PRIZEPICKS + UNDERDOG Player Prop Picks / Bets for SATURDAY, December 30th, 2023

Eric Polzin breaks down this PRIZEPICKS + UNDERDOG Player Prop Picks / Bets for SATURDAY, December 30th, 2023 SLATE.

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*PROPS PROCESS*
My process with NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB PrizePicks and Underdog videos is to show you which lines have the best value behind them. Show you why or why not they will be a good bet. The goal is to give you the viewer enough information to make an educated decision on how to attack the favorable lines that we get.

I will also show which prop numbers we are getting that do not align with the NBA Injury News that we have received thus that day.

If you do not agree with one of the bets do not make them. Know that this is gambling. If a line changes (not in favor of the bet) that means the bet is no longer as good of a bet, and thus probably should chase the bet.

The idea is by attacking the best numbers that we get we can profit in the long term as we attack the best bets with the best EV

“Today’s Bets” Record Since 1/28/2023:
Units Profited = 432
Win % = 60% (928/1553) *13 ties.
(This is a measure of the bets I highlight at the end of the video. This includes all sports. This also includes the Taco Tuesday bets where I tell people to bet 5 individual bets)
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All right everyone welcome back into another props video give to me touch on the top prop bets that we have today on both prize picks and Underdog let’s go ahead and get into it so first and foremost I’m mostly just going to be doing which prop pets are the best prop

Pets in this video I will be going over some NBA but NBA wise we’re not getting too much injury news and we’re really just not getting that many prop bets just yet so there’s not too much to touch on I’ll get into that in just a

Second but I want to start the video off with showing you guys the best prop bets that we have on both priz pi and Underdog uh to me guys this is a very good Propet that I have already went ahead and attacked that’s going to be Jaden Reed for over 4.5 receptions this

One has a 54% chance to hit if you’re looking at the receivers that they currently have right now uh he’s probably going to be their number one uh they’re going to be without Christian Watson and Wick I’m a Packers fan but I think those two players are their top

Two and then Reed is kind of more of a gadget guy but with those two players being out is going to be jayen Reed uh he should be able to get there we saw him get a few Short Pop passes in the receiving game as well to me I think

That’s a very good starting point today uh don’t want to bury the lead because we are gain a very good uh tackles and assist prop as well 55.8% likelihood for this one to hit now I will say that with a prop like this we typically aren’t getting that many lines

That are coming in uh during the day it’s probably just two sports books that are pulling in that line right now but all in all we can see that’s a good bet so I’m perfectly fine pairing those two we’re getting Victor Hedman for over 0.5 assists about a 54.7% chance Evan Ingram

For under 5.5 receptions that’s another very good one it’s very annoying because Flex Friday slip yesterday was terrible okay but also the board was so it’s not like shocking I really wish we had this board yesterday would have made it much more easier to attack we’re getting so

Many good Propet today uh we got another tackles in say prop for under 4.5 uh two right here that are very good uh 54% chance for those to hit I don’t mind the idea of doing uh George Pickins for over his uh receptions we got Dak for over uh

Rushing attempts at 3.5 like we are getting a lot of great props today so I want to start with that but I also want to show you guys Underdog real quick as well because we are getting some edges there as well so yes for Underdog as

Well guys uh just looking at Evan Ingram is going to be a good one there for under his receptions we can see CJ uh beat hard I’m just kidding CJ bethard there uh for under passing yard pretty good likelihood for that one to hit uh we’re getting a couple of decent ones

For college football we got uh Allen for over rush yards this is one that would work for priz picks as well uh Zeke here this is very interesting as well I and I like this prop at a lot uh assuming Stevenson is still out over 4.5 receptions we can already see that uh

Priz Pi has bumped this one up to five already so that’s a very good one that’s a good tell uh Swift if you want to do over receptions 54% chance de so guys again we have some very good profit and then real quickly I do want to get into

Some college basketball first and I’ll begin to the NBA as well simply because we are getting some good NBA prop or uh yeah some good college basketball props uh and really in NBA today we’re not getting as much as I would like so starting out we’re getting a good EV bet

For Adams Jr for under 3.5 assists good bet there we are getting two pretty good fantasy score props as well Tyson Walker for over fantasy score and I want to point this one out because this one is crazy good so guys if we look at it

Right now sure the over is not crazy but like the over percent about a 51 52% likely for him to get over 3.68 for a fantasy score but the prize space line is at 29.5 so already that’s a small Edge there and then the average sports book line again would be at 30.1

Or so uh looking at this though the projection data has it set at 31.3 and then Underdog has it set 31.85 so that is a two-point difference there between Underdog and price Pi guys there’s a very good likelihood that you could bet the over here which I’m saying is more

Correct on prize Pi that’s the profit that’s most likely H but you could also bet the under and Underdog where you know there’s clearly a wrong prop line here right between Underdog and price one of those two are clearly wrong there should never be a two for Fantasy score

Difference and for what it’s worth um there was one day I think it was last Saturday where the college basketball props for Underdog were all a little bit overvalued and I put out a slip showing that and four out of the five hit so was

A good kind of Flex slip on or insured slip on Underdog uh and then Sheed for over fantasy score this is a good one as well we can see um the prop L should be set about 33 the projection data agrees with that so yeah all in all prize fix

Is definitely uh a little bit lagging on that so now let’s go ahead and get to NBA guys so again one we don’t have that many games and two if we look at the injury report not too much not nothing too crazy sure for Miami they are very

Banged up if Butler uh sits and a flowy sits and then hwz sits like we don’t exactly know what to do uh Tyler hero would obviously get a big bump uh bam would obviously get a big bump uh Duncan Robinson would be a high usage rate

