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It’s looking like we’re gonna have backtack weeks where someone wins their first tournament on the PGA Tour welcome back to Bray birs DFS one of the best places for PGA NFL MLB and NBA news and of course DFS if you don’t know by now I’m Walt if you haven’t already please like And subscribe to my channel I am so happy they were actually

Able to finish a round on time today I did not want to do what we’ve been all been doing these past two days trying to wait for one round to finish to do this lineup and look at te times the round ended on time all right so welcome to my

Channel if this is your first time looking at one of my Showdown videos on the screen will tell you what I have in store for you the five main things I look at when making my round four lineups first of all I look and see who’s feeling tight you know what I’m

Talking about that person that is nervous that person that isn’t used to the the bright lights of Sunday because we know that it’s way easier to play at 6:00 a.m. on Thursday when nobody knows you versus playing in the afternoon with the grand stands and the people you know

Watching every single moood you have the golf Network you got ESPN you got everybody following you and all of a sudden the nerves get up your mama calls you your daddy friends that hadn’t talked to you in a long time all of a sudden remember your number so the first

Thing I look at is like hm who’s feeling tight and who is likely to kind of you know mess up where they’ve done for the first three days then the next thing I look at CU it’s round four are the top 10 targets so I pick the person that I

Believe is going to win the tournament and then I pick two to three other people because let me tell you I know it feels good to to see how your lineup looks at lock you know and when you just try to stuff a lot of people from the

Top 10 you you got this fake money there but you know what I can promise you that someone probably two to three people that aren’t in the top 10 especially uh for this round we have so many people that are t11 you definitely going to have someone outside of that top 10

That’s going to race up into the top 10 which is what I look at the race to the top so we have a good idea so far through three days we know that the high score for the round is going to be between five under and seven under par

So with everything so bunched up if you pick the right person outside of the top 10 and that person you know goes and shoots a seven underpar all of a sudden yeah you might not have started today with a lot of position points but the combination of those birdies and the

Position points you get by the end of the day can really be a Difference Maker and then I like to look at the people that are just good for round four some people are just good some people when the lights are bright that’s when they

Do their best so I kind of want to Target those people that are traditionally good at round four and then I’m going to give you some draft King picks I’m going to look at my opinion of the best picks in the all of the salary tiers 10,000 and above 9,000

8,000 7,000 and 6,000 and I will say this you’ll notice that draft not draft but data isn’t in my top five so I have a top five data is kind of sprinkled all in here but by the time we get to round four a lot of the data is baked into uh

Their position on the leaderboard but if I ever what I do if I have like a um a tie or someone like I can’t decide then I’ll pull up the data you saw for round three I have all The Strokes gain data all those kind of things so when there’s

A tie used to data but in this round there’s so much Game Theory which I mentioned in which I what I mentioned in round three and there’s so many there so much to balance with picking who’s in the top 10 who’s going to race to the

Top that data isn’t in my top five but it doesn’t mean I’m just totally ignoring the data all right so who is feeling tight so the five players that I believe are filling the Titus right now you have Austin necro and I picked all these players because these are all

Players who who had great careers on the corn fairy tour maybe a European tour or some other kind of tour that’s out there the Canadian PGA a lot of these players have done well I mean they’re on the PGA tour right now they’re one of the top 200

Players in the world of course they’re doing well but none of these players have won a PGA Tour event so all these players are feeling tight Austin necro I put him on the uh to put him on the thumbnail he is feeling tight no doubt David skins he’s in first place he’s TI

For First with all necro he’s feeling tight you got Bridgeman just three Strokes back in fourth place you better believe that he is feeling tight and then you have Perez and you have youu you is in fourth place so these players are definitely feeling tight because the

Lights are going to be bright tomorrow or if you’re watching this on Sunday all right so who are those top 10 targets so for the top 10 targets like I said you want to pick the player that you believe is going to win and so that’s why I have

Lowry and ekro because I mean I like Lowry the most he’s the one that has the most experience out of all of these players from a PGA perspective that’s in the top 10 plus he’s tied for first place then I pick all necro because he’s also tied for first place and he’s

Pretty good at round four but some other players in the top 10 that I’m going to Target Martin La he has some experience Min Lee he has a lot of DP World Tour and non PJ tour experience and Andrew Novak who I recommended in my week long

Video in my overview video I said that he had backto back top 10 finishes and he’s trying for his third top 10 finish in a row but who are those players that are outside of the top 10 because we you’re not just going to be able to pick

Players in the top 10 who are those players outside of the top 10 that I believe will race up the leaderboard once again somebody’s going to get between you know 500 700 Part and let’s just talk about it there’s some players that are going to be really loose

Tomorrow especially the ones that are coming out going out early and yes there is some weather there’s a 50% chance of rain maybe thunderstorms typical Florida weather hopefully it’s not thunderstorms and it’s just wet but the combination of the conditions and the fact that some of these players are going to be really

Loose I like JT posting he has nothing I mean I all he’s thinking about is let me get higher up you know um on the leaderboard so I can get a larger piece of the purse and I can improve my FedEx points but he’s gonna he’s not going to

Be he’s not going to be stressed out like the people in the top 10 same thing with EVR I like Matthew pone I told you he was going to win the tournament maybe he will maybe he’ll shoot an eight underpar I like Ricky Fowler he’s won this tournament before he has you know

He’s a veteran player and I like Russell Henley he was definitely one of the best players in the field so these Five Guys whether because they’re veterans or because they’re just so far out but still good play players I like as players that could race up the

Leaderboard and then we want to look at those players that are good for round four traditionally you have CT pan who has just been playing so well recently you have Russell Henley we have JT Poston that’s what I’m talking about JT Poston a good round four player and he

Has he doesn’t have a lot to lose and then you have Keith Mitchell and that’s you can see why I love Kevin Yu because he is a good fourth round player traditionally and he’s tied for fourth all right so let’s get back to DraftKings and let’s look at the players

In each of the salary tiers that I’m picking and above 10,000 I’m going with Rory I’m not going to get cute with it Rory’s going to be relaxed he’s not trying to get you know invited to Signature Events or you know he has a lot of money he’s just going to

Try to treat like a practice round and maybe he’ll do something amazing and shoot up the leaderboards he’s 12,000 so he’s overpriced for for round four so I think that will kind of lower some of his ownership all right so on the 9,000 Shane Lowry I believe believe is either

Going to be Shane Lowry or a necro so you got to pick the person you believe is going to win so I like Shane Lowry at 9200 in the 8000s I said he was going to win this tournament he was looking good then he didn’t have the best round four

But I’m definitely not going to Pivot away from him at this point in the 7,000 I keep bringing up Kevin Yu I mean he’s he’s one of the players I think he might be a little tight but I think he’s someone that can pull this off and win

This tournament and in the 6000 I have no no idea in why in a field this week KH Lee is only 6800 but at 6800 and where he is in the field right now he is a still of a deal so let me know your thoughts feel free to leave comments but

Otherwise go out there and win that guap I hope you enjoyed that video and I hope it helps with your lineups there are a few things you can do for me and they’re all free you can like you can subscribe you can hit that notification Bell and I’ll talk to you next time

1 Comment

  1. I like that you keep your videos straight and to the point. Some of the other content providers have an hour or longer show for a showdown talking about a whole lot of nothing!!😂 Thanks Walt!

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