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Let’s get going I got a quick show the big gu hot streak at the poker table is not over I think I’m going to go again tonight you mother father what’s up new guy my name is James better known as the degenerate 75 and I’m a guy who is doing

Showdown hdown tonight even though it’s the middle of football season and we’ve got this wonky ass tournament nobody cares because I’m going try hard and I give a [ __ ] and I’m going to keep doing it you can’t stop me if you find you like the cut of my jib I encourage you

To hit the like maybe subscribe if you’re really like the cut of my jib check out this schedule I do this show called The Showdown ho down every Friday and Saturday night I do the emergency stream every Wednesday night 7 o’clock Lord’s time zone because we all like to

Play week long uh also known as kicking the nuts and I do a price drop show every Monday with Tambo that will be back on my station this week so be there okay let’s get going if you got any questions put them over there in the

Chat if not I it just gets me to the cin seeo sooner and I just start [ __ ] slapping those people all right there’s nothing nothing more fun than when you’re on a heater at DFS or at poker you just feel like you can’t lose and then inevitably you lose again you’re

Like I hate this game all right here you go looking at the the the cut is definitely going to be minus 13 right the cut is minus 13 so if you’re if you’re wondering if you got any six of sixes how live are they probably pretty

Good we have under 10% six of six rate in every contest so you know like if you have you know some six of sixes I think you’re probably pretty live tomorrow right especially with how chaotic this tournament is with literally every guy having the ability to go minus 10 if you

Have six of sixes even if you don’t have any guys up in the top five you still might be more alive than you realize especially if that Dunlap guy wins because ain’t nobody playing that mother father right so that’s the six of six rate relatively low this week and with

How much scoring there’s going to be tomorrow you’re definitely going to want to have six guys in your lineups contributing to those points right so there that’s the six of six right by the way this is cut sweats all right I love this we’ll get more into this site later

But I’m doing the show a little bit early so what are you going to do as you can see it was was it the the scoring was just too easy today The Stadium Course played 3.71 under par uh Nicholas tournament and Lino were both a little

Bit easier which is you know to be expected it is an easy those are easier courses but the stadium course did have all the studs playing out it today so it was the lowest scoring we saw out of the three days okay so why I think we really

Need to focus on the stadium course and how it played today is I think it gives us a pretty good barometer of how it’s going to play tomorrow I do think it will be slightly tougher tomorrow because we’ll look at the weather here in a minute and you’ll you’ll see it’s

Going to be a little bit cooler tomorrow okay it didn’t look EX toasty out there today but it’s going to be even cooler tomorrow and if you don’t know when the cooler conditions especially once you get below that 60 degree threshold scoring tends to see a slight dip okay

So the part of me thinks that this is the easiest course in the world they’re going to average another 4 under and part of me thinks you know maybe this will be closer to minus three 2 and a half to three tomorrow and maybe everybody won’t be boat racing as much

As we have seen them the first three days okay but here’s what I do know there is a lot of birdies on The Stadium Course right I mean I think Justin Thomas made 57 straight birdies at one point which by the way is he unbroken now did he somehow get unbroken Jesus I

Think I’m gonna have to change my tune on that mother father and here’s what you need to know tomorrow round four Showdown is a little bit different because we have these things called finishing points right where the GOL for finishes you get these additional bonus points added to their

Score that’s different than round one round two round three okay so we have to factor this in so a guy like Nick Dunlap Dunlop is going to be a r popular tomorrow cuz he’s going to be [ __ ] bargain right got that and everybody’s going to think well he gets

13 bonus points no dip [ __ ] he gets 13 bonus points if he finishes there which I think is a really big if G but because of that people are going to say I can save money and I get the W and there’s going to be a lot of those people so I

Am projecting that he will be at least 25% owned probably significantly more than that but I will say that the crowd has gotten a lot smarter on playing these donkey dicks up at the top you know you’ve also got Bez up there uh uh uh who’s going to be popular because

He’ll be price relief and then of course Sam Burns Justin Thomas Xander chaet uh uh Poston Cole they will all be very popular too because they’re getting those perceived position points but here’s what I’m going to tell you with as many birdies that are going on at

This course if you can get a guy who outscores them right the guy who finishes second and the guy who finishes 15th literally the only difference between them is less than one birdie or basically a bogey free round versus a non- boogie free round right or a streak

