The 2025 BMW Championship from Caves Valley Golf Club – DFS Golf and Gambling Preview Show

The penultimate event of the FedExCup Playoffs.
***Best plays in each price tier on DraftKings
***Best betting options for this week’s event
***Best One and Done options

#BMWChamps #BMWChampionshop #PGATour #CavesValleyGolfClub #CavesValley #PGA #XanderSchaufelle #DraftKings #Fanduel #DraftkingsSportsbook #FanduelSportsbook #BET365 #Outrightbets #bettingtips #fantasygolf #DFSgolf #PGADFS #golfbetting #ScottieScheffler #RoryMcIlroy #LudvigAberg #OneandDones #DFS #KeeganBradley #DPWorldTour #LIV #LIVgolf #JustinThomas #JordanSpieth #RickieFowlers #TheMasters #JJSpaun #VictorHovland #BrysonDechambeau #BrooksKoepka #jacknicklaus #TigerWoods #xanderschauffele #jonrahm #jacknicklaus #rydercup #presidentscup #TigerWoods #DustinJohnson #RobertMacIntyre #ShaneLowry #Fedexstandings #fedexcupstandings #PGATourvsLIVGolf #PGAPlayoffs #FedExCupPlayoffs #RyderCup #FedEx #PGATourPlayoffs #PGAPlayoffs #PGAPlayeroftheyear #Rydercupstandings #Rydercupcaptain #Rydercupteam #FedexStJudeChampionship #TPCSouthwing

______________________________________________________________________
Buy me a coffee or a beer:
Venmo — https://account.venmo.com/u/philstiefel
PayPal — Phil80041@yahoo.com

Buy #TrendingintheAM or #STTSportsNetwork merch — contact https://www.lillianscreations.com and get your gear!
(They have both logos on file and a great variety of shirts, hoodies, etc.!)

Advertise HERE! DM me (@beardaknowledge on all social media platforms) for info on how we can partner together for success!

Fanatics Sportsbook referral link — https://t.co/lKxykVi4yf

DraftKings Sportsbook referral link:
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/r/sb/Phil80041/US-PA-SB

SUBSCRIBE to Pixel8ed History YouTube Channel — https://youtube.com/@Pixel8edHistory?si=P3YCHuptUIwgnvZs

Evan and the Mystery of the Spooky Dookie (support Peanut and his sons book venture) — https://a.co/d/0boJJc9

The BMW Championship, the second to last event of the PGA Tour season, the top 49 golfers of the year head to Baltimore. Who should you put in your DraftKings lineup? Who should you bet? We’re going to break it all down right now live in 30 seconds. [Music] Hey, hey, [Music] hey, hey. [Music] And a very good evening everybody and welcome to Fairway to Heaven right here on the ST Sports Network. We are live YouTube and Twitter. Hit that like button, hit that share button, and of course, please subscribe. Would greatly, greatly, greatly appreciate it, guys. We got a jam-packed show. It’s the penultimate event. Did I say penultimate event on the PGA Tour for the 2025 season, the BMW Championship, coming to you live from Caves Valley Golf Club in Baltimore, Maryland. So, please, while we break it down, like, share, subscribe. If you’re watching on Twitter and you want to vote on our live YouTube poll, head over to the ST Sports Network YouTube page. The the poll of the night, will the winning score this week surpass 20 under? We’ll get into that, but please vote yes or no. We got lots to talk about, lots to dive into, lots of theory to think about as we’ve got the top 49 golfers of the year on the course on on the on the on the tour ready to go. Now, unfortunately, good morning, good evening, little G. Hope you are well. Unfortunately, you see me rolling solo. Jason’s got football practice with Jack. Slacker. Steven chose overtime pay to help pay for his wedding over golf. Slacker. So, you’re stuck with me. rolling solo as we break down this week’s event. Now, the PGA Championship or the PGA Tour heads to Caves Valley Golf Club in Baltimore, Maryland, like I said, for the BMW Championship. First time it’s here since 2021. And that is why the poll question on YouTube is, will the score surpass 20 under? Because the first thing we need to discuss is the golf course. And I don’t have Jason here to do his typical course breakdown. So, what I’m going to do is give you the nuts and bolts. But first, the last time it was played here in 2021, the winning score by Patrick Kantley was 27 under. And Patrick Canley and Bryson Dshambo both were 27 under because it went to a playoff. So, the last time they played here, it was a shootout. It was a birdie fest. I believe there’s seven or eight golfers that shot under