START or SIT? Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins | Week 3 Thursday Night Football 2025

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Hello and welcome to Nice and Blunt. My name is Adam Rancho and today is Thursday, September 18th, 300 PM Pacific. We have a game tonight between the Buffalo Bills hosting the Miami Dolphins. Who you going to start and who you going to sit? [Music] All right, get our Thursday afternoon rolling in the right direction. Sadly, I hit the the wrong transition. Briefly, we went to the starting soon before the STEM poll. So, uh the intro has launched, the video is underway, and just some bookkeeping before we get going. I will be posting this video on a weekly basis during the live stream. I’ll be doing a live somewhere between 2:30 p.m. Pacific and 3 p.m. Somewhere around 2:30 to 3 p.m. So, if you are interested on a weekly basis, ring that notification bell and expect this live stream to happen pretty much every week around this time on Thursday, a couple hours to about three hours before kickoff. So, uh with that out of the way, we’re going to get this thing going. And we’re going to start with the uh weather report. Weather’s perfect in Buffalo. This will become more relevant as we get closer to winter, but for now, thankfully, Tua doesn’t have to worry about any weather. In Buffalo, there is 10 mph wind, but that’s really not high enough for me to care about until it hits like 15 plus. I don’t really care about the wind. So, good for Tua. But let’s move on to the injury report where the Dolphins offense here. Let’s uh let’s make this the right size. The Dolphins offense is mostly healthy while Darren Waller remains out. Their tight end position is pretty [ __ ] Jaylen Wadd’s questionable. I would assume he plays, but monitor his status. We’ll get the inactive list in about an hour, a little less than an hour. But I expect Wadd to play. They’re without some second and third stringers on the offensive line. The O line for the Dolphins is pretty trash. So, uh, that’s their offensive side of the ball. The Dolphins defense is also kind of depleted. They’re without Storm Duck, a quarterback for them. They’re without Eitu Melifanu, a strong safety. And then defensive tackle Bonito Jones and defensive end Chop Robinson are both questionable. I assume they’ll play, but it’s not a guarantee. They’re also without uh multiple Nickelbacks. Kadir Kohu, Jason Mater, Arty Burns, and then Cam Smith, another cornerback, is also out. So, the Dolphins defense is not at full strength. They’re pretty ass regardless. But then we also have the Bills side of the ball. And on offense, everyone for the Bills is fully good to go. There are no injuries on the offensive side for Buffalo except for backup right tackle Tylen Greybel, who is on IR. pretty irrelevant for fantasy. So, the Bills on offense are healthy. That’s positive for us. On their defense, though, there are several injuries. Uh, we got Ed Oliver, the defensive tackle, out for this game. So, is linebacker Matt Milano. And then Taran Johnson, their Nickelback is questionable. They also have Cam Lewis, strong safety nickel, also questionable. And then they’re without some third stringers. Michael Hec is suspended. Larry Oen Joby is suspended. Dwayane Carter is on IR. Their rookie corner, Maxwell Haristen, has yet to make his debut. He’s on IR. And then Jane Owens, another strong safety, is on IR. So, the Bills defense is kind of banged up, but it didn’t really matter last week. They completely torched the Jets, held them in check. So, that’s it for the injury report. With that out of the way, now let’s get into the main start sits where the Bills running backs, I think, are, you know, it’s pretty obvious what you’re going to do. James Cook, I think, is a must start. He’s the RB1 in fantasy so far. He’s my running back number seven. And let me get the spotlight on. Here we go. Let’s Let’s make this smaller. All right. James Cook, my running back seven. And then Ray Davis is not on the screen here, but I do have him as my RB50 this week. I do think there’s some potential garbage time tonight that could make Ray Davis a factor in the second half. I think there’s a chance. It’s not a guarantee I wouldn’t start Ray Davis, but I did rank him at 50. James Cook is top 10. There’s no way you’re benching James Cook. If you’re interested in some matchup stats for James Cook, I pulled his last four games versus Miami off of Pro Football Reference, and he’s averaging 14.6 fantasy points per game. 14.6. That’s relatively a top 10 tight uh running back. He has limited touches in these games, though. Only 14 touches per game for James Cook. That’s kind of shocking. 73 yards per game. So, he’s very efficient on that volume. and then about two and a half catches per game. And with four touchdowns in those four games, he’s basically a lock to find the end zone. I would expect James Cook to find the end zone in last year’s prime time game on Thursday night, week two on Amazon. That was the James Cook special. He had three touchdowns basically at halftime and then right out of halftime, Tua suffered a concussion. That game was over. So those stats kind of were meaningless in the second half. So, James Cook, a must start. Definitely going to be in your lineup tonight. And then let’s move on to the Dolphins side of the ball. We have the Miami running backs where Achain I think is a must start. On Tuesday when I ranked running backs on the channel, I actually had Achain at number 14, but I looked into his stats versus Buffalo. And even though I’m worried that this could be a blowout where the Dolphins don’t score any points, Achain specifically has really good numbers against Buffalo. He’s played four career games against Buffalo. And in those four games, he’s averaging 23.1 fantasy points. He’s been very efficient. Just under 18 touches, just under five catches per game. That’s pretty typical for him. But 117 yards per game. He has kind of torched the Buffalo Bills. He’s also scored six total touchdowns in those four games as well. And that’s what’s really adding to these stats. Like just on yardage, you’re getting 15 points from Achain. But then you’re also getting almost nine points per game just on touchdowns when he faces Buffalo. So I am bumping him up a few spots. I think he’s clearly a lock in your lineup. If you have him, you have to start him. But I am kind of worried about this game for the Dolphins. I don’t think they’re going to be that effective on offense. I don’t think they’re going to score more than one or two touchdowns. It’s hard to envision them dropping 20 plus points on Buffalo tonight. So, AJ probably gets one of them, but without it, you might be a little worried because he’s only getting less than 15 touches in his first two games. The volume hasn’t quite been amazing for Achain. But almost half of those touches are in the passing game. Really pads the numbers in PPR. He’s averaging 23 against Buffalo. You have to start him. So, I did upgrade him four spots and I did bump him up above the blue line. He’s clearly a must start. I ranked him a little too low earlier in the week, but his backup Ali Gordon has been irrelevant so far. So, Olli Gordon not in your lineup tonight. Definitely not starting Olli Gordon. I didn’t rank him. And then we can move on to the quarterback position where I think it’s very, very straightforward. Obviously, Josh Allen is in your lineup. There’s no one that drafted Josh Allen in the second or third round and isn’t starting him. So, he’s my QB2 this week. The only reason I have him below Lamar Jackson is because there is the potential that this game is just such a big blowout that he gets benched in the fourth quarter. But if that happens, then he’s also going to drop enough points where he gives you a [ __ ] ton of fantasy points before that happens. So, like there’s really no scenario where I think Allen is a bad start tonight. That’s pretty obvious. But the reason I have him below Lamar is because there’s a chance he does not finish the game. But um he’s been really really good against the Dolphins in his last five games versus Miami. He’s an averaging 271 passing yards per game and 34 rushing yards per game. So going over 300 total. He also has 15 touchdowns in those five games and four interceptions. One of those touchdowns is a rushing touchdown. He actually torches them in the passing game more than the run game and he’s averaging 25 fantasy points per game. So with an average of three touchdowns every single game, this will factor in later. I have a entry tonight on underdog that I’ll pull up at the end of the video and I am hitting the higher on Josh Allen passing touchdowns. He’s averaging three touchdowns every time he plays the Dolphins. So Allen 100% in your lineup. And a player I’m definitely benching would be Tua. There is no chance I would start Tua in this matchup. I’m probably never starting Tua this year because I’m worried that in any game he can get the concussion and, you know, get benched, but I think this is not a matchup you want to test. I’ve looked at the last five games for Tua against Buffalo and he’s averaging 213 passing yards per game. That’s really low. 213 is pretty bad. Only eight rushing yards per game. So, as always, he gives you nothing on the ground. And then he