Or not a streak right that’s literally the only difference uh between second place and 15th Place so to think that you have to get all who finish in the top 10 or all guys who start in the top 10 so they’ll finish up there is a Miss

No more you need guys that are going to go shoot you minus sixes minus sevens minus8 preferably with streaks and bogey free rounds and let them backo you those points yes you want to have some guys who start up in the top 10 the very first question I would ask myself is who

Do I think is going to win this tournament if you truly think Nick dunlap’s going to win this tournament first of all God bless your soul second of all you got to play him if you think he’s going to win it’ll be very rare that he is going to win this tournament

Tomorrow and not have a great round cuz I promise you Thomas and burns or Xander one of these guys is going to make a real big run at him and he’s probably going to have to shoot a minus five or minus 6 to win this tournament right and

If he does that and gets the 13 bonus points at that price tag he will likely be part of an optimal sty lineup if you think Sam Burns Justin Thomas whoever you think is going to win you’re going to want to put them in your lineup right

And I also would probably have another guy or two up in the top 10 because those position points do help but they are not the end all Beall and what people always fail to realize with these position points is how easy it is to back door them if you go play some guy

Um let’s just go because you know year 2024 has been the year of uh of uh uh AA um Alcoholics Anonymous we’ll go with Harrison Ott right if if like if he goes and shoots another minus8 tomorrow he will almost certainly not have another nutted round but we’ll have a nutted

Round with getting you top 10 finishing points too right so like look for guys who can back door into those position points instead of guys who simply just start there because as you see with every day of a golf tournament just because you start somewhere doesn’t mean

That you’re going to finish there am I right right Scott Stallings so uh that that’s that’s the biggest thing you need to do tomorrow how can you play leverage I will tell you right now Dunlop Burns Thomas uh Bez Xander these guys are all going to be very very popular tomorrow

Ask yourself which of those guys do you just think you have to play and which ones are you okay fading because if you have the stones to fade Dunlap and burns and Thomas that right there will already have you different than the vast majority of the field the vast majority

Of the field okay and then from there you need to say okay if I think those guys aren’t going to win who is going to win and you better have those motherf fathers in your lineup I think you were being foolish if you don’t start with

Any guys in the top 10 your lineup matter of fact I would encourage at least two probably no more than three or four though okay because you’re going to want to play some guys that charge all right as far as contest go tomorrow not great Bob not great football’s back they

They they didn’t even do 100,000 in the big one so now it’s a quarter to first as opposed to 20% [ __ ] hate it pisses me off um you know the 44 like they don’t even have the $5 Drive the green they just have the $5 single entry they

Still have the $1 20 Max here’s what I would tell you well I think I told you this last Saturday night just play if you love round four Showdown play you know try to get in the best possible contest you can and just understand that three more weeks none of this [ __ ] will

Matter golf will be king again and we will have great contest every round four because it is the most popular round of Showdown okay just right now with NFL going on you know DK’s butthole puckers up a little bit looking at the weather for tomorrow as I already uh uh warned

You oh let’s go look at H you can see tomorrow it’s it’s it’s it’s going to actually Hy has slightly different projections it’s going to get warm just a hair later tomorrow okay so a slight Edge to guys going out later but I can almost guarantee they’re going

To go off in groups of three the guys in the back half that made the because this is everybody’s playing Stadium Course tomorrow and they’re going to go off in threes almost certainly I haven’t heard this officially I just know the [ __ ] PGA by now the guys in the back half of

The field of the guys who made the cut so that’ll be all your guys that are like you know minus like t37 and t39 all these [ __ ] down here they’re going to be going off of 10 whereas the top half of the field will all be going off of

One the guys in the middle of the field so like the first group out tomorrow is probably G to be something like Vince swy Steven jger and Min muu Lee they’ll be going off either one or 10 and then another group will be going off the

Other one and then from there it’ll just all the uh all the groups will just start moving up this way for the guys that going off one and then it’ll start moving this way for all the guys going off 10 so the last three guys going off

10 tomorrow will be something like Sam Stevens Austin ekro and and Matthew n Smith it’ll be something like that okay so a slight Edge to those guys going off the very latest one thing I will point out is with the Cup being at minor 13 look at this if you’re minus 13 right

