PRIZEPICKS + Underdog Player Prop Picks / Bets for Sunday, January 14th, 2024

Eric Polzin breaks down this PRIZEPICKS + Underdog Player Prop Picks / Bets for Sunday, January 14th, 2024

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*PROPS PROCESS*
My process with NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB PrizePicks and Underdog videos is to show you which lines have the best value behind them. Show you why or why not they will be a good bet. The goal is to give you the viewer enough information to make an educated decision on how to attack the favorable lines that we get.

I will also show which prop numbers we are getting that do not align with the NBA Injury News that we have received thus that day.

If you do not agree with one of the bets do not make them. Know that this is gambling. If a line changes (not in favor of the bet) that means the bet is no longer as good of a bet, and thus probably should chase the bet.

The idea is by attacking the best numbers that we get we can profit in the long term as we attack the best bets with the best EV

“Today’s Bets” Record Since 1/28/2023:
Units Profited = 461
Win % = 60% (968/1586) *13 ties.
(This is a measure of the bets I highlight at the end of the video. This includes all sports. This also includes the Taco Tuesday bets where I tell people to bet 5 individual bets)
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All right everyone welcome back into another props video going to be touching on the top prop bets that we have today on Sunday honestly guys the board is pretty limited as I’m recording this video so probably be a quick video and so yes just looking at the board right

Now we are getting some kind of interesting PGA props uh I don’t feel the need to go out of my way to place any prop at PGA wise right now in which the data on priz and Underdog or or the lines are the same so for instance I

Think this could be worthwhile to bet the over bird are better on Underdog where Underdog is valuing the bird or better line at 5 instead of 5 and a half and that’s the lines are higher today than they were in the previous days simply because there is no wind so it

Should be very easy for these golfers to score on this course today it’s a shorter course and with that they should be able to make a little bit more birdies um and then looking at the next best prop that we have is going to be

The shots on goal here for John well we can see the projection data like to get 3.9 so all in all that’s not one that I particularly want to be uh targeting as well and so we continue on we are getting a couple of Eevee bets NHL wise

Like Alex here we can see over 2.5 shots on goal about a 54% chance to hit for Dra to get 2.8 I’m okay with that one I think that’s fine Josh Reynolds under 2.5 receptions I’m a little bit worried about that just with uh khif Raymond being out uh Josh Reynolds should be

Playing a lot more today still I I guess and obviously with leor being out as well most likely we’ll see he could play uh but that would just that to me doesn’t really make sense uh I don’t know I would I would have argued the

Over was the better bet there but all in all that’s a good e bet we got Quay Walker for under 7.5 tackles and assists that’s a lot of tackles and the biggest question I have here is how many times will the Dallas Cowboys Rush the football to me I see the Cowboys rushing

The football a lot today and so that should lead to a lot more Quay Walker tackles and assists another NHL bet that’s not exactly matching up with the data uh Ashton Matthews under 4.5 shots and goal projected to 5.2 so another one that I don’t particularly love and

That’s kind of the board that we have today on Underdog that’s kind of my issue with the board today it’s that or on priz pick we don’t exactly have that many great bets and then we go to Eevee only as well I’ll show you guys this as

Well not as good either like we have one current standout bet that’s going to be Jared G for over 34.5 pass attempts but that one will probably get bumped once they realize that price piix has the line side 35.5 and and the reason why prize picks is at that high is because

The average Sportsbook line is favoring the over 34.5 pass itms at about a 55% so that will get bumped on Underdog so with that let’s just go ahead and get into the NFL props that we are getting fantasy score-wise we are getting some slight edges there and so I did a deep

Dive video already for the games that are on today in the NFL so make sure to go Ahad and check that out uh but right now my favorite Propet is going to be Jordan love for over fantasy score and that’s part of the reason it’s because

It’s a low line he’s been able to crush this number consistently thus far this season you know he’s only let us down once but also it’s going to be the fact that Underdog has a set at 18 to me that’s that’s a big enough discrepancy where I feel pretty good about it and

Then this one does make sense like if Vegas is expecting Josh reyolds not to get 2.5 receptions then it also makes sense for him not to get over 6.5 for a fantasy score so that at least does make sense so if you are someone that just always trusts Vegas you know taking the

EV strategy and just always does that I’m one that’s correct but uh you’d want to bet this one as well and then these other ones like Pickins over fantasy score you can definitely roll with if you want to weather’s going to be a little bit better there uh Jaden Reed

Over 12.5 for a fantasy score again uh I don’t know if I exactly like that one of my favorite bets was actually uh Wick for over 2.5 receptions that was at about a 52% likelihood or so yesterday it bumped all the way up to 55% to the

Point where prize picks took it off the board because it got was too good of a bet so hopefully you guys were able to take advantage of that but we are getting a lot of seemingly decent edges fantasy score-wise Dalton King Cade obviously these are tomorrow’s games

