Jets Vs Browns – Fantasy & Betting Thursday Night Football Preview Week 17

Sam Factor (@walterpicks) breaks down the Thursday Night Football matchup between the Jets and the Browns from a fantasy & betting perspective.

📲Get the FREE WalterPicks App to dominate your fantasy leagues: https://get.walterpicks.com/s5lg/youtube

Use code “WALTER” on Sleeper for a 100% deposit match up to $100: https://Sleeper.com/promo/WALTER

0:00 Start
16:52 Walter’s FREE Player Prop!!

And we are live for Thursday night week 17 is here the fantasy football finals are here in the vast majority of leagues I know there’s there’s some crazy leagues out there with week 18 finals uh which I definitely disagree with and of course we got a banger of a Thursday

Night game for week 17 we got the New York Jets traveling to Cleveland they are seven Point underdogs Trevor Simeon is going to be leading the charge against Joe flacko we got two of the best defenses in the NFL going against Trevor Simeon and Joe flacko we gotta

Start we got to start tonight off I think talking about Joe flacko I think he’s probably the biggest storyline going into this game uh is Joe Flaco here we are it’s week 17 I’m not sure who had you know Joe Flaco Prime Time game on their bingo card before the

Season but here we are Flaco has had four straight games with at least 250 passing yards for a team that was largely a run first team before he joined three straight games with at least 310 passing yards for Flaco but you look at the matchups here for Flaco

He played the Rams the Jaguars the Bears the Texans all four of those teams are in the bottom 20 outside the top 20 they’re in the bottom 10 or 12 teams uh against quarterbacks this season and now he gets the Jets and the Jets are a very

Legitimate defense they are a very good secondary specifically they’ve been good against receivers All Season they’ve given up the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers in the entire NFL and against quarterbacks they’ve also been very good they’ve given up the fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks

Uh this season in the entire NFL and they haven’t played the greatest quarterbacks but they held two two out of 13 points they held CJ stra to four he got hurt uh in that game they held two in of 10 points when they played him earlier Josh Allen only had 23 points

Not a huge game for him Justin Herbert when he played the Jets he only had seven points so what is the expectation for Joe flacko tonight I do not expect a lot from him I definitely think you should avoid starting him in your finals happy finals week by the way everyone

And love that we got to sweat some Joe Flo starts sits uh in the fantasy football finals and at least the Deep leagues it’s time to win a title we’re going to get to all the comments tonight we are going to get to all of the start sit decisions as always

Let me turn off subscriber only chat here on the Tik Tok live pick two Kenneth Walker Gibbs Taylor Swift non PPR I’m not benching Gibbs and I don’t think I’m benching Jonathan Taylor either all right Z flowers Garrett Wilson or Jason for Flex chip season also have ch as an option CH is

Definitely an option in a lot of situ this week guys jerck McKinnon’s out he’s on IR p is I think likely going to be out I would estimate P out if you had me make a call right now that more or less what we’re doing I think in the app

Right now uh and we got Clyde’s rb31 know we do have PCO projected like in for some some amount of rule basically all four and a half of these points would go to Clyde if Pacho is officially ruled out the Bengals defense guys has not been good uh they’re L 14.1

Per game they’ve been particularly bad of late uh the team is is is crumbling a little bit defensively the Chiefs could put up a lot of points in this game too in a bounceback spot for them after getting embarrassed uh on National Television see yeah I do like Clyde a

Lot I think it’s tough to play him over Z I’m not starting Garrett Wilson tonight oh God I think I prefer Clyde over over Garrett Wilson if if you’re with me and you believe be is gonna be out I don’t think that’s that crazy i’

Play Clyde over jsn I play Clyde over I think javante too Z is a tough call he’s coming off a really good game um and Z Garrett Wilson’s of course tough to bench also let me pull up uh the comparison here for Garrett I really don’t want to start G Wilson or Mark

Cooper tonight I think at least one of those guys will bust these are two very good secondaries the Browns have low the third fewest points per game to receivers this season I’d play flowers over Garrett Wilson I think I would play Clyde well you don’t have to decide that

Now you don’t have to decide that now it’s a Sunday morning decision but yeah I think I think I would bench Garrett Wilson here ran for sure uh against the Browns uh I do think that this is a tough spot for Garrett Wilson and it’s

It’s tough to put a lot of faith in Trevor Simeon either why bench Amari yeah so I mean I I knew we were gonna have to speak to the Amari stuff uh tonight and I don’t feel great obviously benching Amari Cooper after last week I mean we got to

Give at least some respect to Amari Cooper here one of the best games of the Season it might have been the best game of the season we’ve seen some big games a 51.5 Point fantasy day uh but like that almost doesn’t even do it justice 35%