Now you were literally only uh what is that four strokes out of of 17th place right so like it’s they’re not that far behind right there there’s everybody so bunched up there that I think playing these guys way down at the quote unquote bottom who are at minus 13 I think are

Are very likely to still if they have a nutted round could still back door you a top 20 and we just saw those that back dooring you a top 20 that’s four bonus points not to mention they’ve already had a nuked Dr not to mention most importantly they are going to be very

Very lowly owned so here’s what I would tell you the weather tomorrow um you know looks like there could be some gut like some weird gust there towards the end but overall uh looking at this it does look the course is going to be warmer than I thought I for some reason

Had it set to air cold Monday Wednesday Friday we want it set to uh H ra and it looks like it’s going to be a little warmer than it was today right uh you go look at what it was today just a little bit cooler Bob so I think it’s going to

Be warmer and I I think I I take it back I think this the score will probably be uh minus 3 to-4 tomorrow under par as an average these guys are going to roast this course which makes me just like the the guys charging from the the middle of

The pack even more okay uh let’s go look at some stats and then I’ll answer your questions and then I got a hot date with the casino because she puts out hey but before I do go check out my site DJ 75.com guys I’m trying not to spoil it

For you but you need to go you need to get there now things could be changing soon I’ve got a golf package $34.99 it includes the Rosetta Stone it includes all of my stuff I do for week long my sleepers the best ownership the best projections out there everything for

$34.99 cuz I don’t believe in price gouging people what a concept if you don’t know I’m going to be doing NASCAR I still do football you can get everything off for $54.99 you’re going to want to lock in those prices and one last call I have like a dude every day

Sign up for this and the spots are really getting limited last freaking two weeks that I’m ever going to offer big guy because it’s just gotten too full and I want to give all those guys my attention so if you want to get in there

You got two weeks to do it uh by the way big shout out to all my winners once again 14 gpp winners last week I think we’re already at like 9 this week can’t wait to see the new collage and if you’ve ever wanted to try out my site

Simply just sign up for my newsletter let the editor know and he will get you taken care of by the way if we don’t get to 50 likes I’m not doing a drawing 50 likes are no drawing you donkey dicks I know it’s Saturday night and you have

Families and lives and football I don’t give a [ __ ] okay uh looking at the stats you got to remember when we go look at ball striking and stuff this is only going to be the guys that played Stadium Course today right which the good news for us

Is most of the good players but you also got to take this with a grain of salt like you know like Justin Thomas was very good today very nice big picked up as much ball striking as anybody today but he also picked up uh over four strokes between putting and short game

If you want to if you want to count on that go ahead maybe Justin Tom ma Thomas magically F fixed his putter okay but like I you know like if you asked me if you said put put your nut sack on the table and we’re going to cut your nuts

Off if you’re wrong who is more likely to let you down tomorrow Justin Thomas or Xander I’d say Justin Thomas 100 times out of a 100 right and I you need to know up front I love my testicles okay so uh but that doesn’t mean Xander couldn’t spin his wheels too right these

Guys coming off nuke rounds Thomas Xander guys like that you got to be careful because they’re going to be popular uh not only because they’re coming off a nuke round but because they’re coming up there and they’re good players that people are going to want to

Spend their salary on right so you got to ask yourself is there a chance they could spend their wheels tomorrow what I want to look for us I want to look for guys who maybe did some ball striking today but didn’t exactly finish it right like Justin s would have been nutted but

His donkey ass missed the cut uh here’s a great one Jason day ball struck the hell out of it today and couldn’t putt or short game right I know he looks like a goofball out there but the the guy can apparently still play golf uh SEIU Kim

Very nice tea to Green Day just couldn’t uh wasn’t making the putts today Patrick Klay solid ball striking today couldn’t make the putts wam Clark you know like he came off that nuke round I did not like him today I think he’s an interesting bounceback tomorrow right

Dude is Chris Kirk just like a top 10 golfer in the world all of a sudden like the guy’s just always there I’m I’m pretty impressed with old Captain Kirk um anybody else let’s see um anybody really [ __ ] themselves off the tea today but we’re otherwise Good Michael

Kim I mean that Michael Kim’s just forget the stats he just makes sense as a bounceback player in theory right he just he was leading the tournament early and then he just played like [ __ ] on the back nine old bork look at that killed himself off the tea was actually pretty