Some of them but you know we have some decent edges here and there all in all though they’re a little bit too tight for my likely um for me to like them that much sayp at basketball real quick NBA wise again very limited board guys miles turn over 6.5 rebounds we can see

Underdog is already bumped that up to seven could be something there you know we take a peek at the injury report that’s part of the issue as well not too many big injuries uh to the point where we could potentially be gaining an edge on priz pixer Underdog Lamela balls back

For Charlotte which to me just makes that situation more cloudy for everyone uh looking at Miami they’re going to be more healthy in this game Ant-Man sitting would be pretty big for Minnesota because then Talons would get a huge bump as well as Rudy goar slightly so you know something to

Monitor and then Portland as well sharp being out I mean that is a lot of minutes but we haven’t seen that really mean that anyone’s dominating too much scoot Anderson does get a bump in usage but all in all the lines that I’m seeing that we are currently getting doesn’t

Promote an edge really at all so that that’s kind of the issue with NBA right now and you guys can see it reflected in the board that we are getting I’ll show you guys Underdog as well so Underdog I had a scroll down a little bit because these turnovers they’re all being

Favored as pushes I I typically don’t like to recommend those to you guys but you guys will see again very limited board on Underdog we’ll do two more steps here we’re going to show you guys the college basketball slate not as big of projected edges today as we had

Yesterday and then I’ll show you guys the discrepancies so college basketball is a much more limited board today uh not as many games okay college basketball Saturday I think that’s a thing we’re going to be targeting going forward right now though you guys can see very very limited board on both

Sites no big edges there so a peek at Underdog as well again no big edges maybe assist here but again that’s being favored as a push uh we can see under here for Styles under 10.5 points light edge there but not not big enough to really uh make that noteworthy so let’s

Go Ahad and jump into the discrepancies and we are actually getting a decent amount of discrepancies uh specifically tennis Aces like I I typically like these ones like Ben Shelton 21.5 Aces on prize picks where an underdog it’s 19.5 that is a decent Edge I don’t mind that

And then we got another one here as well I have no idea how to say that name not going to try eight uh Aces on prize picks nine on Underdog to me that’s where we’re getting the edges but do want to call it we are getting some

Decent prop line differences as well for Cod today and so that is a decent Advantage for you guys as well to be able to Target those as well so uh something to monitor you know if you like any of those by all means go for it I’m probably going to be running out

Those Aces props differences on both sites hoping for middling there which worked out kind of yesterday uh JT post and then you got Babcock for college basketball very nice that the middling opportunities worked yesterday I do want to call one prop on Underdog that to me doesn’t make sense Harris English at 4.5

Birdies or better where the rest of the field is at five like there there really isn’t a reason why Harris English should have a lower birdie or better than Hideki right now than Denny McCarthy really than Keegan as well even Cameron Davis there are slight edges there as

Well um it it’s just they’re definitely it’s it’s strange that we were getting those lines like English is a very solid golfer to me that’s weird like the if the course is going to play that easy like Cameron Davis you can bet lower Strokes for instance and then maybe go

Harris English for higher birdie or better again this is just kind of betting on the course playing easy today which is what the data is telling us so for this Cameron Davis would have to shoot two under or three under par to hit that now Harris englishes need needs

To get five birdies there’s basically four holes out there that all the golfers should be able to birdie today and then you just need to add in another birdie elsewhere so getting into by the day today for Underdog I will be taking advantage of the middling opportunities

For the two tennis players I think there’s a good opportunity there uh Harris English over 4.5 birdies again that’s just more bet on the course playing easier he is a player that if you look at some of the other birdi or better lines that are out there um he

Should also be at five it’s a very minimal Edge but that’s more betting on the course and that’s why you’d also run out Cameron Davis like it’s betting on the course playing easy today and so that’s really the bet there those to me were the two outliers if you were

Choosing to do that and then jar go this is the best bet that we are currently getting right now I do expect that to be bumped 235 which is going to be unfortunate before we get into the prize picks betslip just want to remind you

Guys if you do want to use any of those Underdog bets and you haven’t signed up before just use the promo code 9 to5 the letter spelt out that’s just the nice way to help out the channel they give you 100% match on deposit up to $100 and

Then getting into NFL and also middling so again doing the middling with those two really just hoping for a push on on this one and then Hing for 20 Aces for this one that’s that’s really the goal there uh Josh Reynolds I don’t love it but that’s what the data is telling us

Again the average ports CL is heavily favoring the under 2.5 receptions so it also makes sense why they’d be favoring the under 4 6.5 for a fantasy score and then Jordan love fans to score you know you guys could bet the under on Underdog

As well if you guys wanted to do that if you guys don’t think Jordan love is going to have a good game that’s going to be all for today’s video make sure to give a like And subscribe hit that notification Bell as well if you guys

Want access to any of the 95 Sports tools they are available for for just $10 a month thank you guys for watching have a good slate today and as always let’s keep cashing