Steve Bamford @Bamfordgolf on X – from Golf Betting System previews the 2024 Sony Open in Hawaii from Honolulu, Hawaii. He details the host Par 70 Waialae Country Club Course, key skills required to win around this coastal assignment; gives historical winner data, plus gives his 6 player selections. Please like and subscribe + share.
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Sony Open in Hawaii 2024 – PGA Tour – Golf Betting Tips
By Steve Bamford
SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
00:33 Like, Share, Subscribe + Comment
01:29 2024 Majors Competition sponsored by bet365
02:16 Course, Agronomy and Weather
07:19 Key Player Skills Required
10:07 Predictor Model Top 10
12:52 Rolling 8 Week Strokes Gained Stats
17:27 Historic Odds of Winners
18:14 Official World Golf Ranking of Winners
19:15 Player Selections
Golf Betting System Website: https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/
Steve’s Sony Open Betting Preview: https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/pga-tour-tips/sony-open-tips-2024/
Sony Open Strokes Gained Rankings:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/sony-sg-analysis-2024/
Sony Open Form Stats
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/sony-combi-stats-2024/
2024 Sony Open Predictor Model / Optimizer:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.com/tournament/sony-open-2024
2024 Golf Betting System Majors Competition Sponsored by bet365:
https://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/golf-majors-competition-2024-rules/
Steve Bamford X: @Bamfordgolf
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Greetings I’m Steve banford and welcome to the Steve banford golf YouTube channel the home of the golf betting show and the golf betting system podcast we are back with the 2024 Sony Open in Hawaii the golf betting show is for viewers of 18 and above please be gambleaware you can visit
Begambleaware.org for more information and of course please bet responsibly don’t forget to visit golf betting system the number one free golf betting resource it’s Fant fantastic that you are with me this week right what do I need from you guys don’t forget hit the like button we hit the target last week
I’m going to keep it soft this week 100 likes please like the video let’s send the right data to the AI at YouTube on top of that please press the Subscribe button now I know that half of you guys subscribers half of you aren’t so if you
Want to have the latest 2024 PG Tour golf betting information via the golf betting show make sure you hit that subscribe button we are so close to 4,000 subscribers if you could press that subscribe button make sure your notifications are switched on it would
Mean a lot also let me know who you are backing this week at the Sony Open in the comments section below give me your feedback let me know how you’re doing and of course 2024 again Happy New Year to you all one thing I also want to mention golf betting system we are
Running the 2024 Majors competition sponsored by bet 365 £250 in cash up for grabs for winners of the it’s one and done so you have to pick four players for the four majors this year £250 in cash prices up for grabs of course if you are in Ireland or
In America we will do a currency equivalent so make sure look in the description below click through there’s all the different ways that you can enter the 2024 Majors competition sponsored by bet 365 a cash giveaway right okay the Sony Open this week I hope many of you were on Chris Kirk last
Week at 150 to one what a coup that was well done if you were on Chris um I was on colar I think he ranked second for Te green and 40 something for putting and as we know at the plantation course at Sentry when you’re shooting 27 28 29 under par
You need a putter so morara is in good Nick at a tougher tighter Golf Course likely to win very very soon the Sony Open of course the field has taken a step down this is the first full field event of 2024 on the PJ tour interesting
To note lots of the Corn fery tour graduates could not get a uh starting slot this week in a field of 144 players interesting stuff right the golf course itself a Arena original 1927 it had a Tom dooke Restoration in 2017 2018 course type Coastal um in in terms of the scoring
Levels I’m expecting it to be a midcore scoring task this isn’t going to be anywhere near as b as as birdy Festival as the century last week purely because the winds look stronger on a on a tighter golf course in terms of the golf course itself as well it’s a I
Categorize it as a short Golf Course 7,000 and 44 yards uh is the length of the golf course it is a par 7 design water in play on five of the holes Fairways of ber grass rough is Bermuda grass 3 in green 7,100 square ft on average Tiff dwarf Bermuda grass
Greens the only other golf course on the current schedule that use Tiff dwarf are the greens that you see at the American Express next week in the Desert California p J West those though are overseeded with poer trivialist these aren’t pretty grainy Affairs what’s the difference this week
