It’s another jam packed edition of ‘Stat Nerd Thursday’ with Dalton Del Don and Matt Harmon. The two provide one stat you need to know for every team in the NFL heading into Week 17. Del Don and Harmon also preview the TNF matchup between the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns:
0:00 – INTRO
1:52 – Carolina Panthers
2:54 – Arizona Cardinals
5:18 – Washington Commanders
9:39 – New England Patriots
11:04 – New York Giants
12:19 – Los Angeles Chargers
14:15 – Tennessee Titans
15:05 – Chicago Bears
16:55 – Atlanta Falcons
18:42 – New Orleans Saints
20:18 – Green Bay Packers
22:29 – Las Vegas Raiders
24:58 – Denver Broncos
27:41 – Minnesota Vikings
29:57 – Houston Texans
32:34 – Pittsburgh Steelers
34:37 – Cincinatti Bengals
38:47 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
39:24 – Indianapolis Colts
41:46 – Seattle Seahawks
43:11 – Jacksonville Jaguars
46:56 – Los Angeles Chargers
49:13 – Buffalo Bills
51:49 – Kansas City Chiefs
53:13 – Dallas Cowboys
54:33 – Detroit Lions
59:57 – Miami Dolphins
1:00:37 – Philadelphia Eagles
1:01:33 – San Francisco 49ers
1:06:10 – Baltimore Ravens
1:08:25 – TNF Preview: Browns vs. Jets
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It’s Thursday December 28th I’m Matt Haron welcome to the Yahoo fantasy football show it is a hell of a day to talk ball and joining me to do just that is the one and only Dalton Delon Dalton what’s going on buddy what’s up Harman in recovery mode a bit here you know
Took the family to the Monday night game Christmas it wasn’t bad enough the Ravens spoiling my son’s first football game but Brock pie you know just seeing my MVP ticket go up in flames in prime time that wasn’t great then I drive home have to write about it you know do a
Little recap of what I just witnessed and then I did start not feeling too well right afterward and picked up some food poisoning at the game and was laying in bed all day Tuesday adding injury to insult so uh yeah it wasn’t the greatest last couple days for me but
But we move on Harmon how are you doing my man brutal man uh I’m sorry to hear that your your day at the 49ers stadium ended in such a horrific Fashion on multiple fronts uh but I’m glad you’re feeling better I’m glad you’re uh with
Us on the Pod I’m doing well I’m ready for week 17 man uh this is it this is championship week for basically everybody out there uh it’s it’s the last big like fantasy content week um so we got some we got some big games on the
Slate man that is for sure and we actually have a lot of news to get to throughout the show today cuz man it was uh talk about just a mess adding insult to injury there was a lot of benchings out there in the NFL today we’ll get to
All of those as we talk through every single team because it is stat nerd Thursday and we not only talk about every single team we give you one stat you need to know for all 32 teams we go in order of the standings the projected 2024 NFL draft order courtesy of tanon
That brings us to the first overall team here the Carolina Panthers hey we actually get to say something nice about the Panthers even in a losing effort Bryce young had multiple care career career and season best numbers last week against the Green Bay Packers 9.78 adjusted yards per attempt and a 110
Passer rating for Bryce young again those are the both those were both the best numbers of his season DJ CH even coming alive who could have seen that coming um but really Dalton how much of this is good for Bryce young but man that Packers defense is really really
Bad yeah just a second top 10 finish fantasy QB finish this season for Bryce young one takeaway is maybe we’ve seen the end of Mingo leading this team in targets CH totally dominated there Mingo was just not doing anything with them yeah my takeway was more green based
Defense is in trouble with some injuries um it was nice to see Bryce young being capable of a performance like this but I’m still you know ranking him as a bottom five fantasy QB this week and it’s uh more to do with green based defense with my takeaway second over all
TEAM Arizona Cardinals they’ve uh moved up in the draft order here Kyler Murray has the 6.4 average depth of throw the last two weeks uh running backs accounted for 14 of his 38 targets 37% last week in a losing effort against the Chicago Bears this team is just so
Beri of offensive Talent we’ve talked about it I think at this point they’re probably the favorite to draft Marvin Harrison um because it sounds like they’re going to stick with with Kyler Murray which man they they really do need an infusion of talent there on the offensive side because with Michael uh
Wilson and Maris Brown suffering through injuries in the back half of the year it’s just a really rough group and even Trey McBride got a little shut down against the Bears yeah right the week I hyped my guy Trey McBride and uh you didn’t see that come in there but it
Happens with tight ends go right back to McBride this week you could treat him as a number one fantasy tight end the Eagles are allowing the third most fantasy points two quarterbacks so Murray has an O Okay match up here you figure they’re going to be throwing a
Lot 10 and a half Point dogs um but yeah I I think it’s a a question the quarterback position uh or Marvin Harrison what a dilemma there but um it’s going to be an interesting one we’ll see in the draft but um Kyler Murray as a passer still in
Developmental mode at this stage of his career I don’t know but he’s certainly a different evaluation when we look at him as a fantasy player than a real life quarterback yeah I mean they’re just they’re in a position to get a team like the next team we’re going to talk about
Or the team after them uh Washington and New England to maybe jump up to that second overall pick if they are Comfort they’re comfortable with Murray they can get a couple of extra draft assets if they want to entice one of those teams to move up for Drake May if the bears go
Caleb Williams at number one overall so there’s a lot of ways the Cardinals could go they could also just stick and pick one of those guys and then trade Kyler Murray I think that would they’d get some offers for Murray but I I wonder I I guess Murray would in
Totality net them more um in return but I would also just again be tempted to see Murray with a like a full off season full year in the offense you know with full health and everything like that and also some real wide receivers guys thr right now in his defense Hollywood Brown
Is healthy Michael Wilson’s are number one rece yeah the guys he’s throwing to right now is bottom of the barrel totally yeah let’s see what he does against the Eagles this week because that obviously has been one of the biggest and best matchups for quarterbacks of late so we’ll see what
He can do this week against that secondary um third overall team Washington commanders they’re one of the teams in the news today Sam how has been officially benched for jacobe brassette Ron Rivera announced that this morning uh disingenuous stat alert but our stat for the commanders jacobe rette leads
The NFL with a 146.850 rating and a 12.4 adjusted net yards per attempt the last two weeks now he’s not started either of those games that’s why it’s a little bit disingenuous but there’s no doubt about it like when he’s got on when he’s gotten onto the field for Washington he
Has lit it up from a production standpoint and and brought like fought them back into both of those games as well brassette had a touchdown drive on his final two drives against the Rams and then his first three against the Jets five straight drives led to by brasset were touchdowns and then frankly
The six was three straight runs that they were trying to run out the end of that game so he is his full drives he’s five for five scoring tties now coming in in relief’s different than when the defense can prepare for you but it’s quite clear that he deserves a shot at
Starting this week instead of how I kind of expected that uh my 49ers will be you know upset coming off that loss but they’re traveling during a short week and you know brassett is certainly expect the spread to to to shorten from 13 and a half given the brasset news um
It’s a big line for the road but obviously ner is going to be upset but dealing with a ton of injuries Mo on their offensive line wouldn’t be shocked if peret keeps that game close yeah I mean I know it’s kind of tempting to wonder what jacobe ret would have been
Like over the course of the whole season I I mean obviously like as a Terry mclen backer a doson backer a Samuel backer I I kind of wish we had seen something from jaob Bret my my main takeaway here is just like look and and you can say
The same thing about Russ later on when we get to him in in the show we talk about the Broncos there were like again presumably real people on the internet like ready to fight you to the like ready to fight you to the end that despite some warning signs like that
There despite some clear fraudulence in the wins for the Broncos and two for for B for how the the passing production like n these guys were secretly great those there were clearly some fraudulence like not the the Broncos were not winning games because Russ was taking them over and you know the
Commanders like they weren’t putting up all these passing yards because Sam how was secretly a great player I think it’s probably over for Russ again we’ll talk about him in a second like as a viable starting quarterback in the NFL I think Sam how is perfectly fine in the um I
Keep saying the Ryan Fitzpatrick mold like he gets in there as he’s a backup he’s a spot starter he can really help you um in like put put up big production numbers from a passing standpoint I just don’t think we saw much from him this season to think like he’s Washington’s
Future I imagine that if they stick and pick at the second or third overall spot wherever they end up they are taking Drake May uh you know or or Caleb Williams I guess if Drake goes number one Anything could happen but I I think they’re firmly on rookie quarterback
Watch if they pick this High yeah Hal was more fun when he was taking a bunch of sacks uh Ron Rivera total coach speaks saying giving him a breather here and again it’s just dramatic the five touchdowns we’ve seen after uh how departed these games recently just the
Difference in the Ping ATT and why is he featuring mclen more so as much as I I like to be a backer like your dad of Sam how it looks like his future in the NFL is of the backup variety yeah no I think honestly the fact that jaob jacobe BR
Gets in there and plays pretty well is a sign partly not that just how not like a big thing on how I think they put way too much on his plate like they they want him to make full field reads they don’t really run a lot of routes that
