Steve Bamford @Bamfordgolf on X – from Golf Betting System previews the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open from La Jolla, California. He details the host Par 72 Torrey Pines South Course, key skills required to win around this coastal, old-style assignment; gives historical winner data, plus gives his 4 player selections. Please like and subscribe + share.
#farmersinsuranceopen #TorreyPinesGolfCourse #pgatour
FARMERS INSURANCE OPEN 2024 – Golf Betting Tips
By Steve Bamford
00:00 Intro
00:55 Like, SUBSCRIBE + Comment
02:06 Course, Agronomy and Weather
07:23 Key Player Skills Required
10:10 Predictor Model Top 10
13:21 Rolling 8 Week Strokes Gained Stats
17:33 Historic Odds of Winners
18:33 World Ranking of Winners
19:46 Player Selections
Golf Betting System Website: https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/
Steve’s Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview: https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/pga-tour-tips/farmers-insurance-open-tips-2024/
Farmers Insurance Open Strokes Gained Rankings:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/farmers-sg-analysis-2024/
Farmers Open Form Stats:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/farmers-combi-stats-2024/
2024 Farmers Insurance Open Predictor Model / Optimizer:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.com/tournament/farmers-insurance-open-2024
2024 Golf Betting System Majors Competition Sponsored by bet365:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/golf-majors-competition-2024-rules/
Steve Bamford X: @Bamfordgolf
Golf Betting System Podcast:
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/golf-betting-system-podcast/id1234973013
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Oo0Ivfnq4QQPch9SlRP5V
Podbean: https://golfbettingsystem.podbean.com/
Podcast Addict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/golf-betting-system-podcast/2197395
Audioboom: https://audioboom.com/channels/4990651
Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/en/show/3353472
This podcast is for listeners of 18 and above. Please be Gambleaware, you can visit BeGambleAware.org for more information and of course please bet responsibly.
Greetings I’m Steve banford and welcome to the Steve banford golf YouTube channel the home of the golf betting show and the golf betting system podcast we are back with the Farmers Insurance open for 2024 the golf betting shows for viewers of 18 and above please be gambleaware you can visit
Begambleaware.org for more information and of course please bear responsibly don’t forget to visit golf betting system the number one free golf betting resource how are you now the Farmers Insurance open 2024 is upon us it starts make a note it starts on Wednesday this week so Wednesday Thursday Friday final
Round on Saturday so it doesn’t clash with the NFL playoffs okay what do I need from you guys is one of the bigger events of the year so far it’d be fantastic we’ve got a very short space of time for this video to be live and and be relevant 125 likes that’ be
Absolutely fantastic and again so so close to 4,000 subscribers so if you are new to the Steve banford golf YouTube channel pre please press the Subscribe button and of course please make sure that your notifications are switched on that way you will then receive the the the golf betting show throughout 2024
Especially on that build towards the Masters Augusta National in April so make sure can we can we make 4,000 subscribers this week I’m hoping that we do right okay let’s crack on with show of course I always forget this follow me on X at Bamford golf also it be
Fantastic to know I chat with you regularly who are you backing this week at the Farmers Insurance open in California that’s right we’re playing this week Tory Pine South course laa San Diego South California it’s set this golf course there’s two golf courses together right on the Pacific Ocean right on clifftops
There this uh South course has hosted the US Open a couple of times two decent winners Tiger Woods and John RAM and that that probably shows you what you need to win around here uh they also play one round on the Wednesday and the or the Thursday at the
North course that’s the um the easier golf course on the Tory Pines Property but we’ll go into that in a little bit more detail in a short while let’s talk around the South course first doesn’t really need a huge amount of introduction 7,700 65 yards she’s an absolute monster she’s the longest par
72 on the PGA T she’s also at sea level well okay there’s a few borders and whatever sort of 40 foot below the golf course but effectively at sea level 7,765 yards um the greens here we are dealing with poana for the first time in
