BMW Championship + Danish Golf Championship 2025 – Preview

Episode 367 – Steve Bamford @Bamfordgolf, Paul Williams @GolfBetting and Barry O’Hanrahan @AGoodTalkGolf discuss this week’s BMW Championship on the PGA Tour and the Danish Golf Championship on the DP World Tour.

SHOW INDEX

00:30 Intro.
01:48 Neil Fay in the UK Listener Review.
05:25 Paul’s Grant Forrest Nexo Win.
25:23 BMW Championship Start.
56:49 Danish Golf Championship Start.

Steve Bamford X: @Bamfordgolf Paul Williams X: @GolfBetting Barry O’Hanrahan X: @AGoodTalkGolf

Steve Bamford + Paul Williams on Bluesky
Listeners & Subscribers 18+. | GambleAware.org

If you like betting on golf, but everyone at your back misses the cut. Get some experts involved with all the stats and the tips and so much more. Cuz it’s the golf betting system. The golf betting system. It’s the golf betting system podcast. Greetings and welcome to the Golf Betting System podcast. It’s episode 367. This is our 2025 BMW Championship and Danish Golf Championship Tips podcast. Barry O’Han and Paul Williams join me, Steve Bambber, to discuss this week’s PGA and DP World Tour Action. Good morning, gents. Good morning, guys. Morning, guys. This podcast is for listeners of 18 and above. Please be gambler. You can visit gamblawware.org for more information. And of course, please bet responsibly. Visit our world famous golf betting system website where we have in-depth betting previews. Uh for both events this week, the BMW and of course the Danish. Paul has been in the stats lab pulling together this week’s data. We have detailed form event and combi sheets, plus our new and old predictor models for both events. This week, all of our content, as ever, is completely free of charge. There is no pay wall or registration required on X. Barry’s at a good talk golf. Paul is at golf betting. I am at Bamford Golf. Paul and I are both also on blue sky. Subscribe to the Steve Bamford Golf YouTube channel where this podcast is available each and every week. Now you guys as listeners power this podcast. So we need your five star reviews on Apple Podcasts. As ever, for those of you who leave a review, I’ll read them out. Start a future show. Leave your name and where you are in the review. This one’s from an old friend chaps. This is from Neil Fay. We tend to meet Neil at Wentworth every year. I hope you’re well, Neil. Uh entitled the best golf podcast, five stars. The open championship preview was fantastic and very insightful to what sort of skills would be needed at Royalport Rush. The three amigos were all on top form as usual. Great banter and a must listen. Cheers, Steve, Paul, and Barry. Thanks to you. I might bump into you again, Neil at Wentworth in September. Cheers, Neil. We could have saved ourselves hours if we just like figured out and got out of our own way and just picked Scotty. Oh, for the open. Yeah. Yeah. You never know, damn. You never know how these things are going to unfold. I particularly love the preview podcasts. Yeah, there’s a different flavor to them, isn’t there? Um because of the nature of where we are in that kind of thought process and analysis process. So we’re normally kneede in statistics at that point. So, it’s quite nice to take a little bit of a break and come back and just chat through the, you know, the course itself and the trends and the various things that uh that fall into that. But, uh, yeah, any back to Neil. Yeah, thanks Neil. Um, thanks for your continued support on socials and uh, yeah, fingers crossed you can get yourself another few winners before the end of the season. I actually booked my tickets for Wentworth on Sunday. Barry’s not going. Paul isn’t going this year. So, I’m going without art work of Joe. The two of us will be at Wentworth. I’ll be catching that 6:00 train into London to then get out to uh Surrey for the Sat Friday’s play, which should be good. Next year, by the way, chaps 2026 major venues. Aronomink Golf Club for the PGO, Shinikok Hills for the US Open, and Royal Burkedale for the Open. Aronom Justin Rose. Yeah, Justin Rose has won there. And I think the last time they played there it was Keegan Bradley. Quite possibly. I think that was the, you know, he won the BMW last year. I think that was the one he won before, if you see what I mean. Would have been 2019, something like that. Okay. You’re pretty good at this game, Steve. Keegan Brady 2018 BMW. Uh Nick Wattney won the AT&T National in 2011 and Justin Rose won the AT&T National in 20 2010. Yeah, I remember that cuz I think he he he’d blub the he he he had won in the Travelers or he’d been in the lead at the Travelers the week before and then he didn’t win. It was a bit of a Tommy Fleetwood kind of complex where Rose struggled to get his first win in the States and I think he took he took out that be he took out the uronomic title the week after. Something like that. I’m sure someone will be in the comments saying that I’m talking absolute gibberish, but there’s nothing new there. Now, that takes us kind of to last what happened last week. Well, Paul, I was going to mention Tommy Fleetwood off the top, but I won’t. Paul, you actually got a winner and a very nicely priced winner up in the Scottish Championship, the Nexo. Well done, mate. Yeah, thank you. Yeah, 60 to1 for Grant first and uh yeah, it was it’s nice when you kind of think you might have worked worked it out and then it actually pans out pretty much as you’d expected. So yeah, Forest, well, he was just superb, wasn’t he? From from start to finish. Great course, by the way. Um I really did enjoy the enjoy the Trump International there over at Abedine. real test with a little bit of wind in play and plenty of lost balls from off the tea and if you had it was like a US Open. Well, yeah. I mean, if if if you’re in some of that rough, then you just give it up. You you’re not going to find the ball. So, um real proper test, but um yeah, superb round from Forest in on the Friday, wasn’t it? 66 round of the week actually that ended up being. And uh I remember listening to him or watching him in the uh interview afterwards where he described it as his second best round of his career after um the tight 10 under that he shot at Fairmont when he won a few years before. And at that point I kind of thought he may well have got this now. He may well he may well go and win this tournament because if he’s correlating the way that he played on Friday to how he played when he went on and won his one and only title just down the coast of Fairmont St. Andrews, then you know the kind of the muscle memory, the um the state of mind may well just come flooding back to him. And he was great. I he kind of trod water from there over the weekend, but given the difficulty of the course, that was good enough. More than good enough really. Tre treading water there on the weekend in terms of the perceived scoring was gaining so many shots on the field. Yeah. It’s like being at 23 under. Yeah. Oh, it was incredible. I What a test of golf with a bit of wind. Oh my god. Yeah, they might they might need to soften that course a tiny bit in spots. Yeah. Well, they’ve got the new course which they’ve only just opened, but um yeah, it sounds like it’s got some slightly different characteristics, but be interesting to see that. But I’d love to see that course on the on the road to again. So, I’ I’ve not looked to see if it’s going to recur again in for future Scottish Championships or Nexo Championships if they continue to sponsor it, but I sincerely hope they do because it was a cracker, I think. Yeah, great call, Paul. Really great win. 60 to1’s beautiful. Thank you. But I think the most satisfying thing is when you figure it all out and you’re like, that is the one and and then it all happens exactly as you’d envisaged it. That’s the That’s the true satisfaction. Yeah. No, it was good. Yeah. Great to see his celebrations on the 18th with his wife and his his little boy as well. And yeah, statistically brilliant. Strokes gain positive in all categories. Led the field for strokes game to green. Really got the game for Lynx golf. The way that he knocks down those uh those approach shots in particular. So, um, I’m not going to say that he’s going to go and win a boatload of events