Steve Bamford @Bamfordgolf on X – from Golf Betting System previews the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am from California. He details the host Par 72 Pebble Beach Golf Links, key skills required to win around this coastal, old-style assignment; gives historical winner data, plus gives his 4 player selections. Please like and subscribe + share.
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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024 – Golf Betting Tips
By Steve Bamford
SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
00:52 Like, SUBSCRIBE + Comment
02:01 bet365 sponsored Majors Competition
02:34 Course, Agronomy and Weather
07:17 Key Player Skills Required
11:05 Predictor Model Top 10
13:32 Rolling 8 Week Strokes Gained Stats
16:30 Historic Odds of Winners
17:47 Player Selections
Golf Betting System Website: https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/
Steve’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview: https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/att-pebble-beach-pro-am-tips-2024/
AT&T Pebble Beach Strokes Gained Rankings:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/pebble-sg-analysis-2024/
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Form Stats:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/pebble-combi-stats-2024/
2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Predictor Model / Optimizer:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.com/tournament/pebble-beach-pro-am-2024
2024 Golf Betting System Majors Competition Sponsored by bet365:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/golf-majors-competition-2024-rules/
Steve Bamford X: @Bamfordgolf
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Thingss I’m Steve banford and welcome to the Steve banford golf YouTube channel the home of the golf betting show we are covering this week the 2024 AT and T Pebble Beach pram it’s fantastic that you are with us the golf betting show is for viewers of 18 and
Above please be gambleaware you can visit begambleaware.org for more information and of course please bet responsibly don’t forget to visit golf betting system the number one free golf betting resource all of the links are in the description below links through to my full betting preview links through to
The form stats The Strokes gained rankings and of course our predictor models all completely free of charge at golf betting system I’m glad that you are with us this week we have burst through 4,000 subscribers on the channel thank you so much that gave me a fantastic boost heading into last
Weekend on top of that it would be absolutely amazing if we could do 175 likes this week for this show so please press the like button if you are not a subscriber subscribe to the show make sure your notifications are switched on that way you won’t miss a
Golf betting show all the way as we move towards the 2024 Masters in April it’s going to be a cracking few weeks of top quality action that goes without saying especially this week because we have an signature event the AT&T Pebble Beach pram it’s an 80 man
Field there is no cut there is 20 million up for grabs um you can follow me on X I am also at Bamford golf so make sure that you get involved with that follow me on X on top of that I must men mentioned 2024 bet 365 sponsored Majors
Competition it’s a oneandone select four different players for the Masters the PGA Championship the US Open and the Open Championship 250 prize pull in cash sitting ready for the uh for those of you finish first second and third this week in the bet 365 Majors competition again there is a link in the
Description to the rules and how you can enter for that right let’s crack on then the AT&T program it’s different this year used to be a full 152 man field something like that um over three courses with amateurs we do have amateurs this year but thankfully they’re getting rid of them after Friday
So only two courses on the road to as well instead of three in previous years so of course Pebble Beach no one needs any real introduction to to that where they’ve hosted various major championships over the years they are also playing either on the Thursday or
The Friday one round at spy glass Hill and that isn’t the easiest of golf courses which is something to bear in mind this week Pebble Beach Golf Links is the host course 54 holes thankfully Saturday and Sunday with no amateur so no Bill Murray this year potentially uh
Sitting and being shown on your TV for insane amount of hours um Pebble Beach itself a coastal golf course of course classical in nature um nice old style it’s short in length as well it’s a par 72 length of the course is only 6,972 yards hols with water hazards only
One that is the Pacific uh number of bunkers a lot of bunkers ering on this particular Golf Course 116 sand bunkers Acres of Fairway 27 Fairways they are Ry grass overseed on poana rough perennial Ry grass overseed on poana again 2 to three in so not as
Tough as we saw last week at the Farmers Insurance open the greens are some of the smallest we will see at any tournament this year probably the smallest 35,000 square ft of course POA greens tournament here is never any more than 11 so slow greens last year plenty of wind in play this
Ranked uh mid pack so it was uh the 20th most difficult Golf Course of 49 on the PJ to it played 7.53 against a power of 72 taking you to spy glass that’s a Trent Jones senior design 1966 a par 72 again not long 7,041 yards HS with water hazards 4
