UFC 297 Predictions Strickland vs Du Plessis Full Card Betting Tips
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Most confident pick: Jasmine Jasudavicius
Play of the Week Serhiy Sidey
Yo what’s up guys we’re back for another week of breakdown and predictions this we got a big week we got a UFC pay-per-view UFC 297 Grudge Match going on in the main event with Shan Strickland and drus dup and I’m pretty confident about this card man I feel
Like I have a good read on several fights I’m feeling confident on the bets that I have already put on uh patreon that I bet already so feeling good this week feeling like we’re going to make some money we’re coming off a profitable week last week on the patreon where we
Did make a little bit over a unit profit and I’m going to be trying to do that every week man that’s my goal this year I want to win every week whether I’m not going to win every event but if I win every week betting wise then there’s no
Reason why I can’t win you know 100 200 units and have a fantastic year because I bet on a lot of different promotions outside the UFC and things like that so as long as I be as long as I’m positive I’m going to be happy about it
You know sometimes I feel like I kind of want to put more bets on to make more more money and at the end of the day you know slow and steady for me is what wins a race in my eyes so that’s what I’m going to keep doing and um anyone else
Wants to join over there patreon.com Guru go sign up doing a free trial through January and I think few people got confused because patreon did add this um new feature where a lot of people signed up for the um free um free patreon member they like they
Didn’t um sign up for a tier or a free trial so what I’m going to do is I’m just going to put all the content out to all members so people that have the free that sign up for the free um package you don’t have to change or
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And get that good content so you’re going to be able to get it for now um that way and you don’t really got to worry about it cuz I had a quite a few people hit me up they’re kind of conf confused about that so just going to do
It that way and um yeah man besides that hit the like button on this video I got you know one and a half th000 people watching every week pretty much and uh I don’t get I haven’t been getting a lot of likes man so everyone that’s watching
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Content like I did last week but let’s just get in this first fight of the night right here Malcolm Gordon taking on Jimmy flick and this is a close moneyline fight here where Malcolm Gordon is the slight favorite over over Jimmy flick in this fight and you look
At these guys they’re kind of glass cannons right like I think Jimmy Flick’s been finished six times Malcolm Gordon’s been finished seven times so they both been finished quite a few times and it seems like they either can get that win inside the distance or they get finished both
Of them are kind of like that it’s usually not like that for flyweight but these guys seem like killer be kill type of Fighters um and they got similar Styles in sense of that they’re both Grapplers I see people saying that Malcolm Gordon is going to go out there
And get the knockout on the feet or easily out strike Jimmy flick and I I just don’t see that I mean Malcolm Gordon is the much faster guy than more athletic guy and I would say he probably has the ability if he had the composure to stick
On the outside use leg kicks use the straight punches and maybe be effective but he’s so afraid of being hit and he just has such limited durability that he just bum rush his guys with the strikes to get into the clinch is super wild and I just feel
Like it’s going to turn into a grappling match because of that I mean Jimmy flick the guy doesn’t really throw many punches out there he kind of tries to just stay showed up defensively sound and he has some decent kicks um as weird as it sounds I mean he’s been knocked
Out six times uh Gordon’s been knocked out five but I still think flick is the more durable and tougher guy like Jimmy flick usually when he gets knocked out it’s because I think he kind of quits a little bit in the fight and you’ll pull guard after he can’t really get his
Grappling going and just kind of let guys pound him out it seems like he does that sometimes you’ll check out of the fight but for Malcolm Gordon he also has that quit in him but I feel like if you hit him clean he’ll get knocked out or he’ll get
Hurt a lot more easily than Jimmy flick was so honestly I think Jimmy flick is the more durable guy but with Jimmy flick I mean we got a guy that’s a pure Grappler he’s a grinder he’s someone that has kind of subpar wrestling but really really good top control he could
Um float from position to position really well he chained submissions together together and has exceptional grappling cardio and usually he’s really good at not losing position he’s not going to be silly and make mistakes and Malcolm Gordon he’s one of these guys where I think even if he gets on top of
Jimmy flick I don’t necessarily feel like he has the top game that gives Jimmy flick issues like I was saying just now you know the guys that have been able to Jimmy finish Jimmy flick they’ll posture up they throw heavy ground and pound and they can get him
Out of there that that way but Malcolm Gordon he doesn’t really like to posture and throw a lot of ground aound he likes to stay really heavy on top and use his top pressure his head pressures things like that to try to open up passing situations where he could take the back
And then he has fast back takes he has pretty good re niika chokes but I feel like Gordon can get backed up and taken down in this fight and I think that even if he gets on top he could potentially lose position or flick could create a scramble and then end up
Wrestling to the ground so I just have more faith in Jimmy flick keeping that position on top controlling and I think that he has the better cardio and just the more toughness overall so I feel like Jimmy flick is going to kind wear on Malcolm Gordon and then submit him I
Mean there’s a possibility that either of these guys could get hit once and knocked out I guess I think it’s much more likely that it would be Malcolm Gordon that gets knocked out off just like a fluke shot but Jimmy flick doesn’t have that power so I just don’t