over or under 20 under. That’s a lot of golfers, a lot of low scores. So, what happened? Well, Case Valley has decided to lengthen the course by over 50 yards. It’s now a 761 yard course. They changed it from a par 72 to a par 70. So, they’re trying their best. Rumors that they’ve grown the rough out extra thick. They’ve sped up the greens. They’ve done a done a lot of things to make this week more difficult. Right now, the sports books have the score, you could bet over under at 17 and a half. So, that leads me to think it’s going to hit under 20 under. I think 20 under that would be the maximum that you would see this week. Again, we do have 49 of the 50 best golfers in the world. Septraka withdrew for a personal reason claiming it will still be there next week for the tour championship at East Lake in Atlanta. So, you got to finish in the top 30 of the the FedEx Cup standings. So, we’ll get into all that, but I think the key thing to do first, what kind of golfer can succeed at Caves Valley? What kind of golfer need? What What does your game need to be looking like to survive and to advance to to solidify your position at Caves Valley this week? Now, I know the course is lengthened. It’s going to be more difficult, but some basic stats from when Patrick Kentley won at this course in 2021. Patrick Kentley ranked 15th off the tea. Bryson Dshambo, who tied for the lead, lost the playoff, was number one in the field off the tea. third place finisher, Sunjm, 11th off the TIG, Rory Mroy, fourth on the leaderboard, second off the TIG. All four of those guys in the top four, ranked top 10 in putting. So that tells me one very important thing, you got to hit the ball straight and accurate, so great off the tea. And you got to be able to putt. And you’ve got a jam-packed board here. Like you’ve got so many of the who’s of G. So, it’s going to be difficult. There’s also only 49 golfers. So, when you’re building your DraftKings lineup, we always talk ownership percentage, and I find it very difficult to figure out the ownership percentages, what to play, what’s what’s chalk, and whatnot when you’ve got these limited fields. And next week at East Lake for the championship, it’s going to be the same thing. It’s going to be even harder to differentiate. So, you’re going to see a lot of chalky golfers that you still have to play. You’re just gonna have to find those one or two or three guys that you could tweak your lineups up to separate yourself from the rest of the field. But for the most part, everybody, every lineup is going to have a lot of 20% guys, a lot of 25% guys, a lot of 30% owned guys in them. So, you kind of got to look at it. You’re just trying to build a lineup with the six best golfers in it. And what do you need? You need your driving distance, you’re off the tea, you need your putting when all else fails when you’re in elite field like this. The best approach iron players typically rise to the top. So te to green ball striking, things like that. And obviously it’s going to take close to 20 under to win this week. So you need guys that are going to make a lot of birdies. How do you make birdies? By making putts. So birdies, putts, all that plays into it. So let’s take a look at the DraftKings board. Let’s take a look at where it’s at. We start right at the top. First off, there’s 49 golfers in the field. I’m no mathematician. Okay, let me let me just say not great at math. There’s 49 golfers in the field. They have a whopping seven of them 10k and above. Those five digit guys, there are seven of them. What’s that make? That 10% would be 4.9 almost 10%. So like 8 n% of the golfers are 10k and above which makes it very difficult because if you’re going to play one of these top guys you’re going to have to dip down into the 6ks. There’s not a lot of guys lower down the board. So it makes it very very interesting. You play Scotty Sheffler who’s number one on the board at 13,400. That leaves you with only 7,300 left to build your lineup. That’s very difficult to do. When you pick Scotty Sheffller, you might only be able to get one other 8K guy in your lineup this week. Or you’re going to have to find a third. I only got two 6K guys that I’m really going to mention this week that I really have any maybe three guys in the 6K that I like this