Pat Mayo and Tyler Tamboline discuss their favorite 2024 Farmers Insurance Open Bets, DraftKings picks, debate the best roster construction for the week and project ownership for DFS guaranteed prize pools (GPPs). Plus, they review the DraftKings Ownership while going their weekly Head-ToHead-Lineup Draft.
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
5:26 Weather
9:58 Final Bets
14:25 One and Done
19:55 Highest Ownership
30:30 Lineups
57:09 H2H Draft
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Woodland was on my um dig deeper list for today to try and see what I was going to do with him because he’s another guy didn’t talk about him at all showed something at least like he he showed something as in he played golf correct experience exper Experience B experience experience welcome to the P Mayo experience Farmers Insurance open DraftKings picks the lineups the ownership digging into all that additionally we’ll have the weather one and done picks and the final betting card for the week again this starts on Wednesday so don’t forget to put your
Lineups in if you have reserved a spot in any contest the listeners league is almost full there’s 100 spots remaining by the time that we’re recording this by the time it’s out there might be like 50 spots left so if you want your spot go to the description and go join right now
Sub to the newsletter well you’re down there as well because all the information plus Early Access to the listeners league is always in there plus it’s completely free and it has Giant writeups and final bets and all the information that you need so go do that
And share it around if you would thank you smash like sub to the channel while you’re here and Tambo from shipit nation.com is in studio and you got some winners for us yeah we got some winners we had the contest going obviously still got uh just under 24 hours to get in but
The contest portion will end but if you do want to get introductory PJ only DFS pricing the $19 for the season drops to $179 the $34 a month drops to 30 and change so basically a dollar a day use the promo code Mayo over at shiping nation.com but the winners announc and
We’ll reach out to but Paul label no longer liable for his monthly payment he will be going up to a season pass so you can reach out to us info@ shipit nation.com we’ll follow up there and then the winner of the season pass refund based on the contest is
Christopher Mago you can reach out to us as well info@ shiin nation.com so two good winners a lot of people signed up we appreciate all the support sport it’s been awesome another huge week it was the probably worst run out I’ve ever had I watch I haven’t talked to you
About it any sport and it was in definitely in PGA I I watched it in real time I saw Lee won the Mini Max that’s awesome yeah solid the course fit rankings over at chip and Nation been really good he brought those over formerly of fan share he he’s got a
Formula he’s worked out there it’s winning I mean that’s what got me into King of the desert was those those rankings the one week uh that I got just played the top guys it worked that was my lineup That was doing well in other places I just didn’t use it in King of
The desert this week so that was a bad run out 74 72 and 72 from three of my four guys if they all just hit 69 and get their all four under 70 I’m in and then the other one was nuts well two of the okay so I I was tracking what you
Were doing in the 250 yeah uh because I I I thought that I was going to make a run at it and then my guys just [ __ ] down their legs on Saturday afternoon coming home and I was like oh man here we go again I go to the top and like hey
Tambo’s like in the mix here then I checked in halfway through to see if I was still cashing and I was like oh and you were up at like 60 points or something like that and then seiw and burns got to number 17 what was it like
I think sew went quad bogy double and then Burns went double double and people like I hate this by the way just so people out there know appreciate your support but then people sending you congrats texts when there’s like three holes left it’s not over still it’s
Never over till it’s over the the worst part of it was though like the final consolation was like at least a fantasy Golf World Championship seat in the in the $31 one I was still up in that it was like basically just makes a par on
The last like okay got the water out of the way on 17 absolutely not double bogey again or whatever it was just insane run out but who cares Saturday great day in the NFL I saw you won like 68k so yeah it was a solid weekend
Overall so and we still won money yester like on Sunday H you know still a huge week just could have been a lot better yeah but listen you only get so many chances to win that kind of money I remember cus was telling me that one
Time when my I remember my Mora cab went down in flames live on the show but I had hit a huge uh Bears to have the first over overall pick from preseason wager which ended up n me like three grand and I was going to win like
Another two grand on morawa he’s like well you you won I was like I you can’t let the ones that you have slip through your fingers because you don’t know when you’re going to be back there you need to like press it and get as much as you
Can CU you’re going to lose and you’re going to go through streaks of losing if I had more control over it I would care more like again I do care it’s like I can get over pretty quickly because it’s been there a bunch of times but it’s
Like this the part of it that sucks is like you said you don’t have very many times when you can capitalize that much like it could have been 20 grand more it could have been you know 30 grand more with the with the $20 and then two Fantasy Golf World Championship seats
And into the final round to King of the desert for the big giveaway for everybody but thank you to everybody that reached out I do appreciate the support still a great weekend still happy to be here with you doing what I do it’s always fun and get right back to
It this week yeah uh the update at Fantasy national.com went through it affected like I think it’s like 5% of people didn’t have their like models loading or anything like that that should be rectified as of today if you’re having any problems reach out to @ fantasy National on Twitter moose is
On it he’s been working for over 24 hours straight to get this all cleaned up I was like why’ you do this on a Monday why didn’t you do it on a Friday that’s besides the point uh but it should be cleared up for almost everyone now if you’re still having problems
Please do reach it we really apologize for that uh we want to make the site better and it is better it just doesn’t there’s a few people that it’s not working for at the moment it’s working for me so that’s what I care about right now sneaky benefit sneaky benefit
Although I clicked on the ownership projections and people have generated over like 5,000 lineups already so it’s working for people it’s just not working for everyone so please yeah fantasy National on Twitter uh reach out that way let’s talk about the weather going in because it doesn’t seem like there’s
Much wind affecting anything Wednesday through Saturday but apparently it dumped rain in San Diego yesterday so does that change your perspective on anything CU I I think I could play this one of two ways one it would be easier to attack some of these smaller greens especially at the
South course uh Memorial and Tory Pine South are the one longest courses on the tour with the smallest greens just to keep that in mind we’ve seen a lot of I mean Rah has had a ton of success in both those courses he has success in a
Lot of courses so but I remember there was one year it was the farmers it was like Ryan Palmer Rah and feno battling down the stretch and then those three guys also battled down the stretch in like the very hardest year at the memorial when Rah had that like fluffed
Up lie you remember that one oh yeah coming out of Co I think y anyway it’s just I that would be if there’s any comp course to look at that would be the one I think and it usually has pretty strong fields at the same time too and what you
See at that course A lot of the time is a if you look at the top 10 it’s like seven guys who are in like the top 20 of driving distance and then three guys who are short hitters who hit a bunch of Fairways and made a ton of putts the
Denny McCarthys of the world yeah and I think that gets talked about a lot this week right there people comparing off the tea on approach all that what I’ve had most success with of this one is just looking at pure T green put it all together who can actually do it all cuz
We’ve seen it both ways like literally the playoff was a couple years ago Luke list and will zalatoris these guys are top tier Tito green Players Ball striking Wizards and usually can’t putt but because of these greens especially on the south course being extremely tricky I was doing the first look show
Yesterday with James the generate 75 where he was like yeah you this is the one don’t forget you look at it and you’re like oh my guy only has a three-footer move on to the next thing you go back and you’re like wait what happened to that three-footer well he
Shot it four feet past and made bogey your double it’s like what three put it how did that happen well that’s what happens at these courses so I’m with you on that the rain if anything to me is the bigger talking piece because you know forget I don’t see any crazy wind
Temperatures seem kind of low it’s Coastal but whatever for for California the bigger thing though is the rain coming in for you know what like Showdown obviously you’re playing the North Course anyway Showdown just just straight up if there’s one thing you need to know about Showdown this week
Just play guys at the North Course yeah should be able to go super low there it’s already a pretty easy course now you can just fire at the pins and do it that way but then the flip side of it is South course if it is softened up a
Little bit that would be the time to take advantage not in Showdown but just in general if you want guys that go out there North could place pretty easy still on Frid or Thursday this week Wednesday Thursday for the split there is a cut right so I would look at it
