Pat Mayo and Tyler Tamboline discuss their favorite 2024 Cognizant Classic Bets, DraftKings picks, debate the best roster construction for the week and project ownership for DFS guaranteed prize pools (GPPs). Plus, they review the DraftKings Ownership while going their weekly Head-To-Head-Lineup Draft.
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
2:04 Final Bets
14:15 One and Done
23:25 Weather
28:33 New 5K Range Strategy
39:45 Ownership
52:15 Lineups
1:08:25 H2H Draft
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I would say if you play lighter play tighter that’s just a good starting point for anyone getting used to it if you have 20 lineups and it Rhymes how could it be WR you know that’s Meo experience experience Experience P Mayo experience experience welcome to the pat Mayo experience cognizant classic DraftKings picks the preview we’ll talk about the ownership build some lineups discuss this new 5K range along with the weather and the final bets and oneandone strategy for the week trying to wrap everything up to make sure to give you
The best foot forward the listeners league is not yet full it is down in the description right now so go fill that up three max entry $15 to play no rake bestman on DraftKings and you might want to get in this one I’ll tell you why a
Little bit later in a few weeks either way fantasy national.com Mayo is where I’m doing all my research at you can do that too maybe even better research than I can do frankly so get or 20% off right now you got the players coming up signature event next week Masters coming in after
That so fantasy national.com Mayo Cod Mayo also works at shipin nation.com where Tambo has his core plays I I love I love the uh the cor fit rankings yeah solid Lee Lee has Le got them they crushed again last week came through again just nice to see so yeah we we’ve
Had a lot of fun with it over there the code Mayo does work as you mentioned lock going on right now but it’s going to be another exciting week we’ll talk cognizant you got your shirt on Pat so how can you pick winners that’s the question I I was actually going to
Go home a little bit later cuz I don’t have all my bets in yet that once I finalized cuz I want to talk it through with you first cuz you you might have some ideas on this because I only actually have well I technically have
Seven bets in but I have like three guys from like 33 to 45 and then four guys 125 and be you you’ve doubled and tripled down on mattye Fitz trying to make this work so you need to go home take your shirt off pretend a beach
Backdrop and say MADD Fitz at the number you got him at and hope that that magic works for you again we’re going to see if that ends up happening yeah so but I was thinking like it’s pouring rain out here today it’s freezing today there’s still snow on the ground so it’s going
To be hilarious that me on a beach in AR rubba last week and be like shivering outside with snow Banks behind me it works man it worked we’ll see we’ll see if it ends up working but I made way too many bets cuz I’m like flush with money
Right now you know how that works yes uh so let’s get to the bets right now what I have in all of this will be spelled out in more detail in the newsletter coming out later on Wednesday it is completely free to join to sub to it’ll
Get sent right to you you can always click on it after Thea too it’s down in the description or just go to substack Mayo media Network newsletter boom it’ll be up there so please go join that right now have a special announcement coming sometime within the next 10 days
Especially first people are going to know about it are the newsletter readers so you might want to get on that Maddie Fitz 33 to one uh I did I I went it will be more in depth in the newsletter too but I put it out on Twitter just like me
Trying to find different angles of why this might work and I’ve talked myself I’ve talked myself into it it’s like uh 10:30 11:00 at night our time and all of a sudden just a random Pat tweet pops up and it’s like just so you guys know last
Year wasn’t much different quot to your own it wasn’t it’s just funny no one no one asked no one said anything you’re just out there like damn I got to find something and reposting again just perfect to see you’re in you’re in on your guy and it’s conviction love to see
It Daniel how’s your burger 37 to1 Killa Keith Mitchell former winner of this event 45 to one his driving and Iron’s been off the charts good I like him I bet him with you oh you did what number did you get 45 I think 45 all right so
That’s all I got for like reasonable bets I have a whole bunch of people I’m mowing over and that’s kind of where I’m at right now like I could easily put Tom Kim on this card no problem I like Tom Kim this week but here’s the issue I
Also like baa and Bez and senson and list like all these guys like they all can’t fit so I just decided to put none of them on for the moment uh and we’ll talk it through a little bit bombs I have right now Bobby Mack 125 to1 with
Five places Carson young 150 to1 five places that was the first bet I made course on Monday morning this is a great course for him on paper also Cameron young is in the field and the best weeks for Carson young are when Cameron young are in the field and it’s the wrong C
Young that you see at the top of the leaderboard hey I’m telling you every week for Carson young right now is the best week for Carson young and Chan for Chan Kim 175 to one with five placements uh to bite from the newsletter a little bit he might just be an easy course
Player although he’s played well at opens and we’ve seen a lot of players who play well at open championships actually do really well at PGA National uh over the years but on the PGA tour he beats up on like easy Resort courses that’s yeah he was good at American
Express he was good at Mexico he hasn’t been good anywhere else so far this year so I hope he either comes inside the top five and wins me money or he comes dead last so he has like a really good number for Puerto Rico and corales and those
Places yeah makes sense bar off was on the fantasy golfer Monday he talked about he’s a big Chan Kim fan and he said you know experience can come is a big factor at a course like this like if you got just a guy that’s played golf
For a while he’s been in Majors things like that made it through so you never know it’s worth the shot but like you said if he doesn’t come through you have a backup plan anyway I was wondering how long your long shots wor were though when you said you could still fit Tom
Kim on the card and yeah Carson Young Chang Kim some of the guys what about Anthony Kim Live this week well I’m gonna get to my live bets in a second I got one more guy um and I only bet him because it was another guy to talk
Myself into after I bet him because he didn’t give me the cash out off I thought this guy’s last name was stranger so I was like going to write up like a hilarious like he sits on his hands he can’t feel his irons that’s why
He sucks with his irons but I have Jimmy Stanger at 300 to one with five places he gained seven strokes off the te last week like that’s not like that’s an outrageous number so obviously the guy can Mash if he’s got it going on off the
Te and if you can Mash here be accurate and long you can take a lot of the difficulty out of this course that’s basically how Keith Mitchell won yeah when he won so and minwoo kind of did that last year too except his irons are
So [ __ ] he kept going in the water and he couldn’t putt last year for weird reason anyway he’s 300 to1 five places he’s from Florida too so sometimes that just translates like guys that weren’t good on the west coast all of a sudden like your your boy Ben Griffin he might
Like actually be a play this week not betting wise but like DraftKings wise yeah I think so yeah we looked at that too he was another one so Ben Griffin would make sense but Stinger Stanger stranger everybody loves this guy for whatever reason but you got him at 300
So you can’t really be mad about that yeah I bet so first round leader bets I have in bti a 90 at 100 pendrith at 110 then Carson young 110 with five places and then Stanger 250 with five places where I’m going with first round leaders like I said
When I’m back in the first round leader Market my account is looking good is there a wave advantage to those bets or you just looking at them straight up I didn’t see any wave Advantage we’ll get to that Thursday Thursday is nothing like it’s the same temperature and
Basically the same wind throughout the course of the entire day uh live bets I got Brooks at 12 I cashed out my 10 they offered me an enhancement up to 12 I was like I am in on that you know it’s a good bet win yeah yeah so he’s won here
The past two years he’s not the he’s like the fourth favorite now in this tournament and like just you know okay I’ll take Brooks at 12 and a 54 man field Meo at 37 played really well in Oman last week and I bet uh ogal tree at
150 to one with five placements I have more in-depth on him again in the newsletter but he played really well through the Middle East swing on the Asian tour last year he was ninth fifth then he won in Oman a year ago he’s been terrible on Liv so far but he picked up
Like four Asian tour wins over the course of 12 months he’s 150 to1 with five placements and just you see absolute goobers at the top of Liv like there’s one of them every single week he’s the same odds as Anthony Kim like if I could take a head-to-head Ogle tree
Over Anthony Kim I would yeah and and you got the Mayo money tree right now so why not ogal tree that’s like you said you’re shaking a little bit this week putting the money in so I’m okay with that what whatever you think I I think people were looking for these
Head-to-head bets that’s why you know I teased the Anthony Kim thing when you said Chan Kim but just I think people looking to get money against him this week are people looking to get money against Jake knap uh sorry uh feberg another another guy found some uh some
Head-to heads he got money against him he got CZ over Jake knp this morning I think it was like minus 125 was pretty solid uh I did play one head to-head I very rarely play head tohe heads so I played Meo over Patrick Reed minus 115
On live me looked good last week all his numbers and stuff I saw too Reed’s played twice this year and he’s been awful awful like he’s not even playing these Asian tour events like before he would play in the Middle East wing on the DP World Tour and he’d like
Challenge Rory down the stretch or he’d go to Singapore and play in an Asian Tour event or he’d play in Oman like he did last year nothing nothing this year just two Live Events he’s been in the bottom 10 of each saving it up for the Masters yeah don’t don’t forget to tell
Me to play the Masters Euro tour in South Africa this week y uh so what I did was I read axis’s newsletter and then I listened to the DP World Tour of pick and bet show on Mayo media network with sky and Tom they’ve hit two winners
In a row they had a 9 to one last week so I took one pick from each of them and bet y I bet uh Rosner at 27 to1 Nao elvar not his brother at 50 to1 then Matias Schwab is 100 to1 in the Euro
Field like a bad Euro field it was a guy I bet on the PGA tour like two years ago yeah bar off and I both bet nacho last week and he came second yeah his brother came like fifth got the each way but it was still so I I have the Schwab with
The five places uh for the one andone if people are wondering I went with Daniel Burger Jeff went with Keith Mitchell and C took Seb straka oh nice this week so that is the overall betting cheat sheet like I said I I’m just kind of torn on