Good on approach old bork dorks huh uh anybody kill themselves around the green but we otherwise good anybody anybody simawa missed the cut Davis Thompson Davis Thompson pretty interesting old Davis Thompson he can get roasty hot old Davis cheesy smile but he get roasty hot and anybody else Ben Griffin did you

Know he was an accountant I don’t know oh now he can putt now that it’s not Sunday that I need him to not make a par every [ __ ] hole he’s Denny McCarthy uh wow Ricky Fowler unbelievable lost 5.68 on approach there you go there’s some guys uh that I would

Consider just dudes that were Absolut oh Grayson Sig gota like that approach I don’t know that I would trust Grayson Sig to pick up three and a half Strokes puttting though uh Bez man Bez was throwing darts out there today and Bez can roll zerok H Eric Von royan I don’t know he

Just lingered in the back had good approach today couldn’t make a putt just warn you that guy can get hot all right uh I’m going to answer some questions and then I think I’m going to get out of here okay uh unless I see uh unless I

See us get to 50 likes which doesn’t look like we’re gonna do small crowd tonight I was thinking about not even doing the show but you know what I just a hardcore um Nick says where is everybody easy Nick not everybody’s a sweaty sweaty tryhard like you and I uh how was

Poker last night dude I got this old guy old drunk guy man I he just he would call anything I did right so I waited till I got nines I got all in he called me with 47 I beat him the very next hand

I get jacks I go all in he calls me down this is a this is a $2,000 pot calls me down with 47 the Flop comes 445 he smashes My Jacks three hands later I get it all in again I have Queens he has Ace

10 [ __ ] rolls an ace out on me I mean I got owned by an old drunk man who would literally give me like 8 to one odds right it it was like a dream situation an old guy who had it out for me like he just wanted my blood and all

I had to do was say come on sh I called him charman cuz he’s Ultra Soft that was what I just kept saying that to needle him and every time I said that auto call it didn’t matter what he had he would just call me so I just kept waiting for

Monsters and he [ __ ] still got there so it was fun I had a real good time uh he kept what was he calling me catfish he kept calling me dude he was so drunk when he went to walk to the bathroom he did this sideway like he was so drunk if

You’ve ever seen that video of the guy at the waste management trying to walk to his car and he can like barely stand this was this old guy B he was 70 incredible balance for a man who was 70 being able to walk away and keep his balance because I’m kidding I’m not

Kidding that guy had no less than 10 Jack doubles last night guy was a [ __ ] animal guy was an animal took all my money accidentally he took all my money but he did take all my money right you’re never going to hear me be like I

Never lose I mean it was the dream situation and I lost uh anyways you’re saying why didn’t you buy back in I played till 2: in the morning morning the old [ __ ] left after he went he’s like I think that’s enough luck for one night okay uh what

The hell they call me catfish it’s like all right all right grandpa um just just to be classy I made sure he didn’t drive home I made sure that the guy got an Uber call right not really because I cared about him dying in a crash but I didn’t want him hurting

Somebody else uh who’s this uh who’s the storm that the stadium course from whose storms from outside the top 10 let’s go look at that let’s go see if we can find somebody like just a good candidate to just go storming tomorrow right uh brought some morons playing Davis

Thompson oh Justin low ended up kind of saving his round he got off to a slow start today uh you know I’m just kind of looking for these guys that had okay rounds today like a Michael Kim right uh guys like that I think Bor I mean if you

Want if you’re W to go cheaper options and you don’t want to play the obvious Dunlap and Bez and guys like that go look up uh uh Bjork go look up Michael Kim go look up Kevin youu these guys could be um you know cheap options that

Are not so obvious cuz they’re not starting in the top 10 when did Patrick hlay enroll in the Shane Lowry body shaping Academy dude Patrick cley’s always been kind of dumpy he’s always been kind of dumpy right he’s like that skinny dumpy so you don’t notice it as

Much right I I I think there’s three levels of dumpy there’s like obvious Shane Lowry dumpy then there’s middle of the road dumpy that’s like dumpy boow that’s Bo HOSA right he’s like the perfect medium dumpy guy and then there’s skinny dumpy and that’s Patrick

Klay uh all right uh 11% six of six in the $5 Lottery let’s have some fun tomorrow hey good luck tomorrow I think I ended up with like one six of six out of my 27 lineups nick uh and when I looked earlier I had legit 86% but then

