Our PGA DFS experts ANALYZE the THE AMERICAN EXPRESS taking place January 11 – 14, 2024. Find out who they are recommending for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups!
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Oh yeah there we are we’re here how we doing good afternoon good got some people live comment section 3M on a Tuesday is tough but we’ll still have we’ll still have good am of live viewers for the MX we’ve had two good weeks of golf right Andy I mean
Real really good weeks of golf I must say um you by the way I’m out of breath I’m out of breath because it says Urban Sprinter I’m so glad you did the call back before we started to that because I ran 50 blocks from another meeting to get here in 10 degree weather
Andrew because that’s my commitment to these shows in the brand but I used to have this thing called Urban sprinting and I thought that was the new phase of exercise so doesn’t matter what you’re wearing regular clothes just do Sprint intervals downtown or in public people stop me like at night and
Say hey I saw you sprinting downtown so I stopped doing it but I had to do it again today and there’s nothing I don’t think it’s a slower person on Earth in terms of sprinting than me I think I’m a I think I’m a 29 second 100
Meter so that’s better than I can do I don’t I don’t run what’s I don’t run I’m a I like to go I I Wht I like lifting weights but I I’m not a I’m not a big cardio guy I will I will say that unless when I’m playing golf I like walking
When I’m playing golf for sure but um it’s been is it really 10 degrees in Lexington Kentucky right now yeah it was 12 degrees this morning I think it’s 20 now and I was like I was like [ __ ] I’ve got to get back for this this call or
This show and there was no way around it cuz it have my car so I was like Sprint time and I thought I’m gonna completely slip on this ice tear my ACL and that’s it you should run in the sand yeah I shouldn’t run because I when
I could do that if you moved here to California it’s 60 degrees in sunny right now in Santa Monica but when people used to see me sprinting downtown they’re like what are you doing bud and I said I explained it to them and they were just they just thought it was
Insane so I stopped it so I kicked it back up today whatever um I heard about jbc’s mile JBC has to run a mile today or some I think him and him and Big T had some sort of friendship bet on Eagles bucks last night which is a tough
Watch which is which is a tough watch I think I think Big T was on the right side of that um so yeah he was I was on the wrong side okay it’s been a rough play stretch for old Wy yeah me too as well but golf’s been good I mean what was
Unbelievable yeah 335 and Yan last week right that Yuan was the guy and he almost pulled it out for the most Legacy 400 to One play of all time and I was asking you all week why do you like Carl Yuan and you refused to give me a straight answer and just told
Me trust the process and here we were on Sunday um watching him CL really damn close to you you hitting backto back what Chris Kirk was 180 to1 um 150 to1 maybe and Yan was in the 300 range as well so uh we need your Yuan this week
Like your version of Yuan this week whoever that may be it has to be over 130 to one I’ve got it you’ve got your guy I’ve got it and it can’t be Yan it has to be someone different but of course we’re going back to him right
Yeah but here’s the thing last week in a softer field no real Superstars Fitzpatrick missed the cut you gotta 10K sah miss the cut fade uh and it’s just gonna be a birdie Fest out there last week and I thought okay then you could have some of these
Guys um and and the first thing I look at is the obviously the um the player field and I looked down the names and some value and I you know the first names that scream at me like youan there’s something in my library that I’ve documented somewhere along the line that’s just telling
Me play that guy you knew something about him you saw something with him he finished well last year just in my head so I do have one this week I want to see what his line is because I have not bet him I made three bets for the Discord this week
Um love M love M no wind yeah yeah yeah so you know proprietary uh modeling information but we’ve conclusively decided um our team at RPS have conclusively decided no wind equals m and if you can stick to that mindset um then I think it’s going to be I think
It’s going to be a really big week for him as well there’s been a lot of um like I’ve been I think a lot of people this week have been going back and forth between IM and Kim they’re priced right next to each other at 101 and 99
Um do you have a read on like what do you have those guys I know we just posted our first ownership run through at RPS but I think that’s going to be an interesting decision for a lot of people not like you can’t play both of them but that IM verse Kim I’m
Really in I’m leaning towards M but I’m really interested to see how that ultimately shakes out between the two of them no I know from on the ground that he’s absolutely in control right now this is m uh there’s no wind and um he’s dialed dialed right now he’s been awesome at
This golf course in the past as well and he’s also won he has a lot of he’s had a lot of success at TPC style architecture desert golf courses like you look at the Shriners TPC Summerland that’s another Desert Golf Course that emphasizes wedge play um and Kim’s won there uh im’s won
There Kim’s won twice there in fairness as well so both of them have a lot have had a lot of success at at Summerland yeah and then you have him setting the record for birdies at the on tour since what 1983 that’s him um you know he’s just
