The best money in sports gambling is in golf. Josh Goodson, Bennett Johnson and Joe Giglio make their Cognizant Classic bets for First Round Leader, top 20 finish and the winner.
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TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 – Intro
06:25 – First Round Leader plays
20:25 – Winners: Cam Young (+2200), Min Woo Lee (+3500), Stephan Jaeger (+4000), Keith Mitchell (+4000)
28:40 – Top 20s: Daniel Berger (+190), Sepp Straka (+200), Justin Rose (+ 260)
32:25 – One and Dones: Russell Henley, Justin Rose, Eric Cole
5 Stars Only. Positive Vibes Only
This is going to sound stupid on a gambling podcast but PGA Tour hits their Florida swing it starts with what was once the Honda Classic at PGA National down in Florida it’s now the cognizant classic Josh Goodson RTP mortgage I’m gonna say something stupid good golfers usually win at this course because it’s
A tough golf course this is not a birdie Fest this is not Mexico this is not uh anywhere in Hawaii this is not uh the John Deere Classic this is their first stop and what what they call the Florida swing it’s a par 70 it’s PGA National it
Is a difficult track uh the winners here usually are minus 14 minus 12 uh minus 10 uh two years ago the winners here are usually ball Strikers Chris Kirk sep straa sunj M Keith Mitchell last four of the last five winners that have been here um last year we got the Eric Cole
Experience which was really new to the PGA Tour so the stupid thing I’m saying is this is the PGA Tour and it’s really hard this is one of those stops on the tour where you’re going to see guys who really have to be good at golf win this
Golf tournament how do you like that for analysis sir I think I don’t think it was stupid like we get caught up I think in every sport we kind of can say that right that the best players got to be the best players when the liks when the
Conditions are the toughest and the the the games are the hardest usually the better teams end up winning the better players show out and so I’m with you I forgot this was like a tough track like until I started doing a little bit of research and such and I kind of like
That we get so like the last the non like genesis events end up at this time of year just feel like they’re birdie Fest like who can make the most birdies and such like that and I like to see these guys grind and so when I was doing like my first round
Leader stuff I was like last year the first round leader was only five under after day one shot 65 so you got to be playing some golf and it was actually a three-way tie last year um at first round leader play and sub so I don’t think anything you said was stupid you
Have said far more dumb things Dumber things about wake far basball roster fair enough for and um for the golf pod podcast um Patrick can’t lay but you’ve you’ve grown I I’ve learned figured out how to how to learn from my mistakes and move on uh so March 11th game gambling
Is legal here in North Carolina we are getting you ready for that here on the OG gambling Syndicate we have uh each PGA Tour stop I’m sure we can get into some Live Events this year as well um but what we have I I what I believe is
The best value in gambling is on golf uh the best odds the best payouts now you have to be right uh and you have to be a little bit patient and you have to be willing to have some weeks where you don’t win uh but quite frankly if you
Are patient and you spread and play the board the that we have the first couple of weeks of the PGA Tour there is money to be made uh first round leader bets are your specialty Josh and the way that we’ve basically gone about this is and
And you can look at the odds and we’ll show you the odds as you look on the graphics here it’s a big payout what we do is usually you pick around 12 so you’re talking about $25 per bet so you get a quarter of what their odds are um
You know you hit you’re going to have 1,500 bucks basically or or 1,200 bucks on a $25 bet if you lose all of them you lose $300 well you can handle that if there are other weeks that you hit and that is kind of the premise is you have
A system you keep playing you stay at it and you don’t get discouraged by maybe a week or two where it doesn’t come home for you so the first round leader values in my opinion are always great plays uh I like the guys who tea off early in the
Morning you don’t always look at the Tea Times um but looking from this year I did a little bit of homework you’re right from last year Carson young Billy horel and Joey Bramley all shot at 65 in the first round and if you’re wondering how that works out in gambling it’s a
Three-way split so that $1,200 return Then becomes a $400 return obviously you’re not really that interested in in in four-way splits you’re looking for single leaders which we’ve mostly had this year first round leaders so far this year Josh and they’ll pop up on the screen here Cam Davis 62 at Sony Zack