Number of bunkers 62 acres of rough 24 Fairways perennial Ry grass with poana again perennial Ry grass with POA 2 in is the rough bigger greens 5,000 square ft POA uh greens themselves described longer golf course you take driver a lot more Fairways though this week across both courses wider than Tory
Pines up to 30 yards 32 yards wide at 300 yard carry so again second week in the row poana greens this week uh we certainly saw last week a few of the usual stages on poana like Tony fenale get into the mix although his putting was particularly poor last week uh if
You were on matio pavon prices on a Monday up to 125 to1 congratulations right weather always very difficult to call here as per all Coastal Golf Course um action the the winning total is pretty much is dependent on temperature wind and turf conditions we are going to see a very
Soft golf course this week uh there’s been loads of rain in December and early January there is rain forecast from lunchtime on Wednesday before the tournament through Thursday and into early on Friday uh on Friday itself northwesterly Winds of up to 25 miles an hour are in play you can’t
Really tell here though that’s the point you may find as well that um wind up to 20 25 M out gets into play across Saturday and Sunday as well the long range forecast here is never the most accurate it has to be said the thing that really grabbed my mind though is 10
To 13° Celsius of the highest temperatures that is 50 to 55 F if you are in the United States not warm at all the ball will not go very far right Strokes gained rankings here for winners of this particular event now I’m going from Justin Rose last year
Shot 18 under back to vau Taylor in uh 2016 he won at 17 underpar go through what the Champions did in the ranking in across the the players that made the cut that particular year worth recognizing of course that for all of these they only played two of the four rounds with
Strokes gain being measured at the host Pebble Beach course so Strokes gain off the te 33rd not important Strokes gained on approach ninth very important Strokes going around the green 21st pretty important t green eighth much of that approach not power off the T Strokes game patting
17th now how does that compare to say Tory last week well off the T last week was 26th in the field approach was 16th so considerably less in terms of accuracy 26 from around the green 11th for ta to Green not as important and putting was 20th so that says to me
Approach play I think you’ve got to have a decent scrambling game around here because you are going to miss plenty of greens cuz they’re so small I know it’s one of the easiest courses to scramble but if you an absolute um if you’re not a dab hand at saving
Power around here you’re going to you’re going to splurge Bogies which will ultimately bring you down uh ta to Green is predominantly shorter game so approach and around the green you’ve got to be able to P around here that is the point I’m just going through the last
Five winners here Rose strok game patting 14th hogi Strokes game patting third uh Daniel Berger the worst Strokes game patting 18th and Nick Taylor in 2020 19 under par he was predominantly patting Strokes going T to Green 19th of which approach was 13th around the green
Was 13th and off the te was 54th Strokes game patting second so short Game Wizards and hot Putters very much in play this week that is undoubtedly true in terms of the uh traditional statistics you know your Fairways here Your Greens in R blah blah blah blah blah it basically boils down
To greens and regulation going way back to 2010 the field uh the position of the champion within the players that made the cut was eight going way back to 2010 that’s 14 renewals proximity to whole 13th putting average 7th with uh scrambling 22nd so scrambling more important than driving distance and driving accuracy
Putting average seventh so putts per G proximity to Ho 13th so wedge play decent Putter and if you miss greens you’ve got to get up and down that’s kind of where we’re at we also want players that I think have got decent finishes already at Pebble Beach
Um looking at I mean I was saying this last week wasn’t I at Tory Pines and then Mato pavon comes never seen either the North Course or the South course and wins the title on his first ever Farmers Insurance open that is John rames from 2017 so that’s two players now since
1953 that have won on tournament debut these things do get broken these Trends but in the main I’m looking for and it works through players that at least seen the seen the Pebble Beach program twice and if they’ve got a top 10 top 12 yeah that shows that they can get around
Here right top 10 of this week’s predictor model I pulled my own predictions together Monday morning I’m recording this Monday afternoon in the UK uh if you are still with me don’t forget to like the show subscribe to the show and follow me on X at Bamford golf
Right best book maker this week from what I’m seeing they’ve gone a bit sneaky because it’s an 80 man field eight places are available out there bet 365 bet Fred Bo Sports coral and lad Brooks are offering 10 places each way congratulations to them in an 80 man
Field William Hill though they’ve got a decent balance this week seven places each way and very strong odds first thing on a Monday so um if you haven’t got a William Hill account my betting preview link below in the description you will find the William Hill bet10