He’s just an incredible score on a week that you can you have to score you know mid 20s underpar uh three course rotation Stadium’s going to be the most difficult you know the pi challenge of the week I mean one of the one one player told me
It’s the toughest par 3es on tour that he’s faced Alcatraz being the feature hole um and but you know other other than that though they they are still going mid 20s under par and now you’ve got IM with a caddy who is helping him read or reading every putt for him and his
Putting’s been better I mean you can’t set the record for birdies without having a great putting week you just can’t not hitting think the inches so um in terms of that yeah I think Tom Kim has this a following he’s a great Dynamic young golfer
Um but and he’s got it and he’s and he’s probably going to be I’d say 12 to 14% owned uh M okay I hope you’re right I was looking seeing some higher numbers but I don’t trust it because anecdotally what I have heard from people in um my group chats Discord just
DMS I’m seeing a lot more love for Kim as opposed to IM at least in the betting markets because Kim’s at a better number right Kim’s at 25 to1 M’s at 20 um and often that will translate to to DFS ownership as well so if I had to guess
I think both of them end end up in the 15 to 20% range personally um I think yeah I think Kim is gonna be pretty high but you think higher than 20 well we it maybe where you net out on that is going to be very dependent upon how you feel
On the big three um at the top and so I think we have to talk about those three guys as well because I I will say this Wy they the too good players to be completely neglected but I generally have a pretty good finger on the pulse
In terms of Twitter talking to people various group chats Discord I just haven’t heard the name Xander and can’t lay a lot this week I just I don’t I’m not saying either’s going to be like 10% but it seems like there’s a bit of a a general malaise on those guys you
Either have an opinion on sheffer’s putter and you have an opinion on a lot of players in the nines but I could see those guys relative to what I think they should be based on my numbers I could see those guys falling closer to you know 1520 than a 2530
Personally I uh I always Xander has his following Al be I think it’s Str a little bit he doesn’t people are kind of sick of a [ __ ] to be honest with you they’re they’re get he doesn’t win a lot um and Klay too A lot of people I KL is
One of the guys I just can never get behind playing I don’t know why I know he’s a phenomenal talent I know he does everything well all-rounded golfer but it’s like you know not the same caliber but like guys like Harris English I just can never play um Xander may make an
Exception for this week because of his form here uh um and because I think that you know he can have a pretty good week shefer I’ve I’ve always I’ve learned to fade top price chalk 21% Sheffer who knizner said is setting up his putting his putts like he’s setting up for a
Fade on a course that Demands a lot of birdies to be made with a putter you saw him shrink with the senty on Sunday right po to win it and then regressed he can’t win every week I’m fine I’m fine not chasing 25% 23% 114 Sheffer when I need to fit in the
M perhaps chalky Poston um Lee and burns type guys Eric Cole again Tay Montgomery I mean there’s a lot to like in that range that can score I don’t want to waste it all in one sheffler bucket I will waste it on M but go over generally
Your article is out and no one can get it for free now but uh you know it is still you know we’re growing the we’re growing the subs by the day which is wonderful so there’s still been a lot of people have been able to access this
Which is which is wonderful and how it should be so uh yes that is up already um what were you going to ask comments on the course yeah you got three three course rotation uh lq ntsc right yeah you got it so uh and we can get into
This a little bit more on um specific questions when we start talking about Showdown and stuff like that because I think there’s going to be a lot of curiosity in terms of the difficulty of these courses and where you guys want them playing historically the order has been Pete Dy Stadium Course toughest
Nicholas tournament course second toughest Lin easiest that kind of got flipped on its head last year um so I would not necessarily say that you should follow that specific order in terms of difficulty as gospel I mean these golf courses went just weird wind um uh I think made uh Nicholas tournament course
Play by far the easiest but historically if we go back over a larger sample size uh it’s been Stadium Course Nicholas tournament course Lin Country Club the point being is I think there’s going to be an opportunity in Showdown um to fade The Narrative of this guy’s on this
Course so I can’t necessarily play him here um these golf courses are all incredibly similar um and and they are incredibly benign and I play a lot of golf in Palm Springs um I was just recently there it’s like playing golf in a dome um I’m sure you’ve heard from
Your conversations with some of the caddies as well um but I I’m not seeing a a breath of wind in the forast the ball is going to start traveling a lot farther for like I’m going to the tournament next week in San Diego um the driving distance in a dome in Palm
Springs is just it’s so much better playing conducive playing conditions than playing in a marine layer on the coast right so you’re going to have pristine conditions for these guys all of these golf courses are under 7200 yards they’re incredibly short all of them feature four par fivs that are
Essentially all reachable for all players right so you’re gonna have a strong emphasis on Wedge play um you’re going to have a strong emphasis on putting from five to 15 feet I like long irons this week a lot is an underrated stat because all the par fives are