2024 they are 5,000 square ft in size so they’re the smallest Greens in 2024 to date yet we’re on the longest golf course that kind of shows you where we’re at in terms of difficulty I categorize this as Coastal golf course it’s classical old style and it’s also
Midcore scoring so to win this tournament and it’s very very predictable it’s 15 to 13 under each and every year pretty much mid score so yeah it’s a challenge it’s going to be a challenge the nor uh also worthy of note the fairways are made up of Bermuda grass overseed with
Ry grass we’re also de dealing with kikuyu grass with Ry grass rough the rough is up this year because it’s been a bit of rain in the area 4 in in length over to the North Coast that’s a Tom Weiss coff redesign in 2016 Coastal yes Resort scoring a lot easier medium
Length it’s a 7,258 y par 72 uh we’ve got Pure bent grass Greens on this golf course 6,000 square ft on average are the size uh again uh Bermuda grass overseed with gy on the fairways rough is kikuyu grass overseed with r 4 in again in
Terms of the rough length this is the golf course really when you look at winners here you look at the splits in rounds one and two you’ve got to shoot 68 minimum on the North and I mean I’m going back to Justin Rose I can remember
Him shooting 63 in round one around here it’s all about getting um birdies and you score in the bank before you move to the South course for the final two rounds that’s what the North Course is that’s the positioning course to get you in that top 10 top 15
On the leaderboard heading in to Friday and Saturday on the south course and we know that Golf Course is an absolute Beast just to throw this out there as well Nick Dunlap last year last week 300 to1 as an amateur to win the American Express he followed on from graceon Mar
At 400 to1 and Chris Kirk 150 to1 the first three winners on the PGA tour in 2024 it hasn’t been easy to pick winners so far this year hopefully that changes at the Farmers Insurance open in terms of weather we’re looking at 16 to 20° in terms of temperature this week that’s
Pretty standard for this part of Southern California in January that’s 59 to 68 F no wind in the forcast of any sort there has been rain falling though on the golf course now I saw over an inch on Monday yesterday uh there was some rain also on Saturday and Sunday on
Top so I think for the first rounds certainly Wednesday and certainly Thursday I think we’re going to see a soft Golf Course or soft golf courses scorable uh whether they firm out with that kind of I think these golf courses are never going to be running US Open
Hot um they did say last year though the the fair the greens were quite firm they just released a little bit but I reckon for those opening uh for for Wednesday which is tomorrow I’m recording this on Tuesday and potentially for Thursday soft Golf Course conditions which on a
7,765 yard par 72 in terms of the South course may push you in the directions of those with a little bit of length off the te right let’s take you through The Strokes gained this week and I’ve got to say these statistics don’t really give give a lot
Away in terms of what we are looking for because you do get a mix of players that can W the win on this golf course now I’m looking at this in terms of Strokes gained uh we look at the winners here and where they ranked in the uh those
Categories across that week and we just average it through so off the tea Strokes G 26th uh that’s just about on a parile with the Sony Open 16th for approach that that is the weakest number we’ve seen so far out of four weeks so it was
10th for capala 13th for uh the Sony 15th for the AMX 16th for Tory Pines 26th for around the green I do think you need him around the green game here even you look at a Luke list who won here at 90 to1 long off the te excellent around
The greens abysmal putter but we’re talking po this week so team NOA in effect can be uh T green 11 and strokes game putting 20 they don’t really tell us a great deal and you tend to get that with classical golf courses where a John Ram can absolutely be a beast off the
Tea and te to Green and A Patrick Reed can be a short game wizard on on the same course and they both win the the year that uh the year that uh Patrick Reed run around here was absolutely crazy he was 31st for off the T 39th in
The field for approach Strokes gained around the green first T to Green 12th Strokes game pting 10th so it’s all up for grabs effectively it really is what these winners do have though Max Homer Luke list Pat Patrick Reed Mark lean they all had some decent inbound form
Even in the year previous to winning here on classical old style golf courses so that’s definitely an angle to look at if I’m looking at um traditional stats for around here um driving distance 25th it goes back to 2010 this is average within the field that week 25th for