Make a lot of sense together they don’t give him like easy design throws to his number one guy like which should just be Terry mclen like that’s a lot to put on a quarterback who’s very very early in his starting Journey so while he’s been able
To produce a lot of numbers it just hasn’t led to like a successful really strong offense so like a veteran guy like jaob ret who’s seen it all who’s who’s been in multiple offenses who’s worked with a lot of different players I think there’s a reason he can get in
There and play pretty well I expect him to play pretty well if he has to finish the season out these next two games just quickly move on to this team but uh this week without maybe Chris Rodriguez and Brian Robinson no running backs betet $20 minimum Yahoo DFS we’re going to
Have some real interesting quarterback options in DFS this week Tyrod Taylor just some some minimum guys uh if you want to go that route yeah I like brassette in that way number four overall Team New England Patriots Ezekiel Elliott 27.2% Target year ranks 12th among all pass catchers the last three weeks man
Bayy zappy loves himself some passes to Zeke ell at these last few games yeah you know that he was going to bounce back after busting everyone last week uh um yeah Zeke is getting all the touches if Stephenson remains out he’s a locked in rb2 regardless of match up even
Against Buffalo as big dogs you’re going to see all those targets so I’m still using him even even in the the tough matchup and I’m sure the projected low team total he’s just getting all those uh those crucial touches and and most of the work at the goal line I know when
When he lost that touchdown a couple weeks ago it was from the 10 even so I’m expecting Zeke to to get the high value touches there it was pretty funny to see the different reactions between bayy zappy versus bill bich when that winning field goal went in like bayy zappy was
Jacked up and Bill bich just kind of staring around because I don’t think Bill’s going to be the coach of this team for much longer I wonder how the fans feel when they win that game and it’s like oh damn now we’re picking fourth overall when we could be looking
At like the Drake May photoshops and stuff like that and Pat on both our backs for warning people in Survivor to avoid that game we gave you the Bears instead member Sunday night you you were on it with me there that that was a trap that Broncos game the Patriots have a
Good defense they that was not shocked at all to see that game be competitive yeah and we’ll talk about the Broncos offense in just a second but first number five overall team New York Giants they also benched their quarterback Tommy DeVito was benched for Tyrod Taylor Taylor came in in relief of Tommy
DeVito in week 16 on Christmas Day DeVito took eight sacks for 59 yards lost in week 16 meanwhile Tyrod Taylor was sacked zero times this team is obviously just playing out the string but I understand why they had kind of seen enough of the Tommy DeVito experience in went back to Tyrod Taylor
Yeah even when they were winning he was just kind of getting it done by scrambling and not really necessarily how something that was going to last the Rams um over the last five weeks have allowed the second most schedule adjusted fantasy points to quarterbacks uh by the way the Rams when they all
Those their stars are on the field they have like the number one EPA too so anyway set up here is for Tyrod Taylor to score some fantasy points cuz he also runs so I love him in DFS I love him in super Flex as a pickup I’m using him in
A championship league adding him in a super Flex using him right away so uh yeah that that’s my takeaway here oh Darius Slayton has a high Target rate with Tyrod Taylor small sample this year too so if you really want to do a cheap stack Slayton and Taylor pay up for
Mcaffrey in a big bounceback spot something like that in DFS I like that call Sixth overall team Los Angeles Chargers Austin Eckler played 43 snaps in week 16 Isaiah Spiller played 15 Josh Kelly played Seven both backups had singled digit carry share and Target share on the offense in week 16 um look
I don’t think this is actually that surprising because I typically it’s like oh you want to get a look at the younger guys ekler is not going to be on the team next year I mean dude these guys really are not good I mean Kelly and Isaiah Spiller I don’t think either of
Them are starter quality Eckler’s going to be free agent next year Kelly’s not going to be on the team next year he’s a free agent and Isaiah Spiller is going to be the only guy there like they’re a serious candidate to add some players in that backfield next season oh yeah big
Big time um yeah Eckler solid matchup this week uh the Broncos are also vulnerable to receiving backs so you can use him if you want to he did with the new coach he saw most of the running back opportunities there was no change there so we know he’s not playing at
100% but um he’s getting the high value touches and if you need him you can use him in this spot but I would be surprised if the Chargers don’t have a completely revamped backfield next year and hopefully Eckler you know finds a spot that uh he can totally still be
Valuable both in NFL and in fantasy with a healthy healthy Eckler you know in a different spot because um I think clearly the problem with him is just trying to play through this ankle injury this year yeah I can see that I mean High anle sprains a serious injury he
Did come back pretty fast from it I obviously has a lot of motivation to not miss games I think that’s probably why so we’ll see uh where he ends up I think he could at least be like a a role player on passing Downs next year like
At the very least in in kind of like a a committee type two running back situation and if anyone missed the clip on your podcast uh one of the last couple ones with you was Illuminating when you talked about how he saw that his GPS was 13 mph and everyone making
Fun of him on that clip cuz his ankle was so taped up and he went and he recorded himself the next day at 20 miles an hour to make sure he know he’s not so that was interesting Insight yeah I definitely would uh go back and listen
To that if you haven’t listened to the most recent episode of eor edes a couple weeks ago number seven overall team Tennessee Titans Ryan tanah Hill ranked 29th in adjusted net yards for attempt among quarterbacks in week 16 um yeah getting tanah Hill out there not good uh
I Galaxy brained myself into starting tanah Hill in uh the league that we’re in together the injur prone League where I lost to the semi-finals wouldn’t helped me anyways if I played bayy zappy over Ryan tanah Hill but uh he did not provide any sort of upgrade I don’t
Think tanah Hill is going to be like somebody that PE and look that’s a bad offensive line I I still see tanah Hill as a guy that’s like banded about as a potential starter for teams next year I I don’t know if we’re at that point with
Ryan tanhill anymore oh he’s been brutal this year all season long I think he looks like he’s entering backup mode for the rest of his career uh Houston has allowed the third most schedule adjusted fantasy points to QBs the last five weeks but um I think DeAndre Hopkins
Fantasy managers were hoping Levis makes a surprise return eighth overall team Chicago Bears uh there was a lot of like oh Roshan Johnson chatter when deont Foreman was ruled out with a personal issue in week 16 well not so fast because khil Herbert played 52% of the
Snaps led the team 51.3% of the team Rush attempts led the team uh and he ran just one fewer route than Johnson so he really kind of surprisingly returned for a monster role in week 16 it was a perfect setup for my guy Herbert leader in Rush yard’s over
Expectation last year um horrible season for him though that he might have right when he was coming on he suffered that injury in which Justin Fields just missed him on that pass but I digress Forman a a surprise scratch for personal reasons DJ Moore injured on the first
Drive and just a decoy the rest of the game sadly as someone used him in DFS Cole KT leaves the second half with an injury Bob tunan may be a sleeper this week week so it was a perfect setup for Herbert oh also by the way at home
Against by far the most favorable match up for Fantasy backs so it was a perfect storm for him and who knows if Foreman returns this week and uh I don’t know I know people love Roshan Johnson but to me he’s the third best back in in in
This back field um he’s he’s the passing down back and Herbert really struggles in pass protection yes but you know between the tackles or running it’s not even close it’s it’s it’s Herbert and the team loves Foreman too so we’ll see what happens this week they’re facing an
Incredibly tough Falcons they’re a run funnel defense because they’re also tough against white outs but they’re really tough against the run as we saw Jonathan Taylor struggle last week um and now a foreman comes back it’s a situation probably to to avoid in fantasy but um the other thing to pay
Attention to here is DJ Moore’s health I mean is he just going to be a decoy with that ankle now or what but that was frustrating he he suffered it right away had a huge wrap on it and then returned and I was pumped but he was basically a
Decoy yeah DJ mois played a lot against those Atlanta Falcons over the years in Carolina so uh we’ll actually get to the Falcons now next they’re the 10th overall team we’re skipping the ninth overall team New York Jets because they’re playing on Thursday night so Atlanta Falcons 10th overall team here
Jonu Smith tied Drake London with a 21.1% first read Target share coin to fantasy points data in week 16 I mean terrific just just wonderful stuff there uh we’re still getting jnu Smith uh the ball on these designer plays um definitely had enough of the Falcons um
Even like damn even ban Robinson had like he’s just sitting there in the end zone probably got to keep his feet in bounds on that play but their faults yeah throw the ball earlier and also have some spatial awareness yeah yes correct yeah don’t don’t go full like
Receiver not knowing where the boundary is there so yeah that was a little bit opposite of Amari Cooper He’s the opposite of Amari Cooper on sideline and yes um but yeah pretty I mean look I’m I’m sick of this Falcons offense all the same I wonder if uh they’ll they’ll be
Playing against their quarterback next year uh when Justin Fields goes against them in week 16 although I saw a lot of people people suggest like oh Arthur Smith and Russell Wilson are going to make the weirdest offense possible in 2024 there is a part of me that can see