Reachable right uh and par five scoring as well so you know know I think a lot of the guys that you liked at kaaloa you would have reason to like them this week and I think a lot of the guys that you’ve maybe seen play well at
Courses such as TPC Scottdale or TPC Saw Grass um or TPC Twin Cities these golf courses with risk reward style architecture golf courses that feature a lot of water but also enhance scoring opportunities right like these are golf courses that um are some of the easiest
Golf courses on tour but they also have a lot of water in them too so you have to stay out of the trouble but also be able to go out and score right and that’s that just one of the things I highlighted big time in the article was
That Push Pull of of risk award so um we can get into the makes things difficult in terms of his sets right yeah if you look at Saw Grass you know you’ve got long Fairway bunkers you got water you’ve got railroad ties you’ve got feature holes finishing holes you got
Difficult part Theses you’ve got you know don’t go long on many holes you got Trouble behind um and Alcatraz you know in terms of if the if if the pro golfer who’s played here told me he’s like most difficult part three is on tour for him
Um let’s say that as a as a sample uh alcatra can put people out of the tournament pretty quickly yeah it’s like 17 yard Par 3 that is I think the third hardest hole on the course features over a 17% bogey rate right so it’s it was designed in
The same vein as to be the East Coast version of TPC Saw Grass um I know it was easier than TPC Saw Grass because you have easier scoring conditions in the desert than you do in Florida um but it’s this it’s the same type deal over
There yeah and we’ve seen C seiw Kim who does well on P die courses he won here yeah huh big big yeah here’s the thing though I said this in the Discord today um you know and let’s let’s put it on notes for next year in terms of Sony
Wind hard no wind easy it’s really that simple at wly the the thing though is you saw Chris Kirk at about whole 55 yeah get a little gassed Sunday just kind of get a worn out yeah a couple guys not just Kirk um yeah and now they’re
Traveling again Michael Kim I’m sure a lot of the guys are on the same flight out of Hawaii said the flight was delayed turned around from the tarmac and he said it’s gonna be a terrible travel week for us and I’m thinking okay Sentry winner Kirk there go to Wy get
Gass now you got now you’ve got Palm Springs three different course rotation you guys got to be tired because this is not condensed to a Thursday to Frid Sunday I mean I’m telling people information they probably already know but some people don’t know that they get there Monday travel day scope the course
Walk the course Tuesday they’re playing their practice rounds their money games with their friends Wednesday it’s a mandatory pram with a PGA Tour and you gota play with a lot of ding-dongs who are giving a lot of money up to to be you know sponsors and so you’re playing almost seven days a
Week 21 days in a row now for the guys that played the Sentry the Sony and this I’m not saying they can’t do it but in the in the margins in golf when you really can’t sacrifice one stroke it’s a knock against some of the guys are
Playing three weeks in a row which is seuk Kim which is a Chris IM had a break right do you agree with that I do I think the sweet spot is guys that played one of the two Hawaii events right because historically you look at it and since 2016 this is
Another thing I talked about in the article but since 2016 in the eight years since we’ve had this three course rotation there has not been a winner that has not played in Hawaii um now you don’t necessarily have to play great golf in Hawaii like only
Four out of the eight winners had a top 10 in one of those two Hawaii events but there is something to be said for being able to shake the rust off but as you mentioned some of those guys like Russell Henley um like Chris Kirk although you know you still saw guys
Like JT Poston and Andrew putam fire away on Sunday um you may see a little fatigue this week as well I think the sweet spot is a lot of those guys that played Sentry but didn’t play Sony that applies to Sheffer Xander Klay sunj Tom Kim Jason day um Sam Burns Tony
Fow Ricky Fowler wendam Clark right Eric Cole is another guy we can talk about as somebody that played all of them and then you’ve got a couple guys we should probably talk about to like JT making his season debut Shane Lowry making his season debut probably overpriced Daniel
Burgher playing his first round of golf in competitive golf in over 18 months right so um you’re going to have guys at all different varying degrees of how much rust we’ve seen them shake shake off yet but for me The Sweet Spot is they played in Hawaii once and now we’re
Getting them um in their second start of the year at at at uh the AMX can you explain explain Daniel Burger’s 45 to1 what don’t we know now I love Daniel Burger don’t get me wrong I mean I mean Daniel Burger on tour uh he may go to
Live I don’t know but he hasn’t gone yet uh he is a he is a star to me uh he’s a guy that not now not yet I mean you can’t like will zelator absolutely you know perhaps one of the worst rounds in the Sony Open um Burger is a absolute
Gamer uh he he is he plays well on tough courses he’s got the iron game he’s got the wedge game he he’s a killer uh I love Daniel Burger he’s a true athlete and he’s and he’s tough I don’t understand 45 to1 this week I think it
Was a misprice uh and I think it I think it took advantage of other players around him that were were you know better priced so Burger didn’t make sense to me zator still doesn’t make sense to me he should be 100 to one based on last week