What to do I kind of want to bet pendrith and baa I would maybe I don’t know the baa love was interesting this we B I can get at 90 I feel more like he’s like the easy course and setup guy but you know maybe that’s just me I don’t see it here
Personally at this course but pendrith was a darling last week everybody loved him now his price drop on DraftKings you can get a pretty good betting number on him if you if you like him I would pick him yeah 110 to one yeah in the in the outright betting you had him first-
Round leader too right I I did have him first round later I haven’t bet him as a as an outright double that one up why not it Just he can play really well at longer courses because of his distance this we’ve seen But predominantly his best performances come
At the short Bermuda courses MH the Bermuda Championship the players championship Sony like that kind of thing like that that’s where he EXs it’s not the bombers track where you would expect him to excel maybe he’s very Gary Woodland likee in that way what was the
One that got sto did Tony steal one from him one time down the stretch I thought I can’t remember I think Patrick Reed stole Bermuda from him one year he was winning Bermuda by like four strokes I forget now but yeah you’re right and that that could set up well but if you
Already you have it the opposite way of what usually happens people will bet him on the outright and then forget about the first round leader and then make oh of course he’s leading after round one so you’re covered but he’s been on your mind someone you got at a good good
Number I think you could get him in the mix I like him yeah so just just to take a look back at his like Peak performances so far on the PJ tour there’s not many really to speak of but like seventh at Pebble Beach um let’s see
Here fifth at the barbasol that’s a bit of a longer course third at Shriners something that you know sunjay has won he has won here before eighth in Bermuda 10th at the Sony Open Ninth at Farmers a few weeks back before that like 13th at the Players Championship uh fifth in
Bermuda 11th at the barbasol and then even some of the shorter courses like at elevation like TPC Colorado like when he did that on the corn fery tour just for whatever reason yeah I don’t hate it I like that one better for sure if you’re
Going with one yeah but I mean I have more to I have more to give here would you bet Tom Kim I don’t mind Tom Kim I think I like him for DFS this week I don’t know what betting but uh I bet more like those middle guys yeah I just
I worry about the middle guys unfortunately it’s probably to be honest the week that you know Rory who has been horrible and doesn’t look good here for whatever reason I don’t even think he’s one here when we get to own yeah it’s like so old now though I just again
We’ll see what happens with him this week with everything else but I know really nobody’s betting him and we’ve been waiting all season for a favorite just to come steal one away from everybody and now seems like the perfect time the the Mayo Money Tree is dropping money everywhere and they’re just going
To swoop it all up with one Rory swift kick hey that’s okay as long as like Meo comes through on Liv then everything is fine ex we get nacho wining you got outs here this week did you do any doubles or triples oh you know I’m going to take
All these guys and like play like 25 cent doubles and triples with them as well just for some fun why not right yeah so I I think yeah it’s interesting but I I definitely think it’s a it could be a Rory week but Tom Kim is 101 and he
Squeezed between Eric Cole and Henley when we get to the DFS stuff so that’ll be a good play this week like I’m looking at it right now you can get him as a boost at bet 365 up to 9 to one Rory that’s you’re starting to get close
To like where you want to be I think yeah just depends what you think he’s gonna do I listen he can obviously run train on this field but it’s a course with way too many like R like a random bad kick in your tournament’s [ __ ] remember Lowry got punched in the
Face with wind in the last hole that but he’s another one that I like this week like I like Lowry this week I can guarantee he’s going to come top 20 because papao with these one andone picks chalk every week hits every week brand Brandon woo last week yep t-13
Bang just whatever he picks it’s good I have moved up into the top 350 I think in the one and done right now okay Patrick Rogers actually had a nice week for me last week nice and Fina ended up getting there like in terms of like it
Was fine he did like he I honestly I think if you watch the broadcast you still might not have known Tony fena was there they showed him like once here and there and it’s like holy [ __ ] the guy still finishes t13 did nothing all week
Oh I can tell you what he did cuz I actually watched some Tony fow highlights he was missing like six foot putts by 6 Ines to the right and left oh yeah like not even close to the hole and that’s what I mean like he he left a ton
Out there but also did nothing on you just see it and then you go look and he’s t-13 I mean to be expected in Mexico open but still pretty wild when you can set it up that way it’s going to be a lot different this week where did I
Actually get money from oh I got money from JT at Pebble Beach and Klay at the Genesis that if he had actually won that that would have been nice for me yes but I made uh I did the best bet show this week with RZA and Byron and that was one
Of that was my silver pick Shane Lowry top 20 there you go it’s going to hit there we are let’s talk about the oneandone uh how are you doing in the one andone not well okay 1200 but no one’s doing 1200 is fine yeah there’s
Room I mean again we’ve had the one the the problem was that the first big whatever it was what was the signature of Genesis that had four million up top yeah not a lot of people had Hideki though that’s true that that worked out a little bit in my favor because of that
Because I I had a miscut there like the leader right now is Chris B6 on Twitter he has 5.9 million in winnings that’s not a lot yeah you can catch up quickly that’s what people forget in one and done you’ve seen people turn it on late
And go from something to from nothing to something in a in a matter of a few events so uh we still got a ton of Signature Events the players the majors all that stuff and I’m I think I’m at 1.3 million or something yeah like I’m
At 2.1 and that’s good for 389th place right now I’m winning um 480 bucks oh Paul just showing off showing off uh where I’m at right now with some of these but yeah in terms of the leaderboard yeah 5.9 million like if you get first in second each of the next two
Weeks like at API and players that’s probably like 9 million bucks right there and you easily be in first place so no one is even close to out of this yet just with the lack of mean no one actually I guess people had Bez technically he won quote unquote he got
The first place share of the money at the American Express but outside of that like few people had Jake I think Jake knap was the biggest one I think 75 people had Jake knap last week who was the other guy the week that Bez got first place money Dunlap or no no no
Like that was cuz Dunlap one but wasn’t who was right behind Bez do you remember was it Xander or something Burn yeah Xander was there yeah that’s dad had him that week and he was so pumped he’s like that that’s the one he’s like and it’s great the amateur doesn’t get the money
I was like of course he’s already into the rules and everything so it’s it’s perfect like you said great Christmas gift you guys aren’t in it this year get in it next year but yeah this is a interesting week I think a lot of people just going to go with probably the Shane
Lowry’s the Eric Kohl’s I mean yeah who would you think is going to be the chalkier pick I think Henley’s a good pick I don’t know how like how chalky do you think he’s going to be DFS wise or one and done wise definitely talk DFS
From what I’m seeing early all right so maybe not him in one and I think for sure Cole and Lowry look like two of the ones that people be happy just to click and move on so I’m guessing Henley will probably be a part of that as well I
Think Henley falls into it for sure no one’s going to use Rory because why would you there’s you know tons of events you can use them use anywhere next week and use exactly and we don’t know like again that’s why I also kind of feel like it could just happen I
Think in DFS we’ll see his ownership not be as high as what the the ownership projections are because people just say oh you know I don’t need them it’s it’s tougher track whatever like maybe he doesn’t get there and other guys can beat him but I want to save Rory for
Sure so I think it would be Cole Lowry Henley an I was going to say an and uh if people go down the board maybe it is like a senson or something like where else are they using them for so poston’s possible yeah like do you think anyone
Will get to like sunjay or Kirk or those guys or just Kirk could sunjay is who I considered because for whatever reasons people don’t seem to think he’s good at golf anymore so I don’t know but uh a bezel probably be pretty popular as well
Yep yep be I mean even when we get to DFS the same Bez senson it’s going to be all a lot of the similar guys what about straa I know I know cus picked him but do people just go back on that because it’s beeny good for him here in the
Winter and all that stuff so yeah so like I’m I’m trying to think like is this it’s probably not a good spot i’ like I’ve bet Fitz I’m going to use Fitz and DFS he actually makes a lot of logical sense to be a oneandone pick
Because no one’s going to use him like hey let’s wait for some form with Matthew Fitzpatrick but like course fit wise he actually is pretty good pav I was thinking about using just cuz no one’s going to use him like why not or Keith Mitchell yeah pavon is interesting
Too and I know we’re still talking one and them but DFS wise you’re going to see a lot of the names this week that all I keep hearing is true is all these Euro guys specifically that last week were priced in like the 10K range now
Down to the cheap range pavon is a guy that last week would have been in that 10K range or above with what he’d been doing he wasn’t playing it though so you still can look at it and see that pricing but I don’t think anyone’s going
To him here and then to your point it just the fits thing is so interesting because the even the little tidbit you put it’s only one sample from last year to this year but he did figure it out and find his way through is it going to
Be Rory wins this week and then doesn’t do good when he’s popular at API and it’s the opposite for fits and it’s the opposite for Fitz is like I just think about these things sometimes and that’s one I could definitely see happening but if you’re not getting fits exposure this
Week you didn’t get the number you didn’t bet it whatever it might be I don’t think there’s any way he’s popular in one and done and again with a guy like Fitz what are you saving him for we again very good player we know this he’s
Awesome but it’s like it’s not like a Rory where you’re like okay I know here I know here I know here it’s fit still you could use them here and get away with it so I mean this is one of this is like when when we got Jack to uh come up