only has seven touchdowns in five games and six total turnovers. He’s been bad against Buffalo. Last year in week two in prime time, he had three interceptions before he suffered the concussion. He was awful in that game and it’s pretty much always like that. The Bills have his number. He can never really beat the Bills and he sucks in fantasy. Only 12 and a half points per game on average against Buffalo in the last five for Tua. So, if you’re getting less than 13 points, there’s no [ __ ] chance you should be trusting Tua. I would not start Tua. I would obviously start Josh Allen. So, that’s it for the quarterback position. Now, let’s move on to the wide receiver position where in Miami, I just don’t have the faith. I really have been a Dolphins hater like all summer and I’m worried Tua gets a concussion at some point. The vibes are terrible with Tyreek Hill and Wadd. They played well last week against New England. So, I could see you thinking that they’re good starts and maybe chasing the points, but they’ve not been productive against Buffalo. When it comes to Tyreek Hill, Tyreek Hill is my wide receiver, 37. I got him here below the black line. So, that’s the cut off point. That’s when I’m benching players. I view Tyreek Hill as a very low-end flex, and I don’t think he cracks 10 points. So, I would bench him. And the main reason why I’m not convinced he goes over 10 points is because in his last four games versus the Bills, he’s only averaging 9.8 9.8 points per game is his average the last two years against Buffalo. An average of 7.3 targets, 4.3 catches, 61 yards per game, and only one touchdown in those four games. So if all you have tonight is a 25% shot at a touchdown for Tyreek, I don’t think he goes over 10 points. I don’t think it clicks. I would be benching Tyreek Hill, but he is on the bubble there. I understand if you have to, if you don’t have the depth at the position, you just are forced into it. You drafted Tyreek Hill kind of high, so odds are you’re kind of stuck with him. But personally, I’m not expecting 10 points. I think he’ll come just shy of that tonight. I don’t think he scores a touchdown. And then Wadd I actually bumped up just for the sake of the video because I he would have been cropped out of the rankings, but I have him well outside the top 50. He’s my wide receiver. 53 tonight. Not a good start at all. And I know he scored a touchdown last week, but I would not trust him. I would not start him in his last three games over the last two years versus Buffalo. I would give you four games, but he actually was inactive in one. He was injured last year. So last four games for Wadd against Buffalo, an average of 4 and a half fantasy points per game, less than four targets per game, only 3.3 catches per game, and only 28 yards per game on average. That is terrible. He has not scored a touchdown in his last three games against Buffalo. So Wadd’s been trash. There was one of these games where he literally had negative yardage, and I don’t expect him to go over 50 yards. He has not done that in any of the last three games versus Buffalo. So, I’m not trusting Wadd. I think he’s a terrible start. I would bench him 100%. I have no faith in Wadd tonight. Tyreek right on the right on the edge of start sick consideration. I wouldn’t do it, but maybe you don’t have a choice. Let’s move on to the Bills wide receivers now where I don’t think Keon Coleman or Khalil Shakir are like safe bets. I have them here at like 41 and 42 and and 40. 40 and 41 is where I rank Keon and Sha. And I think that the upside we saw from Coleman in week one is a little more exciting. So I do rank him higher. But honestly, the reason why I’m just not trusting them is because of the volatility in this target share. Like last week, Elijah Moore scored a touchdown and then all of the receivers were pretty trash and fantasy. They got it done with James Cook. Josh Allen did not need to throw the ball. So that’s the risk. There’s like weak winning upside. You could get 25 points from either guy cuz Josh Allen just sends them a bunch of touchdowns. But in general, he spreads the ball around enough where without the touchdown, you’re just not really getting an elite performance. The floor play is Shakir. Shakir has been kind of consistent dating back to last season. Usually gets you about eight, nine points pretty consistently in half PPR. But I think the upside swing is clearly Keon Coleman after week one. I like him a bit more. And I do rank him at 40. Shakir is at 41. So I would rather start Tyreek Hill. And I’m already telling you not to start Tyreek. So I’m not starting Keon or Shakir tonight, but I get it. If you want to start them, there’s some really high upside that the Bills drop like 40 plus points tonight. There may be enough touchdowns to go around. So they’re very tempting. I just haven’t seen enough to fully trust them. And then I’m also not starting any of the third string receivers in this matchup. Maybe you’re tempted with Josh Palmer. He’s my wide receiver 64 this week. And I kind of feel like I’m ranking him too low. I actually think he’s kind of more on the same footing as Shakir and Coleman rather than like 20 spots behind them. So I might be too low on Palmer, but I would like to see him more established in this offense. He had nine targets week one, but then in week two he didn’t really do anything. So I don’t fully trust him. I don’t really trust the overall target share in Buffalo. So, I would be benching him. And until Tyreek Hill gets traded, I am never going to rank Malik Washington. I don’t trust multiple pass catchers in the Dolphins offense. So, Malik Washington is not ranked. Not in my top 60 at the position. So, uh not starting either of them. But with that out of the way, we can move on to the tight end position. The tight end position I think is, you know, kind of interesting tonight. Obviously, Darren Waller is out, so you’re not starting him. He’s not ranked. And his backup is Tanner Connor, who literally before week one, I had never heard of. So, there’s no way you’re starting a Dolphins tight end. They’re irrelevant until Waller gets healthy. However, Dalton Concincaid, I do think has shown enough through the first two games where I think he’s a low-end start. I have him at number 10, and that’s worth a start. I don’t have the tiers so far. I will be hammering out my rankings at this position tomorrow. So, there’s a chance he moves a little bit, but I think he’s going to remain in the top 12. I don’t think he’s that much different than guys like Zack Z or John Smith. A touchdown’s a decent bet. However, the volume is similar to someone like Dallas GDart where you don’t know for sure if he’s going to crack like 40 yards. There’s a chance he like just isn’t used very much. It’s the Bills. It’s all kind of random, but he’s been good enough through the first two weeks of the season where I think you’re going to get that like seven, eight point floor that keeps a tight end viable in your lineup. And that’s why he is on the lower end of the start spectrum. He’s been good enough through the first two games where I think I would keep him in the lineup. So, tight end number 10 behind guys like Goddard Ferguson. Um, Jon Johnson, I would start over him. I would still start Kelsey. I know he dropped that touchdown, but it almost hit. He almost had a really good game for the second week in a row. Um, I would also definitely trust Tyler Warren. Sam Leaport has been really good. Tucker Craft has definitely earned your trust and then Bowowers and McBride are locks in your lineup. So, uh, there’s plenty of tight ends you may have gotten off the waiverwire that I would start above King this week, especially Jon Johnson. But, I do think Concaid is going to be top 12 and worth a low-end start. More of like a streaming option, but I would start King tonight. So, uh, that’s the tight end position. Now, with that, we can move on to the defenses tonight where I would be starting the Bills. I am like such a non-believer in Tua tonight. I think the Dolphins are going to potentially get shut out. Like, if you told me the final score was like 45 to three, I wouldn’t be surprised in favor of Buffalo. So, I do have the Bills as a start this week a top five option, my number four on the week. And I really think Tua is going to get desperate. Tua is going to start throwing picks. I think they have his number. I just have no confidence in the Dolphins. So, I think the Bills are worth starting. I think it’ll be similar to last week against the Jets where they just dominate so much in the first half. Uh they get a lot of traction and are really good in fantasy. I think there’s going to be some turnovers. So, I would start the Bills. However, there’s no [ __ ] chance of starting the Dolphins. Literally, I have the Dolphins as the last ranked defense. Number 32. [ __ ] that [ __ ] No [ __ ] chance I am testing Josh Allen. Nobody better start the Dolphins so far. So, uh, start the Bills, bench the Dolphins, leave them on the waiver wire. And then I don’t go in depth on kickers, but in my opinion, you should be benching both kickers. I I have no desire to start either kicker tonight. Neither of them started the season with this team. It’s just that the starters got hurt and they plugged in. And I don’t see more than two touchdowns