Every one of my guys said no no no no no no no no no how about I miss the cut on the number djen it’s a bold strategy but you got there pal you got there uh is Burns going to beat the two Bamba boys tomorrow go Tigers I mean dude when Sam

When when you got Good Sam Burns at a birdie Fest he scares the [ __ ] out of me to not play uh like any other time I would have been Allin on Sam Burns at this tournament uh but I he just hasn’t been good for a while right right now

That I’ve seen this form the next time there’s a birdie Fest I’m all in on Sam Burns these are the kind of tournaments I love him at there’s some guys that can just get to minus 25 better than others and Sam Burns might be the king of that

Uh are we considering any of these slappies we’ve never heard of I wouldn’t because other people are going to play them just because of the position points right Dunlap is real syndrome I know we were just talking about Shane Lowry and dumpy boo I think they both have it I

Used to have a case myself until I became like a gim bro and stuff uh let’s see imagine pressing the lock button on Dunlop today all I would be insane yeah you know I had him like I I had 25 guys in my player pool and then I thought man

This guy could never be in an optimal lineup I’m being too cute and I cut him that’s a real fact and I didn’t play him and amazingly enough he was like 4% owned so uh kudos to those people that played him I I was too big of a [ __ ]

Are you willing to play bounceback guys that didn’t play well at Stadium Course today absolutely Brett almost any of these guys that are playing tomorrow I’m open to playing because the worst ones are going to be starting at minus 13 right and if I know that well then I

Think they can go get it and if I know anything about professional golfers you know like like Scotty sheffler uh uh had a pretty pedestrian round today chess Hadley had a pretty pedestrian round uh any of these guys can bounce back especially when they’re good players and

By the way I’m not saying chess Hadley’s good I’m referring back to Scotty shefner uh 888 snowman week long for Showdown tournament I won a ticket today hey let’s go hey those are fun man those are fun remember you can save those for Anytime there’s a 888 you don’t have to

Use that this next week so save it for a tournament you really like in there flux only 50 likes let’s make it happen you would think you would think but people are people are sting you with the like button on a Saturday night right uh would you kindly smash the like button

We need a big Rally from it here uh can you remind me what’s the most uh uh what is the most popular PGA DFS stream it’s this one Stephen you know it people don’t even try to compete anymore I think other people have literally ended their streams now uh do you think Eric

Cole Burns The Stadium Course tomorrow I mean Eric Cole Eric Cole’s a dude man I’m telling you I think by the end of this year Eric Cole’s definitively going to be a top 10 golfer like Wednesday on the stream I was trying to decide who’s

The one guy I don’t want to play Poston or Cole and honestly they both scared the [ __ ] out of me and now you can see why cuz they’re both doing awesome I just thought there was better plays at that ownership but uh Eric Cole I have nightmares about that guy he’s so good

One of my favorite Showdown guys to play too I’ve played him every round of showdowns so far well I didn’t play no I didn’t play round one Showdown so the last two days I should say uh uh how can anyone fade col post tomorrow I mean honestly they’ll get there they’ll get

Donkey chalk always gets there just remember that hey we got 51 likes editor go ahead and draw a name to build a lineup with me okay uh let’s see what’s the difference between the two weather projections you were looking at uh H ra is just better here in America Eric Cole

Monday Wednesday Friday or every country makes weather forecast is a better is is better with European projections right and uh I’m going to let you know a little secret list Amer we don’t give a [ __ ] about Europe uh the two Chase uh is two Chasers the proper lineup for

Constructions I think that’s good maybe two guys in the top 10 two guys right outside the top 10 and two guys low something like that I wouldn’t hate that how far behind you think you can legitimately have a chance of winning more I think if you’re at minus 20 you

Are very very livive to win this so all these guys right here t and above right and Hell Patrick Klay could probably get to minus 30 tomorrow I mean you know he’ll be very slow getting there dumpy bow two in a row possibly I knew dumpy

Bow was going to go off today after I played the [ __ ] out of him yesterday you do do [ __ ] what’s your biggest factor in making round four projections for tomorrow I mean obviously we’re going to look at the time they go out we’re going to look at their position points we’re

Going to do ball striking regression we’re going to do long-term Talent we’re going to do putting regression and we put it all into a big formula and we spit out the numbers um by the way our numbers what a concept one golfer you might be okay