Target sh 15 targets he caught 11 of 15 for 265 in two touchdowns last week truly truly incredible week but now now he plays the Jets guys the Jets are the number one secondary in the NFL no team has allowed fewer fantasy points to receivers they are going to be very

Focused on Mari Cooper hashtag Revenge game here by the way for Elijah Moore tonight I I I do kind of want to buy into that but again the jet second AR is really good and elij Moore I would Define him as really good I do like the

Revenge game narrative for him for sure though after struggling to find a home on the Jets but yeah I I’m scared for Mar Cooper tonight I’m scared for Garrett Wilson for a lot of the same reasons uh I don’t believe Joe flacka will do well against the number one

Secondary in the NFL arguably the number one secondary in the NFL statistically speaking at least for Fantasy they’ve allowed the fewest points quarterbacks and receivers but Garrett Wilson’s got a tough match up tonight too against the brown secondary the brown secondary has allowed the third fewest points to

Receivers we’ve seen we’ve seen Garrett Wilson be a little bit boom bust with the quarterback situation too the targets have been there man all season for Garrett Wilson he he’s top 10 in the league in Target chair and it honestly pains me inside a little bit to you know

Have a guy like er Wilson one of the most talented receivers young talented receivers in the league top 10 in Target share and I’m sitting here telling you to bench him it just doesn’t sit right but it’s the quarterback situation he’s in it’s the matchup he has here too in

Week 17 so I would look to bench Garrett and and Amari Cooper for those reasons um all right pick two for Championship Pard Connor or cook yes you got to bench Connor here you gotta play Pard you gotta play cook and you gotta play Pard because Rico D dowle got ruled out that

Is kind of big for Pard like he’s gonna see at least now 55 60% of the rushing attempts whereas we’ve seen games with thatle in where he only sees 40 to 50% I think he will get some of that Target share from D to we probably see a little

Bit of Deuce uh dece Von but Pro dece Von probably not going to get the the same siiz role that Rico D had so yeah I think you got to play Pard in against the Lions too that game is by far the highest projected scor game of the week

You want pieces of that Cowboys Lions game for sure you want jir Gibbs you want a mon St Brown I think Jameson Williams is an interesting sleeper this week he’s his role has started to increase a little bit you want Dak Prescott you want Jake Ferguson you want

Tony Paul do you want CD lamb I think you want all all like core pieces of that game James Williams has not passed 10 points since week 13 uh but we have seen his targets uptick at least a 15% Target sh two straight here for James

Williams um yeah I would go Pard and Jame James Cook has to be stared there’s no benching James Cook uh in a game that the bills will absolutely destroy the Patriots rashed Shah orari Cooper yeah I mean like I like the rashed Shahed play this week the matchups are not

Comparable here which I think is important to call out but you gotta I think you got to go Mari Cooper in this spot oh God Walter agrees pretty strongly here the matchups are polar opposite the Buccaneers allowing the third most points per game to receivers this season the Jets are

Allowing the fewest points per game to receivers this season the other wrinkle here specifically for Amari Cooper is he’s questionable tonight he might not even play there’s a legitimate chance Amar Cooper does not play let me pull the the latest Amar Cooper report here oh no Ezekiel Elliot illness didn’t

Practice I really need him to play um Amari Cooper scrolling down here let’s see if I can find this quicker I did definitely read that he’s questionable tonight I do think he will play the the report here is that Mark Cooper he has a heal injury he’s hopeful

That he can play in week 17 so he’s not guaranteed even playing uh tonight that was a report nine hours ago we’ll get an official report in in the coming couple of hours I do think he’ll probably play and if he does play I I kind of do think

You got to start him over Shahed even though that the matchups here are are totally not compared again you there Shahed and shahid’s role is growing too like I do kind of like Shahed this week uh I do think it’s an interesting question Shahed was out there every

Single passing play basically for the first time all season last week and he he he turned into a big performance five catches 70 yards and a touchdown that was against the Rams the buccaneer secondary is worse then the Rams secondary the Bucs secondary has been horrible All Season they’re one of the

Most pass funnel defenses in the league I’m scared to start a mar Cooper tonight so I get where you’re coming from there uh I still think you got tomor if he plays but I I think it’s pretty close um let’s get to some more of these start HS

You rock by the way got the championship by 1.25 points at the end with auk unreal Brad that’s ultimately what it comes down to in a lot of fantasy leagues I missed out on the finals in one of my high stakes leagues because Christian mcaffry was stopped at the one

Yard line on the on the second last play of that game basically absolutely brutal I had p on that team too he threw four picks got benched needed like two more points just just just terrible bad beat on the other side can happen as well uh all right that’s why you got to