Driving distance 28th for driving accuracy 16th for Greens in regulation 23rd for proximity to Ho 21st for scrambling 14th for putting average it’s all very gray very Magnolia doesn’t really tell us a great deal of what we need so we’re going to have a soft go
Course early doors no wind I still think 15 16 underpar takes the victory this week right let’s take you on to my top 10 for this week’s Farmers Insurance open and uh the predictor model top 10 now predictor model is available in the description link below you can just use
It as many times as you want completely freee of charge life data it’s absolutely fantastic so if you want to find for example over the last 5 years on the pj2 of the best performers on poana greens it’s all there for you here’s my top 10 bookmaker of the week I
Have to say bet Fred they are offering eight places each way um within their pick your places Market they are top price right now on five of the top 10 in my predictor model um if you sign up via golf betting system you grab a bet to10
Get 40 in fre bets and bonuses offer using the promo code welcome 40 so that’s a nice welcome to bet Fred I’m starting to use them more and more on my bets on my golf bets it’s as simple as that eight places each way and decent
Prices to boot if you come to my betting preview link available in the description you’ll find bet Fred on the right hand side just sign through there that’d be great help to the channel right top 10 10 Harris English 45 to1 with bet 365 eight places each way via
The each way extra Market nine is Keegan Bradley 28 to1 with William Hill eight places each way I Keegan Bradley I was on him at the Sony Open he made the playoff beaten by Grayson Murray at 400 to1 I’m not on him this week it would not surprise me for a
Guy that finished second here last year that Bradley comes and wins but there we go I’m not on him Justin Rose is at eight 50 to1 with bet fored eight places each way seven is Tony fenale 25 to1 with William Hill eight places each way top six
Patrick cantlay 11 to1 with skybe eight places each way five is Jason day jay day 25 to1 with William Hill eight places each way four Sun Jim 20 to1 with B Fred eight places each way three is Colin morawa 10 to one with bet Fred eight places each way two
9 to1 favorite with bet Fred eight places each way and Number One Max Homer 12 to1 with bet Fred eight places each way so Homer Xander chaule Colin morawa Sun Jim Jason day if you’re still with me don’t don’t forget we’re aiming for 4,000 subscribers this week press the
Subscribe button I know that 50% of you aren’t subscribed so please press that subscribe button also follow me on X banford golf I’m not not sitting in front of my screen this week either for the first time in about 10 years so I feel rather naked but if you’re with me
Follow the Steve banford golf YouTube channel and you can watch the golf B show every week why okay my four um Strokes gained of course Strokes gained over the last eight weeks I’m looking for approach this week I’m looking for Te to gree Excellence I’m also looking
For excellent drivers of the golf ball now you’re going to hear names in in these list that you’re not used to that’s because we’ve started a brand new season and a lot of these players especially rookies and guys at the lower end have only played one tourament they
Will disappear I’m sure top 12 Strokes gained off the tea over the past eight weeks this takes us back to the Qatar Masters because I include PGA and DP World Tour events Within These numbers if you want full top 25 ranking ings again description box they are available
In my in my full preview 12 Nicolo High Huard quality player as we know team Europe Rider cup now coming to the PJ tour fulltime t top tie for 10 Daniel burer who reemerged last week uh he’s tied with the Harris English nine is Bo HOSA eight is minwu Lee Paul Barry o
Hanran has picked him on the golf betting system podcast this week a tie for fifth Kevin doy Max Homer and Colin morawa a tire for third Ryan McCormick and Taylor Moore two is Adrien and number one is Roger Sloan I’m sure Roger won’t be there in a couple of weeks time but he’s
There right now Strokes G on approach top 12 12th Thomas dietry the Belgium TI for 10th Scott Gus ski and Seb strucker sep strucker always get that run wrong nine is Adam senson eight is Keegan Bradley six Christian Baden hoot and K morawa he grabbed the Winner’s check last year
Last week and finished second uh five is Nikolai hoard third a Tai Max Homer and Hayden Springer two Victor Perez coming from the DP World Tour and number one Mac mner so if Mac meisner’s there in a couple of weeks time fair play to Mac uh
Tia green top 12 a tie for 11th Jason day and Tony fenale with Roger Sloan 10 is sep Stucker nine is Keegan Bradley eight is minwu Lee seven is Zander chaffle six is Nikolai haard five Adrien second last week at in Dubai um fourth Colin Rara of course