week. Either you’re going to have to dip way low and multiple times or you’re going to have to play around with it a little bit. You play Scotty Sheffller at 134, which there’s no argument not to play him, and you get 7,300 left. Or you take say a Levig Goldberg at 10-2 and you have almost 8K left. So there’s a lot of strategy that goes into building lineups this week. But at the top of the board, Scotty Sheffller 134, Rory Mroy 114. You can play either of those guys. You can play both those guys. You can do whatever you want. Those guys are clearly the best golfers now. Now, now Scotty’s has a a filling caddy again as his caddy’s taking another week off. Got some personal things he’s dealing with. Um, best golfer in the field, best golfer in the world, best golfer of the last decade. No doubt about it. No doubt about it at all. But kind of feel like if there’s a week to fade him, this is the week you fade him. Because if you look at the bottom of the board, and we’ll break them down later. Do I really want lineups with Johnny Vegas and Bud Cley and multiple usage of these guys, Sam Stevens, Nick Taylor, Lucas Glover? Do I want to use them that much? And I think the answer is no. Rory took last week off. I don’t know how I feel about Rory this week with taking last week off. I really truly say you got Rory there. Xander 105 was all in last week and he was very mediocre disappointing. Tommy Fleetwood, let’s pause for a second. Is Tommy Fleetwood ever going to win on the PJ tour? I don’t know. Is Tommy Fleetwood at 20 under in the 10ks at 104? It’s insane to me. People are betting fleets again. People are using Tommy Lad in their lineups. Drives me nuts. Now, right now, his projection ownership is only about 10%. Which is kind of exciting, honestly. Xander’s only seven. You got about 23 for Rory and 21 for Scotty. Those numbers will probably go up. You got Justin Thomas at 10. Patrick Kentley at 10-1. to me and I and I know he hasn’t had the season we expected him to do, but I think Ludvig Oberg is the play in the 10k range and above. Ninth last week, 23rd at the open, eighth at the Genesis. He had a little sketchy stretch, but for the most part, he hits the ball far. He hits it fairly straight. Okay, great off the tea, great ball striker. That’s what you need. And I’m going to say Oberg is the best play up here. I know it’s a little tricky. It’s a little little questionable. He was outside the top 100 in approach. Now he’s within the top 70. Not easy to do that late in the season. I think Lord Vber Oberg is the first spot in your lineup in your lineup construction, your player pool construction where you can make a difference and make be different than everybody else. So that’s the first one there. So I mean you can make a case for Kantlay, you can make a case for Justin Thomas. I mean it’s a tour championship. None of these guys in the top are really in major concern of missing the weekend right now. The guys at 25, you got Sunjm God Bridgeman, Victor Holland, Patta Glover, then just outside the top 30, Sam Stevens, Ryan Jard, Daniel Burgerer, Ryan Fox, Taylor Pendr, who we’ll talk about in a minute. But for the most part, all these guys in the 10K are all well situated to make the weekend or to make next week in the Tour Championship. So then you go to the 9K range and what do you got in the 9K range? You’ve got one of the hottest golfers on tour right now and Cam Young at the top of it at 9,800 and everybody’s going to be all over playing him right now somewhere around 20%. I expect that to go up. I expect that to be 25%. But why is Cam Young redot? Well, he hits the ball a ton. He makes a ton of birdies, strong approach player, and he’s been putting lights out. Over 13 strokes gained in his last two events. Yes, one of them was a win, his first win. But it’s almost like when I see Cam Young play, he won and then last week played with such confidence. It’s almost like the lid has come off. And I expect Cam Young to go on a run. And I’d be shocked if Cam Young isn’t at the top of the leaderboard come Sunday down in Baltimore. It’s gonna be red hot in Baltimore, by the way, as well. I know it’s going to be red hot here in Philly. So, I’m assuming it’s going to be red hot in Baltimore as well. Just about an hour and a half south of me here in