Appreciate being in the finals it’s tough road to get to the final Amar Cooper Aaron Jones Devonte Smith DJ Moore T wide receiv Flex in a PPR League you have to start DJ Moore here in a PPR League I think 100% I’m tempted to say Aaron

Jones or Tai Chandler but I think the answer is Amari T hler maybe let’s see wow it’s close Tai Chandler gets the Packers good spot for him he’s he’s taken over this lead role 81% snap share we don’t have the snap share in from last week here

Yet 133% Target share he had 23 carries eight only eight carries last week he did score only 7.7 points you gotta go Amari I think over Tai Chandler yeah I think I would go DJ Moore and Amari in PPR play the two receivers yeah I think

I think that’s the thing to do there again I’m nervous for Amari tonight I’d like to bench him but I still play him my think over Tai Chandler strout or Fields oh man yeah I strout’s going to be back I’m really in on Nico Collins

For that reason uh this week I we got Str at qb5 we got fields at qb4 though and the rushing for Fields has been truly truly Elite truly consistent seven carries at least in each of his last five games rush for another touchdown last week 97 rushing yards exactly what

We talked about on the Sunday morning live could happened there for Fields he was in my DraftKings lineups ended up being qb4 in the week pretty solid uh so yeah I’d go fields the rushing the rushing floor is just really Elite for Fields Bree or single T I think you got

To go Bree if that’s a PPR League I really think you got to start Bree in PPR leagues in PR PPR leagues we got a question here from Richard two in the YouTube live I’ll get to this right now Breeze Hall was running back one last week especially if you play PPR leagues

Really only I think if you play PPR leagues he had a good day on the ground his best game on the ground since week five of this season when he played the Broncos and had a huge one but week 16 last week 20 carries 95 yards two TDS

Against the commanders commanders have I think probably the worst defense in the NFL we’re going to see the 49ers put up 40 plus points on them this week uh so don’t bench the 49ers players but he guys Bree had 16 targets 36% Target share he caught 12 of those for 96 yards

You can’t put that on your bench in a PPR League you just can’t there’s no running backs there’s so few running backs I think we could probably name the list of running backs on one hand that could legitimately we could argue could have a game over 30% Target here I think

There’s probably less than five players that have done that this season I think Gibbs has done it maybe once CMC for sure is in contention there but like that honestly Rashad white I don’t think he’s even done it like it’s a it’s going to be a small list let’s see if mcaffry

Hit a 30% Target share this season uh he did he he got a 40 two 40% Target share so mcaffry has done it I think chra maybe had one game where he did it Gibbs maybe did it not many guys can can really do that that’s 12 points in the

PPR League just for for the receptions he’s gonna get yards and touchdowns from those two Yes Alvin chra I’m correct has done it I think Gibbs he’s got to have done it at least once uh this season two Gibbs has not done it he came close

26% Target share but yeah the the point proven you got to start Bree and PPR see I I think I’d go Bree and in chra here I’d bench Derrick Henry I’d bench dere DeAndre Swift I get the appeal of DeAndre Swift this week he gets the

Cardinals this is a really good spot for DeAndre Swift but I I don’t think like we you will not see DeAndre Swift get to a 30% Target CH brol can do it uh I think he needs to be played for that reason we’ve also seen a lot of running

Backs catch a lot of passes against the Browns I’ll pull that list up here in a second uh let’s do chimra uh yeah Brea and Chima like you got two guys here that can that can legitimately be give you wide receiver one numbers from the running back position uh they definitely

Need to be started yeah the Cardinals have been the best match up for running backs all season so I I get the appeal the Bucks are a little bit scary the Browns are a little bit scary I I think the receptions though make make up for

That let’s go to the running backs here that have played against the Browns because the Browns defense their second secondary is really good that the both teams their strength is in the secondary so we could see a lot of running tonight the Browns have been pretty good against

Running backs too but they have actually given up a decent amount of catches we saw six catches to running backs just last week we saw four catches to Roshan Johnson the week before that we saw six catches total from the Jaguars team so like six catches is a very realistic

Outcome here for Bree tonight uh he’s been used really heavily in the past game too so all right that’s my thoughts there what’s up Sam hope you had a great holiday I kind of like Amari rece reception yards tonight thoughts yeah I don’t love it I honestly don’t love it

Again he’s playing the Jets I’m pretty scared for AMI tonight and it’s it’s a scary spot to be uh benching Amari Cooper coming off one of the best games of the season from any player across any position uh he had 51 fantasy points uh last week and I I actually do think um