From that perspective as well so I have two minds on this I agree with you that if you’re playing well you can go fire at pins on the south coast if it’s a little bit soggy now obviously they have great drainage drainage that it might not be that much
Of a problem but softer conditions in general however if it is wet you get less roll out and it’s the longest course on the PGA tour in regular rotation so maybe there’s more of an emphasis on driving distance at least in Showdown purposes for the first two days
Or the first day or whatever you’re trying to do that and if you miss the Fairway and at the South course you only hit like 51% of Fairways on average that if it’s super wet out that rough might get bad and it’s not even trampled down
Yet from all the spectators like you see in the final round that it might even play longer than it’s already playing because it’s wet mhm yeah exactly can go both ways I think there’s definitely Merit to set building some lineups and sets this week stacking them up I always
Go with this mentality too I talk about it the the mentality of the golfer like a lot of people think oh if I just get my guy out on the North Course to go five under on day one he’ll just Coast to it on day two well how why go on the
South course that can just Eat You Alive you make one mistake it gets in your head now you’re sweating a cut line you’re unsure if you’re going to make it through why not get the guy that goes out on the south course grinds out a decent round or whatever breaks even
Then he’s feeling pretty good going in knowing that it can’t get much worse than that and now gets to take on the North the next day you don’t know who it’s going to be or what they’re going to do but if you build some lineups and
Sets and build them like that you could definitely see that play out I love stuff like that in in these types of core setups I think for me I would stack North if I was playing like the the weekly not just Showdown I would stack guys at the North ver starting on day
One versus day two only because it would be wetter you have a chance to go very low at the North Course and build up those birdies where things might be mitigated by the time the second round comes and it’s just it’s harder yeah it’s definitely possible like I said I
Would be looking to build both ways at this one for sure okay cool let’s talk about the bets for the week because obviously this starts on Wednesday again so I’m not going to have time to do that like live I might do that again next week too the the lunchtime chat on
Wednesdays people really seem to enjoy it lunchtime chat with Pat lunchtime chat with Pat I had viewers call in live to the show there’s only one who was like I maybe they’ve seen me like yell at people in the chat enough they don’t want to be yell that live on air but I’m
Not going to be doing that to people if they call in you know there’s a bit of Grace given that way you were brave enough to call me okay I’ll go a little bit easy on you yeah that’s that’s the way we’re going to go through it so I I
Actually felt very good uh about my betting card this week which is never a good sign okay but I just some names popped out to me right away I didn’t want to really attack the very top of the board because I don’t know there’s four guys 11 to one or below you Kawa
Your boy but yeah I’m not doing it at 11 to one I like him this week he’s cuss one and done but I went with Oar at 19 like there feels like no course in history that’s better set up for his skill set than this course I I agree it
Is interesting though that he’s like the guy that everybody wants and is popping like people Everyone that I’ve heard has mentioned I know it’s two days turnaround so we’ll see how it actually shakes out or bears out with ownership but everyone’s like this is his spot
It’s like it’s there’s all kinds of guys that it’s actually their spot and come have come out here and done well here so that that’s why but I don’t mind the BET like you said take it if he’s goingon to do it he he can win it oh for sure but
And like you just think like what what does he do better than everyone else I would say he’s probably the best driver of the ball in the world right now in terms of length and accuracy it’s like him and Rory and I mean Rory’s never won
Here so should be a perfect setup for him people you know Kenny brought up some points last night that I thought were interesting doesn’t like how often does he play this type of setup this course these greens like all these things while his game off the tea and
Just in general sets up for it like you said it still would be interesting and in I’m more thinking DFS but I don’t hate the Bet 19 to1 so that’s where I wanted to go plus he wasn’t 11 to1 or 9 to1 like Xander that kind of of thing
And it is his first time at the course actually bet a few first timers because we’ve seen a first- timer win we rarely see people who have not finished inside the top 10 previously end up doing all that well this is a very sticky course history event a lot like the Sony Open
Was so Oar at 19 Min woo at 30 again just another guy who mashes it off the tea That’s where I’ve had the most success at this tournament just take the guys who I I took him with you I got him at 28 though but that’s what I got uh
Keegan who’s also my oneandone is 35 to one I took him he has three top fives in his past six starts the scores playing some good golf to start the year too just hope he doesn’t putt himself out of the tournament the gala at 45 made a
Nice little run here two years ago and he’s still driving the ball with Incredible distance great short game too and good long irons he kind of sets up really well plays well in California I took Ryan Fox another bomber at 70 uh with five places Sam Ryder 110 with five
Places as well he had his first start last week at the AMX after having a really good swing season even if you go back and look at the past 24 rounds overall uh he goes a little bit back into last summer he’s first in approach of any player in this field over that
Same period and he’s had success as long as you don’t interview his parents well he’s winning by four coming down the stretch he might have a chance here just cash that top five Sam and we’ll be good to go so those are the that’s the winning six-pack I also threw a few uh
Lotto tickets on Sam Stevens at 200 to one with five places and tigga semi Calla at 300 to1 I also bet him low Asian at 14 A5 to one minwoo is not in that market by the way because he’s not from semi cow man popping in the shipit
Nation projections this week he should like when I went and looked at it like if you can try to blend like I want driving distance I overemphasize driving distance but hitting Fairways is still critical as well he’s actually the longest driver with the best accuracy at
The moment yeah fair price too this week when we’re playing them there I like those bets uh it was model Maniac Byron good dude on Twitter X whatever you want to call he is uh coming on the show two weeks from now oh awesome great great dude you know just funny hilarious with
The stuff he does but he had the same little two pack there that you had the kees and thues you get them both in your mix for your betting card and you’re good to roll for the week I kind of like that one calling him that I also bet uh
Thirsty Lawrence on the DP World T course did of course I did 24 to one we got Rory which crazy because he actually wins yeah I know Rory’s gone fleetwood’s gone so now it’s like the regular jabronies on the DP World Tour like thirsty Lawrence he’s like the fifth
Favorite or something like that so I went with him so one and done for the show purposes Keegan day for Jeff morawa for cust that’s how we’re doing and Jeff is still currently winning after two events who did we take last week we forgot to talk about on the show we most
Definitely forgot to talk about it so we didn’t take anyone so we got nobody we got no one damn yeah happens yeah we’ll make it back we were not gonna have Nick Dunlap we not I mean CZ actually gets the money but we we weren’t going to
Have anything like that yeah we’re not even really splitting a team this year too we’re just kind of talking about it going through our own pick so where do you think that you would want to go because I ended up on Sam Burns as my oneand done last week nice uh just
Because it didn’t seem like anyone was GNA take him and that’s sort of the strategy that I try to play earlier on in the season that who who is someone within the top 10 of odds that no one really wants to use and then just kind
Of gamble I actually had a big hit here with Patrick Reed one year I never didn’t bet him but I Ed him as a oneandone because it’s like oh he’s fifth in odds and literally zero people are taking him besides me so just roll
With it so that’s kind of what I want to do again this week do you have any thoughts on that like do you want to burn a Klay or Amora Cawa or H or shafley at a non-elevated event that’s the hard of it I think I was actually
Thinking maybe somebody like a sunj or someone down the board like a minwoo and take a shot I like mwo I bet him like I said too just he’s the guy that I preferred in that spot my dad took Xander last week and did sort of what
You said the guy up top that nobody wanted 3% ends up getting second place money with him or whatever split up so uh I was thinking of that approach here as well maybe Klay I know it’s not elevated but at the same time just a guy
That I think is going to bounce back we’re going to talk about it when we get to DFS as well but yeah if I’m not betting those guys I don’t mind taking them in one and D done and I don’t know if anyone goes there kle is interesting
And he is the one when we get to ownership projections falling through the cracks a little bit and I think of a lot of it has to do with like I put in my article that if you’re going to win here you generally have a top 10 in your
Career at some point 13 of the past 15 have done it he doesn’t have one although I talked about the memorial crossover he’s been great at Memorial over the course of his career so maybe that is a very interesting one would I want to waste him here maybe you’re probably saving him