cuz I think he’s probably quite specialized the way that he plays, but but certainly when you’re thinking about future links or links style tests, then he’s got to be in the thought process. I think just on that one as well, I was impressed to see um, Penge and Raton at the top of the leaderboard as well. They’ve got some game that they seem to have game those two that actually goes across the different kind of spheres of golf. They’re not just a easy course kind of dominator. Yeah. Or dominators. They they can play tough links golf courses as well. Yeah. Pang Pang is a player. He really is. Yeah. He’s um and I Ive had a good close eye on him for quite some time and will continue to do so. Yeah, certainly one for you to keep an eye on next season, Steve, when he’s playing over on the PGA tour. There’ll be some courses that he readily takes to. I think Righton now stands top in terms of the PGA Tour promotion for next season. Maroy Hatton one and two on the race to Dubai. Reton, is it Raon? Ryan, Ritton, they’re calling him. Yeah, different pronunciations, but I think we know where where you’re coming from, Steve. He’s at one, Howong at two, Penge at three. Perry, who’ve had another great week, four, can five, uh, Kra, Jordan Smith, he got himself in position as well. Sadier, Helia, Sha Norris. Yeah, they’re the 10 as it stands. Now, I was thinking about this earlier because, of course, we’re talking FedEx Cup this week. They’re down to top 50 over in the States. And I thought to myself as I was preparing for this week’s pod, how many of last year’s graduates actually got into the top 70 in the playoffs? And I couldn’t think of one. The Hoygard brothers missed out. Is there anyone that I’ve overlooked that came across last year and got into the playoffs on their rookie season? Don’t think so. It just shows you how difficult it is now on the PJ2 with all these signature events mopping up all the big points. Yeah. Not that I can recall actually. I think you could be right. I think Roy Ryan Fox had been there a year, isn’t he? Already. Yes. Yes. Yeah. So Fox wasn’t in there. But there’s some certainly there’s some young talent going across there in this batch for sure with Ritan and also with with Marco Penge. That takes us to the States. Tommy Fleetwood dominating after 36 holes. Was this going to be the week? Oh no. Justin Rose though. Justin Rose takes the title. I logically logically I I don’t know logically for me I just couldn’t see Justin Rose TPC Southwind the Bermuda grass greens but it all came together. What a performance. Yeah, he’s some man he’s some man for making a late run, isn’t he? Did it at the Masters, did it again here. When he locks in, it’s it’s incredible. It was very Augusta-esque, wasn’t it? The way that he kind of came through in that final round and and and if you time your run to perfection like he did. Yeah. Get those slightly bulging eye eyeballs, you know, just really is locked in. And it’s it’s almost too intense to kind of watch and absorb from the screen, but it’s amazing as well. And it’s it’s it’s that little bit of Rose inevitability, not the Scotty Shfter one, but when he gets like that, oh my god, he’s he’s he’s just on here and it’s great to watch. It’s uh I think it’s made even better by the fact that he is that that age and it kind of makes it that more more special um how he’s able to do it. Yeah. Still massively competitive at what 45 is he in that kind of bracket? Yeah. Yeah, really good. But yeah, you know, from Tommy’s perspective, that’s another massive golden chance, isn’t it? That’s managed to slip away. And I think he’s going to need to get one over the line for his own sanity very soon cuz he he needs to get like a Grand Forest situation where he gets like seven, six or seven clear. What was he? Maybe that’s not enough. No, he was he was was he five clear at one point? Something like that. Yeah. The trouble was it was on a Friday. Yeah. Yeah. It’s such a long way to go. Such a long way to go. Cuz all you need all you need is a bogey versus a birdie situation and that five has become three and you go, “Oh my god, we’ve got 33 holes left to go.” It’s um God, it’s just so brutal. It’s so tough to watch when it happens. You kind of feel that it could and you’re like, “Please don’t happen. Come on, Tommy. Do it. M cuz he had the wobbles and then he put in the birdie blitz. You’re like, “Yes, here. Here it is. We’re going to do it. It’s going to happen.” He’s just going to go He’s just going to black out. He won’t even know what happened. He’ll wake up on, you know, after he finishes the 18th and he’ll be like, “What happened? What? Did I do something?” Yeah. But it just like to make both to make par on 16 from where he was was uh was really bad. Like really bad. and he I mean he scrapes the bar and um yeah the less said about that pull on 17 the better. Yeah, it just looks a bit ner it’s got to be nerves, isn’t it? It just looks nerved. Looks uncomfortable. And as you say, the the body language difference between that and a Justin Rose who’s um on a charge, you know, he’s the game face is on, the competitor is there. He’s he’s out there to try and win it. And it Yeah. In the end, it’s that char is it that it’s the charging mentality versus the hanging on mentality, is it? Yeah, it’s it’s hard to hard to know exactly what it is because we’ve never been in that situation. But you get it time and again, don’t you, where players are trying to defend a lead rather than going out and extending it and uh and just making it impossible for anyone to catch him. Yeah, enthralleding tournament and in you know in that respect but for Tommy backers that’s another another painful painful finish. You can see what’s going to happen with Tommy, can’t you? He’s going to win something late on in the DP World. Yes, probably go Abu Dhabi and win that or something. And yeah, 8 to one or yeah some. You can see it coming a mile off, can’t you? which is exactly what happened a few years ago when he went down to uh a South Africa and won the Ned Bank golf challenge. Yeah, he won that in 22 November. He’ll take something out on the DP World Tour very late on. I doubt if it’ll be the Tour Championship and that’ll be that that’ll be his one year for the next the one win for the next two years. that that the the kind of the mental block the the the reason he’s not getting over the line in the US which is increasingly being built up as a a thing um doesn’t exist when he goes to the likes of an Abu Dhabi or a Sun City or wherever DP World Tour Championship is a little bit different because he has had some chances there and you know similar kind of results um at the end of it but um yeah there’s a level of comfort on certain regular even good quality DP well events. Yeah. An al lynx for instance, someone like that. I don’t take any pleasure from it, by the way. People, you’re always laughing about it. Well, the only thing is it’s just when you look at his price compared to other players. I’m seeing him this week, he’s at the same price point as Xander, for example. You just got to look at the value. Yeah. um rider cup qualification for team America the BMW championship this week. So on Sunday it’s the finishing line for the top six. So the top six in the rankings will make team USA. Sheffless spawn and Xander have qualified. I think Xander qualified as of last week. That leaves Henley Dshambo, who clearly isn’t playing, uh, and Harris English as their other three autos as it stands. Thomas Morawa, Ben Griffin, Keegan Bradley, Maverick, McNeely, Andrew Novak. Novak has jumped above Harmon after last week. You’ve then got Harmon at 13, Cam Young at 14. You have to say that this week’s golf course looks like it should suit Cam Young like a hand in the glove. Patrick Can at 15, Sam Burns 16. Windham Clark has been knocked out of the playoffs, so will not, you there’s no way he’s going to be getting a captain’s pick. So Clark’s race is run. A Bartu’s showing a hell of a lot of form. is at 20th. But realistically, um, some of these players now, they’ve got two weeks. They’ve got this week and the two of championship to really put their hand up and say, “Look, I want to be in that rider cup, too.” Over in Europe, Maroy, Rose jumps to two, Fleetwood