Johnson and Alex norren 62 at the MX Kevin U with a 64 at Farmers Tomas dri with a 63 at Pebble Beach Nick Taylor with a 60 of scorching hot 60 at Phoenix Patrick kentley with that 64 at Genesis and then last week Eric vanroy with a 63
In Mexico you were really close with Sammy uh valaki last week uh in Mexico so again you’re looking at this and you’re going is there any kind of correlation uh I know Sony if you look at golf data which our friend Bennett Johnson from heaster Automotive Group
We’ll look at later uh if you look at golf data they’ll tell you what is the corresponding you know most like course you know PGA National this is not a TPC course it’s not a Donald Ross course it’s it is a little bit difficult to find a uh you know one to1 comparison
According to golf data it is the Sony Open uh so Cam Davis with that 62 uh mentioned some of these leaders from the last couple of years Kurt kyama uh back in 21 was your back in 22 was your first round leader 21 it was Matt Jones who
Went on to win after shooting a 61 in the first round again you can dive as deep into the numbers as you want but I think mostly you work from the premise Josh that you want guys who are going to go for birdies are going to go low and
Normally have a either connection to that course or have played well at that course so let’s let’s uh let’s get into your picks first round leader picks from now what is now the cognizant classic yeah um actually you say 12 actually went with 15 this week okay uh
I bumped it up a little bit I just I kept looking at it and I was like wait I can’t lead this guy off or I’m going to be mad if I leave this guy off like because they all kind of fit into my system and each of them for different
Reasons gonna go back to the well Sammy valaki I like guys that played well the week before and I like guys that played well the week before but did not win he’s not sitting there fat and happy he was close but it didn’t he didn’t actually even play great on Sunday but
He doesn’t have the I just one bug I’m not going to show up and Care sort of thing he’s and and the value I couldn’t look away from him is plus 9700 for Samy valaki so now talk a little bit about that for a second Josh because the field this week is different
While it it’s better than what we saw last week in Mexico it’s still not a signature event but you are seeing a Matt Fitzpatrick you are seeing Rory maroy you are seeing some of those bigger names and that that affects those lines yes that’s why somebody like Samy
Valaki who just had a really good week could still give you a plus 9700 return yeah anytime you introduce like you talked about at the beginning more better golfers at a harder golf course you’re the the likelihood of like these maybe maybe the likelihood of these long shots playing
Out as is not as easy right because like you do have a war M Roy you have to go out and beat in a Matt Fitzpatrick kind of to to your point but I’m looking at it purely from a value standpoint and how the guy is coming in and playing
Standpoint and we we you play enough Golf and people who listen to this play golf how many times have you got like for your particular game got into a stretch of just playing good golf and playing it over and over and over again and it the results kind of start backing
Up backing up backing up I I wish Josh this talking about we’re not talking about scratch golfers but there’s been times where you’re just you’re just feeling it for a month yeah you’re right you’re right you’re you’re breaking 90 you’re feeling good about it whatever whatever your level of golf
Is we probably all if you play regular have gone through that month or six week stretch and that happens a lot in the PGA Tour if if people watch the PGA Tour religiously week after week after week you’re GNA see the same the same random names show up for certain stretches of
The season and then you may not see them again in August and you’re G to look back in August we we’re going to be doing this for the Windom championship and we’re going to be like semi valami has missed six straight cuts what happened that was my that was my a
Shooter back in March right so that’s so there’s some value you know I look at that a couple you know from that standpoint uh I’ll kind of go rapid fire and try to throw in a few different reasons why now wait a second I love it
When you get all of ADHD on me and I don’t know how you do this because I’m gonna show these I’m gonna show these in your order last week I showed them in actual by the odds like a normal gambling person you are like scattershot all over this world uh so
Don’t go take your time sir this is a podcast we have plenty of time to explain things so go ahead with your next pick the next one will be Adam shank plus 7200 played well there last year that’s kind of where he shot 67 and 67 in round
One last year so a lot of these plays for this particular event are going to be very coarse have you played here dependent because of course is harder you know it’s the first shot of the year of of a tough tough course this guy played well last week so I’m kind of