for Miami. And they’re going to be trailing. I think it’s more likely they go for two than kick a bunch of field goals. So there’s no way Riley Patterson has any value. And then even though Matt Prader is probably someone you roster, I don’t really see the Dolphins stopping Josh Allen at all. So I don’t think they’re actually going to kick any field goals. I think they’re going to convert in the end zone on every single drive. And I think Prader might have like seven points, but only because it’s coming from touchdowns. Like I really think Prader is only kicking extra points tonight. I don’t see more than one field goal attempt for Prader. So I would be benching both kickers. I don’t see it as a good fantasy spot for them. And that’s every position out of the way. So these are my starts tonight. Only five of them. I think there’s only five players who are locked into your lineup. And they’re kind of obvious. We have Josh Allen, James Cook, Devon Achain. Those are locks. And then I would be starting the Bills defense. And then I do think Concaid is a top 10 option. So King Kaid maybe isn’t a lock in your lineup. Maybe more of a streaming option, but I would start him. I do think King Kaid is worth it tonight. And then beyond that, the only one I’m even like on the cusp of considering would be Tyreek Hill. Tyreek Hill is in that flex territory. But personally, I would bench him. I have maybe some bias regarding this. I’ve been off of Tyreek all summer. Maybe not all summer. Definitely since August, I’ve been really afraid of starting Tyreek Hill. And in his last four games, he’s averaging less than 10 points against them. Only one touchdown in his last four games. I don’t think Tyreek finds the end zone. I would bench him, but he is in the flex territory. I rank him at 36, so you could consider it. And I wouldn’t fault you for it. But, uh, lastly, I’m benching everyone else. I’m definitely benching Tua. No faith there. Obviously, don’t even pick up the Dolphins defense. And I am benching Wadd as well. Waddle has been trash. Less than five points per game in his last three versus Buffalo. So, I will trust those trends. I’m not expecting a touchdown like last week. I’m benching Waddle for sure. Darren Waller’s not even active, so no one’s even rostering him. Definitely bench him. And then I just don’t trust the targets in the Bills passing game to feel really confident in starting the right Bills receiver. So, one of these guys I think is going to have a great game. It’s possible there’s two or three of them that find the end zone. I think Josh Allen’s going to have a phenomenal game, but I just don’t know where it’s going. So, I would bench Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir, and Josh Palmer. I would also bench Ray Davis, but I think he’s worth rostering as an elite handcuff long term. If James Cook ever goes down, Ray Davis is at worst a top 15 running back in fantasy. So, I would roster Ray Davis, but definitely bench him. You’re only hoping for like garbage time tonight. And yeah, that’s going to be it pretty much for this video. But as always, before we move on, I also give you my final score prediction. And here it is. Let me let me get rid of my face real quick. I am predicting the Bills to win tonight 35 to 10. I think they score five touchdowns and then kind of just take their foot off the gas in the fourth quarter. They’re going to be crushing the Dolphins so bad that it’s basically going to be like a mercy rule type of game. I I really have no confidence in the Dolphins. I think Achain finds the end zone. I think it’s in garbage time and maybe there’s an extra field goal. But honestly, I think if they score another touchdown, they’re going to be going for two. So, I think if they do get another touchdown, the next bump up would be 18 points. And that’s where I wouldn’t really bet the overunder on the point total on this game. We got FanDuel is providing these numbers here. I I pulled this screenshot from FanDuel. They have the Bills as 11 and a half point favorites. I’m picking them to cover. I think that’ll happen. I I have them winning by 25 points here. And then the overunder is 50 and a half. And it’s all going to come down to how many touchdowns do the Dolphins score? Cuz the Bills are going to score at least five. The Bills could drop 40 plus. And I would think that this line at 50 and a half is very risky. like if they get just another six points, like one more touchdown for either team and that would hit the over. So, while I am projecting the under, it’s only cuz I’m just so unexcited by the Dolphins. I think they really [ __ ] the bed and you guys basically agree like 93% is the poll result in favor of Buffalo. I think everyone is definitely picking Buffalo to win. So, that’s why on the poll in the chat, I did it against the spread. And I’m gonna take a look and end the poll. Let’s see. Let’s see what’s going on there. Um, let’s take a look. Looks like 81% of y’all think that the Bills are going to cover. 81% is on the side of the Bills minus 11 and a half. And I agree with y’all. I think that’s the side. An interesting stat is that favorites by four or more points according to Vegas, teams that are favorites by at least four points are 12-0 through the first two weeks. So that’s a trend that wasn’t this dominant last season, but I did notice and did pick up on and that’s why I’ve been trying to lean on favorites in my picks against the spread so far. And last week it did pay off. We did go five and one and all of our favorites that were heavily favored did cover. So, I think the Bills will cover tonight. I think they win by three touchdowns at least. I have them winning by four touchdowns here. So, um I think that’s what is to expect. And uh that’s my final score prediction. The Bills win 35 to 10. Give me the Bills to cover. And then other than that, before I get to your questions in the chat, I would like to remind you all I am an underdog partner this summer. So, if you use my code uh blunt, promo code blunt on sign up gets you $50 in bonus funds after you play your first five. So, underdog is cool. On your first deposit, you already get 50% as a bonus. Then, once you play $5, if you’ve used my code, you get an extra 50 in bonus funds. So, technically, you could deposit $10. That’s their minimum. And not only do you get the five bonus, you get 55. So technically, if you drop $10 using code blunt, they’ll give you 65. No, that masses off. 55. 55. 55 total. But once you play $5, you get 50. So, uh, just wanted to let y’all know that. And now I’m going to share with you my entry, my higher or lower lineup for tonight. I am starting with the optimistic ones. We have Well, first I’ll I’ll tell you how much I I put down. All right. $5 with a 75% bonus gives you 220. So, this is the prize I’m hoping to get tonight. And this is the entry that I put in on underdog. We are hitting the higher on James Cook receiving yards. In the last four games for James Cook, he is averaging 27 receiving yards and he’s only in all four games, he’s gone over this number. in all four games he’s gone over. Uh last time he played them it was 25 yards. The game before that it was 17 and then two years ago he put up 16 receiving yards and 48 receiving yards. So I believe he will go higher than 14. I think he’ll have at least 20 tonight. So I I’m optimistic about James Cook in the passing game. And then I also believe just like the first two weeks A Chain will score a touchdown. He scored six touchdowns in his last four games versus Buffalo. So, Achain, give me the higher on anytime touchdown. And then Josh Allen, I think, will throw for three touchdowns tonight. In his last five games, he is averaging three touchdowns per game. He has 15 total. And only one of them is a rushing touchdown. So, in general, he torches them through the passing game. And he has three games where he’s thrown three or four touchdowns. There’s one game where he’s only thrown one. That was when James Cook went off last year. and then another game where he’s only thrown two. So, I have a 60% chance of this hitting based on the last five games for Josh Allen. He’s thrown three or more passing touchdowns in three of his last five games versus Miami. So, this is probably the riskiest one. This one is what is increasing my payout so significantly. The X on this was 1.7. So, I got an extra 70% on the payout because of this boosted line on Josh on Josh Allen. If you want to play it safe, the projection, the baseline projection on underdog is just two passing touchdowns. It’s higher one and a half. I increased it to higher than two and a half. I think he’s throwing for three touchdowns tonight. I really do. So, those three, I think, are the ones that are going to work out. And then I’m really pessimistic on Tua. I think he’s throwing for less than 250 pretty easily. And the line is 239. I don’t think he cracks 220 in his last five games versus the Bills. He has only gone over 240 yards once. He only has a 20% chance of hitting this in his last five games. So, I do think Tua is a safe lower on the projection tonight. And then I also think Wadd is going to hit the lower as well. Wadd has failed to go over 50 yards in each of the last three games versus the Bills. And I I don’t really understand why this line is so high. I don’t get it. Uh I do not