Coatsville. I can make the case. And I’ve built, I think, five lineups. So, four or five lineups so far. I’ve only got one Oberg click and nobody else in the 10K. I’m starting a lot of lineups with Cam Young now in the rest of this range. Kamawa, who says he figured something out, played really well last week. Not sure at 9600 if I love his distance or his putting even in a shorter frame here. He’s still 45th in the field in putting in the last 24 rounds. JJ Spawn, who lost in the playoff to Justin Rose last week. Great golfer. Great great guy. Just a little short, little bummed. I don’t like how he reacted, you know. I I don’t know. Um after he had his US Open win, he kind of fell a little bit. After he lost in the playoff to Rory, he really fell off for a few weeks. JJ Spawn, big game hunter, big game player. Probably will love him next week in East Lake. Let me tell you, I think this is a week you stay off of JJ Spawn who’s got you got to get different. Henley, Morawa, Spawn, even Havlin 9.7% at 9200. There’s a lot of low ownership that you can have in the 9K range, but if you’re going to be different, I think there’s other places you can get different with your lineup. To me, you go with the short thing of Cam Young here at 9,800 or at the bottom of it at 9,100 with Ben Griffin, who Ben Griffin is still trying to lock up that Rder Cup spot. Ben Griffin is in next week for East Lake. But I think I think Ben Griffin and Cam Young, you go with the chalk plays here again. And you can make a case to play Colin Morawa. Give me one second to pull something up on Kyler Morawa here cuz obviously he had a he had a really strong showing last week. I know he tapered off the end, finished 22nd, but he was right there near the leaderboard. His putting was still pretty bad last week. Lost three and a half strokes putting last week. He hasn’t gained strokes putting since the memorial back on June 1st. So, there’s a reason to to stay off of that low ownership on Colin Morawa for sure. That’s what I thought. I just want to double check that uh before I said it out loud. There’s other places to get cheap to to to to save on ownership. There’s people in the 8 8k range. You could save on the ownership percentage, but you I’m not doing it in that 9K range. I’m fading the ownership and the prices in the 10K and I’m sticking to the chalk in the 9K. Now, in the 8K, you start with a Deki Matsyama. I know he’s only got one top 10 this year and and he won his his one top 10 was a win at Sentry the first event of the year, but he’s been in the top 20 a lot this year. Uh including four in a row heading into this week. Um one of the best iron players in the world. 11. Despite him only having one top 10 finish all year, he’s still 11th in the field in approach. And when you get onto a course like this with this elite field, the best approach players tend to rise to the top. And Adeki has one. He won uh the St. Jude last year. So he’s won in playoff formats before. Again, only 49 golfers this week. So that’s where I’m at there. The other other play, and by the way, Hideki right now projected ownership is at 9%. There’s a there’s there’s a way you differentiate yourself. You go Cam Young then Hideki Matsum. Not too bad. Another great option in the in the 9K range or in the 8K range is Chris GD up at 8500. He’s probably not going to make the RDER Cup now. Uh he might not even make the tour championship. He’s he’s just inside the top 30, but we saw five guys get in this week and five guys lose their spot. So there could be some moving and shaking this week. Um but he hits the ball far. and he makes he hits hits the greens a lot. So greens in regulation, hits the ball a ton. Great driver of the golf ball. Chris got her up. Well, he’s starting to slip a little bit. His putting’s not elite. Actually, he’s number one player in this field over the last 24 rounds played off the tick. Second in distance, seventh in birdies and patterns. 