For the memorial if not thinking about it that way yeah I mean there’s tournaments like usually when he gets hot he gets hot so you can just kind of jump on at some point I might actually back out of it based on that thought process that he just said like i’ I’d
Rather him coming in hot or have something going for himself here versus I can just use him at Memorial there is no more John ROM so it’s like you you know think about him he’s going to be a pretty good pick there and you could just play somebody else around him but I
I don’t know if I want to go like I don’t know Xander maybe theala yeah I like that one too actually maybe it’s the gala yeah I like theala if we if you and I were picking together right now I would agree with you on that one and say
Let’s take him well the the one I was almost going to get too betting and we’ll talk about him I think pretty extensively in DFS with this be a time just to like try to get zalatoris knowing that he plays well at this course he looks like after last week he
Ended up making the cut he’s looking better each and every week that maybe this is the week for him yeah yeah I don’t think anyone’s going to use him like everyone’s waiting to see but now I’ve seen I I think that I’ve seen enough that he looks close to
Back to where he was that maybe this is the time to do it when me and like nine other people take him that argument Bears out to me like sure but the reason I probably wouldn’t it’s because I don’t know that we actually saw enough like
Last week what was it like we get two rounds of stats on a course sure but just being able to you know playing back-to-back weeks improving from one week to the next like and again I mean I didn’t like him at Sony I didn’t like him last week because I just don’t think
It’s a great tournament for him definitely a better setup for this is a better setup for him based on his skill sets yeah I I don’t hate it it’s a good argument but I I like the G call all right so so the I have two teams so
Theal and zator if you had to go to the top who do you think you would take I I now that I just thought it through it would probably be one of Xander cow or hom I would just skip the bottom tier below them someone did tell me that you
Got to go with Xander this week and bet Xander this week because he’s from the area and he really wants to win oh yeah just like everybody else yeah just like every other time that he’s played at this tournament I think that he that he hasn’t won it’s the FedEx cup thing well
He’s right on the bubble he really wants to make it into the playoffs he probably did All Season he wasn’t good enough to get there it’s why he’s on the bubble like that’s those ones never go through but everyone just talks it up so yeah I
I got you I I have seen some Hideki love in the bding market I’ve got some DFS love $88,500 is crazy but it’s whatever it’s like maybe not that crazy to other people I just thought pretty disrespectful but the betting Market what was he like 45 4 or something I saw
I thought I was like I’m not in love with that it’s it’s tough to parse with him because his driving has been spotty yeah it can be and that used to be like his thing like he such a good driver of the ball you he probably just wins
Phoenix next week remember when that used to be his tournament yeah that is true everyone will be like oh you got to use Scotty and you probably do need to use Scotty because that’s like the one tournament he putts at every single year I can’t wait for it I’m excited for that
Event you’re you’re gonna be there yeah that’s why that’s part of it too but I actually do I love that event it’s always a fun one I I like this one I like Waste Management I like genesis and then after that it’s like I wish everything else would just not be during
NFL even though I love the sport love playing doing all this stuff I just those are the events I like out of this setup Pebble might be good this year with a good field possibly but I I didn’t read into it enough which with now that they switched it to a signature
Event of how much Bill Murray and guys were going to have to deal with again and all that [ __ ] and like what’s the other guy’s name like uh Larry the Cable Guy yes you got it I was like oh my god get this off my screen but at least we
Should get a nice little setup there and we I think Dunlap will go pro before I posted this out yesterday the Pro Am it’s the Am pro he’s going to go to it because get take advantage of those uh Signature Events did you play a lot of on laap last week
No DraftKings let’s jump into to what is happening and we’ll build the lineups you can do it along with us if you’re listening to the audio version we have it up on the screen for you as we go through but let’s talk about the ownership to kick things off and what
You’re seeing this week uh morawa seems like he’s pretty popular H everyone it’s funny because everyone near the top like what I’m seeing morawa H Bradley thewa Xander this week is going to be extremely spread out whatever did with the pricing however you want to look at
It from this perspective it is it to me it’s great because it makes everybody have to make decisions almost like a major in the sense of how it was of you know in the majors it’s always they make it soft because they want to fill up these million makers this week it’s just
Really like how do you pick Xander KL CWA hom and then the next range is like you said everyone has love for ludvig and then there’s IM and day and fow and like a bunch of guys you can make cases for so I’m seeing it very balanced the
Guys I’m seeing lower owned are Klay English Jason day Harris English Cole uh Cole’s actually getting a little love he’s getting love Keegan will steal some away and minwoo yeah like he’s just Cole Will project out ownership wise pretty well but I think that when the prevailing narrative that this is a
Bombers track you go look at his history here he’s never made a cut either at the US Open or at this tournament last year I mean he just makes every putt so that’s helpful going forward but I just think getting squeezed between like sitting directly between minwoo and
Keegan both who project to be pretty popular is just like if if it was to you and you had to make a lineup and just not thinking about ownership or leverage or anything like that you were just asked to make a pick which most people do for these
Things and you had $99,100 left you gonna take Eric Cole over M Keegan at this course no yeah I this week I’d rank him Cole minwoo Bradley and mainly on ownership and that’s the reverse the ownership because but that’s mainly on ownership if ownership wasn’t a factor
Here you just need to pick one guy to win who would you pick the guy bet that’s and I think that most people will fall into that category I agree yeah Cole will definitely go overlooked and also a couple you know you talked about ludvig but Nikolai and Moran those two
Guys in the next range they’re not getting any love but they actually raid out extremely well because they both won on the DP World Tour recently like Moran was in the mix to win last week with Rory with Rory and how hung Lee and guys
That were up the board there so I mean there’s opportunity within that’s I said the pricing from eight grand and up and I think you had it in your newsletter too I was trying to get this one right maybe you remember it off the top of
Your head you wrote it up of like what it was like four the last five years the pricing has been right on of like the top I think it was like four of the top four of the top six guys in the winning lineups and optimal lineups were coming
From 8,300 and above so it was like they the pricing was dead on for what the Finish result was I I like those Euro guys this week yeah just because they’re both great drivers Mor’s a great driver hoard’s a great driver Burger I was giving some looking into anyway but I
Might just use zotor in that spot they’re probably actually going to come in similar and maybe more people hop on zal I think now because people do think he’s back and the course and the course history history but he is still going to come in probably lower owned
Like what 10 to 12% that’s where I would have so that’s where I would put him in there at again I don’t care about that stuff like oh if he was just 8% I would take him no doesn’t matter uh other than that like popular guys in the $7,000
Range that I’m seeing list appears to be one of the most popular I get it I like luk list this week Montgomery again maybe yeah I I feel like that’s going to be the I I don’t see him like popping popping I see pendrith popping more than
Him in terms of ownership however I just I didn’t bet Montgomery this week after betting him last week and just I know that’s going to be a mistake I like Montgomery yger Jagger people like him because he’s under 8K again he makes he always makes the cut right it’s just
What does he do from there and then because I think now he’s going on 3 34 of his last 35 or something for Jagger making cuts and now we’re at a cut event where’re very important so there’s that so it’s list pendrith Montgomery Michael Kim Sam
Ryder maybe eek root maybe Sam Stevens I doubt Sam Stevens will actually get up there but I I do like him I’m playing Sam it’s also a short week so I will say this whatever your ownership sites show like people will still click senson and shank and small they don’t care about
What happened last week and these guys always pop on the projection sites so they will still get love like guy like Jake knpp popped on one of the projection sites last week and ended up being 28% in the king of the and bar off was touting him too so yeah bar off’s all
Over him and then people jump onto got to give got to give our boy bear off credit if you’re taking his stuff give him the credit for it because he’s always all over that stuff and he guy talked to me about start of the Season that about Nick dun like people claim
Nick Dunlap and stuff a guy that actually has mentioned him David Ford was on Sergeant before the Masters and I know he didn’t come through with the Masters it was Sam Bennett but like guy that actually knows his stuff and follows it heavily you got to give him