Three MC mner two Max Homer number one Hayden Springer Springer and mner maybe they maybe they DraftKings plays this week who knows Strokes G total the best players recently over the last eight weeks on the DP world and PJ tours combined this also includes the Hero World Challenge this for
Information top 12 Jason day is at 12 he’s tied with the Rio hits at Sun another great week last week and minwu Lee I’ve been mentioning hitas since the Sony Open because he’s a decent DP well Tour player and he’s already landed well
For DP at least uh on the PJ tour a tire for ninth our good friend Eric Cole who let me down in the final round last week sunj IM and Adrien seventh is Harris English tied with sep stuer fourth is Nikolai hoard tied with Max Homer three Xander chaule two colen
Morawa and number one Christian Baden hoot Bizen hoot morawa Xander Nikolai hoard Max Homer the top five of this Strokes game totor Strokes game current form over the last eight weeks you can also throw McKenzie Hughes in there Harris English and sep strucker right winning prices here over
The Last 5 Years 2023 Max Homer 25 to1 2022 Luke list 90 to1 Luke list was fourth that week for strokes going T to Green on my listings at 90 to1 Patrick Reed in 2021 was 25 to1 Markt leean at uh in 2020 was 55 to1 and
Sun uh Justin Rose was world number one at the time in 2019 14 to1 average those through 42 to1 the shortest price winning this has been 14 to1 and the longest price has been 90 to1 juicy go back all the way to Ben Crane in 2010 yeah Ben Crane he won a 80
To1 the average winning price over that period of time which is 14 years is is 53 to1 world uh ranking of winners here recently as well Homer 16 list 151st Reed 11 leean 28 Justin Rose 1 Jason day 13 John Ram 135th one at 55 to one if I remember his
First ever pga2 a victory another interesting stat here only John Ram since 1953 has won this on course debut there’s some cracking course deutans this week aren’t there Adrien minwu Lee and also um Nikolai hoard very very tempting very tempting indeed they’re not likely to win though anything else to mention 13 under
15 under 14 under 15 under have been the last four winners of this tournament north south split South North split north south split north south split talking total and utter God go if you’re still with me well done at Bamford golf on X and of course please press that subscribe button let’s get
Through 4,000 subscribers this week my four tips this week I’ve kept it very very simple I’ve used lots of players in those upper reaches of approach off the te and te to Green I’ve also gone for a guy that’s driving the ball really really well at the moment not so
Accurate of his approaches but decent enough positive and has been absolutely brilliant with the putter that’s more of the Patrick Reed model that won here a few years ago it’s all up for grabs I only managed to get 12 to1 on Max home with three places each way first thing
On Monday with unibet I managed to get six places each way as you now know they are available eight places each way he is with bet Fred 12 places uh at 12 to1 I’d love that defending Champion that that doesn’t that doesn’t turn me on normally but in Max’s
Case he’s finished 10th when defending the Genesis Invitational first when defending the 40 net championship at 16 to1 and eth when defending last year the wells Faro championship at qua Hollow and this is the point this is the point Riviera Country Club Silverado Quail Hollow um all old style Treeline golf of
Course is four of his six wins is it five or six a six-time winner four of his six wins are come in California it’s just a no-brainer for me he’s great here he’s great at Pebble Beach he’s amazing at Riviera Country Club so I’m going to
Back max Homer this week as he’s the defending Champion he won of course the nedbank challenge in South Africa at the end of last year 14th uh 13th at the hero well challengeing 14th of the century he’s playing nice golf I think he’ll give it a go I’d be surprised if
He’s not in the in the on the first play page of the leader board heading into Saturday by the way players here four five back on Saturdays I know it sounds weird final round um they they come through and win here regularly so players in that final group can but
Don’t often win the Farmers Insurance open very good in play opportunity this week I’ve think gone for Jason day another real horse for the course Jay day I’ve gone two points each way 25 to1 with William Hill that eight places each way that’s sticking just look at his
Record first here twice second third he’s got three additional top nine finishes here at Tory Pines transferred to Pebble Beach more pan Coastal golf again finished second fourth in 2015 2019 2020 5ifth in 2017 he’s got three additional top seven finishes there unbelievable so Jason day he’s playing