13th around the green, 15th ball striker, 16 to green. Four shots gain total. So Chris Gdderup who right now is projected where is his ownership? I I just lost it 12%. I love it. I love Chris Gddarup this week. All right. A Beta is another one. Actually before we go Ash Beta before we went to Chris got up, we should have done Justin Rose. What do we think of Justin Rose coming off his big win in the playoff last week against JJ Spawn? I don’t know. I don’t know how I feel about him. He’s had a first, 16th, and a six in his last three events. the Open Championship, the Scottish, and then last week’s win. But before that, it was a lot of mixed bags. Missed the cut, the US Open, the Canadian Open, the PJ Championship, barely out just outside the top 40 at the Memorial RBC. So from the Masters, his second place finish at the Masters, which was all which was April. He had to go all the way to July, three months till he had a top 20 again. Not saying his win last week was an aberation. Justin Rose is one of the my one of my favorite golfers. I love his slow, methodical approach. The guy just plays good golf consistently and at his age of 45, round of applause to Justin Rose for that big win last week. But I don’t know how I feel about him following that up and being in contention. Now, I will say this ownership wise is thinking like me. I mean, he’s under 9% projections right now on fantasyn.com, which talk about low coming off a win. But if you’re going to go another guy with a decki and Chris Gdd in that low ownership percentage to me I want to look at a beta. I know he collapsed a couple weeks ago, but since then Ash seems to be disappointing this year, but also maybe turning around six last week. Still still still terrible with the putter, but off the tea, on approach, around the green, te to green, pretty much everything else outside of putting that you need this week, A’s pretty solid at. So, I kind of feel like Ash Batta could be a steal with his low ownership as well this week, 10%. So, I’m going to take the chalk in the 9K and then I’m going to use the pivots in the AK. Like right now, Matthew Fitzpatrick’s the high 20% in that that range. I’m going to fade him. Harris English is going to get a lot of ownership this week. Going to fade him. I don’t know if I would go Keegan Bradley at 6%. That might be too much of a fade. Um, but that’s where I’m at in the 8K. Favorite plays, Hideki, God, and my man Asha Beta. So, then you get into the 7K. And I think there’s some really, really uh, interesting plays and options in the 7K range. And we’re going to start with one of the hottest golfers on tour also, Kirk Kittyama. Now, Kirk Kittyama, let me double check where he is at in the FedEx Cup standings. I think he’s outside of it right now. He’s at 37. So he needs to have a hell of a week this week to get inside the top 30 for East Lake next week. Now the guys 31 to 40. Stevens, Gerard, Burger, Fox, Pend, who we’ll talk about in a minute, Dietri Kittyama, Denny, Brian Campbell, Matthew Fitzpatrick. Kirk Kittyama to me is the guy with the game that’s hottest enough to do it to get into that, you know, top 30. Now he’s going to be a chalky guy. A lot of people are going to be playing Kirk Kittyami. He’s over 22% right now. 23% at this point. And there are other guys in 7K with lower ownership that I do like and we will talk about that. All right. But it’s not a big range. You got 1 2 3 4. You got 10 golfers only in this 7K range to choose from. Kirk Kittyama. You get different in the eight and you do chalk in the the nine and the seven. Kirk Kittyama. What does he do? Well, well, what is he doing well right now? Hitting the ball a ton off the tea, great approach player, making a ton of birdies. All things you need to succeed this week. Kirk Kittyama. Love Kirk Kittyama this week. In fact, I got he’s one of my bets. We’ll get into my my outright bets in a little bit here. Ricky Fowler is a guy that I think that’s going to go under the radar a little bit. I know his ownership right now is at 18%. I think Ricky Fowler’s ownership is going to fall a little bit this week. A lot of people are going to look at Ricky Fowler and be like, “Oh, he only got in this week because of all the sponsor exempts he’s had this year,” which is rightfully so. He’s only missed two cuts this year. Last one being the Rocket Mortgage. Okay. He’s got a boatload at the 14th at the Open, 18th at the John Deere, seventh at the Memorial, 16th Charles Swap, 15th at the Truest, an elevated event, 18th at the Cognizant, 21st at the AMX. The guy’s been a top 25ish machine and of course a six six round six place finish last week. Ricky