Amar Cooper is dangerous tonight like I would play here’s some of the receivers I would play over Amari Cooper this week let’s see I’ll go down the list here I would definitely play Tyreek Hill CD lamb Jefferson am man ra AJ Brown Debo ncua rice Pitman if he plays I’m not

Sure I’m not convin Pitman is going to play Cooper cup I’m playing over him Mike Evans I would play over Amari Cooper I do think that makes sense uh I get that’s being close but and I get that marshan ladimore too is kind of scared for Mike Evans here in week 17

But guys the Jets the jet secondary is very good they’ve allowed the fewest points to receivers all season this is not a illegitimate secondary this is one of the best secondaries in the league I I statistically they’ve been the best secondary in the NFL uh I think we could

See a more run heavy gam script or just a struggling Joe flacko in this game I would start auk over Amari Cooper I think I would start Steph digs over Amari Cooper I could convince myself to start Z flowers over Amari DJ Moore I think I would start over

Amari that’s might be the end of the list that might be the end of the list of guys that start over Mari but yeah in general I think like there might be a few more honestly as we as we go through these start HS but um all right Sam what’s the prop of

The day yeah Jake I mean we have been on a run this season here we are in week 17 I will be live week 18 also I don’t think there’s a Thursday night game week 18 I could be wrong about that uh so we got maybe only two free props left and

Guys we have been I mean on an absolute tear 26 wins 11 losses 37 live streams later I think a little less than that actually because I gave two away in a few of these lives last week you know it’s week it’s week 16 we’re not mailing

It in we’re we’re running up the score we got under on the dvin cook rushing yards he does not get a carry he finishes with zero yards but at least plays so we get to cash the props that’s exactly what you want to see when you

Bet unders is a total of zero of that statistic tonight we got another under and I don’t think it’s going to be as great as the dvin cook under because this guy will play tonight he will get rushing yards unlike dvin cook but we’re going with the Kareem hunt under

28.5 rushing yards tonight let me switch this on the Tik Tok live really quick this is straight from the new Walter PI app if you’re watching live on Tik Tok let me actually go to it here for everyone watching live on YouTube as well because we just revamped the player

Prof evaluator in the Walter pick up if you guys haven’t checked this out yet by far the best tool you can use if you’re if you’re placing any amount of money on player props you kind of need the NFL prop evaluator to make you better at it

Uh let me show you the Dalvin uh sorry the cream hunt line rushing yards uh points spe has it at 30.5 the line this line shopping section is invaluable for finding the just the best prices FanDuel has it at under 28.5 at the best odds right now but Kareem hunt has been

Under this line of 30.5 rushing yards 28.5 rushing yards in three straight games uh he’s been incredibly inefficient in those games look look at these yards per carry numbers for cre hunt that I’m I’m hiding right now on the YouTube live 2.7 yards per carry 1.1

Yards per carry and 1 six yards per carry in his last three games two of those games were against teams that are rank in the bottom 16 against running backs he’s averaged a combined 1.4 yards per carry in his last two games he has been doing absolutely nothing he looks

Tired here at the end of the season there’s um two better better running backs at least on the Browns here Pierre Strong’s getting carries also drum forward is going to be the lead back here for the Browns I do think that uh the Jets can keep this game close enough

Too that we won’t see a huge carry total here from Kareem hunt let me pull up the rush shares here that’s the official play tonight though is the cream hunt under 28.5 rushing yards Hall over mostard Gibbs Swift no I play Gibbs over Hall easily I think I’d play Hall over

Swift though and I think I’d play Hall over moer also that one’s pretty close but I think I’d play Hall over moer especially if that’s a PPR uh league and yeah so Pierre strong last week 17% Rush share he almost had as many carries as cream hunt had and he was more efficient

With those carries so don’t be surprised maybe there is a zero outcome here for hunt probably not going to be zero but I do think he’ll be closer to zero than he is this line of 28.5 so that’s the free player prop of the day hope you guys

Enjoyed the new player prop detail screen I was just showing um I think Hall is going to be disappointing tonight beware yeah Hall is definitely a risk tonight I I think he’s got to be starting in PPR League susp actually he had 12 catches last

Week he had 15 targets last week so yeah in PPR leagues it’s tough to put that on the bench I really think in PPR leagues you just have to start that uh like any any running back that did that in their last game reer Bree yeah I’m going going

Rashi rice over Bree I definitely think Rashid rice needs to be started this week against the Bengals Rashid rice has been incredibly consistent volume wise he Maks his wide receiver nine in the Walter picka this week which has the best fantasy rankings in my league championship Bree or Swift in lorta or

