Check out my Round 3 Showdown, Picks, Strategy, and Advice for the 2024 Cognizant Classic Contests on DraftKings.
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The American chapter of the Eric Cole fan club just lost a few members but they’ll make him a good play next week anyway let’s discuss Showdown welcome back to Bray Birds DFS one of the best places for PGA NFL MLB and NBA news and of course DFS if you don’t know by now I’m Walt if you haven’t already please like And subscribe to my channel I am going to keep it real with you you all you all
Realize that at this time last year I did not have a channel my channel is relatively new so my favorite content creator is the degenerate 75 and I had not missed a show of his for a year yeah I do this too but I mean the dude is
Awesome so this has been weird this last week and this week on Friday night you know not watching a show and it’s it’s a weird place so you know obviously I didn’t know uh James but I mean he inspired me he’s one of the people that
Inspired me to do my channel so we’re definitely in this household praying for James we hope he gets back quickly I just had to say that because this has been weird I every time I go on YouTube I want I’m just hoping that you know one
Of his notifications will pop up and it hasn’t yet but we know he’s going to be coming back all right so let’s jump into my show so first let’s pull up my checklist so here are the six things that I look at for round three so the
First thing is we got to trust the data kind of I mean we know all data can kind of lie and you know uh kind of leads you down the wrong path but in general by the time we get to round three especially on courses like this where
There’s only one course you know we had about a month there where we had no shot track data you know and one you know one group of golfers were playing on this course so we have two days of data so it’s great so the first thing I do I
Look at the data out there and I’ll look at that data with you all the second thing I have to remember and I want to tell you all is just a reminder it’s only one round this is Showdown so there are players that you would never ever
Put into your your classic your week long your 4day lineup you would never do it because you know what they can’t have four good days but you need to always tell yourself when you’re clicking on that player that’s nasty just disgusting like I don’t know about that I don’t
Even know how this guy looks when you’re doing it remember you’re only you need this person who is a professional golfer who is probably one of the top 200 golfers in the world you need them to have just one good day so don’t fall in love all the time with the big boys
Number three when it comes to round three there’s always some Game Theory I talked about it last week a lot of people don’t know the difference between DFS and betting there’s a huge difference when you are betting you’re not going against anybody but the house Vegas MGM whatever but when you’re doing
DFS you’re going against 1,000 2,000 100,000 other people so it’s not just the stats you got to have a little bit of game theory in it so you have to be paying attention to what’s going on and you got to make some moves that might not make sense but it’s not betting this
Is DFS and then number four there’s some luck and some gut because I mean I’ve won before and I okay let’s flip it I’ve submitted great lineups I mean following a great process and didn’t win anything and then I’ve won before like a lot of guap and it’s like dang I didn’t even
Take a lot of time on that one so there’s some luck and some gut when it comes to DFS and life in general so don’t overthink it sometimes sometimes we’re we’re so tight we’re so whatever man just remember you do want to trust the data you got to remember it’s round
One there’s some Game Theory whatever process you have but you know what there’s some luck and gut you got to remember that and then the fifth thing we’re going to do is I’m going to go through all of the pricing tiers and give you my recommended player and then
We’re going to end talking about some round three studs all right so I said trust the data so let’s look at some data and we can look at the Players through the first two rounds that have been doing well off the te you have Rory
Maloy okay doing his thing I know a lot of people had doubts about him he was definitely way expensive but he’s doing well you have Keith Mitchell you have Tom Kim you have Chris Kurt and you have EVR so a lot of the studs as expected
Are doing really well off the team which isn’t a surprise because this is a relatively weak field but it gets interesting after off the tea uh we have strokes gain approach and you have Ryan Fox you have Bridgeman you have Kevin Yu you have Rico Hoy whoy I don’t know
Never heard of the guy and then you have Austin EO so very interesting on approach approach has been the second most of the big four predictive uh statistics next you have around the greens so you have Davis Thompson you have sh Kim you have Max
Grer man if Max graan knocked on my door now I wouldn’t know who he was I think he was a uber e driver you have Maverick McNelly and you have M maer Miser once again I am butchering these names my apologies these are professional golfers that I have never clicked on before so
That’s what what’s what happening with the TR game you know around the green but very interesting not really a surprise putting putting has been the most predictive things and you have higo you have Cam young you have Hubbert you have collie and you have EV are all
Right so next thing we want to do let’s get back to DraftKings and let’s look at all the tiers who are the players in each of the price tiers that I am thinking about for my lineups and first above 10,000 Rory you know what I’m saying Roy was kind of like fenale last
Week to fade or not to fade and honestly I faded him I mean I just couldn’t click on you know anybody on DraftKings that was over you know 12,000 but he’s played well he’s good for round three we’ll talk about that in a second so definitely the person over 10,000 that
I’m playing is definitely Rory let’s go into the 9000s and I am not backing away from Henley he hasn’t been amazing but he hasn’t been bad either everything I said in my my uh tournament overview video I still believe in Russell Henley and speaking of Still Believe in people
I said Matthew pavon was going to win this tournament man that was real ballsy of me and he still has a chance if you didn’t know he’s number one in the FedEx cups ranking I know it’s early in the season but hey I’m not number one are
You number one so he’s the number one golfer right now in the FedEx cups rankings I said he’s going to win this tournament I’m not backing away from that I’m putting him in my round three lineups and then we have EVR he’s doing well in a lot of key stats a lot of
People have been you know High him high on him this year and I think he’s someone in the 7,000 that you need to at least pause on and consider and let’s jump down into the 6000s hey but collie once again another one of those guys
That if you know if he shook my hand I wouldn’t know whether he was trying to sell me insurance or a car but he’s in first place right now he’s doing well in a lot of key stats and I like him for someone in the 6000s all right so the
Final thing we want to look at are who are those players who are historically good for round three and we have Nick Dunlap we have Rory I mean that’s something to consider we have Chris Kirk we have JT Poston who I mean just been
Kind of up and down a little bit and we have Grayson Sig so let me know your thoughts leave a comment but otherwise go out there and win that I hope that video helped you with your lineups if you haven’t already I need you to do these things they’re all
Free like subscribe hit notification Bell share this video and I’ll talk to you next time
2 Comments
Was there a send round cut and what was the cut at?
Degen 75 is my favorite too, our household is also praying for him.