That in my mind’s eye uh but yeah again for now I don’t know what to really say about the Falcons because they’re just they’re the Falcons well the weird thing about the jonu Smith is Tucker Fisk was actually getting more snaps than jonu Smith if you like really pay attention
To box scores and then suddenly Janu becomes a feature part of their offense so it is weird this coaching staff uh this week they go on the road to face the Bears defense that’s first an EPA per play uh since week 11 since training for Montes sweat so um it’s a a tougher
Matchup Outdoors um for your Falcons but yeah the bejon roller coaster has been a fun one last week he produced yet had fewer carries than Patterson and Alger combined number 11 overall Team New Orleans Saints they ranked 21st in weighted dvoa they’re like kind of falling apart
Here as the season ends especially on defense uh I pointed this out on FFL last week that and I think on this show too that their Rush defense has really particularly fallen on hard times they’re going to go against the Bucks this week they’re not going to have
Marshon Latimore to get the worst out of Mike Evans so man Saints really are just petering towards the end of the season and I don’t really know what the offseason’s going to look like them look like for them either yeah at least Derek Carr put up a big Fantasy game against
The Rams and Alive classic Derek Car classic Derek Car by the way the Rams are a very favorable match up for him to do so as well but yeah the they’re a tough team to figure out the Saints uh you look at that spread and it’s just
Three points against who’s going to bet on New Orleans I picked them in my sta pick segment because sometimes you split you know they lost the first time they faced Tampa Bay so I could see them bouncing back and winning here just because Tampa Bay looked so good last
Week and everyone’s riding off New Orleans because that’s what happens in this division too so um Carr alive maybe you’re probably using them maybe a consideration in DFS but um but yeah and Alvin chra routinely gets getting ranked a little bit more High than he’s producing but um you’re using him
Obviously yeah I mean look it’s tough cuz this team’s going to look pretty similar to to how they look this year or next year right um Chris La not not had a perfect second season I think anybody would would be willing to say that but he still cleared 80 catches he cleared a
Th yards this series four touchdowns um it just I wonder he’s goingon to have Derek Cars as quarterback next year so he’s gonna be he’s going to be a very interesting guy to rank in 2024 uh 12th overall Team Green Bay Packers they are actually in the news uh
Today not just a bunch of quarterbacks getting sent to the bench Packers quarterback Jer Alexander suspended one game for conduct detrimental to the team if you miss this story it’s actually pretty wild he was not announced as a team captain but he went out for the
Coin toss anyways and then called it and said like we want to go on defense which isn’t like you’re you’re supposed to say we defer to the other team then then they and then they pick usually that so and the ref even said to him like are
You sure and he’s like I guess I guess I don’t know you like kind of had the ref had to save him from making this big mistake it’s a pretty wild thing if you again if you haven’t seen it yet you can dive a little deeper into the story not
A big fantasy storyline cuz it is wild that the defense is in so much chaos some of the um expensive veterans on the team just weird Vibes with like him and and David bakari you know obviously he’s on IR he’s been out for the season so
It’s just it’s wild but at the same time while there’s all this chaos on defense where there’s all this kind of like weirdness with some of the guys who’ve been around this team for a while the offense really I just couldn’t couldn’t say many more better things about them
Jordan love the last two weeks where he kind of went through a little bit of a slump there in a couple games after after riding high off that Chiefs win he’s even been dealing with injuries in the skill position groups um you know Davian Wix was in a great spot last week
With Jaden Reed out then he gets hurt mid game despite all that the last two weeks Jordan love ninth in adjusted net yards per attempt among quarterbacks and eighth in passer rating the last two weeks impressive against the Carolina defense has shut down opposing fantasy quarterbacks I mean it’s in part due to
Gam script but they also have pretty good cornerback so especially dealing with those injured receivers an impressive performance from love nice to see Aaron Jones back getting a full allotment of snaps uh eight carries in the red zone for Aaron Jones so he’s due for more touchdown luck you love to see
Uh see him back back healthy probably with fantasy managers out of the playoffs but uh nice to see you now a tougher matchup in Minnesota but yeah it’s a tough team to figure out and we got to pay attention to the injuries on on these white outs but Jordan love uh
Big big performance last week uh next team up here 13th overall Las Vegas Raiders the Raiders defense ranks first in EPA per play allowed and 15th in success rate since week 13 and I saw uh JJ zachar note that since Antonio Pierce took over as the Raiders head
Coach their defense and special team is defense and special teams unit is first in fantasy points scored per game it’s a wild turnaround for a group that like come into the year it’s like ah They have Max Crosby and a bunch of other dudes they’ve gotten big plays out of
Jack Jones uh who obviously was a former New England Patriot they’ve gotten big plays out of him they’ve gotten defensive touchdowns which is boosting up the EPA here and the fantasy scoring but again they’ve like a perfectly viable solid NFL defense and again they make big plays on these turnovers which
Boosts the EPA and the fantasy scoring yeah very impressive and certainly surprising me for sure this performance from the Raiders defense I know we all are frustrated with the broken Kansas City offense but Vegas uh deserves some credit for last week’s performance Max Crosby should he be the defensive player
Of the year the guy never misses a snap returning after like literally having his knee drained in the hospital day of games earlier this season I mean he’s just a beast and he’s you double him and it’s he still provides pressure on like say hell Mar situations he’s he’s really
Awesome man he really should be strongly considered defensive player of the year um so yeah now you look at the matchups this week and you look at the Colts and it’s like oh maybe a home matchup isn’t necessar a smash for for Taylor who TR the Taylor by the way that thumb injury
May preventing him from getting any catches too so yeah impressive work with with Pierce and what the Raiders have done on D yeah I think Pierce has done enough to to keep that job Patrick Graham the defensive coordinator probably should stick around too after this performance you definitely you can
Look at like maybe bringing in somebody different from a play caller perspective although I think they’ve been solid on offense given they’re starting like a day three rookie quarterback I do think um there’s some overhaul that needs to be done on the offensive side but the
Raiders are not as far away as I might have thought I think they just needed to get the energy vampire joshc Daniels and then that whole crew out of there but this is like a totally different vibe totally different culture I mean Max Crosby he’s he’s beasting in the games
He’s smoking cigars in the locker room it’s it’s it’s pretty wild uh so I think he is I agree with you he’s one of my favorite players in the league great story the whole thing with him so uh the more shine he can get the better in my
Book and yeah I think they’re a streamer candidate like raid the Raiders defense is a streamer candidate against the Colts uh and because we’ll talk about Garner muu later coming off one of his least inspiring games but 14th overall team Denver Broncos Russell Wilson was benched this morning it was one of those
Where like it leaked out that they were thinking about benching him and then like 15 minutes it was announced that he yeah they’re going to sit him uh this coming week Tom peliso uh notes that the reason this is happening Russell Wilson is due 39 million fully guaranteed in
2024 another 37 million guaranteed in 2025 for injury only until the fifth day of the league year in 2024 that’s again when it would fully vest so Bingham now sets up the financial decision for the Russell Wilson era in a couple of months essentially if he was to get hurt these
Final two games he was his 25 salary would be fully guaranteed and look there’s nothing about the way Russ has played this year despite some decent numbers at points they’re clearly playing like they got to hide him and that offense is a mess man my stat for
The Broncos this week um the wide receiver tight end routes in week 16 after courin Sutton left with a concussion following two routes Jerry Judy 35 Brandon Johnson 28 Lil Jordan Humphrey 22 Marvin Mims 19 Adam Troutman 14 Lucas craw 13 I mean that’s got like
That’s got to be one of the lightest and least inspiring pass catching groups in the NFL and a quarterback that you need to hide and you need to manage that’s why this offense it was just has just been pretty again don’t care what any of the numbers say it’s
Been a rough watch this year the writing was been on the wall since the preseason frankly Payton made stum the highest paid backup in the league I believe and um he he he attempted it with Wilson who does have a 15 to1 touchdown int ratio
At home but a career low 6.9 ypa the offense does nothing to he leads the league in checkdowns by a wide margin and Sutton bailing him out in the Red Zone frankly so um yeah this isn’t surprising and Russell Wilson’s clearly not going to be in Denver moving forward stum another
DFS minimum option here in a favorable matchup although if Sutton misses this game it’s an ugly wide receiver qu and you said tight ends and everyone there Judy just a disaster of a season stayed healthy and and what no touchdowns all season one touchdown all season long um
Hasn’t earned more hasn’t even earned seven targets uh in more than seven Targets in the game all year I mean not good man not good but St them we’re going to get an audition here of the rest of the year but Denver and other team looking for their future at the