See that happening I think it’s going to be a grappling match like I said and I feel like Jimmy Flick’s going to get the job done in this one so give me Jimmy Flick I’ll say he wins via third round submission and the second fight the night we got Priscilla zombie girl catua
Taking on Jasmine Juda vicius and don’t have a real technical breakdown for this one or anything but definitely leaning towards Jud vious she’s minus 400 so at that line I definitely wouldn’t say to go run to the betting window on her I think that that Line’s way too wide personally but I
Feel like she’s going to get the job done I mean you look at stylistically what type of Fighters have given Priscilla catua the most issues and it’s all been Grapplers that’s exactly what she’s getting zuda vicious you look at Priscilla’s last fight with Miranda Maverick she got submitted she
Got submitted by Jillian Robertson she got finished on the ground against Valentina so historically she’s really struggled with girls that can take her down that can get in dominant positions and she tends to give up the finishes um but with judicious we got a tall Grappler which I
Think that helps in this fight CU she’s going to be able to get a hold of Priscilla Catera potentially use her kicks back her up and then get her against a cage before she has to kind of engage in that pocket battle and um that’s where catua
Is really the most dangerous and really her only path to victory in most of these fights she has to get these girls to get in the pocket with her where she can Wing bombs and if you brawl with her she has crazy knockout power I mean ariani lipsky a girl that is doing
Really good right now learned that the hard way with Priscilla she went in there she brawled with her got clipped got put down got knocked out so that’s not what you want to do if you want to sit in there and go punch punch for punch with Catera she can eat all your
Shots and she probably will end up knocking you out but if you fight smart you use your distance control you take her down I don’t see how judicious loses this fight I think if she can implement the wrestling she’s going to have a huge Advantage when she gets on top she’s not
Going to give up position she should be able to get the takedowns pretty easily I’m not worried about Jud vicius being someone that gets tired and katar could take advantage of that which he’s done against certain opponents jish it’s usually has really good cardio and the only downfall judicious is she takes a
Lot of shots to come inside and she definitely is tenacious and tough but she relies on her chin and eventually that could be her downfall and she could get knocked out but I just feel like that’s not as likely as her going out here and dominating this fight on the
Ground so personally I feel like she’s going to be able to get in these do positions with their ground and pound and maybe a crucifix or something like that and end the fight in the second or third round I think she’ll wear on katera and then get her out of there on
The ground so give me Jasmine zud vicius to get the Finish inside the distance here in this next fight we got Sam Patterson taking on Johan lanes and this is going to be Sam Patterson’s second UFC fight first fight at 170 he’s going to be moving up his first fight in the
UFC was at 155 so I don’t know if he felt like he cut too much weight and that attributed to him get a knocked out but mov to 170 for this one where he still should be relatively uh decently sized for the weight class and he’s
Getting be taken on Johan Lanz who’s one and two so far in the UFC he was able to get in the UFC through the contener series The Big upset knockout over Justin burlinson but they given him some hard opponents I mean you look at the three guys that he’s fought Mike velot
Darion weeks Gabe green all three of those guys are pretty good so he’s been tested right off the bat I think that this fight he’s getting an easier opponent on paper so we’ll see if he can go out there and hand handle it well but
When you see how these guys match up I mean Sam Patterson he has okay kickboxing he has good length which helps him out and good speed so he pressures forward he likes to be in your face but kind of try to use that distance control and throw long
Punches he’ll mix in some kicks but I feel like he’s a better Grappler than he is a striker he has um pretty good submission game good front chokes the issue with that is he doesn’t really look to use his grappling offensively it’s all through defensive uh grappling
When opponent shoot it on him that he actually gets on top and he could show his transitions he could show his front chokes and things like that I don’t think he has the wrestling to really get it to the ground and he never really tries to and with Johan
Lanes we got a guy that’s not the greatest fighter in the world but he’s tall and linky in his own right I think he’s going to be a lot closer and hide and reach than most most opponents are in comparison to Sam Patterson when he usually fights them so ultimately I
Think that leness is going to have a good chance to land on the chin of Patterson I mean Patterson stands very upright he leaves a chin right in the air I don’t like his stance at all and I think he’s just very open to be hit Johan he throws these looping punches
That I think could be very effective in this fight and one thing we know about Johan Lanes is what he does now in technicality he brings in power he has crazy power one punch knockout power so if he can land clean on Patterson I think he’s going to put him to sleep
And I like that yoan’s at TriStar for this fight he had a full Camp there previously being kind of bouncing around gyms didn’t really find his spot now he’s at one of the best gyms in the world and I think that could pay dividends here I don’t see Sam Patterson
Taking him to the ground and Patterson does get on top of Johan then and Patterson has a good chance to win because we saw Yan get submitted quick against Mike mot seems like he’s not the greatest on the ground but I feel like ultimately Patterson kind of reminds me of a Weston
Wilson with that tall man defense and I think that moving up to 170 is not going to be the anecdote for him I don’t think that it was because of the weight cut that he was getting knocked out I think it’s cuz he was getting hit flush and
