Matt Gannon takes a final look ahead of the 2024 WM Phoenix Open Am opening Tee Shots. He breaks down what the golfers had to say in their interviews, shares his final betting card, and answers any questions LIVE.
And we are absolutely live um 11: no 10 pm. get your lineups in because we have golf in approximately 11 hours so get those lineups in I’m GNA tell you who to play I’m gonna answer your questions if if you if you arise and you know there’s
Know the deal I’m gonna go through the very few narratives we have today because all of the interviews were about the about live about Saudi money about that type of we didn’t get any real insight like we usually do but that’s either here nor there we got one good
Quote from Justin Thomas and he just kind of proved the point that we all went with all week how important driving distance is how important off the te play is in general and Justin Thomas kind of alluded to that in his interview so that was literally out of all of the
Interviews I watched all of the interviews I read the transcripts from that was the only insightful information I got Golf Course wise course fit wise like that it was so much live stuff which I’m not going to get into this is about how can we take what goer say and
Relate it to the our DFS lineups our bets stuff like that so the narratives weren’t really crazy this week I’ll just say that right that right now literally nothing but we’re going to get into the normal stuff I’m going to bring up my uh screen and get into the betting card get
Into the DFS plays get into the five Grand Golf bets just a full recap of everything that i’ that I’m doing this week ahead of the tournament and yeah pretty straightforward stuff so here’s the betting card Sun JM we got what six guys Sun JM JT Poston Matt Fitz minu Lee
And cam young so I’ll take you right into my uh thoughts on why I bet these guys and yeah let’s go sunj M 33 to1 a kind of an ugly number on a guy who hasn’t won in a long time and hasn’t really been playing well but I think
It’s a sharp number to be honest now sunjay drifts into the 40s every once in a while and there’s no reason he kind of shouldn’t be now but I think the number is sharp for a reason and obviously he has great course history here but the
Last few weeks haven’t been great and I would have never bet him off of that recent form although his win at Shriners came off two really bad approach weeks which was two years ago now yeah two years ago now he won at Shriners off of two really bad approach weeks he’s just
Had two really bad approach weeks is that going to mean he wins I mean I hope it does I really hope it does but the reason that got me on him was my interview with Will Wilcox if you didn’t listen to that go check that out I interviewed him yesterday afternoon or
Monday afternoon and he basically said how upset upset sunj is about the recent performances and he was grinding with his coach with his team and he’s back to Flushing it striping it and will said he’s hitting it as good as they ever seen him hit it ahead of this week so
His cat is telling me that he’s hitting it great he’s heading into a golf course where he has Elite course history I can get 33 times my money if he wins it’s a no-brainer so I’m going with sjm I don’t bet him much but yeah pretty straightforward great driver yeah the
Course fit makes sense for him great driver great iron player 33 to one great number so a lot of it is narrative based the the caddies quotes is what got me on sunj am at 33 to1 Okay JT Poston 36 to1 kind of an interesting number on JT
Poston High number again I think it’s a sharp number like sunj he needs if he wants to find success here he needs to go the Nick Taylor route he has okay course history but it’s gonna come down to the driver he has the iron game he has the short
Game he has the putter well shrieky putter but when it’s hot it’s hot the off the te game is a problem with JT poting he cannot be playing out of the desert he cannot be missing Fairways but in his last two trips to this event he’s gained multiple Strokes
Off the T Nick Taylor last year not a generational driver of the golf ball by any means but he gained Strokes off the T and found himself in the mix with Scotty Sheffer JT Poston is a PJ tour winner JT Poston knows how to get it
Done um and he’s done it here before so 36 to1 guy who’s playing a ton of golf at the moment I am down 37 to one on the 2022 US Open Champion like that is an absurd number and the golf course makes so much sense what does fits do very
Well drives it long and straight and chips the ball really well that is exactly what TPC Scottdale ask you to do it’s kind of a no-brainer on a guy who’s playing 37-1 the numbers don’t really of late they weren’t great but it was one bad round at Pebble and that was a 54
Hole tournament kind of throwing Pebble data out so Matt Fitzpatrick playing good at the moment he played great at the end of December he won in the in the fall so I’m definitely down on Matt Fitzpatrick 37 to1 Min wo Lee 40 to one I’ve been eyeing up Min wo Lee at TPC
Scottdale for a long time uh the last track on the PGA tour he really contended at was uh TPC I I don’t know why I like always forget the name of like literally what I’m so tired hold on like I I am so sorry I am so
Tired there’s just like it just BL I I’ll have like a r i a random blank T TPC sass TPC s grass is where Min Le contended last I sorry and another TBC course this week but it’s more of a course fitwise than anything TPC related
Mini is an elite driver and an elite short game player he struggles with the irons and he cannot have a week where he’s struggling with the iron he’s going to have to be at least field average with the irons to content but he’s contended across the sea he’s contended
At lengths golf courses a bunch of times in his career not that this is a lengths golf course but it asks you to do things lynxy it has you to shot shape off the tea and be very accurate off the tea and be generational around the green more
Than anything so uh Min willly 40 to1 I think it’s a great number on a golf course that makes a lot of sense for him cam young 40 to1 an elite driver of the golf ball is going to play out of the Fairway he’s going to play out of the
Fairway from spots that other guys are not playing in and cam young doesn’t have the best course history here but his last two trips here he has gained multiple Strokes off the te plus four plus five Strokes off the te if he’s doing that he’s going to be already