Right and they are by the way they’ve been dropped nobody’s betting those burger burger opened at um 45 to1 as you mentioned which is one of the more surprising openings I’ve seen in a while that got that’s already all the way down to 80 to one which is still a pass for
Me um Burger is 8k 2% maybe zalatoris 7 .9 2% maybe um I’d rather play zalot Taurus um than burger just because zator played last week at least has some competitive reps under him Burger hasn’t played since the 2022 US Open um and is recovering from a
Bulging disc in his back sorry bulging bulging disc which doesn’t doesn’t sound good so I think we could probably take a wait and see appr Pro with uh with burger and zalatoris just wait till Tori like keep an eye on him this week I think tor’s a
Really really good golf course if zalot torus if you’re playing 150 lineups and it’s so easy to get 2x 3x the field on a 2% zalot Tores not going to tell you that’s a bad play um but keep an eye on him this week because if he shows me
Something I’m going to be ready to pounce at Tory next week uh um oh interesting comment from Paul did you just see that had a shot with Burger a few months ago at the I’ll pull it up hang on uh said he’s trending give me the
2% I I mean Paul just like last week with zot Torres you don’t have to go overboard to double the field or match the field um if he’s 2% owned I’ll take four right yeah and not I mean because I’m going extremely EXT extremely hard into one or two golfers this week I
Can’t do the Sony which is very difficult to handicap because the Field’s a little softer a lot of people can win I really only think a few guys can win this week and I’m have to play into those convictions because like I can’t do these these sort of 55 player
Pools with 25% ownership because you oh wow I’m 23% six to six but you know I only had three you want Lions I’m like I should have more I played so much of him yeah um or Poston right I’m 36% Poston well why don’t you know why don’t I have more
Lineups well because right you didn’t you didn’t you didn’t condense into one or two plays so that you have everything it’s like the pick six in horse racing lock One race um so I I really am gonna go heavy so then I can have this Feathering out of some burgers out there
Uh Ricky Bor is kind of low owned projected I mean five or six I’m in I think this was last year where he sort of started to turn around his game absolutely F yeah yeah and also you know I mentioned TPC SASS and TPC Scottsdale is sass has the Pete die this is
Designed to be the West Coast version of sass Scottdale very same Agronomy same type of overseed Bermuda um visually very similar in terms of the desert Aesthetics of it Ricky Fowler uh only player in this field outside of Scotty Sheffer that has won at both of those
Golf courses um and he played well here last year as well and listen I love JT Poston this week just as much as the next guy JT Poston has been incredibly kind to me over the first two two weeks lights out hey JT post you’re gonna need to shoot a nine under
Okay done done no problem what do you want a streak you want an eagle yeah I mean he’s he’s gone from being a decent player who shows up on you know like a barbasol to being to being money and the only top money in the world right now like he’s doing legitimate
Things yeah great caddy the only drawback to him is three weeks three weeks three tournaments um and potentially high stone player on the Slate right it will be high stone okay so I have 25% on a 9100 JT Post in and this could be low 7% on a 92 Ricky
Fowler um like yeah so I’m not saying that’s how it is going to shake out on Sunday I I’ll have a a much more updated ownership in the article tomorrow morning as well um and we’ll keep updating it on the site too but if you’re telling me that Ricky Fowler
Is four times like if JT post’s four times the ownership of Ricky Fowler um sign me up for Ricky 10 times out of 10 um so I’m gonna be I’m gonna be monitoring that one big big time as well and then we got and then the you know
Where are you on where are you on Clark just just for anybody that that doesn’t get the reference of my um my header today of Lui and x i VX iix ixi it’s of course John ROM’s live team that wind CL that Windom Clark was supposed to go to
And then it was a false report apparently it was flushing it flushing it missed I guess flushing it says the negotiations are dead so I I don’t know who knows who knows these days with that’s a nice hat I saw the article digest today about him right or somewhere today golf don’t tie
Me don’t tie me to that that was a golf.com piece we’re not spending our resources diving into the diving into the flushing yeah that was golf it was well written I I like that I like that writer at golf.com I did not read the piece yet um but no it was a interesting
Jos of of them hailing him as the future of fan media and then him having to backtrack on his Windom to live call I mean you know why would Liv spend more money on on PGA players really no one has the golf for the last two weeks been credible without ROM like taking
Nothing away about about ROM but you know if you don’t get now that Carl Yuan of the squirel can beat Matt’s F fat Fitzpatrick’s US Open winners fantastic top 10 top 15 golfers in the world any given week any given week these golfers can do exactly what these Superstars
Have done and so next man up right so if you want to spend 600 million in a golfer great do I want to see romont tour of course but you know I’m not going to sit here and watch Legion XI VV iix iix i v iix i just because R’s
There or wendam Clark for that matter especially wind Clark why would they spend the money we got Carl Yan don’t take Carl Yan because then I made what about the kidnapping story today that was interesting just little so little casual kidnapping what’s wrong we’re kid kids who