The credit where credit’s due so no we’re not giving bar off any credit have to people out there just leeching off everybody else taking all their [ __ ] you know what he did his lineups took a nap last week yeah they did that’s that’s fine but he stands by his conviction
When he wins he will win uh bramlet and Vegas are both popping as well in terms of not popping like more so than all the other 6K guys because they have a ton of people are just going to sort by driving distance pick people chant is going to get ownership
Will Gordon was someone I think I bet here last year so I probably just should play I I because I’ve been doing that I take my article from last year and parse it over and like redo it for this year and I it’s funny to see some of the
Picks that I have and a lot of the time the picks that I made the year previously I don’t bet again and they end up winning yeah what about Bobby Mack 6800 pure bet on talent I like it and if you know usually these types of courses better for him than a birdie
Fest or something like that I would tend to agree and we’ve seen a lot of guys play well at both Riv and Augusta from here and of course is where he should play well at so I I’d like to see him heat up a little bit that’d be nice n
Smith too don’t mind him I liked him again it just depends him and bramlet remind me similar like I just want not necessarily the game they play but the idea of what you’re doing you’re getting a cheaper guy you’re hoping that it is just Fairways and greens all week and
That they get a little bit lucky with the Putter and can come through bramlet probably better there but just saying n Smith would be another guy down L semi Kawa who you mentioned earlier yeah I like SEI I mean I have no real faith in
Semi Kawa like I don’t want to put him on like a a single entry lineup no but I guess it reverts back to my previous conversation I was having with you of if you end up needing four guys from above that range you do have to get comfortable with somebody down here even
If it makes you feel uncomfortable you got to get going because I I think a lot of people even though at the start of yesterday when I first did the the when I did the first look with James it’s like you can easily play X and Klay and
You can because they’re 10 six or less it’s we don’t even have an 11k guy here and you could pick pick your spots down low but also you could end up playing like a lot of people are looking at lineups and seeing like you know one of
Those guys a 9k guy and a couple 8K guys and then you just land in the sevens and that’s where you see if you see more builds like that you’d be unique to get two 6K guys into your lineup I really wanted Eric Burns to qualify for this
Tournament although he did not qualify for this tourament is he like next man up he’s the next man up but I wanted to play him if he got in but uh he’s not currently I’m trying to see is there anyone from down here Molinari yeah Ben Ben Griffin by the way
Don’t don’t let that one slip through the cracks we did the whole shebang up here last week get your lineup on the screen who who won the twom man last week you did you you just edged me out too which was crazy cuz you had a six to
Six not so crazy at the three three thing event though that five of six is five of six came second in the big Flagship $20 the year before so five ass sixes get the job done at the uh ax which I find really strange because I maybe it’s the scoring conditions on
Sunday that they’re more difficult than they are the rest of the week but you would think that even though you have a lapse of a round it’s not two rounds so there’s places you can make it up and it does give you a little bit more wiggle
Room at the Top If you have a bunch of really high finishers but I would just think that at a birdie Fest you just pile up so many points in one round that having that six of six is a huge Advantage like I cashed in the 250 with
A five of six so what is it’s the it’s the pin placements changed no more amateurs that’s one part of it which is the obvious but it’s actually your bonuses that you lose out you’ll see less of the streaks and also don’t forget everybody in the whole tournament
That gets to day four is in line for all four under 70 it’s almost impossible for them to not be be um ready for that that’s what I said earlier cost me in the king of the desert it was 74 for Klay 72 for Jagger 72 for Cole those are
All you get crushed when you don’t have those bonuses go through that’s 15 points if they just go all for under 70 and that’s why it is that those five of sixes contend so bramlet has two top 20s here in the past three years hasn’t missed the cut in any of his four
Appearances that’s why he’s getting some love down here lonto is kind of the same though lono’s not really been good lonto in a while but he’s made the cut here three straight years made the cut last week the American Express it seems like he’s rounding a little bit back into
Form after coming off of injury that if you’re going to play bramlet solely on the reason that he has good course history I mean lonto has basically the same course history is the same price and no one is using him yeah I I don’t disagree like that’s I
Think these are some of the guys are taking shots with I saw some people mention Tyler Duncan I’ve heard um some Chan Kim love nor Norman Panda nor Norman makes more sense to me Norman Norman would make sense here I think because all things being equal I’m not
Going to be any different than most of the people this week that if everything’s going to be equal with course history or how much I like a guy don’t like a guy it’s going to come down to driving distance and prodigious driving Vince Norman has that the other
Guys that you just mentioned don’t and you know what we just talked about off he mentioned Norman and he mentioned your guy Paul longdong Paul bar what about him he he must have watched the research show cuz he just kind of stuck he’s a th to one to win this week 6100
On DraftKings too so that’s not bad maybe you pick him later you can get pieron cooe down there as well I was waiting for that one I didn’t know if you’re going to bring him up this week or not he’s been bad this guy Jacob Bridgeman played pretty well last week
Okay did not know that so that was one that popped a little bit and then uh course fit rankings the guy last week was Bron beron oh The Goonies hard click but this week the this week’s Bronson bergon is Kevin get the dough or te get
Get that money with Kevin doe 6100 as well down there where’s dumal He is 65 I want to say yeah 64 I just wanted to check out his uh I want to see his driving distance stats yeah we’ll get into Adrian Dumont Arty as they call him as I found out
He he has like one really good round I still like him for the rest of the year just need to get his feet underneath of them let’s build a lineup then how about we do that so with the way that you’re seeing everything shake out we just kind
Of talk through the ownership where do you think that everything’s going to concentrate at the top because it does seem like it’s going to be pretty spread out if you had to think about what the most common build is going to be what would you think I wonder if it’s like Jagger and
Someone else down there and then see what you can fit beyond that so I I would say list over Jagger at the same price just because he I was gonna say both okay both could work just like where people are going I don’t know it just looks like that on early ownership
Because I don’t see a lot of ownership below 7500 really like it spreads out quite a bit Yeah Montgomery pendrith Ryder seem to be the ones like what do you see Ryder at though like 8% yeah I think Montgomery could be so let’s throw Montgomery Montgomery 74 let’s use him
To make some stuff work so list in Montgomery we now have 8,700 left it doesn’t seem as we kind of talk through it doesn’t appear like people are attacking this bottom basically High sevens low eights and people could get to shank like I said at 73 but if they don’t I do
Think Jagger still gets in there because he is showing a couple different places High ownership he projects well and I told you like his cut thing already I think it’s 34 the last 35 he’s less than 8K uh definitely looks possible so that leaves us 9k so list Montgomery edger
Now we have 9k left to play around with so that probably means the gala goes in yep I think you’re right and then but then now we don’t have like a Xander or like this probably finishes off if you went Xander what would have be 7700 so I
Don’t know if you know anybody there like senson so you can go theala minwu Bradley Keegan Bradley I actually like that a lot so you can do that part of it morawa I I would bet morawa ends up the highest owned so it’s like Kawa and zalatoris which actually I really like I
Actually like this lineup now so maybe this would be the one to start on that I think people would be interested in because there’s course history in here there’s really everything you could imagine in this one so I I’ll leave that one for now so so it goes morawa in the 10 no
Nines two eights with the Galla and zalot torus then you have 87 87 with Jagger and less than Taylor Montgomery at $7,400 yeah and I think uh I think that’s two balance for most people yeah that’s what I’m trying to figure out though like where else are they going
Here well that means that to to that conversation that means that someone from this low sevens range is going to end up being much higher own than we think or high sixes I I think it’s shank at 7,300 you think it’s shank it’s not Ridder it’s shank one of those two sure
But I think it’s shank over Ridder because I know know the projection sites will have him more okay so let’s throw in shank at 73 then and let’s throw in Xander yeah and then you still have money to go to minwu over theala you got money to go to um [ __ ] over Jagger
You’ve got money to go to 7,800 what if we go Xander ludvig as a start with Adam shank then we have $7,400 left because I think a lot of people will want to play two of these Big Five Guys yeah do you think you think list