With the tool on fantasy National for the season long planner that’s one of the tabs at the top right now uh I think it’s an awesome tool for trying to prep out your oneandone or even like if you’re doing best ball drafts and trying to figure out hey I can actually get
Guys I can draft guys at the back end of my best ball drafts we actually in these fields and I can pile up points that way all you’re really saving people for are Signature Events and Majors that’s it like that’s so basically you have to
Think like who are the eight guys that I really want to use at these tournaments and that can even include the live guys who aren’t eligible for half of those tournaments so what are you like Fitz isn’t one of those guys what are we saving up for uh what’s his RBC Heritage
His favorite course in the world oh no maybe web Simpson will turn his life around and we can use we there be lots of guys that turn it around by then I I don’t hate your thought process around it I mean you even bet the guys so we
Made fun of that and joked about it but at the same time you just there’s no way anybody’s playing a guy like him or even Cameron young I just don’t see people playing these guys at this event this week in one andone who would you rather use as your oneandone Fitz or Cameron
Young at this course I’d rather use Fitz the only thing is with Cameron young he actually has a little bit of form right now so I could I mean I mean think it’s like a third and an eighth and a sixth or so it’s not been horrible
For him the last see if you need someone to come in seventh in a non-big money event Cameron Young’s your man yeah that is true Fitz might come last he might win though that’s true yeah I’m with you I probably would still lean Fitz all right I’ll figure that out so I took
Burger in like the the general one and none that we do so some good interview stuff on him yesterday says he’s healthy obviously we know he’s from the area friends family Etc but he’s he said he’s good and there was only really it was the farmers that one bad round 79 and
Caused him to miss the cut but after that it’s been like 71 60 I think 71 is his worst round 69 68 67 like there’s there’s rounds in there well we talked about it a little bit and you you kind of poo pooed me at the time but I do
Think that there’s a lot of Merit to like when the first week of zotus and at the Sony Open and what wasn’t he able to do he really wasn’t able to chip or putt all that well that it was kind of the same thing with burger like when he came
Back like the ball striking was like okay like you saw remnants of what you saw from Burger throughout the course of his career he still hit a ton of Fairways like his irons were pretty good couldn’t ship couldn’t putt Woodland couldn’t ship couldn’t putt tiger I mean
Was just all over the place but he really couldn’t chip or putt it just once you can practice everything that you want but tournament settings are just a little bit different like you can go to the range and hit driver all you want and you can figure that part out it
Just that stuff comes seems to come back a little bit more slowly and once you get like a tournament or two then you’re back to where you were yeah reversing my thoughts I think like to your point that is a good call because like you can have
Your track men and sit there and figure out your distances and dial that in no matter what your setting is but like you said even though like a guy like with Z Taurus I remember now at the time what he had said is he done a lot of chipping
And putting and practicing because that’s all he could do with the back and everything that was going on but it’s not the same you can’t really replicate the exact same setup you can’t replicate these greens as the day goes on or there’s do or missed on them the S some
Of the PO stuff where it gets bumpy and all you it’s just really hard to replicate that and practice it the same as how much work they put into their ball striking their irons their driver all of that stuff that they can really get the numbers off of so I think it
Makes good sense to what you said and makes a lot more sense now coming in so with more reps on a guy like Burger maybe now would be a time you see him being a little bit better and you get him back to a place where he always he’s very familiar with the
Course like he knows how to play around this course even going back and watching some of the I watch the past six like the highlights of the pack the Highlight packages on the PGA YouTube page are so bad they’re so bad and like they miss like very critical elements of what
Happens in these tournaments you you have to show like two more shots being like Oh that happened yeah oh like that you could have but it’s like no we need to see Zack Johnson at plus eight chip in like he chipped in great when they tell you just moments ago it’s like okay
Now we know it goes in thank you yes yeah thanks I I do like there was I think it was the PLAYERS Championship one year whatever year it was they were like expanding coverage and like they really made an emphasis to do it I just remember Charles how in particular it’s
Like and this was a moment ago from Charles how I thir from like 50 feet and he like just missed like oh okay they’re throwing us a curveball throw curve ball every now and again I wouldn’t mind it as much it’s when the guys they pop up
The name with the score and it’s eight over and you’re like this is meaningless but they’re going to show it to us anyway thank you so much uh you know what it was I think it was the US Open where they have that mandate where they
Do have to show a shot from every player maybe that’s the PGA Championship whatever one that is I think it was that turnament you know like it threw me just threw me off a little bit that would make sense weatherwise this week like I said nothing really on Tuesday at all
It’s going to be a nice 22 degrees Celsius know 3 million Fahrenheit maybe I don’t know I think that’s like 65 or something like that 65 to 7 you know the wind down to 3 mph in the morning gets up to a high of 10 throughout the course of the day like
That is nothing at this course so yeah I agree everything I saw was pretty similar at least for now we’ll look into it a little more later today just to see if it changes but um no real heavy rain or anything leading up to it so fast and
Firm is what I’m hearing from everybody that’s there right now the you know talks of the the wind and everything like that it’s going to make it even worse and then I guess the only question is Pat like at a course like this you know I’m always all for this anyway but
I’m certainly fine with some PM Stacks regardless because going through the bear trap on on Friday afternoon with everything on the line and the cut and all that I can definitely see don’t have to do it with everybody you can also just do it with some of your quote
Unquote scrubs if you want but I know lately a lot of people have said it’s been easier to pick scrubs than it has been getting the guys up top right you know so well I mean I listen this is the best EFS golf year I’ve ever had um at least like
I I have had bigger wins but like consistently doing well week over week like having an awesome year Y and a lot of that has to do is just it it makes my selection process so much easier just separating into Am Pm like I get to
Expand my player pool a little bit more overall but I have a really condensed version of lineup if that makes any sense like instead of playing like 30 guys over 50 lineups in general and just mixing them all together I might play like 35 guys over 50 lineups but 25 like
I cut it in half and it’s 25 lineups for like 15 guys 25 lineups for 15 guys that if I do get one of the Waves right or I get the scrubs right from one side they just kind of it’s I’ve been lucky that they’ve matched up in that way you get
Natural pivots like last week Sam Stevens 7100 it was easy to land on him I understood why people were there I had him in some like certain lineups that made sense not who you play it’s how you play them like we talk about but I also
Talk about building in these sets I talk about wave stacking is not weather wave stacking that’s a different scenario there is weather wave stack weeks that we do the players got it wrong could have ran both sides but the point being of wave stacking is you will sometimes
Naturally avoid the chalk and that was the Sam Stevens example some say how do you get to this guy at 7K as the pivot to Sam Stevens well if you look into it a little further it’s because I had everyone from the opposite side of the
Wave that he was on on that particular build and therefore this ended up happening so it’s just an interesting thing to take away and try out but um everyone builds differently everyone has their own way and it’s no different than when somebody asks you how many guys in
Your player pool oh the magic number 47 you put that you’re going to win it’s not how it works like there’s people with 997 players they get there there’s people that play 18 guys and get super leverage on all them that win so it’s different for everybody yeah I remember
Ages ago uh what was his name CJ Bedford came on he was like he just went on a hot run and I had him on he won like I think like three straight weeks he was in like six figures or something like that and he was basically like yeah like
I I run like I think it was like 20 lineups and I run 12 guys through it just if my core hits I’m going to win yeah and that’s just the way it’s going to roll but I remember talking to Brian Hooper about it who who plays like 150
Max and that kind of thing he’s like I I play like 80 guys and he wins too so there’s just many different ways that you can approach this yeah every week is different and that’s to your point the the nice part about when you play like I
Would say if you play lighter play tighter that’s just a good starting point for anyone getting used to it if you have 20 lineups and it Rhymes how could it be R you know that’s me that you got to have those those on liners but like this is the setup of that where
Someone was saying Even in our Discord today over at chip and nation was like when I play 20 lineups I play a much lower number of guys but he said like I bad when it when it doesn’t work it doesn’t work but you’re looking for those Spike weeks and what he said is
Like the weeks that it happens he said weeks where everybody makes the cut imagine I mean when you’re 100% 66 I know it’s only 20 but you can only be 100% and these are on weeks where it’s 5 to 10% six to six and because you condensed your pool to just this now
You’ve got 100% 66 you’re going to have a lot of fun over the weekend with your sweat and having guys have a chance to get to the top I’ve been playing DraftKings golf now for n years no 10 years 2014 when I I’m playing like Tyrone Von
Ass wagen at 6,100 bucks yes I’ve had one week where I’ve got my entire player pool through the cut it was the Porto Rico open one year I want to say in like 2019 or something like that and I was big on Scott Brown that week I don’t
Know why that sticks out and I lost money oh man the six to6 percentage was 61% yeah see that this is the the Difference Maker for sure but yes it is you know it can change like that also you could get them all through and you still only have 20 lineups even though
You’re 100% it’s better than everybody else it’s only 5% but the guys can go backwards and maybe your main core piece that’s in 60% of your builds is the guy that shoots 74 75 over the weekend and that just sucks in that instance but overall I do like the concept and that’s
Sort of the back to the original point of if you are just stacking a wave you would get naturally different from the chalk in a lot of cases let’s move to DraftKings picks for the week the first thing that I want to talk to you about
