2024 Cognizant Classic | Golf DFS Preview
Who’s Your Caddy? — the Golf DFS show from Club Fantasy FFL and WOFF (Women of Fantasy Football) — returns for a new season! Kelly Singh and Adam Hallas are your caddies for the 2024 PGA Tour season, and they’re here to help you win some money playing DFS! 💰💰💰
This is episode 43 of Who’s Your Caddy, and Kelly and Adam are previewing this week’s Cognizant Classic!
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00:00 Intro
01:15 Adam Hallas Joins Kelly Singh
02:30 Honda Classic is Now Cognizant
03:58 Course Overview
05:53 Course History
07:25 Is Rory McIlroy Worth $12K?
09:20 Top Tier Picks – Eric Cole and J.T Poston
16:15 Mid-Tier Picks – Stephan Jaeger and Sepp Straka
22:05 Value Picks – Ben Martin and Doug Ghim
26:28 Recap
29:55 Outro
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Welcome to the who’s your caddy podcast I’m your host Kelly Singh in this episode we will be discussing the cognizant classic in the Palm Beaches seems like a weird title to me that’s okay but my co-host Adam’s gonna give us some background on the course we’ll give you some of our favorite
Picks to help you build your DFS lineups this week let’s get right into it probably go this podcast is meant to help you take your DFS golf game and even some prop beds to the next level so whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned Pro we hope that you will find this podcast
Helpful and before I get too far ahead of myself let me bring in my co-host Mr Adam halis The Grapes to my wine how are you you could have said the grapes to your wrath that would work too that actually works a little bit better just kidding how’s it going how you
Doing I’ve had a little wine tonight speaking of wine little wine I see so that’s why you used the The Grapes of wine was fresh on my mind are you cernet I am a Cabernet yes I am um but then I’m going straight into a Vista Bay Ruby grapefruit hard
Seltzer that is a lot of stuff to put on a label refreshing nice how was your week what have you been up to week’s been going pretty good um you getting ready for this tournament and trying to figure out how on some platforms I it’s still read
Honda and now it says cognizant and if you’re not aware after 40 years or so of sponsoring this Honda has gone away and cognizant has comeing in and go hey we’re the new kid on the Block and what is cognizant well I don’t know me either it sounds like a pharmaceutical
Company I have no idea it’s not Honda any way but the PGA was like uh we’ll throw you a bone um so we’ll have Rory show up oh it’s an elevated event I did read that yeah so that’s what they did was like hey it’s your first shot I know we’re
Taking away kind of the big big sponsor here um so yeah they elevated it there’s that just means that there’s more money in the purse there well there’s more money I think there’s um for the bigger players if they miss it there’s a financial uh punishment that
Happens um so like last year if you remember I think Roy missed an elevated tournament and he was fined x amount of dollars well he’s there this year and he is not cheap he is not cheap um he does well with this course I’m not going to play
Him let’s t about the course and then we can talk about Rory what are we going to behold this week in the cognizant classic Palm Beaches well it is being played at the national as what they call the PGA Champions um course and it is one of the top 14
Hardest courses on tour um is a tough 7100 yard course that has water under 15 holes and 60 bunkers um is going to get weird this week one of the holes turn from a long Par Four to a short par five um there is a bear trap and I
Believe it’s 15 16 and 17 um because of course this is a jack necklace design um and since it’s in Palm Beach wonderful Palm Beach Florida um where we hike up our pants and complain about the government fulltime when can play a factor in the tropical
Uh climate uh the cut will more than likely be a plus two plus three cut it’s possible even goes to a plus four I doubt it um but it is not going to be the birdie Fest that you’re um you typically get at Resort style courses like the Mexican open or other courses
That have started off the season and little background course history really hasn’t really mattered to the Champions um of the past winners here at the haa cognis tournament open um they’ve all in the previous years prior to them winning have done pretty shitty um they’ve either you been
In the top 30 top 42 50 not made the cut so of course history really doesn’t really is not a huge variable although Chris Kirk um is the lone wolf and lone variable in that little I would say also Shane Lowry we’re gonna talk about both of these players Chris Kirk and Shane
Lowry um while Kirk is that reigning champ and came in seventh Lowry tied for Fifth and came in second the year prior so I’d say those two perhaps are the lone wolves maybe woles and it’s not a very long course it’s very challenging there is a par there’s a lot of par 3s
There’s some par fours um there’s 175 yard par three but it also has the highest bogey rate on the course oh um so it is a very pinpoint and like shape your shot type of course which is why like for some reason Uh Kevin Streelman um has has
