Best PGA DFS Value Plays for Arnold Palmer Invitational 2024 | Expert Picks & Bargain Buys: In this video I give you the best PGA DFS picks and value plays for your Arnold Palmer Invitational fantasy golf lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
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00:00 PGA DFS Values Plays
1:20 Min Woo Lee
3:15 Emiliano Grillo
6:30 Erik Van Rooyen
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#arnoldpalmerinvitational #PGADFS #GolfDFS #FantasyGolf #ArnoldPalmer
What’s up everybody Ben resi here for stochastic and I am back from vacation just in time to talk a little API Arnold Palmer Invitational here we’re going to be focused on some value plays what we’re going to do we’ve been doing this every week to great success we’re going
To use the lineup generator one of the coolest tools we have here at stochastic to run some lineups very quickly and then look who are the value plays that are coming up and let’s talk about a few of them maybe they round out some of your lineups I want to welcome everyone
To the channel if you’re new if you’re stumbling and take a look around all things DFS we’ve got you covered we’ve got tools and process and tutorials and everything you need if you like what you see hit the like button join this channel hit me in the comments if you
Have any questions as well here we go PGA DFS lineup generator gonna go with DraftKings now we get four options I’m gonna go with all lineups because I really like I said I was on a little vacation I’m just playing a little catchup I want to see what we’re gonna
Get because we have so many different options even in the 69 man field you know may I want my Rory lineup so let’s see what Rory lineups we’re going to get and the beautiful thing about this tool again it’s going to show you if you don’t like the lineup you press discard
If you want to save it just press save I’m Gonna Save all of them and then we’re going to look through them and I’ll probably throw some of them out and I’ll probably keep some of them it’s that simple this is the beautiful thing look at this generated now first thing
First that that stands out and this is exactly what I knew was going to happen and this is why I wanted to talk about this Min wo Lee 6.6k he is in almost half of lineups we just generated and that’s not an accident why he’s going to be possibly
The highest owned player on the entire slate he certainly qualifies as a value now is he a good value a bad value or something in between that’s obviously a lot more of a Nuance question than if he’s going to be a popular value what do
We know about minw well we know he’s a mega Talent we’ve seen some flashes of it uh obviously last week being one of them which is why he steamed uh in the price certainly didn’t adjust for what we saw at Honda where he was just fantastic he came in second he gained
Six Strokes on the approach gained in all four categories now he comes to the Arnold Palmer now interesting he’s been terrible here 0 for two and made Cuts he’s been disgustingly bad off the t uh bad with the putter here so there is a game theory aspect if he’s that popular
Maybe you want to go against the gra and you’re gonna have some pivots in the same range step SE straa comes to mind Adam hadwin comes to mind there’s certainly other names as well but I would be crazy if I didn’t start this video at least talking about Min woi he
Comes up in a lot of lineups he’s going to project very well and certainly with a a made cut Equity that’s high across the board your payoff for fading him isn’t as high if you get it right because it would take a terrible performance for him not to make it what
Am I gonna do with minwoo I’m probably gonna have a pretty nuanced position he’s definitely going to be in the pool I don’t think I’ll get like 35 to 40% uh I’ll probably be around neutral with the field maybe a small position either way but minwoo Lee is certainly the first
Value that we have to talk about now we go from minwoo to my guy right below him a Milano Grio at 6.9k before I talk about Grio though I want to talk a little more about what we’re doing here uh specifically with lineup generator which is to me the number one thing that
You if you have not used any of our tools this is to me the best way to get started it’s not a huge Comm commment it’s easy it helps the process it’s an absolutely essential tool that I use all the time sure we’ve got Sims sure we’ve
Got data all of those things are integral processes but man the lineup generator is awesome like I said you saw in two minutes me generate the lineups and if you’re looking if you are looking to see what we’ve got here we’ve got it for all the sports they’re here it’s
Quick easy you’ve got your choices you can lock players you can swap it’s super easy it grades out your lineups and then you just export them if you’re looking to get involved if you’re looking to say you know what I might give this a try you certainly can get all of them but
Look $88.95 a week so if you’re playing any type of volume give it a shot like I said it may not be for you but it may really help your process I firmly believe it’s worth checking out uh I like I said I it’s part of my process I
Love this tool I think it’s awesome it’s fun if nothing else but it’s absolutely uh informative and the data speaks for itself so come on in the link is below for PGA line of generator we’ll see in there if you have any questions you hop in our Discord as well um a really