Because this kind of hit me and I obviously I was in a place where I couldn’t play DraftKings lineups last week trying to I was like oh yeah not eligible in my region this is no good there’s a 5k range now yes so how are you approaching this mostly ignoring
Okay and so even last week I want to bring this up quickly because we talked about on the first look show this week was that uh the optimal last week did include a 5k guy and it was uh 474 was the salary used okay so no one’s
Building that lineup right and then the the point I wanted to more so argue was that you know the score was massive I think it was like 680 or something and you you know people were winning tournaments with 620 630 go ahead was Ben Silverman the guy I I want to say it
Was CT pan I thought was 5700 last week and again he was very optimal like that makes sense but I’m saying there was a scenario there where you could just move him up to a $7,500 guy and still have money left over and still have a tournament winning score so when people
Are like see told you the 5K you needed it to be optimal you don’t need to be optimal to win the actual gpp I’m not saying not try let’s get there let’s go with it but it’s no different than people post out the optimal lineup each
Week and it shows 45k or 46k and everyone’s like oh man I got this bad boy strategy this week I see that the optimal always leaves three grand on the table I’m going to build all my lineups with a cap of 47k and make sure I stay
Between 45 and 47 because then I’ll win it just doesn’t work like that so that that’s my point more so is that there is I don’t know if you saw this Pat but what it did and they did it again this week it changed it so the 7K range is
Only 18 guys if you recall in the past with the 7K range is usually 35 to 50 guys that you’ll get in there so now the 6K range down to 5K is 97 guys and so it’s more of like a needle in a Hy stack thing not saying don’t use it I’m going
To use them and you can get aggressive with it I really like it overall because it does spread out the ownership in some of these certain ranges and it helps congest the other areas like we will know exactly who the chalk is today six seven guys boom because the way it sets
Up but I don’t think you have to be forcing it just to to say you did it that’s that’s kind of the setup I’m looking at so I think it’s going to become because I see a name down here and I have no idea if he’s going to be
Good or not obviously but like Jorge campio is in the 5K range I think you’re going to get the chance to use some of these Euro players who might actually secretly be like okay or better than the range that they’re in Y at a cheap price
The first time that we see them that would be my initial take on it and I do have some like here are some guys like I ran my model short-term modeling on fantasy National you can find the the settings and everything in the newsletter that came out on Monday if
You want to copy them or just kind of go around oh yeah MC Messier oh he’s hilarious actually and well it’s it’s like Messinger but every time I see I see M Messinger like hey Mark Messier is in this get that man some lays well you
There’s a quick funny story on him is uh Vince wayy wded on Monday right as pricing is about to come out we’re waiting on pricing for the first look show it says Rob Bolton posts it Vince whey out MC Meisner in sure enough the pricing comes out like 5 minutes later
From draft and they just slammed Mac right at the bottom at 5K flat you know it was like the last thing they just throw that [ __ ] at the bottom of the CSV press send and let’s get it out there and boom he he’s there at the very bottom Parker CTI is
$5,100 he has top 25s in his past two starts one being at Tory Pines won in Mexico last week he’s gaining on his approaches what’s his brother’s name again Pearson Cy he had to WD last week cuz Daddy couldn’t pay off anyone on the score card prevent from shooting plus 10
We we missed that last week and you missed the pricing this is the interesting part as well to tie back here after that I got you is that Pearson was priced less than Parker substantially last week I think it was $1,500 less and everyone’s saying wait I
Thought Pearson your guy was the guy and they’re like no no it’s Parker it’s Parker and then Parker goes out and has another good week now they’re both priced at the exact same price at 5100 so again that’s the other thing about this range Parker might get to 4 5% this
Week whether you think that’s good bad ugly I don’t know I’m just saying it’s not like these guys in the 5K range even if people see that as a misprice it’s not popping him up to like 15% or something he’s 5100 you can build a ton
Of different ways with him if you want to use him Sam Ryder is another example he’s at 5900 I think he came third here or something recently like last year the year before like so oh he’s going to do that again of course 5900 got to get him
In there he pops so you’re going to see two or three of these guys be three to five or want to say four to 7% range to put something on it but nobody gets out of hand down in this range from what I can tell no I I’ll use Parker Hy this
Week sure I think it’s a good price to make Rory lineups work or if I really want to jam at the top and use like I mean we just talked about all the guys it’s hard to bet this week because there’s so many guys between 30 to one
And 75 to one that we like that people are going to get chopped off well you can kind of use like five of those guys and Parker Coe in a lineup if you want to Y uh the other one like Bud cly I actually do have I’ll probably have more
Interest in him in Houston when we like when we get back to Texas but I was like I don’t want to say astonished by how good his ball striking was in Phoenix for the first time playing in four years he lost six he’s another guy lost around
The greens lost six Strokes putting in his first start back but it’s the ball striking was really good yeah I think it’s uh you know that range is like he’s there at 5,500 I know people are talking about Joel Damon I know people are talking about Matthew n Smith again none
Of them can really get ownership so just take your stands and pick your guys I would just encourage if you are going down here to hope that you nail your scrubs and pick them like play them put them in 7 to 10% so that if you’ve got 150 lineups you actually have exposure
To these guys and it’s not like oh man I knew um you know bud collie was a good play I threw him in this one lineup just didn’t work out yeah because you played him in one lineup lineup and and then I’m saying this to people that are
Playing multiples if you put them in your single entry and that’s ballsy and you did it I’m good with that it’s not like right or wrong I’m just saying it’s the complaints of I had 100 lineups I played I had this Bud colie lineup and it sucked well you played them on one
Lineup like you you didn’t give yourself any chance if he had a good week can’t be that mad uh the other two I was looking at Carl Juan shout out to the guy that bet six grand on Carl Wan that was insane that was pretty funny it had
To be like uh publicity for the bar too like I I know it’s like Tom and Jerry’s bar or whatever it was but it was like you know running it up to 6K definitely a good little stunt there got some good exposure did not it was crazy round two
Do you see it crazy Carl speaking was like 6 under yeah he he had he had the terrible round one but I think he eagled the final hole of the day in round wanted to like get back to the momentum rolling yeah and then he just boom
Crushed on guy mood changed real quick overnight he was like he thought he was out of it then then crazy Carl gets in the mix like that he’s like oh shoot we got a weekend here now so uh didn’t work out but yeah he’s down there there’s
There’s a bunch of names you could make cases for in the 6K range this is what I was bringing up earlier pack I know you saw it last week but didn’t get to really harp on it or talk about it too much is because the 7K range is 18 guys
The 6K range becomes a ton of dudes that like should be 7,400 yeah like you know what I mean if D Dre was 74 B was 7,400 Davis Thompson was 7500 any of these guys was putting fake prices on they’re all the same so just keep that in mind
As well when you’re building Paul how are you feeling about Andrew Novak this week after his two consecutive very good starts I know this isn’t a resort course but Phoenix wasn’t a resort course either and he played really well there this is not an Andrew Novak week
Okay long Resort course is pops palum greens he knows this the greens he’s on too that’s that’s the that’s the headquarters of Novak Nation Novak Nation Paul Paul is the leader of Novak nation that is incredible Paul’s been betting this guy for like I don’t know did didn’t he pop
Up at like Puerto Rico or something like that and you’re just like Resort course no back it was vant like two years ago and I was just like this is basically with like John ROM at the at the front of it this is basically like um you know
A second rate tournament like it’s a an alternate event um so yeah I found like you know Puerto Rico and like he pops off the chain the one thing that annoyed me was that I always intended to bet him last week but like he popped he showed
Some form what in in Phoenix in Phoenix which like I feel like he would have been 300 to one rather than 125 could he because he had been awful no Novac Nation we’ll over that one John ROM light when he’s at a resort course you
Can get Andrew Novak I love that call I just like Novak Nation so let’s let’s I mean we should probably look forward a little bit to Puerto Rico and corales so I got forchan we got Novak we got two guys building blocks we got we got one
More to go we I would even play Draft gangs lineups that week so I’m looking for outright bets you said Carson young every week so he he’s I think Carson young is like qualified for the players he’s GNA win soon where is he gonna win though what you just said this week
Puerto Rico no I don’t think he’s in those fields I think he’s in like the better Fields damn I was gonna say that which is not good for him yeah that is not good for him although I could see him being good at Saw Grass like he is
The perfect profile for like like I had Eric Cole Ben Griffin and Justin Su last year were kind of like my bombs and they all played really well at s just they they don’t get into trouble off the tea and I like what you said there too
Because that’s the other thing he’ll be cheap and people like there’s no way he they they see him as the easy course guy easy field guy so how is he going to do anything in the players but he’s going to pop through a have a made cut for you
And be just what you need to make the other five spots work Aaron Ryan this field no he should be like it feels like he hasn’t been playing at all he just played he played last week yeah he came 19th but like it just I always thought
He was better than he is maybe maybe that’s he won the Scottish open he did win the Scottish open he won he won a bunch of times like three four times I think he and he finished top 10 uh in the Open Championship that Mora won he’s
Fine I play him all the time he just he’s another guy he just hits a ton of Fairways and sometimes he gets hot with his irons and sometimes when he I don’t know people make fun of the two gloves and stuff but typically when he makes