Quarterback position yeah Mims has been a disaster as a rookie too like he’s he’s just not there as a route Runner like there’s a reason he’s fourth on this team in routes run despite the fact courin Sutton uh cannot obviously did not finish that game 15th overall team
Minnesota Vikings Vikings had a 15% dropback rate over expectation according to Fantasy Life data that is easily their highest of the post Kirk Cousins era there’s some matchup stuff here uh obviously your boy Nick Mullins man uh he is he is Dr chaos back there behind
Center but that’s all we want out of this offense from a fantasy perspective unfortunately now they’re they’re banged up here with Jordan Addison uh on the injur report TJ hackinson is probably going to miss time into next year with a multi- ligament injury in his knee so I
Mean Justin Jefferson how is he not if Nick Mullins stays under Center and they’ keep dropping back like this how is Justin Jefferson not going to get like 20 Targets in a game yeah Jefferson has a clear argument to be the top uh fan wide out this week my guy Mullins um
Predicted top 10 fantasy QB last week I think he was 12th despite throwing four picks 41 yards uh but yeah four picks and two two uh fumbles not great but the 411 yards got it done for fantasy and he has another favorable matchup this week against the AFF forementioned uh Packers
Secondary dealing with no Alexander also so on the other hand as you said no Hawkinson and Addison so a healthy Addison would certainly help Mullins the other issue there with Minnesota is we don’t even know who’s starting at quarter quart back it’s still could be hall or do so you’re avoiding the
Quarterback position there and I’m firing up Chandler who even though it didn’t result in the Box Score a tough matchup last week easier one this one this week and with Madison’s return uh oconnell stuck to his word and Chandler was the Workhorse there I preliminarily
Have him ranked as my rb10 this week Ty Chandler he got Mullins killed a few times though in that game from a fast prodction I don’t I don’t know that like Alexander Madison’s going to be so much better as a pass protector they got to
Get him in there at some point but like it was pretty wild that they Dro back that much and and the running back they had back there was that much of a a bit of a mess in protection so uh we’ll see but I agree with you that I don’t think
There’s a chance they go back to Josh dobs it sounds like if they start somebody else it’ll be it’ll be jiren Hall this week and you QB 11 for Nick Mullen so you were close buddy you were like 0.2 points away from from being a top 10 quarterback so if you didn’t get
That big Bryce young performance then you might really been talking there all right 16th overall team Houston Texans Nico Collins in his return was fourth on the team in routes in week 16 but he trailed only Dalton Schultz in targets per route run he did bail you out if you
Had to play him with a touchdown um I I feel much better right now though with Nico Collins with CJ stad likely to come back this week yeah I want to talk a little bit briefly about uh CJ strad whom I’m worried about uh hopefully for
For no reason but um oh man so the week before when he played Denver have you seen the footage going around that he took this hit and he and he and clearly in the fourth quarter he’s he’s wobbly and and needs to have help and and move
Him off the field and then he he returns to the game um as as a weirdo who uh who watches games that I have Survivor on too closely in the Arizona game earlier this year he took a massive helmet to helmet hit early in the third quarter of
That game the Texans were shut out they were shut out in the second half at home against the uh Arizona who has by far the worst fourth quarter point differential like ever so uh at minimum he suffered three concussions this year uh it’s it’s not good and you look at
I’m probably G to say it wrong but aixia or whatever the signs he was showing at the after this Broncos hit uh he was out cold on the ground and they lift him up it’s scary stuff man I I it’s it’s it’s I hope he’s okay obviously but I mean I
What my point is why is he rushing back I don’t know why they’re playing him this week but uh I there’s some concern regarding CJ stra and all these concussions as a fantasy guy I mean uh or from the other side of the coin I hope he’s if he does return this week
You’re using colins you’re using Stroud it’s a good matchup but man strout’s been hit to the Head too many times this year no you’re you’re definitely right to point that out I think they’re coming they’re having them come back here because there’s a little bit of blood in the water with Jacksonville they’re
Eight and seven to tie like lead the division right now they’re the eighth seed in the AFC playoff race obviously his Health long term and his damn brain is more important than the AFC playoff race but I think that’s the reason they want to get him back is uh they’re they
Could make they can New York Times gives them a 34% chance to make the playoffs 50% chance to to win the division with the way uh their schedule slates out here but again they have a they have a chance here to to push into the postseason no I hear that and I actually
Have a I have a ticket on them winning the division so I appreciate that but man look into that the details the the the dender Bronco game the hit and then two weeks before that the the the Cardinals and then obviously the one he suffered more most recently so it’s it’s
It’s just something to to to note 17th overall team Pittsburgh Steelers George Pickins has six games under 40 receiving yards this year four games over 100 obviously including the most recent one where him and Mason Rudolph dunked on the Cincinnati Bengals um George pin is
Such a hard guy to figure out man uh because when he’s dialed in and he’s playing extremely well and like the quarterback’s giv him like the ball on these in-breaking routes he can be a great player um but it’s just just been so volatile this year I had to like just
Ignore all of the Twitter like Victory Laps on George Pickins during that game it’s like I mean what are we talking about here like did you he’s again tough guy to figure out I think he’s a really really good player and I I just want to see all these guys in a different
Offense with a different quarterback but I’m not really sure I’m just really not sure how if we’re going to get one next year with the Pittsburgh Steelers 195 receiving yards on just six targets last week um but yeah his role comes and goes uh he’s seen just one Target in the Red
Zone since week nine uh zero targets inside the five all year I don’t know they could utilize him a little bit more there given his frame I would think um but yeah he’s a a receiver with upside but obviously going to be very mercial and super frustrating and needs to learn
How to block better definitely needs to learn uh to block better like that was the thing that was so annoying it’s like oh man George Pickin showed up the media and showed up the haters like yeah well what are we talking about like he brought that situation on himself uh
But like I say it’s it’s it’s a sign of a good organization when you like get the best out of a talented player like that he ran the most routes on the team he was involved right from the jump that was like what the third play that he
Housed for 80 plus yards that’s a sign of like a you’ve got a good head coach there when you don’t like have this crazy media week where where he’s just in the crosshairs with the effort and the blocking and like Jaylen Warren’s even out there saying hey I would have
Blocked for Pickins um you know it you could let that situ situation go to rot Mike Tomlin did not which is good because then you get the best out of a really talented very good football player in George Pickins speaking of those Bengals there are 18th overall
Team here T hickin only had a 21.4% Target here in week 16 tied with Andre yosias yo I don’t I don’t know much about this dude guy uh this dude Dalton but uh man he’s uh he super athletic and he was out there uh running
A lot of routes with Jamar chase out of the mix so last week Higgins uh I want to talk you about process and outcome here so Higgins faced Joey Porter shadowed like I believe 32 of 40 routes but one of the other seven or eight
Routes was an 80 yard touchdown uh so I mean what do you what what do you do with that information um it shows you know on one hand that it you can still have a big fantasy performance against these Elite corners or the other you don’t really want to rely on that 80-
Yard touchdown catch every time and just so there’s very few Shadow Corners these days in the league but it just so happens he might get another one this week in leria Sneed so just an interesting thing to think I mean I’m going to I’m going to treat him as just
As I did last week uh top 25 borderline top 20 fantasy white out given his but you even said the target share wasn’t as we expected but that could have been the porter Factor but it’s just interesting to note that there’s a few Shadow Corners in the in the league but you can
Still be productive on the you know the handful of routes if you blow up on the one time you don’t get him but um it’s funny that he’s facing one of the the others this week too in sne yeah and I wouldn’t say any of these guys are like
Prime jayen Ramsay or prime derell Rivas or anything like that where it’s like okay this guy’s going to Shadow you across the field and he might completely blank you right um because it only takes one or two opportunities where yeah t Higgins can make a massive play on one
Of these routes where he gets away from from Joey Porter you can also just win that matchup um that’s thing though I think it it has to all be a piece of the puzzle right because I think it’s right to sit there and say okay he’s got this
Match up with Joey Porter so his margin for error is going to be thinner it’s not zero because Higgins is a quality player and he can get away from Porter and he can house that big touchdown right he’s a good player um so it’s all part of just like deciding where the
Margin for error is and also just being like okay well how good is T Higgins as a player how involved is he going to be in this offense and I think slotting him somewhere in that top 25 is right because I think there are other Temptations to be like okay well he’s a
Top five ranked receiver when Jamar Chase is not in there which is not the case yeah and I think another way of looking at it is it’s like a DFS decision Helper because like yes we’re all starting Higgins if you have him without Chase just because of the