Between Wy then and what we saw last week at the plantation course at capalo well as we know calura huge undulation changes this golf course is pretty much pan flat secondly this golf course is thinner the the fairways are 30 4 yards wide at 300 yards carry last week they were 65 yards
Wide so kind of 55% in terms of the Fairway width compared to last week tree lined the rough here doesn’t tend to be an issue though last year it was a it was a bit higher at 3 in I wouldn’t be surprised if that remains this year as
Well because November and December has seen a lot of rain in Honolulu where they are playing this on top of that it rained all day yesterday which was Monday and it looks like it’s going to rain on Tuesday as well expect a soft golf course if you come to golf betting
System come and use our predictor model there is a variable there best players over the last 5 years on the PJ T in this field that play best on soft golf courses a superb indicator to use right there it’s also looking like it’s going
To be windy gusts of 20 to 25 mph across Thursday Friday potentially into Saturday Sunday Dead Calm so there going to be low scoring on Sunday pj2 will love that first two days though especially look a bit of a grind so using the wind variable on the
Predictor model also useful as well I’ve pulled my own predictors uh predictions together I will go through the top 10 in a short while as I always do so Tiff dwarf Bermuda grass greens the weather looks blustery winning score we’ve seen this as high as 11
Under with Cam Smith don’t see that uh last year 18 in under with see wo Kim bear in mind it’s a soft golf course as well yeah I reckon 18 to 19 under could be the winning tot total I don’t think it’s going to get to 22 under that we
Saw with Matt cochar in 2019 or 20 23 under which we saw with Hideki Matsu when he had that head-to-head with Russell Henley in 2022 I’m thinking 189 underpar as that winning score potentially 18 17 something like that key player skills required well let’s go through The Strokes G ranking
Shall we this goes back to 2016 in all the Champions so 16 through 20 23 looking at where the winners ranked in their individual categories skill set categories then averaging it through bearing in mind kaaloa last year was four off the T 10 on approach eight
Around the green third for Te to green and fourth for putting this week 29th for off the tea I know it’s a full field event bigger field I get that 13th for approach so actually if you look at it in terms of the size of the field approach is more important
This week than it was last 19th for around the green still got to have a short game this week you cannot be missing greens and not getting up and down a few chippings this week very very handy as ever ninth for ta to Green that’s quite low and 10th for strokes
Gained putting that is quite High you see a couple of ways of winning this Kevin n amazingly enough was I think first or second for ta green and was mid pack for putting as with sewo Kim last year alternative to that is red hot putter first or second for strokes game
Putting and low nines 10 11s for t to green with a emphasis on approach this is not a drivers’s test doesn’t to me shout ludvig ABG who is the favorite at all in terms of the traditional statistics and I’m I’m going way back here to 2010 we are looking at
Uh averaging it through again driving distance 28 not important driving accuracy 33rd not important Greens in regulation 12 proximity to Ho 16th scrambling 19th putting average 7th so as ever Greens in rag proximity is important here getting the ball close on your approaches scrambling 19th I do
Think you short game here you cannot be missing greens and not getting up and down you’re just going to Hemorrhage Bogies which isn’t good enough and of course putts per G is the most important sometimes you see that completely reversed where it’s a Greens in regulation show there’s two different
Ways of winning this plotters prosper in the main but if you’re a short course expert who’s great with your around the green and your parting skills a Bran schneer or Kevin kizner Kevin Nar you can also score very very heavily here if you’re still with me of course
Press that like button follow me on X at Bamford golf as well I missed that at the top of the show and let me know in the description or in the comments below who you’re backing who you’re not backing Deco plays wishing me a happy
New Year just get in contact with me it all helps the algorithm don’t forget at banford golf on X and if why not subscribe get me towards those get me over that 4,000 subscriber barrier top 10 of my predictor model as I’ve said you can build them at golf B system completely
Free of charge some great data on their soft golf courses players that play well in the win players that play best on short golf cares past 70s you got it Bermuda grass greens it’s all there including All The Strokes gain data as well top 10 of my predictor
