The FedExCup Playoffs kick off this week with the FedEx St. Jude Championship, where the best are put to the test!
The odds are heavily in favor of Scottie Scheffler (+280), the reigning world champion, but the competition will be stiff, even with Rory McIlroy sitting this one out. With a nice field of 69 golfers dropping down to 50 spots next week, who stays alive & who gets their 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship dreams dashed?
Analysts Bo McBrayer & Conor Coughlin share their top PGA Tour bets for the 32nd stop of 2025 on “The 19th Hole (S5 E32).”
⏰ Time Stamps:
00:00 Introduction
03:57 News Niblick: PGA Tour News Update
04:55 Cam Young Wins 2025 Wyndham Championship
08:15 Nelly Korda Knocked Out of #1 LPGA Spot
09:59 Rory McIlroy Skips FedEx St. Jude Championship
12:57 Caddie Notes: TPC Southwind Breakdown
18:05 Club Twirls: 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks & Predictions
18:45 The Favorites
30:12 The Mid-Range
39:24 The Longshots
50:22 The Hat Pick
51:22 Plugs + Outro
🔗 Useful Links:
📺 Want more live shows & clips? Subscribe to our YouTube channel at Youtube.com/@IBT_Media
💻 For written PGA DFS & PGA betting advice, check out our website at https://In-Betweenmedia.com
📻 Catch the show live on 101.5 FM Talk-N West TN: https://talknwesttn.com/
🍻 Want to play in a golf scramble with our crew & some of our closest friends this summer in Canton, Ohio? IBT Classic tickets are on sale now at https://in-betweenmedia.com/product/the-ibt-classic-2025-golf-scramble-tickets/
💰 Get in on the action with our PGA betting & DFS partner, DraftKings. Sign up, bet $5 & get $200 in bonus bets instantly at https://bit.ly/ibtmediadraftkings.
✖️ Follow the hosts of the program on Twitter/X:
🏌️ Bo McBrayer (https://twitter.com/Bo_McBigTime)
🏌️♂️ Conor Coughlin (https://twitter.com/Cough_DFS)
Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome back to the Nineteenth Hole. We are live on InBetween Media. We are sports, we’re lifestyle, and everything in between. Make sure you like this video, subscribe to the whole channel, and jingle that bell for notifications. We have reached the playoffs. Playoffs? Playoffs? The PGA Tour has playoffs this year. It’s even more exclusive. Only the top-seventy golfers get in. We’re at TPC Southwind for the FedEx St. Jude. Make sure you go out there and donate to St. Jude Children’s Hospital. Great, great, great cause. We’re going to hit the betting lines here after this. Connor Coughlin’s back. How was that storm last week? Storm. It was interesting. Yeah, we had a lot of carnage around the city. I know you’re a fan of carnage. Not that kind of carnage. Not that kind of carnage. Yeah, I don’t like to see loss of property and life in the weather. Yeah, that’s crazy. It was pretty wild, though. It looked like it was going to miss us all together, and then all of a sudden just kind of formed back on itself and hit us pretty much square on. But knock on wood, no damage to the house. No worse for the wear on my end. That’s good. All right. Yeah, it’s unseasonably cool here in NorCal. So we’re enjoying the sunshine without the back-breaking heat that we’re used to. But August, it’s shaping up to be a scorcher. By the time we get to Labor Day, I’m going to be a couple shades darker, guaranteed. I could use some of that. Like, I did not get my normal bronze this year. A little pasty. Yeah, I can see it. Well, we have reached the playoffs. We skidded into the finish. It was a very terrible Wyndham championship. We’ll get into the news in just a second. Are you drinking anything? Because we have a show tonight, and this is a drinking show with a golf problem. Yeah, it’s very basic. Doing a little Tito’s and a little bit of Mio. Tito’s and Mio, that’s a good combo. Unfortunately, I don’t know that I washed my mug correctly because every sip I’m taking tastes like Dawn dish soap. Oh, you didn’t rinse enough. yeah so it’s not me not being able to handle my booze as we all know I can do that throughout the show yeah it’s um blowing bubbles like an old cartoon it’s a formidable scent shout out to our listeners in west tennessee on the radio one on one point five in memphis and surrounding area do you guys get your host tournament this year playoffs it’s it’s pretty cool obviously we’ve been shouting you out all season and now you guys have a tournament right in your backyard go check it out tpc southwind I’m drinking water with a squeeze of fresh lemon juice through a glass straw after that whole bit about we’re a drinking show you’re drinking water with lemon yes really embodying what we’re about here it’s really refreshing though Oh, golly. You want to get into the news before we get even more off the rails? Well, yeah. God bless you. I don’t want you to get any more wasted than you already are. This is good lemon water, though. It’s artesian. was not a banner week for the show we didn’t get it right um it was probably the worst week we’ve had in the season for sure and maybe since since last year at the wyndham championship we were quite poor uh Oh, well, it’s it’s on to this week in the playoffs, but we do have to shout out the artist formerly known as Scam Young breaking through with his first PGA Tour win at the Wyndham Championship in his in the state where he went to college at Wake Forest. Go Demon Deacons all week. The New Yorker was superb. Tita Green, superb. He’s always been that. Uh, on the greens, what did he gain? Twelve strokes putting that’s, uh, that’s the best he’s ever done. And it’s one of the best putting tournaments that anybody’s had this entire season. Uh, scam unlikely. He’s not a scam anymore. One thousandth unique champion on the PGA tour. I think he was just saving himself for that. Cause that’s really cool. Talk about cam young and what a four