Projected volume but it is something to consider when you’re looking at at matchups so I would say more so DFS yeah right and if like somebody just tackles him on that play like we’re not having this conversation right I mean or or like the other Corner does their job
It’s like but it’s a Zone coverage look you know again maybe Browning gets sacked on that play when he’s running wide ass open Anything Can Happen football’s a hard game man uh it’s it’s a very thin margin for error game um and a lot of different things can can can be
A factor in the whole final end results which is why I you know like you said Dalton look at the results versus the process and and try to make the best decisions the best decisions that you can 19th overall team Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the last three weeks Baker Mayfield leads all quarterbacks
Who have started all three games in past rating and adjusted yards per attempt I mean dude Baker is just balling out and and he’s just shoving into my face left and right for being a big Baker hater uh you got to give him credit man he’s played awesome of late yeah the last
Three weeks nine touchdowns zero interceptions wasn’t he another Andy Barons guy he and leaport again we we will never say this on the Pod with Andy Barons but incredible call when he said that he was going to be the Gino Smith of this year on the flip the script series we we will
Never because Baron’s does not listen to the episodes that he is not on there’s no chance but way too big time for that way too big time he’s got other things to play in his private jet and his yacht and everything like that but um yeah no
It was a hell of a call and give him all the credit for it Baker may get a New Orleans secondary still without Marshon lmar who’s unlikely to return to practice this week um yeah what what more to say other than uh who needs Tom Brady when you have Baker who’s
Absolutely balling this year no no no question about it it’s been impressive and he’s just fun to watch too he makes like big runs every game and takes and finishes with contact and is fired up and he’s uh yeah he has him playing well yeah he’s like the peak of the uh
Sam how kind of archetype like it’s he can get the ball to The Playmakers which has been actually been a struggle in his career but I think in an offense that really is well coached and welld designed which I think this bucks offense is um he can he can get it to
These guys man I it’s just that is a it’s a very interesting Arc Type of quarterback right um and I think this next guy actually gets into this archetype as well 20th overall team Indianapolis Colts season low 4.22 adjusted yards per attempt for Gardner minu last week without Michael Pitman
And it felt that way man it was it was a rough watch uh had them on one of my screens up here the Colts and the Falcons just because I don’t know it was the best I could get in the early slated games with the
Games being so spread out um not a great game for Gardner MCH I think obviously not having Pitman and and getting scratch so late is another part of this too that’s that’s what I think we don’t talk about enough is like the timing of when guys gets ruled out really like
That can have a big effect on on the game plan like usually the game plan’s just set and now it’s like okay well we can’t just change everything on Sat because Michael Pitman gets ruled out super late was it like Friday Saturday I I don’t even remember here um you know
They’re just going to that offense with what it was and and that can definitely be bad from a defense and offense perspective and Atlanta has some good corners but that wasn’t tough watch it’s a good way of putting it I saw him make some plays early on but then it just
Seemingly they couldn’t move the ball at all after that first possession um yeah and then he gets another tougher match up this week against uh aforementioned Raiders D that’s actually allowed what is it about the 10th fewest fantasy points quarterbacks lately what about your guy Josh DS his yards per Target I
Haven’t looked at but it’s got to be among the bottom of the barrel here um not on him you think yeah I mean look he’s a rookie slot receiver in a in an offense that’s captained by Gardner mchu like there that’s a big part of it here um I know
He had like what nine targets and fewer than 40 yards or something like that um but yeah I don’t know man I definitely think that Downs a couple weeks ago we had 13 targets for 43 yards a month ago too yeah it’s been some it’s 7.2 I mean
It’s not like the worst thing in the world it’s not like you know hideously low but but I think lately the the late like the late season stretch has not been great for downs but he also did say he’s been dealing with a knee injur all year yeah so
I think DS will be a good player when they get Anthony Richardson back and you know they kind of figure this offense more out but I mean it that this is tough like when you have a really well- coached team and they’re really well they’re really well equipped to get the
Ball to the best player on the team and as Josh DS you are not the best player on the team you’re always going to suffer a little bit I think from like a production standpoint especially again when your quarterback is as limited as Garner mchu is speaking of crowded
Receiver rooms number 20 first overall team Seattle Seahawks first read Target shares since week 13 in the Seahawks offense Tyler Lockett team High 25.5 jsn 23.6 DK metf 22.6% um it’s It’s just tough to parse this receiver room out when all these guys are so close and I don’t think
There’s like a talent Gap here between any of these guys like I think they are all in terms of how good they all are right now it’s it’s very condensed uh so you get games like last week against the Titans Lockett has lot of catches stuff
Like that you know jsn has a fine game meaf gets the touchdown it’s just it with with a kind of where they’re at from a quarterback in a pass game standpoint you’re not going to get anybody really standing out here they’re all going to kind of X each other out a
Little bit from an upside standpoint love to hear the uh jsn praise and speaking of Joey Porter Jr he may get a shadowing DK metf here so if you’re going to use that as a tiebreaker that’s definitely a possibility here so uh yeah I mean lockett’s had a disappointing
Year overall but he’s coming on and jsn say the same um but yeah an even distribution there lowers all of their their fantasy upside unfortunately Kenneth Walker I could see having a really nice game here at at home he’s very gam script dependent but um in this
Matchup at home against Pittsburgh I I I really like K9 here I like that call out 22nd overall team very disappointing Jacksonville Jaguars Jags actually Le the NFL and expected dropb rate and actual dropback rate in weeks 13 to 16 according to Sam hoppen um dude I think
I really feel like Jacksonville falling apart at the seams and I’m pretty concerned about how this team’s going to operate uh the next couple of weeks and into the playoffs if they do indeed make the postseason which they they probably will win the division and everything I
Mean I I guess I just I’m I’m pretty shook from what I’m seeing uh out of the Jags right now how are you feeling about Jacksonville uh bags at this point so when did Trevor Lawrence suffer that injury because I almost tweeted it’s malpractice he’s still in this game and
Then he left like a drive after but I I I may have suffered it earlier but anyway what was he doing in that absolute blowout coming off that concussion in which he rushed him back from too another just crazy decision there although I appreciate as someone with Calvin Ridley that was very awesome
Garbage time second half there um yeah my guy etn definitely been struggling and slowed down with that heavy workload they got just absolutely blown out against Tampa Bay last week just just just bad there so yeah Trevor Lawrence he can make all the throws he can run
For a guy his size but I just don’t know if he it it just he throws the ball too hard on these touch passes kind of like Herbert kind of does that too but I don’t know just something’s there and I think I think Trevor Lawrence we just
Have to all realize and come to grips that he looks like a the 10th to 15th best quarterback in the NFL and we’re not going to see anything better than that unfortunately yeah I mean I think if he has Matt Ryan’s career are you disappointed by that I I would say no
Because Matt Gan had a great career but I think it’s within the context of oh he’s a generational Pros ECT the best sense Andrew Luck the best sense John Elway that type of stuff it seems and feels disappointing but like when I watch Trevor Lawrence I see a guy that
You can definitely you can win with and maybe even win because of but he’s not I mean it’s just seems stupid to say this but like he’s not Mahomes he’s probably not Josh Allen like I think he’s in that next group down where you need to um
Surround him with a I also watch this team I feel like they have not helped him at all from an offensive design standpoint and they haven’t helped the receivers in a lot of ways either I think it is going to be again regardless of how the season finishes because even
If they make the playoffs I think they can get whooped in the first round by um shoot like like I I feel so much better about the Browns right now than I do about the Jags right um but oh yeah I think there needs to be regardless how the season ends some
Really hard and difficult conversations in Jacksonville about all right we have a quarterback that’s good he he should be good enough maybe he’s not like I said an elite player worthy of all the hype that he got from being the first overall pick and and a generational Prospect and
All that stuff but like that stuff doesn’t matter at this point like you need to now like win games and set your team up for success and I don’t think that they did that this off season with some of the Personnel moves I mean tank Bigsby that was a disaster um you know
Some of the offensive line stuff is is rough but I think schematically they have really let this offense down and let it kind of go to waste uh here in the especially as the season has worn on yeah losing Kirk didn’t and now another tougher match up against the Panthers
This week and we’re in doubt it looks like Trevor Lawrence’s status with that shoulder injury too so he may be getting better yeah I mean like Z Jones is not that good like he’s a fourth receiver but we seem to have but he matters so much bro like that’s not that’s not good
It’s not good if like oh no we don’t have Z Jones like what are we going to do like that’s that’s not good if if if Z Jones is like anything close to a Jenga piece for your offense um 23rd overall team let’s move on my God 23rd