Over Jagger I think Jagger over list but if you took out one of those and take theala up what does that look like theala up yeah I’ll take a Jagger with you as well so let’s go so we have shanken list with and ludvig right now
So we have $7,300 left for two spots if you have Montgomery back in it leaves you 72 and 72 gives us Sam Ryder so you have Sam Ryder Sam Sam Ryder Montgomery shank pendrith is also in that range um and pendrith was popping a little bit more from what I saw but
Montgomery or pendrith one of the two that you could throw in through exactly the same price and mix and match those two guys but I think you’re going to see variations of this lineup would be my guess so you think 1094 s yeah is what is more common okay and that would kind
Of jive with what we’re seeing in the lower eights like from the gala down to list basically I don’t want to say it’s a dead zone guys will have ownership obviously but you’re not going to see Shane Lowry at 177% no definitely not that’s that’s the spots where like I say
You you almost know that’s the one thing even though it’s very balanced overall this ownership there is dead zones that you just like know for a fact there’s going to be nobody really on these guys and it’s funny because the dead zone this week like if we say it’s between
Seven like from 79 to 86 let’s say that’s a dead zone in a lot of ways and me you can throw Hideki in there if you want to although I don’t see a ton of ownership on hii that there’s real guys in there oh yeah definit if you want to
Get leverage there’s your leverage don’t worry about anything else what if you what if you had a uh Nikolai [ __ ] minwoo see these are ludig lineup see that’s what I was thinking what if we just start with ludvig and he’s our most expensive guy it actually lands Us in
The same spot we were just at I don’t really mind doing that who did we just have I just want to have this version for a second to compare who are the two cheap guys we had at 72 it was Ryder you said yeah and then weed went with
Montgomery or pendrith so this projected the best one so far and it was start with ludvig 99 8877 and you take all the the DP World Tour type guys that people are going to overlook like probably not minu they Overlook but like [ __ ] Nikolai and then uh Ryder and Montgomery
The same fit of what we just had and IT projects better so I went with so you can see the one that I just threw up it’s uh ludvig with minwoo and then in the upper sevens lower eights I got hoard and Lowry with Ryan Fox at 75 and
Taylor Montgomery at 74 I hate Ryan Fox not like just is I don’t know why I just don’t I never get this guy right I don’t like him there was that period where yeah I know it’s not like I’m saying he’s a bad golfer I just I can never for
DFS it’s just a tough click for me but no a tough click for me I know you love them and then Montgomery we went with here let’s see how this one projects even better even better y That’s our best one yet so you can get a little bit better with this by doing
This you take tayor Montgomery down to Sam Stevens and you turn hoard into Keegan ah you don’t have enough money for Keegan damn it then you can turn Fox into montgom you go Fox to Montgomery Fox to Montgomery and it works this one montg I was building some lineups last night
Just with the early start to try and get an idea and it felt like building lineups 5 years ago because it was like Keegan day Rose Hideki it’s like he used to put all these ball Strikers in and you could like not all in the same necessarily but just to say like you’d
Have guys like that where I remember back in the day you’d have Adam Scott Hideki Justin Rose Jason day like all these guys are top players in the world and they were always fitting those balanced builds that you could make it was similar here but this one projects
Much worse than the one you just had I don’t know that is I think it’s part of fox does project a little bit well and already Stevens probably projects poorly yeah no he was in the other one n Nikolai projects pretty good actually this week like I said that’s why it’s
Funny that him [ __ ] minwoo um project really well but no like they’re kind of going overlooked because everybody knows the other guys around them so we’ll see what happens when people actually build their lineups with optimizers and stuff but um for right now those guys were popping up a little
Bit what if we shake it down this way get hoard back in there with minwu ludvig and Keegan now you have four guys above $8,400 Rider and then you start taking ah semi cowz Nikolai $100 too much you’d have to go semi Cowan stevens or someone at
$7,100 you could do e root I don’t mind e root Stallings Mr course history won this event before God what a failure he was last week after that hot star guy tears up the the 73 I didn’t even see that yeah that’s that was uh he was so I
Did hedge this a little because I knew it would hurt me he was leveraging King of the desert he was 22 to1 to miss the cut going into round three and missed the cut it was just nuts and then Nick Taylor did the same down the stretch he
Was up there as well oh Nick Taylor joh I mean what I’m probably Crush people shank Crush people uh here’s the guy who crushed me who I’m going to end I can probably end my lineup this way and I can get back up to ride I actually like this
One cuz I like Vegas I liked Vegas last week he missed like a 4 foot putt on the last hole on Saturday to miss the cut yeah uh played pretty well he’s generally always played well at Tory Pines he’s 6,700 we’ve now seen him be back he’s
Been back for two weeks he’s been cut both times but cut on the number both times actually not in Hawaii he was not cut on the number in Hawaii he had one bad round that’s the thing about these guys though like this is you know go
Back to his game l for a second if you will I know it’s game log watching just to show it well he hadn’t played since people like [ __ ] on this guy but a 68 and a 66 with a 70 it’s just it was a 13 undercut last week there’s nothing he
Did wrong and at the price that you pay for that if he shoots that here you’re probably fine with the made cut and you just take what you get over the weekend you do still need upside I’m you know not going against other previous thoughts I’ve had but just to say it the
Part of it but I do think that he does have upside mainly because he is still one of the few players in the field who just progressively year over-year has such an elevated eagle R you can make a ton of Eagles at the North course he
Just came 25th here last year yeah like he definitely has upside for that price he’s 6,700 so yeah I’m I’m fine with it I don’t mind that at all so that would make it ludvig with minwoo Keegan and hoard with Sam Ryder and Johnny Vegas and you can play different variations of
This if you don’t like hoard you can turn him into Moran super easily you can change him back down to Lowry like are we overlooking Lowry at all because he is another one one and done wise that I think you can kind of get away with yes it’s a longer harder course that’s
Kind of the Shane Lowry Jam you don’t want him at the birdie Fest yeah and last week was fine with him too I think right he missed it on the number or maybe was 66 67 or something he shot yeah he he had a bad stretch Saturday somewhere and he think
It was a 70 and that’s a bad bad that’s a bad round it just is just the way it goes there at that course but um you can play zal you put Z in and then you can get back up to you Sam Stevens if you wanted to
Yeah I think the like are you leaving too much win Equity above you like IM hom cow Klay X that’s the can or X is going to be popular here sure I mean but I mean if we talk about win Equity he’s never won here like I I would be more
Prone to like kind of as you said off the Hop I would rather use Klay than Xander this week like if it’s going to be Xander at 23% and canl at 12% just give me Klay we see what it’s gonna be I think it’s gonna be Xander way more popular yes but
Um you know we know what it is he is can’t lay is the leverage play you’re saying it right I’m just saying like I think that doesn’t always work like it did last week last week KL was more owned and people went to Xander now you
Flip back the other way that works sure saves you two saves I mean if it was me I’m not going to play either of them I don’t care about these two and then I I guess that’s what I’m lumping in though the Five Guys Like Kawa H IM if you’re
Starting with ludvig it’s not that he needs to win cuz one of those guys below him they got in your lineup you know Bradley can win this event somebody else can mwo can win the event like all the you’ve got guys in there that can win it
Still and take it away I bet mmu that would be the way that works I’m just saying for people building right now and just looking at some other options here I think people are going to want that win Equity above him so here are those DraftKings notes I didn’t have the ones
From last year because I didn’t go back and look at it in 2022 seven players scored over a 100 DraftKings points five of them were $7,600 or cheaper in 2021 eight players scored more than 90 points six of them were priced over $8,000 mhm uh each of the
Top five DK scores in 2020 $8,300 or above 2019 three of the top five in DK in pricing finished top six in DraftKings points then four of the top five in 2018 were priced $7,800 or more so it’s not necessarily like that’s the one thing that we’ve seen here the elite
Elite doesn’t always come through here it’s like that mid tier like basically your 20 to 50 range in the betting Market they’re the ones that really kind of come through it’s hard to tell like 7,800 and 8,300 or above I don’t know what prices were the ones that actually
Came through but the way I read it and the way it sounds is and what I’ve seen from some of the original you know stuff I looked at here it is way more to the other side like you had that one year where it was the PE the guys below 76
But after that it was the other and the reason I bring it up is because if you have like I’m just going off your picks for two seconds here just a couple examples uh theala so minwu ludvig minwu Keegan thala only leaves you 6800 but you have now four guys 8700 or above