Model um 10 is Tom hogi 80 to one with Sky Bet eight places each way nine Matt Fitzpatrick 16 to1 with B Sports eight places each way eight is s seu Kim 35 to1 with Sky Bet eight places each way seven Chris Kirk 30 to1 with William Hill six places each
Way six is Brian Harmon 22 to1 with Sky Bet eight places each way five Justin Rose 45 to1 with William Hill six places each way top four Hideki matu armor won here two years ago 40 to one with coral 10 places each way for Coral this week
Coral and lad Brooks both default 10 places each way so with Matt s 40 to1 is the best in the market and you’re getting 10 places each way no brainer we are offering a bet5 get20 in free bets offer for new customers with coral just click through into my preview in the
Description box below that’s a fantastic offer Hatton 16 to1 bet 365 eight places each way for Terell Hatton he’s at number three bya their each way extra facility two Russell Henley of course 22 to1 with Sky Bet eight places each one at number one 50 to1 chance at number one Lucas
Glav 521 again with coral 10 places each way a 50 odds so you’re getting best place in the market with coral right now Tuesday Morning in the UK and you’re getting 10 places each way that’s incredible value from Coral bet five get 20 brand new customer offer available
Via my betting preview just look on the right hand side just click through to Coral on the navigation rolling 8 we statistics I know that you guys are fans of this SE section so a moving window that goes back to the shrine’s children’s open and the open desia on the DP World
Tour just basically checking out who’s best at these skill sets over that 8we window it will include of course the new DP World Tour players that are coming across now to play PJ tour but their performances of course will be on the DP World Tour Strokes going on approach that is really
Critical this week here’s the top 12 Ty for 12th Brian Haron and sah tala a tie for 10th Chris Kirk and JJ spawn interesting how a number of these names have been at the top of leaderboards recently attire for eighth tyell Hatton and Michael Kim attire for fifth Keegan Bradley Joel
Damon and Patrick Rogers fourth is Lucas Glover third Kurt kitama second Cory Connors first Ben kohs let’s have a look around the green shall we it’s rare but let’s have a look at it because it again is important this week 12th AE Bara 11th Lucas Glover 10th
Defending Champion here C wuk Kim nine is Stuart sink showing some form of late eight Sam Stevens sixth Aaron badley tied with Matt Fitzpatrick five is Rio hitas four JJ spawn three Hideki Matsu two Patrick Rogers and number one Benny AR interesting there in the top 12
We have hii Matsu we also have C Wu Kim who have both won on this golf course Strokes gained te to Green top 12 don’t forget if you want to go into more depth here full top 25 breakdowns are available via my betting preview in the
Description box below a tie for 11th Tia green last eight weeks Brian Haron Terell Hatton Vince Wy 10 is Luke list nine Ben Kohl’s we’ve got uh a tie for six Benny AR Lucas Glover and Aaron Ry five sahi deala four Cory Connors three JJ Spawn Two Patrick Rogers number one Joel Damon
And let’s go through Strokes gained putting might be a name in there we fancy top 12 12 Benny AR tied with Adam hadwin and Garrick higo 11 is Eric Van royan played well last week with me on his back just didn’t start well 10 Cam Davis nine
Michael Kim a tire for six Harris English Rio hits a a graduate from the DP World Tour and JT Poston a tie for third Taylor Montgomery started to find Formula end of last year Ryan Moore sah tala two Brand schneer number one Harry Hall we know there with a number of
Players schned great record here uh Harris English great record here poston’s done well here in the past Cam Davis as well so kind of makes sense putting and around the green game adding into that approach play right best players over the last eight weeks Strokes gained total here they are tie
For 10th mattx Fitzpatrick matio paval again another player coming across DP well tour to PJ tour is pavon Eric Van royan eighth Rio hits Sunni and Patrick Rogers maybe hit a Sunni is worthy of a DK place cuz you’re are going to get him for cheap cheap money six Harris English tied with
Tyrell Hatton five JT Poston a tire for third you won’t be surprised Eric Cole and Adam hadwin two Ben CO’s and number one Benny AR could it be the first could this be the first PGA T Victory this week for Ben an we shall see historic ODS of
Winners last year suu Kim 45 to1 Matt Arma 20 to1 Nar 80 to1 Smith 55 to1 cuchar 40 to1 all I can say juicy taking those five the last five it’s an winning average of 48 to1 I personally am not chasing Aber Berg Fitzpatrick and Hatton
At very short sub 21 numbers go back all the way to Ryan Palmer 2010 he won here at 250 to one overall average is 75 to one in terms of the Sony Open in Hawaii winner official World Golf rank Kings of winner I forgot this last week