Fowler has had a better season this year than people are willing to give him credit for. Where is he on the FedEx Cup standings now? Again, I know he’s inside the top 30. Almost positive. Maybe not. Where is Ricky Fowler on this list? Oh, he’s way down there. Ricky Fowler’s at 48. He would have to come out and practically win the event this week to get inside the top 30, at least the top 10 to have a chance. I don’t who knows how the points really work. Um, so he’s he’s he’s got a long way to go, but he’s had a very underappreciated season. So I like Ricky Fowler this week. I really do. Tyler Pendendrick at 72 under um has had a very good season. He’s 35th. Another guy just like Kittyama is a 37th. Pend 35th. If I if it’s not Kittyama, Pendr can move up. All right. Longer hitters on tour. Great accurate iron player. Just missed out on the top 25 last week at TPC Southwind. finished in 28th place last week. Taylor Pedress had a great season this year. Now Taylor Pendris is another guy 16% not awful in this field. 16% I could deal with that. I like Taylor Pendr. Taylor Pend Kirk Kitty. I’m a Ricky Fowler. I’m going to give you one other name in this 7K range and that’s of course somebody we talk about all the time on the show. Love me some Harry Hall. Harry Hall just is a putter and a birdie maker. first in this field over his last 24 rounds in putting. Third in the field in Burgess. Doesn’t hit the ball the furthest. Fairly accurate player off the iron player. Harry Hall is the kind of guy that can definitely drop a 64 this week, maybe two 65s this week and keep himself in contention uh this week. So, Harry Hall, I think, is a very strong, solid play in the 7K range as well. I got a couple 6K plays. Um, the first one that I kind of like, it’s kind of weird to be honest with you. Really weird honestly because we talk about driving distance as being so important, but he ranks 46th in driving distance in the field over the last uh uh 24 rounds. That’s Brian Harmon at 6,900. But Brian Harmon also is an accurate player, great putter, major champion, super lowowned at 7%. one of the lowest own guys of all the liked people. Honestly, you have to dip to 6100 to find someone in the 6K range own less than Brian Harmon. Something about Brian Harmon. I mean, he’s already in the Tour Championship. He’s 18th in the FedEx Cup standings. He’s had a so-s so year, but he did get the win at Valero. Um top 10 of the travelers in the open championship, top 25 last week. I think Brian Harmon’s playing some really damn good golf. I think Brian Harmon is one of those guys if you want to find a way to get different, Brian Harmon’s that guy. Give me Hideki Matama and Brian Harmon in the lineup. I think you’re really you’re really making some headway there to play some of those chalk your picks throughout the lineup. I know Lucas Glover is getting a little bit of love this week. Don’t hate the play there. Ryan Gerard modeled out well for me. Hey, he’s the worst putter in the field um this week. So, I don’t like him like the model tells me to. Uh Bud Collie has had a great season. He’ll be in all the elevated events next year. Love how what he’s done. Great finish last week at the FedEx coming off a couple uh missed cuts. Uh his ownership’s not awful at 13%. Not great at 13%. Let me see where’s Bud Collie in the stand FedEx Cup standings. I know I mentioned his name already. I think he’s Yeah, 46. He would need a just like Ricky Fowler, he would need a hell of a weekend. Um probably close to a win to get there. Phil, I did not give everybody Rashad the night off. I Everybody quit on me. Not quit. They they put life in front of the show. I was going to ask you to come on. I’m fig we’ll just do a quick I went live a little earlier than normal and just we’ll do a quick rapid fire and people can watch it on replay. I’m going to do a I’m going to do a lineup build and kind of go through some of these ideas in a minute here uh that I’ve been talking about. Um as I’m almost through the entire board already. Um two other names in the 6K range that I like. First off, Johnny Vegas drives the ball a ton. Um not in love with his 20% ownership. So, I’m not saying he’s a great player, but if you need to go with somebody cheap because you’re going with Scotty Sheffler at 134, like