McBride yeah I’m going Breeze over Swift yeah I the match up for Swift on paper is much better but the role the role for Breeze is better than the role for Swift and I’m willing to Trump match up for that and then Le Porter or McBride I’m going McBride I’m not benching McBride

This week unless I have Kelsey unless I have Kelsey if I have Kelsey I’m still trying out Kelsey I don’t think really anyone who drafted kelse is in the fantasy football finals the Travis Kelsey Strat it did kind of slow down like it it was hot the first seven weeks

Of the Season Kelsey had at least 19 points in four of those games he won weeks in the beginning part of the Season he has not had a game with at least 16 fantasy points though since week seven it’s been over two months since we’ve seen a big Kelsey game a big

Part of that is the touchdowns he has not swor a touchdown since week 11 but yeah I’m still starting Kelsey the Bengals have have really sucked against tight ends this year the second worst defense against tight ends but yeah after that it’s MC Brad it’s MC Brad right after Kelce are you thinking

Browning or Flo yeah do not start Flaco do not start Flo uh T I really think that would be a big mistake I expect to see Flo come tumbling down to earth a bit uh tonight against the Jets they’ve been the the sixth best team uh against quarterbacks in standard leagues they’ve

Been the best team against receivers there statistically You could argue they’ve been the best secondary in the NFL Flaco has not played very good defenses he’s played good you got to give Flaco a lot of credit he’s also thrown a lot of interceptions he has at least one interception in every game

This season it feels like that’s getting overlooked a tiny uh he’s got seven interceptions in four games that’s Joe Flo against four bottom 10 bottom 12 pass defenses Joe Flaco has thrown seven interceptions he’s also thrown over a thousand yards uh 300 yards at least in three straight

Games and he’s thrown at least two touchdowns in every game so he’s being aggressive it’s leading to picks it’s leading to some big numbers too but yeah I’d be careful with Joe Flaco against the Jets it’s by far the best defense he’s played all right let’s get back to

Some of these starts HS Championship baby sit to Happ PPR Hall mon be Chandler cup DK Pitman auk thanks I don’t know if pitman’s gonna play let me read the latest on Pitman if Pitman plays you know I’m definitely gonna want to start Pitman here especially it’s half PPR so a little bit

Less so let me just read the latest here on Pitman he did like almost play officially out week 16 not much more new here with him I think I would start Bree over Monty but it’s close in happy PR it’s much closer in PPR Bree Bree needs

To be benched in non PPR leagues tonight Monty is a really good half PPR non PPR player because touchdowns matter more I think I’d probably bench Chandler here and I think I’d bench I think I’d bench Monte I think I’d play Breeze I’d play beon I’d play cup I’d play everybody

Else yeah this is a close one though Brad for sure Alvin Sam the man how we doing in the chip tanks to you let’s go Alvin let’s finish let’s finish it off man pick one DJ or Evans pick one moster Javonte or Monty DJ more versus Mike Evans

Oh man I think Walter we got DJ Moore projected really low right now versus Evans who’s been red hot he gets Mike Evans versus Marshon Latimore is not the matchup I would have wished for in the fantasy football finals the Falcon secondary versus the Saints secondary this is really close Evans has been

Really consistent but we’ve seen Evans already play the Saints this year one of his worst games of the Season it was his second worst game of the season he had three targets 40 yards against the Saints the first time DJ Moore he hasn’t played the Falcons yet

He had a bad game last week only 4.8 points he did have a 26% Target share still honestly I think I I think it’s Evans but it’s really close I think I’d go Mike Evans there and then Monty moer javante starting AJ Gibbs and Elliot yeah I would start all those guys for

Sure I I want I want the answer to be Monty here just because that game is projected to be so high scoring even though the Cowboys defense is has been pretty good against running backs hey Sam Wilson Monty James Conor Josh Jacobs start two PPR I don’t think we can we could

Possibly trust that Josh Jacobs is gonna play I don’t think we can do it like he might play he definitely might play but as as we stand right now on Thursday night I I can’t confidently say for sure he’s going to play so I would definitely

Make a a plan without Jacobs and with Jacobs if you have Josh Jacobs just be aware of that um this is PPR league so I think you kind of have to go Garrett Wilson here even in a tough matchup and I think you go Monty and then if Josh Jacobs does play you

Probably go Jacobs over Monty but if Jacobs doesn’t play I’d go Monty uh championship week shout out to everybody guys uh in the championship I know Flaco is a no start but over Browning I’d start browning over Flaco Browning gets the Chiefs defense it is actually a little bit

Scary Flaco’s been hot but Flaco against the Jets I I really think we could see an implosion here from Flo tonight I’m not I’m not playing Flaco in the fantasy football finals I would not I I just can’t can’t get myself to do that all right trying to get the B2B back to