At the centry don’t forget if you’re still watching please like the video please subscribe to the channel follow me on X at banford golf suu Kim was 84th in the world last year m matxa 19th in the world Nar 38th Smith 54th I think uh Chris Kirk
Was 52nd in the world before winning last year uh last week jumped into the top 30 in the world Matt cochar 32nd the highest I can find is Patton gazah recently 105th so it’s going to be a decent winner this week uh the shortest world ranking we
Have seen is number 19 again another reason not to be backing Fitzpatrick and Hatton I can give you another one not to back those two Englishmen 19 of the last 20 winners here at the Sony Open have played y Country Club at least once Hatton Fitzpatrick course
Debutants okay I think we’re ready for my selections any more information you need just come to my betting preview it is absolutely packed right I’ve gone for six and the reason I’ve done that is because I’ve gone for deeper prices I’ve gone 28 to1 with Cory
Connors one and a half points each way I managed to get that with bet 365 they eight places at each way uh extended Market on Cory Connor clearly exemplary approach play exemplary T to Green game do you know that Cory Connors has ranked on the pj2
In the top 15 for Tia green over the last three seasons that’s incredible that’s Elite clearly the guy cannot putt he’s already in the top 10 after one week in the T to Green category there’s one course where Connors can plot his way around hit the ball over average in
Terms of length but straight fantastic approach play and gr and just plot himself around and hopefully hopefully he’s the world number 38 pull together some decent rounds I think it’s here at Wy Country Club he loves the place he’s finished 3rd 12th 11th and 12th over the
Last four appearances let me repeat that 3rd 12th 11th and 12th over the last four visits within those uh within the last 12 rounds he shot a 64 four times 65 and two 66s and and I know this is shooting myself in the foot before I even say it
On four of his five visits to Wy Country Club on these flat Tiff dwarf muda grass greens bear in mind that’s the thing I’m saying here flat greens very minimal break bad Putters can make putts here he’s finished twice in the top 10 for strokes game putting and again a further two
Times in the top 33 for strokes game putting if he can do that this week top 33 for strokes game pting and have his usual standard of T the green game Cory Connors is going to have a big big chance 28 to1 I’ve got that with bet
365 next up it hasn’t happened recently sewu Kim never even played the century winners before that cooa played the century didn’t do a lot Nar didn’t do a lot mid I think Matt armor was 12th cam Smith didn’t play we have seen though Justin Thomas go back toback we have seen Jimmy Walker
Lose in a playoff at the century and then win this we’ve also seen favian Gomez finish sixth at the century and win this of those players that played really well I could see Chris Kirk going back Tob back but he’s never done it in the past he’s never backed up a win with
A top 10 finish either I just love the chances of sah tagala I got I backed him at 35 to1 yesterday with Ball Sports eight places each way again one and a half points each way it’s my stake a golf course where you allowed width off the tea that is tagala territory I
Mean you’ve only got to look at his performances both at Plantation last week and at Augusta last year where he finished in the top 10 on course debut that’s unheard of so igala yeah his driving has been a lot better of late he’s actually gaining Strokes off the
Tea which he never used to he used to lose five six seven strokes off the te with his wave withness so he’s worked on the driver and from that point on as soon as he’s left the T box from that point on his game is very very strong very very
Strong pter as well I could see tagala being up there again this week at 35 to1 which thinking about it is a fantastic price regard finished second last week so I’m on cigala at 35 to1 I’ve then got four selections 50 or 55 to one first up
Didn’t play at Sentry last week but his approach play and his around the green game recently is amazing cannot P team no P this week 50 to1 I got we bet 365 eight places each way incoming form of 11th 46th 6th 67th and 13th the 13th was
At the RSM classic the 6th was the trip to Japan for the Zozo matx so arm’s won there tight treelined short Golf Course past 70 this to me is JJ spawns kind of jam all we need from Spawn all we need if he putts as well as he did on The Greens at
The RSM classic at the end of last year we’re in business I think he was 27th The Strokes game patting because the rest of his game is in Elite Form the the one thing that spawn struggles with is the driver not really accuracy more lack of grunt that isn’t an here so JJ
Spawn I’ve got him at 50 to1 a point each way another guy that models love another guy that statistics fall in love with and must be June kind of soon he’s one already on the PJ Tour on Bermuda grass greens at the 2022 RSM classic hasn’t won since but always around that
