely you you do a sheffler and a Thomas I might back off a zot Taurus maybe um but you’re right I mean that is a very unique lineup very unique like if you were to if you were to go to like
Xotur and and go to like Lowry or Burns maybe even a Tony fenale like you’d be able to squeeze in probably a a a more quote respectable six like if we dropped we dropped to um like I don’t know how you feel about Cameron young but Cameron young
Would be ultra unique like even if we go with like Shane Lowry here you like you’re gaining 800 which this comes up to like if we go this would be like Aaron Ry we talked about a little bit earlier and then Silverman and young I do like zalot
Taurus but I think it might be just Just A Pinch too much if you’re going to go Scotty and JT and wiie Larry is in fantastic form yes and he loves Florida he loves Florida golf so I appreciate that lineup hopefully you got that in there before I
Before I deleted it but that is going to be the show this evening I went quite a bit over time uh but I appreciate all the interaction love what I do uh talking in-depth Sports statistics uh giving you a statistician and analyst’s view of what he sees
Trying to help us all win a little bit of money in the process so thanks to you for for jumping in chat thanks to everybody else who Tunes in watches listens supports the channel by liking the videos commenting and subscribing it helps me out by you all doing that uh I
Ask that you all uh consider doing that if you haven’t um let me know in the comments of the show or reach out to me on social media how your players championship is going throughout the week uh and later on tonight I will be posting my betting
Cards or my betting card and my top player usage for The Players Championship this week for all the Wagers you’ve made this week for the players championship for all of the DFS contests you play this week for the players championship for this weekend and every weekend may all your bets be profitable