think Wadd will hit that. So, uh those are my higher lower entries tonight. And a reminder, this $5 entry with a 75% bonus would pay out 220 if all five hit. That is what I’m hoping for tonight. So, that’s it for this video. That would be it. and uh we can get back to the live chat. Let me pull up y’all’s comments and we will uh get to the questions. Give me one second. I I I forgot to get the URL that allows me to put the the chat comments on the screen. All right. Armen says 55 technically like you have to be a new customer on the deposit you’ll get 50% bonus and then once you play five you will get 50 if you use code blunt. So use code blunt if you’re interested in that in that deal and let me get I’ll start at the top with the comment section. We have SATX ready to spark it up indeed my friend. Let me let me do that right now. Let’s hit let’s hit another hit from the pipe. [Music] feels good. But, um, I’ll stick with y’all for another half hour. I’ll answer y’all’s questions and, uh, if you have any start, sit decisions. After that, I got to respond to some comments on the videos before tonight’s game. So, I’ll stick with you guys for another half hour. But, uh, let’s get it going. IU sold, EU sold is asking Achain or Jonathan Taylor. I would go JT. You got to be in a very small league for this to be a legit question. But I would go Jonathan Taylor. Taylor looked too good last week. And Achain isn’t getting the same volume. But Achain does dominate. I don’t see why you would bench either. So try and get both of them in the lineup. But um straight up, I would go Jonathan Taylor over Achain this week. And then Armon has rolling with Buffalo defense. cringing a bit, but come on. I tr I I I think they’re going to work out. I think they’re going to get some turnovers. I think they will be a good start. But um a reminder, if you made it all the way through this broadcast, I know we lost some people in the last 5 minutes, but hit the like button. We have 24 viewers, only eight likes. Do me a favor, hit that like button for me. Help boost it in the algorithm. But Ravens Flock says, “Tua May or Kyler? Get out of here with this [ __ ] on Tua.” Don’t even Don’t even question with Tua. I’m going Drake May. Kyler has not been very good so far. Kyler has been kind of disappointing and May is capable of running for more yards than Kyler and also throwing more touchdowns. May has been much better. I would go Drake May of these three. I wouldn’t even roster Tua. Personally, I think he’s uh he’s dead weight on on the roster. I would go May over Kyler and then Tua is not even close, not even in consideration. Uh Ravens Flack also asking, “Dolphins offense will surprise today with no Milano and no Ed Oliver.” I don’t buy it. I don’t think so. I’m I’m not a believer. They are desperate as [ __ ] but they’ve looked bad and on short rest, I just I don’t see it, man. I just don’t see it. Uh Ravens says, “Is Dolphins kicker a must start then in your opinion?” No, I would be benching both kickers. Not interested in either kicker. Um 30 is wild for two. Uh look, man, that’s just that’s my stance on it. I I’m not I’m not starting them. I I I don’t don’t want to do it. Arman says, “Starting May, but invested in Knicks, Sutton picked up Franklin to ensure I have the top target earner either way.” But is it feasible to start two wide receivers from the same team ever? Yeah, I would say it’s feasible. The Broncos are not the team I would do that though with like there’s only a few teams I would consider doing that. The Rams are a team I would do that. the Bengals. Maybe not now that Joe Burrow’s gone, but I think I would still start both Jamar Chase and T. Higgins. I would also start both of the Bucks receivers. Evans and Ibuka, I think are good starts. And then this kind of questionable territory. I don’t think there’s that many teams that qualify. But, um, the Eagles, if not for the first two games, you would say you’d also start those two guys. It has to be a very narrow target share for a specific team. I don’t consider the Broncos too narrow. They don’t throw the ball enough. They spread it around and uh I wouldn’t be starting both Broncos receivers, that’s for sure. But I would trust that Sutton remains the top target. I don’t think I would expect Franklin to overtake him on the season. As long as Sutton is healthy, I still view him as the wide receiver one in Denver. Jonathan, completely agree here. Dolphins are definitely about to get smoked. I don’t I don’t think I don’t see them dropping more than 17 points tonight. I really don’t I don’t think they crack 20. Um I’ve never had Dolphin. I don’t How can you even get your hands on Dolphin? I I’m not so sure, man. Jamie, good to see you, man. Hope your day is going well as well. I agree with Jamie here. Everyone hit that like button. And the likes did go up. Thank you all for dropping some likes. If you’re new, if you have never been with the channel before, hit the subscribe button as well. We we go live for Thursday Night Football every week. And then Jonathan, boy, do I agree on this. Wait, Dolphins really messed up drafting Tua over Herbert. I kind of get it, though. Like, there was so much momentum for Tua coming out of college. Like remember the tank for Tua conversation? It was like, “Oh [ __ ] the Bengals are going to get Tua, but then Burrow just looked so good they just had to had to take Burrow.” It was just unquestioned. Um, there was so much hype for Tua. I, as a Charger fan, was actually kind of optimistic that we could get Tua if they went Herbert instead. Like, if we ended up with Tua in that draft at pick six, I would not have been upset that year when it happened. Now, oh my god, thank god we got Herbert instead. Thank god the Dolphins [ __ ] up, but at the time there was a lot of hype for Tua. Um, in hindsight, it makes sense why it didn’t work out. Like he’s much smaller. Like just looking at measurables, Herbert at 65 245 is clearly like the better prospect. That’s kind of kind of obvious. So, uh, I’m very happy as a Charger fan we got Herbert instead. But at the time it kind of made sense. There was so much hype for Tua. That’s why he went higher. But Jed Glazer says, “Should I start Chase Brown, Jordan Mason, or Jaylen Warren?” I would go Chase Brown. I know the Vikings matchup isn’t great. Trusting Jake Browning, not ideal, but the volume has just been so high for Chase Brown. I think I would go with Chase Brown, but I would also understand taking Jordan Mason instead. I’d be trying to start both of them. I have them both as top 20 options, but um I just can’t feel like super confident that I know for a fact what the Vikings offense is going to look like. If you told me Carson Wentz just like is inept, I really I kind of believe that, you know, like he’s going to throw some turnovers. He’s not going to look that good. Um so maybe they lean on Jordan Mason. I think it’s a legit question. I know Chase Brown has kind of been bad in fantasy so far, but I would hold strong. I would still start Chase Brown. I rank him at number 13 and his volume has been like super elite and I expect he’s going to catch more passes than Jordan Mason. That’s the thing. Ma Mason still doesn’t really catch passes. Last year when he was the starter in San Francisco, he only averaged like8 receptions per game. It was less than one. It was really low. And I don’t know if that’s going to change just because Aaron Jones is gone. So, um, just because of the PPR value, I would go Chase Brown, but I understand if you’d rather start Mason. And then Warren I don’t I don’t trust very much. Warren has scored some touchdowns and looked okay, but the volume isn’t high enough for Warren, I think, to be above those two guys. But, it’s very close. I think I have Warren at 21 and Mason at 20. So, um, it’s a very legit question. Um, I’d kind of want to have all three in the lineup, honestly. I I think that’s kind of where I’d like to be, but if I could only have one, I’d go Chase Brown. I I’d like to see the Vikings offense with Wentz before I lock in Mason above Chase Brown. Uh should we do another smoke break? Maybe we do it after we catch up on the on the chat questions. I’m I’m well behind. Jamie says, “Fuck that shit.” I’m I’m sure this is in regards to trusting the Dolphins. Armen Warren Warren is okay, but Pitts and Craft hurt today. Then KD’s beat up. Got it. And on and on. Yeah, we’ll I’ll give you my full tight end, quarterback, and defensive rankings tomorrow. I pin them down, but then I like really do more research over the next 12 24 hours and then I change them a little bit on Friday. Uh I kind of change all the rankings on Friday. So, um I would start King Cade, but I think he’s on the lower end of the start spectrum. Armen says, “Prader ters after he retires, a baked potato chain.” I agree. Jim Gordon, start King Kade or running back Trey Benson. Um, against the Ners, no, I’m not going to trust Trey Benson. I would go King Kade. I’m surprised you don’t have any other flex option other than Benson over King Kade, but I would go King Kade. I I I think King Kade has a higher shot at a touchdown tonight than Trey Benson against the Ners, but I would definitely not drop Trey Benson. Benson has like Bucky Irving upside this season. He’s starting to be used a lot more. Uh I like Trey Benson for dynasty