Cares watch I like the um the Kevin Von venberg curious about the uh about the what ABM what aboutism takes for a little casual kidnapping on a Tuesday morning oh there’ll be some there’ll be some whatever J Monahan kidnap um allegedly allegedly um okay so can we talk about
Um can we talk about the like low eights High sevens because there’s some guys I like in here as well um are you seeing if I gave you Cameron Davis down like Cameron Davis to you know the Billy horel range do you see anyone emerging as kind of concerningly
Because I was kind of worried about this people just continuing to ride this putham wave Montgomery is starting to play some really good golf I’m a big auction by the way yeah we talked Montgomery we talked Montgomery big time um and I know a ton of people in that
Discord had a massive Montgomery first round leader sweat um that I can’t remember who ended up screwing us with that I think it was Cameron Davis actually um who I will go back to as well it was uh it was uh was it tala or batia it was
Davis oh that was I think tournament that was centry um okay so what do you have ownership on so power ranked these guys Montgomery putam hadwin I mean hadwin’s projection is 14% yeah great course history people love I don’t believe that for one minute except for the fact that there’s
A large cult following in this range the scam Davis people the Andrew putam people where is he y right there this guy it yeah I he did okay last week I’ll give you that I’ll give you credit yeah and I was like [ __ ] Andy was right it’s
SP um so I can see that pulling hadwin down but I like hadwin if you win at the valpar what’s it copper leaf what’s it what’s in Florida copper is Brook Copperhead yeah Copperhead which is one of the toughest tracks on tour the Florida swing is one of the toughest if
Not the toughest swing on tour and it could be number one now that the Honda is kapo um and if you win there I become your follower for Life Paul Casey Done Right Sam Burns done Taylor Mo we’re in a blue State though for Taylor Moore so
I I’ll never forget Adam hadwins win there but he were he’s he’s like a Chris Kirk to me he can get a little more um frustrating sometimes but he is Ted green good long iron player great putter Canadian let’s go yeah let’s go Canadians love playing in the desert and
The following follows them because the Canadians love the heat in the winter I like hadwin a lot that’s that’s just my um I prefer Davis te is going to be a play this week okay okay I’m not there I’m not there I’m not there um I’m I I would go
Putam uh putam Davis over hadwin Montgomery but that’s a good thing about disagreeing better content when we disagree can’t be can’t be afraid to disagree with the Press um okay and I’ll tell you another guy that’s the bane of your existence that I like this week norin norin 7.8 let me just tell
You about Alex norin this dude this dude [ __ ] up my life more than anyone in and he’s not even part of my life5 player pool I fade norin and he shoots 11 under yeah he was like he was close to first round later go like it’s
Just I don’t I don’t I don’t get him he’s I don’t get so burnswick bang drik Phillips I love that I love the too um so sevens give me give me a couple guys you’re targeting in the sevens and do you think that we see any are you seeing
Any concerning Chalk in the sevens like any the top group think with any of these guys in the SS no that’s what I’m saying people are playing these eights and nines are going to probably fade the top a little more there’s some couple guys in the sixes I I I play
I will go back to Yuan I don’t think he’s gonna quit I think he’s a good golfer uh he could have laid down Sunday and that [ __ ] could have won the tournament I mean he was with that with that bogey on the par three coming in 17
Um ah he could have been negative 17 under par and been in the playoff so I will not quit on Yan uh I think EVR is going to be yeah talked about too much what’s that about have you heard that EVR ground Swell this morning too like my numbers had him
Is fine but I not running to play EVR here I like a horel I don’t think anyone will play horel and if I’m I mean he’s a good bunker player he’s sort of in that you know he hits Fairways uh questionable P putter at times but I can see Billy hell having a
Very good week um and I’m gonna take the value on him he’s 75 to one gonna be five% or lower owned uh I’m not playing EVR not a lot not a lot of people are playing stuff in this range Keith Mitchell had a good week last
Week and then down lower you know I don’t love playing Bez I’m in Christian Bez like I Clos my eyes and think okay I’m gonna play Bez he’s gonna be 83 and then I got a 73 I’m like in Bez Y in on bz um and and you like Sammy
Rides I do like Sam Ryder a lot my biggest concern about him is he he hasn’t gotten that warmup round in in Hawaii yet but he played great this fall sang kind of just a statistical darling for me guys that’s popping in all the the stat categories that I’m looking at and
I don’t think he will be um I don’t think he’ll be crazy highly owned um there’s going to be some sharp money on him for for sure I think that um there are a lot of people that are seeing the same thing that I’m seeing in
The numbers with Ryder but I I don’t think that will translate to larger field uh contests but there a lot of guys like to answer uh to answer William in the chat I’m going back to Kohl’s um I’ll have to ask Snider about Cole’s if he’s going back
Too I am going back to Kohl’s um the store or the golfer the golfer um K was fine Co was fine last week uh I think he finished t50 so I I’m going to go back to him here for sure at you know three four % the Kim situation