Good goal from T to Green I’ve mentioned him in some of those eight eight week trackers why not Jason day poana green monster he’s got the most poana green wins in this field tied with Max Homer and brand scheder since 2008 then this is the guy that’s driving
The ball well and got an amazing short game right now Harris England English I got 45 to1 on Harris English with bet 365 eight places each way that’s still there as we know I’ve gone one and a half points each way on Harris English 14th at the century 10th at the Sony
Open he was for uh he was he lost in the playoff here to Scott Stallings in 2015 he’s also had a 14th here in 2017 and a 8 in 2018 don’t forget though the 2021 US Open was played here John one by John Ram Harris English finished third he was 80 to one
This week plays well on the course top 10s here are important for winners he ranks 10th in this field across my eight week Strokes game trackers uh for off the te he’s also fourth in my 8we tracker for pting we know on top of that when I go back to my Strokes gained
Tracker he is currently ranking where is he for strokes gained current form seventh with sep strucker what is there not to like at 45 to1 I am on Harris English likes the course last year this may surprise you second at Bay Hill third at Quail Hollow eighth at La
Country Club where they hosted the US Open fits like a hand in the glove for me two of his win two of his four time four wins have been by the coast at myoba and kaaloa so yeah Harris English at 45 to1 and finally a player I’ve mentioned numerous times during the
Podcast playing superb golf great with his approach play right now one and a half points each way I got 45 to one with bet Fred eight places each way on sep Striker they the odds compilers many of them don’t seem to take him seriously but this guy is
Now hanging around on major leaderboards don’t forget he was second at the open last year and he also had a top 10 finish at the PJ Championship played at the CL classical Oak Hill Golf Club what is there not to like about him uh last time he played was at the Sentry
He ranked fifth for strokes gained on approach love that 18th for TAA green sixth for Greens in regulation and seventh for total accuracy shot rounds of six under seven under and seven under I found him at 45 to1 with betfred eight Place each way he’s played here four
Times he’s made the cut three he’s finished 13th in 2019 when no one really heard of him and 16th last year I think uh I think the first that first time as well in 2019 he was ninth going into the weekend clearly gets on well with Tory Pines he’s a top 20
Player in the world and I’m getting him at 45 to1 thank you very much so sep strucker at 45 to1 Harris English at 45 to1 Jason day at 25 to1 and Max Homer at 12 to1 those are my four for the Farmers Insurance open don’t forget it starts on
Saturday it’s been a very weird golf betting show I hope you enjoyed it I follow me on X at banford golf and press that subscribe button let me know who you are backing in the comment section below and press the like button for me let’s get 125 likes I’ll see you next
Week for Pebble Beach
8 Comments
Harris ENglish has terrible course history. 3 missed cuts and T71 in last 4 appearances. In that time, dropped nearly 18 strokes. I like the others though.
On C,Bez and T.Montgomery this week!
Thanks Steve. With you on Max Homa, English and Straka. Also Nicolai Hojgaard too. Will listen to the Pod later, to DPWT tips from Paul, Barry and yourself, along with their PGA tips? And a usual ew Lucky 15 on the PGA, DPWT, LPGA, KFT. And of course – Justin Rose ew for my Mum!! 🏌🤞
I had Bezuidenhout last week 125/1 and Benny An the week before. 2 second place finishes is frustrating when so close.
I've done Keegan Bradley, Jason Day, Luke List & Sam Ryder this week. All the best.
Smash the Thumbs Up. CHEERs from the CUSE. Sepp Straka. For the Win. And Meronk.
Cheers Steve! I'm all over Tom Hoge this week, would've contented last week but for a slow start, lots to like about him this week including the 3 figure price. With you on Straka and think Lowry could have a good week. Best of luck!
Yu 350/1 and Hadwin 55/1 full places for good profit last week. Going in with Bradley, English, Yu, Lanto Griffin and Buckley this week. Good luck Gents
Steve hope all is well sir. Hard to believe going on 7 years listening! I’m with you on Jason Day. I also went for Will Z, Hideki Matsuyama, and Taylor Moore long shot. If you look back to 2010 the winner of this tourney has finished either top 10 or missed the cut the previous year with one exception being Marc Leishman in 2019. I hit Patrick Reed here in 2021. It’s a very trend based tourney for outright. Good luck!