purposes. Quincy, good to see you, man. Should I drop the Eagles for the Bills if it means I might possibly lose the Eagles for the rest of the season? I was in a similar conundrum. I didn’t drop Philly for Buffalo, but over the waiver period this week, I did drop the Eagles for the Chargers. So, I’m actually interested in other teams more than the Bills than the Eagles. I don’t know if the Bills are on the same territory as the Chargers, though. Like, that’s a that’s a tossup where like the Bills are still kind of matchup dependent. Week one, they didn’t look too good on on defense. They did have the timely turnover, but you know, against Baltimore, no one looks good. And then last week they looked amazing, but it was indivision against the Jets. They’re kind of banged up overall. I think their defense is more like league average, but their schedule’s actually really really good. Let me let me pull this up. I’m going to look into this. I’m going to get it on my browser and then I’ll I’ll draw I’ll we’ll we’ll go a little more in depth on this because I got some time and I think this is a very valid question. So, I think no, I don’t think I would do it, but this week I would much rather have have the have the Bills. So, the Bills schedule after this game is going to be the Saints, the Patriots, the Falcons a buy, and then the Panthers, Chiefs, Dolphins again, Bucks, Houston. The Bills have a really good schedule. Honestly, the Eagles after this game are going to go against Tampa, Denver, the Giants, Minnesota, the Giants again, and then a buy followed by Green Bay, Detroit, Dallas, Chicago, the Chargers, Vegas. The Eagles schedule is nowhere near as good as the Bills. So, for that purpose, I think I I think it is worth it. Um, I think this week I would drop Philly and I would pick up Buffalo and start the Bills. And if you get stuck with them, I don’t think it’s the end of the world. I don’t think the Eagles have an elite schedule to where they’re locked into your lineup every week over the Bills. The Bills have a really good schedule. I would rather have the Bills. Give me the Bills this week and drop the Eagles. If you want to pivot back to the Eagles after this because they got the Giants matchups coming up, that’s fine. But this week, I would go Buffalo. I think it’s worth the risk. Um, are we toking before the game? Of course. Of course we are. Jaime’s prediction is 33 to 17. So, a little bit closer, but in a similar range. Armen thinks Tua retires at halftime. I wouldn’t put it past him. I I I don’t think he’s going to make it to next year. I think it’s very likely in the next 20 starts, 20 possible games that Tua is not not staying as an NFL player. I I I think he he could retire in a calendar year, but um I hope it doesn’t happen tonight. It’s it’s a real bummer. Like last year, it was so sad to watch it happen. It was really unfortunate. the overunder on a Tua injury. It’s got to be like over 30%, right? I don’t know if it’s over 50%. But I think it’s at least 20%. I I’d probably put the the line at like 31, 30 and a half%. 29 and a half% something like that. Armen. Yes, this is definitely I mean so far they put a ma they’ve put on a master class and [ __ ] in the bed. So far they are the like adult pampers spokesperson. So far they’re making their campaign. They’re putting together their audition reel to be the next spokesperson for depends. If they can get depends they’ll be happy. If they have to settle for for Pampers they’ll take it. They’re getting desperate. You know, they need some money for Cancun in the wintertime. They [ __ ] the bed pretty consistently. Eight Crazy Nights is in here. Yo, what up? Devonte Smith or Keon Coleman? Damn, that’s a good question. I think I’d go Devonte Smith. I think the Eagles are going to have to score against the Rams. And maybe Saquon does everything. The Rams defense has looked really good, but I think the Rams are going to focus a bit more on AJ Brown. And I think I’d go Dvonte Smith. The thing about Philly is I know where the ball’s going to go. In Buffalo, I’m never so sure. So, I would go Devonte Smith over Keon Coleman. It’s kind of close. Wouldn’t shock me if Keon has a much better game than Dvonte Smith because the Eagles passing game is really up in the air right now. I have no confidence in it, but because I would expect more reliable targets, I will go Devonte Smith. And I think that game is going to require them to score points. So, I think the touchdown odds are decent for Devonte. I would go Dvonte. I rank Dvonte higher. I’d go Dvonte Smith over Keon Coleman. But then fantasy wote says flex AJ Brown lad or Tet. I’m going to go T McMillan. I I’ll avoid the Patrick Certan and Jade Baron coverage. I think the Broncos secondary is worth avoiding. And then AJ Brown has just been so bad so far. AJ Brown has really really been [ __ ] So, I don’t trust him. Meanwhile, Ted McMillan, I think the volume is locked in. From a floor standpoint, I think Ted is the safest play this week. So, maybe you get a touchdown with the other two guys and it’s worth it. But, I think if there’s one guy who’s more likely to give you like 75 plus yards, it would be T McMillan. I don’t think the Falcons secondary is that good as they looked last week. Like, I know they shut down Jefferson, but I think that was just McCarthy that looked so bad. Interestingly though, the Panthers offensive line is actually really banged up. That could be a problem for them. But um I would go T McMillan. I think Bryce Young can still get the ball out fast enough to get T the ball and I’d rather just avoid Patan and I don’t trust AJ Brown right now. So interestingly, I I’ll trust the rookie even though entering the year Lad and AJ Brown were both second round picks. That’s I’m surprised I have this take this week, but give me T McMillan in week three. Eight crazy nights says Tua or Flacco. You know, this is a a legit question. Which player is more likely to not finish the game this week? Tua or Joe Flacco? I think Flaco is definitely getting benched at halftime for Dylan Gabriel. Maybe even in the first quarter. Flaco is not going to finish the game. So, I actually rank Flaco behind Tua. So, I would go Tua straight up over Flacco, but don’t start either of them. Anthony Deco says, “Kincade.” Yeah, I ranked him top 10 this week. I think he’s a low-end start. Ryan Santoro says, “Start one, Tyreek Olive, or DJ Moore.” I’m not going to start Tyreek Hill. I’m not going to start Olive against Reek Woolen and the Seahawks. The Seahawks have been the worst fantasy matchup for receivers so far. And I would like to see Spencer Rattler in a nondome environment look good before I trust him. So, um I will go DJ Moore 100%. The Cowboys secondary is trash. They’re coming off an overtime game. That game is going to be a shootout. DJ Moore I ranked top 20 this week. I’m 100% starting DJ Moore over Tyreek Hill and Olive. That one give me the Bears receiver. No doubt about it. Kels says, “Pick two between Devonte Adams, Ricky Pearl, and Courtland Sutton.” I will go Devonte Adams 100%. I’m not going to bench him among this trio. Even against Quinon Mitchell, I’ll go Adams. And then you’re also asking Pierall versus Sutton. Pierall versus Sutton. Last week sucked for Courtland Sutton. Damn, he was bad last week. And they also were without their top corner. Charvarious Ward wasn’t even healthy. That was weird for Sutton. The Chargers defense looks elite. There will be a bounceback incoming for Sutton, but I looked this up. We we pulled up the stats. He’s only averaging about 50 yards per game last year against Jesse Mentor’s defense, and the touchdown was 50/50. I would go Ricky Pieraw. There’s multiple injuries in the Cardinal secondary this week. I don’t think Will Johnson or Max Melton are going to play. So, if Pearl is going up against backups coming off Jawan Jennings big game, I think it’ll pivot in his favor. I’m gonna go Ricky Pieraw. I think Pearl is a very safe safe bet for volume and from a floor standpoint, I think he’s going to be better than Sutton. However, you need to monitor the injury report for the Cardinal secondary. I will update my ranks on Saturday. I’ll give you the injury updates as well. So, come back to the channel on Saturday. I’ll have my final rankings for you. But as of right now, I would go Adams and Ricky P. As of right now, I would be benching Sutton. Of those three, Jonathan says, “Wentz is an upgrade for that offense.” I think so. I think so. Hashtag McBum. Jonathan has been texting me in the in the group chat. Jonathan’s in the subscriber league. Jonathan hates JJ McCarthy. He shits on him every every Sunday. [ __ ] hates JJ McCarthy. Cable Cowboys says Pennix or Tawa as QB2 for rest of the season. I’d go Michael Penn. Give me Michael Penn Jr. over Tawa. Joshua Carrero says, “If Daniel Jones scored 29 fantasy points against the Dolphins week one, do you think Josh Allen can score 39 fantasy points against the Dolphins tonight?” Yeah, Josh Allen’s going to crush tonight. Josh Allen will drop at least 30 points tonight. I don’t know about 39. It’s definitely possible, but Josh Allen is locked into your lineup. Josh Allen’s going to be like, even Drake May torched them last week. Drake May had 27 points in the blunt league scoring settings. Drake May was amazing and the Dolphins defense is [ __ ] Allen’s going to crush. I almost put him at number one, but I’m kind of concerned that he doesn’t finish the game. That’s the only reason I put Lamar above him. Uh Quincy Jones says, “I should I drop Eagles for the Texans, Lions, or Patriots?” Um maybe the Texans. I wouldn’t pick up the Lions. I don’t trust their defense. The Patriots have an amazing schedule, but this week against Pittsburgh, I would like to see it. They haven’t looked very good, and without the return touchdown last week, they would not have been a good start, even against Miami. So, I think the Patriots are going to be a lot more matchup dependent. I would not drop the Eagles for the Patriots. I think the Eagles are better. However, the Texans, I think, are on similar footing as Philly. And this week, I might prefer them against the Jags as opposed to Philly against the Rams. So, if I’m going to do it, it’s only for the Texans. I’m not interested in Detroit or New England if I already have Philly. But, um, the Texans I think are a good play this week against Jacksonville. Chargers are two 100% drop them for the Chargers. Chargers above everyone else. Give me Chargers 100%. Over Philly. Niners as well. No. Give me the Chargers. Quincy says, “You think Hill is going to get traded to the Chiefs and by what week?” I don’t know if it’s Kansas City. I don’t know if he goes to the Chiefs. Like, if we hit week seven and Rashi Rice gets hurt, then yes, the Chiefs will trade for Tyreek Hill. But I think he’s going to get traded closer to the deadline. I think week seven, week eight, or week nine. That’s the last week it could happen is where it’ll happen. I don’t think it’ll happen before week six. And um I don’t think he’s going to go to the Chiefs. I think he’ll end up going to like maybe the Patriots, maybe what’s a team that needs receiver, maybe the Cardinals. Like if the Cardinals are in contention, I could see them trading for Tyreek Hill. They don’t have good receivers. Um, I would expect him to go to Miami. Uh, from Miami, I think he would go to Arizona around week seven or week eight. But, um, Vlad coming in with the super chat. Thank you, Vlad. Would you play Wadd tonight? Also, who would you buy, Stafford or Jake Browning? Um, tonight I’m not starting Waddle. I mentioned it earlier in the video. If you want to rewind, I hit the lower on the underdog projection for yards on Wadd tonight. I don’t think he goes over 50. And in his last three games versus the Bills, he’s averaging less than five fantasy points. He’s averaging 28 yards per game on three catches, no touchdowns in the last three games versus Buffalo. I am benching Wadd, not in my top 50 this week. Bench Waddle 100%. The second part of your question, would I play Stafford or Browning this week? I think I’m leaning Matthew Stafford. I think I’m leaning Stafford. The Eagles have a good run defense and I think they’re going to be at least one touchdown for Stafford going to Adams this week. I think Puka probably scores a touchdown as well. I think Stafford will throw multiple touchdowns and I’m not so sure about Browning. So, Browning is interesting. Browning also has a revenge game. Last year or like the last time he was starting, he played the Vikings and beat them. And in his postgame conference, he mentioned how it like meant something to him because he’s been cut by a bunch of teams and when he got cut by the Vikings, they did it in kind of a sour way. It was a different organization, but he like really had a lot of motivation to crush the Vikings. So maybe he’s a good play. He does run the ball more than Stafford, so that’s also kind of valuable. He’s got Jamar and T. Higgins. So, similar to Stafford, he has good weapons. But I think I trust Stafford a little bit more against a good defense like Philly as opposed to Browning against a good defense like the Vikings. Brian Flores can definitely mess with you, but the Vikings have injuries. That’s a That’s kind of a tossup. I think this is a really close call, but I think I’d go Stafford this week. I think I’d rather go Stafford. I think it’ll be more likely a shootout against Philly where they need to score points and I think he throws touchdowns. Jimmy Stafford over Browning and I’m going to be benching Waddle. Thank you for the donation. Vlad 714 Woolly says, “Start two Achain, ETN or Bree Hall.” I’m going to start Achain 100% and then I’m also going to go ETN over Bree Hall. I’ve seen enough from ETN where I I I like what he’s doing. I think he’ll be fine. Breeze Hall against Tampa worries me. I’m I’m not excited about Bree Hall in this offense. The Bucks defense is is pretty tough. The Bucks have been pretty good. And I know they gave a touchdown up to Nick Chub, but I think that was for like the sake of the game. They wanted the ball back. I think they just let him score. It’s not confirmed by the coaching staff, but I feel it’s pretty obvious they just let Nick Chub score, so they got the ball back before the two-minute warning. Like, if you look at that play, the defense kind of just like slowly chased him and let him score. So, I don’t like the Bucks matchup for Breeze Hall. I’d go ETN and Achain. Achain 100%. If you wanted to bench ETN for Hall, I would understand. That one’s your choice. Do what you want. Trust your gut. I would go ETN over Bree, though. James Ravine says, “Would you prefer the Bills or Vikings defense?” Would I prefer the Bills or Vikings defense this week? Give me the Bills. 100%. Give me the Bills. Uh, we got another super chat from Jay Park. Thank you for the $5, my friend. Appreciate it. Says, “Start three, Tyreek, Garrett Wilson, J Mo, and Worthy, assuming he plays.” So, basically, if Worthy doesn’t play, then your decision is made for you. But let’s assume that Worthy is healthy, I would go JO and Worthy. I think if Worthy is active, you have to start Worthy 100%. Needs to be in your lineup. I would also go JO because it’s probably a shootout against the Ravens. So I think JMO scores a touchdown and then those two I think are locks. So for me it’s between Garrett Wilson and Tyreek Hill and I think there’s going to be enough garbage time for the Jets offense where even if he doesn’t score a touchdown, Tyrod Taylor’s just going to hammer targets in his direction. I’m going Garrett Wilson over Tyreek Hill. The player I’m benching is Tyreek Hill. Bench Tyreek tonight. I think Worthy is going to play. Thanks for the donation. Quincy says Evans or Tet in full PBR. Evans gets Sauce Gardner, but it’s the home opener. I think he finds the end zone. T is probably going to get more volume and probably more catches, but I think Evans is still like live to catch a 60-yard touchdown. I’m going to go Evans. I think at some point something’s got to give with Evans and he will find the end zone. He’s just too good. I’m not gonna bench him against Sauce Gardner. I know he’s been kind of bad so far and the matchups have been unlucky. It’s not a good matchup this week, but I think he’s better than Sas Gardner. I think he’ll be okay. Give me Mike Evans over T, but it’s it is close. It’s kind of close. In full PPR, it’s more tempting to go with the floor of McMillan, but uh I would go Evans. I think the touchdown is a better bet for Evans this week. Bob Donovan says, “Do I start Golden or Coleman?” Damn, that’s really close. I have them so so close. I’m going to go Keon Coleman, though. We haven’t seen anything from Golden yet. I think Golden, even though he has great upside, needs one of those deep passes to hit. And without it, you can get a bagel. With Keon, I think I’m actually getting like six points guaranteed. I think the floor is higher with Keon. And he also showed in week one his ceiling is pretty high. I would go Keon Coleman. I have them very close. I think I have Golden at 42 and then Keon at 40. Or maybe it’s 38 and and 40. No, I have I have Golden at 42. I have Keon Coleman ranked above Golden. Give me Keon Coleman tonight over Matthew Golden. Shaw has arrived is saying Pacheo or Waddle. Chiefs are playing horrendous. Chiefs run defense, but Waddle hurt plus Bills. Yeah, Wadd has sucked in this matchup. I also have no faith in him tonight. I’m benching Wadd. And the only reason why I’m going to go Pacheo here is because the Giants have been the worst run defense so far in fantasy. If you start running backs against the Giants, they have crushed. The Giants have given up a [ __ ] ton of fantasy points to the position. So, um I I don’t want to start either, honestly. I think you can find somebody better than both. Even off the waiverwire, I think you can do it, but I would go Pico of the two. Maybe you’re in a big deep league and there’s not any options. But let me know who’s on the waiverwire. I’ll stay on the live stream for another like 105 minutes. I’m gonna go Pacheo over Waddle, but I think you can find someone better than Pacho. Honestly, let me know at receiver who’s available off the waiverwire. Check my rankings if uh if we don’t get to it. But eight crazy nights has Igbuka, Sutton, Hampton, Monty, Shakir, Judkins in the flex. You only have one spot for these guys. Give me Ibuka 100%. Not even close. Give me Ibuka. Pick one. Igbuka. No doubt about it. High Frog says, “I had Burrow, didn’t take a backup. Someone’s got Jones. Which waiverwire quarterback should I get? Darnold, Stafford, Wilson, Browning, or