Uh I was I was privy to that flight um that flight delay because I got a couple Kim questions already and he was he was okay for us last week I was I was really high on Kim last week and he uh I think finished t40 is uh with some okay ball
Striking and I’m I’m ready to go back to him but uh I don’t ever love a good a good travel issue um so I’m going to monitor that situation as well uh fantasy sports logic Ryan Palmer yes great iron player great wedge player great short iron player in my pull at 7100
1% good call there I didn’t think anyone would mention that guy’s name so good call fantasy sports will Brian Brian Palmer is one of those guys like nor but I do like playing Palmer that really [ __ ] you up I mean he has no form no form no form and then
Boom first yeah I would not leave out Ryan Palmer here’s here’s the interesting name I don’t think he’s my Carl Yan okay M mty Schmid or schmeid yeah I don’t know if Kyle’s here but he’s always been banging the Schmid drum too I’ll bang schm right now I think
Um yeah um my numberers like mty Schmid um did he play at Sony let’s see top yes he did I think he made the miscut but on the number third at Butterfield Bermuda played a lot of good golf this fall 26 at the Shriner so you got that desert
Experience where he gained 5.8 T to Green six year last year I think yeah okay I like that a lot what do you what price do you have on him oh 72 okay a little more than I thought I was like I can get him for 62 72 that’s
Just interesting yeah that’s a good question that’s a good question too uh Alex K A little disrespect on Grayson Murray at 7100 like I I I don’t think I’m playing him but I would Grayson Murray’s in the top 50 in the world now I would have kind of expected him to
Work his way into like the high sevens after winning like a pretty decently field golf tournament um a little surprised he’s sitting down here at 7100 I will say that plus he looked good you know yeah did some good wed shots he made some he made clutch putt to save my life
Um and and now you’ve got the sort of Team sobriety angle back to back KK and who’s who’s this week it’s Harrison Endicott people are all over the sub and now he’s chocking that range to me listen here’s what I’ll say about um Grayson Murray uh I did not
Realize I talked about this on the podcast that I did last night Chris KK you know because the PJ tur they love to glom on to any heartwarming Redemptive story that they can Chris Kirk has been sober for like five years Chris Kirk’s won like a couple times in sobriety like
I hope for Chris K Kirk’s sake if he continues to play good golf that that’s not the headline for him every single time he plays good golf after a certain number of years because he’s been sober for a long time now and played a lot of good golf and sobriety I’ll say this
About Grayson Murray Grayson Murray was like blackout at the Mexico open last year okay so In fairness to Grayson Murray this is not a comment on Grayson Murray’s character uh I can’t I I’m not GNA wait into those Waters but what I will just comment on is the time frame
Of him being in active alcoholism to winning on the PGA tour was a lot different than Chris Kirk okay so it to Grayson Murray’s credit that guy was hammered at the Mexico open in like April and is winning a golf tournament seven months later on the PGA tour
That’s pretty that’s that’s pretty damn impressive you can never fault someone to have the strength to improve their life yeah and realize you know what I’m a [ __ ] up I’m [ __ ] I am I am hurting people around me I’m going to change my life and then to get the reward of winning
You know good for him good for him yeah if if you could be honest about yourself at that age at any age especially as a man to say listen yeah I [ __ ] up I’m a [ __ ] up I need to change and I’m sorry and then he wins you know you may not
Like him but uh you know I will never fault someone for doing that um Harrison Endicott was you know he said I’m tired of being feeling terrible all the time so I think people are playing that narrative I you know I don’t know much about Harrison
Ott um I know he it’s a wild narrative to play let me just say like I think it’s funny but there’s no like statistical correlation that this would make sense if your name’s Harrison Ott do you have to grow up in a country club right there’s no way probably probably
Um and he’s he’s a decent player um and it got to but I’m not playing him just just because of the sobriety angle uh Carl Yan uh what is Carl Yan this week 69 68 or 69 yeah a little disrespect on him as well too I would how do you
Respond to the people Wy that were up in arms about the ruling that he got on uh 18 of the uh the ball that we were virtually certain went into the Sands but was never actually recovered I had um whenever I have that much at stake
And that much to pay out I never watched a tournament except for live tracking on my phone and then the reaction of the Discord so I didn’t see the rule I only got mad at you for saying that Carl You because I wasn’t really mad but I I played it up in Discord that I was mad so I don’t have a judgment call on it but any rule that goes against Carl Yuan out on is a rule is a bad rule I will play Yan this week I was
Told that he will not you know he’s not he’s it’s not a fluke he’s playing great he’s gonna continue to play great uh he has a funky swing I don’t think he gives a [ __ ] I mean I I think that you know he’s a great putter he made a huge putt
Down the stretch 36f footer for birdie I think yeah that put him into couple huge putts in that at Back Nine a huge butt yeah and you know what it’s sad for the Discord because a lot of people were chasing it because we had that bet out
There and uh it would have been it would have been absolutely nuclear had he won uh I you know a guy this week I don’t think there’s one of those this week necessarily however I will continue to tell youan until he tells me differently Uh Kevin