Moving up in weight facing bigger guys they hit harder I don’t think that’s going to help you and not getting knocked out so I’m going to go with leness I’m going to say he gets the First on KO here and this next fight we got a pretty self-explanatory fight to
Me with paulana and Jillian Robertson we got a fight between a finisher some girl in P I guess two finishers really but ponana all of her wins which is pretty crazy if you look at her career all 13 wins are first round finishes so she hasn’t been
Able to get you out of there in the first round I get you out of there quick she usually doesn’t get the win and you get tell why in her style I mean on the feet she’s probably the better Striker she’s definitely the faster more dangerous girl with you know better
Technique but just doesn’t really have a lot of Rhyme or Reason to her striking she doesn’t have good distance control it’s really just kind of wild and low volume when she gets taken down she accepts bottom position and she can hunt that armar and if she gets it then hey
She’s going to beat you probably in the first round but if you have good heavy top pressure you can kind of nullify the Y Bar you can hold her down and beat her and we saw in her last fight she even got submitted by uh yasi lucendo so she
Also can get submitted she got submitted by Veronica Meo as well and um with Jillian Robertson we got a girl that’s getting better on the feet but she’s going to be getting this fight to the ground I don’t think she’s going to have any difficulty in doing that I think
She’ll be able to hit the single hit the double hit a body lock um VI doesn’t really have great takedown defense nor does she really put up much resistance in defending the takedown so I think that Robertson is going to be able to get it to the ground and from there it’s
Just going to be a battle of if Robertson can use her top pressure to eventually open up the submission or win a decision or if she falls asleep and gets caught in another armar because if you look at her career she did get caught in an armar against Myra buenos
SOA she got caught in armbar earlier in her career before the UFC and as an amateur so she’s lost three times an armar so to me that’s a little bit of a red flag when you’re looking at her face napole on Viana who the majority of her
Wins are armar Victory so I feel like Jillian is definitely the rightful favorite I feel like she can pressure get the taked down with ease get on top and when you have that style against Jillian you know that she’s going to be able to get the takedown and be on top
It’s hard to not think she’s going to get the win and I do think ultimately she’s going to get the job done but just that one wrinkle is throwing me off a little bit because if paulana goes in there and catches the armar I wouldn’t be shocked so I’m going with Robertson
And um I think she could win by decision or submission uh don’t really got a solid read on that but I think she’s going to get the job done if Yanna wins it’s going to be a first round armar um but I’m going to go with Jillian
Robertson and in this next fight we got a rematch of two guys Siri cidi he’s taking on Ramon Tavarez we saw this fight in the contender series and in that fight cidi dropped tarez fight got called early so they decided to run it back here and in this one I’m going to
Go a CD here and the reasoning for this is because I went and the first time they actually fought I was leaning towards Taris and the wi he was a much bigger Underdog at that time on the contender series I believe but after watching their first fight you could see
That tarz was having success with this style you know moving around pot shotting and using his quickness in his boxing but see it seemed like once he felt the power from tarz he knew that he could eat it and he got a lot of confidence got on the inside was able to
Get his own boxing off and when he landed clean he ended up hurting Darez and I feel like C CD in general he is the bigger Longer guy and he also has the better weapons from the outside in terms of the kicks he could mix it up a
Little bit more tarz definitely has that speed advantage and he’s probably going to be throwing more volume but I think cidd as long as he doesn’t come in here too overconfident in this fight obviously got a knockout win the last time these guys matched up he’s going to
Be in Canada in front of his home crowd in this one UFC debut so he just needs to stay within himself and stay defensively sound and even though in the first fight seemed like he could eat the power of tarz he has to still respect it
And not run in anything be being stupid being silly and if he doesn’t do that I think eventually he’ll be the guy that can land first like he did in the first fight cleaner and I think he’s just going to be a little bit technically better in terms of just defensively
Sound throwing the more basic strikes that land a little bit more on the button and I think he’ll be able to get tarz out of there again so that’s what I’m leaning a little bit and at this point and I think that cidi is going to
Get the job done I think it’s pretty good circumstances for him here I mean the first time they fought on the contender series it was um you know probably a lot of pressure he was coming into the United States now he’s got his contract and still pressure but he’s
Going to get to fight in front of his home crowd and there’s a lot more things going for him than in the first fight toar is coming off that knockout win but I think this can be more of a standup fight and I think CD is going to do well
It’s boxer versus Boxer and I think cidd is going to prove to be just a little bit better like he did in the first fight so give me Siri CD I think he’ll win in this one once again and up next we got a fight between two fan favorites
Uh should be a fun striking fight here with Shawn Woodson and Charles Jordan both these guys recently they’ve been looking fairly good I mean Sean Woodson he just got the victory over um Dennis bazuka he got the easy decision in that one it really wasn’t too competitive of
A fight obviously it was him with all his UFC experience taking on UFC debutants this going to be a much tougher fight when he takes on Charles Jordan who’s coming off two wins in a row who’s coming off a big submission win over hicard hamos and when you look