Going back to the well and it’s very similar to the valami play of just the value I think doesn’t make sense for how well he is actually playing Andrew Novak was a guy that finished top five last week in Mexico he is 100 to one this week as the first round leader
So that would be a $10,000 return no well $100 bet bet 100 bucks yes yeah yeah if you bet aund yeah stupid go I’ll keep going this is this is one of my alltime favorite guys to to pick in Majors Justin Rose he is plus
6900 he is a guy that go look at the major record this is not a major but this is a hard course where this you’re not making birdie Fest you’re going to have to grind out some days making pars going to be good and if you go look at his Wikipedia page
He is littered with yellow boxes in the majors category from making top 10 so that just shows me hardc course he’s he’s a guy you want to roll with I like the odds of him at six plus 6,900 to be the first round leader he’s not a guy
That to our point isn’t he’s not a guy that shoots 61 right 62 in him but can he shoot 65 on a good day absolutely harder field harder course I like him in there Jimmy Stanger this is a new one for me 140 to one young guy he’s part of that like uh
Just got my card group but had been kind of playing well I think he finished top 10 last week in Mexico it’s purely a hey I think you you saw you were he’s in good form 140 to1 is obviously a long shot but that’s when I’ll take the odds
On that Justin sa is 100 to one he’s the next one he finished he shot 66 last year in the first round finished T5 at this tournament last year he seems like a grindy out kind of guy player and such so Justin Su is gonna be my next
One at 100 to one Carson young did it last year yep he was part of that first round leader Tai last year we’ve said this before but guys like certain courses that’s just that’s a reality out there he has seen success there has played well there he finished T it’s not
Like he fell off the face of the Earth he finished T20 last year again was the first round leader last year he is plus 9300 plus 9300 Lucas Glover has not playing really Lucas Glover is a guy um he has play while I will look it up while we’re doing this
He’s plus 7,800 so I’ll start there he played old school AC fans yes Clemson guy um he played at Genesis he played at was management um he played at peille beach he hasn’t been playing a ton he’s just I think I would consider him an old
Guy he’s probably my old guy play of the week I think again a guy that’s not going to kill you with a bunch of birdies but is a solid player and if he’s having a good week I like the set plus 7,800 value that you get with Lucas
Glover Sun JM ball Striker performed well here last year has won this tournament before um in previous years he’s actually the shortest odds but he’s still plus 4,900 I’m not I I I can’t walk away from that couple more Tom hogi he’s like he’s like I’m gonna he’s an auto play for me
On every single first round leader feel like more of a bomber to me hogy but he gets hot he is a hot streaky Buton guy um he is plus 6200 Rio the guy I still cannot pronounce his name Rio there’s no way his name’s Rio either it’s got to be Rio Rio
Hitsun plus 7900 is a guy I’m going to go with has played a lot recently he’s basically playing like every week I feel like uh he’s trying to make money yeah do what he’s trying to make money yeah he’s trying to make money yes so plus 7,900 three more Thomas
Dietre yeah plus 7,300 he was a guy that he was hot in January in early February when they went from Hawaii and then went to California he still even remain hot your first round leader at Pebble Beach Tomas correct so plus 7,300 AE is my local guy AE is a streaky
Guy um if anybody asks me what is my least confident one even though he is not the the farthest odds Guy this is purely a homer local guy he can get streaky he’s plus 7,300 so the value is still pretty solid for him has been
Playing and I think he was a guy who made a little bit of money uh obviously with the win at the end of last year was kind of wonky they didn’t let him into the playoff y um ball Striker though this is a ball Striker’s course this is a ball Striker
You’re right streaky Florida’s so weird they just went from all that great weather well other than Phoenix uh in Hawaii and Cali and I think this is usually one of those early rounds where it’s cold too out in Florida those early tea times uh maybe worth looking at some
Of the guys who actually tea off a little bit later have that late early but uh yeah you got to have a local man you got oet covered here and last one yeah the first round the other guy tied for the first round lead last year bramlet Joseph
Bramlet 140 to one like come on that’s kind of ridiculous value it’s like give me a data point can he do this um sir he did it literally last year in this exact same tournament on this exact same course so those are my plays this week kind of all over the