day stretch of remarkable golf. I mean, not to toot my own horn here, but I have been on Cam Young for about the last three or four starts. Wasn’t on the show last week. Would have definitely said throw some money down on him. But nonetheless, you can’t victory lap when you aren’t here to announce your earnings. Mother Nature would have, I mean… if it would have cooperated, you would have been on the show to do that. And I’m sure everybody who watches the show already read your article. So they’re, they’re probably celebrating and making fun of me and Jake for not talking about cameoing. So that’s, that’s pretty much how it goes. Yeah, I think, I mean, I think what we know about Cam Young is, I mean, he’s always just been right there, right? I mean, it’s a matter of time waiting for him to put it all together, hold it together for four rounds, which, I mean, he did an excellent job of this time in sixty two, sixty three, sixty five. And then you look, you starts the final round with the bogey and immediately bounces back. I think he had five straight birdies after that. Yeah, he was quite good. So, yeah, I mean, shout out to Cam Young. I’d love to see him finally getting it done. I think we all are happy for Cam Young at this point. Yeah, and we got to be happy for somebody after that performance that we had last week. Cam Young, good for you, buddy. We’re hoping that that guy stays hot through the playoffs so he can make the Ryder Cup next month for Team USA at Bethpage Black, which he is very familiar with. We need that firepower on the team. And so if Cam Young is starting to round into some peak form again, Team USA is going to need him. We need that firepower because Team Europe is too strong to win the Ryder Cup unless we have somebody like that who’s going to be very beholden to the home crowd in New York. I’m rooting for him in the playoffs. I’m rooting for him to make that Ryder Cup team because that’ll at least give us some hope in the Ryder Cup for Team USA. No, and Cam Young, even watching him in TGL this year, when you see him in that team match play environment, he’s just a different guy. And so, yeah, I’m really, really hoping that he either gets in there qualifying on his own or at least we get a captain’s pick or something. But I think Cam Young would be an awesome addition to Team USA. So, cross your fingers. In LPGA news, it’s been seventeen months, but Nelly Korda is no longer the number one golfer in the women’s ranks. She’s still really good, though, guys. Still really good. Still quite good. It is noteworthy, though, because seventeen months is a long time to hold the crown. So I’m sure she’ll get it back soon. She’s too good at this game. And the women’s game is very strong. It’s probably the strongest it’s ever been. The fact that she held down that top spot for seventeen months with the state of the women’s game. Very impressive. So you have any comments on Nelly Korda? other than how perfect her golf swing and how jealous we all are. She got dethroned by like a stroke, didn’t she? I mean, it wasn’t. Had she shot at seventy four, I think she would have kept it in the final round. Yes, she needed a top twenty finish and she was outside the top twenty five. Yeah. So, I mean, it was it was close. It was close. Shot the worst round of the week on Sunday and took herself out of there. But like you said, it’s Nelly Gorda. She’ll be she’ll bounce back. Yeah, that’s appointment television. When you’re watching golf, watch Nellie Korda. That’s how the game is supposed to be played. She’s that good. The most perfect swing I’ve ever seen. Well, and I love, I mean, if you can catch some of the bits like she did with Tiger, I see him on TikTok all the time. And I mean, it’s just, it’s amazing. He’s calling shots at her and she’s hitting them like to a T. I mean, crazy Tiger shots. You know, it’s, she’s quite amazing. So that’s a heck of a run she had. And I expect to see her right back up there. Well, we won’t be able to give Rory any flack In the first round of the playoffs. From the fans in West Tennessee. Because he’s not going to be there. I don’t understand this move at all. He’s the only guy in the top seventy. Not playing the FedEx St. Jude. This is a horrendous decision. A horrendous decision. Whether he needs the points or not. You go and you play the first round of the playoffs. Like everybody else. The only good news that comes out of this. Is that it drops the field size down to sixty nine. which is nice. Uh, yeah, it’s, um, it’s getting a little tough for me with Rory. Uh, there’s a, it pains me. Some of the decisions. It’s going to be really hot guys. It’s going to be so hot. The heat index is going to be over a hundred years. Like, yeah, the same for all the other, the other guys in the field are going to have to deal with the heat and humidity. Like it’s that’s summertime golf. It’s, it’s your point though. It’s just, I mean, it’s just bad form. I mean, you show up and you play just like everybody else. I, you know, I, I don’t know if I’m, I don’t know if I’m so, uh, he’s always been a bit of a prima Donna. That’s it comes with the territory, but I think it’s getting exceedingly worse. Um, especially I mean you can pinpoint it uh getting the green jacket I think was the beginning of the downward spiral attitudinally yeah wow like the whole relief that we got the whole the whole exhale and then roy was like actually I’ve been a turd this whole time you’re just gonna get to know successful turd career grand slam turd I, I mean, I’m not going to go that far, but I just, I just want to see him play golf and he’s just not playing golf. No, and it seems like every time he does bother to play golf, there’s just too much politics, too much drama, too much this, too much that. He didn’t do enough press