Backs to my home Le let’s go man all right Mt Oliver Waller Jan okanu craft depending on Musgrave status yeah so Musgrave status is up in the air and they actually already released prop lines for craft which is why I kind of know that uh I was surprised to see the

Craft line where it was I think Musgrave has a chance to play the prop line right now for craft is pricing it as as musra isn’t going to play I think it was like 40 yards for craft over under or something you think musra is going to

Play that’s a pretty good under to go get but I do think the answer here is either oku or Darren Waller Darren Waller was a huge let down last week he lost me a matchup last week uh for playing him over Isaiah likely that was a huge mistake that I

Made last week he did have a couple catches at the end of the drive he still is the best receiving weapons that the Giants have and it was encouraging to see those targets come from trro Taylor Who’s going to be starting this game but yig is coming off a couple huge games

Like he’s trending really up BF his best game of the season was last week 18 points here from chok cono he’s at at least six points now in five straight at least six might not sound great but with these options it’s not that bad we know there’s a ceiling there too Texans have

Also been a bad team against tight end he only had 6.6 against them just a couple weeks ago but could definitely see a bigger game from him there the Rams have not been good against tight end either though is a close one between these two I think I’d probably lean Cho

Conu just I got burned by Darren Waller last week but it’s a close one I I would be between those two Monty or Bree sorry if you answered already it’s Bree it’s Bree over Monte in a PPR league is Bree over Monty it’s definitely PUK over Bree

Though how am I benching Omari Cooper in the ship yeah you got to have you got to have the the guts to do it like I get that it’s it’s very difficult to benjar Cooper after what he did last week but you got to also understand the context

Of the situation for Mari Cooper tonight first of all he’s questionable he actually might not play so just be aware of that because that report’s going to come out in the next couple of hours he probably is going to play but the last report was that Amar Cooper is hopeful

To play not that he will play that he’s hopeful to play so so there’s absolutely a chance Amar Cooper sits and I honestly think Amar Cooper not playing tonight might be a blessing in disguise because Amar Cooper is playing the top secondary in the NFL tonight they have allowed the

Fewest points per game to receivers this season let me read you some of these numbers uh for wide receivers that have played the New York Jets it’s similar stuff by the way for the Browns but I’m scared to start Garrett Wilson tonight uh okay here’s the numbers here against

The Jets last week Johan dson Taran mclen did nothing they combined Under 12 points under 13 points Jaylen wad had a big game uh against them a couple of weeks ago nobody none of the Texans receivers did anything Tyreek Hill and Wadd when they played them this the

First time both did well khil Shakir did something Steph Diggs got shut down though against them Devonte Adams had less than 15 points against them Kean Allen had one of his worst games of the Season against the Jets he only had 15 points Devonte Smith had under 10 points

Against the the Jets Rashid rice went under 10 CD lamb uh and Steph digs earlier in the season they did pretty well so we’ve seen some some games against the Jets but we’ve seen a lot of Duds from some good receivers against the Jets also I just the ceiling I don’t

Think is is super high forari tonight even though he’s coming off a truly Boom game last week again 50 points I mean nothing to uh say bad about that of course pick two Jones Chandler Henry or Eckler Austin Eckler I feel like kind of need to be started here against the

Broncos I think I’d go Jones and Eckler Diggs Bree auk PPR pick two yeah I think you bench I think you bench Diggs there I think you play Bree nauk over Diggs I’m a little bit scared about Diggs against the Pats a happy championship week Sam I’m back with the same question

As last week here we go Jacob let’s run it back here hopefully I answered it right last week Cooper Collins a McBride aan are starting Kelsey at tight end yeah pick two honestly I mean you got some good options here I think Nico Collins needs to be started I probably

Didn’t say that last week this week with CJ strb back against the Titans start Nico Collins the ol against the Bucks is super intriguing to me I would be between a and McBride though before I’d consider starting am Mar Cooper or I would consider starting aan definitely

Can’t start aan with his limited usage and Amar Cooper against the Jets I really would be careful this is the toughest match up we’ve seen Amar Cooper have uh really since week 13 uh he played the Rams that was the best defense he played uh or closest ranked

Defense to the Jets tonight in that game he had three catches 34 yards no touchdowns six points the game before that against the Broncos who also had a pretty good secondary he had four points and now he gets the Jets who have allowed the fewest points per game to

Receivers all season I just rattled off a bunch of them that have struggled against the Jets but Steph Diggs uh being one of them I’m benching I’m benching Amari for foro I’m benching Amari for olve and I’m benching Amari for McBride it’s probably ol over McBride but I do really like