Yu yeah is that year you won this week because talk to me about you because I’ve I’ve had a I’ve had I’ve got a bunch of experience on the U Carousel and it usually ends in heartbreak but the guy said last week I said I like you
And you’re like oh thanks man I said no Kevin you yeah so I don’t really like a lot in the sixes necessarily I like you um I again I know he’s a good iron player at least that’s what my brain library has told me about him
And he’s played well um over the last year on the PGA tour but in a in an area that sort of depleted in terms of plays you could have I mean Adam Longs I always will play for Adam Longs and he’s you know he he’s he’s gonna get a cut likely
Um I’m not play again Dumont duchar the French guy adios adios you can still play him 700 yeah definitely not French by the way Wy he’s he’s what is he Austrian he’s I think he’s Dutch same [ __ ] you oh yeah that’s it um I yeah okay so I’m playing um I’m
Playing 350 to one nice Kevin hang on let me go bet that before it smashed 351 nice Kevin nice Kevin’s great too he’s in the Discord all the time as well um I’m playing Johnny Vegas at 6.6 if you want to feel something I love Johnny Vegas yeah solidified it with with his
Uh Players Championship round where he made that five foot P yeah P Tai die again um you know he’s he’s susceptible to to be Johnny Vegas Boomer bust but you know if you can play that well at a Pete die course he’s a good iron player
Hits it far and can make Eagles and birdies I love Johnny Vegas I would say pound forp pound not even pound for pound just for pounds the guy least you want to fight now on tour if you’ve ever been up close to him guys’s are
Yeah and I like Pat gire too okay not the first person I’ve heard mention his name this week no you say it’s the first you say great thought Wy PR well I was giving credence to I I think that you could be on to something um
So yeah kazy um I like Doug gim uh which is I’m we sure know how that’s probably going to end but he’s been good at this golf course before he had that six Place finish at the Players as well um Silverman no William Shelton don’t Bobby you gota play little
Bobby shells don’t think so crew but I’m can do a deeper dive on him if you want Bobby shells I’m playing Bobby shs crew a little bit little wee bit don’t have to play much but yes Bobby shells will be in the lineup okay um 148th out of 156 players
In my model okay um but uh Bobby shells my numbers don’t like Bobby shells this week I don’t know what to tell you my numbers aren’t always right my numbers didn’t like Carl Yuan last week either so or Grayson Murray I think we had the theory that Bobby
Shells and Vince Wy only play well at Resort courses that this is yeah this is what as a easy enough golf course I mean to to fall into that Resort category as well um long and Palmer are paid together that’ll be fun um I like Chris gdup dude I just I
Don’t know if I want to play him yet um I I want to I want him to get his sea legs under him a little bit more this year in 2024 he hasn’t played competitive golf in a couple months but he’s a guy to watch this year um I have
A lot of exposure to him in like season long fantasy leagues um but he’s not a great Putter and so just just wait on him but monitor the situation uh now we’re just getting just opinion on all the 6K guys before we get out of here Alex Bor no no buddy welcome
To Welcome to the PGA Tour Eurostar it’s a tough it’s a tough fight yeah I mean this is just it’s a different animal over here man so Bor really didn’t do much last week I think he missed the cut in fact fact he did miss the cut he did
Miss the cut yeah addc borc all those guys not going to be the softest of Landings I think at the beginning but talented guys to to monitor going yeah where whereas last week there was a a bunch to like in the sixes I mean you still have Yan down here but it’s it’s
Basically going to how you construct your lineup tougher 6K range yeah tougher 6K range and uh you know a very lot to like in the 7K range you know you’ve got chalk EVR which you can fade in my opinion yeah KH Lee did okay last week
Ekro how about him I mean he was contending for a win we loved e Ro we Lov we loveed e root he he was to so all over the place um I’m undecided on e Road I need to let that one marinate a little bit um I’m going back to hogi and SMY
Though who both miss a cut on the number um which should be a lot of fun he maybe I’ll play little higo because he’s one of the guys that can absolutely uh destroy um I’m really surprised at the Eric Cole projection right now at 20% I don’t I
Don’t believe that there’s enough Eric Cole love to get to that point uh but how manyok did he gain over the last two weeks 10 yeah he’s been awesome he’s been awesome um had a good Sunday uh had a had an unfortunate Saturday but it was windy don’t play
Eric Cole in the wind H pavon did well last week too there’s one Euro that actually played really well last yeah yeah yeah um man I hope you’re right about the Cole ownership getting lower but I just that coal ownership to me is correlated with wendam and Lowry and I
Just look at those two guys and I don’t see either of them getting a lot of love and I I could see a a very popular build being SJ or Tom Poston Cole I think that’s a comfy start for a lot of people yeah um yeah SJ Sanjay Tom
And US Poston there’s the first two clicks people have yes really really Comfort uh good concern Fighting Irish 595 um there’s a little bit more trouble on this golf course and Eric Cole can get a little touch and go with the driver at times I think that’s a good
Comment something I highlighted on this course was the concern about a little bit more hazards in play so I for me it’s not enough to not play him uh but if you’re looking for reasons why he could struggle you could point to the fact that there’s