conferences, whatever, whatever. It takes away from it so badly that, I mean, I don’t know. He’s got to right the ship from a PR standpoint. He’s going to have to answer to why weren’t you in Memphis as soon as he gets to the event next week at the BMW. He’s going to have to answer more questions that he wouldn’t have to answer If he was here. Yeah. I mean, he’s to some extent doing it to himself. So yeah, it’s completely self-inflicted because everybody else is here saying, Hey, let’s compete for the championship. You know, mathematically he doesn’t have to be here, which I guess is whatever it is. I don’t, it’s not a strategy by any, any means, but I guess technically he doesn’t need the need to play. So I guess that’s what we’re getting. Well, Okay. We are going to the playoffs. The FedEx St. Jude, great tournament, great event, great cause. TPC Southwind is awesome. Let’s say we talk about it. Let’s wax poetic about TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee. Shout out. Take it away, Connor. We are at TPC Southland, Memphis, Tennessee, par-seventy, yardage is seventy-two, thirty-three, fairways are Zoysia, greens are Bermuda. I personally not super into course history here because of the elite field and varied method of winning. We’ve seen a lot of different archetypes win. The main defenses of the course here though, tight fairways, deep Bermuda rough, plenty of trees, eleven holes with water in play, so that’s a That’s kind of fun. I do think that I do have a slight preference to guys that can hit it long and accurate. But accuracy is really, really paramount here. Aside from the other defenses I already mentioned, there’s about seventy bunkers in play here. The greens are super small. They’re tricky. They’re definitely faster than average. And that’s on a week where we aren’t going to be dried out like we are this week. um so yeah uh I I would definitely look for accuracy again paramount um getting back to the green complexes they’re all super well protected by the sand and the water so um you know there’s some proximity stats to look at there that we’ll talk about in a few minutes but uh most approach shots are going to come in from about a hundred and fifty to two hundred yards but you really do need the full bag here uh you’re gonna have tons of different uh variety and approach tons of different ranges And, yeah, once you get all of that out of the way, you’ve got to be able to putt on firm and fast, and it’s going to be even more firm and fast than typical here. Probably going to need guys that have a little bit of scrambling ability, bunker play, like we’ve already said. Because it’s going to be dried out, the greens are going to be tough to stick. So you’re going to need some guys that can get up and down as well. But, again, just to hammer it home. You’ve got to have the whole game, and it’s got to be firing on all cylinders. I think consistency is going to be very, very strong correlation here. It’s like guys that don’t beat themselves, but obviously ball striking. And then we have top seven in the field. Lots of great ball strikers here. Lots of guys who can get it done. Uh, right off the top, you got Scotty Scheffler is the best ball striker in the world, but everybody else in this field, they got chops and it’s going to take the whole bag. It’s going to take the mental game. Uh, it’s going to be really hot. Like we’re talking mid nineties, uh, with the heat index over a hundred, all four days, no sign of rain, not much wind to cool them off. Uh, it’s going to be a grind and the conditions won’t be like this. This course is fair. Like you, you’re going to give some birdie opportunities if you’re in play. And if you’re not in play, you’re going to be scrambling to make bogey or par. And this, well, this whole field is going to be about who can stay steady, who can limit their mistakes and who can take advantage of the birdie holes when they come. Cause there are a few there. If you find the fairway and then you have a shot at these little greens, this course is well defended, but it’s also going to reward good shots into tight spots. This is a course that is going to be incredibly fair, which I think for playoff format, it’s perfect. No cuts and you’ve got four rounds. I mean, it is fair to your point, like even the scoring is fair. It’s not absurdly high. It’s not absurdly low. I mean, it’s it’s usually in the upper teens. I think I think this week it’s probably possible that we see it more to the mid to lower teens. I think that added like dryness is going to make it a bit tougher than even it normally is. So, but yeah, to your point, very, very fair course, very, very, you need to have a well-rounded game, which I think for playoff golf, that’s what you should have. You should have to have the whole bag. I don’t, you know, it would be, would be a sad state of affairs to see somebody come in here and just bomb and gouge away and just kind of win almost gimmick style um you know so um yeah there’s you know there’s some guys that are going to be on that bubble too which I think adds a nice layer of uh competition especially through the weekend so it’s funny these guys going home this week it’s great golf it’s good watch um fair fair challenge so yeah it’s a good opening opener to the uh playoffs All right, well, what do you say we bet on some golf, twirl some clubs? Why don’t you say we win on some bets on some golf? It’s what we do. Well, we’ve been winning all year, just not last week. Well, we can’t start the DraftKings Sportsbook odds without one Sir Scott Scheffler Esquire. Plus two eighty, though. Yikes. I’m game. Yeah, I’m I’m game to live bet him. Talk me into putting Scotty on a pedestal here that he definitely deserves. But how much bang for your buck are you getting at plus-two-eighty, even