The cut and he’s in it over the weekend he does good so he’s a good Showdown player over the weekends too it hasn’t been the case this year so far a couple of events monitoring it but in the past like last season it was always if he
Made the cut he typically had a pretty good weekend Chandler Phillips he was in the mix last week some good stuff I’m I’m just looking at the guys who gained an approach last week he gained almost five Strokes lonto was up there someone named Alo Ortiz beera was very good but it was
Nap and then Mitchell Ryan the gim Reaper and Novak and then e root gim’s in the mix again this week your boy he’s the guy by the way too shout out to everybody out there that watched last week when we filled in for you he was
The guy we forgot on the Mayo special how did the Mayo special lineup do I did not see how it finished out but I know that the number one comment we were like please let us know I’m probably missing somebody be uh no it it was um more on
Like your past history guys okay right like guys you always liked and so anyway it was definitely missed out on Doug gim that that was for sure so he he’s here this week we can get back to it this week with him let’s look at ownership before we start building out some lineups
What do you think Rory comes in at because I’m seeing like this is the funny thing sometimes about fantasy National that’s really hard to I think gauge it because you have these 5K guys if people are comfortable with playing them then you play all the Rory that you
Want and pair them up with [ __ ] cam young if you want to like that’s a VI not a viable strategy maybe but it’s something that you can easily do in your lineups but he’s being favored at a whole bunch his current ownership projection is 13% but he’s the most
Generated guy in lineups so what’s the I don’t know I don’t know where he comes in it’s just what’s the generated lineup percentage 26% yeah I I feel closer to that my thought would be 25 to 30 range but putting just a random number on it and
Not being surprised if it was like 24 because I actually think when we get to it you’ll see because the Henley Cole Poston M an Kirk Lowry even people like Burger this week for what you know what I mean like all these reasons there there’s just going to be a lot more
People comfortable moving down the board so I think he could come back a little bit from what people think I’ve seen projections out there for like 28 25 29 things like that I would guess that the 25 number is probably the closer number than the 13 and that’ll probably get
Adjusted as the day goes along it’s just oh just cuz the favorite person it seems like people are either making a stand like I’m playing a tener Rory or I’m not playing Rory yes I agree and that’s the other angle of it too is again mentioning it but huge fomo with this 9k
Range where people are just not going to want to miss out like again I mentioned all those names I’m good with missing out on like these guys never [ __ ] win right and so if you think like that that’s what I’m saying but then the the other side of the coin is when people
Say but it still is Rory and you know he doesn’t look that good like they they’ll just go off of that and then it’s 122 and the punts are not the issue people have tons of punts they want to play it becomes how do you do it and not go and
Then they definitely if they can’t get to Rory in their mind they’re not getting likely to Young’s and Fitzpatrick’s so then like ah screw it I’ll just go back down at least I’ll get three of these guys in in this 9k range and get some win equity and some upside
That way is what they you know the the general public is going to think so how can I frame this I’m just looking at Denny McCarthy because no one’s playing Denny McCarthy right like there’s a couple guys so here are the guys that no one is playing that I can
Accurately say that like are just going to be wildly under own Fitz number one he’ll be like he might be Sub five% in this field I think he’ll still get to like seven or eight I don’t know man even either way putting a number on it
But I think he’s higher than five okay I I think that he’ll be I I would set the over under like at 5.0 you’re taking the over I would take I would take the slight under but he’s not going to be owned minwoo no one’s playing mhm Denny
McCarthy very fewer playing and then you get to this range poor Jake knap man the guy has a amazing I might play Jake knap at 8,400 bucks like legit no one’s playing him he just won and there is the angle too thear the week the week after
The win there was like that thing back in the day someone did it I forget but like the pricing goes down if they if they price goes up after a win you don’t want to chase it if their price goes down after a win you can keep you can
Keep riding it and I thought everyone you had the don’t sleep on Jake nap but I I came up original originality key Wide Awake Jake everybody was on him last week the tickets were everywhere you were all over him shirtless on a beach everybody was on Jake Napp he was
20% in tournaments like a bunch of people played him now everyone’s going back to sleep right they’re they’re going back for their nap with Jake they don’t want to use him he’s I’m seeing like 5% I I think I would take the under on 5%
On Jake knp this week and if he can do what he did off the te not so much Sunday but the other three rounds like that’s the cheat code to this course long and straight bombs away be Keith Mitchell be Brooks be one of these guys
Be be a winner out here again on the PGA tour I’m not gonna what if Jake naap is the next Brooks K gu I said that to Jeff on Monday yeah like what what if he is that just is he the next like ROM he just starts picking it up he starts
Winning tournaments it starts here all of a sudden he’s at that I mean people are making fun of it but it would be funny I I don’t think so but just if he did anything could happen but I I but because of his like both price point and
Ownership percentage I am going to play he’s the average price he’s 8333 he’s 8,400 and I’ll probably end up on Hoy guard as well because no one’s playing him now it’s the bad Hoy guard but he’s on a really nice run he has five say
He’s been a lot better lately I mean yes well I mean Nikolai came second at Tory Pines that’s pretty good fine but even like if you look at the the Rasmus run if you will it’s been very solid five starts in 2024 no finish worse than t11 and don’t forget what everyone gives
Nikolai credit for which they should he won the DP World Tour Championship and came second at the nedbank two pretty decent events when you look at the strength the field and some of the guys that were over in those his brother was right behind him in both of them I think
He was 11th and sixth so he like he’s fine too and he’s 8,500 so I’m toying around with an idea that once a month cuz everyone’s just like pissed off about the official world golf rankings and they’re like oh the data Golf Ranking say this and they say this I’m
Just going to start doing my own rankings that once a month I’m going to do the top 50 Pat’s top 50 in the wgr the May World Golf exactly right and like if I’m just trying to like parse it through my mind there’s listen there’s
Not going to be any sort of formula for I’m just going to base off like gut like know who do I think is better Brooks or Patrick Klay I think Brooks is better so Brooks is going to be higher than him but if I’m looking at this like do I
Think that Rasmus hoard is better than Eric I do I do think he’s better than Eric Cole so then you got I mean you got to get in on that 9,900 for Eric Cole 8,500 for Rasmus so I’m going to play Rasmus yeah and that but I mean I also
Think that like would there anyone in the world say that Eric Cole is a better player than Min Woodle right now no but for this course kind of thing you know what I mean that’s what comes down to for sure I mean matw pavon your boy he he’s been
Crushing literally one and he’s at and then he like no no no way he can do it again so he’s down here all right that’s the guy that I’m using for my other one and done team the one that’s in 1500 I’ll use matchu paval go for it
Yeah I mean he actually feels like he would kind of fit here quite nice so we’ll see but and the other one that he’ll probably end up with late steam because it always happens it’s Cory Connor he’s getting late Steam for sure yeah I liked it more start I actually
Already see him up in that 15 to 18 range I think he’s going to get pumped because his recent results and then it’s more of just a you know what’s around him yes low and burger will get a little bit Mitchell will get some but I think
After that is the drop off and you can easily afford him at 9100 with those punts down low he is so bad on these greens like worse than he normally is somehow and he can’t chip here it’s next week is the Cory Conor spot so he F fade
Here and hop on next week I think that’s what I might end up doing and then he’ll just win at 12 to one at Valero again what’s weird to me though just saying Cory Connor is because right below him is so you mention Denny Steven Jagger usually fan favorite maybe looks like
You know 12 to 15 that’s fine get away with it uh pavon who you talked about straa Rasmus nap Hustler and even Hustler and List look lower than what I would usually expect them to be at but I think it’s just a product of the pricing
Where it’s so easy to just get those multiple 9k guys and skip over this 8K range so as we’ve been going through this I’ve been piling up some names for like my final bets uh eot was one that jumped out to me like right away and I I
Kind of claimed that he would win at some point I didn’t realize gained so many strokes on approach last week and he hits a ton of Fairways which is good for this score 6700 this week so I’ll be using him in some lineups but the ones
That I have it kind of down to like I mentioned baa I like baa probably not going to go with Lowry we’ll see list is really interesting here I mean if he can putt I brought this up with I think it was with Ben yesterday that the around
The green game is absolute trash like that’s why he lost at Riviera and Hideki obviously got super hot but he gained over six Strokes putting this is happened like multiple times now that he doesn’t have his putter fixed but when it’s going right it goes really really
Right which is exactly what you want for him yeah also the angle of the around the green stuff is like again you’re playing this guy to hit greens that’s what so so again if it doesn’t work out it wasn’t working out anyway as my point
Yeah you know what I mean if he has another bad around the green game it’s over anyway so it doesn’t you’re playing him hoping that he’s hitting these greens hoping that he makes putts you’re not expecting six Strokes gained with the putter but you take what you get and
Also when it comes to DFS or betting I mean pricing matters his bet number better his price on DraftKings cheaper like you’re getting something out of that so even if he does get some late steam I’m still fine with your thought process here yeah it was just that like
He has the potential to win this tournament sure like he’s lost in a playoff to Justin Thomas here before and man The Rock bounce I know I I remember and there was like a fake Justin Thomas in the stands wearing the same gear as him and the camera went to him and it
Was uh it was not him I remember this vividly was perfect but yeah that was a tough year so list is definitely capable I like the call on him both what’s his number uh I think you can get him as high as 65 now cuz it doesn’t seem like anyone’s betting him this