At all these two guys match up stylistically I think it’s a very interesting fight because you got Sean Woodson who anytime you watch him fight in this division it’s going to be an interesting fight because the guy is extremely long lanky he has a crazy reach and height for the weight class so
He’s going to be bringing a different Dynamic that most guys don’t bring and he has good long range striking skills good boxing and um toughness too I mean we saw in that Sana fight he almost got knocked out cold came back and almost was able to get the victory high volume
And in this fight he’s going to have to keep the jab in jordane’s face try to be technical with combinations and throw a ton of volume and keep the pressure on because you’ve seen jordane he likes to kind of explode on guys and if you stay
In his face you keep a high volume game and you stay technical you can kind of land on him pretty frequently um but jordane is a guy that’s just a missile he’s someone that’s going to be coming in with uh powerful kicks with powerful hooks um with wild techniques jumping attacks
Spinning attacks so very dangerous Dynamic guy and then he’s also started to implement a good front choke game I mean he’s hit several of these Guillotines on guys recently so that’s another element that he’s been adding and usually jordane is a fighter that puts damage on guys as the fights go on
And gets better as the fight goes on kind of like a he’s not on that level but like a um Marlon chido Vera type of fighter he has quite a few third round finishes and I just when I’m looking at Jordan I think he could be losing the
Fight but I just think he’s going to wear on what I think he’s going to be able to land leg kicks for one and I think if he lands a clean Big Shot we’ve seen Woods can get hurt um so if Jordan can close that Gap and Lan a power hook
Or a power punch I think he could Rock Woodson and he’s not going to let Woodson off the hook like Salon he will finish him and I also think that jordane if it does become more of a grapping match he could get the submission too so
I just think Jordan has more passed to Victory I think he’s fought a higher level of competition in the UFC and is probably the more durable guy so I’m going to predict him to get get the job done here in this fight and closing out the prelims man we got an awesome fight
We got Garrett arfield taking on Brad Katona cool matchup in terms of just stylistically I think they match up great against each other and Garett armfield’s a guy that he’s a bit of an enigma right now because I think he’s impressed quite a few people in his last
Performance in the UFC and even in his performance of David onama and performances prior to being in the Octagon but he hasn’t beaten anyone really at a high level and he hasn’t fought too many higher level bandam weights whereas Brad Katona he is a super veteran at this point he was in
The UFC previously had some big wins um even won The Ultimate Fighter the first time he beat Kyler Phillips he beat Bryce Mitchell went to brav CF he became the champion over there came back won the ultimate fighter again and then beat Cody Gibson in his last fight to
Claim that Ultimate Fighter Crown so one thing you can say about Brad Katona is the guy’s extremely mentally tough to be cut after winning The Ultimate Fighter come back have to go through the ultimate fighter and Win It Again to get back into the UFC and especially beating
The guys that he beat beating Cody Gibson beating a guy like um Tor valev on the show so got to definitely tip your hat to Brad Katon is the guy just get back in the UFC that was a pretty awesome accomplishment but this is a great fight
Right here cuz the way they match up I mean you look at Garett Armfield in the standup he should give Katona a lot of issues especially early on I mean he’s going to have a big reach advantage and one thing about Garett Armfield is a guy can box he has really good straight
Punches I would say he is a lot faster and sharper than Brad Katona and he’s has some power and he keeps it really clean technical he’s accurate he throws high volume his last fight he really just blew uh tashima Kazama off the map he will RI the body and he’s a pretty
Technically sound Striker you know with Katona you watch his fight with Cody Gibson he was getting lit up a lot and he does struggle a little bit with those shots straight up the middle but Katona to me he is extremely durable and tenacious his cardio is never ending you
Know he is an insane gas tank so he could take damage and when he starts to connect with his big Hooks and his big counters he has some power and I feel like he could hurt Armfield I don’t think Armfield is as durable as Katona is and then one thing about Armfield it
Seems like he gets tired and then you could start to Grapple him and Katona I expect him to be on Armfield like a wet blanket in this fight I think he’s going to try to close a distance smash him against the cage hold him against the
Fence get him tired take him down and Garrett Armfield maybe will be able to use his athleticism and his decent wrestling defense early on to thwart a little bit of that but unless he can just catch Kona and knock him out which I don’t think is extremely likely I
Think that he’s going to get tired Kon is going to eventually get on top of him and either be able to get to finish with the submission because we’ve seen Garett Armfield give up submissions to multiple opponents or I think Kona just win another decision which is usually katona’s Mo he’s not
Really a big time finisher and most his fights so I’m going to pick Kona I think this fight’s close though because I do feel like Armfield could be something special it’s just I think you got to give the respect to Katona at this point with the prediction because he’s fought the much higher
Level of competition and I think that’s going to pay dividends here and I think we’re going to see Armfield probably get beat in the grappling realm again like we’ve seen him happened to him in the past and I just need to see Armfield Step Up get a significant win like a win
Over Brad Kona before I just come straight out picking him here against a guy like that I respect and is a grizzled veteran even though I think Armfield could potentially be a very good Prospect so give me Katona in this one and I’ll predict him to win via
Decision and this next fight we got two top 10 guys at 145 in a clash of style Striker vers Grappler matchup Arnold Allen he’s coming off that loss but no shame in that one really close fight with Max Holloway where he he showed a really good account of himself in that