if he does win? But I think he probably does. That’s saying he has better than a fifty percent chance of winning, based on those odds. No, I mean, I absolutely get that. But, like, I mean, when you look at Scotty Scheffler, and especially with, I mean, not that Rory is… the level of Scotty consistently. But when you take out like a big gun like that, I mean, in my opinion, it’s Scotty or Rory that wins the tour championship. And so I, you know, it’s hard to poke a hole in Scotty’s game. I mean, number one in approach, number one in greens and regulation, number three in scrambling, number three from one hundred and fifty to one hundred and seventy five, number two from one hundred and seventy five to two hundred. Those are key ranges. He’s number two in par four scoring from four fifty to five hundred yards. The majority of the par fours here for fifty to five hundred yards. I mean, and somehow, by the grace of God, Scotty Scheffler is fifth in this field over the last thirty six rounds for strokes game putting. So it’s it’s wild. And I think Scotty tends to put better when it gets more dried out and faster. So it’s I don’t know about that. I have my filtering set for Bermuda with Fast, and he’s sixty-third. Yeah, but I wouldn’t look at him historically. I would just look at what he’s done over the last few weeks. Like, if you look at what he did in Scotland, I mean, he was… Those were relatively fast. I mean, he was putting everything center cup. I mean, it was just crazy watching the strokes he was putting on the ball. So I just think his current mentality when it comes to putting is just next level for Scottie. So… Yeah, I don’t know. Two eighty is really, really short, but I don’t know. I think it’s likely I’ll be I’ll be stalking the live live lines. I’m not going to let him get too far away from me if he cracks plus five hundred or plus six hundred. I’m all over it. Uh, I’m also going to be in on Justin Thomas, despite his struggles off the tee. If you filter by fairways gained, which is more, which was more important last week that we go by good drives gained on a course that’s going to demand more drivers off the tee this week. And Justin Thomas goes from really, really bad to pretty darn good. Uh, he’s, he’s missing fairways, but he’s also not missing him that far off. And he’s still one of the best iron players in the field. one of the best short games in the field. And the guy is just playing great golf. Justin Thomas is the guy I start my card with at plus twenty two hundred right now. That’s for me, that’s a lock. That’s that’s a great line on the on your first guy in, especially a guy who has played this course well and has played comp course as well. This seventy two hundred yards fast, firm needs accurate ball striking. That’s Justin Thomas in a nutshell, is it not? he’s won here twice too hasn’t he seems good yeah and it was a while ago but yes he has it was a while ago but I mean historically and I’m with you justin thomas is all I’m all in on justin thomas too uh but yeah historically he’s gained more strokes here uh more strokes total than any other player in this field so um yeah despite him not rating out like super well for me um This is one player I’ll make a little bit of an exception. And historically, he’s done very well here. So I made it out number two in my model. That’s pretty good. Yeah, he I think he was in the top twenty five for me. I didn’t pay nearly as much attention to that as I did to just some of the course specific statistics when it came to Justin Thomas. He was, again, kind of the exception for me on the course fit. yeah all right who else you got on your card there oh we have a showdown who is gonna have the beer bet at plus thirty five hundred between one victor hovland who seems to own this course and one patrick cantley who needs to have a good showing to make the rider cup uh patrick cantley very very good stats ancillary to this course but has had a Pretty putrid season. Hovland’s won once this season. He’s also had a pretty putrid season other than the Valspar. But this guy’s won. He’s won here twice as well, more recently than Thomas. And he’s been inside the top five and four of his last five visits here. Seems good. I like Cantlay at the line. Hovland, you can talk me into if he slipped a little bit farther. But for some reason, I just have this vibe that Patrick Cantlay is going to wake up this week because he’s really driven to get back to Bethpage. Yeah, Cantlay popped for me too. Personally, I saw something in Hovland a few weeks back starting around the U.S. Open. Maybe even a little before that, going back to the Memorial, he was really starting to get his game back into shape. Hasn’t, you know, hasn’t done super well at this course, but I’m just kind of going off of current, like the past thirty six rounds. Like I said, he’s he’s starting around in a form pretty well. If you know, if you just look at the general stats, he’s second in the field for strokes, gain approach over that time period. And he’s first in the field from one hundred and seventy five to two hundred yards on approach. Also is right there at the top ten for greens and regulation gained. So, you know, those kind of accuracy stats that I’m looking for. Hovland, Hovland’s really rounding into form. So I tried to be early on him a while, a few weeks back. I think I’m going to go back to him here. Cantley. I think Cantley’s a steady Eddie. He’s got good history and all that. I just, I don’t know that I’ve seen that like pop from him. And I don’t, I think Hovland’s just got a higher ceiling. I had to bet on him because he was number one in my model and thirty five to one is pretty good. It’s not bad. Don’t get me wrong. He popped, he popped really well for me, too. But Victor does outrank him