at three, McIntyre at four. I believe their cutoff is the Bet Fred British Masters. That’s correct, isn’t it? Which is the same week as the two championship. Yeah. And then the uh picks are being made the following week. Yes. Uh after the bet Fred British. No, after the um Omega Masters. That’s right. Omega Masters. So Maroy, Rose, Fleetwood, McIntyre, Hatton, and Straer. They’re the top six. Straer’s just pulled out of this week’s event. Don’t know what that’s all about. Whether he’s carrying an injury slightly family issue, I think family issue. marker. Uh Shane Lowry, Arasmus Hoygard, Ludvig Oberg, Victor Hovland, Matt Wallace, Matt Fitzpatrick. They’re the 12 as it stands if he was going to pick purely on that basis. Of course, John Ram is going to need a captain’s pick. Do you think there’s going to be much ch more churn in the Euro rankings? It feels like it’s almost set. No, I think it’s set. Yeah. is going to be gutted. Matt Matt Wallace won’t play unless Matt Wallace wins the next two crazy tournaments in DP. I think Wallace is literally going to have to just win and probably then win again in Europe and then he might get a captain’s pick cuz he’s just so redot. There’s I think who who do you who do you bomb out? Like who Well, exactly. That’s the question. This is the issue. there’s at best one place up for grabs and um it’s got to be, you know, if there’s if there’s a carrot being dangled in front of anyone over the next week or two, then it’s got to be for that one place and it’s go out there and show Luke what you can do. There’s no other option, I don’t think. Ram takes up a captain’s pick clearly. So that logically you’ve got Wallace and Fitzpatrick. Are they fighting for the last place? Or could you actually say an argument could be that if Wallace went on a tear and won this week and did something, you know, maybe at the AmIgga or Belfrey, you know, and it’s possibly Wallace, we’ve seen in the past is Rasmus Hoygard playing great golf at the moment. But the trouble with that is you say, well, how can you not give someone that’s number eight in the qualification a captain’s pick? Yeah, that’s the qu that’s the question, isn’t it? But Raasmus’ points were all frontloaded, weren’t they? Yep. Yeah. It’s the age old question, isn’t it? Yeah. You’ve got points in the bag. The only one that could be another fly in the ointment, of course, is Thomas Dietri, who has shown some balls and he’s he was there or thereabouts. He’s he’s right on the edge of getting to the tour championship if he had a good week. But was he just it felt like Dri is just riding the cotales of the waste management open? It’s just it’s such a shame that something that he had that lightning in a bottle he had that week, he couldn’t just seem to find that bottle again for for the rest of year. Like not that he needed to go on and win, but like the way he was swinging, the way he was playing that week was just wonderful. You go, “Okay, you’ve unlocked this kind of level of golf. Let’s just go and find it again.” just seems to have kind of sputtered a bit the engine throughout the rest of the year, which is kind of which is a shame because super exciting player and would have loved him to have been there, but I what would he have had to have done? He would have had to win probably a couple more times to offset the Yeah. the flat middle of the year. Yeah. And there’ll be a recency bias as well. And that and quite rightly too, you want players that are coming into form or are in top form. I mean, Rose going and winning last week is fantastic news for Luke Donald. Yeah. You got an elder statesman in that team who’s coming in, you know, at the peak of his form, you know, in with massive confidence. That’s that’s got to be huge for for him, huge for team Europe. um a a player who wins this week or next on the DP World Tour who’s in and around those places I think asks a question that makes it very very difficult for Luke Donald to make that decision but that’s the nature of the game. Would it surprise you too and would it surprise listeners if I told you that Raasmus Hoyard has not had a top 10 finish in 2025? I’m just looking up his uh his results here, Steve, as well. He finished second with his brother at the Zurich New Orleans event in the team event on the PGA Tour. But apart from that, he’s had 12th at the Phoenix Open and he was 16th at the Open Championship. That’s his best result as a 16th at the Open. the flash in the pan. But I like you could make a case that he might be on the chopping block if Matt Wallace really shows up. Yep. So maybe there is, you know, there’s maybe there is something in it. Maybe the fight is actually, you know, there’s it’s two spots for either Fitzpatrick, Wallace, and Hoygard. And of course, Ram’s going to be taking one of those captain’s picks. Yep. Yep. There’s no way that Shane doesn’t go. No way Ludvik doesn’t go. No way that Victor doesn’t go. Although yet again you can argue about form of certainly Victor but you know he’s in the team so yeah H Victor Victor’s had a win. I licks hasn’t had a amazing season. No but but showing flashes recently so he’ll probably win this way. Don’t say that. Clip that bit. I don’t think any of us are on him. No, of course. Exactly. Classic Steve like mentioned the one person in the field who people who listen to this podcast, they just listen to the little tidbits that we throw out there and then they go, “Well, I’m going to back them because none of them are on it and they’ve mentioned him about three times.” Listen, but you haven’t heard who I’m on this week yet. So, wait until we get there. the golden hand Williams. Right now, let’s talk about this week’s golf then. Uh BMW Championship. We are revisiting Caves Valley. I don’t know if anyone any of you are going to remember this golf course. Caves Valley Golf Club in Mryland. So, Washington DC, Hinterland effectively. This was the tournament back in 2021. I was all over Bryson Dshambo. Absolutely all over him. And he got beaten in a playoff by of all people Barry’s favorite golfer Patrick Can. Now just to get to the BMW Championship means quite a lot now in golf parliament because this top 50 have now booked themselves all of next year’s signature events. So, they will be in the top PJ2 events guaranteed next year, which let’s face it, that’s quite a big I mean, you could see why Ricky was so pleased to get into the BMW cuz he’s now got himself into all the signatures for next year. He’s at 48th in the standings. Uh, a couple of notables that haven’t made it this far from last week. Windham Clark, I’ve already mentioned Tony Fen’s gone. We did mention would have Aaron Ry have the Kahunas and he didn’t. He’s gone. Uh and Jordan Spith they all miss out. What did you think Barry and that this was mentioned in the commentary uh last week about Ricky Fowler getting was it six or seven invites into all of the signature? Sorry, I’ll say that. I’ll rephrase that. He got six or seven invites into signature events in 2025. which is exactly what will happen to that’s going to exactly the same thing that will happen to Jordan Speed next year. They they massively helped him. Read a couple of breakdowns of it and analyses and they hugely helped him. Of course, he was you would have been nowhere near it and but like how can you how can you hate on him? It’s the system. It’s the system. Yeah. It’s not the plan. The system’s set up. There’s no they have invites which is okay. Sponsors want invites. That’s fine. It’s been part and parcel of the whole system for years. And and invites help with with special situations where somebody was injured or things like that. So I think it’s good to have one or two, but there’s no cap on the number of invites somebody could get. Is that the thing that is that is that the thing they need to do? Yeah. says, “Hey, no, I want Ricky Feder. This is ridiculous. You can’t cap him how many invites he gets.” So, the system is at fault here, not Ricky. Yeah. Yeah. Got that. Now, of course, once we through these playoffs, we get into the the latter end of the PJ to a 2025 year. and that if you finish in the top 10 in the six or seven events that are left, you then get invites to the first two signature events of 26, which I believe