More trouble off the tea at this golf course than there was for him at kaaloa or Sony um prop streak not just you that happens quite I would spend down I would spend down to get Taylor Montgomery I think he has a fantastic week or a hadwin probably gonna fade Cole at least
The field ownership at 20% yeah uh no interest in L Clark I I may have to say goodbye to Chris Kirk which I hate to do I’m saying goodbye to Chris Kirk and I he still hit the ball really great last week people are still going to play him
Like Chris Kirk’s not going to be under owned I don’t think this week I have Chris Kirk at 17% that may go down but like if the Fowler number continues to be in the single digits I’m just going to choose Fowler and I love wendam out
Of that group too let me just tell you that let me just tell you even a field of this strength Tony feno 9,300 projected 10% or lower yeah it’s dangerous man Tony feno is like in in normal Tony feno years he’s 10-1 and 20 I mean he’s he’s up
There starting to forget about him a little bit Yeah so crew asks and maybe we can get out on this Jason day or Sam Burns last man in I would go Burns there I’m really not a fan of Jason day at that price um but if you’re asking me for a third
Option fenale I’d play fenale over day and burns personally um and he’s a little cheaper as well uh love Jason day this week yeah we haven’t mentioned JT are you gonna play him I mean that is just bananas sub 10K JT kind of kind of whiffs of like we’re
Going to all feel really dumb right like I always am trying to think on Sunday I said this last week with Keegan I said Keegan Bradley we were arguing this guy’s one of the 10 best American golfers in the sport and he’s sub 10 8K and you nut jobs are playing these guys
9800 at 23% when you were telling me that Keegan should be representing our country in Rome what happened he’s 8K sub 10 right now there’s whiffs of JT about that this week where it’s like you wake up on Saturday morning and JT’s in the hunt and it’s like why did we all
Play JT Poston at 25% like I I I would say that I’m cons I’m monitoring yeah or even Tom Kim I’m yeah all JT has done in the last month is look at his silly goals list come to terms with the fact that he accomplished nothing that he wanted to
Last year and has been in the lab so you know JT 7% 98 monitoring monitoring I don’t I’m not gonna monitor I’m playing I’m playing Justin Thomas I’m not I’m fading Tom Kim that ownership uh Klay no sha shaay I will play sheffler no um yeah so this 7K range is like
That’s why I can I’m just not going to be able to AFF Eric kl’s not play Witham Clark say goodbye to Chris Kirk I might end up [ __ ] 25% JT posted I mean he’s been good Ox 82 no uh I think we have the build Wednesday we know more Wednesday
Wednesday will know more yeah hit me up uh if you ask yeah premium show Wednesday if you want to ask me anything I will be in the lab all afternoon so just hit me up in that what you wear in the lab what do you wear this oh you
Don’t wear you don’t wear safety goggles you can get some at Home Depot it’s down in aisle four right here prom code Andy 50% off at Home Depot you get you get safety goggles for the for the uh for the lab for and then climb the
Ladder so um so yeah hit me up in the Discord runers sports.com Andy PR Cod Andy to get that discount um and uh my mon my Wednesday morning article full detailed core 4 thoughts will be in there as well core 4 has been smashing to start the year
Every single one of my core four for the last two weeks um I think the worst finish I’ve gotten is whatever the hell Justin Rose finished last week everything else has been good um all right we’ll end on this winner you’re winner as of Tuesday
Afternoon oh M no doubt I mean I I don’t like his price in the betting markets but I hit it I smashed it um I think m is I think M’s trending to one of the best golfers on Earth and uh you know 20 to one listen 15 to one i’ be
Like had two in front of it I took it I love it m m could score out of his mind this week no win I’m looking on um I’m just gonna look at some sharp blind movement over um wendam Clark your winner this week at the American Express what’s the
Bet show back from last year we can add we could add something like that I mean yeah what I’m what I’ve bet so far in the Discord uh we’ll pin that in the Discord chat it’s been we had a lot of sweats last week we hit Kirk the first week and
I think be Benny yes I had Keegan I wrote up Keegan and a lot of guys had Benny on too so listen golf golf money and golf betting you know you can get a nice stable of golfers and return 10 to one and have a sweat Sunday abolutely
Massive numbers out there again because anyone on tour can do these things week to week you know so Benny hurt my soul yeah yeah I head see you we leaving you don’t want to hang out you don’t want to invite me to you don’t want to invite me to the lab you got
Somewhere to go the lab you golfing I never know with you I didn’t know if you were G to just like go on start going on this whole long tangent you never you never know I can talk here for three hours listen to this so so we have
Something building for the ma you’re going to the Masters though right I’m going to the Masters I’ll be on grounds credential at uh Tor too um I’m gonna try and hit one of those practice rounds as well so I’ll be at Tori and Riviera and the Masters and the Heritage and
Hopefully Valhalla too so well all right yeah now we can go all right later boys I was G do I was an awkward silence for like 30 seconds but Whatever
1 Comment
I had a terrible PGA DFS week. I had plenty 6/6 get through to the weekend. And most of my plays had a terrible weekend thereafter.