by a spot. He’s he’s fifth in my model. Cantley is sixth. So Yeah, Victor took a little dive on bogey and double avoidance and scrambling. But other than that, yeah, approach game, just accuracy stats. His irons are as good as it gets here. He’s right there in that Scotty Scheffler type of approach game, which is going to play here pretty well. You also have Sepp Straka and Hideki Matsuyama on your card. Are you betting everybody this week? No, I’m, I’m heavier up top, um, this week. I, you know, it’s, it’s usually, usually try and get, uh, you know, somewhere around ten players on the old card, depending, varying investments. Um, but, uh, with Straka, I don’t know. I never get Straka right. He’s, he’s always rates out really well. Um. again I looked a lot at the accuracy stats and and when you look at that um you know straka straka is very consistent um on approach on almost all buckets um you look at the fairways hit percentage greens hit percentage both uh he’s in the top ten on both of them um and then bogey avoidance which is is a relatively important stat here uh he’s third in this field so um you know i Again, he always rates out well. He tends to burn me, but I think it’s a decent goal. I’m worried. I’m worried because I had him nearly dead last in bogey avoidance by my filtering, and he was thirty-first in my field. So since I don’t ever get Sepp Strzoka right and you don’t ever get him right, one of us is going to be right. Yeah, let’s hope. Let’s hope it’s you. I don’t mind being wrong on Sepp Straka because I have other things going here. I’m going to have to quit him if it happens again. Yeah, Straka for me did not pop, which worried me even more than if he did. It was bad. I was like, oh, where’s Sepp Straka? Oh, he’s down at thirty-one? What did I do wrong here? Yeah. It’s I think it’s because I waited short game and scrambling a little bit more with the faster fairway rollouts and the in the greens being tricky. Sepp Strzoka tends to struggle, especially with short game everywhere, but especially when when your greens are a little smaller and faster. But that’s that’s the only reason he fell, because obviously is a great approach player in general. Well, and that is the problem with him is the around the green. I mean, it’s been okay in the last couple of starts. I mean, for him, okay is flat. But it really skews his scrambling stats because the majority of those scrambling stats are not from the rough and not from a hundred plus out. They’re chips and pitches and, you know, some of that, some of the up and down play. And so I don’t know, it’s a little riskier, but I’m banking on some accuracy, so. And Hideki Matsuyama defending champion. He can’t find the fairway with the map this season. So I’m off of him everywhere else. It seems to be fine for Hideki. He likes this course well enough to win it last year. He’s fifty ninth and good drives gained and thirty ninth and double avoidance. But everywhere else is strong. He’s number seven, my model. I don’t fall to it all for Hideki, but I’m at on Sam Burns at the same number. Sam Burns is slightly better off the tee. And has one of the best short games and bogey avoidance and double bogey avoidance. You’re going to find this field second and scrambling second and double and bogey avoidance eighth in this field and putting on Bermuda. That’s important. These greens are tricky. They’re fast and they are Bermuda, which is, as we said last week is completely unique. You either put well on Bermuda or you don’t. And Sam Burns puts well everywhere, including on Bermuda. And so I’ll, I’ll take a shot on Sammy Burns. Sammy ball game. Let’s go. Forty to one. That’s a good line. Yeah, like Burns. But we both have been on Burns for weeks now. So, yeah, I would keep riding with that. Yeah. Yeah, I can’t defend Hideki other than, you know, it’s… Good vibes. He’s got great vibes here. Great vibes here, yeah. He’s another vibe play like JT. I’m definitely more amped about JT than I am Hideki, but I just feel like Forty is… He’s a little long for Hideki when you look at some of the other guys we’re talking about. That’s crazy, right? I think that’s why I gravitated towards it so much. Hideki obviously can win here. Yeah, recently. All right, let’s head to the mid-range here. You got Shane Lowry. That’s interesting. Shane Lowry is in that same kind of… Can he make putts? We know he’s accurate. We know he’s going to get off the tee in the fairway, and we know he’s going to have a decent mid to long iron game. Can he make putts, though? Everything seems to point to, okay, all these guys who are great ball strikers, who’s going to be the one that actually converts enough birdie chances and avoids the big numbers? Shane Lowry is your steady Eddie guy, isn’t he not? I think he can definitely compete in this kind of like teens, mid to upper teens area scoring. To your point, it truly is the putting, and actually the putting has been pretty bad. Oh, it’s pretty bad. Yeah. So, yeah, I have some apprehension. I like the number. I like the accuracy. I’m really, really focused on the accuracy pieces this week. That’s such a good line for Shane. That’s such a tempting line right there. It’s a really good number on him. And, yeah, the putting is a little bit terrifying, just to put it mildly. That should tell you how scared I actually am. But when you look at some of the scrambling stats, you look at some of the around the green stats, he really is in the top half of this field in terms of performance. So if the putter can just be some semblance of okay this week, I mean, he definitely catapults himself into contention. And we’ve seen him pop consistently. time and again, where he just kind of gets a hot hand and that’s, that’s kind of who Shane Lowry is. So it’s not without risk and fifty