McBride’s floor against the Eagles all right start two Zeke Garrett Wilson K9 yeah definitely starting Zeke and I think I’d start K9 over Garrett Wilson too Bree or Zeke man uh I’m just reading that Zeke didn’t practice today which has me like a little a little bit nervous honestly I

Think he’ll probably play like usually when guys Mis practices for illnesses it ends up being fine but it does have me a little scared here like to say Zeke with a PPR option like Bree Zeke let me let’s do this comparison actually between Bree and Zeke because I think this is an

Interesting one I I I’m gonna say Zeke like assuming Zeke plays I’m gonna have wanted to play Ezekiel Elliot over Bree Hall the usage for Zeke with without reminder Stevenson has been truly Le like top five in the league usage rate for Zeke he’s getting almost every single carry Uh Kevin Harris did

Actually mix in for the Pats a little bit more last week so that’s something to monitor but the target volume for Zeke is actually almost up there here we go we got a running back we found another one that went over a 30% Target share Zeke’s actually done it twice in

The last three weeks the PPR role here for Zeke is is truly incredible uh so so yeah I’m holding out hope that Zeke plays and I’m going Zeke over Bree misses practice Wednesday with illness doesn’t seem overly serious at the present um but yeah we’re gonna have to

Confirm Friday’s injury report uh for Zeke against the bills so that has me a little bit scared but I still think Zeke Jets defense or Rams defense or Bears defense yeah I think Jets defense tonight against flacko I really think the Jets defense beats Flaco tonight uh

In that matchup Sam can you give me give us a 14 parlay so we can win 500k so I don’t have a 14 pick parlay for you Rodney I usually count myself Max five legs I you will not see me go past five like I at that point you are you are

Literally Burning uh money you’re buying scratch tickets you’re buy you’re buying like yeah so no I don’t got a 14 pick parlay for you but I do have one leg that you can be pretty confident in and that’s creem hunt under 28.5 rushing yards that’s the free

Player prop of the day and we are 26 and 11 on the free player prop up so far we cashed the dvin cook under last week he hit zero yards I don’t expect zero yards from Kareem tonight but I don’t expect anywhere near 30 where they’re pressing

This line Kem Hunt is averaging under two yards per carry in his last two games the Jets have been worse against the Run than against the pass but this is going to be a low-scoring brutal game Kem hunt I don’t think is even in the top two running backs on his own team

We’ve seen Pier strong start to mix in a little bit more Pier strong strong almost had as many carries as cream hunt last week he was more efficient with those carries I could easily see Pier strong out touch cre hunt in this game so I do like the cream hunt under here

Tonight that’s the free player prop all right another question Sam Nico DK Thelen it’s Nico it’s got to be Nico it’s got to be Nico Collins you look at some of these games with Nico Collins we haven’t really seen the game yet for Nico without tank Dell right because

Tank Dell went down I think in this game against the Jets uh Nico went down in this game and then maybe it was actually the following week but Nico missed a game after that tank taale injury then we have last week where where ni Collins did play but CJ Stroud didn’t play

Because CJ Stroud got hurt this is going to be the first game with stad and Nico in no tank Dell you’re going to want Nico Collins in that game guys the games where we’ve seen Niko gets significant volume with CJ strad he had 14 points 23

Points and 34 points like there’s a real ceiling there and I think a real floor too especially in a pretty good match up here against the Titans uh who are definitely better against the Run than the pass yeah I really like niik Collins a lot Garrett wison Omari or Maris

Brown I don’t think you could possibly play Mar over these two I think the answer here is Amari over Garrett Wilson like I’m not even sure Maris Brown would play he didn’t play last week is a good matchup for Maris Brown so you know maybe I do get where you’re coming from

Here like I I wish Maris Brown like I could seriously consider him here in this this three but like I don’t know I don’t know if we can he hasn’t played uh in a little bit uh right he missed last week yeah uh he he played

32% of snaps the week before that we basically haven’t seen him play in like a month like a full game a full healthy game we haven’t seen Maris Brown in at least a month so put him on the bench uh like just tough to trust all around that

Situation even in kind of an exciting spot here in the matchup against the Eagles B that’s a mark Cooper it’s a mark Cooper for Garrett Wilson the jet secondary is better than the brown secondary but Joe Flaco’s also much better than Trevor Simeon Trevor Simon

Is not good so yeah I think it’s fine to go amario over Gary Wilson hey Sam can you rank these options for me Bree tonight DJ Moore Monty Conor yeah I think I’d rank them in this order I’d go actually I might put DJ Moore first is

Close but I yeah I think I probably in PPR i’ probably go Bree DJ Moore Monty Connor I think I I rank them in that order I do kind of want a piece of this Lions Cowboys game Monty’s not necessarily the piece I really want but