would be the Century and Oh, no. I don’t think it includes the Century. I think what it is, it’s Pebble Beach and the Genesis at Riviera. And is that the same for the guys who finished 51st to 70th? They or is it 51st to 60th? They 51 to 60? Yes. 51 to 60. Well, this is what this is what this is the angle I’m taking. It’ll be interesting to see and I think I already know the answer. Will a Windom Clark or will a Jordan speed actually add some of those events to their schedule to try and qualify on merit? Or are they just going to sit there and go and Tony Feno? They can sit there go well I’m going to get sponsor invites anyway. Have a few weeks off with the kids and and the wife. And that’s the system. Barry, that is the system. I can guarantee you Aaron Ry won’t be getting sponsors invites to a lot of the signature events next year. So, he he’ll be there over in the States trying to get in that top 10 before the close of the year. Right then, we’ve got some bigname players that are outside the top 30 because don’t forget we now go top 30 after this week to get to the Tour Championship. And now with the new system, if you’re in that top 30, doesn’t matter what Scotty Sheffller’s done, you are basically you’ve got an equal chance with Scotty standing on the first tea next week at East to win the whole shebang. Outside of those, I’ve just picked out some notables. Burger at 33, Fitzpatrick’s outside at 40, Seiwoo Kim at 41, the biggest one of the lot in my mind, Xander at 43. So right now he’s 13 spots below qualifying for the tour championship. Jason Day at 44, Ricky Fowler at 48. I think Rick is probably just happy to have got in the top 50, but you never know. Momentum is a strange thing, isn’t it, in golf and we know with Ricky when he finds something, he keeps it. To his credit, he’s played very well the last kind of three months, couple of months. Yeah. And put in a really good performance last week when he absolutely needed to. So, you kind of have to tip the cap like he’s made he’s made very good hay out of the opportunity he was given. Yeah. Yeah. You’ll be telling me next you you want him to have a captain’s pick. I’m just I’m just throwing oil I’m throwing oil on water there. Barry. I know. I don’t actually mean that. There’s definite improvement though. I can make a case. We’ll do a dedicated podcast. You and you and I, Steve, look. I like Ricky and he’s and the work that he’s putting in with Butch is definitely working slowly. He’s he’s coming back to a bit of form, Ricky. Maybe one to watch in uh the latter end of this year. He might take out one of these tournaments if he if he plays. Although now he’s in the top 50, he might not bother. Uh K’s Valley Golf Club. Now, I have to say, as ever with the PJ tour, they do like to throw some curve balls in there. There’s been a massive, and I mean massive restoration of this golf course. Uh the main talking points, none of this has been confirmed on any kind of fact sheets that I’ve seen. they they haven’t come out, but just through my own research, the main things to point out to listeners, it’s a Fazio original. Uh it had some work before 2021. That was Logan Fazio. I take it that’s uh Tom’s son. But since then, 23, this is the one we need to take care of. All of a sudden, what was a pass 72 has become a par 70. They’ve taken away two of the par fives and turned them into 530 odd yard par fours. They’ve added length to the golf course as well. It’s now 7,600 yds. So, it’s a 7,600 yard par 70. They’ve also added water hazards to a number of holes. I think they’ve increased that by two. So, we’ve now got water on seven of the 18 holes. One thing they don’t appear to have done, and this was a lot of the notes that I took from 2021, they don’t seem to have thinned the fairways. So, the fairways here are wide. Uh, difficult to get a stat, but I mean, I read some quotes from players saying they were between 40 and 60 yards in 21. The best stat I’ve come up with is 35 to 40 yards on average. They’re wide. Just to compare that to Southwind last week, they were 28 yards wide at 300 yards carrying. So we’re looking at fairways that are at least 25% larger than last week at Southwind. 76 par 70 only two par 5s. Uh aronomy for us aronomy nuts. Penross bent uh pen cross bent grass fairways. The rough is tall fescue, Kentucky blue grass and perennial rye. They’ve thickened it apparently up to 3 in in length. Greens 5,200 square ft. They’ve all been relayed. They might have a little bit of firmness in them. They’ve all now got subair. So they they’re throwing money at this golf course. Um the actual grass itself is bent grass green still. Now bent grass greens and 34 35° C heat means that these greens will be watered. What does it all mean? Well, Kantlay Dishambo got to 27 under par on a very soft golf course that included 16 looks at par fives. This week we’re going to have firmer conditions, only eight looks at par fives. I reckon 17, 18, 19 underpar high teens. That’s my guesstimate. I don’t think it’s going to be as tough as we saw last year at Cherry Hills where I think Bradley won at 12 which took us all by surprise but we’re all guessing. Y that was pretty tough assignment. You can see why Keegan actually took it out in the end. But when you’re pulling all this information together and information’s patchy um it’s it’s it’s a lot of it’s guess work. 50 players. Some of the eachway terms this week are tight to say the least. Uh I think I saw some people going up five places and a fifth yesterday. Uh yes, Uni Bet have gone five places, one fifth. I mean that is not a good look. Bet Victor have gone four places and a quarter for your eachway terms. Um, if you’re like me and you just like eight places each way, Boil Sports have done that on their default market. Bet Fred and Bet 365 as they do each and every week have got eight place eachway markets available. You just have to search for them. Uh, eachway extra facility on bet 365 of course. I’ve gone for three. Um, I’m not proud about it. Um um someone will say, “Oh yes, but Ted Scott might not be on the bag.” I’ve literally just thrown Scottish Heffler at the top. There is some crazy link between this BMW Championship in the main and memorial. I don’t know what it is. I can’t reason it because of course this tournament moves each and every year. But Victor Hovland when he won at Olympia Fields in 23, he’d won the memorial two months earlier. Patrick Can in 2021 when he won at Caves Valley, he’d won the memorial two months earlier. And John Ram in 2020 when he won Olympia Olympic Fields, he’d won the memorial two months earlier. Uh, and it’s a long golf course where there were some incredible strokes gained putting numbers last time here. And what did Sheffller do really well last week? He actually puted superbly. So, I don’t know. I’m seeing him priced up as short as 4 to1 to win next year’s Masters. You think 5-2 in a 50 man field? a man that’s finished in 50% of the time in the top three across his last since 2024 Bay Hill. I don’t know. I just in the end I thought like every week you could throw I just think he sleepwalked into contention last week. I really do. Paul, if you listen carefully in Steve’s tone of voice, you can hear every excuse possible to explain to himself why he feels so disgusting for picking the boring pick and Sheffller. Well, I do every every time I do it, but it has worked in the past. Honestly, it makes so much sense. It’s you’re you’re going to have what a lot of mid to long length approach shots and iron play here this week. And he’s one of the all-time greats. It’s impossible to not see him right there in the mix, Steve. Yeah, thanks. Just dug me out of a hole. I I get it and I I can see why you why you get there and it’s it’s almost impossible to um exclude Sheffller from any tournament when you’re thinking about who can potentially win. I think if if we were looking at 27 under again, I think there’d be enough reason to to oppose him. Um, if you’re saying you think it’s going to be high teens, then I can see your logic. I is it as ever is how you choose to play these these uh tournaments where he’s so dominant the top of the market. You either side with him um deliberately trying to oppose him or or play in a market that excludes him completely and and just be done with him. But uh yeah, the do you think the green the greens could still be a little bit poppy, bouncy? They were laid relayed in 2023. So I guess it depends I guess it depends on the heat this week and how much water they have to put onto them. Like of course they have the you know the precise air control, but um be nice if they could put a little bit of bounce into them. That’s that that would make it uh a bit more interesting from a viewing perspective. Oh, let me just share with you one small metric behind the scenes here. So, we pulled together statistics that we put into our um predictor model. Bearing in mind Scotty did play this in 2021 as a you know, I think it was a second year pro. If I look at golf courses, which we classify as long in the predictor model, this number is incredible. Scottish Sheffller’s score for as far as our predictor model is concerned is up1 points for long golf courses on the PGA tour over the last 5 years. The next closest is Rory Maroy. And this is this is the mark of Sheffler. Maroy score is 64. 