Done well here like he hasn’t he’s been in the you know he hasn’t been in the top top tippy top but he’s been in the mix and he’s so far every time he’s played it he’s made the cut um it is a old man style course so it doesn’t
Behoove you to be a bomber off the tea um but it does behoove you to be accurate off the te I like that I like it um when we look at the top most expensive players we see Rory Far and Away above everybody at 12K we talked about this last week with Tony
Feno being at 12K do we play Rory at 12K this week no I I don’t think Roy’s gonna be the guy that’s going to get you there at 12 at 12K you’re at basically at 12K for Roy you’re hoping that he wins like but there’s no leverage play there right so
Like everybody else is on him um I think his ownership currently is at let me look at my crystal ball and I can’t bring it up right now but I think his ownership is fairly High it is at 133% 14% as we speak right now
Um and a lot of people will have them on their list and adding them to their pool so at 12,000 that’s not much of a leverage play that’s just saying he’s definitely going to win and I’m putting him into my pool and I’m gonna get different
Somewhere else okay so so you are gonna play him no I’m not gonna play him okay I’m not gonna play him either I mean I want to and it’s like yay I hope he does well but man that is steep to me that’s like the name like we talked about last
Week phen was like one of the biggest names so it’s so pricey but as you go down the list there are plenty other plays that you could spend money on this week um let’s talk about your two most expensive that you have on your list um Eric Cole Ben on
9995 you’re willing to pay up for them I’m willing to pay up for them um Eric I just out of one side of my mouth I said Roy’s too popular Eric Cole is by far the most popular player so far on ownership projections um but I’m getting very
Different in my value plays and we’ll get to that but um they both for my model that I put together I was looking for approach um those at pwell on berm this is so we we’re in Resort um we’re in California we’re in Mexico um um and
They had different style greens POA and other stuff here is our first for into Bermuda which means it’s gonna be tight and fast um so when we look at that we look at St meter um so anywhere between 11 plus 12 um it’s fairly
Fast um and so I looked at and made my model on three put avoidance Boogie avoidance um approach um at accurate off the T and this is where Roy falters he’s driving distance 324 yards driving accuracy 55% which compared to others um I’ll I’ll I’ll pay less to get a little bit more
Um so I was just pulling up um well at least on data golf their um rosters ship projections still have Rory at 21 and a half% um Ro of rosters Russell Henley at 19% of rosters and then Eric Cole and Ben on both at 177% of rosters and there
Are at least 10 players in between all of them so yeah um pretty interesting I think it’s interesting I think benan um will be interesting play as well I think he’ll actually do better than um Eric Cole the thing I worry about benan is his driving accuracy he’s pretty good on
Approach um does fairly well in windy conditions and his approach in off T has been okay but overall he’s been good at ball striking and that’s where I kind of need him at I just hope that his putter he brings his putter with him right when I look at these in this
Tier I like JT posting the postman as you like to say 98 so up there with the rest of them on DraftKings um and he is at about it’s going to be 15% roster Ship by the end of the day and I guess I like him
Because when I look at everything uh the tour projects projections have him up there near the top so to put this in perspective everybody Roar is projected to make the cut 82% likely he’ll make the cut um the next second been on at 72% uh likely to make the cut so it’s
Kind of weird how these percentages come out but then you have JT Poston at 71% likely to make the cut and he is still pricey like the rest of them but it just goes to show he’s in that same realm of data same realm of projections um I like I like him this
Week too but I don’t know how you feel about that no I like him um like I said he doesn’t hit it long but we don’t need it long right um hits at about 297 yards but his accuracy off the te will be key um and I think his 69% greens and
Regulation helps in his 28 putts per round is pretty Sellar for this type of course that’s good to know then we have two players we’re both we have four players that we discussed before the show that I’m actually on the same page but two in particular I also have listed
In my notes we have Chris Kirk and Shane Lowry 94k 93k on Draft Kings what do you like about them well Chris Kirk was uh my number one in the model in my particular model um his driving accuracy is 62% um has a low puts per round um and his approach and overall
Ball ball striking has been fairly decent um and he does fairly well at average to difficult courses which this is going to be um so I I I like Chris Kirk I think he’ll do okay I don’t know if he’ll win um but I think he’ll do
Okay and he’s played this course before does well at this course um I don’t think course history plays a huge factor in it especially this tournament um but I think those that kind of have that coarse memory that muscle memory per se down I I think they’ll do