again, just seems he’s having a pretty decent season again. So I don’t hate it at fifty. So I’m going to see your fifty to one Shane Lowry and I’ll raise you a Wyndham Clark fifty five to one. There’s your upside pick because the last three weeks Wyndham Clark has been in fuego. His approach game has gone from terrible to OK. His off the tee game has been in play. This is the best putter on Bermuda in this field by a long shot. He’s got birdies coming out of his ears lately. Number four in my model and outside of the shorter approach bucket between one twenty five and one fifty. He is in the top twenty five at every single category that I filtered. Wyndham Clark can’t really stand him anymore because he’s a hothead that doesn’t take accountability for his actions and losing his temper. But he’s hot. He’s hot, and he makes a ton of birdies, and he tends to, if you’re right about the weather being hot and dry and this place speeding up, that’s a grinder right there, Wyndham Clark, that’s going to be really tough to beat, especially with the way he’s been playing his irons the last few tournaments. I love that line, fifty-five to one on Wyndham Clark because he’s got all that firepower, and he’s feeling pretty good. He’s been in good form. Yeah, I don’t know. I thought about it for a minute, and then he had such an outlier performance in terms of stats at the open and then at the three. I mean, you’re not going to see Wyndham Clark gain almost ten strokes on approach week in and week out. I think I think that has catapulted him in terms of that the approach metrics for the season if you look at the rest of the year I mean bad it’s just bad and then you look so bad you look at the putting and the putting is just not good either um you know he he managed to gain a stroke at the three m um Yeah, I don’t know. He has upside. Don’t get me wrong. Wyndham Clark can get scorching hot as demonstrated by the three M. I mean, ten strokes on approach is pretty, pretty serious. That’s ridiculous, especially for him. But it’s but it’s not. It’s not consistent. There’s there’s not a shred of consistency in Wyndham. Wyndham Clark this season. Those were his to his what the Open Championship tied for fourth. One of only two top tens this entire season. Yeah, it’s just it’s been a dramatic fall from fall from where he was last year. And so grace and form and everything. He fell everywhere. Yeah. I mean, this guy, this guy in my book is right up there with Patty Reed in terms of integrity. So I just I don’t know. I get it. Fifty five for the upside. And we’re not we’re not betting on personalities. We’re betting on players and we’re gambling. We are gambling, Connor. But I have a hard time with them here. Yeah, I did too, but the line was too good. And the recent form, I think he might be waking up. Maybe. Maybe. I get the upside. I do. Uh, we’re both on Nick Taylor at eight to one, but you’re on Lucas Glover too. And this guy is a horse for the course. Uh, it seems like he only plays well on these courses to where, uh, the greens are so small that the putts aren’t long enough to cause them any grief. This is an atrocious putter, but one of the best ball strikers accuracy wise on the planet. Lucas Glover. I get it. Eighty to one. That’s pretty decent. Tell me. Tell me why I should be in on Lucas Glover. Eighty to one as well. Well, you kind of you kind of nailed it. It’s it’s again, it’s an it’s an accuracy guy. And especially when you look at the two main buckets, that one fifty to one seventy five, one seventy five, two hundred. He’s those are his best ranges. He’s also in the top twenty for the par four scoring metrics. We talked about the four fifty to five hundred. So I like that. Uh, he’s accurate off the tee, uh, which is important here. Um, and, and then he’s in the top, uh, seventeenth for, uh, strokes gained approach. And also like Lucas Glover, not to play like narratives, but he just tends to pop in the playoffs. Like we see some of the best golf come out of him. Um, and you know, when, when we saw him make that run, um, what was it two years ago now where he was literally making every putty looked at. I mean, that’s the type of, that’s the type of heat that Lucas Glover can get. And when you get here, it was here. Yeah, it was here. He made everything in Memphis. And like, and then continued. I mean, I think, I think we thought he was going to, he was popped off the following week too. Yep. So, so Lucas Glover, again, just, Can play in the playoffs. We’re not that far removed from a win here. And I love the accuracy in the iron game. So it’s a eighty to one. I think it’s I think it’s a not a value per se. He’s high risk, but it’s I think the number’s right. I think the number’s right, too, especially if you’re if you’re looking for somebody who’s like a sneaky DFS play. Lucas Glover is your guy because when he gets that putter going like he did here two years ago, that that guy’s going to put up massive numbers and he’s going to push for this win. Nick Taylor, the Canadian, he’s your quintessential accurate grinder. This guy is when you need straight shots off the tee and straight shots on approach and timely, not going to beat himself. Lucas, Nick Taylor, Nick Taylor, eighty to one. I just like it because if I if if it is going to be hot and dry and tough on these guys with a twelve to fifteen under finish, Nick Taylor is going to vastly outplay his price here at eighty to one. That’s that’s really, really long for a guy of this caliber. And just incredibly, like this season in particular, just been incredibly consistent. I mean, his whole career, he’s been consistent. It’s just now we know because he’s a multiple time winner on the tour. We’ve seen him win multiple times last couple of years that we understand that he has always