At least he is a piece he will probably get at least half the work in that back field and what’s projected to be the highest scoring game of the week um you want to play the Raiders defense this week play the Raiders defense the Raiders defense leads all defenses in

Fantasy in fantasy points over the last like month two months like one to two months there’s no defense with more last one to two months there’s no defenses with more fantasy points than the Raiders and they get the Colts this this week who are are pretty sub par average

At best I’d say offense I mean they have Jonathan Taylor we’ll see if Michael Pitman plays you know Pitman doesn’t play it’s an even better option I don’t hate the Chiefs against the Bengals but the Bengals does defense offense has some fire power I wouldn’t play Denver

With Russ getting bench I think you gotta go the Raiders I know he doesn’t play defense but um all right PPR James Conor Austin Eckler yeah Eckler over James Conor kicker question here we go I think I’d probably go mcclaflin here I think I I think I’d go

Mcclaflin only in week 17 will I answer kicker questions see Amari I only have Lockett in London nope gotta play Mari in that situation yeah you gotta play Amari oh and joku versus Amari so you got to start in Joker tonight for sure we haven’t talked about him yet uh he

Definitely should be started in almost all situations for the tight end spot but if you’re looking at him in the flex spot I think it’s a much tougher call you probably got to go Amari over and joku the Jets are the fourth worst team against tight ends this season for

Fantasy they’re the number one team the best team against receivers they are allowing more points to receivers overall though and gosh yeah I think I think I would go am Mario over and joku but we’ll see if Amari even plays there’s still chance Amari doesn’t play uh sorry one more thing

Philly Rams or Raiders yeah I like I like the Raiders defense I like the Rams defense a lot too against the Giants though Browns are Jet’s defense yeah I would lean I would lean towards the Browns defense tonight but I like both of them a lot like I think

Both can be started with a lot of confidence but yeah I think I like the Browns defense more just because I think Trevor Simon is even worse than Joe Flaco I think they’re both gonna struggle though tonight for sure all right we got here PPR pick two

Kenneth Walker T against two hubard Ford or Chandler yeah I think you got to go t and Kenneth Walker I think I’d play them both over CH hubard Ford and Chandler I feel like Ford has okay floor tonight like we will see some rushing and probably some catches from Ford like

He’s been pretty consistently passing 10 points like as a floor uh yeah almost every game he’s been at least 10 points the last two though he’s been under the jet had his worse against the Run than they are against the pass but uh it’s definitely pretty

Close yeah I’m going Kenneth and T I’m going Kenneth and T um Bree flowers Keenan Siege I don’t think Keenan’s gonna play I I I would be pretty surprised honestly if he does I think you play Bree and I think you play C here uh flowers where C is close I’m

Also operating under the mindset that P is not gonna play so that’s something to monit but I would play Bree tonight oh it’s only pick one yeah play Brees play Brees play Brees here over Flowers God I want to play flowers this week too but I know he’s coming off a big game

But Bree had 15 targets last week brce had more targets than Z flowers last week plus he’s getting cares like you have a wide receiver one and a running back one together here with Bree he had 16 targets last week he’s been over a 20% Target share in five of his last six

Games like that is ideal stuff for Bree in the PPR League guys that is my time tonight we’re going to be wrapping up momentarily bejan JT Breeze pick two yes it’s the last two here bench Breeze play bejan and JT I play both these guys Bree as much as I

Like Bree I would play Bree over moart I I think I would probably probably go golf over Jordan love but that one’s close in the Tik Tok live I’m playing Hall of moard yep I’m playing Zeke over Aaron Jones and over etn etn is close but I’m definitely playing Zeke over Aaron

Jones that’s my time guys time is the most valuable thing we have thanks for spending some time with me tonight I’ll be back live Sunday morning as always for fantasy football finals week um do we feel comt from starting him over zamir no yeah you got to start him over

Zamir if he’s active that’s going to be a tough situation but um I don’t think that he’ll be a decoy Carr Wilson C zir if Jacobs does not play yeah I’m playing C here play C over all these guys C I don’t think p is gonna play Kelsey for McBride Taylor is

Messing with this dude’s head yeah you gota go Kelsey over McBride but you can start both them for sure in some spots I’m I’m playing Kelsey over McBride I mean you took kelse in the first round I know MC Brad’s really good it’s it is close they’re my number one in two tight

End week but um flowers over London yeah I would go flowers over London that’s my time guys good luck tonight thanks so much for tuning in make sure you hit that subscribe button on YouTube if you haven’t yet hit that follow button on Tik Tok if you haven’t yet we’ll be back

Live Sunday morning as always good luck tonight everybody