Overall Team LA Rams this one comes in from Detroit Lions 313 on Twitter Rams offense with Matthew Stafford Kiren Williams puka nakua and Cooper Cup on the field at the same time in 2023 first in EPA per play dropback EPA dropback success rate success rate rushing success rate points per Drive
Yards per Drive rushing EPA I mean that’s pretty crazy when you consider what we thought of guys like puka and Kiren prior to the season it’s crazy that they’ve been that big of differen makers but they really really have um I mean Stafford I think has played great
This season and cup finally seems like he’s healthy again so I don’t know man Rams are really dangerous and and probably like a top five ecosystem in the NFL right now yeah absolutely when they’re healthy like this really helpful for Fantasy managers as well um could be
A fun Detroit Lions Rams first round of the playoffs matchup there everyone says Stafford Revenge game but really isn’t that more of the golf Revenge game there considering Stafford won you went on to win the Super Bowl um 100% so Demarcus Robinson I want to just talk about him a
Little bit it’s deeper leagues or whatever but he’s took over the that number three role before Atwell got hurt or at minimum was splitting I mean he was running 20 plus routes back since week 12 so he’s developed as their third and maybe he’ll split with a healthier
Atwell but gives him another dimension there and Williams is good man he’s not just that that that that McVey likes him he’s good player maybe should have been drafted higher so this is a a fun offense uh that that also gives defensively yes they were playing they
Were playing better in the first half of the season this secondary of no names is actually being a bit more forgiving so that’s good for Fantasy both sides higher scoring so with Tyrod Taylor this week I could see it uh you know producing for on both sides for us in
Fantasy yeah I mean obviously it’s a knock on wood situation but I think the reason that some of these guys like fell on the draft I mean puka for sure and even Kiren Williams like there were injury concerns because he’s a smaller back puka had a injury late in college
Career it’s like there’s a reason that we’re saying when all these guys are on the field at the same time right uh from a from a EPA and all these high rankings perspectives and Cooper cup like their injury concerns late in his career you just hope this thing can last that’s all
I hope because man these guys are so good and they’re so fun to watch 24th overall team Buffalo Bills Stefon Diggs had the highest Target share and first read Target share among all pass catchers in week 16 obviously the results were not there he ran just 18
Routes like I think when I watch Stephon Diggs I don’t think like oh man this guy’s cooked or anything like that and I’m I’m going to really chart this out and have something on it later in the week but man it’s like this Buffalo offense is just really
Different than the group that we’ve seen in the past where it was just Josh Allen Stefon Diggs and that’s it I mean Gabe Davis’s role obviously not last week but has been completely marginalized too cuz they just have other options to go to and I think a lot of that is what’s
Going on with this whole digs slump as we end the season over his last nine games saon is 50 receiving yards um I know he slumped at the end of last year too but what is going on here because it’s not like Gabe Dave is is balling so
The last couple games there’s been you know fewer fewer dropbacks um for Allen but um yeah I don’t know his his ECR took a hit this week his expert consensus rank I dropped him down to like 15th wide receiver when he’s been top 10 all year long so people are
Getting fed up with him and now a tougher matchup against New England so uh so yeah his ecr’s wide receiver 14 this year so this week so obviously you’re starting him but he has not returned value even close as a guy who was drafted consistently as a top eight
Pick in the first round which is crazy because he started this year looking like one of the right answers you know at wide receiver and now he’s he’s receiver 10 overall on the year he’s just cleared a, yards he has eight touchdowns he has 96 catches like those
End of season numbers are not going to tell the story of how like he was F fantastic to start the year looked like he was having a career year and then he’s really slowed down here of late but if he finishes strong the next two weeks
I’m not going to be surprised by that either because again I think it’s just like he’s clearly the most important player in this passing game as the target Shar and the the first three Target sh over the last three weeks these are all these have held over the
Last three weeks really that he is the highest targeted player in the offense first read targets are there there’s just been some missed opportunities both from him and Allen and then again they have other options to go to at this point which has not been the case in the
Past few seasons in Buffalo he hasn’t been a top 45 fantasy receiver in five of the last six weeks in that other one he was not even top 12 so it’s been a real real disaster for him here but yeah hopefully he turns it around the final
Two games of the bills are going to need him if they want to make a playoff run they’re going to need him to to start being an alpha again with the rest of that offense I know James Cook is has taken some of the load here but man we
Need Diggs to be Diggs again completely agree a team that I don’t think is going to make a big playoff run at this point is our 25th overall team Kansas City Chiefs the Chiefs ranked 12th in plays per Drive in week 16 but 23rd in yards
Per Drive I mean this was the first game I watched all year where I was like yeah I just I I gotta give up like the ghost on thinking well they have Patrick holes and Andy Reid because like eventually players start developing bad habits and they get dragged down by awful
Situations and this Chief situation is truly truly awful yeah and the Raiders are weirdly an especially bad matchup for the Chiefs an attack because Nate Hobbs is their best corner and he plays a slot that’s where rice runs 51% of his routes I do like rice to bounce back
This week big time here and we need to pay attention to the running back situation how weird was that P’s helmet goes flying off two plays and he gets concussion I mean what’s up with the with the strap there but if there’s no McKinnon and there’s no Pacho Edwards
Hair is absolutely a fantasy option here and let’s see where he is in in the uh these a minimum in Yahoo DFS $10 so that’s that’ll be a smash spot there if uh if the Pacho doesn’t play in this game because yes the Chiefs offense really really bad really struggling uh
Not not good and nothing that we’re accustomed to in the past at all but still implied team total this week 25.8 points fifth most uh in the league this week so yeah great match up against Cincinnati who has a lot of issues on defense 26th overall team Dallas Cowboys
This one comes in from Denny Carter of NBC Sports Tony Pard has the fifth most expected fantasy points among running backs this season so you have that going for you which is nice hope if you haven’t seen it go look at the the the footage of him looks like surely’s going
To score this touchdown on the the the photo and somehow he does not find his way in the end zone if you ju to position Bree Hall’s three-yard touchdown run when there’s all these defenders in front of him it’s a pretty cool tweet look for that look for it
It’s pretty good um but Paul’s been a disappointment all year I know his tackle numbers have been better over the last six weeks or so he is getting healthier um there but the um I forget the overall numbers but the carries inside the five this year at the goal
Line for him have been a disaster he’s converted two of them and he’s had among the league leaders in there so it’s it’s been frustrating and I’ll I’ll take the L on that one I hyped him had him as my number two fantasy back entering the
Year one of the players I’ve been the probably the player I’ve been the most wrong on him or Rashad white or the two I was the most wrong on this year yeah that I agree with you I was wrong about uh Rashad white as well but yeah man it
Has been a disaster for Tony Pard at the goal line um this one from Adam leitan Tony P has 11 carries from inside the five yard L inside the five yard line this season he has scored two touchdowns on those plays all right 27th overall team Cleveland Browns skipping them for
Thursday Night Football 28 Detroit Lions jir Gibbs is averaging 6.8 yards per carry over the last four weeks but he’s had just 2.5 yards per Target which is funny when you think about the Jamir Gibbs profile coming into the season like 2.5 yards per Target I’m not saying
That oh jir Gibbs is Secret really bad or anything like it’s again just when you think about I dton shout out to you I remember on the postra Pod you saying like you were going to Hype you know jir Gibbs to the Moon in like PPR leagues
Right I mean you were right to do that because he’s been an awesome fantasy pick this year but I don’t think it’s been in the way that many people expected like people expect him to be Unleashed as a receiving threat and actually think that he hasn’t really been Unleashed as a receiving threat
He’s just been awesome as a running back um I saw Scott Bishoff who does great work for football guys he’s been one of my of my dudes one of my friends in the industry over the years he compared him to like Jamal Charles and then someone replied to that and said that actually
Nate Tyson and Robert Mays made the same comparison on their podcast uh recently and I love that I when I replied to Scott this morning I was like I love that comparison um he does kind of look like Jamal Charles out there like dude Jamir Gibbs is just a a straightup
Baller and like I said he hasn’t even been fully maximized as a receiver he just been a great running back like after we talked about him earlier in Eckler Edge like some of the changes he could Implement to to get the best out of his skill set he’s implemented all
Those all those changes and more and been like straight up one of the best running backs in the NFL the season the top three uh fantasy back each of the last two weeks despite just uh six total catches over that span the 5.7 yards per carry looks a lot like Jamal Charles as
Well I love that comp the the broken tackle last week you haven’t seen that highlight go find that one it was just one of the sickest of the year so many different angles you could look at yeah when I saw that it was awesome yeah so he’s been he’s been awesome even with