111 to 64 and then it goes to Xander on 56. I mean the what Sheffller does is just because you see it and you’re living in it, you kind of you don’t really appreciate just how good this guy is. He’s kind of reinventing golf to a level we haven’t seen since the obvious. And yeah, you could say any target did it for 10 years, but that’s a different conversation. Just hit right here, right now. What Sheffller is doing is incredible stuff. And there was one other stat that just grabbed me and it was going back to 2021 actually. Um, let me just pull it up. Uh over the last 36 holes or no sorry the last 54 holes he was top six in the field or top seven in the field in 2021 around here. So Sheffler in the end finished in 22nd spot but he shot a 73 in round one. He then shot 66 68 67. Yeah, he was in T7 for last 54 hole scoring around here and you just think that is Scottish Sheffller in 2021. So, he’s going to like this golf course in it. It’s obvious he’s going to get on with it. So, it’s like an insurance policy. If all else fails, I’ve got win only on Scottish Sheffer at 5 to2 I believe was an enhanced prize. Win only. So, I went six points on that. And then I’ve gone because Barry and I we’ve signed a pact. We’re going down on We’re going down on the Xander Titanic, aren’t we? So, I’m on Xander. Three points each way. 16 to1 bet 365. Eight places each way on Xander Cha. You caught yourself there before. A very serious Freudian slip. Yeah, we’re we’re we’re uh we’re on the Xander train for the playoffs. We made a promise. We’re sticking to it. There was some life at the weekend. you were all despair about the pudding um come Thursday, Friday, but it came back over the weekend. Yeah, just a little bit of little bit of grind on the greens. Maybe just something slightly out of place with setup or or just the read of those particular green. Yeah, I I never really worry too much about putting at least in the short term for somebody who’s historically been a very good putter because they can just grab it back that you know it could be just some silly little thing and then one good putt comes off the blade and they go, “Oh yeah, there it is and they’re back.” So if it’s it’s um the least of the worries versus the other kind of elements of the game. So let’s see. Um, he has he has no wrigle room whatsoever. No. Now, we were talk we were talking we were talking last week, weren’t we, about you don’t it’s hard to find out how these FedEx Cup playoff points work. Oh, yeah. Um, but in my mind, he’s got to do kind of what Ash Barta did last week. He’s got to kind of finish top six to make sure he gets into that top 30. And if he doesn’t, it’s going that’s going to be the first time since 2017 that he hasn’t played the tour championship. So, no wrigle room at all. That’s the only thing hopefully that’s going to kick him up the posterior. Maybe he’s not bothered. Don’t know. You’d have thought you’d want to be finding form just before getting to the RDER Cup. I mean, this could be his last performance before the Ryder Cup if he has a bad week. He’s gone. He loves East Lake as well, doesn’t he? So, there’s a big incentive to make it through to a tournament where he’s or a course where he’s played very well in the past in what is going to be a level playing field in that respect to sneak in in 30th place and go and win the lot. But you could see Xander doing that, couldn’t you? Yeah. And I know you’ll be pulling together the strokes gain rankings for East Lake, and I guarantee that Xander’s numbers, Scotty’s numbers, and Rory’s numbers are very, very close. Yeah. Yeah. Historically around East Lake. Yeah. So, they’re the two for me. I mean, none of it’s earthshattering, I’m afraid. 5-2 on Sheffller. I’ve got 16 to1 with Bet 365, eight place each way. First price on Monday on Xander. I’ve got one more. He’s at 45 to1. So, I’ll I’ll hand it over to you guys because there’s lots of nice juicy players that you could go for this week. Yeah. Who have you gone for? Paul, you lead the dance cuz I think we know the first one. Yeah, I’ve backed I have backed Lig at 22s. I saw Justin Rose confirm his place on the RDER Cup team last week with his win. And as we’ve said, Ludvig should of course be on the team, but he’s sitting there ninth in the rankings, and he is relying on a pick from Luke Donald. And I think pride might mean that he uh gives this absolutely everything to try and to go and win this tournament. And basically just reinforce his place on the team. And I think this suits him better this week than East Lake next week. And he seems to be finding some form again. eighth at the Scottish, 23rd at the Open Championship, ninth at the St. Jude, where he’s fifth for strokes going off the tea. So, some good improvements there. Um, he did have a bit of a fellow period prior to that. Four straight improvements from his strokes guaranteed to green infield ranking as well over the last four events. So, that seems to be pushing in the right direction. And should that be coming to a peak this week, then I think he could seriously contend. You got some big players in this field. Um, of course, Scotty, you got Rory up there as well. I think if there’s going to be a player who is going to be capable of taking on and beating some of the or or the best um the PJ tour has got to offer, then Ludvig is that kind of character. The other one I backed is Chris Got up at 40s. um not the same equation um because he’s sitting there in 21st in the RDER Cup rankings, but I think if he wins this then he seriously asks a question um and a question that’s already being asked but I think it’s it’s really does ask a question. Won the Scottish Open, of course, third at the Open Championship which was a hell of a performance and then 10th at the 3:00 a.m. Open. Needed a break. He’d been playing a lot of golf, so um had his week off. 54th last week. Again, I think like Ludvig, this week suits him much better. So quite happy to take a chance on him each way. See if he can sneak into a place or, you know, given the confidence that he should be having from the field that he beat at the Scottish Open, you know, potentially go and win a tournament like this. You never know. Bomazu can put is not a bad look this week. Yeah, it’s about to say you’ve picked uh they’re third. Garup is third and Ludvig Ludvig is fourth in the uh driving distance on the GBS predictor. Yeah, big boys off the team. Yeah, I’ve also gone with Ger up this week just that it’s the distance um that I jumped on. Yeah. So he’s playing he’s playing well and uh be cool to see be cool to see that like pop into the US team. Um it’s exciting player. Yeah absolutely abs and again this recency form recency bias you know if he does go and win that that’s two wins in quick succession in decent quality fields and he’s asking a very very pertinent question. It’s now or never for these guys. It’s now or never for him and also Cam Young. So, they’ve got to perform either this week or next week, haven’t they, to really um to really stamp, you know, basically say to Keegan, “Pick me.” Mhm. Um, I think historically you’d probably put Cam Young above Gar up potentially just on what