Well yeah um as we already discussed he’s the raing champ he came in seventh the year before and he actually came in 25th and 2021 which is nothing to sneeze at when you’re talking about fantasy golfs so Chris Kirk does have the course history we can harp on it all we want
And just hope that it holds in this year then we have Shane Lowry which we discussed tied for fifth last year second and 2022 tied for 36 in 2021 which is middle of the pack to finish what do you like about Shane Lowry this year driving
Accuracy 65% um that’s what I like about him um I need him accurate off the te his approach has been pretty stellar for the last 10 tournaments he’s gained about two strokes on his approach um off the te he’s still getting Strokes an overall wall Striker he’s good his
Putting um has been okay like he’s barely losing any Strokes there um he didn’t fare well at the Mexican open um but I don’t think he was given his all so um I like Shane Lowry as one of my top tier guys let’s talk about some of
These mid tier guys I also like the two of these they come up often as we talk about these Rando tournaments and not so Random tournaments Stefan joerger has probably been in our pool every single week so far this season and then we’ve got uh sep straka who was one of our
Fave value picks I think last year uh both of them coming up though in the eights 88 for joerger 86 for straa what do you like about them uh Jagger has some history here again I keep saying that history really doesn’t matter but if you keep on it
Like if you have that kind of muscle memory to it um then I think he’ll be fine he’s not I don’t think he’s going to be one of those guys that kind of sneaks into the top but 59% 60% driving in accuracy and 70% 71% Greens in
Regulation I’ll take that he just needs a win out on his Putter and at the Mexico open he came in third and he was gain four strokes putting which is a little outrageous you don’t expect that on most tournaments um but yeah I think it’s um when we’re looking for pinpoint accuracy
And those can get it done with the flat stick I think he’s going to be in there when we look at uh joerger and staka both of them are in the top 15 when we look at some of these predictions prediction models um so I like that about them
Especially at this price point because it feels like a bit of a value even though you’re still in the 8ks yeah in substa does really well like difficult courses like I I think that he it’s challenging and if he doesn’t have to rely on his driving distance he’s
He’s good 65% driving accuracy he plays well in windy conditions which may happen here um so yeah and he came in fifth last year at the Honda cognis open that’s fun well I only have one guy that I kind of listed out here in the eight Cas I liked Luke list randomly or
Maybe not so randomly 8.1k on draft game just seemed really reasonable for luk list as hot as he’s been he feels like he’s been the hot hand he’s been playing really well for Fantasy he’s been bringing in a lot of points the tour predictions that I’ve been sharing today
Have him up there in the upper half of finishers and one of my favorite tools that you got me hooked on was this course uh data history diamond shaped thingy and you know what it did not steer me wrong last year so I still like love to look at it luk List’s little
Diamond shaped skill set thingy is identical to this course’s needs um so I found that super interesting and I’m I feel like I have to play lcas now at this point if he’s a perfect fit then yeah why not if it fits it sits that’s right
Um I I like luk list I think he’s uh okay choice I was like why did I not put Lop list I want to know why he’s not on your list in the meantime I actually think I might be able to share I want to show I took a
Screenshot let’s see if I can manage this I’m going to try and manage this hold this is where we cut off the feed and this is where we die just kidding um okay I’m gonna try this let’s see if it’ll let me share this little thing do in broadcaster mode
Window newsl sh can you see it yeah I can see look they’re like twins practically he falls a little short he does fall a little short and putting and around the green but I say close enough yeah um did you so on that particular tool did you hit the little
Mark that says what are the true True Fit things um probably not let me see I can do that probably not the relative importance oh that’s probably not going to be as good it’s not as good it’s not as good but you know what I’m going with my
Intuition go with your intuition like there have been times before where people were like I don’t know and people have talked them off the gut instinct and the guy does well I feel like it’s great at 81 he’s up there in those make the cut projections he’s been playing
Very well I’m feeling good about it 70% Greens in regulation does well difficult courses plays well in wiy conditions I can see why he’s projected um I don’t know if is this where you think he gives out he might he might be one of those guys
Where you kind of have to sweat it out we’ll see okay let’s talk about some value picks who are some of your favorite values this week uh well this is where it’s going to get a little different so some of my Valley picks are uh Justin Sue Brandon Woo Lee Hodges Tim Duncan