been this consistent. I’m looking at all green across the board in every stat. yeah it’s all it’s all green for me too and then if you look at like the historical like long-term data you you gotta go back three hundred rounds before green across um you know across the averages for all the main like the shots game t degree shots gained up the approach around the green the putting like your core ones I mean, it’s incredible how consistent a player Nick Taylor truly is. And, you know, he’s having a better-than-average year for him. So it would not surprise me to see him pop here, grind it out a little bit, good accuracy, you know, steadfast around the green, steadfast on the green. It’s just really a well-rounded game, which is, like I said earlier when we were doing the course breakdown, that’s what I’m looking for, a guy who’s good from top to bottom of the bag. That’s right. All right. Let’s take some shots. Deep. Ninety to one or deeper. We have Siwoo Kim. Agreement. Agreement. It’s another Lucas Glover type play. Accurate off the tee. Accurate on approach. Atrocious putter. Terrifying. terrifying putter, but he’s getting ninety to one on. So out of seventy guys, that’s a really good chance of winning for a guy who has won many tournaments. Siwoo Kim, another positional smart player. He’s also pretty aggressive. I like this play. That’s that’s an amazing line in the field this small for a guy who absolutely can win this tournament. Definitely. And I think I said it a few weeks back to a lot with Siwoo and the putter just kind of depends on which one he Russian roulettes out of the trunk of the car this week. Like seriously, he changes every week and every day of, of each week. And he’s on, he’s onto that giraffe neck, uh, Odyssey now, which I, I don’t know, maybe, maybe that’s the secret. Um, who does, but, uh, I mean, we’ve seen him have really good streaks with the putter and then he’ll just switch for no reason. And he’s back to one hundred and twenty. What are you doing, dude? He’s really funny. And he is hilarious. Yeah. I mean, anytime you’re going to give me those type of odds on Siwu, it’s just. Yes, it was a nuclear hot. So for me, it was just every stat except for putting. Honestly, fiftieth out of seventy in putting, not terrible. I could do a lot worse. Bogey avoidance, top ten. Birdies are better gained, also top ten. Opportunities gained, number three. Number four in strokes gained, par four. This is a scoring machine when the putts are falling. On small greens, it’s the Lucas Glover thing. He’s going to give himself so many chances with twenty feet or less for birdie that you just have to hope that they go down. I mean, that’s why he’s ninety to one. All right, so I’ll wrap up mine since he’s at a hundred to one. My last guy in is Chris Kirk at a hundred to one. Apparently he’s falling to a hundred and twenty in other books. Go ahead and jump all over that. Chris Kirk loves this golf course. Chris Kirk is accurate. Chris Kirk is another guy who struggles with the flat stick. Not necessarily good on the longer par fours that we’re going to get quite a few of, but number two in the approach buckets that we’re looking at. Number eight and birdies are better. He’s a scoring machine. Uh, just another similar player. He’s not going to beat himself, but he’s also, we just got to hope the putter wakes up because Chris Kirk with the flat stick is honestly terrifying. Yeah. He’s in good form right now. Um, and the right, right. The second, right. The second, right. The second, the, the putter, the putter has been pretty good for the last five starts. Um, I mean, call it what it is. He’s a hundred or a hundred and twenty to one. I mean, he’s priced the way he is because he’s volatile. I don’t love him here. And it’s mostly because of those approach metrics. But he does manage to pop up and kind of surprise us on different tracks. I don’t think he’s one specific type of track. And so I can see the value in Chris Kirk there. I mean, He definitely could. He definitely could have a week. I haven’t met a number. Was that? number two on from one twenty five to one fifty and number eleven from one fifty to one seventy five with the way you have it sorted probably when you look at the when you look at the overall stats for the season like more oh yeah it’s I mean it’s bad he’s fifty six from one hundred fifty to one hundred seventy five he’s um he’s fifty fifth in putting uh he is eleventh in approach uh which is which is really good but then you start getting into some of the off the tee stats and and the scrambling and it’s it goes scrambling is not pretty the scrambling isn’t pretty and I don’t I left that one out I left that one out because that’s it it’s important here but it doesn’t help my cause yeah and I and I don’t love it right you mix that off the t play with lack of ability to scramble and lack of ability to be accurate from the longer distances that he’s going to be hitting from it and off the fairway I don’t know. And guess what? We get four rounds of all these guys. I hope I’m wrong, guys. But I know we had some some people in the chat loving on Kirk. I know you’re in on them. I don’t I don’t see it. Well, Connor, tell them who they should should bet on. I mean, do I do I need to talk about Emiliano Griot for the like six week in a row? Yeah, absolutely. So Griot, normally the Achilles heel is the putter. That has not been the case, really, for most of this season. He’s been lingering around. We saw him pop with a second-place finish at John Deere when we were really, really on him. Played well at the three-em, finished in twentieth. Took a little step back at the Wyndham, but the putter went a little cold. It was actually the first time in about five starts that he actually lost over a stroke putting. um which