The healthy David Montgomery uh and even getting some goal line look so Gibbs yeah he’s going to be a fun one to draft in in fantasy leagues next year for sure he looks awesome and so so fun to watch as you said just just looking awesome
Out there hey let me throw this at you um we were doing a first round way too early mock draft for FFL uh tomorrow uh we’re doing it ahead of time peel back to curtain sorry to to ruin the magic of Internet TV um I had the ninth overall
Pick and I had taken you know two receivers beforehand because it’s only four of us doing a 12-man mock draft you know it’s whatever anyways I took Bree Hall ninth overall but I strongly considered jir Gibbs at that ninth overall spot uh Gibbs didn’t get drafted
By either of the other uh three guys those final three picks in the first round who would you rather have Bree hall or jir Gibbs next season I think I’m with you on my guy Hall but yeah they they who whoever they passed up probably be a mistake over Gibbs uh four
Carries inside the 10 bejon and I’m on Ross St Brown yeah okay those are Kiren maybe I’m not sure I would go there but yeah bejon I get yeah beon and Gibbs is going to be a fun debate for sure next year but Gibbs four carries GI inside
The 10 last week four car two inside the five and that’s with the healthy Montgomery so yeah I wouldn’t push back on Gibbs over over bejon next year and those three would be the throwing Kiren in there just feels wrong but bejon Gibbs and Bree Hall will be a
Real fun debate at at fantasy draft draft tables next year for sure yeah but then you look at like the production and the role from kir and you’re like you know what it feels wrong but it might be right I know but we said the same thing
With with Cam Acres last year too and then it just you know switches like that but just the pedigree is not quite there but totally understood understood Kiren yeah is my number two back this week I love him there’s no question that just again this it’s a line section here like
Gibbs dude is just incredible like the way he has blossomed in the second half of the year and it’s just another great example like be patient with some of these rookies sometimes okay like especially at the running back position like it’s I know we think of it as oh
Just drop them in and they just go that was not the case with Gibbs and there was a reason monk Army is getting all those carries early on and he’s still playing involved in the offense but he is just like a true differen maker and
And my my last point on this too I think we do kind of need to change our view about running backs like in the first round of drafts like jir Gibbs is just a walking explosive play like I don’t care that he has RB next to his name you
Can’t tell me he doesn’t change the way the Lions offense operates so I I think ultimately was a good draft pick by them even though he has RB attached to his name Gibbs I will say has an argument to be the number one fantasy back well Christian mcaffry is going to put amaz
The number two f see back next year given they play indoors that environment the team scores a bunch of points and they have a high Rush rate over expectation so he’s really is and there’s more Target Equity there absolutely there’s that’s in his profile to really expand in his game there even
If he’s just you know Chimera type but there’s more in his rushing game maybe this is Jamal Charles so absolutely Gibbs will have an argument to be the number two ranked fantasy back next year and before we leave Detroit I know we’ve talked a little bit too much about them
Is Jameson Williams is quietly becoming a full-time player for what it’s worth I know he still makes bonehead plays and a long way to go as a route Runner but he is developing into that into their clear number two finally 29th overall team Miami Dolphins two AO vioa hasn’t cleared 300 yards
Passing since week 11 and he’s had multiple passing touchdowns in just one game in that five game span I don’t even think this is like an anti-a stat it’s just this team has really changed in the back half of the Year where their defense is balling out and obviously
That helps them lead on the Run game as well yeah and a tough matchup in Baltimore this week with probably without Jaylen waddle if he really has a high ankle spring and obviously a banged up Tyreek Hill and a banged up moer but um yeah Tu has played played well this
Year um I think it is a reflection of their defense and their rushing attack uh volume more to do with his performance waning lately or anything like that but this is going to be a tough matchup this week 30th overall team Philadelphia Eagles expected fantasy points per game since week 14
When Dallas SCD returned according to fantasy points data’s model AJ Brown 18.3 Dallas GD 12.0 Devonte Smith 11.5 so it really does seem that when gd’s out there AJ Brown gets a huge boost even though Devonte Smith is coming off a big game yep for that that’s the way
It’s been since last year and I would just like to add about DeAndre Swift who’s been tackled at the one yard line without scoring on that same drive an NFL High six times this year it feels like 60 I know it really does but they’re um they’re actually running the
Ball way more than last year like the rush rate over expectation and obviously a matchup at home against Arizona is absolutely As Good As It Gets I mean they they’ve Allowed by far the most fantasy points recently to the position and they’re big favorite so I do like
DeAndre Swift to put up a big fantasy performance in the championship 31st overall team San Francisco 49ers year for uniters Sam darnold had a 8.2 average depth of throw in week 16 Brock pie was at 6.8 I darnold might start what do you think do
You think B P’s gonna play in in week 16 against the Commanders with this shoulder Stinger um I don’t think like I think any talk that like oh Sam darn was who he was great against the Ravens I’m not there I don’t think pie had like as
Disaster of a game as what the final stats show he just he started pressing and and some tips happened you know he just got a lucky with some of these throws even if they were bad decisions um I don’t know man what do you think is going to happen with this 49ers
Quarterback situation in week 16 or week 17 excuse me yeah shanan appears to be not overly concerned about it if it is indeed a stinger but I mean I hope it’s not a concussion um but um yeah a healthy shanan appears to be confident that that pry will be healthy um what
Are we what are we making of the I don’t really want to get in a big long pry discussion here but I I will say I’m mildly surprised how much his MVP odds just completely tanked I mean he now we have Jackson is the favorite and and
Pery fell to fourth or fifth it just depends on what site you’re at but like you haven’t seen 12 to1 odds you know some poor sap uh sold a 200 uh well he not the guy who bought it was a guy had a pry ticket to win $200,000 in Las
Vegas and he sold it on Prop swap for 125k last week so the guy who bought that 125k he’s even worse than I am on my uh with with my ticket because uh you know at least the the I didn’t pay that much last week but um so leads the NFL
In in EPA still and Lamar Jackson’s 11th but uh Jackson’s now the favorite and that that stinker on Prime Time really just tanked his odds I guess just completely there because I you look at his season long stats that res still wins MVP eight days a week but I get it
P’s different than everyone else p is definitely different um I yeah I mean you have that perform like it was it would have been one thing if they lost that game but it’s like the fact that there are just from a by the way his box score was probably a little overrated
Coming into this game it’s probably a little uh overstated how bad he was in that in that game against the Ravens like I think that game had more to do with the Baltimore Ravens defense being incredible and the Ravens team being incredible than it was that like pry
Pissed in his pants or anything like that I mean again he didn’t have his best performance but he got unlucky on some like sometimes you those tip balls happen and the defender doesn’t catch them right like and then it’s we’re on to the next play we’re we’re keeping the
Drive alive but um they were just overmatched he was overmatched and and once the Ravens offense kicked things into gear it was like oh this team’s not built to come from behind was like well why do you think they’re not built to come from behind I don’t know it’s a
It’s kind of a it’s kind of a weird take that people have with that whole stuff so yeah Shan anzo in 28 in his career went down eight plus points in the fourth quarter right and like most teams don’t win a lot of those games like it’s
28 though is yeah you’re right you’re right the record overall teams like that are horrible but still you like to you think one and he has these quarterbacks you know who play who hit and hitters play play in hitters counts is the thing so that’s that’s the argument but pry
Pry short passes uh four for 14 29 yards three picks intermediate passes you know he was he was fine against the Ravens but so he really just struggled on these passes less than 10 yards uh and and props to the Ravens defense and McDonald who looks like a future head coach
Candidate um because it looked like they had the answers to the test you know and they even said we can’t reveal State Secrets afterward like they knew you know pry asels or my guy Shanahan’s offense but boy I’d love a rematch there that the Ravens just you know ruined my
Ticket was not a you know decent amount of money there very very frustrating and and they beat the Niners in the Super Bowl last last time so let’s have a rematch bring on bring on the Ravens I’m I’m them in Vegas but uh the ners getting getting their their their asses
Kicked in prime time that was wild just walking out that stadium in a blowout uh it was a it was a quite quite an environment props to the Ravens who I didn’t see that coming two things um uh as a neutral Observer I would love a Ravens Niner
Super Bowl I thought that game was awesome and like I wouldn’t even end result yeah it ended in it ended up being a blowout but for the most of the first half it was like this is a tightly competitive game I I think it’s just the fact that the Ravens scored three times
In such quick succession and then they just couldn’t pass their way out of it it ended up feeling and looking and and kind of having the the vibe of a blowout but I wouldn’t call again you can call it that because it’s it is what it is but it didn’t it for
