The FedEx St Jude Championship marks the first of three season-ending Playoffs events this month and I believe it’s hard to look too far away from the top of the betting market.
After several weeks of near misses on the PGA Tour, I’m intent to get us back in the green at TPC Southwind.
I’m going to give you one outright selection who I will think win the tournament, and an each-way pick who I think will chase him home in Memphis.
There are just 69 players competing at the limited-field FedEx St Championship this week.
Rory McIlroy is so far the only absentee for the first FedEx Cup Playoffs event.
Here’s why he chose not to play.
The winner scoops a jackpot of $3.6m.
Check out the FedEx SJude prize money.
After checking out my two tips below you can then view the best odds for all the runners and riders taking part at the FedEx St Jude Championship at the very bottom of the page to see if you can find your own value.
As always, please gamble responsibily.
Scroll down for my latest picks…
FedEx St Jude Championship Golf Betting Tips
Scottie Scheffler
Outright Pick:
Scottie Scheffler
Best Price:
3/1 – Betfair
Last 3 starts on PGA Tour:
6 – 8 -1
Past Results at FedEx St Jude:
MC – 31 – 4
Simply look no further than the World No.1 Scottie Scheffler to win his fifth PGA Tour title and first ever FedEx St Jude this weekend.
Although his gigantic lead atop of the world rankings has been shrunk slightly by career grand slammer McIlroy this season, there is no doubt in my mind that Scheffler is still the very best golfer in the world by some considerable margin.
Not even any of the LIV Golf players rival him at this very moment in time.
What makes Scheffler’s job even easier this week is that World No.2 McIlroy has not even bothered to rock up at TPC Southwind.
Scheffler is therefore very much the man to beat after etching his name on the famous Claret Jug for the first time in his career last time out at The Open, which marked his second major win of the season to go alongside the US PGA.
After an indifferent start to the year by his own high standards, Scheffler’s ball striking once again looks back to where it was throughout the entirety of season, and that is ominous for everyone else’s chances in the Playoffs.
Scheffler will also be fully refreshed after taking the last couple of weeks off to spend time with his wife Meredith and baby boy Bennett, and I fully expect him to bring his A-game to Memphis and strengthen his lead in the FedEx Cup.
He also holds an impressive 67.94 stroke average over his last 18 rounds at TPC Southwind, per Betfair’s stats, and that is one of the best in the field.
The four-time major winner is the defending FedEx Cup champion and he will be intent on becoming the first ever golfer to successfully defend the season-long race on the PGA Tour before heading off to lead his nation’s charge and regain the Ryder Cup next month.
As we all know by now, if Scheffler brings a warm putter, or an even a lukewarm one, then he wins the tournament. It really is as simple as that, and the main reason why he starts this week with best odds of 3/1, not dissimilar to like we saw with Tiger Woods back in his prime.
Scheffler isn’t yet in Woods’ category, but it’s certainly get close now.
Russell Henley
Each-Way Pick:
Russell Henley
Best Price:
30/1 – Betfred
Last 3 starts on PGA Tour:
10 – 2 – 10
Past results at FedEx St Jude:
MC – 6 – 30
The man who I think will give Scheffler most to worry about at the FedEx St Jude Championship is World No.5 Russell Henley, who is very much trending for a sixth PGA Tour title.
Henley has arguably been in the form of his life this season, despite only winning once at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March.
His recent performances have been remarkably consistent and he’s on something of a heater entering the Playoffs.
Henley arrives here off the back of a fifth at the Memorial, 10th at the US Open, second at the Travelers and a 10th at The Open.
That latest form is not far off Scheffler’s, just without a win to show for it.
Henley not only ranks a career-best fifth in the world right now but he’s also fifth in strokes-gained total on the PGA Tour this season.
TPC Southwind places much more of a premium on accuracy of the tee, and Henley, who finished sixth here in 2023, fits the bill at 15th for driving accuracy this season.
According to Betfair’s stats, Henley has an impressive 68.3 stroke average over his last 10 rounds at TPC Southwind.
Henley is also typically one of the best putters on the PGA Tour too, so if he can continue to put it all together this week then I think best odds of 30/1 represents terrific each-way value, especially if you can grab him for the top six places.
The American is guaranteed a place in Keegan Bradley’s Ryder Cup team next September, but he will no doubt be intent on adding a second PGA Tour title this season to officially punch his ticket to Bethpage.
I think he can achieve that this week.
Check out the full list of pre-tournament prices for the FedEx St Jude below…
2025 FedEx St Jude Championship – Best Odds
Scottie Scheffler
3
Xander Schauffele
14
Justin Thomas
25
Tommy Fleetwood
25
Matt Fitzpatrick
28
Viktor Hovland
28
Russell Henley
30
Ludvig Aberg
30
Collin Morikawa
33
Patrick Cantlay
33
Corey Conners
40
Sepp Straka
40
Hideki Matsuyama
40
Sam Burns
40
Harris English
40
Keegan Bradley
40
Cameron Young
40
Daniel Berger
45
Robert MacIntyre
45
Maverick McNealy
50
J.J Spaun
50
Jordan Spieth
50
Harry Hall
50
Ben Griffin
50
Aaron Rai
50
Wyndham Clark
50
Chris Gotterup
55
Denny McCarthy
60
Shane Lowry
60
Jake Knapp
66
J.T Poston
66
Lucas Glover
70
Jason Day
70
Brian Harman
70
Kurt Kitayama
70
Akhshay Bhatia
80
Chris Kirk
80
Taylor Pendrith
80
Justin Rose
80
Si Woo Kim
80
Rickie Fowler
90
Max Greyserman
90
Nick Taylor
90
Sam Stevens
90
Sungjae Im
90
Michael Kim
90
Min Woo Lee
90
Kevin Yu
110
Emiliano Grillo
125
Tony Finau
150
Andrew Novak
150
Ryan Gerard
150
Nico Echavarria
150
Ryan Fox
150
Thomas Detry
150
Jacob Bridgeman
175
Bud Cauley
175
Jhonattan Vegas
200
Aldrich Potgieter
225
Mackenzie Hughes
225
Matti Schmid
225
Stephan Jaeger
250
Patrick Rodgers
250
Erik van Rooyen
250
Brian Campbell
300
Davis Riley
450
Joe Highsmith
500
Cam Davis
500
Tom Hoge
500
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