Gino?” I think at the moment I would take Stafford. Um I think Gino has very high upside long term. Gino runs the ball more than Stafford does. And I think last week was mainly a product of the Chargers defense. I think Gino is going to be in a lot of shootouts. I actually like Gino longterm, but this week specifically I would take Stafford, maybe M. Jones. No, this week I would still go Stafford. Quincy says, “Why are you so high on the Chargers defense? What’s your top five defense rest of the season?” Top five rest of the season, I would say the Chargers is in there. I would definitely take the Packers as the number one. Broncos probably number two, but the Broncos defense schedule is actually bad. But the Broncos are in there. I would put the Rams in there. I would also put the Chargers in there. And then for the fifth slot, I think the Seahawks are tempting. The Bucks are tempting. I could see the Niners being pretty good. I’d probably go Seahawks because I think based on their schedule, they actually have a a pretty good viability. Like this week get they get the Saints. They get two games against Arizona. The Cardinals defense is bad. They get Jacksonville, Houston, Tennessee, the Colts, the Rams, and then in week 17, they also get Carolina. I think the Seahawks are like that that fifth one is really tough. But my top four are definitely the Packers, the Broncos, the Chargers, and the Rams. I think those are my top four. And then honestly, you could kind of even throw in the Patriots in the top five just because of their schedule. The Patriots on talent alone is not a top five defense. But let me read you the schedule from week six through week 13 for the Patriots. After the Bills game in week five, they get the Saints, they get the Titans, Mike Rael revenge game, they get the Browns, they get the Falcons at home, they get Tampa on the road. So those two games maybe not great, but then they get the Jets, they get the Bengals with Browning, and then they get the Giants before a buy in week 14. And then in the fantasy playoffs, they get Buffalo, Baltimore, and they close at the Jets. So, just on schedule, I think the Patriots could be a top five defense. In week four, they also get Carolina. This week, they’re at Pittsburgh, then the Panthers, then Bills, and then the schedule I mentioned to you. I think the Patriots are going to finish top 10, but number five is up for grabs. No, no worries, Quincy. Honestly, if you have defense in your league, it’s a really underrated aspect of winning the whole thing. Having an advantage at defense and playing the right one every week is actually like a huge part about winning. The the like the variance is like 25 points if you pick correctly versus wrong. Like in in in the subscriber league, we have big penalties for picking wrong. There’s like negative four and a half, negative seven and a half. We’ve already gotten like two negatives at the defense in the subscriber league already. though that compared to like a 20point game from, you know, the Seahawks last year who picked up that Caleb Johnson botched kick return, like that’s massive. That’s a huge deal. Defense is actually very underrated. Jaylen Capuano says, “Should I start Keon Coleman or Troy Franklin at the flex?” I’m going to go Keon Coleman. I I haven’t seen enough enough from Franklin to trust him. Give me Keon Coleman. Hi Frog, I had the same question. uh as Vlad Arman says Woody Marks or Manungai. I’ll go Woody Marks there. He’s at least getting on the field. Neither of them have value right now, but rest of season, I’d go Woody Marks. Pater Agnoster says, “I need a wide receiver tight end and two flexes out of Tet Ibuka and Jooku Fannon Swift and Kenneth Walker. Full PPR for tight end at half PPR for everyone else. Okay. So, at tight end, I’ll go Fannon. I’ll go Fannon over in Jooku. At wide receiver, we’re going to go Ebuka. And then with two flex spots, I’m going to go Walker and Swift. I’m going to be benching Tet and Injoku. Yeah, give me Ibuka as at receiver for sure. I trust the touchdowns. Fannon getting more targets than Injoku at tight end. That’s the play. And then Swift, I think, is going to have a great game against the bad Cowboys defense. And then Walker, I think, has played well enough where I would start him. But Walker is not catching a lot of passes. Um, the full P. Oh, no. For running back, wide receivers, it’s half PPR. Yeah, give me Kenneth Walker over over Tet. If it was full PPR, I’d go Tet, but it’s not. So, Bench, Tet, Bench, and Jooku. Go with the other four. You’re welcome. Hi, Frog. Shaw has arrived, says it’s Sha. Thanks. I I’ll remember that. Thanks, man. This stream is awesome. Waiver included. Scataboo, Judkins, Hollywood. I’m in a very deep league. 100% pick up Scataboo. I think he’s a good pickup. And sadly, this week, Judkins doesn’t have value. I would pick up both Scataboo and Judkins. Rest of season, I would much rather have either of them. I’d rather have both of them than Pacheo. But this week, the best matchup is for Pacheo. Um, I think I’m going to be changing my rankings. Give me Scataboo straight up over Pacheo. This week, I think I think I’d rather start Scataboo over Pacheo. The Chief’s backfield is just so inept. Mahomes is the leading rusher. Mahomes gonna vulture too many points. But you should be rostering Scataboo. You should be rostering Judkins. Hollywood is going to lose a lot of value fast. So I I wouldn’t care too much about Hollywood. But I’d rather go Scataboo this week over Pacheo. And then I’d also want Judkins on the bench. We buy homes near you says, “Should I start Falcons, Seahawks, or Bills? Give me the Bills. Love the Bills tonight. But I got the Falcons very close behind actually. Oh, wait. No, you also have the Seahawks available. No, you you’re starting the Seahawks this week. I have the Seahawks ranked highest. But all three are in my top five. All three of them are great plays. So do whichever one you prefer, but I would go Seahawks, then Bills, then Falcons. Eight crazy nights, says Russell Wilson or Straoud. [ __ ] I’ll go Russell Wilson just because he runs the ball. I’m going to take Russell Wilson there. Jackson Dart worth his stash? Not yet. But once he’s the start, I mean that could happen pretty fast actually. If you’re in a super deep like two quarterback league, then yes. But um I think at the moment you don’t have to stash him. I I think it might be a few more weeks before Dart gets any value, but once he’s active, he has a lot of rushing value. I think Dart actually has very high upside once he’s active. So maybe you’re in such a competitive format where there’s no quarterbacks available and yeah, it might be worth it, but I I probably wouldn’t do it. I think it might be too early for the de Jackson Dart pickup. Next week though, if they lose to the Chiefs, Russ is probably still the starter. who they play after that. Let me look at the Giants schedule real fast. Okay, so this week the Giants play the Chiefs, then they play the Chargers, and then in week five they’re at the Saints. So, I would expect Russell Wilson to finish this game on Sunday. And then if they lose once they’re trailing at halftime to the Chargers, Dart will play in the second half. I think in week four, Dart is going to get some snaps. And then in week five at the Saints, they’re going to declare Jackson Dart the starter. I think Dart will be the starter in week five. So, actually, it’s week three right now. Maybe maybe Dart is worth a stash already, but only in a really deep format. If it’s like a one QB 10 team league, I don’t think I’d pick him up yet. I’d wait for him to actually get some reps. But VB says, “Got offered Olive for Godwin. Should I take it?” Probably. I’d probably take Olave there. Yeah, Godwin might be back soon, but he might just not be the same. It’ll get more crowded in Tampa. Eggbuka looks legit. Evans isn’t going away. Godwin, I think, will be kind of slow for a while. I think I’d rather have Olave. As much as I’m low on Olve, his target share is too high. He’s getting 11 plus targets per game. So, at some point it’ll work out. But Olave is the floor play. Godwin is the ceiling, but because of his lack of value right now, I think I would take Olave right now. It’s close. It’s very close. We buy Holmes says, “Standardly, should I flex T. Higgins or Ibuka?” I would go Ibuka. I don’t fully trust Higgins with Browning yet. Uh Michael Kenji, nice to see you again in here. Uh they finally bought the fullback in a promise this last game and suddenly K9 is back. Makes such a huge difference. I mean, yeah, if he has more blockers, I’m I’m sure that’s going to help him. That’s good to know. I I can’t say I was watching the Steelers Seahawks game as closely as some other games, you know, in that early window when there’s eight or nine games, like there’s going to be a few that, you know, you kind of don’t focus on. That was one of them for me last week. I I didn’t watch it as closely as some other games. But Jaylen says, “I’m in a 14-man league and my RB1 is ETN. My RB2 is Pacheco. Nobody’s taking trades for Pacheo.” I don’t blame him. I don’t I don’t see why anyone would want Pacheco right now. Good luck with Pacheco. You if you have Scataboo and Judkins available in a 14-man league and you have Pacheco in the starting lineup, bro, you