Really good value and one that can make the difference now let’s talk about Mr Grio let’s talk about Emiliano uh my guy he’s coming in here we’ve got a healthy amount of them and there’s no doubt about it API Bay Hill what we want here I think he possesses I
Think we’ve seen that at times and certainly this year we’ve seen it the guy’s making cuts no doubt about it as has missed one in 2024 uh 33rd in Mexico he’s gained with gained with the putter in six of seven I mean who is this guy that has always been the missing link
And he and he’s been good at API five for five in made Cuts he’s got a top 10 it’s going back quite a while but very consistent and we’re talking about this could be your last man in and even in some of these lineups I I’ll quickly
Isolate them for us let’s take a look at how they’re doing this so lineup one here double pay up Sheffer and Rory you’ve got Scott Harris English Rio and sta so a double punt I kind of like that same thing here double pay up then more balance at the bottom here we’re
Starting with Rory can’t Lake Kirk Scott Bez and G th this is my kind of lineup uh this is right my wheelhouse but you see Rio is going to be your fifth or sixth man in in these lineups uh in the majority of lineups unless you’re going
Extremely stars and scrubs I like this spot for him I think he’s been proven to consistently make the cuts here recently the putter is not a liability keep it out of the drink which is an evergreen statement in this tournament and Grio is goingon to return some value for us so
Give me Grio as another value this week and one to keep your eye on at 6.9k all right we’ve talked about minwoo obviously we’ve talked about Rio obviously scrolling down so I’ve got to go to my guy EVR here and he shows up in a couple lineup again I’m going to be
Running many variations off the lineup generator but EVR is a guy that I really do think we have to take notice of he’s a direct pivot off minwoo uh they’re the same exact price and it’s not to say that one is going to be extremely popular and one’s going to be unnown
That is absolutely short-sided EVR came in second uh as well he was right there playing good golf he was super putting which is a little freaky uh obviously that’s an outlier to gain over seven Strokes with the flat stick but he’s also been really good T green he’s been
Positive in every tournament in 2024 except starting with the Sentry uh Waste Management is’s about neutral little little problems off the te but he’s gained three straight on the approach uh gained two straight off the T he’s a reliable driver of the golf ball we’ve seen that his API course history is not
Good I don’t really worry about that even with Min woo I don’t think that’s the end all Beal it could be a concern but it could also temper ownership in some iteration not going to do that with with minm Le maybe EVR just because he
Is that same price we’ll have to see our ownership will be updated again it’s all part of the data here at stochastic but I I more want to dig into what does it look like when we play some EVR lineups now here’s just a couple of examples but
I think they look pretty standard so you’ve got first one stars and scrubs clearly Rory Klay and Xander that’s a big three EVR minwoo and senson that’s three cheapes uh second a little more balanced but same concept Rory havland and burns hegan’s kind of a swing guy
EVR and shank as a true punt uh you’re going to be able to do that you’re also gonna have the luxury of course to go to your minwoo lineups and straight substitute you say okay I like this lineup quite a bit but if you don’t want
Minwoo you can just go and swap right to a guy like EVR no problem it’s that simple again that’s the power of these tools and updates right for you uh that is probably how I’m going to build this week with these type of iterations in
The 6K range ‘s going to be win Equity down there even in a stacked elevated event these guys can play we’ve seen it all year not saying it’s never going to change that Warrior sheffler these guys can’t and won’t win their fair share but we’re gonna need some value this week I
Think there’s numerous guys that we can really Target including the three we talked about there you have it again just a small preview here I have a full PGA strategy show be on the lookout for that get in our Discord if you have any questions tweet me Jazz rdfs and we
Would love for you to be part of the stochastic community again the link just for joining uh lineup generator is below all different types of packages maybe you want to do something a little more robust with the Sims or anything like that find the package that works for you
Find the tools that make your process better that is what we preach here that is what I believe in as well uh let’s make some money this week I can’t wait to see this tournament I’m very excited I’m happy to be back appreciate everyone wishing me well wishes on a little
Vacation but I’m going to bounce that out of here for me for Min wo EVR and my man Grio have a great tournament in enjoy Bay Hill stop by next week same time same place
4 Comments
➡ PGA Lineup Generator: https://www.stokastic.com/register/pga-lineup-generator-weekly/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=PGADFSValues
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LFG
Great work Ben
Happy returns Ben. You and others really need to go back after the tournament ends and compare your line ups to finished leaderboard. This way we can see how accurate the generator was. Perhaps we might see some patterns and switch things up next time around.
Thoughts??