Week I think I bet him actually did you I made my bets on Monday with bar off and I think he’s on the list so I’m pretty sure I did bet him list is on the list yes there you go so uh I I can’t remember what the number was but I
Actually do think I bet I might have to look it up so the other ones like I said bot yeah Justin Rose was another one just why not I don’t think anyone’s playing him either butting whatever you want to do with him he’s 8K you can do anything there because if people are
Going there I think it’s noren list hogi senson and Bez for sure so well senson once won like a two 2015 Q School yeah at at the course that that’s great he beat he beat a bunch of non PGA players at a golf course oh also he is a PGA
Player like also it’s 2024 if you didn’t know I also routinely uh I went 24-0 against cust last year in our head-to-head matchup great great course history for me I’m a big winner no it’s just nuts nine years ago I mean that’s not the reason there’s other stuff that
Sanson’s been up to that would make sense but it’s just funny that piece gets brought in it’s like nine years ago it’s just another added content tidbit we talk about all the time these are good it’s nice to throw these out they’re content pieces but they’re
Useless when it comes to sample size and anything you’re even talking about I mean nine years ago a lot of different [ __ ] was going on in my life nine years ago who won this event n years ago maybe Ricky won it man I couldn’t tell you it
Might have been like the Russell Henley year isn’t it the year year Rory won it no Rory won in 2012 oh same Rory won the year that tiger made his comeback and Tiger shot like 612 62 on Sunday and missed the playoff by a stroke and then Rory went to a playoff
With Henley Knox and Palmer I want to say and beat them in a four-man playoff so Jake knp is going to shoot a 62 on Sunday since he’s the new Tiger Woods and he’s find his way through here but yeah I I do remember that so yeah I
Don’t know who it was in 14 but either way we’re talking about senson going way back I think you know betting him fine I think I got him at like 60 or something 65 yeah he’s a no he’s a no fly zone for me on DFS this week he’s going be
Popular in DFS but but I agree with you like I see like he HS a ton of Fairways he’s been playing really well he’s won at this course before but he tends to putt better on Bermuda when he got his win it was on Bermuda at the RSM like
Every I bet him here last year like I think that he sets up really well for this course but you’re feeling good about this tournament now back back in studio narrative which is not good for my my course history but uh do do feel good about the stuff we’re talking
Through when we get to building these lineups because I think we’re getting some clear information now like I said that’s the one thing about the pricing spreading out is one two good things one it spreads it out which is nice so you can get leverage on pretty much whoever
You want but two you really start to see where it’s congesting which then really tells you what the roster construction common roster construction is going to be for the week that makes the difference so even going down the list a little bit before we get into that so
Highest owned guys this week at least from what I can see right now Rory and Cole and Henley so lineups are going to start with Rory and one of those guys or Rory and the next level down when you get into like senson Bez like Rory spencon Bez is let’s just start there
With the lineup you can even do Rory Cole but we’ll get there yeah so go ahead you want to start with Rory senson Bez Rory senson Bez is where I’m gonna start Rory segue senson Bez what do we got left we got seven $7500 left like that’s that’s all
The money in the world do you have other guys popular below 7,400 I’ve got at least one let’s see below 75 gim is going to be pretty popular uh hogi is gonna what do you make a hogi this week like just killing it right now number
One in my model sucks at this course yeah it’s a battle of recent form versus course history there’s a couple of those this week I don’t remember all of them we talked through them on some of the other shows bear off an eye on the fantasy golf DeGeneres here on the Mayo
Media Network we went through it there was three or four instances where it’s like holy [ __ ] this guy’s playing incredible right now or good enough for their price tag here and field strength and whatever but their course history is horrible so we’ll have to figure that
One out but so let’s throw gim now we’re back up to 7750 is there any punt you think would be the punt like the from what I’m seeing dialon Woo is going to be the punt okay I’m I’m definitely cuz he’s 6,100 not against that and that leaves
You Lowry or Kirk there you go Lowry now if you use probably Lowry but it might be Kirk I if you use Carson young what do you get back up to 88 that’s the Jagger pavon straa that’s not really where people are actually Landing I think you nailed it and I forgot about
Woo I was going to say Doug gim and you already had him but the other guy I had there was uh woo at it’s Lowry over Kirk this week for what people are going to do yeah so just if you’re looking at pure chock that’s the sort of chalk Rory
Build that you can get to no problem and of course you still have to touch up on that 9k range with Shane Lowry you’re you’re not going into the fives but you have a six and you’re using those you’re using those 7K chalk guys that’s for
Sure so let’s throw that one in now let’s rebuild it to see what we can do with other Rory lineups this is the lineup that I just put together because I forgot to like enter some of my free contests last week because I’m like in a
Season long one totally forgot to make a lineup so I just make one at the beginning of the week and just pick guys that I like so I had Tom Kim Burger Mitchell pendrith Carson young and E root was my like just first thing on Monday like just picked six guys that
Filled it out in like less than 10 seconds that was my initial thought Kim Berger Mitchell ecro pendrith yeah and who’s the last one 72 Kim Berger Mitchell pendrith Carson young eot oh young your boy Carson young made this well you left money on the table right yeah yep
That’s in it uh projects like 20 points less of course it does but yeah that’s so let’s change this up a little bit so we said we’re not playing senson so let’s take him out and I think we can drop woo too let’s try this one do you like woo at
All or no no not really okay he’s no different than anyone else that’s down there to me like I mean I’m a [ __ ] for Johnny Vegas so I’ll probably play him again okay oh he’s a guy got a bet first round leader did I bet him first round
Leader I didn’t did I let’s see frl no I gotta add add Vegas frl to card Johnny Vegas dfl after round one hey he’s had some no I’m just kidding may he actually could pop up here I just see it’s funny because people put expectations on to
Him like he was pretty owned last week and I saw that everyone bet him myself included I bet him last week too but he’s just doing like classic Johnny Vega stuff yeah like save him save him for the players and this I mean this is the one of the other tournaments where he
Tends to play he actually putts well here historically in his career if we’re playing Carson young at the Players we can play Doug gim he always does well there and then you can play Johnny Vegas there’s our our players starting lineup I like it all right we’ll get there so
We take senson out take woo out turn woo into Parker Cy let’s say at 51 so just start with Rory Parker CTI okay yeah good call so we have our expensive guy we have the second cheapest guy on the board who I do like and we can build a
Version of this lineup what do you do with your $8,100 here do you go because I my initial lean would be like oh how can I get in Burger how can I get in Mitchell and I think that’s pretty easy to do so what I would do here just
Trying to fill out the lineup I’d go Burger I’d go Mitchell and I think I’d go see now I’m back down to 72 that becomes a little bit tougher doesn’t it depends on what you like down there if you I mean I like Carson like I’m going to use
A ton of Carson young this week so let’s use so that gets me back up to 78 where’s Rose ah Rose is 8,000 oh pendrith is right there I like pendrith pendrith instead of senson is the pivot play of the week if you didn’t know Canadian on Canadian violence yeah I like
That that happens often too so that’s sort of a lineup I don’t know if I love that lineup all that much tell you the truth okay so take out keep cudy and maoy you’re still want to build a Rory one yeah do we want to throw Fitz into here
Tom Kim into here instead of like Burger Mitchell we just throw another expensive guy in try the double stud yeah let’s let’s do Fitz okay I think Henley would probably be the most likely candidate for this double build Y and we’ll like I’ll write that down we’ll try to build
With Henley is the first guy in as well uh in a second so Rory Fitz Parker cooy you’re back down to $5,100 this is where you can try to kind of attempt to exploit the 6K range you do you like did you like Bez though because if you could
Have got by with Bez you can get your Carson young pendrith and you’re already super different you’ve got Rory Fitz start yeah well well I think what you I’m see if I can squeeze in one of the 8K guys that I like okay so baa we can
Throw in at 6,900 I think that’s a really good price for baa so the only difference really because you say like easy courses weak field that kind of thing and you might be right about that but he hits a ton of Fairways which is key for this course he’s played pretty
Well here the past two years Camp Putt his putter is I don’t want to say that it’s good now but it seems to be less problematic than it has been since he went to the long putter he was really good at the farmers too actually so yeah
And like he he can ball strike like he could be the best ball Striker who’s not Rory in this field yeah I and if he makes some putts that’s the difference I didn’t love him to bet like when you’re talking about who you’re going to bet to
Win of the two but I guess you know just looking at that that’s fine that makes him even better at 900 so maybe maybe he’s a guy you could get to here so when we keep looking down the list like right now with two spots left we have 7600
That’s very doable EVR pendrith yeah or you can go Bez yeah someone I suppose it’s nobody else really there but that’s your best projected one yet is if you go EVR and pendrith to round it out with Rory Fitzpatrick cudy and baa but what I
Think I can do here to get back up to like that Rose Hoy guard type of range so let’s just throw in hoard just actually I’ll throw in rows just for Just for kicks at 8,000 see what I have left I have 7200 so I don’t even need to
Play rows what I could do is try to get up to burger or M let’s try to get up to Keith Mitchell at 9,000 62 is too much I don’t like that well who’s the punt is the question that’s what I’m trying to figure out here 62 is actually Chan Kim
So if you go Chan Kim you get your Keith Mitchell play yeah you can do that project’s basically the same as what we just said so you’ve got or let’s let’s do this then let’s take Keith Mitchell out let’s throw Bobby Mack in do you have any any love for wacky valami again
Imagine imagine if he wins he’s the guy who beats me my Guy wacky and I’m not on him almost last week that’s what I mean like if that had happened last week oh if you go with uh Bobby Mack P pavon yeah that’s your better projected one