That are all live if you just get your two guys at 6,800 to make the cut you’re probably in good shape if those other four really climb the board and they just do like a top 40 because this isn’t a birdie Fest or something going out
Where you’re going to see all this other crazy stuff happen the made cut is going to be pretty important here so so let’s try that lineup I like that who is the other guy you like besides semi cow SEMA and Vegas fit into that perfectly yeah semia Cawa Vegas semi Cawa and
Bramlet I don’t like bramlet for the record I don’t mind him he’s not my guy he’s not my guy not your guy Kean theala boom $100 left over which is what I mean just leave it that that to me looks really good like that maybe my single entry
This week let’s do it that way uh I’m just sorting by the model that I built out I I rebuilt one of my models didn’t come over from Tory Pines so I just rebuilt one I actually like this one better not that my Tory Pines model was
Great anyway so it probably did need to be rebuilt a little bit do you know who number one is though and just I’m not playing him who is it it’s Eric Cole oh wow I’m GNA play him this week for sure I think he can still carry it over I
Don’t really care about the other side of it but like if I actually just listen to the numbers that what I wanted to see spit out to me like the top five guys in my power rankings right now I am currently not playing Cole can’t lay morawa Ander pendrith those are the top
Five do you like anybody you like Ryan Fox at 7500 right do how would you like this lineup you start with minwoo and you get minwoo Keegan thala Ryan Fox Luke list and then your choice of Shane Lowry or will zalatoris I mean I love that lineup so
You think that that’s what I mean like that’s a balanced lineup but that it projects really good actually so these could happen this week so it was minwoo Keegan the gala list who were the other team and then I put your guy Ryan Fox in
There okay and then it left you with a choice of lowry or zalatoris which I kind of like it’s good both ways but I like the less 7K guys more eight so if you went minwu Keegan thala zal that to me is four guys they’re all over 7,800
Which was the last year that the over happened in and then you still get another guy at 7,800 in your in your boy Luke list who who has won at this course yeah and then you land on Ryan Fox like that to me is pretty solid and if you
Like Lowry better than Z or you like a couple other spots there by all means go ahead but I I just thought that was an interesting setup for this yeah you could also turn that into low senson instead of zator fox if you wanted to low senson instead of zalatoris fox
Let’s look at that one do you like senson this week the numbers like senson this week so that’s our best projected one we’ve made so far if you swap it to that really yeah it likes senson this week like I said projection sites always likes the as’s they always like Adam
Shank Alex SMY and Adam senson so Lowry yeah you could play I mean we haven’t mentioned Patrick Rogers yeah does he have some Cali Connection I I’ve heard that he does despite not from California right he’s from Indiana although everyone just says he’s from California but he does play he
Went to Stanford puts well on POA but again he kind of fits that mold of I mean there’s a case for minwoo here that he might come dead last in this tournament because the guy can’t hit an iron shot to save his life he just he
Drives it great he chips great he putts great can’t hit an iron he’s like good Taylor Montgomery yeah I will say that’s why I told you ear like in my ranks I still as much as I bet him it’s more of one of those things you wake up on
Monday morning everyone got the 30 you go look it’s still at 28 I like it and it’s an upside shot it’s what you’re doing with ludvig there’s a chance that he could absolutely suck even though he fits the course on a mold it’s like what if it’s because he hasn’t seen it much
These greens get them anything can happen you know you just have no idea it’s golf but it’s the setup of taking the shot on the number right you weren’t playing an 11 to1 cow you’d rather play a 19 to1 ludvig it’s the same thing with Min wo but there’s a chance these guys
Could just not come through and it could be a guy like Eric Cole who’s just playing Amazing golf right now so finds his way around to build this lineup again with Mino Keegan theala and list instead of zot Tores and what was it Fox the first time or Lowry and whoever you
Could go Rogers and Jagger if you wanted to that’s also the same amount of money I got one guy over theala theala Bradley minwoo list Jagger Rogers oh it’s Jagger Rogers so you don’t have to pick anymore you just play them both you just play them both that worked for our guy that
Played Nick Taylor the other week there yeah that not Nick tayor last week did not work last week St that guy got his money and got out that smart guy I I had three guys like who just blew it and like the last two holes on Saturday I
Would have had an awesome week and instead of I think I played 35 lineups and I end up with like five six of six in the other way I would have had like 25 six of six it was Vegas missed it Taylor missed it and there was one other
Gib baa baa and shank were what killed everybody but I mean you’re like I said we started the show with the story you’re telling it to the guy who got crushed with two holes left everyone died on Saturday that’s fine I’m used to that it’s when you have two holes
Remaining and it happens that it actually hurts so yeah I think this lineup is right behind that other one as far as projection because I think it was only three off but again 988 777 like you’re seeing some of these Balan bills you can see why people would want to
Gravitate towards this now do you think that ends up becoming the prevailing type of lineup only because it gets uncomfortable when you start trying to jam in two guys below 73 because this exercise showed that we could just swap it like five different ways and styles
Whether it was with a Xander in it or starting with a ludvig or ludvig minwu a minwoo only we did a bunch of versions of it but the common theme to me was we always ended at around 7400 I know we got some riders in there and
Stuff like that but my point being it’s like that 74 to 10K range kind of feels and then we know Xander up top so there’s lots of other things that you can do but if you can get comfortable like let me ask you this Pat if you
Switch it up now if you had to pick two guys sunj and above Mor morawa and H okay so morawa and H we now have 7,400 left we’d already said forget about the six case for a second let’s just do it Montgomery and Ryder we’ve definitely already talked about Montgomery
Ryer and what do we got left 7550 so it’s your guy Fox and senson you can go fox fox and Fenson you can go pendrith and Patrick Rogers if you wanted to yeah like so again there or your boy yeah like list that you we talked about for
Sure Rogers we talked about shank with list is an example but I I guess that’s my point is this one has three guys 7,400 and Below you do still get a $7,800 guy but you get two10 okay guys this build looks right now like even though you have more ownership on a hom
Maawa type setup up top you would probably still have a little bit more leverage than those balanced builds that people are landing on similar types within the five different styles we built there well you could play more you could play this lineup with Montgomery and Ryder and play like Vegas and hoard
If you wanted to as well I think that’s the different version like I think that people will land on the version that we just talked about with the $47,000 guys somewhere be it list and Shank so what did you say if we go Vegas let’s just
Look at this for a second I want to see how this goes on paper so Vegas with those two and then you said Ryder yeah so Montgomery and Ryder is the cheap guys Nikolai and then you can put in one of your 6K guys we’ll use Vegas as an
Example and then we’ll take Nikolai hoard at 8,400 to round it out but you could use hoard zorus Moran Rose yeah yeah 10 I mean we didn’t even bring up Rose like rose won this tournament before yeah like I said I mentioned those guys for shortly there but like
Just quickly sorry but um those guys I’m all in on like not in on I’m saying I’m in on all those guys of like the the real dudes too like day Rose Hideki any of those guys you want to throw in I like day Rose Hideki in that order like
Regardless of ownership price whatever it is just objectively in that order I like those guys I think da will end up being more popular than you think he could be but the interesting part is he’s 95 and you’ve got ludvig all the dudes above him and Mino Bradley below
Him so I just think it’s going to be that 12 12 to 15 range I can see it I could also see people passing on ludvig because no one really wants to play feno right now I’m playing feno too he’s another one that fits in that group yeah
I’m not as I mean I’m building with you on here we always talk about this we’ll get to the snake draft eventually but like the I’m not as nearly as high on the ludvig the minwu the Keegan I’m playing you mean the guys that everyone’s playing yeah that’s part of
It but it’s also just again what everything that I look at and go backwards from like I still am fine I think there’s real dudes around there like what did feno do last week I don’t know if you have his stuff up let me just have a quick look here he was ninth
Tier last year I think he shot uh 68 67 6767 like he did what he could with that course Milton POA feno real name don’t forget it really that’s yeah middle name POA there we go last nameing build so many lineups already got to got to open up some new tabs
Here yeah what what do you want to do well let’s try to build one of those lineups then wait one that has day in it day cuz what what I can see happening is that there’s going to be the want to play like Xander H or Klay morawa but
When people start getting to the bottom end of this pricing they’re like I don’t know about this so much so instead of morawa ludvig it ends up becoming Xander day just because day is the coarse horse he’s won here twice plays well here every year regardless of whether he’s