Fading in the top 10 oh yeah Dunlap I mean that that that’s just not even a question I mean I if you want to play Dunlap I’m not going to talk [ __ ] I get it the kid’s [ __ ] good guy’s good at golf but I have watched enough golf to

Know that playing a no a nobody leader on a Sunday is just a recipe for disaster I I’ll I’ll die on that hill right because I’m going to imagine he’ll probably be at least 33% own tomorrow so that means if he just does average 33% of the field is automatically dead cuz

You’re going to need six nuke guys to have any chance tomorrow new game is a Max two players in the top 10 a decent way to go I don’t mind it at all your new shoes comeing in nope better be here tomorrow but I am getting my $25

Overnight delivery refunded uh oh 69 people in here nice uh let’s see any advantage to playing Stadium Course two days in a row you know Andy I do kind of buy that I do kind of buy that I really do I think it’s lame and I’ve always thought that they give an unfair

Advantage to the best players letting them save the quote unquote harder course until the third day and then getting to see it two days in a row I do I do buy that I I think it’s a minimal difference but you know it could be a half stroke difference I think that’s a

Thing why am I getting shafted and showdown in a birdie Fest why am I getting shafted and showdown in a birdie Fest I don’t know how you’re getting shafted and you just if you have one guy who shot a minus two today just know your sh your Showdown lineup was beyond

[ __ ] dead like if you didn’t have every guy in your lineup at least minus six or lower you need not bother applying for any type of winning lineup today I had a great core today at Showdown a great core and I think maybe I finished with two lineups in the top

100 in the main I didn’t I just didn’t play Thomas cuz I wasn’t going to play Thomas at the course and I bitched out on Dunlap pretty simple Bob uh do you apply to the same weather facts tomorrow like we did earlier in this week yeah but I looking

At the H Ro it looks like it’s going to be warmer than the the air CLE Monday Wednesday Friday said Michael you won buddy let’s build a lineup we can do it later if you do me if you send me a message tonight just know I’ll probably

Have two kings and be getting smashed by an old drunk guy calling me uh uh catfish hey big guy uh are you the goat I don’t think so I’m a normal dude I I I’m going to go play uh poker at to Indian casino tonight in Shaunie

Oklahoma I I I I I don’t think anything’s goat about that but I’ll tell you what I am I’m a big dude that loves PJ DFS and tries to make it fun that I do are you a hold them guy Omaha oh definitely hold them definitely [ __ ]

Omaha F Omaha is like you know what if I poker you want to know what that what we call Omaha and poker kicking the nuts uh do you wear sunglasses [ __ ] no dude I just go to [ __ ] with the dealers have fun with the players and tip the

Dealers a lot I don’t care about winning at poker and that’s probably why I win at poker cuz I don’t actually give a [ __ ] all these [ __ ] losers trying to grind out their rent money at a onew table you [ __ ] losers get a life I

Like it’s so sad to me I go there to have a good time uh you know I like to always set in the five seat I always like to [ __ ] with everybody at the table I’m friendly with everybody I lose a big pot that old guy chirping me all

Night I’m just like you know okay all right old man you got it you know uh I I can I can I can deal with it I go to the casino to have a good time I’m now if I were 22 I probably would have went to

Prison for smashing an old man’s face in but I’m a wise old 39 now and I just laugh that [ __ ] off you get a little bit wiser and a little bit more perspective as you get further in life uh small victories for the big guy I know but I

Am proud of myself didn’t chirp back at that old mother father one time I mean you know calling him charman but if you think that’s chirping you don’t know my type of chirping I get real aggressive real quick all right guys it has been real thank we got up to 69 the perfect

Number to be here I will talk to you guys what will we be back Tuesday for the Emergency stream me and Tambo will be doing that first look Monday so plan on S spending lunch with me and Tambo on Monday plan on the stream Tuesday it’s a

Weird golf week next week Tuesday be there you mother fathers uh Chris go ahead and just DM me with that question okay I’ll answer you in DMS all right I got to go have fun wait listen listen everybody do you hear that I can hear the casino Calling My Name

I’ll talk to you motherf fathers later enjoy this Outro a

4 Comments

  1. For weeklong I faded the chalk donkeys (hee haw her haw) Cole’s, Poston, and Jagger. As a hedge I made prop bets on each of them to finish top 20 and 30. Is that over thinking it and trying to be too cute or a wise long term strategy?

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