Place with a bunch of different guys some new guys um and I I I go back to people that have done well for me before or or Shan promise so like Sammy valaki is now in and I think he even texted you and you and Bennett I said this guy’s an
Auto play he he he is aggressive he misses putt six feet past the hole he is going out looking for birdies that’s what you want in a guy on a first round leader play so those are my first round leader plays and tickets for the week
Perfect I love it and again we’re going to spread those out $25 each y and if you hit one you you want that solo leader last year there was a three-way tie so there’s a little bit of that in play here and again this will not be a
Birdie Fest you know what is a a birdie Fest you know what is an automatic win for you though is if you go and contact Josh at RTP mortgage.com listen the Market’s not great all right let’s let’s not lie to ourselves but prices as you
Like to tell me it’s not just about the the mortgage Market it’s about PR how prices of houses getting the right one because you can change your mortgage you can refy but you can’t change what you’re paying for that house these are all conversations you should have with
Josh Goodson at RTP morgage RTP mortgage.com give him a call it’s his actual phone number you can you can bother him on your own for uh first round leader picks but sh don’t tell anybody 252 36145 that’s 252 36145 go check them out at at r TP
Mortgage.com Josh am I right am I am I getting my talking points right finally I feel like I’m learning from you I’ve even reached out to you potentially for my son trying to figure something out in the Greenville area with a mortgage so I just you know we’re we’re in the
Beginning of that process but you know like I I I even called you we we we you know sometimes we call but I called you I was like hey man what am I looking at here what what are some of the options what’s the best practice here and uh I
Think I understood what you were telling me yeah rates are rates are still elevated but we have to keep it in perspective they’re elevated compared to where we were in covid which brought about the lowest rates in the history of our world like that’s not even that’s not an exaggeration that’s a realistic
Thing rates are still elevated the thought is with the fed and cutting rates potentially in the back half of the year and some other factors going on that rates are going to drop but what’s going to happen with that is if you are in the market to buy a house and you
Want to be a homeowner waiting is never the right idea now I don’t make your payment I’m not going to make your mortgage payment for you I can’t do it all for you right but are you sure I know I know I know that would be nice if
I could we could finagle that and such but what I tell people is you can refy your payment later if rage present itself if you buy a house if you wait to buy the house and it’s a 100 Grand HED six months from now than it is today you
Can’t go back to that seller and say hey but your house was $100,000 less six months ago give me a deal that’s not how it works you can change the rate you cannot change the price get in now real estate is still a great investment tool like wealth building and such like that
And we are fortunate in our area here in the triangle and such that prices aren’t going anywhere so owning real estate is never a bad idea and I can help you with the debt side of all right let’s welcome in to the OG gambling Syndicate Bennett Johnson heaster Automotive Group it’s heaster
Auto.com he’s on the heaster Automotive Group hotline Bennett I hope you have taken notes that I’ve pointed out to people now that they’re on the heaster onut what group hotline hey did you know you could sell your car to the Easter Automotive Group somebody told me that
Who was telling us that I think it was jilo right it’s amazing when you figure these things out I know it’s like figuring out Christmas and Easter and all these other great Revelations it was was awesome it was awesome it’s not just new cars so heaster auto.com uh I see
You guys in Fu but there’s a whole lot more than just your spot in fway yep we’re all around so we’re right down 401 in fway if you’re a away County person see somebody’s calling right now they’re they’re listening to the podcast and they’re calling you look between that phone call and the
End of this podcast I could have had them a check for their car just that fast see that fast that’s how it worked uh and we’ve got winners for you for the cognizant classic as well here are the odds will not give the company a shout out because they’re not paying me but
Maybe they will uh the favorite is Roy mroy 7 to1 again anytime he enters a tournament his odds are stupid uh don’t I would never I would almost never take a pre flop number of seven to one that doesn’t make any sense if you are new to