they’ve done in their past in careers in majors and the like, but they’ve both got very good chances and undoubtedly the course this week will suit Cam Young and um, Chris Got her up far more than East Lake in my opinion. M I think East Lakes’s the kind of course that you might need to It’s got some nuances to it. Also, they they’ve dumbed it down a lot now, haven’t they? But yeah, I think both. Well, if all of those a Oberg, Gutterup, and Cam Young are three very good selections for this one. I have a triple digit. Oh, wow. Well, I I’ll Yeah, I’ll hang on till you’ve done uh you’ve got Can I have a Can we have a guess when we get to that stage? Yeah, of course. There’s not that many there, so be an easier guess than usual. I think I might I think I might know. Um I have gone I think you might be interested in this particular player as well. Both of you I’ve got Kurt Kittyama. Absolute bomber playing some fantastic golf. Yes, I agree. Him getting into the top 50 is a good thing for K. you know, he now knows I’ve got signature events, blah, blah, blah. He’s got no concerns whatsoever about the Ryder Cup cuz he’s not qualifying. So, this will go one of two ways. He’ll either put take his foot off the throttle or he’ll think to himself, I’ve got a great oppo here, this course, I can eat it up. He’s playing fant. Just look at my eight weeks trackers. Kitty armor’s very, very good golf at the moment. Putted okay last couple of weeks. He won of course the wind uh not the windom he won the 3M. So he’s in the same he’s in the same kind of form as Cam Young if if you think it through the way that he’s playing Kittyama. But the great thing about Kittyama is he’s 45 to1. So I I took that Kittyama 45 to1. I went one and a half points each way with bet 365 each way extra eight place each way. Kurt Kityama. The only thing that slightly concerns me about players like Good Young, Young and Gutter up, it’s now getting to this point where if you want to get on that RDER Cup team, you have to perform. And that can go one of two ways. They’ll either they’ll either man up and do it or they won’t. So, Kittyama’s got none of that. He can just go and play his game. He’s playing really well at the moment. He’s one of the longest on tour. The the wide fairways will just suit him down to the ground. Fancy his chances. either of you going to put any pennies of your uh stake on Kyama? I do too. It’s uh it’s a no-brainer. So, he was second in driving distance on the predictor. And if you add in let’s say putting average, he’s he’s second again to uh to Rory, gets the ball in the hole. Yeah. Makes a uh makes a lot of sense this week at that price point. Have you got any more, Paul, before we try and guess? Just the two for me. So yeah. Okay. Let’s see what Barry’s got. Well, for the listeners, we’ll just tell you who actually is triple digits more or less. Uh Sam Stevens, Ryan Fox, Nick Taylor, Ryan Gerard, Bud Collie, Lucas Glover, Thomas Dietri, Jacob Bridgeman, Jonathan Vegas, Michael Kim, Tom Hogi, Brian Campbell. So I’m not backing Brian Campbell. Just Well, yeah. You won’t let me give you give you a head start. You won’t you won’t have backed him or Tom Hog. Someone said on Twitter the other day on X. How the hell’s Tom Hogi got into the top 50? I mean I struggled to get my head around it. Now logically Johnny Vegas, he’s very very long, likes long golf courses, wins on bent grass, so it could be him, but I reckon you might have gone for Ryan Gerard. Nope. The only thing that’s niggling me is Barry’s been backing Nick Taylor quite a bit recently. So I wondered if it was Taylor. Not that I think he overly fits this, but I think Barry might have a bit of FOMO. Oh, I thought you’d both have me pegged. Nope. Wrong again. Ryan Fox, that’s the one. Big beefy hitter. Space on the fairways to to help with his little bit lack of driving accuracy, but you know, he’s strong at driving distance putting approach around the green. Little bit of signs of life of all the parts of the game coming back together last week. Yeah. Winner twice this year. So Toronto was a just under 7,400 yard par 70. Oh no. Paul, that was the logic Paul followed when he got the winner there, wasn’t it, Paul? Long good putter. Yeah. Yeah. And and Myrtle Beach was 7 7347 par 71. So pretty beefy as well in terms of distance. Yep. Yep. This one is a This one’s a big big big ballpark this week. So, uh I took I kind of went I didn’t go for max places. I took found a nice price on Carl 125 to won six places for a guy that’s won twice this year on long golf courses. I couldn’t believe it. So, I said thanks very much. Yeah, Fox is always an interesting one. And I I I listened to him. It may have been at the Open Championship there was I think they were talking to him in the open zone or something like that and he was talking about how his game is and the variance of his performances and it seems like he really doesn’t know from week to week how he’s going to perform which from a betting perspective can can be quite useful because you’re getting getting him here at what 100 plus 125 in that kind of bracket and would he win 80 to1 I think it was when I backed him a few weeks back because there is a lot of variance in his performances. He can miss the cut. He can have an absolute stinker or he’s capable of going out there and putting it all together for four days and really performing. So, not one for a DK team because you could absolutely torpedo this, but from an eachway perspective, if you if you’re willing to accept that you may get a few weeks of absolutely nothing back and then just the odd nugget of uh of a win, there was a there was a mental angle as well I was thinking about. So, I watched a video of him uh the Europe DP World Tour videos. He’s playing a few holes in North Beric and he was asked what his kind of thoughts on his you know the next level up in his career progression is and you know is it a major and he kind of went uh just kind of hold your horses there. He goes I’d like to get in contention a bit more in a major. Um he’s had one top 10 so he’s you know kind of processing what the next level up and I think maybe you know another tour win of a higher status like this would be qualifying for a tour championship is a big deal. top 30 on tour. Huge deal. He’s 34th at the moment. 34th. Yeah. So, good per Yeah. Any sort of decent performance this week and he will jump into that top 30. But, uh, yeah, I think there’s a few nice factors there that made it very appealing at that price. So, and I could easily he could easily miss a cut this week in a no cut event. He could be that bad. So, just for the listeners, I’ll just throw this in there. I’ll take you through the top five that are inside the bubble and outside. 26. Got her up. Bridgeman 27. Hland Batia. Glover’s on the bubble. He’s at 30. Don’t think this call suits Lucas Glover. Sam Stevens big hitter. Has he got the mental fortitude? We’ll see. 31. Gerard at 32. I mean, that’d be huge if Gerard could get in the tour championship as a rookie. That’s crazy. Or I think he’s second year, isn’t he? But even so. Daniel Burgerer 33. Same for Bridgemond if Bridgemond holds on. Uh, Burger 33, Fox 34, and Taylor Pendrith 35, Thomas Dietri by the way, 36. Kittyama 37. Right, we’re done, I think. Should we move on to the Danish Golf Championship? Yeah, let’s let’s push on cuz time’s uh times are ticking. Danish Golf Championship had a few names actually this event if you’re looking back for some history. Made in Denmark was one of the previous names. made in Hima as well. And um now it’s just the plain Danish golf championship for for this year and last year. But um we’ve got a new field or a new new course to contend with which I’ll go through in a second. So um a lot of the history is of uh less consequence I guess this year than it perhaps has been in previous years. Much improved field though over last week. Nikolai Hoygard Raasmus near guard Peterson home course for Raasmus 12 to1 favorites with most bookies Raasmus Hoyard and Matt Wallace 14 to1 Marco Penge Christopher Retan 16 to1 the Bjorn Olison Jesper Spencson 18 to1 so what’s that eight players I’m counting at 18 to1 or shorter this week so a lot of quality at the top for a um DP World Tour event 