Wearing skin type pants or Hammer pants it doesn’t matter with Jason day he’s going to play well at Tory pins and I don’t necessarily disagree fineberg one and done here like I I get it uh now you have basically 7500 for your final few spots so then you can start jamming in
See it’s another one just lands in the exact same range you called it that’s exactly what it is that range it’s going to be your Shanks senson the GU talko but then your ryers and your Montgomery and your pendis and your Jaggers and your list this this all Steam for Sam
Stevens is what’s going to happen Sam steam steens Sam Steamin yeah because he’s 7,000 bucks he’s slightly cheaper than those other guys and then you can play list and Jagger you can go away shank Stevens list Jagger with day and Xander so you can get leverage in the 7K
Range with if you can take shots on guys like Stallings ecro Fox if you want to take further shots you can but I’m just giving examples there do maybe Ry for once you get him lower Ryu who’s been playing really good golf there is a guy
You could go to but I just don’t see baa off the let down last week baa is a good want actually I I how much is bought you 755 yeah I’m going to throw him into the player pool because this is actually a great course for him like if if people
Cuz he might putt really well here he might putt really poorly here but there are good Putters who putt really poorly you talked about the green complexes what does btia do he [ __ ] Nails it off the tea and he’s lights out with his irons and he can Chip he’s got the he’s
Got new putter don’t forget about that I know he hurt people’s feelings on sad about one stroke yeah like what do you want him to do it happens and he and he battled to get back into it like he wasn’t close for a while then like he
Had a bad opening round and battled back throughout the course bachel Tia you could keep adding these to the last names there is one name that we have not touched on he came 11th Place here last year and he’s been dog [ __ ] for like eight months now enlighten me it’s Taylor
Moore yeah that’s interesting another like grip it and rip it big bomber type guy like Taylor Moore is that guy and it seems like literally no one is playing him I didn’t even know was in the field people are playing 73 more than him Taylor montg pivot just so now now you
Don’t need to use Taylor more you can use shank and you can get back up to Luc list if you wanted to you go Xander day list shank baa Taylor Moore Xander day list shank Moore shank Moore I think Man Taylor Moore wow and then who’s the $7,500 guy uh it was
Like yeah this would definitely be a way to like that’s slightly different it’s slightly just turning it a little bit you’re Landing in the same Zone as everybody but you’re on the different plays like if Moore and bati are more than enough to separate you from anybody
Who’s playing shank because they need a value play or rer who ends up on day and obviously people are definitely on Xander so yeah that that would be a different way to do it and to talk about some of his finishes like he had a nice run starting at this tournament last
Year like last year he started his season at the American Express he miss the cut it was 11th here 15th at Pebble Beach 14th in Phoenix like this is when it started he won at the Valar a little bit later on he’s obviously not playing
That good of golf right now as he was then but this is when it kick started for him last year too and we see that with guys year-over-year like at different points of the Season like who is it that like once like May happens like all of a sudden they’re space on it
Every year like there’s a few guys though it’s like oh once it gets really hot in the middle of the summer that’s when you play them and we know swing season guys is a thing like there’s all there’s always guys at certain time of the year that they get the job done so
Yeah that that was definitely uh something I didn’t think of Taylor Mo I was thinking like Taylor Montgomery thinking of other guys in that range but he he’s there as well so that’s one to do do you want to do you want to do the head-to-head we can do the head-to-head
Recap I didn’t really look at it we don’t do the recap we we just know who won yeah we we know that you won there you go so one-1 who was it who blew it for me last week so if I just had one the extra guy make the cut I would have
Won but I can’t remember who it was now I can look it up I can effort this on my phone but won so you get first pick all right in the head-to-head draft this time around recent let’s go to head-to-head let’s see you beat me 618 to
610 618 to 610 eight points baa baa was the one who blew it for me with the Miss putt yeah that’s just brutal the uh I I had so to recap I had Kirk who if Kirk just doesn’t try to [ __ ] chip it from the Rocks I probably win uh Kirk Windam
Clark hadwin Montgomery and van royan with B was my lineup so I went full balance you went Klay sunj Hustler Ben Griffin n Smith pavon the only guy who was good on your team was Ben Griffin but you had all six guys go through yeah that really pissed me off
Too Ben Griffin and SJ was a pivot off of can’t lay and Stallings which I would have got into King of the desert with as well so could could have went there didn’t In fairness with Ben Griffin like they would just periodically show him during the final round and it was either
70 putts going in or chips going in with him like I was seeing that too um let’s do this let me take theala to start now you jerk I want I want flexibility well if that’s the case I shall draft Keegan to start things off okay and I’ll take hom with
Him Keegan and Homo will be my start all right I’m going to take who do I I want here let me take uh Hideki okay and I’m going to take Sam Rider stealing my guys stealing your guys and leaving some extra room in there yeah so what can I do here if I
Bring it up on the screen we got if I throw in Vegas I get to $8,100 so do I go dble if I go double low and like I take those two what does that leave me with I take Vegas and Stevens it leaves me with 8
Six it’s probably yeah I’ll take Vegas and Stevens all right Vegas not not the not the lineup that I thought I was going to play I guess going with h instead of minwoo kind of shook it up for me a little bit all right so Keegan H Vegas
Sam Stevens is what I have right now trying to see if I got anything else in the tank I’m going to go feno and Rose feno and Rose that brings you to Five Guys Burgers and Fries how much you have left can’t tell you you can tell me okay 8,000 you have
8,000 so you’re going to be in the same range probably where I’m at if I take minwoo so if I take minwoo I have $8,200 left which gives me one of those guys is there anyone I can get back up to here it’s funny because I’m creating
A lineup that I didn’t even come close to creating we were just going that’s just the way it goes in these drafts it’s cuz you took the yala from me that’s right okay here’s what I’m going to do I’m gonna take ludvig and baa well go baa Can’t Screw
Me two weeks in a row can he or he could so my team is going to be a $10,100 guy with Max H ludvig oer at $9700 Keegan at 89 and then I have bti at 75 Stevens at 7,000 and Vegas at 6,700 Dam I don’t I
Don’t love this lineup your team is good I’m gonna go with this team I’ve got Tony feno and then I got four 8K guys theala matama Justin Rose I have Sam Ryder and my last pick to round it out the other 8K guy Willie
Z yeah I like I like I like his balanced build thala matama fenal roseal and then just got to get Sam Ryder coming through right yeah I mean I like Sam I bet Sam Ryder so yeah your guys I got them yeah just like last week I got your Ben
Griffin and pavon and and got the job done there pavon could have went really low on Sunday and just kind of he hit this like weird middle stretch where he couldn’t make anything same as burns like Burns could have made four birdies on the first five holes and just missed
Every time really hurt my feelings yes is he on the list no I don’t make any lists I just play them again let’s see so I mentioned the top five in terms of the model ranking this week the best like Players let’s say pendrith is the best like cheaper player at 7,400 over
The past 24 rounds with what I have it listed out as senson would be number two Woodland and Vegas are actually three and four yeah but I mean with woodland who knows he didn’t look good at Sony Woodland is a guy that’s on my list for playing I don’t have those lists I
Said what you were talking about is he on the list of never play no but Woodland was on my dig deeper list for today to try and see what I was going to do with him because he’s another guy didn’t talk about him at all showed something at least like he went wait
Show showed something as in he played golf correct and like went out there so you see it and then the other thing is uh you know the setup of the course and all that if if you want to play a guy like him there’s no one going to that range
Michael Kim rates out really well he’s number 15 in the power rankings SMY is 17 cam champ is 18 who’s made the cut here each of the past three years he’s 6,800 spawn Davis Thompson 73 and 72 Joel Damon at 76 Chuck Hoffman somehow
Oh you know who is a $6,000 guy that I am going to play toasty okay good course for him people played him last week too so he could bounce back 10th in driving distance in this field good enough for me who did I miss on your lineup by the
Way I was just going to compare projections just to see what it said but you had uh ludvig hom hom ludvig Keegan yeah OE Stevens and Vegas oh there’s what it was okay so that’s where I missed so Keegan and OE Keegan and Vegas yeah OE uh
Stevens oh uh Stevens is the guy I’m missing Stevens at 7,000 yeah your lineup’s 20 points better cruising I’m [ __ ] Cruising USA over here damn we’re in trouble now but you got these top tier dudes that’s why I got the more balance build so we’ll
See how it shakes out as Vegas and baa and Stevens are coming down the stretch I can see why people like I just sorted by driving distance so toasty’s 10 panda is 11th Chan Kim longdong Paul Baron and Jake knp before you get to Nikolai hoard