I said, you’re going to have to dip into that 6K range and low 7K range a decent amount. Johnny Vegas at 19%. Is not the worst play in the world. Don’t love it, but not the worst play. I’m going to do my best to stay out of 6K range as much as I can. Like I said, four or five lineups so far. I got one click on Harmon and one click on Bud Collie. and that’s it in that 6k range. But that’s also why I don’t have a Rory, a Scotty, a Xander in any lineups at this point because it’s so difficult. I mentioned I forgot to mention Maverick McNeel’s name at 7500. I do kind of like Maverick McNeely. I forgot to start. He’s in lineups, but I don’t have him start. What What is going on with there? Great off the tea guy. Um Maverick McNeely at 7500 I think is a really strong play. He’s also one of those guys that’s going to be the lower own guys uh this week. So, I like it. Real quick, before we build lineups, I do Well, now we’ll do build we’ll do lineup builds real quick. Well, first and foremost, what we’ll do is we’ll promote the great fundraiser I’m running here through the channel here. Eagles Autism Foundation. Eagles Autismfoundation.org. We’re selling raffle tickets. I got this football here with Super Bowl champions Cooper Deene and Darius Slay’s autograph on them. I got this photo of AJ Brown with his autograph on it framed up ready to go. And we also have a not in the background here. I got a frame photo of Brandon Graham strip sacking Tom Brady in the Super Bowl signed by Brandon Graham. We’re selling raffle tickets. We’re going to raffle off these prize on September 4th before the Eagles game kick off the NFL season. They’re $5 per raffle ticket. How do you purchase raffle tickets? You Venmo. There’s my Venmo up on the screen, guys. Make sure you check it out. Greatly appreciate any and all donations. Uh Eagles Autism. It’s a great charity, great foundation, guys. Make sure you check that out. But real quick, what we’re going to do is we’re we’re going to do some test builds. These aren’t lineups I’m putting in. We normally do our our DraftKings contest, but since the boys aren’t here, we’re just going to look at what it looks like when you build some lineups here. We’re going to go with that screen there. All right. So, again, first off, you put Scotty Sheffller in your lineup. Even if you go to the lowest priced guy that I like this week, Johnny Vegas, you’re still barely over 7,600. And what you got? All right. So, let’s pick a couple guys in the set. This is not I’m not I’m just Taylor Pendendrick like him. Maverick McNeely, you’re still under 8K. Kirk Kittyama. All right. So, now I’ve gotten it to where if you want nothing left on the table, you go Betattaya. Like, this doesn’t give you much. Let’s take Let’s take Johnny Vegas out. I like I like I said, Brian Harman, sneaky play. Now you got 10 like the the the way they’ve built with so many guys in that 10k range. They are finding a way to make it extremely extremely difficult to play Scotty Sh. Just look at this lineup here. You take Scotty Sheffller out of it. You go down to the guy I like Lev Goldberg. Now you could you could hell you could go two 10K guys with this bad lineup. Well, you take him out. You go Cam Young. You go Cam Young and Xander. And that’s if you want to go that when you take this out, you go Oberg and then you take a couple of these 7K guys that I like like him, like him, like him. Now you could go up here and you go with God up. You could go Hideki. So by playing Scotty, you’re making it very difficult. On the flip side, I still think Scotty’s ownership is still going to be north of 20%. Which again, small 49 player field, 20 25% is not that bad. I think you’ve got to find ways to get different. And like I said, that 8K range is where you could get different. Let’s just try this. Let’s go with let’s go Patta Hideki in this this range here and just see what you can build if you start here with some lowend guys and then you go to a nice play might be a little chalkier but you go someone like Kirk Kittyama okay who I do like and I do have a bet on um Kirk Kittyama there now you’re sitting at mid 84 dip to Taylor Pendendrick again I do like Taylor Pendendrick this week. Now you got 9100. Now you can play. We didn’t even talk about Sam Burns that much. I love Sam