got to smash the waiverwire. You need both those both those running backs. Judkins has a terrible match up this week, but he looked good in week two. I think Judkins gonna have good value rest of season. And then Scataboo at some point will also have very good value. You need Scataboo and Judkins. I’m surprised they’re available. Quincy, that guy’s on the work email. I mean, whatever gets it done. Michael Kenji uh says Seahawks D uh top five for sure. Love the interceptions. Yeah, especially once they’re healthy in the secondary. They’re they’re missing some some options right now, but once they’re fully healthy, they’re at worst like top eight. I I I think they’re in the mix for top five for sure. Jaylen says, “Last minute Keon Coleman trade for a close.” Um, I might take Keon there. I’m a big Olive hater, but all the stats would say that Olive is going to bounce back soon. I just don’t believe in Rattler very much. Like I just don’t see the touchdowns hitting for Olive. It’s been a big problem for him throughout his career. He never has the touchdowns. And then right now Olave is averaging like six yards per reception. It’s crazy. Olave is really really bad in terms of efficiency. Let me pull him up. Okay, so so far Olive has 13 catches for 108 yards and no touchdown through two games. Olve has been really bad. About 89 points per game in each of them. And even though the targets are so high, he’s he’s had exactly 54 yards in both games. Less than 10 yards per catch. Currently averaging 8.3 yards per catch. Oh god. I’m I’m never going to rank Olive top 30. I’m just never going to do it. So like sometime maybe once or twice this year he’ll find the end zone, but I’m not going to be able to like predict when it happens pretty accurately. I think I’d rather go Keon. It sounds sounds strange because there’s so much volume for Olive. But Keon had 11 targets week one. Last week he only had three targets. So that’s the volatility of Keon. But at least you have like upside. Keon in week one had eight catches, 112 yards, and a touchdown. In week one, he had more production than Olive has had in both games. I I I think I’d go with Keon there. But Frog with a super chat says, “Can you help with my lineup? Two running backs, two wide receivers, one flex, half PPR.” I can help. Just let me know what it is. Send me another message with uh with the info. But I’ve caught up on the chat. So, I’m going to take another rip from the pipe and then I’m only going to stick around until 4:20. I’m going to leave at 4:20. We started this live stream at 3. I’ll be bouncing at 420. Time to take a a little rip from the pipe, though. [Music] Okay, Highfrog says he needs two running backs, two receivers, and a flex in this half PPR format. And he’s got Chuba, JCM, and Dobbins with Rashad White. So, with two running backs out of these four, I’m going to take Chuba. The volume’s been really good and he’s been scoring touchdowns. I’m going to take Chuba Hubard. I’m going to bet on it to continue. And then I’m also going to start JCM over Dobbins this week. Dobbins gets a revenge game. So, there’s a shot that he scores a touchdown. That’s not a bad bet to make, but the Chargers defense has looked phenomenal and I really don’t want to start anyone against them. They’ve been the toughest run defense overall. So, a revenge game touchdown isn’t enticing enough for me to trust Dobbins this week. I’d rather bench Dobbins if I could. With Eckler going down, I know there’s a lot of volume for JCM. I don’t think the Raiders defense is that good. They’re also on short rest. The Commanders have extra rest. I would trust JCM this week in the lineup. So, your two running backs are Chuba and JCM. We’ll hold off for the flex for now. But then at receiver, you need two of them between Chase obviously starting him for sure. You have Ibuka, Bouty, Troy Franklin, Courtland Sutton, and Matthew Golden. I would start Ibuka. I trust the touchdowns to continue. Evans goes up against Sash Gardner. And Baker in the home opener is probably going to throw for three touchdowns, at least two. And there’s not that many weapons for him to throw the ball to in the first place. Like if it’s not Ibuka, there’s only Evans and Sterling Shepard. So Ibuka is going to catch a touchdown again. I I really believe that. So your two receivers are Chase and Ibuka. And then at the flex, we’re deciding between Dobbins, Sutton, Troy Franklin, Kahan Bouty, and Matthew Golden. I would say the highest upside is Golden, but he has the lowest floor. So not going to start Golden. And then Sutton versus Dobbins, I think, is the is the call here. I’m gonna pass on Bouty. The Patriots target share is a little too random. And then I know Troy Franklin played really good, but that’s the only game in his career where he’s played good. That’s the only game in his what 19 career games so far where he’s had any value. I’m not going to start Troy Franklin. I’m going to go back to the well on Sutton. I mentioned it with Dobbins. The matchup is just so bad. I’m going to fade Dobbins. I’m going to go Sutton. I’m going to expect a bounce back for Sutton. He was so bad last week. I think they get him the ball. They lost. So, they got to change some [ __ ] You know it. If you don’t use your top receiver and you lose in the next game, you’re gonna use your top receiver. So, I’m gonna go Sutton over Dobbins. So that means the five you’re starting are Chuba, JCM, Jamar Chase, Eggbuka, and Courtland Sutton. Those are my five. Good luck with you, Frog. Good luck. Thanks for the $2. Eight Crazy Nights, says Jennings or John Smith. Half point PPR. Oh, no. Tight end premium. Tight end premium. Jennings or Johnny Smith and a half point tight end premium. It’s a revenge game for Janu. The problem with Janu is that if he’s not scoring a touchdown, they’re using him so close to the line of scrimmage that he gives you like no yardage. So, I don’t see much upside for Janu. Even with the touchdown, I don’t think he really goes over like 10 points. Tight end premium, I think, for him is not as relevant as it would be for like Jan Johnson, who gets a lot of catches. Um, I would go Jawan Jennings. Give me Jawan Jennings over Johnny Smith. I think Jawan Jennings is like a safe 10-point play this week against Arizona. Their corners in the Cardinals backfield are very banged up. Their top two corners are currently questionable and exited last week early. So, it’s not like they played all of last game and they’re not practicing fully. They left last week’s matchup, but it was against the Saints. Maybe they were just being precautionary for the game against the Niners. But as long as the corners for the Cardinals don’t actually play, then I would go Jawan Jennings there above Johnny Smith. Angus, how about I trade you real American dollars for a win this week? This is a is an inside joke here. If if you’re if you’re watching and you’re not in the subscriber league, you may not understand what Angus is referencing, but uh Oh, no, it’s not in the subscriber league. Wait, yes, it’s the subscriber league. We’re in two leagues together, and Angus and I are playing each other in the subscriber league this week, and I’ve been trying to trade Kyler Murray to him. However, I am playing against him. So, maybe he just doesn’t want the trade to happen because we’re playing each other. Uh, I have a surplus of quarterbacks. I’d like to get something from it. I don’t think I can I don’t think I can do that, man. I don’t think I can do that. I think the the win in fantasy is more valuable than any money you’re willing to throw at me. But make me an offer. You know, if if you’re willing to throw me like $1,000, I’ll consider it. I’ll consider benching, you know, Bejian Robinson. I’ll consider it. Frog says, “I hope the Rams expose the Eagles this week, make them finally have to pass.” I hope so. I would I would love to see that because so far Eagles games have been really boring. Like other than the Cowboys looking pretty good against Philly, they’ve been really boring to watch. Um, not very exciting. And Saquon hasn’t been amazing. Like this could be a weird game for the Rams. There’s a chance that they really really shut them down. There’s also like some weird [ __ ] going on with the tush push at the moment. Like there’s a there’s some chatter about it getting officiated a lot more tightly right now. So that could be a disadvantage for them. But um it is 420. So I will be logging off in just a few moments. But we’re going to finish this this bowl that I packed. If you would like to join, y’all know what to do. All right, smoke it if you got it. 420. No other better time than to do that. That’s going to be it for me. I’ve caught up with the chat. We’ve answered your questions. If you’re chiming in late and you want to know how I feel, you can always rewind the video. The main broadcast is at the top of the video and I will drop the timestamps. Actually, no. I I I guess I don’t really have time for time stamps. I got to answer some questions uh before kickoff. So, have a good one. Enjoy your evening. I’ll see you all tomorrow with my quarterback, tight end, and defensive rankings. And if you made it this far, if you haven’t done so already, hit the subscribe button. Drop a like on your way out as well. And I appreciate y’all for watching. Later, peace out.