Okay they’re all inside the top 15 in driving distance this week Patrick Rogers is number seven by the way I am going to play some Patrick Rogers I’ll play some Vegas Callum Taran was the other one and you know who we didn’t talk about 7200 that literally no one
Has any interest in playing but is fourth in this field in driving distance and Justin s it’s not Justin Su it’s Kevin Yu I’ll play Justin Su over youu youu is literally like the thing about you and Mitchell I brought this up I think it’s a good interesting point for
Future stuff last week those guys have nothing to lose Keith Mitchell and you they just fire up pins and see what happens and what happened was they went super low on Sunday and now everyone carries over and we always say like that good hot Sunday round but I think we
Have to take more to it and say like what was the reason for it they could get away with whatever they wanted it was like make 20 grand make 30 grand or try for a lot of money and just fire at it sure although I would say that skill
Set wise this course in this tournament sets up much better for Kevin Yu than the American Express did H that’s interesting interesting I think not I think he sets up better just for birdie fests maybe because that’s what he does we’ve seen multiple times where he just
Gets that hot I think he actually sets up better for Showdown golf on draft case that’s probably what he actually sets up for but uh who did you like up top again like at the very top yeah H in morawa oh damn how much is Toasty 66 I think oh he’s
Expensive I was trying to round out the show with the barjon panda nap lineup and you can get three guys up top you just got to leave the money on the table because and IT projects horribly but you’ve got Xander you use well instead of using you can use toast let’s let’s
Use Bon oh it uses all the money Xander Klay H with nap Baron and Panda there you go to I can go toasty T oh that’s 5800 toasty tan toasty tan and Long Dong Paul Bon then you can do whatever you want I just thought it was funny to get those
Three three 10K guys in can’t lay X hom leave cow out of it no see you can do it this way I I’ll play my version of this Xander Kawa H with toasty Taran and Long Dong B Bar yeah toasty Taran man this is going to be good if one of these lineups
Crushes I’ll just laugh but uh long dong man well hopefully it wins me the $6 dollar which I just entered it into oh you know what too barjon can be uh get that dough Kevin Kevin dhy I I could not pick that guy out of a lineup of one you got to
Just trust the process man TR trust the numbers on it yep Taylor Moore 19th in driving distance by the way better than Keith Mitchell it will take it I like it I like that I don’t know if I would go back to chasing the Keegan Mitchell big
Round but he could burn me too he’s obviously good enough and we’ve seen it in the past so just just a note Matty Schmidt hurt my feelings last week too and you almost wanted me to pick him and that I would have lost you I only won by
Eight but I took pavon or Griffin and you like oh you should have taken Schmid in case and I was like he he had it rolling too he cuz I looked at it on his Friday round when he played I think it was linta because he played The Stadium
Course first struggled a little bit he was like four under or something like that yeah uh then he got himself into it with these hot rounds the the five the four easiest par fives were at the course he was playing he played them in two over zero birdies and a double bogey
On the power fivs he cleaned up the par threes and power fours and this’s a guy who bombed like just it was blowing my mind that’s the Stallings effect crushed it on the stadium course on day one and same with Cole crushed The Stadium Course on day one or whatever day two or
Whatever he played it and then couldn’t do it when when it needed to be done and Stallings on the easy course one of the like Nicholas I think it was where he just had his worst round and missed the cut so happens golf we love it we move
On yeah we’re on to this week and we’ll be on with you for the next four weeks and then you’re off that week and I’m doing a show for the Mexico open I think it is or maybe I’ll just take that week so we got we got Pebble Beach next week
Then Phoenix then Phoenix oh no it’ll be Riv the one that I do early so I will be doing that one okay there you um yeah I will not be here for the Mexico open unfortunately play feno the one player who’s playing in the field that goes
There just to collect his win yeah I bet him top three whatever I gave it out on the Sentry show he was 18 to1 got it with you to to win Mexico he’s going to open it like I went and looked at who’s actually in this tournament he is the
Only one in the tour OE might play he and he’ll be like 10 to one I don’t look at those enough but that was a good one to find yeah feberg told me that homo they had listed at 25 to one to win this tournament and which is much
Better than the 10 to one he is right now I that’s what I bet him at last year when he won yeah the thing about that though is like well the clv that we all get so excited for of like the closing line value there you’re like that’s
Great but it’s also this field is stacked for the top level now totally different if they listed H at 20 to1 this week I would bet Max hom sure I’m saying like your happy about getting that number I’m not doubting that that’s the obvious one he came out at 10 to1
You could have got 25 obvious I’m saying at least in this one you could see other guys crushing oh fow at 18 to1 and Mexico is like who else is there he’s what is he won it second second or something like that it’s just he goes
There because it’s just a way to get a notch on the belt and get your points and move on pile up cash your money and whatever it is pile up those FedEx Cup points yeah easy way to do it will Gordon I’m going to give a look to again at
$6,900 another guy just kind of bombs it yep that’s where I want to where want to be this week the the head space I want to live in that will’ll do it on the pat Mayo experience playing the listeners League smash like and sub to the channel
Ship it nation.com Cod Mayo will get you 10% off and the prices go up after lock tomorrow we we we gave it longer like we were supposed to be for two weeks only we did it for three it’s been great the first three weeks are incredible you can
Go on X check it out at shipit Nation see the threat of everybody all the members that are having success but Co Mayo will continue to work and get you 10% off whatever you want over there but those prices will go up this week tomorrow around 1200 p.m. Eastern wh I
With I wish sh Kim was playing better golf right now could just could just show up here and scramble his ass off it’s fine well he was he also bombs it as well I think people Overlook that with him but the last I mean he played the American Express missed the cut last
Week but he was second at the fortnet nap of course where homo won the gala the gala won that so California course how did you do last year 33rd of the Genesis 20th at this event miss the cut at the American Express 21st at Pebble Beach maybe a California guy yeah seven
Brand like it’s just looking for ways to get different in that range is what I’m that’s what I was saying there’s 43 guys by the way in the 7K range this week the biggest I’ve seen in a long time so you can definitely just get different within
The current build setups that we were on and just play different 7K guys cool at to and tamber the tidbits out no T oh good point yeah I was going to bring that up on the show because more people watch this one no tidbits on the short
Weeks a lot of the articles for people that you know just come out come out today hey I I was way I’ve already got like three columns out yeah the newsletter alone is a long read but a great one so it’s like you get everything you want right in that you
Wanted your 5,000 words you got it in the newsletter you can sub to free get it sent directly to you yeah you can do it in chunks like if you got to take like two shits during a day you’ve been eating a lot of fiber you can knock it
Out in two oh yeah I do the old Mark as unread and leave it for later so I’ve got it remembered I read what I can go back to it definitely a way to do it and I I’ve tried to segment it that you can read it like if there’s something in
Particular like if you want to know about the field you can know about the field if you want to know about the past winners you can know about the past winners especially if you click like on a Tuesday or in a regular week on the
Wednesday like oh I want to go back to that thing now I wonder if I can find it it’s segmented in the newsletter that you can just go back and find it easily yeah so share around the newsletter it really helped me out all right listeners
League is probably full by the time that you’re watching or listening to this but yeah get on in on it early the newsletter can help you out in that front I post it there the second I get it and then you might actually have to wait for a show to join the listeners
League on that one but thank you all for watching good luck at the Farmers Insurance open I’ll see you next time experience experience
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SHOW INDEX
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5:26 Weather
9:58 Final Bets
14:25 One and Done
19:55 Highest Ownership
30:30 Lineups
57:09 H2H Draft
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Legendary Thumbnail!
Alejandro can get Tosti
chassart = cha-rait. bless ya, Patty
Getting off of Cole fantasy and bets, staying on Sunjae both ways and staying on Hisatune in bets and fantasy, using Day and Rodgers for top and bomb winner, need 2 more to add to my win ticket, after sunjae Day abd rodgers
I want to see mayo vs gehman vs tyler vs feinberg in a 4 way head to head fantasy, but feinberg isnt into fantasy, he just a straight degenerate golf bettor, love my Boy Feinberg dude is Top Shelf!!!!
thumbnail made me spit out my dc
Did I really hear that no one wants to play Cantwin and T4 Tony?