Burns. You can go Cam Young and Bobby Mack. You could go Sam Burns. Ah, that does that. You’ go got her up with Sam Burns. go Ben Griffin at 9100. You really get so much more flexibility with your lineup builds by fading that top. But let’s just let’s just try a couple of these again. Let’s let’s try Scotty Shuffler again. Let’s dip here. Let’s try to let’s try to keep it as little as I have to. Let’s go Bud Collie and Brian Harmon and see what I do. I keep going to Taylor Pendrith. Um, but I don’t have to. We can go Mad McNeely, Kirk Kittyama. That’s actually No, I might have just found a way to do a Scotty lineup there. I’m writing this one down. Writing it down cuz this is this is actually a pretty strong lineup with some good flex in those ownership percentages there. Actually like that. What if I took him out, Scotty, and went with Rory? I could take out, say, Bud Collie, and add somebody else. Let’s put Bud Collie back in there for a second. Let’s go Brian Harmon here. That leave, No, let’s leave Let’s leave both those guys in there. Let’s go with Kirk Kittyama. That leave me with what? 97. Wow. Wow. I could put that I could do a Rory and Morawa lineup. It’s interesting. It’s interesting what this week with how they did the pricing on these players how it really plays out. Obviously, again, you got to be mindful of the ownership percentages because the ownership percentages are gonna be a little wonky. 20% is normally Chuck. 22% is Chuck. Not this week. And honestly, if you look at ownership percentages right now, the top guy, Harry Hall, is at 24%. You’ve only got five guys projected over 20% right now. I expect those numbers to go up a little bit more. I really do. But why did I close my book? I don’t even know why I did that. I haven’t even gone over my bets yet this week. Um think there’s some ability there to get different. All right, what bets do I have this week? All right, I got one, two, three. I got six bets this week. Okay, my top bet, my top dollar bet is Colin Morawa. I don’t love Colin Morawa in a DFS standpoint. Like I said, um his ownership um isn’t going to be crazy this week. Not going to be bad at all at 7%. But I I don’t know about his DFS ability. Like he what’s the chance? But I got him at almost 36. I had a boost at 35.75 to1. I like Kora as a bet there. And then I got a bunch of other bets, all the same uh units on them. I got Cam Young at 30 to1. I got Victor H. No, did I bet I bet Victor Havlin? I got to check on Did I bet Victor Havlin or is that a typo on my own sheet? Did I really bet I did bet Victor Havlin this week? I got Cam Young 30 to1, Victor Havlin 35 to1, Ricky Fowler and Oshay Vetay at 55 to1 and Kirk Kittyama 60 to1. So, we got three time I I really think the best play this week, the best pick to win is Cam Young. It’s kind of crazy. It’s kind of crazy to think that that Cam Young to me is the best bet this week at 30 to1. It’s It’s I think it’s a really strong way to go this week. If you’re doing one and done, there’s a lot of great options probably available. I don’t know if we’ll be doing our one and done. I got I got to hit up Jason and and uh Stephen after the show. I mean, I still got Rory left. I still got Havlin left. I still got Bobby Mack left. Still got Russell Henley left. Still got Cam Young left in my one and done. Actually, I think Cam Young would be my one and done if we do it this week. We’ll see. I think they’re all great options for one and done. But if you’re watching this on replay and if you have any questions of any of these names, hit me up. I will respond. The replay gang. Eric, the replay gang. I answer all replay questions whether they’re on Twitter or on YouTube. If you’re watching this on replay, make sure you hit that like button, that subscribe button. We got one more week left. Next week, Tour Championship next week from East Lake. So, thank you very much for tuning in. This is Fairway to Heaven. We’re almost done season five. Got one more week of season 5. We’ll be back for the RDER Cup. We’ll do some select shows in the fall swing as well. But for Jason and Steven, who are slackers, I’m Phil Stifle. Everybody have a great night. Let’s win some money this week so we can enjoy the tour championship next week. Guys, have a good night. Bubbles up. [Music]

Write A Comment