Gambling cam young has not won on the PGA tour this is a tough track uh 22 to1 Russell Henley par 70 specialist 25 to1 we’ll get to him in a minute Tom Kim 28 Eric Cole who finished in a tie last year 28 Matt Fitzpatrick who has not
Been playing 30 to1 and then Ben an and sunjay I feel like are two uh two guys that might be on your list there Bennett benana 30 to1 and sunj who won here four years ago 35 to one so let’s start with your winners Bennett let’s start with
Your first winner pick for the cognizant classic so um like you guys to me when we go to Florida like that’s the start of the PGA Tour season okay I don’t know why but the tournament’s out west I don’t want to say I’m not that interested but I
Don’t tend to like make an appointment TV but when we get to Florida I’m like okay it’s a little warmer it’s like 65 degrees here you got the door open you got a little Sunday afternoon Jim Nance you know I think this is the beginning of the actually you might have NBC this
Week so the uh the wise words of NBC carrying the coverage but um I also think this this is where the fields start to get a little more compacted and then we now have the Genesis as a signature in and Phoenix always gets good but to me this is where I what I
Call the big boys come out to play and you’ll see them for the next really the next three or four months basically every other tournament you’ll see you know the heavy players and you see it headlined by Rory someone that’s taken Rory in this event I would be shocked he hasn’t been
Playing particularly well not very you know it’s not a very good return however whoa he just won the match did you not see him just beat up on Lexi Thom I did see him beat on Lexi Thomas from Lexi Thompson Rose Zang he just he is in form
Right now guys come on from inside the ladies teas I did see Rory playing from there um and honestly really I think this is a a a track that suits Rory well um it’s going to be tough this is a tournament that usually ends between 10
Under to 15 under so I’m not sure who would choose Rory but I know who would choose number two on that list Cameron young so um Cameron has played here before he’s plus 2200 as you see I like him uh because in this tournament the winners have always played here before
It’s never someone that’s just showed up for the first time I got some good stats I’ll row through once we get to the top 20s but he played here in 2022 finished in the top 20s first off the te in Strokes game that week this is a track
Where you have a lot of Force layup this is not a bomber score so you’re not going to see him hitting 340 yard drives hoping for the best you’re going to see some irons off the te you’ll see three Woods off the te it’s all about the approach play Cameron Young’s a really
Really good solid iron player waiting for that big breakthrough moment we’ve seen other breakthrough moments here like in the past Chris Kirk Russell Henley those type players so it’s also a draw of course that favors the draw he’s really really solid hitting right to left iron play so I like Cameron young
Plus 2200 all right Josh let’s go with your first pick to win the cognizant class I love the picking the guy that’s never won before playing I just just well he’s allowed to pick the decks and be a wake fan but I’m not allowed to support my deakes when it comes J we
Know you’re picking only Deacon player I see how that works I just I just it’s just funny to me how people do that um I’m gonna go go down the scroll down a little bit for me Joseph on there um I’ll tell you when to stop because I
Because I want people to be able to see it oh there we go there we go we’re good good Min woo Lee plus 3500 it’s time we talk about cam young right like it’s time for cam young uh has men W won on the PGA or
Just over in D over in Europe like a million times I don’t he has not won on the PGA tour um I I’ll I’ll help you by jinxing it this is I don’t like you guys are picking two bombers here and cam young and Min wo those are those are
Long players this is this is a this is a bunters course sir I’m going off of the kind of what we talked about with the first round leaders and and just talking about how you brought up the good golfers on tough courses sort of thing
Men woo last year I I just think back to him being a player in the players at the players players he finished C5 at the US Open I I’m not saying they’re the same course or anything like that I just like the fact of when the when the lights are
On the courses are supposedly harder or hardest that he has showed up he won he won a big he’s won a big tournament uh last year won Scottish open I don’t know if we want to count that as a PGA Tour event probably technically does so well
Now now it is like a well they do the Gen Scottish thing over there but no I I like men wo I just like for the value 3500 that’s kind of where I’m at when he’s my first kind of winner play for this okay what do you got for your second pick there