Player then uh that is just too much speculation to go off of right now um continuing on Isaiah Jackson sitting would mean that Jaylen Smith would probably get a few more minutes he’d be someone we could potentially be looking at uh looking at uh the Sixers andem be

Is still going to be out I’ll touch on this in a second but uh we finally saw Maxi really have a good game not too shocking he was very much do for a good game but with that then Melton had a poor game as well it kind of seems like

It’s one of those and I don’t want to say say big three but one of those medium three if you will um that two out of the three are going to have a good game whereas the other one lacks it just it kind of makes sense uh looking at

Chicago right now guys Vu is still out so it’s going to be Andre Drummond um will they need to run him out as much maybe not it could be a Patrick Williams game all in all Drummond has been a point for minute player as long as he

Gets a lot of minutes he’s going to get a lot of rebounds his rebound total was set at 15.5 last week or last game and I’m curious as to see what it’ll be at tonight obviously if towns is out we’re looking at Ant-Man and Rudy goar to have

A good game that’s a good matchup looking at Dallas uh Luca game time decision we truly don’t know Kyrie’s expected to sit if those two all sit it’s kind of a tossup and so yeah you can kind of see why it’s not really the best day just yet and then looking at um

Just the the game totals there’s really one game that we probably want to be attacking that’s going to be the Pacers and maybe Dallas that depends on if uh Luca is active uh but yeah looking at this game uh three and a half point spread 247 for the over ners so very

Nice there and again like maybe we’re going to get a good jayen Smith prop there but right now as I jump into the board that we are currently getting we’re not really getting that many great EV bets or you know too many bets in general that are going to be good so

Really John Collins for over points 10.5 is decent the average Sports work line would have the set at 11 and they’d be favoring the over there the issue that I have is that the projection data would have it closer to 9.7 and so we take a

Peek at John Collins you know he has not been playing as many minutes as he was at the start of the season now part of that is due to games being blowouts we know that and so if we look at the game total it is only a two point spread so

As long as this game does stay close I do expect him to get you know around 30 minutes that’s really the hope with him as a bet today is that he is getting those minutes and if he does get those minutes we do know that he typically

Will get over this point total do want to call out though that when he was getting this heavy minutes they were not this healthy this is the healthiest Utah has been all season and so that is why we are getting such a low line and then

Tack on the fact that it is a more difficult matchup all in all though I am fine with this betat I think that is a good betat even though the projection data doesn’t love it that obviously we don’t we want the projected data to agree we want all the data points to

Agree but all in all that’s going to be a fine bet from there we see Ant-Man for under 5.5 rebounds that’s okay Lori marinin uh rebounds and assist under 10.5 you know that’s okay to me these profets are all kind of feeling like we’ probably just be forcing them and that’s

Why I didn’t want to spend too much time on NBA Today simply because we aren’t getting that many good prop pets there there wasn’t enough to do like the Deep dive today as it sits right now and for what it’s worth guys it’s just a very

Limited board as you guys can tell right now as well so I was kind of waiting as long as I could all in all got to get out the contact at some point I will say again with this is kind of the Washington Portland treatment with Detroit um with them being kind of

Healthy Isaiah Stewart’s out but betting on them to keep a game close is not a terrible idea I mentioned this in the last game had a pretty good slip with this uh where you know bogdanovic line was at like 23.5 I’m like that is insanely too low even if they don’t keep

The game close he should be able to get that over and then K Cunningham as well he’s still getting a pretty low line today uh but all like if you’re betting on those two for over you’re betting on the game staying close I don’t mind that

Idea not the best bet but again very limited NBA board as it sits right now so I’ll go ahead and show you guys the BET of the day uh to me these bets I’m going to show you here I would say they’re they’re better just kind of like

A taco Tuesday day where I’m betting I’m fine pairing them up together so you might have more bets but just knowing that probably let’s say four out of the six are going to hit all right so here we go getting into the BET of the day

For prize pick right now I going to be betting the two college basketball props those are two very good fantasy score props that we are currently getting and then just kind of rolling with a bunch of good NFL props that we are currently getting I could run out the John Collins

10.5 points I’m fine with that that’s another good one as well but right now it seems like really the best bets that we are going to get are going to be you know Jaden Reed receptions over uh Evan in Grim Lon receptions if you guys are just looking at bets today you could

Tack on you know these two uh Jake Ferguson for over 11.5 for a fantasy score Kerby Joseph for over 4.5 tackles and assist those are going to be the best ones on PR B currently and then jumping into Underdog kind of more of the same I do hate the fact that you

Can’t stack bethard and Evan Ingram together uh for this specific slip I would have thought that that would been a good one I am going to run out Tyson Walker then for under fanty score there on Underdog again we’re getting a pretty big propline difference there between priz pi and Underdog a two-point

Difference is very high um dang this one actually just started so fortunate there uh Zeke for higher than 4.5 receptions is a very good one though you know again prize Pi is already bumped that up I feel pretty good about that one and then David Montgomery for lower uh than a

Touchdown basically this is telling me that and the data is giv this about a 54% chance to hit as well basically this is a jir Gibbs game if he’s not scoring a touchdown that’s kind of what that’s telling me so do with that what you will

Again guys just want to call it that if you do go ahead and use that prop for Underdog and you guys haven’t signed up for Underdog ever before make sure to use prom code 95 that’s going to kick back some money to the channel or to me

So I can reinvest that into the channel into the data and what uh but that’s going to be all for today’s video appreciate you guys being here let’s have a good slate today make sure to give a like And subscribe if you guys want access to the prop tools head on

Over to 95 sports.com they are available for just $10 a month that gives you access to priz based $ streat sheets thanks for watching this have a good s and as always let’s keep cashing