Top 25 Mark Adam senson the Canadian he’s currently 58th in the world we all know that getting into that top 50 will open a lot of lot of doors for senson it’s President’s Cup year on top of that as well a win unlocks a trip to the 24
Masters senson the great thing about the this Canadian is he’s hugely Bermudagrass positive senson has landed a win and six top 10 finishes on PGA Tour across the last 98 events and five of those have been on Bermuda grass putting surfaces he’s had a seventh here in the past so I like Adam
Senson Who currently across um oh actually if you look at his stroke gain rankings on this golf course at Wilder again I put a link into the description Strokes gain rankings on this golf course across the field he’s fifth for strokes gained on approach eighth for strokes gain bull striking
16th for te green since 2016 right two more oldtimers guys that can get over the line as well follow the mold of a sewo Kim follow the mold of a Matt cooa follow the mold of a Kevin Nar Lucas Glover a point each way 55 to
One with Bo Sports eight places each way for Glover don’t forget he available right now in the UK 50 to1 best market price 10 places each way with coral uh I managed to sneak 55 to1 before prices were cut um two wins last year one at seedfield Country Club one at TPC South
Wind both on Bermuda grass greens both short to medium length p70s 29th last week if you take his 5 final 54 hole performance so forget about Thursday he shot 18 under that was level with Scotty Sheffer Matt Spitz Patrick TRL Hatton and a shay Bara who were all higher up the leaderboard
Glover just love it he was fif here two years ago again another team no putt if he can putt better we’re in business this week with Lucas Glover and finally Keagan Bradley I know I love kees I know he bites me every time I back him but he
Does win occasionally on the PJ tour I’ve backed him in 55 to one this week with Ball Sports eight places each way his last two wins on the oh s two of his last three wins on the PJ tour he has six in total have come at 20 under and
23 under so that’s an indicator that he can go low enough this week he’s got solid form here 13th in 2012 12th in 2020 and 12th in 2022 Keegan has been in the top 10 here at the halfway point four times from 11 starts again very similar to Lucas
Glover hitting the ball nice and close with his approaches just needs a decent putting week um the driver’s been a little bit off not Mega off but not as positive as it can be if he can straighten out even better but around here as opposed to last week of ation if
You’re not gaining huge amount of strikes off the te isn’t really a problem around the green and approach play is still strong and the thing with Keegan Bradley is Guy cannot part right but last season ranked sit down I don’t want you guys falling over when you hear
This he ranked in the top 20 for strokes gained patting across the whole of the 2022 23 season let’s have a decent pting week from you Keegan so Keegan Bradley at 55 to1 Lucas Glover at 55 to1 Adam spencon at 55 to1 JJ spawn at 50s tahi tala at
35 to1 and Cory Connor at 28 to1 others that I like Justin Rose um Andrew putam and at a bigger price Eric Van royan love those shouts as well if you’re still with me please like the show and please subscribe to the channel don’t forget let’s get to 4,000 subscribers
That would be that would fill me with joy make sure your notifications are switched on you can follow me at banford golf on X it’s been a blast we’ll be back next week for the American Express in California been abl
11 Comments
Steve is Great
Thanks Raj from Canada 🇨🇦
Originally from Suffolk UK
Rory in Dubai and liking Fitzpatrick in Hawaii this eeek 👍⛳️
You the man steve
Thanks Steve – feel Theegala might become a bit of an autobet on the West Coast swing. Also backed Harman & Nick Taylor for Sony and Bradbury & Larrazabal in Dubai. Could see Bradbury in one of the PGA Tour card places at the end of the season.
Chris Kirk , think he can do it again!
I'm a mug for a Corey Conners bet lol. I like guys that got a run out at Sentry this week that were down the field and shaking off the rust. Players like Glover, Hoge, Svensson & Rosey all could do well this week
Cheers Steve! Putnam did enough last week for me to bet him on this more suitable track, got 150s for Power yesterday which i thought was to big(7th for sgp last week) also had a little on Dahmen and his bucket hat. Best of luck all.
SMASH the Thumbs Up CHEERS im liking Matt Fitzpatrick and Si Woo to defend BY An putting better w the long stick
Having a decent Punt on Enhanced win only odds on C Conners & S Theegala
If i had to go LONG and EW it would be W Simpson and K Kisner, purely based on Tournament History..
Good luck you you and the gang Steve..
Connors & Henley are projecting well in my model but should remain relatively chalk over the field.
Building pivots with a mix of Svennson, Spaun, Poston, Rose and Todd.
Best of Luck!
Cheers Steve. With you on Glover and JJ Spaun. Also backed Hideki, and sentimental bet on Sneds! 🏌