Get30 in free bets offer on the right hand side help the channel out sign up to William Hill they are offering pretty much Fullman field eight places each way each week this is a short 80 Manfield and you’re still getting seven and some Wicked prices right top 10 of my model
Don’t forget you can come and pull your own model together completely free of charge at golf betting system 10 Stephan Jager last week’s uh long-term leader 80 to one with bet 3 65 eight places each way nine is Matt Fitzpatrick 35 to1 with William Hill seven places each way eight
Ludvic aerg 25 to1 with William Hill seven places each way seven K marawa burned plenty last week 22 to1 with William Hill seven places each way uh six Brendan Todd finished second here last year 80 to1 with bet 365 eight places each way again short off the te
When on form with his wedges and his pter outstanding player five Scotty Sheffer 17-2 with uni bet six places each way four Patrick KL great record around here 20 to1 with William Hill seven places each way three Xander 16 to1 with William Hill seven places each
Way two Max Homer 20 to1 with William Hill seven places each way number one Rory maroy 8 to one with unibet six places each way maroy Homer Xander Klay Scotty Sheffer Brendan Todd rounding off the top six now Strokes gained on approach Absolut vital this week so
Let’s get on to the eight we SC rolling statistics that uh they contain PJ tour and DP World Tour also a little bit of Hero World Challenge in there we actually go back to the wwt wwt easy for me to say championship in Mexico you might
Remember that one that was the one that Eric Van royan stole from Matt cooa now Strokes going on approach seems extremely important this week here’s the top 12 in this field over the past eight weeks Strokes gained a tie for 11 Tommy Fleetwood uh sorry atire for 12th Victor
Holand and man himself Eric Van royan 11 Tommy Fleetwood 10 Adam Scott nine Nikolai haard a tire for six Cory Connors Rory maroy and Justin Thomas four a tie for fourth Kurt kitama and Colin morawa three is Christian Baden hoot two Jordan SPI and number one Scotty Sheffer stro
Strokes gained around the green I don’t think that’s a bad aspect this week top 12 in this field 12 is Tony fenel 11 is Scotty Sheffer nine Lucas Glover tied with Rory maoy eight Victor hovland seven Tommy Fleetwood six Ander chaule five Max Homer four Hideki matso armor
Three benan two Jordan SPI number one Justin Thomas Strokes gain T to Green top 12 over the past eight weeks you can see full top 25 numbers on my betting preview available in the description box Strokes going T to Green 12th Tony fenel 11th Tommy Fleetwood eighth a tie Cory Connors
Victor H Jordan SPI seven Nikolai hoard six Rory maroy a tie for fourth Xander and Justin Thomas three is Max Homer and a TI for first Benny AR and Scotty Sheffer and then let’s just do strokes G current form the best players over the last 12 weeks last eight weeks top 12
Across the PJ tour and the DP well tour combined right 12th mattio pav on tire for 10th Victor hovland and JT the postman Poston uh a tie for eighth Max Homer and Xander chaule a tie for fifth Nikolai hoard Rory maroy and Scotty Sheffer fourth is
Adam Scott third Jordan SP and a tie for first again Ben AR could this be the week when he breaks the PJ to a duck tied with Justin Thomas uh winning prices of winners here I don’t really know if this has got a lot of relevance anymore because it used
To be a full field it used to be a three day a 4 day proam across three courses but I’ll read them out anyway 25 to1 justtin Rose hogi 66 to1 Burger 18 to1 Nick Taylor 160 to1 uh Phil Mickelson 25-1 that averages through at 58 to1 for
The past 5 years going back to 2010 it averages through at 90 to1 with a short field and the very best in the game playing this week on the PJ tour you’d suspect that that might change but saying that Chris Kirk won the Sentry which is another elevated event signature event
At 150 to1 so in these crazy times on the PJ T I just don’t know I’m not even going to bother with World Golf Ranking because it’s pretty pointless given the fact that this tournament is completely uh changed in its structure the last three winners though have all
Been in and around the top 70 in the official world golf rankings right I’m going to keep it very very simple don’t forget follow me at banford golf on X please press that like button 175 likes would be a wonderful subscri subscribe to the channel I know that 50% of you
Aren’t subscribed right real simple real real simple for me I’ve gone 16 to one with coral 10 places each way I’m covering 10 places on Jordan spe at 16 to1 what can you say about Jordan and Pebble Beach fourth 7th 1st 9th third and second third at the Century love the way
That he topped Strokes game patter last time he finished in the top three at capalo was back in 2017 he then went on to win the one and only time that he has W here at the AT&T Pebble Beach clearly sponsored by um at& two plays here every year loves
The golf course incent enough Nick love his chances 16 to1 Jordan SMI Coral 10 places each way um it’s just worthy isn’t it the last time he did win win on the PJ tour was at Harbortown and he and you know we just know you just go