25 to1 bar those players. Ball sports gone eight places each way as standard. Um Bet 365 Bet Fred as ever have their eight place options this week. So plenty of good eachway betting options out there. We do have a new course to contend with this week. As I mentioned, we’re at the Fo Golf Club which is just to the north of Copenhagen. Now, this club opened back in the mid70s. It’s got three sets of nine holes here. Parkland in style, so you got trees, lakes, extensive bunkering. We’re using a uh fusion of two of the nines this week. Now, the yardage only popped up on the DP World Tour website yesterday, and I always take these new courses or when they do this with a pinch of salt because we’ve seen before there’s prone prone to changes, prone to amendments, which can be quite large amendments. But if we take it at face value, we’re currently being told it’s a 7,011 yard past 71 with the front line being much much shorter than the back. I mean, we’re talking nearly 1,000 yards shorter. Um, which always does ring a few bells with me because there’s such disparity between the two. But um, let’s let’s assume that the DP World Tour know that they’re they’ve got it right. And that is exactly what we will be playing this week. Three par fives in total, five sub400 yard par fours as well. Some good attackable holes. There’s also a couple of really long par fours that are over 500. So there’s a mix there. Um I guess they could have called them par fives and made it a par 73, but uh in the way that they’ve structured it, they’ve uh they’ve left it as a 71. Um, and certainly with this kind of eclectic mix of uh holes this week, which uh we’ll see how it all fuses together and uh hopefully that that sticks and that’s exactly what we’re contending with this week um in terms of the course. But yeah, Parkland in style in general, pretty atypical of a lot of Danish courses in in that respect. So perhaps there’s a little bit of uh correlation worth looking at with some of the previous results. Weather looks good though. Um, set fair for the four days. Sunny skies, temperatures in the mid 20s centigrade, 25 26. So that takes us up into the high 70s, kind of 77, 79 fah. So pleasant conditions, not much wind as well, 5 to 10 mph. So certainly on some of these par fives and the short par fours, that should be the green light for some scoring. Now, we don’t have any previous event stats here. So, we’re in the dark statistically um as we were last week as well. We do have some event winners. So, I’ll just read you through those just to give us a flavor of the kind of players and the kind of prices that we have seen win this event by its various names and various guys and various locations over the years. 2014 was Mark Warren at 30 to1. Actually played last week Warren and uh and did put a decent final round in. So I suspect he might be quite popular with uh a few players taking a punt from an eachway perspective near the bottom of the market. 2015 David Horsey 80 to1 2016 Thomas Pet is 12 to1. Julian Sururi won the 2017 renewal at 60 to1. 2018 was Matt Wallace. We were on board at 40-1. Barber won the next two at 70 to1 and then 20 to1 postcoid. Oliver Wilson 200 to1 in 2022. Raasmas Hoyard was 22 to1 uh the year before last. And then Frederick Laqua 33 to1. I think you were on him last year Steve from Laqua from memory. Frederick Laqua. Yes. got his always pick a bet always pick a Frenchman in Denmark. That’s what I always say. That’s that old adage e. Oh yeah, the old adage. Yeah, but yeah, he he he obliged 33 to one off the back of some progressive form last year. So yes, there was something to grab on to there. But again, we’re talking about a new course, so there’s there’s very little to go on. Um should be scorable. We got the contrasting nines, but um yeah, perhaps we should on the side of plotting and um approach play and putting over raw power given the you know, relatively short course. The the Danish courses do tend to be a little bit more about that rather than just pure bombing. But uh we shall see. We’ll see how it pans out. Let’s hope that the yardage is is as described and doesn’t just morph into a 7,600 yard past 73 by the time we start. It It shouldn’t, Paul, because it’s it’s an old style course. I know. Yeah. So, I don’t think it’s going to morph into a monster accidentally. What? Unless some strange new holes. Yeah. So, it looks it looks like it should be that old vibe. Yeah. I’m I’m I’m I’m I’m almost confident enough to say this is going to be as described. Anyway, I’ve backed five players this week and uh of the players at the top of the market and as I said, we’ve got eight between that kind of 12 to1 and 18 to1 price point. The one I have backed is the very much a forementioned Matt Wallace. Now, we’ve done this already because we’ve chatted it through, but he does sit in 11th place in the RDER Cup rankings. Um, so his only real chance, I think, with John Rams sitting there guaranteed a pick is that he needs a pick. Um, and the way to do that is to just twist Luke Donald’s arm and show him exactly what he can do. Now, we go back to 2018. I picked him that year and very much for the same reasons. He needed to go out and impress Thomas Bjorn that year, show him what he could do, try and convince Thomas Bjorn that he was worthy of the pick. and he birded five of the final six holes to make a four-man playoff. Birded both of the extra holes and won the tournament, asked the question, didn’t get the pick. But I think in terms of the the mental approach, the um desire to do that, and the fact that he’s gone there and done it once and shown that he can pull that kind of performance out when he absolutely needs to, I think that will set him in goodstead. And I wouldn’t be surprised to see him do exactly the same thing again this week. It feels very very similar kind of scenario to me. Playing some good stuff too. Third at the 3M Open um recently over on the PGA Tour, 27th for the Windom. And we saw last year that he can step down from the PJ tour and win. He won at Cran Sier last year after having played the bulk of his summer over on the PJ tour. So he can do it. Um, it does happen. Big week for Matt. I personally hope he does it. I’d love to see him on the Ryder Cup team. And I think there’s going to be a lot of fire in his belly this week. Matt Wallace. So, Wallace is in a little further down. I’ve also backed Andy Sullivan. I’ve got 33 to1 with extra places there. 35 to1 is available right now with the bog standard eachway terms. I backed Sullivan last at the Italian Open and that was on a similar looking kind of test. He finished 33rd that week, but I’ll try again this week cuz I think the logic was right back then and I think the logic is right pretty much for this week. This kind of course um this kind of shorter and Parkland style course is absolutely his bread and butter. His last win came almost 5 years ago on a comparable course that was at Hamry Manor and again another short scorable Parkland course. He won by seven clear shots that week. 17th at the Scottish Open recently that was in decent company. Seventh last week in Abodine. Nice little birdie on the final hole to round off his week as well. Eighth for strokes game putting. When the putter is working with Andy Sullivan, take note. And I think if Wallace doesn’t win, then potentially it could be a fifth DP World Tour title for Andy Wallace and Andy Sullivan. And Andy Wallace merged just they merged into one. I did I’ve been accused before of having this slight bias towards British golfers. Perhaps it’s true. Little bit. Well, every time you every time Andy Sullivan comes up, I just think back to the 14th and in 14th and Wentworth a few years ago and he had uh he he’d hit his t-shot to the right into the bunker and it was not a pretty lie and Steve myself and Paul were right beside the bunker and Andy Sullivan rocks up and Steve Steve’s like 66 67 he’s like he’s tall and Andy’s the opposite of Steve and Steve just goes oh fried egg mate. Andy Sullivan looks at him and just fires Superman daggers at him. It’s like, “Yeah, you think.” Yeah. Thanks, mate. I spotted that. Yeah. Yeah. Comedy moment. Well, let’s hope there’s no fried eggs for Andy this week and he can go and uh go and win by seven or or follow Matt Wallace home. One of the two. I don’t mind. Um, another eye catcher last week actually um was Oliver Lindell and I backed him at 45 to1. Real talent this lad. Won three times on the Nordic circuit before the age of 18 and he was seemed to be a huge prospect at the time. Two of those wins came on Danish soil actually. So some good experience and winning experience in the area. Hasn’t quite pushed on since then. um was expected to do well better I guess but graduated from the the uh the challenge tour last year to the DP World Tour that was on the back of eight straight top nine finishes to close his challenge tour season. So some really solid and consistent form then and shown some good promise this year at this level too. Five top 20s then progressed a little bit further 10th at the Italian Open which again I think it’s got some correlation to this. seventh at the Nexo last week. So, moving in the right direction. Last trip to Denmark, he finished second last year on the challenge tour. Closed with a 62 that week to finish second. Um I think he’s going to be a winner in waiting. Oliver Lindell sooner rather than later. 