It’s time to wrap up the FedExCup Fall circuit with the RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Course in Georgia with four winner picks backed by the Dimers model which has accurately picked three winners in the fall events.
👉 Don’t forget to subscribe to the channel for weekly NBA King of the Court picks every single Tuesday this season!
💡 Want more exclusive picks and tools? Join Dimers Pro today and get 50% off your first week or month with code PODCAST.
This show is powered by https://www.dimers.com/.
Dimers.com is a sports betting and culture website focused on covering all things gambling with articles, picks, podcasts and more!
GET MORE 👇🏼
Visit: https://www.dimers.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/DimersCom
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/dimerscom
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/dimerscom/
#betting #sportsbetting #bettingtips #props #bets #bettingsports #pga #pgatour #golf #golfbetting #bettinglines #fedexcup
Let’s talk some PGA real quick. It’s the RSM Classic, the final event of the FedEx Cup fall. This is always a bittersweet moment for golf fans. We’re waiting until December when we have the Hero World Challenge on the site, but uh this is kind of it for golf fans looking for value from the Dimer spot for a while. Yep. Pretty much putting on the shelf till January after this. Uh yeah, we’ll have the Hero World Challenge uh if all is the same. We’ve had that last year. I’ve written up articles for that before. Um, so we we’ll have at least one more event for you, but until then, it’ll be the next season in January, which honestly isn’t that far away. Uh, find me another offseason with less than two months turn around. Uh, anyway, final chance for players to secure a top 100 FedEx Cup ranking, which gives you fully exempt status on the tour next year. Uh, not going to touch on that really today, but I am planning to write an article for subscribers. uh it’ll go on the site that looks at guys who are on the bubble, possibly finding some sneaky value on those right outside the top 100. Maybe some guys to fade who are inside the top 100 and uh see if we could find a little bit extra bit of plays there. But try to go through this real quick here. Um this is at Sea Island Golf Course in Georgia. This will play on two different courses at uh the club. Uh it’s called the seaside course and the plantation course. Um the plantation course will play just one round. I believe that will be round two. It might be split actually. I should know that. But come the cut. Uh the other the final two rounds will be on the u seaside course which is primarily featured here for this one. Um very similar distance 705 yards for seaside, 7,60 for plantation. Pretty stacked field compared to last week certainly. Um four major champions in this. 10 winners from this year 12 multi-time winners. Um, reigning champ Maverick McNeely. And tight finishes are pretty common here. Four of the last six decided by one stroke or less. Uh, well, can’t be one stroke, but yeah, one stroke. Uh, three playoffs as well in that span. Course is uh not overly difficult. Uh, accuracy is pretty important. The fairways are ride are wide, but um there’s a lot of water in play on Seahide course. lots of or very high penalty rate um on this course. I think one of the highest over the last 10 years. Uh distance isn’t really as important since guys are just trying to land it on the fairway and avoid the the water hazards and the out- of-bounds stuff. Approach pretty important here. Uh though it is one of the easier courses to gain, but if you’re good there, you’re going to find very much success. Uh, usually a big separator on this one is putting. Uh, I was doing some research, 38% of strokes gained by guys last year came on the greens. So, expect a lot of separation to come there. Um, greens are fast, greens are sloped. So, you want guys who are just straight up good with the putter. Um, so let’s look at our winners here. Um, we’ve got three guys here. Actually, I’ll pull up the predictions real quick. Um, so we can kind of go through this together. Uh, we have three winners right at the top with an edge. And, uh, they are not all the favorite golfers. We are aligned with the books with Harris English who is the favorite here. Uh, but then we’ve got Brian Harmon and Danny McCarthy who are above the book’s next favorite of Cu Kim. So, I’ll just talk about these three guys real quick and then we’ve got a long shot. I’ll touch on uh Harris English plus 2300 7.2%. 2% probability. That’s fair at plus 1290. So a really big value. I mean 10 to1 standalone value right there. Uh he’s threats threatens more often than he actually wins, but there’s no denying pretty impressive year this season. Uh one at the Farmers Insurance Open, pair of runner-ups in majors. Uh one top 25 here since uh 2017. So, not a ton of success at this course. Uh, since his mis cut in March, nine top 20s or better, just very, very consistent. Is ranks 50th off the tea. Uh, 74th in accuracy. Nothing crazy, but he’s above average. However, he’s 17th overall in putting, which as mentioned is a big separator here. Not great on approach. Uh, he’s pretty under average across the board there. So, he’ll kind of have to make up for it in between. But if he can get on the green in a good spot or even a tricky spot, he’s probably going to shave off some strokes and climb the board. Brian Harmon plus 3,000 here. Um 4.8 win% probability would be fair. Just under plus 2,000. So another value of 10 to one. Um you know, I mean that you put $10 on this guy, that’s a $100 difference between fair odds and the uh odds on the books. So you know, immense value from the model alone. Uh this is the first time Harmon’s uh golfed in the states since the Tour Championship. He uh did one DP World Tour event like a month ago. Finished T26 there. Local to Georgia here. So maybe he’s playing on some home turf a little bit. He went uh T10, T22, T19, and T13 um since the Open through the Tour Championship. So pretty successful and consistent. Pretty mid-ranked in all major categories here. strengthw lies and accuracy, but he’s not the best finisher. So, um, you know, probably find himself in contention late, but the model’s got some very good value on him here. Third guy we’ll look at, one of the better golfers on PJ Tour, who hasn’t won, Denny McCarthy, 4.3% win probability here. Not quite as much value as the rest, far at plus 225. uh hasn’t really competed in like three months basically, but um 10 top 25s this year, pair of top tens, fifth ranked putter on tour, very very good putter, 58th overall on approach, which is above average and uh he’s right at average off the tea. So if he just has a very Denny McCarthy weekend, he should find himself in contention and then Justin needs to go one step above that to get the win and add something to his uh his repertoire that he hasn’t had yet. We could all be so lucky to have a Denny McCarthy weekend this weekend. I think any of us would would relish a Denny McCarthy weekend on even our best golf day. And we got one long shot down here. I want to look at Ryan Gerard 1.3%. Um that’s really low obviously, but fair at plus 7590 7600 or so. Uh three top 10s, 10 top 25s this year. you won at the Barracuda Championship, which is a uses a totally unique scoring format. Um, where you actually want more points, you get points for your like a double eagles like eight points and Eagles five points, stuff like that. So, it rewards guys who like take risks. Um, and he won that one, taking all the risks. So, uh, he was incentivized to to take those risks and go for it and he was rewarded. So, very accurate driver and approach. Not a very good putter, though. plus 9,000 for a reason. 1.3%, you know, you put a couple bucks here and if he pulls off the upset, you’re looking pretty good. Um, only thing I will add besides that is, um, obviously we’ll have a little bit more insights in our article. If any more value pops up, check that on site. Uh, just that the top three guys don’t really have any crazy value in ladders, but they’re all about fair odds all the way through. So, if you’re looking for alternatives to outright winners, um, you can bet them. the models aligned with them, but just no real edges to speak of. As you can see, I’ll just click through real quick. You got no flames, but um you know, this is about fair here. So, yeah, something to be done. Important note, you got to know where you’re betting, where you can find the value here. And uh honestly, on that note, shout out to Bet Rivers for the golf odds. Feels like all the value plays here coming courtesy of Bet Rivers this week. Love to see that. Not uncommon, especially with the outrights um placements. We see a lot of the other stuff primarily draftings, but yep, that rivers usually gets a little bit better for the outrights. Fascinating. Good to know. All right. Well, there you go. There is your preview for the RSM Classic. Hopefully you can make some money one more time before the FedEx fall ends.