The most of the game it didn’t feel like it was going to be a blowout but I want to talk about the Ravens 32nd overall team here uh the Ravens rank third in neutral pass rate since week 14 uh obviously that is they when they returned from their buy they faced the
Rams the Jags and then the 49ers in that span and I just can’t say enough good things about the way Baltimore’s offense their passing game particularly is coming together right now like they just have so many answers they have so many different guys they can throw at you
Isaiah likely looks like a beast um or at least very looks like a really good player uh Z flowers is awesome like baitman comes up he makes some disaster plays heartbreaking plays but then he comes up big for some catches Beckham comes up big at times too but again like
Z flus and Lamar Jackson just balling out right now and Lamar just is the whole makes the whole thing go man um he has a chance definitely to cement the MVP stuff with these final two games Miami especially on Sunday and then obviously Pittsburgh week 18 but yeah
Man uh it’s it just again can’t say enough good things with how the Ravens pass game is coming together their TD drives against the ners were from the 47 the 44 and the nine so that that definitely helped uh helped them but it looks like lamari is going to G to
You’re right if they win in Miami it’s a tougher matchup too that absolutely may may cement it because then they’ll get him the one seed locked up as well home it’s it’s against sorry against Miami sorry um Z flowers was impressive even even earning an inzone Target that was
Part of my uh against you early I’m like fantasy you know he’s not going to score that many touchdowns but man he’s out there earning inzone targets and and in in 13 or whatever it was a impressive performance you know against a pretty good secondary so um yeah if he develops
Further and Isaiah likeley seemingly just kind of replac that Mark Andrews Ro um yeah it’s it’s too bad this team lost K Keaton Mitchell and Dobbins because that’s would be super dangerous if they had a more Dynamic back but as is they got Jackson back there what an awesome
Electrifying run that one highlight was and yeah he makes it work and and as Nick Bosa was saying just a ton of credit to him because he switched up his K how he would he would hang back in the pocket at the beginning of the year but
Boy he got the ball out quick against that Niners pass rush and just totally played differently than he had uh this season so yeah man the ability to adjust like that sure Lamar pretty good at football very good at football all right let’s talk Thursday Night Football here
We’ve got Browns we’ve got Jets um our Brown stat Joe flacko has cleared 41 pass attempts in every game this season which is wild and we talked about Bree Hall he’s our jet stat Bree Hall’s tied with Alvin chra for the most targets among running backs with
84 and you know some of that’s fake because Alan CRA plays with the checkdown King there uh in New York in New Or Orleans he’s also tied with Chris mcaffry for the most yards among running backs through the air with 537 I think that’s interesting just those two
Numbers are tied but Bree Hall has been awesome as a receiver he was awesome as a receiver last week um what do we think about this game man because you know obviously again offensive perspective we just love the way the Browns are playing right now with Flaco but obviously it’s
A tough defensive matchup yeah the Browns are incredibly tough they’re allowing 3.5 yards per play at home this season the next lowest is Baltimore at 4.4 almost a full yard difference there um the flacko it’s wild that they that they trust Flaco more than DeShaun Watson just immediately um there that
That’s crazy but back back to the Browns defense Bree Hall you’d love to see all those targets from Simeon and we’re going to see that again and the Browns do allow some some receiving production to opposing backs but it’s just a an incredibly tough match up their over
Their implied team total is uh 13.5 points that is the lowest uh in in the league this week so I mean you probably hope you have alternatives to Hall and Garrett Wilson in your fantasy Championship just kind of depends I mean what do you think a little more concerned
For for Wilson than I would be for Bree Hall just because that receiving work is pretty good in terms of boosting his floor and uh you’d think they want to get the ball out fast uh you know the screen game stuff like that and the Browns have had injury issues uh on the
Course to their defense so I don’t know I feel I feel okay with I mean look I have Bree Hall on a championship roster and like I’m not benching Bree Hall after what he did last week so that that’s where I stand on it and I I mean
I don’t have a viable alternative to to Bree Hall on on this particular team so I’m rocking with him it is what it is but I get being concerned about it for sure yeah I know you’re probably using him if you have him especially coming off uh last week uh very impressive
Performance but he just goes from basically dramatic about as dramatic as it gets as far as match against Washington now the tough one but um man I almost want him to just whatever have a couple quiet games to in the year so his ADP uh remains getable next year but
Let’s talk to Amari Cooper do you realize that last week not only did he become I believe the third player or sorry second player other than to to have three games of 175 yards on three different teams um but he also had the second most unrealized air yards last
Week so he’s put up 250 real yards uh but then having this 100 plus unrealized aards too so just silliness from this flacko passing offense and Cooper how dare you do that on the road I’m sure you would have been in my DFS lineup if
You’ve been at home but um but uh just an amazing the home road splits what happened I know I know just uh flos uh to providing all those opportunities but um like like like with the Jets though here uh the Browns have a completely different matchup too Houston is giving
Up a ton of fantasy points through the air where where the jets are the the opposite and they’re the toughest matchup for opposing wide receivers so there’s a reason this game’s over under is uh 34 and a half points yeah the Jets are since week 10 so this is not a group
On defense that’s packed it in despite what the offense has been doing they’re fourth in dropback EPA they are fifth in dropback success rate allowed since week 10 so but again I just I am not benching to Mari gooper after what he did in that matchup right
So um I don’t know man I I think I think like him and and joku are still like these are still two guys you got to start flacko are you but what about streaming flacko like in a in a Revenge game for Old Joe Flaco I don’t
Know how much Joe really cares because he’s so like stoic uh but you gotta think he wants to show up the Jets a little bit after they didn’t even think to call him when their season went to hell like I just don’t know how if you’re a Jets fan you’re not looking at
This like this could that could have been us like he’s probably not having this season let me say that again he’s definitely not having this season Joe flacko with the New York Jets because I mean the browns offensive line is not like an elite unit now it is banged up
Severely like they’re on backups on backups uh on that offensive line so just keep that in mind but so much of what this weird beautiful Odd Couple marriage between Kevin stefansky and Joe Flaco is just like stefansky is a great offensive coach and he just trusts
Flacko to run the offense the Jets do not have a great offensive coach they have Nathaniel Hackett so he wouldn’t be having this season with the Jets most likely but still as a Jets fan if I was if I was one I’d be looking over there
Like that could have been us the Jets would absolutely be in the playoffs if they signed flacko right away after rogers’s injury I I think at least um but maybe that’s maybe that’s off base um this week Flaco I do not like using him at all the Jets have allowed by far
The few his fantasy points uh to opposing quarterbacks schedule adjusted over the last five weeks and even most even as importantly he’s not going to be pushed I mean the Jets aren’t going to score so I mean this seems like a defensive battle uh absolutely look for Alternatives other than our guy flacko
In your fantasy Championship just because of the matchup I mean I I I know he’s due to regress some but I love all this this this volume and I think it’s going to be fun and they’re a tough out in the playoffs with that defense but
This week in fantasy it’s it’s it’s a bad spot for FCO I am looking at Dalton’s fantasy rankings he has Joe Flaco at QB 17 couple names I mean Jordan love Gardner muu Nick Mullins Derek Carr You’ play Derek Carr over Joe Flo probably but my rankings are a bit they’re not finalized
This week given I was you know hold up hold up all Tuesday but so don’t hold those completely in concrete but um no I actually like car this this week in in Tampa Bay but um but yeah I would play him over Flaco flacko don’t play this
Week I should even lower him his ecr’s qb2 I have him even too high so I I really don’t like this match up here but what a fun story straight off the couch and um and Amari Cooper just carrying fantasy teams but the takeway here is Cooper and Bree Hall have basically the
Opposite of matchups and they had last week so they’re They Carried you to get here keep your expectations lowered uh lowered Thursday night maybe some Baker Mayfield action uh for for you if you need a replacement Joe Flack no question easy all right d good podcast buddy we
Ran through all 32 teams here heading into week 17 a lot of stuff little future projections little week 17 stuff all good things with you here on statner Thursday I hope the rest of your week is better than the start of your week buddy appreciate you man good times as always
Haron all right that’s going to do it for us today folks uh Scott panowski you need Scott panowski to help you on the viewers guide for week 17 he is going to be on tomorrow’s podcast and on the recap at the end of the week as well but until then we’re out
8 Comments
Here early baby walk me to my championship I think I have the roster for it
Elm Street for Dalton at Niners game, but as a true professional, onward he goes!
46:56 – Los Angeles Rams not Los Angeles Chargers as you have listed.
Thank you Guys!
appreciate this, Matt and Dalton, though I'm also feeling shorted without an Ekeler's Edge this week…!
Dam you can't even buy a $50 Hotdog at an NFL game without getting food poisoning from it…
I am a Jet fan and agree 1000 % with Matt Harmon Hackett is horrible.
Cincinnati. 3 "N"s. 1 "T".