Back to his Open Championship form as well cold windy where I don’t think it’s going to bother Jord more emphasis on short game not an issue so Jordan spe at 16 to one for me again I’ve gone two points each way 18 to one this time with
Bet 365 eight places each way don’t forget that 20 to1 with with William Hill is out there seven places each way Max Homer was on him last week the mistakes that Max made were purely not going low enough on the North Course on Friday I genuinely think there was a
Slight Advantage for those that played South course on the uh the South the North Course on the Thursday just get a score out there and then he made one double on the opening hle which was one of the easiest holes on the south course can’t do that in the end just finished
Out of the top 10 but in General he’s playing some cracking golf he is a winner across Riviera Country Club Silverado Country Club twice and Tor Pines this would be all of the standard California stop offs on the PGA tour if he wins here at Pebble Beach wins in
Each and every one of them I’m not including of course that event that they played at Old Greenwood which clearly a player of Homer’s capability doesn’t tend to play alternate events so Homer yeah 18 to1 with bet 3 6 five eight places each way I think Max is going to have a cracking
Week bad weather wind soft Golf Course short Golf Course old style golf course this guy can deal with anything he can deal with tougher scoring conditions he can plot his way around pretty much any short old style golf course on the planet the 2023 US Open Champion Matt
Fitzpatrick I’ve gone one and a half points each one Way 33 to1 with coral again 10 places each way with coral you can get 35 to1 right now with William Hill seven places each way I’ll take the 33s on Fitzpatrick last two wins or the
Two wins he’s add in the US have been of course at uh Brookline they were bent grass mixed with poana greens and at harbort toown Coastal golf course I don’t think this is as onerous off the tea as har I don’t think you need to be as straight
A hitter but around here T you know the T ball isn’t as important you can hit a lot of longer irons off the tea here and it’s then just a wedge Fest on so many of these holes cold he won of course on the DP well tour in the Autumn at the
Alfred Danel lyx Championship where they play Kings Barnes car Carusi and St Andrews that was horrid Golf Course is flooded never stopped raining he won at 19 underpath this is his Mo for me he’s played here a number of times he was 12th in the 2019 US Open he was sixth
Here at the 2022 AT&T when that was his SE that was his year uh his first actual Tournament of 2022 in the first week of February he’s going to be better for two outings in at the uh in Hawaii I think he’ll go well this week Matt Fitzpatrick 33 to1 I’ve
Gone with coral and then I’ve gone for a triple digit chance I was very very tempted on Brandon woo that’s fairly obvious but in the end I went for kurk kitama in the world’s top 50 a PGA to a winner not only that he won at signature
Event level last year at the Arnold Palmer Invitational at 200 to1 he is a local enough lad grew up in North Carolina he’s 31 years of age lives in Las Vegas he’s actually house sharing with minwoo Lee he’s finished 18th here and 29th here last year last year he was
In the final group with Justin Rose in the final round and Peter Malnati just to shut off the lead had a horror Sunday stroke Monday but 64 at Monteray 70 at Pebble Beach 70 at spy glass Hill he was 12 here after 54 holes way back in 2020 as well when he was
Pretty much a rookie so yeah kurk kyama I’ve got him 110 to1 with bet 365 eight places each way for kurk kyama who you might remember ranked in the top five for strokes gained on approach he’s fourth across the last eight weeks he’s also in the top uh where are
You where are you Kurt top 15 for strokes gained T2 green and in the top 22 for strokes gain current form I thought 110 to1 a very fair price on kitama so kittama Jordan uh Jordan spe at the top Max Homer and Matt Fitzpatrick those are my four for this week’s AT&T Pebble
Beach program I hope you enjoyed the show follow me on Twitter or follow me on X banford golf subscribe to the show uh press the like button and I’ll see you next week for the uh Waste Management Phoenix Open thanks for seeing you good
11 Comments
Steve I mentioned Benny last week and you laughed at me 😅 I have to bet him again now with JT.
Hit that Thumbs Up. Give the Show its LIKED. The Froggy robbed me on Saturday. Going for Sepp again this week. Along with Grillo. And RORY. Best of Luck All. CHEERS from the CUSE
Cheers Steve, not getting to involed this week little bets on Kirk, Glover and giving Hoge one last go. Best of luck and happy birthday.
Hope all is well my friend, great show as always! 2 longshots I like a lot with great value this week at Schenk and Kitayama….any thoughts?
Kitayama 👍 +15000 shop around. I got him at Hardrock. Should good value on my model as well.
It looks like the weather will be rough. I don't trust Fitzpatrick. After the last few weeks of random winners, I might have to sit this one out.
Just started my own betting previews. Always loved these Steve. Keep up the good work!
Nice show have a descent ew bet on kitayama cheers
Congrats on clipping 4K. Thank's for Sharing
Thanks Steve. Free Sky Bet €5 on Jordan Spieth at 16/1. With you on Fitzy and Kitayama. And Ben An and Bezuidenhout. And Rose and Scotty for my Mum. 🏌🤞
Brilliant Stuff as always Steve ⛳⛳I'm on Poston and Henley,Best of luck everyone 👍