is I dare I say becoming a little bit abnormal for a miliano griot um but the approach and the accuracy with the iron play is just really really stout with a miliano griot and the other thing we always like about him is the opportunities gained always pops he is a guy that throws darts um holds greens well gives himself a lot of looks from inside of twenty feet um and while I’m not as concerned about the birdie looks they’re great we want them But the fact that I don’t have to worry about him missing greens as dramatically as some of these other guys may, I think there’s a lot of value in Grillo here. Yeah, I tend to agree with you. So that’s a pretty good number on him, really. That bucket, one fifty to one seventy five is my heaviest weighted because ten of the approach shots on this course are in that you’re going to have that approach range from one fifty to one seventy five. That’s a lot of, a lot of approaches in that range. He’s number eight in this entire field in that bucket. That’s good. We love Emiliano Grillo and he’s a hundred twenty to one. That’s a good pick. Who else you got? Bud Colley. A friend of the show, Bud Colley. Friend of the show, Bud Colley. Yeah, we’ve liked Bud Colley all year. He crushed us last week. Yeah. But no, it’s again, Bud Colley is actually just kind of along the lines of a couple of the guys we’ve already talked about, like a Nick Taylor-esque player, where it’s just very steady Eddie across the board. He’s a good scrambler. Good scrambler. And the only thing, I mean, if we’re going to talk things that do scare me a little bit, he’s not super great at the longer par fours. He’s going to be in the lower portion of this field. I mean, but you look at that and that good bucket the the big bucket he’s dead last so yeah so he’s he is dead last in that one fifty to one seventy five but he’s top ten in the one seventy five to two hundred and he’s I think that that will be more of the range that one seventy five for bud collie um And so I looked at the overall approach last thirty six rounds, fourteenth in the field, bogey avoidance, fourteenth in the field fairways game. He’s eighteenth in the field. So a lot of those accuracy metrics that I’m looking for. Bud Colley is actually, you know, in the in the top tier of this field. Putter is iffy at best. He’s streaky. But to your point, Bo, he’s good scrambler, better, better on Bermuda than any other surface. That’s good. He’s number twenty two putting on Bermuda. I, you know, it’d be one of those weird occasions where if he puts it all together, I mean, Bud Colley is pretty live with the accuracy alone. So he’s not going to beat himself. The scrambling is great. And the ancillary stats that come from scrambling your bogey avoidance, he’s number seven and double bogey avoidance, which is going to come into play here. is number one in this field. Double bogey avoidance. Bud Colley is not going to beat himself. So again, if we get tougher conditions, the scrambling will be put under stress and your guys like Victor Hovland are going to fall away. Your guys like Bud Colley are going to rise. Agreed. If it gets stressful in the short game, we got to look for those scramblers. Shane Lowry is another guy. If the weather gets a little hot and dry, he’s just going to separate himself that way. All right. What’s the winning score going to be and who besides Scotty is going to win it? I think it’s fifteen and I like Hovland. All right. I am not going to be on Hovland that much. I’m going to take I’m going to take JT at thirteen under par. All right. All right. JT season. God, I wish. I hope. Ben Griffin. Maybe a top ten. Ninth in my model. The only thing I worry about with Ben Griffin, again, stats look really, really good with him. But I do worry about. Actually, everything looks pretty good on mine, except when you get to that one fifty to one seventy five. He takes a dip, which is not great. And then the fairway accuracy like off the tee is accuracy is struggling. So Ben Griffin out of sixty nine golfers is sixty two in my model. So I’m not not on him. Not good, Bob. Not good, Bob. Wow. We got a gutter up pick at fourteen under to see it. That’s that’s spicy. Got her up. It’s going to struggle off the tee here. I think it’s a, that’s a big, very important status to be able to find the fairway is if you don’t find the fairway here, you are absolutely not going to make any birdies. Cause this, this, yeah, the Bermuda rough here is serious and the greens are nasty, small and fast. Ooh. Yeah. Got a rep. Where’s he at on mine? It’s five, forty three, forty two in mine. Yeah, he is hot. He is hot right now, like Hansel. The hat is ready. Come on, low number. The hat has wisely selected number six. The hat’s out for blood again. Patrick Cantlay. Sam Burns. That is hot. That is a hot hat right there. Kevin Hayes wants to do Nico Echevarria top South American. That would put him over Emiliano Grillo, though. I’m taking Grillo. Yeah, I think Griot’s the better choice this week. The approach game is very important. And Nico did struggle on approach on Sunday, which is where he fell so far. He was fighting that two-way miss again, which is why I predicted it would happen the whole week, but he was awesome the first three days. Well, next week’s the BMW. BMW? Yeah. Where are they having this? Philadelphia or something? I don’t even remember. But the BMW changes venues every year. We’ll figure it out. Only the top fifty. Only fifty will remain after this week. And then the BMW is going to whittle it down to thirty for the Tour Championship and Hotlanta at Eastlake Country Club. Oh, yeah. Danny Burger. Yeah. Top twenty, maybe. Jeopardy. I like that name. All right. Join us next week for the BMW Championship. From Connor, I’m Beau. This has been the Nineteenth Hole.