Bennett second you’ll okay I’ll start getting to what you like then Stephen joerger bomb yeah Jagger bombs he’s been playing really really well on tour this year um he’s definitely heading towards that bunter style no one thinks he’s out there hitting at 350 he finished top three last weekend he finished top 14
Here last year he already got two top threes this year he’s top 30 Strokes gain T Tia green so he’s just a pure player he’s a really good iron player he’s in the top 50 on all approach categories so he’s someone that puts the ball in the green uh they’ve had a lot
Of rain actually at the course of the last month so it could be slower than traditional but for the last two or three years we’ve seen like on Saturday and Sunday it kind of gets a little crazy um St meter in like upper twelves they’re really rolling so you want
Someone that can control the ball on the green Steph Jager fits that category uh kind of falls into the Chris Kirk Russell Henley kind of a guy that has participated on tour but never really had a big moment where you’re like hey he’s getting ready to
Win so we’ve seen that happen in this tournament a couple times he’s plus 4500 um he talking about a guy being in form uh benett TI for third Farmers Insurance TI for third tidbit of the week on picking your winner seven of the last seven Honda Honda Classics same event new name have
Already had two previous top 10s on the season so he fits that category for this week also there’s a correlation to the Sony Open that par 70 he was top 20 there played well there so I like this I like that’s much better I feel like we’re getting closer to because you know
I’m hitting all of these winners left and right you have been doing really good you’ll note I’m not I’m only making one and done picks I’ve been reduced to making one and done picks so I have a one and done I’m scared we’re gonna have the same one and done all right well
We’ll get there we’ll get there all right so let’s go to uh Josh your second pick for to win the cognizant classic played last week decent form has one here before plus I think he’s plus 3500 or I don’t know you can pull it up on your
Thing Keith Mitchell so I’m gonna go with somebody has to pick him every week somebody’s gota go with our guy cashmir yes he has won here before he is 40 to one 40 to1 at this track again I think of cashmir Keith as a bomber so maybe
What the heck do I really know because he did win here uh looks like a 19 he won here so all right I like I like all of those picks these are great picks let’s also now go to top 20s top 20s Bennett let’s
Start with you for your top 20s top 20 a guy that uh used to be one of my favorite players on tour then had some injury stepped away for a minute Daniel burer okay he is plus 190 in the top to finish top 20 he’s finished uh he’s had
Two top fours here in his history playing there he played well American Express played well in Phoenix he’s played over 20 rounds here another thing seems to be important on data go leading into this tournament usually people that play well here have played here a lot
He’s played here 20 times on those 20 rounds he’s gained over 26 Strokes compared to the field uh plus 190 so really in favorites world he would be a favorite to make top 20 but as we’ve seen this year I hate to say I have a specialty but I think I’m doing much
Better picking the top 20s by using the STA ICS to back it up so I kind of flipped this week I I went with SE straco to win or um Stephen jger to win and Cameron young I just cheated on my next top 20 those are people that I
Think and feel like can win then I’m using the stats to back up the top 20s and you know I haven’t hit a winner but I’ve been hitting the top 20s by using this strategy so plus 190 Daniel Burger all right let’s go Josh with your first
Top 20 I’m gonna still Ben at Thunder I have I had substa my yeah pre like previous winner top top 10 last year and it’s it’s kind of a value play too I feel like if you can get all of those things a previous winner top 10 last year you’re asking
For a guy to pick top 20 and it’s almost plus 200 juice yes sign me up like yeah it’s it’s a value play more than it is like just as much as it is like I think he’s going to do it too so yeah um this
Is a good course for him and Bennett’s probably got all the nerdy stuff to back that up I do have the nerdy stuff and last week I went I got too crazy on the top 20s way too far down the boards but I did almost hit on a player that you
Guys have never heard of yes it’s one stroke short but yeah so this week I was like you know what I gotta go back to the game se stria he plus 200 honestly that even feels like it should be lower he’s he won here in 2022 he’s played 20
Rounds here gain 35 Strokes here he’s 23rd on tour and greens some regulation third on tour and approach from 175 to 225 so he’s going to he’s an iron player he fits the mold of what we traditionally think win here a bunter someone that draws the golf ball they’re