One and before that he was on a super long winning streak so he kind of needs to win this fight to stay in that title mix Stay in you know the top of the division talks and maor evev is one of these guys that has been undefeated his
Whole career the guyy 17 and0 but he’s had some key fights kind of slip away where he got match up with elot Toria at one point fight got cancelled I think he had another big name matchup that didn’t go through and he’s beaten some gu decent guys like obviously you see there
He beat Dan eay he has a win over uh Dau Nick Lance Diego Lopez is on a roll right now but no crazy big wins where he beat like a name guy that’s going to get him into that title mix so this is the fight for msar to get into that title
Picture and it’s a it’s a good matchup on paper I mean you look at Arnold Allen anytime he’s fought someone that has good wrestling prowess I guess you could say outside of uh super Washed Up Older Gilbert Melendez he’s had some issues I mean even in that Nick lent fight he
Didn’t get taken down in that fight but lent was able to hold him against a cage take his back from standing um and kind of have some moments in that fight it was a very competitive fight and you know funnily enough his fight with msar was also very
Competitive but it’s just if you look at Arnold Allen you know he fought mads brell he got taken down a lot in that fight he got taken down a lot in his fight with mackan he got uh I think he took a loss early in his UFC career where he was taken down
And um lost that way so he’s just had some issues with wrestlers and most of his wins when you look at his winning streak outside of older guys they’ve all been striking base Fighters so msar the game plan’s going to be easy for him he’s going to be shooting all day and
He’s going to be trying to get the takedown control the position and kind to hang out on top I don’t see him trying to be crazy submission guy I don’t see him trying to go for a big uh ground pound he’s going to want to control Allen and keep him on the ground
Because on the feed I think mofar can land I think that Allen doesn’t necessarily have the best defense but Allen’s super slick super dangerous with his counters and we’ve seen msar get tired in the past too so if Allan can show some resistance in the grappling
That we haven’t seen him really do in the past he could potentially have success on the feed and he could maybe get off S tired and then get him out of there later in the fight it seems like Allen is good at that too he’s good at
Growing into the fight getting better as it goes on he has great cardio and but I just feel like msar has more ways to win I think that he can use his wrestling to open up the Striking and land on Allen who’s a little bit hitable
I think he could take him down to will could control him on the ground I don’t see a finish as a likely outcome for msar evev but I think he’s going to go out there and get the decision Victory I just can’t trust Arnold Allen against a wrestler with good submission defense
Because I just I don’t think that Allen’s going to be able to stop the takedown his fights against Grapplers has kind of not proven to me that he can do that so I feel like evlo if he’s ever having some issues on the feed I think
He can just hit the takedown get him against the cage control him and I don’t think Allan’s going to have an answer for that ultimately so going to go with evu via decision and up next we got a fight that I’m looking forward to a fight that should be a banger here with
Mark Andre baralt taking on Chris Curtis two guys that like to get inside get in the pocket and throw down so should be a war and it should be a really fun fight so man I mean when you look at Mark Andre barot he’s been looking pretty
Good recently I mean his fight with Julian Marquez was back and forth but dominated Eric Anders pretty easily dropped him early and kind of just took over the fight from there and he’s been on a decent run he had that one loss to Anthony Hernandez but besides that he’s
Been winning most of his fights lately Chris Curtis he had that great start to his UTC career then has been kind of up and down since then he recently hasn’t gotten a win in a while he hasn’t won since 2022 because had a loss to Kelvin
And then had a fight with nstr mava where he wasn’t looking the best in that fight he was getting helded Against the Cage he was getting out kind of out hustled in that one and then a headbutt led to that fight becoming a no contest and that was unfortunate because you
Watched the fight previous with Kelvin as well a headbutt could you could argue potentially led to him losing the fight on the on the scorecards so this had been has been having issues with that recently so hopefully this is a clean fight no foul and go out there can get a
Definitive winner but Chris Curtis he’s getting up there he’s 36 years old so this fight is going to be a pro it fight to me here if he goes out there he looks like [ __ ] in this fight I think you could safely say that he’s going to be a
Fade for the rest of his career because he has to perform here man I mean I thought his f with the mob off he didn’t look the greatest and this fight is is a much better matchup with Mark Andre Barry OD he’s getting a guy guy that
Wants to get in the pocket um baral is not the best defensively you know he kind of just shells and absorbs shots and then tries to clinch you he tries to land that counter uh left hook he will mix in some kicks but not really I mean both these guys really are predominantly
Hands and um I think baral’s best path to victory in this fight is to try to push Chris Curtis against a cage dirty box kind of maul on him and use it size uses cardio and for Chris Curtis if these guys are just boxing I think he’s going to have a pretty significant
Advantage I feel like Curtis has good defense good offense and he can go to the body he can open up some power shots on barott and I feel like barott could potentially get knocked out in this fight if he can’t get his grappling going and I don’t think barott has the
Wrestling to take down Curtis who has good takedown defense to me Curtis should win this fight but it just going to come down to where is he at physically is he the same physically as he was when he was on that more of a winning streak in the UFC and