Right there that’s pretty good is pavon any good he’s number one in the FedEx Cup standings is he any good like is he like actually a guy or is he just like had a great West Coast Swing it’s been everything DP World Tour Championship and the nedbank we talked about Nikolai
Hoard he got Fifth and 15th versus Nikolai got first and second but still he’s right there uh the Sony Open top 10 the farmers he won the Pebble Beach third I don’t know how does he keep doing it pure luck maybe maybe he can’t put on Bermuda who knows that that could
Be a thing so the lineup is Rory Fitz btia so it’s it’s Rory Fitz above 10K and then it drops to paval at 87 and then baa and Bobby Mack in the 6K range and then Parker CTI at 5100 bucks sneaky not how many people are going to
Play even if people get to Rory and Fitz what we just saw of all those builds you heard me mention it’s all the low sevens it’s all going to fit those guys in no not many people are going to have two sixes and a 5k with two guys up top and
Still no 9k range so that that’s what makes it unique so do you want to build a chalkier I guess we built the chalk where we built it already I think we can go to what you said let’s start with Henley and see what that looks like so the Henley
Lineup you take Henley immediately you’re at 7even you’re at 8,000 basically per player for the rest of them do you think that just means people pepper like you play Henley I’m just trying like the best fence G and see where you land hogy gim and then who do you get up to
96 is minwoo or benan can’t you just get Cole in yeah how do you how do you get Eric Cole into this lineup so it’s just a $7500 guy but I guess so I’ll I’ll take hogy down are people playing hubard feel like they should H seems like a
Good Hub course I think people are playing him enough to say let’s just throw him in with Cole and call it a day and that’s what that lineup looks like and yeah it projects phenomenally well but that’s because it’s all the chalk pretty much yeah Henley Henley Cole at
The top andk 47k guys senson Bez hubard gim so we can change this up a little bit like I said I don’t want to play senson so let’s take senson out and hubard out and keep the same lineup and all I’m going to do is go to
Hoard and then 68 for Carson young how much worse is that lineup than the one we just filled up 12 it’s not not much not much and you’re already way different just from one change and I like that lineup better yeah which is something you should do this week and
Like I said again just remembering it when you see it filled out with the 47k guys and it feels good and whatever I mean first of all I think a lot of people they’re watching this by now know how bad that is from an EV St where like
Finding your way to the top you have no leverage yeah you might not be duped in some cases if you find one or these two one or two of these swaps but you’re just playing the worst build and the setup of it is that there’s only 18 guys
In the 7K range means the guys in the 6K range are not that much different they all could be in that same price point so you really don’t have to feel bad about moving off some of those guys one major note about this tournament as well play
Guys you think might suck here and I would say that we talked about player pools at the very beginning this is a week to expand your player pool because it might take one lineup I I say one line but like if you play 5% of someone this week MH that might be the
Difference because so many good guys miss the cut like the six of unless it turns into like the chalkfest somehow but like the historic six of six percentage at this tournament is some of the lowest that we see all year just cuz guys blow like one one bad bounce you’re
Out it’s it’s really tough course it’s like the players like the players just historically has like a 3% six of six rate happens just so much water it [ __ ] up an entire tournament course history means absolutely nothing here like so I guess with hogi just play hogi here or
Everywhere hogi no course history not mattering I think course history does I just had to throw it out there because it’s always a topic of conversation but we will find out and again that’s the other funny part is like the example we gave earlier with hogi recent form is incredible course history sucks
Typically recent form we talked about this at the start of the season is what you see come through more often than not but when it doesn’t people are quick to jump on it and say see told you it’s not that it’s like it’s like it’s just funny
How it works but it also you could find the story the other way so many times as well this guy’s awesome here and then he misses a cut how does it happen it just does it’s golf let’s start one more Tom Kim okay do you think quickly though not
To do it but do you think Cole starts will be popular okay well no let’s do that one then yeah I I do think it will be popular you go Cole it’s just benan yeah I don’t think it’s that much different but I will say OB something
Has to be different because we’re saying in this lineup you can’t go above him so let let’s say if we just even do the same similar stuff with like the gim Fenson whatever where does that land you added curiosity to what the public is doing that’s what I mean gim Fenson Bez
How does that 8300 is Bo Hustler I guess would that be a thing norin probably you think people always love hostler yeah people love norin to noren play has played well here before did you know that oh that’s that’s true too so I guess that would be the case there and I
Mean then it can easily flip to a u Tom Kim lineup but looking for ways to build differently yeah if you start with Tom Kim should be different right out of the gate and then we can find other stuff to go with it is straa just going to get squeezed
Here was debating that earlier I still have him like 12 to 15 for a range but we’ll have to see I’ll turn that into pendrith instead where he actually comes in I think uh yeah let’s do the Tom Kim yeah Tom Tom Kim now we haven’t really mentioned cam young at all throughout
The course of this show is there a chance he just gets squeezed and no one blazs him I think he has to I think him and Fitz are the ones up top that you see him Fitz and Kim are the three that just that’s where I think the late stuff
On Henley like people are wondering if Henley’s going to be chalk I think he has to be I think it’s Henley and then Henley and Eric Cole for sure but I think does that mean then all of a sudden Poston and sunjay get squeezed too I think sunjay for sure so sunjay is
Going in the player pool is what you’re saying yeah SJ is also my one andone so hopefully but I always play I mean you’re talking to me it’s not going to I’m going to play him everywhere he goes cuz I think he’s talent but that’s another example right now like when we
Take a look at the pricing of this do you think that there is anyone besides JT poston’s mom maybe who would say that JT poston’s a better player than Sun JM just people looking at recent form that’s it there’s definitely people out there that are looking at recent form
Right now being like wow M sucks poston’s been on fire and it wasen maybe s j from this point on is horrible who knows very doubtful it would be it would take more it’d be like everyone who it was just like everyone who at the end of
Last year like Justin Thomas is terrible it’s like it’s Justin Thomas he’s gonna figure it out like it’ll be fine everybody goes through these little lws and some longer than others we’ve seen it we watch a lot of golf this is just part of it but I don’t even think IM is
That far off the the tracks right now so no I mean didn’t he lead everyone in birdies at Sentry yes he had s like the record this was like a month and a half ago yeah for the most birdies in a in a tournament with all kinds of guys that
Are in this field so so if we start Tom Kim do you think that’s unique enough just starting Tom Kim or do you want to throw awo or Denny McCarthy into this one let’s go Tom Kim sunj M Michael Kim Doug gim Chan Kim okay I like where
You’re going with this no sh Kim we might well let’s see if we land on him I didn’t start with him I went with the ones we mentioned Kim Kim gim Doug gim and then minwoo your boy Michael Kim all right we got we got money for minwoo got
Way too much money from I got I got Fitz money left over yes yes Fitz man Fitz Kim you put all the Kim and it Fitz Matt Fitzpatrick boom yeah Tom Kim with Fitz and sunjay Michael Kim Chan Kim and Doug gim buddy that lineup is GNA just
Crush and it actually projects better than some of the ones we made earlier that’s awesome I assume that has anyone with Parker Cy in it I’m actually GNA replay this lineup and take Fitz out and put in minmi no that doesn’t even make sense why I don’t know no go go ahead that
Leaves a th000 bucks so you’re more likely to be optimal since you let a th left a th000 can we get up to anyone here no I I like what you had can we get from Chan Kim so we have we have Tom Kim Sun
JM is there anyone else in like the the low seven no because sh Kim can just replace Michael Kim what about Brandon woo you would hurt his feelings though are you playing Lee Hodges probably yeah I’m not I don’t mind him again none of those guys down there are
Going to get enough ownership to matter so you can get away with it just depend what the rest of your builds look like and again I’ll see later on today I don’t build till later on on Wednesdays so don’t know where I’m at as of right
Now exactly but I have a good idea on stuff like I said when we get to our head-to-head which I can’t seem to win ever I’m going to try and use it against you there until you screw it up well let’s do that let’s get to the
Head-to-head matchup I am now 31 in one uh I’ve gone six of six against you like the lineups I’m playing against you are like good lineups I just put them in tournaments now I just remember like oh I’m up against this lineup this week I
Write it into my thing and then I go put it into like a qualifier or something like that there you go good that means I get first pick in this is that true yeah the winner gets first pick right is that how we’re doing it or do I get to choose
Like I can defer to you or you could defer if you wanted but the winner does get first so let’s do that let’s let’s give the option here okay I’ll defer to you you can have first pick in the head-to-head all right I will take Rory okay I’ll take Carson Young
And I do that yeah that’s pretty good I like that and Parker Coy Parker Coy yeah going to win me the money the zero dollar against you the best part of a Pearson is he has like the S and when you do the double sort of
Family Guy of like quagar with the chin and then what’s his name the uh the creepy old dude with the you can mix that in as well Pierce and cooe put that one all together but I’m going to go my two picks in the 8K range I’m going to go
With man this is tougher than I thought I definitely want these 8K guys though do I want Rasmus no no I want list for sure so I’ll take list as the first one and then I will take I’m going to go back to the well with my guy H yeah well Stephen
8,800 I I think he could be in the 9ks and it wouldn’t phase me too much so I’ll take him okay my next two picks are going to be burger and Lowry there you go um let me see here now go down the board you took Rory right yes
Okay we didn’t talk about any of these guys down here below Doug gim like D Tree or B we talked about bti a little Davis Thompson no I mean e it’s e root for me I think from down there like man is there anybody else even lower