Not that Tim Duncan the other golfer um and then Ben Martin uh and when I put my model together they had come up and they came up fairly High I was like ah but Lee Hodes and Ben Martin Justin Sue is is my model off do I need to do
Anything I’m like you know what screw it I’m I’m just going to go with what I have and that’s it um so that’s where we’re going with I like it I don’t hate it yeah so Ben Martin’s third in my model and uh he ranks well for approach
On par three strikes game he does well on bogey avoidance uh shots gain total in Justin 2 is actually second in my model he’s number one in shots gain par 4 um bogie avoidance he’s doing well at um and Tyler Tyler duck nut Tim Duncan I
Don’t know why I said I confused myself Tyler Duncan not Tim Duncan yes um and so Tyler Duncan is actually third off the tea um in this particular model and the way created my model was like give me people that do well on hard courses that are difficult scoring the
Par um hitting Fairways is average to difficult and green speed is fairly fast um and so that’s how I CED my model I also have in my model um off the te approach around the green as 3% weighted so it’s in there just way down putting shots gain par
Three shots gain par 4 proximity 125 to 150 three put avoidance and Boogie avoidance are my model mixers I like it I can get on board with that just since uh he kind of Falls in where I was ranking my value players I am right now currently uh in love maybe leftover love
From last week with Doug gim I like gim Reaper gim Reaper I need him to come on tour here so I can yell out the gim Reaper I’m sure he’ll love it just like the Todd father did you know uh I like uh gim this week I like
DET and I’m going to pull in some baa why not why not at this price we’ve got them price from 7K to 6.8k Justin saw Falls right in there I have uh Brandon woo on my fantasy bench and you’re like making me feel like I
Should pull him off but I don’t think I will in DFS I like it as a value but I’m like oh I don’t know about my week to week fantasy what do you love about Brandon woo tell me right now why do I love about Brandon woo on the spot Brandon
Woo I want to know because I’m like do I actually play him this week I don’t know 61% driving accuracy 6 70% greens and regulation does one wey conditions um does okay in difficult courses not the best um but he’s actually right up there with Justin Rose when you look at the odds
And they’re like ages in between when we talk about cost he came in 14th last year at the Honda um and the way he shook out my model um he was up there he did miss the cut in 2022 um and he’s missed a cut the
Previous year but he’s up there model so I told you before the game before the show started I was like I’m just going to stick with my model if it works it works if it doesn’t it doesn’t you know if I was doing my segment this week which I didn’t prepare
For this week that could have been it it could have been why pay for Justin Rose when you can have Brandon woo um that might have been it this week to be honest with you so great value pick I’m definitely considering I Like It Is there anybody else you’re dying to talk
About this week not this tournament no um it is gonna be rough I mean we’ve talked about uh Tyler Duncan Brendan woo Justin saw gim detri baa all great value picks I threw in Luke list we both love Lowry and Kirk I threw in Poon pauson you’ve got Eric Cole
Ben on we love Kirk Lowry joerger straa little saw action I think it’s good we have good a good lineup this week yeah we’ll see how it goes uh I did uh our stats and we are 82% for making the cut Yay good job good job good job good job
There’s a little little slight help there from the Pebble Beach open that was a no cut tournament the Excel sheet would not let me unless I did the formula different would not let me calculate so I was like yes we’ll drag it down we’ll just do
That it’s fine if we pulled it out I think we’d still be comparable yeah I think allog together it was if we took it out it went from like 82 to 76 77% so it was drop is freaking ridiculous I think our picks have been fire this
Season they were fire last season we were still around 78% last season um stick with us friends let’s do it EVR was almost up there we had Cameron Champ last week and then like we almost almost had the winners in each of that we talked about it’s they fizzled out they fizzled out
But I did win my fsga league last week I’m currently in second place feeling good um I won everybody not just my mine and I used many of our picks from last week because they happen to be on my team which is one reason I didn’t
Bring up Eric Van Ruan this week because I’m like I can’t talk about him two weeks in a row when he’s on my team but heel did not like him I mean I hate that because I’m gonna play him on my fantasy league not to be confused with DFS fans do not confuse
This um he just happens to be on my bench just like fantasy football but he falls into that value group that we discuss and I’m like oh I don’t know but I don’t really have anybody else to play so yeah we’ll see but I love it thank you so much Adam for
All of your insights this week and I know we’re just going to keep killing it let’s keep it lighting it on fire all of the sounds and things until next week let’s go out there and and win some tournaments bye hey hey