45 to1. Um I’m quite happy to take. And then a couple of long shots. Um Adrian back to 180 to1 with extra plays. 200 ones out there right now. 26th at the China Open, 11th at the Hainan Open, and then went right off the boil. Seven straight missed cuts. Better last week, finished 56th. So, it doesn’t really look like it, but there were two strong rounds in there. His fifth after day one. His final round was the fifth best scoring on the day as well. So, showing a little bit of form Friday and Saturday pretty poor, but certainly some positive signs there for Adriani. as a fivetime winner at this level. I think he deserves a little bit more respect, particularly on a course that I think will play to his strengths. And the other one is Dan Housing. I backed at 250s with the extra places, the eight places option. And again, there’s 350 out there right now if you so prefer. Three times a challenge tour winner. Never really stepped up to DP World Tour level, though. So seeing him in second place going into Sunday last week was one for the notebook. He led the field for strokes game putting last week as well. And uh he’s got some strong recent form in Denmark too. Two top 10s the last time this particular event has been played on various courses and he got a pair of top four finishes at challenge tour level in Denmark too. So has previous in the region played really well for three rounds last week and uh you never know perhaps he could fill an eachway spot at a very healthy eachway price. So Dan Housing, Adriani, Olive Lindell, Andy Sullivan, and Matt Wallace for me this week. Barry, what about you? struggling amongst the uh inconsistent kind of uh let’s say picture you see on the combi stats page on the DP World Tour. It’s it’s it’s like looking at a list of about 150 Ryan Foxes. Yes. Yeah. So like loads of miscuts and some dodgy performances and then spikes and you’re how do I kind of see the matrix here? So kind of talk me through David Mikoluti. So 10th last week, a 17th and a 10th in Denmark the last couple of years. That feels like a nice kind of merging. Yeah, potentially. There was uh they interviewed him on um on Skype over the weekend and there was some positive words coming out of that. So I I couldn’t put you off. I I was five deep at that point. So I’ve kind of and and a new course I I didn’t really want to go to five. I’d have preferred three or four really, but there was the five that I fancied. So, so yeah, I’ve lopped a few off my uh off my list, but yeah, wouldn’t put you off if you fancy him, Barry. I might have done a Steve there. Is it is it Michali Mishaluti? Maluci. Yeah, Mikaluti again. I think we know who you mean, Barry. Yeah. So, kind of just little one. The the Dan Hing one is very interesting. That’s that’s some price for the uh the the performance last week and then re and I was surprised he was right in there last week. Yeah, a dodgy final round under the pressure, but you know, he’s still learning his trade at this level and uh and does have some good Danish form to his name. So, I see no reason not to take a chance on him at that kind of price. What about a Jeff Winter to for a Danish player? Yeah, another one who’s up and down, isn’t he? Um, I always seem to prefer him when the conditions are a little bit tougher, when it’s windier and uh, you know, when there’s a little little bit more um, that they might test the players. I’m not sure they’re going to get it this week. I suspect there’s going to be quite a few birdies flying about, but he can go low. You know, he pops in the odd low one here and there. So, yeah, maybe. Yeah. Not not m not not Mr. Consistency. Well, as you as you described, Barry, very few of them are at this level. So, you’re just not going to get that. I’ve gone for our old friend Sammy Valamaki. I got 33 to1 yesterday. Eight places each way with Bet Fred. Perhaps there’s a little bit of passable in the green somewhere. Ste, not sure about that. No, I’m not sure about that. The closest I could get and there there was no confirmation. And I’m sure there’s Benrass um based in the greens, but um there seemed to be a hint that there was going to be fescue based um greens as well. So we’ll see. We’ll see what they come out with on commentary. He was sixth for approach at the Windom. And we’ve always said it’s such a huge step down from PGA to this. Yeah, he was 16th for Ter Green. And one thing you can’t do around Sedfield Country Club is part negatively. So he was 6 per round negative with the putter. But I just think with Sammy this the kind of thing he could probably come down to. No, I mean I’m struggling to see why he’s 33s and Yes. But Spencson’s 18s. Yeah. I mean that’s just strokes game biases in odds. Spencson’s far more consistent with his strokes game numbers. Fam Mack is one of these bit more up and down. I I think I might go win only on Matt Wallace as well because it’s kind of now or I mean they’ve got a little bit more time to work with Wallace but it’s for these players Wallace Cam Young’s you got to rubs it’s pretty much now or never if you want to play Ryder Cup. Yep. And I can actually see Wallace responding to that cuz he’s kind of done it in the past. Yeah. push comes to I know he didn’t make the RDER Cup team that year, but he actually won events whilst trying to force his way onto the team. Yeah. Ask a question, didn’t he? He did. So, Wallace and Falamaki for me. Very good. Are we done? Yes, I think so. You know what I’m like with Times, Paul? I’m absolutely useless. We’re not uh There’s no podcast next week, are there? Is there Is there two weeks to no podcast? Yes. So, you’re away next week. I’m away the week after. So, we’re back for the week of the Irish Open, which Yeah, I think I think it is just the Irish Open that week and then the Pro Course is the following week, I think. Are you attending that, Barry? The Irish Open. Uh not at the moment. No. I missed I missed going to Khen Castle this weekend for the what used to be called the challenge tour. It’s now the hotel planner tour. There was an event on there. It’s only about 50 minutes away, but kind of brain farted on it happening and had loads of my own golf booked and some family stuff. So, um but yeah, a couple of my friends were at it and said it was great. There was no ropes. You were able to just walk the fairways with the players and Oh, wow. Wow. So yes, certainly if there’s a one of those hotel planner tour events near anybody, uh it’s you get just unbelievable access to the the feeling of what a tournament’s like and get to kind of walk along with the groups. Cool. Really good. Yeah. When it’s right on your doorstep, then worth doing. Yeah. I’ll figure out the Irish Open. It’ll be chaos there. Um but also good chaos. Well, I hope your bets go well, gentlemen. Yeah, you too, boys. Um, happy travels and we will see you in a few weeks for the Irish Open. See you again soon. Goodbye. If you like betting on golf, but everyone at your back misses the cut. Get some experts involved with all the stats and the tips and so much more. 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