That I could go to your Chan Kim call maybe Lashley my strategy is not really working out too great my strategy is not working out well I’ve left myself too much money yeah what I wanted to do and I’m going to keep going with it but I’m
Going to just do it anyway so I’m going to take uh I’m going take Rasmus okay good cuz I just had him plugged in to mine so lovely I can take him out yeah this is a very chalky lineup but this is this is chalk Works in this
Head-to-head setting I’m just tring to set up something different to beat sort of a strategy here but yeah I like this start I’m gonna go I could go Henley Cole I think could I do that I don’t love that no I can’t even go I have 4400 $400 is
Not enough cuz I could go Henley and Ben an which actually isn’t a terrible like that’s a I feel like if you’re going to play like some of these chalky guys in the 9k range that would be the way to do it yeah you can get away with it for
Sure and I do let’s see I’m gonna go I like Tom Kim this week so I’m gonna take Tom Kim and I am do I want to take I don’t want to put minwoo into this like that guy you know what I am gonna put
Minwoo into this nah [ __ ] it I’ll put in Keith Mitchell I bet him to win so I’ll go Tom Kim and Keith Mitchell and leave $600 on the table I don’t know who I’d go up to though cuz it’s not like I’m taking Parker Cy up to someone at
57 and Carson young up to 73 there’s no one really at 73 I like probably could have made a better decision with burger or Lowry but what if that’s my team we’ll recap here in a second once you make your final pick I’ll go with uh the
Guy you mentioned earlier I’m gonna go with n Smith and Ben Griffin to round it out Griffin yeah sticking with the Family Guy theme pizza so my team against you remember I’m 31 in one somehow we tied let me write this down head to head tohe head
Is this and then Mayo head to-head is who okay who’s your team it is Tom Kim most expensive player followed by Shane Lowry at 93 Daniel burger at 92 Keith Mitchell at 9,000 with Carson young at 6,700 and Parker cudy at 5100 Pary yeah I like your team
Thank you they project similar but you got guys you actually wanted and I just built for a different strategy so try and leverage this again this is the the going to be the true battle because it is the Rory no 9k build versus the 9k no
9k plus even a 10K I mean you want even more aggressive so I do like that but it’s just to show off that you can do that this week like look at your lineup 10K 9k 9k 9k range and then you’ve got just Cy and Carson Young have to come
Through for you and hope your other guys that cost that money do their job and I do think this this is a week sometimes we do talk about this and now with the new pricing difference I do think that the structure you talk about like hey what’s the point of like getting the
6200 guy through like you still need guys to score on the weekend A lot of the time I think especially at like more difficult tournaments like this if you can sneak the $ 55100 guy through it’s probably pretty good you this is a different setup where like the six of
Sixes that’s more like on a easier track yeah when everyone’s like oh if I just make this guy there first of all your guys up top it’s a putting contest they might not be making all their putts and scoring like you think and then your other guy coming through doesn’t
Necessarily give you any upside either this week six of six is great so you start there and and with your lineup if you get your hope your 49k and above guys 9k 92 93 and 101 all get through Parker Cy coming off two top 25s one at
A pretty tough track and then your guy Carson young who you have all the faith in the world and like you’re in good shape that the last time I had this much faith in someone at this course they shot 17 overpow it was Zack Blair in
2017 I think and then he put up like a top three last year and some tough field I was on him one of the weeks he was good wasn’t it the Wells Fargo when Windam Clark won maybe there was no way that I was on he did do well that week
There was no way I was on him that way there was no way I was taking mini man at a long bombers track yeah that’s why like you say sometimes just random though like that happens we mentioned earlier like Carson Young when we get to the players well no who who would want
Them somewhere like that but that’s what you get I mean that that’s where you would want Carson young though like you would think like I mean at least maybe I have a different vision of Carson young than everyone else does I think that’s definitely true he’s he’s a little mini
Person who just hits every Fairway yeah but that’s what I’m saying and then when you’re talking about the players I know it’s capitalized for emphasis and what’s happening but the strength of field is through the roof and so you know no matter where they put Carson Young on
The price tag that week oh it’s going to be low there’ll be 5700 and there will be guys around him that are real names are real names and I’m actually I am still truly interested to see if they continue with this path as far as pricing goes I don’t know that this is
Going to necessarily stick around I think what what’s happening is in these events where Tony fow 5 to1 or 6 to1 Rory 7 to1 they’re they’re trying to make an emphasis or a like a put an emphasis on the difference in the betting odds versus if you get to the
Players and you have you know how books are going to spread it out now I don’t know if they’ll actually continue with it there we’ll have to wait and see that’s interesting like if there is the one big player in a field is this the pricing and then if it’s a normal event
It’s a normal event that’s interesting we’ll have to wait and see I have no Insight on it so Carson young just for reference um his best performance like approach performances like last year he played really well in Mexico last year uh at a different point in the schedule
He came inside the T15 he was what eighth last week so played really well in Puerto Rico a longer track but an easier track but when you see him play some of the shorter more difficult ones really good in Canada really good at the at Colonial really good at the Bunny
Ranch really good at Heritage like the Heritage was an elevated event he came in 19th and like these are the ones that I would stack with the players like as a part of that rotation of accuracy good irons hopefully you make some putts yeah people just compare him too much to
Other guys around him and not enough about what is he going to do he’s not looking at that he’s just looking at the leaderboard fly up the leaderboard and do what he can to finish where he finishes it’s t19 at an elevated event like he said his solid you’re up against
A very tough field at what can be a tricky course and yet he just does his job and finds his way up the board and that’s all that matters and in DraftKings it helps a ton usually as well and and just looking at Fantasy National looking at his splits in
Different types of rounds like he putts well on Bermuda and POA he’s not a negative putter anywhere which is always really nice that he’s a guy who if he doesn’t have his best stuff can kind of bail you out that’s that’s another thing that I like about fits too although it
Hasn’t really translated he hasn’t never really put it on West Coast po at least all that well but like sometimes when he doesn’t have his aame he can like putt his way out of problems which is always really nice but if you just wait rounds by difficulty like easy average and
Difficult Carson young is great in Easy conditions and great in difficult conditions bad in average conditions so we’ll see how this week shakes up but so hope 6700 is the discount you’re looking for and I mean you you can get after it no matter what but it’s look what it
Gets you in your life lineup back to the original Point mhm everything well that will do it for me at least on the pat Mayo experience hopefully we got some more shows coming at you this week and then some new stuff coming at you next week shipin nation.com code Mayo get you
Discount on any of the packages right yeah any membership you guys want get over there check it out eight major sports now so lots going on over at chip and.com use cod ma gets you 10% off anything over there you can follow me on
X toag Ando tidbits are up I get them up early now if I can because a lot going on lately but just getting them up and getting them out so people can check them there was a you know a lot of good stuff in them last few weeks some winners lots lots going
On are you guys doing Cricket World Cup at shiping Nation no someone suggested that I get into Cricket World Cup because that’s coming up I could really like monopolize the market on that they said pickle ball is the sport to get into cus said that yeah he could be
Right he’s not taking over the world not taking over the world he’s taking burnhard Langer’s Achilles away did you play any pickle ball when you were I did not but I saw a bunch of olds playing it okay you know who loves pickle ball people who can’t play other sports
Anymore okay shaming everybody Pat right now but it’s okay I think you could get in to pick a ball you could be really good at it listen man I I’d play Four Square if we got some chalk out on the driveway here we’d be good to go I’d
Rather play Four Square than play pickle ball basically pickle ball is just like Advanced Four Square don’t you like Ping Pong not really I I like Ping Pong so ping pong’s fine like when I’m drinking like we’re at a party or something I’ll play a game of pingpong I’m not like
Going to the pingpong club yeah like I would go and play tennis I’d go and play badmon but I don’t want to play pick like I want to do something where I go and move around I go and actively play Squash yeah pickall you just you just stand
There oh the pickle ball hate man it’s too much listen my mother-in-law plays it she’s 67 like she loves it it’s like golf man anybody can play it any age I I would agree but golf come on now you can pick up sponsorships pickle ball sponsorships do I want to deal with
Those people though I think you’ve got better better stuff coming down the pipeline you don’t have to worry about pickle B maybe that’s true fantasy national.com Mayo get yourself 20% % off any of the membership levels a lot of big events coming up and you can always
Catch the walk through on Sundays where I show everyone how to use the tools and how I’m using them maybe you think that I’m using them improperly then you can use them better so make it easy on yourself get that 20% off newsletter completely free to sub to that’s down in
The description right now and the DraftKings listeners League I suggest you get into this one all right I’m Pat Mayo thank you for watching I’ll see you next time experience experience
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
2:04 Final Bets
14:15 One and Done
23:25 Weather
28:33 New 5K Range Strategy
39:45 Ownership
52:15 Lineups
1:08:25 H2H Draft
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PME Audio Podcast
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🎉🎉🎉 thanks guys
DOUG GHIM! MUST WIN!
Vegas is WD.
Vegas is out with an apparent injury.
Where did you get the mito matchup at
Any chance of Puerto rico open video next week with the API
Love it Pat! Efff the Hojgaards he Effed me in O&D last week as he was out at the Mexican clibs banging Mamacitas 😡
Cam Young won here on this course as a 12yr old no shit! 😂does that matter?
Carnage week at the Cognizant Classic!
That show was a banger! Great job guys.