Mentally is he going to be able to bounce back so I’m going with Curtis but this is a ped fight I think it’s a make or break fight for his career here also say he goes out there and actually gets The Knockout and this next fight this is
A tricky fight for me I mean I don’t have a great read on this one you guys need to help me out with this fight in the comments put down below who are you leaning towards confidently like do you really feel like Mala should be a minus
300 favorite against Neo Magny or do you think that that Line’s kind of out of order because man I’m not trying to run to the betting window with Neil Magny especially with how he looks against Ian Gary and just how he looked even in his couple fights previous to that
But I feel like he has to be the value side here against Mike Mala right I mean Mike mot he went to the second round in his last fight I guess but mostly been a first round Fighter um and someone that I feel like has a a lot of question marks like he
Has good counter striking um distance control he tries to land the pool twos and uh he throw leg kicks obviously I think he’s going to be looking to land leg kicks all day in this fight but how good is the Striking defense really how good is he if someone
Can keep walking him down absorb damage keep backing him up is he going to be able to to keep the same prettiness with the Striking or is he going to get muddied up and end up being in that clinch battle with neom Magny and I
Think if he can get on top of Magny especially in the first round he has a good chance to submit him his submission game looks pretty tight and Magny is not the greatest with the submission defense especially recently but if he can’t get Magny out of there
Early and they start clinching and it becomes a battle of attrition I could definitely see no mag mag start to make it a Neo Magny type of fight and start to take over the the matchup I mean I think that Magny has a decent chance here ultimately I mean
I’ve been picking against Mike mot in a lot of his fights I just haven’t been a Believer and I’ve been wrong a lot but um so I’m going to pick him in this one but I don’t feel good about it man I really don’t I feel like NE magne is a
Live Underdog in the spot but I’m going to kind of begrudgingly go with Mike Mala I’ll say he wins via submission and in the com main event we got the vacant bantamweight title on the line we’re going to see who’s the successor of Amanda Nunes in this division we got
Rocky Raquel Pennington taking on Myro Bueno Silva and Rocky Pennington she’s already had one title shot before against Manda Nunes had to really battle her way back to this title shot it’s been quite a few years since then she’s racked up a I think a 65 winning streak
At this point so she’s been killing it she’s been doing really good 35 years old though this is really going to be her final opportunity to get this belt strapped around her waist and she has a tough opponent across from her in Myro Buena Silva who’s streaking right now who’s moved up
To 135 and looked really good she’s finished all the opponents that she’s fought since coming up to 135 at 125 she really didn’t perform the greatest I mean she was kind of up and down she had some kind of CR fights where she lost to Marina marose
She had a decision uh draw with Montana dear Roa so moving up to 135 seemed like it it’s definitely been the proper decision and she’s looked a lot better even in her last fights at 125 I feel like she looked better like when she F mon onfo even though that fight she kind
Of annoyed me with her game plan in certain aspects I think she’s still look good but getting back to this fight this matchup um yeah it’s GNA be interesting I mean both these girls have passed a victory if you ask me you look at Rocky Pennington’s path the victory she since
Her first title fight I think she’s gotten a lot more athletic she’s gotten faster more mobile and she still gets backed up a lot way too easy for my liking like she’ll put herself up against the cage but she has a really nice jab she has one of the best Jabs in
The division I feel like and then she also has a really nice straight right hand so she likes to move around try to counter punch you and then she’ll close the distance with these switch stance kind of odd angle um combinations and she can land on you I
Mean it’s kind of awkward but she can get it done she’s also starting to mix in a little bit more kicks leg kicks body kicks which she used to never throw kicks in the past so that shows some good evolution in her striking game and and her uh boxing defense is good she
Has good boxing for the division for sure and she also likes to obviously press you against the fence hold you there that’s been kind of some things that people don’t like about her she can make fights boring in that way I don’t think she really is the best wrestling I
Mean some people are assuming that she’s going to try to use a wrestling game plan to win this fight and I don’t see that happening necessarily I mean maybe she’ll try to mix in some clinch control time like I was just talking about but she hasn’t gotten more than one takedown
In a fight in UFC in a long time and I think she’s only done it once and she just doesn’t really have the best technique on her wrestling I think Myra Bueno Silva has also gotten a lot better with her defensive wrestling but for Rocky to win this fight I think she just
Needs to be on her movement game she can’t get backed up she can’t let uh Silva kick her and not return with anything and just be kind of a stationary Target and she has to be sharp with her jab and sharp with her um counter right hand and when she gets
Backed up she needs to throw combinations to get off the cage or Circle off really quickly to not be kind of in that danger zone and for Maro buenos Sila she’s one of the most dangerous fighters in these female weight classes because she can get it
Done on the ground on top off of her back she can get it done with knockouts on the feet she can get it done with standing submissions so she’s live to finish you everywhere in the clinch on the ground at that distance um she’s she’s just very
Dangerous fighter and she on the feet in this fight needs to be more active I mean the one gripe about Myra buenos SOA that I would say that really is annoying sometimes is she’ll just walk girls down and not do anything she’s not throwing any punches she’s coming forward with