Starting on second base and he could just tap into the rest of his game and make birdies cam young almost won a few weeks ago in Dubai this is deserty Dubai is deserty I like that translation here the field isn’t great and this is kind of a similar situation to when Scotty
Got his first win a trending guy who has been uh in the mix a few times never broke through why can’t C cam young break through people have kind of written him all 40 to1 great number and seeu Kim 60 to1 on a golfer who wins and
A golfer who’s playing really good golf right now he’s striping it right now and he’s won he doesn’t have the best course history he has a few top 20 uh top 25s but he’s gained off the tea in his last two starts here which is very important he
Knows how to win he can get extremely hot with the iron game he was in the mix last week at Pebble at least for the first two rounds he was kind of popping up on the leaderboards though he’s playing good golf great number on seawe all right the five Grand Golf pits I’m
Not going to go through all of those because I did a entire video on them uh no matchup this week I will get into the underdog and priz picks because I didn’t break it down that much OA batia over 12 and a half Greens in regulation O’s best
Part of his game is irons and he these greens are big he could definitely hit he hit 18 greens at Pebble one time which is the smallest Greens on tour these are Big greens AA could he’s playing Great Golf he could definitely hit 13 Plus Greens he probably will hit
Close to 16 or 17 so sunj M over four birdies I got that I got him in two slips and I’m clearly very high on sjm this week I’m not going to do the whole thing again if you want the sunj M case uh rewind so and he’s a birdie maker he
Is striping it at the moment according to his caddy I’m going to trust him we got three par fives here a few easy par fours sunj M can make birdies here Adam hadwin over eight Fairways Adam hadwin is a desert fox a dude loves playing out
In the desert condition and his the best part of his game is driv driving accuracy so let’s tap into that and then Corey Connor’s over 15 and a half pars Cory Connor’s game Driver green farway green tup putt sometimes get hot with the putter but
Just makes a ton of pars a ton of 20 foot putts for birdie he’s a very safe golfer is not going to get you into trouble making par should be no problem for Cory Conor can definitely have a very clean scorecard and then Adam Scott over 12 and a half Greens in regulation
His second start of 2020 four is this week played a lot on the in Europe but he is really striping the ball with his irons I’m very happy to see what Adam Scott is doing with the ball striking he’s a decent driver but the iron play
Is really heated up for Adam Scott so over 12 and a half Greens in regulation I love that for uh Adam Scott and looking at our DFS ownership and player uh player pool like I said at the beginning of the week Scotty sheffler needs to be in every single lineup he
You need to build around Scotty sheffler so like it’s basically a fiveman DraftKings pool you’re building this week it’s Scotty Sheffer and then four five other guys ailon agre I just think he’s underpriced in playing good golf he’s hitting it well off the tea and
With his irons and he’s found a way to putt well of late Aaron Ry another guy who I think is underpriced and he’s playing decent golf driver long irons he’s really struggles on the putting greens but this is a course where bad Putters tend to putt well Cory Conor is
The G of the case very safe floor I I think he gets through the cut with these Now Keith Mitchell he was third in the field at Pebble through two rounds on approach which is we need to see that approach number popping because Keith Mitchell’s always going to drive it
Really well so I was glad to see that approach number popping he kind of hit it well at the AMX too the irons are the X-Factor for Keith Mitchell so we went in on a him Ben Griffin 7K Min 7K flat sorry I just think the price is too low
For a golfer of his caliber he literally Gets In the Mix once every six starts and he’s doing playing good golf at the moment so 7K was a easy press on him Joel Damon $6,300 super underpriced a guy that lives in Scottdale this is a home game
And he’s played well at this event before didn’t overthink that one all my 6K videos just go back I did a whole Deep dive in the 6K range so Jordan spe uh I didn’t go super heavy with Jordan spe because he is very Boomer bust it’s either all or nothing he could
Definitely easily miss this cut as crazy as it sounds very aggressive and very aggressive high-risk Cy W driver with an elite short game if Jordan spe is driving the ball well he will be in the mix he will potentially win this event so but we don’t know if he’s gonna be
Driving it well he did drive it at Pebble but that’s a very different driving course than TPC Scottdale sew came didn’t go as super heavy as him either because he’s super volatile but I gave the case for him why I’m betting it outright kind of an All or Nothing guy a
Better bet than a DFS play to be honest but I went like light on him um and then Tom hogi a guy who is striping the the ball with his irons right now is a very he’s not the longest but he’s a straight driver so he’ll be playing out of the
Fairway just lean into that long iron game with Tom hogi and then Vincent Norman a guy who I’m super high on this year a young Swede love that gets all the attention but Vincent Norman is hits the ball a mile hits the ball straight and he he kind of struggled the end of
2023 but he picked it up he made the cut out Tory Pond was is a super drive he driver he heavy golf course and he’s going to need to tap into that so I think he’s $6,800 if I’m not mistaken Vincent Norman I think is another great
DFS play so all the other uh videos are up on YouTube right now the five Grand Golf bets my outright card is right here I explained it um go check out that for the five Grand Golf bets go check out the 6K video and uh yeah I need to go to
Sleep I’m GNA say that right now I need to go to sleep I’m very tired and I have to wake up and watch golf so questions you guys know where to find me if I don’t answer I’m sleeping I will catch you guys uh Friday for the uh live stream see you guys