Going to be hitting at 270 down the middle off the T take his take his chances from 150 out try to hit the middle of the green two putt um try to run in you know you’re gonna have to make probably 12 to 15 nice unexpected birdies here because you’re going to
Bogey there’s um it’s actually I think the third or fourth most double Bogies on tour at this course so you want someone bogey avoidance that’s sea I really like him I would be more shocked if he didn’t finish in the top 20 than if he does I’m gonna throw one
Bonus top 20 play in there and it’s it’s one of Josh’s guys I see it right there in the screen Shane Lowry plus 210 I know he hasn’t been playing but this is his type of course the harder it is the more you want Shane Lowry on your card
So there’s my bonus top 20 play all right let’s get into some uh oneandone picks and and if you’re not familiar with this one and done is a season long uh pool that you’re in where you can only use a player once during the whole year you accumulate their uh earnings at
The end of the year you’re trying to get the most money on uh out of your pool uh the key here though is you obviously want to save uh now that you don’t even have them anymore but John ROM and uh you want to save your bigger names for
The bigger tournaments because that’s the biggest money something like this you know I I feel like there’s just long as you don’t take Rory in this one and there’s probably a theory out there that says if you take Rory and he wins you’re better off than having him in top 10 inv
Valhalla or something so which we all know is going to happen um so I I’ll go with my oneandone pick is actually Russell Henley here’s a guy who correlates to his performance at the Sony he’s also a par 70 specialist he’s also won here before so I like the
Georgian Russell Henley to to play well this week I don’t know if he wins but but it does feel like a super safe top 10 type finish for my oneandone pick did that overlap with yours Bennett no but a very similar player and I’m gonna read
My five bullet points of why I actually think this guy could sneak up and win okay number one this yours it’s all about bogey avoidance yes number two heavy draw players number three it’s the toughest to gain Strokes approach on tour number four it’s all about Force
Layups there’s number five 26 bodies of water and play on the course and you have to be a player that consistently finishes top 10 on tour a oneandone player that I think fits all of that that I probably wouldn’t pick in a major or a high level event just because he’s
A little older is Justin Rose love Justin Rose he’s a major player um to me I feel like this course is a regular Tour event but sets up most similar to a major and just we’ve obviously seen Justin Rose do have success on tough courses one
Of him I threw him in for first round leader but also top 20 my second one was him plus 260 because that’s great value he shows up when when the conditions in the course is hard you always look at the leader Wars like why is Justin Rose
Here like what are we doing and it’s like he’s he’s always making an 8 foot par PUD and then like making a birdie and like he’s just he’s just there and doesn’t doesn’t get too high or too low and he he’s built for these yeah and you’re oneand done play Josh I I
Apologize for for skipping over your second top um I’m going Eric Cole okay lost in the playoff here last year was kind of his emergence on the tour not gonna use him probably at a major he’s actually not been pretty bad he’s not been that bad this year he a T10 at
Genesis um T14 at Pebble Beach t13 Sony T20 or two T14 is Century he played really really well in the fall series he was top three like three events in a row and played well played well here before and I think that matter he fits the mold
Because this was kind of his coming out party last year yes so yeah I love that play all right well shouts to Wells uh for for for pushing the buttons making sure we’re getting ready to get this out I want to shoot for Tuesday next week
What do we think Tuesday morning we can do it double thumbs Josh what is your Tuesdays look like that’s the day after uh NC State beats Duke correct so I don’t know it might be two over from Tuesday is great for me all right let’s do it uh Tuesday next
Week because the people are the people are looking for us the people want our golf picks and again the the fewer picks from me the better uh get those first round leaders from Josh Goodson get those top 20s from Bennett Johnson we’ve been cashing on both fronts and
Hopefully we can get a pre- flop winner we haven’t had a pre-f flop winner yet I think we’re really close on that front as well so appreciate everyone for listening if you haven’t already hit the subscribe button and of course on the Apple Spotify the Googles if you would
Be kind enough to give us five stars I would greatly appreciate it uh heas auto.com RTP mortgage.com we’ll see you guys next week right here on the OG gambling syndicate
1 Comment
Great show