Nothing so Fighters can just land on her stick and move and she’s just kind of like a walking uh Target dummy and it’s like you got to throw throw punches you got to come in with strikes but recently and what I think she needs to do in this
Fight is throw kicks man those kicks are going to be the Difference Maker in the fight I think she could really have a lot of success with that the front kicks to the body the leg kicks if she’s active with their kicks controls the distance well and doesn’t just close
That Gap with nothing there where Rocky can lend the counter punch and get out of the way she should be able to really tear apart Rocky with the kicks and then when Myra gets into the fight gets aggressive and starts letting her hands go she has some real power so I think
She could herur Rocky and kind of make Rocky a little bit less willing to sit down and really land those counter strikes and if she starts to land leg kicks then I think it could take away a lot of the movement from Rocky as well and one area where I think that Myra
Bueno Silva is going to be able to kind of take away from Rocky Pennington that other Fighters haven’t been able to and I don’t think Rocky’s going to want to go to this at all it’s really a lot of cleans clinching because I think my bu
Sila is nasty in the clinch with her knees with her elbows she stays active and I think she’ll tear tear Rocky apart in the clinch I think she’s going to be able to have a lot of success in that area if they’re clinched up I feel like
Myra’s going to do more of the damage elbows are also going to be there and I don’t think that Rocky is going to be able to hit the takedowns if she does Silva could get tired or Silva could get the submission it’s kind of a 50-50 proposition that would be taking a risk
With Rocky where hey I could go this route I could get a taked down or two and win the fight by breaking my bonova gas her outout or I could get caught in a front choke I could get caught in an arm bar and I just don’t think that
Rocky has the wrestling to want to go that route and be confident in it so I think it’s going to be more of a stand up fight and I think that Meer is a dog I feel like she could really dig down deep and uh make it a war and we saw
Already in Rocky first fight for the title that she has a little bit of quit in her and I feel like in this one because of that she’s going to be really tough and want to stick in there and go the full distance so I think she’s going
To be hard to finish but I just feel like if this becomes a dog fight that Myra’s going to dig down a little deeper and I also kind of feel like Rocky Penington she’s been a little bit of a ball dropper in the big moments like when she’s
Fought uh UFC Champions I think she’s lost all those fights and this obvious obiously isn’t a UFC champion across frommer in Myer bu Silva yet but it’s a UFC title fight it’s a huge um matchup in terms of just uh where they are in the card and what it’s going to be for
The future of their careers so I could see you know um Jess gondra kind of dropping the ball a little bit I mean you look at her career she has she did I guess she did beat Jessica Andra once but she also lost Andra she lost to Holly Holm twice she lost to
Amanda Nunes she lost to uh Janda randomy so it seems like when she gets in these big spots she sometimes doesn’t perform so I’m going to go with Myra Bueno Silva and I’m going to go with her to win this one via decision I feel like
She’s going to be maybe in a tough fight early where Rocky could win uh maybe around maybe two of the first three rounds but I think ultimately Mya is going to do the damage with the kicks and I think at the end of the fight when
They’re both tired and they got to dig down deep and someone has to really come away and show the judges something to give them to win the fight I think it’ll be Silva so give me my Robo Sila here to win in a good fight competitive fight via decision then
Finally we got the main event we got Shan Strickland defending his title for the first time against drus dupy and this fight’s kind of gotten added up a notch I mean I actually didn’t really think drias had that inim talk [ __ ] like that before for that press conference
But he really got under Sean Sean skin so it’s made the bit up for this fight that much more fun and it’s made uh the anticipation for this fight that much higher so hopefully no one gets stabbed hopefully we get to the fight but man I
Mean this is an amazing Clash styles to me I mean Sean Strickland we already know his resume he came in short notice took out Izzy dominated him has really looked awesome since he’s came back from that motorcycle accident only had the loss to Pereira and the controversial
Loss to caner and just phenomenal boxing really good defense and then drri is the guy has been undefeated since coming in the UFC he’ just beat Robert Whitaker which if you’re not isra out ofia no one’s really been able to do in recent years and it automatically gets you a title
Shot pretty much and even though it initially he didn’t get the title shot he’s getting his rightful title shot now so matchup wise I mean drus athletic explosive Beast with power he has kind of some tricky attacks you look at dupy to me has a weird style overall he looks
Awkward he looks a little clunky but he makes it work for him I mean he’s consistently switching stances he explodes in with big wild hooks he seems like he really overextends but he likes to throw switch dance Blitz attacks they can be kind of awkward and
Difficult to see coming so they can land and in terms of his hands in this fight I think the left hook is going to be the strike he’s going to be looking to land I think it’s going to be the strike he should finish his uh hand combinations
With and could be effective and I think he’s going to be more effective Landing kicks than punches in this fight though I think he’s going to land uh leg kicks potentially but Strickland really showed superb leg kick defense in his last fight so I think that could be hard but
I think plus his body kicks could be open versus Shawn sha can eat body kicks and drus D pluses body kicks are super hard so spaming the body kick could be something dupi tries to do in this fight defensively drias really relies heavily on his chin his ability
To absorb damage he will also shell up use a high guard to kind of take shots come back with counter Hooks and he’s in his physical prime right now so he can you use that style until his chin starts to WAN on him and in this fight he’s not
Facing a big puncher so it’s probably not going to be a worry for him to try to do that and dupi should definitely look to get this fight to the ground to me he kind of has questionable resling ability because he could struggle to close that Gap and shoot on guys he’s a
Little bit clunky but he’s very physical so he could hit takedowns when he could time him well and on top he’s a beast he has super heavy top pressure hard grounding pound he has a good submission game good front chokes take down defense hasn’t been great in the UFC he only has
A 40% taked down defense rate but hard to hold down especially against the fence and it’s doubtful that he’s even going to have to worry about that against Shawn cardio wise drus does push a pace but he’s gotten tired in multiple fights in the UFC and that’s going to be
Something to monitor in this fight because it’s five rounds and Strickland is a very good cardio fighter so if drus gets tired that could pay uh be a difference in the fight but Sean stri he’s primarily a boxer he will throw some leg kicks head kicks in there but
It’s mostly all hands and he likes to pressure stay in your face he has one of the best Jabs onews in the UFC he incredibly difficult to hit too I mean he just walks guys down uses the jab onew uh slips pares rolls with shots he’s always checking in Parry in the
Kicks and he can completely nullify Fighters get them tired and just beat them up and he should look to take advantage of Dr is defensive Tendencies I mean drias likes to use a high shell guard and if he can kind of fake up top and rip the body that should be
Effective I think he could land some body shots and if he can land a lot of body shots early that could get drus a little bit tired get him to drop his hands so then Sean could s tea off on him to the head but right now drus is a
Juggernaut I mean so he almost lets guys um hit him he leaves his chin out so Fighters will engage and then tries to knock him out with the counter so Sean just has to be smart he has to not be emotional fight defensively sound like he usually always does and he just has
To be perfect almost in this fight he can’t let drus hit him clean drus hits too hard to be kind of playing that game and we’ve seen multiple fights where drias is losing but only needed one punch to change the direction of the fight and end up winning via knockout
And Strickland is the better Striker to me though overall I mean he’s more fluid he’s way better defensively his punching technique is better um you know just a little bit less clunky and just the better striker in my opinion and he’s a highly regarded Grappler Sean
Strickland but we really see it in his fights when you hear fighters who train with Sean talk about his resling and grappling they say it’s great you know I’ve heard he wrestle M and KV and for this Camp he has Johnny eblin and Elite wrestler training with him which should
Help a lot but we don’t really see um his wrestling or his getups and fights too much so it’s hard to be that confident in Strickland if he does get put on his back just because we haven’t seen it in a long time but I think dukas’s best pass to Victory is to
Try to get it to the ground use his top pressure strength Advantage so Shan has to be aware that wrestling is likely going to be a big part of daus’s game plan and Sean St cardio has a weapon so if he can extend this fight to the later
Round he should be the fresher fighter way more five round fights for Shawn than drus has had and ultimately I’m going to go with Shan Strickland as my prediction here I think he’s going to be able to win a decision or win in the later rounds via TKO I just believe that drias
He if he doesn’t get The Knockout or the Finish if he can’t get the takedown which I I think it’s going to be more of a standup fight honestly then I think shots going a wied having to rely on a knockout and a high level fight against someone that’s extremely difficult to
Hit in that scenario I kind of have to lean towards Shan Strickland so Shan Strickland is going to be the prediction for me and I’m going to predict him to win this fight via decision so thanks for watching this video guys like I said at the beginning of the video hit the
Like button man let’s try to get as many likes as possible 500 likes 1,000 likes I mean as many people that are watching this video they can hit the like button it’s free it’s easy really helps out the channel and uh put comment down below Let’s uh get some engagement in this
Video tell me what you think of my predictions do you agree do you disagree and besides that for my most confident pick on this card um that one’s kind of a difficult one I don’t think there’s a lot of like super easy um fights on this card I think there’s a
Lot of close matchups so ultimately um for my most confident pick I’m trying to think right now what I would say um it’s hard I guess I would go with um jzu vicius but I just don’t have a lot of confidence on her at that price tag but
For the play of the week I would go with sir CD minus 175 I think that he should be able to go out go out there and get the job done again so moneyline value wise I feel like he is getting me my play of the week this week not going to
Do a parlay of the week so thanks for watching guys guys hopefully you enjoyed this video hit that like button go to patreon sign up um get some free picks for this month a lot of fight cards going down this week there’s like five or six different fight cards already I
Already got a bet for KW so I’ll talk to you guys later and thanks for watching this video
7 Comments
Hey bro. Listening now, u just got through Jasmine’s fight. How do you explain how Reed escaped the bottom so many times? I get she beat Miranda but the price to be paid on the feet is different here. She can be lured into striking a tad. Don’t know you feel safe with Jasmine TBH.
Appreciate your break downs each week bro. Sorry the engagement doesn't reflect the viewership. Punters are dicks
To answer your question I feel much the same, I have Mike to finish but I don’t get there…..
Gillian was only 22 at the time she got subbed by Mayra Bueno Silva
Malcom Gordon is not the slight favorite…. he's -200! Flick is around +170.
You went to a cathedral mid pod?
Time stamps would be helpful mate